REGULATORY SCRUTINY BOARD OPINION Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council on the protection of the Union and its Member States from economic coercion by third countries

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    EUROPEAN COMMISSION
    19/10/2021
    SEC(2021) 418
    REGULATORY SCRUTINY BOARD OPINION
    Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the
    Council on the protection of the Union and its Member States from
    economic coercion by third countries
    COM(2021) 775
    SWD(2021) 371
    SWD(2021) 372
    Offentligt
    KOM (2021) 0775 - SEK-dokument
    Europaudvalget 2021
    ________________________________
    This opinion concerns a draft impact assessment which may differ from the final version.
    Commission européenne, B-1049 Bruxelles - Belgium. Office: BERL 08/010. E-mail: regulatory-scrutiny-board@ec.europa.eu
    EUROPEAN COMMISSION
    Regulatory Scrutiny Board
    Brussels,
    RSB
    Opinion
    Title: Impact assessment / Instrument to deter and counteract coercive actions by third
    countries
    Overall opinion: POSITIVE WITH RESERVATIONS
    (A) Policy context
    Trade policy operates in an increasingly challenging geo-political context. Rising global
    tensions, unilateral actions and coercive measures mean, that trade policy is increasingly
    being ‘weaponised’.
    In order to increase the resilience of the EU economy in this context, this initiative
    addresses economic coercion from third countries. Economic coercion happens, when third
    countries use economic/trade measures to assert pressure on the EU’s or its Member
    States’ legitimate policymaking. This report considers how to defer such economic
    coercion, to de-escalate it, discontinue coercive measures, and if that does not work,
    counteract it.
    (B) Summary of findings
    The Board notes the useful additional information provided in advance of the
    meeting and commitments to make changes to the report.
    However, the report still contains significant shortcomings. The Board gives a
    positive opinion with reservations because it expects the DG to rectify the following
    aspects:
    (1) The report does not explain well how coercion relates to international law.
    (2) The report does not sufficiently explain the articulation with the Blocking Statute
    and other existing instruments and legislation.
    (3) The report does not present policy choices completely and adequately, nor does it
    analyse sufficiently their efficiency and effectiveness.
    (4) The report is not sufficiently clear about triggers, conditions and criteria for
    launching specific actions under the mechanism.
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    (C) What to improve
    (1) The report should explain better that coercion is a breach of customary international
    law, which is not covered by international treaties and their settlement mechanisms. It
    should clarify that the EU has never issued any retaliatory measures against coercion
    because it lacks the legal means. It should explain that the EU is an exception in not having
    anti-coercive power.
    (2) The report should more systematically present evidence supporting the claim that the
    problem is significant and increasing.
    (3) The report should explain the articulation with overlapping instruments such as the EU
    Blocking Statute and other existing instruments and legislation that could be used to
    dissuade and counter coercion. The report should highlight the gap that this instrument is
    designed to fill and how coherence will be ensured. The options should clarify how this
    new instrument would interact with the EU Blocking Statute on extra-territioral sanctions.
    If there are several possible approaches, the report should present and analyse these.
    (4) The report should explain, which conditions and criteria will have to be fulfilled to
    trigger the launch of an anti coercion case. The options should reflect any political choices
    that need to be made in this context. The report should also better explain the process
    under which a specific anti-coercion action would be adopted and how efficient decision-
    making would be ensured.
    (5) Policy options should be accompanied with the best possible evidence of their
    effectiveness and efficiency. The comparison of options should better take into account the
    likely differences in cost between the options.
    (6) The report should be more precise on the required legal base for the actions taken.
    The Board notes the estimated costs and benefits of the preferred option(s) in this
    initiative, as summarised in the attached quantification tables.
    Some more technical comments have been sent directly to the author DG.
    (D) Conclusion
    The DG must revise the report in accordance with the Board’s findings before
    launching the interservice consultation.
    If there are any changes in the choice or design of the preferred option in the final
    version of the report, the DG may need to further adjust the attached quantification
    tables to reflect this.
    Full title Instrument to deter and counteract coercive actions by third
    countries
    Reference number PLAN/2020/9688
    Submitted to RSB on 29 August 2021
    Date of RSB meeting 22 September 2021
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    ANNEX: Quantification tables extracted from the draft impact assessment report
    The following tables contain information on the costs and benefits of the initiative on
    which the Board has given its opinion, as presented above.
    If the draft report has been revised in line with the Board’s recommendations, the content
    of these tables may be different from those in the final version of the impact assessment
    report, as published by the Commission.
    Specific cists are linked to the use of the instrument in specific, future cases and for the reasons
    stated in the report it is not feasible to estimate them at the design phase.
    I. Overview of Benefits (total for all provisions) – Preferred Option
    Description Amount Comments
    Direct benefits
    EU authorities are able to adopt
    policies, which were at the origin of
    the coercion, without being subject to
    external pressure
    By deterring third country coercion or deterring threats of using coercive
    measures
    More predictable environment in the
    sphere of trade policy; including:
    (i) lower transaction costs for EU
    exporters, which is of particular
    importance for SMEs
    If coercion would take the form of host country import restrictions
    (ii) lower host country compliance
    costs for EU investors
    If coercion would take the form of restrictions in the market of the
    coercing country
    (iii) lower costs for EU importers and
    predictable supply
    If imports of inputs for their economic activity would be restricted
    Indirect benefits
    Continued and stable employment In sectors that would be targeted by coercive country
    Lower or stable prices for EU
    consumers
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    Costs are specified based on the assumption that the instrument is able to deter coercion and
    therefore is used less than once a year. This is classified as “one-off” in the table below.
    II. Overview of costs – Preferred option
    Citizens/Consumers Businesses Administrations
    One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent
    Policy
    package 2
    Direct costs Higher costs of
    products if there is
    pass-through
    effect
    Third country:
    may take place if a
    specific group of
    funding or persons
    is affected by
    countermeasures
    Higher costs of
    imported products;
    depressed market
    access; restricted
    operations of EU
    investors abroad
    (depending on
    countermeasures)
    Third country: may
    take place if a specific
    group of funding or
    persons is affected by
    countermeasures
    Administrative
    costs of
    assessing the
    damage to the
    EU economic
    operators and
    designing
    countermeasures
    Third country:
    may take place
    if a specific
    group of funding
    or persons is
    affected by
    countermeasures
    Indirect costs