COMMISSION STAFF WORKING DOCUMENT IMPACT ASSESSMENT REPORT on the revision of the Directives of the Roadworthiness package Accompanying the documents Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of the Council amending Directive 2014/45/EU on periodic roadworthiness tests for motor vehicles and their trailers, and amending Directive 2014/47/EU on the technical roadside inspection of the roadworthiness of commercial vehicles circulating in the Union Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of the Council on the registration documents for vehicles and vehicle registration data recorded in national vehicle registers, and repealing Council Directive 1999/37/EC

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    1_EN_impact_assessment_part1_v4.pdf

    https://www.ft.dk/samling/20251/kommissionsforslag/kom(2025)0179/forslag/2132439/3008975.pdf

    •EN EN
    EUROPEAN
    COMMISSION
    Brussels, 26.5.2025
    SWD(2025) 96 final/2
    CORRIGENDUM
    This document replaces SWD(2025) 96 final of 24.4.2025
    Insertion of the cross-reference to the COM(2025) 180 final
    The text shall read as follows:
    Roadworthiness package
    COMMISSION STAFF WORKING DOCUMENT
    IMPACT ASSESSMENT REPORT
    on the revision of the Directives of the Roadworthiness package
    Accompanying the documents
    Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of the Council amending
    Directive 2014/45/EU on periodic roadworthiness tests for motor vehicles and their
    trailers, and amending Directive 2014/47/EU on the technical roadside inspection of the
    roadworthiness of commercial vehicles circulating in the Union
    Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of the Council on the
    registration documents for vehicles and vehicle registration data recorded in national
    vehicle registers, and repealing Council Directive 1999/37/EC
    {COM(2025) 179 final} - {SEC(2025) 119 final} - {SWD(2025) 97 final} -
    {SWD(2025) 98 final} - {SWD(2025) 99 final} - {COM(2025) 180 final}
    Offentligt
    KOM (2025) 0179 - SWD-dokument
    Europaudvalget 2025
    I
    Table of contents
    1. INTRODUCTION: POLITICAL AND LEGAL CONTEXT.................................................1
    2. PROBLEM DEFINITION.......................................................................................................7
    2.1. What is/are the problems?.............................................................................................7
    2.2. What are the problem drivers?....................................................................................14
    2.3. How likely is the problem to persist? .........................................................................19
    3. WHY SHOULD THE EU ACT?...........................................................................................21
    3.1. Legal basis ..................................................................................................................21
    3.2. Subsidiarity: Necessity of EU action..........................................................................21
    3.3. Subsidiarity: Added value of EU action .....................................................................21
    4. OBJECTIVES: WHAT IS TO BE ACHIEVED? .................................................................22
    4.1. General objectives ......................................................................................................22
    4.2. Specific objectives......................................................................................................22
    5. WHAT ARE THE AVAILABLE POLICY OPTIONS?.......................................................23
    5.1. What is the baseline from which options are assessed?..............................................23
    5.2. Description of the policy options................................................................................26
    6. WHAT ARE THE IMPACTS OF THE POLICY OPTIONS? .............................................31
    6.1. Economic impacts.......................................................................................................31
    6.2. Social impacts.............................................................................................................56
    6.3. Environmental impacts ...............................................................................................59
    7. HOW DO THE OPTIONS COMPARE? ..............................................................................62
    7.1. Effectiveness...............................................................................................................62
    7.2. Efficiency....................................................................................................................63
    7.3. Coherence ...................................................................................................................65
    7.4. Subsidiarity and proportionality .................................................................................66
    8. PREFERRED OPTION.........................................................................................................67
    8.1. Identification of the preferred policy options and stakeholder views.........................70
    8.2. REFIT (simplification and improved efficiency) .......................................................72
    8.3. Application of the ‘one in, one out’ approach ............................................................73
    9. HOW WILL ACTUAL IMPACTS BE MONITORED AND EVALUATED?....................74
    ANNEX 1: PROCEDURAL INFORMATION .............................................................................75
    ANNEX 2: STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATION (SYNOPSIS REPORT) .................................80
    ANNEX 3: WHO IS AFFECTED AND HOW?..........................................................................100
    ANNEX 4: ANALYTICAL METHODS.....................................................................................108
    ANNEX 5: COMPETITIVENESS CHECK................................................................................262
    ANNEX 6: BACKGROUND ON ROADWORTHINESS LEGISLATION AND PTI
    ORGANISATION IN MEMBER STATES.................................................................................265
    ANNEX 7: DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE RETAINED POLICY MEASURES...........271
    ANNEX 8: DISCARDED POLICY MEASURES ......................................................................287
    II
    ANNEX 9: COMPARISON OF POLICY OPTIONS IN TERMS OF MEETING THE
    OBJECTIVES ..............................................................................................................................290
    ANNEX 10: SME TEST..............................................................................................................295
    ANNEX 11: LINKS BETWEEN THE CONCLUSIONS OF THE EX-POST EVALUATION
    AND THE IMPACT ASSESSMENT..........................................................................................298
    ANNEX 12: IMPACTS ON FUNDAMENTAL RIGHTS..........................................................300
    ANNEX 13: IMPACTS ON THE FUNCTIONING OF THE INTERNAL MARKET AND
    COMPETITION...........................................................................................................................302
    ANNEX 14: COHERENCE, SUBSIDIARITY AND PROPORTIONALITY (DETAILED
    ANALYSIS).................................................................................................................................304
    ANNEX 15: MONITORING.......................................................................................................308
    ANNEX 16: SYNERGIES WITH OTHER POLICY INSTRUMENTS.....................................310
    ANNEX 17: EVALUATION REPORT (SEPARATE DOCUMENT) .......................................313
    III
    Glossary
    Term or acronym Meaning or definition
    ADAS Advanced Driver Assistance Systems refer to systems that support the
    driver in their primary driving task. These systems can inform or warn
    the driver, but also take over (part of) vehicle control.
    CARE CARE is a Community database on road crashes resulting in death or
    injury (no statistics on damage-only crashes).
    CITA International Motor Vehicle Inspection Committee, worldwide
    association of authorities and authorised companies active in the field
    of vehicle compliance
    CO Carbon monoxide: colourless odourless very toxic gas that is formed
    as a product of the incomplete combustion of carbon or a carbon
    compound. The greatest sources of CO to outdoor air are vehicles or
    machinery that burn fossil fuels.
    CoC Certificate of Conformity: a statement by a vehicle manufacturer that
    the vehicle conforms to EU type-approval requirements.
    DPF Diesel Particle Filter, a component designed to remove diesel
    particulate matter or soot from the exhaust gas of a diesel engine.
    EEA European Environment Agency
    ELV End-of-Life Vehicles
    EReg Association of European Vehicle and Driver Registration Authorities
    EUCARIS European car and driving licence information system
    EV Electric vehicle, including battery electric, hybrid electric, and fuel cell
    electric vehicles
    GSR General Safety Regulation (EU) 2019/2144: type-approval
    requirements to ensure the general safety of vehicles and the protection
    of vulnerable road users
    IV
    HDV Heavy-duty vehicle, vehicles above 3.5t maximum permissible laden
    mass, including trucks and buses/coaches
    HGV Heavy goods vehicle, truck
    LDV Light-duty vehicle (i.e., up to 3.5t maximum mass), including cars and
    vans (light commercial vehicles, LCVs)
    NO2, NOx Nitrogen dioxide, nitrogen oxides, including NO and NO2
    NH3 Ammonia, NH3 contributes to acid deposition and eutrophication,
    which in turn, can lead to potential changes occurring in soil and water
    quality.
    OBD A vehicle system that can generate on-board diagnostics. It collects
    information from the network of sensors inside the vehicle, which the
    OBD can use to regulate car systems or alert the user to problems. A
    technician can plug into the OBD port to collect vehicle data and
    diagnose problems. Recent models can communicate diagnostic
    information over the air.
    OBM On-Board Monitoring means a system on board a vehicle that is
    capable of detecting and communicating either emission exceedances
    or when a vehicle is in zero emission mode, via the OBD port and over
    the air.
    Plume chasing A new emission testing method used to detect high-emitting vehicles.
    Also called mobile remote sensing where a chasing vehicle follows the
    target vehicle, typically a truck.
    PM(2.5) Particulate matter (with a diameter smaller than 2.5 micrometres
    (<2,5 µm)): the emission limits for mass of particulate matter are
    regulated by type-approval legislation for light (Euro 5 and Euro 6) as
    well as heavy-duty vehicles (Euro VI)
    PN Particle number, another measure of air pollution, the emission limits
    for PN were introduced in the type-approval regulations from Euro 5b
    light vehicles (first registered from 1 January 2013) and from Euro VI
    HDVs (first registered from 1 January 2014)
    PTI (Directive) Periodic technical inspection (Directive 2014/45/EU on periodic
    roadworthiness tests for motor vehicles and their trailers)
    V
    PTI centre A PTI station, an authorised workshop or larger inspection centre with
    one or more PTI lanes
    PTI lane Test lanes along which the vehicle advances during the various stages
    of PTI
    Remote sensing A method that measures the various components of exhaust emissions
    of vehicles that pass by the remote sensing device using a light beam
    and detectors
    RSI (Directive) Roadside inspection (Directive 2014/47/EU on the technical roadside
    inspection of the roadworthiness of commercial vehicles circulating in
    the Union)
    RWP Roadworthiness package: Directive 2014/45/EU, Directive
    2014/46/EU amending Directive 1999/37/EC, and Directive
    2014/47/EU
    SCR Selective Catalytic Reduction is a technology that reduces nitrogen
    oxides (NOx) from exhaust gases of diesel engines. It converts NOx
    into nitrogen and water vapour and improves fuel economy and the
    performance of diesel engines.
    SDG (Regulation) Single Digital Gateway (Regulation (EU) 2018/1724) establishing a
    single digital gateway to facilitate online access to information,
    administrative procedures, and assistance services that citizens and
    businesses may need in another EU country
    UN SDG United Nations Sustainable Development Goals
    VRD (Directive) Vehicle registration documents (Directive 1999/37/EC, as amended by
    Directive 2014/46/EU)
    1
    1. INTRODUCTION: POLITICAL AND LEGAL CONTEXT
    This Impact Assessment accompanies legislative proposals for the revision of three Directives, collectively
    called the Roadworthiness Package (hereinafter the “RWP”):
    • Directive 2014/45/EU on periodic roadworthiness tests for motor vehicles and their trailers (hereinafter
    the "Periodic Technical Inspection” or “PTI” Directive)1
    ;
    • Council Directive 1999/37/EC on the registration documents for vehicles as amended by Directive
    2014/46/EU (hereinafter the "Vehicle Registration Documents” or “VRD” Directive)2
    ;
    • Directive2014/47/EUonthe technical roadsideinspection ofthe roadworthiness of commercial vehicles
    (hereinafter the “Technical Roadside Inspection” or “RSI” Directive)3
    .
    Road transport plays a vital role in connecting businesses and consumers across the EU, facilitating trade,
    and supporting economic growth and employment. It facilitates mobility of people and supports many
    industries, such as manufacturing, construction and retail, by providing the means for thetransport ofgoods.
    It also plays a critical role in emergency response. In 2021, road freight transport represented 54.3% (1,863
    billion tonne-kilometres) of all the goods transported within the EU and was responsible for 87% (4,174
    billion passenger-kilometres) of the total passenger transport activity4
    . The road transport sector employs
    more than 5 million people in the EU, of which 3.3 million work in freight and 1.8 million in passenger
    transport. At the same time, it is a source of certain negative impacts that are addressed by various EU and
    national transport policies, among which the Roadworthiness Package is a key building block.
    Safe vehicles are part of the so-called “Safe System approach”, as presented in the EU Road Safety
    Policy Framework 2021-2030 – Next steps towards “Vision Zero” (5
    ). In this road safety strategy,
    the Commission proposed new interim targets of reducing the number of road deaths by 50% between
    2020 and 2030 as well as reducing the number of serious injuries by 50% over the same period. The
    UN Global Plan for the Decade of Action (6
    ) released in October 2021, also applying the “Safe
    System approach”, promotes the same reduction targets already in place at EU level.
    The Safe System approach considers death and serious injury in road collisions as being largely
    preventable, while acknowledging that collisions will continue to occur. It takes as a point of
    departure the fact that people make mistakes and aims to ensure that such mistakes do not cause
    fatalities or serious injuries by acting on five pillars: safe roads and roadsides, safe speeds, safe road
    users, safe vehicles, and fast and effective post-crash care, which all contribute to reducing the impact
    of crashes. The Roadworthiness Package focuses on the safe vehicle part of this system.
    In its Sustainable and Smart Mobility Strategy (7
    ) of 2020, the Commission reiterated the target of
    zero fatalities in all modes of transport by 2050 and announced the revision of the roadworthiness
    legislative framework, to ensure the lifetime compliance of vehicles with emission and safety
    standards, under Flagship 1 “Boosting the uptake of zero-emission vehicles, renewable & low-carbon
    fuels and related infrastructure”. In October 2021, the European Parliament adopted a resolution on
    the EU Road Safety Policy Framework 2021-2030 (8
    ), calling on the Commission to consider, among
    1
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir/2014/45/oj
    2
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A01999L0037-20220324
    3
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir/2014/47/oj
    4
    Statistical pocketbook 2023 (europa.eu)
    (5
    ) SWD(2019) 283 final
    (6
    ) Decade of Action - United Nations Sustainable Development
    (7
    ) COM(2020) 789 final
    (8
    ) P9_TA(2021)0407 https://www.europarl.europa.eu/doceo/document/TA-9-2021-0407_EN.pdf
    2
    others, tightening the roadworthiness test regime and to adapt it to the technical progress in vehicle
    safety features.
    Road crashes9
    represent one of the most significant negative impacts of road transport. The external cost of
    crashes represents almost EUR 250 billion per year, i.e., roughly 2% of GDP10
    . There were around 20,600
    fatal crashes in the EU in 2022, a 3% increase on 2021 as traffic levels recovered after the pandemic. This
    represents however 2,200 fewer fatalities (-10%) compared with the pre-pandemic year 2019 (see Figure
    1). The EU and UN target is to halve the number of road deaths by 203011
    . The main causes of road crashes
    are speeding, alcohol/drugs, distracted driving, and various driver errors (such as errors of interpretation or
    fatigue). Other causes include the inadequate state or design of infrastructure (slippery surface, insufficient
    markings, poor maintenance), and vehicle defects. In the EU, thanks to gradually improving vehicle
    technology through EU type-approval rules and a well-developed system of technical inspections to
    ascertainvehiclesafetyovertheentirelifetime,theshareofvehicledefects amongthecausesofroad crashes
    is now limited to just a few percent12
    . However, this also means that avoidable crashes caused by vehicle
    defects are still taking place. The Safe System approach requires acting on all these fronts, recognising that
    the parts of the entire system – including users, vehicles, infrastructure and emergency response – work
    together as an entity13
    .
    Figure 1: Road fatalities in the EU (2001-2022 and the EU 2030 target)
    Air pollutant emissions from road transport have been decreasing ever since the introduction of the first
    Euro emission standard over 30 years ago. Although subsequent emission standards gradually reduced the
    limits and extended the scope of air pollutants measured, real-life emissions were significantly above the
    type-approval limits until recently (i.e. when RDE limits were introduced)14
    . Recent remote sensing
    campaigns indicate that even some of the newest vehicles exceed legal emission limits15
    . According to the
    9
    In this document we use the term ‘road crash’ and not ‘road accident’. The word accident implies that a car crash
    happened through the fault of nobody. On the other hand, the word crash indicates that someone caused the car wreck to
    happen, or that someone is at fault. The reality is that it is very rare for a car crash to be just an accident, while many
    studies point out the fact that most causes of the accidents are attributable to human error.
    10
    COM(2020) 789 final, https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:52020SC0331. 1.87%
    based on CE Delft et al. (2020), Handbook on the external costs of transport – Version 2019 – 1.1, Publications Office,
    https://data.europa.eu/doi/10.2832/51388
    11
    https://transport.ec.europa.eu/news-events/news/road-safety-eu-fatalities-below-pre-pandemic-levels-progress-
    remains-too-slow-2023-02-21_en
    12
    See Section 2.1.1.
    13
    European Commission (2020), Directorate-General for Mobility and Transport, Next steps towards ‘Vision Zero’ –
    EU road safety policy framework 2021-2030, Publications Office, 2020, https://data.europa.eu/doi/10.2832/391271
    14
    Real-driving emission (RDE) limits were introduced following the “diesel-gate” scandal: https://single-market-
    economy.ec.europa.eu/sectors/automotive-industry/environmental-protection/emissions-automotive-sector_en
    15
    https://cares-project.eu/cares-open-letters/
    3
    European Environment Agency (EEA), despite some improvement, air pollution remains the largest
    environmental health risk in Europe. Exposure to fine particulate matter (PM) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2)
    levels causedjust under300,000prematuredeaths in 2020.Roadtransport is the principal sourceof nitrogen
    oxides, responsible for 35.5% of emissions in 2022, and accounts for a significant share of PM emissions
    (8.1% of the PM2.5 and 9.5% of the PM10 emissions)16
    . In 2022, the Commission proposed17
    to revise the
    Ambient Air Quality Directives18
    which aims to put the EU on a path to achieve zero pollution for air at the
    latest by 2050 and sets interim 2030 ambient air quality standards aligned more closely with the updated air
    quality guidelines issued by the World Health Organization (WHO)19
    for key air pollutants, requiring
    enhanced measures to reduce emissions at source.
    For noise emissions, EEA indicates that road transport plays the most significant role20
    , with 70% of the EU
    population living in urban areas and 25% of the population living outside urban areas being exposed to road
    traffic noise with an equivalent sound pressure level exceeding 55 dB(A) during daytime21,22
    . While a large
    part of this can be attributed to the volume of traffic and a few other factors, noise emission levels of
    individual vehicles play a key role, too. The permissible sound level of various road vehicles is regulated
    by UNECE and EU type-approval legislation23
    . However, here again, regulatory limits are not necessarily
    respected in real life24
    .
    Legal context
    To address the safety- and nuisance-related defects of vehicles, roadworthiness testing has been in place in
    Europe for decades and subject to gradual harmonisation in the Union, with the first set of common rules
    adopted in 197625
    and last revised in 2014 as part of the RWP. Consecutive revisions gradually extended
    the scope of vehicles to be tested, as well as the scope of harmonised rules, including requirements on
    roadside inspections and vehicle registration documents to improve enforcement. They further specified
    andupdatedtherequiredtestmethods,procedures and related documents to reflecttechnological progress26
    .
    Today, the PTI Directive requires that Member States carry out periodic technical inspections (PTI) on
    most of the vehicles registered in their territory. This covers cars (M1), vans (N1), lorries (N2-N3), buses
    (M2-M3), as well as heavy trailers (O3-O4) and high-speed tractors (T with design speed over 40 km/h). It
    also covers heavy motorcycles, including tricycles and quadricycles (L3e, L4e, L5e and L7e), equipped
    with a combustion engine above 125 cm3
    , with certain possibilities for exemptions. The Directive sets out
    the minimum content27
    and frequency of testing for each vehicle category, except for motorcycles, where
    16
    National air pollutant emissions data viewer 2005-2022 | European Environment Agency's home page, EEA (2024),
    Air Pollution in Europe; 2024 reporting status, https://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/national-emission-reduction-
    commitments-directive-2024
    17
    COM/2022/542 final
    18
    Directive 2004/107/EC relating to arsenic, cadmium, mercury, nickel and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in ambient
    air; Directive 2008/50/EC on ambient air quality and cleaner air for Europe.
    19
    WHO (2021) WHO Global Air Quality Guidelines.
    20
    https://www.eea.europa.eu/en/topics/in-depth/noise
    21
    During night-time, 49% of the EU population living in urban areas and 17% of the population living outside urban
    areas are exposed to road traffic noise with an equivalent sound pressure level exceeding 50 dB(A).
    22
    Noise — European Environment Agency (europa.eu)
    23
    https://environment.ec.europa.eu/topics/noise/noise-pollution-main-sources_en
    24
    The UK and France have experimented with roadside trials to monitor excessive vehicle noise: Décret n° 2022-1;
    https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/roadside-vehicle-noise-measurement-study-enforcement-and-technology
    25
    Council Directive 77/143/EEC of 29 December 1976 on the approximation of the laws of the Member States relating
    to roadworthiness tests for motor vehicles and their trailers, OJ L 47, 18.2.1977, p. 47–51
    26
    The evolution of the PTI legislation is illustrated in Annex 6.
    27
    (0) Identification of the vehicle; (1) Braking equipment; (2) Steering; (3) Visibility; (4) Lighting equipment and parts
    of the electrical system; (5) Axles, wheels, tyres, suspension; (6) Chassis and chassis attachments; (7) Other equipment;
    (8) Nuisance; (9) Supplementary tests for passenger-carrying vehicles of categories M2 and M3.
    4
    Member States have a larger room for manoeuvre. Any deficiency found on a vehicle must be categorised
    as minor, major or dangerous, with the latter two leading to the suspension of the vehicle’s authorisation to
    be used in road traffic. The Directive also sets out minimum requirements as regards the independence of
    testing centres and training of inspectors, testing equipment, and the content of the roadworthiness (PTI)
    certificate. The validity of that certificate, as well as any other proof of test, must be recognised by Member
    States for the purposes of free circulation and re-registration of a vehicle already registered in another
    Member State.
    The RSI Directive complements the PTI Directive by requiring Member States to carry out roadside
    inspections (RSI) on heavy commercial vehicles, i.e., buses, lorries, and their trailers (above 3.5t), with a
    target of 5% of the fleet each year. Those inspections must include an initial roadside inspection and, if
    deemed necessary by the inspector, a more detailed technical roadside inspection. The scope of those
    detailed inspections are the items tested at PTI and it may also include the inspection of cargo securing.
    When a major or dangerous deficiency is found during a RSI, the Member State where the inspection took
    place must notify the Member State of registration, in order to enforce the repair of the vehicle that has been
    suspended from traffic.
    Vehicle registration itself is a national competence. The VRD Directive specifies that Member States must
    issue registration certificates for vehicles that are subject to registration under their national legislation. It
    requires that those certificates be issued in either paper or smart card format. The certificates must contain
    a minimum set of mandatory data elements, may contain certain optional data elements, and must be
    recognised among Member States for the purpose of re-registration. The Directive requires certain vehicle
    data to be registered electronically, including the suspension from traffic following a failed PTI, and the
    cancellation of registration where a vehicle has been treated as an end-of-life vehicle in accordance with
    Directive 2000/53/EC28
    .
    The most recent act adopted by the Commission in the area of roadworthiness testing is a recommendation
    on particle number (PN) measurement at the periodic technical inspection of diesel vehicles29
    . Although
    non-binding, the recommendation aims at harmonising the methods of such measurements and the
    corresponding pass/fail limit instead of the introduction of various methods at national and regional level.
    Similar Commission recommendations on the assessment of defects during roadworthiness testing have
    served as basis for the minimum requirements concerning the contents and recommended methods of
    testing under the current PTI Directive30
    .
    Political context
    AlthoughthePTI andRSI Directives weremarginally amendedthrough delegated acts31
    ,to alignthem with
    updated vehicle categories intype-approval legislation32
    andintroducethetestingof eCall33
    at PTI,themain
    rules remained the same since 2014. Due to rapid technological progress, some of these rules are however
    already outdated. For this reason, the Sustainable and Smart Mobility Strategy34
    called for adjustments to
    the roadworthiness legislative framework to ensure lifetime compliance of vehicles with emission and
    28
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir/2000/53/oj
    29
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reco/2023/688/oj
    30
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reco/2010/378/oj
    31
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir_del/2021/1717/oj and https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir_del/2021/1716/oj
    32
    Regulation (EU) No 168/2013; Regulation (EU) No 167/2013; Regulation (EU) No 2018/858
    33
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2015/758/oj
    34
    COM(2020) 789 final
    5
    safety standards, thereby contributing to the EU Road Safety policy framework 2021 - 203035
    and
    supporting the European Green Deal’s objectives.
    Roadworthiness inspections of vehicles are fundamental to road safety and to ensure the environmental
    performance of vehicles during their lifetime. As a result of stricter safety and emission legislation, vehicles
    in the EU have become technically ever more complex. To keep pace with this trend, certain adaptations to
    how vehicles are inspected are necessary. In addition, enhanced and more effective EU-wide exchange of
    roadworthiness-relevant vehicle data would help better enforcement of the rules, improving the functioning
    of the internal market and protecting citizens from fraudulent malpractices, such as odometer tampering36
    .
    During the last five years, the European Parliament published a number of related reports and studies,
    including aresolution ontheimplementationoftheRoadworthiness packageingeneral37
    andonthespecific
    issue of odometer fraud38
    . In these documents, the Parliament pointed at the insufficient decrease in road
    fatalities and a massive divergence between Member States, highlighting the importance of independent
    inspections in the wake of emission scandal, the issue of odometer tampering, especially cross-border, as
    well as the need for further harmonisation of test methods and updates required by the introduction of
    advanced driver assistance systems and automated driving features. The Parliament called on the
    Commission to consider tightening the test regime by introducing the obligation of additional checks after
    reaching a specified mileage for cars used as a taxi or ambulance and for vans, ending the exemption of
    motorcycles from PTI and introducing mandatory testing of powered two- and three-wheelers with an
    engine below 125 cm3
    and light trailers. In the resolution on the specific issue of odometer fraud, the
    Parliament drew the attention to the economic and legal significance of odometer fraud in the EU and
    requested the Commission to submit a proposal for a legislative framework to prevent odometer fraud.
    Synergies with other EU policy instruments
    Roadworthiness testing relies on the technical specifications of the vehicles that are harmonised at EU level
    and beyond (UNECE39
    ). Vehicle registration remains a national competence, although it relies on the
    Certificate of Conformity also defined in type-approval legislation40
    . The most recent and relevant safety-
    and emissions-related type-approval regulations are the General Safety Regulation (GSR)41
    and the Euro
    7 Regulation (EU) 2024/125742
    . The GSR requires that, from July 2022, new types of motor vehicles are
    equipped with advanced driver assistant systems aimed at reducing the number of fatalities and serious
    injuries; these will also be used in automated vehicles. At the time of preparing this impact assessment, it
    was expected that the co-legislators would adopt the Euro 7 standards replacing existing emission rules
    35
    http://eur-lex.europa.eu/resource.html?uri=cellar%3A0e8b694e-59b5-11e8-ab41-
    01aa75ed71a1.0003.02/DOC_2&format=PDF
    36
    An odometer is an instrument measuring the distance travelled by a vehicle. Odometer fraud or tampering is the
    disconnection, resetting or alteration of a vehicle’s odometer with the intention to change the number of kilometres
    indicated. Both digital and analogue odometers can be tampered with and changed. Many newer vehicles have digital
    control units or computers that may allow for the odometer to be replaced or re-programmed using fraudulent software.
    37
    European Parliament resolution of 27 April 2021 on the implementation report on the road safety aspects of the
    Roadworthiness Package (2019/2205(INI)), https://www.europarl.europa.eu/doceo/document/TA-9-2021-0122_EN.pdf
    and https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/STUD/2020/654175/EPRS_STU(2020)654175_EN.pdf
    38
    European Parliament resolution of 31 May 2018 with recommendations to the Commission on odometer manipulation
    in motor vehicles: revision of the EU legal framework: https://www.europarl.europa.eu/doceo/document/TA-8-2018-
    0235_EN.html,
    https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/STUD/2018/615637/EPRS_STU%282018%29615637_EN.pdf and
    https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/STUD/2017/602012/IPOL_STU(2017)602012_EN.pdf
    39
    World Forum for Harmonization of Vehicle Regulations of the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe
    40
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2018/858/oj
    41
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2019/2144/oj
    42
    Regulation - 2024/1257 - EN - EUR-Lex
    6
    for cars and vans (Euro 6) and lorries and buses (Euro VI), thus ensuring that new vehicles are cleaner in
    real driving conditions and that they remain clean for longer than required by the existing (durability) rules.
    However, the actual gains in emissions reduction are likely to be significantly reduced due to the final text
    adopted by Council and by the European Parliament. In line with the Council position, the new rules keep
    the Euro 6 standard for cars and vans as regards exhaust emissions43,44
    . This means that the expected
    baseline emission reductions will not materialise, thus increasing the potential impact of roadworthiness
    testing in general, and this initiative in particular.
    The focus of the RWP is different from the market surveillance legislation mentioned above. Whereas
    marketsurveillanceprovisions aimtoensurethat vehiclescontinuetomeettheirtype-approval requirements
    when placed on the market and for a limited period thereafter, and so are effectively focusing on the
    responsibilities of the manufacturer, the RWP focuses on ensuring that minimum standards are maintained
    by owners throughout the lifetime of the vehicle. Also, while market surveillance requires testing a limited
    number of vehicles per model, PTI applies to almost all registered vehicles. Thus, the RWP complements
    the market surveillance legislation in ensuring road safety and the environmental performance of vehicles
    during their lifetime. Applying the best available test methods will also help Member States reach the
    stricter air quality standards (limit values for the protection of human health) set by the revised
    Ambient Air Quality Directive45
    , notably as regards fine particulate matter and nitrogen oxides.
    The Commission is also currently working on an initiative on fair and non-discriminatory access to in-
    vehicle data46
    , which is crucial for technical inspection centres to be able to carry out their daily tasks. That
    initiative will include provisions on access to functions and resources, essential for the provision of data-
    dependent services in the automotive sector. It will standardise the relevant datasets and ensure effective
    non-discriminatory and secure access for aftermarket and mobility services. A range of automotive service
    providers, including vehicle repair and inspection companies and authorities have called for an ambitious
    Commissionproposal,toensurealevel-playingfieldandunhindered accesstotherelevantin-vehicledata47
    .
    The revision of the PTI Directive could complement the access to in-vehicle data proposal, through specific
    provisions facilitating access to the data necessary for technical inspections. More details on synergies with
    other EU policy instruments are provided in Annex 16.
    Evaluation of the Roadworthiness Package
    The Commission conducted an evaluation of the RWP ‘back-to-back’ with this impact assessment. The
    evaluation concluded that the RWP was partially successful in achieving its objectives, contributing to
    increased road safety, and helping reducing air pollutant emissions from road transport. Defective vehicles
    may still not always be detected, as some categories of vehicles are not subject to PTI or RSI in some
    Member States, or the frequency or scope of the testing is not adapted to their higher safety and
    environmental risk. The identified weaknesses in the current RWP require the Directives to be adapted, to
    address not only current needs but also future challenges. The links between the main conclusions of the
    ex-post evaluation and the impact assessment are summarised in Annex 11. The evaluation of the RWP is
    annexed to this impact assessment report (Annex 17).
    43
    https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2023/09/25/euro-7-council-adopts-position-on-emissions-
    from-cars-vans-buses-and-trucks/
    44
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2024/1257/oj
    45
    Directive (EU) 2024/2881 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 23 October 2024 on ambient air quality
    and cleaner air for Europe (recast)
    46
    https://ec.europa.eu/info/law/better-regulation/have-your-say/initiatives/13180-Access-to-vehicle-data-functions-and-
    resources_en
    47
    See e.g. open letter from CITA: https://citainsp.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/L2023-006-Data-Act.pdf
    7
    Sustainable Development Goals
    The initiative contributes to Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 3 (Ensure healthy lives and promote
    well-being for all at all ages), including targets 3.6 (halving the number of deaths and injuries from road
    traffic accidents) and 3.9 (substantially reduce the number of deaths and illnesses from hazardous chemicals
    and air, water and soil pollution and contamination).
    2. PROBLEM DEFINITION
    The problems, underlying problem drivers and consequences that are relevant for the revision of the
    Roadworthiness Package are presented in Figure 2. The evidence underlying the problems and their drivers
    is based on the best available evidence, including multiple studies involving scientific research, as well as
    thorough consultation with experts.
    Figure 2: Problem tree
    2.1. What is/are the problems?
    2.1.1. Presence of unsafe vehicles on EU roads
    Although EU roads are the safest in the world and road safety has improved significantly over the last
    decades, casualties of road crashes continue to represent high costs to society. Despite the improvement in
    vehicle technology, including active safety and intelligent driver assistance systems in new vehicles, unsafe
    vehicles still contribute to crashes, either as the main cause or as a contributing factor. A part of unsafe
    vehicles is identified at PTI or RSI (i.e., vehicles with major or dangerous deficiencies). Others may not be
    detected either because PTI cannot detect them or because they are not subject to testing. These include
    vehicles with safety-related tampering and vehicles with incorrectly secured cargo.
    Comparable PTI data on vehicles with major and dangerous deficiencies are only available for ten Member
    States.
    8
    Table 1 shows the share of those vehicles by vehicle type and Member State, as well as the median by
    vehicle type. There is great variability between the PTI results of Member States for each vehicle type,
    which points to the need to interpret these data with care. A high share of vehicles with major and dangerous
    defects may also reflect variation in the stringency with which testing is applied in a particular country and
    not necessarily that vehicles are less roadworthy in that country. What is however clear is that the share of
    unsafe vehicles is significant in all Member States and for all vehicle types where such data is available.
    9
    Table 1: Share of vehicles with major and dangerous defects in the vehicle fleet, by vehicle type - averages over
    2018-2022
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2023), Impact assessment support study
    While not even a well-developed roadworthiness testing system can detect every defective vehicle through
    PTI or RSI, not all defective vehicles will cause a crash either. Various studies48
    indicate that their share as
    acontributingfactorofthecauseofcrashes is between 3and19%,dependingonthescopeandmethodology
    of the study; for motorcycles, it is 5% to 12% of crashes49
    . Since PTI has been in place in Europe for a long
    time, there are very few recent studies covering EU Member States50
    . There are similar studies from other
    parts of the world51
    , the most relevant of them being a recent US study52
    that looked at the difference in
    crash rates between states with and without PTI. It shows that states with a safety inspection, even if only a
    very simple one for light vehicles, have 5.5% fewer fatalities on average.
    Naturally, older vehicles are prone to more frequent breakdowns, and studies have shown that older
    vehicles with defects contribute more to the causes of crashes53
    . The situation is not expected to improve
    by itself as the contribution of older vehicles is becoming an increasing concern with the gradual ageing of
    the vehicle fleet54
    . Since cars are responsible for by far the largest share of fatalities (see collision
    matrix55
    in Figure 3 below), and even if technical defects only represent a relatively small share among
    the causes of accidents, early detection of those defects can make a significant difference, especially
    in terms of road safety.
    48
    Martín-delosReyes L.M. et al. (2021), Effect of Periodic Vehicle Inspection on Road Crashes and Injuries: A
    Systematic Review, https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18126476
    49
    Ricardo et al. (2023), Impact assessment support study on the directives of the roadworthiness package, Contract no.
    MOVE/C2/SER/2022-583/SI2.895928, under FWC no. MOVE/2022/OP/0001
    50
    Hudec J. and Šarkan B. (2022), Effect of periodic technical inspections of vehicles on traffic accidents in the Slovak
    Republic.
    51
    Schulz W.H. and Scheler S. (2019), Reducing the Death Toll of Road Accidents in Costa Rica through the Introduction
    of Roadworthiness Inspections by the Government, available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3420341; Schulz W.H.
    and Scheler S. (2020), Getting Ready for Europe: An Empirical Assessment for the Introduction of Periodical Technical
    Inspections of Road Vehicles in Turkey, available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3523602
    52
    https://ascelibrary.org/doi/10.1061/JTEPBS.TEENG-7320
    53
    https://komunikacie.uniza.sk/artkey/csl-202203-0017_effect-of-periodic-technical-inspections-of-vehicles-on-traffic-
    accidents-in-the-slovak-republic.php
    54
    For the most recent report on the vehicle fleet, see e.g.: https://www.acea.auto/publication/report-vehicles-in-use-
    europe-2023/
    55
    https://transport.ec.europa.eu/background/road-safety-statistics-2022-more-detail_en
    Total
    M1 (passenger
    cars)
    N1 (vans; <3.5
    tonnes)
    N2 (small
    lorries;3.5-12
    tonnes)
    N3 (large
    lorries ;>12
    tonnes)
    M2
    (buses/coaches
    <5 tonnes)
    M3
    (buses/coaches
    >5 tonnes)
    O1 (trailers
    <0.75 tonnes)
    O2(trailers
    0.75-3.5
    tonnes)
    O3 (trailers
    3.5-12 tonnes)
    O4 (trailers
    >12 tonnes)
    L3-L7
    (motorcycles)
    AT 11% 8% 11% 11% 10% 3% 4% 8% 10% 5%
    DE 21% 25% 26% 26% 16% 16% 14% 14% 14% 14% 8%
    DK 19% 15% 15% 16% 16% 8% 8% 20% 20%
    ES 18% 24% 30% 30% 26% 26% 26% 26% 26% 26% 18%
    FR 20% 24% 15% 15% 14% 15% 16% 13%
    HR 22% 28% 33% 22% 35% 25% 14% 11% 13% 16% 10%
    LT 48% 50% 52% 43% 55% 48% 24% 24% 34% 34% 35%
    LV 38% 44% 55% 44% 29% 22% 12% 22% 44% 42% 17%
    SE 25%
    SK 12% 17% 23% 18% 22% 23% 4.70% 31% 21% 8%
    Median 20.7% 24.3% 25.5% 23.6% 22.0% 22.0% 12.9% 13.7% 20.0% 20.0% 10.0%
    10
    Figure 3: Road traffic fatalities in the EU by road user and (other) ‘main vehicle’ involved in the crash
    Source: CARE database
    Since there is an element of uncertainty in the actual contribution of vehicle defects to road crashes,
    a sensitivity analysis was justified.56
    The shares used in this impact assessment (4% for cars, vans,
    HDVs and 6% for motorcycles) are relatively conservative, e.g., compared to the range based on the
    literature review presented above. This approach was used to avoid overestimating the benefits.
    Secondly, there is an issue related to safety-related tampering, which includes the manipulation of engine
    performance, torque, maximum speed and improved acceleration, representing an obvious safety risk.
    According to experts, the chip-tuning of electric vehicles is as easy as in the case of those equipped with
    internal combustion engines, with the added risk of an overheated battery, which can cause fire e.g., in the
    case of faster charging or faster discharging (higher performance). According to others, while the share of
    tampered carsintheentirefleet remains relativelylow,theirshareishigheramongthoseinvolvedincrashes.
    Due to the nature of the problem, available data on it is rather limited. The European Transport Safety
    Council, amongother stakeholders, has highlightedthe issue of safety-relatedtampering, notablyinthe case
    of powered two- and three-wheelers57
    . A survey carried out for the Austrian Ministry of Climate Protection,
    based on police inspections, found that roughly every second moped was manipulated (tuned) in Austria58
    .
    In addition, incorrectly stowed or secured cargo can slide, roll, tip over and fall off a vehicle, potentially
    causing it to overturn and lead to crashes with other vehicles59
    . To address this problem, the 2014 revision
    of the RSI Directive introduced detailed provisions on the inspection of cargo securing, including its
    principles, applicable standards, and the assessment of specific deficiencies (as an optional measure). This
    was complemented by best practice guidelines60
    prepared by a Commission expert group to provide
    practical advice to anyone involved in loading/unloading and securing cargo, as well as to enforcers. The
    guidelines and the corresponding provision of the Directive are non-binding, however. In spite of existing
    rules, according to a major operation of Roadpol in Italy in 2019, 22% of the 40,500 inspected heavy goods
    56
    Cf. section 6.2.1 and further details in section 6 of Annex 4.
    57
    https://etsc.eu/wp-content/uploads/2020-09-ETSC-Briefing-on-Roadworthiness-Package-Implementation-
    Reports_update16Oct.pdf
    58
    https://www.bmk.gv.at/themen/verkehr/strasse/verkehrssicherheit/vsf/forschungsarbeiten/82_tune-it.html
    59
    See e.g., Königsberger Ladungssicherungskreis: https://www.klsk.de/en/
    60
    https://road-safety.transport.ec.europa.eu/eu-road-safety-policy/priorities/safe-vehicles/cargo-securing-and-abnormal-
    loads_en
    11
    vehicles (HGVs) did not comply with cargo securing requirements61
    .
    The problem of unsafe vehicles affects not only the owners/users of the defective or tampered vehicles, but
    also other road users, especially vulnerable ones. Such example of vulnerable road users are
    motorcyclists and while several factors play a role in motorcycle crashes, such as motorcycles’ and
    other vehicles’ design (motorcyclists are often overlooked in traffic) and road environment
    shortcomings (poor road surfaces, poor road alignment, obstacles, limited line of sight), motorcycle
    design elements such as tyres, brakes, frame, suspensions are nonetheless very relevant for the safety
    of motorcyclists, and regular control of their technical condition is considered important for their
    road safety62
    .
    Society as a whole is affected by the external cost of crashes through human and medical costs, production
    losses, the cost of police, emergency services, congestion, etc.63
    More systematic and targeted testing of vehicles, using improved and updated test methods, could reduce
    the number of such avoidable crashes. 54 out of the 65 stakeholders who replied to the targeted survey
    agreed with the problem identified, while only 6 disagreed and 5 were neutral. In the OPC, 78% of
    respondents (123 out of 158) agreed that the issue of vehicles circulating on the roads with defects or
    tampered components needs to be addressed.
    2.1.2. Insufficient control of vehicle air pollutant and noise emissions64
    Air pollution remains an important cause of poor health in Europe and contributes in particular to
    respiratory and cardiovascular diseases.65
    Road transport has significantly reduced its pollutant emissions since 1990, with the exception of
    compounds NH3 and N2O. Their recent increase is mainly due to new catalytic systems for the
    reduction of NOx in diesel engines and the use of enriched fuel mixtures to control NOx at high load
    in petrol engines. While a significant reduction can be seen for both PM10 and PM2.5, the non-exhaust
    fraction of these emissions (i.e. from brake and tyre wear or road abrasion) is increasing66
    .
    The development of sophisticated emission control technologies has allowed to gradually reduce air
    pollutant emissions from road vehicles well (orders of magnitude) below pre-Euro standard levels.
    However, overall emissions from road transport are still too high – they alone are responsible for
    approximately 40.6% of the total NOx and 10.5% of PM2.5 emitted in Europe67
    , and this has serious
    implications on human health, the natural environment, and affects the lives of millions, especially in urban
    61
    https://etsc.eu/wp-content/uploads/PIN-FLASH39_FINAL.pdf
    62
    ERSO Road Safety Thematic Report – Motorcycles, 2023, https://road-safety.transport.ec.europa.eu/european-road-
    safety-observatory
    63
    CE Delft et al. (2020), Handbook on the external costs of transport – Version 2019 – 1.1, Publications Office,
    https://data.europa.eu/doi/10.2832/51388
    64
    The problem analysis focuses on NOx and PM as the main air pollutants from road transport with the highest impact
    on environment and health. Other pollutants have not been considered although it is plausible that targeting these two
    pollutants will also affect other air pollutants (e.g. CO, HC, SO2).
    65
    In 2021 in the EU-27, 253,000 deaths were attributable to exposure to PM2.5 concentrations above WHO’s guideline level of 5
    µg/m3
    (micrograms per cubic metre of air), 52,000 deaths were attributable to exposure to NO2 concentrations above WHO’s guideline
    level of 10 µg/m3
    and 22,000 deaths were attributable to short-term exposure to O3 concentrations above 70 µg/m3,
    EEA, Europe's Air
    Quality Status, 2023, Europe’s air quality status 2023 — European Environment Agency.
    66
    EEA, Emissions of air pollutants from transport, October 2024 Emissions of air pollutants from transport in Europe | European
    Environment Agency's home page
    67
    EEA (2023), Air Pollution in Europe; 2023 reporting status, https://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/national-
    emission-reduction-commitments-directive-2023
    12
    areas. Various studies have shown that real-world NOx emissions of modern vehicles were above type-
    approval limits68
    . Such exceedances can in some instances (due to tampering, for example) be as high as
    older Euro Standards or even pre-Euro NOx emission levels69
    . Other studies have shown that in the absence
    of the appropriate emission reducing technology (selective catalytic reduction (SCR) and diesel particulate
    filter (DPF)) on Euro VI HDVs, vehicles can emit up to a factor of 100 more NOx, CO, and PM than the
    legal requirements70
    .
    The findings of the RWP evaluation show that some of the tests used in PTI are no longer sufficiently
    sensitive to detect emission failures and the current testing procedures are not fit to meet the EU policy goals
    as regards air pollution. Modern vehicle engines and exhaust gas systems have critical detection criteria that
    are not covered by the currently prescribed test methods, and current PTI tools are not able to measure PN
    and NOx. Considering these shortcomings, the current RWP’s contribution to reducing the number of
    vehicles in circulation with high emissions has become less relevant. The measurement of nitrogen oxide
    emissions or PM/PN values for new cars are still not covered by the current RWP and there are currently
    no EU provisions for testing vehicles for NOx manipulation/defect or manipulation/defect of diesel
    particulate filters. The share of vehicles found with defective emission control equipment or exhaust
    emissions above the limits specified in the PTI and RSI Directives ranges from around 1-3% to up to 45%
    depending on the Member State and the way checks are conducted. Targeted inspections identify higher
    shares of over-emitting vehicles. Periodic testing has demonstrated that older vehicles can be much more
    polluting than newer ones, as the effectiveness of emissions reduction systems declines with age. Since
    some of the defective vehicles emit multiple times over the regulatory limit, even a relatively limited share
    of such vehicles can be responsible for a large part of overall road transport emissions. This has been
    demonstrated by various studies71
    .
    In addition, there is evidence72
    that the emission control equipment of a non-negligible number of modern
    vehicles are tampered with, either to avoid immediate replacement of filters or the cost of consumables,
    such as diesel exhaust fluid (DEF)73
    required for the proper functioning of SCR74
    . Various tampering
    techniques have been developed to alter on-board diagnostic information and to avoid that the vehicle
    automatically switches to low-power (or limp) mode, e.g., after it has run out of DEF for a long time. This
    is consistent with the observation that a small number of “high emitters” are generally responsible for a
    disproportionate fraction of the overall emissions (e.g., a TNO study75
    indicates that 6% of vehicles
    defective emission control systems caused 36% of road transport NOx emissions). A recent study involving
    remote sensing technology screening a large number of vehicles in Flanders, Belgium showed similar
    results for particle emissions due to DPF failures76
    .
    68
    see e.g., TNO report on NOx emissions of eighteen diesel light commercial vehicles:
    http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:21191e19-2dc7-4468-8559-1075ed6279f7
    69
    Giechaskiel, F. et al. (2022), Effect of tampering on on-road and off-road diesel vehicle emissions.
    70
    Ricardo et al. (2023), Impact assessment support study on the directives of the roadworthiness package, Contract no.
    MOVE/C2/SER/2022-583/SI2.895928, under FWC no. MOVE/2022/OP/0001Ricardo et al. (2023), Impact assessment
    support study
    71
    Such as TNO (2022), http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:b5d127c3-303c-4013-b1ac-c9ac01f66e2d and CARES (2023),
    https://cares-project.eu/emission-factors-lez-impact/
    72
    Notably from roadside checks reported by inspectors of national authorities, including with the use of plume chasing
    technology: https://citainsp.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/5-CITA-17-11-2021-for-upload.pdf
    73
    Diesel exhaust fluid (DEF), also known as AUS 32 (aqueous urea solution 32%) and marketed as AdBlue.
    74
    A basic illustration of the main components of an exhaust aftertreatment system is available at:
    https://www.autoserviceworld.com/understanding-diesel-exhaust-aftertreatment-systems/
    75
    TNO report on NOx emissions of eighteen diesel light commercial vehicles: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:21191e19-
    2dc7-4468-8559-1075ed6279f7
    76
    Hooftman N., Ligterink N., Bhoraskar A., (2020), Analysis of the 2019 Flemish remote sensing campaign.
    Commissioned by the Flemish Government - Flanders Environment Agency - Team Air quality policy.
    13
    As regards the impacts of the problems on pollutant emissions, the links between cause and effect
    are more straightforward than in the case of road safety. Even though in the absence of accurate
    emission testing available on a wide scale, the share of high-emitting vehicles and their contribution
    to total emissions can only be estimated, the available studies applying portable emission
    measurement systems (PEMS), recent remote sensing campaigns and the first results of newly
    introduced particle number (PN) testing in three Member States provide a high level of confidence
    as regards the scale of the problem, and the calculations of the impacts.77
    As outlined in section 1, road transport is by far the largest source of noise pollution in Europe and is the
    second most harmful environmental stressor after air pollution78
    . Modified or defective exhaust systems
    can also contribute to noise pollution. The threshold of noise above which it is considered a nuisance can
    vary. In the OPC, 91 out of 149 respondents expressed the view that it is very important to address the
    problem of noise-related tampering/non-compliance in vehicles and 13 had no opinion. Most respondents
    to the survey and interviews conducted as part of the evaluation believed that technological and market
    developments had had a low impact on reducing the number of vehicles with tampered or defective noise
    control systems (46 of 75 respondents; 15 did not know or did not respond). Representatives of the
    automobile as well as motorcycle manufacturers (ACEA and ACEM) agree that illegal modifications
    leading to single-event noise peaks need to be addressed through consistent control79
    .
    While these vehicles are supposed to be repaired or taken out of circulation, there are still many vehicles
    with defective or tampered emission control systems that go undetected and continue to cause avoidable
    damage. Noise tampering mainly affects powered two-wheelers, which are not subject to roadworthiness
    testing in every Member State. The problem of air pollution and noise generated by vehicles mainly affects
    people living in the vicinity of major roads, in particular in urban areas, and especially the most vulnerable.
    Lower income groups tend to be exposed to higher levels of air pollution, while older people, children,
    adolescents, and those with pre-existing health conditions are more susceptible to negative effects of air
    pollution80
    . 56 out of the 67 stakeholders who replied to the targeted survey agreed with the problem
    identified, while only 4 disagreed and 7 were neutral.
    2.1.3. Roadworthiness Directives are not effective in enforcing rules in EU cross-border
    traffic and trade of vehicles
    One of the objectives of the RWP was to facilitate free movement for EU citizens and ensure the smooth
    functioning of theinternal market81
    .This is reflected in different elements oftheRWP,including the mutual
    recognition of roadworthiness certificates among EU Member States (as part of the PTI Directive), in
    combination with the provisions of the VRD Directive aiming to ensure the authenticity, accuracy, and
    mutual recognition of vehicle registration documents across EU Member States. Brought together, these
    should facilitate the enforcement of the rules, efficient cross-border transport, and prevention of fraudulent
    practices, eventually contributing to better road safety and less polluting vehicles on the roads.
    According to the findings of the evaluation, communication between authorities across national borders
    improved following the adoption of the RWP. The PTI and RSI Directives established contact points
    through which information can be more swiftly exchanged between Member States. However, the
    77
    see e.g. DIAS (2022), D6.5 Impact assessment and guidelines for future anti-tampering regulations, or TNO (2022),
    Approaches for detecting high NOx emissions of aged petrol cars during the periodic technical inspection. R10659v2
    78
    https://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/managing-exposure-to-noise-in-europe/noise-in-europe-updated-population-
    exposure
    79
    https://www.acea.auto/files/ACEA-position-paper-Vehicle-noise-setting-appropriate-limits.pdf and
    https://acem.eu/images/publiq/2021/ACEM_Position_Paper_Sound_Emissions_2021.pdf
    80
    https://www.eea.europa.eu/en/topics/in-depth/air-pollution
    81
    Cf. recitals 1 and 3 of the Directive 1999/37/EC (VRD) and recital 24 of Directive 2014/45/EU (PTI)
    14
    evaluation also highlighted that Member States still report difficulties in effectively enforcing road safety
    measures in EU cross-border traffic and vehicle trade. These have their origin in: (a) Member States
    registering different sets of vehicle data, and (b) difficulties for competent authorities in accessing vehicle
    register data and other safety-relevant information of vehicles, notably when these are registered in another
    Member State. These difficulties make the re-registration of vehicles less efficient and more cumbersome
    for citizens82
    . Related to cross-border trade of vehicles, the evaluation of the RWP found some
    incoherencies between the VRD Directive and Regulation (EU) 2018/858 ontype-approval requirements83
    :
    in some cases, in the VRD Directive, definitions of the vehicle registration data and terminology do not
    correspond tothosein thetype-approval legislation. This leads to confusion andpotential errors in recording
    vehicle information at the time of re-registration. Furthermore, difficulties in the cross-border exchange of
    informationbetweenMember States’ authorities can also negatively impact the fight against the widespread
    malpractice of odometer tampering which, by itself, can negatively affect road safety and the environment
    (due to poorer maintenance). It is also directly affecting consumers given that mileage is an important
    determinant of used vehicles’ market value.
    Odometer tampering rates were estimated at 20 to 40% for cars imported in EU15 countries and 30 to 80%
    in EU12, according to a study commissioned by the European Parliament84
    , while other studies indicate the
    share of tampered vehicles to be between 5 and 12% of used cars in national sales and much more, between
    30 and 50%, of cross-border sales85
    . According to the support study of the European Parliament’s 2018
    resolution on odometer manipulation in motor vehicles in the EU, the total economic costs of odometer
    fraud in second-hand cars traded cross-border in the EU could be estimated at around EUR 8.77 billion per
    year86
    . This was found mainly due to the lack of effective cooperation between Member States' authorities
    and an insufficient exchange of information on mileage readings of odometers in vehicles traded across the
    Member States' borders. More recent estimates provided by CarVertical87
    , based on analysis of vehicle
    history reports, suggest overall lower odometer fraud rates for most of the countries reported that those in
    the European Parliament study. Drawing on CarVertical and other assumptions, the impact assessment
    support study88
    shows however that fraud rates are still estimated to be significant (i.e., 2.2 to 10% of used
    cars in national sales and 4.4 to 25.7% of cross-border sales)89
    .
    Even though odometer manipulation is a punishable offence under the PTI Directive, the fact that odometer
    readings are recorded only at PTI does not prevent fraud since most cars and vans are not tested before they
    are four years old and, in most Member States, only every two years thereafter. Furthermore, the evaluation
    of the RWP also reported that regarding the obligation to introduce effective and dissuasive penalties when
    an odometer is found to have been manipulated, the national measures appear in many cases rather generic,
    not specifically aimed at odometer fraud. 39 out of the 60 stakeholders who replied to the targeted survey
    agreed with the problem identified, while only 5 disagreed and 16 were neutral.
    82
    As illustrated by various complaints and SOLVIT requests received by the Commission.
    83
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:32018R0858
    84
    TRT (2017), Research for TRAN Committee (European Parliament) - Odometer tampering: measures to prevent it.
    85
    https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/STUD/2018/615637/EPRS_STU%282018%29615637_EN.pdf
    86
    https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/STUD/2018/615637/EPRS_STU%282018%29615637_EN.pdf
    87
    Overall mileage fraud analysis is available at: https://www.carvertical.com/blog/research-what-countries-have-the-
    highest-percentage-of-cars-with-a-fake-mileage, and in the CarVertical Market transparency index:
    https://www.carvertical.com/transparency-index. Specific analysis of the share of odometer tampering for national and
    imported second hand vehicles is available at: https://www.carvertical.com/blog/research-local-or-imported-cars-have-
    more-mileage-rollbacks.
    88
    Ricardo et al. (2023), Impact assessment support study on the directives of the roadworthiness package, Contract no.
    MOVE/C2/SER/2022-583/SI2.895928, under FWC no. MOVE/2022/OP/0001
    89
    See Annex 4 (section 2) for more detailed explanations on the estimations, and an overview by Member State.
    15
    2.2. What are the problem drivers?
    2.2.1. PTI-methods not available to test electric vehicles, electronic safety & driver
    assistance systems (PD1)
    This problem driver links to problem 1 (Presence of unsafe vehicles on EU roads). The existing rules on
    roadworthiness testing were designed more than 10 years ago, with the Commission’s proposal made in
    2012. At the time, the share and expected development of the electric vehicle (EV) market was significantly
    lower than today90
    , which explains why there are no EV-specific requirements in the PTI Directive. The
    same applies to electronic safety and driver assistance systems.
    The General Safety Regulation91
    requires that, from 6 July 2022, new vehicle types are equipped with
    certain advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS), including intelligent speed assistance, reversing
    detection with camera or sensors, attention warning in case of driver drowsiness or distraction, event data
    recorders, an emergency stop signal (in all road vehicles), as well as lane keeping systems and automated
    braking in cars and vans. These features will be mandatory on all vehicles registered from 7 July 2024
    onwards. Thanks to the requirements of the GSR, new car and van models sold since July 2022 and every
    new vehicle sold from July 2024 will be due for PTI between 2026 and 2028. Trucks and buses featuring
    technologies helping to recognise blind spots, warnings to prevent collisions with pedestrians or cyclists
    and tyre pressure monitoring systems will have to undergo their first roadworthiness tests even earlier
    (usually one year after the first registration).
    The RWP evaluation found that systems introduced by the revision of the GSR increases the relevance of
    vehicle roadworthiness testing to verifying the operation of these mandated electronic systems. These
    systems may malfunction, require software updates to ensure intended performance, and they could be the
    target of tampering. In terms of keeping up of the RWP with the technological and scientific progress, most
    of the stakeholders interviewed in the context of the evaluation considered that it is essential to update the
    directives to include the functioning of ADAS and advanced lighting, which have been fitted in cars for
    around adecade but are not tested by standardPTIs.Similarly,thesurvey respondents,especially ministries,
    road safety authorities and PTI bodies, considered that the current RWP directives and their objectives
    follow technological advancement only to a limited extent. The technology used in vehicles has surpassed
    what the current directives cover and new rules for inspection of new safety systems, such as ADAS, are
    needed. Although both EVs and ADAS bring about significant benefits by reducing emissions and
    improving road safety, they also come with new risks to be mitigated. In the case of EVs, including plug-in
    hybrids, the high voltage systems can be a source of such risks, which, if damaged, can overheat and cause
    fire. While a few Member States have introduced national requirements (e.g., FR, NL) in relation to the
    inspection of EVs, these are not generally applied in the EU. For ADAS, it is the possible malfunctioning
    ofthesystems themselves that may createsafety hazards. However,noneofthese arecurrentlytested during
    periodic technical inspections.
    Next to the research and development efforts needed to define the appropriate test methods, an important
    barrier to their application is the difficulty for inspection centres to access the necessary in-vehicle data.
    Although the Commission Implementing Regulation (EU) 2019/621 requires that manufacturers make
    certain vehicle data available to facilitate PTI tests, it does not apply to the data related to items/components
    that are not part of the current minimum requirements on items to be tested. According to the findings of
    the evaluation, there is data incoherence between the RWP and relevant type-approval legislation due to
    90
    While there were only about 200,000 EVs, including PHEVs, in Europe in 2014 (and much fewer in 2012 when the
    proposal was made), in 2022, there were 7.8 million EVs on European roads, https://www.iea.org/reports/global-ev-
    outlook-2023/trends-in-electric-light-duty-vehicles
    91
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2019/2144/oj
    16
    divergence of safety-relevant vehicle data. The interview respondents considered there was a common
    problem with the RWP regarding the limited direct access to in-vehicle data and functions for authorised
    inspection service providers. For example, even two models of the same manufacturer can require different
    file formats, which makes the use of reference data very difficult and time-consuming. 74% of the OPC
    responses (116 out of 156) were in favour of the need to address this problem driver; a similar percentage
    of support was expressed by industry representatives during the targeted survey (58 out of 76 responses).
    2.2.2. Current PTI & RSI-methods not suited to measuring the emission performance of
    modern vehicles (PD2)
    This problem driver affects problem 2 (Insufficient control of vehicle air pollutant and noise emissions).
    The existing Directives require exhaust gas emission testing of diesel vehicles using opacity measurement,
    or, in the case of Euro 5/V and Euro 6/VI vehicles, by reading the vehicle’s on-board diagnostic (OBD)
    system. While exhaust gas opacity testing may detect a defective emission control system without a particle
    filter in an older vehicle (pre-Euro 5/V) and has thus been considered sufficient to test the compliance of
    those vehicles, multiple laboratory tests92
    have proved that it cannot detect a malfunctioning or even
    tampered diesel particle filter (DPF). DPFs were introduced to comply with significantly stricter limits than
    before Euro 5/V and the emissions without a DPF could be about an order of magnitude (or two) higher93
    .
    Even in a Euro 4 vehicle equipped with a defective DPF, the exhaust’s opacity may be lower than the
    instruments’ resolution. Studies have also shown that even when high smoke emissions are measured, in
    most cases the OBD does not indicate any failure.
    Furthermore, while the newly developed method of particle number (PN) counting94
    has demonstrated high
    levels of particle emissions in vehicles with defective DPFs, e.g., close to 10% of Euro 5 and 6 vehicles
    tested in Belgium in 2022, the OBD showed malfunctioning in only 0.72% of the cases95
    . This illustrates
    the extent to which the current emission test requirements of the PTI and RSI Directives are obsolete and
    inadequate concerning modern diesel vehicles. Concerns about the ineffectiveness of smoke opacity tests
    were also expressed by stakeholders surveyed during the evaluation. The applicability of PN measurement
    hasnot yetbeensufficientlytestedforvehicles equippedwithpositiveignitionengines,but relevantresearch
    is ongoing. To address the issue of high NOx emissions, various methods have been studied to measure
    them96
    . However, while NOx emission limits are set by type-approval, and RDE (Real Driving Emissions)
    tests have significantly tightened the requirements on new vehicles, the monitoring of NOx emissions from
    road vehicles is currently not part of PTI.
    92
    Such as those carried out by the Commission’s Joint Research Centre: Comparisons of Laboratory and On-Road Type-
    Approval Cycles with Idling Emissions. Implications for Periodical Technical Inspection (PTI) Sensors,
    https://doi.org/10.3390/s20205790 and Evaluation of Measurement Procedures for Solid Particle Number (SPN)
    Measurements during the Periodic Technical Inspection (PTI) of Vehicles, https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19137602.
    93
    See e.g., https://environnement.brussels/media/1883/download?inline
    94
    Already applied by Belgium, the Netherlands, Germany as well as Switzerland, and referred to in the Commission’s
    recommendation on particle number measurement, https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reco/2023/688/oj.
    95
    Figures reported by GOCA Vlaanderen for July 2022-April 2023: 12.4% of Euro 5 and 2.8% of Euro 6 vehicles failed
    with the current 1.000.000 1/cm3
    limit; 16.8% and 4.8%, respectively, would have failed the recommended limit of
    250.000 1/cm3
    .
    96
    E.g., Fernández (2022), Suitability Assessment of NOx Emissions Measurements with PTI Equipment,
    https://doi.org/10.3390/vehicles4040050; CITA (2022), Monitoring of NOx emissions as part of the PTI – CITA
    International Motor Vehicle Inspection Committee (citainsp.org); Franzetti et al. (2023), Assessment of a NOx
    Measurement Procedure for Periodic Technical Inspection (PTI) of Light-Duty Diesel Vehicles,
    https://doi.org/10.3390/en16145520.
    17
    2.2.3. Limited technical possibilities to detect vehicles with defective or tampered
    components (PD3)
    This problem driver is linked to all three problems. Firstly, together with PD1 (PTI-methods not available
    to test electric vehicles, electronic safety & driver assistance systems), it is one of the reasons why there are
    still, and will continue to be, unsafe vehicles on the roads. While new vehicle technology may require new
    ways of testing (PD1), there are vehicles on the roads today with defects that carry a potential safety risk
    and that PTI cannot detect, notably due to the limited vehicle data available to testing centres (or repair
    shops). For example, where a windscreen of avehicle equippedwith cameras is replaced, precise calibration
    requires not only the manufacturer’s specifications, but also the vehicle’s relevant data history (which for
    some vehicles can provide details of the last time the vehicle underwent a recalibration). Such information
    is currently not available to PTI.
    Similarly, unauthorised modifications tothevehicle’s enginemanagement systemtoincreaseits power may
    not be detected without access to the relevant in-vehicle data97
    . Such tampering is relatively easy, and
    devices are widely available, for internal combustion engines as well as for electric vehicles (a simple web
    search would deliver multiple results). The situation is similar in the case of motorcycles98
    . The ongoing
    electrification of powered two-wheelers, especially mopeds, has apparently led to an increase in the same
    kind of tampering of those vehicles, with multiple tutorials available online. Since manipulation is so easy
    in the case of these vehicles, it is difficult to detect it even where such vehicles are subject to periodic testing
    as the modifications can also be easily reversed. These vehicles represent an increased safety risk, in
    particular in urban areas.
    Secondly, tampering with emission control systems is equally easy with various solutions offered online99
    ,
    even explaining why it is “good” for the user to disable the selective catalytic reduction (SCR) system,
    which requires diesel exhaust fluid (DEF, or AdBlue). While DEF is a necessary consumable for the SCR
    to significantly reduce the amount of NOx emissions, since running out of DEF may cause the vehicle not
    to start, it is a convenient (and often significantly cheaper) solution to deactivate the entire system. It can be
    especially viable in the case of commercial vehicles, where entire fleets may be tampered to decrease repair
    and maintenance costs100
    . Together with PD2 (Current PTI & RSI-methods not suited to measuring the
    emission performance of modern vehicles), this contributes to the insufficient control of vehicle air
    pollutant and noise emissions. Noise-related tampering, i.e., removing the exhaust silencer (or dB killer)
    of amotorcycleis similarlyeasy withabundant instructions availableonline.AccordingtoACEM and some
    experts in vehicle testing, PTI is not sufficiently effective when it comes to such tampering.
    Thirdly, tampering with odometers is also a lucrative business and detecting it has been a challenge across
    the EU, which negatively affects the effectiveness of the RWP in enforcing rules in EU cross-border
    traffic and trade of vehicles. Recording odometer readings at PTI may have somewhat improved the
    traceability of odometer history, or helped detect fraud (likely too late, when the vehicle is due for PTI with
    its new owner). However, with PTI being a pre-announced inspection, it is not difficult to readjust the
    mileage of the vehicle just before or after. Thus, in the absence of a better way to trace odometer history,
    97
    Before a recent fatal crash in Budapest, the maximum power of the vehicle causing the crash was increased from 612
    to 690hp without it being noticed at PTI.
    98
    See e.g. https://buy-tuning-files.com/chiptuning/why-modify-your-motorcyles-rev-limiter-and-how-to-do-it/
    99
    See e.g., https://117speed.co.uk/adblue-removal-everything-you-need-to-know/;
    https://www.canbusemulator.com/en/
    100
    See e.g., a case uncovered in Spain: https://www.guardiacivil.es/es/prensa/noticias/6944.html and
    https://www.europol.europa.eu/media-press/newsroom/news/haulier-in-spain-caught-cheating-emission-regulations-
    designed-to-prevent-air-pollution
    18
    mileage tampering remains largely possible in most Member States, and especially across borders101
    .
    2.2.4. Vehicle identification & status data not sufficiently available to, and recognised
    among, enforcing authorities (PD4)
    This problem driver links to problem 3 (Roadworthiness Directives are not effective in enforcing rules in
    EU cross-border traffic andtrade of vehicles). In addition to the issues mentionedunderPD3,theinefficient
    exchange of information among Member States further contributes to limiting the effectiveness of the
    Directives. While most stakeholders consider that the RWP has contributed to facilitating communication
    amongMemberStates,theyagreethatvehicleidentificationandstatus dataarestillnotsufficientlyavailable
    to enforcing authorities. As mentioned in Section 2.1.3, there are sometimes significant differences in the
    data elements recorded in national vehicle registers, largely due to the high number of optional data
    elements, includingthose that arenot evenspecifiedinthe VRD Directive. Table2 summarises thediversity
    in the registration of various data elements. 224 data elements are stored by only some of the Member States
    (i.e., not by all, and not by any of them).
    Table 2: Summary of the registration of various data elements
    Number of data elements M1 Percentage of the MS that stores the item
    11 11 data elements were stored by all of the MS (100%)
    23 23 data elements were stored by a clear majority of the MS (80% – 99 %)
    135 135 data items were stored by a substantial number of MS (30% – 79 %)
    66 66 data elements were stored by a minority of the MS (1% – 29 %)
    38 38 data elements were stored by none of the MS (0%)
    Source: EReg/EUCARIS102
    In addition to the regulatoryframeworkprovided bythe VRD Directive, EReg, the Association ofEuropean
    Vehicle and Driver Registration Authorities, has worked on the voluntary harmonisation of registration
    procedures and data quality, including on the scope of data that should be stored in vehicle registers to
    facilitate cross-border trade (re-registrations) and issued various reports on the topic103
    .
    Although the VRD Directive requires Member States to assist one another in the implementation of the
    Directive, it merely allows exchange of information and only hints at the possibility that this could be done
    electronically. This has led to a situation where several Member States use EUCARIS104
    for the exchange
    of vehicle registration data, mileage data, PTI data or roadside inspection (RSI) reports. However, while
    many Member States use EUCARIS for various services, not all of them use it systematically for the
    relevant exchange of data. The lack of clear rules as regards the exchange of vehicle related information
    among Member States therefore further complicates smooth communication between authorities.
    To implement requirements of the RSI Directive to notify the Member State of registration of any major or
    dangerousdeficiencies foundatRSI,sinceJune2020, thenotificationsmustbesentusingtheRSIsystem105
    ,
    built on the functionalities of the European Register of Road Transport Undertakings (ERRU). ERRU and
    101
    While Belgium and the Netherlands have introduced dedicated systems with databases keeping much more frequent
    odometer readings than what PTI can offer, and thus significantly reducing odometer fraud in both countries and between
    them, such systems do not exist elsewhere and detecting odometer fraud, especially in imported vehicles, is less likely.
    102
    https://www.ereg-association.eu/media/2742/final-report-topic-group-xxi-proposal-on-the-registration-of-vehicle-
    data.pdf
    103
    https://www.ereg-association.eu/topic-groups/topic-group-xxi/
    104
    EUCARIS (European Car and Driving Licence Information System) is a system developed by and for governmental
    authorities to help fighting car theft and registration fraud. It enables the sharing of vehicle and driving licence
    information between EU and non-EU countries: https://www.eucaris.net/
    105
    Commission Implementing Regulation (EU) 2017/2205 on detailed rules concerning the procedures for the
    notification of commercial vehicles with major or dangerous deficiencies identified during a technical roadside
    inspection: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg_impl/2017/2205/oj
    19
    RSI messaging system, as well as several other road transport-related applications are hosted by the
    Commission and use a central hub (MOVEHUB) to interconnect national registers. While certain EU
    legislation requires the use of EUCARIS106
    , and others, including the RSI Directive, refer to the
    MOVEHUB for data exchange, there is no legal requirement to use such systems to facilitate the re-
    registration of vehicles and the implementation of the PTI and VRD Directives. The inability to effectively
    exchange a real-time data on the vehicle (de)registration status, including the information on cases when a
    vehicle is temporary de-registered or its ownership has changed, contribute to the problem of a low
    traceability of vehicles across the EU. Such administrative and regulatory failures hinder the uncovering of
    illegal activities such as the illegal trade or illegal dismantling of vehicles, leading to the problem known as
    “missing vehicles”107
    .
    Certain optional data registered in one Member State are not recognised by another EU country for re-
    registration. The reason is that the second Member State registers a different set of data. This may concern
    data related to the owner, the mass, the category, or the exhaust emissions of the vehicle. Moreover, even
    though there is significant level of harmonisation in roadworthiness testing, there are very few cases where
    the Member State of registration recognises the validity of a PTI certificate issued in another Member State
    (one example is the Netherlands accepting PTI conducted in certain PTI centres in Spain). Such lack of
    recognition of registration data and PTI reports lead to inefficiencies in administrative processes and cause
    avoidable administrative burden for vehicle owners.
    Stakeholders consulted during the evaluation emphasised in their interviews that digital data exchange and
    harmonisation of vehicle documents is needed for streamlining the vehicle re-registration process since
    standardising the content and format of vehicle files would facilitate the digital transfer of registration
    information between national databases and reduce the administrative burden and costs associated with the
    process. The interviewees stressed the need for a legal framework to support this exchange of data and
    digital services for efficient re-registration process. 67% of the OPC responses (100 out of 149) were in
    favour of the need to address this problem driver; a similar percentage of support was expressed by industry
    representatives during the targeted survey (47 out of 72 responses).
    2.2.5. Certain vehicles are not (sufficiently) tested for their roadworthiness (PD5)
    Problem driver 5 relates to the fact that certain vehicle categories are not covered by or not necessarilytested
    under the PTI/RSI Directives and, as a result, PTI/RSI is only required for such vehicles in a few Member
    States. Furthermore, frequency or scope of testing of certain vehicles is not adapted to the higher safety and
    environmental risk associated with them (very frequent use or vehicle age). This directly affects the first
    two problems, i.e., the presence of unsafe vehicles on EU roads and insufficient control of air pollutant
    and noise emissions. Indirectly, it also has an influence on the third problem, in that testing light vehicles
    annually from the date of their first registration (as is the case for HDVs), and at the roadside, could also
    increase the effectiveness of the directives, notably in preventing odometer fraud.
    In 2014, the scope of the PTI Directive was extended to faster tractors (design speed >40km/h) and larger
    two- and three-wheel vehicles and quadricycles (equipped with internal combustion engines >125cm3
    ),
    effective from January 2022. However, the Directive allows for exemptingmotorcycles, tricycles and heavy
    quadricycles (L3e, L4e, L5e and L7e) from PTI “where the Member State has put in place effective
    alternative road safety measures” and on condition that the Commission is notified. At the end of 2023,
    106
    Such as https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg_impl/2021/133/oj and the Commission proposal on the revision of Directive
    2015/413 on facilitating cross-border exchange of information on road-safety-related traffic offences.
    107
    This problem and its drivers are discussed in the Impact Assessment Report accompanying the proposal for an ELV
    Regulation (SWD (2023)256 final) mentioned in section 1.
    20
    eight Member States108
    made use of this possibility. France introduced PTI for powered two- and three-
    wheelers and quadricycles in April 2024. As such, the scale of the problem is expected to reduce
    significantly, especially thanks to the introduction of PTI in France.
    Agriculture and forestry tractors may also be exempted. Since they are not covered by the PTI Directive,
    mopeds are only subject to periodic roadworthiness testing in some Member States (e.g., Austria, Croatia,
    Spain). Although not in the scope of the PTI Directive, more than half of the EU Member States (16) have
    provisions for mandatory PTI for light trailers (3 Member States have provided this only for the larger O2-
    category, i.e., with maximum mass above 750 kg and up to 3500 kg), while others exempt them under
    certain characteristics or conditions of operation109
    .
    With regards to the RSI Directive, the requirements on technical roadside inspections currently only apply
    to commercial vehicles of more than 3.5 tonnes, while vehicles below this weight and their trailers are
    exempted from inspections in most Member States.
    Finally, and most importantly, only 16 Member States apply more frequent (yearly) roadworthiness tests to
    older cars (>10 years)110
    , that is, eleven, including the Member States with the largest fleets111
    , do not,
    which represent an increased safety and environmental risk. Since the car and van fleets of these Member
    States represent roughly half of the EU fleet, and the vehicles older than 10 years among them are
    about half of that, annual testing of vehicles older than 10 years would affect around 25% of the EU
    light duty vehicle fleet.112
    2.2.6. Interlinkages between the problem drivers
    Some of the problem drivers are interlinked with each other. This is the case in particular with PD3 (Limited
    possibilities to detect vehicles with defective or tampered components), which is influencing or influenced
    by all the other problem drivers. EVs and ADAS represent new technologies and test methods for such
    systems are very recent or just being developed and are not widely used yet (PD1). The lack of legal
    requirement to test such systems during PTI and RSI for their potential defects may also present a safety
    risk. PD3 is also linked to PD2 (Current PTI & RSI-methods not suited to measuring the emission
    performance of modern vehicles) in a similar way as to PD1. Emission control systems have also evolved
    considerably and developing adequate test methods to verify their functioning in a PTI-environment (i.e.,
    requiring a quick, simple, and cheap method) has taken some time, which partly explains why the current
    PTI and RSI emission test requirements are outdated. While for the purpose of detecting tampered vehicles,
    RSI has the advantage of the drivers not knowing that they would be tested, it has the limitation that it is
    only organised in campaigns and can therefore only screen a small subset of the vehicle fleet. PD3 is linked
    to PD4 (Vehicle identification & status data not sufficiently available to, and recognised among, enforcing
    authorities)in that in most MemberStates it is currently not possible to verify whether the odometer reading
    of a vehicle is correct or not. Finally, it is linked to PD5 (Certain vehicles are not (sufficiently) tested for
    their roadworthiness) since it is not possible to detect defective or tampered vehicles that are not tested.
    2.3. How likely is the problem to persist?
    Problem 1 - Presence of unsafe vehicles on EU roads. While technological development is likely to further
    improve vehicle safety, the uptake of new technologies in the EU vehicle fleet would take some time, and
    108
    BE (testing is only required before selling or after a crash), DK (requiring roadside checks instead), FI, FR, IE, MT,
    NL, PT (PTI only above 250 cm3
    ). FR introduced PTI for powered two- and three-wheelers and quadricycles in 2024.
    109
    DK, EL, FI, FR, NL, IE, PT exempt all light trailers, while PL, SK, BE and ES exempt O1.
    110
    Cf. section 2 of Annex 6.
    111
    Those eleven are DE, FR, IT, CY, CZ, DK, EL, HU, LT, MT, and SK.
    112
    Sections 4.1.9, 4.2.10 and 5 of Annex 4.
    21
    some of the new features may also bring about new risks. Similarly, while tampering may be made more
    difficult by technical solutions, it is unlikely that it would disappear without enabling vehicle testing to
    detect illegal modifications, notably of the engine management software e.g., through securing better access
    to in-vehicle data. Thus, in the absence of EU level intervention, the problem is likely to persist. Member
    States may take unilateral measures (e.g., introducing PTI for specific vehicle categories, specific methods
    forthetestingofEVs orADAS).However, thesemeasures cannotreplacethecoordinatingandharmonising
    effect of the three Directives, with the risk of possible distortions of the internal market and only partially
    addressing the problem.
    Problem 2 - Insufficient control of vehicle air pollutant and noise emissions. The problem of insufficient
    control of vehicle air pollutant emissions would persist as long as vehicles equipped with internal
    combustion engines (ICE) are on the roads. Although with stricter emission standards and gradual
    electrification the number of vehicles generating tailpipe emissions will decrease, they will still be
    circulating in the EU decades from now. While the proposed Euro 7 standard should address tampering and
    durability more effectively than its predecessors, vehicle aging and defects are unlikely to be completely
    overcome and vehicle inspection will continue to be key. Without updating the current emission test
    requirements at EU level however, Member States may not introduce the most effective and efficient test
    methods already available based on Commission recommendations. Similarly, while more Member States
    may start experimenting with roadside noise testing e.g., as mentioned in section 1, it is unlikely that the
    problem of noise vehicles would reduce significantly without a more systematic and coordinated approach.
    Problem 3 - Roadworthiness Directives are not effective in enforcing rules in EU cross-border traffic and
    trade of vehicles. Without EU level intervention, certain Member States may take unilateral or bilateral
    measures, such as systematic recording (and possibly exchanging) of odometer readings, or develop
    agreements to recognise each other’s roadworthiness certificates. However, the systemic problem of
    insufficient and inefficient exchange of roadworthiness-related vehicle data would remain, hindering
    effective implementation and enforcement of existing rules.
    Foresight tools. The analysis incorporates throughout all its dimensions relevant foresight tools. It does so
    to anticipate trends and issues that may affect the initiative and build a robust, future-proof evidence base
    for its likely impact. The megatrend “Accelerating technological change and hyperconnectivity” will have
    a significant impact on the road transport sector and is relevant for the problems related to the presence of
    unsafe vehicles on EU roads and the insufficient control of vehicle air pollutant and noise emissions.
    However, as explained above,technological changeonits own would not be able to address these problems,
    or at least not for decades from now. The 2022 Strategic Foresight Report113
    points to the potential of
    digitalisation and artificial intelligence to boost the emergence of more efficient mobility solutions, with a
    new generation of digital technologies enabling a major shift towards more sustainable mobility for
    passengers as well as heavy-duty freight transport. This trend will have an impact on all three problems
    mentioned above. For example, while digital solutions play a crucial role in innovative safety features and
    highly sophisticated emission control systems, the trend has also led to new tampering techniques in both
    areas. The trend will also play a key role in addressing the third problem, however, in itself, it will not be
    sufficient to resolve regulatory failures. The megatrend “climate change and environmental degradation”114
    is directly related to the insufficient control of vehicle emissions, identified as one of the main issues to be
    addressed in line with the air quality legislation referred to in section 1. The same foresight report identified
    “enabling a greener transport sector with digital technologies” as one of the areas where the twinning of the
    green and digital transitions is expected to have a major effect. As regards the expected transformation of
    the vehicle fleet over the next decade, certain automakers (e.g., Volvo) plan to sell only EVs as of 2030.
    113
    https://commission.europa.eu/strategy-and-policy/strategic-planning/strategic-foresight/2022-strategic-foresight-
    report_en
    114
    https://knowledge4policy.ec.europa.eu/foresight/tool/megatrends-hub_en
    22
    Those cars will also be connected and featuring the ADAS required by the General Safety Regulation.
    3. WHY SHOULD THE EU ACT?
    3.1. Legal basis
    The legal basis giving the EU the right to act is Article 91 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European
    Union(TFEU. In particular, Article91(1)(c)providesthat theUnionhas competenceinthefield oftransport
    to lay down measures to improve transport safety.
    3.2. Subsidiarity: Necessity of EU action
    In the absence of the EU level intervention, Member States would continue to carry out periodic and
    roadside inspections, but it is very unlikely that test methods and the scope of inspections required by the
    EU acquis (e.g. testing brakes, suspension and emissions reduction equipment, etc.) would be applied in a
    harmonised or coordinated manner. Different and piecemeal solutions would be applied, which would lead
    to even larger differences in the safety and environmental performance of vehicles than today, with the risk
    of distorting the internal market, and creating further barriers to free movement. The initiative therefore
    addresses safety and environmental protection needs with “Union relevance”.
    Road transport, especially freight, is an international sector, with vehicle approval regulated at the EU and
    international (UNECE) level. Therefore, it has by nature a strong cross-border dimension. According to the
    evaluation and the various targeted stakeholder consultations carried out as part of the revision process, the
    RWP has been considered to have contributed to road safety and environmental protection in the EU and
    has even had positive spill-over effects in neighbouring countries.
    The identified problems apply across the entire Union and have the same underlying causes. At the same
    time, there is widespread agreement among national authorities and industry experts that the current
    Directives are no longer aligned with the latest regulatory and technological developments in vehicle safety
    and emission control. In the absence of EU action, EU Member States may implement national solutions
    and will work in an uncoordinated and non-harmonised way. This could undermine the harmonised safety
    and emission standards.
    3.3. Subsidiarity: Added value of EU action
    As road transport and the automotive industry are international sectors, it is much more efficient and
    effective to address the issues at the EU level than at the level of Member States. While national practices
    differ historically, a certain minimum level of harmonisation in vehicle testing and commonly agreed
    solutions to exchange vehicle data between Member States is more effective than multiple uncoordinated
    national solutions. With common rules applied to testing modern vehicle technologies (EVs, ADAS, and
    the most recent emission control equipment), Member States will realise economies of scale and testing
    equipment manufacturers can operate on a more homogenous market. The functioning of the internal
    market would also be improved by vehicles being subject to similar tests under similar conditions, and
    transport operators facing similar costs. Coordinating the conditions of access and exchange of vehicle data
    at the EU level will not only be more efficient than bilateral agreements and negotiations with individual
    manufacturers, but also level the playing field among Member States and put them, collectively, in a
    stronger position vis-à-vis the automotive industry.
    23
    4. OBJECTIVES: WHAT IS TO BE ACHIEVED?
    4.1. General objectives
    To address the problems identified in section 2 and in line with the overall logic of the Roadworthiness
    Package on the one hand, and with the Commission’s strategic priorities on the other hand (‘Vision Zero’
    road safety policy framework, the European Green Deal, the Sustainable and Smart Mobility Strategy, the
    Zero Pollution Action Plan) and Treaty principles, the general objectives of this revision are to: (i) improve
    road safety in the EU; (ii) contribute to sustainable mobility; and (iii) facilitate the free movement of persons
    and goods in the EU. Stakeholders were consulted on these objectives as part of public as well as targeted
    consultations, including through the Roadworthiness Committee and the Expert Group representing
    Member States and industry experts, and a large majority of them agreed with the identified general and
    specific objectives (see Annex 2). Improving road safety in the EU and contributing to sustainable mobility
    are in line with UN Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 3 (Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being
    for all at all ages), including targets 3.6 (halving the number of deaths and injuries from road traffic
    accidents) and 3.9 (by 2030, substantially reduce the number of deaths and illnesses from hazardous
    chemicals and air, water and soil pollution and contamination), notably through specific objectives 1 and 2
    mentioned below.
    4.2. Specific objectives
    The specific objectives of the initiative are designed to address the problems and problem drivers described
    above (Figure 4). As each of the specific objectives address two or three problem drivers, they complement
    each other to help achieve the general objectives. Both SO1 and SO3 contribute to SO2, while there are no
    trade-offs between them.
    Figure 4: Correspondence between problem drivers and the objectives
    SO1: Ensure the adequacy, consistency, objectivity, and quality of roadworthiness testing of today's and
    tomorrow's vehicles. This objective aims to address the challenges presented by the need to test the latest
    and emerging vehicle technologies in a coherent manner. More specifically, the testing of EVs and ADAS
    must be ensured before most of the new vehicles equipped with such systems are due for their first PTI
    (PD1)115
    . To correct for the inability of existing emission tests to identify high-emitting vehicles (PD2),
    115
    While many electric vehicles are already on the roads, many more new vehicles equipped with ADAS will be due for
    PTI in 2026.
    24
    newly developed test methods need to be incorporated in the minimum requirements. Similarly, measures
    need to be taken to improve the detection rate of defective or tampered, thus polluting, excessively noisy
    and potentially dangerous vehicles (PD3). Some of those vehicles are not tested today, or not frequently
    enough to detect those deficiencies (PD5). The majority of stakeholders participating in the targeted
    consultation (64 out of 67) agreed with this specific objective. Adapting testing to today's and tomorrow's
    vehicles (SO1) will also help achieve SO2.
    SO2: Significantly reduce fraud and tampering, and improve the detection of defective vehicles. This
    objective aims to significantly reduce tampering and improve the detection of vehicles with deficiencies, to
    allow for the detection of defective/tampered safety and emission (i.e., air pollution and noise emission)
    control systems, as well as of odometer fraud, by improving the suitability of emission testing (PD2),
    providing for better tools to detect safety-related modifications, notably of vehicle software (PD3), and by
    more and targeted inspections (PD5). Most stakeholders participating in the targeted consultation (60 out of
    66) agreed with this specific objective.
    SO3: Improve electronic storage and exchange of relevant vehicle identification and status data. This
    objective aims at improving electronic storage and exchange of specific vehicle data, therefore addressing
    the problem of insufficient availability of such data and mutual recognition by enforcing authorities
    (registration, PTI, RSI) (PD4). More accurate status data (such as mileage) and efficient exchange of
    information among MemberStates will also help identify vehicles withtampered odometer (PD3). As such,
    SO3 also complements SO2. The majority of stakeholders participating in the targeted consultation (54 out
    of 61) agreed with this specific objective.
    5. WHAT ARE THE AVAILABLE POLICY OPTIONS?
    5.1. What is the baseline from which options are assessed?
    The EU Reference scenario 2020 is the starting point for the impact assessment of this initiative. The
    REF2020 takes into account the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic that had a significant impact on the
    transport sector. More detailed information about the preparation process, assumptions, and results are
    included in the Reference scenario publication116
    . Building on REF2020, the baseline has been designed to
    include the initiatives of the ‘Fit for 55’ package proposed by the Commission on 14 July 2021117
    and the
    initiatives of the RePowerEU package proposed by the Commission on 18 May 2022118
    . The baseline
    scenario factors in the revision of the HDV CO2 standards Regulation119
    and the new Euro 7 standards120
    ,
    the proposed end-of-life vehicles (ELV) Regulation121
    and the forthcoming initiative on fair and non-
    discriminatory access to in-vehicle data122
    , as well as other initiatives part of the Road Safety package123
    and the Greening Freight package124
    .
    116
    EU Reference Scenario 2020 (europa.eu)
    117
    https://ec.europa.eu/info/strategy/priorities-2019-2024/european-green-deal/delivering-european-green-deal_en
    118
    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/IP_22_3131
    119
    Regulation (EU) 2024/1610
    120
    COM(2022) 586 final
    121
    The proposed ELV Regulation calls for data related to the reasons of deregistering vehicles to be recorded in the
    national vehicle registers. See: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A52023PC0451
    122
    According to current plans, the proposal on access to in-vehicle data would provide for non-discriminatory access to
    such data in a harmonised, machine-readable format. This will be key for vehicle inspection too, without, however,
    specifying the means of data access, which will continue to allow manufacturers to set their own (often cumbersome)
    rules.
    123
    Proposal for a Directive amending the Driving Licence Directive, proposal for a Directive amending the Cross-Border
    Enforcement Directive and proposal for a Directive on the Union-wide effect of certain driving disqualifications.
    124
    Green Deal: Greening freight for more economic gain with less environmental impact (europa.eu)
    25
    ThebaselinescenarioassumesnofurtherEUlevelinterventionbeyondthecurrentRoadworthinessPackage
    (i.e., the PTI and the RSI Directives as amended by the delegated Regulations to align with the evolution of
    type-approval legislation125
    and to introduce the testing of eCall at PTI126
    , and the VRD Directive as last
    amended by the revision of the Eurovignette Directive127
    ). As some of the provisions of the RWP allowed
    for a very long transition period128
    , certain Member States are still notifying transposition measures to the
    Commission. The baseline scenario assumes full transposition of the current Roadworthiness Package. In
    addition, the baseline reflects the introduction of PN measurement by three Member States129
    .
    The baseline also incorporates foresight megatrends and developments captured in the 2022 Strategic
    Foresight Report130
    , as explained in section 2.3. Among others, it captures the trend of increasing demand
    for transport as population and living standards grow, as well as the links between the digital and green
    transition, and the accelerating technological change and hyperconnectivity. In particular, the projected
    transport activity draws on the long-term population projections from Eurostat and GDP growth from the
    Ageing Report 2021131
    by the Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs.
    In the baseline scenario, EU transport activity is projected to grow post-2020, following the recovery from
    the COVID-19 pandemic. Road transport would maintain its dominant role within the EU by 2050. Road
    passenger transport activity (expressed in passenger-kilometres)132
    is projected to grow by 10% between
    2015and2030(27%for2015-2050),whileroadfreighttransport activity(expressedintonne-kilometres)133
    by 27% during 2015-2030 (52% for 2015-2050). Rail transport activity is projected to grow significantly
    faster than for road, driven in particular by the completion of the TEN-T core network by 2030 and of the
    comprehensive network by 2050, supported by the CEF, Cohesion Fund and ERDF funding, but also by
    measures ofthe‘Fit for55’ package134
    andtheGreening Freight package.Passengerrail activityis projected
    to go up by 37% by 2030 relative to 2015 (86% for 2015-2050). Freight rail traffic would increase by 50%
    by 2030 relative to 2015 (107% for 2015-2050).
    The share of zero-emission vehicles in the light duty vehicle fleet (passenger cars and light commercial
    vehicles) is projected at 15% in 2030, going up to 95% in 2050 in the baseline scenario, while for heavy
    duty vehicle fleet (buses and coaches, and heavy goods vehicles) at 6% in 2030 and 72% in 2050. These
    developments are driven by the CO2 standards Regulations, supported by the Alternative Fuels
    Infrastructure Regulation. The current limitations of the emissiontesting methods applied underthePTI and
    RSI Directives are expected to persist in the baseline scenario, with the shares of high-emitting vehicles135
    in the Euro 5/V and Euro 6/VI fleet remaining largely the same. On the other hand, the share of high-
    emitting vehicles in the Euro 7 fleet is expected to be lower than for Euro 5/V and Euro 6/VI. The uptake
    of zero-emission vehicles, the penetration of Euro 7 vehicles in the fleet and the related introduction of on-
    125
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir_del/2021/1717/oj and https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir_del/2021/1716/oj
    126
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2015/758/oj
    127
    Directive (EU) 2022/362 amending Directives 1999/62/EC, 1999/37/EC and (EU) 2019/520, as regards the charging
    of vehicles for the use of certain infrastructures, https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir/2022/362/oj
    128
    For example, PTI for motorcycles (with a possibility for exemptions) since January 2022; the deadline to equip all test
    centres with all the required equipment was 20 May 2023 (five years after the date of application).
    129
    Belgium, Germany and the Netherlands.
    130
    COM(2022) 289 final.
    131
    The 2021 Ageing Report. Economic and Budgetary Projections for the EU Member States (2019-2070) (europa.eu)
    132
    Covering passenger cars, buses and coaches, and power-two wheelers.
    133
    Covering heavy goods vehicles and light commercial vehicles.
    134
    These measures increase to some extent the competitiveness of rail relative to road and air transport.
    135
    High emitters are vehicles with defective emission or noise control systems or vehicles with tampered emissions/noise
    control systems.
    26
    board emissions monitoring systems136
    , combined, are expected to result in significant reductions of air
    pollution emissions from road transport in the baseline scenario. NOx emissions are projected to reduce by
    52% in 2030 relative to 2015 (98% reduction for 2015-2050), while particulate matter (PM2.5) emissions
    would decrease by 43% in 2030 relative to 2015 (98% reduction for 2015-2050). CO2 emissions from road
    transport are projected to decrease by 32% by 2030 relative to 2015, and be close to zero by 2050, thanks
    to the large-scale uptake of zero-emission vehicles and some use of renewable and low-emission fuels.
    In the baseline scenario, the number of fatalities is projected to decrease by 24% by 2030 relative to 2015
    and by 31% by 2050 relative to 2015137
    . The number of serious and slight injuries is projected to decrease
    by 19% between 2015 and 2030 and by 26% for 2015-2050. This is despite the increase in traffic over time.
    Relativeto2019,thenumberoffatalities woulddecreaseby 15%by2030and 23%by2050,andthenumber
    of serious injuries by 10% by 2030 and 18% by 2050. Thus, the targets of the EU Road Safety Policy
    Framework 2021-2030 – Next steps towards “Vision Zero”, of reducing the number of road deaths and the
    number of serious injuries by 50% between 2019 and 2030, would not be met. In addition, this is still far
    from the goal of the Sustainable and Smart Mobility Strategy of a close to zero death toll for all modes of
    transport in the EU by 2050. The external costs of noise emissions are projected to increase by 7% by 2030
    relative to 2015 and to remain relatively stable post-2030. The uptake of zero-emission vehicles
    compensates to some extent the increase in noise due to the higher traffic138
    .
    In the baseline scenario, the number of periodic technical inspections (PTI) for cars, vans, buses, trucks and
    motorcycles is projected to increase from 151.5 million in 2015 to 168.9 million in 2030 and 192.3 million
    in 2050139
    . For O1 and O2 vehicles the number of inspections is projected at 7.9 million in 2030 and 8.7
    million in 2050. Most of the technologies required for more advanced testing included in the policy
    measures are available and part of the baseline; however certain test methods need to be developed. More
    detailed explanations are provided in Annex 4 (section 8).
    Thenumberofnational second-handvehiclesales withmileagefraud at EUlevel is projectedat 1.71 million
    in 2030 and 1.90 million in 2050, and that of cross border vehicle sales with mileage fraud at 3.35 million
    in 2030 and 3.64 million in 2050. The national and cross-border odometer fraud is estimated to lead to
    damages for European consumers estimated at EUR 10.7 billion in 2030 and EUR 11.7 billion in 2050140
    .
    Expressed as present value over 2026-2050 this amounts to EUR 194.6 billion. More details on the baseline
    scenario are provided in Annex 4 (section 2).
    136
    Considering the expected effects of the Euro 7 based on the Commission’s proposal, the currently dominant Euro 5/V
    and 6/VI vehicles should be gradually replaced by new ones complying with the Euro 7 standard. This would result in
    reduced levels of tampering and lower emissions, in particular for heavy-duty vehicles. A limitation to mention here is
    that the baseline reflects the Commission proposal. Following the changes agreed by the co-legislators, the baseline likely
    overestimates the reduction in the air pollution emissions over time and thus slightly underestimates the contribution of
    this initiative to the air pollution emissions reduction. This is particularly relevant in the short to medium term. In the
    medium to long term this is less relevant due to the expected large-scale penetration of the zero-emission vehicles in the
    fleet.
    137
    Projections refer to injuries in accidents in which a car, a van, a bus or a truck, or a motorcycle is involved.
    138
    It should however be noted that the reduction in noise due to zero-emission vehicles is only linked to the powertrain.
    The noise from tyres still remains.
    139
    They are derived based on the ‘testing frequency’ and the average number of PTIs in the statistical life of a vehicle.
    140
    The average cost of mileage fraud, due to higher purchase price and maintenance costs incurred, is estimated at EUR
    2,119 per vehicle in 2022 prices drawing on a Belgian Car-Pass study (https://www.car-
    pass.be/files/article_files/file/7/crm%2520study%2520final%2520report.pdf). More explanations are provided in section
    2 of Annex 4.
    27
    5.2. Description of the policy options
    As a first step, a comprehensive list of possible policy measures was established after extensive
    consultations with stakeholders, expert meetings, and independent research in the context of the impact
    assessment support study and the Commission’s own analysis. This list was subsequently screened based
    on the likely effectiveness, efficiency and proportionality of the proposed measures in relation to the given
    objectives, as well as their legal, political and technical feasibility.
    Discarded policy measures and policy options
    The possibility to adopt further recommendations or a communication from the Commission was discarded
    at early stage as non-regulatory measures could not be sufficiently effective in addressing the problems
    identified and would have limited effect on harmonisation. Most stakeholders, including public authorities
    participating in the open public consultation, agree that a legislative review of the RWP would be more
    effective (see Annex 2). Out of the more than 40 policy measures discussed at five meetings with the Expert
    Group on Roadworthiness and vehicle registration documents (RWEG), 13 measures have been discarded.
    A more detailed list with all discarded measures can be found in Annex 8.
    Retained policy measures and policy options
    A list of 26 policy measures has been retained. Table 3 presents an overview of the policy measures
    includedinthe policy options andtheirlinks withthespecificobjectives. Adetailed description ofthepolicy
    measures is provided in Annex 7.
    The policy options offer choices with focus on different aspects such as means of testing (e.g., PTI vs
    roadside inspections, tailpipe testing only vs its combination with remote sensing) or different levels of
    harmonisation in the exchange of vehicle data, the scope and methods of testing and the mutual recognition
    of PTI certificates.
    Four policy options have been identified (PO1a, PO1b, PO2 and PO3), and each of the four policy options
    includes a set of policy measures that are common for all options, as well as additional measures that are
    includedinone ormoreoptions. Thecommon set ofpolicy measures (from PMC1toPMC9)are considered
    as the minimum necessary to correct the shortcomings of the existing RWP Directives and to adapt to
    technological and regulatory developments over the last ten years, and are supported by most
    stakeholders. Beyond the common measures, PO1a and PO1b differ in their focus, while compared
    to them PO2 and PO3 represent an increasing level of ambition and harmonisation. This reflects the
    preferences of various stakeholder groups and genuine options for more or less convergence in the
    areas covered by the three Directives.
    Table 3: Policy measures and policy options
    PM# Policy Measure Specific
    objective
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Measures common to all policy options
    New PTI and RSI tests
    PMC1 Adapt PTI to electric and hybrid vehicles (safety,
    environmental performance, standardised data), including
    training of inspectors
    SO1 X X X X
    PMC2 Update PTI and RSI due to new requirements in the
    General Safety Regulation and checking emission
    reduction systems (new test items, including checks of
    software status/integrity), by reading on-board diagnostics
    SO1 X X X X
    28
    PM# Policy Measure Specific
    objective
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    PMC3 Mandatory PN testing of LDVs and HDVs equipped with
    particle filter, at PTI, and of HDVs at technical roadside
    inspections of commercial vehicles
    SO1,
    SO2
    X X X X
    PMC4 Mandatory NOx testing of LDV and HDV at PTI, and
    HDVs at roadside inspections
    SO1,
    SO2
    X X X X
    Frequency of testing
    PMC5 Mandatory roadworthiness testing following significant
    modifications of the vehicle (e.g. change of class,
    propulsion system)
    SO2 X X X X
    Facilitating exchange of PTI and registration data
    PMC6 Require roadworthiness certificate in electronic format
    only
    SO3 X X X X
    PMC7 Provide electronic access to relevant data, including on
    PTI reports stored in national databases, to the registration
    authorities of other Member States using a common
    interface
    SO3 X X X X
    PMC8 Harmonisation and regular update of the technical data in
    the vehicle registration documents (of currently optional
    content)
    SO3 X X X X
    Tackling odometer tampering
    PMC9 Member States to record odometer readings in a national
    database and make the records available to other MSs in
    the case of re-registration
    SO2,
    SO3
    X X X X
    Measures not included in all policy options
    Scope of vehicles subject to PTI/RSI
    PM1 RSI for heavy/powerful motorcycles (L category >
    125cm3) as an alternative measure, in Member States
    where they are not subject to PTI (i.e., using the available
    opt-out)
    SO2 X X
    PM2 Mandatory PTI for motorcycles above 125cm3 (remove
    opt-out)
    SO2 X
    PM3 Extend PTI to all motorcycles (incl. from 50cm3 = all L3e,
    L4e), plus tricycles (L5e) and heavy quadricycles (L7e)
    SO2 X
    PM4 Mandatory PTI for light trailers (O1 and O2 categories) SO2 X
    Frequency of testing
    PM5 Annual emission testing for light commercial vehicles
    (N1) instead of the currently required 4-2-2- frequency
    SO2 X X X
    PM6 Mandatory yearly testing for vehicles that are 10-year-old
    or older
    SO2 X X X
    Recognition of PTIs conducted in another Member
    State
    PM7 PTI certificate issued in any EU MS is recognised by the
    MS of registration + further harmonisation of test methods
    SO1,
    SO3
    X
    PM8 PTI certificate issued in any EU MS is recognised by the
    MS of registration for a period of up to 6 months (for
    passenger cars only), on the condition that the next PTI is
    conducted in the MS of registration
    SO3 X X
    PM9 PTI in another EU MS recognised by MS of registration
    based on bilateral agreement (voluntary recognition)
    SO3 X
    Improve current PTI tests and procedures
    PM10 More advanced testing of noise for motorcycles SO2 X X X
    29
    PM# Policy Measure Specific
    objective
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    PM11 Data governance: further define the procedures and the
    means of access to vehicle technical information by
    testing centres free of charge
    SO1,
    SO3
    X X
    RSI methods
    PM12 NOx, PM, and noise measurement by remote sensing in
    RSI of all vehicles (with option for simplified PTI if
    vehicle passed recent RSI)
    SO1,
    SO2
    X X X
    PM13 Mandatory inspection of cargo securing SO1,
    SO2
    X X X
    Scope of vehicles subject to RSI
    PM14 Extend the scope of application of roadside inspections to
    light commercial (N1) vehicles
    SO2 X X
    PM15 Extend the scope of application of roadside inspections to
    2- and 3-wheeled vehicles (L-vehicles from L3)
    SO2 X
    Registration certificate and registered data
    PM16 Introduce issuing the registration certificates in digital
    format to gradually replace current paper (and smart card)
    documents
    SO3 X X X
    PM17 Add new data to the vehicle register – minimum
    mandatory set (including among others: country of 1st
    registration, registration status, PTI status, changes due to
    transformation)
    SO3 X X X
    Adapting PTI to EVs (PMC1) and including new test items through the ePTI (PMC2, including the testing
    of software integrity of safety- and emission-relevant systems) will help align the PTI rules with
    technological andregulatorydevelopments and hence contributeto SO1 (Ensurethe adequacy, consistency,
    objectivity, and quality of roadworthiness testing of today's and tomorrow's vehicles). Similarly, new
    emission test methods for both particles and NOx (PMC3 and PMC4) are necessary to adapt to more recent
    emission control technologies (contributing to SO1) and to capture high emitting vehicles, including
    tampered ones (contributing to SO2). PMC5 will also contribute to SO2 (Significantly reduce fraud and
    tampering, and improve the detection of defective vehicles) by requiring that vehicles undergo a
    roadworthiness test following any significant modification involving e.g., the change of the propulsion
    system or the emission class. PMC6, PMC7 and PMC8 contribute to SO3 (Improve electronic storage and
    facilitating exchange of relevant vehicle identification and status data) through digitalisation of the
    roadworthiness certificate, linking national vehicle registers and extending the set of harmonised vehicle
    data in those registers. PMC9 introduces a requirement for Member States to record odometer readings in
    national databases and make those records available to other Member States in the case of re-registration.
    Garages (including car manufacturers), tyre and other repair services, in addition to PTI bodies would have
    to provide such readings for cars and vans following every visit. PMC9 contributes to SO2 and SO3.
    Reasoning behind the packaging of options
    PO1a and PO1b are designed rather conservatively as regards the scope of vehicles to be tested and
    are limited to the measures that are indispensable to address each of the problem drivers and to meet
    all specific objectives, while each of these two options has a specific focus: PO1a focuses primarily
    on enhancing the exchange of vehicle data and enhancing digitisation. PO1b on the other hand
    focuses more on improving the testing of vehicles and introducing additional and more ambitious
    measures regarding emission testing and recognition of PTI.
    30
    PO2 is designed to provide a more integrated approach. It builds on the measures already included
    in PO1a and PO1b and adds more ambition with additional measures such as the extension of
    roadside inspections to vans. It also improves access to relevant technical and registration data
    through specific measures, such as better access to vehicle data necessary for testing notably modern
    electronic safety systems.
    PO3 builds on PO2 and takes its integrated approach, but compared to PO2 it further extends the
    scope of vehicles and items to be tested. It further extends the scope of PTIs to cover light trailers
    and motorcycles with smaller engine size, combined with mandatory roadside inspection for
    motorcycles. It also provides a wider recognition of PTI inspections taking place in other Member
    States. Overall, it represents the most ambitious option.
    Policy option 1a (PO1a)
    This policy option aims primarily at more efficient use of vehicle (registration and status) data, further
    focusing on addressing SO3. In addition to the common measures, PO1a would require adding certain new
    data elements to national vehicle registers, notably related to the registration and roadworthiness status of
    the vehicle, thus facilitating the implementation and enforcement of the RWP as well as that of the ELV
    legislation (PM17). Issuing registration certificates in digital format (PM16) will further enhance the
    efficiency of data exchange. Furthermore, PO1a would allow Member States to sign bilateral agreements
    to enable the cross-border recognition of PTIs and thus facilitate the free movement of people and goods
    (PM9). PM9, PM16 and PM17 contribute to addressing SO3.
    Beyondthecommonmeasures,PO1aapplies arelativelylighttouchapproach to addressingSO2. Toreduce
    the number of tampered and defective motorcycles due to their lack of testing, it would require those
    Member State which exempt these vehicles from PTI to apply as alternative measure, testing a share of
    them at the roadside (PM1). Most stakeholders, including Member States authorities and especially
    EReg/EUCARIS support this policy option, while the PTI sector (CITA and others) and motorcycle
    manufacturers (ACEM) would prefer stricter PTI and RSI requirements.
    Policy option 1b (PO1b)
    Beyond the common measures, PO1b further focuses on addressing SO2 through more effective technical
    inspections. The most important measure in this respect is the use of remote sensing technology141
    (PM12),
    which allows targeted and thus much more effective and efficient emission testing at the roadside. Remote
    sensing, using laser technology (LiDAR) to detect critical pollutants, has been demonstrated to be an
    effective method to screen very large numbers of vehicles at relatively low cost142
    . This measure will allow
    monitoring the emissions of virtually the entire vehicle fleet, including older vehicles, depending on the
    scale of its implementation. Remote sensing using microphones is able to single out unusually noisy
    vehicles even in dense traffic143
    . This allows the identification of potentially high-emitting vehicles that can
    be either inspected at a subsequent roadside check immediately after being identified or invited to a
    roadworthiness centre for an emission test.
    In addition, to address specific groups of vehicles that are more prone to tampering or defects than the
    average, PO1b introduces specific measures: it would remove the possibility to exempt motorcycles from
    PTI (PM2) and require yearly emission testing of light commercial vehicles (PM5). Furthermore, it would
    141
    https://cares-project.eu/about/
    142
    See e.g., https://publications.tno.nl/publication/34638150/2gBdxC/hooftman-2020-analysis.pdf and https://nemo-
    cities.eu/remote-sensing/
    143
    https://nemo-cities.eu/remote-sensing-device-for-noise/
    31
    introduce mandatory annual PTIs for vehicles older than 10 years (PM6), an improved noise test for
    motorcycles based on type-approval requirements (PM10) and make the inspection of cargo securing
    mandatory (PM13). As such, all these measures go further in addressing SO2 (beyond the common
    measures included in all options). PO1b would further facilitate the free movement of people, and further
    address SO3, by requiring that the Member State of registration recognises the PTI certificate issued by
    another Member State for a period of up to six months, provided that the next PTI is conducted in the
    Member State of registration (PM8). This policy option enjoys the support of the PTI industry (CITA, FSD
    and others) as well as automobile manufacturers (ACEA), testing equipment (EGEA) and motorcycle
    manufacturers (ACEM), while certain Member States and motorcycle users find it too demanding. Stricter
    cargo securing requirements are strongly supported by the logistics industry (in particular by EUMOS).
    Policy option 2 (PO2)
    PO2 combines most of the measures of PO1a and PO1b. As regards the testing of motorcycles, PO2
    includes a measure of PO1a (PM1), while for the recognition of PTIs conducted in another Member State,
    it uses PM8 (temporary recognition),like in PO1b. To furtherimprove the consistency and quality oftesting
    of modern vehicles (SO1) and the availability of relevant technical data to testing centres (SO3), it includes
    an additional measure on data governance (PM11), aiming to define the procedures and the means of access
    to vehicle technical information (including in-vehicle data). The measure would complement an existing
    Implementing Regulation144
    and build on the upcoming proposal on access to in-vehicle data145
    .
    To further reduce the number of tampered and defective vehicles and contribute towards SO2, in addition
    to the measures of PO1b and PO1a, it would also introduce roadside inspections for light commercial
    vehicles (PM14). RSI complements PTI and is arguably better suited to detect and reduce fraud thanks to
    the vehicle users having no prior notice of roadside tests, in comparison to pre-planned periodical technical
    inspections, where pre- and post-tempering of vehicles cannot be excluded. In addition to being a
    combination of PO1a and PO1b, PM11 on data governance makes this policy option more favoured by the
    PTI industry (CITA, FSD and others) as well as FIA, testing equipment (EGEA) and motorcycle
    manufacturers (ACEM). It is supported also by some Member States, notably those that rely on thousands
    of smaller roadworthiness testing centres. On the other hand, the issue of access to vehicledatais considered
    less important by automobile manufacturers. Stricter cargo securing requirements included in this option
    are strongly supported by the logistics industry (EUMOS).
    Policy option 3 (PO3)
    PO3 goes further on harmonising the scope and methods of roadworthiness testing and the mutual
    recognition of PTI certificates. As such, it aims to further address SO2, as well as SO1 and contributes to
    facilitating the free movement of people and goods more comprehensively than the other options also
    further addresses SO3. To the measures of PO2, PO3 adds further extension of scope of PTI to cover all
    motorcycles without exception (PM3) and light trailers (PM4), and it extends RSI to motorcycles (PM15).
    All these measures further contribute to addressing SO2. PO3 is the only option to include PM7, a
    requirement that PTI certificates issued in any other EU Member States are recognised by the Member State
    of registration without limitations, further addressing SO1 and SO3. This necessitates further harmonisation
    of test methods where the PTI Directive currently offers various options. It would thus mean less room for
    manoeuvre for Member States, and fewer choices for inspection centres. This being the most ambitious
    144
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg_impl/2019/621/oj
    145
    https://ec.europa.eu/info/law/better-regulation/have-your-say/initiatives/13180-Access-to-vehicle-data-functions-
    and-resources_en
    32
    option, it is mainly supported by the PTI sector, including equipment manufacturers as well as by ACEM
    and a few Member States that apply stricter requirements than the current RWP Directives.
    6. WHAT ARE THE IMPACTS OF THE POLICY OPTIONS?
    This section summarises the main expected economic, social and environmental impacts of each policy
    option (PO)146
    . The proposed measures are assumed to be implemented from 2026 onwards, so the
    assessment has been undertaken for the 2026-2050 period and refers to EU27. Costs and benefits are
    expressed as present value over the 2026-2050 period, using a 3% discount rate, in constant prices of the
    year 2022. Further details on the methodological approach are provided in Annex 4. The evidence
    underlying the assessment of impacts is based on the best available evidence, including multiple studies
    involving scientific research, as well as thorough consultation with experts.
    6.1. Economic impacts
    This section focuses on the economicimpacts ofthepolicyoptions onnational publicauthorities, businesses
    and citizens. It also provides an assessment of impacts on competitiveness, on innovation and technological
    developments, on small and medium enterprises (SMEs), on the functioning of the internal market and
    competition, and looks at territorial impacts and digital by default. The assessment of economic impacts
    draws on multiple data sources, including the targeted stakeholders’ consultation (interviews and survey)
    and OPC, and findings from desk research in the context of the impact assessment support study. The costs
    and benefits of each policy measure by stakeholder group are described in detail in Annex 4 (sections 3 and
    4), including the assumptions used to estimate them. In addition, the cost-benefit analysis for some key
    policy measures is provided in Annex 4 (section 6).
    6.1.1. Impacts on national public authorities
    All policy options are expected to result in adjustment and administrative costs for national public
    authorities, while PO1b and PO3 would also lead to additional enforcement costs. At the same time, all
    policy options are expected to result in significant administrative costs savings for the national authorities
    (seeTable4toTable6). The costs and costs savings bypolicyoption are discussedbelow, whilethedetailed
    calculations by policy measure are provided in Annex 4 (section 3).
    Adjustment costs. All policy options include adjustment costs related to three common measures (PMC2,
    PMC3 and PMC4). They cover one-off adjustment costs (see Table 6) for: the acquisition of on-board
    diagnostic (OBD) scanning tools for RSI and the training of inspectors to use the OBD tools147
    (PMC2),
    estimated at EUR 0.2 million in 2026 relative to the baseline; the purchase of PN measurement devices for
    RIS and the training of inspectors to use them148
    (PMC3), estimated at EUR 0.7 million in 2026; and, the
    acquisition of NOx measurement devices for RIS and the training of inspectors149
    (PMC4), amounting to
    EUR 2 million. In addition, recurrent adjustment costs (i.e., maintenance and calibration costs) for the PN
    and NOx measurement devices are assumed at 5% of the capital costs, based on stakeholders’ feedback,
    and are estimated at EUR 32,750 per year from 2026 onwards in PMC3 and at EUR 98,250 per year in
    146
    The analysis in this section is based on Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study on the directives of the
    roadworthiness package, Contract no. MOVE/C2/SER/2022-583/SI2.895928, under FWC no. MOVE/2022/OP/0001,
    and on the analysis of stakeholders' feedback.
    147
    The costs are estimated at EUR 1,000 per tool. One tool is required per RSI unit, and the number of RSI units total
    131 at EU level. Two hours of training are assumed for each of the 393 RSI inspectors across EU27.
    148
    One PN measurement device is needed per RSI unit, at a cost of EUR 5,000 each. 131 RSI units would need to
    purchase PN testing equipment. An additional half-day of training related to the use of PN measurement devices is
    assumed for the estimated 393 RSI inspectors across the EU in 2026.
    149
    One NOx measurement device is assumed per RSI unit, at a cost of EUR 15,000 each. 131 RSI units would need to
    purchase the equipment. An additional half-day of training is assumed for the 393 RSI inspectors.
    33
    PMC4 (see Table 5). Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, the total one-off and recurrent adjustment
    costs are estimated at EUR 0.2 million for PMC2, EUR 1.3 million for PMC3 and EUR 3.8 million for
    PMC4 (see Table 4). Thus, the adjustment costs due to the common set of measures (PMC2, PMC3 and
    PMC4) are estimated at around EUR 5.2 million, of which EUR 2.9 million one-off costs. In addition to the
    common measures, the most significant one-off adjustment costs in PO1a are due to PM9, concerning the
    recognition of PTIs conducted in another Member State than that of registration based on bilateral
    agreements. National authorities are expected to incur expenses for establishing bilateral agreements and
    implementing procedures to facilitate inspections in another Member State. Assuming each Member State
    establishes three bilateral agreements, the total costs for 41 such agreements have been estimated at around
    EUR 1.4 million in 2026 (EUR 53,550 per Member State). In addition, PM1 will require that those Member
    States150
    that do not have a PTI requirement for motorcycles to introduce roadside inspections for
    motorcycles over 125cm3 as an alternative, leading to the need of purchasing additional equipment to
    support these inspections (one-off adjustment costs) and of maintaining it (recurrent adjustment costs). The
    one-off adjustment costs due to PM1 are estimated at EUR 0.1 million in 2026 and the recurrent adjustment
    costs at EUR 12,000 per year from 2026 onwards151
    (see Table 5 and Table 6). The total one-off and
    recurrent adjustment costs for national public authorities due to PO1a are thus estimated at EUR 7 million
    (see Table 4), expressed as present value over 2026-2050, of which EUR 4.4 million one-off costs.
    In PO1b, in addition to the costs of the common measures (PMC2, PMC3 and PMC4), the most significant
    additional adjustment costs for authorities arise due to the introduction of remote sensing, and the option to
    use plume chasing to measure NOx emissions from trucks, as well as the installation of noise cameras
    (PM12). PM12 involves one-off costs for the purchase of the necessary equipment, the setting up of the
    corresponding IT infrastructure and related training of inspectors, as well as recurrent costs for the
    maintenance of the equipment and data management, and labour costs for the inspectors performing the
    plume chasing152
    . The one-off adjustment costs due to PM12 amount to EUR 23.6 million in 2026, and the
    recurrent adjustment costs to EUR 9.4 million per year (see Table 5 and Table 6). Total adjustment costs
    due to this measure are thus estimated at EUR 192.9 million, expressed as present value over 2026-2050
    relative to the baseline. In addition, PM13 is expected to lead to one-off adjustment costs for national public
    authorities for training on cargo securing in the 14 Member States153
    that currently do not require minimum
    training of inspectors (EUR 26,916 in 2026), and recurrent adjustment costs for the retraining of inspectors
    on a biennial basis (EUR 26,916 per year every second year after 2026)154
    . Total adjustment costs for PO1b
    are thus estimated at EUR 198.3 million (see Table 4), expressed as present value over the 2026-2050
    period relative to the baseline, of which EUR 26.5 million one-off costs.
    PO2 includes the adjustment costs related to the common measures (PMC2, PMC3, PMC4), the costs
    150
    These are: BE, FI, IE, NL, MT and PT. FR will introduce PTI for powered two- and three-wheelers and quadricycles in
    2024. DK does not have mandatory PTI but since 1 January 2022 it has introduced roadside inspections. In the case of
    PT, current requirements cover only motorcycles over 250cc.
    151
    For a 5% share of the motorcycles fleet one extra RSI unit per Member State is expected to be sufficient. The capital
    costs are estimated at EUR 20,000 per unit and maintenance costs are assumed at around 10% of the capital costs.
    152
    For remote sensing, 250 devices would be needed in EU27 to be able to analyse at least 30% of the road fleet. The
    capital cost of a remote sensing equipment is estimated at EUR 85,000. Maintenance and calibration costs are around 5%
    of the capital costs, and the cost for the processing and data management EUR 24,000 per year per device. In addition,
    one day of training for the use of NOx and PM remote sensing equipment is assumed for the 393 RSI inspectors. For
    plume chasing, the capital costs are estimated at EUR 32,500 per equipment. On average, two vehicles are assumed per
    Member State, for 26 Member States (DK has already implemented the system). The maintenance and calibration costs
    are around 5% of the capital cost. Labour costs are estimated assuming one inspector per plume chasing vehicle and four
    days per week of plume chasing. Two days of training on plume chasing are assumed for the 52 inspectors. For acoustic
    cameras, the capital costs are estimated at EUR 2,000 per device, and the maintenance cost at 5% of the capital cost. A
    half-day training would be needed for 393 RSI inspectors, for using the acoustic cameras.
    153
    BE, DK, DE, EE, FR, IE, LV, LU, BG, FI, IT, NL, PL and PT.
    154
    Training for cargo securing is assumed to take 3 hours, with 264 roadside inspectors requiring training.
    34
    related to PM1 as in PO1a, and the costs related to PM12 and PM13 as in PO1b. To this, PO2 adds one-off
    costs for additional roadside equipment and training of inspectors due to the introduction of roadside
    inspections for light commercial vehicles (PM14)155
    , estimated at EUR 3.1 million in 2026, and recurrent
    costs for the maintenance of equipment, estimated at EUR 0.3 million per year156
    (see Table 5 and Table
    6). Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, the total costs of PM14 are estimated at EUR 8.6 million.
    Total adjustment costs for PO2 are thus estimated at EUR 207.2 million, expressed as present value over
    2026-2050 relative to the baseline, of which EUR 29.7 million one-off costs.
    PO3 includes the adjustment costs related to the common measures (PMC2, PMC3, PMC4) and the costs
    related to PM12, PM13 and PM14 as in PO2. Moreover, it adds one-off adjustment costs for the purchase
    of additional mobile inspection units due to the introduction of roadside checks for motorcycles (PM15)157
    ,
    estimated at EUR 0.4 million in 2026, and recurrent costs for the maintenance of the inspection units (EUR
    40,000 per year from 2026 onwards)158
    .Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, thetotal costs ofPM15
    are estimated at EUR 1.1 million. Thus, the total adjustment costs for authorities for PO3 are estimated at
    EUR 208 million, expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline, of which EUR 30
    million one-off costs.
    Administrative costs. All policy options include administrative costs for public authorities related to four
    common measures (PMC6, PMC7, PMC8 and PMC9). The digitalisation of the roadworthiness certificate
    (PMC6)is expectedtoleadto one-offadministrativecosts forthedevelopment ofthesoftware for electronic
    certificates, estimated at EUR 17.8 million in 2026159
    , and recurrent administrative costs for the
    maintenance and update of the system (EUR 0.9 million per year from 2026 onwards)160
    . The
    interconnection of national vehicle registers (PMC7) would result in one-off administrative costs for
    developing the common interfaces for accessing the data, estimated at EUR 8.1 million in 2026 (EUR
    300,000 per Member State), and recurrent administrative costs for providing access to the relevant data
    (EUR 0.4 million per year from 2026 onwards). Further harmonisation and regular update of technical data
    in the registration documents (PMC8) is expected to lead to one-off administrative costs for redesigning
    and setting up the new template for the registration documents, estimated at EUR 0.7 million in 2026 and
    recurrent administrative costs for the regular update of the vehicle registration documents with new items
    thatmaybefoundrelevant inthefuture(EUR 0.5millionperyearfrom2026onwards).Themost significant
    administrative costs in all policy options arise from PMC9, under which authorities (except Belgium and
    the Netherlands that have already implemented the system) will need to develop a system for the recording
    of odometer readings of vehicles at garages and other repair stations. Based on the information provided by
    CAR-Pass161
    , the one-off cost per database that will be collecting the odometer readings at Member State
    155
    Few Member States (ES, HU, SE, SK and FI) already conduct roadside inspections for light commercial vehicles.
    This measure is thus relevant for 22 MS.
    156
    The extra inspections will be delivered by an estimated total of 182 inspectors in around 61 roadside inspection units.
    These units will need to be equipped with relevant equipment. The one-off cost of the roadside equipment is around EUR
    50,000, and the maintenance cost is estimated at 10% of the capital cost. One-day training per inspector is assumed.
    157
    Few Member States (SE, SI, AT, FI, DK, HU, RO) already perform such inspections and are thus part of the baseline.
    158
    On the basis of the additional number of inspections to be conducted it is estimated that a total of 32 inspectors will
    be needed for the 20 Member States. With an average of 3 inspectors per unit, each Member State will need a minimum
    of one additional set of roadside equipment for testing of motorcycles. The one-off cost per equipment is estimated at
    EUR 20,000, and the recurrent maintenance cost at 10% of the initial cost. In addition, a one-day training is assumed per
    inspector in 2026 for the 32 inspectors.
    159
    Assuming one-off costs of EUR 500,000 per IT system for each of the 15 Member States with smaller volumes of
    inspections (BG, CY, EE, FI, HR, HU, IE, LT, LV, LU, MT, SI, SK, DK and CZ ), EUR 750,000 per IT system for each
    of the 7 Member States with medium volumes of inspections (AT, BE, EL, NL, PT, RO and SE) and EUR 1,000,000 per
    IT system for each of the 5 Member States with higher volumes of inspections (DE, FR, IT, PL and ES). More details are
    provided in Annex 4 (section 3).
    160
    Assumed at 5% of the capital costs.
    161
    https://www.car-pass.be/en/
    35
    level is estimated at around EUR 1 million. Furthermore, the annual cost of operating the system was
    estimated at around EUR 0.42 per vehicle (in 2022 prices)162
    . In total, one-off administrative costs for
    authorities are estimated at around EUR 25 million in 2026, and recurrent costs at EUR 111.4 million in
    2030 and EUR 125.6 million in 2050 relative to the baseline163
    . Expressed as present value over 2026-2050,
    the total one-off and recurrent administrative costs are estimated at EUR 33.7 million for PMC6, EUR 15.4
    million for PMC7, EUR 9.4 million for PMC8 and EUR 2.12 billion for PMC9 (see Table 4). Thus, the
    administrative costs due to the common set of measures (PMC6, PMC7, PMC8 and PMC9) are estimated
    at around EUR 2.18 billion, expressed as present value over 2026-2050, of which EUR 51.6 million one-
    off costs.
    In PO1a, beyond the costs of the common measures (PMC6, PMC7, PMC8 and PMC9), additional
    administrative costs are expected from the introduction of RSI for motorcycles not covered by PTI in six
    Member States (PM1), from the digitalisation of the registration certificates (PM16), and from adding new
    data elements to the vehicle registers (PM17). The recurrent administrative costs (i.e., labour costs for the
    additional inspections) due to PM1 are estimated at EUR 0.5 million in 2030 and EUR 0.6 million in 2050
    relative to the baseline164
    . For PM16, the one-off costs for the adaptation of the IT system are estimated at
    EUR 12.8 million in 2026, while the recurrent costs for maintenance are estimated at EUR 1.3 million per
    year165
    . The one-off costs for harmonising the dataset in PM17 are estimated at EUR 0.5 million in 2026
    and the recurrent costs for continuous data updates and broader maintenance of the dataset at EUR 0.4
    million per year. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, total administrative costs are estimated at
    EUR 9.1 million for PM1, EUR 35.8 million for PM16 and EUR 8.4 million for PM17. Altogether, the
    administrative costs for authorities under PO1a amount to EUR 2.23 billion expressed as present valueover
    2026-2050 relative to the baseline.
    On top of the common measures, PO1b includes only one measure that generates administrative costs for
    authorities, namely the mandatory inspection of cargo securing (PM13). The recurrent administrative costs
    relate to labour costs for the additional cargo securing inspections and are estimated at EUR 0.5
    million in 2030 and EUR 0.6 million in 2050 relative to the baseline166
    (EUR 9.8 million expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050). The total administrative costs for authorities under PO1b are thus estimated
    at EUR 2.19 billion, expressed as present value over 2026-2050.
    PO2 includes the administrative costs related to the common measures, the costs related to PM1, PM16 and
    PM17 as in PO1a, and the costs related to PM13 as in PO1b. In addition, it includes administrative costs
    related to two other measures (PM11 and PM14). In the case of PM11 (adaptations related to data
    governance ensuring access to vehicle data for PTI centres), total one-off costs for the adaptation of the IT
    system are estimated at EUR 13 million in 2026167
    , and recurrent administrative costs at EUR 1.3 million
    per year168
    . This is equivalent to total one-off and recurrent costs of EUR 36.3 million, expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050. In addition, the roadside testing of vans (PM14) will also generate recurrent
    administrative costs (i.e., labour costs for the additional inspections), estimated at EUR 5.6 million in 2030
    162
    European Parliament (2018), Odometer Manipulation in motor vehicles in Europe,
    https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/STUD/2018/615637/EPRS_STU%282018%29615637_EN.pdf
    163
    The number of cars and vans relevant for PMC9 are projected at 262.4 million in 2030 and 295.8 million in 2050.
    164
    The average cost per inspection is estimated at EUR 5.7 and the number of roadside inspections for motorcycles in
    PM1 at 82,566 in 2030 and 104,321 in 2050 for the 6 Member States concerned (BE, FI, IE, NL, MT and PT).
    165
    The one-off costs for the adaptation of the IT system are estimated at EUR 300,000 to EUR 1,000,000 per MS,
    depending on the volume of new registrations, and costs for maintenance at 10% of the capital costs.
    166
    A cargo securing inspection takes on average 20 minutes. Cargo securing inspections are expected to cover 5% of the
    N2/N3 fleet in the Member States affected by the measure (EE, FR, IE, LV and LU).
    167
    Inputs from stakeholders (NL and SI authorities) suggest one-off costs for the adaptation of IT systems in the range of EUR
    300,000 to EUR 1,000,000 per country, depending on the volume of PTI inspections per country.
    168
    Recurrent administrative costs for maintenance are estimated at around 10% of the capital costs.
    36
    and EUR 6.7 million in 2050169
    relative to the baseline (EUR 107.5 million, expressed as present value over
    2026-2050). All in all, the one-off and recurrent administrative costs for authorities under PO2 are expected
    to amount to EUR 2.39 billion, expressed as present value over 2026-2050.
    PO3includes the administrative costs relatedtothecommonmeasures andthecosts related to theadditional
    measures under PO2 (except for PM1). In addition, the introduction of RSI for motorcycles (PM15) is
    expected to lead to recurrent administrative costs (i.e., labour costs for the additional inspections), estimated
    at EUR 1 million in 2030 and EUR 1.3 million in 2050170
    (EUR 19.5 million expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050). Thus, the total one-off and recurrent administrative costs for authorities due to PO3 would
    be close to EUR 2.40 billion, expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline.
    Enforcement costs. No enforcement costs for national authorities are expected in PO1a and PO2. In PO1b
    recurrent enforcement costs are due to the introduction of mandatory PTI for motorcycles above 125cm3
    (PM2) that will imply some extra costs for the authorities that are responsible for monitoring the operation
    of the system, for evaluating the quality and impartiality of the additional tests. Recurrent enforcement costs
    in PO1b are estimated at EUR 1.7 million in 2030 and EUR 2.1 million in 2050171
    (see Table 5), or EUR
    32.9 million expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline. Similarly, in PO3, the
    extended scope of PTI to all motorcycles (PM3) is expected to result in monitoring costs of EUR 2 million
    in 2030 and EUR 2.5 million in 2050 (EUR 38.1 million expressed as present value over 2026-2050) and
    the mandatory PTI for light trailers (PM4) will lead to monitoring costs of EUR 2.1 million in 2030 and
    EUR 2.3 million in 2050172
    (EUR 39.2 million expressed as present value over 2026-2050). Total recurrent
    enforcement costs for PO3 are thus estimated at EUR 77.4 million, expressed as present value over 2026-
    2050 (see Table 4).
    Administrative cost savings. Recurrent cost savings for national administrations arise from the common
    measures PMC6 (roadworthiness certificate in electronic format) and PMC7 (the interlinking of national
    vehicle registers) in all policy options, as well as from PM16 (issuing digital registration certificates)
    included in PO1a, PO2 and PO3. The savings are expected to be significant in all options, and especially
    under PO1a, PO2 and PO3, reaching EUR 5.23 billion, expressed as present value over 2026-2050 (see
    Table 4). In PO1b they are estimated to be lower, at EUR 3.80 billion. The largest potential savings are
    expected from PMC6, due to issuing the roadworthiness certificates in electronic format only, estimated at
    EUR 167.3 million in 2030 and EUR 190.6 million in 2050 (EUR 3.16 billion expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050)173
    . Cost savings related to PMC7, due to the time saved for the re-registration of a vehicle
    in another Member State, are estimated at EUR 35.8 million per year from 2026 onwards (EUR 641.8
    million expressed as present value over 2026-2050)174
    . In addition, PM16 will bring further recurrent
    administrative costs savings for national public authorities, by avoiding the costs of printing, distribution
    and handling of paper/plastic registration certificates, estimated at EUR 79.3 million in 2030 and EUR 86.3
    169
    The additional number of inspections due to the measures is estimated at 497,627 in 2030 and 588,721 in 2050. The
    cost per inspection is estimated at EUR 11.3.
    170
    For the 20 Member States concerned (excluding SE, SI, AT, FI, DK, HU, RO that already perform such inspections)
    the number of additional inspections is estimated at 176,228 in 2030 and 227,291 in 2050 relative to the baseline. The
    cost per inspection is estimated at EUR 5.7.
    171
    An average monitoring cost of EUR 2.25 per PTI for motorcycles.
    172
    An average monitoring cost of EUR 1.5 per PTI for light trailers.
    173
    The cost of a paper roadworthiness (RW) certificate is estimated at 1 EUR per certificate. The number of RW
    certificates issued in paper format in the baseline is estimated at 167.3 million in 2030 and 190.6 million in 2050.
    174
    PMC7 is expected to lead to time savings of around 15 minutes per re-registration of a vehicle in another Member
    State because of less need of reaching out to other National Contact Points by phone/mail.
    37
    million in 2050 (EUR 1.43 billion expressed as present value over 2026-2050)175
    .
    Net benefits. All policy options are expected to lead to net benefits for national public authorities. Net
    benefits, expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline, are estimated to be the highest
    in PO1a (EUR 2.99 billion), followed by PO2 (EUR 2.63 billion), PO3 (EUR 2.54 billion) and PO1b (EUR
    1.38 billion).
    Table 4: Recurrent and one-off costs, and costs savings for national public authorities in the policy options,
    expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Adjustment costs 7.0 198.3 207.2 208.0
    PMC2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
    PMC3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
    PMC4 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8
    PM1 0.3 0.3
    PM9 1.4
    PM12 192.9 192.9 192.9
    PM13 0.3 0.3 0.3
    PM14 8.6 8.6
    PM15 1.1
    Administrative costs 2,233.8 2,190.4 2,387.5 2,397.9
    PMC6 33.7 33.7 33.7 33.7
    PMC7 15.4 15.4 15.4 15.4
    PMC8 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.4
    PMC9 2,122.1 2,122.1 2,122.1 2,122.1
    PM1 9.1 9.1
    PM11 36.3 36.3
    PM13 9.8 9.8 9.8
    PM14 107.5 107.5
    PM15 19.5
    PM16 35.8 35.8 35.8
    PM17 8.4 8.4 8.4
    Enforcement costs 0.0 32.9 0.0 77.4
    PM2 32.9
    PM3 38.1
    PM4 39.2
    Administrative costs savings 5,226.3 3,796.8 5,226.3 5,226.3
    PMC6 3,155.0 3,155.0 3,155.0 3,155.0
    PMC7 641.8 641.8 641.8 641.8
    PM16 1,429.5 1,429.5 1,429.5
    Net benefits 2,985.5 1,375.2 2,631.6 2,543.1
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    175
    The costs savings due to PM16 are limited to the time spent for preparing and printing the documents and the costs of
    delivering the documents. It is assumed that around 2 minutes of work per document could be saved, at an average cost
    per hour for technicians and associate professionals (ISCO level 3) of EUR 34, plus EUR 2 per document for paper and
    mail cost.
    38
    Table 5: Recurrent and one-off costs, and costs savings for national public authorities in the policy options, in
    2026, 2030 and 2050, relative to the baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050
    Adjustment
    costs
    4.6 0.1 0.1 36.1 9.6 9.6 39.6 9.9 9.9 39.9 9.9 9.9
    PMC2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
    PMC3 0.7 0.03 0.03 0.7 0.03 0.03 0.7 0.03 0.03 0.7 0.03 0.03
    PMC4 2.1 0.1 0.1 2.1 0.1 0.1 2.1 0.1 0.1 2.1 0.1 0.1
    PM1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.1 0.01 0.01
    PM9 1.4
    PM12 33.0 9.4 9.4 33.0 9.4 9.4 33.0 9.4 9.4
    PM13 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03
    PM14 3.4 0.3 0.3 3.4 0.3 0.3
    PM15 0.45 0.04 0.04
    Administrative
    costs
    176.9 115.3 129.7 161.9 113.7 128.0 197.1 122.8 138.3 197.6 123.3 139.0
    PMC6 18.6 0.9 0.9 18.6 0.9 0.9 18.6 0.9 0.9 18.6 0.9 0.9
    PMC7 8.5 0.4 0.4 8.5 0.4 0.4 8.5 0.4 0.4 8.5 0.4 0.4
    PMC8 1.2 0.5 0.5 1.2 0.5 0.5 1.2 0.5 0.5 1.2 0.5 0.5
    PMC9 133.1 111.4 125.6 133.1 111.4 125.6 133.1 111.4 125.6 133.1 111.4 125.6
    PM1 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6
    PM11 14.3 1.3 1.3 14.3 1.3 1.3
    PM13 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6
    PM14 5.4 5.6 6.7 5.4 5.6 6.7
    PM15 1.0 1.0 1.3
    PM16 14.1 1.3 1.3 14.1 1.3 1.3 14.1 1.3 1.3
    PM17 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.4
    Enforcement
    costs
    0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 1.7 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9 4.0 4.8
    PM2 1.6 1.7 2.1
    PM3 1.9 2.0 2.5
    PM4 2.0 2.1 2.3
    Administrative
    costs savings
    272.7 282.3 312.7 197.3 203.0 226.4 272.7 282.3 312.7 272.7 282.3 312.7
    PMC6 161.5 167.3 190.6 161.5 167.3 190.6 161.5 167.3 190.6 161.5 167.3 190.6
    PMC7 35.8 35.8 35.8 35.8 35.8 35.8 35.8 35.8 35.8 35.8 35.8 35.8
    PM16 75.4 79.3 86.3 75.4 79.3 86.3 75.4 79.3 86.3
    Net benefits 91.2 166.8 182.9 -2.4 78.1 86.7 35.9 149.6 164.5 31.2 145.0 159.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study; Note: negative values for net benefits represent net costs.
    Table 6: One-off costs for national public authorities in the policy options, in 2026, 2030 and 2050, relative to the
    baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050
    Adjustment
    costs
    4.4 0.0 0.0 26.5 0.0 0.0 29.7 0.0 0.0 30.0 0.0 0.0
    PMC2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
    PMC3 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
    PMC4 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0
    PM1 0.1 0.1
    PM9 1.4
    PM12 23.6 23.6 23.6
    PM13 0.03 0.03 0.03
    39
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050
    PM14 3.1 3.1
    PM15 0.4
    Administrative
    costs
    64.9 0.0 0.0 51.6 0.0 0.0 77.9 0.0 0.0 77.9 0.0 0.0
    PMC6 17.8 17.8 17.8 17.8
    PMC7 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1
    PMC8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
    PMC9 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0
    PM11 13.0 13.0
    PM16 12.8 12.8 12.8
    PM17 0.5 0.5 0.5
    Net costs 69.3 0.0 0.0 78.1 0.0 0.0 107.6 0.0 0.0 107.9 0.0 0.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    6.1.2. Impacts on businesses
    This section describes the impacts on affected businesses, primarily PTI stations, but also garage equipment
    manufacturers, garages, motor vehicle dealers, various repair workshops, vehicle manufacturers and other
    businesses (i.e., vehicle owners). The costs, costs savings and other benefits by policy option are discussed
    below, while the detailed calculations by policy measure are provided in Annex 4 (section 3).
    6.1.2.1. Impacts on PTI centres
    The vast majority of periodic technical inspections are conducted by businesses. In some Member
    States periodic technical inspections can be performed by the central licencing authority in the
    country and/or public inspection centres (i.e., governmental owned vehicle inspection centres), in
    addition (e.g. EL, ES, HU, LV, RO) or instead (e.g. LU) of private inspection centres. On the other
    hand, in AT and NL, they are performed by thousands of commercial garages. Annex 6 provides
    more details on this point. Given the diversity at Member State level and the fact that in most Member
    States PTIs are mostly performed by private inspection centres (e.g., in RO, less than 5% of the tests
    are performed by public authorities), the PTI centres were classified under businesses for the purpose
    of this impact assessment. The precise share of periodic technical inspections carried out by private
    entities is not available.
    All policy options result in adjustment costs for PTI centres, while PO2 and PO3 also lead to administrative
    costs. On the other hand, all policy options are expected to generate benefits for PTI centres due to the
    increased number of inspections, and PO2 and PO3 will also lead to administrative costs savings (see Table
    7 to Table 10).
    Depending on the Member State, the additional costs for the PTI centres due to the additional
    requirements per PTI may be passed through to vehicle owners (i.e. citizens and businesses). This
    will depend on how PTI charges are set by the Member State: where prices are not regulated, it is
    likely that PTI centres will seek to recover investment costs, possibly on a relatively short term. On
    the other hand, in Member States that regulate the level of PTI charges, the evolution of those charges
    will depend on the public contract agreed with the PTI service provider, potentially subject to
    renegotiation, or on the price-setting policy of the authority that is itself responsible for PTI. In these
    cases, costs may either be borne by the service provider/authority or be recovered over a longer
    period. Considering the complexity of the process, and the uncertainty related to the degree of pass-
    through of the costs as well as the time horizon for passing-through the costs, in this impact
    assessment it has been assumed that the additional costs for the PTI centres are partly borne by them
    40
    (i.e. for those measures that would increase the cost per PTI). On the other hand, the higher costs due
    to the increased number of inspections (i.e. due to the extended scope) are fully passed through to the
    vehicle owners, and represent benefits for the PTI centres.
    Adjustment costs. In PO1a, adjustment costs for PTI centres are only due to common measures included
    in all options, namely PMC1, PMC2, PMC3, and PMC4. They cover one-off adjustment costs (see Table
    10)for:theacquisitionoftools adaptedtothePTIofelectricandhybridvehicles andtrainingofinspectors176
    (PMC1), estimated at EUR 119.8 million in 2026 and EUR 24.4 million in 2030; the software update for
    reading on-board diagnostics and training of inspectors177
    (PMC2), estimated at EUR 96.1 million in 2026;
    the purchase of devices for the PN counting and training of inspectors178
    (PMC3), estimated at EUR 372.7
    million in 2026; and, the acquisition of NOx measurement equipment and training of inspectors (PMC4)179
    ,
    estimated at EUR 1.48 billion in 2026. In addition, recurrent adjustment costs (i.e., maintenance and
    calibration costs) forthePN andNOxmeasurement equipment are assumed at 5%ofthe capital costs,based
    on stakeholders’ feedback, and are estimated at EUR 18.1 million per year from 2026 onwards in PMC3
    and at EUR 73.3 million per year in PMC4 (see Table 9). Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, the
    total one-off and recurrent adjustment costs are estimated at EUR 143.6 million for PMC1, EUR 96.1
    million for PMC2, EUR 697.1 million for PMC3 and EUR 2.80 billion for PMC4 (see Table 7). Thus,
    PO1a results in total one-off and recurrent adjustment costs of around EUR 3.73 billion, expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline, of which EUR 2.09 billion one-off costs. The largest
    share of total adjustment costs in PO1a is due to PMC4 (75% of the costs), followed by PMC3 (19%).
    In PO1b, in addition to the costs entailed by the common measures (same as under PO1a), the mandatory
    PTI for motorcycles above 125cm3 (PM2), the annual emission testing for light commercial vehicles
    (PM5), the mandatory yearly testing of vehicles that are 10-year-old or older (PM6), the more advanced
    testing of noise for motorcycles (PM10), and the additional emission tests for vehicles that are found as
    high emitters during remote sensing or plume chasing and are sent for emission tests in a PTI centre
    (PM12) will also lead to one-off and recurrent adjustment costs. For PM2, the one-off adjustment costs are
    driven by the additional PTI lanes needed to deliver the inspections and the training of inspectors in the
    seven Member States where PTI is currently not in place for motorcycles above 125cm3180
    and are
    estimated at EUR 3.3 million in 2026 and up to EUR 40,000 per year post-2026 (see Table 10)181
    , while
    the recurrent costs (i.e., maintenance costs for the PTI lanes and labour costs for the additional
    inspections)182
    are estimated at EUR 8.9 million in 2030 and EUR 11.1 million in 2050 relative to the
    baseline. For PM5, the one-off adjustment costs are due to the additional PN and NOx measurement
    176
    One stakeholder (FSD – the German PTI agency) provided a cost estimate of EUR 500 per tool for measuring
    insulation resistance and equipotential bonding. One such tool per PTI centre would need to be acquired in 2026 by the
    48,880 PTI centres in the EU, with a second one added in 2030. A three-day training per PTI inspector would be needed
    for the 128,536 inspectors across EU.
    177
    The cost for the software update is estimated at EUR 500 per PTI tool and 128,536 PTI tools in the EU would need to
    be updated. A one-day training per inspector would be needed.
    178
    For the 36,173 PTI centres in the EU affected by this measure (excluding BE, DE and NL, which have already
    introduced such testing and are thus part of the baseline), two PN measurement devices per PTI inspection centre would
    be needed. The price per PN measurement equipment is estimated at EUR 5,000. An additional half day of training related
    to the use of PN-testing for 88,776 inspectors (excluding BE, DE and NL) is assumed to take place in 2026.
    179
    The cost per NOx measurement equipment is estimated at EUR 15,000 and each of the 48,880 PTI centres in the EU
    is assumed to be equipped with two devices. An additional half day training related to the use of NOx testing is assumed
    to take place for the 128,536 inspectors across EU.
    180
    BE, FI, IE, NL, MT, PT and DK.
    181
    The additional number of inspections in the 7 MS is estimated at 751,660 in 2030 and 941,911 in 2050. 204 additional
    PTI lanes would be needed in total over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline. The cost per PTI lane is estimated at EUR
    20,000. A two-day training for the additional inspectors is assumed.
    182
    Recurrent maintenance costs for the PTI lanes are assumed at 10% of the capital costs (i.e. EUR 2,000 per lane). The
    labour costs per inspection are estimated at EUR 11.3.
    41
    equipment needed for the annual emission testing of light commercial vehicles and training of inspectors in
    all Member States, and are estimated at EUR 20.1 million. At the same time, the recurrent costs associated
    with PM5 cover the maintenance costs for the equipment and the labour costs for the additional PN and
    NOx testing, and they are estimated at EUR 49.2 million in 2030 and EUR 4.9 million in 2050 relative to
    the baseline183
    . For PM6, 11 Member States that do not require annual PTI testing of cars and vans after 10
    years of their registration would be affected184
    . The additional number of PTIs for cars due to PM6 is
    estimated at 42.1millionin2030 and47.5millionin2050and for vans at 4.5million in2030 and5.2million
    in 2050. Thus, this measure would require a very significant increase in the number of PTI lanes and trained
    inspectors over time, with one-off adjustment costs estimated at EUR 1.01 billion in 2026, EUR 4.9 million
    in 2030 and EUR 1.7 million in 2050185
    (see Table 10). It would also lead to significantly higher
    maintenance costs for the PTI lanes and labour costs for performing the inspections, with total recurrent
    costs estimated at EUR 886 million in 2030 and EUR 995.7 million in 2050 relative to the baseline. PM10
    would result in one-off adjustment costs for the acquisition of noise measurement devices and training of
    inspectors in the 23 Member States that currently do not measure L-vehicles noise emissions at PTI186
    ,
    estimated at EUR 4.7 million (see Table 10)187
    , andin recurrent costs (i.e.,maintenance costs forthedevices
    and labour costs for the additional testing time)188
    of EUR 61.8 million in 2030 and EUR 73.7 million in
    2050relativetothebaseline. For PM12, the additional number of emission tests for internal combustion
    engine vehicles (i.e. for vehicles that are found as high emitters during remote sensing or plume
    chasing and are sent for emission test in a PTI centre) is estimated at 2.4 million in 2030 and 174,609
    in 2050 relative to the baseline189
    . PM12 is expected to lead to additional labour costs for performing
    the tests, estimated at EUR 8 million in 2030 and EUR 0.6 million in 2050 relative to the baseline190
    .
    Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, the costs of PM2 are estimated at EUR 175.7 million, those of
    PM5 at EUR 647.7 million, the costs of PM6 at EUR 17.68 billion, those of PM10 at EUR 1.17 billion and
    the costs of PM12 at EUR 99 million. Thus, PO1b results in total one-off and recurrent adjustment costs of
    around EUR 23.51 billion, expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline, of which
    EUR 3.22 billion one-off costs (see Table 7 and Table 8). The largest share of the total adjustment costs in
    PO1b is by far due to PM6 (75% of the costs), followed by PMC4 (12% of the costs), PM10 (5% of the
    costs) and PMC3 (3% of the costs). The common measures, together, represent only 16% of the costs.
    Total one-off and recurrent adjustment costs of PO2 are very similar to those of PO1b, without however
    including the costs due to PM2. They are estimated at EUR 23.33 billion, expressed as present value over
    2026-2050 relative to the baseline, of which EUR 3.22 billion one-off costs (see Table 7 and Table 8). The
    most significant policy measures in terms of costs in PO2 are similar to those in PO1b.
    PO3 includes the same adjustment costs as in PO2, but leads to additional one-off and recurrent adjustment
    costs for extending the PTI to all motorcycles (PM3), for making PTI mandatory for light trailers (PM4)
    183
    The recurrent costs decrease over time due to the decreasing number of internal combustion light commercial vehicles
    that require PN and NOx testing.
    184
    CY, DE, LT, CZ, DK, FR, EL, HU, IT, MT and SK.
    185
    Based on an interview with TUV Rheinland, the cost of a new PTI lane is assumed at EUR 50,000. Each new lane for
    cars in 2026 will also require one set of PN and NOx testing equipment. Additional PN testing and NOx testing equipment
    is assumed only for cars as the costs for such equipment related to vans is already reflected in PM5.
    186
    Few MSs (DE, ES, HR and SK) are already measuring L-vehicles noise emissions at PTI.
    187
    The cost for purchasing a noise measurement device is estimated at EUR 800 per device, and 2 devices are assumed
    to be needed for each PTI centre with a test track. A half a day of training is assumed per inspector.
    188
    Recurrent adjustment costs for the maintenance and calibration of devices are assumed at 5% of the capital cost. The
    additional noise testing is estimated to take around 15 minutes per PTI.
    189
    The decrease in the number of emission tests is driven by the increase in the number of zero-emission vehicles over
    time in the baseline.
    190
    Due to the small share of the fleet affected it is assessed that no additional emission testing equipment will be needed
    and that the available PTI lanes will be able to serve the additional demand.
    42
    and for further harmonisation of test methods (PM7). For PM3, the one-off adjustment costs for extending
    the PTI to motorcycles from 50cm3 in the eight Member States where such requirement is currently not in
    place191
    are estimated at EUR 3.8 million in 2026 and up to EUR 60,000 per year post-2026192
    , while the
    recurrent adjustment costs at EUR 10.2 million in 2030 and EUR 13 million in 2050 relative to the
    baseline193
    . For PM4194
    , the one-off costs for the additional PTI lanes and the training of inspectors are
    estimated at EUR 1 million in 2026 and up to EUR 20,000 per year post-2026195
    , and the recurrent costs
    (i.e., for the maintenance of the PTI lanes and the labour costs for the additional inspections) at EUR 11.9
    million in 2030 and EUR 13.4 million in 2050. In PM7, PTI centres in the Member States with lower-
    stringency roadworthiness systems will need to acquire new equipment to enhance their capacity, including
    an advanced brake testing device and a suspension tester. One-off costs for equipment and training due to
    PM7 are estimated at EUR 367 million in 2026 and EUR 122.2 million in 2030196
    , and recurrent costs for
    maintenance at EUR 48 million in 2030 and in 2050. Thus, PO3 results in total one-off and recurrent
    adjustment costs of EUR 25.06 billion, expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline,
    of which EUR 3.71 billion one-off costs (see Table 7 and Table 8). The largest share of the total adjustment
    costs in PO3 is by far due to PM6 (71% of the costs), followed by PMC4 (11% of the costs), and PM7 and
    PM10 (5% of the costs each). The common measures, together, represent only 15% of the costs in PO3.
    Garage equipment manufacturers will benefit from the measures that require the acquisition of new
    or more testing equipment by PTI centres197
    .
    Administrative costs. No administrative costs are expected for PTI centres under PO1a and PO1b. In PO2
    and PO3, administrative costs would result from the data governance (PM11), related to the need of the PTI
    centres to adapt their IT systems. The one-off administrative costs for the adaptation of the IT systems is
    estimated at EUR 1,000 per centre. Total one-off administrative costs would therefore amount to EUR 48.9
    million in 2026forthe48,880PTIcentres across theEU (see Table 10). In addition, recurrent administrative
    costs for the maintenance of the IT systems are estimated at 10% of the capital costs, or EUR 100 per PTI
    centre. Total recurrent administrative costs are thus estimated at EUR 4.9 million per year from 2026
    onwards (see Table 9). Overall, PO2 and PO3 are estimated to result in total one-off and recurrent
    administrative costs of EUR 136.5 million, expressed as present value over 2026-2050 (see Table 7).
    Administrative costs savings. The data governance (PM11), included in PO2 and PO3, is also expected to
    lead to administrative costs savings for the PTI centres. The access to relevant technical information would
    191
    BE, FI, IE, NL, MT, PT, DK and CY (in CY motorcycles above 125cm3 are already covered).
    192
    As in PM2, the one-off adjustment costs cover the additional PTI lanes needed to deliver the inspections and the training of
    inspectors. The cost per PTI lane is the same as in PM2. This is also the case of the time required for the training of inspectors.
    193
    The recurrent adjustment costs, as in PM2, cover the maintenance costs for the PTI lanes and labour costs for the additional
    inspections. More details are available in Annex 4 (section 3).
    194
    Eleven MS would be affected by PM4: 7 MS where there is currently no requirement for PTI for either O1 or O2 (DK,
    EL, FI, FR, NL, IE, PT) and 4 MS where there is currently only a requirement for PTI for O2 (PL, SK, BE and ES).
    195
    The cost of an additional PTI lane for trailers is estimated at EUR 10,000 per lane.
    196
    For HDV brake testing using extrapolation methods, an average one-off cost of EUR 2,500 is assumed per PTI centre.
    The purchase cost of a suspension tester for light vehicles is around EUR 10,000. Considering the 11 Member States with
    lower-stringency roadworthiness systems, 29,922 of the 48,880 PTI centres would have to invest into advanced brake
    testing equipment and 28,322 into suspension testers. An average of 4 hours of training is assumed per inspector.
    197
    Among the common measures and thus in PO1a, the most important in this respect are those related to the new
    emission tests (PMC3 and PMC4). In PO1b, PO2 and PO3, these businesses would also benefit from additional demand
    for testing equipment generated mainly by annual emission testing of vans (PM5), the noise testing of motorcycles
    (PM10), and especially due to the annual PTI for cars and vans above 10 years of age (PM6). The benefits from mandatory
    PTI for heavy motorcycles (PM2 in PO1b) would be limited since only a few Member States would be affected. PO3
    would bring additional benefits to garage equipment manufacturers through testing all motorcycles and trailers (PM3 and
    PM4). Furthermore, PM7 would increase the need for more advanced testing equipment.
    43
    bring some limited time savings for PTI centres for performing the PTIs198
    , with recurrent administrative
    costs savings estimated at EUR 87.1 million in 2030 and EUR 99.3 million in 2050 (see Table 9). This is
    equivalent to EUR 1.64 billion, expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (see
    Table 7). No administrative costs savings are expected for PO1a and PO1b.
    Benefits from additional periodic technical inspections. PTI centres will benefit from the extension of the
    scope of PTI and more frequent testing of certain vehicle categories199
    . In PO1a, the benefits stemming
    from the mandatory roadworthiness testing following significant modifications of the vehicle (PMC5) are
    estimated at EUR 45.5 million in 2030 and EUR 52.3 million in 2050, relative to the baseline (EUR 860.5
    million expressed as present value over 2026-2050). PO1b includes the same benefits as PO1a, due to the
    common measure (PMC5), and adds additional benefits for the PTI centres due to the mandatory PTI for
    motorcycles above 125cm3 (PM2), the annual emission testing of light commercial vehicles (PM5), the
    mandatory yearly testing of vehicles that are 10-year-old or older (PM6) and the additional emission tests
    for vehicles that are found as high emitters during remote sensing or plume chasing and are sent for
    emission tests in a PTI centre (PM12). Of these measures, the highest benefits are estimated for PM6
    (1.94 billion in 2030 and EUR 2.19 billion in 2050; EUR 36.54 billion expressed as present value over
    2026-2050), followed by PM5 (EUR 115 million in 2030 and EUR 9.4 million in 2050; EUR 1.46 billion
    expressed as present value over 2026-2050), PM2 (EUR 15.1 million in 2030 and EUR 19 million in 2050;
    EUR 294.1 million expressed as present value over 2026-2050) and PM12 (EUR 19.7 million in 2030 and
    EUR 1.6 million in 2050; EUR 247.2 million expressed as present value over 2026-2050). Thus, PO1b
    results in total benefits of 2.14 billion in 2030 and EUR 2.27 billion in 2050, relative to the baseline (EUR
    39.39 billion expressed as present value over 2026-2050). In PO2 the total benefits are slightly lower than
    in PO1b as it includes the same measures except for the mandatory PTI for motorcycles above 125cm3
    (PM2). They are estimated in total at EUR 2.12 billion in 2030 and EUR 2.26 billion in 2050. Expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050, the benefits for PTI centres due to PO2 amount to EUR 39.10 billion. The
    highest benefits would be realised under PO3, which in addition to the measures of PO2, adds the extension
    of PTI to all motorcycles (PM3) and the mandatory PTI for light trailers (PM4). They are estimated at EUR
    2.17 billion in 2030 and EUR 2.31 billion in 2050, relative to the baseline (EUR 39.97 billion expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050). PM6 generates around 93% of the total benefits for PTI centres in PO1b
    and PO2 and 91% of the total benefits in PO3.
    Net costs/benefits for PTI centres. PO1a results in net costs for the PTI centres estimated at EUR 2.87
    billion, expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline. On the other hand, PO1b, PO2
    and PO3 result in net benefits for the PTI centres, mainly driven by the measure on the yearly testing of
    older vehicles. The highest net benefits are estimated for PO2 (EUR 17.27 billion, expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050 relativetothebaseline), followed byPO3 (EUR 16.41 billion) and PO1b (EUR 15.89
    billion).
    Table 7: Recurrent and one-off costs, costs savings and benefits for PTI centres in the policy options, expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Adjustment costs 3,734.1 23,507.9 23,332.2 25,061.7
    PMC1 143.6 143.6 143.6 143.6
    PMC2 96.1 96.1 96.1 96.1
    198
    Time savings of 3 minutes are assumed per PTI. This represents 10% of the average of 30 minutes per PTI for a car.
    Not all PTI centres are expected to benefit of this measure, as access to relevant information is often already available. It
    is expected that only 30% of PTIs would benefit of PM11.
    199
    The benefits (i.e. revenues) for the PTI centres are derived based on the number of additional inspections performed
    relative to the baseline, depending on the policy measure, and the PTI charges per vehicle category. More details are
    provided in Annex 4 (section 3).
    44
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    PMC3 697.1 697.1 697.1 697.1
    PMC4 2,797.3 2,797.3 2,797.3 2,797.3
    PM2 175.7
    PM3 203.9
    PM4 225.4
    PM5 647.7 647.7 647.7
    PM6 17,680.8 17,680.8 17,680.8
    PM7 1,300.2
    PM10 1,170.6 1,170.6 1,170.6
    PM12 99.0 99.0 99.0
    Administrative costs 0.0 0.0 136.5 136.5
    PM11 136.5 136.5
    Administrative costs
    savings
    0.0 0.0 1,643.4 1,643.4
    PM11 1,643.4 1,643.4
    Benefits 860.5 39,394.2 39,100.1 39,968.0
    PMC5 860.5 860.5 860.5 860.5
    PM2 294.1
    PM3 341.3
    PM4 526.6
    PM5 1,454.8 1,454.8 1,454.8
    PM6 36,537.6 36,537.6 36,537.6
    PM12 247.2 247.2 247.2
    Net benefits -2,873.6 15,886.2 17,274.7 16,413.2
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study; Note: negative values for net benefits represent net costs.
    Table 8: One-off costs for PTI centres in the policy options, expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to
    the baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Adjustment costs 2,094.7 3,221.3 3,217.4 3,708.7
    PMC1 143.6 143.6 143.6 143.6
    PMC2 96.1 96.1 96.1 96.1
    PMC3 372.7 372.7 372.7 372.7
    PMC4 1,482.3 1,482.3 1,482.3 1,482.3
    PM2 3.9
    PM3 4.5
    PM4 1.1
    PM5 20.1 20.1 20.1
    PM6 1,097.9 1,097.9 1,097.9
    PM7 485.6
    PM10 4.7 4.7 4.7
    Administrative costs 0.0 0.0 48.9 48.9
    PM11 48.9 48.9
    Net costs 2,094.7 3,221.3 3,266.3 3,757.6
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    45
    Table 9: Recurrent and one-off costs, costs savings and benefits for PTI centres in the policy options, in 2026, 2030
    and 2050, relative to the baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050
    Adjustment
    costs
    2,162 115.8 91.4 4,186 1,130 1,177 4,175 1,121 1,166 4,603 1,313 1,241
    PMC1 119.8 24.4 0.0 119.8 24.4 0.0 119.8 24.4 0.0 119.8 24.4 0.0
    PMC2 96.1 0.0 0.0 96.1 0.0 0.0 96.1 0.0 0.0 96.1 0.0 0.0
    PMC3 390.8 18.1 18.1 390.8 18.1 18.1 390.8 18.1 18.1 390.8 18.1 18.1
    PMC4 1,556 73.3 73.3 1,556 73.3 73.3 1,556 73.3 73.3 1,556 73.3 73.3
    PM2 11.9 8.9 11.1
    PM3 13.7 10.2 13.0
    PM4 12.3 11.9 13.4
    PM5 69.6 49.2 4.9 69.6 49.2 4.9 69.6 49.2 4.9
    PM6 1,870 886.0 995.7 1,870 886.0 995.7 1,870 886.0 995.7
    PM7 402.8 170.2 48.0
    PM10 63.6 61.8 73.7 63.6 61.8 73.7 63.6 61.8 73.7
    PM12 8.6 8.0 0.6 8.6 8.0 0.6 8.6 8.0 0.6
    Admin costs 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 53.8 4.9 4.9 53.8 4.9 4.9
    PM11 53.8 4.9 4.9 53.8 4.9 4.9
    Admin costs
    savings
    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 84.1 87.1 99.3 84.1 87.1 99.3
    PM11 84.1 87.1 99.3 84.1 87.1 99.3
    Benefits 44.1 45.5 52.3 2,086 2,135 2,275 2,071 2,120 2,256 2,115 2,166 2,309
    PMC5 44.1 45.5 52.3 44.1 45.5 52.3 44.1 45.5 52.3 44.1 45.5 52.3
    PM2 14.8 15.1 19.0
    PM3 17.0 17.5 22.1
    PM4 26.6 28.0 31.5
    PM5 115.8 115.0 9.4 115.8 115.0 9.4 115.8 115.0 9.4
    PM6 1,890 1,940 2,192 1,890 1,940 2,192 1,890 1,940 2,192
    PM12 21.4 19.7 1.6 21.4 19.7 1.6 21.4 19.7 1.6
    Net benefits -2,118 -70.3 -39.1 -2,100 1,006 1,097 -2,073 1,082 1,184 -2,458 934.7 1,163
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study; Note: negative values for net benefits represent net costs.
    Table 10: One-off costs for PTI centres in the policy options, in 2026, 2030 and 2050, relative to the baseline, in
    million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050
    Adjustment
    costs
    2,071 24.4 0.0 3,111 29.4 1.7 3,107 29.3 1.7 3,479 151.6 1.7
    PMC1 119.8 24.4 0.0 119.8 24.4 0.0 119.8 24.4 0.0 119.8 24.4 0.0
    PMC2 96.1 0.0 0.0 96.1 0.0 0.0 96.1 0.0 0.0 96.1 0.0 0.0
    PMC3 372.7 0.0 0.0 372.7 0.0 0.0 372.7 0.0 0.0 372.7 0.0 0.0
    PMC4 1,482 0.0 0.0 1,482 0.0 0.0 1,482 0.0 0.0 1,482 0.0 0.0
    PM2 3.3 0.02 0.04
    PM3 3.8 0.02 0.06
    PM4 1.0 0.02 0.00
    PM5 20.1 0.0 0.0 20.1 0.0 0.0 20.1 0.0 0.0
    PM6 1,012 4.9 1.7 1,012 4.9 1.7 1,012 4.9 1.7
    PM7 367.0 122.2 0.0
    PM10 4.7 0.0 0.0 4.7 0.0 0.0 4.7 0.0 0.0
    Administrative
    costs
    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 48.9 0.0 0.0 48.9 0.0 0.0
    46
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050
    PM11 48.9 0.0 0.0 48.9 0.0 0.0
    Net costs 2,071 24.4 0.0 3,111 29.4 1.7 3,156 29.3 1.7 3,528 151.6 1.7
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Net costs/benefitsperPTI centre. Lookingat thecosts andbenefits perPTIcentre (seeTable 11),expressed
    as present value over 2026-2050, reveals that the highest total costs per PTI centre are expected in PO3
    (EUR 516 thousand), followed by PO1b (EUR 481 thousand), PO2 (EUR 480 thousand) and PO1a (EUR
    76 thousand). The highest benefits (including costs savings) are however also projected for PO3 (EUR 851
    thousand), followed by PO2 (EUR 834 thousand), PO1b (EUR 806 thousand) and PO1a (EUR 18
    thousand). The highest net benefits are however estimated for PO2 at EUR 353 thousand, followed by PO3
    at EUR 336 thousand and PO1b at EUR 325 thousand, while PO1a results in net costs of around EUR 59
    thousand. Net benefits in PO2 represent around 6.3% of the turnover per PTI centre, in PO3 around 6% of
    the turnover, in PO1b around 5.8% of the turnover per PTI centre, while the net costs in PO1a around 1.1%
    of the turnover.
    Table 11: Recurrent and one-off costs, costs savings and benefits per PTI centre in the policy options, expressed
    as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline, in thousand EUR (2022 prices) and share of the turnover
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Adjustment costs 76.4 480.9 477.3 512.7
    Administrative costs 0.0 0.0 2.8 2.8
    Administrative costs savings 0.0 0.0 33.6 33.6
    Benefits from additional periodic technical inspections 17.6 805.9 799.9 817.7
    Net benefits -58.8 325.0 353.4 335.8
    Share of turnover (%)
    Adjustment costs 1.4% 8.6% 8.6% 9.2%
    Administrative costs 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
    Administrative costs savings 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 0.6%
    Benefits from additional periodic technical inspections 0.3% 14.5% 14.4% 14.7%
    Net benefits -1.1% 5.8% 6.3% 6.0%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study; Note: negative values for net benefits represent net costs.
    6.1.2.2. Garages, motor vehicle dealers, tyre and repair stations, etc.
    Administrative costs. In all policy options, the requirement for Member States to set up a system to record
    odometer readings from the cars and vans registered in their territory (PMC9), is expected to generate one-
    off and recurrent administrative costs for vehicle repair shops (including tyre, windscreen service, etc.),
    motor vehicle dealers and other garages. One-off costs for software updates, to allow them to transfer their
    data to the central national database, are estimated at EUR 229 per company (in 2022 prices)200
    . These costs
    are relevant for 651,351 companies (470,765 repair shops and garages and 180,586 motor vehicle
    dealers)201
    , excluding those in Belgium and the Netherlands, which implemented the measure already and
    are part of the baseline. Total one-off administrative costs are thus estimated at EUR 149.2 million in 2026.
    In addition, recurrent administrative costs (i.e., for the maintenance of the software and the time spent for
    200
    European Parliament (2018), Odometer Manipulation in motor vehicles in Europe,
    https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/STUD/2018/615637/EPRS_STU%282018%29615637_EN.pdf
    201
    Eurostat, Structural business statistics, Enterprise statistics by size class and NACE Rev.2 activity.
    47
    recording the odometer readings) are estimated at EUR 19.4 million in 2030 and 14.9 million in 2050
    relative to the baseline202
    . Thus, total one-off and recurrent administrative costs would amount to EUR 460
    million (EUR 706 per company), expressed as present value over 2026-2050. For the purpose of the ‘one
    in one out approach’, the average annual recurrent administrative costs over 2026-2035 are estimated at
    EUR 19.5 million per year203
    . Considering the 651,351 companies relevant for PMC9, the average annual
    cost per company is estimated at EUR 29.9. In addition, as explained above, the one-off administrative costs
    are estimated at EUR 149.2 million in 2026.
    6.1.2.3. Vehicle manufacturers
    Administrative costs. In PO2 and PO3, automobile manufacturers will face administrative costs related to
    the setting up of a governance framework for providing access to in-vehicle data necessary to carry out PTI
    and RSI to inspection centres and competent authorities (PM11). According to one manufacturer, the
    adjustments to their IT systems to ensure access to the relevant data are estimated at EUR 1 million. For the
    20 manufacturers, the total one-off administrative costs are estimated at EUR 20 million in 2026. Recurrent
    administrative costs (i.e., maintenance costs) are estimated at 10% of the capital costs or EUR 100,000 per
    vehicle manufacturer. Total recurrent costs would amount to EUR 2 million per year from 2026 onwards.
    Expressedaspresent valueover2026-2050,one-offandrecurrent administrativecosts areestimatedatEUR
    55.9 million relative to the baseline (EUR 2.8 million per vehicle manufacturer). No administrative costs
    are expected for vehicle manufacturers in PO1a and PO1b.
    6.1.2.4. Other businesses (vehicle owners)
    In all policy options, transport operators and various other businesses that own vehicles will face some
    administrative costs linked to additional inspections. In all policy options they will benefit due to the
    reduction in odometer fraud, while in PO1b, PO2 and PO3 they will also enjoy additional cost savings.
    Administrative costs. In PO1a, the recurrent administrative costs are linked to one common measure
    (PMC5), which requires that vehicles undergo a roadworthiness test following any significant modification
    that could affect safety or the environmental performance of the vehicle. The number of vehicles affected
    by the measure is projected at 0.66 million in 2030 and 0.75 million in 2050 in 20 Member States204
    , and
    the recurrent costs are estimated at EUR 27.8 million in 2030 and EUR 31.6 million in 2050 relative to the
    baseline205
    (see Table 13). Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, total administrative costs for PO1a
    amount toEUR 524.2million (seeTable12). Somecommonmeasures,likethoserelatedtotheintroduction
    of mandatory PN and NOx testing (PMC3 and PMC4), may lead to a higher charge per PTI for vehicle
    owners (businesses and citizens), as PTI centres may pass the additional costs of investment in equipment
    for these tests to their customers. Due to the very diverse organisation of PTI in Member States206
    , including
    different organisational and contractual setups between the competent authorities and PTI centres (which
    may themselves be run by public authorities or agencies as well as by authorised private companies, large
    or small), it is not possible to estimate the extent of such cost pass-through. Whether or not it will happen
    and when will depend on the specific situation in each Member State, e.g., on the timespan of existing
    202
    The recurrent costs are decreasing over time due to the projected uptake of connected vehicles. No manual encoding
    is needed for the connected vehicles.
    203
    This is calculated as a simple average over 2026-2035, non-discounted.
    204
    Around 0.6% of the vehicle fleet is assumed to undergo significant modifications, based on data for ES and DE. PTI
    following modification is already a requirement in HR, FI, AT, NL, DE, SE and ES, and thus part of the baseline. 60%
    of the cars registrations and 100% of vans, lorries and buses registrations are undertaken by businesses.
    205
    The charge per PTI is used to calculate the costs. For businesses, for the categories of vehicles relevant for them, the
    average charge per PTI at EU level is estimated at EUR 42.1 per vehicle.
    206
    Cf. Annex 6, section 2 and 3.
    48
    agreements, service contracts, if they can be renegotiated or not, etc.207
    . On the other hand, it should be
    noted that the higher costs due to the increased number of inspections (i.e. due to the extended scope)
    are fully passed through to the vehicle owners and reflected in the costs calculations.
    In PO1b, in addition to PMC5, the annual emission testing for light commercial vehicles (PM5), the yearly
    testing of vehicles that are 10-year-old or older (PM6), the additional emission tests for vehicles that are
    found as high emitters during remotesensing or plume chasing andare sent for emissiontests in a PTIcentre
    (PM12), and the regular inspection of cargo securing (PM13) will lead to recurrent administrative costs for
    businesses. For PM5, affecting all Member States, the additional number of emission testing for internal
    combustion light commercial vehicles is estimated at 14.2 million in 2030 and 1.2 million in 2050 relative
    to the baseline208
    , and the recurrent costs at EUR 115 million in 2030 and EUR 9.4 million in 2050 (EUR
    1.46 billion expressed as present value over 2026-2050). For PM6, eleven Member States only require an
    inspection every two years for cars and vans after 10 years of their registration209
    . Thus, the measure is
    expected to result in a doubling of the number of inspections for vehicles over 10 years old in these Member
    States, with costs for businesses (vehicles owners) estimated at EUR 1.24 billion in 2030 and EUR 1.40
    billionin 2050 (EUR 23.3 billion expressed as present value over 2026-2050). ForPM12, business that own
    cars, vans and heavy duty vehicles will incur extra costs for emissions testing if the vehicles are identified
    as high emitters via the use of remote sensing or plume chasing and are sent for PTI due to the 0.5% limit
    in the capacity for roadside inspections. The recurrent administrative costs are estimated at EUR 14 million
    in 2030 and EUR 1.2 million in 2050 (EUR 175 million expressed as present value over 2026-2050)210
    . For
    PM13211
    , the extra costs for the additional time for cooperating on the cargo securing inspections would
    amount to EUR 0.44 million in 2030 and EUR 0.55 million in 2050212
    (EUR 8.5 million expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050). Thus, total administrative costs for PO1b are estimated at EUR 25.46
    billion, expressed as present value over 2026-2050. Costs related to PM6 would represent 92% of the total
    costs of PO1b.
    PO2 includes the same costs as in PO1b, and additional recurrent administrative costs related to the
    extension ofthescopeof applicationof roadsideinspections to light commercial vehicles (PM14). The extra
    costs for the additional time for cooperating on roadside inspections in PM14213
    would amount to EUR 10.9
    million in 2030 and EUR 12.9 million in 2050214
    (EUR 208 million, expressed as present value over 2026-
    2050). Total recurrent administrative costs for PO2 are therefore estimated at EUR 25.67 billion, expressed
    as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline. The largest share of the costs in PO2 would be due
    to PM6 (91% of the costs).
    PO3 includes the same costs as in PO2, and in addition it reflects costs related to the mandatory PTI for
    light trailers (PM4). Businesses (vehicle owners) would be affected by PM4 when introduced in eleven
    207
    For example, in Ireland, the changes introduced by the 2014 RWP have not resulted in any increase in PTI charges. Any price
    increasewould requiregovernmentdecisionbased on adetailedbusinesscase.However, the PTIoperator can stillclaim indexation
    through the reduction of a levy that it pays to the competent authority after each test, while keeping the charge per PTI unchanged.
    208
    The decrease in the number of emission testing is driven by the decrease in the number of internal combustion light
    commercial vehicles over time. This is due to the Regulation on CO2 standards for LDVs that is included in the baseline.
    209
    CY, DE, LT, CZ, DK, FR, EL, HU, IT, MT and SK.
    210
    The cost of an emission test is estimated at 20% of the PTI charge per vehicle. Around 60% of cars and 100% of vans
    and heavy duty vehicles are owned by businesses.
    211
    Owners of heavy-duty vehicles would be affected by the measure to be introduced by 5 MS (EE, FR, IE, LV and LU).
    212
    They are calculated considering an average hourly labour cost of EUR 21.9 for drivers (ISCO 8 - Plant and machine
    operators and assemblers), the average time per inspection of 20 minutes, and the additional number of roadside
    inspections (44,813 in 2030 and 55,526 in 2050).
    213
    22 MS will be affected by the measure (except ES, HU, SE, SK and FI, that already conduct such inspections).
    214
    They are calculated considering an average hourly labour cost of EUR 21.9 for drivers (ISCO 8 - Plant and machine
    operators and assemblers), the average time per inspection of 20 minutes, and the additional number of roadside
    inspections (497,627 in 2030 and 588,721 in 2050).
    49
    Member States215
    , with recurrent administrative costs estimated at EUR 20.4 million in 2030 and EUR 23.1
    million in 2050 (EUR 385.1 million, expressed as present value over the 2026-2050 period). Total recurrent
    administrative costs for PO3 are thus estimated at EUR 26.05billion, expressed as present value over 2026-
    2050. Costs related to PM6 represent 89% of the total costs of PO3 and PM5 6% of the costs.
    Administrative costs savings. Administrative costs savings are expected to arise in PO1b, PO2 and PO3
    from the possibility to avoid emission testing at PTI in case the vehicle passed a roadside inspection or was
    found to be in line with the applicable emission limits during a screening by remote sensing (PM12). The
    number of PTI tests avoided by businesses due to PM12 is estimated at 11.9 million in 2030 and EUR 1
    million in 2050216
    . The savings (see Table 12 and Table 13) would amount to EUR 102.6 million in 2030
    and EUR 10.1 million in 2050 (EUR 1.29 billion expressed as present value over 2026-2050).
    Benefits due to avoided odometer fraud. In all policy options, the requirement for mandatory recording and
    reporting to a national central database of vehicle mileage, whenever a vehicle undergoes repair/
    maintenance or in the case of tyre changes/replacement (PMC9)217
    offers very significant benefits to
    businesses in relation to the reduction of odometer fraud, which currently affects around 4.8% of vehicles
    in national second-hand sales and 11.3% in cross-border sales. The benefits to businesses due to the avoided
    odometer fraud reduction are estimated at EUR 6.35 billion in 2030 and EUR 6.99 billion in 2050218
    .
    Expressed as present value over 2026-2050 the benefits amount to EUR 118.34 billion, relative to the
    baseline. It should however be acknowledged that there is uncertainty regarding the economic damage
    caused by odometer fraud and the number of cars affected. For this reason, sensitivity analysis has been
    performed and is reported in section 7.5 and Annex 4 (section 7).
    Net benefits/costs for businesses (vehicle owners). All policy options are expected to result in significant
    net benefits for businesses (vehicle owners), mainly due to the avoided odometer fraud. The highest net
    benefits are estimated for PO1a (EUR 117.82 billion), followed by PO1b (EUR 94.17 billion), PO2 (EUR
    93.96 billion) and PO3 (EUR 93.58 billion) (see Table 12).
    Table 12: Recurrent costs, costs savings and benefits for other businesses (vehicle owners) in the policy options,
    expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Administrative costs 524.2 25,458.4 25,666.4 26,051.5
    PMC5 524.2 524.2 524.2 524.2
    PM4 385.1
    PM5 1,454.8 1,454.8 1,454.8
    PM6 23,295.9 23,295.9 23,295.9
    PM12 175.0 175.0 175.0
    PM13 8.5 8.5 8.5
    PM14 208.0 208.0
    Administrative costs
    savings
    0.0 1,287.3 1,287.3 1,287.3
    PM12 1,287.3 1,287.3 1,287.3
    215
    7 Member States where there is currently no requirement for PTI for either O1 or O2 (DK, EL, FI, FR, NL, IE, PT)
    and 4 Member States where there is currently only a requirement for PTI for O2 (PL, SK, BE and ES).
    216
    The reason for the decreasing number of PTI tests avoided over time is the increasing share of zero-emission vehicles
    in the baseline scenario.
    217
    PMC9 is relevant for all Member States, except Belgium and the Netherlands that have already introduced such requirement.
    218
    The average cost of mileage fraud, due to higher purchase price and maintenance costs incurred, is estimated at EUR
    2,119 per vehicle in 2022 prices drawing on a Belgian Car-Pass study (https://www.car-
    pass.be/files/article_files/file/7/crm%2520study%2520final%2520report.pdf). More explanations are provided in section
    2 of Annex 4.
    50
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Benefits 118,340.5 118,340.5 118,340.5 118,340.5
    PMC9 118,340.5 118,340.5 118,340.5 118,340.5
    Net benefits 117,816.3 94,169.4 93,961.3 93,576.3
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 13: Recurrent costs, costs savings and benefits for other businesses (vehicle owners) in the policy options, in
    2026, 2030 and 2050, relative to the baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050
    Administrative
    costs
    27.0 27.8 31.6 1,362 1,394 1,443 1,372 1,405 1,456 1,392 1,425 1,479
    PMC5 27.0 27.8 31.6 27.0 27.8 31.6 27.0 27.8 31.6 27.0 27.8 31.6
    PM4 19.3 20.4 23.1
    PM5 115.8 115.0 9.4 115.8 115.0 9.4 115.8 115.0 9.4
    PM6 1,204 1,237 1,400 1,204 1,237 1,400 1,204 1,237 1,400
    PM12 14.8 14.0 1.2 14.8 14.0 1.2 14.8 14.0 1.2
    PM13 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5
    PM14 10.5 10.9 12.9 10.5 10.9 12.9
    Administrative
    costs savings
    0.0 0.0 0.0 109.4 102.6 10.1 109.4 102.6 10.1 109.4 102.6 10.1
    PM12 109.4 102.6 10.1 109.4 102.6 10.1 109.4 102.6 10.1
    Benefits 6,043 6,353 6,991 6,043 6,353 6,991 6,043 6,353 6,991 6,043 6,353 6,991
    PMC9 6,043 6,353 6,991 6,043 6,353 6,991 6,043 6,353 6,991 6,043 6,353 6,991
    Net benefits 6,016 6,325 6,959 4,791 5,062 5,558 4,780 5,051 5,545 4,761 5,030 5,522
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    6.1.3. Impacts on citizens (vehicle owners)
    Vehicle owners can be businesses or citizens. This section discusses only impacts on citizens219
    . The
    impacts on businesses as vehicle owners are discussed in section 6.1.2.4. In all policy options citizens are
    expected to be faced with administrative costs, but also with adjustment costs savings and benefits due to
    avoided odometer fraud. In addition, PO1b, PO2 and PO3 would result in administrative costs savings (see
    Table 14 and Table 15).
    Administrative costs for citizens. In PO1a, the recurrent administrative costs for citizens are linked to one
    common measure which extends the PTI to cover vehicles with significant modifications (PMC5), and to
    the introduction of roadside inspections for motorcycles over 125cm3 as an alternative to PTI (PM1). For
    PMC5, the number of vehicles affected is estimated at 0.45 million in 2030 and 0.53 million in 2050 in 20
    Member States220
    , and the recurrent administrative costs (based on the number of vehicles affected and the
    cost per PTI) at EUR 17.7 million in 2030 and EUR 20.6 million in 2050 (EUR 336.3 million, expressed
    as present value over 2026-2050). For PM1, the extra costs for the time spent for cooperating on roadside
    inspections with the public authorities are estimated at EUR 0.4 million in 2030 and EUR 0.5 million in
    219
    Around 40% of cars are owned by citizens (see e.g., https://www.transportenvironment.org/challenges/cars/company-
    cars/ and https://cleantechnica.com/2022/12/08/european-company-car-market-goes-green/). For motorcycles, it is
    assumed that 100% are owned by citizens, in lack of more detailed information.
    220
    Around 0.6% of the vehicle fleet is assumed to undergo significant modifications, based on data for ES and DE. PTI
    following modification is already a requirement in HR, FI, AT, NL, DE, SE and ES, and thus part of the baseline.
    51
    2050221
    (EUR 7.9 million, expressed as present value over 2026-2050). Total administrative costs in PO1a
    are thus estimated at EUR 344.2 million, expressed as present value over 2026-2050. As explained in
    section 6.1.2.4, some common measures, like those related to the introduction of mandatory PN and NOx
    testing (PMC3 and PMC4), may lead to a higher charge per PTI for vehicle owners (businesses and
    citizens), as PTI centres may pass the additional costs of investment in equipment for these tests to their
    customers. However, as explained in section 6.1.2.4, it is not possible to estimate the extent of such cost
    pass-through. On the other hand, it should be noted that the higher costs due to the increased number of
    inspections (i.e. due to the extended scope) are fully passed through to the vehicle owners and reflected in
    the costs calculations.
    In the case of PO1b, in addition to the costs of the common measure (PMC5), there will be some additional
    administrative costs for the owners of motorcycles in a few Member States222
    as a result of the mandatory
    PTI for motorcycles above 125cm3 (PM2), as well as additional costs due to the mandatory yearly testing
    of vehicles older than 10 years (PM6) and due to the additional emission tests for vehicles that are found as
    high emitters during remote sensing and are sent for emission tests in a PTI centre (PM12). The related
    administrative costs for citizens due to PM2 are estimated at EUR 15.1 million in 2030 and EUR 19 million
    in 2050 (EUR 294.1 million, expressed as present value over 2026-2050). PM6 generates administrative
    costs estimated at EUR 703.4 million in 2030 and EUR 792.3 million in 2050223
    (EUR 13.24 billion
    expressed as present value over 2026-2050). For PM12, citizens that own cars will incur extra costs for
    emissions testing if the vehicles are identified as high emitters via the use of remote sensing and are sent for
    PTI due to the 0.5% limit in the capacity for roadside inspections. The recurrent administrative costs are
    estimated at EUR 5.8 million in 2030 and EUR 0.3 million in 2050 (EUR 72.2 million expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050)224
    . Thus, total administrative costs for citizens underPO1b for the period 2026-2050
    are estimated at EUR 13.94 billion relative to the baseline.
    In PO2, the recurrent administrative costs for citizens are driven by the costs of the common measure
    (PMC5), the introduction of roadside inspections for motorcycles over 125cm3 as an alternative to PTI
    (PM1), the mandatory yearly testing of vehicles older than 10 years (PM6) and the additional emission tests
    for vehicles that are found as high emitters during remote sensing and are sent for emission tests in a PTI
    centre (PM12). The total administrative costs for citizens under PO2 for the period 2026-2050 are estimated
    at EUR 13.66 billion relative to the baseline.
    The highest impact on administrative costs for citizens is expected in PO3, where additional costs relative
    to PO2 are due to mandatory extension of PTI to all motorcycles (PM3), mandatory PTI for light trailers
    (PM4), and the extension of the scope of application of roadside inspections to 2- and 3-wheeled vehicles
    (PM15). PM6 generates by far the highest administrative costs in PO3, estimated at EUR 703.4 million in
    2030 and EUR 792.3 million in 2050 (EUR 13.24 billion expressed as present value over 2026-2050). For
    PM3, the recurrent administrative costs are estimated at EUR 17.5 million in 2030 and EUR 22.1 million
    in 2050225
    (EUR 341.3 million over the period 2026-2050), while in PM4 at EUR 7.6 million in 2030 and
    EUR 8.4 million in 2050 (EUR 141.5 million, expressed as present value over 2026-2050). Finally, the
    extension of the scope of application of roadside inspections to 2- and 3-wheeled vehicles is expected to
    221
    The additional number of roadside inspections is estimated at 82,566 in 2030 and 104,321 in 2050 in the MS affected
    (BE, FI, IE, NL, MT and PT). The average time required for a roadside inspection is estimated at 10 minutes and the
    average hourly labour cost at EUR 29.5.
    222
    BE, FI, IE, NL, MT, PT and DK.
    223
    11 MS (CY, DE, LT, CZ, DK, FR, EL, HU, IT, MT and SK) only require an inspection every two years for cars and
    vans after 10 years of their registration. Thus, the measure is expected to result in a doubling of the number of inspections
    for vehicles over 10 years old in these Member States. More details are provided in Annex 4 (section 3).
    224
    The cost of an emission test is estimated at 20% of the PTI charge per vehicle.
    225
    The additional number of inspections in the 8 MS affected (BE, FI, IE, NL, MT, PT, DK, CY) is estimated at 869,017
    in 2030 and 1,097,479 in 2050. In Cyprus motorcycles above 125cm3 are already covered.
    52
    result in some costs due to the time spent for cooperating on inspections, estimated at EUR 0.9 million in
    2030 and EUR 1.1 million in 2050 (EUR 16.9 million for the period 2026-2050). The total administrative
    costs for citizens due to PO3 would amount to EUR 14.15 billion, expressed as present value over 2026-
    2050 relative to the baseline (see Table 14).
    Other costs for citizens. The measures aimed at increasing the effectiveness of the PTI and RSI, along with
    new testing requirements regarding safety, air pollutant emissions and noise, will lead to an increased
    number of vehicle owners experiencing repair costs to ensure that their vehicles can pass the PTI inspection
    and remain in use. This may mean costs to replace breaks, axles, suspensions systems, lamps, or other
    defective components, such as a defective emission control system. It is difficult to estimate these costs as
    this may vary significantly in each case and for each vehicle type. Such costs are also expected to be higher
    as vehicles get older. Due to the number of uncertainties, it was not possible to develop an estimate of such
    costs. It should however be noted that these costs are not considered regulatory costs linked to this initiative.
    Adjustment costs savings for citizens. Adjustment cost savings for citizens are expected to come from the
    measures related to the recognition of PTI certificates in other Member States, as a result of avoided travel
    costs back to the country of vehicle registration for a PTI. The highest costs savings are expected in PO3,
    which includes the obligation for PTI certificate issued in any Member State to be recognised by the
    Member State of registration (PM7). They are estimated at EUR 228.2 million in 2030 and EUR 254.8
    million in 2050, relative to the baseline. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, the cost savings for
    PO3 amount to EUR 4.29 billion relative to the baseline. In PO1b and PO2 the cost savings are driven by
    the recognition of the PTI certificate issued by a Member State other than Member State of registration of
    up to six months (PM8) and are estimated at EUR 114.1 million in 2030 and EUR 127.4 million in 2050.
    Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 2.14 billion relative to the baseline.
    PO1a shows the lowest costs savings for citizens (vehicle owners) among the options, linked to the
    recognition of PTI certificates on the basis of bilateral agreements (PM9). The savings are estimated at EUR
    49 million in 2030 and in 2050 (EUR 878.2 million relative to the baseline, expressed as present value over
    2026-2050).
    Administrative costs savings for citizens. Under PO1b, PO2 and PO3, citizens will benefit from
    administrative cost savings related to the option for Member States not to require emission testing at PTI
    after the vehicle has successfully passed a screening by remote sensing (PM12), i.e., it has been found to
    emit below the emission limits applicable to it. The corresponding savings amount to EUR 48.8 million in
    2030 and are expectedtodrop to around EUR 2.8 million by 2050 (EUR 591.9 million expressed as present
    value over the 2026-2050 period). No administrative costs savings are expected in PO1a.
    Benefits due to avoided odometer fraud. In all policy options, the obligation for Member States to record
    odometer readings in a national database, as well as to make them available to other Member States in the
    case of a re-registration of a vehicle (PMC9), is expected to help reduce odometer fraud in the Member
    States where such a system is not currently in place226
    (i.e., both in domestic sales of used vehicles and in
    cross-border sales, where odometer tampering has been found to be more common). The corresponding
    benefits for citizens are estimated at EUR 3.55 billion in 2030 and EUR 3.86 billion in 2050. Expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at around EUR 65.67 billion relative to the baseline. As
    explained in section 6.1.2.4, it should be acknowledged that there is uncertainty regarding the economic
    damage caused by odometer fraud and the number of cars affected. For this reason, sensitivity analysis has
    been performed and is reported in section 7.5 and Annex 4 (section 7).
    Net benefits for citizens. All policy options are expected to result in net benefits for citizens (vehicle
    owners). Expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (see Table 14), they are
    226
    Only BE and NL have introduced such requirement.
    53
    estimated to be the highest in PO1a (EUR 66.20 billion), followed by PO3 (EUR 56.40 billion), PO2 (EUR
    54.75 billion) and PO1b (EUR 54.46 million).
    Table 14: Recurrent costs, costs savings and benefits for citizens (vehicle owners) in the policy options, expressed
    as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Adjustment costs 344.2 13,944.3 13,658.1 14,150.0
    PMC5 336.3 336.3 336.3 336.3
    PM1 7.9 7.9
    PM2 294.1
    PM3 341.3
    PM4 141.5
    PM6 13,241.7 13,241.7 13,241.7
    PM12 72.2 72.2 72.2
    PM15 16.9
    Adjustment costs savings 878.2 2,144.6 2,144.6 4,289.3
    PM7 4,289.3
    PM8 2,144.6 2,144.6
    PM9 878.2
    Administrative costs savings 0.0 591.9 591.9 591.9
    PM12 591.9 591.9 591.9
    Benefits 65,666.9 65,666.9 65,666.9 65,666.9
    PMC9 65,666.9 65,666.9 65,666.9 65,666.9
    Net benefits 66,200.9 54,459.0 54,745.2 56,398.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 15: Recurrent costs, costs savings and benefits for citizens (vehicle owners) in the policy options, in 2026,
    2030 and 2050, relative to the baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050
    Administrative
    costs
    17.5 18.1 21.1 724.9 742.0 832.3 710.6 727.3 813.8 735.3 752.8 844.9
    PMC5 17.1 17.7 20.6 17.1 17.7 20.6 17.1 17.7 20.6 17.1 17.7 20.6
    PM1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5
    PM2 14.8 15.1 19.0
    PM3 17.0 17.5 22.1
    PM4 7.3 7.6 8.4
    PM6 686.5 703.4 792.3 686.5 703.4 792.3 686.5 703.4 792.3
    PM12 6.5 5.8 0.3 6.5 5.8 0.3 6.5 5.8 0.3
    PM15 0.8 0.9 1.1
    Adjustment
    costs savings
    49.0 49.0 49.0 110.7 114.1 127.4 110.7 114.1 127.4 221.5 228.2 254.8
    PM7 221.5 228.2 254.8
    PM8 110.7 114.1 127.4 110.7 114.1 127.4
    PM9 49.0 49.0 49.0
    Administrative
    costs savings
    0.0 0.0 0.0 53.4 48.8 2.8 53.4 48.8 2.8 53.4 48.8 2.8
    PM12 53.4 48.8 2.8 53.4 48.8 2.8 53.4 48.8 2.8
    Benefits 3,381 3,554 3,857 3,381 3,554 3,857 3,381 3,554 3,857 3,381 3,554 3,857
    PMC9 3,381 3,554 3,857 3,381 3,554 3,857 3,381 3,554 3,857 3,381 3,554 3,857
    Net benefits 3,412 3,585 3,885 2,820 2,975 3,155 2,834 2,990 3,173 2,920 3,078 3,269
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    54
    6.1.4. Impacts on competitiveness
    The stakeholders that participated in the survey were requested to assess the impact of each measure on the
    cost and price competitiveness of sectors affected, with a score of 1 representing a very negative impact and
    a score of 7 representing a very positive impact. According to the consulted stakeholders, a somewhat
    positive impact on the cost and price competitiveness of affected sectors would be expected from the
    introduction of new PTI/RSI test requirements (average 3.89). A similarly positive impact on the cost and
    price competitiveness of sectors affected is expected by the stakeholders that participated in the survey from
    measures widening the scope of vehicles to be tested, and increased frequency of testing for certain vehicle
    categories. Finally, recognising PTIs conducted in Member States other than the Member State of
    registration would be expected by the stakeholders to achieve almost no impact (average 3.12).
    As explained in section 6.1.2.1, the biggest share of the additional adjustment costs for PTI centres
    compared to the baseline is related to measures requiring the upgrade of equipment and facilities (PMC3
    and PMC4), included in all policy options, the annual emission testing for light commercial vehicles (PM5),
    the mandatory yearly testing of vehicles that are 10-year-old or older (PM6) and the requirement for more
    advanced emission and noise testing (PM10) in PO1b, PO2 and PO3, and the required investment in new
    equipment, including an advanced brake testing device and a suspension tester (PM7) under PO3. To a
    lesser extent, the extension of the scope of the vehicles covered (PM3 and PM4) also leads to additional
    adjustment costs under PO3. All policy options, and in particular PO1b, PO2 and PO3 will also result in
    greater revenue sources for testing centres, thanks to more vehicles having to undergo PTI. Overall, as
    explained in section 6.1.2.1, PO2 results in net benefits of EUR 353 thousand per PTI centre expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline, followed by PO3 with EUR 336 thousand and PO1b
    with net benefits of EUR 325 thousand per PTI centre, while PO1a results in net costs of around EUR 59
    thousand per PTI centre. Net benefits in PO2 represent around 6.3% of the turnover per PTI centre, in PO3
    around 6% of the turnover, in PO1b around 5.8% of the turnover per PTI centre, while the net costs in PO1a
    around 1.1% of the turnover. Even though the analysis shows that PO1a may result in net direct costs for
    PTI centres, these costs may be passed through to vehicle owners (citizens and businesses) through higher
    PTI charges or compensated by the competent public authorities (see discussion on cost pass-through under
    administrative costs for other businesses - section 6.1.2.4, and for citizens - section 6.1.3). It can thus be
    concluded that PO1a is not expected to have a significant negative impact, while PO1b, PO2 and PO3 are
    expected to have very positive impact on the competitiveness of PTI operators.
    Garages and other repair workshops will be affected by the requirement to record odometer readings of
    every vehicle they service (PMC9). As described in section 6.1.2.2, total one-off and recurrent
    administrative costs would amount to EUR 706 per company, expressed as present value over 2026-2050,
    which is not expected to have any significant impact on their competitiveness. Some of them, as well as
    vehicle manufacturers and dealers already record odometer readings for the purpose of keeping a
    maintenance schedule.
    Other businesses (vehicle owners) may face somewhat higher costs as a result of the additional PTI costs
    and more frequent roadside inspections in all policy options (in particular in PO1b, PO2 and PO3), but the
    estimated extra costs in the case of HGVs are limited; they are more significant for passenger cars. At the
    same time, a more effective enforcement of the roadworthiness framework will ensure fair competition,
    reducing the opportunities for gaining price advantage on the basis of lower vehicle standards, and
    avoidance of the required maintenance costs of vehicles.
    6.1.5. Impacts on innovation and technological development
    Positive impacts on innovation are expected from requiring more stringent and advanced test methods that
    also need to be adjusted to the general requirement for a PTI to be quick, simple and affordable. Although
    55
    new tests, such as PN- and NOx-measurement, ePTI or advanced brake and noise tests are based on existing
    technologies, there is still a certain degree of development and adaptation necessary to ensure their
    widespread application. The consulted stakeholders expect a positive impact on the innovative capacity of
    thesectors affected from measures relatedto newPTI/RSItest requirements, improved access andexchange
    of information and the digitalisation of vehicle documents. Furthermore, increased demand for new test
    methods and equipment can be expected to generate further development of relevant technologies by
    developers of measurement equipment, a viewpoint supported by the representatives of the sector in their
    contribution to the stakeholder consultation. Together with that, relevant training of inspectors to the new
    test methods will enhance the availability of technical skills and expertise that can have a broader positive
    impact. As such, most of the common measures are expected to have some positive impact on innovation
    (PMC1 on the testing of electric vehicles, PMC2 using ePTI, PMC3 and PMC4 on new emission tests,
    PMC6 on digital PTI certificates, and PMC7 on more efficient exchange of vehicle data).
    While in the case of PO1a the digitalisation of the registration certificates (PM16) may require further
    innovation, PO1b would introduce remote sensing and plume chasing (PM12) to monitor air pollutants and
    noise emitted by vehicles. Remote sensing also relies on existing technologies but requires adaptations to
    scale them up to cover the desired share of the vehicle fleet. Deploying these technologies at a larger scale
    than today would also necessitate process innovation. PO2 and PO3 combine the benefits of both measures.
    6.1.6. Impacts on small and medium enterprises (SMEs)
    Periodic technical inspections are in many Member States performed by smaller independent garages.
    Moreover, roadside inspections under the RSI Directive have been specifically targeted at commercial
    vehicle fleets, which are predominantly operated by SMEs. Garages, motor vehicle dealers, tyre and repair
    workshops, etc., almost entirely SMEs, will be affected by the requirement for Member States to set up a
    system to record odometer readings from the cars and vans registered in their territory. Therefore, the
    initiativeis consideredrelevant forSMEs,andtheSMEtesthasbeenperformed.Moredetailedexplanations
    on the impacts on SMEs and SME test (including the four SME steps) are provided in Annex 10.
    As explained in section 2.2.3, various forms of tampering affect the safety and environmental performance
    of vehicles. Next to odometer fraud, tampering may relate to disconnecting or altering the emission and
    noise reduction systems or modifying the performance of the vehicle. As regards possible impacts on the
    SME tuning sector, this initiative is not intended to cover legitimate tuning that is authorised and
    documented/registered by the competent authorities. It only refers to illegal activity where modifications
    are not authorised and documented/registered by the competent authorities. The possible impacts on the
    SME tuning sector have thus not been considered.
    6.1.7. Impact on the functioning of the internal market and competition
    The existing divergence between vehicle registration documents and the information included and quality
    of the data stored in the vehicle registers creates challenges in coordinating enforcement actions by Member
    States. Furthermore, the non-recognition of roadworthiness certificates among EU Member State creates
    additional trade barriers for cross-border operation or sale of vehicles, hindering the efficient functioning of
    the internal market, business operations and the freedom of movement of people within the EU. All policy
    options are expected to have a positive impact on the functioning of the internal market.
    The combination of the measures related to improving the availability and exchange of vehicle-related
    information, making the roadworthiness certificate available in electronic format, the specific measure on
    odometer fraud, harmonising testing methods, the frequency of testing, requirements for the improvement
    of the PTI and the scope of testing, can have a positive impact on the functioning of the internal market and
    on competition. Qualitative assessment shows that PO2 and especially PO3 are expected to have the highest
    positive impact on the internal market and competition. PO2 incorporates additional measures aimed at
    56
    extendingroadsideinspections tolight commercialvehicles,andfacilitatingaccesstovehicledatanecessary
    for thorough testing by PTI centres. This comprehensive approach is expected to have a stronger impact
    than PO1a and PO1b due. PO3 has a stronger positive impact due to PM7, which requires that a PTI
    certificate issued in any Member State is recognised by the Member State of registration, as well as further
    harmonisation of test methods. In addition, PO3 introduces mandatory PTI for all motorcycles and light
    trailers, which are not currently tested by all Member States. The inclusion of L-category vehicles in the
    scope of RSI (PM15) is expected to reduce the number of tampered vehicles. PO3 applies more ambitious
    measures regarding the standardisation of tests methods than provisions already included in the other policy
    options. As such, PO3 is expected to deliver the most significant positive impact on the internal market and
    competition. A more detailed discussion is presented in Annex 13.
    6.1.8. Territorial impacts
    Thereis noinherent bias (positive ornegative) ofthe proposed options towards specific regions or territories
    of the European Union, and no specific differences among the different policy options. The underlying
    measures are expectedtobeappliedin amoreharmonised wayinterms ofthe test procedures tobe followed
    in comparison to the baseline scenario. There may be a limited number of specific issues that arise for
    authorities and vehicles owners in different regions of the European Union. These may relate to the
    implications of different climatic conditions when performing relevant tests (e.g., warm engine NOx test in
    Nordic countries) or the long distances needed to reach a PTI centre, and the extra costs that would arise for
    citizens and businesses in less dense and/or remote regions from widening the scope of vehicles subject to
    PTI and/or increasing the frequency of testing. Furthermore, there are different profiles of level of
    ownership, frequency of use, and size of motorcycles across the EU (e.g., motorcycles in most Southern
    European countries are smaller and are used more often for daily commute, in comparison to Northern
    European countries where motorcycles are more often used for leisure). In that respect, PO3 (including an
    extended scope to motorcycles of more than 50cc) could have a greater impact. However, PTI for smaller
    size motorcycles is already mandatory in some Southern European countries including in Italy, Spain, and
    Greece. It would be left open to Member States – in the implementation of the specific measures – to adapt
    the testing procedures to reflect the specific climatic conditions or to support the operation of mobile PTI
    units to minimise the time and cost for citizens in remote areas.
    6.1.9. Digital by default
    All policy options will have a positive impact on the application of the ‘digital by default’ principle. The
    mandatory electronic format of roadworthiness certificates (PMC6) should have a positive impact on
    administrative costs for authorities and contribute to digital transformation in the EU. PMC7 will, for the
    process of re-registration, save time and costs for authorities and citizens by moving away from information
    anddataexchangeviae-mail etc.whichis less efficientin accessingrelevant vehicledata.Theimpact would
    be even higher in PO1a, PO2 and PO3 relative to PO1b, as those options also include the issuing of vehicle
    registration certificates in electronic format (PM16), combined with an extension of the information to be
    included in the certificates (PM17). A digital registration certificate should help reduce time and costs by
    making access and exchange of the relevant information easier, faster. The introduction of digital
    registration certificates will be a further step towards the alignment of the RWP legal framework with
    Regulation (EU) 2018/1724 on the Single Digital Gateway, which requires that Member States ensure that
    vehicle registration procedures are delivered in a fully digital way when a citizen moves from one Member
    State to another. In all cases the expectation is that while roadworthiness and registration certificates will be
    issued in electronic format, there will still be a possibility for vehicle owners to obtain (or print) the relevant
    documents with the introduction of a QR code. This should help to minimise accessibility issues arising for
    specific parts of the population.
    57
    6.1.10. Reporting obligations
    In should be noted that the current reporting requirements under the three Directives is minimal. Therefore,
    there is no scope for further reducing the reporting requirements.
    6.2. Social impacts
    6.2.1. Impacts on road safety
    Given that the general objective of the initiative is to improve road safety in the EU, several measures to
    achieve this objective were included in the policy options. Direct impact on road safety is expected due to
    the more effective identification of vehicles with major and dangerous defects in the fleet, which should
    lead to the reduction of road crashes caused by technical defects and, as a result, to reduced fatalities and
    injuries (serious and light). Policy options also include other measures contributing to road safety, which
    relate to better implementation and enforcement of the roadworthiness legislation (such as the exchange of
    data among Member States’ authorities).
    Several assumptions were used to establish the impacts on road safety. They are explained in detail, by
    policy measure, in Annex 4 (section 4.1). These inputs227
    were subsequently used in the PRIMES-
    TREMOVE model to derive the impacts on the number of lives saved and injuries avoided. The impacts
    on road safety assessed are only linked to the measures considered in this impact assessment. More detailed
    explanations on the impacts by policy option and policy measure are provided in Annex 4 (section 5.1).
    It should benotedthat animportant elementinthis assessment relates tothecontribution ofvehicletechnical
    defects to road crashes228
    . For this assessment, a conservative approach was taken assuming a 4%
    contribution of technical defects to road crashes in the case of light-duty vehicles, heavy-duty vehicles and
    trailers and 6% in the case of motorcycles. Considering the uncertainty, a sensitivity analysis has been
    performed and is included in section 7.5 and Annex 4 (section 7).
    All policy options are expected to result in lives saved and injuries avoided relative to the baseline scenario.
    Table 16 provides the reduction in the number of fatalities and injuries relative to the baseline in 2030 and
    2050, as well as the cumulative number of lives saved, and injuries avoided relative to the baseline over the
    2026-2050 horizon. Cumulatively, over the period 2026-2050, PO3 is expected to result in 7,013 lives
    saved, followed by PO2 (6,912 lives saved), PO1b (6,847 lives saved) and PO1a (4,661 lives saved). The
    numbers of severe and slight injuries avoided follow a similar pattern with PO3 having the highest impact,
    followed by PO2, PO1b, and PO1a. More explanations on the impacts by policy option and policy measure
    are provided in Annex 4 (section 5.1).
    Table 16: Expected reduction in the number of fatalities and injuries in the POs relative to the baseline, in 2030
    and 2050, and cumulative reduction over the period 2026-2050
    Fatalities Serious injuries Slight injuries
    PO1a 2030 195 1,768 9,929
    2050 173 1,587 9,011
    Cumulative over 2026-2050 4,661 42,272 239,803
    % reduction 1.1% 1.2% 1.3%
    PO1b 2030 287 2,711 15,099
    2050 253 2,420 13,658
    Cumulative over 2026-2050 6,847 64,640 364,155
    227
    See more details in Annex 4 (section 4.1) on the inputs by measure and their aggregation into policy options.
    228
    As explained in section 2.1.1, various studies indicate that their share as a contributing factor of the cause of crashes
    is between 3 and 19%, depending on the scope and methodology of the study; for motorcycles, it is 5% to 12% of crashes.
    58
    Fatalities Serious injuries Slight injuries
    % reduction 1.6% 1.8% 1.9%
    PO2 2030 289 2,721 15,162
    2050 255 2,429 13,712
    Cumulative over 2026-2050 6,912 64,885 365,665
    % reduction 1.6% 1.8% 1.9%
    PO3 2030 293 2,753 15,274
    2050 259 2,460 13,826
    Cumulative over 2026-2050 7,013 65,686 368,498
    % reduction 1.6% 1.8% 2.0%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 17 provides the reduction in the external costs of accidents relative to the baseline, expressed as
    present value over the 2026-2050 period. The 2019 Handbook on the external costs of transport229
    was used
    to monetise the costs230
    . As a result of the positive impacts on lives saved and injuries avoided presented
    above, PO3 shows the highest impact in terms of reduction in the external costs of accidents relative to the
    baseline (expressed as present value over the 2026-2050 period), estimated at EUR 75.2 billion. It is
    followed by PO2 with EUR 74.2 billion, PO1b with EUR 73.9 billion, and PO1a with EUR 48.1 billion.
    Table 17: Reduction in the external costs of accidents in the POs relative to the baseline, expressed as present
    value over the 2026-2050 horizon, in 2022 prices (million EUR)
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Fatalities 11,677 17,498 17,633 17,902
    Serious injuries 21,348 33,235 33,299 33,821
    Slight injuries 15,053 23,196 23,251 23,521
    Total 48,079 73,929 74,183 75,244
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    6.2.2. Impact on employment
    Measures involving an extension of vehicle scope or increase in testing frequency for particular vehicle
    categories will lead to additional inspections and the need for additional inspectors to perform them. The
    impact on the number of full-time RSI and PTI inspectors employed, relative to the baseline, has been
    estimatedonthe basis of the additional number ofinspections required in eachpolicyoption231
    .Theimpacts
    on the number of full-time RSI and PTI inspectors in 2026, 2030, and 2050, relative to the baseline, are
    provided in Table 18 and Table 19, respectively. It should be noted that RSI inspectors are employed by
    and generate costs for national public authorities (discussed in section 6.1.1), while PTI inspectors by PTI
    centres (included under businesses and discussed in section 6.1.2.1).
    Apart from the indirect positive impact on garage equipment manufacturers, related to the need for new
    testing equipment (in particular under PMC3 and PMC4), no direct impacts on employment are expected
    from the common set of measures. PO1a is expected to increase the number of full-time RSI inspectors by
    16 in 2030 and 20 in 2050 relative to the baseline. The impact on employment for PO1a is solely driven by
    PM1, which requires additional RSI inspectors to perform inspections of motorcycles over 125cc for those
    229
    https://op.europa.eu/en/publication-detail/-/publication/9781f65f-8448-11ea-bf12-01aa75ed71a1
    230
    Based on the Handbook, the external cost of a fatality in 2022 prices is estimated at around EUR 3.5 million, that of
    a serious injury at around EUR 0.5 million and that of a slight injury at around EUR 0.04 million. These values are
    multiplied by the number of fatalities, serious and slight injuries, respectively, to monetise the external costs of accidents
    in the context of this impact assessment.
    231
    The number of inspections per inspector is dependent on the assumed time taken to perform the required procedure and the
    location of the test (either at PTI centres or at the roadside).
    59
    Member States where there is no PTI currently in place. No direct impact on employment for PTI centres
    is expected under this policy option.
    PO1b is expected to increase the number of full-time PTI inspectors by 18,923 in 2030 and 20,322 in 2050,
    relative to the baseline. The increase in employment is mainly a result of PM2 and PM5 (PTI for
    motorcycles and annual emission testing for vans), PM6 (the mandatory yearly testing of vehicles that are
    10-year-old or older), PM10 (noise testing of motorcycles at PTI) and PM12 (for the additional emission
    tests for vehicles that are found as high emitters during remote sensing or plume chasing and are sent
    for emission test in a PTI centre). Of these, PM6 is expected to have by far the largest impact as it involves
    more frequent testing of around a quarter of the EU car and van fleet. No direct impact on employment for
    RSI inspectors is expected under this policy option.
    For PO2 the increase in the number of full-time PTI inspectors is slightly lower than in PO1b (18,752 in
    2030 and 20,107 in 2050, relative to the baseline). This is driven by the annual emission testing of vans
    (PM5), the mandatory yearly testing of vehicles that are 10-year-old or older (PM6), by the noise testing of
    motorcycles at PTI (PM10) and by the additional emission tests for vehicles that are found as high
    emitters during remote sensing or plume chasing and are sent for emission test in a PTI centre
    (PM12).UnlikePO1b,PO2does not includetheeffectofPM2.PO2is alsoexpectedtoincreasethenumber
    of full-time RSI inspectors by 204 in 2030 and 243 in 2050, relative to the baseline. The impact of PO2 on
    thenumberof full-time RSIinspectors is mostlydueto PM14, whichrequires to extendroadsideinspections
    to 2% of the fleet of vans. PM1 also requires additional inspectors relative to the baseline, to inspect
    motorcycles over 125cc for those Member States where there is no PTI currently in place.
    PO3 measures are expected to lead to 19,047 additional full-time PTI inspectors in 2030 and 20,357 in
    2050, relative to the baseline. Similarly to PO2, PO3 includes the impacts of PM5, PM6, PM10 and PM12.
    In addition, PM3 and PM4 also require additional inspectors from 2026 in PO3. PO3 is also expected to
    lead to an increase in the full-time RSI inspectors of 248 in 2030 and 283 in 2050, relative to the baseline.
    The increase in RSI employment for PO3, relative to the baseline, is due to the extension of the RSI scope
    to cover vans (PM14) and L-category vehicles (PM15).
    Table 18: Increase in the number of full-time RSI inspectors by policy option, relative to the baseline, in 2026,
    2030 and 2050
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    2026 15 - 197 242
    2030 16 - 204 248
    2050 20 - 243 283
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2023), Impact assessment support study
    Table 19: Increase in the number of full-time PTI inspectors by policy option, relative to the baseline, in 2026,
    2030 and 2050
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    2026 - 18,448 18,281 18,569
    2030 - 18,923 18,752 19,047
    2050 - 20,322 20,107 20,357
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2023), Impact assessment support study
    As well as the increase in the number of inspectors employed, there will be benefits from the additional
    training for the inspectors that will be needed to be able to deliver the new testing methods. The impact on
    inspectors’ skills will be positive for all policy options, with PO3 offering the greatest impact. Furthermore,
    the need for additional testing equipment for new test procedures and additional inspections will lead to
    60
    indirect employment benefits for the wider equipment supply chain and distribution network. In particular,
    the demand for additional and new testing equipment will lead to an increase in production-related jobs
    within Member States (provided that manufacturing capabilities are available within the EU27). Also, there
    will be employment benefits related to providing ongoing maintenance for the new testing equipment. In
    particular, measures concerning new emission testing equipment (PMC3 and PMC4) could increase
    equipment-related employment.
    6.2.3. Impacts on fundamental rights
    The policy options were assessedto determineifthey have an impact onthe fundamental rights and/or equal
    treatment of EU citizens. The starting point of the assessment of the fundamental rights is the Charter of
    Fundamental Rights of the European Union232
    . All POs were assessed having regard to the relevant EU
    instrument and it was concluded that they maintain full respect for human and fundamental rights, and none
    will have any negative impact thereon. A more detailed analysis is provided in Annex 12.
    6.3. Environmental impacts
    The analysis of environmental impacts covers the air pollutant emissions, CO2 emissions, noise emissions
    and natural resources. One of the general objectives is contributing to sustainable mobility, therefore the
    environmental benefits are an important justification for the initiative. In the first step, the expected
    contribution of each measure on the identification and removal of high emitter vehicles (whether due to
    defective emissions control systems or tampering) from the fleet is defined. It is assumed that high emitters
    identified will undergo repair (whether this refers to the replacement of malfunctioning filters, sensor or
    noise reduction system or the necessary modifications of the engine). The reduction of high emitters by
    policy option relative to the baseline is then used as input in the PRIMES-TREMOVE model to calculate
    the reduction in air pollutant emissions, and in the external costs of air pollution emissions and noise233
    . The
    impacts on environmental outcomes assessed are only linked to the measures considered in this impact
    assessment. More detailed explanations of the inputs used by policy measure are included in section 4.2 of
    Annex 4. A detailed discussion of the impacts on air pollution and noise emissions by policy option is
    provided in section 5.2 of Annex 4. A qualitative assessment is provided for the impacts on CO2 emissions
    and natural resources.
    Impacts on air pollutant emissions. The analysis of the impact on emissions has focused on the two
    pollutants that are targeted in the proposed measures, NOx and particulate matter (particulates). Other
    pollutants have not been considered although it is possible that by targeting high emitters for these two
    pollutants, there will also be benefits related to other air pollutants (e.g. CO, HC, SO2). Table presents the
    expected impact on the level of emissions in comparison to the baseline for each policy option. PO2 and
    PO3 are expected to have the highest cumulative impact on air pollutants reduction over 2026-2050 (3,969
    kilo-tonnes of NOx in PO2 and 3,970 kilo-tonnes of NOx in PO3, and 199 kilo-tonnes of PM in both PO2
    andPO3), representing a decreaseof 21% and 18.7% for NOx andPM, respectively, relative tothe baseline.
    PO1b shows somewhat lower levels of emissions reductions (20.8% for NOx and 18.5% for PM). PO1a is
    expected to bring the least reduction of both air pollutants over the 2026-2050 period (3,176 kilo-tonnes of
    NOx, representing a 16.8% reduction relative to the baseline, and 135 kilo-tonnes of PM, representing
    12.7% reduction).
    232
    https://commission.europa.eu/aid-development-cooperation-fundamental-rights/your-rights-eu/eu-charter-
    fundamental-rights_en
    233
    The 2019 Handbook on the external costs of transport (Source: https://op.europa.eu/en/publication-detail/-
    /publication/9781f65f-8448-11ea-bf12-01aa75ed71a1) has been used to monetise the costs.
    61
    Table 20: Impact on air pollutant emissions (kilo tonnes of NOx and PM2.5 avoided relative to the baseline in 2030
    and in 2050, and cumulative over 2026-2050; % change in cumulative air pollution emissions relative to the
    baseline)
    2030 2050 Cumulative
    over 2026-2050
    % change to
    baseline
    NOx (kilo tonnes of NOx avoided)
    PO1a 200.5 12.1 3,176 -16.8%
    PO1b 253.1 13.9 3,925 -20.8%
    PO2 255.9 14.0 3,969 -21.0%
    PO3 255.9 14.0 3,970 -21.0%
    PM2.5 (kilo tonnes of PM avoided)
    PO1a 7.8 0.6 135 -12.7%
    PO1b 12.0 0.8 196 -18.5%
    PO2 12.1 0.8 199 -18.7%
    PO3 12.1 0.8 199 -18.7%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    The external cost savings due to the reduction of air pollutant emissions (NOx and PM) were calculated
    using the 2019 Handbook on the external costs of transport234
    . PO2 and PO3 are expected to lead to the
    highest levels of reduction in external costs, estimated at around EUR 76.1 billion, expressed as present
    value over the 2026-2050 period. This is slightly higher than in PO1b (EUR 75.2 billion) and much higher
    than in PO1a (EUR 58.7 billion). Results are presented in Table .
    Table 21: Reduction in the external costs of air pollutant emissions relative to the baseline, expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050, in 2022 prices (million EUR)
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Reduction in external costs related to NOx emissions 46,966 58,054 58,646 58,659
    Reduction in external costs related to PM emissions 11,707 17,193 17,429 17,429
    Total reduction in external costs of air pollutant emissions 58,673 75,247 76,075 76,088
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Impact on noise emissions. The impact on the reduction of high emitters and thereby on noise is expected
    to be the lowest in PO1a as it does not contain any measure directly targeted at noise (it has a small positive
    impact through 6, the assumed introduction of roadside checks for motorcycles in six Member States where
    they are not fully covered by PTI235
    ). A higher impact is expected in the case of PO1b and PO2, combining
    more advanced noise testing in PTI (PM10) and use of remote sensing to support roadside inspections
    (PM12). For PO2 and PO3, additional positive impacts can also arise from the increase in roadside
    inspection of vans but the highest impacts in terms of noise reduction are expected in PO3, due to the
    mandatory RSI for motorcycles (PM15). Table 22 presents the estimated reduction in the external costs of
    noise for the four policy options, with PO3 providing the largest savings of around EUR 7.8 billion,
    expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline. PO1b and PO2 are expected to bring
    similar reductions in the external costs of noise (EUR 7.3 billion over the same period). The reduction under
    PO1a would be significantly lower (EUR 0.2 billion). As for the costs of accidents and air pollution, the
    external costsofnoisewerecalculatedusingthePRIMES-TREMOVEmodel,basedonthe2019Handbook
    on the external costs of transport.
    234
    https://op.europa.eu/en/publication-detail/-/publication/9781f65f-8448-11ea-bf12-01aa75ed71a1
    235
    BE, FI, IE, MT, NL, PL.
    62
    Table 22: Reduction in the external costs of noise emissions relative to the baseline, expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050, in 2022 prices (million EUR)
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Reduction in external costs related to noise emissions 154 7,323 7,319 7,757
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Impact on CO2 emissions and climate change. CO2 emissions are not tested as part of the roadworthiness
    and roadside inspections and the measures included in this analysis are not expected to have a direct impact
    on the CO2 emissions of vehicles. Any impact on CO2 emissions may only be indirect in case there would
    be reductions in the fuel consumption as a result of PTI inspections. Measure PM5 that introduces more
    frequent emission testing for vans from year 1, and PM6 on the annual testing of vehicles older than 10
    years could potentially have such an impact, but it is expected to remain very limited and has not been
    quantified.Thereductioninparticulatematter (soot)is not only expectedtoimprove airquality but probably
    also have a positive impact on climate change. Since dark particles absorb sunlight, warm the atmosphere
    and cause faster melting of snow and ice, they have a warming effect on the climate236
    . However, the extent
    of the net impact taking various indirect effects (including in cloud formation) into account is still uncertain
    and subject to ongoing research237
    . Although such an impact on climate change has not been quantified,
    recent calculations indicate that it may be substantial238
    .
    Impact on natural resources. Some of the measures under consideration are expected to have a direct
    impact on the use of natural resources. These include the requirement for the PTI certificate to be issued in
    electronic format only (PMC6, included in all policy options), and issuing the registration certificates in
    electronic format (PM16, included in PO1a, PO2 and PO3). Both can be expected to bring saving in terms
    of the use of paper that will be proportionate to the number of PTIs and vehicle registrations. However, their
    impact may be lower in the short term due to continued provision of paper versions on request. The
    replacement ofpaperPTIcertificates with digital copies is projectedtoaffect 161.5millionvehicles in2026,
    167.3 million vehicles in 2030 and 190.6 million in 2050. The replacement of paper registration certificates
    with digital copies is projected to affect 24.1 million new vehicles in 2026, 25.3 million new vehicles in
    2030 and 27.6 million in 2050. Hence the savings from electronic PTI certificates are expected to be much
    greater than for electronic registration certificates.
    Regarding the impact on biodiversity, it is considered that the reduction of NOx emissions from road
    transport may also have positive impact on the health of ecosystems, due to their reduced indirect exposure
    related to chronic accumulation of nitrogen. This impact, while established in various studies and
    reviews239
    , was however not analysed and quantified for this initiative since it is expected to be indirect and
    limited.
    All policy options are consistent with the environmental objectives of the European Green Deal (though
    contributing to these objectives at varying degrees as outlined above) and the European Climate Law240
    .
    All policy options contribute towards Sustainable Development Goals SDG 3. No significant harm is
    expected on the environment in any of the policy options.
    236
    See e.g.https://climate.nasa.gov/explore/ask-nasa-climate/3271/aerosols-small-particles-with-big-climate-effects/
    237
    See also Bond, T. C., et al. (2013), Bounding the role of black carbon in the climate system: A scientific assessment,
    J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 118, 5380–5552, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50171.
    238
    Mayer, A.C., Mayer, J., Wyser, M. et al. Particulate Filters for Combustion Engines to Mitigate Global Warming.
    Estimating the Effects of a Highly Efficient but Underutilized Tool. Emiss. Control Sci. Technol. (2024).
    https://doi.org/10.1007/s40825-023-00236-x
    239
    Ricardo-AEA Ltd for Natural (2016), Such as the ecological effects of air pollution from road transport: an updated
    review.
    240
    Regulation (EU) 2021/1119
    63
    7. HOW DO THE OPTIONS COMPARE?
    7.1. Effectiveness
    The assessment of effectiveness looks at the extent to which the policy options meet the general and specific
    objectives (SO) of the intervention. Table provides the link between policy objectives and assessment
    criteria.
    Table 23: Link between objectives and assessment criteria
    Objectives Assessment criteria
    General objectives
    GO1- Improve road safety in the EU % reduction in the level of fatalities and injuries and associated
    external costs
    GO2 – Contribute to sustainable mobility % reduction in the level of air pollutant emissions and noise
    from road transport and associated external costs
    GO3 - Facilitate the free movement of persons and
    goods in the Union
    Removal of obstacles to re-registration of vehicles in another
    MS related to roadworthiness legal framework
    Removal of obstacles related to the roadworthiness testing of
    vehicles (recognition of certificates issued by other MSs)
    Specific objectives
    SO1 – Ensure the adequacy, consistency,
    objectivity and quality of roadworthiness testing of
    today's and tomorrow's vehicles
    Use of available test methods and procedures to assess the
    roadworthiness of vehicles, including new internal combustion
    engine and electric vehicles, and their electronic safety and
    emission control systems
    SO2 – Significantly reduce fraud and tampering,
    and improve the detection of defective vehicles
    Impact (% of reduction) on the number of defective vehicles
    Impact (% reduction) on the number of vehicles with tampered
    emission/noise control system
    Impact (% reduction) on the number of vehicles with tampered
    odometer
    SO3 - Improve electronic storage and exchange of
    relevant vehicle identification and status data
    Reduction of time/costs associated with the access to relevant
    vehicle data by inspection centres and enforcement and
    registration authorities.
    All policy options contribute to the general objective of increasing road safety in the EU through more
    effective identification of vehicles with major and dangerous defect in the fleet. The most effective policy
    options are PO3 (7,013 lives saved and 65,686 serious injuries avoided), PO2 (6,912 lives saved and 64,885
    serious injuries avoided) and PO1b (6,847 lives saved and 64,640 serious injuries avoided), while for PO1a
    a smaller positive effect is expected (4,661 lives saved and 42,272 serious injuries avoided). All policy
    options will also contribute to sustainable mobility by reducing air pollutant and noise emissions. This
    will lead to a reduction of external costs of these emissions, with the most effective options being PO3
    (external costs savings from the reduction of air pollutants and noise estimated at EUR 83.8 billion), PO2
    (external costs savings estimated at EUR 83.4 billion) and PO1b (external costs savings estimated at EUR
    82.6 billion). PO1a, as the least effective, is expected to bring external costs savings of EUR 58.8 billion.
    All policy options will facilitate the free movement of persons and goods in the EU through removal of
    obstacles to re-registration of vehicles in another Member State, where PO1a, PO2 and PO3 are expected
    to be similarly effective, while PO1b is expected to be less effective due to the absence of measures on
    digital vehicle registration certificate and additional data included in the vehicle register. Regarding
    removing obstacles related to the roadworthiness testing of vehicles, PO3 is expected to be the most
    effective option due to EU wide recognition of PTI certificates in another Member State extended to all
    vehicles, followed by PO2 and PO1b (limited EU wide recognition of PTI certificates) and PO1a as the
    least effective (bilateral agreements on recognition of PTI certificates).
    64
    Thanks to the common set of measures, all policy options are effective in reaching the specific objectives.
    The differences in their overall effectiveness are linked to their focus, and thus the inclusion of additional
    measures aimed at further addressing one or the other specific objective.
    As regards SO1, all options can be expected to bring significant benefits through introducing test methods
    for the inspection of electric vehicles, improved emission testing for internal combustion engine vehicles
    (NOx and PN measurement), and the introduction of testing ADAS and other safety systems required by
    theGeneral SafetyRegulation.PO1b, PO2 and PO3 are expectedtoperform betterthanPO1a as they would
    bring additional positive impacts through the introduction of mandatory cargo securing inspections and new
    ways of testing, such as plume chasing and remote sensing to monitor pollutant and noise emissions. PO2
    and PO3 go even further than PO1b with the data governance measures to define the procedures and means
    of access to vehicle technical information by PTI centres, that should also contribute to the enhanced quality
    and consistency of inspections.
    In terms ofthe achievement ofSO2,all options are expectedtoleadtoa reductionofdefective andtampered
    vehicles through improved detection, thanks to the new ways of testing, as well as to systematically
    addressing odometer fraud. PO1b, PO2 and PO3 are however expected to be significantly more effective,
    due to the increase in the scope of vehicles covered (mandatory yearly testing of vehicles over 10 years old).
    PO1b and PO3 are more effective than PO2 in reducing the negative externalities associated with
    motorcycles (mandatory PTI versus optional in the other two options).
    Roadside inspections are an effective complementary measure when it comes to the identification of
    tampering of emission and noise control systems, the latter especially for motorcycles, that are much more
    difficult to capture as part of the PTI since they are very easy to manipulate. Therefore, PO2 and PO3 are
    expected to be more effective, given that both extend RSI to light commercial vehicles, and in the case of
    PO3, also to motorcycles. Nevertheless, the differences between PO3 and PO1b and PO2 in terms of the
    expected level of reduction of defective vehicles and high emitters are relatively small, essentially linked to
    the more comprehensive approach of PO3, i.e. the inclusion of all motorcycles in both PTI and RSI. PO3 is
    expected to be the most effective in addressing SO2, closely followed by PO2and PO1b, while PO1a is
    expected to be significantly less effective.
    In relation to SO3, all options can be expected to make a positive contribution based on the common
    measures on the mandatory electronic roadworthiness certificate, access to relevant PTI and registration
    data for national authorities by using a common interface and the harmonisation and regular update of
    technical data in vehicle registration documents. PO1a, PO2 and PO3 are expected to bring additional
    benefits due to the extension of data included in the vehicle register database and the introduction of the
    vehicle registration document in digital format. Moreover, PO2 and PO3 are expected to be more effective
    than PO1a and PO1b because of improved data governance and enhanced access to relevant vehicle
    technical information for PTI centres. Taken together, while there are limited differences among the four
    policy options in meeting the SO3, PO2 and PO3 appear to be most effective, followed by PO1a, and PO1b
    being the least effective option.
    Overall, option PO3 seems to be the most effective when considering the expected contribution towards the
    achievement of all general and specific objectives, closely followed by PO2. PO1a is the least effective –
    especially in relation to specific objectives SO1 and SO2. PO1b is almost as effective as PO2 in terms of
    SO1 and SO2, but is expected to be less effective in the case of objective SO3. A more detailed assessment
    of the effectiveness, including quantified impacts per objective can be found in Annex 9.
    7.2. Efficiency
    Efficiency concerns the ‘extent to which objectives can be achieved for a given cost (cost effectiveness)’.
    The estimates of costs and benefits are summarised in Table .
    65
    Table 24: Summary of costs and benefits of policy options – present value over 2026-2050 compared to the baseline
    (in million EUR), in 2022 prices
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    PTI centres
    Adjustment costs 3,734.1 23,507.9 23,332.2 25,061.7
    Administrative costs 0.0 0.0 136.5 136.5
    Administrative costs savings 0.0 0.0 1,643.4 1,643.4
    Benefits 860.5 39,394.2 39,100.1 39,968.0
    Garages, motor vehicle dealers,
    tyre and repair stations, etc.
    Administrative costs 460.0 460.0 460.0 460.0
    OEMs
    Administrative costs 0.0 0.0 55.9 55.9
    Other businesses - vehicle owners
    Administrative costs 524.2 25,458.4 25,666.4 26,051.5
    Administrative costs savings 0.0 1,287.3 1,287.3 1,287.3
    Benefits 118,340.5 118,340.5 118,340.5 118,340.5
    Citizens
    Administrative costs 344.2 13,944.3 13,658.1 14,150.0
    Adjustment costs savings 878.2 2,144.6 2,144.6 4,289.3
    Administrative costs savings 0.0 591.9 591.9 591.9
    Benefits 65,666.9 65,666.9 65,666.9 65,666.9
    National public authorities
    Adjustment costs 7.0 198.3 207.2 208.0
    Administrative costs 2,233.8 2,190.4 2,387.5 2,397.9
    Enforcement costs 0.0 32.9 0.0 77.4
    Administrative costs savings 5,226.3 3,796.8 5,226.3 5,226.3
    External costs savings
    Air pollution 58,673.1 75,246.6 76,074.5 76,087.7
    Accidents 48,078.8 73,929.4 74,183.0 75,244.2
    Noise 154.2 7,323.4 7,319.4 7,756.7
    Total costs 7,303.3 65,792.3 65,903.9 68,598.9
    Total benefits 297,878.5 387,721.5 391,577.8 396,102.1
    Net benefits 290,575.2 321,929.2 325,674.0 327,503.2
    Benefits to costs ratio 40.8 5.9 5.9 5.8
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2023), Impact assessment support study
    Total costs are projected to be the lowest in PO1a, estimated at EUR 7.3 billion expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline, followed by PO1b (EUR 65.8 billion), PO2 (EUR 65.9 billion) and
    PO3 (EUR 68.6 billion). Of these, adjustment costs for PTI centres (for equipment, training, and additional
    inspectors to perform the inspections) represent around 51% of the total costs in PO1a, 36% in PO1b, 35%
    of the total costs in PO2 and 37% in PO3. Administrative costs for other businesses (i.e., vehicle owners),
    for additional periodic technical inspections and cooperating on roadside inspections with the public
    authorities, represent another important element of the total costs (7% of total costs in PO1a, 39% in PO1b
    andin PO2and38%inPO3). This is alsothe caseof administrative costs for citizens (for additional periodic
    technical inspections and cooperating on roadside inspections with the public authorities), estimated at 5%
    of the total costs in PO1a and 21% of total costs in PO1b, PO2 and PO3. The large share of administrative
    costs for other businesses and citizens (i.e., vehicle owners) in PO1b, PO2 and PO3 is related to the
    mandatory yearly testing for vehicles that are 10-year-old or older (PM6). Finally, administrative costs for
    national public administrations are expected to represent around 31% of the total costs in PO1a and below
    4% in PO1b, PO2 and PO3. In PO1a these relate to the setup of the database with odometer readings and
    66
    the operation of the system (PMC9). Other costs represent a relatively small share of the total costs in all
    policy options.
    Total benefits are estimated at EUR 297.9 billion in PO1a, EUR 387.7 billion in PO1b, EUR 391.6 billion
    in PO2 and EUR 396.1 billion in PO3, expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline.
    Of these, external costs savings related to air pollutant emissions, noise emissions and accidents would
    represent around 36% in PO1a and 40% in PO1b, in PO2 and in PO3. Benefits for citizens and other
    businesses (i.e.,vehicleowners)duetotheavoided odometerfraudwouldrepresent62%ofthetotal benefits
    in PO1a, 47% in PO1b and in PO2 and 46% in PO3. In addition, the mandatory yearly testing for vehicles
    that are 10-year-old or older (PM6) would lead to additional benefits for the PTI centres in PO1b, PO2 and
    PO3 due to the higher number of inspections relative to the baseline. The total benefits for the PTI centres
    are estimated at around 10% of the total benefits in PO1b, PO2 and PO3. Other costs savings represent a
    relatively small share of the total benefits in all policy options.
    Overall, all policy options result in net benefits relative to the baseline. PO3 shows the highest net benefits,
    estimated at EUR 327.5 billion expressed as present value over 2026-2050, followed by PO2 (EUR 325.7
    billion), PO1b (EUR 321.9 billion) and PO1a (EUR 290.6 billion). PO1a shows the highest benefits to costs
    ratio among the options (40.8), followed by PO1b (5.9), PO2 (5.9) and PO3 (5.8).
    Among the measures included in the policy options, it should be noted that the setup of the database with
    odometer readings and the operation of the system (PMC9, included in all options) is estimated to lead to
    the highest benefits to costs ratio (69.8). The mandatory yearly testing for older vehicles (PM6, included in
    PO1b, PO2 and PO3) is estimated to lead to benefits to costs ratio of 1.4, the mandatory PTI for light trailers
    (PM4, included in PO3) to benefits to costs ratio of 0.7, and the policy measures focusing on motorcycles
    to benefits to costs ratios of 2.4 to 20.2. More specifically, for motorcycles the policy measures focusing on
    roadside inspections (PM1, included in PO1a and PO2; and PM15, included in PO3) show much higher
    benefits to costs ratio (20.2 for PM1 and 18.5 for PM15) than measures extending the PTI (PM2, included
    in PO1b with benefits to costs ratio of 2.4; and PM3, included in PO3, with benefits to costs ratio of 2.5).
    This is because of the higher effectiveness of the roadside inspections relative to PTI. More details on the
    calculation of the benefits to costs ratios for these measures are provided in Annex 4 (section 6).
    7.3. Coherence
    Internal coherence assesses how various elements of the proposed options are expected to work together
    to achieve the objectives. Although all four policy options address the identified specific objectives and
    underlying problem drivers, they do so in different ways, and with a different level of intervention. All
    policy options ensure internal coherence. Among the four options, PO2 and PO3 are expected to benefit
    from a broader range of synergies that can contribute to a higher level of achievement of the objectives.
    This is thanks to their more comprehensive approach compared to PO1a and PO1b. Synergies indicated
    in relation to PO1a and PO1b are expected to increase in the case of PO2 and PO3, containing more
    comprehensive sets of measures and even lead to extra synergies, for example due to measures on
    registration certificates and more harmonised registered data. The differences between PO2 and PO3
    are limited. They consist in PO3 proposing almost complete harmonisation in the area of roadworthiness
    testing: in terms of testing methods, full recognition of PTI certificates, and the full coverage of smaller
    motorcycles (down to 50 cm3
    ) and light trailers by PTI, as well as RSI for motorcycles. On the other hand,
    PO2 addresses the bulk of the issues/inconsistencies.
    External coherence focuses on the compliance of the initiative with other EU instruments and relevant EU
    policies, as well as national policies or international obligations. All identified policy options show strong
    links to several EU instruments. In terms of external coherence, all policy options are considered consistent
    with relevant EU strategies and legal instruments and contribute to EU policy priorities. PO1b (focussing
    67
    on more and better testing), as well as PO2 and PO3 perform best when it comes to coherence with the road
    safety policies, notably the “Vision Zero” objective. The same is true as regards coherence with the EU’s
    green policies, such as the European Green Deal, the Sustainable and Smart Mobility Strategy, the Zero
    Pollution Action Plan and the air quality legislation. On the other hand, PO1a, PO2 and PO3 are more
    coherent with digital policies (e.g. the Single Digital Gateway, Data Act) than PO1b. In relative terms, PO3
    and PO2 are expected to be the most coherent with the policy objectives in related EU legislation and
    strategies, followed by PO1b and PO1a being slightly less coherent. In relation to the well-established
    national policies in the field, however, stronger interventions, in particular in PO3, are less coherent. This is
    further explained under section 7.4 below. Detailed comparison of policy options regarding internal and
    external coherence is provided in Annex 14.
    7.4. Subsidiarity and proportionality
    Regarding subsidiarity, and as described in sections 3.2 and 3.3, EU action is justified on the basis that
    MemberStates alone wouldnot be able to reachtheobjectives of the initiative,i.e., updating the harmonised
    rules on roadworthiness testing, including coordinated exchange of vehicle-related data. What differentiates
    the policy options beyond the common measures necessary to achieve the objectives at a minimum level is
    their focus (between PO1a and PO1b) and the extent to which they can fulfil the objectives (PO2 and PO3
    going beyond the other two). In terms of proportionality, as the level of intervention and associated costs
    increase from PO1a to PO3, the level of positive impacts also increases, although not proportionally (as
    shown by the efficiency ratios).
    In general, the scope of the options is limited to what can best be achieved at the EU level (in terms of
    harmonisation of methods and scope of testing, as well as in finding common solutions to ensure efficient
    sharing and access to the necessary vehicle data). All policy options comply with the principle of
    subsidiarity and proportionality, with PO3 possibly going somewhat beyond what is necessary to
    reach the objectives. This may be the case in particular with requiring full recognition of PTI
    certificates, which may not be compatible with existing structural differences in the way Member
    States have set up their periodic testing involving, among others, significant differences in pricing,
    granting concessions and differences in the structural organisation of the PTIs. In addition, it could
    be argued that the need to introduce PTI for light motorcycles and trailers, which primarily circulate
    on national territory, may be best assessed by Member States. More detailed analysis on subsidiarity
    and proportionality is provided in Annex14.
    Table 25 provides a summary of the comparison of the options against the baseline scenario in terms of
    effectiveness, efficiency, coherence, subsidiarity, and proportionality. The following ranking symbols have
    been used: from '+' (more effective/efficient/coherent/proportionate than the baseline) to '+++' (much more
    effective/efficient/coherent/proportionate than the baseline).
    Table 25: Comparison of options in terms of effectiveness, efficiency, coherence, subsidiarity and proportionality
    relative to the baseline
    Impacts PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Effectiveness + ++ ++/+++ +++
    Road safety (GO1)
    Reduced fatalities by 4,661 6,847 6,912 7,013
    Reduced severe injuries by 42,272 64,640 64,885 65,686
    Reduced slight injuries by 239,803 364,155 365,665 368,498
    External cost savings (billion EUR) 48.1 73.9 74.2 75.2
    (++) (+++) (+++) (+++)
    Air pollution and noise (GO2)
    Reduction of NOx emissions (kt) 3,176 3,925 3,969 3,970
    68
    Impacts PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Reduction of PM emissions (kt) 135 196 199 199
    External cost savings - emissions (billion
    EUR)
    58.7 75.2 76.1 76.1
    (++) (+++) (+++) (+++)
    External cost savings - noise (billion
    EUR)
    0.2 7.3 7.3 7.8
    (0/+) (++) (++) (++)
    Free movement of persons and goods
    (GO3)
    Removal of obstacles to re-registration of
    vehicles in another MS
    (++) (+) (++) (++)
    Removal of obstacles related to the
    roadworthiness testing
    (+) (++) (++) (+++)
    Update of roadworthiness testing (SO1)
    Roadworthiness of vehicles (incl. electric)
    in terms of their road safety performance
    (+) (+++) (+++) (+++)
    Roadworthiness of vehicles in terms of
    their environmental performance
    (+) (+++) (+++) (+++)
    Reducing tempering, improving
    detection of defected vehicles (SO2)
    Reduction defective and tampered
    vehicles in terms of emission control
    systems
    (++) (+++) (+++) (+++)
    Reduction of vehicles with tampered
    emission/noise control system
    (0/+) (+) (++) (+++)
    Reduction of odometer tampering (+++) (+++) (+++) (+++)
    Benefits due to reduction of odometer
    tampering (billion EUR)
    118.3 (businesses
    owners)
    65.7 (consumers)
    118.3 (businesses
    owners)
    65.7 (consumers)
    118.3 (businesses
    owners)
    65.7 (consumers)
    118.3 (businesses
    owners)
    65.7 (consumers)
    Electronic storage and exchange of
    vehicle identification and status data
    (SO3)
    Reduction of time/costs related to the
    access and exchange of relevant vehicle
    data:
    (+++) (+) (+++) (+++)
    - Cost savings for authorities (billion
    EUR)
    0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64
    - Cost savings for PTI centres (billion
    EUR)
    1.43 0.0 1.43 1.43
    Efficiency +++ ++ ++ ++
    Coherence ++ ++ +++ ++
    Subsidiarity and proportionality ++ ++ ++ +
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    7.5. Sensitivity analysis
    Sensitivity analysis on contribution of technical defects to road crashes and share of high emitting
    vehicles of airpollution and noise in the fleet. As indicated in section 6.2.1, there is significant uncertainty
    around the contribution of technical defects to road crashes. The central assumption used is that 4% of road
    crashes are caused by technical defects in the case of cars, vans, heavy duty vehicles and trailers and 6% in
    the case of motorcycles. A sensitivity analysis has been performed to understand the implications of lower
    or higher contribution of technical defects to road crashes. The following cases have been assessed:
    - Low case: 3% for motorcycles and 1% for all other categories;
    - High case: 9% for motorcycles and 7% for all other vehicle categories.
    69
    In addition, considering the uncertainty of the share of high emitting vehicles of air pollution and noise in
    the fleet, the implications of alternative shares of high and low emitters in the baseline scenario have been
    assessed. More specifically, compared to the central case the following assumptions have been used:
    - Low case: shares of high emitters 25% lower than in the baseline;
    - High case: shares of high emitters 25% higher than in the baseline.
    Subsequently, the impacts on external costs and the efficiency of the policy options is assessed for the low
    and high case, including both elements related to safety and emissions.
    Table 29 presents the impacts on total benefits, net benefits and benefits to costs ratio by policy option in
    the low case, central case and high case. It shows that all policy options are expected to result in net benefits
    under the three cases considered. It also shows that the ranking of the policy options is not expected to
    change in the low case and high case relative to the central case estimates. More details on the sensitivity
    analysis, including the details on the external costs by type, are provided in Annex 4 (section 7).
    Table 26: Summary of costs and benefits of the policy options in the low case, central case and high case, expressed
    as present value over 2025-2050 compared to the baseline (in million EUR, in 2022 prices)
    Difference to the Baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total costs 7,303.3 65,792.3 65,903.9 68,598.9
    Total benefits
    Low case 282,344.8 347,977.0 351,341.5 355,230.4
    Central case 297,878.6 387,721.5 391,578.3 396,102.2
    High case 317,762.6 428,602.8 432,933.3 438,106.8
    Net benefits
    Low case 275,041.5 282,184.7 285,437.6 286,631.5
    Central case 290,575.3 321,929.3 325,674.4 327,503.3
    High case 310,459.3 362,810.5 367,029.4 369,507.9
    Benefits to costs ratio
    Low case 38.7 5.3 5.3 5.2
    Central case 40.8 5.9 5.9 5.8
    High case 43.5 6.5 6.6 6.4
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Sensitivity analysis on odometer fraud. As explained in sections 6.1.2.4 and 6.1.3, it should be
    acknowledged that there is uncertainty regarding the economic damage caused by odometer fraud and the
    number of vehicles affected. For this reason, sensitivity analysis has been performed on the economic
    damage caused by odometer fraud and the number of vehicles affected.
    With regard to the economic damage caused by odometer fraud, a central estimate of EUR 2,119 per
    vehicle has been used and it is explained in more detail in Annex 4 (section 2). The following cases have
    been assessed:
    - Low economic damage case: 20% lower damage costs/costs savings per vehicle (EUR 1,696 per
    vehicle);
    - High economic damage case: 20% higher damage costs/costs savings per vehicle (EUR 2,543 per
    vehicle).
    70
    With regard to thenumber of vehicles affected, the central assumptions used for the shares of vehicles with
    tampered odometers areprovided in Annex 4 (section 2), Table 37.Thefollowing cases have been assessed:
    - Fewer vehicles affected case: share of affected vehicles 20% lower than in the central case;
    - More vehicles affected case: share of affected vehicles 20% higher than in the central case.
    In addition,thecombinedimpact ofthe economicdamagecausedbyodometer fraudandvehiclesaffected
    has been assessed as follows:
    - Low economic damage and vehicles affected case: 20% lower damage costs/costs savings per
    vehicle (EUR 1,696 per vehicle) and the share of affected vehicles 20% lower than in the central
    case;
    - High economic damage and vehicles affected case: 20% higher damage costs/costs savings per
    vehicle (EUR 2,543 per vehicle) and the share of affected vehicles 20% higher than in the central
    case.
    Subsequently, the impacts on the benefits due to avoided odometer fraud and the efficiency of the policy
    options is assessed for the low case and for the high case. In this section, only the combined impact of the
    sensitivity analysis for economic damage caused by odometer fraud and vehicles affected is presented. The
    results of the separate sensitivity analysis for the economic damage caused by odometer fraud and for the
    number of vehicles affected is presented in Annex 4 (section 7).
    Table 27 presents the impacts on total benefits, net benefits and benefits to costs ratio by policy option in
    the low economic damage and vehicles affected case, central case and high economic damage and vehicles
    affected case. It shows that all policy options are expected to result in net benefits under the three cases
    considered. It also shows that the ranking of the policy options is not expected to significantly change in the
    low economic damage and vehicles affected case and high economic damage and vehicles affected case
    relative to the central case estimates. More details on the benefits due to avoided odometer fraud in each
    case are provided in Annex 4 (section 7).
    Table 27: Summary of costs and benefits of the policy options in the low economic damage and vehicles affected
    case, central case and high economic damage and vehicles affected case, expressed as present value over 2025-
    2050 compared to the baseline (in million EUR, in 2022 prices)
    Difference to the Baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total costs 7,303.3 65,792.3 65,903.9 68,598.9
    Total benefits
    Low economic damage and vehicles
    affected case
    231,635.9 321,478.8 325,335.2 329,859.5
    Central case 297,878.5 387,721.5 391,577.8 396,102.1
    High economic damage and vehicles
    affected case
    378,841.8 468,684.7 472,541.1 477,065.4
    Net benefits
    Low economic damage and vehicles
    affected case
    224,332.5 255,686.6 259,431.3 261,260.6
    Central case 290,575.2 321,929.2 325,674.0 327,503.2
    High economic damage and vehicles
    affected case
    371,538.5 402,892.5 406,637.2 408,466.5
    Benefits to costs ratio
    Low economic damage and vehicles
    affected case
    31.7 4.9 4.9 4.8
    Central case 40.8 5.9 5.9 5.8
    71
    Difference to the Baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    High economic damage and vehicles
    affected case
    51.9 7.1 7.2 7.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    8. PREFERRED OPTION
    8.1. Identification of the preferred policy options and stakeholder views
    Each of the policy options addresses the problems identified, their drivers and the specific objectives,
    however some options are more effective in achieving the specific and general objectives. As indicated in
    the previous sections, PO3 is the most effective option, as it performs best or among the best under all
    assessment criteria (cf. Annex 9), since it aims to fill most regulatory gaps. It is followed very closely by
    PO2, with PO1b and PO1a being less effective (especially PO1a at least in terms of bringing quantifiable
    benefits). The fact that PO1a and PO1b perform less well on certain aspects is due to their focus on better
    exchange of data (PO1a) and on better testing (PO1b), while PO2 and PO3 combine the key measures of
    the first two options. While PO1b performs very well in relation to the objectives of improving road safety
    (GO1) and reducing the number of high-emitting vehicles (GO2), PO1a does so in terms of improving free
    movement (GO3). The advantages of PO2 and PO3 become clear when comparing the options against the
    specificobjectives,wherethey achievehigh scores whilePO1aandPO1b arelimitedbytheirspecific focus.
    PO1a is the least effective, especially in relation to specific objectives SO1 and SO2.
    On the other hand, in terms of efficiency, PO1a performs much better as it generates the lowest costs, while
    PO1b, PO2 and PO3 are more costly but also bring more benefits. PO1a is the most efficient option, with
    benefits to costs ratio estimated at 40.8. PO1b, PO2 and PO3 show very similar benefits to costs ratio (5.8
    to 5.9). In terms of net benefits that can be quantified, PO1b, PO2 and PO3 perform significantly better
    than PO1a, while the quantifiable differences among these three options are relatively limited (they are
    essentially down to the measures extending PTI or RSI to relatively smaller groups of vehicles). In addition,
    compared to PO1b, PO2 brings cost savings for PTI centres due to improved data governance, as well as
    increased and more accessible data for authorities and inspection centres in PO2 as compared to PO1b
    which facilitates re-registration and roadside inspections. The efficiency and the net benefits of PO2 and
    PO3 would further increase compared to PO1b if the benefits related to achieving the objectives related to
    free movement (GO3) could be quantified. PO2 appears to strike the best balance between achieving the
    objectives to a high degree, while performing at better the other options in terms of internal and external
    coherence (by combining the most important measures of PO1a and PO1b while not having issues with
    external coherence as PO3), as well as in terms of subsidiarity and proportionality (by including only what
    is most needed to achieve the objectives).
    While all options include the most efficient policymeasure (PMC9 addressing odometer fraud), which offer
    very high benefits compared to limited costs, only PO1b, PO2 and PO3 feature relatively costly measures
    that introduce new testing requirements. Among them, the mandatory yearly testing of vehicles older than
    10 years generate the highest costs, but also the largest benefits, both in terms of road safety and emission
    reductions. Crucially, this measure also generates a significant number of jobs, especially in Member States
    where the automotive industry is facing historical challenges. Comparatively, the measures differentiating
    between PO2 and PO3 are less significant, albeit still relevant. The detailed costs and benefits of those
    measures are outlined in Annex 4, section 5 and 6.
    PO2 addresses all identified issues in a comprehensive manner by adapting roadworthiness testing to new
    vehicles with a capability of identifying a significant share of high-emitters and various forms of tampering,
    including odometer fraud with the help of digitalisation and better exchange of vehicle data. What PO2 does
    not do in comparison to PO3 is mandatory PTI for all motorcycles, trailers, including lighter ones, and the
    72
    full recognition of PTIs conducted in another Member State with further harmonisation of test methods.
    While these measures could bring further benefits, they appear to be limited in comparison to the costs and
    additional administrative efforts required, and thus lower the efficiency of PO3. In relation to the well-
    established national policies in the field, PO3 also appears to be less coherent than PO2, and regarding the
    full recognition of PTI certificates, PO3 could be going beyond what is necessary to reach the
    objectives and it may not be compatible with existing structural differences of PTI testing setup in
    the Member States.
    The analysis above points at PO2 as the preferred policy option, given it is considered effective
    in reaching the policy objectives, it presents high efficiency and net benefits and it appears to be
    coherent with the well-established national policies in the field, while including in its set of measures
    only those which are needed to achieve the objectives.
    The preferred option enjoys the support of the PTI industry (CITA, FSD and others) as well as FIA, testing
    equipment (EGEA) and motorcycle manufacturers (ACEM). It is supported also by some Member States,
    notably those that rely on thousands of smaller roadworthiness testing centres. Regarding access and
    exchange of information, various respondents (including CITA, EGEA and EReg), underlined the
    importance of free and easy access to in-vehicle data to enable the proper inspection of vehicles.
    Stricter cargo securing requirements included in this option are strongly supported by the logistics industry.
    Various industry respondents, including PTI operators, called for the extension of the PTI Directive
    to cover all road vehicles. While stakeholders belonging to motorcyclists’ groups at EU or national
    level did not support such extension of the PTI to motorcycles in the OPC, in the survey most of the
    respondents supported mandatory PTI for motorcycles with the objective to reduce tampering and
    the detection of defected vehicles. Stakeholders also noted that many Member States already required
    a PTI for motorcycles, as well as for tractors and/or trailers.
    All policy options include mandatory testing after significant modification of a vehicle, which was
    supported by stakeholders in the survey. Regarding the increased frequency of testing, PO2
    introduces annual emission testing for vans, and it also contains a requirement for an annual PTI for
    vehicles over 10 years old, both these measures being supported by a majority of stakeholders in the
    survey.
    Regarding the recognition of PTIs conducted in another Member State, PO3 introduces a full
    recognition, while PO2 requires the recognition of the PTI from another MS than the MS of
    registration for a period of up to 6 months. Stakeholder views on this differ to quite some extent:
    vehicle owners and those not directly involved in PTI inspections tended to be more in favour of the
    mutual recognition of PTI certificates under certain conditions, although some recognised that the
    mutual recognition under bilateral agreements would be a good first step. Those more actively
    involved with inspections were concerned that the difference between the approach taken to PTIs in
    different Member States meant that mutual recognition would be difficult and potentially lead to
    adverse effects on safety. Concerns were also raised that mutual recognition without the increased
    harmonisation of PTIs would lead to “PTI tourism”, where drivers had their vehicles tested in
    countries where it was easier to pass a PTI.
    All policy options tackle odometer tampering. New methods for tackling odometer fraud were
    considered as necessary by 69% (107) respondents in the OPC and adding odometer data to the
    vehicle register was welcomed by 72% (111) respondents in the OPC. In the consultations, in relation
    to odometer readings, some stakeholders suggested that it should be mandatory to record odometer
    data at certain events, such as following accidents and the transfer of ownership, and that potential
    buyers should have access to all this information. Not all stakeholders were however positive about
    73
    this measure: some called on odometer system manipulation to be addressed via type-approval
    legislation, rather than the revision of the PTI Directive (FIA), and others questioned the potential
    inclusion of new methods to tackle odometer fraud, arguing that inspection organisations did not
    have the legal means or ways to detect and sanction such fraud (CITA).
    Regarding the content of RSI, a majority of respondents (81% and 77% respectively) thought that
    PN testing for commercial vehicles and NOx and noise testing for all vehicles using remote sensing
    would improve the detection of defective vehicles and reduce tampering. In the OPC, a small majority
    supported extended emission testing (e.g., NOx and PN), including the use of remote sensing
    equipment, during RSI. Regarding cargo securing, there was a high level of support for mandatory
    checks during roadside inspections of commercial vehicles to ensure the safe securing of cargo,
    expressed in the survey and OPC.
    In relation to introducing RSI to light commercial vehicles, around three quarters of respondents
    thought that the extension of the scope of the RSI to light commercial vehicles would contribute to
    better detection of defective and tampered vehicles, but some stakeholders also suggested that this
    could bring additional costs, in terms of lost time, for SMEs operating such vehicles.
    Regarding access and exchange of information/data, two-thirds of respondents in OPC supported
    clarifying the existing rules on access to in-vehicle data. Vehicle and equipment
    manufacturers/suppliers were less supportive of this provision than others. In response to the open
    survey and interview questions, various respondents (including CITA, EGEA and EReg), underlined
    the importance of free and easy access to in-vehicle data to enable the proper inspection of vehicles.
    Finally, all policy options include measures aimed at facilitating exchange of PTI and registration
    data. PO1a, PO2 and PO3 furthermore introduce measures on the digitalisation of registration
    certificates and new data sets to be included. A large majority of stakeholders supported these
    measures. National authority respondents highlighted that 17 Member States already used Eucaris
    for the purpose of data exchange, and that this system worked well. They underlined that data on the
    vehicle register should be harmonised and available to all organisations that were involved in
    undertaking PTIs and RSIs for national authorities. EReg called for a larger set of data to be included
    in the vehicle register and generally supported the digitalisation of the vehicle registration documents
    and the mutual recognition of these. Various national authorities, and users, underlined the
    importance of the data in the vehicle register being up to date as soon as relevant changes happen.
    More details on stakeholder views are provided in Annex 2.
    8.2. REFIT (simplification and improved efficiency)
    This initiative is included in the Commission Work Programme 2023241
    , item 3 in Annex II: REFIT
    initiatives, under headline A – A European Green Deal. It contributes to increasing the efficiency of the
    existing legislation in various ways: by replacing obsolete test methods with stat-of-the art solutions both at
    periodic as well as at roadside checks by requiring to use the most recent measurement techniques and
    technology to more effectively detect a large number of high-emitting vehicles; by introducing simple,
    nevertheless meaningful tests to check the safety and environmental performance of modern vehicles in a
    harmonised way; by interconnecting national databases to help share and access vehicle data that otherwise
    would be exchanged using more cumbersome procedures. The initiative is expected to significantly reduce
    fraud related to emission and safety-relevant systems as well as to the stated mileage of used vehicles
    241
    2023 Commission work programme – key documents (europa.eu)
    74
    especially in cross-border sales and would thus lead to significant savings in external costs as well as in
    avoided damage to consumers.
    8.3. Application of the ‘one in, one out’ approach
    PO2 is expected toleadto administrative costs forPTI centres and vehiclemanufacturers due tothemeasure
    on data governance (PM11), and for garages, motor vehicle dealers, tyre service and repair stations due to
    the measure on odometer readings (PMC9).
    For PTI centres, the one-off administrative costs for the adaptation of their IT systems are estimated at
    EUR 1,000 per centre. Total one-off administrative costs would amount to EUR 48.9 million in 2026, for
    the 48,880 PTI centres across the EU. The recurrent administrative costs for the maintenance of the IT
    systems are estimated at 10% of the capital costs, or EUR 100 per PTI centre. Total recurrent administrative
    costs are thus estimated at EUR 4.9 million per year from 2026 onwards.
    Vehicle manufacturers will also need to adjust their own IT systems to ensure access to the relevant data.
    The one-off costs are expected to be around EUR 1 million per vehicle manufacturer, with total one-off
    administrative costs of EUR 20 million in 2026 for the 20 vehicle manufacturers across the EU. Recurrent
    administrative costs are estimated at 10% of the capital costs or EUR 100,000 per vehicle manufacturer.
    For the 20 vehicle manufacturers, they amount to EUR 2 million per year from 2026 onwards.
    The costs for the garages, motor vehicle dealers, tyre service and repair stations will relate to possible
    software updates to allow them to transfer their data to the central national database, maintenance costs for
    the software and the time needed to record the odometer readings. Based on input from Car-Pass and the
    European Parliament study242
    , the costs for software updates are estimated at EUR 229 per garage in 2022
    prices243
    . In PMC9 these costs are relevant for 651,351 companies (470,765 repair shops and garages across
    the EU and 180,586 motor vehicle dealers)244
    , excluding those in Belgium and the Netherlands, which
    implemented the measure already and are part of the baseline. Total one-off administrative costs are thus
    estimated at EUR 149.2 million in 2026. In addition, for the purpose of the ‘one in one out approach’, the
    average annual recurrent administrative costs over 2026-2035 are estimated at EUR 19.5 million per year245
    or EUR 29.9 per company.
    In total, the additional one-off administrative costs relative to the baseline relevant for the ‘one in one
    out approach’ in PO2 are estimated at EUR 218 million in 2026. Expressed as annualised net present
    value over the relevant period they amount to EUR 25.5 million. In addition, the recurrent
    administrative costs relative to the baseline amount to EUR 26.4 million per year. Thus, the total
    additional administrative costs (one-off and recurrent) relevant for the ‘one in one out approach’ in
    PO2 are estimated at EUR 51.9 million per year relative to the baseline. Other administrative costs for
    citizens and businesses (i.e., vehicle owners) in PO2 relate to additional periodic technical inspections and
    cooperating on roadside inspections with the public authorities and are thus not subject to the ‘one in one
    out approach’.
    242
    European Parliament (2018), Odometer Manipulation in motor vehicles in Europe,
    https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/STUD/2018/615637/EPRS_STU%282018%29615637_EN.pdf
    243
    The cost was estimated at EUR 200 per garage in 2018 prices. Using the harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP)
    from Eurostat, this is equivalent to EUR 229 per garage in 2022 prices.
    244
    Eurostat, Structural business statistics, Enterprise statistics by size class and NACE Rev.2 activity.
    245
    This is calculated as a simple average over 2026-2035, non-discounted.
    75
    9. HOW WILL ACTUAL IMPACTS BE MONITORED AND EVALUATED?
    The Commission services will monitor the implementation and effectiveness of this initiative through a
    number of actions and a set of core indicators that will measure progress towards achieving the operational
    objectives. Five years after the revised legislation will have been applied, the Commission services should
    carry out an evaluation to verify to what extent the objectives of the initiative have been reached.
    Road safety: the Commission regularly monitors key road safety indicators, including the evolution of the
    number of fatalities, serious and slight injuries per Member State and per vehicle category, age and certain
    vehicle characteristics. Detailed information on the causes of crashes, notably on vehicle defects is unlikely
    to become available at large scale soon. In the future, analysis of event data recorders mandated by the
    General Safety Regulation may provide more detailed insight into the causes of a significant share of
    crashes. Until then, existing reporting requirements should be updated to better respond to current
    monitoring needs, as outlined in Annex 15.
    Similarly, the evolution of air and noise pollution is continuously monitored by the EEA. Part of the
    reduction expected over the years to come will be related to this initiative through better maintenance of
    vehicles and reduced tampering with emission control systems. Progress towards the objective of
    contributing to sustainable mobility can be measured through the evolution of PTI and RSI results, as well
    as from remote sensing data. As for facilitating free movement, indicators of success will be the number of
    Member States recognising PTIs conducted abroad.
    To measure the success of the initiative, the following operational objectives are set: 1) Apply newly
    available safety and emission testing methods; 2) Interconnect Member States’ vehicle registers and
    odometer databases through a common hub; 3) Digitalise vehicle documents; 4) Reduce the number of
    defective and tampered vehicles on EU roads. Indicators to monitor progress towards these objectives are
    defined in Annex 15.
    76
    ANNEX 1: PROCEDURAL INFORMATION
    1. LEAD DG, DECIDE PLANNING/CWP REFERENCES
    The lead DG is Directorate General for Mobility and Transport (MOVE), Unit C2: Road Safety
    DECIDE reference number: PLAN/2021/10932
    This initiative was referred to in point 16 of the Sustainable and Smart Mobility Strategy. Action 7
    in the Action Plan called for improved emission testing in roadworthiness tests. Action 66 called on
    the Commission to assess the need for a proposal to require efficient exchange of odometer readings
    across the EU.
    This initiative is included in the Commission Work Programme 2023246
    , item 3 in Annex II (REFIT
    initiatives), under headline A – A European Green Deal.
    2. ORGANISATION AND TIMING
    The impact assessment and the ex-post evaluation of the Roadworthiness Package were performed
    in a back-to-back manner (i.e., the evaluation and impact assessment have been launched at the same
    time) in 2021-2023.
    The combined evaluation roadmap/inception impact assessment was published on Have your say on
    4 October 2021247
    . The ex-post evaluation and the impact assessment on a possible review of the
    Roadworthiness Package were coordinated by an Inter-Service Steering Group (ISG). The
    Commission Services participating in the ISG were: Secretariat-General, Legal Service, Directorates-
    General GROW, RTD, CLIMA, ENV, JRC, CNECT, EMPL, JUST. The ISG met 6 times: 22
    September 2021, 14 December 2021, 8 July 2022, 24 November 2022, 9 October 2023 and 9
    November 2023. It was consulted throughout the different steps of the evaluation and impact
    assessment process: notably on stakeholder consultation questionnaire and deliverables of the
    external support study and on the draft Staff Working Documents. When necessary bilateral
    discussions were organised with the concerned services.
    3. CONSULTATION OF THE RSB
    The draft impact assessment and evaluation reports were submitted to the RSB on 20 November 2023
    and were discussed by the Board on 13 December 2023. The RSB issued a positive opinion with
    reservations on 15 December 2023. The recommendations from the Board have been addressed in
    this final version of the Impact Assessment report as detailed in the table below.
    Table 28: Modifications of the impact assessment report in response to RSB recommendations
    RSB recommendations Modifications to the IA report
    Main considerations
    (1) The report is not sufficiently clear about the
    scale of the problem, the robustness of the
    underlying evidence and the assumptions made
    in the analysis.
    Theses aspects have been clarified in section 2
    of the impact assessment, as explained below
    under (1) and (2).
    246
    2023 Commission work programme – key documents (europa.eu)
    247
    Vehicle safety – revising the EU’s roadworthiness package (europa.eu)
    77
    (2) The report does not clearly explain the
    reasoning behind the packaging of options. It
    does not sufficiently bring out the key policy
    choices and the related trade-offs, including in
    terms of reduced fatalities and injuries. The
    costs and benefits implications of key safety
    measures are not clearly presented.
    The packaging of the options and the trade-offs
    were revisited and clarified, and are further
    described under points (3), (4), and (5) below.
    The costs and benefits are now further detailed
    in Annex 4 (e.g. in new section 6) and better
    explained also in the comparion of options.
    (3) The comparison of options is not sufficiently
    detailed and nuanced, including in terms of
    coherence with the ‘Vision Zero’ road safety
    policy framework.
    The comparison, including re ‘Vision Zero’ has
    been further detailed as described under point
    (6) below.
    Adjustment requirements
    (1) The report should make clear what the scale
    of the problems identified is, including
    regarding vehicles currently exempted, such as
    motorcycles, or not subject to a yearly PTI, such
    as vehicles older than 9 years. The strength and
    robustness of the evidence underpinning the
    analysis of the problems and impact analysis
    and of related estimations should be made more
    explicit. The report should clarify supporting
    assumptions when it comes to the contribution
    of defects in vehicles to road crashes and the
    link between road safety and inspections. The
    geographical distribution of the problems
    identified should also be better explained, with
    clear references to the situation in different
    Member States.
    The scale of the problem of unsafe and polluting
    vehicles has been explained in more detail,
    including geographical details, in section 2.1,
    2.2 and 2.2.5. The level of confidence in the
    underpinning evidence has been clarified and
    backed by additional sensitivity analysis.
    Further details as regards the underlying
    assumptions and calculations are described
    sections 4 and 5 of Annex 4 (impact on road
    safety and emissions of individual measures and
    policy options).
    (2) The report should more clearly acknowledge
    any uncertainties related to the evidence and
    assumptions used, in particular in relation to the
    analysis of the impacts of the odometer fraud
    measure. A sensitivity analysis should be
    carried out to show how these limitations affect
    the overall cost-benefit analysis (looking for
    instance at the assumptions on the number of
    cars affected and the economic damage caused
    by odometer fraud).
    The report should be clearer about the
    assumptions used and why different data points
    (lower bound in some cases) were selected for
    the estimations. It should also clarify to what
    extent key assumptions were validated by
    independent experts and represent the state of
    the art on this matter. Similarly, the report
    should clarify the scale and geographical
    The uncertainty regarding the economic damage
    caused by odometer fraud and the number of
    cars affected is acknowledged in section 6.1.2.4
    and section 6.1.3. Sensitivity analysis has been
    performed on the assumptions on the economic
    damage caused by odometer fraud and the
    number of cars affected, and its impacts in terms
    of overall cost-benefit analysis are reported in
    section 7.5 and Annex 4 (section 7).
    The calculations of the costs for measure PMC6
    (Require roadworthiness certificate in electronic
    format only) have been revised to account for
    the volumes of inspections per Member State
    instead of using the lower bound of the
    estimates provided during the stakeholders
    consultation. The evidence underlying the
    problems and their drivers, as well as the
    assessment of impacts, is based on the best
    78
    distribution of the problem when it comes to
    older cars, lighter vehicles and mopeds not
    being (sufficiently) tested for roadworthiness
    and the consequences of this.
    available evidence, including multiple studies
    involving scientific research, as well as
    thorough consultation with experts. This has
    been further emphasised in section 2 and section
    6. Additional sensitivity analysis has also been
    performed and is reported in section 7.5 and
    Annex 4 (section 7).
    The scale and geographical distribution of the
    problem of older vehicles and powered two- and
    three-wheelers is clarified as explained above
    (1).
    (3) The report should explain more clearly the
    reasoning behind the packaging of options. It
    should clarify why certain policy measures,
    such as recording the odometer reading or
    registration of certificates in digital formats are
    not included in all policy packages. Given that
    the policy measure aimed at tackling odometer
    fraud is expected to bring by far the most
    significant net benefits, excluding this measure
    in some policy packages would make them
    underperforming by design. The report should
    provide a clear justification why this key
    measure should not be included in the set of
    measures common for all options. If an
    exclusion can be convincingly argued, the report
    should present variants for options 1a/b
    including the odometer measure to allow a fairer
    and more balanced comparison of options.
    Following the comments received from the
    Board, the measure on recording the odometer
    reading has now been included in all policy
    options. In addition, the mandatory yearly
    testing for vehicles that are 10-year-old or older
    (PM6) is now included in PO1b, PO2 and PO3.
    The changes are reflected in sections 5.2.
    (4) The report should explain the reasoning
    behind advocating a non-binding measure for
    the testing of powerful motorcycles, despite its
    more limited potential beneficial impact on road
    safety. The explanation should also clarify why
    a non-binding measure is considered as an
    adequate measure exclusively in the safety case
    of powerful motorcycles but not for any other
    road safety problem area. When substantiating
    this reasoning, the report should make clear
    references to the evidence available from
    different Member States (which are currently
    applying a testing regime and which are not and
    what a non-binding or binding EU measure on
    this would bring)
    Following the observations of the Board, the
    measure in question (PM1 – roadside inspection
    of motorcycles as an alterantive to PTI) has been
    revised. It is now presented as a binding
    measure, which indeed corresponds to the
    relvant calculations in terms of costs and
    benefits. The changes are reflected in sections
    5.2, 6.1, as well as in the Annexes.
    (5) The report should present better the key
    policy choices and related trade-offs, in
    particular regarding the benefits and costs of
    The benefits of the measures were indeed
    assessed as part of the policy options,
    considering also the synergies between them.
    79
    several key road safety measures, including the
    mandatory yearly testing for older vehicles and
    the ending of the exemptions of motorcycles and
    light trailers. These measures are currently
    included as a bundle and assessed together only
    in the most ambitious option package 3.
    However, a complementary measure-by-
    measure benefit-cost assessment should allow
    the identification of potentially net beneficial
    measures in terms of overall reduced fatalities
    and injuries. As these are highly relevant for
    decision-making, the report should bring them
    out more clearly.
    Their costs, however, were calculated
    individually.
    The estimated impacts (in terms of lives saved
    and external costs savings) of the options have
    now been split to show the impact of the
    relevant individual measures.
    The expected cumulative reduction in the
    number of fatalities and injuries by policy
    option and policy measure is now included in
    section 5 of Annex 4. In addition, the trade-offs
    regarding the costs and benefits of those policy
    measures are presented in a new section 6 of the
    same annex.
    (6) The comparison of the revised set of options
    needs to be more nuanced and granular. To
    allow a more coherent effectiveness comparison
    of options the report should present one clear set
    of specific objectives avoiding overlaps with the
    general objectives. Regarding coherence, the
    report needs to demonstrate why packages 2 and
    packages 3 are scored the same, despite the
    significant differences with respect to
    contribution to the Vision Zero road safety
    goals. The comparison overview Table 25
    should be reworked to allow a detailed overview
    of quantitative and qualitative key impacts, so
    that the key differences between the options
    become more obvious. On this basis, the report
    should better justify the choice of the preferred
    option, while being clear on the key trade-offs
    between options in terms of efficiency,
    effectiveness and coherence.
    In section 7, a more detailed presentation of the
    key impacts (costs and benefits), both
    quantifiable and qualitative, has now been
    included.
    The comparison of effectiveness now focuses
    on achieving the specific objectives, while the
    limited differences in coherence between PO2
    and PO3 are also explained in section 7 and
    Annex 14.
    Table 25 has been replaced with a detailed
    overview of the key impacts as requested.
    In section 8, the differences and trade-offs
    between the revised options are clarified in
    relation to the three criteria.
    4. EVIDENCE, SOURCES AND QUALITY
    The impact assessment and evaluation are based on several sources, using both quantitative and
    qualitative data, collected from Member States, industry, and other EU bodies. This includes:
    • Stakeholder consultation activities (see dedicated annex);
    • Regular meetings of the Expert Group on Roadworthiness and Vehicle Registration
    Documents (RWEG);
    • External support studies carried out by independent consortia (the study supporting the
    evaluation was led by VVA and the one supporting the impact assessment was led by
    Ricardo). The external support studies will be published alongside this report;
    • Ad-hoc consultation of industry experts; and
    80
    • The Commission’s own experience in monitoring and implementing the Roadworthiness
    Package.
    81
    ANNEX 2: STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATION (SYNOPSIS REPORT)
    This stakeholder consultation synopsis report provides a summary of the outcomes of the stakeholder
    consultation activities which were carried out as part of this back-to-back evaluation and impact
    assessment in view of a possible revision of the Roadworthiness Package (RWP). It provides a basic
    analysis of the responses of stakeholder groups involved in the consultation process and a summary
    of the main issues which they raised. The full analysis of the consultation results is presented in the
    stakeholder consultation reports annexed to the two external support studies. The same report is
    included in the evaluation SWD and in the impact assessment SWD, as an annex to both reports.
    Stakeholder involvement was vital for the evaluation and impact assessment in order to collect facts,
    data and opinions enabling the Commission to:
    • On the one hand, assess the performance of the RWP against the five evaluation criteria, identify
    possible issues with the existing legal framework and, on this basis, learn lessons for future
    action;
    • On the other hand, (i) substantiate, validate and develop the problems and the underlying drivers,
    (ii) conceive corresponding policy objectives, (iii) elaborate a list of specific possible policy
    measures and policy options and (iv) assess their likely impacts on the various categories of
    stakeholders.
    This report also aims at informing stakeholders on how their input has been considered.
    This document should be regarded solely as a summary of the contributions made by stakeholders in
    the various consultation activities on the back-to-back evaluation and impact assessment in view of
    a possible revision of the Roadworthiness Package (RWP). It cannot in any circumstances be
    regarded as the official position of the Commission or its services. Responses to the consultation
    activities cannot be considered as a representative sample of the views of the EU population.
    1. OVERVIEW OF CONSULTATION ACTIVITIES
    Consultation activities took place from October 2021 to August 2023.
    The consultation strategy set different focuses for the consultation activities for the evaluation and
    the IA to complement each other. The evaluation related survey and targeted interviews gathered
    stakeholders’ views and input on the selected evaluation questions and evaluation criteria. They are
    complemented with the views expressed at the OPC.
    The focus of the survey and interviews for the IA were on defining the different policy measures to
    meet the objectives set as part of the revision of the Roadworthiness Package, particularly the costs
    and potential impacts of these policy measures. The underlying problem drivers of the RWP were
    extensively discussed with stakeholders, e.g. in the Roadworthiness Expert Group and are also a
    result of the stakeholder consultation activities of the evaluation. Having said that, both the survey
    and interviews did briefly cover the baseline, problem drivers and objectives, as well as potential
    impacts of the measures, so on all parts of the IA.
    The stakeholder consultation included the following activities:
    • Targeted online survey for the evaluation: two online surveys were conducted targeting the
    stakeholders identified at the inception stage of the Evaluation Study and covered the 5 evaluation
    82
    criteria of relevance, effectiveness, efficiency, coherence and EU value added. It was launched on
    8 December 2022 and ran until 20 January 2023. One survey targeted relevant EU associations,
    relevant ministries of EU Member States, road safety authorities and OEMs; In total 38 responses
    were received: 17 from ministries and road safety authorities, 16 from EU associations, consumer
    organisations and NGOs, 5 from vehicle registration authorities. The other survey was addressed
    to PTI bodies and 11 responses were received.
    • Targeted semi-structured interviews for the evaluation sought to explore the respondents’
    views on the RWP for each evaluation question defined. They took place in the period between
    November 2022 and April 2023. The interviews were conducted with representatives from 30
    selected technical or policy related organisations including national registration authorities,
    technical inspection bodies, the Roadworthiness Committee, the Roadworthiness Expert Group
    and road safety and environmental NGOs. They were selected in order to gather additional
    evidence, to ensure geographical coverage and to increase the sample size in a group of
    interviewees by stakeholder type.
    • Exploratory interviews for the IA. The aim of the exploratory interviews was to obtain early
    engagement with key stakeholders (including authorities, industry and user representatives).
    Introductory calls were made with key stakeholders, i.e. CITA, EReg, CORTE and EGEA, to
    discuss the engagement of these organisations and their members with the initiative, including the
    distribution of the survey and the identification of potential interviewees. In addition, user groups,
    such as FIA (car drivers), IRU (lorry drivers) and FEMA (motorcyclists), were informed about
    the initiative and were interviewed as well.
    • Targeted online survey for the IA. The focus of the survey was on the policy measures under
    consideration, particularly the details of the measures, their potential costs and savings and
    potential impacts. The survey was online between 26 June and 14 August 2023. The survey
    targeted national authorities involved in inspection activities at various levels, including policy
    development, inspection supervision and enforcement, and industry representatives, including
    those that undertake inspections and supply garage equipment and vehicles. 75 responses were
    received to the survey.
    • Targeted stakeholder interviews for the IA. The majority of interviews were based on the
    interviewee’s survey response, with a focus on identifying information on costs. A minority of
    interviews were undertaken independent of a survey response, e.g. for those organisations, such
    as users and research representatives, for which a survey was less relevant. The interviews began
    at the same time as the survey and continued until the end of August 2023. Overall, 37 interviews
    were undertaken to refine responses provided in the targeted online survey and to collect evidence
    from relevant stakeholders not covered in the survey.
    • Evaluation roadmap / Inception impact assessment (IIA). As part of the initial feedback
    mechanism, stakeholders had the possibility to provide views on the combined evaluation
    roadmap / inception impact assessment published on the “Have your say” webpage between 4
    October and 1 November 2021. Responses were received from 210 respondents: 171 from EU
    citizens, 9 from business associations, 6 from companies or business organisations, 6 from NGOs,
    3 from consumer organisations, 3 from non-EU citizens, 2 from public authorities, 1 from
    academia and 9 other. 174 responses were linked to a campaign from predominantly French
    citizens, while 36 were unique written responses, that were analysed individually.
    • Open public Consultation (OPC) questionnaire, covering both the IA and the evaluation, was
    accessible on “Have Your Say” webpage from 6 July to 28 September 2022. 907 replies were
    received: 758 from EU citizens, 47 from companies or business organisations, 35 from business
    associations, 18 from non-governmental organisations (NGOs), 10 from non-EU citizens, 10 from
    public authorities, 5 from trade unions, 3 from consumer organisations, 2 from academic/research
    83
    institutions, 1 from an environmental organisation and 18 other. 731 of the responses received
    were part of a campaign from predominantly French citizens. The factual summary report is
    available on the consultation page.
    2. STAKEHOLDER GROUPS CONSULTED
    This section provides a short overview of the main types of stakeholders identified and targeted as
    part of the consultation strategy. Overall, the consultation attracted interest from various types of
    stakeholders, which resulted in a good participation level and numerous contributions received. All
    identified stakeholder groups have been reached. However, the responses received are not
    representative of the EU population.
    Table 29: Identification of key stakeholder groups and mapping against consultation activities
    High-level
    stakeholder group
    Description Stakeholder
    engagement activity
    Public authorities in
    charge of road safety
    Authorities involved in different activities relating to the RWP,
    including vehicle registration, inspection, enforcement and
    policy. Initial engagement was undertaken via their various
    representative associations, such as CITA, EReg and CORTE.
    Exploratory interviews
    Targeted surveys
    Targeted interviews
    OPC
    Call for Evidence
    Industry associations
    and companies
    Associations and companies involved in different aspects of
    RWP, particularly those involved in inspections and supplying
    equipment to garages. These were engaged with initially via
    their representative associations, such as CITA and EGEA. In
    addition, vehicle manufacturers and vehicle component
    suppliers were also contacted.
    Exploratory interviews
    Targeted surveys
    Targeted interviews
    OPC
    Call for Evidence
    Representations of
    user groups
    Groups representing the drivers of the various vehicles covered
    by the RWP were engaged with to identify their views on the
    potential measures.
    Targeted interviews
    OPC
    Call for Evidence
    Road safety and
    environmental
    NGOs
    The views of specialist NGOs were also sought to ensure that
    the safety and environmental aspects of the measures were
    sufficiently considered.
    Targeted interviews
    OPC
    Call for Evidence
    Research / academia Interviews were undertaken with selected road safety academic
    experts.
    Targeted interviews
    OPC
    Call for Evidence
    Citizens Citizens responded to the combined evaluation roadmap/IIA
    and OPC both individually and as part of a campaign, both from
    within and outside the EU.
    OPC
    Call for Evidence
    3. ANALYSIS OF THE KEY RESULTS OF THE STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATION
    This chapter presents key findings from the analysis of stakeholder contributions to the consultation
    process.
    3.1. Feedback received on the EU roadworthiness rules by evaluation criteria
    Relevance
    • Survey respondents and interviewed stakeholders generally consider that the scope and
    objectives of the RWP are relevant as a well-designed legislative package. Interviewed
    stakeholders overwhelmingly agree that the three Directives within the RWP are still
    thematically relevant to the wider EU policy goals.
    • However according to the overwhelming majority of survey and interview respondents, there
    have been numerous significant changes in vehicle technology since the RWP came into
    84
    effect, which the current RWP does not account for. There is a need to adapt the
    Directives to environmental and technological developments and digitalisation.
    Additionally, according to the respondents, the current measurement methods outlined by the
    RWP are considered inadequate for obtaining accurate readings of air pollutants emitted by
    vehicles, and traditional smoke opacity testing methods are deemed outdated and insufficient
    in detecting various pollutants. Some interviewed stakeholders also emphasise the need to
    increase the frequency of inspections for all vehicles due to the growing prevalence of shared
    mobility strategies and suggest clarifying certain aspects of testing to make it more targeted.
    • Relevance of the current EU rules on periodic roadworthiness testing and technical
    roadside inspections in improving road safety. Several stakeholder categories, including
    academic and research institutions, public authorities, and consumer organisations, who have
    participated in the OPC, consider the rules relevant or very relevant in areas such as minimum
    standards for testing centres, facilities, and equipment, as well as categorising deficiencies
    during periodic tests. However, there are varying opinions from some responding NGOs, EU
    citizens, and environmental organisations, who perceive some aspects of the rules as less or
    not relevant. In particular, many respondents being part of the campaign consider the periodic
    testing of high-speed tractors and heavy motorcycles and applying different time intervals
    between periodic tests according to the age of vehicle and vehicle type as less or not relevant.
    • Relevance of current EU rules on periodic roadworthiness testing and technical roadside
    inspections in reducing air pollutant emissions. Business associations, public authorities,
    and trade unions, who participated in the OPC consider the rules relevant in areas such as
    establishing minimum standards for testing centres, facilities, equipment, and inspectors'
    competence, training, and objectivity. However, there are varying opinions from responding
    EU citizens, environmental organisations, and some public authorities, who perceive certain
    aspects of the rules as not relevant in reducing air pollutant emissions. In particular, many
    respondents being part of the campaign consider the rules related to periodic testing of high-
    speed tractors and heavy motorcycles as not relevant for the purpose of reducing air pollutant
    emissions.
    • Relevance of current EU rules on registration documents for vehicles in facilitating free
    movement of goods and people within the EU. The majority of the respondents, who
    participated in the OPC, consider the current EU rules to be relevant or very relevant in
    facilitating free movement, regarding the obligation on Member States to recognise
    roadworthiness certificates upon change of ownership. Views among those who responded
    being part of the campaign are more varied.
    Effectiveness
    • Effectiveness of the current EU rules on periodic roadworthiness testing and technical
    roadside inspections in improving road safety and contributing to the reduction of road
    fatalities and serious injuries in road transport in the EU. The majority of respondents, who
    participated in the OPC, view the current EU rules as effective in improving road safety and
    contributing to the reduction of road fatalities and serious injuries in road transport in the EU
    in areas such as establishing minimum standards for testing centres, facilities, and equipment,
    categorising deficiencies during periodic tests, obliging Member States to perform roadside
    tests on commercial vehicles, and implementing different time intervals based on vehicle age
    and type, except for periodic testing of high-speed tractors and heavy motorcycles on which
    views are diverging. The respondents participating in the campaign, perceive the current EU
    rules on roadworthiness as less or not effective in in certain aspects, such as periodic testing
    of high-speed tractors and heavy motorcycles, and minimum standards for inspectors'
    85
    competence, training, and objectivity. The majority of survey respondents and interview
    stakeholders agree that PTIs and RSIs helped reduce the number of circulating vehicles with
    dangerous defects.
    • The feedback collected from survey respondents and interviewed stakeholders suggests that
    vehicles on the road are perceived to have generally been made safer through the introduction
    of common standards for testing centres and personnel training, as well as with the adoption
    of same rules for frequency, scope and method for vehicle testing. However, interviewed
    stakeholders acknowledge that reduction in road deaths witnessed over the past 10 years could
    be due to a combination of factors (e.g. gas prices, driver behaviour, infrastructure) and it is
    therefore difficult to determine how many accidents are directly caused by mechanical defects
    and how many of the lives saved and injuries avoided are specifically linked to PTIs/RSIs.
    • Effectiveness of current EU rules on periodic roadworthiness testing and technical
    roadside inspections in reducing air pollutant emissions. 80 % of public authorities, who
    have responded to the OPC, consider as effective the rules regarding minimum standards for
    inspectors' competence, training, and objectivity. Respondents in the OPC part of the
    campaign, have differing perspectives, with a majority of those respondents viewing the rules
    as not effective for the periodic testing of high-speed tractors and heavy motorcycles and for
    applying different time intervals between periodic tests, according to the age of vehicles and
    vehicle type.
    • However, interviewed stakeholders also pointed out that not all deficiencies can effectively
    be detected by applying the current technical standards for vehicle inspections. Among the
    survey respondents and interviewed stakeholders, there is no clear-cut opinion on the extent
    to which the provisions of the RWP Package have contributed to reduced air pollutants from
    road transport. According to surveyed ministries and road safety authorities, vehicles that
    have been tampered with defects which are not covered by the EOBD system or those
    specifically related to NOx emissions will not necessarily be detected by the current EU PTI
    regimes.
    • Effectiveness of current EU rules on registration documents for vehicles in facilitating
    free movement of goods and people within the EU. The majority of respondents to the OPC
    from public authorities and business associations find the current EU rules effective in
    facilitating free movement. On the other side, the participants in the campaign have diverging
    opinion on the effectiveness of the current EU rules on registration documents for vehicles in
    facilitating free movement.
    Efficiency
    • Cost-effectiveness of the roadworthiness rules. Respondents in the targeted survey and the
    interviews deemed the benefits associated with its implementation generally proportionate
    to the costs, especially with regards to the improvement of air quality. This is in line with the
    views expressed by the survey respondents, who consider that the implementation of the RWP
    has generated limited extra costs for authorities, citizens, and businesses. PTI inspections have
    not become more expensive, and the use of the EUCARIS system is cost-effective according
    to survey respondents. However, certain provisions like OBD checks have incurred costs for
    citizens. Ministries, road safety authorities, and EU associations participating in the survey
    agree that the benefits of the RWP in terms of road safety and reduced air pollution justify the
    costs. EU associations also emphasise its potential in combating illegal pollution and the
    human costs of air pollution.
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    • However, while some respondents did not consider RWP provisions as extraordinarily
    expensive, others mentioned that the costs associated with installing and upgrading testing
    equipment for testing stations is high.
    • Interviewed stakeholders consider the administrative burden generated by the three Directives
    to be smaller for businesses and citizens than for public authorities.
    • Ministries and PTI bodies, who have participated in the survey, acknowledge that the RWP
    and its implementing acts have created to some extents administrative burden for public
    administration. They emphasise the need for digitalisation in vehicle re-registration to reduce
    costs and administrative workload, particularly through data exchange and document
    harmonisation. Vehicle registration authorities who have responded to the survey, call for
    improved legal provisions and digitalisation to streamline the process. Additionally, EU
    associations responding to the survey propose providing type-approval information to PTI
    centres without charge.
    • Most respondents of the survey did not express an opinion on whether the RWP package and
    its implementing acts have imposed administrative burdens on businesses. Survey
    respondents emphasised the importance of mutual recognition to enhance cost effectiveness
    in inspections. They also recommended implementing systems like Car-Pass in Belgium on
    an EU-wide scale to address odometer fraud. Furthermore, it was highlighted by them that a
    well-assessed test methodology is crucial to avoid inaccurate outcomes in PTI and ensure a
    standardised approach to testing procedures and equipment.
    • The majority of survey respondents did not express an opinion on the administrative burden
    imposed by the RWP Directives on citizens. However, EU associations suggested that
    implementing mobile vehicle registration documents could enhance the digitalisation of
    registration and data management processes, resulting in reduced costs for citizens.
    Coherence
    • While the Directives comprised in the RWP are deemed internally coherent by the
    interviewed stakeholders, a few inconsistencies between the RWP and other road safety
    legislations have been identified by interviewed stakeholders. As a response to the survey a
    similar message was passed by responding ministries, road safety authorities, and EU
    associations, who acknowledged that to some extent there are inconsistencies, overlaps, and
    gaps between the RWP Directives and other EU and international interventions.
    • According to the interviewed stakeholders the lack of harmonisation between the PTI and
    the type-approval legislations makes it difficult to perform thorough inspections, as the
    number of automated devices, sensors and safety features is growing faster than the PTI
    operators’ ability to check them.
    • The need for consistency between periodic technical inspection (PTI) requirements and type-
    approval regulation was also emphasised by the respondents of the OPC. PTI should not go
    beyond what is specified in type-approval regulations according to their views. Moreover,
    according to OPC respondents, Member States have different conditions and contexts for L-
    category vehicles, and they should have the flexibility to determine effective ways to reduce
    accidents.
    • The Registration Directive and the Type-approval Regulation are not fully consistent in
    the view of interviewed stakeholders: the fact that each country has the possibility of allowing
    a national type-approval with more flexibility than EU type-approval gives some Member
    States the chance to be less strict than others, thus raising road safety issues.
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    • According to the interviewed stakeholders the General Safety Regulation could better align
    with the RWP: for instance, the GSR identifies more responsibilities for manufacturers during
    the vehicle’s lifecycle than those foreseen by the PTI legislation.
    • The feedback received from interviewed stakeholders points to a lack of data coherence,
    whereby no one has a holistic view regarding the whole life of the vehicle: from vehicle
    definition to vehicle scrapping.
    • According to the OPC respondents, standardisation of rules among EU countries is considered
    essential for the effectiveness of the EU technical control package. Disparate rules,
    particularly concerning the approval of controllers, need to be addressed in their view.
    EU added value
    • The EU rules on roadworthiness have added value for citizens and businesses compared
    to what could be achieved by Member States at national and/or regional and international
    level according to the respondents to the OPC. There is disagreement among EU citizen
    responding to the OPC whether the EU rules on roadworthiness provide added value
    compared to what could be achieved at the national, regional, and international levels.
    However, there is a significant agreement among academic and research institutions, who
    have participated in the OPC that the EU rules do offer added value for citizens and
    businesses.
    • The interviewed stakeholders widely acknowledged the added value of the three Directives
    in their contribution towards the harmonisation of roadworthiness rules among Member
    States. By setting up minimum standards for carrying out periodical technical inspections and
    roadside inspections, the RWP sets up a common framework to identify vehicle deficiencies,
    prevent accidents, reduce vehicle emissions and promote fair competition in the field of road
    transport.
    • When expressing views in the survey, ministries, road safety authorities, and PTI bodies
    considered that additional EU action is necessary to enhance the RWP and achieve the
    objectives of reducing fatalities, serious injuries, and improving air quality through PTI and
    RSI inspections in the EU. They emphasised the need for minimum requirements across
    Member States to ensure effective PTI and RSI contributing to road safety and air quality.
    • The overwhelming majority of interviewed stakeholders agree that if the RWP had not been
    implemented, the road safety scenario in the EU would be far more fragmented, with Member
    States taking greatly differing actions.
    3.2. Feedback received on the problem definition
    In the OPC, respondents were asked for their views on three problems that the revision of the RWP
    could address. A majority of respondents – between two-thirds and four-fifths in each case –
    supported a revision of the EU’s roadworthiness rules addressing each of the specified problems. The
    problem that received most support was the need to address vehicles circulating on the roads with
    defects or tampered components (78%; 123, six ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’), followed by
    methods for PTI of vehicles to test electronic safety and driver assistance systems in vehicles (74%;
    116, seven ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’). Two thirds (67%; 100, 14 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t
    knows’) of respondents also believed that a revision to the legislation should address the availability
    of relevant vehicle data to enforcement authorities in the EU Member States in cross-border traffic.
    Themes raised in response to the open questions included that it was important to update inspections
    to reflect changes to vehicles and their technology, that it was important to have access to in-vehicle
    data to support inspections, that more action was needed to address tampering and that it was
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    important to support public authorities in the inspection of foreign vehicles on their roads. Others,
    while recognising that changes to inspections were needed, underlined that inspections had to remain
    affordable for consumers.
    The survey produced similar results of support for the revision of the EU’s roadworthiness rules
    addressing the different identified problem areas, see Figure 4.
    Figure 5: Survey results on stakeholders’ views on identified problems
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2023), Impact assessment support study, survey results
    In the survey, respondents were asked for their views on more detailed problem areas, and their
    associated drivers and on three Specific Objectives (SOs):
    • SO1: Adapt testing to today's and tomorrow's vehicles (improve consistency, objectivity and
    quality)
    • SO2: Significantly reduce fraud and tampering (of safety and emission control systems) and
    improve the detection of defective vehicles)
    • SO3: Improve electronic storage and exchange of relevant vehicle identification and status
    data.
    There was a high level of agreement – around two thirds or more – for each set of problems and
    problem drivers, and overwhelming support (at least 89%) for each of the specific objectives.
    Figure 6: Survey results: Stakeholders’ views on identified specific objectives
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2023), Impact assessment support study, survey results
    Respondents to the IIA made a number of general comments about the revision. A common theme
    that was raised by those responsible for inspections was the importance of more consideration being
    89
    given to coordinating between type-approval and roadworthiness legislation, and the importance of
    maintaining the independence of inspection organisations and inspectors from other parts of the
    automotive trade, including repair and maintenance. The importance of a more consistent approach
    to roadworthiness testing across the EU was also mentioned.
    3.3. Feedback received on the baseline/ existing legislation
    In their response to the survey and interview questions, respondents were often split between those
    who believed that the different factors listed had had a high impact on various aspects of
    roadworthiness, and those who believed that the impact had been low. The question to which
    respondents were mostly having a common view with 75% agreeing (51 of 75; seven ‘Don’t knows’
    or no responses) – was in relation to the belief that the enforcement of roadworthiness legislation had
    had a high impact on the number of unsafe vehicles on the EU’s roads since 2014. The majority (60%;
    40 of 75; eight ‘Don’t knows’ or no responses) of respondents also felt that technological and market
    developments had had a high impact on the number of unsafe vehicles on the EU’s roads since 2014.
    On the other hand, a majority of respondents believed that technological and market developments
    had had a low impact on reducing the number of vehicles with tampered or defective noise control
    systems (77%; 46 of 75; 15 ‘Don’t knows’ or no responses), or tampered odometers (64%; 39 of 75;
    14 ‘Don’t knows’ or no responses), since 2014. The responses relating to the impact on the number
    of vehicles with tampered or defective emissions control systems and the vehicle re-registration
    process were much more split between those who felt that the impact had been high or low.
    Respondents were asked to explain their responses. A common reason listed amongst those
    responsible for inspections, as well as users, was the need to update PTIs (and so the PTI Directive)
    to take account of the way in which vehicles have developed and will continue to develop. Many of
    these respondents also underlined the problem of detecting tampering during a PTI, particularly
    tampered odometers.
    3.4. Feedback received on possible solutions
    Policy measures: Scope of PTI Directive
    The first group of policy measures related to the potential extension of the scope of the PTI Directive.
    In their responses to the IIA, various industry respondents, including those organisations responsible
    for inspections, called for the extension of the PTI Directive to cover all vehicles that are able to use
    roads. For example, In the response for IIA, CITA called for the extension of the scope of PTI to L-
    category vehicles and light trailers, as it had undertaken a study that concluded that this would have
    a positive cost-benefit impact; it also specified its proposed frequency for inspecting these vehicles.
    The French National Council of Automotive Professions (Conseil national des professions de
    l'automobile; CNPA) and GOCA Vlaanderen also supported extending the scope of PTI to these
    vehicles. The Portuguese National Association of Automobile Inspection Centres (Associação
    Nacional de Centros de Inspeção Automóvel; ANCIA) called for testing to be mandatory for all
    motor vehicles used on public roads. Inspection company Applus also suggested that the general rule
    should be that all vehicles that can circulate on roads in the EU should be covered by the PTI
    Directive, although they proposed allowing some exceptions for certain L-category vehicles where
    alternative measures were in place. The European Garage Equipment Association (EGEA) also
    underlined the importance of extending roadworthiness testing to all road transport vehicles.
    On the other hand, various motorcycle users’ groups that submitted contributions to the IIA argued
    against the mandatory extension of the scope of the PTI to motorcycles, in line also with the responses
    from the campaign. The Federation of European Motorcyclists’ Associations (FEMA) argued that
    90
    the evidence was that the technical state of motorcycles only played a marginal role in accidents
    involving motorcycles..
    In the OPC, among the respondents not linked to the campaign, there was a small majority that
    supported extending the scope of the PTI Directive to cover L-category vehicles (53%; 73, 25 ‘no
    responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’), whereas again the responses that were part of the campaign were
    against such an extension to motorcycles.
    Figure 7: Survey responses: In your view what would the contribution of this measure be to:
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2023), Impact assessment support study, survey results
    Figure 8: Survey responses: In your view, to which categories of motorcycle should mandatory PTI be extended?
    (multiple responses possible):
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2023), Impact assessment support study, survey results
    In the survey, respondents were asked about different potential measures to extend the scope of the
    PTI Directive. For each of the potential measures, around two thirds or more of the respondents
    believed that the respective measure would contribute to a high level to delivering Specific Objective
    2, i.e. extending the scope to motorcycles (80%; 41, 24 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’); agricultural
    and forestry tractors (78%; 31, 35 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’); and light trailers (66%; 27, 34
    ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’). In the survey and interviews, it was noted that many Member
    States already required a PTI for motorcycles, tractors and/or trailers. Some potential challenges of
    91
    this measure were mentioned by the respondents, including the distance that would need to be
    travelled to take motorcycles and tractors for an inspection at an inspection centre, and whether a PTI
    should be required for tractors that were not used on public roads. In addition, for the lightest trailers
    (O1), it was questioned whether a PTI was needed for these, due to the way in which these were used,
    and also due to the fact that these trailers are not registered in some countries, such as the Netherlands
    and France.
    In the responses to the OPC, SMEs who had responded were much less supportive extending the
    scope of the PTI Directive to motorcycles than large enterprises participating in the OPC, with 38%
    (eight) not supporting it, compared to no large enterprise. In the response to the survey and
    interviews, the fear was expressed that costs for SME inspection companies could increase, if they
    had to buy more equipment, or if SME rental companies had to have their vehicles tested more often.
    Policy measures: Frequency of PTI tests
    The second group of measures considered in the survey and interviews covered measures to increase
    the frequency of testing for certain vehicles. In the survey, more than two thirds of respondents
    believed that four of the measures would contribute to a high level to delivering Specific Objective
    2, i.e. an annual PTI for N1 vehicles (70%; 30, 32 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’), an annual PTI
    for vehicles over 10 years olds (78%; 39, 25 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’), a mandatory PTI for
    crashed vehicles with significant damage (70%; 33, 28 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) and for
    vehicles with significant modification (67%; 32, 27 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’). On the other
    hand, a significant majority of respondents (85%; 34, 35 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) believed
    that the remaining measure, a simplified PTI for vehicles that had recently passed an RSI, would have
    a low contribution to delivering Specific Objective 2.
    In the IIA response, CITA called for an increased frequency of PTI for some vehicles. For example,
    they supported annual tests for vehicles over 12 years’ old, as the number of these was increasing in
    the EU and they would experience more frequent defects as they aged. GOCA Vlaanderen called for
    more frequent PTIs for certain vehicles, such as N1 vehicles and vehicles of more than 10 years’ old.
    The EGEA also mentioned possibly increasing the frequency of inspections for high mileage
    vehicles. The French CNPA and a French inspection company called for the alignment of the
    frequency of testing of N1 vehicles, with those of N2 and N3 vehicles, arguing that in France, where
    N1 vehicles are tested at the same frequency as cars, they already often had many deficiencies by the
    time of their first PTI. The Spanish Association of PTI service providers (AECA-ITV) called for
    annual PTIs for all cars, light commercial vehicles and L-category vehicles. The Portuguese ANCIA
    also called for an increased frequency of testing for vehicles used for shared mobility or for public
    transport services. They also called for a mandatory PTI after a vehicle had been in an accident
    affecting its main safety components, which should have the active involvement of insurers, and on
    the transfer of ownership of a vehicle. Inspection company Applus also called for a mandatory PTI
    after a vehicle had been in an accident (as reported by an insurer), and on the transfer of ownership
    of a vehicle. Finally, they recommended that a quality standard for inspection entities and supervisory
    bodies be created to improve vehicle inspection and to make this more consistent across the EU.
    A common argument in favour of more frequent testing for N1 vehicles, which were mentioned in
    different consultation exercises, was that such vehicles were used frequently, and often experienced
    a number of technical issues by the time of their first PTI, although other respondents were not
    convinced of the added value of this measure. For older vehicles, it was widely suggested that these
    deteriorate more quickly than newer vehicles, and so should be tested more frequently. The main
    argument against having a simplified PTI for vehicles that had recently passed an RSI was, that it
    was not possible to test a vehicle in an RSI in the same way as it was in a PTI -while the potential
    92
    cost of setting up a system to record and exchange this information was noted-, as was the time that
    would be needed to amend each PTI to the take account of the recent RSI history of the vehicle. In
    relation to requiring a mandatory PTI for crashed vehicles with significant damage and for vehicles
    with significant modification, challenges were identified in relation to who makes the respective
    judgements and how the information is exchanged. In addition, some respondents considered that a
    standard PTI was not sufficient to determine the roadworthiness of some crashed or modified
    vehicles.
    Policy measures: Mutual recognition of PTI certificates
    The third set of measures included two alternative approaches to enable the recognition of PTI
    certificates in other countries, i.e. other than the one in which the PTI was undertaken. In the OPC,
    a majority of respondents (63%; 97, 11 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) agreed with the proposal
    that measures were needed to enable a vehicle owner to obtain a valid roadworthiness certificate, to
    be accepted throughout the EU, in a Member State other than the Member State of registration of the
    vehicle. In the survey, respondents were split on the extent of the contribution of each of the two
    measures to Specific Objective 3. A marginal majority (51%; 19, 38 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’)
    felt that requiring the mutual recognition of PTI certificates under certain conditions would have a
    high contribution to Specific Objective 3, whereas a minority (38%; 12, 43 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t
    knows’) felt that way about mutual recognition under bilateral agreements.
    In responses to the variation consultation exercises, users and those not directly involved in
    inspections tended to be more in favour of the mutual recognition of PTI certificates under certain
    conditions, although some recognised that the mutual recognition under bilateral agreements would
    be a good first step. However, those more actively involved with inspections were concerned that the
    extent of the variation between the approach taken to PTIs in different Member States meant that
    mutual recognition would be difficult and potentially lead to adverse effects on safety, unless mutual
    recognition was the subject of a bilateral agreement. Linked to this, concerns were also raised that
    mutual recognition without the increased harmonisation of PTIs would lead to “PTI tourism”, where
    drivers had their vehicles tested in countries where it was easier to pass a PTI.
    Policy measures: Electronic roadworthiness certificates
    The fourth set of measures consisted of a single measure, i.e. require that the roadworthiness
    certificate is issued in an electronic format. In their responses to the survey, the overwhelming
    majority of respondents (94%; 49, 23 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) believed that this measure
    would have a high contribution to addressing Specific Objective 3, with a majority of these (63%;
    33) believing that a paper version should still be available on request. In their responses to the survey
    and interview, various respondents underlined their support for this measure, and for the increased
    digitalisation of all aspects of the roadworthiness testing process more generally, due to its potential
    benefits for efficiency, the environment (less paper use), enforcement and in potentially opening the
    door for new services. The importance of retaining the option to have a paper copy of the certificate
    was underlined, so as not to exclude owners who were less digitally literate. The importance of having
    a standardised format for the electronic roadworthiness certificate was also a common remark of the
    respondents. A potential challenge of such digitalisation was identified for SMEs that undertake PTIs
    in some countries, if they were not yet digitally connected to the agency that oversaw inspections.
    Policy measures: Content of PTI tests
    The fifth group covered measures to improve the current PTI test requirements and procedures. In
    their responses to the OPC, a small majority (60%; 91, 13 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) was in
    favour of measures to specifically tackle noise-related tampering / non-compliance problems in
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    vehicles inspected at the roadside. SMEs responding to the OPC were less supportive of this
    measure, with 29% (six) not supporting it, compared to no large enterprise among the responding
    large enterprises.
    In the survey, around two thirds or more of respondents believed that the measures would contribute
    to delivering the respective Specific Objectives to a high level, with one exception. The measure that
    the vast majority (91%; 50, 20 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) thought would contribute at a high
    level to achieving Specific Objective 1 was to require the training of PTI inspectors to inspect electric
    vehicles. Around two thirds thought that advanced noise testing for motorcycles (65%; 28, 32 ‘no
    responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) and more advanced testing of braking for HDVs (69%; 27, 36 ‘no
    responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) would contribute to Specific Objective 2 at a high level. The response
    was more ambivalent with respect to the contribution of advanced testing of advanced headlamps, as
    only a slight majority (52%; 23, 31 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) thought that this would make a
    contribution to addressing Specific Objective 2, although a majority (79%; 37, 28 ‘no responses’ or
    ‘Don’t knows’) thought that this measure would address Specific Objective 1 at a high level.
    More detailed responses in both the survey and interviews regarding the advanced noise testing for
    motorcycles ranged from that this was already done in a number of countries, such as Spain, to a
    concern that such tests would not be effective, as users could remove any tampered devices before
    the PTI. The latter responses came from national authorities, inspecting companies and user groups,
    although some felt that such adaptation prior to the PTI was still an additional burden for users. With
    respect to the advanced testing of advanced headlamps, some, such as the FIA, were not yet clear of
    the scale of the problem, whereas others, such as CITA, argued that such testing was not yet possible.
    On the other hand, in some countries it was considered that such tests were already undertaken, e.g.
    in Germany and Belgium, using a range of different methods. Some respondents noted that there
    could be additional costs for SMEs resulting from these measures, if a measure required new
    equipment or additional training, particularly in countries with a decentralised testing system, such
    as the Netherlands.
    The introduction of new PTI test requirements and procedures was the subject of the sixth group
    of measures. In the responses to the OPC, around two thirds of respondents supported similar
    measures to those covered in the survey and interviews. For example, 70% (106, 13 ‘no responses’
    or ‘Don’t knows’) supported methods to test the functioning of safety-relevant electronic components,
    advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and automated functions being included in the revision
    of the PTI Directive, with 66% (100, 12 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) supporting the inclusion
    of new methods to test vehicles with alternative powertrain technologies (hybrid, full-electric,
    hydrogen) and 64% (96, 13 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) new methods for measuring exhaust
    emissions, for example particle number (PN) and nitrogen oxides (NOx). Many responses to the IIA
    also called for similar measures.
    In the responses to the survey, at least 80% of respondents thought that the respective measures
    would address the specified Specific Objectives, e.g. 92% (46, 25 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’)
    believed that updating the PTI to cover the safety systems introduced by the General Safety
    Regulation (GSR) would address Specific Objective 1 to a high level and 88% (45, 24 ‘no responses’
    or ‘Don’t knows’) felt the same way about adapting the PTI to the particularities of EVs and hybrids.
    Similar proportions, 81% (43, 22 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) for mandatory PN counting and
    82% for requiring NOx testing according to the JRC methodology, thought that these measures would
    address both Specific Objective 1 and Specific Objective 2 to a high level. In the open responses to
    the survey and the interviews, there was some concern regarding the feasibility of applying NOx
    testing according to the JRC methodology in northern Member States, particularly the requirement
    that testing be undertaken when the vehicle has a warm engine. Again, there were some concerns
    94
    about the impact of any additional costs from these measures on SMEs that undertake inspections,
    particularly where the PTI system was decentralised.
    Policy measures: Scope of RSI Directive
    The seventh set of measures focused on extending the scope of RSIs. In the responses to the OPC,
    there was a high level of support for mandatory checks during roadside inspections of commercial
    vehicles to ensure the safe securing of cargo (70%; 99, 22 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’).
    However, there was only a marginal majority in favour of extending the rules to other vehicles, (e.g.,
    light commercial vehicles, and passenger vehicles, including cars, powered two- and three-wheelers
    (N1, M1 and L-category vehicles) (51%; 77, 14 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’). In particular,
    respondents who were SMEs were much less supportive of this measure, with 38% (eight) not
    supporting it, compared to no large enterprise participating in the OPC.
    In the survey, between two-thirds and three-quarters of respondents believed that the respective
    measures would address the associated Specific Objectives at a high level, although in all cases at
    least half of the respondents to the survey did not express a view. On one hand, two-thirds of
    respondents (67%; 20, 45 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) believed that the introduction of
    mandatory standards in relation to cargo securing inspections would address Specific Objective 1 at
    a high level. On the other hand, around three quarters of respondents believed that the extension of
    the scope of the RSI Directive to N1 and L-category vehicles would address Specific Objective 2 at
    a high level (76%; 28, 38 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’; and 74%; 23, 44 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t
    knows’, respectively). In their responses to the survey and interview, various respondents noted that
    some of these measures were already undertaken in their respective countries, although a minority of
    respondents were not convinced of the added value of each of these measures. In relation to
    introducing RSI for N1 vehicles, it was suggested that this could bring additional costs, in terms of
    lost time, for SMEs operating such vehicles.
    Policy measures: Content of RSIs
    The introduction of new RSI test methods and procedures was the subject of the eighth group of
    measures. In the responses to the OPC, a small majority supported consideration of relevant
    measures, as 60% (91, 13 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) supported measures to specifically tackle
    noise-related tampering / noncompliance problems in vehicles inspected at the roadside and 53%
    (78, 17 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) supported extended emission testing (e.g., NOx and PN),
    including the use of remote sensing equipment. SMEs participating in the OPC were much less
    supportive of either of these measures (29% (six) and 40% (eight), respectively), compared to no
    respondent large enterprise in both cases.
    In the responses to the survey, a majority of respondents, who expressed a view, thought that each
    of the proposed measures would contribute to addressing both Specific Objective 1 and Specific
    Objective 2 at a high level, although more than half of respondents did not have a view on any of
    these measures. For example, 81% (26, 43 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) believed that PN testing
    for commercial vehicles would address Specific Objective 2 at a high level, as did 77% (24, 44 ‘no
    responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) for NOx and noise testing for all vehicles using remote sensing. The
    measure that the fewest respondents believed would address Specific Objective 2 at a high level was
    plume chasing for commercial vehicles (61%; 14, 52 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’). The responses
    relating to Specific Objective 1 were similar for each measure. In the responses to the open questions
    in the survey and interviews, various respondents from national authorities were not convinced of
    the added value of requiring PN counting during an RSI, if this was also measured in the course of a
    95
    PTI. It was also suggested that remote sensing would only be able to identify vehicles that exceed the
    respective emission standards significantly, rather than being able to identify slight exceedances.
    In the IIA response in relation to the RSI Directive, CITA called for cargo securing requirements for
    cargo vehicles to be set in type-approval, in order to facilitate the inspection of the security of cargo
    in RSIs. Ireland’s RSA called for some changes to improve the RSI Directive, including more
    specific wording around failures involving frontal protection systems and tampered emission control
    systems. They also suggested that consideration could be given to expanding the scope of the RSI
    Directive. The inspection company Applus suggested that the RSI Directive should be extended to
    all vehicles that were able to circulate on roads in the EU to check their emission levels, noise levels,
    overloading and other relevant technical issues. They also suggested that remote sensing could be
    used to identify the need for additional inspections for high polluting vehicles. The Nordic Logistics
    Association highlighted the importance of electronic data exchange and the storage of the results of
    RSIs, and for RSI authorities to have access to this information, in order to prevent drivers being
    subject to another RSI when they cross a border. They also underlined the importance of digital tools,
    including those that could support the registration of vehicles, in making it easier to inspect vehicles,
    and so make this more efficient, thus saving time for inspectors and for those being inspected.
    Policy measures: Testing software in PTIs and RSIs
    The ninth set of measures included a single measure relating to both the PTI and RSI Directives:
    require the testing of software status/integrity of safety and/or emission relevant systems in the PTI
    for all vehicles and as part of technical roadside inspections of commercial vehicles. The OPC
    included a question on a similar measure, but only in relation to PTI, which was supported by two
    thirds of respondents (65%; 100, nine ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’). The importance of checking
    a vehicle’s software, at least during PTIs, was highlighted by a number of inspection bodies in the
    IIA. In the survey, a high proportion of respondents believed that the measure would address both
    Specific Objective 1 (86%; 42, 26 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) and Specific Objective 2 (81%;
    38, 28 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) at a high level. In the open responses to the survey and
    interviews, some authorities were concerned about the additional costs of this measure, particularly
    on SMEs. On the other hand, those that undertook inspections believed that the test could be
    relatively straightforward, even automated, as long as those undertaking inspections had easy access
    to the relevant information within the vehicle and also to relevant manufacturer databases that
    contained the necessary information on the software used.
    Policy measures: Access and exchange of information/data
    The tenth set of measures focused on access and exchange of information/data that was needed to
    support PTIs and RSIs.
    In the response to IIA, CITA called for all those undertaking inspections to have access to vehicle-
    specific original data in a non-discriminatory, free and independent manner, given that technical
    inspections are undertaken for the authorities of the Member States, They also underlined the
    importance of relevant stakeholders being able to verify that the right version of approved software
    was being used by the vehicle. Germany’s Central Agency for PTI, the FSD, also underlined the
    importance of access to in-vehicle data and diagnostic information in an independent and reliable
    way, specifically the information made available in the context of EU type-approval legislation, along
    with unrestricted access to the vehicle data and software, covering the whole lifetime of the vehicle.
    Similarly, the Spanish AECA-ITV underlined the importance of PTI inspection providers having
    access to the original vehicle data, including up-to-date software, in a non-discriminatory, free and
    96
    independent manner, so that vehicles could be appropriately tested. The Portuguese ANCIA also
    underlined the importance of testing services having access to the technical specifications of a
    vehicle’s safety systems to be able to properly test these, and to be able to check that a vehicle’s
    software was approved and up to date. Austrian VFT and BdF, and the German DKZ also underlined
    that, in order to facilitate the inspection of the functionality of safety systems, testing centres should
    have easy access to the relevant OBD data, free of charge. They also noted that the implementation
    of Regulation (EU) 2019/621 regarding ePTI had been more difficult than expected and so more
    detailed provisions should be included in the revised RWP. GOCA Vlaanderen also emphasised the
    importance of free access to specific PTI-related data for each individual vehicle in order to be able
    to properly inspect modern vehicles. Similarly, Ireland’s RSA called for manufacturers to be required
    to provide to Member States with “accessible and standardised” information relating to the test items,
    at no cost to Member States, and to provide sufficient access to in-vehicle data in PTIs to enable the
    necessary inspections. They also argued that testing inspection companies should have similar access
    to these information and data. Inspection company Applus argued that organisations involved in
    statutory activities, such as vehicle inspections, should have a “clear and unfiltered access” to vehicle
    data, potentially via a central hub. They also called for the information needed for an inspection to
    be made available in a standardised format in an easy-to-access, computer-readable format on the
    European level, to facilitate access to the OBD, for example. Applus also underlined the importance
    of inspections being able to check that the appropriate, non-modified software was present on the
    vehicle. The EGEA underlined the importance of direct access to in-vehicle data to facilitate the
    testing of safety and environmental control systems, and also called for all inspection equipment to
    have digital network capability to enable the secure transmission of data between inspection sites and
    the respective authorities. GTÜ, the German association of independent PTI inspectors, also
    underlined the importance of being able to access vehicle data using standardised interfaces, and of
    having internet access at all inspection sites. They also noted that they would welcome a system that
    would allow Member States to issue inspection reports solely in a digital format. The FIA also
    underlined that the relevant diagnostic data and functions must be made “conveniently accessible”
    for inspection bodies free of charge, as these were undertaking a government activity, with the
    explicit consent of users. They also called for the implementation of an independent, vehicle security
    certification scheme to allow “efficient and effective” verification during testing to ensure that the
    most up-to-date security, safety and environmental protection updates have been installed. The
    ÖAMTC’s response made similar points.
    In the OPC, questions were asked about relevant measures relating to both PTIs and RSIs. Two-
    thirds of respondents (67%; 102, 11 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) supported extending (or
    clarifying) existing rules on access to in-vehicle data…, with data protection safeguards for PTIs,
    whereas a slightly smaller proportion (62%; 93, 15 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) supported this
    for RSIs. In both cases, vehicle and equipment manufacturers/suppliers, who participated in the
    OPC, were less supportive of this provision than other respondents, e.g. for PTI (58%; seven, three
    ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) and for RSI (50%; six, three ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’). In
    addition, 59% (92, nine ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) supported new methods for reading out
    onboard data stored in the vehicles for PTIs, although again vehicle and equipment
    manufacturers/suppliers, who participated in the OPC, were less supportive of this measure (38%;
    five, two ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) than other respondents. In addition, nearly two thirds of
    OPC respondents (64%; 96, 14 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) were supportive of granting
    roadside inspection authorities access to electronic data, which again was less supported by vehicle
    and equipment manufacturers/suppliers, who participated in the OPC, than other respondents (31%;
    four, two ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’).
    97
    In the survey, a majority of respondents believed that further defining data governance procedures
    and the means of access to vehicle technical information by testing centres free of charge and in
    standardised format would address both Specific Objective 1 (87%; 45, 23 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t
    knows’) and Specific Objective 3 (75%; 38, 24 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) to a high level. A
    similarly high proportion believed that enabling and use of independent remote access to in-vehicle
    data in the RSIs of commercial vehicles would address both Specific Objective 1 (81%; 34, 33 ‘no
    responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) and Specific Objective 2 (73%; 30, 34 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’)
    to a high level. Around three-quarters of respondents (75%; 24, 43 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’)
    believed that requiring the electronic storage of RSI reports in national databases, as well as the
    access and exchange of RSI-relevant data to RSI authorities in other EU Member States through a
    common IT system would address Specific Objective 3 at a high level. In response to the open survey
    and interview questions, various respondents underlined that enabling and use of independent remote
    access to in-vehicle data was as important for PTIs as it was for RSIs, and so underlined that this
    measure should also be considered in the context of PTIs. In this context, EReg underlined that they
    supported the three measures in this section applying to all three Directives that are part of the RWP.
    Various respondents, including CITA, EGEA and EReg, underlined the importance of free and easy
    access to in-vehicle data to enable the proper inspection of vehicles. Many respondents also
    underlined the importance of storing relevant data in a structured format, rather than storing the full
    RSI report. A couple of respondents suggested that SMEs would benefit from having easier access
    to information.
    Policy measures: Measures relating to vehicle registration
    The final – eleventh – set of measures focused on potential amendments to the Vehicle Registration
    Documents Directive.
    In the IIA response in relation to vehicle registration, CITA called for a standardised exchange of
    data between type-approval and licencing authorities, to eliminate the need to carry the registration
    certificate in the vehicle (or even its replacement entirely with an electronic version) and the
    possibility for relevant authorities and bodies to access vehicle registration data, no matter which
    Member State the vehicle was registered in. Spanish AECA-ITV called for the establishment of an
    electronic platform in which Member States were able to access the registration documents and
    certificates of conformity of all vehicles. The Nordic Logistics Association agreed with the
    difficulties in enforcing road safety measures in cross-border traffic and trade in the EU, and
    underlined its belief that sharing vehicle registration data, and other safety-relevant information, of
    vehicles between Member States was important to address this problem.
    In the OPC, respondents were asked whether they supported four relevant measures, each of which
    was supported by around three-quarters of respondents, with the most popular being adding data on
    major accidents of a vehicle to the vehicle register (76%; 115, 13 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’).
    This was followed by improved exchange of roadworthiness data between Member States in
    electronic format (75%; 116, 10 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’), full digitalisation of registration
    documents (74%; 110, 16 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) and adding odometer data to the vehicle
    register (72%; 111, nine ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’). Responses to the IIA also supported the
    sharing of relevant information between Member States.
    In the survey, a large majority of respondents that had a view (at least 85% in all cases) believed that
    the respective measures would have a high impact on the respective Specific Objectives. Over 90%
    of respondents believed that providing electronic access to relevant data to the registration
    authorities of other EU Member States through the use of a common IT system (95%; 38, 35 ‘no
    98
    responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) and adding a minimum set of new data to the vehicle register (93%;
    42, 30 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’) would address Specific Objective 3 to a high level. Slightly
    fewer respondents believed that introducing the requirement that any vehicle transformation has to
    be approved and registered and increasing the harmonisation of the technical data in the vehicle
    registration documents on the basis of a common standard would address Specific Objective 3 at a
    high level (91%; 30, 42 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’; and 88%; 28, 43 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t
    knows’, respectively). The proportion believing that requiring issuing of the registration certificates
    (Annex I) in digital format and that requiring that Member States update vehicle registration data on
    a regular basis would address Specific Objective 3 at a high level was marginally lower (85%; 23,
    48 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’; and 86%; 25, 46 ‘no responses’ or ‘Don’t knows’, respectively).
    In the responses to open questions in the survey and interviews, many national authority respondents
    highlighted that 17 Member States already used Eucaris for the purpose of data exchange, and that
    this system worked well. Many of the same organisations underlined that data on the vehicle register
    should be harmonised and available to all organisations that were involved in undertaking PTIs and
    RSIs for national authorities, while EReg and some if its members called for a larger set of data to be
    included in the vehicle register. EReg also generally supported the digitalisation of the vehicle
    registration documents and the mutual recognition of these. Various national authorities, and users,
    underlined the importance of the data in the vehicle register being updated as soon as relevant changes
    happen. It was suggested that additional costs could arise for SMEs that were not currently digitally
    connected in order to be able to access electronic documentation and information, although it was
    also suggested that SMEs would have a lot to gain by having better access to relevant standardised
    information.
    3.5. Feedback received on policy options
    Various industry respondents, including PTI operators, called for the extension of the PTI Directive
    to cover all road vehicles. PO3 and PO1b introduce the obligation to inspect motorcycles at PTI,
    albeit at a various level of stringency and with PO3 being more ambitious, while PO2 and PO1a allow
    to substitute PTI with RSI. While stakeholders belonging to motorcyclists’ groups at EU or national
    level did not support such extension in the OPC, in the survey most of the respondents supported
    mandatory PTI for motorcycles with the objective to reduce tampering and the detection of defected
    vehicles. Stakeholders also noted that many Member States already required a PTI for motorcycles,
    as well as for tractors and/or trailers. In the consultations, SMEs were much more likely not to support
    extending the scope of the PTI Directive to motorcycles than large enterprises, arguing that costs for
    SME inspection companies could increase, if they had to buy more equipment.
    All policy options include mandatory testing after significant modification of a vehicle, which was
    supported by stakeholders in the survey. Regarding the increased frequency of testing, PO1b and
    PO2 introduce annual emission testing for vans and a requirement for an annual PTI for vehicles over
    10 years old, all these measures being supported by a majority of stakeholders in the survey.
    The recognition of PTIs conducted in another Member State was an issue that the majority of
    stakeholders responding to the OPC considered as necessary to address. PO3 introduces a full
    recognition, while PO1b and PO2 require the recognition of the PTI from another MS than the MS
    of registration for a period of up to 6 months. PO1a on the other hand envisages only a recognition
    based on bilateral agreements. Stakeholder views on this differ to quite some extent: vehicle owners
    and those not directly involved in PTI inspections tended to be more in favour of the mutual
    recognition of PTI certificates under certain conditions, although some recognised that the mutual
    99
    recognition under bilateral agreements would be a good first step. Those more actively involved with
    inspections were concerned that the difference between the approach taken to PTIs in different
    Member States meant that mutual recognition would be difficult and potentially lead to adverse
    effects on safety. Concerns were also raised that mutual recognition without the increased
    harmonisation of PTIs would lead to “PTI tourism”, where drivers had their vehicles tested in
    countries where it was easier to pass a PTI.
    All policy options tackle odometer tampering. New methods for tackling odometer fraud were
    considered as necessary by 69% (107) respondents in the OPC and adding odometer data to the
    vehicle register was welcomed by 72% (111) respondents in the OPC. In the consultations, in relation
    to odometer readings, some stakeholders suggested that it should be mandatory to record odometer
    data at certain events, such as following accidents and the transfer of ownership, and that potential
    buyers should have access to all this information. Not all stakeholders were however positive about
    this measure: some called on odometer system manipulation to be addressed via type-approval
    legislation, rather than the revision of the PTI Directive (FIA), and others questioned the potential
    inclusion of new methods to tackle odometer fraud, arguing that inspection organisations did not
    have the legal means or ways to detect and sanction such fraud (CITA).
    Regarding the content of RSI, PO1b, PO2 and PO3 introduce mandatory NOx and PN measurement
    and inspection of cargo securing. In the responses to the survey, a majority of respondents (81% and
    77% respectively) thought that PN testing for commercial vehicles and NOx and noise testing for all
    vehicles using remote sensing would improve the detection of defective vehicles and reduce tampering.
    In the OPC, a small majority supported extended emission testing (e.g., NOx and PN), including the
    use of remote sensing equipment, during RSI. Regarding cargo securing, in the responses to the OPC,
    there was a high level of support for mandatory checks during roadside inspections of commercial
    vehicles to ensure the safe securing of cargo (70%; 99). In the survey, two-thirds of respondents
    (67%; 20) believed that the introduction of mandatory standards in relation to cargo securing
    inspections would contribute to road safety.
    PO2 and PO3 also introduce the extension of scope of RSI to light commercial vehicles. In the OPC,
    there was only a marginal majority in favour of extending the rules to other vehicles (51%; 77). In
    the survey, around three quarters of respondents thought that the extension of the scope of the RSI to
    light commercial vehicles would contribute to better detection of defective and tampered vehicles
    (76%; 28). In relation to introducing RSI for these vehicles, some stakeholders suggested that this
    could bring additional costs, in terms of lost time, for SMEs operating such vehicles.
    Regarding access and exchange of information/data, PO2 and PO3 both introduce the procedures for
    access to vehicle technical information by testing centres free of charge. In the OPC, two-thirds of
    respondents (67%; 102) supported clarifying the existing rules on access to in-vehicle data. Vehicle
    and equipment manufacturers/suppliers were less supportive of this provision than others. In the
    survey, a majority of respondents (87%; 45) supported this approach to address the objectives of the
    initiative. In response to the open survey and interview questions, various respondents (including
    CITA, EGEA and EReg), underlined the importance of free and easy access to in-vehicle data to
    enable the proper inspection of vehicles.
    Finally, all policy options include measures aimed at facilitating exchange of PTI and registration
    data. PO1a, PO2 and PO3 furthermore introduce measures on the digitalisation of registration
    certificates and new data sets to be included. A large majority of stakeholders supported these
    measures. National authority respondents highlighted that 17 Member States already used Eucaris
    for the purpose of data exchange, and that this system worked well. They underlined that data on the
    vehicle register should be harmonised and available to all organisations that were involved in
    100
    undertaking PTIs and RSIs for national authorities. EReg called for a larger set of data to be included
    in the vehicle register and generally supported the digitalisation of the vehicle registration documents
    and the mutual recognition of these. Various national authorities, and users, underlined the
    importance of the data in the vehicle register being up to date as soon as relevant changes happen.
    101
    ANNEX 3: WHO IS AFFECTED AND HOW?
    1. PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS OF THE INITIATIVE
    Summary of the implementation of the preferred policy option
    The primary objective of the initiative is to improve road safety in the European Union, by
    contributing to the objective of decreasing the casualties and serious injuries resulting from road
    crashes by 50% by 2030 as an important milestone of “Vision Zero” by 2050. At the same time, the
    initiative aims to improve the environmental performance of vehicles and in this way contribute to
    cleaner air and a lower environmental footprint of the road transport sector in the EU. The preferred
    policy option will ensure that today’s and tomorrow’s road vehicles remain safe and maintain their
    approved environmental performance throughout their lifetime. It will significantly reduce tampering
    of safety-related and emission control systems as well as odometer fraud and improve data exchange
    and cooperation among Member States, thereby reducing the external costs generated by road
    transport, improving consumer protection, and facilitating the free movement of people and goods.
    The benefits of the preferred policy option are expected to fall on different stakeholder groups:
    citizens, vehicle owners, PTI centres, inspectors, public authorities.
    Citizens will benefit from the increased road safety on EU roads, leading to less fatalities and injuries.
    They will also benefit from healthier environment due to reductions in air pollutant emissions (NOx
    and PM) and noise emissions thanks to better detection of defective and tampered vehicles.
    Vehicle owners (businesses and citizens) will enjoy the benefits due to avoided odometer fraud.
    This will require mandatory recording and reporting to a national central database of vehicle mileage,
    whenever a vehicle undergoes repair/maintenance or in the case of tyre changes/replacement. It will
    help reduce odometer fraud in both, domestic sales of used vehicles as well as in cross-border sales.
    Additional benefits for vehicle owners will come from avoiding emission testing at PTI in case the
    vehicle passed a roadside inspection or was found to be in line with the applicable emission limits
    during a screening by remote sensing. They are also expected to save costs related to the recognition
    of PTI certificates in other Member States (for up to 6 months), as a result of avoided travel costs.
    Measures involving an extension of vehicle scope or increase in testing frequency for particular
    vehicle categories will require additional inspections and will lead in increase of employment of
    vehicle inspectors. Benefits are expected also from the additional training for the inspectors that will
    have to deliver the new testing methods. Adapting PTI methods to the testing of electric vehicles,
    including the training of inspectors, will also provide a safer workplace for vehicle inspectors.
    PTI centres will benefit from more frequent emission testing of light commercial vehicles and from
    the mandatory yearly testing for vehicles that are 10-year-old or older. They will also enjoy cost
    savings due to new data governance measure and access to relevant technical information.
    National administrations are expected to benefit from significant cost savings due to the
    introduction of roadworthiness certificate in electronic format and the interlinking of national vehicle
    registers. As regards roadworthiness certificates, they should become mandatory in electronic format
    and gradually replace the paper and smartcard format. This would bring savings to national
    authorities as they would avoid the costs of printing, distribution, and handling of paper/plastic
    registration certificates. Additional saving should come from transition to issuing digital registration
    certificates instead of paper ones. They can also expect cost savings due to the time saved for the re-
    registration of a vehicle in another Member State.
    102
    The costs of the measures included in the preferred policy option are expected to fall on different
    stakeholder groups: national public authorities, periodic technical inspection (PTI) centres, vehicle
    repair shops, garages, vehicle owners (citizens and businesses).
    National public authorities will face one-off adjustment costs linked to setting up a database for
    recording odometer history of the vehicles registered in their territory, the interconnection of national
    vehicle registers, adding new data elements to the registers and introducing remote sensing, which
    requires the purchase and installation of new roadside equipment as well as a monitoring system.
    They will also face additional administrative costs due to an increased number of roadside
    inspections.
    PTI centres will face adjustment costs linked to updated and new test requirements, and an increased
    number of tests will require additional investments in equipment, testing capacity and training of
    inspectors. It is however expected that PTI centres will be able to recover the additional costs through
    the additional business opportunities (increased number of tests) and in some cases (depending on
    the Member State) through somewhat increased PTI charges (this aspect could not be quantified).
    Vehicle repair shops, motor vehicle dealers and other garages will face additional administrative costs
    due to the requirement for Member States to set up a system to record odometer readings from the
    cars and vans registered in their territory. This includes one-off costs for software updates, to allow
    them to transfer their data to the central national database, and recurrent costs for the maintenance of
    the software and the time spent for recording the odometer readings.
    Automobile manufacturers will face administrative costs related to the setting up of a governance
    framework for providing access to in-vehicle data necessary to carry out PTI and RSI to inspection
    centres and competent authorities. The costs are due to the adjustments to their IT systems to ensure
    access to the relevant data, and maintenance costs.
    Some vehicle owners will also face additional costs due to the extension of the scope or frequency of
    PTI and roadside inspections. Vehicle owners may also face administrative costs related to the
    roadworthiness test following any significant modification that could affect safety or the
    environmental performance of the vehicle. Due to new testing requirements regarding safety, air
    pollutant emissions and noise, some vehicle owners will incur repair costs to ensure that their vehicles
    can pass the PTI inspection and remain in use. The regular inspection of cargo securing will lead to
    recurrent administrative costs for businesses vehicle owners.
    2. SUMMARY OF COSTS AND BENEFITS
    I. Overview of Benefits (total for all provisions) – Preferred Option (PO2)
    Description Amount Comments
    Direct benefits
    Administrative costs
    savings for Member States
    administrations, expressed
    as present value over
    2026-2050, relative to the
    baseline
    EUR 5.23 billion Administrative cost savings for national
    administrations due to issuing the
    roadworthiness certificates in electronic
    format only, the interlinking of national
    vehicle registers, the time saved for the
    re-registration of a vehicle in another
    Member State, and due to avoiding the
    costs of printing, distribution and
    handling of paper/plastic registration
    certificates, estimated at EUR 5.23
    billion, expressed as present value over
    103
    I. Overview of Benefits (total for all provisions) – Preferred Option (PO2)
    Description Amount Comments
    2026-2050.
    Administrative costs
    savings for businesses
    (PTI centres), expressed
    as present value over
    2026-2050, relative to the
    baseline
    EUR 1.64 billion Administrative costs savings for PTI
    centres due to the access to relevant
    technical information (data governance)
    estimated at EUR 1.64 billion, expressed
    as present value over 2026-2050.
    Benefits for businesses
    (PTI centres) from
    additional technical
    inspections, expressed as
    present value over 2026-
    2050, relative to the
    baseline
    EUR 39.10 billion Benefits from additional periodic
    technical inspections for PTI centres due
    to the extension of scope of PTI and more
    frequent testing of certain vehicle
    categories, including for the yearly
    testing of vehicles that are 10-year-old or
    older. Estimated at EUR 39.10 billion
    expressed as present value over 2026-
    2050.
    Administrative costs
    savings for other
    businesses (vehicle
    owners) expressed as
    present value over 2026-
    2050, relative to the
    baseline
    EUR 1.29 billion Administrative costs savings for other
    businesses (vehicle owners) due to the
    possibility to avoid emission testing at
    PTI in case the vehicle passed a roadside
    inspection or was in line with the
    emission limits during a screening by
    remote sensing. The savings are
    estimated at EUR 1.29 billion, expressed
    as present value over 2026-2050.
    Benefits for other
    businesses (vehicle
    owners) due to avoided
    odometer fraud
    EUR 118.34 billion Benefits for other businesses (vehicle
    owners) due to mandatory recording and
    reporting to a national central database of
    vehicle mileage, whenever a vehicle
    undergoes repair/maintenance or in the
    case of tyre changes/replacement which
    helps reducing odometer fraud, estimated
    at EUR 118.34 billion, expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050.
    Adjustment costs savings
    for citizens (vehicle
    owners) expressed as
    present value over 2026-
    2050, relative to the
    baseline
    EUR 2.14 billion Adjustment cost savings for citizens due
    to the recognition of PTI certificates
    issued by a Member State other than
    Member State of registration of up to six
    months, as a result of avoided travel costs
    back to the country of vehicle registration
    for a PTI. Estimated at EUR 2.14 billion
    relative to the baseline (expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050).
    Administrative costs
    savings for citizens
    (vehicle owners)
    expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050, relative
    to the baseline
    EUR 591.9 million Administrative costs savings for citizens
    due to not requiring emission testing at
    PTI after the vehicle has successfully
    passed a screening by remote sensing,
    estimated at up to EUR 591.9 million,
    expressed as present value over 2026-
    2050.
    104
    I. Overview of Benefits (total for all provisions) – Preferred Option (PO2)
    Description Amount Comments
    Benefits for citizens
    (vehicle owners) due to
    avoided odometer fraud
    EUR 65.67 billion Benefits due to the obligation for Member
    States to record odometer readings in a
    national database, as well as to make
    them available to other Member States in
    the case of a re-registration of a vehicle in
    order to reduce odometer fraud.
    Estimated at around EUR 65.67 billion,
    expressed as present value over 2026-
    2050.
    Improvement in the
    functioning of the internal
    market
    Positive impact on the functioning of the
    internal market is expected due to the the
    measures related to improving the
    availability and exchange of vehicle-
    related information, making the
    roadworthiness certificate available in
    electronic format, harmonising testing
    methods, the frequency of testing,
    requirements for the improvement of the
    PTI and the scope of testing. Harmonising
    vehicle registration documents across
    Member States will help to verify the
    vehicle's characteristics, and its
    registration status in the country of origin.
    This can help addressing potential
    obstacles to re-registration in another EU
    Member State where the vehicle is
    reported stolen, or its registration
    certificate is suspected of being
    fraudulent.
    Benefits for citizens and
    administration due to
    ‘digital by default’
    The mandatory electronic format of
    roadworthiness certificates should have a
    positive impact on digital transformation
    in the EU. For the process of re-
    registration, it will save time and costs for
    authorities and citizens by moving away
    from information and data exchange via
    e-mail, which is less efficient and time
    consuming. A digital registration
    certificate should help reduce time and
    costs for authorities and citizens by
    making access and exchange of the
    relevant information easier, faster.
    Increase in employment of
    PTI and RSI inspectors,
    relative to the baseline
    PTI inspectors: 18,752 additional full-time
    inspectors in 2030 and 20,107 in 2050,
    relative to the baseline
    RSI inspectors: 204 additional full-time
    inspectors in 2030 and 243 in 2050, relative
    to the baseline
    The preferred policy option will lead to
    additional inspections and the need for
    additional inspectors PTI and RSI to
    perform them due to extension of vehicle
    scope or increase in testing frequency for
    particular vehicle categories (such as
    annual emission testing of vans,
    mandatory yearly testing of vehicles that
    are 10-year-old or older, the noise testing
    of motorcycles and extension of RSI to
    vans). In addition, there will be benefits
    from the additional training for the
    inspectors that will be needed to be able
    105
    I. Overview of Benefits (total for all provisions) – Preferred Option (PO2)
    Description Amount Comments
    to deliver the new testing methods. The
    demand for additional and new testing
    equipment will lead to an increase in
    production-related jobs within Member
    States. There will also be employment
    opportunity related to providing ongoing
    maintenance for the new testing
    equipment.
    Indirect benefits
    Reduction in the number
    of fatalities and serious
    injuries relative to the
    baseline (cumulative over
    2026-2050)
    6,912 lives saved and 64,885 serious injuries
    avoided
    Indirect benefit to society at large.
    Significant positive effects on road safety
    are expected, in particular due to to the
    more effective identification of vehicles
    with major and dangerous defects in the
    fleet, which should lead to the reduction
    of road crashes caused by technical
    defects and, as a result, to reduced
    fatalities and injuries. Measures which
    relate to better implementation and
    enforcement of the roadworthiness
    legislation will also contribute. The
    impacts are estimated at 6,912 lives saved
    and 64,885 serious injuries avoided over
    the 2026-2050, relative to the baseline.
    Reduction in external
    costs of accidents
    (fatalities and injuries),
    expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050, relative
    to the baseline
    EUR 74.2 billion Indirect benefit to society at large, due to
    the lives saved and injuries avoided. The
    reduction in the external costs of
    accidents is estimated at EUR 74.2
    billion, expressed as present value over
    the 2026-2050 horizon (in 2022 prices)
    relative to the baseline.
    Reduction of air pollutant
    emissions (kilo tonnes of
    NOx and PM2.5 avoided)
    (cumulative over 2026-
    2050)
    Air pollutants reduction: 3,969 kilo-tonnes of
    NOx and 199 kilo-tonnes of PM
    Indirect benefit to society at large
    Significant positive effects on
    environment are expected, due to the
    measures having an impact on air
    pollutant emissions and targeted at high
    emitters of NOx and particulate matter in
    the vehicle fleet, which should be
    effectively identified and repaired, with
    expected cumulative impact on air
    pollutants reduction 3,969 kilo-tonnes of
    NOx and 199 kilo-tonnes of PM over
    2026-2050.
    Reduction in the external
    costs of air pollutant
    emissions relative to the
    baseline, expressed as
    present value over 2026-
    2050
    EUR 76.1 billion Indirect benefit to society at large, due to
    the reduced air pollutant emissions. The
    reduction in the external costs of air
    pollution is estimated at EUR 76.1
    billion, expressed as present value over
    the 2026-2050 horizon (in 2022 prices)
    relative to the baseline.
    Reduction in the external
    costs of noise emissions
    EUR 7.3 billion Indirect benefit to society at large, due to
    the reduced noise emissions. The
    106
    I. Overview of Benefits (total for all provisions) – Preferred Option (PO2)
    Description Amount Comments
    relative to the baseline,
    expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050
    reduction in the external costs of noise
    pollution is estimated at EUR 7.3 billion,
    expressed as present value over the 2026-
    2050 horizon (in 2022 prices) relative to
    the baseline.
    II. Overview of costs – Preferred option (PO2)
    Citizens/Consumers Businesses Administrations
    One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent
    Direct adjustment costs
    (expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050, relative to
    the baseline)
    - - For PTI
    centres: EUR
    3.2 billion
    For PTI
    centres: 20.1
    billion
    For
    national
    public
    authorities:
    EUR 29.7
    million
    For national
    public
    authorities:
    EUR 177.5
    million
    Direct administrative costs
    (expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050, relative to
    the baseline)
    - For citizens
    (vehicle
    owners): EUR
    13.7 billion
    For
    businesses:
    EUR 218
    million, of
    which:
    - EUR 48.9
    million for
    PTI centres
    - EUR 149.2
    million for
    garages, repair
    stations, etc.
    - EUR 20
    million for
    vehicle
    manufacturers
    For
    businesses:
    EUR 26.1
    billion, of
    which:
    - EUR 87.7
    million for
    PTI centres
    - EUR 310.8
    million for
    garages, repair
    stations, etc.
    - EUR 35.9
    million for
    vehicle
    manufacturers
    - EUR 25.7
    billion for
    other
    businesses
    (for vehicle
    owners)
    For
    national
    public
    authorities:
    EUR 77.9
    million
    For national
    public
    authorities:
    EUR 2.31
    billion
    Direct regulatory fees and
    charges
    - - - - - -
    Direct enforcement costs
    (expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050, relative to
    the baseline)
    - - - - - -
    Indirect costs - - - - - -
    107
    III. Application of the ‘one in, one out’ approach – Preferred option (PO2)
    [M€] One-off
    (annualised total net present
    value over the relevant
    period)
    Recurrent
    (nominal values per year)
    Total
    Businesses
    New administrative
    burdens (INs)
    EUR 25.5 million, of
    which:
    - EUR 5.7 million for the
    PTI centres
    - EUR 2.3 million for
    vehicle manufacturers
    - EUR 17.5 million for
    garages, repair stations
    EUR 26.4 million, of which:
    - EUR 4.9 million for PTI
    centres
    - EUR 2 million for vehicle
    manufacturers
    - EUR 19.5 million for garages,
    repair stations, etc.
    EUR 51.9 million, of
    which:
    -EUR 10.6 million for
    PTI centres
    -EUR 4.3 million for
    vehicle manufacturers
    -EUR 37 million for
    garages, repair
    stations, etc.
    Removed
    administrative burdens
    (OUTs)
    - - -
    Net administrative
    burdens
    EUR 25.5 million EUR 26.4 million EUR 51.9 million
    Adjustment costs
    (expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050,
    relative to the
    baseline)
    For PTI centres: EUR
    3.2 billion
    For PTI centres: 20.1 billion
    Citizens
    New administrative
    burdens (INs)
    - - -
    Removed
    administrative burdens
    (OUTs)
    - - -
    Net administrative
    burdens
    - - -
    Adjustment costs - -
    Total administrative
    burdens
    EUR 25.5 million EUR 26.4 million EUR 51.9 million
    3. RELEVANT SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS
    IV. Overview of relevant Sustainable Development Goals – Preferred Option (PO2)
    Relevant SDG Expected progress towards the
    Goal
    Comments
    SDG 3 (Ensure healthy lives and
    promote well-being for all at all
    ages) including targets 3.6 (halving
    the number of deaths and injuries
    from road traffic accidents) and 3.9
    (by 2030, substantially reduce the
    Reduction in the number of
    fatalities and serious injuries
    relative to the baseline (cumulative
    over 2026-2050):
    6,912 lives saved and 64,885 serious
    injuries avoided
    Legislation on safe vehicles is a core
    element of the Safe System Approach in
    road safety and a core principle of the
    108
    IV. Overview of relevant Sustainable Development Goals – Preferred Option (PO2)
    Relevant SDG Expected progress towards the
    Goal
    Comments
    number of deaths and illnesses
    from hazardous chemicals and air,
    water and soil pollution and
    contamination) for the air pollution
    emissions.
    Reduction of air pollutant emissions
    (kilo tonnes of NOx and PM2.5
    avoided), cumulative over 2026-
    2050:
    air pollutants reduction 3,969 kilo-
    tonnes of NOx and 199 kilo-tonnes
    of PM
    2020 UN “Stockholm Declaration on
    road safety”248
    248
    https://www.roadsafetysweden.com/contentassets/b37f0951c837443eb9661668d5be439e/stockholm-declaration-
    english.pdf
    109
    ANNEX 4: ANALYTICAL METHODS
    1. DESCRIPTION OF THE ANALYTICAL METHODS USED
    The main model used for developing the baseline scenario for this initiative is the PRIMES-TREMOVE
    transport model by E3Modelling, a specific module of the PRIMES models. The model has a successful
    record of use in the Commission's energy, transport and climate policy assessments. In particular, it has
    been used for the impact assessments underpinning the Communication on a 2040 climate target249
    , the “Fit
    for 55” package250
    , the impact assessments accompanying the 2030 Climate Target Plan251
    and the Staff
    Working Document accompanying the Sustainable and Smart Mobility Strategy252
    , the Commission’s
    proposal for a Long Term Strategy253
    as well as for the 2020 and 2030 EU’s climate and energy policy
    framework. In addition, building on the PRIMES-TREMOVE model results, the baseline projections for
    the number of periodic technical inspections (PTI) have been developed by Ricardo et al. in the context of
    the impact assessment support study254
    .
    For the assessment of the impacts of the policy options, the PRIMES-TREMOVE model has been used for
    quantifying the impacts on the number of fatalities and injuries, as well as the impacts on the air pollutant
    and noise emissions. An Excel-based tool has been additionally developed in the context of the impact
    assessment support study, to quantify the impacts on costs and costs savings. The Excel-based tool draws
    on the Standard Cost Model. The proposed measures are assumed to be implemented from 2026 onwards,
    so that the assessment has been undertaken for the 2026-2050 period and refers to EU27. Costs and benefits
    are expressed as present value over the 2026-2050 period, using a 3% discount rate.
    PRIMES-TREMOVE model
    The PRIMES-TREMOVE transport model projects the evolution of demand for passengers and freight
    transport, by transport mode, and transport vehicle/technology, following a formulation based on
    microeconomic foundation of decisions of multiple actors. Operation, investment and emission costs,
    various policy measures, utility factors and congestion are among the drivers that influence the projections
    of the model. The projections of activity, equipment (fleet), usage of equipment, energy consumption and
    emissions (and other externalities) constitute the set of model outputs.
    The PRIMES-TREMOVE transport model can therefore provide the quantitative analysis for the transport
    sector in the EU, candidate and neighbouring countries covering activity, equipment, energy and emissions.
    The model accounts for each country separately which means that the detailed long-term outlooks are
    available both for each country and in aggregate forms (e.g. EU level).
    In the transport field, PRIMES-TREMOVE is suitable for modelling soft measures (e.g. eco-driving,
    labelling); economic measures (e.g. subsidies and taxes on fuels, vehicles, emissions; ETS for transport
    when linked with PRIMES; pricing of congestion and other externalities such as air pollution, accidents and
    noise; measures supporting R&D); regulatory measures (e.g. CO2 emission performance standards for new
    light duty vehicles and heavy duty vehicles; EURO standards on road transport vehicles; technology
    standards for non-road transport technologies, deployment of Intelligent Transport Systems) and
    249
    EUR-Lex - 52024DC0063 - EN - EUR-Lex (europa.eu)
    250
    Delivering the European Green Deal | European Commission (europa.eu)
    251
    SWD(2020)176 final.
    252
    EUR-Lex - 52020SC0331 - EN - EUR-Lex (europa.eu)
    253
    Source: 2050 long-term strategy (europa.eu)
    254
    Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study on the directives of the roadworthiness package, Contract no.
    MOVE/C2/SER/2022-583/SI2.895928, under FWC no. MOVE/2022/OP/0001
    110
    infrastructure policies for alternative fuels (e.g. deployment of refuelling/recharging infrastructure for
    electricity, hydrogen, LNG,CNG). Used as a module that contributes to the PRIMES energy system model,
    PRIMES-TREMOVE can show how policies and trends in the field of transport contribute to economy-
    wide trends in energy use and emissions. Using data disaggregated per Member State, the model can show
    differentiated trends across Member States.
    The PRIMES-TREMOVE has been developed and is maintained by E3Modelling, based on, but
    extending features of, the open source TREMOVE model developed by the TREMOVE255
    modelling
    community. Part of the model (e.g. the utility nested tree) was built following the TREMOVE
    model.256
    Other parts, like the component on fuel consumption and emissions, follow the COPERT
    model.
    Data inputs
    The main data sources for inputs to the PRIMES-TREMOVE model, such as for activity and energy
    consumption, come from EUROSTAT databases and from the Statistical Pocketbook "EU transport
    in figures257
    . Excise taxes are derived from DG TAXUD excise duty tables. Other data comes from
    different sources such as research projects (e.g. TRACCS and New Mobility Pattern projects) and
    reports.
    In the context of this exercise, the PRIMES-TREMOVE transport model is calibrated to 2005, 2010 and
    2015 historical data. Available data on 2020 market shares of different powertrain types has also been taken
    into account.
    2. BASELINE SCENARIO
    In order to reflect the fundamental socio-economic, technological and policy developments, the
    Commission prepares periodically an EU Reference Scenario on energy, transport and GHG
    emissions. The socio-economic and technological developments used for developing the baseline
    scenario for this impact assessment build on the latest “EU Reference scenario 2020”258
    . The same
    assumptions have been used in the policy scenarios underpinning the impact assessments
    accompanying the “Fit for 55” package259
    .
    255
    https://www.tmleuven.be/en/navigation/TREMOVE
    256
    Several model enhancements were made compared to the standard TREMOVE model, as for example: for the number
    of vintages (allowing representation of the choice of second-hand cars); for the technology categories which include
    vehicle types using electricity from the grid and fuel cells. The model also incorporates additional fuel types, such as
    biofuels (when they differ from standard fossil fuel technologies), LPG, LNG, hydrogen and e-fuels. In addition,
    representation of infrastructure for refuelling and recharging are among the model refinements, influencing fuel choices.
    A major model enhancement concerns the inclusion of heterogeneity in the distance of stylised trips; the model considers
    that the trip distances follow a distribution function with different distances and frequencies. The inclusion of
    heterogeneity was found to be of significant influence in the choice of vehicle-fuels especially for vehicles-fuels with
    range limitations.
    257
    EU transport in figures: Statistical Pocketbook - European Commission (europa.eu)
    258
    EU Reference Scenario 2020 (europa.eu)
    259
    Policy scenarios for delivering the European Green Deal (europa.eu)
    111
    Main assumptions of the Baseline scenario
    The main assumptions related to economic development, international energy prices and technologies are
    described below.
    Economic assumptions
    The modelling work is based on socio-economic assumptions describing the expected evolution of the
    European society. Long-term projections on population dynamics and economic activity form part of the
    input to the model and are used to estimate transport activity, particularly relevant for this impact
    assessment.
    Population projections from Eurostat260
    are used to estimate the evolution of the European
    population, which is expected to change little in total number in the coming decades. The GDP
    growth projections are from the Ageing Report 2021261
    by the Directorate General for Economic and
    Financial Affairs, which are based on the same population growth assumptions.
    Table 30: Projected population and GDP growth per Member State
    Population GDP growth
    2020 2025 2030 2020-‘25 2026-‘30
    EU27 447.7 449.3 449.1 0.9% 1.1%
    Austria 8.90 9.03 9.15 0.9% 1.2%
    Belgium 11.51 11.66 11.76 0.8% 0.8%
    Bulgaria 6.95 6.69 6.45 0.7% 1.3%
    Croatia 4.06 3.94 3.83 0.2% 0.6%
    Cyprus 0.89 0.93 0.96 0.7% 1.7%
    Czech Republic 10.69 10.79 10.76 1.6% 2.0%
    Denmark 5.81 5.88 5.96 2.0% 1.7%
    Estonia 1.33 1.32 1.31 2.2% 2.6%
    Finland 5.53 5.54 5.52 0.6% 1.2%
    France 67.20 68.04 68.75 0.7% 1.0%
    Germany 83.14 83.48 83.45 0.8% 0.7%
    Greece 10.70 10.51 10.30 0.7% 0.6%
    Hungary 9.77 9.70 9.62 1.8% 2.6%
    Ireland 4.97 5.27 5.50 2.0% 1.7%
    Italy 60.29 60.09 59.94 0.3% 0.3%
    Latvia 1.91 1.82 1.71 1.4% 1.9%
    Lithuania 2.79 2.71 2.58 1.7% 1.5%
    Luxembourg 0.63 0.66 0.69 1.7% 2.0%
    Malta 0.51 0.56 0.59 2.7% 4.1%
    Netherlands 17.40 17.75 17.97 0.7% 0.7%
    Poland 37.94 37.57 37.02 2.1% 2.4%
    Portugal 10.29 10.22 10.09 0.8% 0.8%
    Romania 19.28 18.51 17.81 2.7% 3.0%
    Slovakia 5.46 5.47 5.44 1.1% 1.7%
    Slovenia 2.10 2.11 2.11 2.1% 2.4%
    260
    EUROPOP2019 population projections: Eurostat - Data Explorer (europa.eu)
    261
    The 2021 Ageing Report : Underlying assumptions and projection methodologies The 2021 Ageing Report:
    Underlying Assumptions and Projection Methodologies | European Commission (europa.eu)
    112
    Population GDP growth
    2020 2025 2030 2020-‘25 2026-‘30
    Spain 47.32 48.31 48.75 0.9% 1.6%
    Sweden 10.32 10.75 11.10 1.4% 2.2%
    Beyond the update of the population and growth assumptions, an update of the projections on the sectoral
    composition of GDP was also carried out using the GEM-E3 computable general equilibrium model. These
    projections take into account the potential medium- to long-term impacts of the COVID-19 crisis on the
    structure of the economy, even though there are inherent uncertainties related to its eventual impacts.
    Overall, conservative assumptions were made regarding the medium-term impacts of the pandemic on the
    re-localisation of global value chains, teleworking and teleconferencing and global tourism.
    International energy prices assumptions
    Alongside socio-economic projections, transport modelling requires projections of international fuel
    prices. The table below shows the oil prices assumptions of the baseline and policy options of this
    impact assessment, that draw on the modelling underpinning the REPowerEU package262
    .
    Table 31: Oil prices assumptions
    Oil 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050
    in $'15 per boe 52.3 39.8 92.1 97.4 117.9
    in €'15 per boe 47.2 35.8 83.0 87.8 106.3
    Technology assumptions
    Modelling scenarios is highly dependent on the assumptions on the development of technologies,
    both in terms of performance and costs. For the purpose of the impact assessments related to the “Fit
    for 55” policy package, these assumptions have been updated based on a rigorous literature review
    carried out by external consultants in collaboration with the JRC and consulted with stakeholders263
    .
    In addition, the technology assumptions for heavy duty vehicles have been updated in the context of
    the work on the impact assessment accompanying the revision of the HDVCO2 standards Regulation264
    .
    The same assumptions have been used in the context of this impact assessment.
    Policies in the Baseline scenario
    The EU Reference scenario 2020 (REF2020) is the starting point for the impact assessment of this
    initiative. The REF2020 takes into account the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic that had a
    significant impact on the transport sector. More detailed information about the preparation process,
    assumptions, and results are included in the Reference scenario publication265
    . Building on REF2020,
    the baseline has been designed to include the initiatives of the ‘Fit for 55’ package proposed by the
    Commission on 14 July 2021266
    and the initiatives of the RePowerEU package proposed by the
    Commission on 18 May 2022267
    . The baseline scenario factors in the revision of the HDV CO2 standards
    262
    SWD(2022)230 final.
    263
    EU Reference Scenario 2020 (europa.eu)
    264
    SWD(2023) 88 final
    265
    EU Reference Scenario 2020 (europa.eu)
    266
    https://ec.europa.eu/info/strategy/priorities-2019-2024/european-green-deal/delivering-european-green-deal_en
    267
    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/IP_22_3131
    113
    Regulation268
    andthenewEuro7standards269,270
    ,theproposedend-of-lifevehicles (ELV)Regulation271,272
    and the forthcoming initiative on fair and non-discriminatory access to in-vehicle data273
    , as well as other
    initiatives part of the Road Safety package274
    and the Greening Freight package275
    .
    The baseline scenario assumes no further EU level intervention beyond the current Roadworthiness
    Package (i.e., the PTI and the RSI Directives as amended by the delegated Regulations to align with
    the evolution of type-approval legislation276
    and to introduce the testing of eCall at PTI277
    , and the
    VRD Directive as last amended by the revision of the Eurovignette Directive278
    ). As some of the
    provisions of the RWP allowed for a very long transition period279
    , certain Member States are still
    notifying transposition measures to the Commission. In addition, the baseline reflects the introduction
    of PN measurement by three Member States280
    .
    The baseline also incorporates foresight megatrends281
    and developments captured in the 2022 Strategic
    Foresight Report282
    . Among others, it captures the trend of increasing demand for transport as population
    and living standards grow as well as the links between the digital and green transition. In particular, the
    projected transport activity draws on the long-term population projections from Eurostat and GDP growth
    from the Ageing Report 2021283
    by the Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs.
    Baseline scenario results
    Transport activityprojections. Inthebaselinescenario,EUtransport activityis projectedtogrowpost-2020,
    following the recovery from the COVID pandemic. Road transport would maintain its dominant role within
    the EU by 2050. Road passenger transport activity (expressed in passenger-kilometres)284
    is projected to
    grow by 10% between 2015 and 2030 (27% for 2015-2050), while road freight transport activity (expressed
    268
    Regulation (EU) 2024/1610.
    269
    COM(2022) 586 final.
    270
    Taking into account the expected effects of the Euro 7, based on the Commission’s proposal, the currently dominant
    Euro 5/V and 6/VI vehicles should be gradually replaced by new ones complying with the Euro 7 standard. This would
    result in reduced levels of tampering and lower emissions, in particular for heavy-duty vehicles. A limitation to mention
    here is that the baseline reflects the Commission proposal. Following the changes by the co-legislators, the baseline likely
    overestimates the reduction in the air pollution emissions over time and thus slightly underestimates the contribution of
    this initiative to the air pollution emissions reduction. This is particularly relevant in the short to medium term. In the
    medium to long term this is less relevant due to the expected large-scale penetration of the zero-emission vehicles in the
    fleet.
    271
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A52023PC0451
    272
    The proposal for a Regulation on end-of-life vehicles (ELV) (COM(2023) 451 final) calls for data related to the
    reasons of deregistering vehicles to be recorded in the national vehicle registers (see Recital 86).
    273
    According to current plans, the proposal on access to in-vehicle data would provide for non-discriminatory access to
    such data in a harmonised, machine-readable format. This will be key for vehicle inspection too, without, however,
    specifying the means of data access, which will continue to allow manufacturers to set their own (often cumbersome)
    rules.
    274
    Proposal for a Directive amending the Driving Licence Directive, proposal for a Directive amending the Cross-Border
    Enforcement Directive and proposal for a Directive on the Union-wide effect of certain driving disqualifications.
    275
    Green Deal: Greening freight for more economic gain with less environmental impact (europa.eu)
    276
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir_del/2021/1717/oj and https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir_del/2021/1716/oj
    277
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2015/758/oj
    278
    Directive (EU) 2022/362 amending Directives 1999/62/EC, 1999/37/EC and (EU) 2019/520, as regards the charging
    of vehicles for the use of certain infrastructures, https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir/2022/362/oj
    279
    For example, PTI for motorcycles (with a possibility for exemptions) since January 2022; the deadline to equip all test
    centres with all the required equipment was 20 May 2023 (five years after the date of application).
    280
    Belgium, Germany and the Netherlands.
    281
    https://knowledge4policy.ec.europa.eu/foresight/tool/megatrends-hub_en#explore
    282
    COM(2022) 289 final.
    283
    doi:10.2765/733565.
    284
    Covering passenger cars, buses and coaches and power-two wheelers.
    114
    in tonne-kilometres)285
    by 27% during 2015-2030 (52% for 2015-2050). Rail transport activity is projected
    to grow significantly faster than for road, driven in particular by the completion of the TEN-T core network
    by 2030 and of the comprehensive network by 2050, supported by the CEF, Cohesion Fund and ERDF
    funding, but also by measures of the ‘Fit for 55’ package286
    and the Greening Freight package. Passenger
    rail activity is projected to go up by 37% by 2030 relative to 2015 (86% for 2015-2050). Freight rail traffic
    would increase by 50% by 2030 relative to 2015 (107% for 2015-2050).
    Zero-emission vehicles. The share of zero-emission vehicles in the light duty vehicle fleet (passenger cars
    and light commercial vehicles) is projected at 15% in 2030, going up to 95% in 2050 in the baseline
    scenario, while for heavy duty vehicle fleet (buses and coaches, and heavy goods vehicles) at 6% in 2030
    and 72% in 2050. These developments are driven by the CO2 standards Regulations, supported by the
    Alternative Fuels Infrastructure Regulation.
    High-emitting vehicles. The current limitations of the emission testing methods applied under the PTI
    and RSI Directives are expected to persist in the baseline scenario, with the shares of high-emitting
    vehicles287
    in the Euro 5/V and Euro 6/VI fleet remaining largely the same. On the other hand, the
    share of high-emitting vehicles in the Euro 7 fleet is expected to be lower than for Euro 5/V and Euro
    6/VI. The shares of high-emitting vehicles are further discussed in the section below.
    Air pollution and CO2 emissions projections. The uptake of zero-emission vehicles and the
    penetration of Euro 7 vehicles in the fleet, combined, are expected to result in significant reductions
    of the air pollution emissions from road transport in the baseline scenario. NOx emissions are
    projected to reduce by 52% in 2030 relative to 2015 (98% reduction for 2015-2050), while particulate
    matter (PM2.5) emissions would decrease by 43% in 2030 relative to 2015 (98% reduction for 2015-
    2050). CO2 emissions from road transport are projected to decrease by 32% by 2030 relative to 2015,
    and be close to zero by 2050, thanks to the large-scale uptake of zero-emission vehicles and some
    use of renewable and low-emission fuels.
    Projected number of fatalities and injuries. In the baseline scenario, the number of fatalities is
    projected to decrease by 24% by 2030 relative to 2015 and by 31% by 2050 relative to 2015288
    . The
    number of serious and slight injuries is projected to decrease by 19% between 2015 and 2030 and by
    26% for 2015-2050. This is despite the increase in traffic over time. Relative to 2019, the number of
    fatalities would decrease by 15% by 2030 and 23% by 2050, and the number of serious injuries by
    10% by 2030 and 18% by 2050. Thus, the targets of the EU Road Safety Policy Framework 2021-
    2030 – Next steps towards “Vision Zero”, of reducing the number of road deaths and the number of
    serious injuries by 50% between 2019 and 2030, would not be met. In addition, this is still far from
    the goal of the Sustainable and Smart Mobility Strategy of a close to zero death toll for all modes of
    transport in the EU by 2050.
    285
    Covering heavy goods vehicles and light commercial vehicles.
    286
    These measures increase to some extent the competitiveness of rail relative to road and air transport.
    287
    It should be noted that there is no standard definition of a high emitter. One possible definition would be: a vehicle
    whose average emissions are at least 2 standard deviations higher than the average emissions of the sample tested
    (https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10156/1/XO-12-019.pdf). A pragmatic approach has been used for the analysis, making
    use of information/data provided in relevant studies, while recognising that they are not always consistent in the definition
    applied. Furthermore, it should be noted that high emitters may be vehicles with defective emission or noise control
    systems or vehicles with tampered emissions/noise control systems. In the absence of more detailed information, a 50%
    share of defective and tampered vehicles is assumed in the total share of high emitters in the fleet.
    288
    Projections refer to injuries in accidents in which a passenger vehicle (car), a light commercial vehicle (van), a bus or
    a truck, or a motorcycle is involved.
    115
    Number of periodic technical inspections and odometer fraud. In the baseline scenario, the number
    of periodic technical inspections (PTI) for LDVs, HDVs and motorcycles is projected to increase
    from 151.5 million in 2015 to 168.9 million in 2030 and 192.3 million in 2050289
    . For O1 and O2
    vehicles the number of inspections is projected at 7.9 million in 2030 and 8.7 million in 2050. More
    details on these projections are presented below.
    At the same time, the number of national second-hand vehicle sales with mileage fraud at EU level
    is projected at 1.63 million in 2026, 1.71 million in 2030 and 1.90 million in 2050, and that of cross
    border vehicle sales with mileage fraud at 3.18 million in 2026, 3.35 million in 2030 and 3.64 million
    in 2050. The national and cross-border odometer fraud is estimated to lead to damages for European
    consumers estimated at EUR 10.2 billion in 2026, EUR 10.7 billion in 2030 and EUR 11.7 billion in
    2050290
    . Expressed as present value over 2026-2050 this amounts to EUR 194.6 billion.
    Share of high emitter vehicles of air pollution emissions
    The limitation of the current testing methods to effectively identify vehicles with defective or
    tampered emission control systems is expected to continue under the baseline scenario. As such, the
    current situation in terms of shares of high emitter vehicles and the resulting level of emissions from
    high emitters – per Euro standards and vehicle age group and Euro standard - is expected to remain
    largely the same. On the other hand, the move towards Euro 7 and the use of OBM will help reduce
    the level of tampering in comparison to Euro 5 and Euro 6. Therefore, the share of high emitters in
    the Euro 7 fleet is expected to be lower, although still increasing for older age groups.
    It should however be noted that the increase in the share of zero-emission vehicles in the fleet over
    time, will reduce the number of defective/tampered vehicles and the associated tailpipe emissions in
    the overall fleet.
    In the context of the stakeholders’ consultation, the view expressed show no firm confidence that the
    current RWP can reduce the number of vehicles with defective or tampered emission control systems
    (weighted average of responses, in a scale of 1-None at all to 7-Very high, was 3.5). A similar
    assessment was provided in terms of the expected contribution to reducing high emitting vehicles on
    the road by technological development or by other measures taken at the Member State level
    (weighted average of responses of 3.6 and 3.8, respectively).
    Data is limited but the analysis of available evidence based on remote sensing campaigns in different
    Member States has allowed to develop estimates on the shares of high emitters for different vehicle
    type and age groups.
    Information on high emitter shares for motorcycles - and more generally for L-category vehicles - is
    even more limited. Data from PTI in Spain291 reveal that 15% of the deficiencies in L-category
    vehicles are related to nuisance, which includes air pollutant and noise emissions. However, the
    information available does not provide the proportion of the fleet this represents. Data from Germany
    suggests that emission defects represent 0.4% of the total across the whole fleet tested. As expected,
    the percentage of defective vehicles is higher among older motorcycles (>9 years). However, in both
    cases the numbers refer to the results of PTI inspections that cannot effectively capture the occurrence
    of tampering. Hence, this is expected to underestimate the share of high emitters in the fleet. As for
    289
    They are derived based on the ‘testing frequency’ and the average number of PTIs in the statistical life of a vehicle.
    290
    The average cost of mileage fraud, due to higher purchase price and maintenance costs incurred, is estimated at EUR
    2,119 per vehicle in 2022 prices drawing on a Belgian Car-Pass study (https://www.car-
    pass.be/files/article_files/file/7/crm%2520study%2520final%2520report.pdf).
    291
    UC3M (2019), Roadworthiness testing contribution to vehicle safety and environment.
    116
    motorcycles no data is currently available from remote sensing campaigns, in the baseline it is
    assumed that motorcycles follow the same profile as petrol Euro 5 passenger car vehicles, in terms
    of shares of high emitters and emissions ratios. This is considered a conservative estimate in the
    absence of more specific data.
    The tables below summarise the assumptions on the share of high emitters and their respective
    emission rates in the baseline scenario. These have been assumed to remain stable over time for the
    respective vehicle groups.
    Table 32: Share (%) of M1 high emitter vehicles in the stock, by age group and Euro standard
    Diesel Petrol
    Vehicle’s age (years) Euro 5 Euro 6 Euro 7 Euro 5 Euro 6 Euro 7
    NOx
    0-4 2.5 2.5 1.3 3.5 3.3 1.6
    5-9 5.0 5.0 3.0 6.5 6.5 3.3
    10-14 7.5 7.5 4.5 9.8 9.8 4.9
    15-19 10.0 10.0 5.0 13.0 13.0 6.5
    PM/PN
    0-4 2.5 2.5 1.3 2.6 2.6 1.3
    5-9 5.0 5.0 3.0 5.2 5.2 2.6
    10-14 7.5 7.5 4.5 7.8 7.8 3.9
    15-19 10.0 10.0 5.0 10.4 10.4 5.2
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 33: Share (%) of N1 high emitter vehicles in the stock by age group and Euro standard
    Diesel Petrol
    Vehicle’s age (years) Euro 5 Euro 6 Euro 7 Euro 5 Euro 6 Euro 7
    NOx
    0-4 6.0 6.0 3.0 7.8 7.8 3.9
    5-9 9.0 9.0 4.5 11.7 11.7 5.9
    10-14 12.0 12.0 6.0 15.6 15.6 7.8
    15-19 15.0 15.0 7.5 19.5 19.5 9.8
    PM/PN
    0-4 6.0 6.0 3.0 6.2 6.2 3.1
    5-9 9.0 9.0 4.5 9.4 9.4 4.7
    10-14 12.0 12.0 6.0 12.5 12.5 6.2
    15-19 15.0 15.0 7.5 15.6 15.6 7.8
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 34: Shares (%) of N2/N3 and M2/M3 high emitter vehicles in the stock by Euro standard and age
    Vehicle’s age (years) Euro V Euro VI Euro 7
    NOx
    0-4
    10.3
    7.2 3.6
    5-9
    12.6
    8.8 4.4
    10-14
    14.9
    10.4 5.2
    15-19
    17.2
    12.0 6.0
    117
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 35: Shares (%) of L high emitter vehicles in stock by age
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Emission rates
    The emission rate is defined as the ratio between the emission of a defective vehicle and a vehicle
    with its emission control system functioning according to the requirements.
    The values used in the baseline scenario, summarised in the table below, are based on the evidence
    available in the literature and on experts’ consultation. Valuable source of information were the DIAS
    project292, the CITA paper293, and the TNO study294.
    Table 36: Emission rates of high emitters vehicles (defective and tampered) for air pollutants by Euro standard
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Share of high emitter vehicles of noise emissions
    Data for motorcycles – vehicle category L – exceeding the legal noise threshold is very limited and
    does not allow to reach specific conclusions. Feedback from stakeholders suggests that the issue of
    292
    DIAS (2022), D6.5 Impact assessment and guidelines for future anti-tampering regulations.
    293
    CITA (2022), Monitoring of NOx emissions as part of the PTI. Position Paper.
    294
    TNO (2022), Approaches for detecting high NOx emissions of aged petrol cars during the periodic technical
    inspection. R10659v2.
    PM/PN
    0-4
    10.3
    7.2 3.6
    5-9
    12.6
    8.8 4.4
    10-14
    14.9
    10.4 5.2
    15-19
    17.2
    12.0 6.0
    Vehicle’s age (years) NOx PM/PN
    0-4 3.5 2.6
    5-9 6.5 5.2
    10-14 9.7 7.8
    15-19 13.0 10.4
    Vehicle Euro 5/V Euro 6/VI Euro 7
    NOx
    M1/N1 diesel 4 10 20
    M1/N1 petrol 6 10 20
    N2/N3/M2/M3 4 10 20
    L3-L7 5
    PM/PN
    M1/N1 diesel 10 10 50
    M1/N1 petrol 5 5 25
    N2/N3/M2/M3 4 10 50
    L 5
    118
    vehicles with defective or tampered noise control systems on the EU’s roads has not been effectively
    addressed till now and it is expected to persist. It was noted that based on differences in the
    composition of the motorcycle fleet and the intensity of use of motorcycles between North and South
    Europe, the share of high emitters may be higher in the South.
    According to data from PTI in Spain295 around 15% of L-category vehicles tested showed major
    deficiencies related to emissions and vehicle noise. In Germany, where noise is reported separately,
    a very low share of total defects related to noise was identified (1%). However, especially in the case
    of noise tampering, PTI is considered as particularly ineffective due to the ease with which the noise
    control system can be activated or deactivated for L category vehicles. Therefore, the results from
    PTI are expected to underestimate the scale of the problem. The fact that the problem is more
    widespread than what shown at PTI is revealed by the 30% share of motorcycles with tampered noise
    control systems found by police in Bavaria, during roadside checks, during the European Bike Week
    in 2018296.
    In the baseline it is assumed that on average 30% of L-vehicles emit noise above the legal limit.
    Share of vehicles with tampered odometers
    There are limited sources of evidence in terms of the level and evolution of odometer tampering.
    According to a study commissioned by the European Parliament297
    , tampering rates were estimated
    between 5% and 12% of national second hand vehicles sales and between 30% and 50% of cross-
    border second hand vehicles sales. Tampering was found to be more common among vehicles
    imported in EU12 Member States, estimated in the range of 30% to 80%, in comparison to 20%-40%
    of the second hand vehicles imported in EU15 countries.
    More recent estimates provided by CarVertical298
    , based on analysis of vehicle history reports,
    suggest overall lower odometer fraud rates for most of the countries reported than those in the
    European Parliament study. However, except for the Car-Pass system in Belgium, adopted in 2006,
    and a similar system implemented in the Netherlands, no other Member State has taken action so far.
    Both have achieved significant reduction to the level of odometer tampering – especially in relation
    to national sales, by requiring that readings are submitted after any maintenance, repair, assembly or
    inspection. It has been reported that odometer tampering has almost been eliminated (up to 97%
    success rates)299
    in Belgium, a point also supported by the Car-Pass manager during the stakeholders’
    consultation. Other Member States (e.g. Slovakia, Luxembourg, France) are considering the
    introduction of relevant measures but so far no action has been taken.
    The table below presents the estimated shares of odometer tampering for national and imported
    second hand vehicles. In the case of Member States where data is not available (cells in grey) the
    median values for EU12 and EU15 have been used. Values in blue and italics, concerning cross-
    border fraud rates, were based on the finding of the European Parliament study (also supported by
    CarVertical data) that cross border odometer fraud rates are around twice those of national odometer
    295
    UC3M (2019), Roadworthiness testing contribution to vehicle safety and environment.
    296
    About motorcycles (2018), Police control Bike Week Faaker, see 2018. Retrieved from About motorcycles:
    https://misfitmademotorcycles.com/police-control-bike-week-faaker-see-2018/
    297
    Research for TRAN Committee - Odometer tampering: measures to prevent it (europa.eu)
    298
    Overall mileage fraud analysis is available at : https://www.carvertical.com/blog/research-what-countries-have-the-
    highest-percentage-of-cars-with-a-fake-mileage and in the CarVertical Market transparency index
    (https://www.carvertical.com/transparency-index ). Specific analysis of the share of odometer tampering for national and
    imported second hand vehicles is available at : https://www.carvertical.com/blog/research-local-or-imported-cars-have-
    more-mileage-rollbacks
    299
    TRT (2017), Research for TRAN Committee (European Parliament) - Odometer tampering: measures to prevent it.
    119
    fraud rates. Values in green are drawing on the data from Car-Pass for Belgium300
    . The same rates
    are assumed for the Netherlands.
    Table 37: National and cross-border odometer fraud rates as shares of national and cross-border second hand
    vehicle sales, respectively
    Cross border odometer fraud rates National odometer fraud rates
    AT 12.0% 4.0%
    BE 0.2% 0.1%
    BG 9.7% 4.9%
    CY 12.0% 4.0%
    CZ 13.6% 7.1%
    DE 6.8% 3.4%
    DK 8.1% 4.1%
    EE 18.9% 7.4%
    EL 12.0% 4.0%
    ES 10.3% 3.8%
    FI 7.5% 3.8%
    FR 10.4% 3.7%
    HR 9.1% 6.8%
    HU 13.8% 9.6%
    IE 12.0% 4.0%
    IT 15.4% 5.3%
    LT 18.8% 7.3%
    LU 20.0% 10.0%
    LV 25.7% 9.2%
    MT 12.0% 4.0%
    NL 0.2% 0.1%
    PL 12.9% 5.6%
    PT 4.4% 2.2%
    RO 18.7% 5.9%
    SE 12.0% 10.0%
    SI 7.4% 3.7%
    SK 8.9% 4.5%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study; Note: Values in bold are from CarVertical. Values in
    italics and blue are based on the finding of the European Parliament study (also supported by CarVertical data) that
    cross border odometer fraud rates are around twice those of national odometer fraud rates. Cells in grey reflect the
    median values. Values in green and italics are based on data from Car-Pass for Belgium.
    There is no evidence that the fraud rates would change over time in lack of action. The input from
    stakeholders suggests that the issue of odometer tampering has not be effectively addressed up to this
    point. Respondents were rather sceptical in relation to the role of technological developments and of
    the existing roadworthiness package, but more positive on the role of national measures (weighted
    average of responses on a scale of 1-‘None at all’ to 7-‘Very high’ were 3.1, 3.6 and 4.3 respectively).
    They were even more sceptical when asked to indicate the expected contribution of technological
    developments, the existing roadworthiness package and national measures to reducing the level of
    odometer tampering in the future (weighted average of responses on a scale of 1-‘None at all’ to 7-
    ‘Very high’ were 3.2, 3.2 and 4.1 respectively). While recognising the possibility for action taken at
    national level by some Member States, in the baseline scenario it has been assumed that the odometer
    tampering rates will remain constant over time.
    300
    Car-Pass annual report 2022 - News about Car-Pass
    120
    Based on the projected number of second hand vehicles sales and the fraud rates, the projected
    odometer tampering for national and cross-border sales in the baseline scenario are presented in the
    tables below.
    Table 38: Odometer tampering for national sales by Member State (number of vehicles) in the baseline scenario
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    AT 27,663 29,082 31,537 28,931
    BE 459 483 475 463
    BG 11,023 11,589 9,047 11,114
    CY 1,313 1,381 1,263 1,411
    CZ 54,579 57,377 60,172 59,126
    DE 247,601 260,298 269,488 259,158
    DK 20,920 21,993 24,297 23,783
    EE 4,677 4,917 5,663 7,371
    EL 28,388 29,844 23,627 30,595
    ES 77,388 81,357 91,773 81,513
    FI 18,869 19,836 18,836 18,401
    FR 226,930 238,567 274,456 260,370
    HR 12,940 13,604 12,965 18,986
    HU 89,001 93,565 112,148 114,756
    IE 11,869 12,478 13,847 14,412
    IT 443,025 465,744 604,117 581,076
    LT 18,756 19,718 22,992 22,508
    LU 16,511 17,357 21,486 21,893
    LV 3,733 3,925 5,245 5,221
    MT 2,166 2,277 2,278 2,292
    NL 1,595 1,677 1,981 1,704
    PL 92,942 97,709 63,577 91,578
    PT 10,552 11,093 13,362 12,903
    RO 47,649 50,092 60,704 59,554
    SE 135,124 142,053 130,506 140,141
    SI 5,503 5,785 6,098 6,220
    SK 20,755 21,819 23,834 23,287
    EU27 1,631,930 1,715,619 1,905,771 1,898,770
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 39: Odometer tampering for cross-border sales by Member State (number of vehicles) in the baseline
    scenario
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    AT 124,483 130,867 141,915 130,189
    BE 3,978 4,182 4,110 4,013
    BG 83,946 88,251 68,893 84,640
    CY 24,202 25,443 23,280 26,006
    CZ 98,613 103,670 108,719 106,829
    DE 237,345 249,517 258,326 248,424
    DK 32,862 34,547 38,165 37,359
    EE 40,536 42,615 49,087 63,891
    EL 127,748 134,299 106,320 137,675
    ES 319,806 336,207 379,251 336,853
    FI 38,438 40,409 38,372 37,485
    FR 530,593 557,803 641,715 608,782
    HR 37,087 38,989 37,159 54,415
    HU 117,061 123,064 147,505 150,936
    121
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    IE 53,558 56,305 62,483 65,035
    IT 318,608 334,947 434,460 417,890
    LT 150,151 157,851 184,061 180,185
    LU 14,152 14,878 18,417 18,765
    LV 28,139 29,582 39,530 39,352
    MT 9,773 10,274 10,278 10,345
    NL 3,419 3,594 4,245 3,651
    PL 318,222 334,541 217,678 313,549
    PT 51,145 53,768 64,764 62,543
    RO 293,029 308,057 373,319 366,244
    SE 65,211 68,555 62,983 67,633
    SI 19,839 20,856 21,986 22,426
    SK 49,222 51,746 56,524 55,227
    EU27 3,191,167 3,354,817 3,593,545 3,650,341
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Odometer damage cost per vehicle
    Detailed analysis of the cost of odometer tampering is provided in a European Parliament study301
    .
    According to the study, the total damage from odometer fraud is a result of three elements, notably:
    • Unaccounted depreciation, that results from a car’s nominal (sales) value being higher than its
    actual market value. One of the key determinants of car price is its mileage. Cars from the same
    production year with a higher mileage cost less than cars with lower mileage. Odometer fraud
    leads to a situation where part of the existing depreciation is not reflected in the value of the car
    sold.
    • Higher maintenance costs, that result from a higher frequency of repairs needed on a car with more
    mileage. This is due to the wear of mechanical components of the vehicle.
    • Additional environmental damages, that are a result of the unaccounted emissions. Vehicle-
    kilometres missing from the odometer record have already been driven and the associated
    emissions have taken place. This third element is however not considered in the analysis as this is
    not a direct cost to the user.
    Estimates on the damage from odometer fraud vary depending on vehicle size and level of mileage
    tampering. According to a Belgian Car Pass study302
    , the costs of odometer fraud to the user,
    expressed in 2022 prices, are:
    - For small cars: 3.4 EUR cents per missing vehicle-kilometre (vkm) for depreciation and 1.3 EUR
    cents per vkm for maintenance;
    - For medium size cars: 5.2 EUR cents per missing vehicle-kilometre (vkm) for depreciation and
    3.2 EUR cents per vkm for maintenance;
    - For executive/large cars: 7.7 EUR cents per missing vehicle-kilometre (vkm) for depreciation and
    3.8 EUR cents per vkm for maintenance.
    On this basis, the total costs per vehicle for different levels of odometer tampering (i.e. different
    levels of mileage change) can be estimated. An weighted average per vehicle can be further derived
    301
    https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/STUD/2018/615637/EPRS_STU%282018%29615637_EN.pdf
    302
    https://www.car-pass.be/files/article_files/file/7/crm%2520study%2520final%2520report.pdf
    122
    based on the fleet distribution by vehicle size from the baseline scenario developed with the PRIMES-
    TREMOVE model for the period 2020-2050.
    Table 40: Damage costs from odometer fraud per vehicle for different levels of odometer tampering
    Vehicle size Cost category EUR cents
    per vkm
    Tampering level (km)
    10,000 30,000 60,000 90,000
    Small (45% share)
    Depreciation 3.4 345 1,035 2,069 3,104
    Maintenance 1.3 128 383 766 1,150
    Total 473 1,418 2,835 4,253
    Medium (45% share)
    Depreciation 5.2 524 1,571 3,142 4,713
    Maintenance 3.2 319 958 1,916 2,874
    Total 843 2,529 5,058 7,587
    Executive/Large (10% share)
    Depreciation 7.7 766 2,299 4,598 6,897
    Maintenance 3.8 383 1,150 2,299 3,449
    Total 1,150 3,449 6,897 10,346
    Weighted average (in 2022 prices) 706 2,119 4,239 6,358
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    For estimating the total damage costs/costs savings from odometer fraud, the weighted average cost
    of EUR 2,119 per vehicle has been used, corresponding to tampering levels of 30,000 km, which is
    considered a conservative estimate303
    .
    Additional evidence was identified based on a number of sources providing estimates of the costs
    from odometer tampering, although with limited information on the assumptions used (e.g. level of
    mileage fraud, vehicle size) and, as a result, limited comparability. Nonetheless, all sources point to
    damage costs that are higher than EUR 2,000 per vehicle:
    • According to CarVertical, tampered cars buyers spend 21% more on average for their vehicles.
    The higher price depends on many factors, such as the brand, year of manufacture, and the number
    of tampered kilometres304
    . The United Kingdom (29% higher price than a non-tampered car), Italy
    (29% higher price), and Lithuania (25% higher price) are among the countries where the value
    increase of tampered cars is the highest, while in Ukraine (17% higher price than a non-tampered
    car), Poland (19% higher price), and Romania (20% higher price) odometer fraud has the lowest
    impact on a car’s value. More specifically:
    - For every 100,000 kilometres tampered, buyers overspend around EUR 2,000.
    - There are significant differences between car brands, with price increases varying from 15 to
    27%, resulting in overspending between EUR 2,000 and EUR 10,700.
    - The highest fake increase in value is found for Land Rover (27%), Mercedes-Benz (24%), and
    BMW (24%) vehicles, while Dacia (15%), Mazda (15%), and Nissan (17%) models are
    impacted by odometer fraud the least.
    • According to an European Parliament study, odometer tampering has seen the mileage rolled back
    on up to 50% of second-hand cars traded in the EU, with the price of vehicles fraudulently
    increasing by EUR 2,000 to 5,000 on average305
    .
    303
    Evidence from UK (UK: average kilometers clocked on used cars with a tampered odometer by Model Year | Statista),
    suggests that the average kilometres of tampering has reduced over time with 30,000 representing an average.
    304
    https://www.carvertical.com/blog/odometer-fraud-vs-car-value
    305
    https://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/en/headlines/society/20180525STO04312/fighting-mileage-fraud-on-used-
    cars
    123
    • According to ADAC, the fraudsters increase the value by an average of EUR 3,000 per car306
    .
    Projected number of periodic technical inspections (PTI)
    The approach used to estimate the number of annual PTI inspections in each Member State and for
    each vehicle type draws on the ‘testing frequency’ and the average number of PTIs in the statistical
    life of a vehicle.
    The formula used is:
    Number of annual PTI inspections = Number of inspections during average life of vehicle x
    Number of registered vehicles
    EU Directive 2014/45/EU defines the minimum testing frequency that Member States must comply
    with, but in many cases the testing is more frequent, as determined by national legislation. These
    testing regimes have been identified for light duty vehicles, motorcycles, trucks, buses and coaches,
    and trailers. The key sources of information are the European Commission website307
    and a 2022
    report by EReg308
    .
    The average vehicle life by Member State draws on ACEA309
    . No data was available for motorcycles
    and trailers. Thus, for these two vehicle categories, an average life of 18 years has been used. This
    defines the period over which the number of PTIs are counted to estimate the average PTI number
    during the vehicle’s life. The tables below present the testing regimes by Member State, the average
    life and the average number of inspections for each vehicle type over the vehicle’s life.
    The annual number of registered vehicles is based on the baseline scenario developed with the
    PRIMES-TREMOVE model.
    Table 41: Testing regime for light duty vehicle
    Member State Testing regime Average age Number of inspections
    during average life
    Croatia 1-1-1 13.0 13.0
    Latvia 2-2-1-1 15.0 13.0
    Belgium 4-1-1 10.0 7.0
    Austria 3-2-1 9.0 6.0
    Bulgaria 3-2-1 13.0 10.0
    Sweden 3-2-1 10.0 7.0
    Luxembourg 4-2-1 8.0 4.0
    Ireland 4-2-2-2-1 9.0 3.5
    Netherlands 4-2-2-1 11.0 6.0
    Portugal 4-2-2-1 14.0 9.0
    Slovenia 4-2-2-1 11.0 6.0
    Spain 4-2-2-2-1 14.0 8.0
    Finland 4-2-2-2-1 13.0 7.0
    Romania 3-2-2-2-2-1 15.0 9.0
    306
    https://www.adac.de/rund-ums-fahrzeug/auto-kaufen-verkaufen/gebrauchtwagenkauf/tacho-manipulation/
    307
    https://road-safety.transport.ec.europa.eu/road-safety-member-states/roadworthiness-certificate-and-proof-test_en
    308
    2022-the-vehicle-and-driver-chain.pdf (ereg-association.eu)
    309
    ACEA (2023), Vehicles in use Europe 2023, https://www.acea.auto/files/ACEA-report-vehicles-in-use-europe-
    2023.pdf
    124
    Member State Testing regime Average age Number of inspections
    during average life
    Cyprus 4-2-2 13.0 5.5
    Estonia 4-2-2-2-1 17.0 11.0
    Germany 3-2-2 10.0 4.5
    Lithuania 3-2-2 15.0 7.0
    Poland 3-2-1 15.0 12.0
    Czechia 4-2-2 16.0 7.0
    Denmark 4-2-2 9.0 3.5
    France 4-2-2 11.0 4.5
    Greece 4-2-2 17.0 7.5
    Hungary 4-2-2 15.0 6.5
    Italy 4-2-2 12.0 5.0
    Malta 4-2-2 13.0 5.5
    Slovakia 4-2-2 14.0 6.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 42: Testing regime for motorcycles (no values are shown for MS that have not yet introduce a testing regime)
    Member State Testing regime Average age Number of inspections
    during average life
    Croatia 1-1-1 18 18.0
    Latvia 2-2-2 18 9.0
    Belgium
    Austria 3-2-1 18 15.0
    Bulgaria 2-2-2 18 9.0
    Sweden 4-2-2 18 8.0
    Luxembourg 4-2-2 18 8.0
    Ireland
    Netherlands
    Portugal
    Slovenia 4-2-2 18 8.0
    Spain 4-2-2 18 8.0
    Finland
    Romania 2-2-2 18 9.0
    Cyprus 4-2-2 18 8.0
    Estonia 4-2-2-2-1 18 12.0
    Germany 2-2-2 18 9.0
    Lithuania 3-2-2 18 8.5
    Poland 3-1-1 18 16.0
    Czechia 6-4-4 18 4.0
    Denmark
    France 4-2-2 18 8.0
    Greece 4-2-2 18 8.0
    Hungary 4-2-2 18 8.0
    Italy 4-2-2 18 8.0
    Malta
    Slovakia 4-2-2 18 8.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    125
    Table 43: Testing regime for heavy duty vehicles designed and constructed primarily for the carriage of goods,
    having a maximum mass exceeding 3.5 tonnes (N2 and N3)
    Member State Testing regime Average age Number of inspections
    during average life
    Croatia 1 14 14.0
    Latvia 1 14 14.0
    Belgium 1 13 13.0
    Austria 1 7 7.0
    Bulgaria 1 13 13.0
    Sweden 1 13 13.0
    Luxembourg 1 8 8.0
    Ireland 1 11 11.0
    Netherlands 1 10 10.0
    Portugal 1 16 16.0
    Slovenia 1 10 10.0
    Spain 1 14 19.0
    Finland 1 14 14.0
    Romania 1 19 19.0
    Cyprus 1 13 13.0
    Estonia 1 18 18.0
    Germany 1 10 10.0
    Lithuania 1 10 10.0
    Poland 1 13 13.0
    Czechia 1 18 18.0
    Denmark 1 8 8.0
    France 1 9 9.0
    Greece 1 23 23.0
    Hungary 1 13 13.0
    Italy 1 19 19.0
    Malta 1 13 13.0
    Slovakia 1 16 16.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 44: Testing regime for heavy duty vehicles designed and constructed primarily for the carriage of over eight
    persons and their luggage (M2 and M3)
    Member State Testing regime Average age Number of inspections
    during average life
    Croatia 1 12 12.0
    Latvia 1-1-0.5 14 26.0
    Belgium 1 11 11.0
    Austria 1 5 5.0
    Bulgaria 0.5-0.5-0.5 12 24.0
    Sweden 1 7 7.0
    Luxembourg 1 6 6.0
    Ireland 1 11 11.0
    Netherlands 1 10 10.0
    Portugal 1-1-1… (0.5-0.5 ≥8 years) 15 23.0
    Slovenia 1-0.5-0.5 10 19.0
    Spain 1-1-1… (0.5-0.5 ≥5 years) 12 20.0
    126
    Member State Testing regime Average age Number of inspections
    during average life
    Finland 1 12 12.0
    Romania 1-0.5-0.5 20 39.0
    Cyprus 1 12 12.0
    Estonia 1-1-1…(0.5-0.5 ≥10 years) 13 17.0
    Germany 1 8 8.0
    Lithuania 1-0.5-0.5 14 27.0
    Poland 1 16 16.0
    Czechia 1 15 15.0
    Denmark 1 8 8.0
    France 0.5-0.5-0.5 8 16.0
    Greece 1 19 19.0
    Hungary 1 12 12.0
    Italy 1 14 14.0
    Malta 1 12 12.0
    Slovakia 1-1-1 (0.5-0.5 ≥8 years for M3) 11 15.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 45: Testing regime for trailers designed and constructed for the carriage of goods or persons, as well as for
    the accommodation of persons, having a maximum mass not exceeding 3.5 tonnes (O1 and O2) (no values are
    shown for MS that have not yet introduce a testing regime)
    Member State Testing regime Average age Number of inspections
    during average life
    Croatia 3-1-1 18 16.0
    Latvia 2-2-2 18 9.0
    Belgium 1-1-1 18 18.0
    Austria 2-1-1 18 17.0
    Bulgaria 1-1-1 18 18.0
    Sweden 4-2-2 18 8.0
    Luxembourg 4-2-2 18 8.0
    Ireland
    Netherlands
    Portugal
    Slovenia 4-2-2 18 8.0
    Spain 1-1-1 18 18.0
    Finland 2-2-2 18 9.0
    Romania 2-2-2 18 9.0
    Cyprus 4-2-2 18 8.0
    Estonia 1-1-1 18 18.0
    Germany 2-2-2 18 9.0
    Lithuania 3-2-2 18 8.5
    Poland 3-2-2 18 8.5
    Czechia 4-2-2 18 8.0
    Denmark
    France
    Greece
    Hungary 4-2-2 18 8.0
    Italy 4-2-2 18 8.0
    127
    Member State Testing regime Average age Number of inspections
    during average life
    Malta 2-2-2 18 9.0
    Slovakia 4-2-2 18 8.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    The projected number of total periodic technical inspections for light duty vehicles, heavy duty
    vehicles and motorcycles in the baseline scenario by Member State is provided in the table below.
    Table 46: Projected number of total periodic technical inspections for light duty vehicles, heavy duty vehicles and
    motorcycles in the baseline scenario
    Member State 2015 2026 2030 2040 2050
    AT 4,155,271 4,289,162 4,530,504 5,147,602 5,405,069
    BE 4,627,640 4,645,244 4,717,772 4,863,174 4,804,878
    BG 2,939,951 2,998,948 3,163,260 3,402,701 3,586,559
    CY 278,758 318,686 344,851 382,206 418,612
    DE 24,143,239 25,306,809 26,146,795 28,373,603 29,042,084
    EE 553,898 608,122 646,300 767,699 887,990
    FI 2,137,187 2,329,681 2,392,392 2,495,553 2,460,964
    FR 17,804,012 18,516,590 18,836,560 20,515,273 21,086,208
    EL 3,797,487 3,784,340 3,863,813 3,948,544 4,345,918
    HR 1,818,815 1,900,904 2,061,143 2,280,267 2,639,968
    HU 1,748,586 2,018,861 2,213,884 2,688,078 2,998,731
    IE 975,524 1,123,119 1,207,534 1,361,256 1,476,122
    IT 21,787,538 23,125,847 23,515,772 25,687,923 27,671,372
    LT 684,749 772,006 800,382 954,701 999,994
    LU 230,981 242,455 265,514 330,792 346,504
    LV 697,880 688,124 685,111 713,317 788,612
    MT 144,079 166,296 179,665 213,693 223,523
    NL 5,001,465 5,035,101 5,392,059 6,113,987 6,092,085
    PL 21,838,488 24,495,294 25,523,350 26,597,403 27,301,601
    PT 3,954,336 4,263,212 4,352,909 4,466,218 4,565,840
    RO 3,837,465 5,544,479 5,915,902 6,822,807 7,107,093
    SE 4,008,852 4,384,731 4,426,372 4,836,699 5,059,638
    SI 704,916 839,788 880,475 851,091 895,080
    SK 1,143,786 1,284,672 1,400,369 1,635,656 1,716,079
    ES 18,516,367 19,984,375 20,604,857 22,849,906 24,427,719
    DK 1,139,841 1,267,055 1,353,595 1,435,067 1,488,357
    CZ 2,828,535 3,198,299 3,496,014 4,066,895 4,513,062
    EU27 151,499,646 163,132,202 168,917,154 183,802,112 192,349,663
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 47: Projected number of total periodic technical inspections for the carriage of goods or persons, as well as
    for the accommodation of persons, having a maximum mass not exceeding 3.5 tonnes (O1 and O2)
    Member State 2026 2030 2040 2050
    AT 725,952 769,604 869,556 880,200
    BE 241,444 245,555 251,418 244,638
    BG 18,653 19,241 19,577 20,488
    CY 4,785 5,200 5,758 6,263
    DE 3,961,968 4,075,824 4,316,696 4,279,445
    128
    Member State 2026 2030 2040 2050
    EE 121,803 127,946 153,685 181,224
    FI 564,199 575,727 600,400 579,017
    FR
    EL
    HR 32,120 34,543 39,538 46,621
    HU 225,089 246,708 292,630 323,983
    IE
    IT 129,160 130,008 142,941 153,072
    LT 8,166 8,368 9,750 9,871
    LU 11,428 12,537 16,081 16,879
    LV 30,028 28,943 29,596 33,548
    MT 1,258 1,406 1,613 1,630
    NL
    PL 299,327 309,885 325,458 326,384
    PT
    RO 218,840 240,811 274,248 281,309
    SE 492,039 494,348 541,838 562,309
    SI 12,203 12,755 11,999 12,573
    SK 126,470 138,824 161,484 165,811
    ES 216,501 223,033 252,025 260,511
    DK
    CZ 206,773 226,256 254,357 275,993
    EU27 7,648,208 7,927,521 8,570,650 8,661,771
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3. IMPACTS BY POLICY MEASURE ON COSTS AND COSTS SAVINGS
    This section explains the inputs used and provides the assessment of the impacts of the policy
    measures included in the policy options on costs and costs savings. The synergies between the
    measures included in the options are already captured in this section.
    3.1. PMC1 - Adapt PTI to electric and hybrid vehicles (safety, environmental performance,
    standardised data), including training of inspectors
    3.1.1. Adjustment costs for PTI centres
    PMC1 will require PTI centres to make certain adjustments to be able to deliver PTI for electric and
    hybrid vehicles. The exact nature of the adjustments will depend on the specific requirements for the
    PTI and whether this will go beyond visual inspections. A number of stakeholders were in favour of
    visual inspections on the basis of a checklist that would not require new equipment. Others suggested
    that a specific electronic interface to support such inspection may be needed. One stakeholder (FSD
    – the German PTI agency) provided a cost estimate of EUR 500 for additional tools to measure
    insulation resistance and equipotential bonding. The number of PTI centres in the EU is estimated at
    48,880. Given the current small share of EVs in the fleet and in the PTI tests, it is expected that one
    such tool will be sufficient per PTI centre for the initial period (i.e., 2026), with a second one added
    in 2030. The one-off adjustment costs are estimated at EUR 24.4 million in 2026 and EUR 24.4
    million in 2030. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, one-off adjustment costs are estimated
    at EUR 48.2 million (in 2022 prices) relative to the baseline.
    129
    Tailored training for inspectors that will deliver such PTI services will also be needed to ensure
    correct application of test procedure and, crucially, to maximise their own safety when checking high
    voltage components. Stakeholders’ views differed as to whether the necessary training could be part
    of periodic training and the qualification examinations, most indicating that specific training would
    be needed. On the basis of the input from DEKRA – a PTI service provider – it is assumed that an
    additional three-day training per PTI inspector will take place in 2026. With an hourly cost for
    technicians and associate professionals (ISCO 3) of EUR 34/hour310
    , and assuming 7.3 working hours
    per day, a three day training for a total of 128,536 inspectors across EU is estimated at EUR 95.4
    million in 2026.
    The new PTI tests for EVs will replace emission testing for ICE, that last a few minutes, and it is
    assumed that the new test will have a similar duration. Thus, no impact on PTI duration is expected
    that could give rise to higher labour costs per PTI.
    The total adjustment costs for PTI expected as a result of this measure are summarised in the tables
    below. They are the same for all policy options.
    Table 48: One-off adjustment costs for the PTI centres due to PMC1 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in the policy
    options (for all options) relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Total one-off adjustment costs 119.8 24.4 0.0 0.0
    One-off costs for adapting the PTI 24.4 24.4 0.0 0.0
    One-off costs for training 95.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 49: One-off adjustment costs for the PTI centres due to PMC1 in the policy options, expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total one-off adjustment costs 143.6 143.6 143.6 143.6
    One-off costs for adapting the PTI 48.2 48.2 48.2 48.2
    One-off costs for training 95.4 95.4 95.4 95.4
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Depending on the Member State, the additional costs for the PTI centres may be passed through to
    vehicle owners (i.e., citizens and businesses). This will depend on how PTI charges are set by the
    Member State: where prices are not regulated, it is likely that PTI centres will seek to recover
    investment costs, possibly on a relatively short term. On the other hand, in Member States that
    regulate the level of PTI charges, the evolution of those charges will depend on the public contract
    agreed with the PTI service provider, potentially subject to renegotiation, or on the price-setting
    policy of the authority that is itself responsible for PTI. In these cases, costs may either be borne by
    the service provider/authority, or be recovered over a longer period.
    3.2. PMC2 - Update PTI and RSI due to new requirements in General Safety Regulation and
    checking emission reduction systems (new test items, including checks of software
    status/integrity), by reading on-board diagnostics
    PMC2 requires to update the PTI and RSI to new requirements in the General Safety Regulation
    (including software status/integrity of safety or emission relevant systems during PTI for all vehicles
    310
    Eurostat Structure of earnings survey, Labour Force Survey data for Non-Wage Labour Costs.
    130
    and at technical roadside inspections of commercial vehicles), using ePTI (electronic PTI: ISO
    20730:2021).
    3.2.1. Adjustment costs for PTI centres
    No significant adjustment costs are expected to implement the updates due to new requirements of
    the General Safety Regulation, since ePTI uses the standard vehicle interface (OBD connector)311
    and a PTI scan tool is a mandatory equipment of PTI stations since May 2023. Nonetheless, some
    stakeholders indicated that there may be a need for software updates with cost estimates ranging from
    EUR 100 to EUR 1,000 in case of a standardised solution. Assuming an extra cost for the software
    update of EUR 500 per PTI tool and 128,536 PTI tools in the EU, the one-off adjustment costs are
    estimated at EUR 64.3 million in 2026.
    No additional costs are expected for PTI inspections to perform the software status and integrity
    checks and update the safety and emission software. As these can be performed remotely (OTA) and
    the additional time taken during a PTI or RSI test is considered negligible, no increase in the costs of
    the PTI/RSI tests is assumed. For the PTI tests on vehicles, the tools necessary to perform the software
    checks are already available as they may currently be used for OBD checks of the emission and safety
    systems (such as anti-lock and electronic braking systems, steering or airbags).
    In addition, training of 128,536 PTI inspectors would be needed, covering new test items for GSR
    and software status/integrity of safety and/or emission relevant systems. Assuming one extra training
    day per inspector, the one-off adjustment costs for training are estimated at EUR 31.8 million in 2026.
    The introduction of ePTI will possibly lead to time and cost savings for PTI centres. However, PMC2
    is not about the introduction of ePTI, but its use in relation to the new items to be checked as a result
    of the General Safety Regulation and would therefore not directly lead to time savings.
    The total adjustment costs for PTI centres as a result of PMC2 are summarised in the tables below.
    Table 50: One-off adjustment costs for PTI centres due to PMC2 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in the policy options
    (for all options) relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Total adjustment costs 96.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
    One-off costs for updates due to General Safety
    Regulation
    64.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
    One-off costs for training 31.8 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    311
    https://www.iso.org/standard/73801.html
    131
    Table 51: One-off adjustment costs for PTI centres due to PMC2 in the policy options, expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total adjustment costs 96.1 96.1 96.1 96.1
    One-off costs for updates due to General Safety Regulation 64.3 64.3 64.3 64.3
    One-off costs for training 31.8 31.8 31.8 31.8
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Depending on the Member State, the additional costs for the PTI centres may be passed through to
    vehicle owners (i.e., citizens and businesses). As indicated under PMC1, this will depend on the way
    PTI charges are set in the Member State.
    3.2.2. Adjustment costs for national public authorities
    Adjustment costs are also expected for national public authorities, in relation to equipment and
    training that is required for RSI. The requirement for testing of software status/integrity of safety
    and/or emission relevant systems at RSI would result in investments in OBD scanning tools. Based
    on input from one equipment supplier (Texa) the costs are estimated at EUR 1,000 per tool. One tool
    is required per RSI unit, and the number of RSI units total 131 at EU level. Training would also be
    required for RSI inspectors on software checks using OBD scanning tool. Two hours of training are
    assumed for each of the 393 RSI inspectors across EU27. An hourly cost for technicians and associate
    professionals (ISCO 3) of EUR 34/hour312
    is used for estimating the costs of training. The total one-
    off adjustment costs are estimated at EUR 157,712 in 2026.
    The adjustment costs for national public authorities responsible for RSI due to PMC2 are presented
    in the tables below.
    Table 52: One-off adjustment costs for national public authorities due to PMC2 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in
    the policy options (for all options) relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Total adjustment costs 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
    One-off adjustment costs 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 53: One-off adjustment costs for national public authorities due to PMC2 in the policy options relative to
    the baseline, expressed as present value over 2026-2050 (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total adjustment costs 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
    One-off adjustment costs 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    312
    Eurostat Structure of earnings survey, Labour Force Survey data for Non-Wage Labour Costs.
    132
    3.3. PMC3 - Mandatory PN testing of LDVs and HDVs equipped with particle filter, at PTI,
    and of HDVs at technical roadside inspections of commercial vehicles
    3.3.1. Adjustment costs for PTI centres
    The introduction of a PN check as part of PTI, to replace the current exhaust gas opacity test at least313
    for vehicles equipped with particle filters, would lead to additional costs for PTI centres that will
    need to purchase and maintain the new PN testing equipment and provide additional training for
    inspectors.
    To introduce a new emission check during PTI requires that PTI centres will be provided with new
    devices for the PN counting. For the 36,173 PTI centres in the EU affected by this measure (excluding
    Belgium, Germany and the Netherlands, which have already introduced such testing and are thus part
    of the baseline), the price per new PN measurement equipment is estimated at EUR 5,000, based on
    stakeholders’ feedback. Two devices per PTI inspection centre would be needed. Thus, the one-off
    adjustment costs for the purchase of the new equipment are estimated at EUR 361.7 million in 2026.
    In addition, recurrent maintenance and calibration costs are assumed at 5% of the capital costs (i.e.,
    EUR 250 per PN measurement equipment), based on stakeholders’ feedback314
    . Total recurrent
    adjustment costs are thus estimated at EUR 18.1 million per year from 2026 onwards. Expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050, the total recurrent adjustment costs for the maintenance of new
    equipment are estimated at EUR 324.4 million relative to the baseline.
    In terms of training, an additional half day of training related to the use of PN testing for 88,776
    inspectors (excluding Belgium, Germany and the Netherlands, which have already introduced such
    testing and are thus part of the baseline) is assumed to take place in 2026. The one-off adjustment
    costs are estimated at EUR 11 million in 2026315
    .
    No difference is expected in terms of emissions testing time by replacing the opacity test with the
    new PN testing. Therefore, no additional labour costs for PTI are expected.
    The total adjustment costs for PTI centres due to PMC3 are summarised in the tables below.
    Table 54: One-off and recurrent adjustment costs for PTI centres due to PMC3 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in
    the policy options (for all options) relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Total adjustment costs 390.8 18.1 18.1 18.1
    One-off costs for new equipment 361.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Recurrent costs for the maintenance of equipment 18.1 18.1 18.1 18.1
    One-off costs for training 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 55: One-off and recurrent adjustment costs for PTI centres due to PMC3 in the policy options relative to
    the baseline, expressed as present value over 2026-2050 (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total adjustment costs 697.1 697.1 697.1 697.1
    313
    Where technically possible (i.e., the measuring equipment allows it), this could be extended to older emission
    standards. This possibility is not part of the cost calculations.
    314
    According to GOCA, the yearly calibration cost of a PN measurement device is EUR 305, while that of a smoke tester,
    which it would replace is EUR 157.5. The 5% thus includes maintenance, too.
    315
    Calculated using an hourly cost for technicians and professionals (ISCO 3) of EUR 34/hour.
    133
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    One-off costs for new equipment 361.7 361.7 361.7 361.7
    Recurrent costs for the maintenance of equipment 324.4 324.4 324.4 324.4
    One-off costs for training 11.0 11.0 11.0 11.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Depending on the Member State, the additional costs for the PTI centres may be passed through to
    vehicle owners (i.e., citizens and businesses). As indicated under PMC1, this will depend on the way
    PTI charges are set in the Member State.
    3.3.2. Adjustment costs to national public authorities
    Roadside inspection authorities will incur costs for the purchase of PN testing equipment, to be used
    as part of roadside inspections. It is assumed that one PN measurement device is needed per RSI unit,
    at a cost of EUR 5,000 each (which is the same cost used for the PN testing). In total, 131 RSI units
    would need to purchase PN testing equipment316
    . The one-off adjustment costs for measurement
    equipment are estimated at EUR 0.7 million in 2026.
    Recurrent maintenance and calibration costs are assumed at 5% of the capital cost, or EUR 250 per
    PN measurement device, based on stakeholders’ feedback. Total recurrent adjustment costs are thus
    estimated at EUR 32,750 per year from 2026 onwards. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050,
    the total recurrent adjustment costs for the maintenance of new PN measurement devices are
    estimated at EUR 0.6 million relative to the baseline.
    An additional half day of training related to the use of PN measurement devices is assumed for the
    estimated 393 RSI inspectors across the EU in 2026. The one-off adjustment costs are estimated at
    EUR 48,616 in 2026.
    The total adjustment costs for national public authorities due to PMC3 are summarised in the tables
    below.
    Table 56: One-off and recurrent adjustment costs for national public authorities due to PMC3 in 2026, 2030, 2040
    and 2050 in the policy options (for all options) relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Total adjustment costs 0.74 0.03 0.03 0.03
    One-off costs for new equipment 0.66 0.00 0.00 0.00
    Recurrent costs for the maintenance of equipment 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03
    One-off costs for training 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 57: One-off and recurrent adjustment costs for national public authorities due to PMC3 in the policy options
    relative to the baseline, expressed as present value over 2026-2050 (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total adjustment costs 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29
    One-off costs for new equipment 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66
    316
    Estimation based on approximately 691 thousand of RSIs performed in 2021-2022, an average time per inspection of
    30 minutes, and 3 inspectors per RSI unit.
    134
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent costs for the maintenance of
    equipment
    0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59
    One-off costs for training 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.3.3. Cost for vehicle owners (citizens and businesses)
    The adjustment costs incurred by testing centres may be passed through to vehicle owners in the form
    of higher PTI charges. In Member States where PTI charges are regulated, this may be more gradual
    than in those where prices are set by the market.
    Owners of faulty LDVs/HDVs vehicles will also face a charge for repairing the non-compliant
    vehicle. This is not considered to be regulatory costs but is relevant in terms of the impact on
    maintenance costs. Where a vehicle is found to be tampered with, the owner/holder will face a fine
    that is supposed to be proportionate and dissuasive, as set by the Member State in which the offence
    is detected.
    3.4. PMC4 – Mandatory NOx testing of LDV and HDV at PTI, and HDVs at roadside (based
    on ongoing work of JRC317)
    This policy measure will introduce mandatory NOx emission testing during PTI for LDVs and HDVs
    (from Euro 5b and Euro VI respectively) and at RSIs (for HDVs from Euro VI).
    3.4.1. Adjustment costs for PTI centres
    To introduce a NOx emission check during PTI requires that all PTI stations will be provided with
    new devices for the NOx measurement. The cost per NOx measurement equipment is estimated at
    EUR 15,000, which is the lower end of the range of estimates provided by stakeholders (between
    EUR 15 thousand and 40 thousand). The reason for using the lower bound estimate is the fact that
    this estimate is more recent and that experience with PN measurement device has shown a sharp
    decrease in prices as demand increased (even after the introduction of such tests in just three Member
    States). A similar trend is expected for NOx-measurement devices. Since the PN and NOx
    measurement devices will most likely be combined in one piece of equipment in the future, these
    numbers may still overestimate the costs. Each of the 48,880 PTI centres in the EU are assumed to
    be equipped with two devices. The total one-off adjustment costs are estimated at EUR 1.5 billion in
    2026.
    Recurrent adjustment costs (i.e., maintenance and calibration costs) are assumed at 5% of the capital
    cost. Total recurrent adjustment costs are thus estimated at EUR 73.3 million per year from 2026
    onwards. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, the total recurrent adjustment costs for the
    maintenance and calibration of new equipment are estimated at EUR 1.3 billion relative to the
    baseline.
    In terms of training, an additional half day training related to the use of NOx testing is assumed to
    take place for the 128,536 inspectors. The one-off adjustment costs for training are estimated at EUR
    15.9 million in 2026318
    .
    317
    https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/14/5520
    318
    Calculated using an hourly cost for technicians and associate professionals (ISCO 3) of EUR 34/hour.
    135
    No additional staff, and corresponding higher PTI cost, is expected as no difference is foreseen in
    terms of emissions testing time.
    The total adjustment costs for PTI centres expected as a result of this measure are summarised in the
    tables below.
    Table 58: One-off and recurrent adjustment costs for PTI centres due to PMC4 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in
    the policy options (for all options) relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Total adjustment costs 1,555.6 73.3 73.3 73.3
    One-off costs for equipment 1,466.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Recurrent costs for equipment 73.3 73.3 73.3 73.3
    One-off costs for training 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 59: One-off and recurrent adjustment costs for PTI centres due to PMC4 in the policy options, expressed
    as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total adjustment costs 2,797.3 2,797.3 2,797.3 2,797.3
    One-off costs for equipment 1,466.4 1,466.4 1,466.4 1,466.4
    Recurrent costs for equipment 1,315.0 1,315.0 1,315.0 1,315.0
    One-off costs for training 15.9 15.9 15.9 15.9
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.4.2. Adjustment costs for national public authorities
    Roadside inspection authorities will incur costs for the purchase of NOx measurement equipment to
    be used as part of roadside inspections on HDVs.
    One NOx measurement device is assumed per RSI unit, at a cost of EUR 15,000 each (which is the
    same value used for the NOx measurement equipment used in PTI centres). In total, 131 RSI units
    would need to purchase the equipment. Thus, the one-off adjustment costs for the measurement
    equipment are estimated at EUR 2 million in 2026.
    Recurrent maintenance and calibration costs are assumed at 5% of the capital cost. Total recurrent
    adjustment costs are thus estimated at EUR 98,250 per year from 2026 onwards relative to the
    baseline. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 1.8 million relative
    to the baseline.
    An additional half day of training related to the use of NOx testing is assumed for the 393 RSI
    inspectors. The one-off adjustment costs for training are estimated at EUR 48,616 in 2026.
    The total costs for national public authorities expected as a result of this measure are summarised in
    the tables below.
    Table 60: One-off and recurrent adjustment costs for national public authorities due to PMC4 in 2026, 2030, 2040
    and 2050 in the policy options (for all options) relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Total adjustment costs 2.11 0.10 0.10 0.10
    One-off costs for equipment 1.97 0.00 0.00 0.00
    Recurrent costs for equipment 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10
    One-off costs for training 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    136
    Table 61: One-off and recurrent adjustment costs for national public authorities due to PMC4 in the policy
    options, expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total adjustment costs 3.78 3.78 3.78 3.78
    One-off costs for equipment 1.97 1.97 1.97 1.97
    Recurrent costs for equipment 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76
    One-off costs for training 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.4.3. Cost for vehicle owners (citizens and businesses)
    The adjustment costs incurred by testing centres may eventually be passed through to vehicle owners
    in the form of higher PTI charges. As in the previous cases, this will change from Member State to
    Member State.
    Owners of faulty vehicles will face a charge for repairing the non-compliant vehicle. However, this
    is not considered to be regulatory costs but is relevant in terms of the impact on maintenance costs.
    3.5. PMC5 - Mandatory roadworthiness testing following significant modifications of the
    vehicle (e.g. change of class, propulsion system)
    3.5.1. Administrative costs for citizens (vehicle owners)
    PMC5 would result in additional costs for some vehicle owners by introducing mandatory testing of
    all vehicles that have undergone significant modifications. The average cost of a PTI for citizens is
    estimated at EUR 39.1 per vehicle (i.e., calculated as the weighted average of the median by Member
    State for M1 and L vehicle types). PTI cost data has been collected from CITA General Questionnaire
    2020-21319
    , and national online information sources.
    Feedback from stakeholders indicated that in Spain and Germany the total number of modified
    vehicles was around 245,000 and 200,000, respectively, in 2022. This represents an annual average
    of 0.6% of the total fleet. However, many stakeholders highlighted that PTI following a modification
    is already a requirement in their Member State320
    . Therefore, the share of 0.6% is applied only to the
    vehicle fleet from countries where this is not already implemented in the baseline. In addition, it has
    been assumed that 40% of the cars registrations (M1 vehicle category) and 100% of motorcycles
    registrations (L vehicle category) are undertaken by citizens. The number of vehicles affected is
    estimated at 0.44 million in 2026, 0.45 million in 2030 and 0.53 million in 2050. The recurrent
    administrative costs, based on the number of vehicles affected and the cost per PTI, are estimated at
    EUR 17.1 million in 2026, EUR 17.7 million in 2030 and EUR 20.6 million in 2050. Expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 336.3 million relative to the baseline.
    The total administrative costs for citizens due to PMC5 are summarised in the tables below.
    Table 62: Number of vehicle affected and recurrent administrative costs for citizens due to PMC5 in 2026, 2030,
    2040 and 2050 in the policy options (for all options) relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Number of vehicles affected (million) 0.44 0.45 0.50 0.53
    319
    https://citainsp.org/2021/06/28/cita-general-questionnaire-2020-21/
    320
    EU Member States where stakeholders identified PTI following modification as an existing requirement are: Croatia,
    Finland, Austria, Netherlands, Germany, Sweden and Spain. This requirement is also in place for Iceland.
    137
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Recurrent administrative cost 17.1 17.7 19.4 20.6
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 63: Recurrent administrative costs for citizens due to PMC5 in the policy options, expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent administrative cost 336.3 336.3 336.3 336.3
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.5.2. Administrative costs for businesses (vehicle owners)
    As explained above, PMC5 would result in additional costs for some vehicle owners by introducing
    mandatory testing of all vehicles that have undergone significant modifications. The average cost of
    a PTI for businesses is estimated at EUR 42.1 per vehicle (i.e., calculated as the weighted average of
    the median by Member State for M1, N1, N2/N3 and M2/M3 vehicle types). PTI cost data has been
    collected from CITA General Questionnaire 2020-21, and national online information sources.
    Feedback from stakeholders indicated that in Spain and Germany the total number of modified
    vehicles was around 245,000 and 200,000, respectively, in 2022. This represents an annual average
    of 0.6% of the total fleet. However, many stakeholders highlighted that PTI following a modification
    is already a requirement in their Member State321
    . Therefore, the share of 0.6% is applied only to the
    vehicle fleet from countries where this is not already implemented in the baseline. In addition, it has
    been assumed that 60% of the cars registrations (M1 vehicle category) and 100% of vans, lorries and
    buses registrations (N1, N2/N3 and M2/M3 vehicle category) are undertaken by businesses. The
    number of vehicles affected is estimated at 0.64 million in 2026, 0.66 million in 2030 and 0.75 million
    in 2050. The recurrent administrative costs, based on the number of vehicles affected and the cost
    per PTI, are estimated at EUR 27 million in 2026, EUR 27.8 million in 2030 and EUR 31.6 million
    in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 524.2 million relative
    to the baseline.
    The total administrative costs for businesses due to PMC5 are summarised in the tables below.
    Table 64: Number of vehicle affected and recurrent administrative costs for businesses due to PMC5 in 2026, 2030,
    2040 and 2050 in the policy options (for all options) relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Number of vehicles affected (million) 0.64 0.66 0.72 0.75
    Recurrent administrative cost 27.0 27.8 30.2 31.6
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 65: Recurrent administrative costs for businesses due to PMC5 in the policy options, expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent administrative cost 524.2 524.2 524.2 524.2
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    321
    EU Member States where stakeholders identified PTI following modification as an existing requirement are Croatia,
    Finland, Austria, Netherlands, Germany, Sweden and Spain. This requirement is also in place for Iceland.
    138
    3.5.3. Benefits for PTI centres
    PMC5 would result in benefits for the PTI centres due to the mandatory testing of all vehicles that
    have undergone significant modifications. The costs for vehicle owners (citizens and businesses)
    discussed above represent revenues for the PTI centres. The total revenues for PTI centres due to
    PMC5 are thus estimated at EUR 44.1 million in 2026, EUR 45.5 million in 2030 and EUR 52.3
    million in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 860.5 million
    relative to the baseline.
    Table 66: Benefits for PTI centres due to PMC5 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in the policy options (for all options)
    relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Revenues for PTI centres 44.1 45.5 49.6 52.3
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 67: Benefits for PTI centres due to PMC5 in the policy options, expressed as present value over 2026-2050
    relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Revenues for PTI centres 860.5 860.5 860.5 860.5
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.6. PMC6 - Require the roadworthiness certificate in electronic format only
    3.6.1. Administrative costs for national public authorities
    PMC6 requires that the roadworthiness certificate be issued in electronic format only. According to
    national experts from Member States such as Finland, Croatia and Slovenia the measure would entail
    some software development. Developing the software for electronic certificates is estimated in the
    range of EUR 500 thousand to EUR 1 million. Assuming one-off costs of EUR 500,000 per IT system
    for each of the 15 Member States with smaller volumes of inspections322
    , EUR 750,000 per IT system
    for each of the 7 Member States with medium volumes of inspections323
    and EUR 1,000,000 per IT
    system for each of the 5 Member States with higher volumes of inspections324
    , the total one-off
    administrative costs at EU27 level are estimated at EUR 17.8 million in 2026.
    Recurrent administrative costs for the maintenance and update of the system for electronic certificates
    are assumed at 5% of the investment costs, based on stakeholders’ feedback. They are estimated at
    EUR 887,500 from 2026 onwards. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, the recurrent
    administrative costs for national public administrations are estimated at EUR 15.9 million relative to
    the baseline.
    3.6.2. Administrative costs savings for national public authorities
    In the baseline, the cost of a paper RW certificate is estimated at 1 EUR per certificate, covering the
    cost of printing and the time spent to print the document. Around 2% of the total RW certificates are
    issued in a digital format in the baseline, in two Member States (Finland and Estonia). The number
    322
    Below 2% of the total number of inspections at EU level in 2026 by Member State. These are: BG, CY, EE, FI, HR,
    HU, IE, LT, LV, LU, MT, SI, SK, DK and CZ.
    323
    Between 2% and 10% of the total number of inspections at EU level in 2026 by Member State. These are: AT, BE,
    EL, NL, PT, RO and SE.
    324
    Above 10% of the total number of inspections at EU level in 2026 by Member State. These are: DE, FR, IT, PL and
    ES.
    139
    of RW certificates issued in paper format in the baseline is estimated at 161.5 million in 2026, 167.3
    million in 2030 and 190.6 million in 2050. Thus, the administrative costs saving due to issuing the
    RW certificates in electronic format only are estimated at EUR 161.5 million in 2026, EUR 167.3
    million in 2030 and EUR 190.6 million in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, the
    recurrent administrative costs savings for national public administrations are estimated at EUR 3.2
    billion relative to the baseline.
    Table 68: Costs and costs savings for national public authorities due to PMC6 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in the
    policy options (for all options) relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Total administrative costs 18.6 0.9 0.9 0.9
    One-off administrative costs 17.8 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Recurrent administrative costs 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
    Total administrative costs savings 161.5 167.3 182.0 190.6
    Recurrent administrative costs savings 161.5 167.3 182.0 190.6
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 69: Costs and costs savings for national public authorities due to PMC6 in the policy options, expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total administrative costs 33.7 33.7 33.7 33.7
    One-off administrative costs 17.8 17.8 17.8 17.8
    Recurrent administrative costs 15.9 15.9 15.9 15.9
    Total administrative costs savings 3,155.0 3,155.0 3,155.0 3,155.0
    Recurrent administrative costs savings 3,155.0 3,155.0 3,155.0 3,155.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.7. PMC7 - Provide electronic access to relevant data, including on PTI reports stored in
    national databases, to the registration authorities of other EU Member States using a
    common interface
    3.7.1. Administrative costs for national public authorities
    The measure under consideration entails costs for providing access to relevant data. All Member
    States already store the PTI information in their national vehicle register. The associated costs are
    however expected to be lower when existing systems (such as EUCARIS, ERRU or the MOVE-Hub)
    are used by all Member States. Most of the enforcement authorities are already connected to their
    local vehicle registration authority and could simply add this to the existing data exchange. Member
    States are free to use a EUCARIS offering or build their own solution to satisfy any legal obligations
    for data exchange. The costs and hence decisions will vary between Member States depending on the
    organisation of their national public authorities. If the national public authority that manages the road
    transport undertakings register (i.e., the connection to ERRU) also manages the PTI data then they
    can extend the solution they already have in place. If those two databases are in different national
    public authorities, it changes the decisions and the costs.
    According to EReg’s survey responses, requiring Member States to use an IT system for registration
    procedures that they are already using for other purposes would save costs compared to putting in
    place a new central hub. Either the EUCARIS peer-to-peer exchange system, or the hub-and-spoke
    system of MOVE-Hub could be adapted to the needs of PMC7, limiting the additional costs of
    140
    implementing the measure and ensuring an effective exchange data mechanism. According to EReg,
    the creation of a central hub should not prevent the use of EUCARIS325
    .
    For the implementation of this measure, one-off administrative costs are expected for developing
    common interfaces for accessing the data. The one-off administrative costs for the interconnection
    of national registers are estimated at around EUR 300,000 per Member State in 2026. Thus, the total
    one-off administrative costs are estimated at EUR 8.1 million for the 27 EU Member States in 2026.
    The recurrent administrative costs (i.e., service supply costs) for providing access to the relevant data
    are estimated at around 5% of the capital costs. They amount to EUR 405,000 per year from 2026
    onwards. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, recurrent administrative costs are estimated at
    EUR 7.3 million.
    3.7.2. Administrative costs savings for national public authorities
    According to EUCARIS, if all countries would exchange their registration data in a structured way
    via a common IT system, the number of situations when registration authorities would need to contact
    each other via different, less secure ways (e.g. e-mail) to get the data, would decrease significantly.
    PMC7 is expected to lead to time savings of around 15 minutes per re-registration of a vehicle in
    another Member State because of less need of reaching out to other National Contact Points by
    phone/mail. Considering the 3.5 million re-registrations per year in the EU326
    , and the average labour
    cost for ISCO 2 (professionals) of 40.9 EUR/hour327
    , the administrative costs savings for national
    public authorities are estimated at EUR 35.8 million per year, or EUR 641.8 million expressed as
    present value over the 2026-2050 period relative to the baseline.
    Table 70: Costs and costs savings for national public authorities due to PMC7 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in the
    policy options (for all options) relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Total administrative costs 8.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
    One-off administrative costs 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Recurrent administrative costs 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
    Total administrative costs savings 35.8 35.8 35.8 35.8
    Recurrent administrative costs savings 35.8 35.8 35.8 35.8
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 71: Costs and costs savings for national public authorities due to PMC7 in the policy options, expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total administrative costs 15.4 15.4 15.4 15.4
    One-off administrative costs 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1
    Recurrent administrative costs 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3
    Total administrative costs savings 641.8 641.8 641.8 641.8
    Recurrent administrative costs savings 641.8 641.8 641.8 641.8
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    325
    As reported in the evaluation report, the use of EUCARIS does not currently represent a significant cost for Member
    States.
    326
    Source: https://ggiforum.com/consulting/immigration-executive/127-cross-border-car-registration-within-the-eu-to-
    be-simplified.html
    327
    Eurostat Structure of earnings survey, Labour Force Survey data for Non-Wage Labour Costs.
    141
    3.8. PMC8 - Harmonisation and regular update of the technical data in the vehicle
    registration documents (currently optional content)
    3.8.1. Administrative costs for national public authorities
    PMC8 will harmonise and clarify (where necessary) the contents related to the technical data of the
    vehicle to be provided in the registration document, as indicated in annexes I and II of the Directive
    1999/37, and requires regular update.
    The measure would likely result in additional administrative costs for Member State authorities for
    the harmonisation across MS, redesigning and setting up the new template for the registration
    documents. This is accompanied by a continuous review and update of the documents, with the
    addition of new items that may be needed in the future. Stakeholders provided a range of estimates
    for the one-off costs for harmonisation, from no cost to up to EUR 80,000, with an average of EUR
    26,667 per Member State. This range reflects the different views of Member States concerning the
    need to transition to digital registration documents or the retention of physical documents (this
    decision is not part of the policy measure and is left to the choice of each MS). The total one-off
    administrative costs for the harmonisation of technical data in the vehicle registration documents are
    estimated at EUR 720,000 in 2026 for the 27 EU Member States relative to the baseline.
    In addition, recurrent administrative costs are expected for the regular update of the vehicle
    registration documents with new items that may be found relevant in the future. Recurrent labour
    cost of 40.9 EUR/hour for ISCO 2 (professionals)328
    , working for this specific function an average
    of 2 hours per day along the 220 working days of a regular year, are assumed. The total recurrent
    administrative costs for updating the technical data in vehicle registers is estimated at EUR 485,849
    per year from 2026 onwards for all the EU countries. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, the
    total recurrent administrative costs are estimated at EUR 8.7 million relative to the baseline (in 2022
    prices).
    The total administrative costs for national public authorities expected as a result of this measure are
    summarised in the tables below.
    Table 72: One-off and recurrent administrative costs for national public authorities due to PMC8 in the policy
    options (all options), in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Total administrative costs 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.5
    One-off costs to support the harmonisation of vehicle
    registration documents
    0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Recurrent costs for regular updates of the vehicle
    registration documents
    0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 73: One-off and recurrent administrative costs for national public authorities due to PMC8 in the policy
    options, expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total administrative costs 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.4
    One-off costs to support the harmonisation of vehicle
    registration documents
    0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
    328
    Eurostat Structure of earnings survey, Labour Force Survey data for Non-Wage Labour Costs.
    142
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent costs for regular updates of the vehicle
    registration documents
    8.7 8.7 8.7 8.7
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.8.2. Administrative cost savings for national public authorities and citizens
    Harmonisation of vehicle registration documents could potentially reduce administrative costs related
    to cross-border vehicle registration and compliance, benefiting both national public authorities and
    citizens. However, these cost savings cannot be quantified with available data.
    3.9. PMC9 – MSs to record odometer readings in a national database and make the records
    available to other MSs in the case of re-registration
    PMC9 requires Member States to record odometer readings in a national database and make the
    records available to other MSs in the case of re-registration. Odometer readings for cars and vans
    (M1, N1) will need to be provided by garages, tyre and other repair service, in addition to PTI bodies,
    following every visit. OEMs will be required to provide odometer readings from connected vehicles.
    PMC9 is intended to replicate across the EU the approach already followed in the Netherlands and
    Belgium. However, in comparison to the Belgian Car-Pass system PMC9 does not require the issuing
    of a certificate as part of a vehicle transaction. This currently costs around EUR 10 in Belgium and
    provides the main source of revenue to support the operation of the system in the country. In the
    Dutch National Auto Pas system, the delivery of the vehicle report is free of charge.
    There is no requirement for the development of an EU wide dataset in PMC9 but Member States will
    need to share information on vehicle odometer readings from their respective national datasets when
    a cross-border sale of a vehicle takes place.
    The one-off and recurrent costs for the operation of a similar system established in each Member
    State are estimated based on input from the Belgian Car-Pass and a 2018 European Parliament
    study329
    . PMC9 is expected to lead to costs for national public authorities for establishing and
    operating the system (including a relevant database with odometer readings covering all registered
    vehicles), for taking action when issues are identified, and for sharing data with other Member States
    when they receive requests. In addition, the measure is expected to lead to costs for garages/tyre and
    repair services for submitting the odometer readings (PTI centres already do so). No additional costs
    relative to the baseline are expected for OEMs due to this measure.
    3.9.1. Administrative costs for national public authorities
    The initial cost to set up the database with the odometer readings and the overall system of monitoring
    was around EUR 1.5 million in 2006 for Car-Pass330
    . However, it is expected that this cost is lower
    today, given the decrease in the costs of IT solutions in the recent past. For the assessment of PMC9,
    the one-off administrative costs are assumed at EUR 1 million for each of the 25 Member States
    concerned (i.e., excluding Belgium and the Netherlands which introduced the system already and are
    329
    European Parliament (2018), Odometer Manipulation in motor vehicles in Europe,
    https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/STUD/2018/615637/EPRS_STU%282018%29615637_EN.pdf
    330
    Based on an interview with Car-Pass.
    143
    part of the baseline). Thus, the total one-off administrative costs are estimated at EUR 25 million in
    2026 relative to the baseline.
    Based on the 2018 European Parliament study331
    , the cost for operating the system is estimated at
    EUR 0.42 per vehicle (expressed in 2022 prices)332
    . The number of M1 and N1 vehicles relevant for
    PMC9 are projected at 254.7 million in 2026, 262.4 million in 2030 and 295.8 million in 2050. The
    recurrent administrative costs are estimated at EUR 108.1 million in 2026, EUR 111.4 million in
    2030 and EUR 125.6 million in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated
    at EUR 2.1 billion.
    Table 74: Administrative costs for national public administrations due to PMC9 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in
    all policy options relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Number of vehicles relevant for PMC9 (thousand),
    of which:
    254,666 262,373 285,115 295,817
    M1 vehicles 224,997 231,563 251,316 259,000
    N1 vehicles 29,669 30,811 33,798 36,817
    Total administrative costs (in million EUR) 133.1 111.4 121.0 125.6
    One-off costs to set up the system 25.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Recurrent costs for operating the system 108.1 111.4 121.0 125.6
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 75: Administrative costs for national public administrations due to PMC9 in PO1a, PO1b, PO2 and PO3,
    expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total administrative costs 2,122.1 2,122.1 2,122.1 2,122.1
    One-off costs to set up the system 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0
    Recurrent costs for operating the system 2,097.1 2,097.1 2,097.1 2,097.1
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.9.2. Administrative costs for garages, motor vehicle dealers, tyre and repair stations, etc.
    The costs for the garages, motor vehicle dealers, tyre and repair stations, etc. will relate to possible
    software updates to allow them to transfer their data to the central national database and the time
    needed to record the odometer readings. Based on input from Car-Pass system manager and the
    European Parliament study333
    , the costs for software updates are estimated at EUR 229 per garage in
    2022 prices334
    . In PMC9 these costs are relevant for 651,351 companies (470,765 repair shops and
    garages across the EU335
    and 180,586 motor vehicle dealers336
    ), excluding those in Belgium and the
    331
    European Parliament (2018), Odometer Manipulation in motor vehicles in Europe,
    https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/STUD/2018/615637/EPRS_STU%282018%29615637_EN.pdf
    332
    The cost estimate from the 2018 European Parliament study is EUR 0.37 per vehicle in 2018 prices. Using the
    harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) from Eurostat, this is equivalent to EUR 0.42 per vehicle in 2022 prices.
    333
    European Parliament (2018), Odometer Manipulation in motor vehicles in Europe,
    https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/STUD/2018/615637/EPRS_STU%282018%29615637_EN.pdf
    334
    The cost was estimated at EUR 200 per garage in 2018 prices. Using the harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP)
    from Eurostat, this is equivalent to EUR 229 per garage in 2022 prices.
    335
    Eurostat, Structural business statistics, Enterprise statistics by size class and NACE Rev.2 activity (from 2021
    onwards) [SBS_SC_OVW], Maintenance and repair of motor vehicles. Estimates for Ireland are based on 2020 data.
    336
    Eurostat, Structural business statistics, Enterprise statistics by size class and NACE Rev.2 activity (from 2021
    onwards) [SBS_SC_OVW], Sale of cars and light motor vehicles. Estimates for Ireland are based on 2020 data.
    144
    Netherlands, which implemented the measure already and are part of the baseline. Total one-off
    administrative costs are thus estimated at EUR 149.2 million in 2026.
    The maintenance costs for the software are estimated at 10% of the one-off costs, or EUR 1.4 million
    per year from 2026 onwards. In addition, in order to calculate the costs related to the time needed to
    record the odometer readings, the European Parliament study assumed that 90% of the readings from
    garages will be done automatically via the IT system and only 10% of them will be encoded manually
    through a dedicated portal. Manual encoding is expected to take half a minute. Assuming an average
    cost per hour for technicians and associate professionals (ISCO level 3) of EUR 34, manual encoding
    is estimated at EUR 0.28 per encoding. In addition to the odometer readings during PTI, it is
    estimated that 1.5 readings per vehicle would take place per year. Furthermore, the share of connected
    vehicles is projected to increase over time from around 10% currently337
    to 20% in 2026, 60% in
    2030 and 100% by 2040. No manual encoding is needed for the connected vehicles. Based on these
    assumptions and the projected M1 and N1 vehicles fleet size in the affected MS, the recurrent
    administrative costs for garages, motor vehicle dealers, tyre and repair stations are estimated at EUR
    23.6 million in 2026, EUR 19.4 million in 2030 and EUR 14.9 million in 2050. Expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 310.8 million relative to the baseline.
    For the purpose of the ‘one in one out approach’, the average annual recurrent administrative costs
    over 2026-2035 are estimated at EUR 19.5 million per year338
    . Considering the 651,351 companies
    relevant for PMC9, the average annual cost per company is estimated at EUR 29.9. In addition, as
    explained above, the one-off administrative costs are estimated at EUR 149.2 million in 2026.
    Table 76: Administrative costs for garages, motor vehicle dealers, tyre and repair stations due to PMC9 in 2026,
    2030, 2040 and 2050 in all policy options relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Total administrative costs 172.7 19.4 14.9 14.9
    One-off costs for updating the software 149.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Recurrent costs for operating the system 23.6 19.4 14.9 14.9
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 77: Administrative costs for garages, motor vehicle dealers, tyre and repair stations due to PMC9 in PO1a,
    PO1b, PO2 and PO3, expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022
    prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total administrative costs 460.0 460.0 460.0 460.0
    One-off costs for updating the software 149.2 149.2 149.2 149.2
    Recurrent costs for operating the system 310.8 310.8 310.8 310.8
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.9.3. Reduction of odometer fraud and cost savings for citizens and businesses (vehicle owners)
    PMC9 directly targets odometer tampering by aiming to replicate the key elements of the Car-Pass
    system adopted in Belgium since 2006 and more recently in the Netherlands.
    The requirement for mandatory recording and reporting to a national central database of vehicle
    mileage, whenever a vehicle undergoes repair/maintenance or in the case of tyre
    changes/replacement339
    , allows to create a long record of a vehicle’s mileage since its first time of
    337
    https://www.car-pass.be/en/news/car-pass-annual-report-2022
    338
    This is calculated as a simple average over 2026-2035, non discounted.
    339
    This is in addition to the time of the PTI, which is part of the baseline.
    145
    registration. This allows to easily identify any tampering with the odometer. For example, the Car-
    Pass system led within a year340
    to a very significant drop in the level of odometer fraud in the case
    of second-hand vehicles registered in Belgium, from 13% to no more than 2%341
    . Similar
    effectiveness levels have been reported for the Dutch system, that shares many common elements
    with the Car-Pass system (albeit with no requirement for the issuing of a certificate). However, as
    explained by the manager of the Car-Pass system during the stakeholders’ consultation, there are still
    important limitations when it comes to cross-border vehicle sales since access to mileage records
    from other countries is often limited or not available at all. Implementing the system across the EU
    is thus expected to help reduce odometer fraud in the Member States where such a system is not
    currently in place, both in terms of domestic sales of used vehicles, as well as in terms of cross-border
    sales where odometer tampering has been found to be more common.
    The total volume of second hand vehicle sales (M1 and N1 vehicles) by citizens and businesses in
    the 25 Member States affected by PMC9 (excluding Belgium and the Netherlands, which have
    already implemented the system) is projected at around 62.3 million in 2026, 65.5 million in 2030
    and 71 million in 2050342
    of which second hand cross border sales are estimated at 28.1 million in
    2026, 29.5 million in 2030 and 31.7 million in 2050343
    . The average share of odometer tampering in
    national second-hand car sales is estimated at 4.8%344
    and in cross border second hand car sales at
    11.3%345
    , and they are assumed to remain constant over time in the baseline scenario. Thus, the
    number of national second-hand vehicle sales with mileage fraud is projected at 1.63 million in 2026,
    1.71 million in 2030 and 1.90 million in 2050 in the baseline scenario, and that of cross border vehicle
    sales with mileage fraud at 3.18 million in 2026, 3.35 million in 2030 and 3.64 million in 2050.
    For assessing the benefits of PMC9 for citizens and businesses, the reduction in the level of odometer
    fraud is assumed at 97% for domestic sales of second-hand vehicles, based on the experience with
    Car-Pass346
    , and at 90% for the cross-border vehicle sales. If frequent odometer recording is
    implemented, and odometer history data is exchanged between Member States before re-registration,
    it is reasonable to assume that odometer fraud can be reduced at a similar level as in Belgium and the
    Netherlands. Furthermore, the rapid deployment of connected cars can be expected to significantly
    support the effectiveness of the measure.
    The national mileage fraud avoidance in terms of number of vehicles is estimated at 1.58 million in
    2026, 1.66 million in 2030 and 1.84 million in 2050 while the cross-border mileage fraud avoidance
    at 2.87 million in 2026, 3.01 million in 2030 and 3.28 million 2050. The average cost of mileage
    fraud, due to higher purchase price and maintenance costs incurred, is estimated at EUR 2,119 per
    vehicle in 2022 prices as explained in detail in section 2 of Annex 4. The total costs savings for
    citizens and businesses are estimated at EUR 9.4 billion in 2026, EUR 9.9 billion in 2030 and EUR
    340
    EPRS_STU(2018)615637_EN.pdf (europa.eu)
    341
    The introduction of the system was supported by an extensive information campaign.
    342
    Projections of second hand vehicle sales are derived based on projections for new car sales from the PRIMES-
    TREMOVE baseline and available data on the ratio of second hand car to new car sales for selected countries from:
    https://www.bain.com/insights/the-outlook-for-the-european-used-car-market-brief/ and https://www.regitra.lt/lt/atviri-
    duomenys/?datayear=2017&dataquery=. The ratio of second hand car to new car sales is assumed to remain constant
    over time. For MS without relevant data, a ratio of second hand to new car sales of 4 has been assumed for EU12
    countries and 3.5 for EU15 countries.
    343
    Projections for the second-hand cross border sales are developed based on data from
    https://www.carvertical.com/gb/transparency-index/metrics with some data gaps filled using the median value.
    344
    Source: https://www.carvertical.com/blog/research-what-countries-have-the-highest-percentage-of-cars-with-a-fake-
    mileage
    345
    Source:
    https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/STUD/2018/615637/EPRS_STU%282018%29615637_EN.pdf
    346
    EPRS_STU(2018)615637_EN.pdf (europa.eu)
    146
    10.8 billion in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 184
    billion.
    Table 78: Costs savings for citizens and businesses due to PMC9 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in all policy options
    relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Volume of second hand national sales in
    the affected MS (million vehicles)
    34.17 35.92 39.90 39.33
    Volume of second hand cross border
    sales in the affected MS (million
    vehicles)
    28.10 29.54 31.39 31.70
    National second hand sales with mileage
    fraud (million vehicles)
    1.63 1.71 1.90 1.90
    Cross border sales with mileage fraud
    (million vehicles)
    3.18 3.35 3.59 3.64
    National mileage fraud avoidance
    (million vehicles)
    1.58 1.66 1.85 1.84
    Cross border mileage fraud avoidance
    (million vehicles)
    2.87 3.01 3.23 3.28
    Costs savings from fraud avoidance
    (EUR million), of which:
    9,423.8 9,907.1 10,751.7 10,847.6
    National 3,350.8 3,522.6 3,913.0 3,899.1
    Cross border 6,073.0 6,384.5 6,838.7 6,948.4
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 79: Costs savings for citizens and businesses due to PMC9 in PO1a, PO1b, PO2 and PO3, expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in billion EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Consumer savings from fraud
    avoidance, of which:
    184.0 184.0 184.0 184.0
    National 65.9 65.9 65.9 65.9
    Cross border 118.1 118.1 118.1 118.1
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    As shown in the table below, these cost savings are expected to be more significant for citizens and
    businesses in Central and Eastern European countries where the level of odometer fraud has been
    found to be higher in general and where cross-border sales of second-hand vehicles are higher than
    average.
    Table 80: Estimated fraud avoidance and costs savings for citizens and businesses due to PMC9 in 2030 in all
    policy options relative to the baseline
    National and cross border
    mileage fraud avoidance
    (thousand vehicles)
    Share of national and cross
    border mileage fraud
    avoidance in the total second
    hand vehicles sales (%)
    Savings for citizens and
    businesses from fraud
    avoidance (million EUR, in
    2022 prices)
    AT 145,990 8% 309.4
    BG 90,667 8% 192.2
    CY 24,238 10% 51.4
    CZ 148,959 9% 315.7
    DE 477,055 4% 1,011.1
    DK 52,426 5% 111.1
    EE 43,122 15% 91.4
    EL 149,818 8% 317.5
    ES 381,502 7% 808.6
    FI 55,609 5% 117.9
    147
    National and cross border
    mileage fraud avoidance
    (thousand vehicles)
    Share of national and cross
    border mileage fraud
    avoidance in the total second
    hand vehicles sales (%)
    Savings for citizens and
    businesses from fraud
    avoidance (million EUR, in
    2022 prices)
    FR 733,433 6% 1,554.5
    HR 48,286 8% 102.3
    HU 201,515 11% 427.1
    IE 62,778 8% 133.1
    IT 753,224 7% 1,596.4
    LT 161,193 15% 341.6
    LU 30,226 12% 64.1
    LV 30,430 19% 64.5
    MT 11,455 8% 24.3
    PL 395,864 9% 839.0
    PT 59,152 3% 125.4
    RO 325,840 13% 690.6
    SE 199,491 10% 422.8
    SI 24,382 6% 51.7
    SK 67,736 6% 143.6
    EU level 4,675,346 7% 9,907.1
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    To allocate the benefits due to the reduction of odometer fraud between citizens and businesses, the
    second hand M1 vehicle sales have been split between citizens and businesses using the share of new
    vehicle registered by citizens (i.e., 40%). For N1 vehicles it has been assumed that all benefits accrue
    to businesses. The tables below provide the split of the benefits between citizens and businesses at
    EU level.
    Table 81: Costs savings for citizens due to PMC9 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in all policy options relative to the
    baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Volume of second hand national sales in
    the affected MS (million vehicles)
    12.24 12.87 14.37 14.06
    Volume of second hand cross border
    sales in the affected MS (million
    vehicles)
    10.00 10.51 11.11 11.15
    National second hand sales with mileage
    fraud (million vehicles)
    0.59 0.62 0.69 0.68
    Cross border sales with mileage fraud
    (million vehicles)
    1.14 1.20 1.27 1.29
    National mileage fraud avoidance
    (million vehicles)
    0.57 0.60 0.67 0.66
    Cross border mileage fraud avoidance
    (million vehicles)
    1.03 1.08 1.15 1.16
    Costs savings from fraud avoidance
    (EUR million), of which:
    3,380.8 3,554.2 3,841.0 3,856.7
    National 1,204.2 1,265.9 1,411.1 1,398.4
    Cross border 2,176.7 2,288.3 2,429.9 2,458.3
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    148
    Table 82: Costs savings for citizens due to PMC9 in PO1a, PO1b, PO2 and PO3, expressed as present value over
    2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in billion EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Consumer savings from fraud avoidance,
    of which:
    65.7 65.7 65.7 65.7
    National 23.7 23.7 23.7 23.7
    Cross border 42.0 42.0 42.0 42.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 83: Costs savings for businesses due to PMC9 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in all policy options relative to
    the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Volume of second hand national sales in
    the affected MS (million vehicles)
    21.92 23.05 25.54 25.26
    Volume of second hand cross border
    sales in the affected MS (million
    vehicles)
    18.10 19.03 20.28 20.56
    National second hand sales with mileage
    fraud (million vehicles)
    1.04 1.10 1.22 1.22
    Cross border sales with mileage fraud
    (million vehicles)
    2.04 2.15 2.31 2.35
    National mileage fraud avoidance
    (million vehicles)
    1.01 1.07 1.18 1.18
    Cross border mileage fraud avoidance
    (million vehicles)
    1.84 1.93 2.08 2.12
    Costs savings from fraud avoidance
    (EUR million), of which:
    6,043.0 6,352.9 6,910.6 6,990.9
    National 2,146.6 2,256.7 2,501.8 2,500.7
    Cross border 3,896.4 4,096.2 4,408.8 4,490.1
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 84: Costs savings for businesses due to PMC9 in PO1a, PO1b, PO2 and PO3, expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in billion EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Consumer savings from fraud avoidance,
    of which:
    118.3 118.3 118.3 118.3
    National 42.2 42.2 42.2 42.2
    Cross border 76.1 76.1 76.1 76.1
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.10. PM1 - RSI for heavy/powerful motorcycles (L category > 125cm3) as alternative measure,
    in Member States where they are not subject to PTI (i.e., using available opt-out)
    3.10.1. Administrative costs for national public authorities
    PM1 will require that those Member States (BE, FI, IE, NL, MT, PT)347
    that do not have a PTI
    requirement for motorcycles introduce roadside inspections for motorcycles over 125 cc as an
    347
    Until the end of 2023, France had not introduced mandatory PTI for motorcycles but the French authorities had
    announced the intention to do so. For this reason, for the purposes of the analysis it was assumed that France would not
    be affected by the proposed measure. Denmark does not have mandatory PTI but it has introduced roadside inspections,
    and it is thus assumed to be part of the baseline. In the case of Portugal, current requirements cover only motorcycles
    over 250cc.
    149
    alternative. The roadside inspections are expected to cover 5% of the number of motorcycles
    registered every year.
    The average duration of a roadside inspection for heavy goods vehicles is around 25-30 minutes348
    but in the case of motorcycles it can be reasonably expected that this will be much shorter, given the
    size of the vehicle and the list of parameters to be inspected. It is assumed that, on average349
    , it will
    take 10 minutes which translates into an average cost of EUR 5.7 per inspection (assuming an hourly
    cost of EUR 34 for technicians and associate professionals – ISCO 3). The number of roadside
    inspections for motorcycles in PM1 is estimated at 80,443 in 2026, 82,566 in 2030 and 104,321 in
    2050 for the 6 Member States concerned. The recurrent administrative costs are estimated at EUR
    0.46 million in 2026, EUR 0.47 million in 2030 and EUR 0.59 million in 2050. Expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 9.1 million relative to the baseline.
    3.10.2. Adjustment costs for national public authorities
    Under PM1 it is assumed that the national public authorities of the 6 MS affected by the measure
    purchase additional equipment to support the additional inspections. For a 5% share of the
    motorcycles fleet, one extra RSI unit per MS is expected to be sufficient. With an estimated cost of
    EUR 20,000 per unit (according to input from stakeholders), the one-off adjustment costs are
    estimated at EUR 120,000 in 2026.
    Recurrent adjustment costs (i.e., maintenance costs) are assumed to be around 10% of the capital
    costs and estimated at EUR 12,000 per year from 2026 onwards. Expressed as present value over
    2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 0.2 million relative to the baseline.
    Table 85: Costs for national public authorities due to PM1 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy options PO1a
    and PO2 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Additional number of roadside inspections 80,443 82,566 93,459 104,321
    Administrative costs (million EUR) 0.46 0.47 0.53 0.59
    Recurrent administrative costs 0.46 0.47 0.53 0.59
    Total adjustment costs (million EUR) 0.13 0.01 0.01 0.01
    One-off costs for equipment 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00
    Recurrent maintenance costs 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 86: Costs for national public authorities due to PM1 in PO1a and PO2, expressed as present value over
    2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Administrative costs 9.12 9.12
    Recurrent administrative costs 9.12 9.12
    Total adjustment costs 0.34 0.34
    One-off costs for equipment 0.12 0.12
    Recurrent maintenance costs 0.22 0.22
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    348
    SWD(2012)206
    349
    This includes the larger share of inspections where there are no specific issues identified on the basis of an initial
    inspection (where the duration can be even shorter than 10 minutes) and the smaller number of inspections that may
    require more extensive testing.
    150
    3.10.3. Administrative cost for citizens (vehicle owners)
    Vehicle owners will experience some costs for the time spent for cooperating on roadside inspections
    with the public authorities. As explained, the average time required for a roadside inspection is
    estimated at 10 minutes. Considering an average hourly labour cost of EUR 29.5 and the number of
    roadside inspections, the administrative costs for citizens are estimated at EUR 0.40 million in 2026,
    EUR 0.41 million in 2030 and EUR 0.51 million in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-
    2050, they are estimated at EUR 7.9 million relative to the baseline.
    Where a vehicle is found to be defective, the authorities may request the owner/holder of the vehicle
    to pay a charge corresponding to the cost of the test, in addition to the cost of repair. It is not possible
    to quantify the costs incurred in the form of such a charge, but they are expected to be limited. The
    cost of repair would have to be borne by the vehicle owner anyway; the RSI only helps identify the
    defects earlier.
    The tables below summarise the costs expected for citizens due to PM1.
    Table 87: Recurrent administrative costs for citizens due to PM1 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy options
    PO1a and PO2 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Additional number of roadside inspections 80,443 82,566 93,459 104,321
    Administrative costs (million EUR) 0.40 0.41 0.46 0.51
    Recurrent administrative costs 0.40 0.41 0.46 0.51
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 88: Recurrent administrative costs for citizens due to PM1 in PO1a and PO2, expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Administrative costs 7.92 7.92
    Recurrent administrative costs 7.92 7.92
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.11. PM2 - Mandatory PTI for motorcycles above 125cm3 (remove current opt-out)
    This measure introduces removing the current opt-out from the mandatory PTI for motorcycles.
    When motorcycles are not regularly tested, this has a non-negligeable impact on road safety. A
    comparison between the countries that apply PTI (ES, IT, DE) and FR that only introduced PTI for
    motorcycles in April 2024, is provided in the table below. The figures indicate the number of fatalities
    of occupants of powered two-wheelers in comparison to the fleet size of those vehicles in the four
    Member States. While the number of fatalities is highest in these Member States (with 542
    motorcycle fatalities in DE, 417 in ES, 615 in FR, and 698 in IT, in 2019), the ratios below indicate
    that PTI for these vehicles probably has a noticeable impact. In fact, the differences are significant
    between the countries that apply PTI to both motorcycles and mopeds (ES and IT), to motorcycles
    only (DE) and FR that only introduced PTI for motorcycles in April 2024.
    Table 89: Fatalities of occupants of powered two wheelers (i.e., motorcycles and mopeds) per 1000 powered two
    wheelers
    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
    DE 0.19 0.20 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.13
    ES 0.10 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08
    FR 0.28 0.29 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.26 0.25 0.25
    IT 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08
    151
    Source: CARE database and Statistical Pocketbook "EU transport in figures”
    3.11.1. Adjustment costs for PTI centres
    PM2 implies that the capacity of PTI centres in the MS where PTI is not in place (BE, FI, IE, NL,
    MT, PT, DK)350
    should be increased. The way that PTI services are organised in each Member States
    differ. The level of extra capacity and the associated costs that may arise to meet the extra demand
    are estimated recognising that there may be some differences among Member States.
    The additional number of inspections in the 7 MS is estimated at 733,056 in 2026, 751,660 in 2030
    and 941,911 in 2050351
    .
    Additional PTI lanes to deliver these inspections will be needed. Assuming a typical PTI lane
    operating 10 hours a day for 220 days, a total of up to 4,620 motorcycle inspections can be delivered.
    On the basis of the projected number of inspections, around 159 additional PTI lanes will be needed
    in 2026 and 45 additional ones by 2050 (204 additional PTI lanes in total over 2026-2050 relative to
    the baseline). The cost per PTI lane is estimated at EUR 20,000. The one-off adjustment costs are
    thus estimated at EUR 3.2 million in 2026, EUR 20,000 in 2030 and EUR 40,000 in 2050 relative to
    the baseline. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 3.8 million
    relative to the baseline.
    Recurrent maintenance costs for the PTI lanes are assumed at 10% of the capital costs (i.e., EUR
    2,000 per lane). They are estimated at EUR 318,000 in 2026, EUR 326,000 in 2030, going up to EUR
    408,000 in 2050 due to the additional PTI lanes added over time in line with the projected growth in
    the number of inspections. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, the recurrent adjustment costs
    for the maintenance of the PTI lanes are estimated at EUR 6.3 million relative to the baseline.
    The average duration of a PTI inspection for motorcycles is around 20 minutes. The labour costs per
    inspection are estimated at EUR 11.3, assuming an hourly cost of EUR 34 for technicians and
    associate professionals (ISCO 3). To deliver the estimated additional number of inspections, the
    recurrent adjustment costs are estimated at EUR 8.3 million in 2026, EUR 8.5 million in 2030 and
    EUR 10.7 million in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR
    165.5 million relative to the baseline.
    The number of additional inspectors that need to be trained for performing the PTIs in the 7 Member
    States concerned by PM2 is estimated at 167 in 2026, and 48 additional ones by 2050 (215 inspectors
    to be trained in total over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline). They are estimated based on the
    projected number of additional PTIs in the 7 Member States and the average number of PTIs per
    inspector (i.e., 4,380). Assuming a two-day training for the additional inspectors, at an hourly cost of
    EUR 34 for technicians and associate professionals – ISCO 3), the total one-off adjustment costs for
    training are estimated at EUR 82,634 in 2026, EUR 495 in 2030 and EUR 990 in 2050. Expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 98,875 relative to the baseline.
    350
    France has not introduced mandatory PTI for motorcycles up to now but the French authorities have announced the
    intention to do so. For this reason, for the purposes of the analysis it is assumed that France will not be affected by the
    proposed measure.
    351
    This is estimated as the number of motorcycles in the baseline from the PRIMES-TREMOVE model, multiplied by
    the average number of inspections per motorcycle over its lifetime (estimated at 8) and divided by the average age of a
    motorcycle (18 years). The average number of inspections per motorcycle is calculated based on the assumed frequency
    and average age.
    152
    The tables below summarise the costs expected for PTI centres due to PM2.
    Table 90: Adjustment costs for PTI centres due to PM2 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy option PO1b relative
    to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Additional number of inspections 733,056 751,660 847,034 941,911
    Total adjustment costs 11.88 8.86 10.00 11.12
    One-off costs for the additional PTI lanes 3.18 0.02 0.04 0.04
    Recurrent costs for the maintenance of the PTI lanes 0.32 0.33 0.37 0.41
    Recurrent labour costs for inspections 8.30 8.51 9.60 10.67
    One-off costs for training 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 91: Adjustment costs for PTI centres due to PM2 in PO1b, expressed as present value over 2026-2050
    relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total adjustment costs 175.7
    One-off costs for the additional PTI lanes 3.8
    Recurrent costs for the maintenance of the PTI lanes 6.3
    Recurrent labour costs for inspections 165.5
    One-off costs for training 0.1
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.11.2. Enforcement costs for national public authorities
    The introduction of mandatory PTI will also imply some extra costs for the authorities that are
    responsible for monitoring the operation of the system, evaluating the quality of the PTI inspections.
    The Dutch authorities (RDW) reported that around EUR 4.5 per PTI is charged to vehicle owners to
    cover the costs of monitoring by authorities. The Dutch system includes random inspections of
    vehicles done by RDW as a way to check the quality of PTI inspections. This is not an approach
    adopted in other Member States and it is not a requirement of the Directive. As such, the cost of EUR
    4.5 per PTI is not considered representative of the typical monitoring costs. For the calculations, an
    average monitoring cost of EUR 2.25 per PTI is assumed (50% of the cost provided by RDW).
    Recurrent enforcement costs are thus estimated at EUR 1.6 million in 2026, EUR 1.7 million in 2030
    and EUR 2.1 million in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR
    32.9 million relative to the baseline.
    Table 92: Enforcement costs for national public authorities due to PM2 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy
    option PO1b relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Recurrent enforcement costs 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.1
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    153
    Table 93: Enforcement costs for national public authorities due to PM2 in PO1b, expressed as present value over
    2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent enforcement costs 32.9
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.11.3. Administrative costs for citizens (vehicle owners)
    Mandatory PTI for motorcycles translate into additional costs for vehicles owners in the Member
    States affected. Using the median of the charges per PTI test from the other Member States, estimated
    at EUR 20.1, the recurrent administrative costs for citizens are estimated at EUR 14.8 million in
    2026, EUR 15.1 million in 2030 and EUR 19 million in 2050. Expressed as present value over the
    2026-2050 period, they are estimated at EUR 294.1 million.
    Motorcycle owners with identified defective motorcycles will incur costs to repair their motorcycles
    while they will also need to spend some time to travel to PTI centres, thus incurring some extra costs.
    However, these may vary significantly by vehicle and were not possible to quantify.
    The tables below summarise the costs for citizens expected for PM2 in PO1b.
    Table 94: Administrative costs for citizens (vehicle owners) due to PM2 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy
    option PO1b relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Recurrent administrative costs 14.8 15.1 17.1 19.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 95: Administrative costs for citizens (vehicle owners) due to PM2 in PO1b, expressed as present value over
    2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent administrative costs 294.1
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.11.4. Benefits for PTI centres
    PM2 would result in benefits for the PTI centres in the 7 MS affected, due to the mandatory PTI for
    heavy/powerful motorcycles. The costs for vehicle owners (citizens) discussed above represent
    revenues for the PTI centres. The total revenues for PTI centres due to PM2 are estimated at EUR
    14.8 million in 2026, EUR 15.1 million in 2030 and EUR 19 million in 2050. Expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 294.1 million relative to the baseline.
    Table 96: Benefits for PTI centres due to PM2 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy option PO1b relative to the
    baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Revenues for PTI centres 14.8 15.1 17.1 19.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    154
    Table 97: Benefits for PTI centres due to PM2 policy option PO1b, expressed as present value over 2026-2050
    relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Revenues for PTI centres 294.1
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.12. PM3 - Extend PTI to all motorcycles (i.e., including from 50cm3 = all L3e, L4e, plus
    tricycles (L5e) and heavy quadricycles (L7e))
    3.12.1. Adjustment costs for PTI centres
    PM3 extends the type of motorcycles covered by PTI to those from 50cm3 in the eight Member States
    where such requirement is currently not in place (BE, FI, IE, NL, MT, PT, DK, CY352
    ).
    The additional number of inspections in the 8 MS affected is estimated at 845,522 in 2026, 869,017
    in 2030 and 1,097,479 in 2050353
    .
    Similarly to PM2, additional PTI lanes to deliver these inspections will be needed. Assuming a typical
    PTI lane operating 10 hours a day for 220 days, a total of up to 4,620 motorcycle inspections can be
    delivered. On the basis of the projected number of inspections, around 183 additional PTI lanes will
    be needed in 2026 and 55 additional ones by 2050 (238 additional PTI lanes in total over 2026-2050
    relative to the baseline). The cost per PTI lane is estimated at EUR 20,000. The one-off adjustment
    costs are estimated at EUR 3.7 million in 2026, EUR 20,000 in 2030 and EUR 60,000 in 2050 relative
    to the baseline. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 4.4 million
    relative to the baseline.
    Recurrent maintenance costs for the PTI lanes are assumed at 10% of the capital costs (i.e., EUR
    2,000 per lane). They are estimated at EUR 366,000 in 2026, EUR 376,000 in 2030, going up to EUR
    476,000 in 2050 due to the additional PTI lanes added over time in line with the projected growth in
    the number of inspections. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, the recurrent adjustment costs
    for the maintenance of the PTI lanes are estimated at EUR 7.3 million relative to the baseline.
    The average duration of a PTI inspection for motorcycles is around 20 minutes. The labour costs per
    inspection are estimated at EUR 11.3, assuming an hourly cost of EUR 34 for technicians and
    associate professionals (ISCO 3). To deliver the estimated additional number of inspections, the
    recurrent adjustment costs are estimated at EUR 9.6 million in 2026, EUR 9.8 million in 2030 and
    EUR 12.4 million in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR
    192.1 million relative to the baseline.
    The number of additional inspectors that need to be trained for performing the PTIs in the 8 Member
    States concerned by PM3 is estimated at 193 in 2026, and 58 additional ones by 2050 (251 inspectors
    to be trained in total over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline). They are estimated based on the
    projected number of additional PTIs in the 8 Member States and the average number of PTIs per
    inspector (i.e., 4,380). Assuming a two-day training for the additional inspectors, at an hourly cost of
    EUR 34 for technicians and associate professionals – ISCO 3), the total one-off adjustment costs for
    352
    In Cyprus motorcycles above 125cm3 are already covered.
    353
    This is estimated as the number of motorcycles in the baseline from the PRIMES-TREMOVE model, multiplied by
    the average number of inspections per motorcycle over its lifetime (estimated at 8) and divided by the average age of a
    motorcycle (18 years). The average number of inspections per motorcycle is calculated based on the assumed frequency
    and average age.
    155
    training are estimated at EUR 95,499 in 2026, EUR 495 in 2030 and EUR 1,484 in 2050. Expressed
    as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 115,102 relative to the baseline.
    The tables below summarise the costs expected for PTI centres due to PM3.
    Table 98: Adjustment costs for PTI centres due to PM3 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy option PO3 relative
    to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Additional number of inspections 845,522 869,017 985,326 1,097,479
    Total adjustment costs 13.70 10.24 11.65 12.97
    One-off costs for the additional PTI lanes 3.66 0.02 0.06 0.06
    Recurrent costs for the maintenance of the PTI lanes 0.37 0.38 0.43 0.48
    Recurrent labour costs for inspections 9.58 9.84 11.16 12.43
    One-off costs for training 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 99: Adjustment costs for PTI centres due to PM3 in PO3, expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative
    to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total adjustment costs 203.9
    One-off costs for the additional PTI lanes 4.4
    Recurrent costs for the maintenance of the PTI lanes 7.3
    Recurrent labour costs for inspections 192.1
    One-off costs for training 0.1
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.12.2. Enforcement cost for national public authorities
    The introduction of mandatory PTI will also imply some extra costs for the authorities that are
    responsible for monitoring the operation of the system, evaluating the quality of the PTI inspections.
    The Dutch authorities (RDW) reported that around EUR 4.5 per PTI is charged to vehicle owners to
    cover the costs of monitoring by authorities. The Dutch system includes random inspections of
    vehicles done by RDW as a way to check the quality of PTI inspections. This is not an approach
    adopted in other Member States and it is not a requirement of the Directive. As such, the cost of EUR
    4.5 per PTI is not considered representative of the typical monitoring costs. For the calculations, an
    average monitoring cost of EUR 2.25 per PTI is assumed (50% of the cost provided by RDW).
    Recurrent enforcement costs are thus estimated at EUR 1.9 million in 2026, EUR 2 million in 2030
    and EUR 2.5 million in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR
    38.1 million relative to the baseline.
    Table 100: Enforcement costs for national public authorities due to PM3 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy
    option PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Recurrent enforcement costs 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.5
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    156
    Table 101: Enforcement costs for national public authorities due to PM3 in PO3, expressed as present value over
    2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent enforcement costs 38.1
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.12.3. Administrative cost for citizens (vehicle owners)
    Mandatory PTI for motorcycles translate into additional costs for vehicles owners in the Member
    States affected. Using the median of the charges per PTI test from the other Member States, estimated
    at EUR 20.1, the recurrent administrative costs for citizens are estimated at EUR 17 million in 2026,
    EUR 17.5 million in 2030 and EUR 22.1 million in 2050. Expressed as present value over the 2026-
    2050 period, they are estimated at EUR 341.3 million.
    Motorcycle owners with identified defective motorcycles will incur costs to repair their motorcycles
    while they will also need to spend some time to travel to PTI centres, thus incurring some extra costs.
    However, these may vary significantly by vehicle and were not possible to quantify them.
    The tables below summarise the costs for citizens (vehicle owners) expected for PM3 in PO3.
    Table 102: Administrative costs for citizens (vehicle owners) due to PM3 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy
    option PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Recurrent administrative costs 17.0 17.5 19.8 22.1
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 103: Administrative costs for citizens (vehicle owners) due to PM3 in PO3, expressed as present value over
    2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent administrative costs 341.3
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.12.4. Benefits for PTI centres
    PM3 would result in benefits for the PTI centres in the 8 MS affected, due to the extension of PTI to
    all motorcycles. The costs for vehicle owners (citizens) discussed above represent revenues for the
    PTI centres. The total revenues for PTI centres due to PM3 are estimated at EUR 17 million in 2026,
    EUR 17.5 million in 2030 and EUR 22.1 million in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-
    2050, they are estimated at EUR 341.3 million relative to the baseline.
    Table 104: Benefits for PTI centres due to PM3 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy option PO3 relative to the
    baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Revenues for PTI centres 17.0 17.5 19.8 22.1
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    157
    Table 105: Benefits for PTI centres due to PM3 in policy option PO3, expressed as present value over 2026-2050
    relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Revenues for PTI centres 341.3
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.13. PM4 – Mandatory PTI for light trailers (O1 and O2 categories)
    PM4 requires the mandatory PTI for light trailers (O1 and O2 categories). Eleven Member States
    would be affected by PM4: 7 Member States where there is currently no requirement for PTI for
    either O1 or O2 (DK, EL, FI, FR, NL, IE, PT) and 4 Member States where there is currently only a
    requirement for PTI for O2 (PL, SK, BE and ES).
    3.13.1. Adjustment costs for PTI centres
    Assuming a frequency scheme of 4/2/2 the additional number of inspections due to PM4 in the 11
    MS is estimated at 1.3 million in 2026, 1.4 million in 2030 and 1.6 million in 2050354
    , of which for
    O1 category 724,302 inspections in 2026, 753,381 in 2030 and 830,560 in 2050 and for O2 category
    597,825 inspections in 2026, 638,053 in 2030 and 734,593 in 2050.
    Additional PTI lanes to deliver these inspections may be needed, although it is possible that extra
    utilisation of the existing capacity may allow to cover at least part of the extra demand. For the
    assessment, it has been assumed that additional PTI lanes would be needed for inspections of O2
    category trailers only355
    . Assuming a typical PTI lane operating for 220 days and allowing the
    inspection of 28 trailers per day, a total of up to 6,160 inspections can be delivered for O2 trailers per
    year by a PTI lane. On the basis of the projected number of inspections, around 97 additional PTI
    lanes will be needed in 2026 and 22 additional ones by 2050 (119 additional PTI lanes in total over
    2026-2050 relative to the baseline). The cost of an additional PTI lane for trailers is estimated at EUR
    10,000 per lane. The one-off adjustment costs are thus estimated at EUR 970,000 in 2026, EUR
    20,000 in 2030 and no extra costs in 2050 relative to the baseline. Expressed as present value over
    2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 1.1 million relative to the baseline.
    Recurrent maintenance costs for the PTI lanes are assumed at 10% of the capital costs (i.e., EUR
    1,000 per lane). They are estimated at EUR 97,000 in 2026, EUR 104,000 in 2030, going up to EUR
    119,000 in 2050 due to the additional PTI lanes added over time in line with the projected growth in
    the number of inspections. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, the recurrent adjustment costs
    for the maintenance of the PTI lanes are estimated at EUR 2 million relative to the baseline.
    The average duration of a PTI inspection for trailers is around 15 minutes. The labour costs per
    inspection are estimated at EUR 8.5, assuming an hourly cost of EUR 34 for technicians and associate
    professionals (ISCO 3). To deliver the estimated additional number of inspections, the recurrent
    354
    This is estimated as the number of trailers in the baseline, multiplied by the average number of inspections per trailer
    over its lifetime (estimated at 8) and divided by the average age of a trailer (18 years).
    355
    For the inspection of O2 trailers a rolling brake test equipment will be needed (not needed for O1 trailers) which,
    given the expected volume of trailers to be tested may lead to the need of extra capacity. Some stakeholders indicated
    that the inspections can be carried out with the existing equipment but for the assessment it is considered that due to the
    significant extra volume of inspections expected, extra investment would be needed in PTI lanes for O2 trailers. In the
    case of O1 trailers visual inspection is expected to be sufficient and thus no additional PTI lanes are expected to be
    needed. The feedback received from stakeholders in the context of the stakeholders’ survey indicated that no extra
    equipment is needed for O1 trailers. No stakeholder mentioned the need for extra space and the costs associated to it.
    Thus, although additional costs for O1 trailers are possible, they are not considered significant and not estimated.
    158
    adjustment costs are estimated at EUR 11.2 million in 2026, EUR 11.8 million in 2030 and EUR 13.3
    million in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 222.3 million
    relative to the baseline.
    No training costs are expected since the inspections required are similar to those of other vehicles.
    Table 106: Adjustment costs for PTI centres due to PM4 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy option PO3 relative
    to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Additional number of inspections, of which: 1,322,127 1,391,434 1,513,772 1,565,153
    for O1 category 724,302 753,381 810,970 830,560
    for O2 category 597,825 638,053 702,803 734,593
    Total adjustment costs 12.3 11.9 13.0 13.4
    One-off costs for the additional PTI lanes 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Recurrent costs for the maintenance of the PTI lanes
    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
    Recurrent labour costs for inspections 11.2 11.8 12.9 13.3
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 107: Adjustment costs for PTI centres due to PM4 in PO3, expressed as present value over 2026-2050
    relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total adjustment costs 225.4
    One-off costs for the additional PTI lanes 1.1
    Recurrent costs for the maintenance of the PTI lanes 2.0
    Recurrent labour costs for inspections 222.3
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.13.2. Enforcement costs for national public authorities
    Similarly to PM2 and PM3, the introduction of mandatory PTI will also imply some extra costs for
    the authorities that are responsible for monitoring the operation of the system and evaluating the
    quality of the PTI inspections. The approach for estimating the recurrent enforcement costs is similar
    to that explained under PM3. However, lower costs per trailer are assumed for monitoring in this case
    (EUR 1.5 per trailer inspection versus EUR 2.25 per motorcycle inspection). The recurrent
    enforcement costs for the 11 Member States affected by PM4 are estimated at EUR 2 million in 2026,
    EUR 2.1 million in 2030 and EUR 2.3 million in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050,
    they are estimated at EUR 39.2 million.
    Table 108: Enforcement costs for national public authorities due to PM4 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy
    option PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Recurrent enforcement costs 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.3
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    159
    Table 109: Enforcement costs for national public authorities due to PM4 in PO3, expressed as present value over
    2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent enforcement costs 39.2
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.13.3. Administrative cost for businesses (vehicle owners)
    Mandatory PTI for trailers translate into additional costs for vehicles owners in the Member States
    affected. To calculate the costs, it is assumed that all O2 trailers and half of the O1 trailers are owned
    by business. Charges for PTI for trailers are expected to be no greater than those for motorcycles,
    considering also that there is no emissions test. Assuming a fee per PTI test for trailers of EUR 20.1,
    the recurrent administrative costs for businesses are estimated at EUR 19.3 million in 2026, EUR
    20.4 million in 2030 and EUR 23.1 million in 2050. Expressed as present value over the 2026-2050
    period, they are estimated at EUR 385.1 million.
    The tables below summarise the administrative costs for businesses expected for PM4.
    Table 110: Administrative costs for businesses (vehicle owners) due to PM4 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy
    option PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Recurrent administrative costs 19.3 20.4 22.3 23.1
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 111: Administrative costs for businesses (vehicle owners) due to PM4 in PO3, expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent administrative costs 385.1
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.13.4. Administrative cost for citizens (vehicle owners)
    As explained above, mandatory PTI for trailers translate into additional costs for vehicles owners in
    the Member States affected. To calculate the costs citizens, it is assumed that half of the O1 trailers
    are owned by citizens. Assuming a charge per PTI test for trailers of EUR 20.1, the recurrent
    administrative costs for citizens are estimated at EUR 7.3 million in 2026, EUR 7.6 million in 2030
    and EUR 8.4 million in 2050. Expressed as present value over the 2026-2050 period, they are
    estimated at EUR 141.5 million.
    The tables below summarise the administrative costs for citizens expected for PM4.
    Table 112: Administrative costs for citizens (vehicle owners) due to PM4 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy
    option PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Recurrent administrative costs 7.3 7.6 8.2 8.4
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    160
    Table 113: Administrative costs for citizens (vehicle owners) due to PM4 in PO3, expressed as present value over
    2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent administrative costs 141.5
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.13.5. Benefits for PTI centres
    PM4 would result in benefits for the PTI centres in the MS affected, due to the mandatory PTI for
    light trailers. The costs for vehicle owners (citizens and businesses) discussed above represent
    revenues for the PTI centres. The total revenues for PTI centres due to PM4 are estimated at EUR
    26.6 million in 2026, EUR 28 million in 2030 and EUR 31.5 million in 2050. Expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 526.6 million relative to the baseline.
    Table 114: Benefits for PTI centres due to PM4 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy option PO3 relative to the
    baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Revenues for PTI centres 26.6 28.0 30.5 31.5
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 115: Benefits for PTI centres due to PM4 in policy option PO3, expressed as present value over 2026-2050
    relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Revenues for PTI centres 526.6
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.14. PM5 – Annual emission testing for light commercial vehicles (N1) instead of the currently
    required 4-2-2 frequency
    PM5 includes a requirement for annual emission testing for light commercial vehicles (N1) instead
    of the currently required 4-2-2 frequency. It assumes additional emission testing in all Member States.
    The assessment of PM5 (included in PO1b, PO2 and PO3) takes into account the synergies with
    PMC3 on a proposed PN testing at PTI and with PMC4 on a new NOx test.
    3.14.1. Adjustment costs for PTI centres
    The additional number of emission testing for internal combustion light commercial vehicles due to
    PM5 is estimated at 14.3 million in 2026, 14.2 million in 2030 and 1.2 million in 2050 relative to the
    baseline356
    . The decrease in the number of emission testing is driven by the decrease in the number
    of internal combustion light commercial vehicles over time. This is due to the Regulation on CO2
    standards for LDVs that is included in the baseline.
    PM5 is expected to lead to one-off adjustment costs for additional emission testing equipment. Based
    on stakeholders’ feedback, the price for new PN measurement equipment is estimated at EUR 5,000
    per equipment and that for new NOx measurement equipment at EUR 15,000. One tool per inspector
    is required.
    356
    The number of inspections is estimated based on the projected number of internal combustion light commercial
    vehicles from the PRIMES-TREMOVE model.
    161
    The average number of full PTI inspections per inspector is estimated at 2,920 per year. However,
    emission testing is estimated to take only around 20% of the time of a full PTI inspection (i.e., around
    6 minutes). Thus, it is estimated that up to 14,600 emission inspections per year can be delivered per
    inspector. Assuming that one emission testing equipment per inspector is needed, the required
    number of additional PN and NOx measurement equipment due to PM5 is estimated at 979 in 2026.
    Total one-off adjustment costs for equipment are thus estimated at EUR 19.6 million in 2026 relative
    to the baseline. Recurrent adjustment costs for the calibration and maintenance of PN and NOx
    equipment are estimated at 5% of the capital costs (i.e., EUR 250 per PN equipment and EUR 750
    per NOx equipment), equivalent to EUR 979,000 per year from 2026 onwards. Expressed at present
    value over 2026-2050, the recurrent adjustment costs are estimated at EUR 17.6 million.
    Training of additional inspectors will also be required due to PM5. The number of inspectors to be
    trained in 2026 is estimated at 979. Assuming a two-day training for the additional inspectors,
    including for the PN and NOx testing, at an hourly cost of EUR 34 for technicians and associate
    professionals – ISCO 3), the total one-off adjustment costs for training are estimated at EUR 484,425
    in 2026.
    Combined, the average duration of the new PN and NOx emission tests is around 6 minutes. The
    labour costs per emission testing are estimated at EUR 3.4, assuming an hourly cost of EUR 34 for
    technicians and associate professionals (ISCO 3). To deliver the estimated additional number of
    emission testing, the recurrent adjustment costs are estimated at EUR 48.6 million in 2026, EUR 48.2
    million in 2030 and EUR 3.9 million in 2050357
    . Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they
    are estimated at EUR 610.1 million relative to the baseline.
    Table 116: Adjustment costs for PTI centres due to PM5 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy options PO1b,
    PO2 and PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Additional number of emission testing 14,287,176 14,187,947 8,012,878 1,156,079
    Total adjustment costs 69.6 49.2 28.2 4.9
    One-off costs for equipment 19.6 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Recurrent costs for the maintenance of
    equipment
    1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
    Recurrent labour costs for PN and NOx tests 48.6 48.2 27.2 3.9
    One-off costs for training 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 117: Adjustment costs for PTI centres due to PM5 in PO1b, PO2 and PO3, expressed as present value over
    2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total adjustment costs 0.0 647.7 647.7 647.7
    One-off costs for equipment 0.0 19.6 19.6 19.6
    Recurrent costs for the maintenance of equipment 0.0 17.6 17.6 17.6
    Recurrent labour costs for PN and NOx tests 0.0 610.1 610.1 610.1
    One-off costs for training 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.14.2. Administrative cost for businesses (vehicle owners)
    The introduction of annual emission testing for N1 vehicles will result in recurrent administrative
    costs for vehicle owners (i.e., businesses in case of N1 vehicles) due to the testing charges. Taking
    357
    The labour costs decrease over time due to the decreasing number of internal combustion light commercial vehicles.
    162
    into account feedback from stakeholder interviews, the new emission test (involving PN and NOx
    testing) is expected to cover 20% (6 minutes) of the total PTI duration. Considering the median charge
    per vehicle of EUR 40.5 per N1 vehicle and the 20% share of the time covering the PN and NOx
    testing, the recurrent administrative costs for vehicle owners are estimated at 115.8 million in 2026,
    EUR 115 million in 2030 and EUR 9.4 million in 2050. Expressed as present value over the 2026-
    2050 period, they are estimated at EUR 1.5 billion relative to the baseline.
    The tables below summarise the impact of PM5 (included in PO1b, PO2 and PO3) on businesses.
    Table 118: Administrative costs for businesses (vehicle owners) due to PM5 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy
    options PO1b, PO2 and PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Recurrent administrative costs 115.8 115.0 64.9 9.4
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 119: Administrative costs for businesses (vehicle owners) due to PM5 in PO1b, PO2 and PO3 expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent administrative costs 1,454.8 1,454.8 1,454.8
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.14.3. Benefits for PTI centres
    PM5 would result in benefits for the PTI centres due to the annual emission testing for light
    commercial vehicles (N1) instead of the currently required 4-2-2 frequency. The costs for vehicle
    owners (businesses) discussed above represent revenues for the PTI centres. The total revenues for
    PTI centres due to PM5 are estimated at EUR 115.8 million in 2026, EUR 115 million in 2030 and
    EUR 9.4 million in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 1.5
    billion relative to the baseline.
    Table 120: Benefits for PTI centres due to PM5 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy options PO1b, PO2 and
    PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Revenues for PTI centres 115.8 115.0 64.9 9.4
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 121: Benefits for PTI centres due to PM5 in policy options PO1b, PO2 and PO3, expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Revenues for PTI centres 1,454.8 1,454.8 1,454.8
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.15. PM6 – Mandatory yearly testing for vehicles that are 10-year-old or older
    Currently, 11 MS do not require annual PTI testing of light-duty vehicles after 10 years of their
    registration (CY, DE, LT, CZ, DK, FR, EL, HU, IT, MT, SK). All these Member States currently
    require an inspection every two years which means that the proposed measure will double the number
    of inspections for vehicles over 10 years.
    The assessment of PM6 (included in PO1b, PO2 and PO3) takes into account the synergies with
    PMC3 on a proposed PN testing at PTI and with PMC4 on a new NOx test. It also takes into account
    163
    the synergies with PMC1 concerning the PTI of electric vehicles and PMC2 on updates to cover
    General Safety Regulation Requirements. However, no additional costs are expected in relation to
    PMC1 and PMC2 given that the relevant update of the tools already used will need to take place
    irrespective of the frequency of the test.
    Furthermore, the costs related to PM5 (included in PO1b, PO2 and PO3) for emission testing
    associated to N1 vehicles aged 10 years or older overlap with PM6 and are thus not considered under
    the assessment of PM6, to avoid double-counting in estimating the costs of PO1b, PO2 and PO3.
    3.15.1. Adjustment costs for PTI centres
    The additional number of PTIs for M1 vehicles category due to PM6 is estimated at 41.1 million in
    2026, 42.1 million in 2030 and 47.5 million in 2050 and for N1 vehicle category at 4.3 million in
    2026, 4.5 million in 2030 and 5.2 million in 2050.
    PM6 is expected to lead to one-off adjustment costs for inspection centres for the additional emission
    testing equipment and for additional PTI lanes. As explained in PMC3 and PMC4, the cost per new
    PN testing equipment is assumed at EUR 5,000 and for NOx testing at EUR 15,000 per equipment.
    In addition, based on an interview with TUV Rheinland, the cost of a new PTI lane is assumed at
    EUR 50,000.
    Based on the capacity of a PTI lane to process 3,080 inspections of M1 and N1 vehicles per year, the
    additional inspections will require 14,746 new PTI lanes across the EU27 in 2026 and 2,359
    additional ones by 2050 (17,105 new PTI lanes in total over 2026-2050). Of this, the new PTI lanes
    for M1 vehicles represent 13,353 in 2026 and 2,057 additional ones by 2050 (15,410 new PTI lanes
    over 2026-2050). Each new lane for M1 vehicles in 2026 will also require one set of PN and NOx
    testing equipment358
    . Additional PN testing and NOx testing equipment is assumed only for M1
    vehicles categories as the costs for such equipment related to N1 vehicles is already reflected in PM5.
    Thus, the one-off costs for equipment are estimated at EUR 1 billion in 2026, EUR 4.9 million in
    2030 and EUR 1.7 million in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated
    at EUR 1.1 billion.
    Recurrent maintenance costs for the PTI lanes are assumed at 10% of the capital costs (i.e., EUR
    5,000 per lane). In addition, annual maintenance costs to calibrate, repair and update the additional
    PN and NOx equipment for M1 vehicles inspections is estimated at 5% of the initial cost (around
    EUR 250 for PN-PTI equipment and 750 EUR for NOx equipment). Total recurrent adjustment costs
    for equipment are thus estimated at EUR 87.1 million in 2026, EUR 89 million in 2030, going up to
    EUR 98.9 million in 2050 due to the additional PTI lanes added over time in line with the projected
    growth in the number of inspections. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated
    at EUR 1.7 billion relative to the baseline.
    Training of additional inspectors will also be required due to PM6. On average an inspector performs
    2,920 PTI inspectors per year. Thus, PM6 is expected to require an additional 14,746 inspectors to
    be trained in 2026. Assuming a two-days training to cover the knowledge related to emission testing,
    but also testing of electric vehicles and GSR software update, and an hourly cost of EUR 34 for
    358
    Additional equipment for PN testing and NOx testing is only assumed in 2026 and should accommodate the additional
    number of inspections. This is because of the increase in the share of zero-emission vehicles over time and thus the
    decrease in the number of PN and NOx testing relative to 2026.
    164
    technicians and associate professionals – ISCO 3), the one-off adjustment costs for training are
    estimated at EUR 7.3 million in 2026.
    The average duration of a PTI inspection is 30 minutes. The labour costs per PTI inspection are
    estimated at EUR 17, assuming an hourly cost of EUR 34 for technicians and associate professionals
    (ISCO 3). To deliver the estimated additional number of inspections, the recurrent adjustment costs
    are estimated at EUR 771.7 million in 2026, EUR 792.1 million in 2030 and EUR 895.2 million in
    2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 14.9 billion relative to
    the baseline.
    Table 122: Adjustment costs for PTI centres due to PM6 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy options PO1b,
    PO2 and PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Additional number of inspections, of
    which:
    45,416,666 46,614,893 50,581,135 52,682,848
    for M1 category 41,125,717 42,134,669 45,715,359 47,462,922
    for N1 category 4,290,949 4,480,224 4,865,776 5,219,925
    Total adjustment costs 1,870.5 886.0 962.4 995.7
    One-off costs for equipment 1,004.4 4.9 7.5 1.7
    Recurrent costs for equipment 87.1 89.0 95.5 98.9
    Recurrent labour costs for inspections 771.7 792.1 859.5 895.2
    One-off costs for training 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 123: Adjustment costs for PTI centres due to PM6 in PO1b, PO2 and PO3, expressed as present value over
    2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total one-off adjustment costs 17,680.8 17,680.8 17,680.8
    One-off costs for equipment 1,090.6 1,090.6 1,090.6
    Recurrent costs for equipment 1,664.7 1,664.7 1,664.7
    Recurrent labour costs for inspections 14,918.2 14,918.2 14,918.2
    One-off costs for training 7.3 7.3 7.3
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.15.2. Administrative cost for citizens (vehicle owners)
    The introduction of annual testing for M1 and N1 vehicles that are aged 10 years or older will result
    in recurrent administrative costs for vehicle owners due to testing charges. Considering the median
    charge per M1 vehicle of EUR 41.7, and the fact that around 40% of M1 vehicles are owned by
    citizens, the recurrent administrative costs for citizens are estimated at EUR 686.5 million in 2026,
    EUR 703.4 million in 2030 and EUR 792.3 million in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-
    2050, they are estimated at EUR 13.2 billion relative to the baseline.
    Table 124: Administrative costs for citizens (vehicle owners) due to PM6 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy
    options PO1b, PO2 and PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Recurrent administrative costs for citizens 686.5 703.4 763.2 792.3
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    165
    Table 125: Administrative costs for citizens (vehicle owners) due to PM6 in PO1b, PO2 and PO3 expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent administrative costs for citizens 13,241.7 13,241.7 13,241.7
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.15.3. Administrative cost for businesses (vehicle owners)
    The introduction of annual testing for N1 and M1 vehicles that are aged 10 years or older will result
    in recurrent administrative costs for vehicle owners due to testing charges. Considering the median
    charge per M1 vehicle of EUR 41.7 and per N1 vehicle of EUR 40.5, and the fact that around 60%
    of M1 vehicles and 100% of N1 vehicles are owned by businesses, the recurrent administrative costs
    for businesses are estimated at EUR 1,203.7 million in 2026, EUR 1,236.6 million in 2030 and EUR
    1,400 million in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 23.3
    billion relative to the baseline.
    Table 126: Administrative costs for businesses (vehicle owners) due to PM6 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy
    options PO1b, PO2 and PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Recurrent administrative costs for businesses 1,203.7 1,236.6 1,341.9 1,400.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 127: Administrative costs for businesses (vehicle owners) due to PM6 in PO1b, PO2 and PO3 expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent administrative costs for businesses 23,295.9 23,295.9 23,295.9
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.15.4. Benefits for PTI centres
    PM6 would result in benefits for the PTI centres in the 11 MS affected due to the mandatory yearly
    testing for M1 and N1 vehicles that are aged 10 years or older. The costs for vehicle owners (citizens
    and businesses) discussed above represent revenues for the PTI centres. The total revenues for PTI
    centres due to PM6 are estimated at EUR 1.89 billion in 2026, EUR 1.94 billion in 2030 and EUR
    2.19 billion in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 36.5
    billion relative to the baseline.
    Table 128: Benefits for PTI centres due to PM6 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy options PO1b, PO2 and
    PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Revenues for PTI centres 1,890.2 1,940.0 2,105.1 2,192.4
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    166
    Table 129: Benefits for PTI centres due to PM6 in PO1b, PO2 and PO3, expressed as present value over 2026-
    2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Revenues for PTI centres 36,537.6 36,537.6 36,537.6
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.16. PM7 - PTI certificates issued in any EU MS is recognised by the MS of registration, plus
    further harmonisation of test methods
    PM7 requires that the Member State of registration recognises a PTI certificate issued by another
    Member State. This requires that the stringency of roadworthiness testing be more even across the
    EU than today. In addition to other relevant measures (such as PMC1, PMC2, PMC3 and others that
    improve the quality of PTI), this measure includes further harmonisation of test methods notably in
    the field of brake and suspension testing.
    3.16.1. Adjustment costs for national public authorities
    Several Member States have reported that their existing systems are capable of transferring data from
    other national systems or have mechanisms in place that make such transfers negligible in terms of
    costs. Therefore, no costs are expected for national public authorities due to PM7. Consequently, this
    measure focuses on Member States identified as having lower-stringency roadworthiness systems359
    ,
    which will need additional investments in the PTI centres.
    3.16.2. Adjustment costs for PTI centres
    PTI centres in the Member States with lower-stringency roadworthiness systems identified above
    will need to acquire new equipment to enhance their capacity, including an advanced brake testing
    device and a suspension tester360
    .
    Based on input from stakeholders, the advanced testing of HDV braking and of suspension (damping
    efficiency of shock absorbers) will lead to additional equipment costs. For HDV brake testing using
    extrapolation methods, VSG Italy indicated a cost range of EUR 2,000 to 3,000 for the necessary air
    pressure sensor and a few hundred EUR per year for maintenance. For the assessment, an average
    one-off cost of EUR 2,500 is assumed per PTI centre and EUR 250 annual maintenance costs. The
    purchase cost of a suspension tester for light vehicles is around EUR 10,000 and the maintenance
    costs are assumed at EUR 1,000 per year per tester. Considering the 11 Member States with lower-
    stringency roadworthiness systems, 29,922 of the 48,880 PTI centres would have to invest into
    advanced brake testing equipment and 28,322361
    into suspension testers. In addition, for advanced
    lighting testing, there is currently no method defined for advanced headlamp testing and stakeholders
    were not able to provide an indication of costs. The same one-off and maintenance costs as for braking
    have therefore been used, although it is assumed that all PTI centres will require new equipment and
    the costs will not occur before 2030 (as no test procedure has been defined yet). Total one-off
    adjustment costs are estimated at EUR 358 million in 2026 and EUR 122.2 million in 2030.
    Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 476.7 million relative to the
    baseline.
    359
    Based on a recent survey of national authorities conducted by the Commission services, these are: Bulgaria, Cyprus,
    Greece, Hungary, Italy, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Romania, Slovenia and the Netherlands.
    360
    Suspension testing is an optional element of PTI today.
    361
    Hungary already applies special equipment for testing the damping of shock absorbers.
    167
    Recurrent adjustment costs for maintenance are estimated at EUR 35.8 million per year for 2026-
    2029 and at EUR 48 million per year from 2030 onwards, or EUR 814.5 million expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline.
    In conjunction with the introduction of new equipment, it is essential to provide training to inspectors
    to enhance their proficiency in utilising these new methods. The number of inspectors that would
    need such training in the 11 Member States with lower-stringency roadworthiness systems is
    estimated at 65,976. Assuming an average of 4 hours of training at an hourly cost of EUR 34 for
    technicians and associate professionals (ISCO 3), the one-off adjustment costs for training are
    estimated at EUR 9 million in 2026.
    The adjustment costs for PTI centres due to PM7 are summarised in the tables below.
    Table 130: Adjustment costs for PTI centres due to PM7 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy option PO3 relative
    to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Total adjustment costs 402.8 170.2 48.0 48.0
    One-off costs for equipment 358.0 122.2 0.0 0.0
    Recurrent costs for equipment 35.8 48.0 48.0 48.0
    One-off costs for training 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 131: Adjustment costs for PTI centres due to PM7 in PO3, expressed as present value over 2026-2050
    relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total adjustment costs 1,300.2
    One-off costs for equipment 476.7
    Recurrent costs for equipment 814.5
    One-off costs for training 9.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.16.3. Adjustment costs savings for citizens (vehicle owners)
    Due to PM7, citizens (i.e., vehicle owners) are expected to avoid driving unnecessary solely for the
    purpose of a mandatory PTI. This particularly affects foreigners and tourists who have vehicles
    stationed in a country different from their Member State of registration.
    There is no data available for the number of vehicles registered in one Member State that are located
    in a different Member State and would benefit from such option. According to a 2011 IA study362
    ,
    1,000 vehicles registered in the Netherlands and 1,000 vehicles registered in Sweden stationed in
    Spain, representing (on average) 0.015% of the total fleet of these countries. Assuming the same
    share at the EU level and using the PRIMES-TREMOVE baseline projections for the vehicle fleet,
    up to 967,379 vehicles may be stationed in a different MS than their registration country in 2026,
    996,705 in 2030 and 1,112,669 in 2050. This represents an upper estimate since for a large number
    of Member State pairs the number of vehicles should be much lower than the pair considered, given
    that not all MS attract the same numbers of nationals of other countries for relatively long periods of
    time.
    362
    Europe Economics (2011), Report of contribution to impact assessment of policy options to improve the EU system
    of PTI and of roadside vehicle testing
    168
    The cost savings from avoiding a trip back to the country of vehicle registration for a PTI are
    estimated based on the following assumptions. The average distance between European cities is
    around 1,200 km363
    . The travel cost for light vehicles is estimated at EUR 0.44 per km in 2022
    prices364
    . Assuming an average PTI frequency of around 0.43 times per year, the recurrent adjustment
    cost savings for citizens are estimated at EUR 221.5 million in 2026, EUR 228.2 million in 2030 and
    EUR 254.8 million in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, the cost saving amount to
    EUR 4.3 billion relative to the baseline.
    The total cost savings for citizens (vehicle owners) due to PM7 are summarised in the tables below.
    Table 132: Adjustment costs savings for citizens (vehicle owners) due to PM7 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in
    policy option PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Adjustment costs savings for
    citizens
    221.5 228.2 247.9 254.8
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 133: Adjustment costs savings for citizens (vehicle owners) due to PM7 in PO3 expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Adjustment costs savings for
    citizens
    4,289.3
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.17. PM8 - PTI certificate issued in any EU MS is recognised by the MS of registration for a
    period of up to 6 months (for passenger cars only), on the condition that the next PTI is
    conducted in the MS of registration
    3.17.1. Adjustment costs for national public authorities
    Several Member States have reported that their existing systems are capable of transferring data from
    other national systems or have mechanisms in place that make such transfers negligible in terms of
    costs. Therefore, no costs are expected for national public authorities due to PM8.
    3.17.2. Adjustment costs for PTI centres
    PM8 is not expected to lead to any cost for PTI centres, considering that there are no changes to the
    PTI requirements. Some increase in the demand for PTI services make take place in specific Member
    States with higher number of nationals from other Member States. However, this is not expected to
    be at a level that would require additional investments.
    3.17.3. Adjustment costs savings for citizens (vehicle owners)
    In PM8, after a PTI certificate is issued in other EU MS than that of the MS of registration, the next
    PTI needs to be conducted in the MS of registration. Therefore, in PM8 it is assumed that the transport
    activity avoided is half of that in PM7. All other assumptions used for the estimation of costs savings
    are the same as in PM7. The recurrent adjustment cost savings for citizens are estimated at EUR
    363
    Source: www.engineeringtoolbox.com on the distance among EU cities across the EU and took the median value
    among all pairs.
    364
    Source: https://www.eurodev.com/blog/mileage-reimbursement-in-europe-2022
    169
    110.7 million in 2026, EUR 114.1 million in 2030 and EUR 127.4 million in 2050. Expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050, the cost saving amount to EUR 2.1 billion relative to the baseline.
    The total cost savings for citizens (vehicle owners) due to PM8 are summarised in the tables below.
    Table 134: Adjustment costs savings for citizens (vehicle owners) due to PM8 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in
    policy options PO1b and PO2 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Adjustment costs savings for citizens 110.7 114.1 123.9 127.4
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 135: Adjustment costs savings for citizens (vehicle owners) due to PM8 in PO1b and PO2, expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Adjustment costs savings for citizens 2,144.6 2,144.6
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.18. PM9 - PTI in another MS recognised by MS of registration based on bilateral agreements
    This measure would require that the PTI certificate issued in any other EU MS is recognised by the
    MS of registration on the basis of bilateral agreements.
    3.18.1. Adjustment costs for national public authorities
    National authorities will incur costs associated with establishing bilateral agreements, modifying
    national law as required and implementing procedures to facilitate inspections in another Member
    State. PM9 is expected to lead to one-off adjustment costs, mainly for designing the bilateral
    agreements. It is not expected that agreements will be signed among all pairs of Member states.
    Assuming that each Member State establishes three bilateral agreements, a total number of 41
    agreements would be established365
    . Total one-off adjustment costs are estimated at EUR 1.4 million
    in 2026 (EUR 35,265 per agreement or EUR 53,550 per Member State), expressed in 2022 prices.
    The estimation is based on the bilateral agreements already in place between the Netherlands and
    Spain, as well as between the Netherlands and Belgium.
    The total adjustment costs for national public authorities due to PM9 are summarised in the tables
    below.
    Table 136: Adjustment costs for national public authorities due to PM9 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy
    option PO1a relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    One-off adjustment costs for setting up
    bilateral agreements
    1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    365
    The total number of agreements is derived by multiplying the number of agreements by MS with the total number of
    MS and dividing by 2.
    170
    Table 137: Adjustment costs for national public authorities due to PM9 in PO1a expressed as present value over
    2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    One-off adjustment costs for setting up
    bilateral agreements
    1.4
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.18.2. Adjustment cost savings for citizens (vehicle owners)
    The cost savings for citizens (vehicle owners) due to the bilateral agreements, as a result of avoided
    travel costs for performing the PTI tests, are estimated at EUR 1.19 million per bilateral agreement
    (expressed in 2022 prices)366
    . Considering the 41 bilateral agreements assumed to be signed, the total
    recurrent adjustment costs savings are estimated at EUR 49 million per year from 2026 onwards.
    Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 878.2 million relative to the
    baseline.
    The total cost savings for citizens (vehicle owners) expected as a result of PM9 are summarised in
    the tables below.
    Table 138: Adjustment costs savings for citizens (vehicle owners) due to PM9 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in
    policy option PO1a relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Recurrent adjustment costs savings
    for citizens
    49.0 49.0 49.0 49.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 139: Adjustment costs savings for citizens (vehicle owners) due to PM9 in PO1a, expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent adjustment costs savings
    for citizens
    878.2
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.19. PM10 - More advanced testing of noise for motorcycles
    PM10 requires that all Member States perform noise testing for motorcycles at PTI, inspired by the
    procedure for pass-by noise test described in the UN Regulation no. 41. Few MSs (DE, ES, HR and
    SK) are already measuring L-vehicles noise emissions at PTI.
    3.19.1. Adjustment costs for PTI centres
    For the calculation of the adjustment costs incurred by the PTI centres it is assumed that only the
    proportion of PTI centres with a test track will be concerned by the measure.
    The number of PTI centres with a test track is estimated by applying the projected share of L3-L4
    vehicles in the total vehicle stock in 2026 (i.e., 6.2%)367
    to the total number of PTI centres in the
    366
    Europe Economics (2011), Report of contribution to impact assessment of policy options to improve the EU system
    of PTI and of roadside vehicle testing
    367
    The projected vehicles stock is based on the baseline projections from the PRIMES-TREMOVE model.
    171
    affected MS. Thus, 2,827 inspection centres are estimated to have a test track, out of the total of
    45,585 PTI centres in the affected MS (excluding DE, ES, HR and SK).
    The cost for purchasing a noise measurement device is estimated at EUR 800 per device (i.e., the
    average of the estimates provided by stakeholders, that is between EUR 600 and EUR 1,000), and 2
    devices are assumed to be needed for each PTI centre with a test track. Thus, the total one-off
    adjustment costs for the purchase of new equipment are estimated at EUR 4.5 million in 2026.
    Recurrent adjustment costs for the maintenance and calibration of devices are assumed at 5% of the
    capital cost, or EUR 226,160 per year from 2026 onwards. Expressed as present value over 2026-
    2050, the recurrent adjustment costs for equipment are estimated at EUR 4.1 million relative to the
    baseline.
    The additional noise testing will imply longer PTI sessions and for this reason would result in
    additional labour costs for the PTI centres. It is assumed that the noise measurement takes around 15
    minutes, and the hourly cost is EUR 34 for technicians and associate professionals (ISCO 3). The
    number of noise tests is estimated at 6.9 million in 2026, 7.2 million in 2030 and 8.6 million in 2050.
    The recurrent adjustment costs are estimated at EUR 58.6 million in 2026, EUR 61.6 million in 2030
    and EUR 73.4 million in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at
    EUR 1.2 billion.
    The number of additional inspectors that need to be trained for performing the noise testing is
    estimated at 1,575 in 2026. They are estimated based on the projected number of additional noise
    tests and the average number of PTIs per inspector (i.e., 4,380). Assuming half a day of training, at
    an hourly cost of EUR 34 for technicians and associate professionals (ISCO 3)368
    , the total one-off
    adjustment costs for training are estimated at EUR 194,834 in 2026.
    The total adjustment costs for PTI centres expected due to PM10 are summarised in the tables
    below.
    Table 140: Adjustment costs for PTI centres due to PM10 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy options PO1b,
    PO2 and PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Total adjustment costs 63.6 61.8 66.4 73.7
    One-off costs for equipment 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Recurrent costs for equipment 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
    Recurrent labour costs for inspections 58.6 61.6 66.2 73.4
    One-off costs for training 0.2 0.0 0 0.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 141: Adjustment costs for PTI centres due to PM10 in PO1b, PO2 and PO3, expressed as present value over
    2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total adjustment costs 1,170.6 1,170.6 1,170.6
    One-off costs for equipment 4.5 4.5 4.5
    Ongoing costs for equipment 4.1 4.1 4.1
    Ongoing costs for additional staff 1,161.8 1,161.8 1,161.8
    One-off costs for training 0.2 0.2 0.2
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    368
    Data Sources: Eurostat Structure of earnings survey, Labour Force Survey data for Non-Wage Labour Costs
    172
    3.19.2. Costs for vehicle owners
    Depending on the Member State, the additional costs for the PTI centres may be passed through to
    vehicle owners (i.e., citizens). As indicated under PMC1, this will depend on the way PTI charges
    are set in the Member State.
    The limitation to PTI centres equipped with a test track will mean that some vehicle’ owners will
    have to travel further than to the closest PTI centre, which means higher costs in terms of time spent
    for PTI and fuel consumed to get to the testing location. However, these costs are not expected to be
    significant.
    Owners of faulty L3-L4 vehicles will face a charge for repairing the non-compliant vehicles.
    However, this is not considered to be regulatory costs but is relevant in terms of the impact on
    maintenance costs.
    3.20. PM11 - Data governance: further define the procedures and the means of access to vehicle
    technical information by testing centres free of charge
    PM11 is expected to result in one-off administrative costs for national public authorities and OEMs
    for adapting the IT systems and their interconnection. This could for instance concern the testing
    centres that are not digitally connected yet. Additional recurrent administrative costs are expected to
    maintain the IT systems.
    According to EUCARIS, using the same procedure as for the exchange of eCoC data369
    could reduce
    additional costs but costs are still expected during the transition. ACEA expects costs similar to the
    introduction of Commission Implementing Regulation (EU) 2019/621 for PM11. EReg mentioned
    costs for PTI centres that are not digitally connected, with varying impacts by Member State, and
    negligible costs for those already digitally connected.
    3.20.1. Administrative costs for national public authorities
    Based on the NL and SI case studies and stakeholders’ interviews, the one-off cost for the adaptation
    of the IT system is estimated at EUR 300,000 to EUR 1,000,000 per country, depending on the
    volume of PTI inspections per country. Assuming one-off costs of EUR 300,000 per IT system for
    each of the 15 Member States with smaller volumes of inspections370
    , EUR 500,000 per IT system
    for each of the 7 Member States with medium volumes of inspections371
    and EUR 1,000,000 per IT
    system for each of the 5 Member States with higher volumes of inspections372
    , the total one-off
    administrative costs at EU27 level are estimated at EUR 13 million in 2026. Recurrent administrative
    costs for maintenance are estimated at around 10% of the capital costs, or EUR 1.3 million per year
    from 2026 onwards. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, the recurrent administrative costs
    are estimated at EUR 23.3 million relative to the baseline.
    369
    EUR-Lex - 32021R0133 - EN - EUR-Lex (europa.eu)
    370
    Below 2% of the total number of inspections at EU level in 2026 by Member State. These are: BG, CY, EE, FI, HR,
    HU, IE, LT, LV, LU, MT, SI, SK, DK and CZ.
    371
    Between 2% and 10% of the total number of inspections at EU level in 2026 by Member State. These are: AT, BE,
    EL, NL, PT, RO and SE.
    372
    Above 10% of the total number of inspections at EU level in 2026 by Member State. These are: DE, FR, IT, PL and
    ES.
    173
    Table 142: Administrative costs for national public administrations due to PM11 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in
    policy options PO2 and PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Total administrative costs 14.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
    One-off costs for IT systems 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Recurrent costs for maintenance of the IT systems 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 143: Administrative costs for national public administrations due to PM11 in PO2 and PO3, expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total administrative costs 36.3 36.3
    One-off costs for IT systems 13.0 13.0
    Recurrent costs for maintenance of the IT systems 23.3 23.3
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.20.2. Administrative costs for OEM
    OEMs will also need to make adjustments to their own IT systems to ensure access to the relevant
    data. According to one manufacturer, the one-off costs are expected to be around EUR 1 million per
    OEM. The total one-off administrative costs are estimated at EUR 20 million in 2026 for the 20
    OEMs in the EU.
    Recurrent administrative costs are estimated at 10% of the capital costs or EUR 100,000 per OEM.
    For the 20 OEMs, they amount to EUR 2 million per year from 2026 onwards. Expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 35.9 million relative to the baseline.
    Table 144: Administrative costs for OEMs due to PM11 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy options PO2 and
    PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Total administrative costs 22.0 2.0 2.0 2.0
    One-off costs for IT systems 20.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Recurrent costs for maintenance of the IT systems 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 145: Administrative costs for OEMs due to PM11 in PO2 and PO3, expressed as present value over 2026-
    2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total administrative costs 55.9 55.9
    One-off costs for IT systems 20.0 20.0
    Recurrent costs for maintenance of the IT systems 35.9 35.9
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.20.3. Administrative costs for PTI centres
    For PTI centres, the one-off administrative costs for the adaptation of the IT systems are estimated at
    EUR 1,000 per centre. Total one-off administrative costs would amount to EUR 48.9 million in 2026,
    for the 48,880 PTI centres across the EU.
    Recurrent administrative costs for the maintenance of the IT systems are estimated at 10% of the
    capital costs, or EUR 100 per PTI centre. Total recurrent administrative costs are estimated at EUR
    174
    4.9 million per year from 2026 onwards, or EUR 87.7 million expressed as present value over 2026-
    2050 relative to the baseline.
    Table 146: Administrative costs for PTI centres due to PM11 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy options PO2
    and PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Total administrative costs 53.8 4.9 4.9 4.9
    One-off costs for IT systems 48.9 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Recurrent costs for maintenance of the IT systems 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 147: Administrative costs for PTI centres due to PM11 in PO2 and PO3, expressed as present value over
    2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total administrative costs 136.5 136.5
    One-off costs for IT systems 48.9 48.9
    Recurrent costs for maintenance of the IT systems 87.7 87.7
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.20.4. Administrative cost savings for PTI centres
    The access to relevant technical information is also expected to bring some limited time savings for
    PTI centres. Time savings of 3 minutes are assumed per PTI. This represents 10% of the average of
    30 minutes per PTI for a passenger car. No potential for higher time saving per inspection is estimated
    due to PM11 because most of the time during a PTI is allocated to the visual inspection or the
    emissions and other testing. Furthermore, not all PTI centres are expected to benefit of this measure,
    as access to relevant information is often already available. It is expected that only 30% of PTIs
    would benefit of PM11. Assuming an average cost per hour for technicians and associate
    professionals (ISCO level 3) of EUR 34, the recurrent administrative costs savings for PTI centres
    are estimated at EUR 84.1 million in 2026, EUR 87.1 million in 2030 and EUR 99.3 million in 2050.
    Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they amount to EUR 1.6 billion relative to the baseline.
    Table 148: Administrative costs savings for PTI centres due to PM11 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy options
    PO2 and PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Recurrent administrative costs savings 84.1 87.1 94.8 99.3
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 149: Administrative costs savings for PTI centres due to PM11 in PO2 and PO3, expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent administrative costs savings 1,643.4 1,643.4
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.21. PM12 – NOx, PM, and noise measurement by remote sensing in RSI of all vehicles (with
    option for simplified PTI if vehicle passed recent RSI)
    PM12 (included in PO1b, PO2 and PO3) requires NOx, PM, and noise measurement by remote
    sensing in technical roadside inspections of all vehicle types, and optional plume chasing in technical
    roadside inspections of commercial vehicles. It also includes the option for simplified PTI (i.e., no
    emission/noise testing) if the vehicle passed a recent RSI (including by remote sensing).
    175
    The introduction of this measure will require the purchase, maintenance and periodic calibration of
    remote sensing equipment (for NOx and PM) and acoustic camera equipment by national public
    authorities. It will also imply additional costs for vehicles and testing equipment for the plume
    chasing option, as well as costs for training of inspectors to use the new equipment. In addition, it
    will also imply some extra costs for additional emissions tests for the owners of vehicles (businesses
    or citizens) identified as high emitters by the remote sensing or plume chasing measurements and
    some extra adjustment costs for the PTI centres that will need to deliver these additional tests.
    On the other hand, PM12 is expected to lead to costs savings for citizens and businesses (vehicle
    owners) that successfully pass the remote sensing or plume chasing measurement by avoiding some
    costs associated with PTI.
    3.21.1. Adjustment costs for national public authorities
    Remote sensing
    Roadside inspection authorities are expected to incur costs for the purchase of remote sensing
    equipment for measuring NOx and PM emissions of all vehicle types. 250 remote sensing devices
    would be needed in EU27 to be able to analyse via remote sensing at least 30% of the road fleet373
    .
    The capital cost of a remote sensing equipment, based on stakeholders’ consultation, is assumed at
    EUR 85,000. In addition, maintenance and calibration costs are assumed at 5% of the capital costs,
    and the cost for the processing and data management at EUR 24,000 per year per device.
    The total one-off adjustment costs for remote sensing equipment are thus estimated at EUR 21.3
    million in 2026. Recurrent adjustment costs for maintenance and calibration, and for the processing
    and data management are estimated at EUR 7.1 million from 2026 onwards. Expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050, recurrent adjustment costs amount to EUR 126.7 million relative to the
    baseline.
    In addition, one day of training for the use of NOx and PM remote sensing equipment is assumed for
    the 393 RSI inspectors. With an hourly cost for technicians and associate professionals (ISCO 3) of
    EUR 34/hour374
    , and assuming 7.3 working hours per day, the one-off adjustment costs for training
    are estimated at EUR 97,231 in 2026.
    Plume chasing (optional)
    PM12 gives the possibility of implementing plume chasing to measure NOx and PM emissions of
    HDVs (from Euro VI). The cost of plume chasing equipment is assumed at EUR 32,500 per
    equipment, based on input from stakeholders. Assuming on average two equipped vehicles per
    Member State for 26 Member States (Denmark has already implemented the system), the one-off
    adjustment costs are estimated at EUR 1.7 million in 2026.
    The maintenance and calibration costs are assumed at EUR 1,625 per equipment per year (5% of the
    capital cost), based on inputs from stakeholders, resulting in total maintenance costs of EUR 84,500
    per year from 2026 onwards for the 26 Member States relevant for PM13 (excluding Denmark). In
    addition, labour costs are estimated assuming one inspector per plume chasing vehicle and four days
    373
    Hooftman N., Ligterink N., Bhoraskar, A., (2020) Analysis of the 2019 Flemish remote sensing campaign.
    Commissioned by the Flemish Government - Flanders Environment Agency - Team Air quality policy
    374
    Eurostat Structure of earnings survey, Labour Force Survey data for Non-Wage Labour Costs.
    176
    per week of plume chasing375
    . Considering on average 44 working weeks per year and an hourly cost
    for technicians and associate professionals (ISCO 3) of EUR 34/hour, the total labour costs are
    estimated at EUR 2.26 million per year from 2026 onwards. Thus, total recurrent adjustment costs
    for maintenance of equipment and labour costs amount to EUR 2.3 million per year from 2026
    onwards, or EUR 42.1 million expressed as present value over 2026-2050.
    In addition, two days of training are assumed for the 52 inspectors. With an hourly cost for technicians
    and associate professionals (ISCO 3) of EUR 34/hour376
    , and assuming 7.3 working hours per day,
    the one-off adjustment costs for training are estimated at EUR 25,730.
    Acoustic cameras
    Acoustic cameras would need to be added to remote sensing equipment to measure noise at the
    roadside. The one-off cost per acoustic camera is assumed at EUR 2,000377
    , and the maintenance cost
    at 5% of the capital cost. Thus, total one-off adjustment costs for equipment are estimated at EUR
    500,000 in 2026 and the recurrent adjustment costs at EUR 25,000 per year from 2026 onwards.
    Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, the recurrent adjustment costs for acoustic cameras are
    estimated at EUR 448,389.
    In addition, a half-day training would be needed for 393 RSI inspectors, for using the acoustic
    cameras. The one-off adjustment costs for training are estimated at EUR 48,616.
    The total adjustment costs for national public authorities expected due to PM12 are summarised in
    the tables below.
    Table 150: Adjustment costs for national public authorities due to PM12 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy
    options PO1b, PO2 and PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Total adjustment costs 33.0 9.4 9.4 9.4
    One-off costs for remote sensing equipment 21.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Recurrent costs for maintenance and data
    management for remote sensing equipment
    7.1 7.1 7.1 7.1
    One-off costs for plume chasing equipment 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Recurrent costs for maintenance and staff for
    plume chasing equipment
    2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3
    One-off costs for acoustic cameras 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Recurrent maintenance costs for acoustic cameras 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03
    One-off costs for training (for remote sensing, plume
    chasing and acoustic cameras)
    0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 151: Adjustment costs for national public authorities due to PM12 in PO1b, PO2 and PO3 expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total adjustment costs 192.9 192.9 192.9
    One-off costs for remote sensing equipment 21.3 21.3 21.3
    Recurrent costs for maintenance and data
    management for remote sensing equipment
    126.7 126.7 126.7
    375
    Four days per week of plume chasing, with an average of 44 working weeks per year, and 52 vehicles at a rate of 25
    unique licence plates measured per day, would cover around 3% of the HDVs fleet in the 26 MS relevant for PM12.
    376
    Eurostat Structure of earnings survey, Labour Force Survey data for Non-Wage Labour Costs.
    377
    Average of the stakeholders’ input, ranging between EUR 1,000 and EUR 3,000 per device.
    177
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    One-off costs for plume chasing equipment 1.7 1.7 1.7
    Recurrent costs for maintenance and staff for
    plume chasing equipment
    42.1 42.1 42.1
    One-off costs for acoustic cameras 0.5 0.5 0.5
    Recurrent maintenance costs for acoustic cameras 0.4 0.4 0.4
    One-off costs for training 0.2 0.2 0.2
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.21.2. Administrative costs for citizens (vehicle owners)
    The remote sensing is expected to lead to an identification of a share of high emitters among M1
    internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles. The results will need to be verified via roadside
    inspections (limited to 0.5% of the fleet) or sent for extra emissions tests in PTI centres. Owners of
    these M1 vehicles - around 40% of which are citizens - will incur costs for these additional emissions
    tests. These have been estimated to be around 0.86% of the internal combustion engine vehicles
    fleet378
    . Considering the fee for an emission test at 20% of the total PTI fee for an M1 vehicle (EUR
    41.7), the cost per extra emission test is estimated at EUR 8.3. The recurrent administrative costs for
    citizens are estimated at EUR 6.5 million in 2026, EUR 5.8 million in 2030 and EUR 0.3 million in
    2050. The costs decrease over time as the share of zero-emission vehicles increases over time in the
    baseline scenario. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, the administrative costs for the citizens
    are estimated at EUR 72.2 million relative to the baseline.
    Table 152: Administrative costs for citizens due to PM12 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy options PO1b,
    PO2 and PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Extra PTI emission tests following the identification of high
    emitters by remote sensing
    781,040 713,217 340,538 40,325
    Recurrent administrative costs (in million EUR) 6.5 5.8 2.8 0.3
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 153: Administrative costs for citizens due to PM12 in PO1b, PO2 and PO3 expressed as present value over
    2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent administrative costs 72.2 72.2 72.2
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.21.3. Administrative costs for businesses (vehicle owners)
    Similar to citizens, business that own M1, N1 and heavy duty vehicles will incur extra costs for
    emissions testing if the vehicles are identified as high emitters via the use of remote sensing or plume
    chasing and are sent for PTI due to the 0.5% limit in the capacity for roadside inspections. It is
    estimated that, on average, 0.86% of the M1 internal combustion engine vehicles will need an extra
    emission test, 1.62% of the N1 internal combustion engine vehicles and 1.26% of the heavy duty
    (N2/N3/M2/M3) internal combustion engine vehicles379
    . Assuming that an emission test will cost
    20% of the full PTI fee per vehicle (EUR 41.7 for M1, EUR 40.5 for N1, EUR 61.6 for N2/N3 and
    EUR 70.8 for M2/M3) and the fact that around 60% of M1 vehicles and 100% of N1, N2/N3 and
    M2/M3 vehicles are owned by businesses, the recurrent administrative costs for businesses are
    378
    More explanations are provided in section 4.2.12 of Annex 4.
    379
    More explanations are provided in section 4.2.12 of Annex 4.
    178
    estimated at EUR 14.8 million in 2026, EUR 14.0 million in 2030 and EUR 1.2 million in 2050.
    Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 175 million relative to the
    baseline.
    Table 154: Administrative costs for businesses due to PM12 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy options PO1b,
    PO2 and PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Extra PTI emission tests following the identification of
    high emitters by remote sensing or plume chasing, of
    which:
    1,748,404 1,644,389 858,688 134,284
    for HDVs 88,279 89,827 71,883 33,635
    for LDVs 1,660,125 1,554,562 786,805 100,649
    Recurrent administrative costs (in million EUR) 14.8 14.0 7.4 1.2
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 155: Administrative costs for businesses due to PM12 in PO1b, PO2 and PO3 expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent administrative costs 0.0 175.0 175.0 175.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.21.4. Administrative costs savings for citizens (vehicle owners)
    In PM12, passing a remote sensing test allows a simplified PTI for vehicle owners within the
    following 6 months. This is expected to result in administrative costs savings related to inspections,
    as they do not have to undertake the emissions and/or noise tests.
    The emissions and noise tests represent a relatively small share of the total charge for an inspection,
    estimated at around 20% of the total PTI fee380
    . Around 30% of the EU fleet would be subject to
    remote sensing in PM12 and it is assumed that a share of non high emitters (90% on average for M1
    vehicles) that go through a remote sensing test would benefit of costs savings. Using the estimated
    numbers of PTI tests per year for M1 vehicles that are not high emitters and pass a remote sensing,
    half of them is assumed to benefit from the measure (i.e., those that are expected to go through a PTI
    within six months). In addition, it is assumed that around 40% of the M1 vehicles are owned by
    citizens. Thus, the number of PTI emission/noise tests avoided by citizens due to PM12 is estimated
    at 6.4 million in 2026, 5.8 million in 2030 and 329,684 in 2050. The reason for the decreasing number
    of PTI tests avoided over time is the increasing share of zero-emission vehicles in the baseline
    scenario. Based on the charge per PTI test381
    and the share of costs saved (i.e., 20% as explained
    above), the recurrent administrative costs savings for citizens are estimated at EUR 53.4 million in
    2026, EUR 48.8 million in 2030 and EUR 2.8 million in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-
    2050, they are estimated at EUR 591.9 million relative to the baseline.
    Table 156: Administrative costs savings for citizens due to PM12 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy options
    PO1b, PO2 and PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Number of PTI emission and noise tests
    avoided
    6,396,137 5,848,537 2,788,026 329,684
    380
    Based on the analysis of the PTI charges available.
    381
    The median PTI charge at EU level for M1 vehicles is EUR 41.7 per PTI.
    179
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Recurrent administrative costs savings (in
    million EUR)
    53.4 48.8 23.3 2.8
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 157: Administrative costs savings for citizens due to PM12 in PO1b, PO2 and PO3 expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent administrative costs
    savings
    591.9 591.9 591.9
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.21.5. Administrative costs savings for businesses (vehicle owners)
    Similar to citizens, in PM12 passing a remote sensing test allows a simplified PTI for businesses (i.e.,
    vehicle owners) within the following 6 months. This is expected to result in administrative costs
    savings related to inspections, as they do not have to undertake the emissions and noise tests.
    The emissions and noise tests represent a relatively small share of the total fee for an inspection,
    estimated at around 20% of the total PTI charge382
    . Around 30% of the EU fleet would be subject to
    remote sensing in PM12 and it is assumed that a share of non high emitters (90% on average for M1
    and N1 vehicles and 85% on average for N2-N3 and M2-M3 vehicles) that go through a remote
    sensing test would benefit of costs savings. Using the estimated numbers of PTI tests per year for
    LDVs and HDVs that are not high emitters and pass a remote sensing, half of them is assumed to
    benefit from the measure (i.e., those that are expected to go through a PTI within six months). In
    addition, it is assumed that around 60% of the M1 vehicles are owned by businesses, and 100% of
    the N1, N2-N3 and M2-M3 vehicles. Thus, the number of PTI emission/noise tests avoided by
    businesses due to PM12 is estimated at 12.7 million in 2026, 11.9 million in 2030 and EUR 1 million
    in 2050. The reason for the decreasing number of PTI tests avoided over time is the increasing share
    of zero-emission vehicles in the baseline scenario. Based on the charge per PTI test383
    and the share
    of costs saved (i.e., 20% as explained above), the recurrent administrative costs savings for businesses
    are estimated at EUR 109.4 million in 2026, EUR 102.6 million in 2030 and EUR 10.1 million in
    2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 1.3 billion relative to
    the baseline.
    Table 158: Administrative costs savings for businesses due to PM12 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy options
    PO1b, PO2 and PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Number of PTI emission and noise tests avoided,
    of which:
    12,689,889 11,863,044 6,166,765 1,032,002
    for HDVs 956,206 969,249 768,250 359,122
    for LDVs 11,733,683 10,893,795 5,398,515 672,880
    Recurrent administrative costs savings (in
    million EUR)
    109.4 102.6 54.4 10.1
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    382
    Based on the analysis of the PTI charges available.
    383
    The median PTI charge at EU level for M1 vehicles is EUR 41.7 per PTI, for N1 vehicles EUR 40.5 per PTI, for
    N2/N3 EUR 61.6 and for M2/M3 EUR 70.8 per PTI.
    180
    Table 159: Administrative costs savings for businesses due to PM12 in PO1b, PO2 and PO3 expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent administrative costs
    savings
    1,287.3 1,287.3 1,287.3
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.21.6. Adjustment costs for PTI centres
    The additional emission tests for internal combustion vehicles (M1, N1, N2/N3 and M2/M3) due to
    PM12 (i.e. vehicles that are found as high emitters during remote sensing or plume chasing and are
    sent for emission test in a PTI centre) are estimated at 2.5 million in 2026, 2.4 million in 2030 and
    174,609 in 2050 relative to the baseline384
    . The decrease in the number of emission testing is driven
    by the increase in the number of zero-emission vehicles over time in the baseline.
    PM12 is expected to lead to recurrent adjustment costs for the PTI for the additional emissions tests.
    Due to the small share of the fleet affected it is assessed that no additional emission testing equipment
    will be needed and that the available PTI lanes will be able to serve the additional demand. As such,
    the only additional costs concern the labour costs for inspectors.
    Combined, the average duration of new PN and NOx emission tests is estimated at around 6 minutes.
    The labour costs per emission testing are estimated at EUR 3.4, assuming an hourly cost of EUR 34
    for technicians and associate professionals (ISCO 3). To deliver the estimated additional number of
    emission testing, the recurrent adjustment costs are estimated at EUR 8.6 million in 2026, EUR 8.0
    million in 2030 and EUR 0.6 million in 2050385
    . Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they
    are estimated at EUR 99 million relative to the baseline.
    Table 160: Adjustment costs for PTI centres due to PM12 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy options PO1b,
    PO2 and PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Additional number of tests 2,529,443 2,357,606 1,199,226 174,609
    Recurrent adjustment costs (in million EUR) 8.6 8.0 4.1 0.6
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 161: Adjustment costs for PTI centres due to PM12 in PO1b, PO2 and PO3 expressed as present value over
    2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent adjustment costs 99.0 99.0 99.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.21.7. Benefits for PTI centres
    PM12 would also result in benefits for the PTI centres due to the vehicles that are found as high
    emitters during remote sensing or plume chasing and are sent for emission test in a PTI centre. The
    costs for vehicle owners (citizens and businesses) discussed above represent revenues for the PTI
    384
    The number of inspections is estimated based on the projected number of internal combustion engine vehicles from
    the baseline scenario, developed with the PRIMES-TREMOVE model, and the estimated share of vehicles identified as
    high emitters using remote sensing or plume chasing (for HDVs) and not checked via roadside inspections (0.86% for
    M1, 1.62% for N1 and 1.26% for N2/N3 and M2/M3 vehicles).
    385
    The labour costs decrease over time due to the decreasing number of internal combustion engine vehicles.
    181
    centres. The total revenues for PTI centres due to PM12 are estimated at EUR 21.4 billion in 2026,
    EUR 19.7 billion in 2030 and EUR 1.6 billion in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050,
    they are estimated at EUR 247.2 billion relative to the baseline.
    Table 162: Benefits for PTI centres due to PM12 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy options PO1b, PO2 and
    PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Revenues for PTI centres 21.4 19.7 10.2 1.6
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 163: Benefits for PTI centres due to PM12 in PO1b, PO2 and PO3 expressed as present value over 2026-
    2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Revenues for PTI centres 247.2 247.2 247.2
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.22. PM13 – Mandatory inspection of cargo securing
    PM13 introduces mandatory standards in relation to cargo securing inspections. Currently 5 Member
    States (EE, FR, IE, LV and LU) do not require either minimum training or specify test requirements
    relating to cargo securing during RSI in their national transposition of Directive 2014/47/EC. N2 and
    N3 vehicles in these Member States represent around 13% of the EU-wide fleet. 14 Member States386
    ,
    covering 67% of the N2/N3 fleet, do not specify minimum training requirements for cargo securing.
    3.22.1. Adjustment costs for national public authorities
    PM13 is expected to lead to one-off adjustment costs for national public authorities for training in
    the 14 MS which currently do not require minimum training of inspectors. Training for cargo securing
    is assumed to take 3 hours, with 264 roadside inspectors requiring training. Assuming an hourly cost
    for technicians and associate professionals (ISCO 3) of EUR 34/hour387
    , the total one-off adjustment
    costs for training are estimated at EUR 26,916 in 2026.
    In addition, retraining of inspectors is foreseen on a biennial basis. Assuming 3 hours of training for
    the 264 roadside inspectors, the recurrent adjustment costs for training are estimated at EUR 26,916
    per year every second year after 2026. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated
    at EUR 224,549.
    3.22.2. Administrative costs for national public authorities
    Recurrent administrative costs are expected for national public authorities, covering the labour costs
    for the additional cargo securing inspections. It is assumed that Member States that do not have in
    place minimum testing requirements for cargo securing do not perform cargo securing inspections.
    Based on stakeholders’ interviews, a cargo securing inspection takes on average 20 minutes. Cargo
    securing inspections are expected to cover 5% of the N2/N3 fleet in the Member States affected by
    the measure (EE, FR, IE, LV, LU). Assuming an hourly cost for technicians and professionals (ISCO
    3) of EUR 34/hour388
    , the recurrent administrative costs for national public authorities in the 5
    Member States are estimated at EUR 0.48 million in 2026, EUR 0.51 million in 2030 and EUR 0.63
    386
    BE, DK, DE, EE, FR, IE, LV, LU, BG, FI, IT, NL, PL and PT.
    387
    Eurostat Structure of earnings survey, Labour Force Survey data for Non-Wage Labour Costs.
    388
    Eurostat Structure of earnings survey, Labour Force Survey data for Non-Wage Labour Costs.
    182
    million in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 9.8 million
    relative to the baseline.
    Table 164: Adjustment and administrative costs for national public authorities due to PM13 in 2026, 2030, 2040
    and 2050 in policy options PO1b, PO2 and PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Total adjustment costs 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03
    One-off costs for training 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
    Recurrent costs for training 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03
    Recurrent administrative costs 0.48 0.51 0.57 0.63
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 165: Adjustment and administrative costs for national public authorities due to PM13 in PO1b, PO2 and
    PO3 expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total adjustment costs 0.25 0.25 0.25
    One-off costs for training 0.03 0.03 0.03
    Recurrent costs for training 0.22 0.22 0.22
    Recurrent administrative costs 9.84 9.84 9.84
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.22.3. Administrative costs for businesses (vehicle owners)
    From the vehicle owner point of view, there will be some extra cost for the additional time for
    cooperating on the cargo securing inspections. Considering an average hourly labour cost of EUR
    21.9 for drivers389
    , the average time per inspection (20 minutes) and the number of roadside
    inspections, the recurrent administrative costs for businesses (vehicle owners) are estimated at EUR
    0.42 million in 2026, EUR 0.44 million in 2030 and EUR 0.55 million in 2050. Expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 8.5 million relative to the baseline.
    Table 166: Administrative costs for businesses (vehicle owners) due to PM13 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy
    options PO1b, PO2 and PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Number of additional inspections 42,477 44,813 50,414 55,526
    Recurrent administrative costs (in million
    EUR)
    0.42 0.44 0.50 0.55
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 167: Administrative costs for businesses (vehicle owners) due to PM13 in PO1b, PO2 and PO3 expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent administrative costs 8.5 8.5 8.5
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    There may also be costs for subsequent adjustments following these inspections, which may result in
    additional time and potential cost if the vehicle has to be taken to a garage for repair. These costs are
    difficult to estimate, and they do not represent costs directly arising from the implementation of the
    389
    Part of ISCO 8 (Plant and machine operators and assemblers).
    183
    measure but are a consequence of the fact that specific vehicles may not be compliant with the
    proposed minimum requirements.
    3.23. PM14 - Extend the scope of application of roadside inspections to light commercial (N1)
    vehicles
    PM14 extends the scope of application of roadside inspections to N1 vehicles, and sets 2% as target
    for the share of inspections of the N1 vehicle fleet. The extension of roadside inspections to cover
    N1 vehicles is expected to lead to administrative costs for 22 Member States. On the basis of the
    information available, few Member States (ES, HU, SE, SK and FI) already conduct roadside
    inspections for N1 vehicles, although without a certain target set and thus checking a low number of
    vehicles. For the purposes of the assessment it is assumed that these five Member States will not be
    affected. To perform the inspections, additional roadside inspection units will be needed in the 22
    Member States resulting in adjustment costs for national public authorities.
    3.23.1. Administrative costs for national public authorities
    Performing inspections for 2% of the N1 vehicle fleet in the Member States affected by PM14
    translates into 479,626 additional inspections in 2026, 497,627 in 2030 and 588,721 additional
    inspections in 2050. With an assumed average duration of 20 minutes per roadside inspection,
    assuming an average wage of EUR 34 EUR/hour for ISCO 3 (technicians and associate
    professionals), the cost per inspection is estimated at EUR 11.3. Thus, the total recurrent
    administrative costs are estimated at EUR 5.4 million in 2026, EUR 5.6 million in 2030 and EUR 6.7
    million in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 107.5 million
    relative to the baseline.
    3.23.2. Adjustment costs for national public authorities
    The extra inspections will be delivered by an estimated total of 182 inspectors390
    in around 61
    roadside inspection units (assuming three inspectors per roadside inspection unit). These units will
    need to be equipped with relevant equipment. The one-off cost of the roadside equipment is around
    EUR 50,000, and the maintenance cost is estimated at 10% of the capital cost. Thus, the total one-off
    adjustment costs for the 61 roadside inspection units are estimated at EUR 3.1 million in 2026.
    Recurrent adjustment costs amount at EUR 305,000 per year from 2026 onwards, or EUR 5.5 million
    expressed as present value over 2026-2050.
    Additional training costs may also arise for the additional inspectors. Assuming one-day training per
    inspector and an average wage of EUR 34 EUR/hour for ISCO 3 (technicians and associate
    professionals), the one-off adjustment costs for training are estimated at EUR 45,028 in 2026.
    Table 168: Adjustment and administrative costs for national public authorities due to PM14 in 2026, 2030, 2040
    and 2050 in policy options PO2 and PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Additional number of inspections 479,626 497,627 547,848 588,721
    Recurrent administrative costs 5.4 5.6 6.2 6.7
    Total adjustment costs 3.4 0.3 0.3 0.3
    One-off costs for equipment 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Recurrent costs for equipment 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
    390
    Estimated assuming that each inspector performs roadside inspections on average 4 hours/day for a total of 220
    days/year.
    184
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    One-off costs for training 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 169: Adjustment and administrative costs for national public authorities due to PM14 in PO2 and PO3
    expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent administrative costs 107.5 107.5
    Total adjustment costs 8.6 8.6
    One-off costs for equipment 3.1 3.1
    Recurrent costs for equipment 5.5 5.5
    One-off costs for training 0.05 0.05
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.23.3. Administrative costs for businesses (vehicle owners)
    Business (vehicle owners) will incur some costs due to the time spent for cooperating on inspections.
    Considering the average duration of 20 minutes per roadside inspection, and the average hourly
    labour cost of EUR 21.9 for drivers391
    , the recurrent administrative costs for businesses are estimated
    at EUR 10.5 million in 2026, EUR 10.9 million in 2030 and EUR 12.9 million in 2050. Expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 208 million relative to the baseline.
    There may also be costs for the repairs needed as a result of these inspections. These costs are difficult
    to estimate and they do not represent costs directly arising from the implementation of the measure
    but a consequence of the fact that the specific vehicles are non-compliant.
    Table 170: Administrative costs for businesses (vehicle owners) due to PM14 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy
    options PO2 and PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Number of additional inspections 479,626 497,627 547,848 588,721
    Recurrent administrative costs (in million
    EUR)
    10.5 10.9 12.0 12.9
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 171: Administrative costs for businesses (vehicle owners) due to PM14 in PO2 and PO3 expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent administrative costs 208.0 208.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.24. PM15 - Extend the scope of application of roadside inspections to 2- and 3-wheeled
    vehicles (L-vehicles from L3)
    PM15 extends the scope of application of roadside inspections to 2- and 3-wheeled vehicles (L-
    vehicles from L3) and establishes a threshold of 1% of the vehicle fleet for roadside inspections.
    391
    Part of ISCO 8 (Plant and machine operators and assemblers).
    185
    3.24.1. Administrative costs for national public authorities
    The measure is expected to lead to additional costs for the enforcement authorities responsible for
    roadside inspections. This will mainly cover the need to deploy more inspectors to conduct the
    additional number of inspections, together with the additional mobile units needed to support the
    increased number of roadside inspections. Few Member States (SE, SI, AT, FI, DK, HU, RO) already
    perform such inspections although they do not report the exact number of inspections of motorcycles
    separately and do not indicate a specific target. In the absence of more specific data it is assumed that
    these Member States will not be affected by PM15.
    Establishing a 1% threshold for roadside inspections of L3 vehicles for the 20 Member States would
    result in 169,098 additional roadside inspections in 2026, 176,228 in 2030 and 227,291 additional
    inspections in 2050. An average of 10 minutes per inspection is assumed. With an average wage of
    EUR 34 EUR/hour for ISCO 3 (technicians and associate professionals), the cost per inspection is
    estimated at EUR 5.7. The total recurrent administrative costs for inspections are estimated at EUR
    0.96 million in 2026, EUR 1 million in 2030 and EUR 1.29 million in 2050. Expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 19.5 million relative to the baseline.
    3.24.2. Adjustment costs for national public authorities
    The additional volume of RSI will require the purchase of additional mobile inspection units to
    support the extra inspections. On the basis of the additional number of inspections to be conducted it
    is estimated that a total of 32 inspectors will be needed for the 20 Member States. With an average
    of 3 inspectors per unit, each Member State will need a minimum of one additional set of roadside
    equipment for testing of motorcycles. The one-off cost per equipment is estimated at EUR 20,000,
    and the recurrent maintenance cost at 10% of the initial cost. Thus, the total one-off adjustment costs
    amount to EUR 400,000 in 2026 and the recurrent adjustment costs at EUR 40,000 per year from
    2026 onwards. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, the recurrent adjustment costs are
    estimated at EUR 717,422.
    Additional training costs may also arise for the additional inspectors. Assuming one-day training per
    inspector and an average wage of EUR 34 EUR/hour for ISCO 3 (technicians and associate
    professionals), the one-off adjustment costs for training are estimated at EUR 7,917 in 2026 for the
    32 inspectors.
    Table 172: Adjustment and administrative costs for national public authorities due to PM15 in 2026, 2030, 2040
    and 2050 in policy option PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Additional number of inspections 169,098 176,228 199,644 227,291
    Recurrent administrative costs 0.96 1.00 1.13 1.29
    Total adjustment costs 0.45 0.04 0.04 0.04
    One-off costs for equipment 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00
    Recurrent costs for equipment 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04
    One-off costs for training 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 173: Adjustment and administrative costs for national public authorities due to PM15 in PO3 expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent administrative costs 19.52
    Total adjustment costs 1.13
    One-off costs for equipment 0.40
    186
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent costs for equipment 0.72
    One-off costs for training 0.01
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.24.3. Administrative costs for citizens (vehicle owners)
    Citizens (motorcycle owners) will incur some costs due to the time spent for cooperating on
    inspections. Considering the average duration of 10 minutes per roadside inspection, and the average
    hourly labour cost of EUR 29.5, the recurrent administrative costs for citizens are estimated at EUR
    0.8 million in 2026, EUR 0.9 million in 2030 and EUR 1.1 million in 2050. Expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050, they are estimated at EUR 16.9 million relative to the baseline.
    There may also be costs for the repairs needed as a result of these inspections. These costs are difficult
    to estimate and they do not represent costs directly arising from the implementation of the measure
    but are a consequence of the fact that the specific vehicles are non-compliant.
    Table 174: Administrative costs for citizens (vehicle owners) due to PM15 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy
    option PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Number of additional inspections 169,098 176,228 199,644 227,291
    Recurrent administrative costs (in million
    EUR)
    0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 175: Administrative costs for citizens (vehicle owners) due to PM15 in PO3 expressed as present value over
    2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent administrative costs 16.9
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.25. PM16 - Introduce issuing the registration certificates in digital format to gradually
    replace current paper (and smart card) documents
    PM16 requires to issue the Registration Certificate (Annex I) for all vehicles types in digital format.
    The measure is expected to lead to administrative costs for national public authorities for setting up
    and operating the system, but also to administrative costs savings.
    3.25.1. Administrative costs for national public authorities
    Based on stakeholders’ interviews392
    , the one-off cost for the adaptation of the IT system is estimated
    at EUR 300,000 to EUR 1,000,000 per country, depending on the volume of new registrations.
    Assuming one-off costs of EUR 300,000 per IT system for each of the 16 Member States with smaller
    volumes of new registrations393
    , EUR 500,000 per IT system for each of the 6 Member States with
    392
    Different agencies, such as the Centre for Vehicles of Croatia and the Norwegian Public Roads Administration,
    anticipate various software and resource requirements, while DGT Spain foresees significant time and resource costs for
    implementation. TÜV Rheinland expects additional IT development and management costs but considers them not
    significant due to existing data availability.
    393
    Below 2% of the total number of new registrations at EU level in 2026 by Member State. These are: BG, CY, DK,
    EE, FI, HR, HU, IE, LT, LV, LU, MT, PT, SE, SI and SK.
    187
    medium volumes of new registrations394
    and EUR 1,000,000 per IT system for each of the 5 Member
    States with higher volumes of new registrations395
    , the total one-off administrative costs at EU27
    level are estimated at EUR 12.8 million in 2026. Recurrent administrative costs for maintenance are
    estimated at around 10% of the capital costs, or EUR 1.3 million per year from 2026 onwards.
    Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, the recurrent administrative costs are estimated at EUR
    23 million relative to the baseline. Since certain Member States (e.g. DE, ES, FI) have started to work
    on the implementation of digital registration documents, the actual costs incurred by these Member
    States may be lower than estimated here.
    Table 176: Administrative costs for national public administrations due to PM16 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in
    policy options PO1a, PO2 and PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Total administrative costs 14.1 1.3 1.3 1.3
    One-off costs for IT systems 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Recurrent costs for maintenance of the IT systems 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 177: Administrative costs for national public administrations due to PM16 in PO1a, PO2 and PO3,
    expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total administrative costs 35.8 35.8 35.8
    One-off costs for IT systems 12.8 12.8 12.8
    Recurrent costs for maintenance of the IT systems 23.0 23.0 23.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.25.2. Administrative cost savings for national public authorities
    PM16 is expected to bring administrative costs savings for national public authorities, by avoiding
    the costs of printing, distribution and handling of paper/plastic documents.
    Considering that the information related to registration certificates is already stored in national
    databases, the costs savings due to PM16 are limited to the time spent for preparing and printing the
    documents and the costs of delivering the documents. It is assumed that around 2 minutes of work
    per document could be saved, at an average cost per hour for technicians and associate professionals
    (ISCO level 3) of EUR 34, plus EUR 2 per document for paper and mail cost.
    Recurrent administrative costs savings are estimated at EUR 75.4 million in 2026, EUR 79.3 million
    in 2030 and EUR 86.3 million in 2050. Expressed as present value over 2026-2050, they are estimated
    at EUR 1.4 billion relative to the baseline.
    Table 178: Administrative costs savings for national public administrations due to PM16 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and
    2050 in policy options PO1a, PO2 and PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Recurrent administrative cost savings 75.4 79.3 85.2 86.3
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    394
    Between 2% and 10% of the total number of new registrations at EU level in 2026 by Member State. These are: AT,
    BE, CZ, EL, NL and RO.
    395
    Above 10% of the total number of new registrations at EU level in 2026 by Member State. These are: DE, FR, IT, PL
    and ES.
    188
    Table 179: Administrative costs savings for national public administrations due to PM16 in PO1a, PO2 and PO3,
    expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Recurrent administrative cost savings 1,429.5 1,429.5 1,429.5
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.26. PM17 - Add new data to the vehicle register – minimum mandatory set (including among
    others: country of 1st registration, registration status, PTI status, changes due to
    transformation)
    PM17 provides for increasing the set of data to be included in the national vehicle registers. The
    additional data that could be included is detailed in Annex 7 (section 2).
    3.26.1. Administrative costs for national public authorities
    A consensus has been reached among 18 vehicle authorities (including 15 from EU Member States)
    regarding a minimum set of items for the vehicle registers396
    . This data set comprises 94 items,
    including mandatory and optional data elements referred to in the VRD Directive (Directive
    1999/37/EC), as well as a number of additional elements.
    In several Member States, some of these items might already be part of their registration databases,
    making the costs associated with aligning their datasets with EReg's recommendations negligible.
    For instance, according to EReg, inspection data is registered by Registration Authorities in most
    MS, with the exception of HR, FR, IE and LT397
    . Other MS will have to include new data items in
    their vehicle registers. The Slovenian authorities, that provided input to the stakeholders’ consultation
    survey, estimated the one-off costs of adding the minimum dataset to its vehicle register at around
    EUR 50,000. Based on the hourly wage rate for clerks (ISCO 4) in Slovenia, of EUR 14.7/hour, the
    one-off costs are equivalent to 2.1 full-time equivalents working 220 days per year, 7.3 hours per
    day.
    For the assessment of PM17, it should be acknowledged that not all Member States would need to
    update their databases or integrate new data, as many of them already store most of these data items.
    The Member States that store fewer data items than the average were identified, pointing to a cluster
    of countries with insufficient data registration standards. This low-standard data storage group
    includes eight countries: BE, FR, EL, HU, IE, LT, PL and PT. For the purpose of the assessment, it
    is assumed that this specific group will bear one-off administrative costs for harmonising the dataset.
    The one-off administrative costs are derived drawing on input from Slovenia, assuming 2.1 full-time
    equivalents working 220 days per year, 7.3 hours per day. Using the hourly wage rate for clerks
    (ISCO 4)398
    in each of the 8 concerned Member States, the one-off administrative costs are provided
    in the table below. At EU level, they are estimated at EUR 494,593 in 2026.
    396
    EReg (2021), EReg Topic Group XXI Harmonisation of registration procedures and data quality, Proposal on the
    registration of vehicle data, available at: https://www.ereg-association.eu/media/2742/final-report-topic-group-xxi-
    proposal-on-the-registration-of-vehicle-data.pdf
    397
    EReg (2021), ibid.
    398
    Eurostat Structure of earnings survey, Labour Force Survey data for Non-Wage Labour Costs.
    189
    Table 180: One-off administrative costs for national public authorities, by Member State, due to PM17 in 2026 in
    policy options PO1a, PO2 and PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Low-standard data storage group Average hourly wage for
    clerks (ISCO 4), in 2022
    prices
    One-off
    administrative costs
    (EUR)
    BE 31.6 106,427
    IE 31.0 104,390
    EL 16.3 54,870
    FR 30.1 101,353
    LT 8.7 29,294
    HU 9.1 30,551
    PL 8.4 28,372
    PT 11.7 39,336
    Total 494,593
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    In addition, recurrent administrative costs are expected for the continuous data updates and broader
    maintenance of the dataset for all EU Member States. The effort for data updates and broader
    maintenance is assumed at 25% of the one-off costs, or around 0.5 full-time equivalents per Member
    State. Assuming 220 working days per year, 7.3 working hours per day at an hourly wage rate for
    clerks (ISCO 4)399
    , the recurrent administrative costs by national public authority are provided in the
    table below. At EU level, they are estimated at EUR 440,680 per year from 2026 onwards, or
    expressed as present value over 2026-2050 at EUR 7.9 million relative to the baseline.
    Table 181: Recurrent administrative costs for national public authorities, by Member State, due to PM17 in 2026,
    2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy options PO1a, PO2 and PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Average hourly wage for
    clerks (ISCO 4), in 2022
    prices
    Recurrent
    administrative costs
    (EUR)
    BE 31.6 25,340
    BG 4.8 3,823
    CZ 12.1 9,709
    DK 45.1 36,152
    DE 33.2 26,624
    EE 12.7 10,149
    IE 31.0 24,855
    EL 16.3 13,064
    ES 21.0 16,794
    FR 30.1 24,132
    HR 10.2 8,189
    IT 27.6 22,102
    CY 14.5 11,637
    LV 9.9 7,940
    LT 8.7 6,975
    LU 34.0 27,187
    HU 9.1 7,274
    MT 15.6 12,523
    NL 31.1 24,874
    AT 32.2 25,749
    PL 8.4 6,755
    PT 11.7 9,366
    399
    Eurostat Structure of earnings survey, Labour Force Survey data for Non-Wage Labour Costs.
    190
    Average hourly wage for
    clerks (ISCO 4), in 2022
    prices
    Recurrent
    administrative costs
    (EUR)
    RO 7.3 5,849
    SI 14.7 11,785
    SK 11.2 8,930
    FI 30.1 24,142
    SE 35.9 28,761
    Total 440,680
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    The total administrative costs at EU level for national public authorities, expected as a result of PM17,
    are summarised in the tables below.
    Table 182: Administrative costs for national public authorities due to PM17 in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in policy
    options PO1a, PO2 and PO3 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Total administrative costs 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4
    One-off administrative costs 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Recurrent administrative costs 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 183: Administrative costs for national public authorities due to PM17 in PO1a, PO2 and PO3 expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline (in million EUR, 2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total adjustment costs 8.4 8.4 8.4
    One-off administrative costs 0.5 0.5 0.5
    Recurrent administrative costs 7.9 7.9 7.9
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Increased and more accessible data to authorities and inspection centres would facilitate re-
    registration and RSI.
    3.27. Summary of costs and costs savings by option and by measure
    The summary of recurrent and one-off costs and costs savings by stakeholder group, by option and
    by measure, expressed as present value over 2026-2050, and for 2026, 2030 and 2050 relative to the
    baseline are provided in the tables below.
    3.27.1. PTI centres
    Table 184: Recurrent and one-off costs, costs savings and benefits for PTI centres in the policy options, expressed
    as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Adjustment costs 3,734.1 23,507.9 23,332.2 25,061.7
    PMC1 143.6 143.6 143.6 143.6
    PMC2 96.1 96.1 96.1 96.1
    PMC3 697.1 697.1 697.1 697.1
    PMC4 2,797.3 2,797.3 2,797.3 2,797.3
    PM2 175.7
    PM3 203.9
    PM4 225.4
    191
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    PM5 647.7 647.7 647.7
    PM6 17,680.8 17,680.8 17,680.8
    PM7 1,300.2
    PM10 1,170.6 1,170.6 1,170.6
    PM12 99.0 99.0 99.0
    Administrative costs 0.0 0.0 136.5 136.5
    PM11 136.5 136.5
    Administrative costs
    savings
    0.0 0.0 1,643.4 1,643.4
    PM11 1,643.4 1,643.4
    Benefits 860.5 39,394.2 39,100.1 39,968.0
    PMC5 860.5 860.5 860.5 860.5
    PM2 294.1
    PM3 341.3
    PM4 526.6
    PM5 1,454.8 1,454.8 1,454.8
    PM6 36,537.6 36,537.6 36,537.6
    PM12 247.2 247.2 247.2
    Net benefits -2,873.6 15,886.2 17,274.7 16,413.2
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study; Note: negative values for net benefits represent net costs.
    Table 185: One-off costs for PTI centres in the policy options, expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative
    to the baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Adjustment costs 2,094.7 3,221.3 3,217.4 3,708.7
    PMC1 143.6 143.6 143.6 143.6
    PMC2 96.1 96.1 96.1 96.1
    PMC3 372.7 372.7 372.7 372.7
    PMC4 1,482.3 1,482.3 1,482.3 1,482.3
    PM2 3.9
    PM3 4.5
    PM4 1.1
    PM5 20.1 20.1 20.1
    PM6 1,097.9 1,097.9 1,097.9
    PM7 485.6
    PM10 4.7 4.7 4.7
    Administrative costs 0.0 0.0 48.9 48.9
    PM11 48.9 48.9
    Net costs 2,094.7 3,221.3 3,266.3 3,757.6
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 186: Recurrent and one-off costs, costs savings and benefits for PTI centres in the policy options, in 2026,
    2030 and 2050, relative to the baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050
    Adjustment
    costs
    2,162 115.8 91.4 4,186 1,130 1,177 4,175 1,121 1,166 4,603 1,313 1,241
    PMC1 119.8 24.4 0.0 119.8 24.4 0.0 119.8 24.4 0.0 119.8 24.4 0.0
    PMC2 96.1 0.0 0.0 96.1 0.0 0.0 96.1 0.0 0.0 96.1 0.0 0.0
    PMC3 390.8 18.1 18.1 390.8 18.1 18.1 390.8 18.1 18.1 390.8 18.1 18.1
    PMC4 1,556 73.3 73.3 1,556 73.3 73.3 1,556 73.3 73.3 1,556 73.3 73.3
    192
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050
    PM2 11.9 8.9 11.1
    PM3 13.7 10.2 13.0
    PM4 12.3 11.9 13.4
    PM5 69.6 49.2 4.9 69.6 49.2 4.9 69.6 49.2 4.9
    PM6 1,870 886.0 995.7 1,870 886.0 995.7 1,870 886.0 995.7
    PM7 402.8 170.2 48.0
    PM10 63.6 61.8 73.7 63.6 61.8 73.7 63.6 61.8 73.7
    PM12 8.6 8.0 0.6 8.6 8.0 0.6 8.6 8.0 0.6
    Admin costs 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 53.8 4.9 4.9 53.8 4.9 4.9
    PM11 53.8 4.9 4.9 53.8 4.9 4.9
    Admin costs
    savings
    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 84.1 87.1 99.3 84.1 87.1 99.3
    PM11 84.1 87.1 99.3 84.1 87.1 99.3
    Benefits 44.1 45.5 52.3 2,086 2,135 2,275 2,071 2,120 2,256 2,115 2,166 2,309
    PMC5 44.1 45.5 52.3 44.1 45.5 52.3 44.1 45.5 52.3 44.1 45.5 52.3
    PM2 14.8 15.1 19.0
    PM3 17.0 17.5 22.1
    PM4 26.6 28.0 31.5
    PM5 115.8 115.0 9.4 115.8 115.0 9.4 115.8 115.0 9.4
    PM6 1,890 1,940 2,192 1,890 1,940 2,192 1,890 1,940 2,192
    PM12 21.4 19.7 1.6 21.4 19.7 1.6 21.4 19.7 1.6
    Net benefits -2,118 -70.3 -39.1 -2,100 1,006 1,097 -2,073 1,082 1,184 -2,458 934.7 1,163
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study; Note: negative values for net benefits represent net costs.
    Table 187: One-off costs for PTI centres in the policy options, in 2026, 2030 and 2050, relative to the baseline, in
    million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050
    Adjustment
    costs
    2,071 24.4 0.0 3,111 29.4 1.7 3,107 29.3 1.7 3,479 151.6 1.7
    PMC1 119.8 24.4 0.0 119.8 24.4 0.0 119.8 24.4 0.0 119.8 24.4 0.0
    PMC2 96.1 0.0 0.0 96.1 0.0 0.0 96.1 0.0 0.0 96.1 0.0 0.0
    PMC3 372.7 0.0 0.0 372.7 0.0 0.0 372.7 0.0 0.0 372.7 0.0 0.0
    PMC4 1,482 0.0 0.0 1,482 0.0 0.0 1,482 0.0 0.0 1,482 0.0 0.0
    PM2 3.3 0.02 0.04
    PM3 3.8 0.02 0.06
    PM4 1.0 0.02 0.00
    PM5 20.1 0.0 0.0 20.1 0.0 0.0 20.1 0.0 0.0
    PM6 1,012 4.9 1.7 1,012 4.9 1.7 1,012 4.9 1.7
    PM7 367.0 122.2 0.0
    PM10 4.7 0.0 0.0 4.7 0.0 0.0 4.7 0.0 0.0
    Administrative
    costs
    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 48.9 0.0 0.0 48.9 0.0 0.0
    PM11 48.9 0.0 0.0 48.9 0.0 0.0
    Net costs 2,071 24.4 0.0 3,111 29.4 1.7 3,156 29.3 1.7 3,528 151.6 1.7
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    193
    3.27.2. Garages, motor vehicle dealers, tyre and repair stations, etc.
    Table 188: Recurrent and one-off costs for garages, motor vehicle dealers, tyre and repair stations, etc. in the
    policy options, expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Administrative costs 460.0 460.0 460.0 460.0
    PMC9 460.0 460.0 460.0 460.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 189: Recurrent and one-off costs for garages, motor vehicle dealers, tyre and repair stations, etc. in the
    policy options, in 2026, 2030 and 2050, relative to the baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050
    Administrative
    costs
    172.7 19.4 14.9 172.7 19.4 14.9 172.7 19.4 14.9 172.7 19.4 14.9
    PMC9 172.7 19.4 14.9 172.7 19.4 14.9 172.7 19.4 14.9 172.7 19.4 14.9
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 190: One-off costs for garages, motor vehicle dealers, tyre and repair stations, etc. in the policy options, in
    2026, 2030 and 2050, relative to the baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050
    Administrative
    costs
    149.2 0.0 0.0 149.2 0.0 0.0 149.2 0.0 0.0 149.2 0.0 0.0
    PMC9 149.2 0.0 0.0 149.2 0.0 0.0 149.2 0.0 0.0 149.2 0.0 0.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.27.3. OEMs
    Table 191: Recurrent and one-off costs for OEMs in the policy options, expressed as present value over 2026-2050
    relative to the baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Administrative costs 0.0 0.0 55.9 55.9
    PM11 55.9 55.9
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 192: Recurrent and one-off costs for OEMs in the policy options, in 2026, 2030 and 2050, relative to the
    baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050
    Administrative
    costs
    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.0 2.0 2.0 22.0 2.0 2.0
    PM11 22.0 2.0 2.0 22.0 2.0 2.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 193: One-off costs for OEMs in the policy options, in 2026, 2030 and 2050, relative to the baseline, in million
    EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050
    Administrative
    costs
    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.0 0.0 0.0 20.0 0.0 0.0
    194
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050
    PM11 20.0 0.0 0.0 20.0 0.0 0.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    3.27.4. Other businesses (vehicle owners)
    Table 194: Recurrent costs, costs savings and benefits for other businesses (vehicle owners) in the policy options,
    expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Administrative costs 524.2 25,458.4 25,666.4 26,051.5
    PMC5 524.2 524.2 524.2 524.2
    PM4 385.1
    PM5 1,454.8 1,454.8 1,454.8
    PM6 23,295.9 23,295.9 23,295.9
    PM12 175.0 175.0 175.0
    PM13 8.5 8.5 8.5
    PM14 208.0 208.0
    Administrative costs
    savings
    0.0 1,287.3 1,287.3 1,287.3
    PM12 1,287.3 1,287.3 1,287.3
    Benefits 118,340.5 118,340.5 118,340.5 118,340.5
    PMC9 118,340.5 118,340.5 118,340.5 118,340.5
    Net benefits 117,816.3 94,169.4 93,961.3 93,576.3
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 195: Recurrent costs, costs savings and benefits for other businesses (vehicle owners) in the policy options,
    in 2026, 2030 and 2050, relative to the baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050
    Administrative
    costs
    27.0 27.8 31.6 1,362 1,394 1,443 1,372 1,405 1,456 1,392 1,425 1,479
    PMC5 27.0 27.8 31.6 27.0 27.8 31.6 27.0 27.8 31.6 27.0 27.8 31.6
    PM4 19.3 20.4 23.1
    PM5 115.8 115.0 9.4 115.8 115.0 9.4 115.8 115.0 9.4
    PM6 1,204 1,237 1,400 1,204 1,237 1,400 1,204 1,237 1,400
    PM12 14.8 14.0 1.2 14.8 14.0 1.2 14.8 14.0 1.2
    PM13 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5
    PM14 10.5 10.9 12.9 10.5 10.9 12.9
    Administrative
    costs savings
    0.0 0.0 0.0 109.4 102.6 10.1 109.4 102.6 10.1 109.4 102.6 10.1
    PM12 109.4 102.6 10.1 109.4 102.6 10.1 109.4 102.6 10.1
    Benefits 6,043 6,353 6,991 6,043 6,353 6,991 6,043 6,353 6,991 6,043 6,353 6,991
    PMC9 6,043 6,353 6,991 6,043 6,353 6,991 6,043 6,353 6,991 6,043 6,353 6,991
    Net benefits 6,016 6,325 6,959 4,791 5,062 5,558 4,780 5,051 5,545 4,761 5,030 5,522
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    195
    3.27.5. Citizens (vehicle owners)
    Table 196: Recurrent costs, costs savings and benefits for citizens (vehicle owners) in the policy options, expressed
    as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Adjustment costs 344.2 13,944.3 13,658.1 14,150.0
    PMC5 336.3 336.3 336.3 336.3
    PM1 7.9 7.9
    PM2 294.1
    PM3 341.3
    PM4 141.5
    PM6 13,241.7 13,241.7 13,241.7
    PM12 72.2 72.2 72.2
    PM15 16.9
    Adjustment costs savings 878.2 2,144.6 2,144.6 4,289.3
    PM7 4,289.3
    PM8 2,144.6 2,144.6
    PM9 878.2
    Administrative costs savings 0.0 591.9 591.9 591.9
    PM12 591.9 591.9 591.9
    Benefits 65,666.9 65,666.9 65,666.9 65,666.9
    PMC9 65,666.9 65,666.9 65,666.9 65,666.9
    Net benefits 66,200.9 54,459.0 54,745.2 56,398.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 197: Recurrent costs, costs savings and benefits for citizens (vehicle owners) in the policy options, in 2026,
    2030 and 2050, relative to the baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050
    Administrative
    costs
    17.5 18.1 21.1 724.9 742.0 832.3 710.6 727.3 813.8 735.3 752.8 844.9
    PMC5 17.1 17.7 20.6 17.1 17.7 20.6 17.1 17.7 20.6 17.1 17.7 20.6
    PM1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5
    PM2 14.8 15.1 19.0
    PM3 17.0 17.5 22.1
    PM4 7.3 7.6 8.4
    PM6 686.5 703.4 792.3 686.5 703.4 792.3 686.5 703.4 792.3
    PM12 6.5 5.8 0.3 6.5 5.8 0.3 6.5 5.8 0.3
    PM15 0.8 0.9 1.1
    Adjustment
    costs savings
    49.0 49.0 49.0 110.7 114.1 127.4 110.7 114.1 127.4 221.5 228.2 254.8
    PM7 221.5 228.2 254.8
    PM8 110.7 114.1 127.4 110.7 114.1 127.4
    PM9 49.0 49.0 49.0
    Administrative
    costs savings
    0.0 0.0 0.0 53.4 48.8 2.8 53.4 48.8 2.8 53.4 48.8 2.8
    PM12 53.4 48.8 2.8 53.4 48.8 2.8 53.4 48.8 2.8
    Benefits 3,381 3,554 3,857 3,381 3,554 3,857 3,381 3,554 3,857 3,381 3,554 3,857
    PMC9 3,381 3,554 3,857 3,381 3,554 3,857 3,381 3,554 3,857 3,381 3,554 3,857
    Net benefits 3,412 3,585 3,885 2,820 2,975 3,155 2,834 2,990 3,173 2,920 3,078 3,269
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    196
    3.27.6. National public authorities
    Table 198: Recurrent and one-off costs, and costs savings for national public authorities in the policy options,
    expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Adjustment costs 7.0 198.3 207.2 208.0
    PMC2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
    PMC3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
    PMC4 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8
    PM1 0.3 0.3
    PM9 1.4
    PM12 192.9 192.9 192.9
    PM13 0.3 0.3 0.3
    PM14 8.6 8.6
    PM15 1.1
    Administrative costs 2,233.8 2,190.4 2,387.5 2,397.9
    PMC6 33.7 33.7 33.7 33.7
    PMC7 15.4 15.4 15.4 15.4
    PMC8 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.4
    PMC9 2,122.1 2,122.1 2,122.1 2,122.1
    PM1 9.1 9.1
    PM11 36.3 36.3
    PM13 9.8 9.8 9.8
    PM14 107.5 107.5
    PM15 19.5
    PM16 35.8 35.8 35.8
    PM17 8.4 8.4 8.4
    Enforcement costs 0.0 32.9 0.0 77.4
    PM2 32.9
    PM3 38.1
    PM4 39.2
    Administrative costs savings 5,226.3 3,796.8 5,226.3 5,226.3
    PMC6 3,155.0 3,155.0 3,155.0 3,155.0
    PMC7 641.8 641.8 641.8 641.8
    PM16 1,429.5 1,429.5 1,429.5
    Net benefits 2,985.5 1,375.2 2,631.6 2,543.1
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 199: Recurrent and one-off costs, and costs savings for national public authorities in the policy options, in
    2026, 2030 and 2050, relative to the baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050
    Adjustment
    costs
    4.6 0.1 0.1 36.1 9.6 9.6 39.6 9.9 9.9 39.9 9.9 9.9
    PMC2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
    PMC3 0.7 0.03 0.03 0.7 0.03 0.03 0.7 0.03 0.03 0.7 0.03 0.03
    PMC4 2.1 0.1 0.1 2.1 0.1 0.1 2.1 0.1 0.1 2.1 0.1 0.1
    PM1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.1 0.01 0.01
    PM9 1.4
    PM12 33.0 9.4 9.4 33.0 9.4 9.4 33.0 9.4 9.4
    PM13 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03
    PM14 3.4 0.3 0.3 3.4 0.3 0.3
    197
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050
    PM15 0.45 0.04 0.04
    Administrative
    costs
    176.9 115.3 129.7 161.9 113.7 128.0 197.1 122.8 138.3 197.6 123.3 139.0
    PMC6 18.6 0.9 0.9 18.6 0.9 0.9 18.6 0.9 0.9 18.6 0.9 0.9
    PMC7 8.5 0.4 0.4 8.5 0.4 0.4 8.5 0.4 0.4 8.5 0.4 0.4
    PMC8 1.2 0.5 0.5 1.2 0.5 0.5 1.2 0.5 0.5 1.2 0.5 0.5
    PMC9 133.1 111.4 125.6 133.1 111.4 125.6 133.1 111.4 125.6 133.1 111.4 125.6
    PM1 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6
    PM11 14.3 1.3 1.3 14.3 1.3 1.3
    PM13 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6
    PM14 5.4 5.6 6.7 5.4 5.6 6.7
    PM15 1.0 1.0 1.3
    PM16 14.1 1.3 1.3 14.1 1.3 1.3 14.1 1.3 1.3
    PM17 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.4
    Enforcement
    costs
    0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 1.7 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9 4.0 4.8
    PM2 1.6 1.7 2.1
    PM3 1.9 2.0 2.5
    PM4 2.0 2.1 2.3
    Administrative
    costs savings
    272.7 282.3 312.7 197.3 203.0 226.4 272.7 282.3 312.7 272.7 282.3 312.7
    PMC6 161.5 167.3 190.6 161.5 167.3 190.6 161.5 167.3 190.6 161.5 167.3 190.6
    PMC7 35.8 35.8 35.8 35.8 35.8 35.8 35.8 35.8 35.8 35.8 35.8 35.8
    PM16 75.4 79.3 86.3 75.4 79.3 86.3 75.4 79.3 86.3
    Net benefits 91.2 166.8 182.9 -2.4 78.1 86.7 35.9 149.6 164.5 31.2 145.0 159.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study; Note: negative values for net benefits represent net costs.
    Table 200: One-off costs for national public authorities in the policy options, in 2026, 2030 and 2050, relative to
    the baseline, in million EUR (2022 prices)
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050
    Adjustment
    costs
    4.4 0.0 0.0 26.5 0.0 0.0 29.7 0.0 0.0 30.0 0.0 0.0
    PMC2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
    PMC3 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
    PMC4 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0
    PM1 0.1 0.1
    PM9 1.4
    PM12 23.6 23.6 23.6
    PM13 0.03 0.03 0.03
    PM14 3.1 3.1
    PM15 0.4
    Administrative
    costs
    64.9 0.0 0.0 51.6 0.0 0.0 77.9 0.0 0.0 77.9 0.0 0.0
    PMC6 17.8 17.8 17.8 17.8
    PMC7 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1
    PMC8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
    PMC9 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0
    PM11 13.0 13.0
    PM16 12.8 12.8 12.8
    198
    Difference to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050 2026 2030 2050
    PM17 0.5 0.5 0.5
    Net costs 69.3 0.0 0.0 78.1 0.0 0.0 107.6 0.0 0.0 107.9 0.0 0.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    4. IMPACTS BY POLICY MEASURE ON SAFETY, EMISSIONS AND NOISE
    This section explains the inputs used for deriving the impacts of the policy options on safety,
    emissions and noise.
    In the first step, the impacts by policy measure have been assessed, drawing on relevant inputs. These
    are explained in detail in the sections below. Only the measures with significant impact, which have
    been quantified, are included in the sections below. The table below summarises the list of relevant
    measures by policy option and type of impact.
    Table 201: Summary of measures by type of impact
    Measure Relevant options Safety Air pollutant
    emissions
    Noise
    PMC2 PO1a, PO1b, PO2, PO3 Y
    PMC3 PO1a, PO1b, PO2, PO3 Y
    PMC4 PO1a, PO1b, PO2, PO3 Y
    PM1 PO1a/ PO2 Y Y Y
    PM2 PO1b Y Y Y
    PM3 PO3 Y Y Y
    PM4 PO3 Y
    PM5 PO1b, PO2, PO3 Y
    PM6 PO1b, PO2, PO3 Y Y
    PM10 PO1b, PO2, PO3 Y
    PM12 PO1b, PO2, PO3 Y Y
    PM13 PO1b, PO2, PO3 Y
    PM14 PO2, PO3 Y Y Y
    PM15 PO3 Y Y Y
    In the second step, the inputs by policy measure are aggregated into policy options and used in the
    PRIMES-TREMOVE model to assess the impacts on the level of fatalities and injuries, emissions
    and external costs of accidents, emissions and noise.
    4.1. Impacts on road safety
    4.1.1. Introduction
    A number of the proposed measures are expected to have a direct impact on road safety through more
    effective identification of vehicles with major and dangerous defects in the fleet and the subsequent
    fix of such defects to restore the vehicles to a safe status. This can be achieved either through more
    frequent tests or more effective tests, better capable of capturing defects and also covering new
    technologies. The reduction in the number of unsafe vehicles should eventually lead to a reduction
    of road accidents caused by technical defects and, as a result, a reduction in the number of fatalities
    and injuries (i.e., serious and slight injuries).
    199
    In addition, a broader set of measures that are expected to increase the effectiveness of the
    implementation and enforcement of overall roadworthiness legislation (such as those related to the
    exchange of data among authorities) can also indirectly contribute to the reduction of unsafe vehicles.
    4.1.2. Approach
    Additional or more effective PTI and/or RSI inspections can help identify safety related defects and,
    by mandating repair, eliminate the safety related risk. This contributes to a reduction of the number
    of road accidents resulting in a reduction in the total number of fatalities and injuries compared to
    the baseline.
    The approach used for the assessment of the road safety impacts of individual measures is based on
    the following formula:
    % reduction of fatalities/injuries relative to the baseline = TD x PTI/RSI_Share x IE x RSI_EFF
    Where:
    • TD refers to the contribution of technical defects to accidents. A value of 6% is assumed for
    motorcycles and 4% for all other vehicle categories (see below).
    • PTI/RSI_Share refers to share of a specific vehicle category in the fleet that is expected to be
    subject to PTI/RSI inspection on an annual basis. This is based on the scope of the measure and
    determined by the vehicles average age and the test frequency400
    .
    • IE refers to the effectiveness of PTI/RSI inspections in identifying major and dangerous defects,
    assumed to be 95%.
    • RSI_EFF is relevant only in the case of measures including RSI and refers to the expected
    enhanced effectiveness of targeted roadside inspections to identify vehicles with technical
    defects, when compared to the PTI where there is no such targeted approach. A factor of three is
    used401
    . As example, if the fleet includes a 10% share of high emitters, RSI based on random
    selection would identify 10 high emitters in 100 roadside inspections, while targeted RSIs are
    expected to be able to identify 30 high emitters (3 x 10) in 100 roadside inspections.
    The formula aims to identify the expected percentage reduction of road accidents and thus of
    fatalities/injuries in relation to the baseline levels for each policy measure and vehicle category.
    In the second step, in order to calculate the combined effect on safety of the policy measures included
    in each option by Member State, the common residual method is applied:
    CE A, B, C, … = 1−[(1-IA)x(1-IB)x(1-IC)x(1-…)]
    Where:
    • CE A, B, C denotes the combined effect of measures A, B, C, etc.
    400
    For example, in the case of an average vehicle age of 15 years and a PTI frequency of 4/2/2 (four years for the first
    inspection and 2 thereafter) we can calculate a total of 6.5 inspections until the age 15 which means an annual frequency
    of 0.43 (=6.5/15) inspections. For L and O vehicle types the average vehicle age is 18 years and the total number of
    inspections over the lifetime of the vehicle is 8 resulting in an annual frequency of 0.44 (=8/18).
    401
    Based on a comparison of the share of defective vehicles found at RSI in Member States applying targeted checks
    (based on risk rating for the selection of HDVs) to those that select vehicles randomly, the factor of 3 is assessed to be a
    conservative estimate. For LDVs, remote sensing will help selecting vehicles to be tested at roadside.
    200
    • IA, IB and Ic correspond to the expected level of impact (in percentage terms) of each measure.
    The resulting percentage reduction by policy option and Member State is used as input in the
    PRIMES-TREMOVE model and translated into absolute levels of avoided fatalities and injuries
    relative to the baseline. Based on the number of fatalities and injuries avoided, the reduction in the
    external costs of accidents is calculated402
    .
    4.1.3. Key assumptions
    The TD parameter relating to the contribution of technical defects on fatalities is a key parameter in
    the assessment as it determines the maximum impact that can be possibly achieved by the removal
    of unsafe vehicles from EU roads. As presented in more detail in the baseline section, there is
    significant uncertainty in relation to this parameter, with estimates that range between 0.5% to up to
    20% in terms of the share of road accidents caused by technical defects. It should however be noted
    that methodologies vary significantly and they are often not comparable. Following a review of the
    literature403
    , a conservative approach has been used. A 4% contribution of technical defects to road
    accidents is assumed in the case of LDVs, HDVs and trailers. For motorcycles, given the presence of
    some evidence of higher levels of contribution of this vehicle type, 6% is assumed404
    . Given the high
    uncertainty, sensitivity analysis has been performed, considering alternatives of 1% and 7%
    contribution for LDVs, HDVs and trailers and 3% and 9% for motorcycles.
    The IE parameter refers to the expected effectiveness of the inspections. A value of 95% is assumed
    based on the fact that inspections need to follow an extensive list, covering all vehicle aspects as
    defined in the annexes of the PTI and RSI Directives (2014/45/EU and 2014/47/EU). Furthermore,
    given the focus of this analysis on major or dangerous defects, it is reasonable to assume that in the
    majority of cases these will be effectively identified during the inspections, by a trained inspector.
    In addition, a one-to-one relationship between the impact on road accidents and fatalities and injuries
    is assumed. Namely, a 1% reduction in the number of road accidents is assumed to lead to a 1%
    reduction in fatalities and injuries. This is considered a reasonable assumption, even though it is
    possible that the adoption of new vehicle technologies in the future may change this relationship over
    time.
    Another important assumption made is that unsafe vehicles inspected and repaired to pass a follow
    up PTI inspection, will maintain their roadworthy status following the PTI and will not deteriorate
    until the next PTI. This is an important assumption, especially when considering older vehicles where
    faster deterioration is more likely. There is however no standard approach or evidence available for
    assessing the impact of such deterioration over time. There are also certain limiting factors of such
    an effect. This includes the possibility that some vehicle owners will repair their vehicles before the
    PTI date, when a serious defect that may pose safety issues is identified. Further to that, roadside
    402
    The 2019 Handbook on the external costs of transport (Source: https://op.europa.eu/en/publication-detail/-
    /publication/9781f65f-8448-11ea-bf12-01aa75ed71a1) has been used to monetise the costs. According to the Handbook,
    the external cost of a fatality in 2022 prices is estimated at EUR 3.9 million and that of a serious injury at EUR 0.6
    million.
    403
    Hudec (2021), Examination of the results of the vehicles technical inspections in relation to the average age of vehicles
    in selected EU states; SAFERWHEELS (2018), Study on Powered Two-Wheeler and Bicycle Accidents in the EU, Final
    Report, Brussels
    404
    The 4% and 6% are two percentage points lower than the levels of contribution assumed in the 2012 impact assessment
    support study. Reduced rates were considered more appropriate because the estimated impact on fatalities in the 2012
    impact assessment support study was significantly higher than what was actually observed on the basis of data from the
    CARE database.
    201
    inspections can also help identify such defects, although their effectiveness is limited by the small
    share of the fleet affected and the fact that they are only mandatory for HDVs.
    4.1.4. PMC2 - Update PTI and RSI due to new requirements in General Safety Regulation and
    checking emission reduction systems (new test items, including checks of software
    status/integrity), by reading on-board diagnostics
    PMC2 requires to update the PTI and RSI to new requirements in the General Safety Regulation
    (including software status/integrity of safety or emission relevant systems during PTI for all vehicles
    and at technical roadside inspections of commercial vehicles), resulting in safety benefits. The
    enhanced testing requirements are expected to ensure detecting and resolving defects for vehicle
    safety features introduced by the General Safety Regulation (GSR), thus enabling the full safety
    benefit of GSR to be realised.
    The impact assessment accompanying the GSR405
    estimated the number of fatalities that could be
    prevented by GSR across all vehicle categories during 2021-2037 for EU27 plus UK (line (a) in the
    table below). These estimates were converted to EU27 (line (b) in the table below) by deducting the
    UK’s fleet share, and then translated to the period 2026-2050 by first annualising them and then
    multiplying by 25 years (line (c) in the table below).
    Defects in ADAS would result in a reduced effectiveness of the GSR measures. This is calculated by
    applying an ADAS defect rate (line (e) in the table below) to the share of fatalities that could be
    avoided (line (d) in the table below). The ADAS defect rate is assumed to be the same as the defect
    rate of electronic safety components, which was estimated at 17% by the initiative for Diagnosis of
    Electronic Systems in Motor Vehicles for PTI406
    . This provides a maximum share of total fatalities
    that could be reduced by addressing ADAS defects. In the case of passenger cars this is estimated at
    9.4% reduction of fatalities from the baseline levels.
    Finally, a success rate of PTI inspections to capture defects (95%) is applied (line (f) in the table
    below). For example, for M1 vehicles PMC2 could reduce fatalities and injuries from MS affected
    by 1.5% (line (g) in the table below).
    The table below presents the data for the calculation of the impact of PMC2 on safety, as outlined
    above.
    Table 202: Estimated impact of PMC2 on fatalities and injuries
    Variable M1 N1 N2/N3 M2/M3 Explanation/source
    MS affected All All All All
    Share of EU fatalities
    affected
    100% 100% 100% 100%
    Total fatalities prevented by
    GSR safety measures across
    all vehicle categories over
    the period 2021–2037 for
    EU27 plus UK (a)
    21,337 1,283 1,947 227 Assumed to equal the total GSR
    life-saving potential of PO3.
    Source: SWD(2018)190
    405
    SWD(2018)190
    406
    SWD(2012)206
    202
    Variable M1 N1 N2/N3 M2/M3 Explanation/source
    Total fatalities prevented by
    GSR safety measures across
    all vehicle categories over
    the period 2021–2037 for
    EU27 (b)
    19,051 1,146 1,738 203 Using the share of UK fleet into
    the total EU27 plus UK fleet
    (12% according to Eurostat data:
    Stock of vehicles by category and
    NUTS 2 regions
    [TRAN_R_VEHST])
    Total fatalities prevented by
    GSR safety measures across
    all vehicle categories over
    the period 2026–2050 across
    EU27 (c)
    28,016 1,685 2,556 298 Converted to 2026-2050 period
    by annualising and multiplying by
    25 years
    Proportion of fatalities
    prevented by GSR safety
    measures across all vehicle
    categories across EU27 (d)
    9.4% 3.0% 3.4% 2.5% GSR fatalities prevented / total
    fatalities in the baseline
    Defect rate of ADAS
    systems (e)
    17% 17% 17% 17% Assumed to be the same as the
    defect rate of ESC, which is
    estimated at 17% by IDELSY
    Success rate of PTI/RIS to
    capture defects and address
    them (f)
    95% 95% 95% 95% Assumption
    % reduction of
    fatalities/injuries in the MS
    affected (g)=(d)x(e)x(f)
    1.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% Decrease in fatalities relative to
    the baseline
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    4.1.5. PM1 - RSI for heavy/powerful motorcycles (L category > 125cm3) as alternative measure,
    in the Member States where they are not subject to PTI (i.e., using available opt-out)
    PM1 will require that those Member States (BE, FI, IE, NL, MT, PT)407
    that do not have a PTI
    requirement for motorcycles introduce roadside inspections for motorcycles over 125 cc as an
    alternative. The roadside inspections are expected to cover 5% of the number of motorcycles
    registered every year. The motorcycle fleet of these Member States represent on average 8.6% of the
    fleet over 2026-2050. Furthermore, as the measure does not cover L3-L7 motorcycles of less than
    125cc, the scope of the measure is also reduced (84.2% of the total L3-L7 on average over 2026-
    2050).
    On the basis of the assumed effectiveness of roadside inspections (RSI) in detecting defective
    vehicles when inspected (i.e., 95%=100%-5%) and the expected enhanced effectiveness of RSI to
    identify defective vehicles (factor of 3), the share of defective motorcycles that is expected to be
    identified on an annual basis is estimated. With 5% of the fleet inspected annually, the reduction in
    407
    Until the end of 2023, France had not introduced mandatory PTI for motorcycles, but the French authorities had
    announced the intention to do so. For this reason, for the purposes of the analysis it was assumed that France would not
    be affected by the proposed measure. Denmark does not have mandatory PTI but it has introduced roadside inspections,
    and it is thus assumed to be part of the baseline. In the case of Portugal, current requirements cover only motorcycles
    over 250cc.
    203
    the number of fatalities and injuries is estimated at 0.7% relative to the baseline for the six MS
    affected.
    Table 203: Estimated impact of PM1 on fatalities and injuries
    Variable Values Label Calculation
    Share of EU fleet affected (L3-L7) 8.6% (a)
    Share of L3-L7 in measure scope 84.2% (b)
    Share of fatalities/injuries of MS affected in EU
    total
    8% (c)
    Share of accidents directly caused by motorcycle
    technical defects
    6% (d)
    Share of motorcycles inspected in RSI 5% (e)
    Parameter reflecting RSI enhanced capacity to
    select defective vehicles for RSI
    3.0 (f)
    Failure rate of inspections in detecting defective
    vehicles
    5% (g)
    % reduction in fatalities/injuries from affected
    MS
    0.7% (h) (h)=(1–(g)) x (f) x (e) x (b)
    x (d)
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    4.1.6. PM2 - Mandatory PTI for motorcycles above 125cm3 (remove opt-out)
    PM2 introduces mandatory PTI for all motorcycles over 125cm3 (removing opt-out). Besides the
    Member States identified in PM1, Denmark will also need to introduce PTI for motorcycles over
    125cm under PM2. Thus, the Member States affected by PM2 are BE, DK, FI, IE, MT, NL and PT.
    In this case the impact will depend on the expected frequency of the PTI inspections which has been
    assumed to be the minimum one provided for M1/N1 vehicles in the Directive (4/2/2), leading to an
    average frequency of 0.44 inspections per year408
    . Assuming 5% failure rate of PTI in detecting
    defective vehicles and a 6% contribution of technical defects to road accidents, the reduction in the
    number of fatalities/injuries in the MS affected is estimated at 2.2% relative to the baseline.
    Table 204: Estimated impact of PM2 on fatalities and injuries
    Variable Value Label Calculation
    Share of EU fleet affected (L3-L7) 8.8% (a)
    Share of L3-L7 in measure scope 85.9% (b)
    Share of fatalities/injuries of MS affected in EU total 8.5% (c)
    Share of accidents directly caused by motorcycle technical
    defects
    6% (d)
    408
    For L vehicle types the average vehicle age is 18 years and the total number of inspections over the lifetime of the
    vehicle is 8 resulting in an annual frequency of 0.44 (=8/18).
    204
    Variable Value Label Calculation
    Average share of vehicles tested in PTI per year 44% (e)
    Failure rate of PTI in detecting defective vehicles 5% (f)
    % reduction in fatalities/injuries for affected MS 2.2% (g) (g)=(1-(f)) x (b) x (c) x (d)
    x (e)
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    4.1.7. PM3 - Extend PTI to all motorcycles (i.e., incl. from 50cm3 = all L3e, L4e, plus tricycles
    (L5e) and heavy quadricycles (L7e)
    PM3 extends the type of motorcycles covered by PTI to those from 50cm3 in the eight Member States
    where such requirement is currently not in place (BE, FI, IE, NL, MT, PT, DK, CY409
    ).
    As in the case of PM2, a 5% failure rate of PTI in detecting defective vehicles is assumed and an
    average frequency of 0.44 inspections per year. The reduction in the number of fatalities/injuries for
    the MS affected is estimated at 2.5% relative to the baseline.
    Table 205: Estimated impact of PM3 on fatalities and injuries
    Variable Value Label Calculation
    Share of EU fleet affected (L3-L7) 10.2% (a)
    Share of L3-L7 vehicle fleet in measure scope 100% (b)
    Share of fatalities/injuries of affected MS in EU total 9% (c)
    Share of accidents directly caused by motorcycle technical
    defects
    6% (d)
    Average share of vehicles tested in PTI per year 44% (e)
    Failure rate of PTI in detecting defective vehicles 5% (f)
    % reduction in fatalities/injuries for affected MS 2.5% (g) (g)=(1-(f)) x (b) x (d) x (e)
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    4.1.8. PM4 - Mandatory PTI for light trailers (O1 and O2 categories)
    PM4 requires the mandatory PTI for light trailers (O1 and O2 categories). Eleven Member States
    would be affected by PM4: 7 Member States where there is currently no requirement for PTI for
    either O1 or O2 (DK, EL, FI, FR, NL, IE, PT) and 4 Member States where there is currently only a
    requirement for PTI for O2 (PL, SK, BE and ES).
    In the case of O1 around 21.5% of the total EU fleet of O1 vehicles will be affected while in the case
    of O2 around 9.3%. Due to the significant data gaps in the number of O1 and O2 vehicles in the EU,
    the shares above are based on estimates linking the number of trailers with the number of passenger
    409
    In Cyprus motorcycles above 125cm3 are already covered.
    205
    cars in the fleet410
    .
    There is also no detailed data on the number of fatalities from O1/O2 vehicles. Data from the CARE
    database concerning the fatalities and injuries of passenger cars with trailers has been used, since
    passengers cars are not permitted to pull trailers over 3,500 kg. Data is available for only a small
    number of Member States411
    for the period 2019-2021. For the 10 Member States where data is
    available, the average total number of fatalities per year is 16. Considering that these Member States
    represent around 26% of the estimated number of trailers in the EU fleet, the total number of fatalities
    at EU level is estimated at around 62. On the basis of CARE database, and using a similar approach,
    the level of serious injuries at EU level in which O1/O2 vehicles are involved is estimated at around
    324 per year and slight injuries at 1,778 per year.
    Assuming a contribution of technical defects of light trailers to road accidents of 4%, an average
    frequency of 0.44 inspections per year412
    and a 5% failure rate of PTI detecting defective vehicles,
    the percentage reduction in the number of fatalities and injuries due to PM4 is estimated at 1.7%
    relative to the baseline for both O1 and O2 for the MS affected.
    Table 206: Estimated impact of PM4 on fatalities and injuries
    Variable O1 O2 Label Calculation
    Share of EU fleet affected 21.5% 9.3% (a)
    Share of MS affected fleet in measure scope 100% (b)
    Share of accidents directly caused by vehicle
    technical defects
    4% (c)
    Average share of vehicles tested in PTI per
    year
    44% (d)
    Failure rate of PTI in detecting defective
    vehicles
    5% (e)
    % reduction in fatalities/injuries for
    affected MS
    1.7% 1.7% (f) (f)=(1-(e)) x (b) x
    (c) x (d)
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    4.1.9. PM6 - Mandatory yearly testing for vehicles that are 10-year-old or older
    Currently, 11 MS do not require annual PTI testing of light-duty vehicles after 10 years of their
    registration (CY, DE, LT, CZ, DK, FR, EL, HU, IT, MT, SK). All these Member States currently
    require an inspection every two years which means that the proposed measure will double the number
    of inspections for vehicles over 10 years.
    The share of older vehicles that contribute to accidents due to technical defects is calculated by
    multiplying the share of accidents directly caused by technical defects (4%) by 1.77, to account for
    410
    Data from Eurostat passenger car stock (road_eqs_carage) has been used to calculate the number of O1/O2 trailers
    per passenger cars for the Member States where data is available. The median was used to estimate the number of
    trailers in the MS where data is missing. A 50% split of O1/O2 was used where data was not available.
    411
    AT, BG, DK, ES, FI, IT, LT, LV, PT and SE.
    412
    This is based on an average lifetime of 18 years and a frequency pattern of 4/2/2 (8 inspections within the 18 year
    period). The average lifetime is estimated based on the average age of vehicles.
    206
    the higher rate of technical defects for older vehicles. The scaling factor (1.77) is calculated based on
    the IGLAD study413
    , on the distribution of vehicle accidents by age. A 5% failure rate of PTI detecting
    defective vehicles is assumed.
    The reduction in fatalities and injuries for the affected MS is calculated separately for M1 and N1
    vehicles, as shown in the table below, and is estimated at 1.2% for M1 vehicles and 0.9% for N1
    vehicles relative to the baseline.
    Table 207: Estimated impact of PM6 on fatalities and injuries
    Variable M1 N1 Label Calculation
    MS affected by measure CY, DE, LT, CZ,
    DK, FR, EL, HU,
    IT, MT, SK
    CY, DE, LT,
    CZ, DK, FR,
    EL, HU, IT,
    MT, SK
    (a)
    Share of fatalities in MS affected in EU
    total
    53% 41% (b)
    Share of vehicle fleet in measure scope 53% 52% (c)
    Share of accidents directly caused by
    technical defects
    4% 4% (d)
    Scale factor for increased older vehicle
    accidents
    1.77 1.77 (e)
    Increase in the share of vehicles tested
    per year
    33% 26% (f)
    Failure rate of PTI in detecting defective
    vehicles
    5% 5% (g)
    % reduction in fatalities/injuries for
    affected MS
    1.2% 0.9% (h) (h)=(1-(g)) x (c) x
    (d) x (e) x (f)
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    4.1.10. PM13 - Mandatory inspection of cargo securing
    PM13 introduces mandatory standards in relation to cargo securing inspections. Currently 5 Member
    States414
    do not require either minimum training or specify test requirements relating to cargo
    securing during RSI in their national transposition of Directive 2014/47/EU. For calculating the
    impacts, the vehicle fleet of the affected Member States are considered. N2 and N3 vehicles in these
    Member States represent around 13% of the EU-wide fleet. 14 Member States415
    , covering 67% of
    the N2/N3 fleet, do not specify minimum training requirements for cargo securing.
    Based on MS data and available estimates416
    , up to 25% of crashes involving N2/N3 vehicles are
    linked to cargo securing defects. The share of fatalities attributable to cargo unsafe vehicles was
    413
    http://www.iglad.net/.
    414
    EE, FR, IE, LV and LU.
    415
    BE, DK, DE, EE, FR, IE, LV, LU, BG, FI, IT, NL, PL and PT.
    416
    https://road-safety.transport.ec.europa.eu/eu-road-safety-policy/priorities/safe-vehicles/cargo-securing-and-
    abnormal-loads_en
    207
    assumed to be proportionate to the share of cargo-related accidents. The failure rate of cargo
    inspections in detecting unsafe cargo loading (in line with the 2014 European best practise
    guidelines417
    ) is assumed to be 5%.
    To calculate the percentage reduction in fatalities due to this measure in the affected MS, the accuracy
    of cargo inspections was multiplied by the share of the fleet undergoing RSI each year and the share
    of fatalities attributable to unsafe cargo. The impact of introducing minimum training requirements
    was weighted by 50%, to reflect its lower contribution in reducing fatalities compared to minimum
    testing requirements. PM13 is estimated to reduce the number of fatalities and injuries in MS with
    no testing requirements by 1.19% relative to the baseline and in MS with no training requirements
    by 0.59%.
    Table 208: Estimated impact of PM13 on fatalities and injuries
    Variable Value Label Calculation
    MS which lack testing minimum requirements
    & training
    EE, FR, IE, LV and
    LU
    (a)
    MS which only lack minimum training
    requirements
    BE, DK, DE, EE, FR,
    IE, LV, LU, BG, FI,
    IT, NL, PL and PT
    (b)
    Weighting of fatality contribution due to the
    lack of training requirements
    50% (c)
    Share of fatalities in MS which lack testing and
    training minimum requirements in EU total
    13% (d)
    Share of fatalities in MS which lack training
    minimum requirements in EU total
    69% (e)
    Share of crashes where N2/N3 cargo defects
    played a role
    25% (f)
    Share of vehicles undergoing RSI annually 5% (g)
    Failure rate of cargo inspections in detecting
    unsafe cargo loading
    5% (h)
    % reduction in fatalities/injuries for
    affected MS with no testing requirements
    1.19% (i) (i)=(f) x (g) x (1-(h))
    % reduction in fatalities/injuries for
    affected MS with no training requirements
    0.59% (j) (j)=(f) x (g) x (1-(h)) x (c)
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    4.1.11. PM14 - Extend the scope of application of roadside inspections to light commercial (N1)
    vehicles
    PM14 extends the scope of application of roadside inspections to N1 vehicles, and sets 2% as target
    for the share of inspections of the N1 vehicle fleet. On the basis of the information available, few
    Member States (ES, HU, SE, SK and FI) already conduct roadside inspections for N1 vehicles,
    417
    Cargo securing for road transport - Publications Office of the EU (europa.eu)
    208
    although without a certain target set and thus checking a low number of vehicles. For the purposes
    of the assessment it is assumed that these five Member States will not be affected.
    The inspections in the 22 Member States affected are expected to lead to the identification of
    defective vehicles and thus lead to the restoration of their safe vehicle status, with positive impacts
    on safety.
    The failure rate of inspections in detecting defective vehicles is assumed at 5%. Further, the
    effectiveness of RSI to identify defective vehicles is considered to be 3 times higher than that of PTI
    tests (due to the more targeted approach adopted in selecting vehicles for the tests). Also considering
    the annual target of 2% of the N1 fleet being inspected and the fact that 4% of N1 vehicle accidents
    are directly caused by technical defects, the reduction in the number of fatalities and injuries for the
    22 Member States affected is estimated at 0.23% relative to the baseline.
    Table 209: Analysis of expected impact of PM14 on fatalities and injuries
    Variable Value Label Calculation
    Share of EU fleet in MS affected 77% (a)
    Share of EU fatalities in MS affected in EU total 89% (b)
    Share of N1 vehicle accidents directly caused by
    technical defects
    4% (c)
    Share of N1 vehicles inspected 2% (d)
    Parameter reflecting RSI enhanced capacity to
    identify defective vehicles
    3.0 (e)
    Failure rate of inspections in detecting defective
    vehicles
    5% (f)
    % reduction in fatalities/injuries for affected
    MS
    0.23% (g) (g)=(1–(f)) x (c) x (d) x
    (e)
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    4.1.12. PM15 - Extend the scope of application of roadside inspections to 2- and 3-wheeled vehicles
    (L-vehicles from L3)
    PM15 extends the scope of application of roadside inspections to 2- and 3-wheeled vehicles (L-
    vehicles from L3) and establishes a threshold of 1% of the vehicle fleet for roadside inspections.
    Few Member States (SE, SI, AT, FI, DK, HU, RO) already perform such inspections although they
    do not report the exact number of inspections of motorcycles separately and do not indicate a specific
    target. In the absence of more specific data it is assumed that these Member States will not be affected
    by PM15.
    The failure rate of inspections in detecting defective vehicles is assumed at 5%. Further, the
    effectiveness of RSI to identify defective vehicles is considered to be 3 times higher than that of PTI
    tests (due to the more targeted approach adopted in selecting vehicles for the tests). Also considering
    the annual target of 1% of the N1 fleet being inspected and the fact that 6% of motorcycle-related
    accidents are directly caused by technical defects, the reduction in the number of fatalities and injuries
    for the 20 Member States affected is estimated at 0.17% relative to the baseline.
    209
    Table 210: Estimated impact of PM15 on fatalities and injuries
    Variable Value Label Calculation
    Share of fleet in MS affected in EU total 92% (a)
    Share of EU fatalities in MS affected in EU
    total
    91% (b)
    Share of accidents directly caused by
    motorcycle technical defects
    6% (c)
    Share of motorcycles inspected 1% (d)
    Parameter reflecting RSI enhanced capacity to
    select defective vehicles
    3.0 ( e)
    Failure rate of inspections in detecting
    defective vehicles
    5% (f)
    % reduction in fatalities/injuries for
    affected MS
    0.17% (g) (1 – (f)) x (c) x (d) x (e)
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    4.1.13. Impact on safety by policy option
    On the basis of the analysis of the impacts of each individual measure, the combined impact of the
    measures for each policy option is estimated using the common residual method explained above.
    The tables below summarise the expected impact on fatalities and injuries relative to the baseline (%
    change from the baseline) for each policy option, by Member State and vehicle type. These are used
    as inputs in the PRIMES-TREMOVE model to derive the number of fatalities and injuries avoided,
    as well as the reduction in the external costs of accidents.
    Table 211: Estimated reduction in the number of fatalities and injuries by policy option, relative to the baseline,
    for M1 vehicle category
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    AT 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%
    BE 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%
    BG 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%
    CY 1.5% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7%
    DE 1.5% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7%
    EE 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%
    FI 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%
    FR 1.5% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7%
    EL 1.5% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7%
    HR 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%
    HU 1.5% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7%
    IE 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%
    IT 1.5% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7%
    LT 1.5% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7%
    LU 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%
    LV 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%
    210
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    MT 1.5% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7%
    NL 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%
    PL 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%
    PT 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%
    RO 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%
    SE 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%
    SI 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%
    SK 1.5% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7%
    ES 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%
    DK 1.5% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7%
    CZ 1.5% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 212: Estimated reduction in the number of fatalities and injuries by policy option, relative to the baseline,
    for N1 vehicle category
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    AT 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7%
    BE 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7%
    BG 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7%
    CY 0.5% 1.4% 1.6% 1.6%
    DE 0.5% 1.4% 1.6% 1.6%
    EE 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7%
    FI 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
    FR 0.5% 1.4% 1.6% 1.6%
    EL 0.5% 1.4% 1.6% 1.6%
    HR 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7%
    HU 0.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4%
    IE 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7%
    IT 0.5% 1.4% 1.6% 1.6%
    LT 0.5% 1.4% 1.6% 1.6%
    LU 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7%
    LV 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7%
    MT 0.5% 1.4% 1.6% 1.6%
    NL 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7%
    PL 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7%
    PT 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7%
    RO 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7%
    SE 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
    SI 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7%
    SK 0.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4%
    ES 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
    DK 0.5% 1.4% 1.6% 1.6%
    CZ 0.5% 1.4% 1.6% 1.6%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    211
    Table 213: Estimated reduction in the number of fatalities and injuries by policy option, relative to the baseline,
    for N2/N3 vehicle categories
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    AT 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
    BE 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
    BG 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
    CY 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
    DE 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
    EE 0.5% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7%
    FI 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
    FR 0.5% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7%
    EL 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
    HR 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
    HU 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
    IE 0.5% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7%
    IT 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
    LT 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
    LU 0.5% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7%
    LV 0.5% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7%
    MT 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
    NL 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
    PL 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
    PT 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
    RO 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
    SE 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
    SI 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
    SK 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
    ES 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
    DK 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
    CZ 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 214: Estimated reduction in the number of fatalities and injuries by policy option, relative to the baseline,
    for M2/M3 vehicle categories
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    AT 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    BE 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    BG 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    CY 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    DE 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    EE 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    FI 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    FR 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    EL 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    HR 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    HU 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    212
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    IE 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    IT 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    LT 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    LU 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    LV 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    MT 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    NL 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    PL 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    PT 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    RO 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    SE 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    SI 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    SK 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    ES 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    DK 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    CZ 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 215: Estimated reduction in the number of fatalities and injuries by policy option, relative to the baseline,
    for L3-L7 vehicle categories
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    AT 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
    BE 0.7% 2.2% 0.7% 2.7%
    BG 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
    CY 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
    DE 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
    EE 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
    FI 0.7% 2.2% 0.7% 2.5%
    FR 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
    EL 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
    HR 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
    HU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
    IE 0.7% 2.2% 0.7% 2.7%
    IT 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
    LT 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
    LU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
    LV 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
    MT 0.7% 2.2% 0.7% 2.7%
    NL 0.7% 2.2% 0.7% 2.7%
    PL 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
    PT 0.7% 2.2% 0.7% 2.7%
    RO 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
    SE 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
    SI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
    SK 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
    213
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    ES 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
    DK 0.0% 2.2% 0.0% 2.5%
    CZ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 216: Estimated reduction in the number of fatalities and injuries by policy option, relative to the baseline,
    for O1 vehicle category
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    AT 0.0%
    BE 1.7%
    BG 0.0%
    CY 0.0%
    DE 0.0%
    EE 0.0%
    FI 1.7%
    FR 1.7%
    EL 1.7%
    HR 0.0%
    HU 0.0%
    IE 1.7%
    IT 0.0%
    LT 0.0%
    LU 0.0%
    LV 0.0%
    MT 0.0%
    NL 1.7%
    PL 1.7%
    PT 1.7%
    RO 0.0%
    SE 0.0%
    SI 0.0%
    SK 1.7%
    ES 1.7%
    DK 1.7%
    CZ 0.0%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 217: Estimated reduction in the number of fatalities and injuries by policy option, relative to the baseline,
    for O2 vehicle category
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    AT 0.0%
    BE 0.0%
    BG 0.0%
    CY 0.0%
    DE 0.0%
    EE 0.0%
    214
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    FI 1.7%
    FR 1.7%
    EL 1.7%
    HR 0.0%
    HU 0.0%
    IE 1.7%
    IT 0.0%
    LT 0.0%
    LU 0.0%
    LV 0.0%
    MT 0.0%
    NL 1.7%
    PL 0.0%
    PT 1.7%
    RO 0.0%
    SE 0.0%
    SI 0.0%
    SK 0.0%
    ES 0.0%
    DK 1.7%
    CZ 0.0%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    4.2. Impacts on air pollutant emissions and noise
    4.2.1. Introduction
    In the case of impacts on emissions and noise, the approach adopted was to estimate the expected
    contribution of each measure on the identification and removal of high emitter vehicles (whether due
    to defective emissions control systems or tampering) from the fleet. It is assumed that high emitters
    identified will undergo repair (whether this refers to the replacement of malfunctioning filters, sensor
    or sound control system or the necessary modifications of the engine). The focus of the analysis is
    on high emitters only (i.e., vehicles with emissions multiple times higher than the type-approval
    limits) as these are expected to be possible to capture during PTI and RSI or with the help of remote
    sensing.
    It should be noted that there is no standard definition of a high emitter418
    . A pragmatic approach has
    been used for the analysis, making use of information/data provided in relevant studies, while
    recognising that they are not always consistent in the definition applied. Furthermore, it should be
    noted that high emitters may be vehicles with defective emission or noise control systems or vehicles
    with tampered emissions/noise control systems. In the absence of more detailed information, a 50%
    418
    One possible definition would be: a vehicle whose average emissions are at least 2 standard deviations
    higher than the average emissions of the sample tested (https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10156/1/XO-12-019.pdf). Euro
    7 on-board monitoring principle sets detecting exceedances at a level of at least 2,5 times the relevant exhaust emission
    limit value.
    215
    share of defective and tampered vehicles is assumed in the total share of high emitters in the fleet.
    There is also a need to separate the two since it can be expected that tampered vehicles will not be
    effectively captured as part of a PTI. Their owners may be expected to activate the relevant control
    system before the PTI and then deactivate it again. This is possibly a simplification of reality so it is
    assumed that only 10% of tampered vehicles will be captured as part of the PTI.
    The analysis of the impacts on emissions focuses on the two pollutants that are targeted in the
    proposed measures, namely, NOx and PN/PM. Other pollutants have not been considered in detail
    although it is conceivable that, by identifying high emitters for these two categories of pollutants,
    there may also be benefits related to other pollutant types (e.g. CO, HC, SO2).
    4.2.2. Approach
    The approach used to estimate the impacts on air pollutant emissions focuses on the extent to which
    additional or more effective PTI and/or RSI inspections can help identify high emitter vehicles and,
    by mandating repair, align the vehicle emissions with the type-approval values. As a result, these
    would contribute to the reduction of the total emissions relative to the baseline.
    The approach used for the assessment of the impacts of individual measures is based on the following
    formula:
    Percentage reduction of high emitters share = ((PTI_Share x (DEF + TAMP x PTI_TE) +
    RSI_Share (DEF + TAMP) x RSI_EFF)) x IE / HE
    Where:
    • PTI_Share refers to share of vehicles in the fleet that are expected to be subject to PTI on an
    annual basis. This is based on the scope of the measure, and determined by the vehicles average
    age and the test frequency419
    . Increased scope and frequency of PTI should in principle lead to a
    higher share of high emitters identified in the fleet.
    • RSI_Share refers to share of vehicles in the fleet that are expected to be subject to RSI inspection
    on an annual basis. This is based on the scope of the measure. Increased scope of inspections
    should in principle lead to a higher share of high emitters identified in the fleet.
    • DEF refers to the share of vehicles with defective emissions or noise control systems in the fleet
    in the baseline, for the specific vehicle category, fuel and EURO standard. In the absence of more
    detailed data these are assumed to be half of the total high emitters for the specific vehicle
    category, fuel and EURO standard.
    • TAMP refers to the share of vehicles with tampered emissions or noise control systems in the
    fleet in the baseline. They are assumed to represent the remaining half of the total high emitters
    for the specific vehicle category, fuel and EURO standard.
    • PTI_TE reflects the limited capacity of PTI to capture tampered vehicles. A share of 10% is
    assumed to be captured as part of the PTI420
    .
    419
    For example, in the case of an average vehicle lifetime of 15 years and a PTI frequency of 4/2/2 (four years for the
    first inspection and 2 thereafter) we can calculate a total of 6.5 inspections until the age 15 which means an annual
    frequency of 0.43 (=6.5/15) inspections. For L and O vehicle types the average vehicle age is 18 years and the total
    number of inspections over the lifetime of the vehicle is 8, resulting in an annual frequency of 0.44 (=8/18).
    420
    Giechaskiel, B., et al., (2022), Effect of tampering on on-road and off-road diesel vehicle emissions. Sustainability,
    14(10), p. 6065.
    216
    • RSI_EFF is relevant only in the case of measures including RSI and refers to the expected
    enhanced effectiveness of targeted roadside inspections to identify vehicles with technical
    defects when compared to the PTI (where there is no such targeted approach). A factor of three
    is used421
    . As example, if the fleet includes a 10% share of high emitters, RSI based on random
    selection would identify 10 high emitters in 100 roadside inspections, while targeted RSIs are
    expected to be able to identify 30 high emitters (3 x 10) in 100 roadside inspections.
    • IE refers to the effectiveness of the specific test method used to identify high emitting vehicles.
    This varies depending on the method used and is explained under the relevant policy measures.
    • HE is the total share of high emitters in the baseline, equal to TAMP + DEF.
    The above formula aims to identify the expected level of reduction of high emitters in the fleet, as a
    percentage of the baseline figures. Namely, a 10% reduction relative to the baseline high emitters
    shares of 10% will mean a reduction by one percentage point, leading to a new level of high emitters
    of 9%. This can then be translated into actual emissions reductions, on the base of the emission factors
    of high emitters defined in the baseline.
    Furthermore, as in the case of safety, in order to calculate the combined effect of the policy measures
    included in each option, the common residual method is applied:
    CE A, B, C, … = 1−[(1-IA)x(1-IB)x(1-IC)x (1-…)]
    Where:
    • CE A, B, C denotes the combined effect of measures A, B, C, etc.
    • IA, and IB and Ic correspond to the expected level of impact (in percentage terms) of each
    measure.
    Similarly to the impacts on road safety, the percentage reduction of high emitters by policy option
    relative to the baseline is used as input in the PRIMES-TREMOVE model to calculate the reduction
    in air pollutant emissions, and in the external costs of emissions and noise422
    .
    4.2.3. Key assumptions
    As indicated above, an assumption is made on the limited capacity of PTIs to capture tampering.
    These are those vehicles which are not brought back to their original pre-tampering state in view of
    the testing. A share of 10% of tampered vehicles is assumed to be captured as part of the PTI423
    . An
    enhanced effectiveness factor of 3 is used for RSI to reflect its targeted character424
    .
    An additional important assumption made in the assessment of the impacts is that following the
    identification of a high emitting vehicle and its repair/correction, while emission systems may not
    421
    Based on a comparison of the share of defective vehicles found at RSI in Member States applying targeted checks
    (based on risk rating for the selection of HDVs) to those that select vehicles randomly, the factor of 3 is assessed to be a
    conservative estimate. For LDVs, remote sensing will help selecting vehicles to be tested at roadside.
    422
    The 2019 Handbook on the external costs of transport (Source: https://op.europa.eu/en/publication-detail/-
    /publication/9781f65f-8448-11ea-bf12-01aa75ed71a1) has been used to monetise the costs.
    423
    Giechaskiel, B., et al., (2022), Effect of tampering on on-road and off-road diesel vehicle emissions. Sustainability,
    14(10), p. 6065.
    424
    Based on a comparison of the share of defective vehicles found at RSI in Member States applying targeted checks
    (based on risk rating for the selection of HDVs) to those that select vehicles randomly, the factor of 3 is assessed to be a
    conservative estimate. For LDVs, remote sensing will help selecting vehicles to be tested at roadside.
    217
    become as good as new, it can still be expected that any deterioration will be limited and will not
    lead to vehicles becoming high emitters again until the next PTI. This is considered to be a reasonable
    assumption, especially in the case of older vehicles where PTI frequency is higher. Since the analysis
    and estimation of impacts on emissions is based on the expected reduction in the share of high
    emitters, there is no risk of overestimation of the impacts due to the ongoing durability of the repairs
    following PTI. Further to that, the role of roadside inspections towards achieving continuous
    compliance should be noted, even if the number of roadside inspections are relatively small and
    currently only cover heavy duty vehicles. Furthermore, enhanced durability of vehicles and
    components (at least partly driven by legal requirements) can also help maintain the performance of
    vehicles over time. Euro 7 standards, part of the baseline, are expected to extend the durability
    requirements from the current levels of 100,000 km and 5 years (that do not cover older age vehicles),
    to 200,000 km425
    .
    4.2.4. PMC3 - Mandatory PN testing of LDVs and HDVs equipped with particle filter, at PTI, and
    of HDVs at technical roadside inspections of commercial vehicles
    The implementation of PN emissions testing is expected to reduce the number of defective vehicles
    with PN emissions consistently over the legal value (that is, not temporarily higher than the legal
    requirement because of a just regenerated diesel particulate filter). PMC3 is thus expected to have an
    impact on air pollutant emissions. No impact on noise emissions is expected due to PMC3.
    The capacity of identifying faulty vehicles at PTI is assumed to be 95%. Some tampered vehicles
    will also be identified during PTI. These are those vehicles which are not brought back to their
    original pre-tampering state in view of the testing426
    . In addition, following the DIAS427
    example, the
    share of fleet with defective emissions control system was assumed to be equal to the share of fleet
    with tampered emission control system. As explained above, it is assumed that 10% of the tampered
    vehicles are identified at PTI. The proportion of high emitters identified at PTI will also depend on
    the percentage of vehicles that undergo PTI checks.
    To estimate the impact of implementing the new PN test at PTI, the calculation is performed by using
    as multiplicative factor (line (h) in the table below), the difference between the capabilities of
    identifying high emitters by the new methodology (line (g) in the table below) and the capabilities of
    identifying high emitters by the currently used methods (line (f) in the table below). Therefore, the
    percentage of high emitters identified in PMC3 is calculated based on the table below, as: (h) x (e) x
    ((c) + (i) x (d)), where the letters stand for the labels of the lines in the table.
    To obtain the reduction in high emitters relative to the baseline for the MSs affected (line (j) in the
    table below), the percentage of high emitters identified in PMC3 is divided by the share of high
    emitters in the baseline fleet (b).
    The table below summarises, as example, the steps followed to calculate the expected reduction in
    high emitters in the M1 diesel Euro 5 fleet brought by implementing PMC3.
    425
    Related to this a recent analysis by the UK government on the possible impact of a one year extension of the initial
    inspection, estimated a possible increase in PTI failure in terms of emissions at 1 to 4.6%.
    426
    Giechaskiel, B., et al., (2022), Effect of tampering on on-road and off-road diesel vehicle emissions. Sustainability,
    14(10), p. 6065.
    427
    DIAS (2022), D6.5 Impact assessment and guidelines for future anti-tampering regulations.
    218
    Table 218: Steps followed to estimate the impact of PMC3 on the M1 diesel Euro 5 fleet by age group relative to
    the baseline
    Label Calculation/ Assumption
    Vehicle category M1 diesel Euro 5
    MS affected All MSs except for NL, DE, BE
    Age group 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19
    Share of vehicle fleet in
    measure scope (per age group)
    65% 67% 92% 97% (a) PRIMES-TREMOVE
    baseline
    Share of high emitters in the
    fleet in the baseline
    2.5% 5.0% 7.5% 10% (b) See section on the baseline
    Share of fleet with defective
    emissions control systems
    1.25% 2.50% 3.75% 5.00% (c) 50% x (b)
    Share of fleet with tampered
    emission control systems
    1.25% 2.50% 3.75% 5.00% (d) 50% x (b)
    % of vehicles that undergo PTI
    checks per year (per age group)
    24% 65% 79% 80% (e) Estimation based on the MSs
    frequencies for PTIs
    Accuracy of current PTI
    emission test at identifying
    tampered/defective emission
    control systems
    3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% (f) The same level of accuracy
    is assumed as for the current
    NOx test (Boveroux & al,
    2021)
    PTI capacity to identify faulty
    vehicles (% of total)
    95% 95% 95% 95% (g) Assumption
    Change in detection accuracy
    due to the introduction of PN
    PTI testing
    91.4% 91.4% 91.4% 91.4% (h) (h) = (g) - (f)
    Share of tampered vehicles
    identified at PTI
    10% 10% 10% 10% (i) Assumption
    % reduction in the level of
    high emitters relative to the
    baseline for MS affected
    12% 33% 40% 40% (j) (j)= (h) x (e) x ((c) + (i) x
    (d))/(b)
    % reduction in the level of
    high emitters - total EU fleet
    8% 22% 37% 38% (k) (k) = (j) x (a)
    % of high emitters in the fleet
    following the implementation
    of the measure
    2.2% 3.4% 4.5% 6% (l) (l) = (b) - (j) x (b)
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    For HDVs, PMC3 envisages to use the new PN measuring methodology at RSI as well (in addition
    to PTI). The table below presents first the methodology for assessing the impacts on emissions due
    to PTI for HDVs, which is similar to the one for M1 vehicles explained above. The second part of
    the table presents the methodology for assessing the impacts on emissions due to RSI.
    Roadside inspections have the capability of identifying both defective and tampered emission
    systems. Therefore, no factor is used representing the limited capacity to capture tampering (as in the
    case of PTI). It is reasonable to expect that the combination of PN checks at both roadside and PTI
    will also have some deterrent effect on tampering, but this is not possible to quantify.
    The proportion of high emitting HDVs identified at RSI will be proportional to the percentage of
    vehicles that undergo RSI checks (assumed at 5%), to the capacity of portable PN measuring devices
    219
    to identify faulty vehicles (assumed 95% as for measurements at PTI), and to the share of fleet with
    defective/tampered emissions control systems. Furthermore, the effectiveness factor reflecting the
    targeted nature of RSI is used in the calculations.
    The proportion of identified high emitting HDVs at RSI due to PMC3, based on the table below, is
    given by the product (k) x (l) x (m) x (b), where the letters stand for the labels of the lines in the table.
    The reduction in high emitters relative to the baseline is provided in line (n) in the table below.
    The combined impact of PN checks at both PTI and RSI on HDVs is estimated as the sum of the
    impacts of the PTI and RIS inspections minus their product and is provided in line (o) of the table
    below.
    The table below summarises, as example, the steps followed to estimate the reduction in high emitters
    in the HDVs Euro VI fleet due to PMC3, relative to the baseline.
    Table 219: Steps followed to estimate the impact of PMC3 on HDVs Euro VI fleet by age group
    Label Calculation/
    Assumption
    Vehicle category N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro VI
    MS affected PTI checks: all MSs except NL, DE, BE
    RSI checks: all MSs
    Age group 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19
    Share of vehicle fleet in
    measure scope (per age group)
    85% 88% 95% 97% (a) PRIMES-TREMOVE
    baseline
    Share of high emitters in the
    fleet in the baseline
    7.2% 8.8% 10.4% 12.0% (b) See baseline section
    Share of fleet with defective
    emissions control system
    3.6% 4.4% 5.2% 6.0% (c) 50% x (b)
    Share of fleet with tampered
    emission control system
    3.6% 4.4% 5.2% 6.0% (d) 50% x (b)
    % of vehicles that undergo
    PTI checks per year (per age
    group)
    100% 100% 100% 100% (e) Estimation based on
    the MSs frequencies
    for PTIs
    Accuracy of current PTI
    emission test at identifying
    tampered/defective emission
    control systems
    3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% (f) The same level of
    accuracy is assumed
    as for the current
    NOx test (Boveroux
    & al, 2021)
    PTI capacity to identify faulty
    vehicles (% of total)
    95% 95% 95% 95% (g) Assumption
    Change in detection accuracy
    due to introduction of PN-PTI
    testing
    91.4% 91.4% 91.4% 91.4% (h) (h) = (g) – (f)
    Share of tampered vehicles
    identified at PTI
    10% 10% 10% 10% (i) Assumption
    % reduction in the level of
    high emitters from baseline
    for MS affected (PTI only)
    50% 50% 50% 50% (j) (j) = (h) x (e) x ((c) +
    (i) x (d))/(b)
    220
    Label Calculation/
    Assumption
    Vehicle category N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro VI
    MS affected PTI checks: all MSs except NL, DE, BE
    RSI checks: all MSs
    Age group 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19
    % reduction in the level of
    high emitters from baseline -
    EU fleet (PTI only)
    43% 44% 48% 49% (k) (k) = (j) x (a)
    Share of fleet checked at RSI 5% 5% 5% 5% (l) Assumption
    PN portable equipment
    effectiveness at RSI
    95% 95% 95% 95% (m) Assumption
    RSI effectiveness factor 3 3 3 3 (n) Assumption
    % reduction in high emitters
    (RSI only)
    14% 14% 14% 14% (o) (o) = (l) x (m) x (n) x
    (b) / (b)
    % reduction in high emitters
    from baseline (RSI only) -
    EU fleet
    12% 13% 14% 14% (p) (p) = (o) x (a)
    % reduction in level of high
    emitters (combination RSI
    and PTI)
    57% 57% 57% 57% (q) (q) = (j) + (o) – (j) x
    (o)
    % reduction in the level of
    high emitters in EU fleet
    (combination RSI and PTI)
    49% 51% 54% 56% (r) (r) = (q) x (a)
    % of high emitters in the
    fleet following the
    implementation of the
    measure
    3.7% 4.3% 4.7% 5.3% (s) (s) = (b) – (r) x (b)
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    The tables below summarise the estimated reduction, relative to the baseline, in the share of high
    emitters due to checks at PTI for LDVs and at PTI and RSI for HDVs (defined as the percentage of
    high emitters identified divided by the baseline share of high emitters). The estimates are presented
    for diesel vehicles only, as the PN measurement method is still under development for petrol vehicles.
    Table 220: Reduction in the share of PN high emitters for M1 and N1 diesel vehicles (all Euro standards) by age
    group relative to the baseline
    Age group
    (years)
    Reduction in high emitters
    relative to the baseline M1
    and N1
    Reduction in high emitters in
    EU fleet
    M1 diesel
    Reduction in high emitters in
    EU fleet
    N1 diesel
    0-4 12% 8% 9%
    5-9 33% 22% 24%
    10-14 40% 37% 33%
    15-19 40% 38% 36%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    221
    Table 221: Reduction in the share of PN high emitters due to PTI only, RSI only, and their combined impact on
    N2/N3/M2/M3 vehicles (all Euro standards) by age group relative to the baseline
    Age
    group
    (years)
    Reduction in
    high emitters
    from baseline
    (PTI only)
    Reduction in
    high emitters
    in EU fleet
    (PTI only)
    Reduction in
    high emitters
    from baseline
    (RSI only)
    Reduction in
    high emitters
    in EU fleet
    (RSI only)
    Reduction in
    high
    emitters
    from
    baseline
    (PTI + RSI)
    Reduction in
    high emitters
    in EU fleet
    (PTI + RSI)
    0-4 50% 43% 14% 12% 57% 49%
    5-9 50% 44% 14% 13% 57% 51%
    10-14 50% 48% 14% 14% 57% 54%
    15-19 50% 49% 14% 14% 57% 56%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    4.2.5. PMC4 – Mandatory NOx-testing of LDV and HDV at PTI, and HDVs at roadside
    inspections
    This measure is similar to PMC3 but applies NOx testing. PMC4 will introduce mandatory NOx
    emission testing during PTI for LDVs and HDVs (from Euro 5b and Euro VI respectively) and at
    RSIs (for HDVs from Euro VI). As a result, the number of defective LDVs and HDVs with NOx
    emissions over the legal value is expected to decrease. PMC4 is thus expected to have an impact on
    air pollutant emissions. No impact on noise emissions is expected due to PMC4.
    The approach used to estimate the impacts is similar to that for PMC3, described in Section 4.2.4.
    The assumption used for the NOx measuring devices is that the capacity of identifying faulty vehicles
    is 95% for both the equipment used at PTI and at RSI. Similarly to PMC3, it is assumed that only
    10% of the tampered vehicles are identified at PTI. The LDV and HDV fleets of all EU Member
    States are expected to be affected by this measure, as none of the MSs are currently measuring NOx
    emissions.
    For RSI, similarly to PMC3, a factor of 3 is used to represent their effectiveness relative to PTI, to
    take into account that the inspections are usually not random but targeted.
    The tables below summarise the estimated reduction, relative to the baseline, in the share of high
    emitters due to checks at PTI for LDVs and at PTI/RSI for HDVs (defined as the percentage of high
    emitters identified divided by the baseline share of high emitters).
    Table 222: Reduction in the share of NOx high emitters for M1 and N1 diesel and petrol vehicles (all Euro
    standards) by age group relative to the baseline
    Age group (years) Reduction in high emitters relative to the baseline
    Petrol and diesel M1 and N1
    0-4 13%
    5-9 34%
    10-14 41%
    222
    Age group (years) Reduction in high emitters relative to the baseline
    Petrol and diesel M1 and N1
    15-19 42%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 223: Reduction in the share of NOx high emitters due to PTI only, RSI only, and their combined impact on
    N2/N3/M2/M3 vehicles (all Euro standards) by age group relative to the baseline
    Age group
    (years)
    Reduction in high emitters
    from baseline (PTI only)
    Reduction in high emitters
    from baseline (RSI only)
    Reduction in high emitters
    from baseline (PTI + RSI)
    All age groups 52% 14% 59%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    4.2.6. PM1 - RSI for heavy/powerful motorcycles (L category > 125cm3) as alternative measure,
    in the Member States where they are not subject to PTI (i.e., using available opt-out)
    PM1 will require that those Member States (BE, FI, IE, NL, MT, PT)428
    that do not have a PTI
    requirement for motorcycles introduce roadside inspections for motorcycles over 125 cc as an
    alternative. The roadside inspections are expected to cover 5% of the number of motorcycles
    registered every year. The motorcycle fleet of these Member States represent on average 8.6% of the
    fleet over 2026-2050. Furthermore, as the measure does not cover L3-L7 motorcycles of less than
    125cc, the scope of the measure is also reduced (84.2% of the total L3-L7 on average over 2026-
    2050).
    The share of high emitters of air pollution and noise emissions in the baseline is assumed at 8% and
    30%, respectively, based on limited information from the literature and the PTI data analysis (see
    baseline section).
    PM1 is expected to have an impact on air pollutant emissions and noise emissions. Similar to the
    approach used for assessing the impacts on road safety, the failure rate of inspections in detecting
    defective vehicles is assumed at 5%. To reflect the enhanced effectiveness of RSI in targeting
    defective vehicles compared to PTI, a factor of 3 is used. The proportion of motorcycle undergoing
    roadside inspections (5%) and the share of motorcycles in the scope of the measure is also taken into
    account in the assessment.
    The share of high emitters of air pollutant emissions and noise is estimated to reduce by 12% in the
    MS affected (1% at the EU level) due to PM1, relative to the baseline.
    Table 224: Estimated impact of PM1 on the share of high emitters of air pollutant emissions and noise
    Variable Emissions Noise Label Calculation
    MS affected FI, NL, MT, PT, BE, IE
    428
    Until end 2023, France had not introduced mandatory PTI for motorcycles, but the French authorities had announced
    the intention to do so. For this reason, for the purposes of the analysis it was assumed that France would not be affected
    by the proposed measure. Denmark does not have mandatory PTI but since it has introduced roadside inspections, and it
    is thus assumed to be part of the baseline. In the case of Portugal, current requirements cover only motorcycles over
    250cc.
    223
    Variable Emissions Noise Label Calculation
    Share of EU fleet affected 8.6% (a)
    Share of vehicle fleet in measure scope 84.2% (b)
    Share of fleet inspected in RSI 5% (c)
    RSI effectiveness factor 3.0 (d)
    Share of high emitters in the fleet in the
    baseline (emissions/noise)
    8% 30% (e)
    Share of fleet with defective emissions/noise
    control systems
    (emissions/noise)
    4% 15% (f) 50% x (e)
    Share of fleet with tampered emission/noise
    control systems (emissions/noise)
    4% 15% (g) 50% x (e)
    Failure rate of inspections in detecting
    defective vehicles
    5% (h)
    % reduction in the share of high emitters
    relative to the baseline in the Member
    States affected (emissions/noise)
    12% (i) (i) = (1 – (h)) x (c) x (d) x
    (b)
    % reduction in the share of high emitters
    relative to the baseline at EU level
    (emissions/noise)
    1% (j) (j) = (i) x (a)
    % of high emitters in the fleet following the
    implementation of the measure
    (emissions/noise)
    7% 26% (k) (k) = (e) - (e) x (i)
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    4.2.7. PM2 - Mandatory PTI for motorcycles above 125cm3 (remove current opt-out)
    PM2 introduces mandatory PTI for all motorcycles over 125cm3 (removing opt-out). Besides the
    Member States identified in PM1, Denmark will also need to introduce PTI for motorcycles over
    125cm under PM2. Thus, the Member States affected by PM2 are BE, DK, FI, IE, MT, NL and PT.
    PM2 is expected to have an impact on air pollutant emissions and noise emissions. The impact of
    PM2 is based on the expected effectiveness of PTI for motorcycles to identify high emitters, applying
    the emission measurements and test methods already considered in PMC3 and PMC4. Considering
    the MS affected by PM2, the measure is expected to have an impact on a small share of the EU fleet
    (8.8%)429
    . Furthermore, as it does not encompass all motorcycle categories (only L3-L7, except L3-
    1a), a reduced scope is used to estimate the impacts on the total motorcycle fleet (85.9%)430
    .
    429
    This reflects the average over 2026-2050 based on the PRIMES-TREMOVE baseline.
    430
    This reflects the average over 2026-2050 based on the PRIMES-TREMOVE baseline.
    224
    The share of high emitters of air pollution and noise emissions in the baseline is assumed at 8% and
    30%, respectively, based on limited information from the literature and the PTI data analysis (see
    baseline section).
    Similar to the approach used for assessing the impacts of PM1, the failure rate of inspections in
    detecting defective vehicles is assumed at 5%. The impact will also depend on the expected frequency
    of the PTI inspections which has been assumed to be the minimum one provided for M1/N1 vehicles
    in the Directive (4/2/2), leading to an average frequency of 0.44 inspections per year431
    . In addition,
    it is assumed that 10% of the tampered vehicles are identified at PTI. The share of motorcycles in the
    scope of the measure is also taken into account in the assessment.
    The share of high emitters of air pollutant emissions and noise is estimated to reduce by 20% in the
    MS affected (1.7% at the EU level) due to PM2, relative to the baseline.
    Table 225: Estimated impact of PM2 on the share of high emitters of air pollutant emissions and noise
    Variable Emissions Noise Label Calculation
    MS affected BE, DK, FI, IE, MT, NL, PT
    Share of EU fleet affected 8.8% (a)
    Share of vehicle fleet in measure scope 85.9% (b)
    Share of high emitters in the fleet in the
    baseline (emissions / noise)
    8% 30% (c)
    Share of fleet with defective emissions
    control systems
    4% 15% (d) 50% x (c)
    Share of fleet with tampered emission
    control systems
    4% 15% (e) 50% x (c)
    % of vehicles that undergo PTI per year 44% (f) 4/2/2 over 18 years (i.e., 8
    inspections)
    PTI capacity to identify tampering (% of
    total)
    10% (g)
    Failure rate of inspections in detecting
    defective vehicles
    5% (h)
    % reduction in the share of high
    emitters relative to the baseline in the
    Member States affected
    (emissions/noise)
    20% (i) (i) = (f) x ((g) x (e) + (d)) x (1
    – (h)) x (b) / (c)
    % reduction in the share of high
    emitters relative to the baseline at EU
    level (emissions/noise)
    1.7% (j) (j) = (i) x (a)
    431
    For L vehicle types the average vehicle age is 18 years and the total number of inspections over the lifetime of the
    vehicle is 8 resulting in an annual frequency of 0.44 (=8/18).
    225
    Variable Emissions Noise Label Calculation
    % of high emitters in the fleet following
    the implementation of the measure
    (emissions/noise)
    6.4% 24% (k) (k) = (c) - (c) x (i)
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    4.2.8. PM3 - Extend PTI to all motorcycles (i.e., including from 50cm3 = all L3e, L4e, plus
    tricycles (L5e) and heavy quadricycles (L7e))
    PM3 extends the type of motorcycles covered by PTI to those from 50cm3 in the eight Member States
    where such requirement is currently not in place (BE, FI, IE, NL, MT, PT, DK, CY432
    ).
    The approach followed for the assessment is the same as in the case of PM2. The only difference is
    that the extended scope of the measure to cover vehicles over 50cm3 leads to increased share of the
    fleet affected as shown in the table below.
    The share of high emitters of air pollutant emissions and noise is estimated to reduce by 23.2% in the
    MS affected (2.4% at the EU level) due to PM3, relative to the baseline.
    Table 226: Estimated impact of PM3 on the share of high emitters of air pollutant emissions and noise
    Variable Emissions Noise Label Calculation
    MS affected BE, FI, IE, NL, MT, PT, DK,
    CY
    Share of EU fleet affected 10.2% (a)
    Share of vehicle fleet in measure scope 100% (b)
    Share of high emitters in the fleet in the
    baseline (emissions/noise)
    8% 30% (c)
    Share of fleet with defective emissions
    control systems (emissions/noise)
    4% 15% (d) 50% x (c)
    Share of fleet with tampered emission control
    systems (emissions/noise)
    4% 15% (e) 50% x (c)
    % of vehicles that undergo PTI per year 44% (f) 4/2/2 over 18 years
    (i.e., 8 inspections)
    PTI capacity to identify tampering (% of
    total)
    10% (g)
    Failure rate of inspections in detecting
    defective vehicles
    5% (h)
    % reduction in the share of high emitters
    relative to the baseline in the Member
    States affected (emissions/noise)
    23.2% (i) (i) = (f) x ((g) x (e) +
    (d)) x (1 – (h)) x (b) /
    (c)
    432
    In Cyprus motorcycles above 125cm3 are already covered.
    226
    Variable Emissions Noise Label Calculation
    % reduction in the share of high emitters
    relative to the baseline at EU level
    (emissions/noise)
    2.4% (j) (j) = (i) x (a)
    % of high emitters in the fleet following the
    implementation of the measure
    (emissions/noise)
    6.1% 23% (k) (k) = (c) - (c) x (i)
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    4.2.9. PM5 - Annual emission testing for light commercial vehicles (N1) instead of the currently
    required 4-2-2 frequency
    PM5 includes a requirement for annual emission testing for light commercial vehicles (N1) instead
    of the currently required 4-2-2 frequency. It assumes additional emission testing in all Member States.
    While certain Member States (e.g. LT and FR) apply yearly (emission) testing from a certain vehicle
    age, this means smoke opacity test or EOBD test that are not considered effective. PM5 is expected
    to have an impact on air pollutant emissions. No impact on noise emissions is expected due to PM5.
    Based on the DIAS study433
    , it is assumed that 50% of the high emitters are caused by tampering. As
    tampering of vehicles is more difficult to detect, the emission test is assumed to only detect 10% of
    the tampered vehicles. The accuracy of the new PTI emission test at identifying tampered/defective
    emission control systems is assumed at 95%. Taking also into account the share of the age group in
    the vehicle fleet and the percentage increase in the number of inspections, the table below provides
    the calculations and impact on the share of high emitters of air pollutant emissions for the 0-4 age
    group.
    Table 227: Estimated impact of PM5 on the share of high emitters of air pollutant emissions for the 0-4 years age
    group
    Variable Value Label Calculation
    Share of EU vehicle fleet in measure scope 100% (a)
    Share of age group in N1 fleet 18.7% (b)
    Percentage increase in inspections across
    EU27
    34% (c)
    Percentage of high emitter vehicles which are
    tampered
    50% (d)
    PTI capacity to identify tampering (% of
    total)
    10% (e)
    Share of vehicles with tampered or defective
    emission systems which are detected
    55% (f) (f) = (d) + (b) x (e)
    Accuracy of new PTI emission test at
    identifying tampered/defective emission
    control systems
    95% (g)
    433
    DIAS (2022), D6.5 Impact assessment and guidelines for future anti-tampering regulations.
    227
    Variable Value Label Calculation
    % reduction in the share of high emitters
    at the EU level compared to the baseline
    16.93% (h) (h) = (a) x (c) x (g) x (f)
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    The percentage reductions in the shares of high emitters across the EU for four age groups of the N1
    vehicle category are shown in the table below. The differences between age groups are due to the
    additional number of inspections relative to the baseline and the share of each age group in the N1
    vehicle fleet.
    Table 228: Estimated reduction of the share of high emitters of air pollutant emissions for N1 vehicles, by age
    group
    Variable Age group
    Vehicle age group (years) 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19
    % reduction in the share of high emitters in the fleet at EU
    level compared to the baseline
    16.93% 16.13% 1.89% 1.88%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    4.2.10. PM6 - Mandatory yearly testing for vehicles that are 10-year-old or older
    Currently, 11 MS do not require annual PTI testing of light-duty vehicles after 10 years of their
    registration (CY, DE, LT, CZ, DK, FR, EL, HU, IT, MT, SK). All these Member States currently
    require an inspection every two years which means that the proposed measure will double the number
    of inspections for vehicles over 10 years. PM6 is expected to have an impact on air pollutant
    emissions. No impact on noise emissions is expected due to PM6.
    Based on the DIAS study434
    , it is assumed that 50% of the high emitters are caused by tampering. As
    tampering of vehicles is more difficult to detect, the emission test is assumed to only detect 10% of
    the tampered vehicles. The accuracy of the new PTI emission test at identifying tampered/defective
    emission control systems is assumed at 95%. The reduction in the share of high emitters in the
    affected MS is calculated by also taking into account the increase in the number of inspections for
    the N1 and M1 vehicle categories relative to the baseline. To calculate the percentage reduction in
    the share of high emitters in the fleet at EU level compared to baseline, the share of EU fleet affected
    is further taken into account.
    The calculation approach for the 10-14 years age group of M1 and N1 vehicles is provided in the
    table below.
    Table 229: Estimated impact of PM6 on the share of M1 and N1 high emitters of air pollutant emissions for the
    10-14 years age group
    Variable M1 values (a) N1 values (b) Label Calculation
    MS affected by measure CY, DE, LT, CZ,
    DK, FR, EL, HU,
    IT, MT, SK
    CY, DE, LT,
    CZ, DK, FR,
    EL, HU, IT,
    MT, SK
    (a)
    434
    DIAS (2022), D6.5 Impact assessment and guidelines for future anti-tampering regulations.
    228
    Variable M1 values (a) N1 values (b) Label Calculation
    Share of EU fleet affected 47% 49% (b)
    % increase in the number of
    inspections relative to the
    baseline
    33% 26% (c)
    Percentage of high emitter
    vehicles which are tampered
    50% 50% (d)
    PTI capacity to identify
    tampering (% of total)
    10% 10% (e)
    Share of vehicles with tampered
    or defective emission systems
    which are detected
    55% 55% (f) (f) = (d) + (b) x (e)
    Accuracy of new PTI emission
    test at identifying
    tampered/defective emission
    control systems
    95% 95% (g)
    % reduction in the share of
    high emitters in the fleet in the
    MS affected compared to
    baseline
    17.24% 13.59%
    (h) (h) = (c) x (f) x (g)
    % reduction in the share of
    high emitters in the fleet at
    EU level compared to baseline
    8.08% 6.64%
    (i) (i) = (h) x (b)
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    It is assumed that the vehicles older than 10 years are evenly distributed between the 10-14 years and
    15-19 years age groups. This is also the case of the increase in the number of inspections relative to
    the baseline. Therefore, the percentage reductions in the shares of N1 and M1 high emitters (line (f)
    in the table above) are the same for the 10-14 years and 15-19 years age groups.
    4.2.11. PM10 - More advanced testing of noise for motorcycles
    PM10 requires that all Member States perform noise testing for motorcycles at PTI, inspired by the
    procedure for pass-by noise test described in the UN Regulation no. 41. Four MSs (DE, ES, HR, SK)
    currently require testing of noise for L-category vehicles at PTI. Even though the stringency and
    effectiveness of current testing methods in these MS may be lower than the noise testing methods
    proposed in UN Regulation 41 for pass-by noise tests, they represent a significant improvement
    compared to the subjective assessment by the inspector, which is required by the PTI Directive. PM10
    is expected to have an impact on noise emissions.
    The measure is expected to affect 72% of the L3-7 vehicle fleet across the EU. The share of the
    vehicle fleet which will be subject to the new advanced noise test each year is calculated by assuming
    a standard PTI frequency for L-category vehicles of 4-2-2 and an average vehicle life of 18 years. In
    addition, it is assumed that 50% of the high noise-emitting motorcycles are caused by tampering and
    50% by defective noise control systems. As tampering of vehicles is more difficult to detect during
    PTI, the advanced noise test is assumed to only detect 10% of tampered vehicles during PTI.
    229
    The introduction of advanced noise testing for motorcycles is expected to reduce the share of high
    emitter L vehicles by 22% in the MS affected, relative to the baseline. The approach for calculating
    the reduction in the share of high emitter vehicles is provided in the table below.
    Table 230: Estimated impact of PM10 on the share of noise high-emitter L vehicles in the fleet
    Variable Values Label Calculation
    Share of vehicle fleet in measure scope 72% (a) All MSs except for DE, ES,
    HR, SK
    Share of high emitters in the fleet in the baseline 30% (b)
    Percentage of high emitter vehicles which are tampered 50% (c)
    Proportion of high emitter vehicles due to defective
    systems
    50% (d)
    PTI capacity to identify tampering (% of total) 10% (e)
    Share of fleet inspected annually 44% (f) Estimate based on 4-2-2 PTI
    frequency
    Noise test effectiveness 90% (g)
    Tampered vehicles identified at PTI 0.6% (h) (h) = (b) x (c) x (e) x (f) x (g)
    Defective vehicles identified at PTI 6.0% (i) (i) = (b) x (d) x (f) x (g)
    % reduction in the share of high emitter vehicles in
    the fleet in the MS affected
    22.0% (j) (j) = ((h) + (i))/(b)
    % of high emitters in the fleet following the
    implementation of the measure
    23.4% (k) (k) = (b) – (b) x (j)
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    4.2.12. PM12 – NOx, PM, and noise measurement by remote sensing in RSI of all vehicles (with
    option for simplified PTI if vehicle passed recent RSI)
    PM12 requires NOx and PM measurement by remote sensing in technical roadside inspections of all
    vehicle types, and optional plume chasing in technical roadside inspections of commercial vehicles.
    In addition, acoustic cameras would need to be added to remote sensing equipment to measure noise
    at the roadside. Thus, it is expected that PM12 will decrease the number of LDVs and HDVs with
    tampered/faulty emission system leading to high exhaust of NOx and particle emissions, and also
    decrease the number of M1, N1 vehicles and motorcycles with tampered/faulty exhaust system
    leading to high noise emissions.
    NOx and PN high emitter light duty and heavy duty vehicles
    The potential reduction in high emitter vehicles depends on:
    • the effectiveness of remote sensing (RS), which is intrinsically penalised by the short time scale
    during which a measurement takes place, and by the possible contamination of the plume by near
    vehicles, is assumed at 70% (line (c) in the table below). The effectiveness of plume chasing is
    assumed to be 95% as for the RSI measurements (line (h) in the table below);
    230
    • the proportion of false positives (that is, vehicles wrongly identified as high emitters by remote
    sensing and plume chasing) is assumed at 5% (line (e) in the table below);
    • the capacity of identifying NOx and PN high emitters at RSI is assumed to be 95% (line (d) in the
    table below);
    • the target proportion of the fleet analysed by remote sensing is assumed to be 30% (line (f) in the
    table below);
    • the targeted proportion of the HDVs fleet analysed by plume chasing is assumed to be 3% (line
    (i) in the table below); and
    • the capacity of RSI, that is, the highest proportion of the whole LDV and HDV fleets that is
    feasible to check through RSI is assumed to be 0.5% (line (b) in the table below).
    The table below summarises the steps followed to estimate the impact of PM12 on the share of NOx
    high emitters Euro VI HDVs relative to the baseline.
    Remote sensing and plume chasing are used as a filtering tool for a better targeted RSI. The high
    emitters flagged as high emitters, which contain both real high emitters and false positives, are sent
    either to RSI (line (m) in the table below) or, in case the number of vehicles is too high compared to
    the capacity of RSI, to a testing centre (PTI station) to be double checked.
    The proportion of vehicles flagged as high emitters will be proportional to the percentage of the fleet
    analysed, the remote sensing and plume chasing435
    effectiveness and the share of high emitters in the
    fleet.
    In the case of HDVs, the option of plume chasing is added: it is possible to find high emitting HDVs
    (line (k)) proportionally to the share of fleet measured via plume chasing (line (i)), and the plume
    chasing capacity of identifying faulty vehicles (line (h)). For LDVs this additional share of identified
    high emitters by plume chasing does not exist.
    All vehicles flagged as potential high emitters by remote sensing and plume chasing will be sent to
    RSI up to the RSI capacity of 0.5% of the fleet (b).
    The proportion of the real high emitters identified at RSI (line (n) in the table below) will be the
    product of the percentage of the fleet correctly identified as high emitter by RS and the effectiveness
    of the test, that is: (n) = (m) x (d).
    The share of vehicles identified by remote sensing as high emitters – including possible false positives
    - that are not checked via RSI due to capacity limitations are to be sent to a PTI station for further
    testing (o). This is multiplied by (1-(e)) to take into account the percentage of false positives (line (p)
    in the table below), that is vehicles that are flagged as high emitters by remote sensing but that at a
    second check are found emitting within the legal limit.
    Of these vehicles, as in PMC4 (section 4.2.5) it is expected that half (50%) will be tampered and 50%
    faulty. PTI is assumed to only be able to capture 10% of tampered vehicles as a large part of them
    will be set to the pre-tampering stated before the inspection, while faulty ones will be captured with
    an effectiveness of 95%. The high emitting vehicles captured at the PTI (line (u) in the table below)
    are the combination of the tampered vehicles identified and the faulty vehicles identified.
    435
    Relevant only for HDVs.
    231
    The total high emitters identified are the sum of those captured by RSI and at PTI stations following
    their screening by remote sensing and plume chasing – in the case of HDVs only (line (v) in the table
    below). The percentage reduction in the share of high emitters, defined as the percentage of total high
    emitters identified divided by the baseline share of high emitters is provided in line (z) of the table
    below.
    Table 231: Estimated impact of PM12 on the share of high emitters Euro VI HDVs, by age group, at EU level
    (relative to the baseline)
    Label Calculation/ Assumption
    Vehicle category N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro VI
    MS affected All MSs
    Age group 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19
    Share of vehicle fleet in measure
    scope (per age group)
    100% 100% 100% 100%
    Share of high emitters in the fleet
    in the baseline
    7.2% 8.8% 10.4% 12.0% (a) See the baseline section
    Maximum RSI capacity (% of
    whole fleet)
    0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% (b)
    Assumption
    Remote sensing (RS) capacity to
    identify faulty vehicles (% of high
    emitters correctly identified by RS)
    70% 70% 70% 70% (c)
    Assumption
    % high emitters correctly
    identifiable by NOx/PN RSI test
    95% 95% 95% 95% (d)
    Assumption
    Remote sensing and plume chasing
    false positives (% of the vehicles
    flagged as high emitters which are
    not real high emitters)
    5% 5% 5% 5% (e)
    Assumption
    Proportion of the fleet analysed by
    remote sensing
    30% 30% 30% 30% (f) Assumption
    Proportion of the fleet identified
    as high emitter by RS 1.51% 1.85% 2.18% 2.52% (g) (g) = (f) x (c) x (a)
    Plume chasing capacity to identify
    faulty vehicles
    95% 95% 95% 95% (h)
    Assumption
    Share of fleet measured via plume
    chasing
    3% 3% 3% 3% (i)
    Assumption
    Share of fleet identified as high
    emitters by plume chasing
    0.21% 0.25% 0.30% 0.34% (k) (k) = (h) x (i) x (a)
    Total share of fleet identified as
    high emitters by remote sensing
    and plume chasing
    1.72% 2.10% 2.48% 2.86% (l) (l) = (k) + (g)
    Sent to RSI (pre-selected by RS) 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% (m)
    if (l) <= (b), (m) =(l); otherwise
    (m) = (b)
    Proportion of the real high
    emitters identified by RSI
    0.48% 0.48% 0.48% 0.48% (n) (n) = (m) x (d)
    Vehicles sent to PTI stations:
    vehicles flagged as high emitters
    by remote sensing and plume
    chasing but not inspected at RSI
    1.22% 1.60% 1.98% 2.36% (o) (o) = (l) – (m)
    Vehicles sent to PTI stations
    which are actually high emitters
    1.16% 1.52% 1.88% 2.24% (p) (p) = (o) x (1- (e))
    Share of high emitters that are
    tampered
    50% 50% 50% 50% (q) Assumption
    232
    Label Calculation/ Assumption
    Vehicle category N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro VI
    MS affected All MSs
    Age group 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19
    Vehicles sent to PTI stations
    which are high emitters because
    they are tampered
    0.58% 0.76% 0.94% 1.12% (r) (r) = (p) x (q)
    PTI capacity to identify tampered
    vehicles
    10% 10% 10% 10% (s) Assumption
    NOx/PN -PTI test effectiveness 95% 95% 95% 95% (t) Assumption
    High emitters identified at PTI
    stations
    0.61% 0.80% 0.99% 1.18% (u) (u) = (r) x (s)+(1-(r)) x (t)
    Total high emitters identified at
    PTI stations and RSI
    1.08% 1.27% 1.46% 1.65% (v) (v) = (u) + (n)
    % reduction in the share of high
    emitters (RS + RSI) relative to
    the baseline
    15.03% 14.46% 14.06% 13.78% (z) (z) = (v) / (a)
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Noise emissions from N1, M1, and L-vehicles
    Acoustic cameras can be installed before a RSI site to optimise the detection rates of N1, M1, and L-
    vehicles emitting noise over the legal limit. Coupling with a PTI is a possibility; however, this is not
    expected to be particularly effective in all cases of tampered vehicles, as for motorcycles, for
    example, altering some parts of the exhaust system and reinstating their original settings is relatively
    easy (for instance, removing/re-installing the muffler).
    The proportion of the fleet that is high emitters and is identifiable at RSI (line (e) in the table below)
    is derived as the product of the share of high emitters in the fleet in the baseline (line (a) in the table
    below), the remote sensing capacity of identifying faulty vehicles (line (d) in the table below), and
    the RSI noise test effectiveness (line (c) in the table below). The effectiveness assumed for the
    measurements at roadside is lower than the one assumed at PTI, to reflect the challenge of measuring
    in a noisy environment. The acoustic camera effectiveness is considered higher than noise
    measurements at roadside because it is the result of more than one measurement.
    As only a portion (line (f) in the table below) of the fleet will be analysed by the acoustic cameras,
    the proportion of the fleet that is high emitters and is identifiable at RSI (line (g)) is derived as: (g) =
    (f) x (e), where the letters stand for the labels of the rows in the table below. However, the maximum
    percentage of noise high emitters eventually identified (line (h)) is limited by the RSI capacity (line
    (b)).
    The table below summarises the steps and assumptions used to estimate the percentage reduction in
    the share of M1, N1, and L noise high emitting vehicles.
    233
    Table 232: Estimated impact of PM12 on the share of noise high emitters for N1, M1 vehicles, and motorcycles
    relative to the baseline
    Label Calculation/ Assumption
    Vehicle category N1 L3-L7 M1
    MSs affected All MSs All MSs
    All
    MSs
    Share of vehicle fleet in measure scope
    100% 100% 100%
    Share of high emitters in the fleet in the
    baseline
    4% 30% 4% (a) See the baseline section
    Share of fleet selected via remote
    sensing and sent to RSI (i.e., maximum
    RSI capacity)
    0.5% 5.0% 0.5% (b) Assumption
    Noise test effectiveness
    80% 80% 80% (c) Assumption
    Remote sensing capacity to identify
    faulty vehicles (% of total)
    70% 70% 70% (d) Assumption
    Proportion of the fleet that is high
    emitters and is identified at RSI if 100%
    inspected of the fleet is analysed via RS
    and inspected at RSI
    2.2% 16.8% 2.2% (e) (e) = (d) x (c) x (a)
    Proportion of the fleet analysed by RS
    30% 30% 30% (f) Assumption
    Proportion of the fleet that is high
    emitters and is identifiable at RSI
    0.7% 5.0% 0.7% (g) (g =(f) x (e)
    High emitters identified at RSI with
    limited RSI capacity (RS+RSI)
    0.5% 5.0% 0.5% (h)
    If (g) <= (b) then (h) = (g);
    Otherwise (h) = (b)
    % reduction in the share of high
    emitters (remote sensing + RSI)
    12.5% 16.7% 12.5% (i) (i) = (h) / (a)
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    4.2.13. PM14 - Extend the scope of application of roadside inspections to light commercial (N1)
    vehicles
    PM14 extends the scope of application of roadside inspections to N1 vehicles, and sets 2% as target
    for the share of inspections of the N1 vehicle fleet. The introduction of roadside inspections of N1
    category vehicles can contribute further to the identification of vehicles with defective or tampered
    emissions/noise control systems. To the extent that these roadside inspections are expected to be
    targeted (as is currently the case in most Member States), this can be a particularly effective measure
    in removing defective vehicles. PM14 is expected to have an impact on both air pollutant and noise
    emissions.
    On the basis of the information available, few Member States (ES, HU, SE, SK and FI) already
    conduct roadside inspections for N1 vehicles, although without a certain target set and thus checking
    a low number of vehicles. For the purposes of the assessment it is assumed that these Member States
    will not be affected. The N1 vehicles fleet of the 22 Member States affected represent around 77%
    of the N1 vehicles fleet in the EU.
    234
    Depending on the age, Euro standard and fuel type, the share of air pollutant high emitter N1 vehicles
    ranges between 4% and 20% in the baseline. The share of noise high emitter N1 vehicles is estimated
    at 4% in the baseline. Of these, half are assumed to be tampered and half defective.
    The RSI inspections would cover 2% of the N1 vehicle fleet annually in PM14. Due to the enhanced
    effectiveness as a result of the targeted nature of RSIs, the number of high emitters identified will,
    on average, be three times higher than if the inspections were completely random. Similar to the
    approach for assessing the impact on road safety, it is assumed that the effectiveness of roadside
    inspections in detecting high emitters is 95%.
    PM14 is estimated to reduce by 5.7% the share of high emitter vehicles in the Member States affected
    relative to the baseline (4.4% at EU level).
    Table 233: Estimated impact of PM14 on the share of high emitters of air pollutant emissions and noise
    Emissions Noise Label Calculation
    Share of EU fleet affected 77% (a)
    Share of high emitters in the fleet in
    the baseline
    4%-20% depending
    on age, Euro standard
    and fuel type
    4% (b)
    Share of fleet with defective
    emissions control system
    2%-20% 2% (c) (c) = 50% x (b)
    Share of fleet with tampered
    emission control system
    2%-20% 2% (d) (c) = 50% x (b)
    RSI fleet target 2% (e)
    Parameter reflecting RSI enhanced
    capacity to identify defective
    vehicles
    3 (f)
    Failure rate of inspections in
    detecting defective vehicles
    5% (g)
    % reduction in the share of high
    emitter vehicles (emissions/noise)
    in the MS affected, relative to the
    baseline
    5.7% (h)
    (h) = (e) x (f) x ((c) +
    (d)) x (1-(g)) / (b)
    % reduction in the share of high
    emitter vehicles at EU level
    relative to the baseline
    4.4% (i) (i) = (h) x (a)
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    4.2.14. PM15 – Extend the scope of application of roadside inspections to 2- and 3-wheeled vehicles
    (L-vehicles from L3)
    PM15 extends the scope of application of roadside inspections to 2- and 3-wheeled vehicles (L-
    vehicles from L3) and establishes a threshold of 1% of the vehicle fleet for roadside inspections. Few
    Member States (SE, SI, AT, FI, DK, HU, RO) already perform such inspections although they do not
    report the exact number of inspections of motorcycles separately and do not indicate a specific target.
    In the absence of more specific data it is assumed that these Member States will not be affected by
    235
    PM15. The L-category vehicle fleet of the 20 Member States affected is estimated to represent on
    average 92% of the L-category vehicle EU fleet over 2026-2050436
    . PM15 is expected to have an
    impact on air pollutant emissions and noise emissions.
    The share of high emitters of air pollution and noise emissions in the baseline is assumed at 8% and
    30%, respectively, based on limited information from the literature and the PTI data analysis (see
    baseline section).
    Similar to the approach used for assessing the impacts on road safety, the failure rate of inspections
    in detecting defective vehicles is assumed at 5%. To reflect the enhanced effectiveness of RSI in
    targeting defective vehicles compared to PTI, a factor of 3 is used.
    PM15 is estimated to reduce by 2.9% the share of high emitter vehicles in the Member States affected
    relative to the baseline (2.6% at EU level).
    Table 234: Estimated impact of PM15 on the share of high emitters of air pollutant emissions and noise
    Emissions Noise Label Calculation
    Share of EU fleet affected 92% (a)
    Share of high emitters in the fleet in
    the baseline
    8% 30% (b)
    Share of fleet with defective
    emissions control system
    4% 15% (c) (c) = 50% x (b)
    Share of fleet with tampered
    emission control system
    4% 15% (d) (c) = 50% x (b)
    Share of fleet checked in RSI 1% (e)
    Parameter reflecting RSI enhanced
    capacity to identify defective
    vehicles
    3 (f)
    Failure rate of inspections in
    detecting defective vehicles
    5% (g)
    % reduction in the share of high
    emitter vehicles (emissions/noise)
    in the MS affected, relative to the
    baseline
    2.9% (h)
    (h) = (e) x (f) x ((c) +
    (d)) x (1-(g)) / (b)
    % reduction in the share of high
    emitter vehicles at EU level
    relative to the baseline
    2.6% (i) (i) = (h) x (a)
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    436
    The share is calculated based on the PRIMES-TREMOVE baseline projections.
    236
    4.2.15. Impacts on air pollutant emissions and noise emissions by policy option
    Air pollutant emissions
    On the basis of the analysis of the impacts of each individual measure, the combined impact of the
    measures for each policy option is estimated using the common residual method explained above.
    The tables below summarise the expected reduction in the share of high emitter vehicles relative to
    the baseline, by vehicle category, Euro standard and fuel type at EU level. They are provided
    separately for NOx and PN high emitter vehicles. These are used as inputs in the PRIMES-
    TREMOVE model to derive the reduction in the air pollution emissions and external costs of air
    pollution emissions relative to the baseline.
    Table 235: Reduction in the share of NOx high emitter vehicles by policy option relative to the baseline
    Vehicle category Euro
    standard
    Fuel Age group PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    M1 Euro 5 Diesel 0-4 12.0% 29.2% 29.2% 29.2%
    M1 Euro 5 Diesel 5-9 32.1% 42.3% 42.3% 42.3%
    M1 Euro 5 Diesel 10-14 42.6% 54.3% 54.3% 54.3%
    M1 Euro 5 Diesel 15-19 43.0% 54.2% 54.2% 54.2%
    M1 Euro 5 Petrol 0-4 12.0% 26.9% 26.9% 26.9%
    M1 Euro 5 Petrol 5-9 32.1% 41.6% 41.6% 41.6%
    M1 Euro 5 Petrol 10-14 42.6% 54.0% 54.0% 54.0%
    M1 Euro 5 Petrol 15-19 43.0% 54.0% 54.0% 54.0%
    M1 Euro 6 Diesel 0-4 12.0% 29.2% 29.2% 29.2%
    M1 Euro 6 Diesel 5-9 32.1% 42.3% 42.3% 42.3%
    M1 Euro 6 Diesel 10-14 42.6% 54.3% 54.3% 54.3%
    M1 Euro 6 Diesel 15-19 43.0% 54.2% 54.2% 54.2%
    M1 Euro 6 Petrol 0-4 12.0% 27.2% 27.2% 27.2%
    M1 Euro 6 Petrol 5-9 32.1% 41.6% 41.6% 41.6%
    M1 Euro 6 Petrol 10-14 42.6% 54.0% 54.0% 54.0%
    M1 Euro 6 Petrol 15-19 43.0% 54.0% 54.0% 54.0%
    M1 Euro 7 Diesel 0-4 12.0% 29.6% 29.6% 29.6%
    M1 Euro 7 Diesel 5-9 32.1% 44.3% 44.3% 44.3%
    M1 Euro 7 Diesel 10-14 42.6% 55.4% 55.4% 55.4%
    M1 Euro 7 Diesel 15-19 43.0% 55.4% 55.4% 55.4%
    M1 Euro 7 Petrol 0-4 12.0% 29.6% 29.6% 29.6%
    M1 Euro 7 Petrol 5-9 32.1% 43.9% 43.9% 43.9%
    M1 Euro 7 Petrol 10-14 42.6% 55.2% 55.2% 55.2%
    M1 Euro 7 Petrol 15-19 43.0% 54.9% 54.9% 54.9%
    N1 Euro 5 Diesel 0-4 12.0% 37.4% 40.3% 40.3%
    N1 Euro 5 Diesel 5-9 32.1% 50.5% 52.8% 52.8%
    N1 Euro 5 Diesel 10-14 42.6% 53.9% 56.1% 56.1%
    N1 Euro 5 Diesel 15-19 43.0% 54.0% 56.2% 56.2%
    N1 Euro 5 Petrol 0-4 12.0% 36.7% 39.7% 39.7%
    N1 Euro 5 Petrol 5-9 32.1% 50.2% 52.5% 52.5%
    N1 Euro 5 Petrol 10-14 42.6% 53.7% 55.9% 55.9%
    N1 Euro 5 Petrol 15-19 43.0% 53.8% 56.0% 56.0%
    237
    Vehicle category Euro
    standard
    Fuel Age group PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    N1 Euro 6 Diesel 0-4 12.0% 37.4% 40.3% 40.3%
    N1 Euro 6 Diesel 5-9 32.1% 50.5% 52.8% 52.8%
    N1 Euro 6 Diesel 10-14 42.6% 53.9% 56.1% 56.1%
    N1 Euro 6 Diesel 15-19 43.0% 54.0% 56.2% 56.2%
    N1 Euro 6 Petrol 0-4 12.0% 36.7% 39.7% 39.7%
    N1 Euro 6 Petrol 5-9 32.1% 50.2% 52.5% 52.5%
    N1 Euro 6 Petrol 10-14 42.6% 53.7% 55.9% 55.9%
    N1 Euro 6 Petrol 15-19 43.0% 53.8% 56.0% 56.0%
    N1 Euro 7 Diesel 0-4 12.0% 40.1% 42.9% 42.9%
    N1 Euro 7 Diesel 5-9 32.1% 51.9% 54.2% 54.2%
    N1 Euro 7 Diesel 10-14 42.6% 54.9% 57.0% 57.0%
    N1 Euro 7 Diesel 15-19 43.0% 54.8% 56.9% 56.9%
    N1 Euro 7 Petrol 0-4 12.0% 38.8% 41.7% 41.7%
    N1 Euro 7 Petrol 5-9 32.1% 51.3% 53.6% 53.6%
    N1 Euro 7 Petrol 10-14 42.6% 54.4% 56.6% 56.6%
    N1 Euro 7 Petrol 15-19 43.0% 54.4% 56.6% 56.6%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro VI Diesel 0-4 59.1% 65.2% 65.2% 65.2%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro VI Diesel 5-9 59.1% 65.0% 65.0% 65.0%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro VI Diesel 10-14 59.1% 64.8% 64.8% 64.8%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro VI Diesel 15-19 59.1% 64.7% 64.7% 64.7%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro 7 Diesel 0-4 59.1% 66.5% 66.5% 66.5%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro 7 Diesel 5-9 59.1% 66.0% 66.0% 66.0%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro 7 Diesel 10-14 59.1% 65.7% 65.7% 65.7%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro 7 Diesel 15-19 59.1% 65.5% 65.5% 65.5%
    L3-L7 All ages 1.0% 1.7% 1.0% 5.1%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 236: Reduction in the share of PN high emitter vehicles by policy option relative to the baseline
    Vehicle category Euro
    standard
    Fuel Age group PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    M1 Euro 5 Diesel 0-4 7.5% 25.6% 25.6% 25.6%
    M1 Euro 5 Diesel 5-9 20.6% 32.5% 32.5% 32.5%
    M1 Euro 5 Diesel 10-14 37.8% 50.5% 50.5% 50.5%
    M1 Euro 5 Diesel 15-19 38.1% 50.4% 50.4% 50.4%
    M1 Euro 5 Petrol 0-4 7.5% 23.2% 23.2% 23.2%
    M1 Euro 5 Petrol 5-9 20.6% 31.7% 31.7% 31.7%
    M1 Euro 5 Petrol 10-14 37.8% 50.1% 50.1% 50.1%
    M1 Euro 5 Petrol 15-19 38.1% 50.1% 50.1% 50.1%
    M1 Euro 6 Diesel 0-4 7.5% 25.6% 25.6% 25.6%
    M1 Euro 6 Diesel 5-9 20.6% 32.5% 32.5% 32.5%
    M1 Euro 6 Diesel 10-14 37.8% 50.5% 50.5% 50.5%
    M1 Euro 6 Diesel 15-19 38.1% 50.4% 50.4% 50.4%
    M1 Euro 6 Petrol 0-4 7.5% 23.5% 23.5% 23.5%
    M1 Euro 6 Petrol 5-9 20.6% 31.7% 31.7% 31.7%
    238
    Vehicle category Euro
    standard
    Fuel Age group PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    M1 Euro 6 Petrol 10-14 37.8% 50.1% 50.1% 50.1%
    M1 Euro 6 Petrol 15-19 38.1% 50.1% 50.1% 50.1%
    M1 Euro 7 Diesel 0-4 7.5% 26.0% 26.0% 26.0%
    M1 Euro 7 Diesel 5-9 20.6% 34.9% 34.9% 34.9%
    M1 Euro 7 Diesel 10-14 37.8% 51.7% 51.7% 51.7%
    M1 Euro 7 Diesel 15-19 38.1% 51.6% 51.6% 51.6%
    M1 Euro 7 Petrol 0-4 7.5% 26.0% 26.0% 26.0%
    M1 Euro 7 Petrol 5-9 20.6% 34.3% 34.3% 34.3%
    M1 Euro 7 Petrol 10-14 37.8% 51.4% 51.4% 51.4%
    M1 Euro 7 Petrol 15-19 38.1% 51.1% 51.1% 51.1%
    N1 Euro 5 Diesel 0-4 8.1% 34.6% 37.7% 37.7%
    N1 Euro 5 Diesel 5-9 22.7% 43.7% 46.3% 46.3%
    N1 Euro 5 Diesel 10-14 33.4% 46.5% 49.1% 49.1%
    N1 Euro 5 Diesel 15-19 33.7% 46.5% 49.1% 49.1%
    N1 Euro 5 Petrol 0-4 8.1% 33.9% 37.0% 37.0%
    N1 Euro 5 Petrol 5-9 22.7% 43.3% 46.0% 46.0%
    N1 Euro 5 Petrol 10-14 33.4% 46.3% 48.8% 48.8%
    N1 Euro 5 Petrol 15-19 33.7% 46.3% 48.9% 48.9%
    N1 Euro 6 Diesel 0-4 8.1% 34.6% 37.7% 37.7%
    N1 Euro 6 Diesel 5-9 22.7% 43.7% 46.3% 46.3%
    N1 Euro 6 Diesel 10-14 33.4% 46.5% 49.1% 49.1%
    N1 Euro 6 Diesel 15-19 33.7% 46.5% 49.1% 49.1%
    N1 Euro 6 Petrol 0-4 8.1% 33.9% 37.0% 37.0%
    N1 Euro 6 Petrol 5-9 22.7% 43.3% 46.0% 46.0%
    N1 Euro 6 Petrol 10-14 33.4% 46.3% 48.8% 48.8%
    N1 Euro 6 Petrol 15-19 33.7% 46.3% 48.9% 48.9%
    N1 Euro 7 Diesel 0-4 8.1% 37.4% 40.4% 40.4%
    N1 Euro 7 Diesel 5-9 22.7% 45.3% 47.9% 47.9%
    N1 Euro 7 Diesel 10-14 33.4% 47.7% 50.2% 50.2%
    N1 Euro 7 Diesel 15-19 33.7% 47.4% 49.9% 49.9%
    N1 Euro 7 Petrol 0-4 8.1% 36.1% 39.1% 39.1%
    N1 Euro 7 Petrol 5-9 22.7% 44.6% 47.2% 47.2%
    N1 Euro 7 Petrol 10-14 33.4% 47.2% 49.7% 49.7%
    N1 Euro 7 Petrol 15-19 33.7% 47.0% 49.5% 49.5%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro VI Diesel 0-4 48.7% 56.4% 56.4% 56.4%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro VI Diesel 5-9 50.6% 57.8% 57.8% 57.8%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro VI Diesel 10-14 54.4% 60.8% 60.8% 60.8%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro VI Diesel 15-19 54.5% 60.8% 60.8% 60.8%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro 7 Diesel 0-4 48.7% 58.0% 58.0% 58.0%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro 7 Diesel 5-9 50.6% 59.0% 59.0% 59.0%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro 7 Diesel 10-14 54.4% 61.8% 61.8% 61.8%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro 7 Diesel 15-19 54.5% 61.7% 61.7% 61.7%
    239
    Vehicle category Euro
    standard
    Fuel Age group PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    L3-L7 All ages 1.0% 1.7% 1.0% 5.1%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 237: Share of NOx high emitter vehicles in the baseline and policy options
    Vehicle category Euro
    standard
    Fuel Age group Baseline
    level
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    M1 Euro 5 Diesel 0-4 2.5% 2.2% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8%
    M1 Euro 5 Diesel 5-9 5.0% 3.4% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9%
    M1 Euro 5 Diesel 10-14 7.5% 4.3% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4%
    M1 Euro 5 Diesel 15-19 10.0% 5.7% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6%
    M1 Euro 5 Petrol 0-4 3.5% 3.1% 2.6% 2.6% 2.6%
    M1 Euro 5 Petrol 5-9 6.5% 4.4% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8%
    M1 Euro 5 Petrol 10-14 9.8% 5.6% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5%
    M1 Euro 5 Petrol 15-19 13.0% 7.4% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0%
    M1 Euro 6 Diesel 0-4 2.5% 2.2% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8%
    M1 Euro 6 Diesel 5-9 5.0% 3.4% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9%
    M1 Euro 6 Diesel 10-14 7.5% 4.3% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4%
    M1 Euro 6 Diesel 15-19 10.0% 5.7% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6%
    M1 Euro 6 Petrol 0-4 3.3% 2.9% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4%
    M1 Euro 6 Petrol 5-9 6.5% 4.4% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8%
    M1 Euro 6 Petrol 10-14 9.8% 5.6% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5%
    M1 Euro 6 Petrol 15-19 13.0% 7.4% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0%
    M1 Euro 7 Diesel 0-4 1.3% 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9%
    M1 Euro 7 Diesel 5-9 3.0% 2.0% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7%
    M1 Euro 7 Diesel 10-14 4.5% 2.6% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%
    M1 Euro 7 Diesel 15-19 5.0% 2.9% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2%
    M1 Euro 7 Petrol 0-4 1.6% 1.4% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
    M1 Euro 7 Petrol 5-9 3.3% 2.2% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8%
    M1 Euro 7 Petrol 10-14 4.9% 2.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2%
    M1 Euro 7 Petrol 15-19 6.5% 3.7% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9%
    N1 Euro 5 Diesel 0-4 6.0% 5.3% 3.8% 3.6% 3.6%
    N1 Euro 5 Diesel 5-9 9.0% 6.1% 4.5% 4.2% 4.2%
    N1 Euro 5 Diesel 10-14 12.0% 6.9% 5.5% 5.3% 5.3%
    N1 Euro 5 Diesel 15-19 15.0% 8.6% 6.9% 6.6% 6.6%
    N1 Euro 5 Petrol 0-4 7.8% 6.9% 4.9% 4.7% 4.7%
    N1 Euro 5 Petrol 5-9 11.7% 7.9% 5.8% 5.6% 5.6%
    N1 Euro 5 Petrol 10-14 15.6% 9.0% 7.2% 6.9% 6.9%
    N1 Euro 5 Petrol 15-19 19.5% 11.1% 9.0% 8.6% 8.6%
    N1 Euro 6 Diesel 0-4 6.0% 5.3% 3.8% 3.6% 3.6%
    N1 Euro 6 Diesel 5-9 9.0% 6.1% 4.5% 4.2% 4.2%
    N1 Euro 6 Diesel 10-14 12.0% 6.9% 5.5% 5.3% 5.3%
    N1 Euro 6 Diesel 15-19 15.0% 8.6% 6.9% 6.6% 6.6%
    N1 Euro 6 Petrol 0-4 7.8% 6.9% 4.9% 4.7% 4.7%
    N1 Euro 6 Petrol 5-9 11.7% 7.9% 5.8% 5.6% 5.6%
    240
    Vehicle category Euro
    standard
    Fuel Age group Baseline
    level
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    N1 Euro 6 Petrol 10-14 15.6% 9.0% 7.2% 6.9% 6.9%
    N1 Euro 6 Petrol 15-19 19.5% 11.1% 9.0% 8.6% 8.6%
    N1 Euro 7 Diesel 0-4 3.0% 2.6% 1.8% 1.7% 1.7%
    N1 Euro 7 Diesel 5-9 4.5% 3.1% 2.2% 2.1% 2.1%
    N1 Euro 7 Diesel 10-14 6.0% 3.4% 2.7% 2.6% 2.6%
    N1 Euro 7 Diesel 15-19 7.5% 4.3% 3.4% 3.2% 3.2%
    N1 Euro 7 Petrol 0-4 3.6% 3.2% 2.2% 2.1% 2.1%
    N1 Euro 7 Petrol 5-9 4.4% 3.0% 2.1% 2.0% 2.0%
    N1 Euro 7 Petrol 10-14 5.2% 3.0% 2.4% 2.3% 2.3%
    N1 Euro 7 Petrol 15-19 6.0% 3.4% 2.7% 2.6% 2.6%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro VI Diesel 0-4 7.2% 2.9% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro VI Diesel 5-9 8.8% 3.6% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro VI Diesel 10-14 10.4% 4.3% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro VI Diesel 15-19 12.0% 4.9% 4.2% 4.2% 4.2%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro 7 Diesel 0-4 3.6% 1.5% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro 7 Diesel 5-9 4.4% 1.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro 7 Diesel 10-14 5.2% 2.1% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro 7 Diesel 15-19 6.0% 2.5% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1%
    L3-L7 0-4 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.3%
    L3-L7 5-9 6.5% 6.4% 6.4% 6.4% 6.2%
    L3-L7 10-14 9.8% 9.6% 9.6% 9.6% 9.2%
    L3-L7 15-19 13.0% 12.9% 12.8% 12.9% 12.3%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 238: Share of PN high emitter vehicles in the baseline and policy options
    Vehicle category Euro
    standard
    Fuel Age group Baseline
    level
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    M1 Euro 5 Diesel 0-4 2.5% 2.3% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9%
    M1 Euro 5 Diesel 5-9 5.0% 4.0% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4%
    M1 Euro 5 Diesel 10-14 7.5% 4.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7%
    M1 Euro 5 Diesel 15-19 10.0% 6.2% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
    M1 Euro 5 Petrol 0-4 2.6% 2.4% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%
    M1 Euro 5 Petrol 5-9 5.2% 4.1% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6%
    M1 Euro 5 Petrol 10-14 7.8% 4.9% 3.9% 3.9% 3.9%
    M1 Euro 5 Petrol 15-19 10.4% 6.4% 5.2% 5.2% 5.2%
    M1 Euro 6 Diesel 0-4 2.5% 2.3% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9%
    M1 Euro 6 Diesel 5-9 5.0% 4.0% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4%
    M1 Euro 6 Diesel 10-14 7.5% 4.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7%
    M1 Euro 6 Diesel 15-19 10.0% 6.2% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
    M1 Euro 6 Petrol 0-4 2.6% 2.4% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%
    M1 Euro 6 Petrol 5-9 5.2% 4.1% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6%
    M1 Euro 6 Petrol 10-14 7.8% 4.9% 3.9% 3.9% 3.9%
    M1 Euro 6 Petrol 15-19 10.4% 6.4% 5.2% 5.2% 5.2%
    M1 Euro 7 Diesel 0-4 1.3% 1.2% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
    241
    Vehicle category Euro
    standard
    Fuel Age group Baseline
    level
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    M1 Euro 7 Diesel 5-9 3.0% 2.4% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%
    M1 Euro 7 Diesel 10-14 4.5% 2.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2%
    M1 Euro 7 Diesel 15-19 5.0% 3.1% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4%
    M1 Euro 7 Petrol 0-4 1.3% 1.2% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
    M1 Euro 7 Petrol 5-9 2.6% 2.1% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7%
    M1 Euro 7 Petrol 10-14 3.9% 2.4% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9%
    M1 Euro 7 Petrol 15-19 5.2% 3.2% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
    N1 Euro 5 Diesel 0-4 6.0% 5.5% 3.9% 3.7% 3.7%
    N1 Euro 5 Diesel 5-9 9.0% 7.0% 5.1% 4.8% 4.8%
    N1 Euro 5 Diesel 10-14 12.0% 8.0% 6.4% 6.1% 6.1%
    N1 Euro 5 Diesel 15-19 15.0% 9.9% 8.0% 7.6% 7.6%
    N1 Euro 5 Petrol 0-4 6.2% 5.7% 4.1% 3.9% 3.9%
    N1 Euro 5 Petrol 5-9 9.4% 7.2% 5.3% 5.1% 5.1%
    N1 Euro 5 Petrol 10-14 12.5% 8.3% 6.7% 6.4% 6.4%
    N1 Euro 5 Petrol 15-19 15.6% 10.3% 8.4% 8.0% 8.0%
    N1 Euro 6 Diesel 0-4 6.0% 5.5% 3.9% 3.7% 3.7%
    N1 Euro 6 Diesel 5-9 9.0% 7.0% 5.1% 4.8% 4.8%
    N1 Euro 6 Diesel 10-14 12.0% 8.0% 6.4% 6.1% 6.1%
    N1 Euro 6 Diesel 15-19 15.0% 9.9% 8.0% 7.6% 7.6%
    N1 Euro 6 Petrol 0-4 6.2% 5.7% 4.1% 3.9% 3.9%
    N1 Euro 6 Petrol 5-9 9.4% 7.2% 5.3% 5.1% 5.1%
    N1 Euro 6 Petrol 10-14 12.5% 8.3% 6.7% 6.4% 6.4%
    N1 Euro 6 Petrol 15-19 15.6% 10.3% 8.4% 8.0% 8.0%
    N1 Euro 7 Diesel 0-4 3.0% 2.8% 1.9% 1.8% 1.8%
    N1 Euro 7 Diesel 5-9 4.5% 3.5% 2.5% 2.3% 2.3%
    N1 Euro 7 Diesel 10-14 6.0% 4.0% 3.1% 3.0% 3.0%
    N1 Euro 7 Diesel 15-19 7.5% 5.0% 3.9% 3.8% 3.8%
    N1 Euro 7 Petrol 0-4 3.1% 2.9% 2.0% 1.9% 1.9%
    N1 Euro 7 Petrol 5-9 4.7% 3.6% 2.6% 2.5% 2.5%
    N1 Euro 7 Petrol 10-14 6.2% 4.2% 3.3% 3.1% 3.1%
    N1 Euro 7 Petrol 15-19 7.8% 5.2% 4.1% 3.9% 3.9%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro VI Diesel 0-4 7.2% 3.7% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro VI Diesel 5-9 8.8% 4.3% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro VI Diesel 10-14 10.4% 4.7% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro VI Diesel 15-19 12.0% 5.5% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro 7 Diesel 0-4 3.6% 1.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro 7 Diesel 5-9 4.4% 2.2% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro 7 Diesel 10-14 5.2% 2.4% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%
    N2/N3/M2/M3 Euro 7 Diesel 15-19 6.0% 2.7% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3%
    L3-L7 0-4 2.6% 2.6% 2.6% 2.6% 2.5%
    L3-L7 5-9 5.2% 5.1% 5.1% 5.1% 4.9%
    L3-L7 10-14 7.8% 7.7% 7.7% 7.7% 7.4%
    L3-L7 15-19 10.4% 10.3% 10.2% 10.3% 9.9%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    242
    Noise emissions
    On the basis of the analysis of the impacts of each individual measure, the combined impact of the
    measures for each policy option is estimated using the common residual method explained above.
    The tables below summarise the expected reduction in the share of noise high emitter vehicles relative
    to the baseline, by vehicle type and Member State. These are used as inputs in the PRIMES-
    TREMOVE model to derive the reduction in the external costs of noise emissions relative to the
    baseline.
    Table 239: Reduction in the share of noise high emitter M1 vehicles by policy option relative to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    AT 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    BE 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    BG 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    CY 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    DE 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    EE 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    FI 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    FR 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    EL 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    HR 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    HU 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    IE 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    IT 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    LT 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    LU 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    LV 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    MT 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    NL 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    PL 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    PT 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    RO 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    SE 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    SI 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    SK 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    ES 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    DK 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    CZ 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 240: Share of noise high emitter M1 vehicles in the baseline and policy options
    Baseline PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    AT 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    BE 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    BG 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    CY 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    DE 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    243
    Baseline PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    EE 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    FI 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    FR 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    EL 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    HR 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    HU 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    IE 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    IT 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    LT 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    LU 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    LV 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    MT 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    NL 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    PL 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    PT 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    RO 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    SE 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    SI 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    SK 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    ES 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    DK 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    CZ 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 241: Reduction in the share of noise high emitter N1 vehicles by policy option relative to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    AT 0.0% 12.5% 17.5% 17.5%
    BE 0.0% 12.5% 17.5% 17.5%
    BG 0.0% 12.5% 17.5% 17.5%
    CY 0.0% 12.5% 17.5% 17.5%
    DE 0.0% 12.5% 17.5% 17.5%
    EE 0.0% 12.5% 17.5% 17.5%
    FI 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    FR 0.0% 12.5% 17.5% 17.5%
    EL 0.0% 12.5% 17.5% 17.5%
    HR 0.0% 12.5% 17.5% 17.5%
    HU 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    IE 0.0% 12.5% 17.5% 17.5%
    IT 0.0% 12.5% 17.5% 17.5%
    LT 0.0% 12.5% 17.5% 17.5%
    LU 0.0% 12.5% 17.5% 17.5%
    LV 0.0% 12.5% 17.5% 17.5%
    MT 0.0% 12.5% 17.5% 17.5%
    NL 0.0% 12.5% 17.5% 17.5%
    PL 0.0% 12.5% 17.5% 17.5%
    244
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    PT 0.0% 12.5% 17.5% 17.5%
    RO 0.0% 12.5% 17.5% 17.5%
    SE 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    SI 0.0% 12.5% 17.5% 17.5%
    SK 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    ES 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
    DK 0.0% 12.5% 17.5% 17.5%
    CZ 0.0% 12.5% 17.5% 17.5%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 242: Share of noise high emitter N1 vehicles in the baseline and policy options
    Baseline PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    AT 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.3%
    BE 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.3%
    BG 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.3%
    CY 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.3%
    DE 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.3%
    EE 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.3%
    FI 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    FR 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.3%
    EL 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.3%
    HR 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.3%
    HU 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    IE 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.3%
    IT 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.3%
    LT 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.3%
    LU 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.3%
    LV 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.3%
    MT 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.3%
    NL 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.3%
    PL 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.3%
    PT 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.3%
    RO 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.3%
    SE 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    SI 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.3%
    SK 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    ES 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
    DK 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.3%
    CZ 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.3%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 243: Reduction in the share of noise high emitter L3-L7 vehicles by policy option relative to the baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    AT 0.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0%
    BE 12.0% 48.0% 42.8% 51.5%
    245
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    BG 0.0% 35.0% 35.0% 36.9%
    CY 0.0% 35.0% 35.0% 36.9%
    DE 0.0% 16.7% 16.7% 19.0%
    EE 0.0% 35.0% 35.0% 36.9%
    FI 12.0% 48.0% 42.8% 50.1%
    FR 0.0% 35.0% 35.0% 36.9%
    EL 0.0% 35.0% 35.0% 36.9%
    HR 0.0% 16.7% 16.7% 19.0%
    HU 0.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0%
    IE 12.0% 48.0% 42.8% 51.5%
    IT 0.0% 35.0% 35.0% 36.9%
    LT 0.0% 35.0% 35.0% 36.9%
    LU 0.0% 35.0% 35.0% 36.9%
    LV 0.0% 35.0% 35.0% 36.9%
    MT 12.0% 48.0% 42.8% 51.5%
    NL 12.0% 48.0% 42.8% 51.5%
    PL 0.0% 35.0% 35.0% 36.9%
    PT 12.0% 48.0% 42.8% 51.5%
    RO 0.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0%
    SE 0.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0%
    SI 0.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0%
    SK 0.0% 16.7% 16.7% 19.0%
    ES 0.0% 16.7% 16.7% 19.0%
    DK 0.0% 48.0% 35.0% 50.1%
    CZ 0.0% 35.0% 35.0% 36.9%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Table 244: Share of noise high emitter L3-L7 vehicles in the baseline and policy options
    Baseline PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    AT 30.0% 30.0% 19.5% 19.5% 19.5%
    BE 30.0% 26.4% 15.6% 17.2% 14.5%
    BG 30.0% 30.0% 19.5% 19.5% 18.9%
    CY 30.0% 30.0% 19.5% 19.5% 18.9%
    DE 30.0% 30.0% 25.0% 25.0% 24.3%
    EE 30.0% 30.0% 19.5% 19.5% 18.9%
    FI 30.0% 26.4% 15.6% 17.2% 15.0%
    FR 30.0% 30.0% 19.5% 19.5% 18.9%
    EL 30.0% 30.0% 19.5% 19.5% 18.9%
    HR 30.0% 30.0% 25.0% 25.0% 24.3%
    HU 30.0% 30.0% 19.5% 19.5% 19.5%
    IE 30.0% 26.4% 15.6% 17.2% 14.5%
    IT 30.0% 30.0% 19.5% 19.5% 18.9%
    LT 30.0% 30.0% 19.5% 19.5% 18.9%
    LU 30.0% 30.0% 19.5% 19.5% 18.9%
    LV 30.0% 30.0% 19.5% 19.5% 18.9%
    246
    Baseline PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    MT 30.0% 26.4% 15.6% 17.2% 14.5%
    NL 30.0% 26.4% 15.6% 17.2% 14.5%
    PL 30.0% 30.0% 19.5% 19.5% 18.9%
    PT 30.0% 26.4% 15.6% 17.2% 14.5%
    RO 30.0% 30.0% 19.5% 19.5% 19.5%
    SE 30.0% 30.0% 19.5% 19.5% 19.5%
    SI 30.0% 30.0% 19.5% 19.5% 19.5%
    SK 30.0% 30.0% 25.0% 25.0% 24.3%
    ES 30.0% 30.0% 25.0% 25.0% 24.3%
    DK 30.0% 30.0% 15.6% 19.5% 15.0%
    CZ 30.0% 30.0% 19.5% 19.5% 18.9%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    5. IMPACTS BY POLICY OPTION ON SAFETY, EMISSIONS AND NOISE
    5.1. Impacts on road safety
    As explained in section 6.2.1 and in Annex 4 (section 4.1), given that the general objective of the
    initiative is to improve road safety in the EU, several measures to achieve this objective were included
    in the policy options. Direct impact on road safety is expected due to the more effective identification
    of vehicles with major and dangerous defects in the fleet, which should lead to the reduction of road
    crashes caused by technical defects and, as a result, to reduced fatalities and injuries (serious and
    light). Policy options also include other measures contributing to road safety, which relate to better
    implementation and enforcement of the roadworthiness legislation (such as the exchange of data
    among Member States’ authorities).
    Several assumptions were used to establish the impacts on road safety. They are explained in detail,
    by policy measure, in section 4.1 of Annex 4. These inputs437
    were subsequently used in the PRIMES-
    TREMOVE model to derive the impacts on the number of lives saved and injuries avoided. It should
    be noted that an important element in this assessment relates to the contribution of vehicle technical
    defects to road crashes. As explained in section 2.1.1, various studies indicate that their share as a
    contributing factor of the cause of crashes is between 3 and 19%, depending on the scope and
    methodology of the study; for motorcycles, it is 5% to 12% of crashes. For this assessment, a
    conservative approach was taken assuming a 4% contribution of technical defects on road crashes in
    the case of light-duty vehicles, heavy-duty vehicles and trailers and 6% in the case of motorcycles.
    Considering the uncertainty, a sensitivity analysis has been performed and is included in section 6 of
    Annex 4.
    All policy options are expected to result in lives saved and injuries avoided relative to the baseline
    scenario. The table below provides the reduction in the number of fatalities and injuries relative to
    the baseline in 2030 and 2050, as well as the cumulative number of lives saved and injuries avoided
    relative to the baseline over the 2026-2050 horizon. Cumulatively, over the period 2026-2050, PO3
    is expected to result in 7,013 lives saved, followed by PO2 (6,912 lives saved), PO1b (6,847 lives
    saved) and PO1a (4,661 lives saved). The numbers of severe and slight injuries avoided follow a
    similar pattern with PO3 having the highest impact, followed by PO2, PO1b, and PO1a.
    437
    See more details in Annex 4 (section 4.1) on the inputs by measure and their aggregation into policy options.
    247
    Table 245: Expected reduction in the number of fatalities and injuries in the POs relative to the baseline, in 2030
    and 2050, and cumulative reduction over the period 2026-2050
    Fatalities Serious injuries Slight injuries
    PO1a 2030 195 1,768 9,929
    2050 173 1,587 9,011
    Cumulative over 2026-2050 4,661 42,272 239,803
    % reduction 1.1% 1.2% 1.3%
    PO1b 2030 287 2,711 15,099
    2050 253 2,420 13,658
    Cumulative over 2026-2050 6,847 64,640 364,155
    % reduction 1.6% 1.8% 1.9%
    PO2 2030 289 2,721 15,162
    2050 255 2,429 13,712
    Cumulative over 2026-2050 6,912 64,885 365,665
    % reduction 1.6% 1.8% 1.9%
    PO3 2030 293 2,753 15,274
    2050 259 2,460 13,826
    Cumulative over 2026-2050 7,013 65,686 368,498
    % reduction 1.6% 1.8% 2.0%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    It should be noted that the assessment of the impacts at option level has considered all synergies
    between policy measures included in the options, by vehicle category. As such, the impact of a policy
    measure may differ depending on whether it is assessed as part of a package or in isolation. While it
    is quite straightforward for assessing the costs and costs savings by policy measure and policy option,
    it is much more challenging to assess the impacts on the number of fatalities and injuries, and on
    external costs.
    To split the impacts on lives saved and injuries avoided, and the respective external costs, by policy
    option and policy measure the synergies between measures need to be considered. One possibility
    would be to assess various combinations of measures and look at differences between such
    combinations. This would however result in a large number of policy options that is neither practical
    nor proportionate for the analysis. On the other hand, considering that the PRIMES-TREMOVE
    model calculates the impacts on road safety for each category of vehicle, an approximation of the
    impacts by policy option and policy measure can be derived based on: the difference between policy
    options where only one policy measure is related to a certain vehicle category (if relevant) and the
    inputs used for estimating the impacts on road safety by policy measure and the combined effect of
    measures, according to the common residual method. The table below presents the impacts on lives
    saved and injuries avoided, cumulatively over the period 2026-2050, by policy option and policy
    measure relative to the baseline.
    Table 246: Expected cumulative reduction in the number of fatalities and injuries (over the period 2026-2050) by
    policy option and policy measure relative to the baseline
    Policy option Policy measure Fatalities Severe injuries Slight injuries
    PO1a Total 4,661 42,272 239,803
    PMC2 4,643 42,137 239,239
    PM1 19 135 564
    PO1b Total 6,847 64,640 364,155
    PMC2 4,643 42,137 239,239
    PM2 60 430 1,726
    PM6 1,841 21,392 120,521
    PM13 304 681 2,669
    248
    Policy option Policy measure Fatalities Severe injuries Slight injuries
    PO2 Total 6,912 64,885 365,665
    PMC2 4,643 42,137 239,239
    PM1 19 135 564
    PM6 1,841 21,392 120,521
    PM13 304 681 2,669
    PM14 105 540 2,671
    PO3 Total 7,013 65,686 368,498
    PMC2 4,643 42,137 239,239
    PM3 71 552 2,004
    PM4 4 25 137
    PM6 1,841 21,392 120,521
    PM13 304 681 2,669
    PM14 105 540 2,671
    PM15 45 359 1,257
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    The most significant impact on road safety is estimated to come as a result of the new testing
    requirements in PTIs and roadside inspections, which will ensure that safety-related technologies to
    be fitted in new vehicles as required by the General Safety Regulation (GSR) operate as expected
    (PMC2). Due to inspections which will be able to detect defective ADAS systems there should be
    fewer road crashes and thus fewer fatalities and injuries. This measure is included in and has an
    impact on all policy options. In the case of PO1a, additional positive impacts are expected due to
    roadside inspection of motorcycles over 125cc for those Member States438
    where no PTI is currently
    in place for such motorcycles (PM1), assuming that they will choose this option instead of PTI.
    For PO1b, in addition to the impacts of new testing requirements for safety-related technologies
    mandated by the GSR (PMC2), there are additional impacts expected from mandatory annual PTI
    testing of vehicles over 10-year-old (PM6), mandatory PTI for motorcycles over 125cc (PM2) and
    mandatory cargo securing inspections (PM13). The mandatory annual PTI testing of vehicles over
    10-year-old (PM6) will lead to an increase of the PTI frequency in 11 Member States439
    , and has the
    second most significant impact on road safety after PMC2. PM2 is expected to help in the
    identification of motorcycles over 125cc with significant safety defects during PTI inspections in
    those countries that do not apply this measure yet440
    . Mandatory inspections of cargo securing
    (PM13) should ensure that appropriate standards are applied across all the EU, thus contributing to
    the avoidance of accidents caused by cargo defects from HGVs (vehicle category N2/N3)441
    . In PO2,
    further positive, albeit smaller impact is expected due to the introduction of a systematic roadside
    inspection of vans (PM14), which has a high effectiveness in capturing defective N1 vehicles. Finally,
    PO3 goes further in road-safety related measures and besides the impact of measures PMC2, PM6,
    PM13 and PM14, there is additional positive impact expected from the extended scope of PTI to all
    motorcycle over 50 cc (PM3), which would mean a higher share of these vehicles subject to PTI and
    438
    BE, FI, IE, MT, NL, PT (DK already applies RSI for motorcycles and FR plans to introduce PTI in 2024).
    439
    CY, DE, LT, CZ, DK, FR, EL, HU, IT, MT, SK
    440
    BE, FI, IE, MT, NL, PT (FR is expected to introduce PTI in 2024 and is thus part of the baseline).
    441
    This concerns only Member States (BE, BG, DK, DE, EE, FI, FR, IE, IT, LV, LU, NL, PL, PT) where there are no such
    inspections or no adequate standards in place yet.
    249
    a higher share of detected defects. Mandatory PTI for O1 and O2 light trailers442
    would affect around
    21.5% of the total EU fleet of O1 trailers and around 9.3% of the O2 trailers (PM4). Extending the
    scope of roadside inspections to all 2- and 3-wheeled vehicles (PM15) with a target of 1% of the fleet
    is expected to bring an additional reduction of fatalities and serious injuries in comparison to baseline
    levels. It will cover most of the EU Member States except those443
    that indicated that they already
    have RSI inspections for motorcycles in place, although with no clearly stated target.
    The table below provides the reduction in the external costs of accidents relative to the baseline,
    expressed as present value over the 2026-2050 period. The 2019 Handbook on the external costs of
    transport444
    was used to monetise the costs445
    . As a result of the positive impacts on lives saved and
    injuries avoided presented above, PO3 shows the highest impact in terms of reduction in the external
    costs of accidents relative to the baseline (expressed as present value over the 2026-2050 period),
    estimated at EUR 75.2 billion. It is followed by PO2 with EUR 74.2 billion, PO1b with EUR 73.9
    billion, and PO1a with EUR 48.1 billion.
    Table 247: Reduction in the external costs of accidents in the POs relative to the baseline, expressed as present
    value over the 2026-2050 horizon, in 2022 prices (million EUR)
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Fatalities 11,677 17,498 17,633 17,902
    Serious injuries 21,348 33,235 33,299 33,821
    Slight injuries 15,053 23,196 23,251 23,521
    Total 48,079 73,929 74,183 75,244
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    The table below presents the impacts on external costs of accidents by policy option and policy
    measure relative to the baseline, expressed as present value over the 2026-2050 period. The split by
    policy measure considers the synergies between the measures included in the options. Considering
    the caveats explained above, this should be seen as an approximation of the impacts by policy
    measure.
    Table 248: Reduction in the external costs of accidents by policy option and policy measure relative to the baseline,
    expressed as present value over the 2026-2050 horizon, in 2022 prices (million EUR)
    Policy measure PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    PMC2 47,885 47,885 47,885 47,885
    PM1 193 193
    PM2 615
    PM3 739
    PM4 32
    PM6 24,200 24,200 24,200
    PM13 1,229 1,229 1,229
    PM14 675 675
    PM15 483
    442
    Eleven Member States would be affected by PM4: 7 Member States where there is currently no requirement for PTI
    for either O1 or O2 (DK, EL, FI, FR, NL, IE, PT) and 4 Member States where there is currently only a requirement for
    PTI for O2 (PL, SK, BE and ES).
    443
    SE, SI, AT, FI, DK, HU, RO
    444
    https://op.europa.eu/en/publication-detail/-/publication/9781f65f-8448-11ea-bf12-01aa75ed71a1
    445
    Based on the Handbook, the external cost of a fatality in 2022 prices is estimated at around EUR 3.5 million, that of a serious
    injury at around EUR 0.5 million and that of a slight injury at around EUR 0.04 million. These values are multiplied by the number
    of fatalities, serious and slight injuries, respectively, to monetise the external costs of accidents in the context of this impact
    assessment.
    250
    Policy measure PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total 48,079 73,929 74,183 75,244
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    5.2. Impacts on air pollution emissions and noise
    Impacts on air pollutant emissions. As explained in section 6.3, the analysis of the impact on
    emissions has focused on the two pollutants that are targeted in the proposed measures, NOx and
    particulate matter (particulates). Other pollutants have not been considered although it is plausible
    that by targeting high emitters for these two pollutants, there will also be benefits related to other air
    pollutants (e.g. CO, HC, SO2). The measures included in the analysis having an impact on air
    pollutant emissions are targeted at high emitters of NOx and particulate matter in the vehicle fleet,
    which should be effectively identified and repaired.
    All four policy options include the two measures aimed at NOx and particulate matter, PMC3
    (mandatory PN testing) and PMC4 (NOx testing). All policy options include a combination of
    measures specific for motorcycles (PM1 and PM15 for roadside inspections, and PM2 and PM3 for
    PTI). In addition, all options but PO1a include more frequent emissions testing for vans (PM5),
    mandatory annual PTI for cars and vans older than 10 years (PM6), and NOx and PM measurement
    by remote sensing in roadside inspection of all vehicles and plume chasing in RSI of commercial
    vehicles (PM12).
    It is expected that the proposed new testing methods under PMC3 and PMC4 (PN measurement and
    new NOx emissions testing) will be more effective in identifying high emitters than currently used
    methods such as opacity tests. This, combined with an increased scope and frequency of inspection,
    should in principle lead to a higher share of high emitters in the fleet identified. It is also expected
    that roadside inspections of air pollutants (as provided in PM1 and PM15 for motorcycles, and in
    PM14 for vans) will be very effective in identifying tampered vehicles since their owners will not be
    prepared for the specific inspection and, in the majority of the cases, will not have the time to
    deactivate the tampering device. In the case of measures related to PTI inspections (i.e., PM2 and
    PM3 for motorcycles) it can be expected that they are less effective in identifying tampered vehicles
    as the owners can remove or deactivate the tampering device before the PTI inspection and activate
    it again after the inspection. Detailed tables with the expected impact of the four policy options in
    terms of the expected level of reduction of high emitters in comparison to the baseline levels for each
    vehicle category with reference to the total EU fleet are provided in section 4.2.15 of Annex 4.
    Regarding both NOx and particle matter emissions, PO1a has the least impact among all options,
    relative to the baseline, since it only includes common PTI measures PMC3 and PMC4 for PN and
    NOx measurement, respectively, and PM1. PO1b, PO2 and PO3 are all expected to have a higher
    impact than PO1a, in particular for light commercial vehicles (vans), as a result of the introduction
    of more frequent emission testing starting from the first year for vans (PM5) and the requirement of
    annual PTI for vehicles older than 10 years (PM6). Additional positive impacts of these three options
    should arise from the introduction of remote sensing and plume chasing (PM12). However, more
    positive impacts are expected for PO2 and PO3 due to the additional mandatory roadside inspection
    for vans (PM14). Compared to PO1b, PO2 has a higher total expected impact on emissions from
    PM1 due to assumed higher effectiveness of RSI inspections, especially in capturing tampered
    vehicles, while PTIs are considered less effective in capturing of tampered vehicles. In the case of
    PO3, the slightly higher level of impacts in comparison to PO2 comes from the broader scope of
    motorcycles to be covered by PTI (>50 cc, PM3).
    251
    The table below presents the expected impact on the level of emissions in comparison to the baseline
    for each policy option. PO2 and PO3 are expected to have the highest cumulative impact on air
    pollutants reduction over 2026-2050 (3,969 kilo-tonnes of NOx in PO2 and 3,970 kilo-tonnes of NOx
    in PO3, and 199 kilo-tonnes of PM in both PO2 and PO3), representing a decrease of 21% and 18.7%
    for NOx and PM, respectively, relative to the baseline. PO1b shows somewhat lower levels of
    emissions reductions (20.8% for NOx and 18.5% for PM). PO1a is expected to bring the least
    reduction of both air pollutants over the 2026-2050 period (3,176 kilo-tonnes of NOx, representing a
    16.8% reduction relative to the baseline, and 135 kilo-tonnes of PM, representing 12.7% reduction).
    Table 249: Impact on air pollutant emissions (kilo tonnes of NOx and PM2.5 avoided relative to the baseline in
    2030 and in 2050, and cumulative over 2026-2050; % change in cumulative air pollution emissions relative to the
    baseline)
    2030 2050 Cumulative
    over 2026-2050
    % change to
    baseline
    NOx (kilo tonnes of NOx avoided)
    PO1a 200.5 12.1 3,176 -16.8%
    PO1b 253.1 13.9 3,925 -20.8%
    PO2 255.9 14.0 3,969 -21.0%
    PO3 255.9 14.0 3,970 -21.0%
    PM2.5 (kilo tonnes of PM avoided)
    PO1a 7.8 0.6 135 -12.7%
    PO1b 12.0 0.8 196 -18.5%
    PO2 12.1 0.8 199 -18.7%
    PO3 12.1 0.8 199 -18.7%
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    The external cost savings due to the reduction of air pollutant emissions (NOx and PM) were
    calculated using the 2019 Handbook on the external costs of transport446
    . PO2 and PO3 are expected
    to lead to the highest levels of reduction in external costs, estimated at around EUR 76.1 billion,
    expressed as present value over the 2026-2050 period. This is slightly higher than PO1b (EUR 75.2
    billion) and much higher than PO1a (EUR 58.7 billion). Results are presented in the table below.
    Table 250: Reduction in the external costs of air pollutant emissions relative to the baseline, expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050, in 2022 prices (million EUR)
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Reduction in external costs related to NOx emissions 46,966 58,054 58,646 58,659
    Reduction in external costs related to PM emissions 11,707 17,193 17,429 17,429
    Total reduction in external costs of air pollutant emissions 58,673 75,247 76,075 76,088
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2023), Impact assessment support study
    Impact on noise emissions. The measures which are expected to have the highest impact on noise
    reduction are PM12, by the use of remote sensing with acoustic cameras, and PM10, through more
    advanced testing methods for motorcycles at PTI. Positive impact on noise reduction is also expected
    due to measures focusing on high emitters, such as the extension of scope of PTI to cover motorcycles
    (PM3, but also PM1 and PM2), and extending the roadside inspections to cover motorcycles (PM15)
    and light commercial (N1) vehicles (PM14). As in the case of exhaust gas aftertreatment systems,
    PTI on its own is not expected to have a sizeable impact on identifying tampering of noise control
    systems. Roadside inspections are generally expected to be a more effective tool, which was
    confirmed by the stakeholders that responded on this point during the consultations. The limiting
    446
    https://op.europa.eu/en/publication-detail/-/publication/9781f65f-8448-11ea-bf12-01aa75ed71a1
    252
    factor in this case is the capacity of roadside inspections to cover a large share of the fleet. Detailed
    explanations on the input by policy measure used to quantify the impacts are provided in section 4.2
    of Annex 4.
    When comparing the policy options, the impact on the reduction of high emitters and thereby on
    noise is expected to be the lowest in PO1a as it does not contain any measure directly targeted at
    noise (it has a small positive impact through PM1, the introduction of roadside checks for
    motorcycles in six Member States where they are not fully covered by PTI447
    ). A higher impact is
    expected in the case of PO1b and PO2, combining more advanced noise testing in PTI (PM10) and
    use of remote sensing to support roadside inspections (PM12). For PO2 and PO3, additional positive
    impacts can also arise from the increase in roadside inspection of vans but the highest impacts in
    terms of noise reduction are expected in PO3, due to the mandatory RSI for motorcycles (PM15).
    The table below presents the estimated reduction in the external costs of noise for the four policy
    options, with PO3 providing the largest savings of around EUR 7.8 billion, expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline. PO1b and PO2 are expected to bring similar reductions in
    external noise cost (EUR 7.3 billion over the same period). The reduction under PO1a would be
    significantly lower (EUR 0.2 billion). As for the costs of accidents and air pollution, the external
    costs of noise were calculated using the PRIMES-TREMOVE model, based on the 2019 Handbook
    on the external costs of transport.
    Table 251: Reduction in the external costs of noise emissions relative to the baseline, expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050, in 2022 prices (million EUR)
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Reduction in external costs related to noise emissions 154 7,323 7,319 7,757
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    6. TRADE-OFFS IN TERMS OF COSTS AND BENEFITS OF SOME KEY POLICY MEASURES
    As explained in section 5.1 of Annex 4, the assessment of the impacts at option level has considered
    all synergies between policy measures included in the options, by vehicle category. As such, the
    impact of a policy measure may differ depending on whether it is assessed as part of a package or in
    isolation. While in this case this is quite straightforward for assessing the costs and costs savings by
    policy measure and policy option, it is much more challenging to assess the impacts on external costs.
    To split the impacts on lives saved, injuries avoided, the reduction in air pollution and noise emissions
    and the respective external costs by policy option and policy measure, the synergies between
    measures need to be considered. One possibility would be to assess various combinations of measures
    and look at differences between such combinations. This would however result in a large number of
    policy options that is neither practical nor proportionate for the analysis. On the other hand,
    considering that the PRIMES-TREMOVE model calculates the impacts on road safety, air pollution
    and noise external costs corresponding to each category of vehicle, an approximation of the external
    costs savings by policy option and policy measure can be derived based on: (1) the difference between
    policy options where only one policy measure is related to a certain vehicle category (if relevant), (2)
    the inputs used for estimating the impacts on road safety and (3) the share of high-emitting vehicles
    by policy measure and the combined effect of measures, according to the common residual method.
    While keeping in mind the caveats above, the tables below illustrate the benefits, costs, and benefits
    to costs ratio for policy measures related to motorcycles (see Table 252), for the policy measure
    related to trailers (see Table 253) and older vehicles (see Table 254), and for the policy measure
    447
    BE, FI, IE, MT, NL, PL
    253
    related to odometer readings (see Table 255). All costs and benefits are expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050, relative to the baseline.
    While the cost and benefits of the measures addressing motorcycles and trailers are rather limited
    (due to the relatively small number of Member States and number of vehicles affected), the impacts
    of testing cars and vans older than 10 years annually is much more significant. This is even more so
    for the policy measure related to odometer readings that shows the highest benefits.
    Table 252: Benefits and costs for policy measures related to motorcycles, expressed as present value over 2026-
    2050 (in million EUR)
    Benefits and costs (present
    value, in million EUR)
    PM1
    Benefits 350.9
    External costs savings 350.9
    Costs 17.4
    Citizens 7.9
    National public administrations 9.5
    Benefits to costs ratio 20.2
    PM2
    Benefits 1,212.2
    External costs savings 918.1
    Other benefits for PTI centres (increased number of inspections) 294.1
    Costs 502.7
    PTI centres 175.7
    Citizens 294.1
    National public administrations 32.9
    Benefits to costs ratio 2.4
    PM3
    Benefits 1,477.8
    External costs savings 1,136.5
    Other benefits for PTI centres (increased number of inspections) 341.3
    Costs 583.4
    PTI centres 203.9
    Citizens 341.3
    National public administrations 38.1
    Benefits to costs ratio 2.5
    PM15
    Benefits 693.9
    External costs savings 693.9
    Costs 37.6
    Citizens 16.9
    National public administrations 20.6
    Benefits to costs ratio 18.5
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    254
    Table 253: Benefits and costs for the policy measure related to trailers, expressed as present value over 2026-2050
    (in million EUR)
    Benefits and costs (present
    value, in million EUR)
    PM4
    Benefits 558.8
    External costs savings 32.2
    Other benefits for PTI centres (increased number of inspections) 526.6
    Costs 791.3
    PTI centres 225.4
    Other businesses (vehicle owners) 385.1
    Citizens 141.5
    National public administrations 39.2
    Benefits to costs ratio 0.7
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    For older vehicles (PM6), because of the high costs linked to additional investment in new PTI lanes
    and equipment, and, most importantly, additional human resources, the benefits to costs ratio is 1.4
    when considering the economic benefits to PTI centres due to the increased number of inspections.
    Table 254: Benefits and costs for the policy measure related to older vehicles (cars and vans), expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050 (in million EUR)
    Benefits and costs (present value,
    in million EUR)
    PM6
    Benefits 73,872.8
    External costs savings 37,335.2
    Other benefits for PTI centres (increased number of inspections) 36,537.6
    Costs 54,218.4
    PTI centres 17,680.8
    Other businesses (vehicle owners) 23,295.9
    Citizens 13,241.7
    Benefits to costs ratio 1.4
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    The policy measure related to odometer readings (PMC9) is estimated to lead to the highest benefits
    to costs ratio among the measures. This is due to the significant benefits expected for citizens and
    businesses (vehicle owners) due to the reduction in odometer fraud. Even if the effectiveness of the
    measure in reducing the number of vehicles with tampered odometers was significantly lower, the
    benefits and the efficiency of the measure is still expected to remain high.
    Table 255: Benefits and costs for the policy measure related to odometer readings, expressed as present value over
    2026-2050 (in million EUR) relative to the baseline
    Benefits and costs (present
    value, in million EUR)
    PMC9
    Benefits 184,007.4
    Other businesses (vehicle owners) 118,340.5
    Citizens 65,666.9
    Costs 2,638.0
    Garages, motor vehicle dealers, tyre and repair stations, etc. 460.0
    OEMs 55.9
    255
    Benefits and costs (present
    value, in million EUR)
    National public administrations 2,122.1
    Benefits to costs ratio 69.8
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    7. SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
    Sensitivity analysis on contribution of technical defects to road crashes and share of high
    emitting vehicles of air pollution and noise in the fleet. As indicated in section 6.2.1, there is
    significant uncertainty around the contribution of technical defects to road crashes. The central
    assumption used is that 4% of road crashes are caused by technical defects in the case of cars, vans,
    heavy duty vehicles and trailers and 6% in the case of motorcycles. A sensitivity analysis has been
    performed to understand the implications of lower or higher contribution of technical defects to road
    crashes. The following cases have been assessed:
    - Low case: 3% for motorcycles and 1% for all other categories;
    - High case: 9% for motorcycles and 7% for all other vehicle categories.
    In addition, considering the uncertainty of the share of high emitting vehicles of air pollution and
    noise in the fleet, the implications of alternative shares of high and low emitters in the baseline
    scenario have been assessed. More specifically, compared to the central case the following
    assumptions have been used:
    - Low case: shares of high emitters 25% lower than in the baseline;
    - High case: shares of high emitters 25% higher than in the baseline.
    Subsequently, the impacts on external costs and the efficiency of the policy options is assessed for
    the low and high case, including both elements related to safety and emissions.
    The table below presents the impacts on the external costs of accidents, air pollution and noise, in the
    low case, central case (i.e. central estimate used in the assessment) and high case.
    Table 256: External costs savings by policy option in the low case, central case and high case, expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050 compared to the baseline (in million EUR, in 2022 prices)
    Difference to the Baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total external costs savings - low
    case
    91,372.4 116,754.9 117,340.6 118,216.9
    Reduction in external costs of air
    pollution emissions
    42,119.0 55,690.0 56,322.0 56,332.0
    Reduction in external costs of noise
    emissions
    1,271.4 5,589.9 5,585.6 5,920.9
    Reduction in external costs of
    accidents
    47,982.0 55,475.0 55,433.0 55,964.0
    Total external costs savings -
    central case
    106,906.2 156,499.4 157,577.4 159,088.7
    Reduction in external costs of air
    pollution emissions
    58,673.0 75,247.0 76,075.0 76,088.0
    Reduction in external costs of noise
    emissions
    154.2 7,323.4 7,319.4 7,756.7
    Reduction in external costs of
    accidents
    48,079.0 73,929.0 74,183.0 75,244.0
    256
    Difference to the Baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total external costs savings - high
    case
    126,790.2 197,380.7 198,932.4 201,093.3
    Reduction in external costs of air
    pollution emissions
    76,510.0 95,745.0 96,758.0 96,774.0
    Reduction in external costs of noise
    emissions
    2,104.2 9,251.7 9,245.4 9,799.3
    Reduction in external costs of
    accidents
    48,176.0 92,384.0 92,929.0 94,520.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    The following table presents the impacts on total benefits, net benefits and benefits to costs ratio by
    policy option in the low case, central case and high case. It shows that all policy options are expected
    to result in net benefits under the three cases considered. It also shows that the ranking of the policy
    options is not expected to change in the low case and high case relative to the central case estimates.
    Table 257: Summary of costs and benefits of the policy options in the low case, central case and high case,
    expressed as present value over 2025-2050 compared to the baseline (in million EUR, in 2022 prices)
    Difference to the Baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total costs 7,303.3 65,792.3 65,903.9 68,598.9
    Total benefits
    Low case 282,344.8 347,977.0 351,341.5 355,230.4
    Central case 297,878.6 387,721.5 391,578.3 396,102.2
    High case 317,762.6 428,602.8 432,933.3 438,106.8
    Net benefits
    Low case 275,041.5 282,184.7 285,437.6 286,631.5
    Central case 290,575.3 321,929.3 325,674.4 327,503.3
    High case 310,459.3 362,810.5 367,029.4 369,507.9
    Benefits to costs ratio
    Low case 38.7 5.3 5.3 5.2
    Central case 40.8 5.9 5.9 5.8
    High case 43.5 6.5 6.6 6.4
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    Sensitivity analysis on odometer fraud. As explained in sections 6.1.2.4 and 6.1.3, it should be
    acknowledged that there is uncertainty regarding the economic damage caused by odometer fraud
    and the number of vehicles affected. For this reason, sensitivity analysis has been performed on the
    economic damage caused by odometer fraud and the number of vehicles affected.
    With regard to the economic damage caused by odometer fraud, a central estimate of EUR 2,119
    per vehicle has been used and it is explained in more detail in Annex 4 (section 2). The following
    cases have been assessed:
    - Low economic damage case: 20% lower damage costs/costs savings per vehicle (EUR 1,696
    per vehicle);
    - High economic damage case: 20% higher damage costs/costs savings per vehicle (EUR 2,543
    per vehicle).
    257
    Subsequently, the impacts on the benefits due to avoided odometer fraud and the efficiency of the
    policy options is assessed for the low economic damage and high economic damage case.
    The table below presents the benefits due to avoided odometer fraud for national and cross-border
    sales, in the low economic damage case, central case (i.e. central estimate used in the assessment)
    and high economic damage case.
    Table 258: Benefits due to avoided odometer fraud by policy option in the low economic damage case, central case
    and high economic damage case, expressed as present value over 2026-2050 compared to the baseline (in million
    EUR, in 2022 prices)
    Difference to the Baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Low economic damage case 147,205.9 147,205.9 147,205.9 147,205.9
    National 52,718.5 52,718.5 52,718.5 52,718.5
    Cross border 94,487.4 94,487.4 94,487.4 94,487.4
    Central case 184,007.4 184,007.4 184,007.4 184,007.4
    National 65,898.2 65,898.2 65,898.2 65,898.2
    Cross border 118,109.2 118,109.2 118,109.2 118,109.2
    High economic damage case 220,808.9 220,808.9 220,808.9 220,808.9
    National 79,077.8 79,077.8 79,077.8 79,077.8
    Cross border 141,731.1 141,731.1 141,731.1 141,731.1
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    The following table presents the impacts on total benefits, net benefits and benefits to costs ratio by
    policy option in the low economic damage case, central case and high economic damage case. It
    shows that all policy options are expected to result in net benefits under the three cases considered.
    It also shows that the ranking of the policy options is not expected to change in the low economic
    damage case and high economic damage case relative to the central case estimates.
    Table 259: Summary of costs and benefits of the policy options in the low economic damage case, central case and
    high economic damage case, expressed as present value over 2025-2050 compared to the baseline (in million EUR,
    in 2022 prices)
    Difference to the Baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total costs 7,303.3 65,792.3 65,903.9 68,598.9
    Total benefits
    Low economic damage case 261,077.0 350,920.0 354,776.4 359,300.6
    Central case 297,878.5 387,721.5 391,577.8 396,102.1
    High economic damage case 334,680.0 424,523.0 428,379.3 432,903.6
    Net benefits
    Low economic damage case 253,773.7 285,127.7 288,872.5 290,701.7
    Central case 290,575.2 321,929.2 325,674.0 327,503.2
    High economic damage case 327,376.7 358,730.7 362,475.4 364,304.7
    Benefits to costs ratio
    Low economic damage case 35.7 5.3 5.4 5.2
    Central case 40.8 5.9 5.9 5.8
    High economic damage case 45.8 6.5 6.5 6.3
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    With regard to the number of vehicles affected, the central assumptions used for the shares of
    vehicles with tampered odometers are provided in Annex 4 (section 2), Table 37. The following cases
    have been assessed:
    - Fewer vehicles affected case: share of affected vehicles 20% lower than in the central case;
    258
    - More vehicles affected case: share of affected vehicles 20% higher than in the central case.
    The table below presents the benefits due to avoided odometer fraud for national and cross-border
    sales, in the fewer vehicles affected case, central case (i.e. central estimate used in the assessment)
    and more vehicles affected case.
    Table 260: Benefits due to avoided odometer fraud by policy option in the fewer vehicles affected case, central
    case and more vehicles affected case, expressed as present value over 2026-2050 compared to the baseline (in
    million EUR, in 2022 prices)
    Difference to the Baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Fewer vehicles affected case 147,205.9 147,205.9 147,205.9 147,205.9
    National 52,718.5 52,718.5 52,718.5 52,718.5
    Cross border 94,487.4 94,487.4 94,487.4 94,487.4
    Central case 184,007.4 184,007.4 184,007.4 184,007.4
    National 65,898.2 65,898.2 65,898.2 65,898.2
    Cross border 118,109.2 118,109.2 118,109.2 118,109.2
    More vehicles affected case 220,808.9 220,808.9 220,808.9 220,808.9
    National 79,077.8 79,077.8 79,077.8 79,077.8
    Cross border 141,731.1 141,731.1 141,731.1 141,731.1
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    The following table presents the impacts on total benefits, net benefits and benefits to costs ratio by
    policy option in the fewer vehicles affected case, central case and more vehicles affected case. It
    shows that all policy options are expected to result in net benefits under the three cases considered.
    It also shows that the ranking of the policy options is not expected to change in the fewer vehicles
    affected case and more vehicles affected case relative to the central case estimates.
    Table 261: Summary of costs and benefits of the policy options in the fewer vehicles affected case, central case and
    more vehicles affected case, expressed as present value over 2025-2050 compared to the baseline (in million EUR,
    in 2022 prices)
    Difference to the Baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total costs 7,303.3 65,792.3 65,903.9 68,598.9
    Total benefits
    Fewer vehicles affected case 261,077.0 350,920.0 354,776.4 359,300.6
    Central case 297,878.5 387,721.5 391,577.8 396,102.1
    More vehicles affected case 334,680.0 424,523.0 428,379.3 432,903.6
    Net benefits
    Fewer vehicles affected case 253,773.7 285,127.7 288,872.5 290,701.7
    Central case 290,575.2 321,929.2 325,674.0 327,503.2
    More vehicles affected case 327,376.7 358,730.7 362,475.4 364,304.7
    Benefits to costs ratio
    Fewer vehicles affected case 35.7 5.3 5.4 5.2
    Central case 40.8 5.9 5.9 5.8
    More vehicles affected case 45.8 6.5 6.5 6.3
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    The number of vehicles affected in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in the fewer vehicles affected case,
    central case and more vehicles affected case is further provided in the table below.
    Table 262: Number of vehicles affected in 2026, 2030, 2040 and 2050 in the fewer vehicles affected case, central
    case and more vehicles affected case
    259
    Difference to the baseline
    2026 2030 2040 2050
    Fewer vehicles affected case
    National second hand sales with
    mileage fraud (million vehicles)
    1.30 1.37 1.52 1.52
    Cross border sales with mileage fraud
    (million vehicles)
    2.55 2.68 2.87 2.91
    National mileage fraud avoidance
    (million vehicles)
    1.26 1.33 1.48 1.47
    Cross border mileage fraud avoidance
    (million vehicles)
    2.29 2.41 2.58 2.62
    Central case
    National second hand sales with
    mileage fraud (million vehicles)
    1.63 1.71 1.90 1.90
    Cross border sales with mileage fraud
    (million vehicles)
    3.18 3.35 3.59 3.64
    National mileage fraud avoidance
    (million vehicles)
    1.58 1.66 1.85 1.84
    Cross border mileage fraud avoidance
    (million vehicles)
    2.87 3.01 3.23 3.28
    More vehicles affected case
    National second hand sales with
    mileage fraud (million vehicles)
    1.96 2.06 2.28 2.28
    Cross border sales with mileage fraud
    (million vehicles)
    3.82 4.02 4.30 4.37
    National mileage fraud avoidance
    (million vehicles)
    1.90 1.99 2.22 2.21
    Cross border mileage fraud avoidance
    (million vehicles)
    3.44 3.61 3.87 3.93
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    In addition, the combined impact of the economic damage caused by odometer fraud and vehicles
    affected has been assessed as follows:
    - Low economic damage and vehicles affected case: 20% lower damage costs/costs savings per
    vehicle (EUR 1,696 per vehicle) and the share of affected vehicles 20% lower than in the
    central case;
    - High economic damage and vehicles affected case: 20% higher damage costs/costs savings
    per vehicle (EUR 2,543 per vehicle) and the share of affected vehicles 20% higher than in the
    central case.
    Subsequently, the impacts on the benefits due to avoided odometer fraud and the efficiency of the
    policy options is assessed for the low economic damage and vehicles affected case and for the high
    economic damage and vehicles affected case.
    The table below presents the benefits due to avoided odometer fraud for national and cross-border
    sales, in the low economic damage and vehicles affected case, central case (i.e. central estimate used
    in the assessment) and high economic damage and vehicles affected case.
    260
    Table 263: Benefits due to avoided odometer fraud by policy option in the low economic damage and vehicles
    affected case, central case and high economic damage and vehicles affected case, expressed as present value over
    2026-2050 compared to the baseline (in million EUR, in 2022 prices)
    Difference to the Baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Low economic damage and vehicles
    affected case
    117,764.7 117,764.7 117,764.7 117,764.7
    National 42,174.8 42,174.8 42,174.8 42,174.8
    Cross border 75,589.9 75,589.9 75,589.9 75,589.9
    Central case 184,007.4 184,007.4 184,007.4 184,007.4
    National 65,898.2 65,898.2 65,898.2 65,898.2
    Cross border 118,109.2 118,109.2 118,109.2 118,109.2
    High economic damage and vehicles
    affected case
    264,970.6 264,970.6 264,970.6 264,970.6
    National 94,893.4 94,893.4 94,893.4 94,893.4
    Cross border 170,077.3 170,077.3 170,077.3 170,077.3
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    The following table presents the impacts on total benefits, net benefits and benefits to costs ratio by
    policy option in the low economic damage and vehicles affected case, central case and high economic
    damage and vehicles affected case. It shows that all policy options are expected to result in net
    benefits under the three cases considered. It also shows that the ranking of the policy options is not
    expected to significantly change in the low economic damage and vehicles affected case and high
    economic damage and vehicles affected case relative to the central case estimates.
    Table 264: Summary of costs and benefits of the policy options in the low economic damage and vehicles affected
    case, central case and high economic damage and vehicles affected case, expressed as present value over 2025-
    2050 compared to the baseline (in million EUR, in 2022 prices)
    Difference to the Baseline
    PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Total costs 7,303.3 65,792.3 65,903.9 68,598.9
    Total benefits
    Low economic damage and vehicles
    affected case
    231,635.9 321,478.8 325,335.2 329,859.5
    Central case 297,878.5 387,721.5 391,577.8 396,102.1
    High economic damage and vehicles
    affected case
    378,841.8 468,684.7 472,541.1 477,065.4
    Net benefits
    Low economic damage and vehicles
    affected case
    224,332.5 255,686.6 259,431.3 261,260.6
    Central case 290,575.2 321,929.2 325,674.0 327,503.2
    High economic damage and vehicles
    affected case
    371,538.5 402,892.5 406,637.2 408,466.5
    Benefits to costs ratio
    Low economic damage and vehicles
    affected case
    31.7 4.9 4.9 4.8
    Central case 40.8 5.9 5.9 5.8
    High economic damage and vehicles
    affected case
    51.9 7.1 7.2 7.0
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2024), Impact assessment support study
    261
    8. TESTING TECHNOLOGIES
    It should be noted that most of the technologies required for more advanced testing in the policy
    measures are available. However certain test methods need to be developed. This is true for electric
    vehicles, advanced driver assistance systems, as well as for testing the emissions of modern vehicles.
    Although electric vehicles have now been subject to PTI for some time, the PTI Directive has no
    specific provision to test high-voltage systems and thus the risks associated with them. Certain
    Member States have applied their own test methods but there is scope for harmonising the items to
    be checked as well as the methods used. An overview of the main technologies/test methods relevant
    for specific measures is provided in the table below.
    Table 265: Technology/methods required by specific policy measures
    Measure Technology/test procedure
    required
    Current status
    PMC1 Visual testing and tools to
    measure insulation
    resistance and equipotential
    bonding
    This technology and equipment already exists (see for example:
    https://www.hioki.com/euro-
    en/learning/applications/detail/id_n1265994) – a number of stakeholders
    confirmed this (e.g. TUV, ARBO, CITA, FSD) but indicated that they do
    not take place in general as this is not required for roadworthiness testing.
    See also: https://citainsp.org/wp-
    content/uploads/2023/06/CITA_WP_BEV_REV1_15062023_FINAL.p
    df
    A recent proposal from FR focused on visual inspection on the basis that
    this is faster/cheaper and, in FR’s view, sufficient.
    PMC2 PTI scan tool Already exists and being used, though not as widely and regularly as it
    could be.
    PTI centres are required to have scan tools since May 2023 only and their
    use is optional. As such, only a few MSs have made use of it for testing
    electronic safety systems or checking the status of emission control
    systems. An ISO standard describing the checks of safety-related systems
    has only been developed recently.
    PMC3 PN testing equipment Already exists and has been used by three Member States that have made
    PN testing a requirement. Most other Member States did not indicate a
    clear intention to introduce these existing test methods as requirement.
    PMC4 NOx testing equipment and
    standardised testing
    procedure
    NOx testing procedures exist but JRC is still working on a test method.
    Current experience (e.g. Flanders) suggest that this is expensive but over
    time and with large scale adoption costs may come down.
    Cost can also be a barrier for PTI adoption given the consideration that
    PTI should not be an expensive test. The intention is to combine this test
    with the PN test.
    PMC6 Digital technology for
    electronic roadworthiness
    certificate
    Generally available – not barrier/issue for adoption besides investment
    costs
    PM7 Need to apply advanced
    testing of suspension
    (damping efficiency of
    shock absorbers) for all
    vehicles and specific
    Relevant equipment and testing methods are in place and used in some
    Member States (according to SE, DE authorities and CITA). Reason for
    no broader adoption is mainly the cost.
    262
    Measure Technology/test procedure
    required
    Current status
    braking test (extrapolation
    method) for HDVs.
    PM10 Advance noise testing
    similar to pass-by noise test
    described in the UN
    Regulation no. 41
    Existing technology already used in some Member States (DE, ES, HR
    and SK). A barrier for broader adoption is the cost of equipment and/or
    requirements for ensuring silence (according to Dutch authorities,
    EGEA) that may require additional investment.
    PM12 Remote sensing, plume
    chasing equipment for NOx
    and PM and acoustic
    cameras for noise
    Technologies already exist and also methodologies are in place.
    Main barrier for adoption is the reliability of the methods along with
    investment cost, and the fact that they are not seen by some stakeholders
    as replacing PTI (e.g. TUV (DE), AECA-ITV (BE)) but as
    complementary (AEEC refers to a few member states (DK, BE) that have
    tried remote sensing or plume chasing). There is no clear indication of
    expected broader uptake at Member State level. FI indicated that the
    approach should not become mandatory and ES that they do not see this
    as priority for RSI.
    PM16 No specific technologies
    needed – digital
    technologies already in
    place
    Barrier for broader adoption is the cost/investment needed. Most
    authorities supported the measure in principle but proposed that it should
    not be mandatory (e.g. NL, DE, FI, SI, NO, SK, LV) although others
    prefer it to be mandatory (ES, SE, HR).
    263
    ANNEX 5: COMPETITIVENESS CHECK
    1. OVERVIEW OF IMPACTS ON COMPETITIVENESS
    Dimensions of
    Competitiveness
    Impact of the initiative
    (++ / + / 0 / - / -- / n.a.)
    References to sub-sections of the
    main report or annexes
    Cost and price competitiveness 0/+ 6.1.2, 6.1.4 and Annex 4 (section 3)
    International competitiveness n.a. n.a.
    Capacity to innovate + 6.1.5
    SME competitiveness 0/+ 6.1.6 and Annex 10
    2. SYNTHETIC ASSESSMENT
    Cost and price competitiveness
    PTI centres and businesses that own and use light and heavy-duty vehicles are expected to face
    significant costs related to additional testing requirements and data governance in PO2. Total one-
    off costs for PTI centres have been estimated at EUR 3.3 billion. Recurrent costs are expected to
    amount to EUR 20.2 billion for PTI centres and EUR 25.7 billion for other businesses (vehicle
    owners), expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline. Vehicle manufacturers,
    and garages will face comparatively lower costs (one-off costs: EUR 20 million for vehicle
    manufacturers and EUR 149.2 million for garages; recurrent administrative costs: EUR 35.9 million
    for vehicle manufacturers and EUR 310.8 million for garages).
    At the same time, PTI centres will benefit from administrative cost savings (EUR 1.6 billion,
    expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline) and, more importantly, the
    expectation of new business creation and thus revenues (EUR 39.1 billion). Total net benefits for PTI
    centres are estimated at EUR 17.3 billion, expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the
    baseline. As shown in section 6.1.2.1 (Table 11), net benefits per PTI centre would represent around
    6.3% of the turnover. It is further expected that PTI centres may be able to pass on the incurred costs
    related to investments in equipment to vehicle owners (businesses and citizens). This will vary from
    Member State to Member State and depend on whether PTI prices are regulated or not, as well as on
    the type of contract/agreement PTI providers have with the competent national authority. Thus, PO2
    is expected to lead to an increase in the profitability of PTI centres.
    As explained above, additional costs are expected to arise for businesses that own and use light and
    heavy-duty vehicles, either because of the expected increase in the frequency and costs of PTI or the
    extra time spent during roadside inspections. These will be more than counterbalanced by cost
    savings and other benefits, in particular by the benefits due to avoided odometer fraud. The net
    benefits for businesses that own and use light and heavy-duty vehicles are estimated at EUR 94
    billion, expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline.
    Vehicle manufacturers and garages will face comparatively lower costs, as explained above, and no
    costs savings, resulting in net costs of EUR 55.9 million and EUR 460 million, respectively,
    expressed as present value over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline.
    264
    International competitiveness
    This initiative has no evident impact on the international competitiveness of EU businesses related
    to the provision of PTI services that need to take place in the EU. Non-EU businesses in the specific
    sector cannot be expected to benefit. Since the corresponding test requirements would be first
    introduced in the EU, garage equipment and other testing equipment manufacturers could benefit
    from a possible first mover advantage that can also arise for EU manufacturers. However, the
    measures and requirements should apply equally to European and non-European manufacturers, to
    the extent that they have equal access to the EU market on the basis of the EU standards. Finally, EU
    based transport operators and other business that use vehicles on a frequent basis may experience
    some extra costs as a result of the more demanding measures and time spent during roadside
    inspections but would at the same time benefit significantly from the avoided odometer fraud.
    Transport operators from third countries active in Europe may benefit from some reduced PTI costs
    in comparison to their EU competitors although they can still be subject to roadside inspections by
    authorities.
    Put together, there is no evidence of a strong positive or strong negative impact on international
    competitiveness. Businesses in equipment manufacturing sectors may benefit from the first mover
    advantage while transport operators may face stricter PTI requirements that will not arise for their
    counterparts outside Europe but active in Europe. Those non-EU hauliers will however equally be
    subject to more advanced roadside inspections. These positive or negative impacts are expected to
    be limited.
    Capacity to innovate
    As explained in section 6.1.5, positive impacts on innovation are expected from requiring more
    stringent and advanced test methods that also need to be adjusted to the general requirement for a
    PTI to be quick, simple and affordable. The initiative would provide garage and testing equipment
    manufacturers with new opportunities, mainly on the basis of increased demand that will arise from
    the implementation of the policy measures. The measures outlined will largely rely on existing
    measurement and testing technologies, which are not expected to require significant innovation in
    design. However, they can still be expected to require adaptations and further improvements to meet
    the needs of PTI and roadside inspections, facilitating process innovation. There will also be a need
    to establish and implement the accompanying standards for the widespread adoption of the
    measurement and testing methods related to NOx and PN measurements, remote sensing, the use of
    ePTI and noise measurement, which can further facilitate their adoption but can also provide the basis
    for the development of alternative, competing, solutions. To the extent that there is eventually a
    broader adoption of such technologies, a possible first mover advantage can arise for EU
    manufacturers. However, in principle, it should benefit equally European and non-European
    manufacturers, to the extent that they have equal access to the EU market based on the EU standards
    set.
    The consulted stakeholders expect a positive impact on the innovative capacity of the sectors affected
    from measures related to new PTI/RSI test requirements, improved access and exchange of
    information and the digitalisation of vehicle documents.
    Furthermore, increased demand for new test methods and equipment can be expected to generate
    further development of relevant technologies by developers of measurement equipment, a viewpoint
    supported by the representatives of the sector in their contribution to the stakeholder consultation.
    265
    Together with that, relevant training of inspectors to the new test methods will enhance the
    availability of technical skills and expertise that can have a broader positive impact. As such, most
    of the common measures are expected to have some positive impact on innovation (PMC1 on the
    testing of electric vehicles, PMC2 using ePTI, PMC3 and PMC4 on new emission tests, PMC6 on
    digital PTI certificates, and PMC7 on more efficient exchange of vehicle data).
    While in the case of PO1a the digitalisation of the registration certificates (PM16) may require further
    innovation, PO1b would introduce remote sensing and plume chasing (PM12) to monitor air
    pollutants and noise emitted by vehicles. Remote sensing also relies on existing technologies but
    requires adaptations to scale them up to cover the desired share of the vehicle fleet. Deploying these
    technologies at a larger scale than today would also necessitate process innovation. PO2 and PO3
    combine the benefits of both measures.
    SME competitiveness
    As explained in Annex 10 and in section 6.1.6, for PTI centres, while it was not possible to split the
    costs and benefits between SME and others due to the lack of data, a large part of costs and benefits
    are expected to be attributed to SMEs. In PO2, net benefits for PTI centres are expected to represent
    around 6.3% of the turnover.
    Garage equipment manufacturers are expected to benefit from additional business opportunities
    linked to higher demand for testing equipment, although such impacts were not possible to quantify.
    Garages, motor vehicle dealers, tyre and repair workshops, etc., mostly SMEs, will be affected by
    the requirement for Member States to set up a system to record odometer readings from the cars and
    vans registered in their territory (PMC9). As explained in section 6.1.2.2, total one-off and recurrent
    administrative costs would amount to EUR 460 million (EUR 706 per company), expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050.
    For businesses owning vehicles, as explained in section 6.1.2.4, PO2 is expected to result in net
    benefits estimated at EUR 94 billion, expressed as present value over 2025-2050 relative to the
    baseline. Based on the available information, it was however not possible to assess how many of the
    businesses owning vehicles are SMEs. Only few of the measures in PO2 are expected to affect the
    road haulage sector largely composed of SMEs (e.g., PM13 on cargo securing inspections, which
    would result in minimal costs, while hauliers could also benefit from the savings of avoided emission
    tests at PTI after having passed a RSI or a remote sensing check). The overall impact on the road
    haulage sector is expected to be limited but rather positive, although the available data did not allow
    a split of the costs and benefits between the two groups of operators (i.e., SME and others).
    266
    ANNEX 6: BACKGROUND ON ROADWORTHINESS LEGISLATION AND PTI
    ORGANISATION IN MEMBER STATES
    This annex provides background information related to:
    • the evolution of the EU roadworthiness legislation;
    • the way PTI is organised in Member States;
    • the average prices of PTI in Member States.
    1. EVOLUTION OF EU ROADWORTHINESS LEGISLATION
    Figure 9: Road safety policy and PTI in the EU
    Source: EUR-Lex, DEKRA presentation, CITA International Conference 2023, Rotterdam
    267
    2. ORGANISATION OF PTI IN MEMBER STATES
    Table 266: Periodic technical inspection in Member States, passenger cars
    Country Frequency
    (in years)
    Conducted by Country Frequency
    (in years)
    Conducted by
    Austria 3-2-1-1- A Ireland 4-2-2-2-1-1 B
    Belgium 4-1-1-1- B Italy 4-2-2-2- D
    Bulgaria 3-2-1-1- Lithuania 3-2-2-2 B
    Cyprus 4-2-2-2- B Luxembourg 4-2-1-1- B
    Czechia 4-2-2-2- Latvia 2-2-1-1- B & C & D
    Germany 3-2-2-2- B Malta 4-2-2-2- B
    Denmark 4-2-2-2- The Netherlands Petrol/electric 4-2-
    2-1-1 diesel/other
    3-1-1-1
    A
    Estonia 4-2-2-2-1 B Poland 3-2-1-1- B
    Greece 4-2-2-2- B & D Portugal 4-2-2-1- B
    Spain 4-2-2-2-1- B & D Romania 3-2-2-2-2-1- B & D
    Finland 4-2-2-2-1- B Sweden 3 years – 2 years –
    14 months – 14
    months – 14
    months
    B
    France 4-2-2-2- B Slovenia 4-2-2-1- B
    Croatia 2-1-1-1- B Slovakia 4-2-2-2- B
    Hungary 4-2-2-2- B & D
    A: Commercial garages: commercial garages that are also allowed to carry out repairs
    B: Private inspection centres: privately owned vehicle inspection centres
    C: Central Licencing Authority: the central licencing authority in the country
    D: Public inspection centres: governmental owned vehicle inspection centres
    Sources: https://road-safety.transport.ec.europa.eu/road-safety-member-states/roadworthiness-certificate-and-proof-
    test_en, https://www.ereg-association.eu/publications/the-vehicle-and-driver-chain-in-europe/
    268
    3. OVERVIEW OF PTI CONSUMER PRICES IN EU MEMBER STATES
    Table 267: PTI consumer prices by Member State
    MEMBER
    STATE
    PTI PRICE LIGHT VEHICLES PTI PRICE HEAVY
    VEHICLES
    REFERENCES
    Austria Vary from garage to garage:
    Petrol and Diesel cars
    €49.70 – 125.70 (average €82.38)
    Members of ÖAMTC €49,70. Members of
    ARBÖ €59,90
    Electric cars
    €49,70 – 131,04 (average: €84,69
    Vary from deals between garage
    and transport businesses
    Authority interview
    https://wien.arbeiterkammer.at/be
    ratung/konsumentenschutz/auto/2
    02305_KFZ-Pickerlkosten.pdf
    Belgium 38.2€ (VAT 21% included)
    + 4.90 (spark ignition)
    + 14.60 (diesel)
    68.1€ (VAT 21% included) https://www.autoveiligheid.be/sit
    es/default/files/tarieven_ak_2023.
    pdf
    https://www.autocontrole.be/fr/tar
    ifs
    Bulgaria For M1 vehicles the price including VAT is 50
    BGN (approx. 25,58 €)
    For M2 and M3 vehicles the
    price including VAT is 70 BGN
    (approx. 35,81 €) https://dekra-
    automotive.bg/annual-technical-
    inspections
    Croatia Technical inspection of a personal vehicle –
    20,25 € + VAT
    ECOtest DIESEL – 13,61 € + VAT
    Forms and technical inspection registers 2 – €
    1,24 + VAT (8,78) €Total – 43,88 €
    The price of PTI for L vehicles (without VAT)
    is 12,30 €
    For PTI of M2 and M3 vehicles,
    the price without VAT (25%) is
    32,55 €
    VEHICLE TECHNICAL
    INSPECTION AND VEHICLE
    REGISTRATION - Price
    (plocice.hr)
    https://narodne-
    novine.nn.hr/clanci/sluzbeni/2022
    _12_155_2459.html
    Cyprus For M1 vehicles, the IKTEO (Private Technical
    Inspection Centres for Vehicles)
    fee is 35 € (incl. VAT)
    For M2 vehicles, the IKTEO fee
    is 65 € (incl. VAT)
    For M3 vehicles, the IKTEO fee
    is 85 € (incl. VAT)
    The Motor Vehicles
    (Roadworthiness Tests and
    Technical Inspection Centres)
    Law of 2007 - 1(I)/2007
    (cylaw.org)
    The 4 IKTEOs licensed by the
    Ministry of Education.
    Transport/Price List
    (brief.com.cy)
    Τιμοκατάλογος – M.O.T
    Paralimni | Giovanis
    (motgiovanis.com)
    The МОТ test: governmental
    vehicle inspection
    (pitsasinsurances.com)
    Czechia Price for regular technical inspection of M1 and
    N1 vehicles: 1 200 CZK (approx. 49,09 €)
    Trailers category O1 up to
    750kg: 800 CZK (approx. 32,72
    €)
    Price list - Pronto STK s.r.o.
    (stkpraha.cz)
    269
    MEMBER
    STATE
    PTI PRICE LIGHT VEHICLES PTI PRICE HEAVY
    VEHICLES
    REFERENCES
    For category L vehicles (mopeds/motorcycles)
    the price is 800 CZK (approx. 32,72 €)
    Trailers category O2 from 750kg
    to 3500kg: 1100 CZK (approx.
    44,99 €)
    Denmark Varies from garage to garage and depending on
    the time of the day.
    In 2016, the average price was €50.
    Varies from deals between
    garage and transport businesses
    Authority interview
    https://www.europe-
    consommateurs.eu/fileadmin/Med
    ia/PDF/PDF_EN/Cross_border_c
    ar_purchase_2016/PDF_EN/Coun
    try_fact_sheets___purchase/Coun
    try_fact_sheets_purchase_FINAL
    -DK.pdf
    Estonia M1 vehicles - 43,95/49,95€ M2 vehicles - 53,95/59,95€
    M3 vehicles - 65,95/71,95 €
    Hinnakiri | Tehnoülevaatus al.
    19€ | Tehnoülevaatus.ee
    (tehnoulevaatus.ee)
    Finland Vary from garage to garage – 25-70 EUR Authority interview
    France Between 74,85 and 90 € Between 74,85 and 90 € Prix contrôle technique |
    moncontroletechnique.fr
    Germany Vary from garage and regions, between EUR
    133,90 - 145 Euro
    https://www.handelsblatt.com/un
    ternehmen/tuev-kosten-2023-so-
    teuer-sind-hauptuntersuchung-
    und-abgasuntersuchung-aktuell-
    /27005938.html
    Greece Passenger cars €45-60
    Motorcycles €20-35
    Taxi €30-45
    Trucks (up to 3.5t) €54-70
    Recheck €3-6
    https://www.gocar.gr/news/feed/
    28822,Poso_kostizei_to_KTEO.h
    tml
    https://www.checkyourcar.gr/
    Hungary The price for passenger car inspection is HUF
    21,000-24,000 (EUR 54,68-62,49) in the case
    of four-wheel drive passenger cars HUF
    25,000-28,000 (EUR 65,09-72,90).
    Technical examination of trucks
    for 2-4 wheel drive vehicles
    costs HUF 22,000-26,000 (EUR
    57,28-67,7) and HUF 27,000-
    30,000 (EUR 70,30-78,11)
    2023 Műszaki vizsga ára (Jármű
    típus szerint) – Qjob.hu
    Ireland 55 EUR https://www.rsa.ie
    Italy If performed by the national authority
    “Motorizzazione civile”, the cost of PTI is 45 €.
    If performed by private inspection centres, the
    cost varies depending on the centre: the average
    the price for cars in 2023 ranges between € 50
    and € 80.
    Example of a cost breakdown of inspection at
    private centres - € 54.95 plus VAT, DMS fees
    and payment commissions: 54.95 € mandatory
    revision fee + 12.09 € VAT 22% on the
    Same as light vehicles https://www.rattiauto.it/it-
    it/blog/curiosita/revisione-auto-
    2023-prezzi-e-
    rimborsi#:~:text=Per%20effettuar
    e%20la%20revisione%20auto,eur
    o%20e%20gli%2080%20euro
    https://www.revisioneauto.eu/do
    mande-frequenti/revisione-auto-
    normativa-costi-scadenza-
    sanzioni
    270
    MEMBER
    STATE
    PTI PRICE LIGHT VEHICLES PTI PRICE HEAVY
    VEHICLES
    REFERENCES
    compulsory audit fee + 10.20 € DMS fee + 1.76
    € DMS fee payment commission
    https://assicurazioni.segugio.it/ne
    ws-assicurazioni/revisione-auto-
    modalita-scadenze-e-costi-per-il-
    2023-
    00037311.html#:~:text=In%20par
    ticolare%2C%20presso%20la%2
    0Motorizzazione,euro%20a%207
    9%2C02%20euro.
    Latvia Basic test for a vehicle of category M1 - 29,40
    €
    Basic test for a vehicle of
    category M2- 32,97 €
    Basic test for a vehicle of
    category M3 - 50,19 €
    Bus with a laden weight of more
    than 5 tonnes (category M3) |
    Payments for technical inspection
    | Technical inspection | Vehicle
    (csdd.lv)
    Lithuania For M1 vehicles prices for technical inspections
    range from 23 to 28,90 €
    For motorcycles/mopeds, the price is 11,30 €
    Inspection of M2 class small
    buses – 26, 6 €
    Inspection of M3 class buses,
    trolleybuses – 37,8 €
    Inspection of M3 class
    connected buses, trolleybuses –
    42,8 €
    Compulsory roadworthiness
    testing prices | TUVLITA
    Luxembourg 64 EUR 77 EUR https://www.snct.lu/clients-
    particuliers/tarifs-du-controle-
    technique
    Malta VRT testing for car now costs € 30.27, as
    against the € 25.27 that used to be charged until
    2022
    Cost of VRT testing up €5 as from
    January - The Malta Independent
    Netherlands Varies from garage to garage (and depends on
    age of vehicle):
    e.g., €42-78.50, or €43.10-52.80
    Varies from garage to garage:
    e.g., €100-193 or €68.10
    https://vanabeelen.nl/tarieven
    https://www.km.be/autokeuring/ta
    rieven
    Poland The cost of periodic technical inspection is
    determined by the ministry and in the case of
    passenger cars it is PLN 99 (approx. € 21,33).
    Owners of vehicles with LPG/CNG gas
    installations pay PLN 162 (approx. 34,90 €)
    Motorbikes: 62 PLN incl. VAT (approx. 13,32
    €)
    Passenger cars, buses designed
    to carry no more than 15 people
    including the driver, lorries: 98
    PLN incl. VAT (approx. 21,05 €)
    Buses designed to carry more
    than 15 people including the
    driver:199 PLN incl. VAT
    (approx. 42, 75 €)
    https://beesafe.pl/porady/ile-
    kosztuje-przeglad-
    samochodu/#:~:text=Koszt%20ok
    resowego%20przegl%C4%85du
    %20technicznego%20ustalany,z
    %20gazem%20kosztuje%20162
    %20z%C5%82ote.
    https://www.infor.pl/akt-
    prawny/DZU.2004.223.0002261,r
    ozporzadzenie-ministra-
    infrastruktury-w-sprawie-
    wysokosci-oplat-zwiazanych-z-
    prowadzeniem-stacji-kontroli-
    pojazdow-oraz-
    przeprowadzaniem-badan-
    technicznych-pojazdow.html
    https://isap.sejm.gov.pl/isap.nsf/D
    ocDetails.xsp?id=WDU20042232
    261
    271
    MEMBER
    STATE
    PTI PRICE LIGHT VEHICLES PTI PRICE HEAVY
    VEHICLES
    REFERENCES
    Portugal Light-duty vehicles: 27.80 €
    Mopeds: 14.00 €
    Heavy-duty vehicles: 41,60 € Realizar as Inspeções Periódicas a
    Veículos - ePortugal.gov.pt
    Romania ITP fee Taxi or Driving School = 80 lei (approx.
    16,09 €)
    ITP fee Petrol or petrol + LPG cars = 120 lei
    (approx. 24,14 €)
    ITP fee Diesel cars = 150 lei (approx. 30,18 €)
    ITP fee Motorcycles = 120 lei (approx. 24,14 €)
    ITP fee Mopeds = 120 lei (approx. 24,14 €)
    ITP fee Minibuses,
    motorhomes, vans, mixed,
    specialised = 150 lei (approx.
    30,18 €)
    ITP fee Vehicles with 4x4 all-
    wheel drive = 150 lei (approx.
    30,18 €)
    PTI tariffs - periodic technical
    inspection (itp-automoto.ro)
    Slovakia PTI prices vary greatly between the eastern and
    western areas. As an example, in Bratislava PTI
    price for passenger cars, vans, tricycles and
    quads is 45 € including VAT.
    In Bratislava, the PTI price for
    M2 and M3 vehicles is 70 €
    https://www.dekra.sk/en/pti-
    bratislava-petrzalka/
    Slovenia Passenger car (weight up to 2.5 T): 36,74 €
    Passenger car (weight over 2.5 T): 46,28 €
    Motorcycle and quadricycle (L1 to L7) and
    Moped wheel (L1 to L5): 19,09 €
    Bus (M2): 84,45 €
    Coach articulated (M3) and
    truck and towing vehicles (N3):
    96,86 €
    Roadworthiness tests | AMZS
    Spain 30,39€ (40,95€ with VAT) 49,73€ (64,35€ with VAT) ITVASA - Tarifas de vehículos
    Sweden 64 EUR Average price across vehicle types
    – CITA survey
    Source: VVA (2023), Evaluation support study and own elaboration
    272
    ANNEX 7: DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE RETAINED POLICY
    MEASURES
    1. COMMON MEASURES INCLUDED IN THE POLICY OPTIONS
    PMC1 – Adapt PTI to electric and hybrid vehicles (safety, environmental
    performance, standardised data), including training of inspectors
    Concerns: Directive 2014/45/EU (PTI)
    The measure will introduce new items to be tested as part of PTI concerning vehicles
    equipped with high-voltage systems, such as battery electric and hybrid vehicles. The
    following groups of items could be included in Annex I of Directive 2014/45/EU in the
    section referring to electrical equipment:
    • Visual inspection of the traction battery cover and the batteries;
    • Visual inspection and/or operation of the high voltage wiring harness and
    connectors, including the charging cable;
    • Visual inspection and operation of high voltage electrical and electronic
    equipment;
    • Anti-starting system: functional check by verifying that the vehicle cannot move
    by itself with the charging cable plugged.
    As in the case of all other test items, deficiencies would be categorised as minor, major or
    dangerous, depending on the reason for failure, such as slightly/heavily deteriorated or
    defective items.
    PMC2 – Update PTI and RSI due to new requirements in General Safety Regulation
    and checking emission reduction systems (new test items, including checks of
    software status/integrity), by reading on-board diagnostics
    Concerns: Directive 2014/45/EU (PTI) and Directive 2014/47/EU (RSI)
    This measure will introduce new items to be tested as part of PTI and RSI using the on-
    board diagnostic (OBD) scanners connected to the electronic vehicle interface (OBD port).
    Since May 2023, testing centres are required to be equipped with such scan tools, however,
    their use has been limited so far. The current PTI and RSI Directives do not require the
    actual use of OBD scanners but refer to them as an alternative to visual inspection (of
    warning devices) for the checking of certain safety systems, such as anti-lock braking
    system (ABS), electronic brake system (EBS), Electronic Power Steering (EPS), the
    functioning of safety belts and airbag systems and the Electronic Stability Control (ESC).
    Thanks to recently developed standards448
    , it is now also possible to query ePTI-relevant
    system information, including software identification, software integrity, current and/or
    448
    ISO 20730-1:2021 and 20730-3:2021, https://www.iso.org/standard/73801.html
    273
    stored values, and to electronically test the safety systems required by the General Safety
    Regulation, such as: automated lane keeping system (ALKS), automated braking,
    intelligent speed assistance, reversing detection with camera or sensors, acoustic vehicle
    alerting to prevent collisions with pedestrians or cyclists, emergency braking signal, or tyre
    pressure monitoring systems.
    Using ePTI will also allow checking additional safety-relevant items, like automatic
    lighting, adaptative headlights, speed limiter and adaptative cruise control.
    PMC3 - Mandatory PN testing of LDVs and HDVs equipped with particle filter, at
    PTI, and of HDVs at technical roadside inspections of commercial vehicles
    Concerns: Directive 2014/45/EU (PTI) and Directive 2014/47/EU (RSI)
    The measure will require using particle number (PN) measurement for the exhaust gas
    emission testing (item 8.2 in the list of items to be tested under the PTI and RSI Directive).
    This would replace the currently required exhaust gas opacity test first for diesel vehicles
    equipped with particle filters, at PTI, and for HDVs, at technical roadside inspections of
    commercial vehicles. The focus is on these vehicles as they are subject to a solid particle
    number limit at their type-approval (from Euro 5b LDVs and Euro VI HDVs), which is
    used as a reference point to determine the threshold for high-emitting vehicles. In fact,
    three Member States (BE, NL and DE) have already introduced such a test for Euro 5 and
    Euro 6/VI vehicles and the measure is about applying harmonised measurement across the
    EU. In the case of pre-Euro 5 and Euro VI vehicles equipped with DPF, Member States
    would be required to indicate the result of emissions higher than the limit on the
    roadworthiness certificate to draw the attention of the owner that the filter needs to be
    replaced. Alternatively, e.g., where the vehicle tax is differentiated based on the presence
    or not of a particle filter, Member States may allow to de-register the filter and apply higher
    vehicle taxes to such vehicles.
    The test requirements will be based on the procedure described in the Commission’s
    Recommendation on PN measurement for the PTI of vehicles equipped with compression
    ignition engines449
    , which allow for a fast, simple and inexpensive test. The use of the
    currently recommended pass/fail limit of 250.000/cm3
    would be required.
    Initially, older vehicles not equipped with DPF would continue to be checked using the
    currently required opacity testing, which was adapted to the air pollutant emission limits
    of earlier standards (pre-Euro 5). The Commission would have to consult the
    Roadworthiness Expert Group (RWEG) to investigate the technical feasibility of using PN
    measurement for those vehicles with higher thresholds, while ensuring that this does not
    generate disproportionate costs, notably through the need to replace existing equipment.
    Since the equipment used for PN-measurement are portable devices, the same test method
    can be applied at roadside inspections, including for checks following the identification of
    a high-emitting vehicle using remote sensing technology (required by PM13).
    449
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reco/2023/688/oj
    274
    Later, once the corresponding test method is developed for testing vehicles equipped with
    positive ignition engines, PN measurement should also be extended to them. As soon as
    sufficient data from tailpipe emission testing at PTI and readings from the on-board
    monitoring system (OBM) of Euro 7 vehicles provide confidence as regards the
    equivalence of OBM with tailpipe tests, Member States may authorise the use of OBM
    only.
    PMC4 - Mandatory NOx-testing of LDV and HDV at PTI, and HDVs at roadside
    inspections
    Concerns: Directive 2014/45/EU (PTI) and Directive 2014/47/EU (RSI)
    Similar to PN testing under PMC3, this measure will require the testing of NOx emissions
    at PTI and RSI for light and heavy vehicles, first for diesel, focussing on the identification
    of malfunctioning SCR systems. Later, once the test method is adapted to positive ignition
    engines, also vehicles powered by petrol and liquefied or compressed natural gas
    (LNG/CNG) could be tested. The test procedure has been developed by the Commission’s
    Joint Research Centre450
    with the technical and metrological requirements of the
    instruments and a NOx threshold value expected to be defined by the end of 2023. The
    measure would therefore likely be implemented through a delegated act amending point
    8.2 in the list of items to be tested under the PTI and RSI Directives.
    The test procedure is being set up in a way that it aligns with the procedure applied for PN
    testing, in order to allow for simultaneous PN and NOx testing, which in the future could
    also be performed using one single instrument featuring both particle and NOx analysers.
    This will allow keeping the testing time as it is today and limit the additional equipment
    costs.
    As in the case of PN testing, as soon as sufficient data from tailpipe emission testing at PTI
    and readings from the on-board monitoring system (OBM) of Euro 7 vehicles provide
    confidence as regards the equivalence of OBM reading with tailpipe tests, Member States
    may authorise the use of OBM only.
    PMC5 - Mandatory roadworthiness testing following significant modifications of the
    vehicle (e.g. change of class, propulsion system)
    Concerns: Directive 2014/45/EU (PTI)
    This measure will require vehicles that have undergone major technical modifications to
    pass a roadworthiness test. Such modifications may include changes to the propulsion
    system, retrofitting the emission control system, modifications to the chassis, wheels and
    tyres and/or the engine performance of the vehicle and may thus have both safety- and
    emissions-related impacts.
    PMC6 – Require the roadworthiness certificate in electronic format only
    450
    https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/14/5520
    275
    Concerns: Directive 2014/45/EU (PTI)
    While the current PTI Directive allows the use of “electronically produced”
    roadworthiness certificates, it requires a certified printout to be handed to the person
    presenting the vehicle for PTI. The measure will limit the requirement to issuing an
    electronic document only, while providing a printout will be left as an option for Member
    States.
    The exchange of PTI-related data under PMC7 will allow enforcing authorities to check
    the status of any vehicle registered in the EU in the case of a roadside check or for the
    purpose of re-registration, without the need for the owner of the vehicle to present a printed
    certificate.
    PMC7 – Provide electronic access to relevant data, including on PTI reports stored
    in national databases, to the registration authorities of other EU Member States using
    a common interface
    Concerns: Directive 2014/46/EU (VRD)
    The current VRD Directive requires that Member States assist each other in the
    implementation of the Directive and indicates that this may be done by exchanging vehicle-
    related information by electronic means. However, it does not specify the means and does
    not actually require such data exchange. This measure will require that Member States
    provide access to other Member States requesting registration or PTI-related vehicle data
    for the vehicles registered in their territory. Such exchanges already take place on bilateral
    basis using EUCARIS451
    , albeit this is not systematically the case for every Member State.
    In order to facilitate the data exchange, the measure would require Member States to
    connect their national databases (vehicle registers and related PTI databases as the case
    may be) to the MOVE-HUB platform developed and run by the Commission for the
    purpose of exchanging various road transport-related information among Member States.
    The EUCARIS peer-to-peer network and the Commission’s hub-and-spoke network are
    the connectivity layer to send messages from one Member State to another – there is no
    significant difference in the development effort between the two. When implementing a
    new message type, Member States have two options, they can develop their own software,
    or they can use the EUCARIS module for that message type. This choice is independent
    of the routing of the messages via the hub.
    The methodology of the EUCARIS software sending messages via MOVE-HUB is well
    known and already implemented for in similar road transport related applications like
    ERRU, RSI, ProDriveNet and TACHOnet; for these solutions it is specified in the
    corresponding legislation that messages must be routed via the hub. RESPER and the
    ODOCAR pilot use a hybrid solution, routing messages both on the EUCARIS peer-to-
    peer network and via the hub.
    451
    https://www.eucaris.net/
    276
    The Proposal for the ELV Regulation referred to in section 1 would also require that
    messages between national (registration) authorities and customs are routed via MOVE-
    HUB for the purpose of determining whether or not a vehicle is eligible for export, i.e.,,
    roadworthy is based on the information from the Member State where it was last registered.
    The use of MOVE-HUB for message routing over EUCARIS is based on the following
    considerations:
    • The Commission has the competence to enforce the application of EU legislation;
    • MOVE-HUB can monitor the exchange for compliance with the legislation;
    • The Commission can follow-up message exchange errors with Member States.
    In both cases, there is no need to develop additional software to gather messaging statistics.
    In addition, the fact that the hub is a single point of failure (a possible disadvantage over a
    peer-to-peer network), is mitigated by relying on the Commission’s highly redundant
    network layer and by having redundant servers in the application layer.
    PMC8 – Harmonisation and regular update of the technical data in the vehicle
    registration documents (of currently optional content)
    Concerns: Directive 2014/46/EU (VRD)
    Apart from a set of mandatory data elements to be included in vehicle registration
    documents, the VRD Directive also provides for a series of optional elements that Member
    States include or not according to their needs and preferences, taking into account the
    limited space on the currently required physical registration certificate. Optional data items
    include e.g. the vehicle category, the number of axles, data about the environmental
    performance of the vehicle, etc. For example, item V.7 of the registration certificates refers
    to CO2 emissions (in g/km for light vehicles), but it does not specify whether this should
    be the emissions measures in accordance with the NEDC or the more recent WLTP testing
    procedures452
    .
    The measure aims at harmonising the set of data included in vehicle registration documents
    and provides for their update in case relevant vehicle characteristics change due to
    modifications (e.g., to the engine, the chassis, or the emission control system). This
    requires the harmonisation of those data items in national vehicle registers and their update
    as soon as they are modified.
    As indicated in the evaluation, there is also a need to align certain data elements with the
    data elements record in the certificate of conformity.
    PMC9 – MSs to record odometer readings in a national database and make the
    records available to other MSs in the case of re-registration
    Concerns: Directive 2014/45/EU (PTI) and Directive 2014/46/EU (VRD)
    452
    Both developed by the UNECE: https://unece.org/press/unece-adopts-more-accurate-fuel-efficiency-and-
    co2-test-new-cars-wltp; see also https://www.wltpfacts.eu/
    277
    For the purpose of reducing odometer fraud, the PTI Directive requires the recording of
    vehicle mileage at each PTI and that its manipulation be a punishable offence. However,
    PTIs are only conducted every year at most (in many Member States only every two years),
    with the first PTI taking place only after four years in most cases. A significant part of
    odometer fraud will already have happened by that time since larger price gains can be
    achieved by rolling back the odometers of relatively new vehicles.
    This measure would replicate the national systems established by Belgium (Car-Pass453
    )
    and the Netherlands (Nationale Auto Pas, NAP)454
    across all Member States. Both systems
    collect odometer readings from vehicles in between PTIs and well before the first PTI and
    exchange odometer history data between the national databases. The readings are provided
    by various vehicle repair workshops, including tyre and windscreen repair services as well
    as by manufacturers though their dealer management systems. In Belgium, manufacturers
    provide odometer readings from connected cars at least four times a year. In comparison
    to the Belgian Car-Pass system, PMC9 does not require the issuing of a certificate as part
    of a vehicle transaction455
    . In the Dutch NAP system, the delivery of the vehicle report is
    free of charge.
    The measure requires that Member States establish such national databases and feed them
    with odometer readings in a similar way. Since the issue is of particular concern in the case
    of cars and vans, those vehicles would have to be covered as a minimum. Where the
    registration of a vehicle is moved to another Member States, the Member State of
    registration would have to share the mileage history of that car or van with the re-
    registering Member States.
    Figure 10: Overview of the Car-Pass system
    453
    https://www.car-pass.be/en/about-car-pass
    454
    https://www.rdw.nl/en/buying-a-car/tips-for-buying-a-car
    455
    This currently costs around EUR 10 in Belgium and provides the main source of revenue to support the
    operation of the system in the country.
    278
    2. POLICY MEASURES INCLUDED ONLY IN SOME OF THE POLICY OPTIONS
    PM1 - RSI for heavy/powerful motorcycles (L category > 125cm3) as alternative
    measure, in Member States where they are not subject to PTI (i.e., using the available
    opt-out)
    Concerns: Directive 2014/45/EU (PTI) and Directive 2014/47/EU (RSI)
    The measure would apply to L-category vehicles with an engine displacement exceeding
    125cm3, i.e., vehicles that are currently in the scope of the PTI Directive with a possibility
    for Member States to apply alternative road safety measures instead of PTI. As such, it
    would only affect the Member States that make use of the opt-out456
    by requiring that the
    alterative measure be roadside inspection for these vehicles. The share of the vehicle
    subject to RSI every year is must be 5% of the corresponding fleet in the Member States
    concerned.
    PM2 – Mandatory PTI for motorcycles above 125cm3 (remove opt-out)
    Concerns: Directive 2014/45/EU (PTI)
    This measure would simply remove the existing possibility to apply alternative road safety
    measures instead of making heavy motorcycles subject to PTI. Just like the previous
    measures, this would affect a few Member States. It would however leave the choice of
    the frequency of testing to Member States, as it is the case today.
    PM3 – Extend PTI to all motorcycles (i.e., incl. from 50cm3 = all L3e, L4e), plus
    tricycles (L5e) and heavy quadricycles (L7e)
    Concerns: Directive 2014/45/EU (PTI)
    This measure would extend the scope of the PTI Directive to all motorcycles, i.e., including
    smaller ones from 50cm3 (all L3e, L4e), plus tricycles (L5e) and heavy quadricycles (L7e).
    It would however leave the choice of the frequency of testing to Member States, as it is the
    case today for heavy motorcycles.
    PM4 – Mandatory PTI for light trailers (O1 and O2 categories)
    Concerns: Directive 2014/45/EU (PTI)
    This measure would extend the scope of the PTI Directive to all light trailers, including
    O1 (with maximum mass not exceeding 750 kg) and O2 categories (maximum mass
    exceeding 750 kg but not exceeding 3500 kg). It would however leave the choice of the
    frequency of testing to Member States, as it is the case today for heavy motorcycles.
    456
    These Member States are BE (only requires a roadworthiness test before selling the vehicle or after an
    accident), FI, IE, MT, NL, PT (only testing vehicles with engines > 250 cm3
    ). France has not introduced PTI
    for motorcycles up to now, but the French authorities have announced the intention to do so in 2024. Denmark
    does not have mandatory PTI but since 1 January 2022 it has introduced roadside inspections.
    279
    PM5 – Annual emission testing for light commercial vehicles (N1) instead of the
    currently required 4-2-2- frequency
    Concerns: Directive 2014/45/EU (PTI)
    The measure will increase the minimum frequency of emission testing for vans and require
    annual testing from the first year following the date of first registration of the vehicle.
    While a few Member States apply more frequent PTI to vans that the minimum frequency
    required by the PTI Directive (i.e., first test within 4 years of the date of first registration
    and every 2 years thereafter), most Member States apply the minimum requirements.
    As such, it will increase the number of vehicles to be tested per year, however, vehicles
    that are subject only to emission testing would not have to occupy the capacity of PTI lanes
    as such tests can be carried out using the portable measurement devices.
    PM6 – Mandatory yearly testing for vehicles that are 10-year-old or older
    Concerns: Directive 2014/45/EU (PTI)
    The measure will increase the frequency of roadworthiness testing for cars and vans (M1
    and N1 vehicles) and require annual PTI after 10 years following the date of first
    registration of the vehicle. As indicated in Annex 6, a number of Member States457
    already
    apply yearly PTI to cars and vans beyond a certain age instead of the minimum frequency
    of 2 years following the first PTI required by the PTI Directive. The other 11 MS apply
    the minimum requirements.
    PM7 – PTI certificate issued in any EU MS is recognised by the MS of registration +
    further harmonisation of test methods
    Concerns: Directive 2014/45/EU (PTI)
    Under the current PTI rules, for the purposes of free circulation and of re-registering a
    vehicle that has already been registered in another Member State, the PTI certificate issued
    in that other Member State must be recognised by each Member State as if it had itself
    issued that certificate, provided that the PTI certificate is still valid in terms of the
    frequency intervals established for PTI by the re-registering Member State.
    However, such recognition is not required for the purpose of complying with periodic
    testing requirements. In fact, the PTI Directive requires that PTI is carried out by the
    Member State of registration or by bodies or establishments designated and supervised by
    that Member State.
    The measure would require that the Member State of registration recognises PTI
    certificates issued in the EU for the purpose of ensuring compliance with periodic testing
    of vehicles, provided that the PTI certificate is still valid in terms of the frequency intervals
    that Member State has established for PTI. In order for such a measure to be agreeable by
    Member States, it is necessary to further harmonise the methods of testing (i.e. certain
    457
    AT, BE, BG, EE, ES, FI, HR, IE, LV, LU, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE and SI.
    280
    items that Member States may currently test in different ways). Examples are brake testing
    for HDVs or efficiency testing of the suspension system. The measure would set specific
    requirements for these items.
    The reason why PTI certificate recognition is currently limited to allowing free circulation
    and re-registration (and it is not allowed to undergo PTI in a Member State other than the
    Member State of registration) is that the stringency of PTIs does differ among Member
    States while testing a relatively stable number of vehicles per year also ensures planning
    certainty for Member States, which is particularly relevant where the PTI service is subject
    to longer term contracts (concessions). Full recognition could lead to PTI shopping, unless
    there is almost full harmonisation of the test methods, which is considered in PM7. PM7
    is only part of the most ambitious option as such level of harmonisation may affect the
    structural organisation of PTI in certain Member States, e.g., advanced suspension testing
    requires more space that may be available in small commercial garages that are responsible
    for conducting PTIs in a number of cases. On the other hand, the recognition of PTIs via
    bilateral agreements (PM9) could be a first step towards further harmonisation and
    enhanced free movement.
    PM8 – PTI certificate issued in any EU Member State to be recognised by the MS of
    registration for a period of up to 6 months (for passenger cars only), on the condition
    that the next PTI is conducted in the MS of registration
    Concerns: Directive 2014/45/EU (PTI)
    To further facilitate free movement and not to oblige citizens spending time in a Member
    State other than the Member State of registration of the vehicle they are using to travel
    abroad, PM8 would require the Member State of registration to recognise the PTI
    certificate issued in another Member State where the vehicle could undergo PTI when it is
    due. The validity of this certificate could be up to six months.
    The measure applies to passenger cars, on condition that the next PTI is conducted in the
    Member State of registration. It would complement the provision of the PTI Directive
    requiring that PTI is carried out by the Member State of registration or by bodies or
    establishments designated and supervised by that Member State.
    PM9 – PTI in another EU MS recognised by MS of registration based on bilateral
    agreement
    Concerns: Directive 2014/45/EU (PTI)
    PM9 would explicitly allow establishing bilateral agreements between Member States in
    order to recognise each other’s PTI certificates. This measure would leave the choice of
    concluding such agreements and thus recognising PTI certificates issued in other Member
    States. Member States would have the freedom to apply such agreements to any vehicle
    category. The measure would complement the provision of the PTI Directive requiring that
    PTI is carried out by the Member State of registration or by bodies or establishments
    designated and supervised by that Member State.
    281
    PM10 – More advanced testing of noise for motorcycles
    Concerns: Directive 2014/45/EU (PTI)
    The current PTI Directive requires subjective evaluation of the noise suppression system,
    “unless the inspector considers that the noise level may be borderline, in which case a
    measurement of noise emitted by stationary vehicle using a sound level meter may be
    conducted” (point 8.1 of Annex I). The same requirement is included in Annex II of the
    RSI Directive applicable to HDVs, which also indicates that the item “can only be checked
    to some extent without the use of equipment”.
    The measure would require the use of noise measuring equipment when the inspector
    considers that the noise level may be borderline. Such measurement could be inspired by
    the methods described in UN Regulation 41 for pass-by noise tests458
    , even though not all
    the conditions of such a test applied in the case of type-approval may be fulfilled at PTI
    centres (for example, there may not be sufficient space and whether conditions will not
    always be favourable to fully comply with Regulation 41). Therefore, a simplified test
    should be carried out. Few MSs (DE, ES, HR and SK) are already measuring L-vehicles
    noise emissions at PTI.
    PM11 – Data governance: further define the procedures and the means of access to
    vehicle technical information by testing centres free of charge
    Concerns: Directive 2014/45/EU (PTI)
    Recital 17 of the PTI Directive explains the rationale behind this measure: “For the
    inspection of vehicles, and especially for their electronic safety components, it is crucial
    to have access to the technical specifications of each individual vehicle. Consequently,
    vehicle manufacturers should provide the data needed for verification of the functionality
    of safety and environment-related components. The provisions concerning access to repair
    and maintenance information should likewise be applied for that purpose, allowing
    inspection centres to have access to all information necessary for roadworthiness testing.
    The data should include the details that allow the functionality of the vehicle safety systems
    to be monitored in a way that allows such systems to be tested in a periodic technical
    inspection environment. This is of crucial importance, especially in the field of
    electronically controlled systems, and should cover all elements that have been installed
    by the manufacturer.”
    Accordingly, Article 4(3) required the Commission to adopt implementing acts to define a
    set of technical information necessary for roadworthiness testing and for the use of the
    recommended test methods, and detailed rules concerning the data format and the
    procedures for accessing the relevant technical information. It also requires that
    manufacturers make the technical information available to testing centres and competent
    authorities “free of charge or at a reasonable price” and in a non-discriminatory manner.
    458
    Regulation No 41 of the Economic Commission for Europe of the United Nations (UN/ECE) — Uniform
    provisions concerning the approval of motor cycles with regard to noise (OJ L 317 14.11.2012, p. 1, ELI:
    http://data.europa.eu/eli/reg/2012/41/oj)
    282
    In addition, it requires that the Commission examines the feasibility of establishing a single
    point of access for that technical information.
    As a result, Implementing Regulation 2019/621459
    defines a basic set of technical
    information and lays down the principles of the procedure for accessing such data and
    regarding their format, however, it fails to specify them in sufficient detail, leaving a large
    room for manoeuvre to manufacturers to define their own procedures and data formats.
    These issues, specifically regarding in-vehicle data is being addressed by the ongoing
    initiative on access to vehicle data, functions and resources460
    . The proposal on access to
    in-vehicle data should provide for non-discriminatory access to such data in a harmonised,
    machine-readable format, which will be key for vehicle inspection. However, it is unlikely
    that it will specify the means of data access specifically for the purpose of vehicle
    inspection, which is the focus of this measure.
    The specific requirements would be laid down in an implementing act amending
    Implementing Regulation 2019/621 and would aim at establishing a single point of access
    for the necessary technical information, e.g., through an independent body that would
    collect the vehicle data from manufacturers and distribute it to competent authorities and
    authorised PTI centres. Such a solution has notably been called for by CITA.
    PM12 – NOx, PM, and noise measurement by remote sensing in RSI of all vehicles
    (with option for simplified PTI if vehicle passed recent RSI)
    Concerns: Directive 2014/47/EU (RSI)
    PM12 requires the use of remote sensing technology for measuring NOx, PM, and noise
    emissions of all vehicle types and all emission classes. This will allow the monitoring of
    the emissions of a very significant part of the vehicle fleet, depending on the exact scale
    of implementation in the Member States. It also includes the option for a simplified PTI if
    a vehicle successfully passed a recent RSI (including by remote sensing). That is, the
    Member State of registration may exempt the vehicle from the emission and/or noise
    testing during the next PTI if the result of the RSI is less than 6 months old. A successful
    RSI result could include not only if the vehicle is stopped and checked at the roadside but
    also if it has passed a (specified number of) emission screening by remote sensing with the
    results consistently showing low emissions.
    The use of stationary remote sensing units may be replaced or complemented by plume
    chasing, which can be a viable alternative, notably to measure NOx emissions from HDVs.
    The figures below illustrate available technologies that could be used to fulfil the
    requirements of PM12 as regards pollutant emissions. Monitoring noise by remote sensing
    459
    Commission Implementing Regulation (EU) 2019/621 of 17 April 2019 on the technical information
    necessary for roadworthiness testing of the items to be tested, on the use of the recommended test methods,
    and establishing detailed rules concerning the data format and the procedures for accessing the relevant
    technical information, https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg_impl/2019/621/oj
    460
    https://ec.europa.eu/info/law/better-regulation/have-your-say/initiatives/13180-Access-to-vehicle-data-
    functions-and-resources_en
    283
    allows identifying individual noisy vehicles even in dense traffic, as demonstrated by the
    NEMO project461
    , allowing local and national authorities to take remedial action.
    The introduction of this measure will require remote sensing equipment (for NOx and PM)
    and acoustic cameras (a range of microphones for noise) by national enforcing authorities.
    Figure 11: Remote sensing solutions
    Figure 12: Plume chasing
    Source: MODALES and CARES projects, https://modales-project.eu/wp-
    content/uploads/2021/10/ITSWC2021-Beyond-Eco-driving-2-CARES_HERE.pdf
    PM13 – Mandatory inspection of cargo securing
    Concerns: Directive 2014/47/EU (RSI)
    The current RSI Directive provides for the standards applicable to cargo securing
    inspections, however the inspection of cargo securing itself remains optional. As such,
    Member States have only partially implemented the use of those standards. The measure
    requires Member States to apply the methods described in Annex III of the Directive and
    the inspectors conducting such inspections to undergo appropriate training.
    461
    https://nemo-cities.eu/remote-sensing-device-for-noise/
    284
    Following the adoption of the RSI Directive in 2014, the Commission presented guidelines
    for Member States and practitioners on the best practices in cargo securing462
    referring to
    various types of cargo. The first principle provided for in Annex III of the RSI Directive
    is illustrated the figure below.
    Figure 13: Forces resulting from acceleration and deceleration that cargo securing must withstand
    Source: Cargo securing for road transport – 2014 European best practices guidelines
    PM14 – Extend the scope of application of roadside inspections to light commercial
    (N1) vehicles
    Concerns: Directive 2014/47/EU (RSI)
    PM14 requires that Member States apply technical roadside inspection to vans, i.e.,
    commercial vehicles with a maximum permissible laden mass not exceeding 3.5 tonnes.
    Since the number of these vehicles in the EU fleet is about four times the number of HGVs,
    a lower target would be applied to them, e.g., 2% instead of the 5% share that Member
    States are supposed to aim for in the case of RSI for HDVs.
    462
    European Commission (2014), Cargo securing for road transport – 2014 European best practices
    guidelines, Publications Office, https://data.europa.eu/doi/10.2832/80373
    285
    For testing vans at RSI, largely the same inspection units could be used as for HDVs. RSI
    for vans could be particularly useful to detect vehicles with defective emission control
    systems, including tampered ones, which may relatively easily avoid being caught at PTI.
    The mere fact that a van may be subject to roadside checks is expected to play a deterrent
    role.
    PM15 – Extend the scope of application of roadside inspections to 2- and 3-wheeled
    vehicles (L-vehicles from L3)
    Concerns: Directive 2014/47/EU (RSI)
    This measure requires that Member States apply technical roadside inspection to
    motorcycles. Taking into account the number of these vehicles in the EU fleet a target of
    1% would be applied.
    RSI for motorcycles could be particularly useful to detect vehicles with defective and
    tampered noise suppression systems, which may very easily avoid being caught at PTI.
    Here again, the fact that motorcycles may be subject to roadside checks is expected to play
    a deterrent role.
    PM16 – Introduce issuing the registration certificates in digital format to gradually
    replace current paper (and smart card) documents
    Concerns: Directive 2014/46/EU (VRD)
    The VRD Directive currently requires that registration certificates be issued either as a
    paper document or as a smart card. The measure will introduce the requirement to issue
    new registration certificates in a digital format. The technical details of the digital/mobile
    registration certificate will be defined in an implementing act and refer to the relevant ISO
    standards as in the case of the digital driving licence. Just like the mobile driving licence,
    the digital registration certificate will rely on the eIDAS initiative whose legislative
    proposal463
    is still discussed by the co-legislators and certain technical features are not yet
    consolidated in detail.
    The measure applies to all vehicle categories that are subject to registration in the Member
    States. For the purposes of identifying vehicles in road traffic as well as for re-registration,
    Member States will have to recognise the digital version of the registration certificate. As
    the physical documents, the digital vehicle registration certificate would be used to confirm
    the registration of the vehicle, to check certain technical data about it (the digital version
    could store more data than the paper version), and to allow verification by the authorities.
    With the digital certificate enforcers can have direct access to the vehicle register, and it is
    also significantly easier to update than the physical documents.
    The figures below illustrate the processes involved in issuing, using, and updating the
    digital certificate, and its possible appearance.
    463
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX:52021PC0281
    286
    Figure 14: Issuing the digital registration certificate
    Figure 15: Layout of a digital registration certificate
    Source: Presentation by the Federal Ministry for Digital and Transport, Germany, at the meeting of the
    Expert Group on Roadworthiness and Vehicle Registration Documents, September 2022
    PM17 – Add new data to the vehicle register – minimum mandatory set (including
    among others: country of 1st registration, registration status, PTI status, changes due
    to transformation)
    Concerns: Directive 2014/46/EU (VRD)
    This measure will provide for a minimum set of mandatory data to be registered by member
    States. New data elements could include among others:
    287
    • Country where the vehicle was registered for the first time;
    • Vehicle status (e.g. de-registered, temporarily de-registered, suspended, exported,
    end-of-life, destructed) (see below)
    • PTI status (passed with no or minor defects, limited validity with major defects,
    failed – critical defects) and
    i. validity of the roadworthiness certificate (including expiry date),
    ii. status of the battery (for EVs): battery identification number; and
    information if the battery has been repaired or replaced;
    • Changes in documentation or transformation – any important vehicle refurbishment
    to be approved and registered (process not yet harmonised);
    • For a vehicle which is permanently de-registered, information on the reasons for
    de-registration, based on the assessment accompanying the proposal for the
    revision of the legislation on end-of-life vehicles.
    i.
    Based on what most Member States already record, a longer list of data items to be
    recorded has been proposed by EReg464
    .
    464
    https://www.ereg-association.eu/media/2742/final-report-topic-group-xxi-proposal-on-the-registration-
    of-vehicle-data.pdf
    288
    ANNEX 8: DISCARDED POLICY MEASURES
    The possibility to adopt further recommendations or a communication from the Commission was
    discarded at early stage as non-regulatory measures could not be sufficiently effective in addressing
    the problems identified and would have limited effect on harmonisation. Most stakeholders, including
    public authorities participating in the open public consultation, agreed that a legislative review of the
    RWP would be more effective (see also Annex 2).
    Out of the more than 40 policy measures discussed at five meetings with the Expert Group on
    Roadworthiness and vehicle registration documents (RWEG), the following measures are among the
    discarded ones:
    • Extending the scope of the PTI Directive to mopeds (vehicle category L1 and L2) was discarded
    due to subsidiarity and proportionality reasons. While making mopeds subject to PTI could have
    significant positive impact on road safety and air pollutants reduction, these vehicles are used
    locally, and the cost-benefit ratio could vary significantly depending on the specific local context
    (including the electrification of the fleet465
    , which will significantly reduce the negative impacts
    of these vehicles on air and noise pollution over time). There would be also technical feasibility
    issues with such measure since some Member States do not require registration of mopeds.
    Therefore, from a subsidiarity and proportionality point of view, the testing of mopeds would best
    be left for Member States to legislate.
    • Extending the scope of the PTI Directive to agricultural tractors (category T with design speed
    exceeding 40km/h) was discarded as there was not sufficient evidence of the road safety and
    environmental/health risk posed by these vehicles, due to their limited use of public roads.
    • Setting maximum mileage limit between two PTIs (e.g., 100,000 km/200,000 km) was
    discarded as there are practical difficulties in monitoring mileage and calling vehicles for tests. It
    could also create additional incentives for odometer tampering.
    • Requiring a roadworthiness test following a crash with significant damage (affecting the main
    safety components) was not retained on the grounds of the difficulty to find a commonly agreed
    definition for significant damage (legal feasibility).
    • New test methods - continuous technical inspection (CTI) (for autonomous vehicles) was not
    retained as it was considered by the experts of the RWEG to be premature to define such methods
    at this stage of autonomous mobility development.
    The table below provides the full list of discarded policy measures (13) and the reason for discarding
    them.
    Table 268: Discarded policy measures and the reason for discarding them
    Measure Reason for being discarded
    Extend scope of RWP to mopeds (i.e.L1e-B and
    L2e)
    There are technical feasibility issues with such measure since some
    Member States do not require registration of mopeds. Moreover,
    these vehicles are used locally, and the cost-benefit ratio could vary
    465
    For example, in the Netherlands, the share of electric mopeds in the sales of mopeds increased from 3% in 2017 to
    46% in 2022. The share in the EU was 34% in 2022.
    289
    Measure Reason for being discarded
    significantly depending on the specific local context (including the
    electrification of the fleet, which will significantly reduce the
    negative impacts of these vehicles on air pollution over time). Due
    to subsidiarity and proportionality point of view, this measure was
    discarded.
    Extending the scope of the PTI Directive to
    agricultural tractors (category T with design
    speed exceeding 40km/h)
    There was not sufficient evidence of the road safety and
    environmental/health risk posed by these vehicles due to their
    limited use of public roads.
    Setting maximum mileage limit between two
    PTIs (maximum limit to be determined e.g.
    100,000 km/200,000 km)
    There are practical difficulties in monitoring mileage and calling
    vehicles for tests. It could also create additional incentives for
    odometer tampering. The measure was discarded due to technical
    feasibility reasons.
    To make PTI mandatory before transfer of
    ownership of a vehicle
    The PTI Directive requires that the roadworthiness certificate be
    recognised, as a matter of principle, “in the event that the
    ownership of the vehicle – having a valid proof of roadworthiness
    test – changes”. There are also practical questions as regards the
    implementation of such a measure (length of validity of a new
    certificate required before sales). Limited support among Member
    States. Discarded due to unnecessary burden on vehicle owners and
    lack of evidence regarding potential benefits.
    PTIs mandatory for crashed vehicles with
    significant damage (affecting the main safety
    components)
    Difficulties in defining significant damage in a consistent way and
    limited support among stakeholders during the consultations.
    Discarded due to legal and political feasibility reasons.
    To require that PTI certificate issued in a third
    country outside the EU is recognised by MS of
    registration
    No support among Member States authorities during the
    consultations. Difficulties to monitor/ensure quality of PTI in third
    countries. Discarded due to technical and political feasibility
    reasons.
    To require that results of on-board fuel
    consumption monitoring (OBFCM required by
    Regulation 2021/392) are reported on the PTI
    certificate
    Measure considered not directly relevant for the RWP.
    Nevertheless, Member States are not prevented from reporting that
    information on the PTI certificate.
    Require more advanced testing of braking
    (regenerative braking)
    Limited support and considered as not relevant from the vehicle
    roadworthiness perspective (rather a question of energy efficiency)
    New test methods - continuous technical
    inspection (CTI) (for autonomous vehicles)
    Considered by the experts of the RWEG to be premature to define
    such methods at this stage of autonomous mobility development
    (technical feasibility reasons).
    Extend the scope of application of roadside
    inspections to motorhomes
    Very limited expected impact and very limited support among
    Member States authorities.
    Improve administrative processes regarding
    handling prohibitions/suspensions after roadside
    inspection and self-cancelling prohibitions
    following subsequent PTI
    Limited support among experts as not considered to be a key issue
    and there was not sufficient evidence about the extent of the
    problem the measure would address.
    290
    Measure Reason for being discarded
    New data items necessary for the treatment of
    end-of-life vehicles (ELV)
    Considered outside the scope of this initiative since already
    covered by the impact assessment prepared for the revision of the
    legislation on ELV (but aiming at amending the Directive on
    vehicle registration documents).
    Improve administrative processes by requiring
    that re-registration of vehicles in another MS is
    conducted online (on the basis of the presence of
    appropriate IT system)
    Considered as going beyond what is necessary to address the
    problem and is considered to be already sufficiently covered by the
    SDG Regulation.
    291
    ANNEX 9: COMPARISON OF POLICY OPTIONS IN TERMS OF MEETING THE OBJECTIVES
    Strongly negative Negative No or limited impact Positive Strongly positive Unclear
    Impact PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    General objective 1: Improve road safety in the EU
    % reduction in the level of
    fatalities and injuries and
    associated external costs
    Expected reduction of fatalities by 4,661,
    severe injuries by 42,272 and slight injuries
    by 239,803 (cumulative over 2026-2050,
    relative to the baseline).
    Estimated external cost savings of EUR
    48.1 billion, expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline.
    (++)
    Expected reduction of fatalities by 6,847,
    severe injuries by 64,640 and slight
    injuries by 364,155 (cumulative over
    2026-2050, relative to the baseline).
    Estimated external cost savings of EUR
    73.9 billion, expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline.
    (+++)
    Expected reduction of fatalities by
    6,912, severe injuries by 64,885 and
    slight injuries by 365,665 (cumulative
    over 2026-2050, relative to the
    baseline).
    Estimated external cost savings of
    EUR 74.2 billion, expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050 relative to the
    baseline.
    (+++)
    Expected reduction of fatalities by 7,013, severe
    injuries by 65,686 and slight injuries by 368,498
    (cumulative over 2026-2050, relative to the
    baseline).
    Estimated external cost savings of EUR 75.2
    billion, expressed as present value over 2026-
    2050 relative to the baseline.
    (+++)
    General objective 2: Contribute to sustainable mobility
    % reduction in the level of
    pollutant emissions from road
    transport and associated
    external costs
    Expected reduction of NOx emissions by
    3,176 kt over 2026-2050 (16.8% reduction
    from the baseline)
    Expected reduction of PM emissions by
    135 kt over 2026-2050 (12.7% reduction
    from the baseline)
    Estimated external cost savings of EUR
    58.7 billion, expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline.
    (++)
    Expected reduction of NOx emissions
    by 3,925 kt over 2026-2050 (20.8%
    reduction from the baseline)
    Expected reduction of PM emissions by
    196 kt over 2026-2050 (18.5% reduction
    from the baseline)
    Estimated external cost savings of EUR
    75.2 billion, expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline.
    (+++)
    Expected reduction of NOx emissions
    by 3,969 kt over 2026-2050 (21.0%
    reduction from the baseline)
    Expected reduction of PM emissions
    by 199 kt over 2026-2050 (18.7%
    reduction from the baseline)
    Estimated external cost savings of
    EUR 76.1 billion, expressed as
    present value over 2026-2050 relative
    to the baseline.
    (+++)
    Expected reduction of NOx emissions by 3,970
    kt over 2026-2050 (21.0% reduction from the
    baseline)
    Expected reduction of PM emissions by 199 kt
    over 2026-2050 (18.7% reduction from the
    baseline)
    Estimated external cost savings of EUR 76.1
    billion, expressed as present value over 2026-
    2050 relative to the baseline.
    (+++)
    292
    Strongly negative Negative No or limited impact Positive Strongly positive Unclear
    Impact PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    % reduction in the level of noise
    from road transport and
    associated external costs
    Limited impact on noise levels by a 1%
    reduction of share of share of motorcycle
    high emitters
    Estimated external cost savings of EUR 0.2
    billion, expressed as present value over
    2026-2050 relative to the baseline.
    (0/+)
    Significant impact on noise levels by
    expected reduction of high emitters by
    12.5% for M1 and N1 and 31.1% for L3-
    L7
    Estimated external cost savings of EUR
    7.3 billion, expressed as present value
    over 2026-2050 relative to the baseline.
    (++)
    Significant impact on noise levels by
    expected reduction of high emitters by
    12.5% for M1, 12.5% for N1 and
    30.7% for L3-L7
    Estimated external cost savings of
    EUR 7.3 billion, expressed as present
    value over 2026-2050 relative to the
    baseline.
    (++)
    Significant impact on noise levels by expected
    reduction of high emitters by 12.5% for M1,
    16.4% and N1 and 33.4% for L3-L7
    Estimated external cost savings of EUR 7.8
    billion, expressed as present value over 2026-
    2050 relative to the baseline.
    (++)
    General objective 3: Facilitate the free movement of persons and goods in the EU
    Removal of obstacles to re-
    registration of vehicles in
    another MS
    Positive contribution based on enhanced
    access to other MS PTI databases via the
    common interface (PMC7) and the
    harmonisation of the vehicle registration
    documents (PMC8)
    Additional positive contribution towards
    removal of obstacles on the basis of the
    digital vehicle registration certificate
    (PM16) combined with additional data
    included in the vehicle register (PM17)
    (++)
    Positive contribution based on enhanced
    access to other MS PTI databases via the
    common interface (PMC7) and the
    harmonisation of the vehicle registration
    documents (PMC8)
    (+)
    Positive contribution based on
    enhanced access to other MS PTI
    databases via the common interface
    (PMC7) and the harmonisation of the
    vehicle registration documents
    (PMC8)
    Additional positive contribution
    towards removal of obstacles on the
    basis of the digital vehicle registration
    certificate (PM16) combined with
    additional data included in the vehicle
    register (PM17)
    (++)
    Positive contribution based on enhanced access to
    other MS PTI databases via the common interface
    (PMC7) and the harmonisation of the vehicle
    registration documents (PMC8)
    Additional positive contribution towards removal
    of obstacles on the basis of the digital vehicle
    registration certificate (PM16) combined with
    additional data included in the vehicle register
    (PM17)
    (++)
    Removal of obstacles related to
    the roadworthiness testing of
    vehicles (recognition of
    certificates issued by other
    MSs)
    Positive but partial impact on the removal
    of obstacles dependent on the level/number
    of bilateral agreements signed that are
    expected to cover only part of the EU
    Member States
    (+)
    Positive impact on the removal of
    obstacles expected due to the EU-wide
    recognition of PTI certificates in another
    Member State but limited only to
    passenger cars and only for a period of 6
    months
    (++)
    Positive impact on the removal of
    obstacles expected due to the EU-wide
    recognition of PTI certificates in
    another Member State but limited only
    to passenger cars and only for a period
    of 6 months
    (++)
    Positive impact on the removal of obstacles
    expected due to the EU-wide recognition of PTI
    certificates in another Member State extended to
    all vehicles without time limit
    (+++)
    293
    Strongly negative Negative No or limited impact Positive Strongly positive Unclear
    Impact PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Specific objective 1: Ensure the adequacy, consistency, objectivity, and quality of roadworthiness testing of today's and tomorrow's vehicles
    Use of available test methods
    and procedures appropriate to
    assess the roadworthiness of
    vehicles, including new internal
    combustion engine and electric
    vehicles and their electronic
    safety and emission control
    systems
    Use of new test methods in PTI and RSI
    ensuring that ADAS and other GSR related
    technologies operate as expected and
    update of PTI to cover the safety of electric
    vehicles
    Small scope extension of RSI for
    motorcycles (8.6% of the fleet covered)
    (+)
    Use of new test methods in PTI and RSI
    ensuring that ADAS and other GSR
    related technologies operate as expected
    and update of PTI to cover the safety of
    electric vehicles
    Systematic cargo securing inspections
    Significant increase in the number of
    vehicles covered at PTI: M1/N1 vehicles
    over 10 years old (increase by 42.1
    million PTI for M1 in 2030 and 4.5
    million inspections for N1). Small
    extension of the number of motorcycles
    tested at PTI (8.8% increase)
    (+++)
    Use of new test methods in PTI and
    RSI ensuring that ADAS and other
    GSR related technologies operate as
    expected and update of PTI to cover
    electric vehicles
    Systematic cargo securing inspections
    Significant increase in the number of
    vehicles covered at PTI: M1/N1
    vehicles over 10 years old (increase by
    42.1 million PTI for M1 in 2030 and
    4.5 million inspections for N1). Small
    extension of the scope of RSI for
    motorcycles covered and higher
    frequency (8.6% increase)
    (+++)
    Use of new test methods in PTI and RSI ensuring
    that ADAS and other GSR related technologies
    operate as expected and update of PTI to cover
    electric vehicles safety aspects
    Systematic cargo securing inspections
    Significant increase in the number of vehicles
    covered at PTI: M1/N1 vehicles over 10 years
    old (increase by 42.1 million PTI for M1 in 2030
    and 4.5 million inspections for N1) and a further
    extension of the scope for motorcycles (9%
    increase)
    (+++)
    Use of available test methods
    and procedures appropriate to
    assess the roadworthiness of
    vehicles including new internal
    combustion engine and electric
    vehicles and their electronic
    safety and emission control
    systems
    Adoption of new and effective test methods
    to measure NOx and PN emissions during
    PTI and RSI for all vehicle categories (ICE)
    Small extension of the scope of RSI for
    motorcycles (8.6 % increase)
    (+)
    Adoption of new and effective test
    methods to measure NOx and PN
    emissions during PTI and RSI for all
    vehicle categories (ICE), including the
    use of remote sensing and plume chasing
    Significant increase in the scope of
    vehicles covered for N1 vehicles (annual
    tests from year 1) (increase by 14.2
    million emission inspection in 2030) and
    for all M1/N1 vehicles over 10 years old
    (increase by 42.1 million PTI for M1 in
    2030 and 4.5 million inspections for N1)
    and a small extension of the number of
    motorcycles tested at PTI (8.8%
    increase)
    (+++)
    Adoption of new and effective test
    methods to measure NOx and PN
    emissions during PTI and RSI for all
    vehicle categories (ICE), including the
    use of remote sensing and plume
    chasing
    Significant increase in the scope of
    vehicles covered for N1 vehicles
    (annual tests from year 1) (increase by
    14.2 million emission inspection in
    2030) and for all M1/N1 vehicles over
    10 years old (increase by 42.1 million
    PTI for M1 in 2030 and 4.5 million
    inspections for N1) and a small
    extension of the scope of RSI for
    motorcycles (8.8% increase)
    (+++)
    Adoption of new and effective test methods to
    measure NOx and PN emissions during PTI and
    RSI for all vehicle categories (ICE), including
    the use of remote sensing and plume chasing
    Significant increase in the scope of vehicles
    covered for N1 vehicles (annual tests from year
    1) (increase by 14.2 million emission inspection
    in 2030) and for all M1/N1 vehicles over 10
    years old (increase by 42.1 million PTI for M1 in
    2030 and 4.5 million inspections for N1) and
    further extension of the scope of PTI for
    motorcycles (9% increase)
    (+++)
    294
    Strongly negative Negative No or limited impact Positive Strongly positive Unclear
    Impact PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Specific policy objective 2: Significantly reduce fraud and tampering and improve the detection of defective vehicles
    Impact (% of reduction) on the
    number of defective and
    tampered vehicles in terms of
    emission control systems
    Expected reduction of vehicles with
    defective and tampered emission control
    systems for NOx and PN/PM (high
    emitters) on the basis of advanced PTI by
    up to 33% by 2030 and 42% by 2050 for
    NOx and 26% by 2030 and 38% by 2050
    for PN (weighted average for the whole
    fleet)
    (++)
    Expected reduction of vehicles with
    defective emission control systems for
    NOx and PN/PM (high emitters) on the
    basis of advanced PTI and RSI by up to
    48% by 2030 and 56% by 2050 for NOx
    and 43% by 2030 and 53% by 2050 for
    PN (weighted average for the whole
    fleet)
    (+++)
    Expected reduction of vehicles with
    defective emission control systems for
    NOx and PN/PM (high emitters) on the
    basis of advanced PTI and RSI by up
    to 48% by 2030 and 56% by 2050 for
    NOx and 43% by 2030 and 53% by
    2050 for PN (weighted average for the
    whole fleet)
    (+++)
    Expected reduction of vehicles with defective
    emission control systems for NOx and PN/PM
    (high emitters) on the basis of advanced PTI and
    RSI by up to 48% by 2030 and 56% by 2050 for
    NOx and 43% by 2030 and 53% by 2050 for PN
    (weighted average for the whole fleet)
    (+++)
    Impact (% reduction) on the
    number of vehicles with
    tampered emission/noise
    control system
    Very limited impact on identification of
    tampered vehicles focusing on HGVs as
    part of the advanced RSI inspections and
    for motorcycles (for those MSs that use
    RSI)
    (0/+)
    Positive impact on identification of
    tampered vehicles covering all vehicle
    categories on the basis of advanced RSI
    inspection combined with the use remote
    sensing and plume chasing (for HGVs) as
    part of RSI
    (+)
    Significant impact on identification of
    tampered vehicles covering all vehicle
    categories on the basis of advanced
    RSI inspection combined with the use
    remote sensing and plume chasing (for
    HGVs) as part of RSI and the
    introduction of RSI for N1
    (++)
    Significant impact on identification of tampered
    vehicles covering all vehicle categories on the
    basis of advanced RSI inspection combined with
    the use of remote sensing and plume chasing (for
    HGVs) as part of RSI and the introduction of RSI
    for N1 and motorcycles
    (+++)
    Impact (% reduction) on level of
    odometer tampering and
    associated cost savings for
    consumers
    Significant reduction of odometer
    tampering estimated to help avoid
    tampering for 4.7 million M1 and N1
    vehicles in 2030 and 5.1 million in 2050,
    64% of which related to cross border sales.
    Benefits of EUR 118.3 billion to businesses
    owners of vehicles and EUR 65.7 billion
    consumers for the period 2026-2050,
    expressed as present value relative to the
    baseline.
    (+++)
    Significant reduction of odometer
    tampering estimated to help avoid
    tampering for 4.7 million M1 and N1
    vehicles in 2030 and 5.1 million in 2050,
    64% of which related to cross border
    sales.
    Benefits of EUR 118.3 billion to
    businesses owners of vehicles and EUR
    65.7 billion consumers for the period
    2026-2050, expressed as present value
    relative to the baseline.
    (+++)
    Significant reduction of odometer
    tampering estimated to help avoid
    tampering for 4.7 million M1 and N1
    vehicles in 2030 and 5.1 million in
    2050, 64% of which related to cross
    border sales.
    Benefits of EUR 118.3 billion to
    businesses owners of vehicles and
    EUR 65.7 billion consumers for the
    period 2026-2050, expressed as
    present value relative to the baseline.
    (+++)
    Significant reduction of odometer tampering
    estimated to help avoid tampering for 4.7 million
    M1 and N1 vehicles in 2030 and 5.1 million in
    2050, 64% of which related to cross border sales.
    Benefits of EUR 118.3 billion to businesses
    owners of vehicles and EUR 65.7 billion
    consumers for the period 2026-2050, expressed
    as present value relative to the baseline
    (+++)
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    Strongly negative Negative No or limited impact Positive Strongly positive Unclear
    Impact PO1a PO1b PO2 PO3
    Specific policy objective 3: - Improve electronic storage and exchange of relevant vehicle identification and status data
    Reduction of time/costs
    associated with the access and
    exchange of relevant vehicle
    data by inspection centres and
    enforcement and registration
    authorities
    Positive impact on costs for authorities
    estimated at EUR 642 million for the period
    2026-2050 on the basis of the enhanced
    access to electronic data related to PTI for
    authorities (PMC7) combined with
    enhanced access to relevant vehicle
    technical information for PTI centres
    (PM16) with additional savings of up to
    EUR 1.43 billion for the period 2026-2050
    (+++)
    Positive impact on costs for authorities
    estimated at EUR 642 million for the
    period 2026-2050 on the basis of the
    enhanced access to electronic data
    related to PTI for authorities (PMC7)
    (+)
    Positive impact on the basis of the
    enhanced access to electronic data
    related to PTI for authorities estimated
    at EUR 642 million for the period
    2026-2050 (PMC7) combined with
    enhanced access to relevant vehicle
    technical information for PTI centres
    (PM16) with additional savings of up
    to EUR 1.43 billion for the period
    2026-2050
    (+++)
    Positive impact on the basis of the enhanced
    access to electronic data related to PTI for
    authorities estimated at EUR 642 million for the
    period 2026-2050 (PMC7) combined with
    enhanced access to relevant vehicle technical
    information for PTI centres (PM16) with
    additional savings of up to EUR 1.43 billion for
    the period 2026-2050
    (+++)
    Source: Ricardo et al. (2023), Impact assessment support study
    296
    ANNEX 10: SME TEST
    Step (1) of SME test (identification of affected businesses).
    In the road transport sector 99% of companies are SMEs (enterprises employing up to 250 people and
    with a turnover of less than EUR 50 million466
    ). Roadside inspections under the RSI Directive have
    been specifically targeted at commercial vehicle fleets, which are predominantly operated by SMEs.
    The exact number of SMEs among PTI centres could not be established since there are no statistics
    on the share of PTI centres that are SMEs and due to the situation where in each Member State there
    are different PTI organisational models in place. In some Member States (e.g. Sweden) there are a
    few big companies that provide PTI services while in others (e.g. Netherlands), there are multiple
    small independent garages. In the majority of the Member States, there is a mix of a small number of
    large PTI centres and a large number of small (SMEs) ones. Garages, motor vehicle dealers, tyre and
    repair stations, affected by the requirement for Member States to set up a system to record odometer
    readings from the cars and vans registered in their territory, are almost entirely SMEs (above 99% of
    the companies are SMEs).
    Step (2) of SME test (consultation of SME stakeholders).
    In the OPC, looking at the responses of companies, i.e., those organisations that classified themselves
    as a ‘company or business organisation’ and which are clearly a company, there were 21 separate
    responses from SMEs and 16 from larger companies. In the context of the OPC and the targeted
    stakeholder consultation, the responses suggested a higher sensitivity of SME respondents towards
    the expected costs of some of the measures (extension of scope of PTI and RSI in the case of
    motorcycles and vans, and for more demanding tests), mainly in relation to the costs for new
    equipment and facilities for small PTI centres and for small transport companies.
    According to the stakeholders consulted in the survey, a slightly positive impact on the SME
    competitiveness would be expected from measures related to access and exchange of information,
    extended scope of RSI and new RSI test methods, new PTI/RSI test requirements, vehicle registration
    measures and roadworthiness certificates in electronic format. Some stakeholders also considered
    there should be a positive impact for SMEs despite the additional cost on equipment. They stated that
    the policy options should have a positive economic impact because vehicles, which need a mandatory
    PTI also need to be maintained regularly and this is normally done by garages, tyre and repair stations,
    which almost entirely SMEs. On the other hand, the survey responses showed that SMEs are
    concerned by the financial burden these new testing requirements and equipment adaptations may
    pose on them. These additional costs can be particularly challenging for smaller PTI centres to bear.
    It was also noted that some SMEs are involved in developing these new testing methods and could
    benefit from this. Regarding data access for SME technology companies, it was widely agreed that
    facilitating access would enhance the competitiveness of smaller firms, levelling the playing field in
    466
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    https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/databrowser/view/SBS_SC_1B_SE_R2__custom_3493320/default/table
    297
    their competition against larger companies. Harmonised data governance should be particularly
    beneficial for SMEs.
    Step (3) of SME test (assessment of the impacts on SMEs).
    PTI centres are affected as described in section 6.1.2.1. The additional equipment costs for PTI
    centres mean additional revenues for garage equipment manufacturers, many of which are also
    SMEs. It was however not possible to quantify these revenues. Beyond the impact of the common
    measures on SMEs, no additional impact on costs for PTI centres is expected for PO1a. Both PO1b
    and PO2 will, in addition to the common measures, include increased costs for SMEs due to
    additional emission tests for light commercial vehicles (PM5), extra tests on vehicles over 10 years
    old (PM6), equipment and training of inspectors for motorcycle noise testing (PM10), and the
    additional emission tests for vehicles that are found as high emitters during remote sensing or plume
    chasing and are sent for emission tests in a PTI centre (PM12). PO1b will also include costs for
    equipment and training of inspectors for the mandatory PTI for motorcycles above 125cm3 (PM2).
    PO3 (in addition to the common measures, plus PM5, PM6, PM10 and PM12) is expected to have
    an impact on SMEs through PM3, leading to motorcycle test adaptation costs. Additionally, PM4
    concerning PTI for light trailers requires the acquisition of supplementary devices. PM7, which aims
    to harmonise tests and procedures, is associated with increased expenses for SMEs operating testing
    centres due to the need to invest in standardised equipment. These measures collectively are expected
    to lead to some financial challenges for SME testing centres in adapting to the new testing
    requirements, in particular in the first years of implementation, and provide new opportunities to
    garage equipment manufacturers. PO1b, PO2 and PO3 are expected to have the most significant
    impact on SMEs.
    As shown in section 6.1.2.1, all policy options are estimated to result in adjustment costs for PTI
    centres, with the highest costs arising for PO3, and under PO2 and PO3 also in some increase in the
    administrative costs. The increase in costs for new equipment and facilities (estimated in the range
    of EUR 20,000 to EUR 100,000 per new PTI lane depending on the specific vehicle category) can
    have a greater impact on some smaller PTI centres that may find it more challenging to finance
    additional investments. On the other hand, in all policy options SMEs can expect to benefit from the
    additional business opportunities due to the extension of the scope and/or the frequency of PTI. The
    largest benefits due to the extension of the scope and/or the frequency of PTI are expected in PO3.
    Overall, as explained in section 6.1.2.1, PO2 is expected to result in the highest net benefits for PTI
    centres (EUR 17.3 billion, expressed as present value over 2026-2050), followed by PO3 (EUR 16.4
    billion) and PO1b (EUR 15.9 billion) while PO1a is expected to result in net costs (EUR 2.9 billion).
    Net benefits in PO2 represent around 6.3% of the turnover per PTI centre, in PO3 around 6% of the
    turnover, in PO1b around 5.8% of the turnover per PTI centre, while the net costs in PO1a around
    1.1% of the turnover. While it was not possible to split the costs and benefits between the two groups
    (i.e., SME and others), due to the lack of data, a large part of the net benefits in PO1b, PO2 and PO3
    and of the net costs in PO1a are expected to be attributed to SMEs.
    Garages, motor vehicle dealers, tyre and repair stations, etc., mostly SMEs, will be affected by the
    requirement for Member States to set up a system to record odometer readings from the cars and vans
    registered in their territory (PMC9) in all policy options. As explained in section 6.1.2.2, total one-
    off and recurrent administrative costs would amount to EUR 460 million (EUR 706 per company),
    expressed as present value over 2026-2050.
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    Businesses owning vehicles. As explained in section 6.1.2.4, all policy options are expected to result
    in net benefits for businesses owning vehicles, estimated at EUR 117.8 billion in PO1a, EUR 94.2
    billion in PO1b, EUR 94 billion in PO2 and EUR 93.6 billion in PO3, expressed as present value
    over 2025-2050 relative to the baseline (in 2022 prices). Based on the available information, it was
    however not possible to assess how many of the businesses owning vehicles are SMEs.
    Only few of the measures are expected to affect the road haulage sector largely composed of SMEs
    (e.g., PM13 on cargo securing inspections in PO1b, PO2 and PO3, which would result in minimal
    costs, while hauliers could also benefit from the savings of avoided emission tests at PTI after having
    passed a RSI or a remote sensing check). The overall impact on the road haulage sector is expected
    to be limited but rather positive, although the available data did not allow a split of the costs and
    benefits between the two groups of operators (i.e., SME and others).
    Step (4) of SME test (minimizing negative impacts on SMEs).
    A large part of costs and benefits for PTI centres are expected to be attributed to SMEs. Depending
    on the Member State, the additional costs for the SMEs due to the additional requirements per PTI
    may be passed through to vehicle owners. Where Member States do not regulate prices, the PTI
    centres would likely be able to recover investment costs. Where Member States regulate the level of
    PTI charges, the costs may either be borne by the service provider or be recovered over a longer
    period. On the other hand, the higher costs due to the increased number of inspections (i.e. due to the
    extended scope) can be fully passed through to the vehicle owners and will represent benefits for the
    SMEs. Likewise, garages, motor vehicle dealers, tyre and repair workshops, which are mostly SMEs,
    will be affected by the requirement to set up a system to record odometer readings from the cars and
    vans registered in the same Member State. The related costs could be partly offset with pass-through
    of the costs to vehicle owners.
    For businesses owning vehicles, it was not possible to assess how many of the businesses owning
    vehicles are SMEs. Measures such as cargo securing inspections are expected to affect the road
    haulage sector largely composed of SMEs, which would result in minimal costs. On the other hand,
    hauliers would be able to benefit from the savings of avoided emission tests at PTI after having passed
    a RSI. The overall impact on the road haulage sector is expected to be limited but rather positive,
    although the available data did not allow a split of the costs and benefits between the two groups of
    operators (i.e., SME and others).
    A key issue highlighted by respondents in the stakeholder consultation in relation to SMEs are the
    aspects related to the renewal of testing equipment: the financial implications, the timeline for
    completing the investment, and the availability of support or financing options to facilitate this
    transition. One possible solution could be the extension of the transitional period for SMEs to update
    their equipment/facilities. A smoother transition with a longer time for adjustment could make it
    easier for smaller PTI centres to prepare and minimise the negative impact.
    299
    ANNEX 11: LINKS BETWEEN THE CONCLUSIONS OF THE EX-POST
    EVALUATION AND THE IMPACT ASSESSMENT
    The links between the conclusions of the ex-post evaluation and the impact assessment are
    summarised in the table below.
    Table 269: Links between the main conclusions of the ex-post evaluation and the impact assessment
    Main ex-post evaluation conclusions Impact Assessment
    Conclusions on relevance
    The RWP is not adapted to the latest technologies such as advanced
    driver assistance systems (e.g. ADAS) and electronic safety features,
    for which the RWP currently does not provide a sufficiently
    comprehensive framework. It does not contain specific testing
    protocols which would ensure the compliance and maintenance of
    electric, hybrid and hydrogen vehicles, including software updates.
    Technical inspections would have to be updated for the efficient
    acquisition of important safety-related data and the monitoring of
    new sensors and functions. Regarding emissions, some of the PTI
    tests and equipment must be adapted as they are no longer capable of
    detecting emission failures in the most recent internal combustion
    engine vehicles.
    The impact assessment analyses specific
    measures dedicated to addressing the
    challenges posed by recent and upcoming
    vehicle technology, in particular testing ADAS,
    software updates and electric vehicles.
    Similarly, measures aiming at improved access
    to vehicle data for the purposes of vehicle
    testing are assessed. As for emission testing,
    measures to introduce new test methods based
    on recent technical developments to replace
    outdated methods are defined.
    Conclusions on effectiveness
    Regarding roadworthiness emission checks, the effectiveness of the
    RWP is limited as the current test requirements under PTI and RSI
    are not suited to testing the functioning of recent emission control
    systems and must therefore be updated. Opacity testing measurement
    is outdated as it cannot detect diesel vehicles with defective particle
    filters or a tampered catalyst, which lead to high particle and NOx
    emissions. Instead, PN and NOx measurement should be used to
    verify newer diesel and petrol vehicles to detect defects and
    tampering with emission control systems.
    Regarding improvement of the exchange of information on testing
    results between Member States, the current framework for
    information exchange has not been effective. Although the legislation
    mentions electronic data exchanges between Member States
    authorities as a possibility, not all countries use this. Even if the
    harmonisation of vehicle registration documents made it easier for
    citizens to register vehicles from other Member States and EEA, there
    is room for improvement of the digitalisation process, to make it even
    easier. Re-registration can still be a cumbersome process and the
    RWP currently prevents the mutual recognition of PTIs between
    Member States, which represents a barrier to free movement.
    The impact assessment analyses the impacts of
    replacing outdated emission test methods for
    modern vehicles, in particular exhaust gas
    opacity testing required by the current PTI and
    RSI Directives. It assesses the benefits of
    measures introducing particle number (PN)
    counting and NOx-measurement, as well as
    remote sensing and/or plume chasing.
    The impact assessment looks at specific
    measures facilitating cross-border exchange of
    vehicle data.
    Similarly, it assesses the expected effects of
    various alternatives of mutual recognition of
    PTI certificates.
    Conclusions on efficiency
    Digitalisation can help in streamlining the vehicle re-registration
    process: the RWP should use the benefits of digital data exchange and
    more harmonisation of vehicle documents to reduce the
    administrative burden and costs associated with the process. Also,
    digital (mobile) vehicle registration documents could further
    The impact assessment looks at specific
    measures facilitating cross-border exchange of
    vehicle data to address the issue of inefficient
    re-registration processes, for example the
    harmonisation of registered data and the
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    Main ex-post evaluation conclusions Impact Assessment
    facilitate the digitalisation of the vehicle registration and data-
    keeping processes and reduce costs.
    interlinking of national vehicle registers, as
    well as the possible introduction of digital
    registration documents.
    Conclusions on coherence
    More consistency should be ensured between the type-approval
    regulation and the RWP. The coherence between the RWP and
    relevant EU instruments could be improved through the
    standardisation of safety-relevant vehicle data and the related
    responsibilities for manufacturers during the vehicle’s lifecycle.
    Defining responsibilities more clearly and mandating that relevant
    information is made available for PTIs across Member States could
    reduce uncertainty and time spent on searching for the relevant
    information, thus improving the overall accuracy and efficiency of
    inspections. The RWP should be also better aligned with the General
    Safety Regulation (GSR) (EU) 2019/2144.
    Roadworthiness testing relies to a large extent
    on type-approval, including when it comes to
    safety-relevant vehicle data. While the
    initiative on access to in-vehicles data is meant
    to address the need to standardise data formats,
    this impact assessment considers a measure that
    aims to specify the means of access to such data
    for the purpose of vehicle inspection.
    It also analyses the impacts of a measure
    focusing on testing ADAS, mandated by the
    GSR.
    Conclusions on EU Added Value
    The RWP sets a minimum standard for all Member States and
    provides a basic framework for detecting and addressing
    roadworthiness defects, ensuring that all Member States take action
    to improve road safety. Further harmonisation of the minimum PTI
    and RSI requirements would be useful to improve consistency of
    legislation, standards and practices within the EU. There is scope to
    improve mutual recognition of PTI inspections between the Member
    States, which would add value to the EU internal market, while it
    would also help to increase vehicle safety and environmental
    protection.
    One aim of the initiative is to update the RWP
    to evolving technology, to maintain its added
    value. It therefore includes a series of measures
    aimed at further improving road safety and
    environmental protection through further
    harmonisation.
    Measures are also defined to enhance the
    mutual recognition of PTIs conducted in
    another Member State.
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    ANNEX 12: IMPACTS ON FUNDAMENTAL RIGHTS
    This annex discusses in more detail the impacts on fundamental rights. The policy options were assessed to
    determine if they have an impact on the fundamental rights and/or equal treatment of EU citizens. The
    starting point of the assessment of the fundamental rights is the Charter of Fundamental Rights of the
    European Union467
    . All POs were assessed having regard to the relevant EU instrument and it was
    concludedthattheymaintainfull respect forhumanandfundamental rights, andnonewillhaveanynegative
    impact thereon.
    All options containcommonmeasures (PMC3 andPMC4)tohelpreducethelevel of airpollutant emissions
    from vehicles, thereby helping to improve the quality of the environment, in line with Article 37 of the
    Charter. However, options PO1b, PO2, and PO3 go further than option PO1ain this regard, due to measures
    PM5 (annual emission testing for light commercial vehicles), PM6 (yearly testing of vehicles that are 10-
    year-old or older) and PM12 (NOx measurement in RSI by remote sensing and plume chasing).
    All policy options contain a measure (PMC1) to adapt PTI methods to the testing of electric vehicles
    including the training of inspectors. This will provide a safer workplace for vehicle inspectors. In addition,
    PO1b, PO2, and PO3 contain a measure (PM13) to include mandatory inspection of cargo securing in RSI.
    These three policy options will therefore provide a safer working environment than option PO1a for
    professional drivers (Article 31).
    All policy options contain a measure designed to combat odometer fraud (PMC9), thereby increasing
    consumer protection (Article 38). Policy options PO3 as well as PO1b and PO2 each contain a measure
    (PM7 or PM8) to provide for mutual recognition of roadworthiness certificates. Policy options PO1a, PO2
    and PO3 contain a measure to digitalise registration documents (PM16). Therefore, PO2 and PO3 would
    have the greatest impact on assisting freedom of movement and residence (Article 45).
    All policy options contain a measure (PMC3) on PN measurement at PTI for light and heavy-duty vehicles
    and at RSI for commercial vehicles. However, policy options PO1b, PO2 and PO3 also contain a roadside
    inspection measure for NOx andPM measurement (remote sensing and plume chasing – PM12).Therefore,
    these three options go further than PO1a in ensuring that vehicles with tampered emission control systems,
    which could otherwise pass at PTI, will be caught at RSI. By ensuring that owners of non-tempered vehicles
    are not placed at a disadvantage compared to tampered vehicles, these three options do the most in
    promoting equality before the law (Article 3).
    PO2 and PO3 contain a measure on data governance (regarding cost-free access to vehicle testing by testing
    centres – PM11), which refers to technical data related to the vehicle’s specifications and current state (e.g.,
    sensorvalues).Alloptions includeameasureonodometerreadings(PMC9),whichconsidersprivacyissues
    when data is stored and exchanged. During the consultations, some stakeholders expressed concern over
    thedataprivacyissuesincommonmeasures relatedtothepossibilityofelectronicroadworthiness electronic
    certificates, and access thereto (PMC6 and PMC7). From a road safety perspective, the automatic
    accessibility of certificates through a shared system holds significant advantages, particularly in facilitating
    cross-border inspections and enhancing consumer convenience. However, the implementation of a digital
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    roadworthiness certificate demands a careful examination of potential privacy issues and the formulation of
    robust privacy protection measures.
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    ANNEX 13: IMPACTS ON THE FUNCTIONING OF THE INTERNAL MARKET
    AND COMPETITION
    As described in section 6.1.7, the existing divergence between vehicle registration documents and
    the information included and quality of the data stored in the vehicle registers creates challenges in
    coordinating enforcement actions by Member States. Furthermore, the non-recognition of
    roadworthiness certificates among EU Member State creates additional trade barriers for cross-border
    operation or sale of vehicles, hindering the efficient functioning of the internal market, business
    operations and the freedom of movement of people within the EU. All policy options are expected to
    have a positive impact on the functioning of the internal market.
    The combination of the measures related to improving the availability and exchange of vehicle-
    related information, making the roadworthiness certificate available in electronic format,
    harmonising testing methods, the frequency of testing, requirements for the improvement of the PTI
    and the scope of testing, can have a positive impact on the functioning of the internal market and on
    competition.
    All policy options include the common measures on the harmonisation of testing methods (PMC3,
    PMC4), and requirements for improving PTI (PMC1, PMC2 and PMC5) which could facilitate the
    free movement of vehicles, since more harmonised testing across Member States can enhance
    consumer confidence in purchasing vehicles from other countries, thereby promoting competition.
    Odometer tampering concerns at the moment of purchasing a second-hand vehicle are addressed by
    PMC9 in all policy options.
    Harmonising vehicle registration documents across Member States (PMC8) can have a positive
    contribution to internal market and competition. The standardised information helps to verify the
    vehicle's characteristics, and its registration status in the country of origin. This verification process
    helps to address potential obstacles to re-registration in another EU Member State, for example where
    the vehicle is reported stolen, or its registration certificate is suspected of being fraudulent. By
    harmonising the technical data in vehicle registration documents, the measure can simplify and
    streamline cross-border trade in vehicles within the EU.
    Providing electronic access to relevant data, including on PTI reports stored in national databases, to
    the registration authorities in another Member State (PMC7), is also expected to have a positive
    impact on the EU internal market, helping to avoid fraud and eliminate trade obstacles. An additional
    positive impact on fraud avoidance is expected from the requirement to issue roadworthiness
    certificates in electronic format only (PMC6).
    Qualitative assessment shows that PO2 and especially PO3 are expected to have the highest positive
    impact on the internal market and competition. PO2 incorporates additional measures aimed at
    extending roadside inspections to light commercial vehicles, and facilitating access to vehicle data
    necessary for thorough testing by PTI centres. This comprehensive approach is expected to have a
    stronger impact than PO1a and PO1b due, to its emphasis on these factors. PO3 has a stronger positive
    impact due to PM7, which requires that a PTI certificate issued in any Member State is recognised
    by the Member State of registration, as well as further harmonisation of test methods. In addition,
    PO3 introduces mandatory PTI for all motorcycles and light trailers, which are not currently tested
    by all Member States. The inclusion of L-category vehicles in the scope of RSI (PM15) is expected
    to reduce the number of tampered vehicles. PO3 applies more ambitious measures regarding the
    304
    mutual recognition of the PTI certificates, and the standardisation of tests methods than provisions
    already included in the other policy options. As such, PO3 is expected to deliver the most significant
    positive impact on the internal market and competition.
    305
    ANNEX 14: COHERENCE, SUBSIDIARITY AND PROPORTIONALITY
    (DETAILED ANALYSIS)
    Coherence
    Internal coherence assesses how various elements of the proposed options are expected to work
    together to achieve the objectives. Although all four policy options address the identified specific
    objectives and underlying problem drivers, they do so in different ways, and with a different level of
    intervention.
    The measures common to all policy options address different aspects of the problem covering test
    methods and procedures for both PTI and RSI, frequency of inspections related to vehicles with
    modifications, and measures related to facilitating exchange of PTI and registration data among
    Member States. There are no evident contradictions and inconsistencies among these measures. In
    some case there are possible synergies in terms of costs to implement them, such as the introduction
    of new test methods for PN and NOx, where the goal is to eventually use one single device and one
    single measurement for both tests. Importantly, the measure addressing odometer fraud, by increasing
    the number of readings and the exchange of relevant data in the case of cross-border sales, will benefit
    from the implementation of the measure that will facilitate the easier exchange of relevant data among
    Member States.
    PO1a focuses on better exchange of vehicle data and there are clear synergies between the common
    measures on the frequent update of data in vehicle registration and the introduction of a digital vehicle
    certificate. Digital vehicle certificate should also simplify the approach to the data to be included in
    vehicle certificate dataset and facilitate re-registration of vehicles and enforcement activities.
    PO1b has the focus more on testing and reducing safety- and emissions-related fraud and tampering
    and improving the detection of defective vehicles. It includes additional test methods and procedures
    besides those in the common measures. It aims at higher combined impact in terms of identification
    of defective vehicles, for example through measures such as the annual emission testing of light
    commercial vehicles. It also shows synergies with introducing mandatory PTI for motorcycles and
    the use of more advanced noise testing for motorcycles. The use of remote sensing and plume chasing
    for HDVs measuring NOx and particle emissions complements the new PTI and RSI methods, helps
    to better target inspections and increases the share of the vehicle fleet checked between PTI
    inspections. Given that it does not include any of the measures related to digital certificate or the
    extension of data to be included in the registration certificate, some of the combined benefits in PO1b
    are likely to be smaller.
    Synergies indicated in relation to PO1a and PO1b are expected to increase in the case of PO2 and
    PO3, containing more comprehensive sets of measures and even lead to extra synergies, for example
    due to measures on registration certificate and more harmonised registered data. Some measures such
    as introduction of RSI for vans will be complementary to the use of new testing methods (PN and
    NOx testing). PO3 goes even further than PO2 by including RSI for motorcycles, complementing the
    mandatory PTI for motorcycles with extended scope (>50cc), and by requiring PTI of trailers below
    3.5t (O1 and O2 categories).
    To summarise, all policy options ensure internal coherence. Among the four options, it can be
    concluded that PO2 and PO3 are expected to benefit from a broader range of synergies that can
    306
    contribute to a higher level of achievement of the objectives.
    External coherence focuses on the compliance of the initiative with other EU instruments and
    relevant EU policies, as well as national policies and international obligations. All identified policy
    options show strong links to several EU instruments.
    All policy options appear consistent with the objectives and priorities set in the 2020 Sustainable
    and Smart Mobility Strategy (SSMS) and the EU Green Deal by ensuring that vehicles on the
    roads maintain an adequate level of safety and environmental performance over time. By the expected
    reduction in fatalities, all policy options are in line with the objectives set in the EU Road Safety
    Policy Framework, and will contribute to the achievement of the objective of 50% reduction of
    fatalities and serious injuries by 2030. Still, PO2 and even more so PO3 are the policy options with
    the greatest level of contribution towards this objective. The proposed options are also expected to
    have a significant contribution towards the EU’s clean air policy objectives, including those of the
    Ambient Air Quality Directives and of the National Emission reduction Commitments Directive, by
    better identifying and reducing the presence of high polluters that represent a very large share of total
    emissions from road transport.
    All policy options are also consistent with the Single Digital Gateway Regulation by facilitating
    online access to vehicle-related information, relevant administrative procedures and assistance and
    problem-solving services. PO1b is less coherent than the other options as it does not include the
    digitalisation of vehicle registration certificates and adding further data to the vehicle registers.
    Otherwise, the options are also serving the objectives of the EU’s Data Strategy for the development
    of European Data spaces for public administrations that can support enforcement of legislation,
    including road safety and environmental legislation. Exchange of information related to
    roadworthiness and registration data will have to be aligned with relevant rules on data protection
    (GDPR).
    All options are consistent with the General Safety Regulation. They will ensure that any new
    equipment introduced to ensure compliance with that Regulation will perform as expected and, as a
    result, ensure that the benefits materialise. All policy options are coherent with the safety and
    environmental requirements as set out in the Type-approval Regulations468
    . These Regulations also
    set out the market surveillance requirements for these vehicles. All policy options include measures
    which aim at ensuring that minimum standards are maintained by owners throughout the lifetime of
    the vehicle. They include alignment between PTI and RSI testing and the type-approval process,
    including in relation to the use of ePTI. Remote sensing in RSI of all vehicles (part of PO1b, PO2
    and PO3) is particularly relevant for the purposes of market surveillance as it allows screening a large
    part of the vehicle fleet providing valuable insight into recurrent issues with specific
    technologies/solutions used as part of emission control systems, vehicle models, model years etc.
    Further to that, there are expected synergies with the new Euro 7 Regulation for all options,
    including the use of On-Board Monitoring functions to facilitate the assessment of NOx emissions
    during PTI and RSI inspections. Finally, all policy options are coherent with the requirements of the
    legislation on end-of-life vehicles (ELV), through providing electronic access to data to the
    registration authorities of other EU Member States and adding new, including ELV-related data to
    468
    i.e. Regulation (EU) 2018/858 for most passenger and freight vehicles and their trailers, Regulation (EU) 167/2013
    for tractors, and Regulation (EU) 168/2013 for two- and three-wheel vehicles and quadricycles.
    307
    the vehicle register.
    In terms of external coherence, all policy options are therefore considered consistent with relevant
    EU strategies and legal instruments and contribute to EU policy priorities. In relative terms, PO3 and
    PO2 are expected to be the most coherent with the policy objectives in related EU legislation and
    strategies, followed by PO1b and PO1a being slightly less coherent. PO2 is considered somewhat
    more coherent than PO3 in relation to existing national policies and structural differences on the
    ground (further explained under subsidiarity below).
    Subsidiarity and proportionality
    As described in sections 3.2 and 3.3, EU action is justified on the basis that Member States alone
    would not be able to reach the objectives of the initiative, i.e., updating the harmonised rules on
    roadworthiness testing, including coordinated exchange of vehicle-related data. What differentiates
    the policy options beyond the common measures necessary to achieve the objectives at a minimum
    level is their focus (between PO1a and PO1b) and the extent to which they can fulfil the objectives
    (PO2 and PO3 going beyond the other two).
    In terms of the relevant measures for the recognition of PTI certificate in other Member States,
    measures PM8 (included in PO1b and PO2) and especially PM7 (in PO3) may be considered by
    Member States as going beyond what is necessary to address the problem, while PM9 (in PO1a) –
    based on bilateral agreements (essentially voluntary recognition) – leaves greater scope for Member
    States to decide which PTIs to accept depending on differences between national solutions. However,
    this is expected to significantly limit the benefits to a limited number of citizens and businesses, thus
    also delivering less in terms of the achievement of the objectives. As regards the measures on the PTI
    and RSI tests and procedures, similar measures are already in place in the Member States, based on
    the current Directives. Requiring that certain standards are applied concerning the tests methods and
    procedures is intended to ensure a harmonised approach across the EU and should not, in principle,
    raise any subsidiarity issues.
    In relation to the measures concerning the extension of the scope of PTI and/or RSI to motorcycles,
    PM1 (in PO1a and PO2) aims to ensure harmonisation while giving the option for Member States to
    choose whether to use PTI or RSI for motorcycles. PM2 (in PO1b) and PM3 (in PO3) requiring all
    Member States to apply PTI to motorcycles would effectively harmonise the roadworthiness testing
    of these vehicles, with the change affecting only seven or eight Member States. Furthermore, the fact
    that motorcycles are responsible for a significant share of road crashes and environmental pollution
    (air and noise), and may also take part in international traffic, appears to justify their regular testing
    while leaving the specification of the frequency and contents of the inspections to Member States.
    In terms of proportionality, as the level of intervention and associated costs increase from PO1a to
    PO3, the level of positive impacts also increases, although not proportionally (as shown by the
    efficiency ratios). In general, the scope of the options is limited to what can best be achieved at the
    EU level (in terms of harmonisation of methods and scope of testing, as well as in finding common
    solutions to ensure efficient sharing and access to the necessary vehicle data). For example, vehicles
    that are mostly used locally, such as mopeds and tractors are not targeted by the retained measures.
    At the same time, there are differences in the focus and extent to which the options aim to harmonise
    the scope of vehicles and the content of testing.
    308
    As for the choice of the instrument for Union action, amending the existing RWP Directives is
    considered to be the most appropriate solution. This allows achieving the objectives through taking
    the next logical step in the process of gradual harmonisation in this area, while leaving sufficient
    room for manoeuvre for Member States to implement the changes in their specific national context,
    by continuing to apply well-established national arrangements in roadworthiness testing. This choice,
    using minimum requirements instead of a one-size-fits-all approach will also allow industry to
    develop the most efficient technical solutions that this continuously evolving field requires.
    309
    ANNEX 15: MONITORING
    The following elements related to RSI are important for the monitoring:
    • The biennial RSI reports drawn up by Member States cover major and dangerous deficiencies
    detected during roadside inspections of heavy-duty vehicles (lorries, buses/coaches, and
    tractors). As permitted by the RSI Directive, some Member States apply targeted inspections
    based on the risk rating of transport undertakings, which can significantly increase the share of
    vehicles found defective at the roadside. Although this increases the effectiveness of the measure,
    it also means that the results reported by those Member States are not representative of the actual
    share of defective vehicles that may be circulating. In addition, those reports are not comparable
    to reports from other Member States that do not apply targeted checks. Their usefulness is thus
    limited.
    • Instead, reporting the results of PTIs, which are collected by all Member States and cover almost
    the entire vehicle fleet will be a much more useful source of information, allowing better
    comparability of the implementation and results achieved according to the effectiveness criteria,
    e.g., in terms of the numbers of defective and tampered vehicles detected (even if not perfect due
    to varying stringency of PTIs among Member States). For vehicles that are subject to PTI, this
    should be the primary reference, with RSI results a possible addition. On the other hand, for
    vehicles that remain outside of the scope of PTI, RSI results can be a valuable source to assess
    the implementation of roadworthiness testing in the EU. The frequency of reporting (biennial) is
    considered adequate.
    • To gain a clearer view and to monitor the evolution the share of high-emitting vehicles, remote
    sensing data should be available from all Member States. Such data would provide an overview
    of the state of the vehicle fleet and help identify recurrent issues with specific technologies and
    brands or models that should be subject to further investigation e.g., through market surveillance
    actions and may be subject to recalls and software updates469
    .
    • In addition, as demonstrated by the evaluation and this impact assessment, data about the number
    of PTI centres, PTI lanes and inspectors are scarce, which hinder the accurate assessment of the
    effects of the policies implemented so far as well as the that of the impacts of measures still to
    be adopted. It is therefore necessary that Member States regularly inform the Commission about
    these basic data, which should be part of the biennial reports starting from the date of
    implementation of the revised RWP.
    To measure the progress and the actual effects of the initiative, the following operational objectives
    and indicators have been identified:
    Operational objective Indicators
    469
    Hooftman N., Ligterink N., Bhoraskar, A., (2020) Analysis of the 2019 Flemish remote sensing campaign.
    Commissioned by the Flemish Government - Flanders Environment Agency - Team Air quality policy
    310
    Operational objective Indicators
    Apply newly available safety and emission testing
    methods at PTI and RSI
    Number of MSs applying test methods specific to EVs
    Number of MSs applying ePTI methods
    Number of MSs applying PN measurement
    Number of MSs applying NOx measurement
    Number of MSs applying remote sensing
    - To screen pollutant emission
    - To measure noise
    Number of MSs applying plume chasing
    Numbers of vehicles screened by remote sensing / plume
    chasing
    Interconnect Member States’ vehicle registers and
    odometer databases through a common hub
    Number of MSs having an odometer database
    Number of MSs connected to the MOVE-HUB
    Number of messages sent per month
    Digitalise vehicle documents Number of MSs issuing digital PTI certificates
    Number of MSs issuing digital registration certificates
    Reduce the number of defective and tampered vehicles
    on EU roads
    Number of defective vehicles detected at PTI/RSI
    - With safety-related defects
    - With emissions-related defects
    Number of vehicles stopped at RSI following remote
    emission screening
    Number of vehicles invited to PTI following remote
    emission screening
    The data for assessing these operational objectives will draw on regular reporting by Member States
    as well as ad hoc data collection actions, including by data exchange systems, such as the MOVE-
    HUB.
    311
    ANNEX 16: SYNERGIES WITH OTHER POLICY INSTRUMENTS
    Roadworthiness testing relies on the technical specifications of the vehicles470
    that are harmonised at
    EU level and beyond (UNECE471
    ). Vehicle registration remains a national competence, although it
    relies on the Certificate of Conformity also defined in type-approval legislation472
    . The most recent
    and relevant safety- and emissions-related type-approval regulations are the General Safety
    Regulation (GSR)473
    and the Euro 7 Regulation (EU) 2024/1257474
    . The GSR requires that, from
    July 2022, new types of motor vehicles are equipped with advanced driver assistant systems aimed
    at reducing the number of fatalities and serious injuries; these will also be used in automated
    vehicles475
    . The Euro 7 standards will gradually replace existing emission rules for cars and vans
    (Euro 6) and lorries and buses (Euro VI), ensuring that new cars, vans, lorries and buses are cleaner
    in real driving conditions and that they remain clean for longer than required by the existing
    (durability) rules. However, for passenger cars and vans, the current Euro 6 test conditions and
    exhaust emissions limits were maintained, as well as the current Euro VI testing conditions for buses
    and lorries.
    The focus of the RWP is different from the market surveillance legislation mentioned above. Whereas
    market surveillance provisions aim to ensure that vehicles continue to meet their type-approval
    requirements when placed on the market and for a limited period thereafter, and so are effectively
    focusing on the responsibilities of the manufacturer, the RWP focuses on ensuring that minimum
    standards are maintained by owners throughout the lifetime of the vehicle. Also, while market
    surveillance requires testing a limited number of vehicles per model, PTI applies to almost all
    registered vehicles. Thus, the RWP complements the market surveillance legislation in ensuring road
    safety and the environmental performance of vehicles during their lifetime.
    Since 20 May 2023, real-world fuel and/or energy consumption data are collected from light vehicles
    when they undergo PTI, as required by the rules on on-board fuel consumption monitoring476
    . This
    is made possible since from that date, all PTI centres are required to be equipped with scan tools
    capable of reading out data from the on-board diagnostics of the vehicle. The same kind of data could
    also be collected from heavy-duty vehicles (HDVs) undergoing PTI as soon as the corresponding
    470
    Cf. the various type-approval legislation (Regulation (EU) 2018/858, Regulation (EU) 167/2013, Regulation (EU)
    168/2013).
    471
    World Forum for Harmonization of Vehicle Regulations of the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe.
    For example, a proposal has been endorsed in UNECE General Safety Provisions Working Party to introduce odometer
    accuracy and anti-tampering provisions in UN Regulation No. 39, 02 series of amendment.
    472
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2018/858/oj
    473
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2019/2144/oj
    474
    Regulation - 2024/1257 - EN - EUR-Lex
    475
    For all new vehicle types from 6 July 2022 onwards and for all new vehicles from 7 July 2024, the following safety
    features are mandatory: for all road vehicles (cars, vans, trucks and buses) - intelligent speed assistance, reversing
    detection with camera or sensors, attention warning in case of driver drowsiness or distraction, event data recorders as
    well as an emergency stop signal; for cars and vans - additional features such as lane keeping systems and automated
    braking; for buses and trucks - technologies for better recognising possible blind spots, warnings to prevent collisions
    with pedestrians or cyclists and tyre pressure monitoring systems.
    476
    Commission Implementing Regulation (EU) 2021/392 on the monitoring and reporting of data relating to CO2
    emissions from passenger cars and light commercial vehicles, https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg_impl/2021/392/oj
    312
    legislation so requires.
    The Commission is also currently working on an initiative on fair and non-discriminatory access to
    in-vehicle data477
    , which is crucial for technical inspection centres to be able to carry out their daily
    tasks. That initiative will complement the Commission’s proposal for the Data Act478
    by more
    specific provisions on access to functions and resources, essential for the provision of data-dependent
    services in the automotive sector. It will standardise the relevant datasets and ensure effective non-
    discriminatory and secure access for aftermarket and mobility services. A range of automotive service
    providers, including vehicle repair and inspection companies and authorities have called for an
    ambitious Commission proposal, to ensure a level-playing field and unhindered access to the relevant
    in-vehicle data479
    . The revision of the PTI Directive (and of its implementing act on the technical
    information necessary for roadworthiness testing480
    ) could complement the access to in-vehicle data
    proposal, through specific provisions facilitating access to the data necessary for technical
    inspections.
    Further EU legislation relevant for vehicle registration and roadworthiness are the Single Digital
    Gateway Regulation (SDG)481
    and the Directive on the treatment of end-of-life vehicles (ELV)482
    .
    The SDG Regulation provides for registering a motor vehicle originating from or already registered
    in a Member State among the procedures to be carried fully online, where possible. The
    Commission’s proposal to replace the ELV Directive with a Regulation483
    aims at linking export
    requirements to roadworthiness and relies on more effective and efficient exchange of vehicle
    registration data among national authorities, including customs authorities, to address the problem of
    missing vehicles. For that purpose, it calls for a proposal to revise the Vehicle Registration
    Documents Directive. It specifically suggests that the revision of the VRD Directive should require
    electronic recording of data related to the reasons for the cancellation of a registration of a vehicle,
    especially if a vehicle has been treated as an end-of-life vehicle in an authorised treatment facility,
    re-registered in another Member State, exported outside the Union, or stolen.
    In March 2023, the Commission made three other road safety-related proposals, out of which two are
    relevant for the revision of the RWP, namely the revision of the Directives on driving licences and
    on facilitating cross-border exchange of information on road-safety-related traffic offences484
    .
    Coherence will need to be ensured between the rules on vehicle registration documents and the
    possible future digitalisation of documents, as well as regards the exchange of vehicle-related
    information among Member States for enforcement purposes.
    EU legislation on road tolling485
    also relies on the harmonised Union codes defined in the VRD
    Directive, which were last (slightly) amended as part of the revision of rules on road pricing
    477
    https://ec.europa.eu/info/law/better-regulation/have-your-say/initiatives/13180-Access-to-vehicle-data-functions-
    and-resources_en
    478
    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/ip_22_1113
    479
    See e.g. open letter from CITA: https://citainsp.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/L2023-006-Data-Act.pdf
    480
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg_impl/2019/621/oj
    481
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2018/1724/oj
    482
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir/2000/53/oj
    483
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A52023PC0451
    484
    COM(2023) 127 and COM(2023) 126 final, https://transport.ec.europa.eu/news-events/news/european-commission-
    proposes-updated-requirements-driving-licences-and-better-cross-border-2023-03-01_en
    485
    Directive (EU) 2019/520 on the interoperability of electronic road toll systems and facilitating cross-border exchange
    of information on the failure to pay road fees in the Union, https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir/2019/520/oj
    313
    (Eurovignette Directive)486
    .
    Finally, the EU Decision on the Digital Decade Policy Programme 2030487
    foresees that the
    European Parliament, the Council, the Commission and the Member States shall cooperate with a
    view to achieving digital targets in the Union by 2030. Among those, the digitalisation of public
    services, where there is 100% online accessible provision of key public services and, where relevant,
    it is possible for citizens and businesses in the Union to interact online with public administrations.
    486
    Directive (EU) 2022/362 amending Directives 1999/62/EC, 1999/37/EC and (EU) 2019/520, as regards the charging
    of vehicles for the use of certain infrastructures, https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir/2022/362/oj
    487
    Publications Office (europa.eu)
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    ANNEX 17: EVALUATION REPORT (SEPARATE DOCUMENT)
    Separate document: Evaluation SWD and specific annexes.