COMMISSION STAFF WORKING DOCUMENT IMPACT ASSESSMENT REPORT Accompanying the documents Proposal for a REGULATION OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE COUNCIL amending Regulation (EU) No 575/2013 on prudential requirements for credit institutions as regards requirements for credit risk, credit valuation adjustment risk, operational risk, market risk and the output floor Proposal for a DIRECTIVE OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE COUNCIL amending Directive 2013/36/EU as regards supervisory powers, sanctions, third-country branches, and environmental, social and governance risks, and amending Directive 2014/59/EU

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    1_EN_impact_assessment_part1_v3.pdf

    https://www.ft.dk/samling/20211/kommissionsforslag/kom(2021)0663/forslag/1821928/2468421.pdf

    EN EN
    EUROPEAN
    COMMISSION
    Brussels, 27.10.2021
    SWD(2021) 320 final
    PART 1/4
    COMMISSION STAFF WORKING DOCUMENT
    IMPACT ASSESSMENT REPORT
    Accompanying the documents
    Proposal for a REGULATION OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE
    COUNCIL amending Regulation (EU) No 575/2013 on prudential requirements for
    credit institutions as regards requirements for credit risk, credit valuation adjustment
    risk, operational risk, market risk and the output floor
    Proposal for a DIRECTIVE OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE
    COUNCIL amending Directive 2013/36/EU as regards supervisory powers, sanctions,
    third-country branches, and environmental, social and governance risks, and amending
    Directive 2014/59/EU
    {COM(2021) 663 final} - {SEC(2021) 380 final} - {SWD(2021) 321 final}
    Offentligt
    KOM (2021) 0663 - SWD-dokument
    Europaudvalget 2021
    1
    Table of contents
    1. INTRODUCTION: POLITICAL AND LEGAL CONTEXT.....................................5
    2. PROBLEM DEFINITION ........................................................................................12
    2.1. What are the problems and problem drivers?..................................................12
    2.1.1. Deficiencies in the current framework for calculating risk-based
    capital requirements.............................................................................12
    2.1.2. No dedicated capture of ESG risks in the prudential framework........17
    2.1.3. Inconsistency of powers and tools made available to supervisors
    across the Union ..................................................................................19
    2.1.4. Fragmentation and inefficiency in the disclosure of banks’ prudential
    information ..........................................................................................21
    2.2. How will the problems evolve?.......................................................................22
    3. WHY SHOULD THE EU ACT? ..............................................................................26
    3.1. Legal basis.......................................................................................................26
    3.2. Subsidiarity: Necessity of EU action...............................................................26
    3.3. Subsidiarity: Added value of EU action..........................................................27
    4. OBJECTIVES: WHAT IS TO BE ACHIEVED? .....................................................27
    4.1. General objectives ...........................................................................................27
    4.2. Specific objectives...........................................................................................28
    5. WHAT ARE THE AVAILABLE POLICY OPTIONS? ..........................................29
    5.1. What is the baseline from which options are assessed? ..................................29
    5.2. Description of policy options ..........................................................................30
    5.2.1. Improve the current framework for calculating risk-based capital
    requirements ........................................................................................30
    5.2.2. Dedicated capture of ESG risks in the prudential framework.............40
    5.2.3. Improve the consistency in the application of supervisory powers.....41
    5.2.4. Reduce disclosure costs and improve market access to bank prudential
    information ..........................................................................................43
    6. WHAT ARE THE IMPACTS OF THE POLICY OPTIONS AND HOW
    WOULD THEY COMPARE? ..................................................................................44
    6.1. Improve the current framework for calculating risk-based capital
    requirements ....................................................................................................44
    6.2. Dedicated capture of ESG risks in the prudential framework.........................52
    6.3. Improve the consistency in the application of supervisory powers.................54
    6.4. Reduce disclosure costs and improve market access to bank prudential
    information ......................................................................................................57
    7. PREFERRED POLICY OPTIONS...........................................................................58
    2
    7.1. Effectiveness....................................................................................................58
    7.2. Efficiency ........................................................................................................59
    7.3. Coherence........................................................................................................60
    7.4. REFIT (simplification and improved efficiency)............................................61
    8. HOW WILL ACTUAL IMPACTS BE MONITORED AND EVALUATED.........62
    ANNEX 1: PROCEDURAL INFORMATIONERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED.
    1. LEAD DG, DECIDE PLANNING/CWP REFERENCESERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED.
    2. ORGANISATION AND TIMING.........ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED.
    3. CONSULTATION OF THE RSB..........ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED.
    4. EVIDENCE, SOURCES AND QUALITYERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED.
    ANNEX 2: STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATIONERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED.
    ANNEX 3: WHO IS AFFECTED AND HOW?ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED.
    ANNEX 4: EVALUATION...........................ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED.
    ANNEX 5: ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ABOUT POLICY OPTIONSERROR! BOOKMARK NOT
    1. IMPROVE THE CURRENT FRAMEWORK FOR CALCULATING RISK-
    BASED CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS .ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED.
    1.1. Credit risk framework – Standardised approach Error! Bookmark not defined.
    1.2. Credit risk framework – Internal model approachError! Bookmark not defined.
    1.3. Market risk framework....................................... Error! Bookmark not defined.
    1.4. Operational risk framework................................ Error! Bookmark not defined.
    1.5. Credit valuation adjustment risk framework...... Error! Bookmark not defined.
    1.6. Minimum haircut floor framework for SFTs ..... Error! Bookmark not defined.
    1.7. Standardised approach for counterparty credit riskError! Bookmark not defined.
    1.8. Output Floor ....................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined.
    ANNEX 6: SPECIFIC IMPACTS OF PREFERRED POLICY OPTIONSERROR! BOOKMARK NOT D
    1. Impact on administrative and operational costs ............ Error! Bookmark not defined.
    2. Impact on competitiveness ............................................ Error! Bookmark not defined.
    3. Impact on SMEs ............................................................ Error! Bookmark not defined.
    4. Macro-economic costs and benefits analysis ................ Error! Bookmark not defined.
    ANNEX 7: ANALYTICAL METHODS.......ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED.
    1. EBA impact analysis ..................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined.
    2. ECB macroeconomic costs and benefits analysis ......... Error! Bookmark not defined.
    3
    List of abbreviations
    Term or acronym Meaning or definition
    AIRB Advanced IRB
    BA-CVA Basic Approached for Credit Valuation Adjustment
    BCBS Basel Committee on Banking Supervision
    CCB Capital Conservation Buffer
    CCyB Countercyclical Capital Buffer
    CfA Call for Advice
    CIU Collective Investment Undertaking
    CMU Capital Markets Union
    CRR Capital Requirements Regulation
    CRD Capital Requirements Directive
    CVA Credit Valuation Adjustment
    EAD Exposure At Default
    EBA European Banking Authority
    ECB European Central Bank
    EGD European Green Deal
    ESMA European Securities Markets Authority
    EU European Union
    EUCLID European Centralised Infrastructure for Supervisory Data
    FRTB Fundamental Review of the Trading Book
    GaR Growth-at-Risk
    GFC Great Financial Crisis
    GDP Gross Domestic Product
    GI Gross Income
    ILM Internal Loss Multiplier
    IRB Internal Ratings Based
    LDP Low Default Portfolio
    MRC Minimum Required Capital
    MS Member State
    OF Output Floor
    PD Probability of Default
    4
    P2R Pillar 2 Requirement
    QIS Quantitative Impact Study
    RW Risk Weight
    RWA Risk-Weighted Asset
    SA-CCR Standardised Approach for Counterparty Credit Risk
    SA-CR Standardised Approach for Credit Risk
    SA-CVA Standardised Approach for Credit Valuation Adjustment
    SFT Security Financing Transaction
    SFTR Securities Financing Transactions Regulation
    SME Small and medium-sized enterprise
    SyRB Systemic Risk Buffer
    SSM Single Supervisory Mechanism
    SREP Supervisory Review and Evaluation Process
    TLAC Total Loss-Absorbing Capacity
    TRIM Targeted Review of Internal Models
    5
    1. INTRODUCTION: POLITICAL AND LEGAL CONTEXT
    The Great Financial Crisis of 2008-09 (GFC) had its origins in various deficiencies of the
    financial sector, in particular in the banking sector. According to the ‘Report of the de
    Larosière Group’1
    , the origins of the GFC emanated from the combination of several
    factors, mainly the low cost of borrowing prevailing before the GFC, the financial market
    search for ever–higher returns and the emergence, and widespread use, of complex
    financial products created by bundling up new tradable securities from existing
    underlying risky loans. The deterioration of the credit quality of a large number of these
    loans triggered a rapid contagion of financial difficulties across the banking sector,
    highlighting its various deficiencies, including the failure of credit agencies and financial
    institutions to appropriately assess the risks of these new securities, the excessive
    interconnectedness of financial institutions worldwide, the inadequacy of banks’
    prudential framework to impose sufficient loss-absorbing own funds and liquid assets
    requirements and the insufficiency of supervisory oversight.
    The consequences of the GFC on the financial sector resulted in major costs2
    for
    governments as they had to support the financial sector, and also in a massive
    contraction3
    of economic activity in the Union and across the world. In response to the
    GFC, the Union implemented substantial reforms of the prudential framework applicable
    to banks in order to enhance their resilience and thus help prevent the recurrence of a
    similar crisis. Those reforms were largely based on international standards adopted since
    2010 by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS)4
    . The standards are
    collectively known as the Basel III standards, the Basel III reforms or the Basel III
    framework5
    . A summary of the content and timelines of those reforms, as well as their
    implementation in the Union, is provided at the end of this Section (see Figure 3).
    The global standards developed by the BCBS have become increasingly important due to
    the ever more global and interconnected nature of the banking sector. While a globalised
    banking sector facilitates international trade and investment, it also generates more
    complex financial risks. Without uniform global standards, banks could choose to
    establish their activities in the jurisdiction with the most lenient regulatory and
    supervisory regimes. This might lead to a regulatory race to the bottom to attract bank
    businesses, increasing at the same time the risk of global financial instability.
    International coordination on global standards limits this type of risky competition to a
    large extent and is key for maintaining financial stability in a globalised world. Global
    1
    See “Opinion of the European Economic and Social Committee on the Report of the de Larosière Group
    (Own-initiative opinion)”.
    2
    The total amounts of state aid used by Member States to shore up the banking sector during and after the
    GFC (i.e. over the 2008-2017 period) is estimated to €2 trillion.
    3
    While the annual EU GDP growth remained slightly positive in 2008 (+0.8%), it dropped in 2009 (-4.2%)
    (see https://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications/european_economy/2010/interim_forecast_2010-
    09_en.htm).
    4
    Members of the BCBS comprise central banks and bank supervisors from 28 jurisdictions worldwide.
    Among the EU Member States, Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, and
    Spain, as well as the European Central Bank are members of the BCBS. The European Commission and
    the EBA participate in BCBS meetings as observers.
    5
    The consolidated Basel III framework is available at https://www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d462.htm.
    6
    standards also simplify the life of internationally active banks – among which are a good
    number of EU banks – as they guarantee that broadly similar rules are applied in the most
    important financial hubs worldwide. The EU has therefore been a key proponent of
    international cooperation in the area of banking regulation
    In the Union, the first set of post-crisis reforms that are part of the Basel III framework
    have been implemented in two steps:
     in June 2013 with the adoption of Regulation (EU) No 575/2013, also known as
    the Capital Requirements Regulation (CRR)6
    , and Directive 2013/36/EU, also
    known as the fourth Capital Requirements Directive (CRD IV)7
    ;
     in May 2019 with the adoption of Regulation (EU) 2019/8768
    , also known as the
    second Capital Requirements Regulation (CRR II), and Directive (EU) 2019/878,
    also known as the fifth Capital Requirements Directive (CRD V)9
    .
    The reforms implemented so far focused on increasing the quality and quantity of
    regulatory capital that banks have to hold to cover potential losses. Furthermore, they
    aimed at reducing banks’ excessive leverage, increasing banks’ resilience to short-term
    liquidity shocks, reducing their reliance on short-term funding, reducing banks’
    concentration risk, and addressing too-big-to-fail problems10
    .
    As a result, the new rules strengthened the criteria for eligible regulatory capital,
    increased minimum capital requirements, and introduced new requirements for credit
    valuation adjustment11
    (CVA) risk and for exposures to central counterparties12
    .
    Furthermore, several new prudential measures were introduced: a minimum leverage
    ratio requirement, a short-term liquidity ratio (known as the liquidity coverage ratio), a
    longer-term stable funding ratio (known as the net stable funding ratio), large exposure
    limits13
    and macro-prudential capital buffers14
    .
    6
    Regulation (EU) No 575/2013 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 26 June 2013 on
    prudential requirements for credit institutions and investment firms and amending Regulation (EU) No
    648/2012 (OJ L 321, 26.6.2013, p. 6).
    7
    Directive 2013/36/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 26 June 2013 on access to the
    activity of credit institutions and the prudential supervision of credit institutions and investment firms,
    amending Directive 2002/87/EC and repealing Directives 2006/48/EC and 2006/49/EC (OJ L 176,
    27.6.2013, p. 338).
    8
    Regulation (EU) 2019/876 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 20 May 2019 amending
    Regulation (EU) No 575/2013 as regards the leverage ratio, the net stable funding ratio, requirements for
    own funds and eligible liabilities, counterparty credit risk, market risk, exposures to central counterparties,
    exposures to collective investment undertakings (CIU), large exposures, reporting and disclosure
    requirements, and Regulation (EU) No 648/2012.
    9
    Directive (EU) 2019/878 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 20 May 2019 amending
    Directive 2013/36/EU as regards exempted entities, financial holding companies, mixed financial holding
    companies, remuneration, supervisory measures and powers and capital conservation measures.
    10
    See https://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs189.htm.
    11
    CVA is an accounting adjustment to the price of a derivative to account for counterparty credit risk. For
    more details, see Section 1.5 in Annex 5.
    12
    These were the only significant changes to the part of the standards that deal with risk-based capital
    requirements that were introduced as part of the first stage of the Basel III reform.
    13
    A minimum requirement on large exposure limits was already a feature of Union legislation, but was a
    novelty for the Basel standards.
    7
    Thanks to this first set of reforms implemented in the Union15
    , the EU banking sector has
    become significantly more resilient to financial shocks. One key indication of this
    increased resilience is the overall increase in regulatory capital EU banks have: between
    the end of 2014 and mid-202016
    , the average Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1)17
    capital
    ratio18
    of EU banks improved by 2.5 percentage points (pp) to 15%19
    , as shown in Figure
    1: Weighted average capital and leverage ratios for EU banks over time.20
    .
    Figure 1: Weighted average capital and leverage ratios for EU banks over time.
    Source: Risk Assessment of the European banking system, EBA, December 2020.
    Note: the above ratios are based on the prevailing rules of the prudential framework of the Union at the time, including
    under the prevailing transitional arrangements.
    As a result, the EU banking sector entered the COVID-19 crisis on a significantly more
    resilient footing when compared to its condition at the onset of the GFC. In addition,
    temporary relief measures were taken by supervisors and legislators at the outset of the
    COVID-19 crisis. In its Interpretative Communication on the application of the
    accounting and prudential frameworks to facilitate EU bank lending - Supporting
    14
    More specifically the capital conservation buffer (CCB), the countercyclical capital buffer (CCyB), the
    systemic risk buffer (SyRB), and capital buffers for global and other systemically important banks
    (respectively, G-SII and O-SII).
    15
    Those first set of reforms have also been implemented in most jurisdictions worldwide as can be
    observed in the eighteenth progress report on adoption of the Basel regulatory framework published in July
    2020 (see https://www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d506.htm).
    16
    Before the publication of this impact assessment, these data will be updated with the latest figures as of
    Q4 2020 which will be published by the EBA in Q2 2021 it their next Risk Assessment Report.
    17
    CET 1 capital is the form of banks’ capital recognised by the prudential framework for having the
    highest capacity to absorb unexpected losses that arise during the normal course of banks’ businesses. It is
    mainly composed of banks’ common shares and retained earnings.
    18
    The CET 1 ratio is calculated by dividing a bank’s CET 1 capital by its total assets weighted by their
    relative riskiness (“risk-weighted assets” or RWA). The CET 1 ratio is a key indicator of banks’ resilience
    to idiosyncratic risks.
    19
    EBA Risk Assessment of the European banking system, December 2020 (see
    https://www.eba.europa.eu/risk-analysis-and-data/risk-assessment-reports).
    20
    Since 2016 the weighted average leverage ratio of EU banks, which will become a binding requirement
    in June 2021, remained relatively stable and well above the minimum requirement that would be applicable
    in the EU (3% for all EU banks from June 2021, at least 3.5% for G-SIIs from January 2023). The fact that
    the leverage ratio did not increase similar to the capital ratios could be explained by the fact that EU banks
    reduced their exposures to risky assets over the last few years which has no effect on the leverage ratio.
    8
    businesses and households amid COVID-19 of 28 April 202021
    , the Commission
    confirmed the flexibility embedded in the prudential and accounting rules as highlighted
    by the European Supervisory Authorities and international bodies. In June 2020, co-
    legislators adopted targeted temporary amendments to specific aspects of the prudential
    framework – the so-called CRR “quick fix” package22
    . Together with resolute monetary
    and fiscal policy measures23
    , this helped banks to keep on lending to households and
    companies during the pandemic (as can be observed from Figure 2 below, which also
    shows some of the impacts of the relief measures for the Euro area). This, in turn, helped
    mitigate the economic shock24
    resulting from the pandemic.
    Figure 2: Annual growth rate of loans to Euro area households (left hand-side) and some
    aggregate impacts of the temporary relief measures provided by supervisors and
    legislators in Q2 2020 on banks’ CET1 ratio (right hand-side).
    Source: European Central Bank (ECB) Financial stability review, November 2020.
    Note: In the two right-hand side charts, the y-axis represents the aggregate impacts of temporary relief measures
    expressed in percentage points changes between the banks’ CET1 ratio between end-Q1 2020 (i.e. before the measures
    applied) and end-Q2 2020 (i.e. after the measures applied). In the left-hand side chart, the x-axis represents the
    distribution of the aggregate impacts of temporary relief measures across individual banks supervised by the ECB. In
    the second chart, the x-axis represents the inter-quantile distribution of the individual banks’ impacts of two specific
    temporary relief measures, specifically the amendments to the CRR related to transitional arrangement for the
    application of IFRS 9 provisions and the date of application of the SME factor.
    However, while the overall level of capital in the EU banking system is now considered
    satisfactory on average, some of the problems that were identified in the wake of the
    GFC have not yet been addressed. Analyses performed by the EBA and the ECB (see
    Section 2.1.1) have shown that the capital requirements calculated by EU banks using
    21
    See https://ec.europa.eu/info/publications/200428-banking-package-communication_en.
    22
    See https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:32020R0873&from=EN.
    23
    A comprehensive list of such measures has been collected by the ESBR, see “Policy measures in
    response to the COVID-19 pandemic”.
    24
    In its COVID-19 vulnerability analysis published in July 2020, the ECB showed that the largest euro
    area banks would be sufficiently capitalised to withstand a short-lived deep recession and that the number
    of those banks with insufficient capital resources in case of a more severe recession would be limited (see
    https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2020/html/ssm.pr200728_annex~d36d893ca2.en.
    pdf).
    9
    internal models demonstrated a significant level of variability that was not justified by
    differences in the underlying risks, ultimately undermining the reliability and
    comparability of their capital ratios. In addition, the lack of risk-sensitivity in the capital
    requirements calculated using standardised approaches results in insufficient or unduly
    high capital requirements for some financial products or activities (and hence specific
    business models primarily based on them). In December 2017, the BCBS agreed on a
    final set of reforms25
    to the international standards to address these problems. In March
    2018, the G20 Finance Minister and Central Bank Governors welcomed these reforms26
    .
    In 2019, the Commission announced its intention to table a legislative proposal to
    implement these reforms in the EU prudential framework.27
    In light of the COVID-19 pandemic, the preparatory work has been delayed, reflecting
    the BCBS’s decision of 26 March 2020 to postpone the previously agreed
    implementation deadlines for the final elements of the Basel III reform by one year28
    .
    Beyond the temporary measures adopted to facilitate bank lending in the context of
    COVID-19 referred above, this delay has allowed the Commission services to reassess
    the impact of the planned reform in light of the potential consequences of the COVID-19
    pandemic. The temporarily stressed economic conditions have not altered the
    Commission services’ views on the need to deliver on this structural reform. Completing
    the reform will address the outstanding issues highlighted above and will thus further
    strengthen EU banks’ financial soundness, putting them in a better position to support
    economic growth and withstand potential future crises. It will also give banks the
    necessary regulatory certainty, completing a decade-long reform of the prudential
    framework for banks. The Commission services consider that the reform can be carried
    out in a manner that will not disrupt the recovery from the COVID-19 crisis.
    This would also be in line with the actions of other members of the BCBS that are
    committed to implementing the reform timely and faithfully. Indeed, major jurisdictions,
    (US, UK, JP, HK, CA, AU and SG), have publically committed to adopting rules
    implementing the reform by 1 January 2023. Some of them, namely JP, CA, HK and SG,
    have already published draft rules. Those jurisdictions expect the EU to stick to its
    commitment to implement the reform on time.
    Figure 3 below provides an overview of the first and final set of Basel III reforms, as
    well as the timelines of their adoption in the prudential framework applicable to EU
    banks.
    25
    See https://www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d424.htm
    26
    See http://www.g20.utoronto.ca/2018/2018-03-30-g20_finance_communique-en.pdf. The relevant
    passage of the statement - the latter was agreed by the European Union as a member of the G20 - reads:
    “We welcome the finalisation of Basel III, which completes main elements of the post crisis reforms. We
    remain committed to the full, timely and consistent implementation and finalisation of the reforms and their
    evaluation to help identify and address any material unintended consequences and ensure that the reforms
    accomplish their objectives.” The message has regularly been repeated in subsequent G20 press statements.
    27
    See https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/SPEECH_19_6269.
    28
    More specifically to 1 January 2023 for the starting date of application and to 1 January 2028 for the full
    application of the final elements of the reform.
    10
    Figure 3: Summary of the main revisions to the Basel framework adopted by the BCBS
    post-GFC and their implementation timelines in the Union.
    Source: European Commission.
    Note: The dates coloured in yellow at the top are the dates of adoption of the various Basel III standards by the BCBS.
    The dates coloured in blue at the bottom are the dates of adoption of standards in Union law.
    The completion of the reform of the prudential framework for banks following the GFC
    is not the only important initiative related to the banking sector.
    Another initiative is linked to the Commission’s ongoing work on the transition to a
    sustainable economy. The Commission Communication on the European Green Deal
    (EGD)29
    clearly set out the Commission’s commitment to transform the EU economy
    into a sustainable economy while also dealing with the inevitable consequences of
    climate change. It also announced a Sustainable Finance Strategy30
    that will build on
    previous initiatives and reports, such as the action plan on financing sustainable growth31
    and the reports of the Technical Expert Group on Sustainable Finance32
    , but will
    reinforce the Commission’s efforts in this area to bring them in line with the ambitious
    goals of the EGD. The Taxonomy Regulation33
    will play an important enabling role in
    this context, by establishing a list of environmentally sustainable economic activities.
    Bank-based intermediation will play a crucial role in financing the transition to a more
    sustainable economy. At the same time, the transition to a more sustainable economy is
    likely to entail risks for banks that they will need to properly manage to ensure that risks
    to financial stability are minimised. This is where prudential regulation can play an
    important role. The abovementioned Strategy acknowledged this and highlighted the
    need to include a better integration of climate and environmental risks into the EU
    prudential framework.
    29
    See https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?qid=1588580774040&uri=CELEX:52019DC0640.
    30
    See https://ec.europa.eu/info/law/better-regulation/have-your-say/initiatives/12635-Renewed-
    sustainable-finance-strategy
    31
    See https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX:52018DC0097.
    32
    https://ec.europa.eu/info/publications/sustainable-finance-high-level-expert-group_en
    33
    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX:32020R0852
    11
    Work in that direction has already started. In the CRR II, the co-legislators introduced a
    requirement for large, listed banks to disclose environmental, social and governance
    (ESG) risks and mandated the EBA to prepare two reports on how the treatment of ESG
    risks could be incorporated in the prudential framework. In October 2019, the EBA
    published its Action Plan on sustainable finance34
    , outlining how it intends to achieve the
    three actions above. In this report, among other things, the EBA encouraged banks to
    integrate ESG risks, identify simple climate-risk metrics, adopt climate change related
    scenarios and use scenario analysis.
    Work is also ongoing within the international supervisory community. In 2017, central
    banks and supervisors launched the Network for Greening the Financial System
    (NGFS)35
    . The aim of the network is to enhance the role of the financial system to
    manage risks and to mobilise funding for green and low-carbon investments in the
    broader context of environmentally sustainable development. In May 2020, it has
    published a handbook for supervisors on how to incorporate climate-related risks into
    supervision.36
    The final area of focus is the proper enforcement of prudential rules. Both supervisors
    and markets play a crucial role in this respect. In order for rules to achieve their intended
    effect, they need to be properly enforced. For this to happen, supervisors need to have at
    their disposal the necessary tools and powers (e.g. powers to authorise banks and their
    activities, require information from them, or sanction them in case they break the rules).
    The Commission keeps monitoring the functioning of the supervisory framework laid
    down in the CRD, including through close dialogue with national supervisors, the ECB
    and the EBA, in order to ascertain whether the powers and tools made available to
    supervisors are adequate, complete and used appropriately.
    Market discipline is another important tool. In order to for investors to properly exercise
    they role of monitoring the behaviour of banks, they need to access the necessary
    information. This is why the CRR requires banks to disclose certain information to the
    markets. As in the case of the supervisory framework, the Commission keeps monitoring
    disclosure rules, including through dialogue with market participants, to gauge whether
    the information disclosed by banks is sufficient and easy to obtain.
    The above monitoring activity allows the Commission to identify areas where rules need
    to be adjusted in order to address identified issues.
    34
    https://www.eba.europa.eu/sites/default/documents/files/document_library/EBA%20Action%20plan%20
    on%20sustainable%20finance.pdf.
    35
    See https://www.ngfs.net/en.
    36
    https://www.ngfs.net/sites/default/files/medias/documents/ngfs_guide_for_supervisors.pdf
    12
    2. PROBLEM DEFINITION
    2.1. What are the problems and problem drivers?
    2.1.1. Deficiencies in the current framework for calculating risk-based
    capital requirements
    Banks are exposed to different types of risk as part of their day-to-day business. While
    the specific types of risks (as well as the intensity of those risks) a bank will be exposed
    to will depend on the business model of that bank, the four main types of risk that might
    result in financial losses for banks are credit risk, operational risk, market risk and
    counterparty risk37
    . In order to ensure that banks have sufficient amounts of regulatory
    capital to cover unexpected financial losses caused by those risks, banks are subject to
    binding risk-based capital requirements under the prudential framework (Figure 4 below
    shows the aggregate level of risk weighted assets38
    (RWA) for those risks for EU banks
    over the last few years).
    Despite the wide-ranging first set of reforms implemented in the Union after the GFC,
    increased levels of capital (as shown in Figure 1: Weighted average capital and leverage
    ratios for EU banks over time.) have not yet allowed to fully restore the confidence in the
    EU banking sector and some problems identified during the GFC remain. One important
    reason for this is the lack of trust in the risk-based capital requirements calculated by
    using internal models39
    .
    37
    Counterparty risk relates to bilateral transactions (e.g. derivatives or securities financing transactions)
    and include two types of risks: the risk of losses upon the default of the counterparty (default risk) and the
    risk of market value losses on bilateral transactions due to the decrease in the creditworthiness of the
    counterparty (CVA risk).
    38
    In the prudential framework, banks have first to calculate the corresponding RWAs for those risks (the
    RWAs are calculated by multiplying the size of a bank’s exposure (e.g. a loan) with the appropriate risk
    weight, which captures the degree of riskiness of the exposure) and then determine the capital requirements
    as a small portion of those RWAs.
    39
    See for instance https://www.wsj.com/articles/basel-committee-to-stop-banks-gaming-risk-models-
    1446472711; https://blogs.cfainstitute.org/marketintegrity/2015/03/17/bank-risk-weighted-assets-how-to-
    restore-investor-trust/; or p. 53 of
    https://voxeu.org/sites/default/files/file/Post_Crisis_Banking_Regulation_VoxEU.pdf.
    13
    Figure 4: Amount in EUR trillions of risk weighted assets by type of risk for EU banks
    over time40
    .
    Source: Risk Assessment of the European banking system, EBA, December 2020.
    Indeed, banks can use two types of approaches to calculate their risk-based capital
    requirements: the standardised approaches, which banks have to use by default, or the
    internal model approaches (based on banks’ own modelling assumptions), which banks
    may use upon the permission from their supervisors.
    Standardised approaches are benchmark risk measurement techniques which banks have
    to us by default unless they have been granted permission to use the internal model
    approaches. Under these approaches, banks have to calculate their risk-based capital
    requirements according to standard formulas and pre-defined parameters (e.g. regulatory
    risk weights, loss-given default parameters, market volatilities, etc.) specified in the
    legislation. This ensures that banks apply those approaches in a uniform manner which
    makes the calculation of capital requirements under those approaches largely comparable
    across banks for similar risks. The standardised approaches’ parameters are intended to
    capture a conservative estimate of the average risk of an exposure in a way that is
    sufficiently simple for a widespread use. The majority of EU banks relies on standardised
    approaches to calculate their capital requirements.
    Standardised approaches have shown a number of weaknesses during the GFC which
    prevent them from acting as solid benchmark. First, some observations of actual losses
    incurred by banks during the GFC showed that the existing standardised approaches do
    sometimes underestimate the risks of certain types of exposures leading to insufficient
    amounts of capital required. The opposite was also found to be true: sometimes
    standardised approaches overestimated risks, leading to excessive amount of capital
    required. This can be explained, to an important extent, by the fact that they are designed
    to be simple. They hence do not always properly reflect the various characteristics of
    financial products, especially the most complex ones. This may, in turn, have an impact
    on banks’ activities. For example, if the capital requirement for a certain type of loan is
    40
    Before the publication of this impact assessment, these data will be updated with the latest figures as of Q4 2020
    which will be published by the EBA in Q2 2021 it their next Risk Assessment Report
    14
    too low compared to the riskiness of that loan, then the bank may grant too many of those
    loans while having insufficient capital if those loans start defaulting (and vice versa).
    The lack of risk-sensitivity of standardised approaches has been observed for all types of
    risks, although to different extents. For example, in its 2019 benchmarking exercise of
    internal models for credit risk41
    , the EBA highlighted the high variability of the ratio
    between the risk weights generated by banks’ internal models for credit risk and the
    corresponding risk weights under the standardised approaches, for different types of
    credit exposures. As shown in Figure 5 below, the high discrepancies of those ratios
    across institutions cannot be explained solely by the high variability in banks’ internal
    model approaches but also by the lack of risk-sensitivity in the standardised approaches.
    Figure 5: Comparison between risk weights implied by individual banks’ internal
    models for credit risk or ‘Internal Rating Based’ (RW IRB) and risk weight of the credit
    risk standardised approach (RW SA) for mortgage exposures.
    Source: EBA.
    Notes: Each point represent one EU bank participating to the exercise.
    Unlike the standardised approaches, internal model approaches allow banks to estimate
    most or all the parameters required to compute capital requirements on their own. Since
    putting in place and maintaining such internal models requires significant resources, the
    cost of operating internal model approaches are significantly higher than the costs of
    using standardised approaches. This is why the number of banks that use internal models
    is much smaller than the number of banks using standardised approaches: according to
    the EBA’s 2019 study of the impact of the final elements of the Basel III reform, , only
    79 banks out of 189 participating to the EBA data collection were using internal
    models42
    . However, those banks tend to be the largest ones in the EU, accounting for a
    large proportion of the total EU assets. Hence, the capital requirements calculated under
    the internal model approaches by those banks represent more than half of the overall
    capital requirements of EU banks as shown in
    Figure 6.
    41
    See https://eba.europa.eu/regulation-and-policy/supervisory-benchmarking-exercises.
    42
    In reality, the proportion of EU banks using internal model approaches would be much smaller since the
    EBA data collection does not include the vast majority of the thousands of small and medium-sized banks
    established in the EU, most of which do not use internal model approaches.
    15
    Figure 6: Breakdown of EU banks’ RWAs calculated under the standardised and internal
    model approaches of the current prudential framework for credit, market and CVA risks.
    Source: Basel III reforms: Impact study and key recommendations, August 2019, EBA.
    When using internal models, banks can capture risks more accurately by taking into
    account their own assessment of the characteristics of exposures, such as loans (e.g. the
    likelihood that the borrower would default and the size of the loss the bank would incur
    in case there is a default). Since the use of internal models is predicated on close
    monitoring and assessment of the risks banks are exposed to, banks have a better
    understanding of how to manage and mitigate those risks.
    However, the freedom that internal model approaches give to banks has potential
    downsides. Depending on how these models are built and on the modelling assumptions
    underpinning them, internal models of different banks can produce different estimates of
    risks and hence different levels of capital requirements. Given that each bank originates
    loans to different clients, invests in different assets and trades with different
    counterparties, a certain degree of variation is to be expected. However, a range of
    studies conducted at both international43
    and EU44
    levels found a level of variation in
    capital requirements across banks using internal models that cannot be explained solely
    by differences in the riskiness of banks’ exposures. In fact, those studies have shown that
    internal models can produce very different capital requirements for very similar or even
    identical exposures. In some cases, capital requirements for the exact same portfolios of
    exposures have shown a variation of more than 600%, as illustrated by Figure 7 below in
    the area of market risk45
    . This variation makes it difficult to compare capital ratios across
    banks, puts in question their calculation and undermines confidence in capital ratios and
    distorts competition across banks.
    43
    For the BCBS Regulatory Consistency Assessment Program reports on the variability of risk-weighted
    assets, see https://www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d363.htm, https://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs267.htm, and
    https://www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d337.htm.
    44
    For EBA benchmarking exercises see https://eba.europa.eu/regulation-and-policy/supervisory-
    benchmarking-exercises.
    45
    Risk of losses due to adverse price movements in trading activities.
    16
    Figure 7: Variability of capital requirements produced by internal models for market risk
    for different types of trading activities. Ratio between the individual bank “Value-at-
    Risk” risk measures for a given portfolio with the median for that portfolio.
    Source: EBA report - results from the 2019 market risk benchmarking exercise.
    Notes: The category ‘FX’ refers to trading portfolios with foreign-exchange rate risk, ‘Comm’ to trading portfolios
    with commodity risk (e.g. energy or agricultural goods) and ‘CTP’ to trading portfolios with subject to the specific
    Correlation Trading Portfolio capital requirement (e.g. collateralised debt obligations).
    Moreover, a recent study46
    published by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS)
    illustrates that, besides a wide degree of variability in capital requirements among banks
    using internal models, the market perception of the financial risks that banks face is
    persistently higher than banks’ own assessment of risk when calculating capital
    requirements with internal models. As shown by Figure 8 Figure 8below, this problem
    of perceived underestimation of risks by internal models is significant for certain banks.
    The reliability and robustness of the capital requirements produced by internal models is
    predicated on the condition that banks should not use internal models to reduce their
    capital requirements to levels which jeopardise the very objectives of safeguarding
    financial soundness and covering potential losses. For this purpose, the current prudential
    framework already provides a number of safeguards, most notably the need for
    supervisory approval to use an internal model as well as its regular monitoring and
    review. However, given the growing number and sophistication of models used by banks
    and the updates made to those models47
    , their supervision is becoming more complex and
    more resource intensive.48
    Furthermore, a reliable internal model requires sufficient data
    of sufficient quality to be available. This condition is not always met: in some cases the
    amount of available data is insufficient to allow for reliable and robust modelling of
    losses. This in turn produces unreliable estimates of the size of the risks a bank is
    exposed to and hence leads to inaccurate capital requirements.
    46
    See https://www.bis.org/publ/work844.htm.
    47
    Banks change the design and calibration of (parts of) models to keep pace with changing portfolios, new
    data and modelling techniques.
    48
    In principle, supervisors have the ability to withdraw the permission to use internal models from a bank.
    However, such measure can have a significant impact on the bank that loses the permission, which is why
    it is usually used as a very last resort.
    17
    Figure 8: Comparison of the Variability Ratio*
    across countries.
    Source: “Variability in risk-weighted assets: what does the market think?”, BIS, 2020.
    Notes: *
    The variability ratio is defined as the risk perception by the market compared to the risks measured in the
    regulatory framework across banks in a given country. The higher the ratio, the larger the perceived underestimation of
    risk.
    The identified problems have raised doubts on the adequacy of internal models.
    Supervisory approval is required for banks to use internal models and supervisors can
    naturally decide not to allow a bank to use inappropriate internal models. However, the
    supervisors’ approval process of internal models cannot prevent in itself the variability
    observed across the outcomes of banks’ internal models. The supervisory authorities
    have already undertaken dedicated initiatives to reduce to some extent such variability. In
    2016, the EBA produced a roadmap to comprehensively review the current rules for
    credit risk internal models and in order to issue guidelines, opinions or develop technical
    standards49
    . Also since 2016, the ECB/SSM has carried out a large-scale targeted review
    of internal models (TRIM) for the banks under its direct supervision in cooperation with
    the national supervisory authorities50
    . However, there is a limit to the number of
    interventions supervisors can make to address issues with individual models used by
    individual banks, because supervisors have limited resources at their disposal. Once that
    limit is reached, more structural solutions, like changes to the rules governing models,
    may need to be contemplated.
    2.1.2. No dedicated capture of ESG risks in the prudential framework
    Climate change and the profound economic transformations that are needed to contain it
    pose significant risks to banks, primarily in the form of transition risk (whereby the
    transition to a sustainable economy can result in big shifts in asset values) and physical
    risks (whereby more frequent or more severe weather events impact banks and their
    49
    For the current status of this exercise, EBA report on progress made on its roadmap to repair IRB
    models, July 2019 (see https://eba.europa.eu/eba-publishes-report-on-progress-made-on-its-roadmap-to-
    repair-irb-models).
    50
    In April 2021, the ECB published the outcomes of the TRIM exercise which resulted in Euros 275
    billion increase in RWAs over the last three years and more than 5,000 findings for banks to remediate (see
    https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2021/html/ssm.pr210419~94c010eb9d.en.html).
    18
    customers). Climate (and, more broadly, environmental) risks are often considered
    together with social risks51
    and governance risks52
    under the heading of ESG risks, as
    these risks share a number of characteristics and are often intertwined.53
    ESG risks, in
    turn, are closely linked with the concept of sustainability, as ESG factors represent the
    main three pillars of sustainability.
    ESG risks affect different types of banks’ exposures differently: over the longer term,
    exposures related to the financing of sustainable activities are most likely less risky for
    banks than exposures financing unsustainable activities. If these risk differentials are not
    adequately reflected in banks’ decision-making, banks may underestimate the overall
    level of risk that they face, which raises financial stability concerns. For example, Alessi,
    L., Di Girolamo, F., Petracco-Giudici, M. and Pagano, A. (2021) argue that transition
    risks might result in an increase of bank losses by 4% in a crisis. Also, banks may also
    underestimate the risks of unsustainable activities compared to sustainable activities and
    as a result may overinvest in unsustainable activities while underinvesting in sustainable
    activities. An adequate reflection of ESG risks in banks’ decision-making in turn would
    help addressing this misallocation of resources and hence make it more likely that banks
    finance sustainable activities, enabling the Union to reach the EGD’s goals.
    Against this background, it is essential that banks are able to measure and monitor their
    exposure to ESG risks, also to enable supervisors and market participants to
    appropriately assess the ESG risks faced by each bank in order for supervision and
    market discipline to function effectively.
    The current legal framework does not prevent banks from considering ESG risks in their
    decision-making nor from disclosing information on their exposure to such risks. While
    availability of relevant data for banks has been an obstacle in this context, steps have
    been taken to facilitate banks’ access to such data, for example by means of requirements
    under the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD)54
    and the Taxonomy
    Regulation. These measures should put banks in a better position to manage ESG risks.
    Also, EU co-legislators have deemed that a dedicated approach to capture ESG risks in
    banks’ financial activities could help address the aforementioned challenges and
    51
    According to the EBA Discussion Paper on management and supervision of ESG risks for credit
    institutions and investment firms, “[s]ocial risks are the risks posed by the exposure of institutions to
    counterparties that may potentially be negatively affected by social factors”, with social factors in turn
    being “related to the rights, well-being and interests of people and communities, which may have an impact
    on the activities of the institutions’ counterparties”.
    52
    According to the EBA Discussion Paper on management and supervision of ESG risks for credit
    institutions and investment firms, “[g]overnance risks are the risks posed by the exposure of institutions to
    counterparties that may potentially be negatively affected by governance factors”, with governance factors
    in turn covering “governance practices of the institutions’ counterparties, including the inclusion of ESG
    factors in policies and procedures under the governance of the counterparties”.
    53
    According to the EBA Action Plan on Sustainable Finance, “[e]nvironmental and social considerations
    are often intertwined, as especially climate change can exacerbate existing systems of inequality. The
    governance of public and private institutions, including management structures, employee relations and
    executive remuneration, plays a fundamental role in ensuring the inclusion of social and environmental
    considerations in the decision-making process.
    54
    See https://ec.europa.eu/info/business-economy-euro/company-reporting-and-auditing/company-
    reporting/non-financial-reporting_en.
    19
    introduced in CRR II provisions aimed at improving the capture of ESG risks. First, large
    banks with publicly listed issuances will start disclosing information on ESG risks from
    2022 onwards. Second, the EBA has been mandated to assess by June 2021 the potential
    inclusion of ESG risks in the supervisory review and evaluation process (SREP)
    performed by supervisors. Third, the EBA has been mandated to assess by 2025 whether
    a dedicated prudential treatment of exposures related to assets or activities associated
    substantially with environmental and/or social objectives would be justified. However,
    the immediate effectiveness of these provisions is limited, as a large number of banks are
    outside of the scope of the CRR disclosure rules, and any advice from the EBA on the
    other two areas under investigation would require subsequent changes to the CRR.
    As a result, the present legal requirements alone are insufficient to provide incentives for
    a systematic and consistent management of ESG risks by banks. This has also been
    recognised by the EBA in its aforementioned discussion paper, which states that it “sees
    the need for enhancing the incorporation of ESG risks into institutions’ business
    strategies, business processes and proportionately incorporate ESG risks in their internal
    governance arrangements”. The EBA considers the current legal requirements
    insufficient for this purpose and therefore “recommends to incorporate ESG risk-related
    considerations in directives and regulations applicable to the banking sector (e.g. CRD
    and CRR)”.
    2.1.3. Inconsistency of powers and tools made available to supervisors
    across the Union
    In order to perform their duties, national and European55
    competent authorities in charge
    of banking supervision have to use their powers under national laws transposing the
    CRD. In this regard, the CRD requires Member States (MS) to provide competent
    authorities with a minimum set of powers to exercise their supervisory functions56
    (thereafter “supervisory powers“) and to impose sanctions through administrative
    measures57
    and administrative penalties58
    (thereafter “sanctioning powers”) for banks
    breaching regulatory requirements (as set out in the CRR rules or national laws
    transposing the CRD). While the CRD ensures a minimum level of harmonisation across
    the Union, some MS have identified59
    a number of areas for which they considered it
    55
    Since its entry into force in November 2014, the Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM), established
    within the ECB, is in charge of the direct supervision of 115 significant banks of the Members of the
    Eurozone (82% of banking assets in those countries) and of non-Eurozone Member States which have
    entered, on voluntary basis, into close cooperation with the ECB. The other banks of those Member States
    (the less significant banks) continue to be supervised by their national supervisors, in close cooperation
    with the SSM. The action of the SSM is framed by the SSM Regulation and the SSM Framework
    Regulation, which specifies the functioning and powers of the SSM, within the remit of the broader
    supervisory framework set at European level by the CRD and transposed in national laws.
    56
    For instance, the power to require institutions to have additional own funds in excess to those required
    pursuant to Pillar 1 requirements; or the power to restrict or limit the business, operations or network of
    institutions.
    57
    For instance, the withdrawal of a banking license.
    58
    For instance, fines paid to the supervisory authority.
    59
    The difference of approaches from MS in this area may come from, differences in their legal system
    prior to the application of Union law, the structure of the national banking sector or the supervisory culture
    of the MS.
    20
    necessary to further elaborate the rules and/or to introduce additional powers for
    supervisory authorities. Consequently, these MS introduced additional provisions in their
    national laws, making use of the discretion allowed under the CRD. This has led to a
    situation where supervisors in different MS have different powers.
    In the area of sanctioning powers, some MS included additional provisions in order to,
    inter alia, sanction banks for breaches60
    other than those contained in the minimum list
    provided in the CRD61
    , and determine administrative penalties62
    incurred by banks in
    case of breaches of CRD/CRR, including the maximum amount63
    of administrative
    penalties.
    In the area of supervisory powers, some MS further specified the assessment of the
    prudential soundness of banks in case of acquisitions of material holdings in entities
    other than banks64
    , material transfers of assets and liabilities between a bank and a third
    party, and mergers or de-mergers with other banks.
    As regards the supervision of members of a bank’s management body and of key
    function holders65
    , the CRD sets a number of principles to assess their suitability (‘fit-
    and-proper assessment’). However, the CRD lacks details on how and when supervisors
    should conduct fit-and-proper assessments of board members and how to identify the key
    function holders and assess their suitability. While the publication of joint guidelines66
    by
    the EBA and the European Securities Markets Authority (ESMA) published in 2017 and
    the guide to fit and proper assessments published by the SSM67
    in 2018 improved the
    harmonisation68
    of practices across MS, material divergences in national laws remain.
    For instance, the supervisors in some MS assess the suitability of board members only a
    significant period of time after their appointment69
    while in the majority of MS
    supervisors perform this assessment prior to their appointment. In the case of key
    function holders, some supervisors do not properly identify them and therefore do not
    60
    For instance, breaches of capital requirements, internal models approval and remuneration requirements.
    61
    The SSM estimates that for several significant institutions under its direct supervision breaches of
    CRD/CRR requirements with material impacts cannot be sanctioned due to the lack of powers in the
    relevant national laws.
    62
    Some MS introduced additional powers to impose periodic penalty payments, for instance daily
    payments until the breach justifying this penalty has ended.
    63
    Some MS further specified the definition of ‘total annual net turnover’ (used in the determination of the
    maximum amount of administrative penalties) since the CRD lacks details on the inclusion of important
    elements reflecting the ordinary activities of institutions, for instance interest payables and similar charges,
    commissions and fees, net profit on financial operations.
    64
    Some MS introduced an ex ante notification requirement for banks that allows supervisory authorities to
    oppose the operation in case of prudential concerns.
    65
    According to the applicable EBA/ESMA guidelines key function holders means persons who have
    significant influence over the direction of an institution, but who are neither members of the management
    body and are not the CEO. They include the heads of internal control functions and the CFO, where they
    are not members of the management body.
    66
    See https://www.eba.europa.eu/regulation-and-policy/internal-governance/joint-esma-and-eba-guidelines-
    on-the-assessment-of-the-suitability-of-members-of-the-management-body.
    67
    See https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/ecb/pub/pdf/ssm.fap_guide_201705_rev_201805.en.pdf.
    68
    For example, the Guidelines identified more specifically key functions holders as the heads of the
    internal control functions and the CFO, where they are not members of the management body, and provide
    provisions identify other key functions holders based on an assessment of their materiality by institution.
    69
    Assessment is carried out ex post in eight MS (DK, DE, EE, EL, FR, FI, IT, AT), and partially ex post in
    four MS (CZ, PL, SI, SE).
    21
    carry out an assessment of their suitability to perform their duties, while other do it in a
    variety of ways70
    .
    This fragmented regulatory landscape in the definition of certain powers and tools
    available to supervisors and their application across MS undermines the level playing
    field in the Single Market and raises doubts about the sound and prudent management of
    EU banks and their supervision. This problem is particularly acute in the context of the
    Banking Union, as already highlighted in the Commission’s report on the SSM71
    .
    Differences across 19 different legal systems prevents the SSM from performing its
    supervisory functions effectively and efficiently72
    . Moreover, as a result of the diverse
    transposition of the CRD at national level, cross-border banking groups have to deal with
    a number of different procedures for the same prudential issue, unduly increasing their
    administrative costs. Banks as well as supervisors, in particular in the SSM, and MS have
    therefore acknowledged the problem (for more details see Section 6.3. and Annex 2).
    2.1.4. Fragmentation and inefficiency in the disclosure of banks’ prudential
    information
    Prudential regulation requires banks to publicly disclose financial and other quantitative
    and qualitative information73
    so that investors, clients, depositors and other interested
    stakeholders can gauge their level of risk. Banks’ disclosure of financial information also
    contributes to enhanced transparency and market discipline, thereby promoting sound
    risk management.
    In the Union, the CRR II implemented the revised BCBS framework74
    on public
    disclosure (also known as the ‘Pillar 3’ framework), and adjusted the content75
    and scope
    of bank disclosures to make them applicable to all EU banks in a proportionate manner.
    Under the CRR II, the amount of information that banks need to disclose depends on the
    size and complexity of their activities (the larger and more complex a bank is, the more
    information it is required to disclose).
    Banks are currently required to disclose all relevant prudential information in one single
    document or a separate section of their financial report prepared under the applicable
    accounting standards. Information on banks are therefore scattered on their individual
    70
    For instance, some MS will only identify key function holders as those performing anti-money
    laundering or audit duties within an institution while others MS will rely on the definition provided in the
    EBA/ESMA guidelines, or even extend the scope of this definition.
    71
    Cf. SWD(2017) 336 final.
    72
    On the issue of fit-and-proper assessments see the in-depth analysis requested by the ECON committee:
    Is the current “fit and proper” regime appropriate for the Banking Union?, March 2020.
    73
    The institution’s capital and liquidity ratios are examples of the former, while a description of the
    institution’s processes for managing credit risk is an example of the latter.
    74
    Pillar 3 requirements have been developed in stages and finalised in December 2018. For more
    information, please be referred to https://www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d455.htm.
    75
    With limited exceptions, the CRR currently gives institutions a certain degree of freedom in terms of the
    detail of the information to be disclosed and a significant degree of freedom in terms of the format of the
    disclosure. The entry into application of the amendments to the disclosure rules (introduced by the CRR II)
    will bring about a significant harmonisation of disclosures. In particular, this will be done through
    implementing technical standards to be developed by the EBA, which will contain detailed templates (and
    related instructions to fill those templates) that institutions will need to use for their disclosures.
    22
    websites and other media platforms. However, stakeholders (e.g. investors making
    investment decisions or analysts making recommendations to their clients) are interested
    in gathering, analysing and comparing information across several banks.
    At present, it is considered difficult and burdensome for these stakeholders to access and
    aggregate this information. For example, available information on smaller, non-publicly
    listed banks tends to be harder to find and is usually only available in the language of the
    Member State in which the bank is established. The current difficulties related to the
    access to prudential information deprive market participants from the information they
    need about banks’ prudential situations. This ultimately reduces the effectiveness of the
    prudential framework for banks and potentially raises doubt about the resilience of the
    banking sector, especially in periods of stress.
    In addition to having to disclose certain information, banks must also report certain
    information76
    to their supervisors as part of a separate process. Two separate processes to
    share similar financial information imply undue administrative costs for banks77
    ; this also
    makes these processes more vulnerable to a certain type of operational risk (i.e. the risk
    of misalignment in the same type of information communicated through two different
    channels).
    Since 2018, the EBA, in cooperation with the ECB and national competent authorities,
    has been working on the creation of the European Centralised Infrastructure for
    Supervisory Data (EUCLID) to aggregate in a centralised integrated system the reporting
    information shared by supervisors on the largest EU banks78
    . This system will be
    particularly useful to feed public reports and analysis with aggregated data and risk
    indicators on the overall EU banking sector. However, the prudential framework does not
    yet grant powers to the EBA to disclose individual bank data that is reported to
    supervisors. Introducing those powers would allow banks to only report information to
    their supervisors and the EBA which would then proceed to disclose the required parts of
    that information on behalf of banks. Banks, in particular small and non-complex ones,
    have repeatedly called to further reduce the administrative burden stemming from
    reporting79
    and disclosure requirements whereas other market participants (investors,
    analysts) highlighted the need for a centralised and easy access to banks’ prudential
    information.
    2.2. How will the problems evolve?
    As far as the deficiencies of internal models in the current framework for calculating
    risk-based capital requirements are concerned, confidence in the risk based capital
    requirements could be partially restored through the supervisory exercises run by the
    76
    There is an overlap between the information that must be disclosed and the information that must be
    reported, although the amount of information that needs to be reported is normally much larger (and more
    detailed).
    77
    The size of the undue costs cannot be estimated due to lack of data.
    78
    EUCLID is expected to be launched in 2021.
    79
    See, for example, https://op.europa.eu/en/publication-detail/-/publication/4b62e682-4e0f-11ea-aece-
    01aa75ed71a1.
    23
    EBA and the ECB80
    . Those exercises aim at ‘model repair’ by means of harmonising
    certain modelling assumptions across EU banks. However, the completion of those
    exercises could not fully resolve the issues, given the amount of flexibility the current
    rules still provide banks to design their individual internal models. In addition, enhanced
    supervisory review would not address the deficiencies identified in the standardised
    approaches for calculating risk-based capital requirements. In this context it has to be
    recalled that capital requirements calculated under the standardised approach represent a
    significant share of total capital requirements across the Union.
    In the absence of changes to address the identified deficiencies related to internal model
    approaches, the risk-based capital requirements calculated by banks using those models
    would remain incomparable across banks and in some cases may be too low in relation to
    the risks of certain exposures. If the deficiencies related to the standardised approaches
    would remain unaddressed, some financial products or activities (and hence specific
    business models primarily based on them) would attract either insufficient or unduly high
    capital requirements. In both cases the potential mispricing of risks by individual banks
    and consequently the inadequate capitalisation of those risks by those banks would
    persist.
    As a consequence, some mistrust in the EU banking sector would persist with negative
    consequences for banks’ market valuations and funding costs which could in turn
    undermine their ability to finance the EU economy. The lack of confidence in the EU
    banking sector could ultimately lead to a higher probability that future periods of stress,
    whatever their origins, could turn into more severe financial crises.
    As regards the capture of ESG risks in the prudential framework, the problems that
    such capture could potentially address (i.e. inadequate management of ESG risks) would
    become ever more pressing. Both transition risks and physical risks to banks would
    inevitably increase as the economic restructuring gains speed and as environmental
    events increase in magnitude and frequency. In the absence of timely legislative action to
    address these problems (in addition to the limited measures included in CRR II and
    elsewhere, see Section 2.1.2), banks might continue to misprice ESG risks, which would
    in turn lead to inadequate financing of the transition to a more sustainable economy risks.
    It could also lead to undercapitalisation of banks which could lead to financial stability
    issues.
    On the supervisory and sanctioning powers, in absence of a legal initiative the
    discrepancies observed across national laws transposing the CRD would continue to
    exist, maintaining the current fragmentation and the un-level playing field with regard to
    the application of supervisory powers and the imposition of sanctions. This would have
    negative consequences in two respects. On the one hand, some MS would maintain a
    relative low degree of supervision, allowing some of their banks to perform certain
    operations that could be risky, thus fuelling mistrust in the soundness of banks.
    Furthermore, in some MS supervisors would still not be empowered to impose sanctions
    80
    See https://www.eba.europa.eu/regulation-and-policy/supervisory-benchmarking-exercises and
    https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/banking/tasks/internal_models/trim/html/index.en.html for
    EBA and ECB, respectively.
    24
    for breaches of certain prudential requirements and would thus continue to lack an
    important supervisory tool. On the other hand, other MS would continue to exercise the
    legal flexibility available in the CRD in a more conservative manner. Additional
    supervisory and sanctioning powers in these MS could incentivise some banks to carry
    out certain activities in other MS without such powers. Finally, without a change, the
    ECB/SSM would not be able to apply the same supervisory tools and exercise the same
    powers to all banks under its supervision in a consistent way which would impede the
    effectiveness of its supervision.
    The existing inconsistencies and identified deficiencies of the application of fit-and-
    proper requirements lead to a less effective and efficient supervision regime. In a
    number of MS, members of the management body would continue to take up their
    position without having been vetted upfront by supervisors. This involves the risk that
    unqualified managers could contribute to key decisions for the banks’ businesses and its
    risk management. In the absence of proper definitions of key function holders and rules
    for their assessment the current un-level playing field across institutions within the Union
    would continue to exist, creating reputational risk for EU banks and their supervisors,
    undermining trust in the banking sector.
    Finally, in the absence of actions to address the fragmentation and the inefficiency in
    the disclosure of banks’ prudential information to the public, analysing and
    comparing information on individual banks would remain burdensome and costly for the
    relevant stakeholders and would continue to undermine the effectiveness of market
    discipline. In addition, banks’ processes to report information to supervisors and to
    disclose information to the public would continue to run in parallel, unduly maintaining
    unnecessary administrative costs.
    25
    Figure 9: Mapping of problems, problem drivers and their consequences if not addressed
    26
    3. WHY SHOULD THE EU ACT?
    3.1. Legal basis
    All actions considered frame the taking up, pursuit and supervision of the business of banks
    within the Union, with the objective of ensuring the stability of the internal market. One of
    the fundamental components of the Union’s financial system, banking is currently providing
    the largest part of financing within the internal market. The Union has a clear mandate to act
    in the area of the internal market and the appropriate legal basis consists of the relevant
    Treaty Articles81
    underpinning Union competences in such area.
    The legal basis falls within the internal market area, which is considered a shared
    competence, as defined by Article 4 TFEU. Most of the actions considered represent updates
    and amendments to Union law, and as such, they concern areas where the Union has already
    exercised its competence and does not intend to cease exercising such competence. A few
    actions (particularly those amending the CRD) aim to introduce an additional degree of
    harmonisation in order to achieve consistently the objectives defined by that Directive.
    3.2. Subsidiarity: Necessity of EU action
    In the context of global cooperation on financial stability, supervisors and regulators meeting
    within the BCBS, including from several EU Member States, the ECB, the EBA and the
    Commission, have developed common international standards that members jurisdictions
    should apply to their internationally active banks. Following the GFC, the BCBS launched a
    fundamental review of the international standards to strengthen the resilience of the global
    banking system and improve comparability across banks worldwide. A number of the revised
    standards have already been incorporated into Union law by means of the CRR and the CRD
    IV, as subsequently amended by the CRR II and CRD V. However, a number of additional
    revisions adopted by the BCBS in December 2017 in relation to credit risk, operational risk,
    CVA risk, market risks and the replacement of the Basel I floor by an aggregate output floor
    have still to be transposed in Union law. These proposed revisions address remaining
    shortcomings in the international prudential framework as identified during and after the
    GFC.
    The objectives pursued by those revisions of international standards can be better achieved at
    Union level rather than by different national initiatives as they represent adjustments to the
    EU prudential framework. The identified problems (see section 2.1.1) and the underlying
    causes are similar across Member States and potential differences pertain to the behaviour
    and business model of individual institutions, not their location within the Union. No action
    by the Union would render the existing prudential framework outdated in relation to evolving
    market challenges and would create major misalignments with standards applied by other
    jurisdictions. This would have reputational, financial stability and market impacts.
    81
    The relevant Treaty Articles conferring the Union the right to adopt measures are those concerning the
    freedom of establishment (in particular Article 53 TFEU), the freedom to provide services (Article 59 TFEU),
    and the approximation of rules which have as their object the establishment and functioning of the internal
    market (Article 114 TFEU).
    27
    The ability of Member States to adopt national measures to address the identified issues is
    limited, given that the CRR and the CRD already regulate those aspects, and changes at
    national level would not be able to derogate from Union law currently in force. If the Union
    were to cease regulating those aspects, the internal market for banking services would
    become subject to different sets of rules, leading to fragmentation and undermining the
    recently built single rulebook in this area. National measures would affect the degree of
    cross-border service provision, capital flows and market integration across Member States.
    This would be detrimental to effectively ensuring financial stability in the internal market.
    With regard to the current rules on supervision (e.g. fit and proper rules, supervisory powers
    and sanctions), the current national laws supplementing the prudential framework have
    displayed some substantial differences. The absence of sufficient common rules does not
    allow for a level-playing field, potentially fuelling regulatory or supervisory competition.
    Also, in the context of the Banking Union, where the ECB exercises direct supervisory
    powers set out in national laws transposing the CRD, the ECB does not have the same range
    of powers with regard to all banks under its supervision. The objective of efficient and
    harmonised supervision throughout the Union cannot be achieved by individual MS actions.
    3.3. Subsidiarity: Added value of EU action
    There are clear benefits from action at Union level. The Union’s prudential framework for
    banks would be aligned with the latest international standards, thus becoming more fit for
    purpose and ensuring a greater resilience of the Union’s banking sector. It is more efficient to
    change the current Union rules than repealing them and replacing them with national rules.
    EU action also allows for a more homogenous approach, taking into account all EU
    specificities in a comprehensive way.
    As regards those aspects that would supplement existing rules (e.g. fit and proper rules,
    supervisory powers, sanctions) additional harmonisation will contribute to a more
    homogenous approach and reduce the fragmentation of the internal market. At the same time
    EU action contributes to establishing a level playing field and a higher quality of supervision
    across the Union.
    4. OBJECTIVES: WHAT IS TO BE ACHIEVED?
    4.1. General objectives
    There are two general objectives pursued by this initiative:
    1. Contributing to financial stability. Only a stable and financially sound banking system,
    which is well capitalised and where risks are adequately managed, will lead to a reduced
    probability of banking crises, and reduce the impact of such crises should they occur. This
    will in turn allow to maintain investors’ and depositors’ confidence in the banking
    system, especially in periods of stress.
    2. Contributing to steady financing of the economy in the context of the recovery post-
    COVID-19 crisis. The EU economy is heavily reliant on financing provided by the
    28
    banking sector. While initiatives are underway to develop a Capital Markets Union
    (CMU) that might over time reduce this reliance, the banking sector will in particular play
    a key role in financing the medium-to-long term recovery from the COVID-19 crisis.
    4.2. Specific objectives
    The two general objectives pursued by this initiative can be broken down into the following
    four specific objectives:
    1. Strengthen the risk-based capital framework, without significant increases in capital
    requirements. To ensure a resilient and stable banking system, it is essential to have a
    solid prudential framework in place which ensures that risks are accurately measured and
    adequately covered by capital. In particular, trust in the banking system is conditional
    upon trust in the reliability of the risk-based capital framework. Internally modelled
    approaches that EU banks use for calculating risk-based capital requirements should
    result in adequate capital levels and produce comparable outcomes. At the same time the
    prudential framework should provide robust and sufficiently risk-sensitive standardised
    approaches for banks using them. However, strengthening the risk-based capital
    framework should not come at the cost of significantly increasing capital requirements as
    requested by the EU Parliament and the Council82
    .
    2. Enhance the focus on ESG risks in the prudential framework. Including a
    sustainability dimension in the prudential framework would ensure a better management
    of ESG risks and a better allocation of bank funding across projects, thus helping the
    transition to a more sustainable economy.
    3. Further harmonise supervisory powers and tools. Supervisory tools such as fit-and-
    proper assessments, supervisory powers and sanctioning powers play a key role in
    ensuring the safety and soundness of individual banks and the stability of the EU banking
    system as a whole. Certain tools should therefore be made available to supervisors in all
    Member States and applied consistently. This would also help reduce administrative costs
    resulting from the current fragmentation.
    4. Reduce banks’ administrative costs related to public disclosures and improve access
    to banks’ prudential data. Public information on individual banks that is easily
    accessible and comparable should enhance the ability of bank clients, investors and other
    market participants to monitor and exert market discipline on banks’ behaviour. Banks in
    turn would benefit from a more efficient system that integrates supervisory reporting and
    disclosure, and thereby reduces their administrative burden.
    82
    See https://www.europarl.europa.eu/doceo/document/TA-8-2016-0439_EN.pdf for the EP and
    https://www.consilium.europa.eu/media/22659/st11052en16.pdf for the Council.
    29
    5. WHAT ARE THE AVAILABLE POLICY OPTIONS?
    5.1. What is the baseline from which options are assessed?
    The baseline option from which the considered policy options are assessed assumes no
    legislative change to the prudential framework applicable at Union level.
    Under this option, the structural shortcomings of internal models of the current prudential
    framework as described in Section 2.1.1 would remain unaddressed, and the Commission
    would solely rely on the supervisory initiatives taken by the EBA and the ECB under their
    current remits to improve the situation. In addition, the EBA will continue performing its
    annual supervisory benchmarking exercises on credit and market risk internal models to
    highlight the degree of variability of EU banks’ internal models. The EBA and ECB
    initiatives could achieve to some extent a reduction of the variability in capital requirements
    calculated based on internal models for credit, counterparty and market risks83
    . While acting
    as important complements, these supervisory initiatives cannot substitute for the necessary
    reforms of the binding requirements included in the current prudential framework. Without
    those reforms, the problems described in Section 2.1.1 would continue to exist.
    In the same vein, without changes to the standardised approaches, they would remain
    insufficiently risk-sensitive. Since those standardised approaches are legally binding, they are
    virtually identical for all banks that apply them. Therefore initiatives employed by
    supervisory authorities cannot be used to tackle the deficiencies identified in Section 2.1.1.
    Moreover, under this scenario, the only binding requirement related to ESG risks that would
    apply would be the requirement for large banks to disclose information on those risks from
    end-June 2022 onwards, as highlighted in Section 2.1.2. While competent authorities will
    continue to be able to exercise their Pillar 2 powers to require banks to address ESG risks,
    due to the lack of an explicit reference to those risks in the CRD, those powers will not be
    applied systematically and consistently. Any additional requirements that the EBA may
    propose in the reports due in 2021 and 2025 (see Section 2.1.2) would require legislative
    action.
    Not changing legislation would also mean that divergences among MS in the area of
    supervisory powers made available to competent authorities under the CRD, identified in
    Section 2.1.3, would persist. For example, the prudential framework would still not require
    MS to give competent authorities powers to sanction certain types of regulatory breaches.
    Furthermore, there would be no legal requirement for an intervention in the case of specific
    situations that could raise prudential concerns, such as the acquisition of material holdings in
    entities other than banks, material transfers of assets and liabilities, and (de-)mergers. MS
    would still have ample leeway to grant the competent authorities these supervisory powers at
    their own discretion. The CRD would also still not require competent authorities to assess the
    suitability of key function holders. At the same time, the prudential framework would
    continue to lack specifications on how competent authorities should conduct fit-and-proper
    assessments. As a result, the rules would remain subject to broad margins of interpretation by
    83
    Internal models used to calculate capital requirements for operational risk are not covered by TRIM.
    30
    MS, leaving clearly identified prudential concerns unaddressed. The initiatives conducted by
    the EBA and the ECB/SSM (see Section 2.1.3) could help increase the harmonisation of the
    fit-and-proper assessment across Member States but, only if MS would empower supervisors
    by amending their national frameworks. In absence of such national empowerments,
    inadequate supervision of key function holders would persist in some MS, as associated with
    the risks of employing unsuitable individuals as members of the management body.
    Finally, under this scenario of no change to the current prudential framework, banks’
    investors and other stakeholders interested in banks’ prudential information would still find it
    burdensome to collect such information on individual banks’ platforms. In addition, banks
    would continue to have to follow two separate processes to report and disclose the required
    information, which would continue to generate an undue administrative burden for them, as
    described in Section 2.1.4.
    5.2. Description of policy options
    5.2.1. Improve the current framework for calculating risk-based capital
    requirements
    Option 1 - Implement the Basel III reforms in full alignment with the BCBS standards and
    implementation timelines
    This option would implement in Union law the final elements of the Basel III reform
    (adopted by the BCBS between December 2017 and July 2020) in full alignment with the
    standards and the timelines agreed by the BCBS. The agreement was the result of a strategic
    review of the international prudential standards for banks, which was conducted by the BCBS
    in the wake of the GFC, with a view to improving the balance between simplicity,
    comparability (mainly of the internal model approaches) and risk-sensitivity (mainly of the
    standardised approaches) of those standards.
    This option would entail implementing the final elements of the Basel III reform agreed in
    December 2017, namely:
     the revisions to the standardised approach for credit risk (SA-CR) to improve the
    robustness and risk sensitivity of the existing approach;
     the revisions to the IRB approaches for credit risk to reduce unwarranted variability in
    banks’ calculations of RWAs;
     the minimum haircut floors for non-centrally cleared securities financing transactions84
    (SFTs) to limit the pro-cyclicality of these transactions and the build-up of excessive
    leverage in the financial system;
    84
    SFTs are secured funding or lending transactions that imply a temporary exchange of assets with one leg of
    the transaction serving as a guarantee (collateral). Repurchase agreements (repos) constitute the most important
    category of SFTs in terms of outstanding amounts and turnover. They are generally motivated by the need to
    borrow cash. From the borrower's point of view, the transaction consists of selling securities against cash, while
    agreeing in advance to buy back the securities at a predetermined price. The sold securities serve as collateral
    for the buyer (provider of cash) in the repo. Securities lending, the second largest category of SFTs, is primarily
    driven by market demand for specific securities, e.g. for short selling or settlement purposes. In this type of
    31
     the revisions to the CVA risk framework consisting of the removal of the use of an
    internally modelled approach and the introduction of a new basic approach (BA-CVA) as
    well as revisions to the standardised approach for CVA (SA-CVA) to enhance the risk
    sensitivity, strengthen the robustness and improve the consistency of the framework;
     the new standardised approach for operational risk (SA-OR), replacing all the existing
    standardised and internal model approaches for this risk to simplify the framework and
    increase comparability; and
     the aggregate output floor (OF) to limit the unwarranted variability in the regulatory
    capital requirements produced by internal models and the excessive reduction in capital
    that a bank using internal models can derive relative to a bank using the revised
    standardised approaches.
    In addition, this option would implement the revised85
    (i.e. January 2019) version of the
    original (i.e. January 2016) market risk standards, known as the ‘fundamental review of the
    trading book’ (FRTB), for the purpose of calculating capital requirements. Most of the
    revised FRTB standards have already been implemented in EU law as part of the CRR II.
    Following an agreement between the European Parliament and the Council, they were
    implemented for reporting purposes only (i.e. banks are not required to use them to determine
    their capital requirements). Under this option they would be converted into a capital
    requirement, fully aligned with the final 2019 standards.
    transaction, one counterparty lends securities for a fee against collateral in the form of cash or other securities
    given by another counterparty.
    85
    Apart from modifying the calibration of the original FRTB standards, the revised version also aligned the
    implementation date of the standards with the implementation date of the overall framework (the date was
    originally set to January 2019).
    32
    Table 1 below presents a more detailed list of the key elements of the reforms included in the
    December 2017 agreement, as well as the revised market risk framework adopted in 2019.
    This option would address the main deficiencies, identified in Section 2.1.1, with the current
    prudential framework for calculating risk-based capital requirements applicable to EU
    banks86
    . At the same time, this option would entail no adjustments to the final Basel III
    standards to cater for specificities of the EU economy and would also remove some of the
    EU-specific rules currently in place to fully align the EU prudential framework with those
    standards (e.g. it would remove the exemptions from the CVA risk charge and the small and
    medium-sized enterprise (SME) supporting factor).
    86
    Note that the final elements of the Basel III reform were not specifically intended to address the problems
    identified with the risk-based capital requirements of EU banks; the same problems have been identified with
    their international peers with similar business models and activities. When developing the reform, the BCBS
    took a rather global approach in addressing those problems, therefore not necessarily taking into account the
    specificities of the banking sector of each of the BCBS members.
    33
    Table 1: Overview of the main revisions to the Basel framework introduced by the final
    elements of the Basel III reform.
    Risk area Main revisions
    Credit risk –
    standardised
    approach
     For rated exposures to banks, some of the RWs have been recalibrated. In addition,
    the RW treatment for unrated exposures to banks is more granular than the existing
    flat RW, which depends on the RW applicable to the central government of the
    Member State in which the bank is established.
     For exposures to corporates, a more granular RW treatment has been developed. In
    addition, a specific treatment for exposures to project finance, object finance and
    commodities finance was developed.
     For real estate exposures (both residential and commercial), more risk-sensitive
    approaches have been developed to better reflect different funding models and stages
    in the construction process.
     For retail exposures, a more granular treatment was developed, which distinguishes
    between different types of retail exposures and reflects FX risk.
     For subordinated debt and equity exposures, a more granular and generally stringent
    RW treatment was developed.
     For off-balance sheet items, a more risk-sensitive treatment was developed, which is
    more stringent for unconditionally cancellable commitments.
    Credit risk –
    internal
    models
    approach
     The possibility to use of internal models was either limited or altogether removed for
    portfolios and risk parameters where the BCBS had concluded that the available data
    was insufficient to ensure reliable modelling (i.e. exposures to financial institutions
    and large corporates, equity exposures).
     New minimum values (‘input floors’) were introduced for banks’ estimates of the
    probability of default, loss-given default and exposure at default (EAD).
     The option for banks to pick and choose between the use of internal models and the
    standardised approach per asset class was introduced.
    Market risk
    (FRTB)
     More objective rules were introduced to allocate transactions either to the trading
    book, or to the banking book.
     Both the standardised approach and the internal model approach were be completely
    overhauled to better capture market risk.
     New tests were introduced to ensure the robustness of the internal models and leave
    less flexibility for banks to use their own modelling assumptions.
    CVA risk  Internal models were replaced by standardised approaches, leaving banks with a
    choice between a more sophisticated and a simpler approach.
     For banks with non-centrally cleared derivatives contracts with a combined notional
    value of less than EUR 100 bn, a simplified approach was made available.
    Securities
    Financing
    Transactions
     For certain non-centrally cleared SFTs with certain counterparties, minimum haircut
    floors were introduced; as a result SFTs which do not meet the haircut floors must be
    treated as unsecured loans.
    Operational
    risk
     The current internal model approach and the three existing standardised approaches
    were replaced with a single risk-sensitive standardised approach to be used by all
    banks.
     The capital requirement under the new standardised approach depends on the size of
    the bank (expressed in terms of a refined measure of gross income) and the bank’s
    operational risk-related loss history.
    Output floor  A revised output floor was introduced. The floor sets a lower limit to the capital
    requirements that are produced by a bank’s internal model at 72.5% of the capital
    requirements that would apply if the bank would calculate its capital requirements
    using standardised approaches87
    .
    87
    For more details on the level of application see section “Flexibility in the Basel III standards” below.
    34
    Option 2 - Implement the final Basel III reforms with EU-specific adjustments and in
    alignment with the BCBS implementation timelines
    Similar to option 1, option 2 would also implement all the final elements of the Basel III
    reform. Compared to option 1, this option would include a number of targeted adjustments to
    cater for the specificities of the EU banking sector and the funding structure of the EU
    economy, and taking into account the context of the recovery, with the objective to avoid
    disproportionate impacts or unintended consequences of the reforms on essential activities
    and financial services provided by EU banks. In fact, the Basel standards are designed to
    capture common financial risks that can be observed across the world. They are calibrated
    based on averages of data collected across banks and financial markets located in different
    regions of the world. As a result, the capital requirements under some Basel standards may
    not capture more specific financial risks appropriately which could lead to disproportionate
    impacts on the corresponding financial activities. In addition, a few other targeted
    adjustments under this option would help to ensure an international level playing field for
    trading activities. Finally, this option would also make use of the flexibility the international
    standards provide in order to harmonise their application across the Union, in line with the
    objectives set out for this legislative proposal.
    Specificities of the EU banking sector and EU economy
    EU businesses (and in particular SMEs, see also Section 3 of Annex 6) rely heavily on bank
    lending to finance their investment and working capital needs, much more than in other major
    jurisdictions. However, the international standards do not always sufficiently take into
    account the specific financing structures and risk management strategies used in the EU. To
    address this issue, option 2 includes several targeted adjustments:
     Treatment of unrated corporates: corporate lending in the EU is predominantly provided
    by banks using IRB models. With the implementation of the OF those banks would also
    need to apply the SA-CR which relies on external ratings to determine the credit quality
    of the corporate borrower. Most EU corporates, however, do not typically seek external
    credit ratings, due to the cost of establishing a rating88
    and other factors89
    . Given that
    capital requirements calculated under the SA-CR are, on average, more conservative for
    unrated corporates than for corporates that have a rating,90
    the implementation of the OF
    could cause substantial increases in capital requirements for banks using internal models
    (because the standardised approach would be used to calculate the OF). To avoid
    disruptive impacts on bank lending to unrated corporates and provide enough time to
    88
    For example, according to one provider of credit ratings the average cost of obtaining a rating for an SME is
    approximately between EUR 40000 and 50000 for the initial evaluation, and then EUR 30000 to 35000 annually
    for keeping the rating updated. However, these figures are only indicative, as the cost depends on various
    factors, such as the complexity of the company, its financial structure, and the size of the debt issue.
    89
    For example, according to one ratings provider some of the other reasons why SMEs do not seek to obtain
    ratings are the availability of financing from banks (ratings are usually sought when debt is sold in the markets),
    unmet expectations about the quality of the assigned ratings (ratings turn out worse than the company issuing
    the debt expects), and reluctance to make financial data available.
    90
    A bank’s exposure to an unrated company is assigned a 100% risk weight under the SA-CR, whereas an
    exposure to a company with a good credit rating can attract a lower risk weight (20% in case of the highest
    rating).
    35
    establish public and/or private initiatives aimed at increasing the coverage of credit
    ratings, option 2 would introduce a transitional period. During this period banks using
    internal models could apply a favourable treatment when calculating their OF for
    exposures to unrated corporates. This transitional arrangement would be coupled with an
    empowerment for the Commission to further extend the length of the period, based on a
    report by the EBA. This would ensure sufficient access to bank funding by unrated
    corporates during the transition period, as banks could continue to apply lower capital
    requirements whilst initiatives to foster widespread use of credit ratings would be
    established. After the transition period banks would refer to credit ratings to calculate
    capital requirements for most of their exposures to corporates in accordance with the
    Basel III standards. More details about this specific issue and the dedicated adjustment to
    address it are provided in subsection 1.1.1 of Annex 5.
     SME supporting factor: Given their fundamental role in creating jobs and economic
    growth in the EU, EU co-legislators decided that capital requirements for SME exposures
    should be lower than those for large corporates to ensure appropriate bank financing of
    SMEs. As a result, an SME supporting factor was introduced in the CRR and its scope
    extended in CRR II91
    . Option 2 would maintain this SME supporting factor in the
    prudential framework, which would result in lower capital requirements for SMEs than
    the specific treatment provided by the Basel III standards.
     Infrastructure supporting factor: bank financing of infrastructure and other specialised
    projects is also a defining characteristic of the EU economy, as compared with other
    jurisdictions where such projects are predominantly financed by capital markets. Large
    EU banks are major providers of funding for specialised projects92
    , objects finance93
    and
    commodities finance94
    , in the EU and globally. They have developed a high level of
    expertise in those areas. A preferential treatment has been introduced in CRR II to foster
    bank finance and private investment in high quality infrastructure projects (‘infrastructure
    supporting factor’). Option 2 would maintain this treatment, which would result in lower
    capital requirements for infrastructure projects than the specific treatment provided by the
    Basel III standards. Furthermore, a new preferential treatment under the standardised
    approach for “high quality” object finance would be introduced. It would apply where
    financial risks are specifically managed. Conflicting signals to banks active in this market
    segment should be avoided.95
    This option would also empower the Commission to adopt
    delegated acts that would adjust the internal models approach, if such adjustment would
    91
    As a result of CRR and CRRII, banks can now apply a 23.81% discount when computing their capital
    requirements on SME exposures of up to EUR 2.5mn EUR whereby the part of an SME exposure exceeding
    EUR 2.5mn EUR are subject to a 15 % reduction in capital requirements (so-called SME supporting factor).
    92
    Namely, loans funding long-term important infrastructure or industrial projects.
    93
    Namely, loans funding the acquisition of physical assets such airplanes, ships, satellites, railcars, fleets, etc.
    94
    Namely, financing exchange-traded commodities like crude oil, metals or crops.
    95
    This would avoid undermining incentives for proper risk-mitigation of those transactions, for instance through
    close monitoring and various forms of collateralisation. The EBA would be mandated to develop criteria to
    determine what constitutes a high-quality project and to determine the calibration of the applicable RW.
    36
    be found appropriate based on a comprehensive assessment by the EBA during the
    implementation period.
     Equity exposures: Many EU banks hold long-standing, strategic96
    equity participations in
    financial and non-financial corporates. The final Basel III standards increase the RWs for
    all kinds of equity exposures over a 5-year transition period without providing a specific
    treatment for strategic equity investments. Applying the more conservative approach
    embedded in the Basel III standards to the whole stock of existing equity holdings could
    jeopardise the economic viability of existing strategic relationships. Option 2 would
    exclude equity holdings in entities within the same banking group or covered by the same
    institutional protection schemes (IPS)97
    from the application of the more conservative
    treatment. In addition, it would grandfather existing strategic participations where banks
    exercise influence, including via holdings in insurance undertakings, whilst applying the
    new, more conservative treatment to new equity exposures. More details about this
    specific issue and the dedicated adjustment to address it are provided in subsection 1.1.3
    of Annex 5.
     Treatment of Collective Investment Undertakings98
    (CIUs) used for trading purposes:
    CIUs play a crucial role in facilitating the accumulation of personal savings, whether for
    investments or for retirement. The seamless provision of CIUs as investment product
    hinges on banks’ ability to continuously offer to their clients the possibility to buy or sell
    back those instruments. For that purpose, banks must keep inventories of CIUs in their
    trading books. The revised market risk standards adopted in 2019 rely on a number of
    conservative assumptions and complex operational requirements99
    that could increase
    significantly the capital requirements for those instruments, therefore restricting their
    supply. To avoid this unintended effect on those trading activities, Option 2 would
    provide a number of adjustments to the treatment of CIUs under the market risk rules.
    More details about this specific issue and the dedicated adjustment to address it are
    provided in section 1.3 of Annex 5.
     Treatment of financial products based on the EU emission trading scheme (ETS): banks
    play an important role in providing liquidity to the EU market for carbon emissions
    allowances. Banks typically fill their clients’ estimated demand for allowances at a future
    date via derivatives (‘forward’) transactions. Under the revised market risk rules, the
    exposures to carbon emission allowances are assimilated to electricity contracts, and
    96
    E.g. investments in equities of corporates with which the bank has a long-term business relationship.
    97
    An institutional protection scheme (IPS) is defined in the CRR as a contractual or statutory liability
    arrangement which protects its member institutions and in particular ensures that they have liquidity and
    solvency needed to avoid bankruptcy where necessary.
    98
    Under CRR, a “CIU” means an Undertakings for Collective Investments in Transferable Securities (UCITS)
    as defined in Article 1(2) of Directive 2009/65/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council or an
    alternative investment fund (AIF) as defined in point (a) of Article 4(1) of Directive 2011/61/EU of the
    European Parliament and of the Council.
    99
    As described in Annex XX, these requirements include the restricted permission to capitalise exposures to
    CIUs under the internal model approaches only if the bank can look through the CIUs’ composition and the
    conservative calibration of some of the standardised approaches available for those exposures.
    37
    therefore get allocated to the same risk weight (60%). In light of the historical price
    volatility of EU ETS, this risk weight appears excessively high. Furthermore, in its
    Communication100
    on fostering openness, strength and resilience of the European
    economic and financial system, the Commission announced its intention to support
    further ETS trading activity in the EU, notably as part of the ‘green’ transition101
    . Option
    2 would therefore introduce a specific category for ETS allowances, distinct from
    electricity, for which RWs would be calibrated to reflect the actual price volatility of this
    commodity in the EU ETS market. More details about this specific issue and the
    dedicated adjustment to address it are provided in section 1.3 of Annex 5.
     Exemptions from capital requirements for CVA risk: When implementing the initial
    Basel III reforms in Union law through the CRR, the EU co-legislators exempted certain
    transactions102
    from the calculation of capital requirements for CVA risk. These
    exemptions were agreed to prevent a potential excessive increase in the cost of some
    derivative transactions triggered by the introduction of the capital requirement for CVA
    risk, particularly when banks could not mitigate the CVA risks of certain clients103
    . While
    the introduction of the revised capital requirement for CVA risks adopted as part of the
    final elements of the Basel III reform would improve to some extent the risk-sensitivity of
    the standardised approaches for CVA risks, the level of capital requirements would still
    remain very high for the exempted transactions, notably due to the removal of the internal
    model approach for CVA risk. In this context, Option 2 would maintain the existing CRR
    exemptions. To help supervisors monitoring the CVA risks arising from the exempted
    transactions when they are excessive, option 2 would require institutions to report to their
    supervisors the calculation104
    of capital requirements for CVA risks of the exempted
    transactions. In addition, option 2 would introduce EBA guidelines to help supervisors to
    identify excessive CVA risk. More details about this specific issue and the dedicated
    adjustment to address it are provided in section 1.5 of Annex 5.
     Introduction of the minimum haircut floor framework for non-centrally cleared SFTs:
    SFT markets play an essential role105
    in the EU financial system by allowing financial
    institutions to manage their own liquidity position and support their securities market-
    making activities, as well as central banks to transmit, via financial institutions, their
    monetary policy plans to the real economy. However, SFTs can also enable market
    participants to recursively leverage their positions by reinvesting cash collateral and re-
    using non-cash collateral, respectively. To address some concern with respect to the risk
    100
    COM(2021) 32 final.
    101
    For specific policy options to deliver on the EGD by addressing ESG risks see next section.
    102
    The exemptions cover derivative transactions with certain non-financial companies, governments, pension
    funds, but also intragroup transactions within the same banking group.
    103
    These situations arise where banks could not put exchange collateral on derivative transactions with their
    clients or where they cannot find guarantee provided by third-parties (e.g. via credit derivatives) to protect them
    from the non-payment of the clients obligations under the derivative transactions.
    104
    That is the calculation of capital required for CVA risks if the transactions were not exempted under CRR.
    105
    As an example of the importance of the EU SFTs market, the total value of the EU repo market (the most
    widely traded form of SFTs in the EU) amounted to around EUR 8.3 trillion at the end of 2019, according to the
    ESRB.
    38
    of build-up of excessive leverage outside the banking sector, the Financial Stability Board
    (FSB) published106
    in 2013 a recommendation to its member jurisdictions to introduce
    minimum collateral haircuts for some non-centrally cleared SFTs traded between banks
    and non-banks, either, at the discretion of each jurisdiction, directly via a market
    regulation or indirectly via a more punitive capital requirement that was later developed
    by the BCBS107
    . Presently there is still a lack of certainty about the impact of
    implementing this FSB recommendation on the EU SFTs market and whether its
    prudential objective could be attained without creating undesirable consequences. In this
    context, option 2 would propose to delay its implementation in the EU until the EBA and
    ESMA provide in the coming years a joint report to the Commission assessing its impact
    and recommending the most appropriate approach. More details about this specific issue
    and the dedicated adjustment to address it are provided in section 1.6 of Annex 5.
    International level playing field for trading activities.
    Banks trading activities in wholesale markets can easily be carried out across borders (for
    certain activities, even between the EU and non-EU countries). The capital requirements
    applied to these activities should therefore converge as much as possible across jurisdictions
    to avoid a potential competitive advantage for those banks for which the domestic rules are
    more lenient.
    In this context, option 2 would turn the existing reporting requirement for market risk based
    on the BCBS FRTB framework into a capital requirement, as proposed under option 1.
    However, option 2 would contain a safeguard that would allow addressing disruptions to the
    playing field for EU banks’ trading activities that could materialise if other major
    jurisdictions would delay the implementation of the FRTB framework or adjust its
    calibration108
    . Specifically, option 2 would introduce an empowerment for the Commission to
    delay, if necessary, the application of the capital requirement based on the FRTB framework
    and/or to adjust its calibration considering international developments. More details about
    this specific issue and the dedicated adjustment to address it are provided in section 1.3 of
    Annex 5.
    A second adjustment under option 2 would address the conservative calibration of the
    standardised approach for counterparty credit risk (SA-CCR) currently applied to derivative
    transactions and already transposed109
    in Union law by means of the CRR II. At the time of
    adoption, the EU co-legislators requested the EBA to report by June 2023 on the current SA-
    106
    FSB: Strengthening Oversight and Regulation of Shadow Banking, 29 August 2013.
    107
    The implementation of this FSB recommendation has been aligned with the implementation of the Basel III
    reforms, including the one-year postponement to 1 January 2023.
    108
    Hong Kong and Singapore publically announced the application of the final FRTB standards as a reporting
    requirement from 1 January 2023 and committed to implement the standards as a capital requirements at a later
    stage. Other jurisdictions have already publically indicated a delay of the application of the final FRTB
    standards as capital requirement, as compared to the BCBS recommended implementation date: Q3 2023 for
    Japan; 1 January 2014 for Canada and Australia. Finally other major jurisdictions (e.g. US, CH) have publically
    announced their commitment to implement the FRTB framework as capital requirements without more details at
    this stage.
    109
    The Basel standards for SA-CCR were adopted in 2014.
    39
    CCR calibration. Subsequently, in the Capital Market Recovery Package110
    they requested
    the Commission to review the appropriateness of the SA-CCR calibration by June 2021.
    Considering that at least one major jurisdiction111
    has already lowered the calibration of SA-
    CCR for certain types of derivatives transactions, option 2 would temporarily lower the
    existing calibration of SA-CCR for all derivatives transactions when calculating the OF. This
    would provide sufficient time to further discuss this issue at international level. More details
    about this specific issue and the dedicated adjustment to address it are provided in section 1.7
    of Annex 5.
    Flexibility in the Basel III standards
    The Basel standards usually leave some flexibility for their local implementation, either by
    explicitly allowing jurisdictions to choose between different implementation options at their
    own discretion or by implicitly not providing all the technical details for the
    operationalisation of the standards. Option 2 proposes to make use of this flexibility and
    would implement those discretions in a harmonised manner.
    First, the introduction of the OF in the prudential framework represents one of the key
    elements of the final Basel III reform, aimed at reducing the excessive variability of banks’
    capital requirements calculated with internal models and thereby enhancing the comparability
    of capital ratios. The Basel III standards arguably leave some room for interpretation as
    regards the requirements112
    to which the OF should apply and, in case of banking groups, the
    level113
    at which it should apply. Under option 2, the OF would include all the existing capital
    requirements in scope of Union law, including the systemic risk buffer (SyRB) requirement
    and the P2R imposed on EU banks by the relevant authorities (i.e. competent authorities or
    designated authorities). This is coherent with the current prudential framework and consistent
    with the objective of the OF. In order to avoid disproportionate capital impacts, while still
    strengthening financial stability and complying with the Basel III standards, option 2 would
    also prescribe that any overlap between the risks captured by the OF and the risks captured by
    any of those two requirements must be avoided114
    .
    Moreover, the Basel standards, including the OF, apply foremost at the level of a banking
    group (consolidated level). In the EU prudential framework, capital requirements usually
    apply both at the level of individual banks/subsidiaries (individual/solo level) and at
    110
    See EUR-Lex - 32021R0337 - EN - EUR-Lex (europa.eu)
    111
    In their implementation of SA-CCR adopted in November 2019, the US authorities introduced a number of
    adjustments to the Basel standard which would reduce the capital requirements of some derivate transactions
    with corporates by about 30%.
    112
    More specifically the Basel III standards refer to the Pillar 1 requirements, the capital conservation buffer
    requirement, the countercyclical capital buffer requirement, as well as the buffer requirements for global
    systemically-important and, respectively, other systemically-important institutions (G-/O-SIIs) and the total
    loss-absorbing capacity (TLAC) requirements. However, they do not include a reference to the systemic risk
    buffer requirement (SyRB) and the Pillar 2 requirement (P2R), as these are not implemented, or not
    implemented in comparable ways, in all member jurisdictions of the Basel Committee.
    113
    Capital requirements can be calculated at the level of individual banks (“individual level”) or at the level of a
    banking group (“consolidated level”). The Basel standards, including the OF, apply foremost on a consolidated
    level. The requirements in the CRR are principally applied at both individual and consolidated level.
    114
    The relevant authority would do this by adjusting the calibration of the requirement that would be found to
    double-count the risks already covered by the OF.
    40
    consolidated level. Some concerns have been raised that certain EU banking groups would
    incur an excessive increase in capital requirement due to the introduction of the OF if it were
    applied at solo level, in addition to its application at consolidated level. In this context, option
    2 would introduce the OF at consolidated level only. However, to adequately capture the risks
    of both parent entities and their subsidiaries, whilst remaining consistent with the logic of the
    Single Market, option 2 would require any additional capital resulting from the application of
    the OF at consolidated level to be distributed fairly across the various entities of the group
    according to their risk profile as if the OF was applied at individual level115
    .
    More details about the impacts of the output floor and the different implementation options
    are provided in section 1.8 of Annex 5.
    In addition, the revised standardised approach for operational risk (SA-OR) introduced a
    discretion to allow jurisdictions to disregard the inclusion of banks’ own historical losses
    related to operational risk through the Internal Loss Multiplier (ILM) indicator in their
    calculations of capital requirements for operational risk under this approach116
    . While there is
    empirical evidence showing that banks experiencing greater operational risk losses
    historically are more likely to experience operational risk losses in the future, the events that
    have led to the largest operational losses are less amenable to prediction based on historical
    loss data than for other types of risks. For this reason, option 2 would exercise the discretion
    provided by the Basel III standards and set the ILM to 1. More details about this specific
    issue and the dedicated adjustment to address it are provided in section 1.4 of Annex 5.
    Finally, option 2 would also exercise the flexibility provided in the Basel III standards to
    clarify that holdings of unlisted equities with a holding period of at least 3 years would not be
    considered as speculative holdings and would therefore not be subject to the most
    conservative treatment.
    Option 3 - Implement the Basel III reforms with EU-specific adjustments and transitional
    arrangement adapted to the COVID-19 crisis
    This option would mirror option 2, but with a later date of application of the reform. Instead
    from 1 January 2023, the reform would apply from 1 January 2025, followed by a 5-year
    transitional period as proposed by the BCBS. This would lead to the full application of the
    reform by 1 January 2030.
    Option 3 would fulfil EU’s commitment to implement the international standards, and
    provide certainty for banks’ capital planning and lending decisions, whilst at the same time
    leaving them more time to comply with the revised capital requirements. The extended
    implementation period would allow banks to focus on managing their financial risks
    115
    This means that the distribution key for any additional capital required by the OF would depend on the
    contribution of each entity to the consolidated floor requirement.
    116
    The inclusion of banks’ own historical losses through the ILM indicator would either increase their capital
    requirement for operational risk in case the banks suffered large operational risk losses in the past (in this case
    ILM would be higher than 1) or decrease it if banks did not suffer such losses (in this case ILM would be lower
    than 1). A supervisory discretion introduced in the Basel III standards allows supervisors to set ILM to 1 for all
    banks in their jurisdictions, in order to disregard banks’ own historical losses as a driver of the level of their
    capital requirement for operational risk.
    41
    stemming from the COVID-19 crisis and financing the recovery and give them enough time
    to adjust before the reform would reach its full effect. In addition, to reinforce the signal that
    banks would have ample time throughout the recovery phase to adjust to the new rules and
    thereby help avoid that other market participants would put pressure on banks (in particular
    the few most impacted banks) to frontload117
    the new requirements, this option would entail
    dedicated communication efforts to explain the additional implementation period.
    5.2.2. Dedicated capture of ESG risks in the prudential framework
    Option 1 - Introduce measures for a better management of ESG risks by banks
    Under this option, several measures would be introduced to improve the management of ESG
    risks by banks and to reinforce the specific review by bank supervisors as well as the degree
    of market discipline, without directly targeting banks’ minimum capital requirements. These
    measures would aim to improve the resilience of banks to ESG risks and increase bank
    funding of sustainable activities by means of an improved understanding of the risks involved
    and an anticipation of expected market pressures.
    As regards risk management, there is currently no explicit requirement for banks to have in
    place internal processes to manage ESG risks, nor an explicit requirement for ESG risks to be
    part of the supervisory review and evaluation process (SREP). Under this option, the current
    CRD V mandate for the EBA to issue a report to assess the inclusion of ESG risks in the
    SREP would be reinforced by explicitly requiring supervisors to ensure that banks manage
    ESG risks adequately. To the same end, the EBA's mandate would be clarified to require an
    assessment of how such risks should be included in the SREP via guidelines. Finally, the
    EBA would be mandated to specify further how ESG risks should be identified, measured,
    managed and monitored. This would include internal stress tests on banks’ resilience to
    climate change risks and long-term negative impacts.
    The annual stress tests performed by supervisors are an important tool to gauge the viability
    of banks under adverse conditions. At present, the CRD requires supervisors to perform
    annual stress tests on the banks they supervise, while the EBA is mandated to define a
    common stress test methodology via guidelines. Under this option, this requirement would be
    extended to include regular climate change stress tests and to mandate the EBA together with
    the other ESAs to develop a methodology for that purpose.
    In the area of disclosure, the disclosure requirements related to the disclosure of ESG risks
    would be extended to a larger universe of banks (i.e. beyond large, listed banks to whom the
    existing requirement will apply from 2022) while respecting the proportionality principle.
    As the EU economy is transitioning towards a sustainable economic model, while at the same
    time being exposed to sustainability risks, exposures due to the financing of sustainable
    117
    NB: Large banks and their supervisors have started to prepare for the implementation of the final elements of
    the Basel III reform soon after their adoption by the Basel Committee in 2017. This frontloading behaviour is
    also confirmed by the EBA’s Basel III monitoring exercises, which show a steady decline in capital shortfalls at
    EU banks with respect to the requirements implied by the Basel III reform (see for instance also
    https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/latest-news-headlines/dutch-banks-unflustered-
    by-front-loading-of-capital-rules-54955966). The presentation of the Commission proposal is hence not going to
    cause any additional or accelerated frontloading but rather slow it down.
    42
    activities might be expected to be less risky for banks than exposures financing unsustainable
    activities. While this option would not include comprehensive adjustments to capital
    requirements for these exposures, it would contain a specific review clause that would allow
    such adjustments to be made in the near future, once sufficient evidence would be
    available118
    . In addition, the deadline for the EBA to deliver its report on the prudential
    treatment of these exposures would be advanced from 2025 to 2023 in order to ensure greater
    timeliness of any changes to the prudential rules that may be needed.
    Option 2 - Adapt minimum capital requirements to reflect ESG risks
    Option 2 would adapt the minimum capital requirements under so-called “Pillar 1” of the
    prudential framework for the financing of certain activities and/or products where specific
    evidence exists that they are more or less risky than comparable exposures as a result of ESG
    factors. For the exact delimitation of environmentally sustainable activities deemed to be of
    lower risk based on such evidence, the Taxonomy Regulation and its delegated acts would be
    used.119
    Under this option, capital requirements for sustainable exposures would be lowered,
    while capital requirements for unsustainable activities would be increased, to reflect the
    differences in ESG risks inherent in the two types of exposures. As under option 1, the
    deadline for the EBA to deliver its report would be advanced from 2025 to 2023.
    5.2.3. Improve the consistency in the application of supervisory powers
    Option 1 - Clarify and complement certain provisions on supervisory and sanctioning powers
    while leaving ample flexibility to Member States
    Under option 1, several elements of the prudential framework related to supervisory and
    sanctioning powers would be clarified compared to the status quo in order to ensure a more
    consistent application of the supervisory toolkit. However, this option would still grant
    flexibility to MS to detail certain supervisory and sanctioning powers in national laws.
    As regards supervisory powers, this option would introduce harmonised obligations for banks
    to notify competent authorities ahead of specific events with prudential relevance
    (acquisitions of holdings, transfers of assets and liabilities, mergers and demergers). To avoid
    placing an unnecessary burden on competent authorities and banks alike, the notification
    obligation would be subject to a materiality threshold. This option would abstain from
    specifying relevant related powers or obligations for the competent authorities. This means
    that MS would be left with the discretion to grant competent authorities ex ante supervisory
    powers to oppose or to approve these events.
    118
    Such evidence would primarily come from the EBA report mandated under Article 501c of the CRR.
    119
    At present, the work on the taxonomy related to environmental risks is the most advanced one: a first
    delegated act on sustainable activities for climate change adaptation and mitigation objectives (see
    https://ec.europa.eu/info/publications/210421-sustainable-finance-communication_en#taxonomy) was formally
    adopted on 4 June 2021 for scrutiny by the co-legislators. A second delegated act for the remaining objectives
    will be published in 2022. On 12 July 2021, the Platform on Sustainable Finance has published two draft reports
    on the potential extensions of the taxonomy framework to cover i) social objectives and ii) activities that are
    significantly harmful to environmental sustainability, and those that have no significant impact on it (see
    https://ec.europa.eu/info/publications/210712-sustainable-finance-platform-draft-reports_en).
    43
    As regards sanctioning powers, this option would introduce a generic sanctioning provision,
    giving competent authorities a general power to sanction all possible breaches of the
    regulatory framework120
    . This option would also include a clarification of the distinction
    between the enforcement dimension (e.g. compelling entities to comply with the rules) and
    the punitive dimension (sanctioning a breach or a misconduct) of sanctioning powers. Lastly,
    this option would mandate the EBA to harmonise the basis for the calculation of pecuniary
    sanctions applicable to EU credit institutions (e.g. the total annual net turnover) by means of
    regulatory technical standards.
    Concerning the fit-and-proper framework, this option would introduce harmonised rules for
    banks by requiring them to carry out an assessment of members of the management body and
    of key function holders before they take up their positions. This would be mandatory for all
    the banks in the group in which those persons are supposed to hold their functions. In
    addition, the option would address the assessment procedure in order to make it more
    reliable. This would include a specification of competent authorities’ powers and processes
    for the assessment of members of the management body121
    but not for key function holders as
    this category comprises very different roles122
    .
    Option 2 - Ensure a greater level of harmonisation of the provisions on supervisory and
    sanctioning powers by narrowing down the flexibility of Member States
    This option would go a step further compared to option 1. It would frame the current
    flexibility of Member States in determining which powers and tools to grant supervisors in
    national laws.
    As regards supervisory powers, based on the notification requirement already foreseen in
    option 1, option 2 would introduce in the CRD explicit powers for competent authorities to ex
    ante oppose or approve events with prudential relevance (e.g. acquisitions of material
    holdings, material transfers of assets and liabilities, mergers and demergers).
    As regards sanctioning powers, compared to option 1, the list of key CRD/CRR breaches
    subject to administrative sanctions would be completed based on a risk-based approach123
    .
    The list of sanctionable breaches would be expanded (e.g. breaches of additional reporting
    requirements and capital requirements124
    would be included). In this regard, this option would
    ensure that the breaches to these important regulatory requirements would fall under the
    scope of the sanctioning regimes of all Member States. Like option 1, this option would
    introduce a clarification between enforcement and punitive dimension of sanctioning powers.
    But in addition to that it would grant an additional enforcement tool (periodic penalty
    120
    This option would also include a general obligation for Member States to ensure that breaches of all relevant
    CRD and CRR provisions are sanctioned
    121
    For instance, competent authorities should assess them prior to their appointment (and not ex post).
    122
    Ranging from e.g. chief financial officers to persons in any other control function.
    123
    The additional breaches would concern only elements of the regulatory regime applicable to supervised
    banks which are, according to national and European competent authorities, as the most sensitive from a
    prudential perspective.
    124
    Financial sanctions would be applicable exclusively to the members of the management bodies of institutions
    and not to the institutions themselves.
    44
    payments125
    ) to competent authorities in order to reinforce their ability to ensure a strict
    application of prudential requirements. Furthermore, this option would include a
    harmonisation of the definition of total annual net turnover by using the indicator currently
    used in the calculation of capital requirements for operational risk126
    in order to foster a
    comprehensive and consistent application of administrative penalties across the EU and
    ensure comparability of sanctions.
    Finally, under this option, the obligation for competent authorities to assess members of the
    management body and key function holders before they would occupy their positions would
    be limited to positions in the parent entity and material subsidiaries of large banks only (i.e.
    those powers would not be extended to small banks) following a risk-based approach. This
    would allow both supervisors and banks to focus their resources on the most important
    appointments. As with option 1, EU law would specify the procedural requirements for the
    fit-and-proper assessment, irrespective of whether the assessment is done ex ante or ex post.
    5.2.4. Reduce disclosure costs and improve market access to bank prudential
    information
    Option 1 - EBA provides a single electronic access to EU banks’ quantitative disclosures
    Under this option, the EBA would provide investors and other stakeholders with a single
    electronic web-based access to quantitative information that EU banks are required to
    disclose. Specifically, the EBA would publish this information on its website. The data would
    be sourced directly from the supervisory data that banks are required to report to their
    competent authorities, with the frequency determined by the disclosure rules. Specifically,
    they would be sourced from the EUCLID platform which is expected to be launched in 2021.
    This would be similar to what the EBA does as part of its EU-wide Transparency Exercises.
    It is important to highlight that the EBA would only provide the platform for the centralised
    disclosure; the ownership of the data and the responsibility for its accuracy would remain
    with the banks that produce it. Under this option, any qualitative information that banks have
    to disclose would not have to be published on the centralised platform; the disclosure of that
    information would be left to banks to manage.
    Option 2 - EBA provides a single electronic access to EU banks’ quantitative and qualitative
    disclosures.
    Under this option, the EBA would provide investors and other stakeholders with a single
    electronic web-based access to both quantitative and qualitative information that EU banks
    are required to disclose. As under option 1, the quantitative information would be sourced
    from the EUCLID platform. Conversely, the qualitative information would be sent to the
    EBA by banks. The qualitative information could be simply sent in the format that
    institutions currently use (e.g. in the form of a pdf document; that document would then be
    125
    The institution concerned has to pay a daily amount – up to 5% of its average daily turnover – for every day
    the infringement continues during a maximum period of six months.
    126
    as defined in Article 316 of the CRR
    45
    published on the centralised platform). Subsequently, the format could be amended127
    in line
    with developments related to other initiatives, e.g. the European Single Access Point (ESAP).
    As under option 1, the ownership of the information and the responsibility for its accuracy
    would remain with the banks that produce it.
    6. WHAT ARE THE IMPACTS OF THE POLICY OPTIONS AND HOW WOULD THEY COMPARE?
    In this section, the policy options identified to address each problem in Section 5 are assessed
    against three criteria:
     effectiveness: the extent to which the different policy options would achieve the
    objectives;
     efficiency: the analysis of the costs versus the benefits of the different policy options;
    and
     coherence: the coherence of the different policy options with the overarching
    objectives of EU policies
    Based on the analysis provided, a score is assigned to each policy option for each criterion.
    This helps to understand the selection of the preferred policy option, i.e. the policy option
    with the highest overall score.
    6.1. Improve the current framework for calculating risk-based capital
    requirements
    As explained in Section 5.2.1, option 1 would address the main outstanding deficiencies of
    the prudential framework identified after the GFC, by strengthening the calculation of risk-
    based capital requirements and ensuring more comparability in this calculation across banks.
    Despite the ongoing COVID-19 crisis, these reforms are still needed since they address
    structural shortcomings of the prudential framework. Those shortcomings undermine the
    reliability of banks’ risk measurement and calculation of capital requirements. This can, in
    turn, have negative consequences on financial stability in situations of future financial crises
    or wider economic downturns. In its response to the CfA published in December 2020, the
    EBA showed that the reforms would meet their purposes to reduce the variability across
    banks’ internal models (due to the introduction of new constraints in using internal models)
    and to provide banks with more risk-sensitive standardised approaches.
    However, the implementation of the final elements of the Basel III reform without
    adjustments would affect the overall level of EU banks’ minimum capital requirements. The
    EBA’s updated impact analysis, which uses the latest available estimates (based on Q4 2019
    data), confirmed that implementing the final Basel III reforms under option 1 (i.e. in full
    alignment) would significantly increase the overall minimum capital requirements for EU
    banks when the reforms apply in full in January 2028 (i.e. once the transitional period would
    end). By this date, EU banks included in the EBA sample128
    would face an average129
    127
    Please note that this would not require any changes to the CRR.
    128
    99 EU banks representing 75% of all EU bank assets according to the EBA.
    129
    The EBA impact analysis also shows the distribution of banks’ individual total impact in minimum capital
    requirements as a result of implementing the final Basel III reforms under option 1. It can be noted that a quarter
    46
    increase of 18.5% in total minimum capital requirements130
    , with 13 out of the 99 banks in
    the EBA sample that would have a combined capital shortfall131
    of EUR 52.2bn, all else
    equal (see Table 2). As shown in
    of EU banks in the EBA sample will incur a total impact in minimum capital requirements lower than +2.2%,
    while another quarter of these EU banks will incur a total impact in minimum capital requirements higher than
    +20.5%.
    130
    The EBA‘s methodology estimates the impact of the Basel III reforms on EU banks‘ minimum capital
    requirements, i.e. taking into account the Pillar 1 minimum requirement, the Pillar 2 requirements and the fully
    loaded combined buffers requirement.
    131
    Banks incurring a capital shortfall as the result of implementing the final Basel III reforms would have to
    procure collectively that capital amount by the date of application of the reforms to meet the revised minimum
    requirements introduced by the reforms. The calculation of capital shortfalls in the EBA’s methodology
    therefore does not take into potential capital management buffers that banks often hold in addition to the
    minimum required capital amount. A potential management buffer could in theory be used to compensate the
    capital shortfall incurred by the implementation of the final Basel III reforms.
    47
    Table 4, this impact would be driven by the introduction of the output floor (contributing to
    an average increase of 6.7% in total minimum capital requirements), the revisions to the
    operational risk framework (+3.8%), the revisions to the credit risk framework (+2.6% for the
    IRB and +2.4% for the SA) and the revisions to the CVA risk framework (+2.1%).
    In the updated impact analysis published in December 2020, the EBA also estimated, based
    on a smaller sample of 45 banks132
    out of the 99banks of the EBA sample, the total shortfall
    in eligible liabilities (TLAC and MREL requirements) resulting from the introduction of the
    final Basel III standard under option 1: between EUR 7bn to EUR 8.6bn (for the purposes of
    comparison, the combined capital shortfall for these 45 banks represents EUR 41bn out of the
    EUR 52.2bn combined capital shortfall for the 99 banks of the EBA sample). Naturally,
    institutions could not only use own funds, but also MREL-eligible instruments to cover this
    shortfall. It has to be noted, however, that the shortfalls calculated are an approximation and
    these estimates should be considered with great caution133
    .
    The impacts of option 1 would be less significant in January 2023, when the revised rules
    would start to be phased in under the transitional arrangements, mainly due to the lower value
    of the output floor (i.e. 50%). However, they would remain relatively important: there would
    be an average increase of 11.8% in total minimum capital requirements, with 10 out of the 99
    banks in the EBA sample having a combined capital shortfall of EUR 27.6bn.
    Table 3 below highlights the profile of the EU banks that would incur a capital shortfall under
    option 1. The vast majority of the combined capital shortfall in 2028 is due to those EU banks
    that would continue to use internal models under the Basel III standards and for which the OF
    would become the binding capital requirement134
    . It is important to note that the capital
    shortfall of those banks would build up progressively during the transitional period. In
    addition, the EBA updated impact analysis published in December 2020 indicates that the
    combined capital shortfall under option 1 would be concentrated within the largest banks in
    the EU, while small and medium-sized banks would incur negligible capital shortfalls or no
    shortfalls at all (as highlighted in Section 2 of Annex 6, capital requirements of small banks
    would even decrease on average as a result of the reform). Due to their simpler business
    models and usually very limited use of internal model approaches, small and medium-sized
    banks would be mainly affected by the revisions to the standardised approach for credit risk.
    Indeed, for these banks, the impacts of the revision would remain relatively contained, as the
    increases for some types of credit risk exposures would be offset by capital requirements
    decreases for other types of credit risk exposures.
    132
    The reduced sample included 45 of the 99 banks of the EBA sample used to calculate the estimates of the
    final Basel III reforms impacts on own fund requirement, accounting for roughly 85% of the total RWAs of
    these 99 banks (see Annex 5 of the CfA December 2020 report)
    133
    For instance, the calculations do not take into account the significant discretion of a resolution authority to
    adjust MREL decisions upwards or downwards, which is meant to ensure that MREL remains a bank specific
    requirement. In addition, any changes introduced from BRRD2 besides the subordination requirements have
    been excluded from the analysis.
    134
    A bank will be bound by the OF where its total minimum capital requirements calculated by its internal
    models would be lower than 72.5% of its total minimum capital requirements calculated under the standardised
    approaches, for the same exposures.
    48
    Although the updated analysis shows that the overall impacts would decrease compared to
    the previous EBA impact analysis135
    , option 1 would still not meet the specific objective of
    “no significant increase” in the minimum capital requirements of EU banks. As a
    consequence, EU banks that would have a substantial capital shortfall under this option might
    find it difficult over the next few years to build up136
    the amount of capital required under the
    revised rules, especially in the current low profitability environment. Consequently, EU
    banks might be obliged to significantly reduce their activities in certain segments, or sell
    existing assets (“deleverage”), which may be detrimental to the real economy. Therefore,
    option 1 would not meet one of the general objectives of this legislative initiative, i.e. to
    contribute to the steady financing of the EU economy in the context of the recovery post
    COVID 19 crisis.
    In the two public consultations launched by the Commission services in 2018 and 2019 on
    the implementation of the final elements of the Basel III reform, most respondents from the
    banking sector and some banks’ clients raised concerns regarding the increase in capital
    requirements resulting from the implementation of the reform without any adjustments (see
    Annex 2 for a full summary of the responses). In its responses to the Commission’s CfA on
    the impact of the reform, the EBA supported the overall implementation of the final elements
    of the Basel III reform under option 1. While Member States share the overall view that those
    reforms are necessary to address the outstanding deficiencies of the prudential framework
    (see Annex 2), some of them also expressed concerns about the impacts if the international
    standards would be implemented without adjustments.
    The introduction of EU specific adjustments in the implementation of the final Basel III
    reforms as proposed under option 2 would more than halve the estimated impact of option 1,
    as shown in Table 2. In fact, when the reforms would apply in full in 2028, the estimated
    average increase in total minimum capital requirements under this option would be between
    6.4% and 8.4%, with 10 banks out of 99 banks that would have a combined capital shortfall
    of less than137
    EUR 27bn. The lower impact of option 2 would be even more pronounced at
    135
    In its report published in December 2020, the EBA also provided the impacts on the same sample of 99
    banks but based on Q2 2018 data which was used in their previous impact analysis. From Q2 2018 to Q4 2019,
    the total increase in minimum capital requirements decreased by over 5 percentage points (i.e. from +24.1% to
    +18.5%), while the capital shortfall across these banks has more than halved (from EUR 109.5 bn to EUR 52.2
    bn). According to the EBA, this reduction can be mostly explained by the strengthening in the total capital
    positions of EU banks between the two dates, but also by the reduction in the overall impact of the output floor
    for few large banks and the revision of the calibration of the CVA risk framework adopted by the BCBS in July
    2020.
    136
    Banks can usually build up additional amount of regulatory capital by either retaining more earnings or by
    issuing new common shares or other forms of regulatory capital. While the former strategy is inherently difficult
    in a low profitability environment, the later strategy can also be challenging because the future expected
    profitability of a bank is reflected in its share price. The lower the profitability outlook, the lower the share price
    and the larger the number of new shares that have to be issued to raise a given amount of capital, making it more
    difficult to reach a given new issuance target.
    137
    The impact of option 2 in terms of % change to the total MRC includes the Commission estimates for some
    of EU specific adjustments proposed in Section 5.2.1 that the EBA has not been able to quantify in its impact
    study (see
    Table 4 for the breakdown of these estimates). However, the Commission services did not have the ability to
    reflect these estimates in the TC shortfall under this option which would require to have access to individual
    banks data. Therefore, the TC shortfall amounts shown in this table, which only reflect the EU specific
    49
    the beginning of the transitional period (i.e. in 2023): the estimated average increase in total
    minimum capital requirements would range between 0.7% and 2.7%, with only 7 out of 99
    banks that would have a combined capital shortfall of less than EUR 7.5bn.
    adjustments quantified by the EBA, should be interpreted as an upper bound of the actual TC shortfall incurred
    by banks in the EBA sample.
    50
    Table 4 below provides more details on the mitigating impacts of the various EU specific
    adjustments under option 2 as compared to option 1.
    Under option 2, the estimated shortfall in eligible liabilities would also reduce: between less
    than EUR 2bn and less than EUR 2.01bn for the 45banks analysed.
    The introduction of EU specific adjustments would not jeopardise the overall objective of the
    Basel III reform, i.e. to address the outstanding deficiencies of the prudential framework. At
    the same time, option 2 would implement the reform in a way that would meet the specific
    objective of “no significant” increase in capital requirements across EU banks, as highlighted
    by the above analysis.
    To put the capital shortfalls under the two options into perspective, the 99 banks included in
    the EBA sample held a total amount of regulatory capital worth EUR 1414bn at the end of
    2019 and had combined profits of EUR 99.8bn in 2019. Knowing that option 2 would halve
    the capital shortfalls of EU banks as compared to option 1, these banks would be in a better
    position138
    to build up the amount of capital required under the new rules over the next few
    years under option 2, without the need to abruptly reduce their exposures, particularly in
    certain financing activities that are key to the EU economy.
    Option 2 is broadly aligned with the views expressed by the bank respondents to the two
    public consultations: they also proposed some specific adjustments when implementing the
    final elements of the Basel III reform in the EU. After a careful assessment, the adjustments
    that were deemed justified and appropriate have been included under option 2 (e.g. specific
    treatment for certain equity and specialised lending exposures, postponement of the
    implementation of the haircut floor framework, etc.). Other EU specific adjustments proposed
    under option 2 would simply maintain previously agreed rules already catering for EU
    specificities (e.g. SME supporting factor and the CVA exemptions). Mixed views have been
    expressed by the EBA, the ECB, Member States and national supervisors during expert group
    meeting organised by the Commission on the specific adjustments proposed under option 2.
    The views of Member States generally depended on the extent to which the EU specificities
    identified in Section 5.2.1 are present in their banking sector.
    Table 2: Summary of overall key impact estimates of the final Basel III reforms on EU
    banks, under both the implementation policy options 1 and 2.
    Impact in 2023 at start of application
    (beginning of transitional period)
    Impact in 2028 under full
    application (end of transitional
    period)
    Average % change in
    total MRC139
    Combined TC
    shortfall (in
    EUR bn)
    Average % change
    in total MRC
    Combined TC
    shortfall (in
    EUR bn)
    Option 1: Full alignment with
    Basel III standards +11.8% 27.5 +18.5% 52.2
    138
    Banks without capital shortfalls would also be in a better position to maintain their current level of capital
    ratio over the next few years under option by building the required amount of capital to do so.
    139
    Minimum Required Capital.
    51
    Option 2: Implementation with
    EU specific adjustments
    Between +0.7% and
    +2.7%
    Below 7.5
    Between +6.4% and
    +8.4%
    Below 26.3
    Sources: Basel III reforms impact study, EBA, December 2020; European Commission estimates.
    Table 3: Number and profile of EU banks incurring a capital shortfall with the full
    application of the final Basel III reforms in 2028, under the implementation policy options 1
    and 2.
    Profile of banks
    incurring a capital
    shortfall
    Number of banks incurring a capital
    shortfall (out of 99 banks in EBA
    sample)
    Combined TC shortfall (in EUR bn)
    In 2023 In 2028 In 2023 In 2028
    Option
    1
    Option
    2
    Option
    1
    Option
    2
    Option
    1
    Option
    2
    Option
    1
    Option
    2
    Using only the
    standardised approaches
    4 4 4 4 0.7
    Below
    0.6
    0.7
    Below
    0.6
    Using
    internal
    model
    approaches
    Bound by
    the OF
    0 0 6 4 0 0 42.5
    Below
    22.4
    Not bound
    by the OF
    6 3 3 1 26.8
    Below
    6.9
    9
    Below
    3.3
    Total
    10 7 13 10 27.5
    Below
    7.5
    52,2
    Below
    26.3
    Sources: Basel III reforms impact study, EBA, December 2020.
    52
    Table 4: Breakdown of the impacts of the individual elements of final Basel III reforms
    under options 1 and 2 in 2028140
    and of the individual EU specific adjustments considered
    under option 2.
    % change in
    MRC under
    option 1 (across
    all risks and per
    risk type)
    Individual impact of EU specific
    adjustments under option 2
    % change in MRC
    under option 2
    (across all risks
    and per risk type)
    Quantified in
    EBA impact
    analysis (in
    percentage points
    (pp))
    Not quantified in
    EBA impact analysis
    and based on
    Commission
    estimates (in
    percentage points
    (pp))
    Across all
    risks
    + 18.5% Between +6.4% and
    +8.4%
    Credit risk
    (=IRB + SA)
    +5% (=2.6%+2.4%) SME supporting
    factor: -2pp
    Unrated
    corporates: -1.5pp
    Treatment of
    equities: -1pp
    +0.5%
    Market risk +0.8% +0.8%
    Operational
    risk
    +3.8% ILM=1: -2.1pp +1.7%
    CVA risk +2.1% CVA exemption &
    proportionality:
    -1.6pp
    +0.5%
    Output floor +6.7% EU implementation
    of the output floor:
    at least141
    - 1pp
    +5.7%
    Other risk
    (Securitisation
    and Leverage
    ratio)
    +0.2% +0.2%
    Broad impact
    estimates of
    other
    adjustments
    Market risk (treatment
    of CIUs and calibration
    of EU ETS), credit risk
    (infrastructure
    supporting factor,
    specialised lending),
    the output floor
    (SACCR calibration in
    OF) and postponement
    of minimum haircut
    floors: -1pp to -3pp
    -1% to -3%
    Sources: Basel III reforms impact study, EBA, December 2020; European Commission estimates.
    The above impact estimates provided by the EBA are based on Q4 2019 data. They
    implicitly142
    assume that the economic activity and EU banks’ balance sheets would recover
    140
    The breakdown of these individual impacts in 2023 is basically the same, expect the impact of the output
    floor which reduces to 0% since its lower value of 50% does not bind EU banks.
    141
    In the “EU single stack” approach proposed in this note, supervisors will be able to further adjust the overall
    than was estimated by the EBA in its impact assessment.
    142
    These impacts estimates are calculated by the EBA under a ‘static balance sheet’ assumption, meaning that
    they only capture the impacts of a change in the prudential framework at the date they have been calculated.
    Therefore, the impact estimated presented in this impact assessment implicitly assumes banks‘ balance sheet
    53
    to pre-crisis levels by the time the final elements of the Basel III reform would start applying,
    i.e. by January 2023. However, it cannot be ignored that over this horizon, banks’ balance
    sheets might still be affected by the consequences of the COVID-19 crisis.
    To this end, the EBA’s updated impact analysis also provides the Commission with a
    qualitative and a quantitative analysis of the combined effect of the reform and the potential
    consequences of the COVID-19 crisis over the short-term, i.e. at the start of the application of
    the reforms in 2023.
    First, one key conclusion of the qualitative analysis performed by the EBA is that the effects
    of the COVID-19 crisis would not necessarily lead to higher capital impacts under the final
    Basel III standards than they would do under the current prudential framework. Indeed, the
    EBA expects an increase in banks’ capital requirements as a result of the expected
    deterioration in ratings, higher probabilities of default and higher expected losses caused by
    the COVID-19 crisis. In the short-term, this increase would occur under the current
    prudential framework irrespective of whether the final Basel III standards would be
    implemented and would, to a certain extent, mitigate the capital impact due to the reform. For
    instance, for banks using internal models under the Basel III standards, the impact of
    introducing the output floor might be mitigated by an increase in the capital requirements
    generated by internal models, which might happen in the coming years due to the higher
    credit risk of banks’ borrowers.
    Second, the quantitative analysis performed by the EBA defines two hypothetic, adverse
    economic scenarios which would imply a significant deterioration of the financial situation of
    EU banks’ borrowers over the short-term horizon as a potential negative consequence of the
    COVID-19 crisis (the two scenarios differ in terms of how severe143
    this deterioration and the
    resulting increase of their non-performing loans would be, all other risks of EU banks being
    equal). Under each scenario, the EBA recalculated the average change in the minimum
    capital requirements and the resulting capital shortfall of EU banks only under option 2 and
    only in the short-term, i.e.at the start of application of the reforms in 2023.
    As compared to the impact of option 2 (i.e. average increase in banks’ minimum capital
    requirements between +0.7% and +2.7% and a combined capital shortfall of less than EUR
    7.5bn as shown in Table 2), the average increase in banks’ minimum capital requirements
    under the less (resp. more) severe if the adverse economic scenarios in the short-term would
    go up to between +4% and +6% (resp. +5% and +7%) leading to a capital shortfall of EUR
    30.4bn (resp. EUR 59.8bn) .
    As recognised by the EBA in its report, the impact estimates under these two adverse
    scenarios are more significant than using the Q4 2019 data but the assumptions and the
    143
    The first adverse scenario applies a stress effect on the EU banks’ credit risk provisions and their credit risk
    capital requirements to all their borrowers, based on the hypothetical shock arising from the 2018 stress test; the
    second adverse scenario cumulative the stress effect of the first scenario with more specific stress effects applied
    to bank’s exposures from economic sectors that are the most affected by the COVID-19 crisis. This
    methodology, which has previously been used by the EBA thematic note on the impact of COVID-19 in the EU
    banking sector published in May 2020 (see https://www.eba.europa.eu/risk-analysis-and-data/risk-assessment-
    reports), is described in Annex 6.
    54
    methodology used by the EBA in these scenarios were very conservative and need to be
    interpreted with caution. In fact, the EBA methodology uses a stress-testing approach which
    assumes a simultaneous deterioration in the financial situation of all borrowers of EU banks,
    i.e. even for those borrowers that do not currently experience difficulties. Second, the higher
    combined capital shortfall under the adverse scenarios would not be only due to higher
    capital shortfalls incurred by banks under option 2 based on Q4 2019 data, but also due to
    more banks that would incur a shortfall under that scenario. Some of the banks that would
    incur a capital shortfall under the adverse scenarios would also incur a shortfall if the current
    prudential framework was used instead of the final Basel III standards (the EBA analysis
    does not disentangle the two effects – the COVID-19 effect and effect of the final Basel III
    reforms).
    Taking into account these caveats, the EBA analysis still provides a useful indication of what
    the upper bound of the impacts of the final elements of the Basel III reform could be if the
    financial situation of EU banks were to significantly deteriorate over the next few years. The
    continuing EBA monitoring of the impacts of the reform on EU banks will be particularly
    useful to inform EU co-legislators during the first stage of negotiations of this legislative
    initiative about the evolution of the impacts of those reforms with more concrete first signs of
    the consequences of the COVID-19 crisis on EU banks’ balance sheets.
    Option 3 would lead to the same overall impacts on total capital requirements as option 2 but
    would give EU banks two more years to comply with the new capital requirements. Due to
    the uncertainty with the evolution of the financial situation of EU banks’ clients, as shown in
    the above analysis, this delay would give banks time to absorb potential losses coming from
    the most fragile borrowers that are (or will be) affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, while
    still leaving them enough room to support the financing of the EU economy during the
    recovery phase.
    Option 3 would provide much needed certainty to the banks that the impact of the EU
    implementation of Basel III is manageable. Banks usually refer to the EBA’s estimates on
    how much capital requirements would increase if the reforms were implemented in full
    alignment with the Basel III standards. Given the lack of clarity about the EU’s
    implementation approach and missing certainty on the timeline, banks expect a significant
    increase in capital requirements as a result of the implementation and the most impacted or
    weakest amongst them could see this as another reason144
    to hold back from using their
    capital to lend. Coming forward with option 3 for the implementation would signal that the
    impact would be quite limited and provide certainty for banks’ capital planning and lending
    decisions throughout the recovery phase while reaffirming the EU’s international
    commitment to the Basel III implementation. In addition, clear communication on the
    difference between entry into force and effective application of the new requirements would
    144
    Recent market observations (e.g. ECB’s lending survey or EBA’s risk and vulnerabilities assessment)
    indicate that lending conditions remained broadly favourable in 2020 but started to tighten. This is mainly
    driven by banks’ assessment of the risk related to the deteriorating creditworthiness of borrowers affected by the
    pandemic, whereas banks’ capital position remains strong and did not contribute to the tightening. In the Euro
    area, banks do not expect that regulatory or supervisory action will constrain their capital positions or lead to a
    decrease in their total assets.
    55
    help reinforce the signalling effect. Postponing further, by contrast, would nurture
    speculations about the EU’s commitment to implement the final elements of the Basel III
    reform, damage the EU’s reputation as a reliable partner in international fora/negotiations,
    and be likely interpreted as a sign that the EU banking sector is too weak to accommodate the
    Basel III reforms (with potential negative consequences for EU banks’ market valuations and
    funding costs).
    In their communications with the Commission, a good part of the banking sector and some of
    their clients have been asking for a postponement of this legislative proposal implementing
    the final elements of the Basel III reforms. Option 3, while not entailing further postponement
    of the legislative proposal, but given the extended implementation timeline, would largely
    meet this demand. Member States and supervisors were more supportive of the idea of
    extending the implementation timelines as an alternative to structural deviations from the
    final Basel III standards. Most Member States and key MEPs have recently restated their
    support for a timely and faithful implementation of the final Basel III reforms – taking
    account of EU specificities – notwithstanding the COVID-19 crisis. They expect the
    Commission to table a legislative proposal by mid-2021.
    In light of the above analysis, which led to the overall score of each policy option in Table 5
    below, option 3 is deemed the preferred policy option to improve the current framework for
    calculating risk-based capital requirements.
    Table 5 : Comparison of policy options against effectiveness, efficiency and coherence
    criteria
    EFFECTIVENESS
    EFFICIENCY
    (cost-effectiveness)
    COHERENCE OVERALL SCORE
    Baseline option 0 0 0 0
    Option 1 + - + ≈
    Option 2 ++ + ++ +
    Option 3 ++ ++ ++ ++
    Magnitude of impact as compared with the baseline option (the baseline is indicated as 0): ++ strongly positive; + positive;
    – – strongly negative; – negative; ≈ marginal/neutral; ? uncertain; n.a. not applicable
    6.2. Dedicated capture of ESG risks in the prudential framework
    Option 1 would provide incentives for banks to improve the management of ESG risks by
    reinforcing banks’ obligations as regards the management of ESG risks as well as the
    supervisory review thereof. This would help ensure that banks would be able to handle their
    exposures to ESG risks more effectively and aligning their investment strategies accordingly,
    in line with the stated objective pursued by this initiative. In addition, the suggested
    reinforcement of disclosure requirements would allow market participants to scrutinise the
    degree of exposure of banks to ESG risks as well as how close those banks are to delivering
    on any sustainability commitments they had already made (or would make in the future).
    By introducing a dedicated review clause to adapt capital requirements based on concrete
    evidence, option 1 would pave the way for better aligning capital requirements with the
    riskiness of ESG assets.
    56
    Through the envisaged change to bring forward the delivery date for the EBA report, option 1
    would allow to minimise delays in effectively addressing any additional underlying problems
    that the report may identify. At the same time, it would ensure that any changes in capital
    requirements would be based on adequate evidence, which would be coherent with the
    principles of risk-based capital requirements and thus the objective of financial stability.
    Option 1 would result in some costs for banks as they would have to adapt their risk
    management systems and processes and collect the necessary data. To the extent that the data
    must be obtained from customers, the latter would also incur additional costs as a result.
    Supervisors would incur costs as their supervisory processes would become more complex.
    In contrast to option 1, option 2 would adapt capital requirements based on currently
    available evidence without awaiting the EBA report on the relative riskiness of exposures. It
    would thus have the advantage of effectively responding to calls for an early intervention in
    view of the urgency of environmental (and more broadly sustainability) challenges. However,
    research on how the riskiness of bank exposures differs based on sustainability criteria is in
    its early stages and empirical evidence in this area is still limited. The available research is
    focused on a very narrow subset of bank exposures, namely lending for the financing of the
    construction/purchase of energy-efficient buildings or for the “upgrading” of energy
    inefficient buildings. That research provides tentative evidence that such lending may be
    slightly less risky than “traditional” mortgage lending145
    . At the same time, other research
    concludes that such differences either do not exist or can be explained by other factors than
    environmental ones that are correlated with “green-ness”, such as income differences
    between borrowers.
    An attempt to introduce changes to capital requirements for ESG risks based on this limited
    and inconsistent evidence would likely result in an inadequate calibration of such capital
    requirements. This would be incoherent with the principles of risk-based capital requirements
    and would negatively impact financial stability in particular if capital requirements for certain
    exposures were to be too low to cover the real risks. Also, a premature change in capital
    requirements would entail the risk that new evidence may subsequently emerge that
    contradicts the assumptions on the basis of which the changes had been made in the first
    place, thereby creating the need to undo these changes. At the same time, the available
    evidence does not allow a detailed assessment of the impact that option 2 might have.
    Many stakeholders recognise that prudential requirements for banks must reflect ESG risks,
    with the EBA recommending “to incorporate ESG risk-related considerations in directives
    and regulations applicable to the banking sector”146
    . This holds true in particular with respect
    to proposals to strengthen risk management requirements, supervisory review and stress
    testing as well as disclosure requirements, even though with respect to the latter some
    stakeholders have cautioned that these must not result in disproportionate costs.
    145
    Does energy efficiency predict mortgage performance?, Bank of England, 2020 (see
    https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/working-paper/2020/does-energy-efficiency-predict-mortgage-performance).
    146
    See the EBA Discussion paper on management and supervision of ESG risks for credit institutions and
    investment firms.
    57
    However, views vary as regards changes to capital requirements based on ESG factors. Banks
    tend to be open to the idea of lower capital requirements for exposures to sustainable
    activities and/or products but strongly oppose higher capital requirements for exposures to
    activities and/or products deemed to be unsustainable. Civil society stakeholders tend to view
    increased capital requirements for unsustainable activities and/or products more favourably,
    while some consider that the potential benefit of a decrease in capital requirements for
    sustainable activities and/or products would be outweighed by a potential negative impact on
    financial stability. Supervisors consider that any change in capital requirements must be
    based on solid evidence of risk differentials based on ESG factors, which they do not
    consider to be available at present.
    In light of the above analysis, which led to the overall score of each policy option in Table 6
    below, option 1 is deemed the preferred policy option to introduce a dedicated capture ESG
    risks in the prudential framework.
    Table 6: Comparison of policy options against effectiveness, efficiency and coherence
    criteria
    EFFECTIVENESS
    EFFICIENCY
    (cost-effectiveness)
    COHERENCE OVERALL SCORE
    Baseline option 0 0 0 0
    Option 1 + + ++ +
    Option 2 ? ? ? ?
    Magnitude of impact as compared with the baseline option (the baseline is indicated as 0): ++ strongly positive; + positive;
    – – strongly negative; – negative; ≈ marginal/neutral; ? uncertain; n.a. not applicable
    6.3. Improve the consistency in the application of supervisory powers
    On supervisory powers
    In relation to supervisory powers, option 1 would draw awareness across the Union to the
    importance of assessing prudentially relevant events in a timely manner. The suggested
    mandatory ex-ante notification, e.g. of a merger, would allow supervisors to be informed at
    an early stage and to react promptly, if deemed necessary from a prudential viewpoint. Yet,
    MS would remain free to implement corresponding supervisory powers. The likely effect
    would be a perpetuation of the absence of equal rules and limitations for several authorities,
    including the ECB, to intervene ex ante. Option 1 would imply some costs for banks in the
    form of administrative burden (due to the notification obligation) and would for individual
    banks depend on whether ex ante notification obligations already exist in the relevant MS.
    However, the materiality thresholds for notifications included in this option would limit those
    costs, as only event exceeding the thresholds would need to be notified.
    On the supervisory powers and procedures concerning the suitability assessment, option 1
    would mean assessing ex ante all members of the management body by the competent
    authorities, without considering the characteristics of banks or of the different entities within
    the group in which those persons hold their functions. While this would ensure a high degree
    of harmonisation, it would require significant additional efforts from authorities that currently
    perform ex-post assessments, notably to the numerous small banks in their supervisory remit.
    58
    By contrast to option 1, the harmonisation of supervisory powers in EU law as suggested in
    option 2 would achieve a level playing field, endowing all competent authorities with
    sufficient capacity to react to prudentially relevant events. It would impact to a different
    extent banks and supervisory authorities, depending on whether supervisory powers147
    and ex
    ante notification obligations already exist and how they are designed. The incurred costs
    would in most cases remain ultimately less important than those for ex-post supervisory
    assessments. As in the case of option 1, the costs would be contained due to the materiality
    thresholds.
    As regards the fit-and-proper assessment, under option 2, the ex-ante assessment would be
    introduced only for members of the management body in the parent entity and in material
    subsidiaries of large banks. Competent authorities would therefore be able to continue ex-post
    assessments for smaller banks which would entail no additional costs. Option 2 would extend
    the scope to key function holders and require competent authorities to assess them ex ante for
    the same type of entities as for the members of the management body. The proposed
    framework would also provide further specifications concerning the supervisory procedures
    for the assessment of both, board members and key function holders. Furthermore, it would
    set out criteria for carrying out the assessment of key function holders148
    .
    Overall, option 2 would achieve a more balanced reform of supervisory powers than option 1.
    It would ensure a sufficient level of supervisory convergence and keep the administrative
    burden to a reasonable level.
    On sanctioning powers
    Option 1 would clarify the distinction between enforcement measures and sanctioning tools
    for supervisors. This clarification would leave nonetheless an important discretion to Member
    States to introduce or not additional enforcement149
    and sanctioning powers in their national
    laws.
    Furthermore, option 1 would achieve a significant increase of the harmonisation of
    sanctioning powers by introducing a general power for supervisors to sanction all potential
    breaches of the regulatory framework. However, this option might create legal uncertainty as
    regards its application. A generic clause might not be effective when breaches of a bank are
    not identified by national and European supervisors under a common standard. In addition,
    some Member States impose the obligation to state the breach for which a sanction is
    applicable150
    . Therefore, introducing a general sanctioning power could potentially raise
    constitutional issues in some Member States151
    .
    Finally, under option 1 the basis for the calculation of pecuniary measures imposed on EU
    banks to sanction breaches would be specified by MS, agreeing on a common definition in a
    147
    Most MS have already provided their supervisors with at least some approval powers.
    148
    Article 91 of Directive 2013/36/EU already provides criteria for assessing the members of the management
    body.
    149
    The possibility for supervisors to impose periodic penalty payments applicable to credit institutions
    breaching their regulatory requirements
    150
    It is the case especially if the breach would lead to financial penalties
    151
    In some Member States, it would not be possible to introduce such general administrative sanctioning power
    because national laws already foresee criminal sanctions for such CRD/CRR breaches
    59
    Level 2 text (e.g. Regulatory Technical Standards) that could leave some additional
    flexibility.
    None of the above elements is expected to lead to undue increases in costs for either banks or
    their supervisors152
    .
    Option 2 would provide more legal certainty as regards breaches that would be sanctioned
    than option 1. MS would implement an identical list of key CRD/CRR requirements, which
    would eliminate inconsistencies as regards the scope of sanctioning powers of the competent
    authorities. This option considers the proportionality principle. It increases the level of
    harmonisation as regards sanctioning powers without leaving supervisors and credit
    institutions with legal uncertainty which is the case for solely generic sanctioning powers
    under option 1.
    Like under option 1, all the important breaches would be subject to administrative sanctions
    by supervisors and clarifications would be provided on the articulation between enforcement
    and punitive measures taken by supervisors. However, option 2 would go beyond option 1 by
    providing an additional enforcement tool to supervisors in the form of periodic penalty
    payments).
    Finally, option 2 suggests a harmonisation of the calculation of pecuniary sanctions based on
    the notion of total annual net turnover. The use of total annual net turnover as a criterion
    would benefit from a clarification on the highest level of the EU legislation (e.g. CRD),
    compared to option 1 (Regulatory Technical Standards).
    Similarly to option 1, the changes contemplated under option 2 would not lead to undue
    increases in costs for banks or for their supervisors (for the latter, the sanctioning procedures
    could stay unchanged, it is only the scope of breaches to which those procedures would apply
    that would be expanded).
    * * *
    Most stakeholders acknowledge that differences in the powers available to supervisors and
    their application across MS are contrary to the level playing field principle and effective
    supervision. While supervisors (in particular the ECB) and civil society stakeholders
    highlight the prudential risks and the uncertainty resulting from the lack of certain powers,
    definitions and common procedures, the banking industry is concerned about possible
    distortions to the competition across MS and notes that the status quo would prevent groups
    from reaping the synergies expected from cross-border acquisitions.
    As regards concrete policy options to address the problems, the views of MS and supervisors
    are largely correlated with their current practices. In particular, those being home and/or
    predominantly in charge of smaller banks are concerned about potentially increased
    administrative burden. Their support is hence conditional on the introduction of materiality
    thresholds which would exempt a significant number of events and the provision of targeted
    flexibility (particularly regarding the scope of ex-ante fit-and-proper assessments) allowing
    152
    Under this new regime banks could be hit by sanctions for certain breaches, which would of course represent
    a cost for those banks. However, those costs are not considered as undue.
    60
    for risk-based adjustments as envisaged under option 2. Some MS and the majority of banks,
    by contrast, prefer limiting the flexibility left to MS and supervisors to the extent possible.
    In light of the above analysis, which led to the overall score of each policy option in Table 7
    below, option 2 is deemed the preferred policy option to improve the consistency in the
    application of supervisory powers
    Table 7 : Comparison of policy options against effectiveness, efficiency and coherence
    criteria
    EFFECTIVENESS
    EFFICIENCY
    (cost-effectiveness)
    COHERENCE OVERALL SCORE
    Baseline option 0 0 0 0
    Option 1 + + + +
    Option 2 ++ ++ ++ ++
    Magnitude of impact as compared with the Baseline option (the baseline is indicated as 0): ++ strongly positive; + positive;
    – – strongly negative; – negative; ≈ marginal/neutral; ? uncertain; n.a. not applicable
    6.4. Reduce disclosure costs and improve market access to bank prudential
    information
    Both options would increase the efficiency and effectiveness of disclosures, particularly for
    small and non-complex banks. These banks would be relieved from the burden to prepare
    disclosures of prudential information153
    , which will be disclosed centrally based on prudential
    information provided to supervisors. For other banks, the benefits from option 1 may be
    limited: given that they would still need to manage their disclosures of qualitative
    information, they may simply decide to continue disclosing the required qualitative and
    quantitative information as they currently do. At the same time, option 1 would not entail any
    additional costs for those banks, nor it would entail any additional costs for banks or
    supervisors more in general as changes to their existing systems would not be required.
    For other stakeholders (e.g. investors, academics) option 1 would achieve all benefits
    associated with a single, free access point to prudential data (i.e. quantitative information) on
    all EU banks. It would allow them to undertake a meaningful analysis across EU banks. The
    disadvantage (but not associated with additional cost) of this option for these stakeholders
    would be that in order to access banks’ qualitative information, they would still need to
    gather it from the websites of individual banks like they currently do.
    Option 2 would entail the same benefits as option 1. In addition, it would eliminate all its
    drawbacks: all banks would be able to use the centralised platform for all their disclosures
    (and hence avoid duplication), while the other stakeholders would have a single point of
    access to those disclosures.
    In light of the above analysis, which led to the overall score of each policy option in Table 8
    below, option 2 is deemed the preferred policy option to reduce disclosure costs and improve
    market access to bank prudential information.
    153
    Following the amendments to the disclosure rules introduced by the CRR II, small and non-complex banks
    are required to disclose quantitative information only.
    61
    Table 8 : Comparison of policy options against effectiveness, efficiency and coherence
    criteria
    EFFECTIVENESS
    EFFICIENCY
    (cost-effectiveness)
    COHERENCE OVERALL SCORE
    Baseline option 0 0 0 0
    Option 1 + + + +
    Option 2 ++ ++ + ++
    Magnitude of impact as compared with the Baseline option (the baseline is indicated as 0): ++ strongly positive; + positive;
    – – strongly negative; – negative; ≈ marginal/neutral; ? uncertain; n.a. not applicable
    7. PREFERRED POLICY OPTIONS
    7.1. Effectiveness
    The implementation of the final elements of the Basel III reform under the preferred policy
    option will address the shortcomings of risk-based capital requirements under the prudential
    framework that have been identified during the GFC. This will ensure an accurate
    measurement of risk and an adequate capitalisation of institutions which will in turn ensure
    financial stability. A more stable and resilient EU banking sector will, in turn, effectively
    strengthen the trust of global financial markets and international partners in the EU financial
    system.
    The preferred option will also take due account of the specificities of the EU banking sector
    through a number of specific adjustments to the Basel III standards as well as a longer
    implementation timeline of the reforms. In this way the preferred option will most effectively
    help to mitigate the risk associated with a sharp increase in capital requirements for
    institutions, especially in view of the COVID-19 –crisis. This will ensure a smooth provision
    of essential financial services to the EU economy during the recovery phase and in the long
    term.
    The preferred policy option will enhance the focus on ESG risks in the prudential framework
    with a dedicated approach to capture those risks. Improved management of ESG risks will
    ensure that institutions will be better prepared to withstand those risks, in particular risks due
    to climate change. Moreover, the explicit reference to ESG risks in the supervisory
    framework will increase supervisors’ focus of those risks. Finally, the enhanced transparency
    about institutions’ exposures to those risks will give markets the necessary tools for an
    effective monitoring of the sustainability of institutions’ activities. The combination of these
    measures will create the necessary incentives for institutions to allocate more financing to
    more sustainable investments.
    The preferred policy option regarding supervisory and sanctioning powers will further
    harmonise and strengthen the toolkit available to supervisors across the Union, improving the
    robustness, application and enforcement of the prudential framework applicable to
    institutions. By strengthening supervisors’ powers to ensure institutions’ compliance with the
    prudential framework across the Union, and by giving supervisors the necessary powers to
    intervene in transactions that can have a significant prudential impact on institutions, the
    preferred option will ensure a more effective supervision of institutions and therefore a safer
    banking sector.
    62
    Next to supervision, scrutiny by market participants and other stakeholders constitutes
    another important control mechanism in the prudential framework. The effective functioning
    of this mechanism is conditional upon the transparency of banks’ activities, their financial
    position and the risks they face. The preferred policy option would ensure that information
    (i.e. qualitative and quantitative) that institutions have to disclose would be easily accessible
    in one place and would be easily comparable, thus enhancing the ability of clients, investors
    and other market participants to monitor and exert market discipline on institutions.
    7.2. Efficiency
    The preferred policy option will achieve the desired objectives with enhanced efficiency. By
    adapting the final Basel III framework to several specificities of the EU banking sector, the
    preferred option would avoid disproportionate capital requirements for certain financial
    products or activities provided by banks and are essential to the EU economy. Without
    adapting the Basel III standards to EU specificities, the resulting increase in capital
    requirements would likely be significant, resulting in higher costs for institutions’ clients,
    including SMEs. This could ultimately undermine the clients’ economic activities or capacity
    to hedge their financial risks. The proposed two-year postponement of the date of application
    of the final elements of the Basel III reform in the preferred policy option will enable banks
    to support the recovery post COVID-19 crisis over the short- to medium-term whilst
    providing EU banks with regulatory certainty early on, thereby allowing for proper planning
    and a smooth implementation of the revised prudential framework.
    The preferred policy option to address ESG risks will provide the necessary incentives for
    banks and, indirectly, their clients to take due account of the sustainability of their economic
    activities and will therefore ensure a more efficient allocation of economic resources. This
    will, in turn, support the effort to transform the EU economy into a resource-efficient,
    sustainable and competitive economy.
    As regards supervisory and sanctioning powers, the preferred option addresses the current
    fragmentation of supervisory powers by ensuring that scarce supervisory resources are used
    in the most efficient way. This is done by allowing supervisors to focus only on events that
    can materially affect the prudential standing of banks. While the preferred policy option
    involves an increase in costs for at least some supervisors (especially for those that currently
    do not have the powers that would be introduced under the preferred option) and the banks
    they supervise, the increase in costs is limited (due to the in-built proportionality of the rules
    that focuses only on material events). The costs would be outweighed by the benefits of more
    harmonisation which will contribute to levelling the playing field in the single market and
    render supervision in the Banking Union more efficient.
    Finally, under the preferred policy option for the disclosure of prudential information, banks
    will benefit from a more efficient system that integrates supervisory reporting and disclosure,
    and thereby reduces their administrative burden. At the same time, access to bank data for
    stakeholders will become more efficient as all the relevant information will be available in
    one place.
    63
    7.3. Coherence
    In addition to the effectiveness and efficiency of the preferred policy options chosen to
    address the problems identified, the preferred options shall be coherent with each other as
    well as the whole package with other policy initiatives at EU level.
    The prudential framework for banks in the Union consists of three main pillars, each of which
    plays a distinct, key role in ensuring the stability of individual institutions and the banking
    sector as a whole. The preferred policy options propose changes to each of these pillars,
    which will increase the coherence of the overall framework.
    The first pillar consists of minimum capital requirements, in the form of quantitative and
    qualitative rules. In 2013, in the wake of the GFC, these rules were moved from a Directive
    to a Regulation to form a “Single Rule Book”, and a large number of national options and
    discretions was removed. This change improved the uniformity of application of minimum
    capital requirements in all MS, closed regulatory loopholes and thus contributed to a more
    effective functioning of the single market for banking services. The current proposal further
    improves the consistent application of these rules by limiting banks’ freedom in calculating
    their capital requirements; this will make capital requirements and reported capital ratios
    more comparable across the Union.
    The second pillar consists of the supervisory review of banks’ activities and risks. This
    review is crucial to ensure a consistent application of the prudential framework, in particular
    in the Banking Union. However, where powers and tools made available to supervisors in
    conducting this review differ across the Union, prudential rules are often applied
    inconsistently. The preferred options will address shortcomings in respect of strengthening
    supervisory powers and the sanctioning of breaches.
    The third pillar consists of market scrutiny. For banks to be subject to comparable levels of
    scrutiny, stakeholders must have access to comparable information. The preferred policy
    options will improve such access and will also increase the comparability of the disclosed
    information.
    Furthermore, the preferred policy options are coherent with other policy initiatives at EU
    level, in particular:
     The Banking Union aims to increase financial integration and stability in the Economic
    and Monetary Union. Common supervision is a central element of the Banking Union.
    However, where the ECB exercises direct supervisory powers set out in national law
    transposing the CRD, the ECB does not have the same range of powers with regard to all
    banks under its supervision because of differences in the transposition. This impinges on
    attaining the objective of efficient and harmonised supervision within the Banking Union.
    The present initiative aims at addressing some of these obstacles.
     The CMU aims to improve the access to financing for companies and projects across the
    Union. This overall aim is coherent with the general objectives of the present initiative,
    whereas the specific measures are complementary: banking regulation mostly relates to
    bank financing, while CMU mostly concerns non-bank financing. This initiative takes
    64
    into account the fact that EU banks also play a role in facilitating companies’ access to
    financial markets, and ensures, by considering EU specificities, that the proposed
    measures do not unduly constrain this important role of banks.
     The EGD Communication announced that environmental risks would be better integrated
    into the EU prudential framework, and that the suitability of the existing capital
    requirements for green assets would be assessed. The present initiative puts this
    announcement into practice. It will help ensure that the banking sector can play an
    appropriate role in achieving the ambitious aims of the EGD.
     The ESAP aims at providing investors with easy access to regulated financial information
    of companies listed on the EU‘s regulated markets. Although the scope of this initiative is
    different from the scope of the ESAP, the aim of the two is fully compatible. Depending
    on the final design of the ESAP, the EBA centralised disclosure platform could either
    feed information into the ESAP or the ESAP could provide a gateway to the information
    stored on the EBA platform.
    7.4. REFIT (simplification and improved efficiency)
    This initiative is aimed at completing the EU implementation of the international prudential
    standards for banks agreed by the BCBS between 2017 and 2020. It would complete the EU
    implementation of the Basel III reform that was launched by the Basel Committee in the
    wake of the GFC. That reform was in itself a comprehensive review of the prudential
    framework that was in place before and during the GFC, namely the Basel II framework (in
    the EU that framework was implemented through Directive 2006/48/EC, i.e. the original
    CRD). The Commission used the results of that review, together with input provided by the
    EBA and other stakeholders, to inform its implementation work. A fitness check or refit
    exercise of the EU implementation of the Basel III reform has not been carried out yet
    because all the elements of the reform need to be put in place before one can be carried out.
    Implementing the final elements of the Basel III reform with the EU specific adjustments
    envisaged under the preferred option would simplify the risk-based capital framework,
    notably by removing more complex internal models approaches to calculate capital
    requirements in for operational and CVA risks and by limiting the scope of internal models
    for credit risk. This would positively impact the recurring administrative and operational
    costs of EU banks (see Section 1 of Annex 6) and facilitate their supervision.
    In relation to disclosure, this legislative initiative would introduce measures to reduce
    redundancies in respect of information reported to supervisors and disclosures to markets by
    centralising disclosures via a European data infrastructure based on supervisory reporting
    data. This would contribute to a reduction in the administrative burden of banks, in particular
    small ones.
    65
    8. HOW WILL ACTUAL IMPACTS BE MONITORED AND EVALUATED
    The changes contained in this legislative initiative would start applying in 2025 and become
    fully applicable in 2030. After that date, an evaluation of the reform will be carried out in
    principle three years after the latter date.
    The below Table 9 presents some indicators that would help the Commission to monitor and
    evaluate the effectiveness and the appropriateness of the proposed preferred policy options to
    achieve the specific objectives mentioned in Section 4, based on the data/information
    available. The Commission will mostly use data/information from the European Supervisory
    Authorities (the EBA, the ESMA and the ESRB), the national supervisory authorities and the
    ECB/SSM, the BCBS, and other market data indicators to monitor and evaluate the impacts
    of the proposed preferred policy options.
    Table 9: Summary of indicators to monitor and evaluate the impacts of the preferred policy
    options
    Objectives Indicators Target Source of
    information/data
    Strengthen risk-
    based capital
    framework, in
    the context of the
    recovery from
    the COVID-19
    crisis
    EU banks’ revised minimum
    capital requirements and capital
    ratios under the preferred option
    for implementing the final Basel
    III reforms
    No significant increase in the
    revised capital requirements
    over time
    Gradual increase in the revised
    capital ratios to comply with
    the revised requirements over
    time
    Banks more resilient to shocks
    in the future EU stress test
    exercise
    EBA Basel III
    monitoring
    exercises
    EBA stress testing
    Variability metrics in risk
    weighted assets calculated by
    internal model approach for
    market and credit risks
    Share of explained variability
    to increase from current level.
    EBA benchmarking
    exercise reports on
    market and credit
    risk internal models
    Volume of exposures subject to
    standardised approaches, in
    particular those for which this
    legislative initiative introduces
    EU specific adjustments
    No significant decrease in the
    share of key EU banks’
    activities compared to the total
    volume of banks’ activities.
    EBA/ECB/SSM
    reports
    EU banks’ market valuations No significant decrease in
    banks market valuations from
    current level
    Market data
    providers
    Incorporate
    sustainability
    risks in the
    prudential
    framework
    Share of banks capturing ESG
    factors for risk management
    purposes
    Increase in the share of banks
    capturing ESG factors for risk
    management purposes
    EBA/ECB/SSM
    supervisory reports
    and public
    disclosure
    information
    Share of banks providing
    disclosure on ESG risks to
    stakeholders
    Increase in the share of banks
    providing disclosure on ESG
    risks to stakeholders
    EBA/ECB/SSM
    supervisory reports
    and public
    disclosure
    information
    EBA report about
    integration of ESG
    risks
    Further
    harmonise
    supervisory
    Number of material acquisitions
    of holdings by a bank to which
    the competent authority opposed
    Limited number of opposition
    from competent authorities as
    institutions gives sufficient
    importance ex ante, when
    EBA/ECB/SSM
    supervisory reports
    and public
    disclosure
    66
    powers and tools assessing the opportunity of a
    material acquisition of holding,
    to the prudential concerns the
    operation could raise.
    information
    Number of material transfers of
    assets and liabilities to which the
    competent authority opposed
    Limited number of opposition
    from competent authorities as
    institutions gives sufficient
    importance ex ante, when
    assessing the opportunity of a
    material transfer of assets or
    liabilities, to the prudential
    concerns the operation could
    raise.
    EBA/ECB/SSM
    supervisory reports
    and public
    disclosure
    information
    Percentage of decisions related to
    mergers or demergers to which
    the competent authority opposed
    Limited number of opposition
    from competent authorities as
    institutions gives sufficient
    importance ex ante, when
    assessing the opportunity of a
    merger/demerger, to the
    prudential concerns the
    operation could raise.
    EBA/ECB/SSM
    supervisory reports
    and public
    disclosure
    information
    Number of breaches effectively
    sanctioned and corresponding
    sanctions
    Increase in the number of
    breaches sanctioned by
    competent authorities that do
    not yet possess the new
    sanctioning powers
    EBA’s central
    database of
    administrative
    penalties and
    EBA’s lists of
    published sanctions
    ECB’s list of
    published sanctions
    Number of fit-and-proper
    assessments
    Increase in share of ex-ante fit-
    and-proper assessments
    performed by competent
    authorities
    Reduction in assessments
    taking longer than six months
    EBA/ECB/SSM
    reports on fit-and-
    proper assessments
    Reducing
    disclosure costs
    and improving
    market access to
    bank prudential
    information
    Annual volume of visitors and
    downloads from the newly
    centralised disclosure platform
    Gradual increase in visits to
    and downloads from the
    platform within the first 5 years
    of its introduction
    EBA centralised
    disclosure platform
    reports
    

    1_EN_impact_assessment_part2_v3.pdf

    https://www.ft.dk/samling/20211/kommissionsforslag/kom(2021)0663/forslag/1821928/2468422.pdf

    EN EN
    EUROPEAN
    COMMISSION
    Brussels, 27.10.2021
    SWD(2021) 320 final
    PART 2/4
    COMMISSION STAFF WORKING DOCUMENT
    IMPACT ASSESSMENT REPORT
    Accompanying the documents
    Proposal for a REGULATION OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE
    COUNCIL amending Regulation (EU) No 575/2013 on prudential requirements for
    credit institutions as regards requirements for credit risk, credit valuation adjustment
    risk, operational risk, market risk and the output floor
    Proposal for a DIRECTIVE OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE
    COUNCIL amending Directive 2013/36/EU as regards supervisory powers, sanctions,
    third-country branches, environmental, social and governance risks, and amending
    Directive 2014/59/EU
    {COM(2021) 663 final} - {SEC(2021) 380 final} - {SWD(2021) 321 final}
    Offentligt
    KOM (2021) 0663 - SWD-dokument
    Europaudvalget 2021
    64
    ANNEX 1: PROCEDURAL INFORMATION
    1. LEAD DG, DECIDE PLANNING/CWP REFERENCES
    This legislative proposal (CRR III/CRD VI) was prepared under the lead of DG FISMA in
    association with DG JUST. Within the Agenda Planning of the European Commission, the
    project is referred to under item 21. In the Adjusted Commission Work Programme for 2020,
    the Commission committed under the header “An Economy that Works for People” to review
    of the CRR and the CRD and adopt a legislative proposal by Q2 2020.
    The Decide Planning references are:
     REGULATION OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE COUNCIL
    amending Regulation (EU) No 575/2013 (Capital Requirements Regulation - CRR) as
    regards risk-based own funds requirements
    PLAN/2019/5320
     DIRECTIVE OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE COUNCIL
    amending Directive 2013/36/EU (Capital Requirements Directive - CRD) as regards
    risk management and review processes
    PLAN/2019/5321
    In light of the COVID-19 pandemic, the preparatory work has been delayed, reflecting the
    BCBS’ decision of 26 March 2020 to postpone the previously agreed implementation
    deadlines for the final set of Basel III reforms by one year154
    . This delay has allowed the
    Commission services to focus their attention on the response to the COVID-19 crisis. It has
    also allowed them to reassess the impact of the planned reforms in light of the potential
    consequences of the crisis.
    2. ORGANISATION AND TIMING
    DG FISMA work on this legislative proposal started in spring 2018 with the publication of
    the first public consultation requesting inputs from external stakeholders on the
    implementation of the final elements of the Basel III reform (see Annex 3).
    An Inter-services Steering Group assisted DG FISMA in the preparation of this Impact
    Assessment report. The Steering Group was set up on 11 September 2019 and included
    colleagues from DG ECFIN, DG GROW, DG JUST, DG COMP, and DG TRADE.
    Two additional Steering Group meetings were organised on 2 December 2019 (with
    colleagues from the same DGs as in the previous meeting) and on 23 January 2020 (with
    colleagues from the same DGs as in the previous meeting, as well as colleagues from the
    154
    See https://www.bis.org/press/p200327.htm.
    65
    Legal Service). At each occasion, the members of the Steering Group were given the
    opportunity to provide comments in writing on the draft versions of the documents presented.
    A final Steering Group meeting took place on 12 February 2021 (with colleagues from the
    same DGs as in the previous meeting, as well as colleagues from DG CLIMA and DG ENV)
    to discuss the revised text before its submission.
    All the meetings were chaired by the Secretariat General.
    The contributions of the members of the Steering Group have been taken into account in the
    content and shape of this impact assessment.
    3. CONSULTATION OF THE RSB
    A first version of the Impact Assessment report was submitted to the Regulatory Scrutiny
    Board (RSB) on 12 February 2020 and discussed during a physical meeting with the RSB on
    4 March 2020. The RSB gave a negative opinion on 6 March 2020, pointing to several
    shortcomings in the report (see left column of Table 1 for the list).
    The Impact Assessment was modified to address the identified shortcomings (see right
    column of Table 1 how they were addressed) and was re-submitted via written procedure to
    the RSB on 22 June 2021.
    Table 1: Summary of RSB comments in its 4 March 2020 opinion
    RSB comments about the first version of
    the IA
    How these comments have been
    addressed in the present version of the IA
    (1) The report should present a clear and
    non-technical narrative for the main issues at
    stake. It should present available evidence of
    current problems with the resilience of
    European banks and the banking system,
    and compare against other jurisdictions
    implementing Basel III. If relevant, it should
    differentiate between types of banks.
    The narrative of this impact assessment has
    been clarified and simplified to highlight the
    main problems that this legislative initiative
    is addressing.
    In Section 2, four main problems have been
    identified and are now all included in the
    main body of the impact assessment for
    better readability. The different problems
    related to the outstanding deficiencies of the
    calculation of the risk-based capital
    requirements in the current prudential
    framework have been merged into one
    overall problem which will make it easier to
    present the implementation of the Basel III
    reforms as a global policy option to address
    this problem. In addition, more factual
    evidence has been provided to illustrate the
    problems.
    66
    The context section now includes
    information on the state of play of
    implementing the final elements of the Basel
    III reform in other jurisdictions and provides
    more evidence on the current situation of
    EU banks.
    The specific impact on the competitiveness
    of EU banks (now Section 2 of Annex 6) has
    been improved to provide a comparison of
    the impacts of the final elements of the
    Basel III reform across EU banks,
    depending on different banks’ profiles, but
    also between EU banks and their
    international peers.
    (2) The narrative should also show the
    overall trade-offs involved in the decisions.
    This would help to clarify the key issues to
    non-expert policymakers and prioritise
    elements of the report, adding structure to
    the more technical analysis of components
    The assessment of the different policy
    options in Section 6, as well as the summary
    of the assessment of the preferred policy
    options in Sections 7.1 to 7.3, offers a better
    understanding of the different trade-offs in
    the decision making process.
    (3) The report should consolidate in one
    place all relevant policy objectives, some of
    which are now only referred to or hinted at
    later on in the report (e.g. relating to
    financing of the economy and sustainable
    finance). The definition of the objectives
    should allow a systematic analysis of the
    relevant trade-offs in the impacts sections.
    All objectives, general and specific, are
    presented in one place, namely Section 4.
    They have been updated to take into account
    the COVID-19 crisis.. The links between the
    general and specific objectives as well as the
    identified problems have been clarified and
    presented graphically.
    (4) The operational meaning of ‘level
    playing field’ and other specific objectives
    should be made clear, including what
    success would look like. The problem
    description might also clarify what the
    problems are that relate to an unlevel
    playing field. The report should explain to
    what extent and how the proposal will result
    in a level playing field in the EU in line with
    the objective and with other jurisdictions.
    The explanation should ideally be in terms
    that can later be tested against outcomes.
    The notion of level playing field has been
    specified across all the sections and put into
    the appropriate context.
    Section 2 of Annex 6 offers a clearer
    analysis of the differences in the impact of
    the final elements of the Basel III reform
    could affect the internal (i.e. between EU
    banks) and external (i.e. between EU banks
    and non-EU banks) competitiveness of EU
    banks and how the preferred policy options
    would address the level playing field.
    (5) While it is an important objective to
    contain administrative and compliance costs,
    it is less clear whether this is different from
    The specific objective has been refined
    (focusing on banks’ administrative costs
    related to public disclosures) to better
    67
    cost-effectiveness used to select the
    preferred option. The initiative would not
    appear to deliver significantly lower costs,
    and cost efficiency is in any case among the
    assessment criteria. The report should apply
    uniform definitions of cost-effectiveness and
    efficiency. The objective on legal clarity
    also requires better justification
    correspond to the problem (of inefficiency in
    the disclosure of banks’ prudential
    information) identified and to ensure they do
    not overlap with the assessment of the cost-
    effectiveness criteria to identify the
    preferred policy option.
    (6) The report should present an intervention
    logic that describes the channels through
    which policy measures would contribute to
    better final outcomes. This would help to
    better structure the report around the relative
    importance of various measures and their
    impacts on different elements of the EU
    banking ecosystem. The logic should
    connect actions to specific objectives that
    relate clearly to the general objectives.
    The link between the general and specific
    objectives has been clarified in Section 4.
    Sections 5 and 6 describe how the policy
    options connect to the specific objectives
    and deliver on them against the assessment
    criteria (effectiveness, efficiency,
    coherence), respectively.
    (7) The report needs to be clearer on impacts
    that do not map onto the objectives. This
    includes the likely reactions from those
    banks, which will need to significantly raise
    capital. The report should explain the
    available means for them to do so (e.g.
    through retained profits, sale of equity, sale
    of assets, mergers) and the likely impacts of
    the different choices on the sector and on
    different Member State economies.
    Section 6.1 clarifies the views of the EU
    banking sector on the different policy
    options to implement the final elements of
    the Basel III reform, the
    advantages/disadvantages of different
    approaches that EU banks can use to comply
    with an increase in capital requirements
    resulting from the reform, and their chance
    to succeed for each policy option.
    Section 2 of Annex 6 provides the impacts
    of the various elements of the reform,
    grouping banks by size, business model and
    Member State of establishment.
    (8) Other relevant impacts to explore may
    include the impact on competitiveness of
    banks and sectoral consolidation. For
    example, different ways of calculating the
    output floor have direct impacts on large
    banks and indirect impacts on small banks.
    By contrast, changes to the standardised
    approach directly affect small banks. The
    impact on venture capital may also be worth
    exploring.
    Section 2 of Annex 6 provides the impacts
    of the various elements of the Basel III
    reform, grouping banks by size, business
    model and Member State of establishment.
    (9) The report should expand the analysis of
    the limits to supervisory powers in
    controlling banks’ discretion in using
    Sections 2.2.1., 2.2. and 5.1. better explain
    the current powers of supervisors to address
    the variability observed across EU banks
    68
    internal models to calculate capital
    requirements. Any reduction of
    discretionary authority of national and ECB
    banking supervisors needs to be presented
    transparently, including feedback from those
    supervisors regarding the proposed changes.
    The report should explain what the proposal
    would mean for the internal market and for
    the competitive situation between small and
    large banks, public banks, and large or
    complex banks whose failure would involve
    systemic risk. It should explain the reason
    for more pronounced impacts on banks in
    some Member States, and whether this is
    likely to affect these economies more
    broadly.
    internal models, including the EU-wide
    initiatives conducted by the EBA and the
    ECB in that respect, and their limitations.
    Section 6.1. and Annex 2 provide the view
    of supervisors on the proposed changes.
    See also elements of replies to comments (4)
    and (8), for what concerns impacts on
    competitiveness and impacts on different
    types of banks, respectively.
    (10) The report should thoroughly analyse
    the effect of the proposed measures on
    SMEs. It should assess the effects of the
    introduction of a higher risk weight for
    credits to unrated companies under the
    standard approach. This measure is likely to
    affect SMEs in particular as most SMEs are
    unrated and as they receive more credits
    from smaller banks that apply the standard
    approach to credit risk. If the analysis
    assumes that a substantial part of SMEs will
    use the transition period to obtain a credit
    rating, it should incorporate the cost of
    doing this. The possible positive effects of
    the SME supporting factor should also be
    developed.
    Section 3 of Annex 6 on the specific impacts
    of this legislative initiative on lending to
    SMEs describes which policy options are
    specifically related to SMEs and how they
    would impact banks’ financing of SMEs.
    Annex 1 provides further explanation, on
    top of Section 3 of Annex 6, on the EU
    specific adjustments proposed in the
    preferred policy options to mitigate the
    impact of the reform on banks’ lending to
    SMEs, including the treatment of unrated
    corporates and the existing SME supporting
    factor.
    (11) The report should better justify why it
    proposes to maintain the existing supporting
    factors for SMEs and for infrastructure
    investment. It should integrate stakeholder
    views, including the recommendation of the
    EBA to abandon these supporting factors.
    The performance of the existing supporting
    factors should be at the basis for the
    proposed introduction of a new green
    supporting factor. The report should bring
    more convincing evidence that the two types
    of exposure that would benefit from it have
    unique features that justify their preferential
    Further justification has been provided for
    the decisions involving the different
    supporting factors.
    69
    treatment.
    (12) The impact assessment should be more
    transparent about data and model
    limitations. For example, inferences from
    the EBA sample of banks on the sector as a
    whole may be more reliable for large banks
    than for small ones. Estimates of the
    negative impact on growth in the short and
    medium term are more robust than estimates
    of long-term benefits that are based on
    decreased risk of full-blown banking crises
    over longer time horizons. The report
    appears to overplay analytical support for
    the hypothesis that ‘green’ investments are
    relatively lower risk, and that lower capital
    requirements on certain loan types are an
    effective way to stimulate more lending. The
    report should discuss the EBA calculations’
    robustness and relevance for assessing the
    impacts of the preferred options, given the
    modifications introduced after the
    calculations.
    Section 6.1 and Annex 7 better explain how
    to interpret the estimated impacts from the
    EBA and ECB respective analysis. Annex 5
    provides more details about the sample used
    in the EBA and ECB analysis and the
    limitations of their methodologies.
    The analysis related to environmental, social
    and governance (ESG) risks and the
    corresponding policy choices have been
    updated.
    (13) Some options need further clarification
    or explanation why they have been
    discarded. For instance, the report should
    better explain why supervisory bodies
    cannot be strengthened and why this option
    has been discarded. This holds in particular
    for the ECB, which is responsible for
    supervision of the larger banks and should
    have the capacity to assess and control
    banks’ use of internal models to assess
    portfolio risks. On credit valuation
    adjustment risks, the justification for
    discarding the option of postponing the
    introduction of a revised framework until
    BCBS has finalised its ongoing review
    should be strengthened.
    In Section 6, the assessment of the pros/cons
    of each policy option to address the problem
    it aims to address identified has been
    improved, as well as the system to score
    those options. These clarifications allows the
    reader to understand our choice of preferred
    policy options and why the other policy
    options have been discarded.
    4. EVIDENCE, SOURCES AND QUALITY
    A number of inputs and sources of data were used in the preparation of this impact
    assessment, including the following:
    70
     advices from the EBA, delivered to the Commission in August and December 2019
    and December 2020, and other reports of the EBA referred to in footnotes to this
    impact assessment;
     information supplied in the context of the public consultation described in Annex 2;
     publications of the ECB, the ESRB, the FSB and the BCBS referred to in footnotes to
    this impact assessment;
     newspaper articles, scientific journal articles, and other sources referred to in
    footnotes to this impact assessment.
    The vast majority of the data underpinning the quantitative analysis contained in this impact
    assessment was provided by banks. Given that the data used in the EBA, ECB and BCBS
    analyses underwent quality checks by those organisations, the data quality can be considered
    reasonably good. Nevertheless, the figures provided by banks are (more or less accurate)
    estimates based on assumptions made by banks. As such, they need to be interpreted with
    caution.
    71
    ANNEX 2: STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATION
    1. Public consultation
    As part of the implementation process of the final elements of the Basel III reform in the EU,
    the Commission services gathered stakeholders’ views on specific topics in the areas of credit
    risk, operational risk, market risk, CVA risk, securities financing transactions as well as in
    relation to the output floor.
    Beyond these topics related to the Basel III implementation, the Commission services have
    also consulted on certain other subjects with a view to ensuring convergent and consistent
    supervisory practices across the Union and alleviating the administrative burden.
    The public consultation carried out between October 2019 and early January 2020155
    had
    been preceded by a first exploratory consultation conducted in spring 2018156
    , seeking first
    views of a targeted group of stakeholders on the international agreement. The results of the
    two consultations have fed into the preparation of the legislative initiative accompanying this
    impact assessment.
    Stakeholder groups
    There were 119 responses to the public consultation. As illustrated by
    155
    See https://ec.europa.eu/info/law/better-regulation/have-your-say/initiatives/12015-Alignment-EU-rules-on-
    capital-requirements-to-international-standards-prudential-requirements-and-market-discipline-/public-
    consultation_en.
    156
    See https://ec.europa.eu/info/consultations/finance-2018-basel-3-finalisation_en
    72
    Figure 1 and Figure 2, most responses came from the financial industry (i.e. individual
    banks, banking associations and) and half of them came from respondents established in three
    Member States (Belgium, Germany, France and the United Kingdom).
    Results
    Stakeholders overall agreed on the necessity to complete the implementation of the Basel III
    framework in the EU. While the financial industry called for several adjustments and
    additional transition periods, supervisors and public authorities took a more conservative
    approach and preferred an implementation of the remaining reforms closer to the
    international standards.
    73
    Figure 1: Nature of respondents to the public consultation
    Source: Commission, DG FISMA
    Figure 2: Country of origin of respondents to the public consultation
    Source: Commission, DG FISMA
    The feedback received on the individual elements of the reforms can be summarised as
    follows:
     Regarding the output floor the financial industry asked to limit the scope to the
    requirements explicitly listed in the corresponding Basel standard by applying it as a
    “parallel stack” and at consolidated level only. In contrast, a majority of supervisors
    were in favour of a “single stack” implementation of the output floor at all levels of
    consolidation.
     As regards the treatment of unrated corporates in the credit risk framework,
    supervisors and the financial industry have expressed different views. Industry
    advocated for a so-called “hybrid approach” while supervisors prefer to implement
    3
    58
    40
    1 4
    11
    2
    Type of respondent
    Academic/research
    institution
    Business association
    Company/business
    organisation
    Non-governmental
    organisation (NGO)
    Other
    Public authority
    0
    5
    10
    15
    20
    25
    Country of origin of respondent
    74
    the Basel standard. Views were divided among supervisors on the option to remove
    the SME supporting factor from the risk framework, while the financial industry was
    in favour to keep it.
     On specialised lending, views were mixed between Member States and supervisors.
    Some showed openness to introduce more granularity in particular with regards to
    object finance than it is envisaged under the final Basel III standards. This approach
    was supported by the financial industry.
     Supervisors and the industry also expressed different views on the treatment of
    equity exposures. Supervisors preferred to apply the Basel treatment without
    modifications while the industry and some Member States argued for a more granular
    treatment for long-term equity holdings in unlisted entities, and notably a more
    favourable treatment for intragroup and IPS exposures.
     There was consensus among Member States and supervisors in favour of the
    continuation of the “loan splitting approach” (instead of implementing the “whole
    loan approach”) for real estate exposures. The financial industry preferred to provide
    flexibility for banks to choose its approach. Industry’s plea to continue allowing for
    the upward revaluation of property values after origination found some (conditional)
    support with Member States and supervisors.
     Several stakeholders from industry were in favour of not fully applying the new
    constraints for the use of internal models for credit risk. This option found only
    little support from Member States and supervisors.
     The industry favoured a delay in the implementation of minimum haircut floors for
    securities financing transactions, or, as a second best, an implementation via market
    regulation. Member States and supervisors were mostly silent on the issue.
     Member States and supervisors were largely in favour of taking historical losses into
    account to compute large banks’ capital requirements for operational risk, while the
    majority of stakeholders in the financial industry favour neutralising the impact of
    past losses or taking them into account only when they have a beneficial impact.
     The consultation showed no opposition against the implementation of the simplified
    standardised approach for market risk in line with the Basel calibration. Also, the
    financial industry unanimously supported the need for more flexibility in the
    treatment of CIUs while Member States and supervisors were mostly silent on the
    issue.
     Industry and supervisors were in favour of delaying the implementation of the CVA
    risk rules until the Basel standard is finalised. The industry unanimously favours
    keeping the existing exemptions. MS and supervisors are split on this issue.
    75
    Apart from questions on the implementation of the final elements of the Basel III reform in
    the EU, the consultation included some questions regarding supervisory reporting and public
    disclosure as well as the fit-and-proper assessment.
    Views are all in all cautiously positive on the initiative to centralise supervisory reporting
    and public disclosure. A majority of industry players supported the approach but raised
    some doubts as to the size of the potential reduction in their administrative costs. Supervisors
    pointed to the need to address concerns about wrong expectations that the EBA would be
    responsible for the quality of the information disclosed by banks.
    The views of Member States and supervisors on potential changes to the fit-and-proper
    assessment framework were largely correlated with their current practices. Doubts
    regarding the need for changes were mainly expressed by those Member States that currently
    do not assess key function holders and/or assess members of the management body after their
    appointment, while others were more supportive. Similarly, industry representatives in
    Member States applying only ex-post assessments were particularly concerned about
    potential difficulties in terms of administrative procedure and burden that could arise under
    an-ex ante system. Those industry representatives that already had experience with ex-ante
    assessments of members of the management body and of key function holders and/or with
    accountability regimes, generally reported a positive impact in terms of reducing risks for the
    sector and creating a level playing field.
    2. Public conference
    On 12 November 2019, DG FISMA held a public conference to discuss the impact and
    challenges of implementing the finalised Basel III standards in the EU.
    More than 500 representatives of public authorities (Members of the European Parliament,
    Member State governments, bank supervisors and international organisations), the financial
    industry, non-financial companies, think tanks and non-governmental organisations
    physically attended the conference and 618 additional representatives watched the
    discussions online on that day.
    The conference was comprised of three keynote speeches, delivered by staff of the European
    Commission, the chair of the EBA and the chair of the Single Supervisory Mechanism, as
    well as four panel discussions157
    : “Basel III in a global context”, “The impacts of Basel III on
    the EU economy”, “A proportionate implementation of Basel III” and “Basel III – are we
    done now?”.
    Panel discussions took place on Basel III implementation in a global context, on its impact on
    the European economy as well as in view of proportionality. Panel discussions included also
    a regulatory outlook beyond the Basel reforms, chaired by officials of the European
    Commission, members of the European Parliament (ECON chair) and representatives of the
    Council (Financial Services Committee chair).
    76
    3. Ongoing exchanges with stakeholders
    Since 2018 the Commission services have repeatedly consulted Member States on the EU
    implementation of the final elements of the Basel III reform and other possible revisions of
    the CRR and the CRD in the context of the Commission Expert Group for Banking, Payment
    and Insurance (EGBPI).
    During the preparatory phase of the legislation, the Commission services have also held
    hundreds of meetings (physical and virtual) with representatives of the banking industry as
    well as other stakeholders.
    77
    ANNEX 3: WHO IS AFFECTED AND HOW?
    The purpose of this Annex is to set out the practical implications for stakeholders affected by
    this initiative, mainly banks, governments at the national and European level and the general
    public (namely companies and consumers acting as borrowers). The initiative aims to achieve
    the following objectives:
     Objective 1: strengthen the risk-based capital framework, without incurring in a
    significant increase of capital requirements;
     Objective 2: enhance the focus on Environmental, Social and Governance (“ESG”)
    risks in the prudential framework;
     Objective 3: further harmonise supervisory powers and tools;
     Objective 4: reduce administrative costs related to public disclosures and improve
    access to banking prudential data.
    In order to “strengthen the risk-based capital framework, without incurring a significant
    increase of capital requirements” (objective 1), the preferred option would implement the
    final elements of the Basel III reform in Union law, subject to a set of adjustments. The
    proposed adjustments are intended to prevent an undue disruption of banks’ lending capacity
    during the (expected) post-COVID 19 pandemic phase.
    The aim of the Basel III reform is to make banks more resilient and restore confidence in the
    banking system in response to the GCF. A more robust banking system has significant long-
    term benefits for the economy of the Union as a whole. Better capitalised banks will be more
    capable of withstanding future financial shocks and continue lending through economic
    downturns, which is likely to make those future downturns shorter in length and less severe.
    Hence, achieving the purpose of better capturing risks sought by the Basel III reform will
    directly benefit banks and, indirectly, all other stakeholders concerned. For instance, bank
    bail-outs and the recourse to governments to fund them in the event of a crisis can be
    expected to be less likely. At the same time, a steadier flow of credit may reduce the
    likelihood of failure for borrowers (namely businesses and households) that rely on bank
    lending as an essential source of funding.
    Objective 1 will be achieved by various amendments to the current prudential framework
    contained in the CRR):
    a) standardised approach for credit risk: changes to the regulatory capital treatment of
    rated exposures to banks, exposures to corporates, real estate exposures, retail
    exposures, subordinated debt and equity and off-balance sheet items;
    b) internal ratings-based approach (IRBA) for credit risk: the use of internal models is
    either limited or precluded for certain portfolios that cannot be reliably modelled.
    Where models may be used, their parameters become subject to certain minimum
    values (“input floors”);
    78
    c) market risk (FRTB): the current reporting requirements based on the FRTB are
    transformed into substantive capital requirements;
    d) credit valuation adjustment (CVA): the use of internal models for CVA is precluded
    and replaced by a revised standardised approach;
    e) operational risk: the use of internal models is precluded and replaced by a single new
    standardised approach;
    f) output floor: capital requirements that result from a bank’s internal models are floored
    at 72.5% of the requirements that would result from applying the corresponding
    standardised approaches.
    The net effect of these changes in the CRR is an overall increase of regulatory capital
    requirements on banks. The effect mainly depends on the magnitude of the use of internal
    models, insofar as banks may be impacted by the output floor and/or become subject to the
    corresponding (normally more conservative) standardised approach or relevant regulatory
    input. As estimates show (see Section 6.1), the unfettered implementation of the final
    elements of the Basel III reform would lead to an average increase of 18.5% in banks’ capital
    requirements by the end implementation date (January 2028). The implementation would be
    phased in during a five-year period and the increase of capital requirements at the start of that
    period (January 2023) would be 11.8% on average. The impact on regulatory capital, at both
    the end and start dates of the standards’ implementation, would be significant and have
    considerable potential to reduce bank lending in the short term158
    . This would be particularly
    undesirable in the context of a post-Covid scenario when lending will be needed to fund the
    economic recovery.
    In order to address this concern, it is suggested to mitigate the proposal’s impact through a set
    of substantive adjustments to the standards, namely:
    a) provisions to cater for the “specificities” of the EU banking sector and its
    economy: these provisions would adjust the Basel III standards to the distinctive
    features of the EU banking sector. In particular they aim at maintaining the flow of
    lending to EU businesses in general, and SMEs in particular. These include:
     maintaining certain existing preferential treatments and exemptions for key
    exposures - the “SME supporting factor” and the “infrastructure supporting
    factor”, which lower capital requirements for these exposures compared to the
    corresponding Basel III standards, or the exemption for derivative
    transactions with certain qualifying parties from the CVA requirements;
     providing a transitional period for the implementation of the OF in relation to
    lending to unrated corporates – Basel III standards increase capital
    requirements on lending to unrated borrowers. However, most corporates in
    158
    Faced with higher capital requirements, banks may choose to raise new capital to increase their ratios and/or
    reduce their exposures (i.e. reduce lending) to meet the new requirements.
    79
    the EU (namely SMEs) are currently unrated. During the proposed transitional
    period and while solutions aimed at increasing the coverage of external ratings
    are rolled out, lending to unrated corporates by banks using the IRBA would
    be subject to a more favourable treatment than the one provided for in the
    standards (i.e. a lower risk weight under the OF);
     maintaining the existing treatment for certain types of equity exposures –the
    treatment of banks’ strategic holdings of equity issued by entities within the
    same banking group or covered by the same IPS would be left unchanged, and
    existing strategic participations in non-financial companies where banks
    exercise influence would be grandfathered. Hence, these particular equity
    exposures would remain subject to the capital requirements currently
    applicable under the CRR and, thus, exempted from the higher capital
    requirements on equity exposures that will result from implementing the Basel
    III standards;
     providing an ad hoc preferential treatment for certain exposure types under
    the new market risk rules - these comprise exposures to collective investment
    undertakings and financial products based on EU emission trading schemes;
    and
     postponing the implementation of the FSB’s recommendation of a minimum
    haircut floor for non-centrally cleared SFTs, awaiting a joint report on the
    matter by the EBA and ESMA;
    b) the application of certain discretions contained in the Basel III standards:
     apply the OF on the consolidated level of a banking group taking into account
    all the risk-based capital requirements contained in EU law and require the
    relevant authority to adjust the individual bank’s Pillar 2 requirement (P2R) or
    the systemic risk buffer (SyRB) in case double-counting of risks already
    covered by the OF would be detected;
     set the Internal Loss Multiplier (“ILM”) at 1 as part of implementing the new
    standardised approach for operational risk. The calculation of capital
    requirements for operational risks of EU banks would, thus, be based on their
    Business Indicator Component (“BIC”), which takes into account the main
    elements of a bank’s income and expenses. However, the banks’ historical
    operational losses would be disregarded for these purposes, which would
    significantly mitigate the impact of the new approach for calculating the
    capital requirements for operational risk.
    c) safeguards related to banks’ trading activities: in order to preserve the international
    playing field for EU banks, the Commission would be empowered to delay the entry
    into force of the capital requirements based on the FRTB and/or to make certain
    adjustments to the framework. The Commission’s decision should, for instance,
    80
    consider whether major jurisdictions failed to implement the FRTB. Similarly, it is
    suggested to temporarily lower the calibration of the current standardised approach for
    counterparty credit risk (“SA-CCR”) for all derivatives for the purpose of calculating
    the OF, taking into account international developments in this field (for instance, one
    major jurisdiction has lowered the calibration of the SA-CCR for certain derivative
    exposures). This would afford extra time to discuss the calibration of the SA-CCR at
    international level;
    d) a delayed phase-in period for the new rules, relative to the phase-in period envisaged
    in the Basel III standards (from January 2023 to January 2028), as further explained
    below.
    The adjustments to the Basel III standards referred to in points (a) to (c) would significantly
    lower the expected increase in banks’ capital requirements that results from implementing the
    Basel III standards. Capital requirements would go up on average between +0.7% to +2.7% at
    the start of the phase-in period (in contrast to the 11.8% increase without the adjustments),
    and between +6.4% and +8.4% at the end of the phase-in period (in contrast to the 18.5%
    increase without the adjustments). In this modified scenario, bank lending would not be
    impeded and the prudential benefit of the reform would be preserved.
    While the quantitative impact at the beginning of the phase-in period may be moderate per se,
    the market may exert pressure on EU banks to start building up capital from early on to
    anticipate future capital requirements. This may coincide with the recovery phase from the
    COVID-19 crisis and have short term negative effects on bank lending and the wider
    economy. Accordingly, it is suggested as part of the preferred policy option for Objective 1,
    that the phase-in period of the new standards’ implementation in the EU would be delayed by
    two years. The starting date of the phase-in period would be January 2025 (instead of January
    2023 under the Basel III scenario) and the new standards would only be fully effective from
    January 2030 (instead of January 2028). This additional two-year period would give banks
    enough time to start building up capital without compromising their short-term lending
    ability. At the same time, the completion of the bank reforms, albeit delayed, would give all
    market players certainty about the final shape of the regulatory landscape.
    Objective 2 of the proposal is to “enhance the focus on ESG risks in the prudential
    framework”. This objective seeks to address, among others, the emerging risks that climate
    change and the resulting economic transformations pose to banks, primarily in the form of
    transition risk. The transition to a sustainable economy may lead to substantial shifts in the
    value of assets. At the same time, more frequent and /or more severe weather events will
    present new physical risks.
    As explained in Section 6.2, the preferred policy option would introduce in the CRD a
    general requirement for banks to manage their ESG risks. At the same time, competent
    authorities would have to supervise compliance with that requirement as part of the
    supervisory and review assessment process. In addition, the CRR’s requirement to disclose
    ESG risks related information would be extended beyond large banks. This means that, at this
    81
    stage, banks would be subject to behavioural obligations in relation to ESG risks (that is,
    management, governance and disclosure) as opposed to a pre-determined minimum amount
    of capital to cover unexpected losses arising from those risks within the framework (i.e. no
    Pillar 1 capital requirements). The introduction of ESG-targeted Pillar 1 capital requirement
    could be decided at a later stage, following the publication of an EBA Report providing
    quantitative evidence on the appropriate treatment of ESG risks under Pillar 1.
    The above-described policy option presents a number of benefits for all stakeholders
    concerned without imposing significant costs on banks in the short term. Under the preferred
    approach, banks would be obliged to adapt their risk management systems and incorporate
    the ESG dimension before Pillar 1 requirements are introduced. As a consequence, they
    would be better prepared once Pillar 1 requirements are introduced The prudential
    framework’s better capturing of ESG risks would also have positive effects for governments
    and the general public as banks would be less exposed to shocks that may result from
    transition and physical risks and be more likely to continue lending to the economy under
    these circumstances. The proposal would also contribute to the general public policies by
    facilitating a smooth transition towards a more sustainable economy.
    By contrast, the costs associated with this policy option would be relatively contained and
    limited to administrative costs that banks would incur to adapt their risk management,
    governance and disclosure policies. Such costs should not materially affect banks’ lending
    capacity.
    Objective 3 of the proposal is to “further harmonise supervisory powers and tools of
    banking competent authorities”. In order to achieve this objective, it is suggested to make
    various amendments to the CRD to harmonise the supervisory and sanctioning powers of
    those authorities as follows:
    a) introduce ex-ante notification requirements for banks on “material” events with
    prudential relevance, namely acquisitions of holdings, transfers of assets and
    liabilities and mergers and demergers;
    b) enhance the disciplinary framework whereby the list of breaches for which competent
    authorities would have explicit powers to impose sanctions would be expanded;
    c) introduce harmonised requirements on the assessment of the fitness and propriety of
    members of banks’ management boards and key function holders before taking up
    their positions.
    The preferred policy option would ensure a more consistent application of the prudential
    framework across the EU in general, and within the Banking Union in particular, than
    currently the case. Enhanced consistency in regulatory and supervisory processes and
    outcomes would be beneficial for all stakeholders concerned, namely banks that would be
    able to operate across much more harmonised legal frameworks within the EU. This would
    reduce the compliance costs that currently arise from the need to deal with diverse and
    potentially inconsistent requirements. While some banks may initially incur some costs to
    82
    meet the new requirements (in particular if the national rules they are currently applicable are
    less stringent than those under the preferred policy option), it is not expected that those costs
    would be significant enough to offset the preferred policy option’s benefit. It should be noted,
    in particular, that the most impactful set of amendments, i.e. those referred to in point (a),
    would be subject to a materiality threshold.
    The preferred policy option would also assist competent authorities to discharge their legal
    duties in a more effective manner than they currently do, as they all would have access to the
    same full set of supervisory powers (which some competent authorities currently lack) and a
    more harmonised supervisory framework would mitigate the risk of regulatory arbitrage or
    the existence of loopholes that banks could potentially exploit. This would, in turn, contribute
    to fostering the general public’s confidence in the EU system of banking supervision.
    Lastly, Objective 4 aims at “reducing administrative costs related to public disclosures
    and improve access to banking prudential information”. It would be achieved through the
    creation of a single electronic access to EU banks’ quantitative information that the EBA
    would source from its EUCLID platform (which will be fed through the existing periodic
    reporting made by banks), and qualitative information that the EBA would source from banks
    (see Section 5.2.4).
    The preferred option would eliminate disclosure costs for small and non-complex banks,
    which are only required to disclose quantitative data. For all the other banks, the preferred
    option would entail neither additional costs nor cost savings.
    For other stakeholders, namely market participants who are users of information disclosed by
    banks, this proposal would bring about material benefits in the form of greater market
    transparency and lower costs to search for and to access prudential data.
    83
    OBJECTIVE 1 – STRENGTHEN THE RISK-BASED CAPITAL FRAMEWORK FOR CREDIT
    INSTITUTIONS
    Preferred Option – Implement Basel III reforms with EU-specific adjustments and
    transitional arrangements adapted to the COVID-19 crisis
    I. Overview of Benefits (total for all provisions) – Preferred Option
    Description Amount Comments
    Direct benefits
    Implement in EU law
    the set of reforms to
    the risk-based capital
    framework for banks
    agreed at international
    level (the Basel III
    framework or Basel III
    standards)
    - The revisions to the standardised
    approach for credit risk (SA-CR) will
    improve the robustness and risk
    sensitivity of the existing approach;
    - The revisions to the IRB approaches for
    credit risk will reduce unwarranted
    variability in banks’ calculations of
    RWAs;
    - The minimum haircut floors for non-
    centrally cleared securities SFTs will
    limit the pro-cyclicality of these
    transactions and the build-up of excessive
    leverage in the financial system;
    - The revisions to the CVA risk framework
    as well as revisions to the standardised
    approach for CVA (SA-CVA) will
    enhance the risk sensitivity, strengthen
    the robustness and improve the
    consistency of the framework;
    - The new standardised approach for
    operational risk (SA-OR) will simplify
    the framework and increase
    comparability; and
    - The output floor (OF) will limit the
    unwarranted variability in the regulatory
    capital requirements produced by internal
    models and the excessive reduction in
    capital that a bank using internal models
    can derive relative to a bank using the
    revised standardised approaches.
    - These enhancements of the prudential
    standards will make banks more
    resilient and restore confidence in the
    banking system and, thus, make the
    financial system more stable as a
    whole.
    - Better capitalised banks will be less
    likely to fail as a result of financial
    crisis and more able to continue
    lending through economic downturns.
    - A steadier flow of credit to the
    economy will reduce the likelihood of
    borrowers failing due to a shortage of
    bank funding.
    - Bank bail-outs and the recourse on
    governments to fund them can be
    expected to be less likely in future
    financial crisis.
    - Economic crisis following future
    financial crisis (and the political
    instability and social hardship caused
    by those) can be expected to last less
    and be less severe.
    Adjust to the Basel III
    revisions to take into
    account the specific
    features of the EU
    banking system
    - The proposed adjustments will more than
    halve the average Basel III standards-
    induced capital increase from 18.5%to
    between 6.4% and 8.4% by the end of the
    phase in period.
    - The adjustments are designed to cater
    for the distinctive features of the EU
    banking system and economy, namely
    the significant reliance by SMEs in
    bank lending as key source of
    funding.
    - The reduced impact on capital
    requirements should be regarded as a
    84
    proportionate measure that adequately
    balance the primary objective of
    enhancing the banking prudential
    framework while maintaining a
    sufficient flow of bank lending to the
    EU economy.
    - Hence, the proposed adjustments do
    not compromise the overall purpose
    or negate the stated benefits of the
    Basel III reform.
    Delay the starting date
    of application of the
    new rules by two
    years. Starting date
    would, thus, be set on
    1 January 2025 with a
    5-year transition
    period.
    - No impact on banks’ capital requirements
    until 1 January 2025. Full impact on
    capital requirements delayed to January
    2030.
    - The suggested delay of the phase-in
    period would prevent material
    disruption of bank lending in the
    short-term.
    - Hence, banks’ flow of lending would
    not be materially affected during the
    economic recovery phase that is
    expected for following the current
    COVID 19 pandemic crisis.
    Indirect benefits
    - Implementing the Basel III reforms would meet the EU international commitments and help improve the
    confidence in European banks across international markets.
    II. Overview of costs – Preferred option
    Citizens/Consumers/non-
    financial corporates
    Banks Administrations (including
    competent authorities)
    One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent
    Direct costs
    Costs to adapt
    banks’
    systems to
    incorporate
    the changes
    made to the
    prudential
    framework
    Increased cost
    of capital for
    exposures that
    would be
    subject to
    higher capital
    requirements
    compared to the
    current rules
    Costs to
    adapt current
    supervisory
    practices and
    processes to
    the new
    standards
    Costs for
    running the
    new
    procedures
    (depending on
    magnitude of
    change
    compared to
    current
    procedures)
    Indirect costs Increase in the
    costs for bank
    loans/financial
    products which
    are subject to
    higher capital
    requirements
    compared to the
    current rules
    (depending on the
    size of the
    increase in the
    capital
    requirements for
    85
    the bank loan and
    the level of
    competition in
    the market)
    OBJECTIVE 2 – INCORPORATE SUSTAINABILITY RISKS IN THE PRUDENTIAL FRAMEWORK.
    Preferred Option – Introduce measures for a better management of environmental risks by
    banks
    I. Overview of Benefits (total for all provisions) – Preferred Option
    Description Amount Comments
    Direct benefits
    Requirements for
    banks to manage ESG
    risks
    - Banks would integrate ESG factors in day-
    to-day decision-making.
    - ESG-targeted risk management
    provisions will contribute to a
    more robust and resilient banking
    system in the face of transition and
    physical risks.
    - A more resilient banking system
    will, in turn, help to reinforce
    overall financial stability in the
    EU.
    Reinforced supervisory
    powers over ESG risks
    - Improved supervisory monitoring of
    individual banks’ exposures to ESG risks.
    Ad hoc disclosures of
    ESG risks by banks
    - Enhanced market discipline.
    - Stakeholders concerned about ESG risks
    and/or ESG-related externalities may
    incentivise credit institutions to better
    manage ESG risks and take externalities of
    their actions into account.
    Indirect benefits
    Better availability of
    finance for sustainable
    exposures
    - To the extent that sustainable activities may
    be less risky than non-sustainable activities,
    this difference may be better reflected in
    banks’ credit decision-granting and, as a
    result, lead to an increase in the availability
    of finance for sustainable activities.
    - Increased bank funding of
    sustainable activities would help
    the EU reach the target of the
    EGD.
    II. Overview of costs – Preferred option
    Citizens/Consumers/non-
    financial corporates
    Banks Administrations
    (including competent
    authorities)
    One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent One-off Recurre
    nt
    Reinforced
    requirements
    for banks to
    manage ESG
    risks
    Direct
    costs
    Cost of
    adjusting risk
    management
    systems and
    processes to
    the new
    requirement.
    Indirect
    costs
    Cost of
    providing
    86
    additional
    information to
    banks.
    Reinforced
    supervisory
    powers for
    ESG risks
    Direct
    costs
    Cost of
    setting up
    new
    supervisory
    processes
    and
    systems.
    Costs
    of
    runnin
    g the
    new
    proces
    ses
    and
    system
    s.
    Indirect
    costs
    Reinforced
    disclosure of
    ESG risks
    by banks
    Direct
    costs
    Changes to
    systems to
    accommodat
    e new
    disclosure
    templates.
    Costs of
    preparing the
    new
    information
    for
    disclosure.
    Indirect
    costs
    Cost of
    providing
    additional
    information to
    banks.
    OBJECTIVE 3 – FURTHER HARMONISE SUPERVISORY POWERS AND TOOLS
    Preferred Option – harmonise the supervisory powers and tools of banking competent
    authorities to the greatest possible degree between two available options
    I. Overview of Benefits (total for all provisions) – Preferred Option
    Description Amount Comments
    Direct benefits
    Harmonise the supervisory
    powers of banking
    competent authorities to
    the greatest possible
    degree between two
    available options in
    relation to:
    (i) ex ante notifications
    of events of
    prudential relevance;
    (ii) assessment of board
    members and
    significant function
    holders
    (iii) sanctions and
    penalties
    - A more consistent application of the
    banking prudential framework across the
    EU in general, and within the Banking
    Union in particular.
    - Less scope for regulatory arbitrage and
    loopholes that limit the effective and
    consistent application of the prudential
    framework across the EU.
    - Reduced compliance costs for banks, as
    they will be able to operate across
    similar legal frameworks within the EU.
    - More effective and consistent
    application of sanctions may
    contribute to fostering confidence
    in the EU system of banking
    supervision and reduce the
    incidence of rules breaches in the
    future.
    Indirect benefits
    -
    87
    II. Overview of costs – Preferred option
    Citizens/Consumers/non-financial
    corporates
    Banks Administrations (including
    competent authorities)
    One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent
    Direct costs
    Administrative
    costs to adjust
    internal
    processes to
    meet new
    requirements.
    Administrative
    costs to comply
    with new ex
    ante
    notification and
    assessment
    requirements.
    Scope limited
    to “material”
    events for ex
    ante
    notifications.
    Costs to change
    current
    supervisory
    procedures or to
    set up new
    procedures to
    meet the new
    requirements.
    Costs to
    deal on an
    on-going
    basis with
    new ex
    ante
    notificatio
    n and
    assessment
    requiremen
    ts.
    Indirect
    costs
    OBJECTIVE 4 – REDUCE ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS RELATED TO PUBLIC DISCLOSURES AND
    IMPROVE ACCESS TO BANKING PRUDENTIAL DATA
    Preferred Option – centralise the disclosure of both quantitative and qualitative prudential
    banking disclosures
    I. Overview of Benefits (total for all provisions) – Preferred Option
    Description Amount Comments
    Direct benefits
    EBA to disclose on a
    single on-line platform
    the prudential data and
    information of all EU
    credit institutions.
    - The suggested centralised provision of
    prudential data and information will
    significantly improve market transparency
    and the comparability of that information,
    and will reduce the costs for market
    participants to access information that is
    currently scattered.
    - Reduced information costs.
    - Enhanced transparency would
    result in more effective and
    efficient market discipline of
    banks.
    Small and non-
    complex credit
    institutions exempted
    from the obligation to
    disclose prudential
    information (replaced
    by EBA disclosures)
    - Costs of disclosure reduced to zero.
    Indirect benefits
    -
    88
    II. Overview of costs – Preferred option
    Citizens/Consumers/non-
    financial corporates
    Credit institutions Administrations (including
    competent authorities)
    One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent
    Direct
    costs
    EBA to incur
    costs to build
    up the systems,
    processes and
    get the
    necessary
    resources to
    provide the
    centralised
    disclosures.
    There will
    be increased
    on-going
    costs for the
    EBA to
    maintain
    and operate
    the
    disclosure
    platform.
    89
    ANNEX 4: EVALUATION
    As described in Section 1, this prudential framework applicable to banks in the EU has been
    significantly revised through two waves of reforms to address a number of issues observed
    following the GFC: the first wave of reforms, introduced by the CRR and the CRD IV, was
    adopted in June 2013 and the second wave, introduced by CRR II and CRD V, was adopted
    in May 2019.
    This new legislative initiative aims to complement and finalise the above reforms with the
    implementation of the final elements of the Basel III reform adopted by the Basel Committee
    in December 2017. The initiative addresses the outstanding deficiencies in the prudential
    framework that have not been addressed by the previous rounds of reforms.
    The vast majority of the changes proposed in this legislative initiative stem from changes to
    the international standards developed by the BCBS. The latter changes were adopted to
    address the deficiencies that the BCBS identified when it carried out an evaluation of the
    existing international standards. A number of supervisory initiatives performed at EU level,
    notably the EBA benchmarking exercises (see Section 5.1), the EBA work on IRB repair and
    the ECB TRIM exercise (see Section 5.1), confirmed the findings of the BCBS.
    Given the reliability of the abovementioned evaluations, the Commission decided to rely on
    their findings instead of carrying out its own evaluation.
    

    1_EN_impact_assessment_part3_v3.pdf

    https://www.ft.dk/samling/20211/kommissionsforslag/kom(2021)0663/forslag/1821928/2468423.pdf

    EN EN
    EUROPEAN
    COMMISSION
    Brussels, 27.10.2021
    SWD(2021) 320 final
    PART 3/4
    COMMISSION STAFF WORKING DOCUMENT
    IMPACT ASSESSMENT REPORT
    Accompanying the documents
    Proposal for a REGULATION OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE
    COUNCIL amending Regulation (EU) No 575/2013 on prudential requirements for
    credit institutions as regards requirements for credit risk, credit valuation adjustment
    risk, operational risk, market risk and the output floor
    Proposal for a DIRECTIVE OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE
    COUNCIL amending Directive 2013/36/EU as regards supervisory powers, sanctions,
    third-country branches, environmental, social and governance risks, and amending
    Directive 2014/59/EU
    {COM(2021) 663 final} - {SEC(2021) 380 final} - {SWD(2021) 321 final}
    Offentligt
    KOM (2021) 0663 - SWD-dokument
    Europaudvalget 2021
    89
    ANNEX 5: ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ABOUT POLICY OPTIONS
    1. IMPROVE THE CURRENT FRAMEWORK FOR CALCULATING RISK-BASED CAPITAL
    REQUIREMENTS
    1.1. Credit risk framework – Standardised approach
    General background
    Credit risk is the risk of loss resulting from a borrower's failure to repay a loan or meet
    contractual obligations on a debt (“default”). It accounts for the bulk of most banks’ risk-
    taking activities and hence the bulk of their capital requirements.
    The standardised approach for credit risk (SA-CR) is used by the majority of banks across the
    EU to calculate the capital requirements for the majority of their credit risk exposures, even
    though the majority of total EU banks’ credit risk exposures – which are held by a relatively
    low number of large institutions – are treated under internal model approaches. The SA-CR is
    thus highly important in its own right. In addition, the SA-CR must serve as a credible
    alternative to internal model approaches and as effective backstop to them. The SA-CR’s
    importance is further increased under the final elements of Basel III reform, due to (i) the
    reduction of the scope of application of internal models approaches and (ii) the introduction
    of the OF.
    During its review of the functioning of standardised approaches, the BCBS found the current
    SA-CR to be insufficiently risk-sensitive in a number of areas, leading sometimes to
    inaccurate or inappropriate measurement of credit risk (either too high or too low) and hence
    of capital requirements.159
    These problems put into question the SA-CR’s role as approach
    for measuring credit risk, including as an alternative for and a backstop to internal model
    approaches. Existing supervisory or macro-prudential tools could be used to partly address
    these problems, but neither are well-suited for the purpose.
    One of the final elements of the Basel III reform therefore aimed to increase the risk
    sensitivity of this approach. To achieve this, the Basel Committee agreed to change the SA-
    CR in relation to several key aspects. These changes, if implemented in the EU, could be
    particularly impactful in the following key areas (due to e.g. the amount of exposures
    potentially affected, the nature of the changes or EU specificities):
     exposures to unrated corporates, including SMEs;
     exposures to project finance, object finance and commodities finance (specialised
    lending);
     equity exposures; and
     exposures secured by real estate (both residential and commercial).
    159
    See BCBS, Revisions to the Standardised Approach for credit risk – Consultation Paper, December 2014,
    https://www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d307.pdf.
    90
    As outlined in Section 6.1., the preferred option is a revision of the SA-CR in line with the
    Basel III standard, subject to some adjustments. The subsections below discuss each of the
    aforementioned key areas and assess which adjustments are necessary in each case.
    1.1.1. Unrated Corporates
    Problem definition
    Given the aforementioned shortcomings of the existing SA-CR, the new Basel III standard
    sets out a modified treatment of corporate exposures under the SA-CR. These modifications
    make the framework more risk-sensitive and take better account of the specificities of
    exposures to SMEs and investment grade corporates.
    The Basel III standards contain two different approaches to calculate RWs of corporate
    exposures under the SA-CR. The first can be used in jurisdictions that allow the use of
    external ratings (the external credit risk assessment approach, or “ECRA”), while the
    alternative one can be used in jurisdictions that do not allow the use of external ratings (the
    standardised credit risk assessment approach, or “SCRA”). The ECRA reflects credit risk in
    banks’ capital requirements better than the SCRA as it allows for a more granular set of RWs.
    Under the ECRA, corporate exposures are assigned a RW between 20% and 150% depending
    on their external rating160
    . However, exposures to corporates that do not have such external
    ratings (“unrated corporates”) receive a RW of 100%, with the exception of corporate SMEs
    (RW of 85%) and retail SMEs (RW of 75%).161
    The ECRA is consistent with the way in
    which standardised RWs are currently assigned in the EU; its improved risk-sensitivity would
    lead to a slight decrease in RWAs for highly-rated corporates whilst the impact on the
    majority of SA banks’ exposures would be marginal.
    However, an unintended indirect consequence of the application of the ECRA may arise in
    the EU as a result of the introduction of the OF combined with the fact that the vast majority
    of EU corporates is not externally rated. Those corporates are currently being predominantly
    financed by IRBA banks, and the internal models of those banks produce significantly lower
    RWs for exposures to many of those corporates compared to the 100% RW applicable under
    ECRA (and the current version of the SA-CR). Once those banks would be required to apply
    the ECRA for the purposes of calculating the OF, there would be a material increase in
    capital requirements for those exposures.
    In this context, it should be noted that the CRR provides for a preferential treatment for
    exposures to SMEs: the RW of an exposure to a SME is multiplied by the so-called “SME
    160
    The higher the credit rating, the lower the likelihood that the obligor will default, and hence the lower the risk
    weight assigned to an exposure to that obligor. There is also a separate risk weight for exposures that do not
    have an external rating.
    161
    By contrast, under the SCRA banks have to assign a 100% RW to all corporate exposures, except if the
    corporate is identified as “investment grade” (RW of 65%), SME (RW of 85%) or retail SME (RW of 75%). In
    order to qualify as investment grade, amongst others, corporate counterparties or their parent companies must
    have securities listed on a recognised exchange.
    91
    supporting factor” of 0.7619 for exposures up to EUR 2.5 million. For the remaining part of
    an exposure exceeding that threshold, a RW of 85% applies, in accordance with the Basel III
    standard. The SME supporting factor is applicable to all exposures to SMEs (whether rated or
    unrated, and whether treated under the SA or the IRBA). Concerning retail SMEs, the RW of
    75% is already implemented and applicable in the EU. Consequently, all policy
    considerations relating to the treatment of unrated corporates must account for the effect of
    the SME supporting factor.
    Policy options
    Baseline option - no change to the prudential framework
     The existing RWs for corporates remain unchanged, including for unrated corporates.
     The existing SME supporting factor is kept.
     The OF is not implemented for unrated corporates.
    Option 1- full alignment with Basel III
     The ECRA approach applies to all corporate exposures (including unrated
    corporates), also for the purposes of the output floor.
     The existing SME supporting factor is removed.
    Option 2 - implementation of ECRA in line with Basel III with a transitional treatment for
    IRBA banks in relation to unrated corporates
     For unrated corporates, a transitional period lasting until 2030 is provided. During this
    period, when calculating their OF, IRBA banks are allowed to apply the SCRA to
    exposures to unrated corporates which have a PD corresponding to an investment
    grade rating. This treatment applies to all unrated corporates, irrespective of whether
    they are listed or not.
     For rated corporates, when calculating the OF, IRBA banks are allowed to use the
    ECRA to calculate capital requirements.
     The Commission is empowered to extend the transitional treatment by up to three
    years based on a report by the EBA.
     At the end of in the transitional period, IRBA apply the ECRA to all corporate
    exposures when calculating the OF.
     The existing SME supporting factor is kept.
    Impacts and comparison across options
    Under the baseline option, the shortcomings in terms of risk-capture of the SA-CR for
    corporates would remain unaddressed and the framework would continue to lack a backstop
    (in the form of an output floor) limiting excessive variability in capital requirements. At the
    92
    same time, the level of capital requirements for the exposures concerned would remain
    largely unchanged.
    Option 1 would be fully compliant with the Basel III standards and consistent with the EBA's
    advice162
    . However, the removal of the beneficial treatment of SMEs that EU co-legislators
    had agreed upon (in the CRR) and recently extended (in CRR II) could lead to a tightening of
    financing conditions for SMEs. Indeed, this option would lead to a material increase in
    minimum required capital for both SA banks (due to the removal of the SME supporting
    factor) and also IRBA banks (due to the direct effect of the removal of the SME supporting
    factor and, indirectly, as a result of the application of the output floor). This would, in turn,
    lead to either a reduction in the amount of loans banks would be willing to provide to SMEs
    (to the extent banks could not pass the increased cost of capital on SMEs via higher interest
    rates) or to an increase in the interest rates banks would charge SMEs for the loans (to the
    extent banks could pass on the increased cost of capital) or a combination of both.
    Option 2 would preserve the use of external ratings for corporates and increase the risk-
    sensitivity of their treatment under the SA-CR. This option would be in line with the final
    Basel III standard, except when it comes to the EU-specific treatment of SMEs. The
    transitional adjustment for IRBA banks’ exposures to unrated corporates would limit an
    increase in capital requirements as compared to option 1. It would avoid disruptive impacts
    on bank lending and leave sufficient time to establish public or private initiatives aimed at
    increasing the coverage of external ratings for corporates. Broadening the coverage of
    external ratings would also increase transparency in the EU corporate sector in the long run
    and thereby foster the Capital Markets Union (CMU).
    Table 1. Comparison of policy options against effectiveness, efficiency and coherence
    criteria
    EFFECTIVENESS
    EFFICIENCY
    (cost-effectiveness)
    COHERENCE OVERALL SCORE
    Baseline option 0 0 0 0
    Option 1 + - + +
    Option 2 ++ ≈ ++ ++
    Magnitude of impact as compared with the Baseline option (the baseline is indicated as 0): ++ strongly
    positive; + positive; – – strongly negative; – negative; ≈ marginal/neutral; ? uncertain; n.a. not applicable
    Preferred option
    In light of the above analysis, which led to the overall score of each policy option in Table 1,
    option 2 is the preferred policy option.
    162
    Cf. EBA (2019) Policy advice on the Basel III reforms: Credit risk
    93
    1.1.2. Specialised lending
    Problem definition
    There is no specific treatment for specialised lending (SL) exposures under the current SA-
    CR. Those exposures are treated as any corporate exposures even though they have a very
    specific risk profile. The latter depends more on the type of transaction and/or collateral
    provided to secure the transaction rather than on the creditworthiness of the borrower(s) since
    the borrower is typically a dedicated vehicle, which secures the debt with the cash flows
    generated by its assets. The lack of granularity in the current framework leads to under- or
    overestimation of risks under the SA-CR and does not allow to appropriately compare related
    capital requirements between SA and IRBA banks (the IRBA contains a specific treatment
    for SL exposures). The SA-CR can hence not act as a credible benchmark to internal models
    used for SL exposures.
    To address these shortcomings of the SA-CR, the Basel III standard introduced a specific
    treatment for SL exposures, distinguishing between project finance, object finance and
    commodities finance based on the definitions of these three subcategories in the IRBA. Like
    for corporates exposures (see Section 1.1.1 of this Annex), two approaches are available in
    the Basel III SA-CR, one for jurisdictions allowing the use of external ratings for regulatory
    purposes and one for jurisdictions that do not allow it. The new treatment reflects more
    appropriately and accurately the risks associated with SL exposures and improves the
    consistency with the already existing treatment of those exposures under the IRBA. Under the
    new SA-CR, SL exposures for which no issue-specific external ratings are available would be
    assigned RWs ranging from 80% to 130%. The exact RW assigned to the exposure would
    depend on the relevant SL subcategory and, in the case of project finance, on the phase in
    which the project is (pre-operational/operational) as well as on whether certain quality criteria
    are met.163
    However, similar to the case of exposures to unrated corporates, unintended consequences of
    the application of this new approach may arise in the EU, for essentially the same reasons:
    most SL exposures are not externally rated and are financed by IRBA banks that have in
    place internal models which produce materially lower RWs than those provided by the SA-
    CR. While the new standardised treatment for unrated SL exposures is more granular, it is not
    sufficiently risk-sensitive to reflect the effects of comprehensive security packages usually
    associated with these exposures (these packages comprise covenants and collateral subject to
    dedicated monitoring). The impact may be particularly felt in the case of object finance
    exposures in the context of the application of the OF. As a consequence, there could be a risk
    of discontinuation of these activities.
    The impact on project finance is likely to be less significant because the EU has introduced a
    discount (= supporting) factor of 25% for exposures to high quality infrastructure projects
    that comply with a set of eligibility criteria capable to lower their risk profile and enhance the
    163
    In particular, a preferential risk weight of 80% is provided for high quality project finance exposures in the
    operational phase.
    94
    predictability of their cash flows. This treatment applies to both institutions using the SA and
    institutions using the IRBA.
    Policy options
    Baseline option: no change to the prudential framework
     No dedicated treatment for SL exposures would be available under the SA-CR.
     The OF is not implemented for SL exposures.
     The existing supporting factor for high quality infrastructure projects is kept.
    Option 1 - full alignment with Basel III
     The new SL subcategories are introduced in the SA-CR framework while maintaining
    the use of issue-specific external credit ratings when available.
     The existing supporting factor for high quality infrastructure projects is removed.
     The new standardised RWs for SL exposures are used for the calculation of the OF.
    Option 2 - alignment with Basel III with adjustments for project and object finance
     The new SL subcategories are introduced in the SA-CR framework while maintaining
    the use of issue-specific external credit ratings when available.
     The specific supporting factor for infrastructure projects remains applicable to
    complement the preferential treatment for high quality project finance which is
    limited to projects in the operational phasewhilst avoiding “double discounts”164
    .
     A new subcategory for high quality object finance is introduced. The EBA is
    mandated to specify the relevant criteria via RTS.
     The new standardised RWs for SL exposures are used for the calculation of the output
    floor.
    Impacts and comparison across options
    Only a small portion of SL exposures in EU banks portfolios is rated (3.62%; see below
    Table 2). Among all SL exposures, non-rated project finance is the most important sub-class
    (81.5%), followed by non-rated object finance (9.3%) and non-rated commodities finance
    (5.6%).
    164
    However, the supporting factor cannot be applied to the favourable treatment for high quality project finance
    to further lower the applicable RW (i.e. it is not possible to apply the discount of 25% to the preferential RW of
    80% provided under Basel II for 'high quality' project finance).
    95
    Table 2. SL exposures under the SA-CR by sub-exposure class
    Institutions
    Commodity
    finance
    Object
    finance
    Project
    finance
    Rated
    exposures
    Total SL
    All 5.56% 9.30% 81.53% 3.62% 100%
    Large 6.02% 9.94% 80.17% 3.87% 100%
    of which: G-SII 14.73% 1.63% 80.87% 2.78% 100%
    of which: O-SII 0% 16.70% 78.97% 4.34% 100%
    Medium 0% 2.09% 97.91% 0.00% 100%
    Small 0% 0% 97.89% 2.11% 100%
    Source: EBA, CfA response
    Based on the EBA's analysis, the impact on exposures (classified as corporate exposures
    under the current SA-CR), which would be classified as SL exposures under the revised SA-
    CR, appears to be limited, due to the limited volume of specialised transactions under the SA-
    CR (14% of all transactions; see Figure 1 below).
    As mentioned above, most SL exposures are in the portfolios of IRBA banks. Therefore, the
    new standardised RWs for SL would also indirectly impact those banks as a consequence of
    the introduction of the OF.165
    Figure 1. Share of SL exposures RWA by regulatory approach in the current and revised
    framework
    Sources: EBA 2018-Q2 QIS data and EBA calculations.
    Note: Based on a sample of 204 banks: IRB (78), SA (196).
    165
    In its additional analysis for SL, the EBA notices that the total impact of the final Basel III reform remains
    unchanged whether the LGD input floors for SL exposures are included or removed for SL exposures under IRB
    (see paragraph 1.2.1 on SL under IRBA). The exclusion of the LGD input floors for SL exposures would
    decrease the overall impact of the IRB reforms for SL exposures, but this lower impact would be completely
    compensated by a higher impact of the OF. The exclusion of the LGD input floor for SL exposures would
    benefit – in terms of capital requirements – mostly large IRBA banks. However, these benefits would not
    materialise as those banks, in general, are also the ones constrained by the output floor. This key aspect also
    needs to be taken into consideration for the final assessment of the impact of the calibrations of RWs for SL
    exposures under the Basel III SA-CR.
    96
    Under the baseline option, SL would not be defined in the SA-CR. Consequently, a risk-
    sensitive and granular approach could not be used for those exposures. Instead, a flat RW of
    100% would continue to apply to all forms of SL unless an issue-specific rating would be
    available.
    Option 1 would allow to better reflect the specific risk-profile of SL under the SA-CR.
    However, the removal of the existing EU-supporting factor for high-quality infrastructure
    projects under this option would lower the incentives recently put in place in the legislative
    framework to foster private and public investments in high quality infrastructure projects with
    low risk profile166
    . In addition, some forms of SL (in particular object finance) would likely
    be materially impacted by the new RW calibrations, even though indirectly, i.e. through the
    application of the output floor.
    Under option 2, the existing supporting factor for high quality infrastructure finance would
    be kept. At the same time, the lack of risk-sensitivity of the Basel treatment for unrated
    object finance exposures (RW of 100%) would be addressed by a specific treatment for
    “high-quality” object finance exposures and a revised calibration for those exposures,
    aligning the risk sensitivity for those categories with that of project finance. The indirect
    potential impact (as an effect of the output floor) for IRBA banks that have developed a SL
    activity would also be less material under this option than under option 1.
    Table 3. Comparison of policy options against effectiveness, efficiency and coherence
    criteria
    EFFECTIVENESS
    EFFICIENCY
    (cost-effectiveness)
    COHERENCE OVERALL SCORE
    Baseline option 0 0 0 0
    Option 1 + - + +
    Option 2 ++ ≈ ++ ++
    Magnitude of impact as compared with the Baseline option (the baseline is indicated as 0): ++ strongly
    positive; + positive; – – strongly negative; – negative; ≈ marginal/neutral; ? uncertain; n.a. not applicable
    Preferred option
    In light of the above analysis, which led to the overall score of each policy option in Table 3,
    option 2 is deemed the preferred policy option
    1.1.3. Equity exposures
    Problem definition
    The current (Basel II) treatment of equity exposures under the SA-CR is not risk-sensitive: In
    particular, it does not reflect the higher loss risk of equity compared to senior exposures nor
    does it differentiate between strategic and speculative (and hence riskier) investments.
    Furthermore, the different methods for calculating RWs for equities under the IRBA (simple
    risk weight method, internal model method, PD/LGD approach) have been found to be
    unduly complex, leading to different outcomes and to undue RWA variability. Finally, the
    166
    This is likely the only effect of removing the supporting factor. Given that it has become applicable only
    recently, it is unlikely that its removal would lead to a material increase in banks’ capital requirements.
    97
    current treatment allowed for regulatory arbitrage between the banking book and the trading
    book.167
    To address these shortcomings, the final elements of the Basel III reform amend the treatment
    of equity exposures in two ways. First, banks can no longer use the IRBA for those
    exposures. Second, the calibration of RWs under the SA-CR is more granular and more
    conservative: the default RW for equity exposures increases from 100% to 250%. A more
    conservative RW of 400% is assigned to “speculative unlisted equity exposures” (most of
    those exposures are currently labelled as “high-risk” equity exposures and hence subject to a
    150% RW). Those revisions can be phased-in over a five-year period. The existing 100% RW
    remains available only for equity investments made pursuant to “national legislated
    programmes” which meet certain eligibility conditions and have been approved by the
    competent authority.
    Table 4: Risk weights applicable to equity exposures during the phased-in implementation of
    the Basel standards
    Source: EBA, CfA response (Table 11, p. 59)
    The final Basel III standard does not differentiate between the riskiness of certain types of
    equity holdings existing in the EU, such as equity investments in entities that are included in
    the same banking group (intragroup) or the same institutional protection schemes (IPS), or
    long-term and strategic equity investments in businesses outside the banking group (including
    holdings in insurance undertakings).
    Policy options
    Baseline option - no change to the prudential framework
     The existing RWs (100% and 150%) for equity exposures under the SA-CR are kept.
     Banks may use the IRBA for equity exposures.
    Option 1 - full alignment with Basel III
     The use of IRBA for equities is removed; in turn, the SA-CR becomes the only
    approach available for calculating capital requirements for the credit risk of equity
    exposures.
    167
    In particular, banks designated their equity exposures to the banking book even though they were essentially
    held for trading to avoid the much more conservative treatment under the trading book rules.
    98
     For equity holdings made pursuant to national legislated programmes a preferential
    RW of 100% may be applied, subject to certain eligibility criteria and supervisory
    approval.
     The new RWs for speculative unlisted equity exposures (400%) and for other equity
    holdings (250%) are progressively phased-in during a 3-year period (see Table 4
    above).
    Option 2 - implement Basel III with targeted clarifications and adjustments
     The current 100% RW remains applicable to intragroup equity exposures and equity
    holdings within institutional protection schemes (IPS).
     Existing long-term and strategic equity exposures to counterparties outside the
    banking sector (i.e. including in insurance undertakings) are subject to a
    grandfathering regime (i.e. banks are allowed to apply the existing RWs to those
    exposures).
     Only short-term equity investments with a holding period of less than 5 years are
    considered as speculative exposures and assigned a steady state RW of 400%.
    Impacts and comparison across options
    The baseline option would leave the identified problems largely unaddressed: Overly
    complex and discretionary methods under the IRBA would result in undue variability of
    RWAs whilst the SA-CR would provide insufficient risk coverage. As a consequence, banks
    would still have incentives to move equities from the trading to the banking book
    The tightened treatment of equities under Option 1 has been identified by the EBA as a
    major impact driver for increased capital requirements in the area of credit risk (it represents
    2.8 pp of the overall increase in RWAs; see
    99
    Table 5 below) even without taking into account the increase in RWs for intra-group equity
    exposures168
    . This would be partly compensated by a decrease in RWAs for some of the
    equity exposures migrating from the IRBA to the SA-CR (as internal modelling of equities’
    credit risk would not be allowed anymore; see Table 8 below).
    168
    Given that the impact analysis is based on data at the highest level of EU consolidation, the increase in RWs
    for intra-group equity exposures is not reflected in the estimates, which may therefore underestimate its impact.
    100
    Table 5: Percentage change in equity RWA (relative to total current SA RWA) for equity
    exposures currently under the SA-CR, by equity category
    Source: EBA, CfA response
    Table 6: Percentage change in equity SA RWA (relative to total current SA RWA) for equity
    exposures currently under the IRB, per equity category
    Source: EBA, CfA response
    The additional data collection at individual and sub-consolidated level performed by the
    EBA169
    shows the importance of the proportion of intragroup equity exposures at those levels
    and points to an even higher RWA impact on this subset of exposures.
    Table 7: Percentage of exposures to equity and exposures to equity intragroup (over total
    exposure), by approach
    Source: EBA response (5 March 2020) - Letter on additional analysis for the Call for Advice for the purposes of
    revising the own fund requirements for credit, operational, market and credit valuation adjustment risk: output
    floor and equity exposure class (Table 4, p. 14)
    169
    On a sample of 16 banks, see link here.
    101
    Table 8: Percentage change in equity RWA (relative to current equity RWA by approach), by
    equity sub-type
    Source: EBA, Letter on additional analysis for the Call for Advice for the purposes of revising the own fund
    requirements for credit, operational, market and credit valuation adjustment risk: output floor and equity
    exposure class, March 2020
    Table 9: Percentage change in equity RWA (relative to total current RWA), by approach
    Source: EBA, Letter on additional analysis for the Call for Advice for the purposes of revising the own fund
    requirements for credit, operational, market and credit valuation adjustment risk: output floor and equity
    exposure class, March 2020
    Applying the increased RWs to all equity exposures at all levels (i.e. individual, sub-
    consolidated and consolidated level) would have a significantly higher impact than the
    application at consolidated application only. This would be mainly driven by intra-group
    equity exposures.
    This may lead to unintended consequences (such as divestments) for existing structures and
    business models if such increased RWs would be applied to intragroup and IPS equity
    exposures, or to strategic investments outside the banking group (i.e. including holdings in
    insurance undertakings).
    The targeted adjustments envisaged under Option 2 would prevent those unintended effects
    whilst addressing the shortcomings of the current treatment.
    Table 10: Comparison of policy options against effectiveness, efficiency and coherence
    criteria
    EFFECTIVENESS
    EFFICIENCY
    (cost-effectiveness)
    COHERENCE OVERALL SCORE
    Baseline option 0 0 0 0
    Option 1 + - + +
    Option 2 ++ ≈ ++ ++
    Magnitude of impact as compared with the Baseline option (the baseline is indicated as 0): ++ strongly
    positive; + positive; – – strongly negative; – negative; ≈ marginal/neutral; ? uncertain; n.a. not applicable
    Preferred option
    In light of the above analysis, which led to the overall score of each policy option in Table
    10, option 2 is deemed the preferred policy option.
    102
    1.1.4. Real estate exposures
    Problem definition
    The GFC revealed a number of shortcomings of the current standardised treatment of real
    estate exposures which the Basel III SA-CR addresses.
    Income-producing real estate exposures
    Evidence showed that mortgage loans the repayment of which is materially dependent on the
    cash flows generated by the property securing those loans tend to be materially riskier than
    mortgage loans the repayment of which are materially dependent on the underlying capacity
    of the borrower to service the loan. However, under the current SA-CR no specific treatment
    is foreseen for such exposures, even though this dependence is an important risk driver. This
    may result in insufficient levels of capital to cover unexpected losses on this type of real
    estate exposures.
    In order to address this shortcoming, the final Basel III standards introduced a new category
    of real estate exposures, namely income producing real estate (IPRE)170
    exposures, with a
    dedicated RW. This modification is intended not only to reflect more accurately the risk
    associated with those exposures, but also to improve consistency with the treatment of IPRE
    under the IRBA.
    Land acquisition, development and construction exposures
    Loans financing land acquisition, development or construction (ADC) of any properties incur
    a heightened risk where the source of repayment at origination of the loan is either a planned
    but uncertain sale of the property or substantially uncertain cash flows (e.g. this may happen
    if the property has not yet been leased to the occupancy rate prevailing in that geographic
    market for that type of property). The current SA-CR applicable in the EU provides for a flat
    RW of 150% for so-called “speculative immovable property financing”. The latter category is
    defined solely based on the borrower’s intention to resell the property for a profit, without
    taking into account to which extent the repayment is actually uncertain. As a result of this
    lack of clarity and risk-sensitivity, capital requirements for ADC exposures are currently
    often deemed to be too high or too low..
    To better reflect the risk of ADC financing models, the final Basel III standards introduce a
    dedicated sub-exposure class, referring to loans to companies or SPVs financing any of the
    land acquisition for development and construction purposes, or development and construction
    of any residential or commercial property. ADC exposures are to be risk-weighted at 150%.
    However, provided that certain risk-mitigating conditions171
    are met, ADC exposures to
    residential real estate may be risk-weighted at 100%.
    170
    The IPRE category is further divided in two sub-categories: income producing residential real estate (IPRRE)
    and income producing commercial real estate (IPCRE).
    171
    The 100% RW can be applied where i) prudent underwriting standards are applied and ii) pre-sale or pre-lease contracts
    amount to a significant portion of total contracts or substantial equity at risk. Pre-sale or pre-lease contracts must be legally
    binding written contracts and the purchaser/renter must have made a substantial cash deposit which is subject to forfeiture if
    103
    Whole-loan vs. loan-splitting approach
    The final Basel III standards also provide two new, more granular and risk-sensitive
    approaches for general172
    residential and general commercial real estate exposures (GRRE
    and GCRE, respectively): (i) the loan splitting approach, which splits mortgage loans into a
    secured and an unsecured part and assigns a different risk weight to each of these two parts;
    and (ii) the whole loan approach, which considers mortgage loans as specific products and
    assigns a RW to the entire exposure based on its loan-to-value (LTV) ratio using different
    LTV buckets. According to the final Basel III standards, jurisdictions can apply either of
    these two approaches, but not both.
    The rationale for using the LTV ratio as a risk driver for determining the applicable RWs is
    that the losses incurred in the event of a default and the likelihood of a borrower’s default are
    lower when the outstanding loan amount relative to the value of the real estate collateral (i.e.
    the LTV ratio) is lower. However, only the loan splitting approach is also sensitive to the type
    of borrower (as it applies the RW of the counterparty to the unsecured part) and reflects the
    risk mitigating effects of the real estate collateral in the applicable RWs even in case of high
    LTV ratios. While the loan splitting approach is currently in place in the EU, its RW
    calibration has been found too conservative for mortgages with very low LTV ratios (see
    Figure 2).
    Figure 2: Stylised illustration – RW function for residential real estate exposures under
    different approaches
    Source: Commission
    the contract is terminated. Equity at risk should be determined as an appropriate amount of borrower-contributed equity to
    the real estate’s appraised as-completed value.
    172
    i.e. where the repayment does not materially depend on the cash flow generated by the property
    104
    Prudent valuation of property
    In the aftermath of the GFC, property prices dropped significantly and progressively in
    countries in- and outside of the EU. Those bank that had not revised downwards the value of
    the properties securing mortgage loans on a timely basis, to reflect their reduced market
    value, ended up underestimating the underlying credit risk of those loans and hence the
    corresponding capital requirement. Had they updated them, the LTV ratio of those loans
    would have increased thereby potentially increasing capital requirements).
    To reduce the impact of cyclical effects on the valuation of property securing a loan and to
    keep capital requirements for mortgages more stable, the final Basel III standards cap the
    value of the property recognised for prudential purposes at the value measured at loan
    origination, unless modifications “unequivocally” increase the value of the property. At the
    same time, the standards do not oblige banks to monitor the development of property values.
    Instead, they only require adjustments in case of extraordinary events. By contrast, the
    current SA-CR applicable in the EU requires banks to regularly monitor the value of property
    pledged as collateral. Based on this monitoring, banks are require to make upwards or
    downwards adjustments to the property (irrespective of the property value at loan
    origination). The current SA-CR does not include a mechanism addressing cyclical effects in
    real estate, and hence it does not address the risk of overvaluation and volatile capital
    requirements for mortgages.
    Policy options
    Baseline option: no change to the prudential framework
     The current loan splitting approach is kept unchanged.
     No specific treatment for IPRE and ADC exposures is provided for.
     The current rules on property value monitoring and adjustment are kept.
    Option 1: full alignment with Basel III
     The loan splitting approach is kept for GRRE and GCRE exposures, but with the
    revised calibration as set by the final Basel III standards.
     Specific treatments for IPRE and ADC exposures are introduced.
     Property values are capped at their value at loan origination and the current
    requirement for frequent monitoring is removed.
    Option 2: alignment with Basel III with adjustment for property valuation
     Specific treatments for IPRE and ADC exposures are introduced.
     The loan splitting approach is kept for GRRE and GCRE exposures, but with the
    revised calibration as set by the final Basel III standards.
    105
     The current requirement for frequent monitoring of property values is kept, allowing
    upwards adjustment beyond the value at loan origination but with a cap set at the
    average value over the last 5 years.
    Impacts and comparison across options
    GRRE and GCRE account for the vast majority (more than 90%) of total exposures secured
    by real estate, whereas all the remaining categories, i.e. IPRE and ADC exposures, together
    amount to less than 10% (see Figure 3).
    Figure 3: Exposure value breakdown as a percentage of total SA real estate exposure under
    the revised Basel III framework
    Source: EBA – Basel III reforms: impact study and key recommendations (Figure 34, p. 88)
    Under the baseline option, the lack of risk-sensitivity of the current framework in particular
    concerning IPRE and ADC exposures would remain, leading to inadequate levels of capital
    for covering unexpected losses on real estate exposures and potentially providing
    inappropriate incentives for banks’ lending decisions. Furthermore, the (pro-) cyclicality of
    property valuations and, by consequence, of capital requirements would remain under the
    baseline option.
    As regards Option 1, while the share of exposures in each category would change slightly as
    a result of the implementation of the revised SA-CR (more precisely because of the new
    definitions under Option 1; see Figure 15 below), the RWs for exposures falling in the GRRE
    and GCRE categories would remain largely unchanged, as the revisions in these areas are
    marginal compared to the framework currently applicable in the EU.
    For similar reasons, the impact of the new treatment for ADC exposures under Option 1 is
    expected to be limited. The overall impact is marginal as ADC exposures account for only
    2.9% of total real estate exposures treated under the SA-CR.
    106
    By contrast, the application of the revised standardised treatment for IPRE would increase the
    RWAs for IPRRE by 47.6% under Option 1. This would be the most significant impact
    across all exposures secured by real estate. However, given the low share of IPRE in total
    exposures, the overall impact would be limited (IPRRE accounts for 2.5% of total real estate
    exposure, while IPCRE accounts for 1.1%).
    Figure 4: Percentage change in exposures secured by real estate SA RWA, relative to current
    sub-exposure class SA RWA (left), and relative to total current SA RWA (right)
    Source: EBA – Basel III reforms: impact study and key recommendations (Figure 35 and 36, p. 88)
    The (re-)valuation approach provided by Basel III (option 1) is less pro-cyclical, but also less
    risk-sensitive than the current approach applicable in the EU. Under this option, banks would
    not be required to adjust property values downwards based on continuous monitoring. They
    would only need to make adjustments following a supervisor’s intervention or due to
    extraordinary events. This option would not fit European real estate markets, where mortgage
    loans usually have long(er) maturities (than in other Basel jurisdictions)173
    . Moreover, it
    would create perverse incentives for circumvention of the rules by repeated renewal of
    mortgage contracts, as highlighted in the EBA’s advice. It would also put the burden to
    require downwards adjustments of property values on supervisors and could also have a
    negative effect on banks’ risk management, as it would remove the requirement to frequently
    monitor property values.
    Option 2 would have the same impacts as Option 1 on GRRE, GCRE, IPRRE and ADC
    exposures. By contrast, Option 2 would address potential pro-cyclical effects under option 1
    by limiting any upward adjustments at the average value over a certain period thereby
    reducing the volatility in property values. This would address the disadvantages of the current
    approach while avoiding the problems inherent in the approach contained in Option 1.
    173
    For example, mortgages in the US have a much shorter average maturity (about 7 years) than in the EU,
    meaning the property values can be updated when the loans are rolled over.
    107
    Table 11: Comparison of policy options against effectiveness, efficiency and coherence
    criteria
    EFFECTIVENESS
    EFFICIENCY
    (cost-effectiveness)
    COHERENCE OVERALL SCORE
    Baseline option 0 0 0 0
    Option 1 ++ - + +
    Option 2 ++ + ++ ++
    Magnitude of impact as compared with the Baseline option (the baseline is indicated as 0): ++ strongly
    positive; + positive; – – strongly negative; – negative; ≈ marginal/neutral; ? uncertain; n.a. not applicable
    Preferred option
    In light of the above analysis, which led to the overall score of each policy option in Table
    11, option 2 is deemed the preferred policy option
    1.2. Credit risk framework – Internal model approach
    General background
    As an alternative to using the SA-CR, banks may also use one of the two approaches based
    on internal models, the so-called internal ratings-based (IRB) approaches, to calculate capital
    requirements for credit risk (subject to supervisory approval). The advanced IRB (AIRB)
    approach allows modelling of all key risk parameters, whereas the foundation IRB (FIRB)
    approach is somewhat more restrictive as modelling is allowed for only one out of the three
    key risk parameters174
    .
    The IRB approaches are complex and are therefore used primarily by large, sophisticated
    institutions. However, given the large market shares of these institutions, the capital
    requirements for the majority of credit risk exposures in the EU banking sector are calculated
    using the IRB approaches (see
    174
    Under the AIRB approach, the obligor‘s probability of default (PD), loss given default (LGD), and exposure
    at default (EAD) are allowed to be modelled, while under the FIRB approach only the PD is allowed to be
    modelled.
    108
    Figure 5 below).
    109
    Figure 5: Exposure value: SA versus IRB composition (% of total credit risk exposure value)
    Source: EBA 2018-Q2 QIS data and EBA calculations. Note: Based on a sample of 189 banks.
    The GFC highlighted important deficiencies of the IRB approaches. A range of studies
    conducted at both international and EU level found an unacceptably wide variation in capital
    requirements across banks that cannot be explained solely by differences in the riskiness of
    banks’ portfolios. This is undesirable, as it hinders the comparability of capital ratios and
    impacts the level playing field among banks. Also, the crisis has revealed instances where the
    losses incurred by banks on some portfolios were significantly higher than the model
    predictions, which resulted in insufficient levels of capital held by individual banks.
    The December 2017 Basel III agreement aimed to address these deficiencies primarily by
    limiting banks’ flexibility in calculating their capital requirements for credit risk175
    :
     the possibility to use internal models was either limited or altogether removed for
    portfolios and risk parameters where the BCBS had concluded that the available data was
    insufficient to ensure reliable modelling (i.e. exposures to financial institutions and
    exposures to large corporates fall in the first category, while equity exposures fall in the
    second one);
     new minimum values (‘input floors’) were introduced for banks’ estimates of the
    probability of default (PD), loss-given default (LGD) and exposure at default (EAD).
    As outlined in Section 5.1., the preferred option for the implementation of the final elements
    of the Basel III reform in the area of credit risk is a revision of the IRB approaches in line
    with the Basel III standard with some adjustments. The subsections below discuss each of the
    aforementioned key areas and assess which adjustments are necessary in each case (if any).
    1.2.1. Reduction in the scope of internal modelling
    175
    Other changes included a modification of the “roll-out” requirement: The principle that those banks that
    intended to use the IRB approach for some of their exposures are obliged to roll it out to all exposures was
    modified so that this obligation applies separately for each exposure class.
    110
    Problem definition
    The GFC has revealed that in some cases banks have used the IRB approaches even though
    the respective portfolios were unsuitable for modelling due to insufficient amounts of
    relevant data being available. This had detrimental consequences for the robustness of the
    capital requirements produced by those models and thus on financial stability. Banks were
    able to continue using models for those portfolios because the applicable framework
    contained insufficient limits as regards the availability of IRB approaches for exposures
    classes that are difficult to model.
    Specifically, banks’ exposures to other banks, other financial sector entities and large
    corporates typically exhibit low levels of default. For such low-default portfolio (LDP)
    exposures, it has been shown that the low number of observed defaults makes it difficult for
    banks to produce reliable LGD estimates. Banks have tried to compensate for this lack of data
    by employing different statistical techniques, but this has resulted in an undesirable level of
    dispersion across banks in the level of estimated risk.
    Moreover, where banks use internal models to calculate the capital requirements for credit
    risk of equity exposures, they typically base their risk assessment on publicly available data.
    Since all banks have access to pretty much the same public data, it is hard to justify the
    differences one can observe in capital requirements produced by banks’ models for those
    exposures. Also, the internal modelling of equity exposures entails a level of complexity that
    may not be justified in light of the relatively low amounts of equity exposures held by banks
    in their banking books.
    In view of the above, the final Basel III standards limit the exposures classes for which
    internal models can be used to calculate capital requirements for credit risk. Specifically, it
    allows the use of internal models only for those exposure classes for which robust modelling
    is possible. The abovementioned exposure classes are, in contrast, “migrated” to less
    sophisticated approaches:
     for exposures to large corporates with total consolidated annual sales greater than EUR
    500 million, for exposures to banks and for exposures to financial institutions (including
    financial institutions treated as corporates), the use of the AIRB approach is no longer
    available: for those exposures banks can only use the FIRB approach176
    ;
     for equity exposures, the IRB approaches are no longer available: banks must use the SA-
    CR.
    The BCBS’ decision is based on the consideration that disallowing the use of certain
    modelling approaches in this manner would remove an important source of undue RWA
    variability and thereby improve the comparability of capital requirements. In addition, it
    would remove a source of unnecessary complexity from the framework.
    176
    See footnote 163 for an explanation of the difference between the two approaches.
    111
    However, an unintended consequence of this “migration” may arise in the EU for exposures
    to public sector entities (PSEs) and regional governments and local authorities (RGLAs).
    Under the current IRB approach, exposures to PSEs and RGLAs are treated either as
    exposures to central governments or as exposures to banks. For the purpose of RWA
    calculation, it is of relatively limited significance into which category a PSE and RGLA fall,
    as the applicable rules are broadly similar.
    Under the final Basel III standards, exposures to PSEs and RGLAs can continue to be treated
    either as exposures to central governments or as exposures to banks. However, given that
    under those standards exposures to banks are subject to significant modelling constraints,
    while exposures to central governments are not, the classification of a PSE or RGLA
    exposure can have potentially significant implications on the capital requirement for that
    exposure.
    Policy options
    Baseline option: no change to the prudential framework
     All IRB approaches remain available for exposures to large corporates, banks and
    other financial institutions.
     The treatment of exposures to RGLAs and PSEs remains unchanged.
    Option 1: implement the key change in the scope of the IRB approaches as foreseen by the
    Basel III standard
     The AIRB approach is no longer available for LDP exposures: only the FIRB
    approach remains available.
     The IRB approaches are no longer available for equity exposures: banks have to use
    the SA-CR.
    Option 2: implement the key change in the scope of the IRB approaches as foreseen by the
    Basel III standard with adjustments
     Same as Option 1.
     In addition, address the unintended consequences of Option 1 for exposures to PSEs
    and RGLAs by creating a new PSE/RGLA exposure class; the AIRB approach would
    remain available for those exposure classes, subject to input floors (see next section
    for details on the latter).
    Impacts and comparison across options
    The baseline option would leave the problems identified in the current prudential framework
    unaddressed (insufficient robustness of certain models, undue variability of RWAs,
    inappropriate levels of capital requirements).
    112
    The restrictions proposed under Option 1 are a key measure to strengthen the reliability of
    internal models. Indeed, in its policy advice on the implementation of the final elements of
    the Basel III reform, the EBA stated that “[t]his measure is consistent with the intention to
    limit the variability of model outcomes, since these portfolios typically show severe shortages
    of default data. In particular, the availability of empirical observations for LGD estimation is
    problematic for LDPs, since the realised LGDs can only be observed on defaulted
    exposures.”
    Under the option, however, in line with the final Basel III standard, the use of the FIRB
    approach for exposures to banks, financial institutions and large corporates is still allowed, as
    valid PD modelling remains achievable in this context. The impact of Option 1, in terms of
    increase in capital requirements for AIRB exposures to banks and to financial institutions,
    would be among the highest of all the impacts due to the implementation of the final elements
    of the Basel III reform (80% and 30% increase in RWAs, respectively, see Figure 6 below).
    The migration from AIRB to FIRB is the main driver of the increase. Exposures to large
    corporates would be much less affected (+5%) due to a decrease in the regulatory LGD for
    these exposures under the FIRB approach compared to the current rules.
    Figure 6: Marginal impact on RWAs per exposure class due to their “migration” to the IRB
    approach (relative to current RWAs of AIRB exposures in each exposure class)
    Source: EBA Policy advice on the Basel III reforms: credit risk, Figure 25.
    For exposures to PSEs and RGLAs, the EBA has assessed that, under option 1, PSEs and
    RGLAs that are currently treated as exposures to central governments, would see a decrease
    in capital requirements between 10% and 28%, respectively, partly as a result of the removal
    of the current 1.06 scaling factor. In contrast, exposures to PSEs and RGLAs that are
    currently treated as exposures to banks would see an increase of 78%, mostly as an effect of
    the of the banks’ exposure class being limited to the FIRB approach.
    113
    This discrepancy in impact is not justified by the underlying risk characteristics of the entities
    in question. As stated by the EBA, “the inconsistent treatment of PSEs and RGLAs leads to
    disproportionate impacts and adds unnecessary complexity to the framework”. Besides,
    implementing this differentiated treatment could also lead to an increase in undue RWA
    variability across banks, rather than a decrease, as the applicable treatment is decided by
    competent authorities.
    Option 2 would address the weaknesses of the IRB approach as identified by the Basel
    Committee by implementing all the elements of the reform (i.e. those listed in option 1).
    Compared to option 1, however, it would have the advantage of removing the unjustified
    disparity in impact on exposures to PSEs and RGLAs by treating them according to the same
    principles, while at the same time reducing the undue RWA variability for those exposures
    (because of the application of the input floors). The increase in capital requirements for banks
    arising from model “migration” would be somewhat lower under option 2 compared to option
    1 as no “migration” would be imposed on any exposures to PSEs/RGLAs.
    Table 12: Comparison of policy options against effectiveness, efficiency and coherence
    criteria
    EFFECTIVENESS
    EFFICIENCY
    (cost-
    effectiveness)
    COHERENCE
    OVERALL
    SCORE
    Baseline option 0 0 0 0
    Option 1 ++ + + +
    Option 2 ++ + ++ ++
    Magnitude of impact as compared with the Baseline option (the baseline is indicated as 0): ++ strongly
    positive; + positive; – – strongly negative; – negative; ≈ marginal/neutral; ? uncertain; n.a. not applicable
    Preferred option
    In light of the above analysis, which led to the overall score of each policy option in Table
    12, option 2 is deemed the preferred policy option
    1.2.2. Input floors
    Problem definition
    The financial crisis revealed that the calibrations of regulatory risk parameters used as inputs
    to the regulatory formula to calculate RWAs under the IRB approaches were at times not
    calibrated in a sufficiently robust or conservative manner by some banks, leading to
    unwarranted RWA variability and possibly insufficient capital requirements in such cases.
    As a result, the final Basel III standards introduce minimum values for bank-estimated IRB
    parameters that are used as inputs to the calculation of RWAs (‘input floors’). These input
    floors would act as safeguard to ensure that capital requirements do not fall below prudent
    levels; they would mitigate model risk due to such factors as incorrect model specification,
    measurement error and data limitations; and they would improve the comparability of capital
    ratios across banks.
    114
    In some cases, these floors consist of recalibrated values of the existing Basel II input floors,
    while in most cases the input floors are new. They include PD floors for both the AIRB
    approach and the FIRB approach, and LGD and EAD floors for the AIRB approach.
    In order to achieve their intended aims, the input floors must be calibrated in a sufficiently
    conservative manner. However, where those floors are calibrated too conservatively, this may
    discourage banks from adopting the IRB approaches and the associated risk management
    standards. Banks may also be incentivised to shift their portfolios to higher risk exposures
    and exploit the constraint imposed by the input floors with a view to generating a higher
    return. In order to avoid such unintended consequences, risk parameter floors should
    appropriately reflect certain risk characteristics of the underlying exposures, in particular by
    taking on different values for different types of exposure where appropriate.
    Under the final Basel III standard, the PD floor is increased from 0.03% under Basel II to
    0.05%. LGD floors apply to secured and unsecured exposures and range from 0% to 50%,
    depending on the type of the exposure and on the type of collateral used (see Table 13).
    Table 13: LGD input floors under Basel II (current) vs Basel III (new)
    Source: European Commission
    The final Basel III standards furthermore introduce a formula for the calculation of the input
    floor for partially secured exposures. The comprehensive list of LGD floors introduced by the
    Basel III standards constitute a significant change from those contained in the Basel II
    standards, which apply only at portfolio level and only to exposures secured by immovable
    property. No input floors apply to sovereign exposures.
    While SL exposures177
    have risk characteristics that differ from general corporate exposures,
    the final Basel III standards apply the same input floors in both cases. The EBA’s analysis
    has shown that an LGD input floor may tightly constrain banks’ own estimates for SL
    exposures, due to the low levels of banks’ own LGD estimates at the reference date. The
    EBA has not found conclusive evidence that the LGD input floor for general corporate
    exposures is excessively conservative for specialised lending exposures, pointing to banks’
    “heavy losses suffered from specialised lending under adverse market conditions”. However,
    177
    For a general explanation of SL exposures, see section 1.1.
    115
    the explanatory power of the evidence is limited by the small size of the sample used and the
    complexity and idiosyncrasies of the underlying transactions, so that further analysis may be
    warranted.
    Policy options
    Baseline option: no change to the prudential framework
     The existing Basel II PD floor of 0,03% is kept.
     The PD, LGD and EAD input floors provided by the final Basel III standards are not
    introduced.
    Option 1: full implementation of Basel III
     The new PD, LGD and EAD input floors provided by the final Basel III standards are
    introduced.
    Option 2: implementation of Basel III input floors with possibility for EU-specific
    adjustments
     The new PD, LGD and EAD inputs floors provided by the final Basel III standards
    are introduced.
     An empowerment allowing the Commission to adopt a delegated act is introduced to
    adapt the input floors for specialised lending, based on a detailed analysis to be
    conducted by the EBA.
    Impacts and comparison across options
    Under the baseline option, the flaws identified in the current framework would remain
    unaddressed (lack of robustness of modelling approaches in certain circumstances, undue
    RWA variability).
    Option 1 would provide tools to address the problems identified under the current
    framework. The level of the input floors contained in the final Basel III standards appear to
    be calibrated in a sufficiently conservative manner to achieve this aim, while at the same time
    being adapted to the risk characteristics of the underlying exposures. Concerning the impact
    of this option on RWAs, the EBA has assessed that around 20% of the total increase in IRB
    RWA would be due to the revised PD floor, and around 80% would be due to the LGD
    floors, whereas the EAD floor would only play a “minor role”. An illustration of the impacts
    by exposure class is shown in
    116
    Figure 7 below (see blue “Basel III central scenario”).
    117
    Figure 7: Percentage change in IRB RWA per exposure class excluding PD & LGD input
    floors (relative to total current IRB RWA)
    Source: EBA Impact Study on the Basel III reforms, Figure 52.
    The potential impact of the floors on SL exposures would be particularly important (30%
    increase in RWAs), mainly due to the LGD floors. In fact, SL is the exposure class that
    would be the most affected by the LGD floors (see Figure 8 below), because those are
    significantly higher than the LGDs currently calculated by banks.. On the one hand according
    to the EBA, the aforementioned “heavy losses” incurred by SL exposures may be
    insufficiently reflected in banks’ current loss estimates, which would suggest that an
    increase in capital requirements would be justified. On the other hand, stakeholders have
    argued that SL exposures tend to be low-risk and that the projected increase in capital
    requirements would therefore be unjustified. Unjustified increases in capital requirements
    would be particularly undesirable in the case of SL in view of its importance for the real
    economy as they might result in undesirable constraints on such lending.
    Figure 8: Marginal impact (difference between orange and blue bars) of the LGD floors per
    exposure class, in terms of increase in A-IRB RWAs (relative to total current A-IRB RWAs)
    [alternative scenario excludes LGD input floors for SL exposures]
    Source: EBA Impact Study on the Basel III reforms, Figure 52.
    118
    Option 2 would be as effective as option 1 in tackling the aforementioned problems relating
    to risk parameter estimation. In addition, the empowerment for the Commission would
    prevent potential unintended consequences on specialised lending option 1 might entail.
    Table 14: Comparison of policy options against effectiveness, efficiency and coherence
    criteria
    EFFECTIVENESS
    EFFICIENCY
    (cost-
    effectiveness)
    COHERENCE
    OVERALL
    SCORE
    Baseline option 0 0 0 0
    Option 1 ++ - + +
    Option 2 ++ ++ ++ ++
    Magnitude of impact as compared with the Baseline option (the baseline is indicated as 0): ++ strongly
    positive; + positive; – – strongly negative; – negative; ≈ marginal/neutral; ? uncertain; n.a. not applicable
    Preferred option
    In light of the above analysis, which led to the overall score of each policy option in Table
    14, Option 2 is deemed the preferred policy option
    1.3. Market risk framework
    Problem definition
    Financial instruments held by banks for trading purposes (e.g. shares, bonds, derivatives), are
    subject to market risk, i.e. the risk of movements in the instruments’ market prices that
    impact banks' daily profits and losses. These market price movements can be large and
    sudden which can affect a bank’s solvency position. Because of the idiosyncratic nature of
    this risk, the CRR contains a specific treatment for the financial instruments subject to market
    risk, referred to as trading book positions178
    . As is the case for other types of risk, the CRR
    allows banks to use two types of approaches to calculate their capital requirements for market
    risk: a standardised approach and an internal model approach.
    During the GFC, the level of capital required against trading book exposures proved
    insufficient to absorb the losses incurred by a number of banks, both in the EU and in non-EU
    jurisdictions179
    . The magnitude and the severity of the adverse market movements revealed
    that some banks, although fully compliant with existing market risk capital requirements, did
    not, in fact, have sufficient capital to cover market risk losses that arose during the GFC. The
    crisis therefore revealed a number of weaknesses in the design of the framework used for
    calculating capital requirements for market risk that needed to be addressed.
    178
    In order to determine the relevant approach to calculate capital requirements for the positions they have,
    banks are required to allocate those positions to either the trading book or the non-trading book, based on the
    intention of each transaction. Non-trading book positions, often referred to as banking book exposures, are
    usually financial instruments held by banks until they mature (e.g. loans) and mainly subject to credit risk. For
    this reason, banking book exposures are subject to the capital requirement for credit risk.
    179
    See https://www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d457_note.pdf
    119
    In 2009, a first reform of the market risk standards (known as the 'Basel 2.5' reform) was
    adopted by the BCBS. This reform focused on increasing the overall capital requirements for
    market risk to address the most pressing deficiencies in the international standards in this
    area. It was implemented in Union law by means of Directive 2010/76/EU180
    (also known as
    the third Capital Requirements Directive or CRD III) and subsequently incorporated in the
    CRR.
    Nevertheless, the 2009 reform did not address all the design flaws present in the market risk
    framework, such as181
    :
     lack of clarity in the scope of application of the capital requirements for market risk: the
    lack of clear rules around instruments’ allocation to the trading book and the banking
    book allows banks to engage in regulatory arbitrage182
    , i.e. allocate instruments to the
    ‘book’ that generates the lowest capital requirements;
     insufficient risk capture: many features of market risk are not adequately reflected in the
    current rules for calculating capital requirements. Consequently, the amount of capital
    required for certain instruments is not aligned with the real risks that banks face when
    holding these instruments183
    . For some trading book positions, banks may not have
    sufficient amounts of capital to absorb potential losses that may arise from adverse
    changes to market conditions. This could endanger their solvency. For other trading book
    positions the capital requirements may, conversely, be excessive compared to the actual
    risk. This could negatively affect banks’ trading in the specific instruments and hence
    have an impact on their market liquidity and transactions costs;
     high variability of modelling outcomes: as highlighted by the BCBS regulatory and
    consistency assessment program184
    , a high variability of outcomes across banks
    worldwide using the internal model approach to calculate the capital requirements for
    market risk was observed, even for identical portfolios. Similar observations were made
    across EU banks following the EBA’s Market Risk Benchmarking exercises185
    . The
    dispersion of outcomes has been found larger for more complex trading portfolios. These
    findings indicate that banks have used the leeway offered by the rules to implement
    market risk internal models in different manners, using a wide range of assumptions.
    180
    Directive 2010/76/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 24 November 2010 amending
    Directives 2006/48/EC and 2006/49/EC as regards capital requirements for the trading book and for re-
    securitisations, and the supervisory review of remuneration policies.
    181
    A full overview of the weaknesses of the Basel 2,5 market risk standards has been described by the BCBS in
    https://www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d457_note.pdf.
    182
    For example, prior to the crisis, securitisation instruments were usually allocated to the trading book because
    of the low volatility of the securitisation markets (leading to low capital requirements under the market risk
    rules) even if there was no evidence of regular trading in these instruments (which made it likely that banks
    holding those positions did not really actively trade them).
    183
    As an example, the risk of holding more illiquid instruments is not recognised since the current capital
    requirements for market risk assume that all trading book positions can be extinguished within two weeks.
    184
    See https://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs267.htm.
    185
    See section on “Market risk” in https://www.eba.europa.eu/regulation-and-policy/supervisory-benchmarking-
    exercises.
    120
    To tackle the abovementioned design flaws, after the Basel 2.5 reform, the BCBS launched a
    more fundamental reform of the international standards for market risk, known as the
    fundamental review of the trading book (FRTB). A first set of revised market risk standards
    (hereafter ‘original FRTB standards’) was published by the BCBS in January 2016, with a
    recommended implementation deadline of 1 January 2019; it addressed the above issues by:
     providing more objective rules to allocate transactions either to the trading book or to the
    banking book;
     developing a revised standardised approach (‘FRTB SA’) and internal model approach
    (‘FRTB IMA’) that better capture market risk;
     reducing the flexibility for banks to use their own modelling assumptions under the FRTB
    IMA, while helping supervisors to assess their robustness with the help of new
    quantitative tests that all FRTB IMA must fulfil.
    In the course of monitoring the expected impact of the original FRTB standards, the BCBS
    identified a number of issues that needed to be addressed. Following a consultation186
    launched in March 2018, the BCBS changed certain elements of the original FRTB standards
    and published a revised version in January 2019 (hereafter ‘final FRTB standards’), with a
    new recommended implementation deadline set to 1 January 2022187
    (as in the case of the
    rest of the final elements of the Basel III reform, the BCBS postponed this deadline by one
    year, to 1 January 2023, in light of the COVID-19 pandemic).
    The Commission originally proposed to introduce binding capital requirements based on the
    original FRTB standards as part of the CRR II to address the deficiencies of the market risk
    framework. However, given the BCBS’s subsequent decision to revise those standards, with
    timelines incompatible with the milestones in the CRR II negotiation process, the European
    Parliament and the Council agreed to implement the original FRTB standards in the
    prudential framework as a first step only for reporting purposes188
    . Reporting were set to start
    once the elements of the final FRTB standards that would be necessary for the reporting
    requirements would be incorporated in Union law through secondary legislation189
    . The
    introduction of binding capital requirements based on the final FRTB standards was left to a
    separate ordinary legislative initiative. In the meantime, EU banks will keep using the current
    approaches set out in the CRR to calculate their capital requirements for market risk.
    186
    See https://www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d436.htm.
    187
    See https://www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d457.htm.
    188
    This allows banks time to prepare for implementing the new approaches (in particular banks that will be
    using the FRTB IMA) and also allows for the monitoring of the functioning of the new approaches before they
    will be used for the purpose of calculating capital requirements.
    189
    The secondary legislation comprises a delegated act specifying some technical elements of the FRTB SA,
    adopted by the Commission on 17 December 2019, and a number of regulatory technical standards mandated to
    EBA to specify some technical elements of the FRTB IMA, already submitted by EBA to the Commission and
    which adoption is currently being processed.
    121
    Policy options
    Baseline option – No changes to the prudential framework related to market risk
    The baseline option would consist in keeping the FRTB standard as a reporting requirement,
    as agreed under CRR II, and maintain the current approaches set out in the CRR to calculate
    capital requirements for market risk. As a consequence, the weakness of those approaches
    would be left unaddressed. The reporting requirement based on the final FRTB standards as
    adopted under the CRR II would help supervisors to further assess EU banks’ exposure to
    market risk based on the revised FRTB SA and FRTB IMA, but this assessment would
    remain indicative. Moreover, as some important elements of the final FRTB standards, most
    notably the revised scope of application of the trading book, were not yet included in the
    CRR II, they would not be implemented in Union law.
    Option 1 - Convert the FRTB reporting requirement into a capital requirement, fully aligned
    with the Basel standards
    Option 1 would implement the necessary amendments to the prudential framework to
    convert the reporting requirement based on the FRTB approaches adopted in the CRR II into
    a binding capital requirement fully aligned with the final FRTB standards agreed by the
    BCBS. Consequently, EU banks would no longer use the current approaches for calculating
    capital requirements for market risk and they would therefore no longer be exposed to the
    weaknesses identified in those approaches during the GFC. The prudential framework would
    also be amended to introduce the revised elements of the final FRTB standards that have not
    yet been included in the CRR II for the purposes of the reporting requirements. The
    amendments would include, for example, the revised standards defining the scope of
    application of the trading book, the revised disclosure requirements based on the FRTB
    approaches and the possibility to use a simplified standardised approach for banks with
    medium-sized trading books at supervisors’ discretion.
    In addition, under option 1, some of the specific adjustments to the final FRTB standards
    already adopted under the CRR II to take account of EU specificities190
    would be removed to
    fully align the EU rules with the final Basel standards.
    Option 2 - Convert the FRTB reporting requirement into a capital requirement, taking into
    account EU specificities and international level playing field.
    Similarly to option 1, option 2 would make the necessary adjustments to the prudential
    framework to convert the reporting requirement based on the FRTB approaches adopted in
    the CRR II into a binding capital requirement aligned with the final FRTB standards. EU
    banks would also no longer be allowed to use the current approaches for calculating capital
    requirements for market risk and would therefore no longer be exposed to the weaknesses
    identified in those approaches.
    190
    For example, this would include the beneficial treatment of covered bonds issued by banks located in the EU
    set out in Article 325ah(1) of the CRR and the beneficial treatment of foreign exchange rates composed of the
    euro and the non-euro currency of a Member State set out in paragraphs 2 and 3 of Article 325av of the CRR.
    122
    However, unlike option 1, option 2 would maintain the specific adjustments adopted under
    the CRR II to take account of EU specificities in the calculation of the binding capital
    requirements under the FRTB approaches. In addition, two additional adjustments would be
    introduced under option 2 to mitigate a potential excessive increase in capital requirements
    for market risk under the final FRTB standards affecting key trading/market making activities
    to the EU economy, specifically:
     treatment of collective investment undertakings (‘CIUs’) under both the internal
    model and the standardised approaches: CIUs play a crucial role in facilitating the
    accumulation of personal savings, whether for major investments or for retirement.
    They are also important because they make institutional and personal savings
    available to companies and projects which contribute to growth and jobs. The
    seamless provision of CIUs as investment product hinges on banks’ ability to
    continuously offer to their clients the possibility to buy or sell back those instruments.
    For that purpose, banks must keep inventories of CIUs in their trading books. Under
    the final FRTB standard, banks can use internal models to calculate capital
    requirements for market risk due to exposures to CIUs only under the condition that
    the bank can look through the CIUs’ composition191
    . When this condition cannot be
    met, banks would have to use the standardised approach, which presents much more
    conservative assumptions192
    , leading to a significant increase in capital requirements
    for those products. A number of respondents to the consultation raised this issue and
    the EBA also highlighted the risk of a potentially excessive capital impact in its
    response to the Call for Advice. To ensure continued market-making in CIUs,
    adjustments would be proposed to the final FRTB standard with two main objectives,
    namely (i) to ensure that more CIUs could be eligible to internal model approach; and
    (ii) to ensure that the treatment of CIUs under the standardised approach is less
    penalising;
     treatment of carbon emissions allowances under the standardised approach: in the EU
    emission trading scheme (ETS), banks play an important role in providing liquidity to
    carbon emissions allowances market. They typically fill their clients’ estimated
    demand for allowances at a future date via derivatives (‘forward’) transactions. Under
    the SA of the final FRTB standards, the exposures to carbon emission allowances are
    assimilated to electricity contracts, which could be considered too conservative in
    light of historical data. A number of respondents to the consultation paper raised
    concerns about the conservativeness of this treatment that does not reflect the
    191
    The condition requires being able to frequently access the information on all the exposures composing the
    fund.
    192
    Under the FRTB standardised approach, the market risk capital requirements of most CIUs (all CIUs, except
    those tracking recognised indices) would be based on either ‘the mandate-based’ or the ‘single-equity’
    approaches, both lacking risk-sensitivity and considered too conservative by the industry. On the one hand,
    under the mandate-based approach, the CIUs would be capitalised based on a hypothetical portfolio which
    would produce the highest capital requirements according to the fund’s mandate. On the other hand, the ‘single-
    equity’ approach would treat the CIU as an unrated equity exposure as an unrated equity exposure allocated to
    the “other sector” bucket, which attracts the highest RWs (e.g. 70% for delta equity risk class).”
    123
    volatility of the price of carbon emission allowances, which is closer to physical
    commodities than to electricity. In addition, the creation of the Market Stability
    Reserve by the Commission in 2015193
    , aimed at addressing the surplus of allowances
    and improving the system's resilience to major shocks by adjusting the supply of
    allowances to be auctioned, has stabilised the volatility of the price of ETS
    allowances. This would justify creating a specific risk category for ETS allowances
    under the SA, distinct from electricity, with a lower risk weight equal to 40% to better
    reflect the actual price volatility of this EU-specific commodity.
    In addition, as opposed to option 1, the use of the simplified standardised approach for banks
    with medium-sized trading books would not be left to the discretion of supervisors, but would
    rather be harmonised across the EU, consistently with the eligibility criteria agreed by co-
    legislators in the CRR II to exempt banks with the same profile from the FRTB reporting
    requirements194
    .
    Finally, monitoring the implementation of the final FRTB standards in other member
    jurisdictions of the BCBS would be key to identify, and potentially address, distortions to the
    playing field for EU banks’ trading activities if some of these jurisdictions would delay the
    implementation of the FRTB framework or relax its calibration195
    . To do so, option 2 would
    introduce an empowerment for the Commission to delay, if necessary, the application of the
    capital requirements based on the FRTB framework and/or to adjust its calibration based on
    international developments. This empowerment would also allow the Commission to revise,
    if necessary, the specific adjustments introduced as part of this legislative initiative for the
    treatment of CIUs and carbon emissions allowances, based on a report mandated to the EBA.
    Impacts of policy options
    Under the baseline option, banks would not be subject to direct capital impacts, but they
    would still incur the operational costs of implementing and maintaining the FRTB approaches
    for the reporting requirements introduced by the CRR II, in parallel with the existing
    approaches for calculating capital requirements for market risk.
    Both options 1 and 2 would introduce more effective approaches for calculating capital
    requirements for market risk by addressing the weaknesses of the current approaches. Both
    193
    Decision (EU) 2015/1814 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 6 October 2015 concerning the
    establishment and operation of a market stability reserve for the Union greenhouse gas emission trading scheme
    and amending Directive 2003/87/EC (available at https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-
    content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:32015D1814&from=EN).
    194
    These eligibility criteria, set out in Article 325a of the CRR, would therefore fulfil their original purpose as
    set out in the Commission proposal for the CRR II, before co-legislators agreed to keep the FRTB approaches
    for reporting purposes only.
    195
    Hong Kong and Singapore publically announced the application of the final FRTB standards as a reporting
    requirement from 1 January 2023 and committed to implement the standards as a capital requirements at a later
    stage. Other jurisdictions have already publically indicated a delay of the application of the final FRTB
    standards as capital requirement, as compared to the BCBS recommended implementation date: Q3 2023 for
    Japan; Q1 2014 for Canada; 1 January for Australia. Finally other major jurisdictions (e.g. US, CH) have
    publically announced their commitment to implement the FRTB framework as capital requirements without
    more details at this stage.
    124
    options 1 and 2 would also be more cost-effective compared to the baseline by limiting the
    operational costs , as banks would be required to use the same approaches (based on the final
    FRTB standards) for both reporting and capital calculation purposes.
    As part of its 2020 CfA response, the EBA estimated that option 1 would lead to an increase
    of the 0.8% in the total capital requirements of EU banks included in the EBA sample
    (roughly a 50% increase in the capital requirements for market risk). As illustrated in Figure
    9 below, this impact appears more pronounced for banks using the FRTB SA as compared to
    banks using the FRTB IMA. The impact also varies depending on the group of EU banks.
    Figure 9: Impact of the final FRTB standards in terms of total market risk RWA (relative to
    total current market RWA), by size and bank type
    Source: EBA, based on data collected for the December 2020 report.
    Note: this impact comes from the “reduced bias estimation” sample in which the EBA removed 3 G-SII banks
    from the sample due to some concerns that they may have overestimated the impact.
    As a result, EU banks particularly active in these areas would incur a large increase in the
    capital requirement for trading book exposures. This would potentially lead to increased
    prices, reduced trading volumes and restricted access to funding and risk management
    solutions for some economic actors. However, it is important to note that the impacts of the
    final FRTB standards may be overestimated in the EBA CfA QIS since some elements of the
    rules that have the potential to reduce the capital requirements of EU banks under the FRTB
    IMA are not yet operational (e.g. the use of data pooling services to improve the passing rate
    of the assessment of model lability) or are not yet applicable (e.g. the final draft RTS on
    capital requirement for “non-modellable risk factors” developed by the EBA is still in the
    process of being adopted by the Commission).
    Option 2 would further improve risk capture compared to option 1 by making a number of
    adjustments that better reflect the market risk of certain specific instruments traded by EU
    banks. However, the EBA has so far not been able to estimate the impact of those
    125
    adjustments196
    . Therefore, option 2 would mandate the EBA to prepare a report reviewing
    whether those adjustments achieve their objectives.
    Table 15. Comparison of policy options against effectiveness, efficiency and coherence
    criteria
    EFFECTIVENESS
    EFFICIENCY
    (cost-effectiveness)
    COHERENCE OVERALL SCORE
    Baseline option 0 0 0 0
    Option 1 + - + ≈
    Option 2 ++ + ++ ++
    Magnitude of impact as compared with the Baseline option (the baseline is indicated as 0): ++ strongly
    positive; + positive; – – strongly negative; – negative; ≈ marginal/neutral; ? uncertain; n.a. not applicable
    Preferred option
    In light of the above analysis, which led to the overall score of each policy option in Table
    15, option 2 is deemed the preferred policy option.
    1.4. Operational risk framework
    1.4.1. General background
    Under the current prudential framework, operational risk is broadly defined as the risk of loss
    resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes (resulting from either internal staff or
    internal systems) or from external events197
    . This risk usually encompasses a wide subset of
    more specific risks related to the daily functioning of banks, such as legal risk, conduct risk,
    IT risk, cyber risk and risk of fraud.
    The capital requirements for operational risk under the CRR are based on the Basel II
    standards that were adopted by the BCBS in 2005. Under the CRR, EU banks can calculate
    their operational risk capital requirement using either an internal model approach subject to
    supervisory approval (the so-called advanced measurement approach (AMA)198
    ) or one of the
    three standardised approaches199
    with varying degrees of complexity. The requirements banks
    have to fulfil to use the AMA offer significant flexibility allowing banks to use a diverse
    range of modelling practices.
    196
    Nevertheless, in its December 2019 CfA response, the EBA highlights that the impact of the final FRTB
    standards may be driven by the treatment for CIUs.
    197
    Article 4(1), point (52) of Regulation (EU) No 575/2013.
    198
    The own funds requirements for operational risk are set out in Articles 312 to 324 of Regulation (EU) No
    575/2013.
    199
    The Basic Indicator Approach (BIA) is the least complex of the three approaches, originally designed for
    small and non-complex banks. Under this approach, the capital requirement is equal to a percentage of a bank’s
    GI indicator. In contrast, the Standardised Approach (TSA) is more sophisticated than the BIA as it allows a
    more granular treatment of the GI indicator. The alternative standardised approach (ASA), which is a variant of
    the TSA, allows banks with specific business models to use a simplified method to compute operational risk
    capital requirements.
    126
    According to the EBA Risk Assessment Report200
    published in December 2020, operational
    risk accounted for around 10% of the total capital requirement of EU banks in June 2020,
    representing the second largest capital requirement after credit risk. The EBA also showed
    that the occurrence of operational risk events has almost tripled from 2014 to 2019 (see
    Figure 10 below). However, during the same period, the amount of total losses from new
    events has significantly decreased: they represented 1.74% of the total CET1 amounts of EU
    banks in 2014 against 0.76% in 2019.
    In their responses to the autumn 2020 Risk Assessment Questionnaire (RAQ), EU banks and
    analysts acknowledged the increased importance of operational risk over the last few years201
    .
    In their responses, banks and analysts identified cyber-risks and data security as currently the
    main drivers of operational risk (other majors drivers identified include money laundering,
    terrorist financing, conduct risk and legal risk). Supervisors also consider operational risk as a
    key area of supervisory scrutiny, for instance as highlighted by through the key messages on
    the outcome of the ECB 2019 supervisory review and evaluation process (SREP)202
    .
    Figure 10. Total losses from new events in operational risk as a share of CET1 capital (right-
    hand side y-axis) and number of new events (left-hand side y-axis) over time.
    Source: Risk Assessment of the European banking system, EBA, December 2020.
    As observed by the BCBS203
    , the GFC highlighted some weaknesses in the capital
    requirements for operational risk under the Basel standards, which in many cases resulted in
    200
    See Risk Assessment of the European Banking System.
    201
    Over 58% of respondents share the view that the importance of operational risk has increased over recent
    years, marking the highest level of that perception as collected through of the autumn RAQs over the past three
    years.
    202
    ECB: The Supervisory Review and Evaluation Process in 2019 – Aggregate SREP outcome for 2019,
    January 2020.
    203
    The BCBS launched a number of comprehensive data collection on banks’ operational losses after the GFC
    confirming the weakness of the international standards to appropriately capture this risk (see 2008 BCBS loss
    data collection exercise, 2010 BCBS QIS, 2015 BCBS QIS).
    127
    insufficient capital requirements to cover the actual operational risk to which banks were
    exposed to. Despite a significant increase in the number and severity of operational risk
    events observed after the GFC204
    , EU banks’ capital requirements for operational risk have
    remained relatively stable afterwards.
    An important weakness identified by the BCBS is the lack of risk-sensitivity in the
    calculation of operational risk capital requirements under the standardised approaches. Under
    those approaches, the capital requirements for operational risk are calculated as a percentage
    of the gross income (GI) indicator (basically, the positive annual gross income of a bank) to
    estimate operational risk exposures. In other words, the existing approaches are based on the
    assumption that banks’ potential losses related to operational risk are linearly proportionate to
    their revenues. As a result, the decrease in banks’ annual gross income during the GFC led to
    a mechanical decrease of the capital requirements for operational risk while at the same time
    banks suffered from an increase in actual losses due to operational risk events.
    A second weakness identified by the BCBS is the inappropriate capture of potential
    operational risk losses by banks’ AMA. The BCBS observed a wide variability of operational
    risk capital requirements calculated under banks’ AMA. This is mainly due to the significant
    flexibility offered to banks in modelling AMA that led many banks to choose modelling
    assumptions that ultimately underestimate the actual risks they are exposed to205
    . As part of
    its 2019 SREP report, the ECB confirmed206
    these findings for some SI under its direct
    supervision.
    To address the above weaknesses of the current approaches, the BCBS adopted revised
    standards for operational risk as part of the final Basel III reforms. More specifically, the
    BCBS removed the use of internal models for operational risk and replaced the three existing
    standardised approaches with a single revised standardised approach, known as the
    Standardised Measurement Approach (SMA).
    The SMA improves the risk-sensitivity of the current standardised approaches by
    combining207
    two components to determine the capital requirement for operational risk: the
    Business Indicator Component (BIC), that takes into account the main elements of banks
    incomes and expenses, and the Internal Loss Multiplier (ILM), that takes into account banks
    historical operational risk losses.
    1.4.2. Implementation of the Internal Loss Multiplier (ILM)
    Problem definition
    In the development of the revised standards for operational risk, the BCBS collected some
    empirical evidence suggesting that banks that have experienced higher operational risk losses
    204
    For instance, the BCBS showed that fines related to misconduct rose from less than EUR 10 billion in 2008
    to more than EUR 60 billion in 2014 for a sample of 111 internationally active banks. The number of those fines
    surged from less than 20 in 2008 to almost 100 in 2015 (see Finalising Basel III – In brief).
    205
    See Basel III Monitoring report – Results of the cumulative quantitative impact studies
    206
    See The Supervisory Review and Evaluation Process in 2019 – Aggregate SREP outcome for 2019
    207
    The capital requirement for operational risk under the SMA is a simple product of the BIC and the ILM.
    128
    in the past were more prone to experience higher operational risk losses in the future. In light
    of this observation, the BCBS proposed that a bank’s capital requirement for operational risk
    under the SMA should be somewhat proportionate to the bank’s historical operational risk
    losses. The loss208
    data are incorporated through the Loss Component (LC) in the formula
    defining the ILM. Basically, if a bank suffered large historical operational risk losses (relative
    to its incomes and expenses as measured by the BIC) the ILM would be greater than 1, which
    would ultimately increase the capital requirement for operational risk under the SMA.
    Conversely, if a bank suffered low historical operational risk losses (relative to its incomes and
    expenses as measured by the BIC) the ILM would be lower than 1 which would ultimately
    decrease the capital requirement for operational risk under the SMA.
    The revised Basel standards for operational risk offer a number of discretions for the
    implementation of the SMA regarding the incorporation of historical operational risk losses.
    First, they allow each jurisdiction to disregard the use of the historical operational risk losses
    in the calculation of the capital requirements for operational risk of all ‘bucket 2’ and ‘bucket
    3’ banks209
    (mostly medium and large banks) by setting the ILM to 1. In jurisdictions where
    this discretion would be exercised, the capital requirement for operational risk under SMA of
    these banks would therefore be equal to their BIC component.
    Second, the they allow each jurisdiction to incorporate the historical operational risk losses in
    the calculation of the capital requirements for operational risk of all ‘bucket 1’ banks209
    (mostly small banks), for which the ILM is set to 1 by default, provided that they meet some
    requirements related to the collection and management of their operational risk loss data. The
    BCBS deemed that incorporating by default the use of the historical operational risk losses in
    the calculation of the capital requirements for operational risks under the SMA would make
    the approach too complex for those banks.
    In addition, in jurisdictions that allow banks to incorporate the historical operational risk
    losses in the calculation of the capital requirements for operational risks, those banks may
    request their supervisors to disregard some of their historical operational risk events in that
    calculation. Specifically, those banks may increase the threshold to identify historical
    operational risk loss events (from EUR 20 000 to EUR 100 000) or remove exceptional
    events that they deem not to be representative in view of their current risk profile.
    Policy options
    Baseline option – Maintain the discretions of the Basel standards to implement the
    historical operational risk losses
    The baseline option would maintain the discretions offered to jurisdictions under the revised
    Basel standards to implement the historical operational risk losses. Under this option,
    208
    More specifically, these loss data use the average annual operational risk losses incurred by the bank over the
    previous ten years.
    209
    The revised Basel standards for operational risk differentiate three groups of banks based on their Business
    Indicator (BI). Banks with a BI of less or equal to EUR 1 billion are assigned to bucket 1, while banks with a BI
    of more than EUR 30 billion are assigned to bucket 3. All other banks are assigned to bucket 2.
    129
    supervisors would be allowed to disregard the use of the historical operational risk losses of
    their ‘bucket 2’ and ‘bucket 3’ banks. At the same time, they would be allowed to exercise
    the discretion to incorporate the historical operational risk losses of ‘bucket 1’ banks in the
    calculation of their capital requirements for operational risks. Furthermore, supervisors would
    be allowed to disregard some historical operational risk events and the corresponding
    historical operational risk losses in the calculation of the capital requirements for operational
    risk, at banks’ request.
    Option 1 - Implement ILM using historical operational risk losses under the SMA for all
    banks
    Option 1 would exercise the discretions offered under the revised Basel standards in a
    harmonised way to allow the incorporation of historical operational risk losses for all EU
    banks, irrespective of their size. To recognise some differences between the operational risk
    profiles of EU banks (e.g. relating to the size of an average loss), this option would still allow
    supervisors to grant, under specific conditions, the permission for banks to increase the
    threshold to identify common historical loss events (from EUR 20 000 to EUR 100 000).
    Option 2 – Disregard historical operational risk losses in the ILM component under the SMA
    for all banks
    Similar to option 1, option 2 would also exercise the discretions offered under the revised
    Basel standards in a harmonised way across EU Member States. However, option 2 would
    propose to disregard the use of historical operational risk losses in the calculation of capital
    requirements for operational risk under the SMA by setting ILM to 1 for all EU banks. Under
    this option, the calculation of capital requirements for operational risks of EU banks would
    simply be based on the BIC component.
    Impacts of and comparison across policy options
    Under the baseline option, supervisors would be allowed to exercise the discretions related
    to historical operational risk losses in the revised operational risk framework for the banks
    they supervise. At present, it is not possible to quantify the impact of this option since it is not
    possible to predict how supervisors would exercise those discretions. However, if supervisors
    would take different decisions on the matter, it would lead to a fragmentation of the
    prudential framework and hence to an un-level playing field across the Union.
    As compared to the baseline option, both options 1 and 2 would improve the comparability
    of EU banks’ capital requirements for operational risk and maintain a level playing field
    across the Union since banks would apply the same rules, irrespective of their location and
    their size.
    Option 1 would improve the risk sensitivity of the prudential framework since it would take
    into account banks’ past operational risk losses in the calculation of the capital requirements
    130
    for operational risk. However, this option would lead to a material impact210
    on EU banks’
    capital requirements for operational risk: according to the EBA’s 2020 CfA response, it
    would represent a weighted average increase of 3.8% in the total capital requirements of
    banks included in the EBA sample. More granular data from the EBA’s August 2019 CfA
    response shows that option 1 would represent a weighted average increase of roughly 40% in
    the capital requirements for operational risk of EU banks.
    As shown in the EBA’s 2020 CfA response, option 1 would have a more significant impact
    on the capital requirements of large banks, particularly on G-SIIs due to high operational risk
    losses over the last 10 years211
    . For medium-sized banks, the impact would be almost neutral
    under this option, while for small banks there would be a decrease in capital requirement for
    operational risk212
    .
    By default, the Basel SMA sets a EUR 20 000 threshold for the collection of losses that are
    used for the computation of the loss component. Under option 1, supervisors would be
    allowed to raise that threshold up to EUR 100 000. In its August 2019 CfA response, the
    EBA estimated that the impact of raising the threshold to EUR 100 000 for all the banks
    would slightly mitigate the impact of the revised operational risk framework under option 1.
    Disregarding historical losses as suggested under Option 2 would more than halve the impact
    estimated for option 1: the weighted average increase in the total capital requirements of EU
    banks included in the EBA sample would be reduced to 1.7%. While large banks would
    benefit from a large decrease in the impact compared to option 1, medium-sized banks would,
    in contrast, incur an increase in their capital requirements for operational risk compared to
    that option. 2.
    Option 2 would simplify to a large extent the calculation of capital requirements for
    operational risk under the revised framework. However, the reduction of the operational
    burden for EU banks would be limited since they would be required to gather, maintain and
    disclose their operational losses history under option 2. 213
    During the public consultations launched by the Commission, stakeholders expressed mixed
    views on the implementation of the ILM. Option 1 received some support from some
    Member States and medium-to small-sized banks, while large banks favoured option 2 (see
    Annex 2 for more details).
    210
    This estimated impact may overestimate the actual impact since it does not take into account the flexibility of
    the revised Basel standards for banks to disregard certain events in their historical operational risk losses, upon
    supervisory approval.
    211
    It should also be noted the impact of option 1 may progressively decrease over time, since the sliding 10
    years windows, of the large operational risk losses incurred by the largest EU banks occurred before 2017, by
    the end of the phase-in period the LCs of those banks would no longer include those losses which, all else being
    equal, should mean that their LC (and consequently their capital requirements for operational risk) would be
    significantly lower.
    212
    Note that the estimates for small banks has to be treated with caution in view of the limited number of these
    banks in the EBA sample.
    213
    Note that banks already collect information on all their operational losses, irrespective of their size and they
    will almost certainly continue to do so in the future. So while option 2 would not decrease the administrative
    burden of banks, it would not increase it either.
    131
    Table 16. Comparison of policy options against effectiveness, efficiency and coherence
    criteria
    EFFECTIVENESS
    EFFICIENCY
    (cost-effectiveness)
    COHERENCE OVERALL SCORE
    Baseline option 0 0 0 0
    Option 1 ++ - + ≈
    Option 2 + + ++ +
    Magnitude of impact as compared with the Baseline option (the baseline is indicated as 0): ++ strongly
    positive; + positive; – – strongly negative; – negative; ≈ marginal/neutral; ? uncertain; n.a. not applicable
    Preferred option
    In light of the above analysis, which led to the overall score of each policy option in Table
    16, option 2 is deemed to be the preferred policy option.
    1.5. Credit valuation adjustment risk framework
    1.5.1. General background
    The credit valuation adjustment (CVA) is a fair-value accounting adjustment to the price of a
    derivative instrument, aiming to provision against potential losses due to the deterioration in
    the creditworthiness of the counterparty to that instrument. The value of CVA depends on the
    level of credit spread of the respective counterparty (an increase in the counterparty’s credit
    spread would lead to an increase of CVA, and vice versa) but also on the market value of the
    derivative instrument (an increase in the derivative instrument value would lead to an
    increase of CVA, and vice versa). Therefore, CVA embeds several risks: the credit spread
    risk associated with the creditworthiness of the counterparty, but also the market risk
    associated with the derivative transaction (e.g. interest rate risk where the derivative
    transaction is an interest rate swap).
    CVA is generally reflected in the price that banks charge to their clients for derivative
    transactions. Since CVA is a downward adjustment to the price, CVA losses are incurred by
    the bank when the value of CVA increases. Therefore, reducing the CVA is beneficial for
    both the bank and its clients: the bank reduces its potential future loss while the client lowers
    the cost for the transaction. CVA can be reduced naturally if a client improves its
    creditworthiness. But a bank may also further reduce CVA by the use of credit derivatives,
    which allow it to insure itself against client’s losses, or by exchanging collateral with the
    counterparty to reduce the exposure of the derivative instrument. Furthermore, CVA risk (i.e.
    the risk of changes in the CVA value) can be mitigated using dynamic hedging strategies
    relying on various financial instruments associated with the different risks embedded in CVA
    (e.g. interest rates derivatives to hedge against the interest rate risk of CVA).
    CVA, and CVA risk, are complex to model and therefore to quantify. In fact, the
    quantification requires banks to model at the same time the probability of a counterparty’s
    default over multiple future dates, the potential future market value of the associated
    derivative instrument at those dates and the potential amount that the bank would recover
    132
    from the liquidation of the instrument upon the counterparty’s default. This high level of
    complexity led banks to develop a wide variety of models used for accounting purposes.
    During the GFC, a number of systemically important banks incurred significant CVA losses
    because of the deterioration in the creditworthiness214
    of their counterparties. To ensure that
    banks’ CVA risk would be covered with sufficient capital in the future, the BCBS introduced
    in 2011, as part of the first set of Basel III reforms, new standards to calculate capital
    requirements for CVA risk215
    . In line with the Basel standards for other types of financial
    risk, the capital requirements for CVA risk can be calculated by banks using two different
    approaches: a standardised method and an advanced method (the latter being considered as an
    internal model approach). In contrast to the complexity of the modelling approaches used by
    banks to calculate CVA risk for accounting purposes, the BCBS decided to develop relatively
    simple standards to calculate the capital requirement for CVA risk in order to ensure a high
    comparability of outcomes across banks. The relevant Basel standard was transposed in
    Union law in 2013 through the CRR (hereafter ‘current CVA framework’). According to the
    2020 EBA Risk Assessment Report216
    , in June 2020, CVA risk accounted, on average, for
    around 2% of the total capital requirements of EU banks.
    After its adoption by the BCBS, the standard of capital requirement for CVA risk has been
    criticised by banks and supervisors in most jurisdictions due to its inability to appropriately
    capture CVA risk. On the one hand, banks highlighted the lack of risk-sensitivity of the
    approaches to be used to calculate the capital requirements for CVA risk and complained
    about the non-recognition of their existing CVA models developed for accounting purposes,
    as well as of the hedging strategies they were using to reduce their CVA risks for accounting
    purposes. In their view, this led to an overstatement of the actual level of CVA risk they were
    exposed to. On the other hand, supervisors complained that the approaches only captured one
    type of CVA risk (i.e. the credit spread risk of the counterparty), neglecting the potentially
    material market risk embedded in the derivative transactions. In their view, this resulted in
    potentially too low capital requirements for CVA risk in certain cases.
    To address those concerns, the BCBS published a revised standard for the calculation of
    capital requirements for CVA risk (hereafter ‘revised CVA standard’) in December 2017, as
    part of the final Basel III reform. The revised CVA standards introduced three new
    approaches for the calculation of capital requirements for CVA risks: the simplified
    approach, the basic approach (BA-CVA), and the standardised approach (SA-CVA).
    214
    According to the BCBS, roughly two-thirds of losses that materialised on counterparty credit risk were
    attributed to CVA losses on non-defaulted counterparties whereas one-third was attributed to actual defaults of
    counterparties (see https://www.bis.org/press/p110601.pdf).
    215
    Basel III, A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems, BCBS, 2011 (see
    https://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs189.pdf).
    216
    EBA: Risk Assessment of the European Banking System, December 2020 (see
    https://www.eba.europa.eu/sites/default/documents/files/document_library/Risk%20Analysis%20and%20Data/
    Risk%20Assessment%20Reports/2020/December%202020/961060/Risk%20Assessment_Report_December_20
    20.pdf).
    133
    These approaches improve the calculation of capital requirements for CVA risk by:
     enhancing its risk sensitivity by taking into account the exposure component of CVA
    risk alongside with its associated hedges (in contrast to the current CVA framework
    captures only the credit spread risk of CVA);
     reflecting banks’ existing CVA models developed for accounting purposes under SA-
    CVA (in contrast to the current CVA framework which is based on a prescribed
    formula); and
     introducing more proportionality in the prudential framework with the simplified
    approach. This approach would be available for banks with relatively low volumes of
    derivatives activities217
    .
    In the course of monitoring the expected impact of the revised CVA standard, the BCBS
    identified a few issues218
    that needed to be addressed. Following a public consultation219
    launched in December 2019, the BCBS revised certain elements of the standard and
    published a final version220
    in July 2020 (hereafter ‘final CVA standard’). These targeted
    revisions led to a significant decrease in the impact of the revised CVA standards and
    improved the consistency of the prudential framework. As part of its 2020 CfA response, the
    EBA recommended to implement those revisions in Union law. Similarly to the other
    elements of the final Basel III reform, the implementation deadline of the final CVA standard
    has been postponed to 1 January 2023 in light of the COVID-19 pandemic.
    1.5.2. Exemptions from the current CVA framework
    Similarly to the original CVA standard, the final CVA standard adopted by the BCBS
    contains limited exemptions from the calculation of the capital requirement for CVA risk221
    .
    By contrast, when adopting the current CVA framework in Union law via the CRR, the EU
    co-legislators exempted certain additional types of derivative transactions from the
    calculation of capital requirements for CVA risk. These were mostly transactions with
    counterparties that were exempted from the clearing/margining mandates under Regulation
    (EU) No 648/2012 (also known as EMIR)222
    . The exemptions were introduced to prevent a
    potential excessive increase in the cost of derivative transactions triggered by the introduction
    of the then new capital requirements for CVA risk.
    217
    Under the Basel standard, the simplified approach is restricted to banks with less than EUR 100 billion of
    total nominal value of non-centrally cleared derivatives transactions.
    218
    More specifically, the calibration of the revised CVA standard was deemed too high, leading to significant
    increase in capital requirements and not sufficiently aligned with the revised market risk framework. In addition,
    the treatment of fair-valued SFTs in the scope of the capital requirements, as well as the treatment of credit and
    equity indices as hedging instruments, were not considered adequate under the revised CVA standard.
    219
    See https://www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d488.pdf.
    220
    See https://www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d507.pdf.
    221
    Only derivatives transactions with qualified CCPs and with CCPs’ clients where a bank acts as clearing
    member are exempted.
    222
    The exemptions cover derivative transactions with EU Member States, certain local authorities, most non-
    financial corporates, and pension funds.
    134
    The exemptions did not affect the calculation of CVA under the accounting rules. Therefore,
    the actual CVA risk of the exempted transactions under the CRR may still be a source of
    significant risk for some banks that benefit from those exemptions; if those risks materialise,
    the banks concerned could suffer significant losses. As highlighted by the EBA in its report
    on CVA published in February 2015, these exemptions may have significantly decreased the
    capital requirements for CVA risk223
    for EU banks. . In its report, the EBA took the position,
    unchanged since then, that the CVA exemptions should be removed for prudential reasons. In
    2017, the EBA started developing guidelines224
    on how supervisors should assess the CVA
    risk of exempted transactions under the SREP; the guidelines were never finalised due to a
    presumed lack of legal basis in the CRR/CRD.
    The CVA exemptions are one of the main reasons why, in 2014, the BCBS judged the EU
    implementation of the Basel III standards on capital requirements as materially non-
    compliant225
    .
    Policy options
    Option 1 - Remove the existing CVA exemptions
    Under this option the CRR would be fully aligned with the final CVA standard, including
    through the removal of the existing additional CVA exemptions.
    Option 2 - Keep the existing CVA exemptions while reinforcing the monitoring of the
    corresponding risks
    Like under option 1, option 2 would also implement the final CVA standard in the CRR, but
    would keep the existing CVA exemptions contained in the CRR. In addition, to enhance the
    monitoring of CVA risk related to the exempted transactions, option 2 would require banks to
    report to their supervisors the calculation226
    of capital requirements for CVA risk for those
    transactions. Finally, in consideration that the CRD V already clarified the rights for
    supervisors to impose supervisory measures for risks exempted from Pillar 1, option 2 would
    mandate the EBA to develop guidelines to help supervisors with the identification of
    excessive CVA risk. The guidelines would improve the harmonisation of supervisory action
    across the EU in this area.
    Impacts and comparison across options
    Option 1 would strengthen the capital position of EU banks by removing the current CVA
    exemptions. However, it would also lead to a significant increase in the capital requirements
    for EU banks: in its 2020 CfA response, the EBA estimated that removing the existing
    exemptions would lead to a weighted average increase of 2.1% in the total capital
    223
    See The EBA advises the European Commission on Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) risk | European
    Banking Authority (europa.eu)
    224
    Guidelines on the treatment of CVA risk under SREP | European Banking Authority (europa.eu)
    225
    See Regulatory Consistency Assessment Programme (RCAP) - Assessment of Basel III regulations -
    European Union (bis.org)
    226
    That is the calculation of capital required for CVA risks if the transactions were not exempted under CRR.
    135
    requirements of EU banks in the EBA sample. This would likely lead to an increase in the
    costs of derivative transactions, which may in turn lead bank clients that currently use
    derivatives for hedging their financial risks to reduce their use of derivatives or even stop
    using them altogether (the latter may be especially the case for those clients that cannot post
    collateral on their derivative transactions due to operational constrains).
    Keeping the exemptions as proposed under option 2 would significantly mitigate the impact
    of implementing the final CVA standard: the EBA estimated that under this option the
    weighted average increase would be reduced to 0.5% of the total capital requirements. While
    option 2 would not address the issue of the CVA risk of the exempted transactions, it would
    provide supervisors with additional guidance on how to address cases of excessive CVA risk
    with Pillar 2 measures.
    Stakeholders’ views are mixed on what to do with the CVA exemptions: Member States’
    views are split, the supervisory community (including the ECB and the EBA) supports option
    1, while the EP and the banking sector support option 2 (see Annex 2 for more details).
    Table 17. Comparison of policy options against effectiveness, efficiency and coherence
    criteria
    EFFECTIVENESS
    EFFICIENCY
    (cost-effectiveness)
    COHERENCE OVERALL SCORE
    Baseline option 0 0 0 0
    Option 1 ++ - ≈ ≈
    Option 2 + ++ ++ ++
    Magnitude of impact as compared with the Baseline option (the baseline is indicated as 0): ++ strongly
    positive; + positive; – – strongly negative; – negative; ≈ marginal/neutral; ? uncertain; n.a. not applicable
    Preferred option
    In light of the above analysis, which led to the overall score of each policy option in Table
    17, option 2 is deemed the preferred policy option.
    1.6. Minimum haircut floor framework for SFTs
    Problem definition
    Non-bank financial intermediation can, if appropriately conducted, help to diversify the
    funding sources of corporates and households. In addition, it may stimulate competition,
    which ultimately supports real economic activity, and help distributing financial risks across
    a wider range of investors and lenders. Since the GFC, this source of financing has become
    an increasingly important alternative to banks227
    .
    This surge of activity outside the banking sector has raised concerns in the regulatory
    community that non-bank financial intermediation may also become a source of systemic
    227
    The assets of the money market and investment funds and other non-bank financial institutions sector in the
    EU almost doubled from EUR 23 trillion in 2008 to EUR 39 trillion by the Q3 2020 (see ECB statistical data
    warehouse:
    https://sdw.ecb.europa.eu/browseSelection.do?type=series&q=RAI.Q.D0.IFOFI1.Z01.QSA.E&node=SEARCH
    RESULTS&ec=&oc=&rc=&cv=&pb=&dc=&df=)
    136
    risk, given that this sector is usually subject to less stringent supervision, if any, and hence
    potentially more prone to pro-cyclicality and the build-up of excessive leverage.228
    This is
    particularity true if this sector engages in activities that are typically performed by banks,
    such as liquidity and maturity transformation.
    One element that can contribute to the potential build-up of leverage created outside the
    banking sector are so-called SFTs229
    . SFTs are collateralised bilateral transactions, whereby
    cash, securities or commodities are transferred from one counterparty (transferor) to the other
    counterparty (transferee), and the transferee provides collateral in the form of cash or
    securities to the transferor. SFT markets play an essential role in the EU financial system by
    allowing financial intermediaries to manage their own liquidity position and support their
    securities market-making activities. They also allow central banks to transmit, via financial
    intermediaries, their monetary policy to the real economy.
    According to the EBA’s August 2019 CfA response, repurchase agreements (so-called
    ‘repos’ and their counterparts ‘reverse repos’), are the most important type of SFTs used by
    EU banks in terms of trading volumes230
    (see
    228
    See for instance, EU Non-bank Financial Intermediation Risk Monitor 2019, ESRB, July 2019
    229
    See Report on securities financing transactions and leverage in the EU, ESMA, October 2016.
    230
    A more comprehensive estimate of the European repo market (including both repos and reverse repos) is
    provided by the ESBR, with a total value amounting to EUR 8.3 trillion at the end of 2019 (see EU Non-bank
    Financial Intermediation Risk Monitor 2020)
    137
    Figure 11). Repos are particularly useful for banks as they offer a secured alternative to
    unsecured interbank lending to manage their funding and liquidity needs. Institutional
    investors and non-financial counterparties also use the repo markets, usually to invest their
    excess cash. The second most important type of SFTs in the EU are securities lending and
    borrowing. In contrast to repos, securities lending and borrowing are motivated by the
    demand from financial intermediaries for a particular type of securities, instead of a funding
    need.
    138
    Figure 11 also shows that outstanding SFT market activities are highly concentrated within
    large banks, in particular within G-SIIs and O-SIIs. In addition, Figure 12 shows the wide
    range of EU banks’ counterparties in SFTs, which differ significantly across SFT types.
    Repos traded by EU banks, of which a significant portion is cleared through central
    counterparties, has the widest range of counterparties. In contrast, securities
    lending/borrowing and margin lending/borrowing transactions of EU banks are more
    concentrated with one type of counterparties (other banks for the former, unregulated
    financial intermediaries for the latter).
    139
    Figure 11: Breakdown of outstanding SFTs volumes across EU banks, by SFT type and bank
    size
    Source: Basel III reforms: Impact study and key recommendations, August 2019, EBA.
    Note: for each type of SFTs, volumes are expressed in gross amount of one of the two legs of the SFT.
    Figure 12: Breakdown of EU banks’ counterparties in their outstanding SFTs, by
    counterparty type and SFT type.
    Source: Basel III reforms: Impact study and key recommendations, August 2019, EBA.
    Note: for each type of SFTs, the % of total gross amount of outstanding SFTs
    While the merits and the importance of SFTs are widely recognised, SFTs can also enable
    financial intermediaries to recursively leverage their positions by reinvesting the cash
    received through an SFT to borrow new securities via other SFTs. Such strategy can create
    opaque interconnectedness231
    between the banking sector and the less regulated or
    unregulated non-bank financial sector which could go unnoticed by supervisory authorities
    and which could increase risk of financial contagion during stressed market conditions.
    In order to reduce the build-up of leverage outside of the banking sector in the EU, the
    Financial Stability Board (FSB) published in 2013 a number of prudential recommendations
    231
    An illustration of this interconnectedness has been provided by the ESRB as the volume of EU banks’ repo
    liabilities to non-Money Market Funds and other financial institutions amounting to EUR 44 billion at the end of
    2019 (see EU Non-bank Financial Intermediation Risk Monitor 2020).
    140
    for the SFT market232
    . One of these recommendations was to introduce of minimum haircut
    floors framework for specific SFTs between banks and non-bank financial counterparties233
    ,
    either directly via a market regulation or indirectly via a more punitive capital treatment of
    SFTs not meeting the minimum haircut floors that was developed by the BCBS. The choice
    of the implementation approach was left to each FSB member jurisdiction.
    More specifically, the FSB recommended to require banks that engage in non-centrally
    cleared SFTs in which they provide financing to non-bank financial counterparties against
    collateral other than government securities (‘in-scope SFTs’) to obtain from these
    counterparties a certain minimum amount of over-collateralisation234
    . This additional
    collateral amount mainly would depend on the type of collateral received as well as its
    remaining maturity.
    For those jurisdictions that would choose to implement the SFT minimum collateral haircuts
    recommendation via market regulation, banks would no longer be allowed to conduct in-
    scope SFTs with non-banks financial counterparties that would not comply with the defined
    minimum level of collateralisation, i.e. where non-banks financial counterparties do not
    provide the minimum amount of over-collateralisation. In contrast, those jurisdictions that
    would choose to implement the SFT minimum collateral haircuts recommendation via the
    implementation of the Basel standard, banks would still be allowed to conduct in-scope SFTs
    with non-banks financial counterparties that would not comply with the defined minimum
    level of over-collateralisation, but these transactions would be treated as unsecured loans
    under the Basel standard (rather than secured exposures under the normal treatment). As a
    consequence, the capital requirements for the non-compliant SFTs would significantly
    increase, creating a strong disincentive for banks to conduct such transactions. The final
    elements of the Basel III reform published in 2017 include a detailed methodology to verify
    whether SFTs comply with the minimum collateral haircuts agreed by the FSB, including for
    cases where multiple SFTs are subject to a master netting agreement235
    .
    Due to its connection with the Basel standards, the initial implementation deadline of the FSB
    recommendation has been aligned with the implementation deadline of the final Basel III
    reform, i.e. 1 January 2022. The FSB later postponed the deadline by one year236
    to align it
    with the postponement of the deadline for implementing the final elements of the Basel III
    reform decided by the BCBS in March 2020 in light of the COVID-19 pandemic.
    232
    FSB: Strengthening Oversight and Regulation of Shadow Banking, 29 August 2013.
    233
    Another FSB recommendation suggested the introduction of the same minimum collateral haircuts for
    specific SFTs between non-bank and non-bank financial counterparties, but this time only via a market
    regulation since no counterparties to the SFTs would be subject to the Basel standard.
    234
    To ensure a level playing field, the SFTs that do not meet the minimum amount of over-collateralisation (in
    other words, that do not comply with the minimum haircut floors) should be identified in the same way by banks
    whether their authorities decide to introduce the minimum haircut floors framework for SFTs via a market
    regulation or by implementing the Basel standard.
    235
    While verifying the compliance with the minimum collateral haircut requirement is relatively simple for a
    single SFT, it becomes more complicated where multiple SFTs are included in a master netting agreement. In
    fact, in this case, compliance has to be verified at portfolio level, taking into account the various collateral types
    included in all the SFT subject to the master netting agreement.
    236
    See FSB extends implementation timelines for securities financing transactions - Financial Stability Board
    141
    Policy options
    Baseline option - No changes to the EU regulatory framework
    The baseline option does not entail any policy changes or regulatory initiatives to reduce the
    potential build-up of leverage outside of the banking sector in the EU. In this situation, the
    build-up of leverage outside of the banking sector may continue to persist or even
    intensify.237
    Option 1 - Introduce the minimum haircut floors framework for SFTs, either via the
    prudential framework applicable to banks or via a market regulation
    The EU already adopted a number of the FSB recommendations in 2015 via Regulation (EU)
    2015/2365238
    , also known as the Securities Financing Transactions Regulation (SFTR).
    However, the SFT minimum collateral haircuts framework are not yet implemented. Option 1
    would therefore introduce the SFT minimum collateral haircuts framework in Union law,
    either via a market regulation (requiring amendments to either SFTR or MIFIR, or introduced
    via a new regulation) or via the implementation of the relevant standard of the final Basel III
    reform in the CRR.
    Option 2 - Postpone the introduction of the minimum haircut floors framework until
    sufficient data on impacts are available
    In its dedicated report on the implementation of the minimum collateral haircut framework
    published239
    in August 2019 as part of its CfA response, the EBA highlighted the lack of
    clarity of certain aspects of the minimum haircut floors framework for SFTs, in particular
    regarding the scope of SFTs that must be subject to the framework. Some of these aspects
    have been clarified by the FSB in a technical guidance published240
    in November 2019.
    The EBA’s opinion is consistent with the conclusions of a report241
    mandated by SFTR and
    published by the Commission in 2017 on progress in international efforts to mitigate the risks
    associated with SFTs, including on the implementation of minimum haircut floors framework
    for SFTs. In this report, the Commission highlighted that it is not clear whether the prudential
    objectives of the minimum collateral haircut framework (i.e. reduction of the potential
    leverage outside the banking sector) could be attained without the risk of creating undesirable
    consequences on EU SFT markets. This report stressed the need to assess the impacts of
    introducing this framework in Union law on the basis of a wider set of more granular data
    which will be available once the reporting requirements set out under SFTR become
    effective. For credit institutions established in the EU, the SFTR reporting requirement
    started recently, in April 2020, following the adoption of technical standards developed by
    237
    Available data does not suggest that the level of leverage outside the banking sector will decrease on its own
    over time.
    238
    Regulation (EU) 2015/2365 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 25 November 2015 on
    transparency of securities financing transactions and of reuse and amending Regulation (EU) No 648/2012.
    239
    See EBA: Policy Advice on the Basel III Reforms on Security Financing Transactions (SFTs), August 2019.
    240
    See Annex 2, in SFT minimum haircut standards - Technical Guidance (fsb.org)
    241
    See Register of Commission Documents - COM(2017)604 (europa.eu)
    142
    the ESMA specifying its operational details. The ESMA expressed a similar preference in its
    2016 report on SFTs242
    .
    Taking into account the above elements, option 2 would propose to postpone the introduction
    of the minimum haircut floors framework in Union law until EBA and ESMA jointly report
    to the Commission by [one year after entry into force of CRRIII] on the appropriateness of
    the two implementation approaches recommended by the FSB to implement this framework
    (i.e. a market regulation or a more punitive treatment of capital requirement under the Basel
    standards) to reduce the potential build-up of leverage outside the banking sector while
    avoiding undesirable consequences on the functioning of the EU SFT markets. This report
    will exploit as much as possible the data collected by the ESMA via the SFTR reporting
    requirements.
    Based on the findings of this report, the Commission would propose a new legislative
    initiative by [two years after entry into force of CRRIII] to implement the minimum collateral
    haircut framework for SFTs in Union law. This proposal would take the form of an
    amendment to the prudential framework, in case the Commission would propose to
    implement this framework via a punitive treatment of capital requirement. Alternatively, the
    Commission would propose the implementation of this framework via an amendment to an
    existing market regulation or, if necessary, a new market regulation.
    Impacts and comparison across options
    The baseline option would have no direct impact on EU banks’ capital requirements since no
    change would be made to the prudential framework. However, no prudential measures would
    be introduced to reduce the build-up of leverage outside of the banking sector in the EU, as
    recommended by the FSB. This option would provide no further indication when the EU
    would fulfil the FSB recommendation to address this issue, which may further undermine
    market confidence in the EU financial system.
    As shown in
    242
    ESMA: Report on securities financing transactions and leverage in the EU, October 2016.
    143
    Figure 13 below, the EBA estimated that only a small proportion of all the SFTs (i.e. 7.4% of
    total gross amount of outstanding SFTs) currently traded by EU banks would qualify as in-
    scope SFTs, i.e. would fall under the minimum haircut floors framework as implemented
    under option 1. However, this amount would still be large when measured in terms of risk (as
    shown in Figure 14 below, it represents roughly 20% of the total RWAs of outstanding
    SFTs).
    144
    Figure 13: Proportions of in-scope SFTs, by SFT type (% of total gross amount of
    outstanding SFTs).
    Source: EBA, Basel III Reforms: Impact Study and Key Recommendations, August 2019.
    Figure 14: Breakdown of SFTs RWA subject to the minimum haircut floors (expressed as %
    of total current SFTs RWAs)
    Source: EBA, Basel III Reforms: Impact Study and Key Recommendations, August 2019
    Under option 1, EU banks would be subject to new regulatory constraints on their SFT
    activities as compared to the baseline option which is likely to be more costly. However, the
    impacts between the two possible implementation approaches would differ.
    If option 1 would take the form of the implementation of the Basel standard, the EBA
    estimated as part of its August 2019 CfA response that this would result in a significant
    increase in the capital requirements for those SFTs that would not comply with the minimum
    haircut floor framework. Specifically, it would lead to a weighted average increase in RWAs
    of for those transactions of approximately 180%, representing a weighted average increase of
    more than 35% on the full SFTs portfolio of EU banks in the EBA sample (see “Basel III
    central scenario” in ). As estimated by the EBA, this increase would be largely mitigated if all
    145
    EU banks were to receive all the required additional collateral amount on the in-scope SFTs
    that do not currently comply with the minimum haircut floors to be compliant (see
    “Alternative scenario” in Figure 15).
    If option 1 would take the form of a market regulation, EU banks would be required to
    receive more collateral to continue engaging in the SFTs transactions that are currently non-
    compliant with the minimum haircut floors (‘first scenario’). Otherwise, those transactions
    would no longer be permitted (‘second scenario’). Therefore, the impact of this
    implementation approach would fall between the impacts under those two scenarios. In case
    of the first scenario, the impact in terms of capital requirements would be similar to the
    impact under above-mentioned “Alternative scenario” (see Figure 15). In case of the second
    scenario, the volume of SFTs that do not comply with the minimum haircut floor framework
    would drop to zero, which would in turn result in a small reduction in the RWAs of the
    overall SFTs portfolio (see Figure 14).
    A market regulation approach to implement the minimum haircut floor for SFTs may be more
    advantageous than the Basel standard approach from a level playing field perspective. In fact,
    the FSB also recommended their member jurisdictions to implement the minimum haircut
    floor for SFTs between non-banks. This can only be done via a market regulation since non-
    banks are usually not subject to the prudential framework applicable to banks (neither in the
    EU nor elsewhere). For these reasons, a number of respondents to the public consultation
    supported the implementation of the minimum haircut floor for SFTs in the EU via a market
    regulation that would apply to both banks and non-banks engaging in SFTs.
    Figure 15. Impacts of the minimum haircut floor framework on the capital requirements of
    SFTs as implemented in the prudential framework under option 1. Expressed in % change of
    RWAs on individual group of SFTs (left-hand side) and on all the SFTs portfolio (right-hand
    side)
    Source: EBA, Basel III Reforms: Impact Study and Key Recommendations, August 2019.
    146
    It should be noted that the above estimated impacts do not represent a comprehensive picture
    of the real impact of the minimum haircut floor framework for SFTs since the sample of EU
    banks providing data on the minimum haircut floor framework for SFTs as part of the CfA
    QIS was relatively limited (only 39 out of the 189 banks participating to the CfA QIS). In
    addition, the impact on non-banks has yet to be estimated. A reliable analysis would require
    a broader data collection than the one performed by the EBA.
    In addition, some respondents to the Commission’s 2019 public consultation stressed that the
    minimum haircut floors framework could render some types of SFTs uneconomical due to
    the nature of those transactions. In particular, securities lending transactions, which are not
    undertaken to provide financing but rather to source a specific security, may be particularly
    affected by this reform (as shown in
    147
    Figure 11, they represent the second most traded type of SFTs in the EU). Those
    respondents’ concern was that a potential lender of a security, which is typically a non-bank,
    could refrain from engaging in this type of transactions if its ability to apply an appropriate
    haircut on the borrowing counterparty, which is usually a bank, would be restricted due to a
    minimum haircut floor applied on the lending side of the transaction.243
    Postponing the implementation of the minimum haircut floors framework for SFTs as
    proposed under option 2 would preserve the status quo meaning that no capital or market
    impact would occur for now. The additional time would allow to carry out a comprehensive
    assessment by the EBA and the ESMA of the impact of the implementation of the minimum
    haircut floor framework in the EU and of potential issues with the framework, based on
    sufficient supporting evidence from both banks and non-banks engaging in the EU SFTs
    markets. Option 2 would provide the indication to the FSB and EU banking sector that this
    framework would be implemented once the assessment would be performed, so it would not
    bring in question our commitment to implement the FSB recommendations.
    Table 18: Comparison of policy options against effectiveness, efficiency and coherence
    criteria
    EFFECTIVENESS
    EFFICIENCY
    (cost-effectiveness)
    COHERENCE OVERALL SCORE
    Baseline option 0 0 0 0
    Option 1 ≈ - + ≈
    Option 2 + + + +
    Magnitude of impact as compared with the Baseline option (the baseline is indicated as 0): ++ strongly positive; + positive;
    – – strongly negative; – negative; ≈ marginal/neutral; ? uncertain; n.a. not applicable
    Preferred option
    In light of the above analysis, which led to the overall score of each policy option in Table
    18, option 2 is deemed the preferred policy option.
    1.7. Standardised approach for counterparty credit risk
    Problem definition
    In 2014, the BCBS adopted244
    a new standardised approach to calculate the capital
    requirements for counterparty credit risk of derivative transactions, the so-called standardised
    approach for counterparty credit risk (SA-CCR). Under the SA-CCR, the exposure value of a
    derivative transaction is given by the sum of two components, the replacement cost (RC) and
    the potential future exposure (PFE), multiplied by a supervisory parameter (‘alpha’, equal to
    1.4).
    243
    According to both the FSB recommendation and the Basel standard, the minimum haircut has to be applied
    on the non-bank side of the transaction in order to reduce the amount of financing that could be obtained against
    a certain amount of collateral. In the example at hand, this would be the lending side of the transaction.
    244
    BCBS: The standardised approach for measuring counterparty credit risk exposures, April 2014.
    148
    The SA-CCR addresses deficiencies identified by the BCBS in the former standardised
    approaches to calculate the capital requirements for counterparty credit risk, mainly their lack
    of risk sensitivity. In addition for the purpose of calculating capital requirements for
    counterparty credit risk, the SA-CCR is used in other parts of the Basel framework, namely
    the large exposures standard, the leverage ratio standard, the standard on capital requirements
    for exposures to central counterparties and, starting from 1 January 2023, the output floor
    (since the output floor relies on the capital requirements of a bank calculated using all the
    standardised approaches of the Basel framework, as explained in Section 1.8 of this Annex).
    In the EU, the SA-CCR was adopted in May 2019 as part of the CRR II, in full compliance
    with the Basel standard. Starting from 28 June 2021, EU banks are required to use the SA-
    CCR to calculate the exposure values of their derivative transactions, unless they have been
    granted the permission to use the internal model approach245
    for counterparty credit risk
    (generally used by EU banks with the largest derivative portfolios) or are eligible to use one
    of the simpler standardised approaches246
    available under the CRR (generally used by EU
    banks with very small derivative portfolios). In the absence of a comprehensive assessment of
    the impact of the SA-CCR across the prudential framework at the time it was adopted, the
    CRR2 mandated the EBA to report to the Commission on the appropriate calibration of the
    SA-CCR by June 2023247
    .
    The EU banking sector have expressed concern about the potential impact of the SA-CCR in
    their responses to the two consultations organised by the Commission. In particular,
    stakeholders have called for a review of the calibration of the SA-CCR in general and of the
    alpha parameter in particular. In their view, the difference in calibration between the SA-
    CCR and the internal model approach for counterparty credit risk is particularly important
    compared to the calibration between the standardised approaches and internal model
    approaches for other risks.248
    With the forthcoming implementation of the output floor into
    the European prudential framework, that difference may become significant, as the
    standardised approaches would potentially constrain the outcome of internal models. A
    disproportionate increase in capital requirements for derivative transactions due to the
    interplay between SA-CCR and the output floor might in turn translate into significant price
    increases for end-user and thereby reduce their incentives to use derivative transactions to
    hedge their financial risks.
    245
    The internal model approach for counterparty credit risk, so-called Internal Model Method (IMM) is set out
    in Section 6, Chapter 6 of Title II of Part Three of the CRR. It should be noted that banks that have been granted
    the use to IMM to calculate the exposure value of their derivative transactions would still be required to use
    SACCR in some areas of the prudential framework, e.g. for the calculation of the leverage ratio.
    246
    The eligibility criteria to use those approaches are set out in Article 273a of CRR
    247
    See Article 514 of CRR.
    248
    For other types of risk, the ratio between the capital requirements produced by the standardised approach and
    those produced by the corresponding internal model is, on average, around 1.5:1, whereas for counterparty
    credit risk it is, on average, around 2:1.
    149
    Against this background, the CMRP adopted by EU co-legislators in February 2021 asked the
    Commission to review the calibration of SA-CCR249
    before its application in Union law,
    taking into account the international level playing field.
    Policy options
    Baseline option: No changes to the SA-CCR calibration
    Under the baseline option, no changes would be made to the calibration of the SA-CCR. The
    Commission would review the impact and calibration of the SA-CCR at a later stage, on the
    basis of the dedicated EBA report due by June 2023, as mandated in the CRR II.
    Option 1 - Revise permanently the calibration of SA-CCR
    Option 1 would permanently lower the overall calibration of the SA-CCR for all derivative
    transactions across the prudential framework. A simple way to lower the overall calibration
    would be to reduce the value of the alpha parameter, as requested by the banking sector.
    Option 2 - Adjust temporarily the calibration of the SA-CCR in the context of the output
    floor only
    Under option 2, the calibration of the SA-CCR would be lowered temporarily for all
    derivative transactions. Like in case of option 1, this would be done by lowering the
    calibration of the alpha parameter. However, the lower calibration under option 2 would only
    be applied when the SA-CCR would be used in the calculation of the output floor; when the
    SA-CCR would be used in other parts of the prudential framework, the calibration of the
    alpha parameter would stay at 1.4 as adopted under the CRR II. Under this option, the
    Commission would take into account the evidence to be collected by the EBA and the
    conclusions of the report to be delivered by the EBA by June 2023, to inform its decision on
    whether the calibration of SA-CCR should be permanently revised across the prudential
    framework.
    Impacts and comparison across options
    While SA-CCR improves the calculation of the exposure value of derivative transactions
    across the prudential framework, the baseline option would likely result in an increase in
    capital requirements for banks using the internal model approach for counterparty credit risk
    due to the use of the SA-CCR in the context of the OF250
    . This could increase the costs of
    derivatives transactions for end users, which could force end users to reduce the amount of
    hedging they do with derivatives or potentially stop using derivatives for hedging altogether.
    Compared with the baseline option, option 1 would lead to a permanent decrease in the
    exposure value of derivative calculated using SA-CCR (of up to roughly 30% in case alpha
    would be recalibrated to 1) across the prudential framework. As a result, the capital
    requirements of derivatives transactions based on the SA-CCR would decrease, while the
    249
    See EUR-Lex - 32021R0337 - EN - EUR-Lex (europa.eu)
    250
    Banks that use one of the standardised approaches for calculating exposure values of derivatives transactions
    would not be affected under the baseline scenario.
    150
    treatment of derivatives transactions under the large exposure or leverage ratio frameworks
    would become less binding. At the same time, the impact of the output floor for banks using
    internal models for counterparty credit risk would be lowered. The overall impact for
    individual banks would depend on the extent to which they would use the SA-CCR, which
    has not been assessed by the EBA as part of the CfA QIS. The revised calibration may, in
    turn, lower the trading costs for end-users (provided that banks would pass at least part of the
    capital reduction on to their clients). In addition, for banks using the internal model approach
    to calculate their capital requirements for counterparty credit risk, the introduction of the
    output floor would, overall, be less constraining under this option. While option 1 would
    address the concerns raised by the EU banking sector about the SA-CCR calibration and, to
    some extent, respond to the request of the EU co-legislators to review the SA-CCR
    calibration, this option would provide a blanket approach that would not be supported by
    empirical evidence and hence would be difficult to justify. . In particular, the revised
    calibration of SA-CCR would however not benefit from the evidence to be established by an
    EBA report which is due alongside with potential recommendations, only by June 2023.
    In addition, option 1 could lead to a material reduction in capital requirements for
    counterparty credit risk of EU banks. The prudential framework already provides exemptions
    from the capital requirements for CVA risk for an important number of derivative
    transactions (see Section 1.5 of this Annex). Introducing a further deviation on those
    transactions with the proposed SA-CCR recalibration under option 1 could lead to a
    significant underestimation of risks associated with derivative transactions, notably in the
    absence of supporting evidence, and result in unjustifiably low capital requirements for
    counterparty credit risk. This could jeopardise the robustness of the capital requirement for
    EU banks that are large dealers of derivative transactions. In addition, such a change in the
    SA-CCR calibration would substantially deviate from the Basel standards, negatively
    impacting the international level playing field.
    Compared to option 1, option 2 would also lead to a decrease of the exposure value
    calculated using SA-CCR (of up to roughly 30% in case alpha would be recalibrated to 1),
    but only temporarily and only in the context of the calculation of the transitional period of the
    output floor. Although option 2 would not lower the SA-CCR calibration across the
    prudential framework in the short-term, this option would largely respond to the main
    concerns raised by EU banks. In the public consultation banks stressed the potential
    excessive increase in capital requirements due to the interplay between SA-CCR and the
    introduction of the output floor, translating in higher trading costs for their clients. The 5-year
    transitional period would offer sufficient time for an in-depth review of the calibration of
    SA-CCR based on t the EBA report and to further discuss this issue at international level.
    Table 19. Comparison of policy options against effectiveness, efficiency and coherence
    criteria
    EFFECTIVENESS
    EFFICIENCY
    (cost-effectiveness)
    COHERENCE OVERALL SCORE
    Baseline option 0 0 0 0
    151
    Option 1 + ++ -- ≈
    Option 2 + + ++ +
    Magnitude of impact as compared with the Baseline option (the baseline is indicated as 0): ++ strongly
    positive; + positive; – – strongly negative; – negative; ≈ marginal/neutral; ? uncertain; n.a. not applicable
    Preferred option
    In light of the above analysis, which led to the overall score of each policy option in Table
    19, option 2 is deemed the preferred policy option.
    1.8. Output Floor
    Problem definition
    A range of studies251
    conducted at both international and EU level found a wide variation in
    capital requirements across banks using internal models that cannot be explained solely by
    differences in the riskiness of banks’ exposures. This variation makes it difficult to compare
    capital ratios across banks, questions their calculation and undermines confidence in capital
    ratios. The studies shed a light on large discrepancies in capital requirements for the same
    types of risks depending on how internal models were built and on the modelling assumptions
    underpinning them. This in turn raised level-playing-field concerns across globally active
    banks from different jurisdictions. It also contributed to impairing market confidence in the
    capital framework. The credibility of internal models further deteriorated, after they were
    identified as sources of endogenous risk and as one of the factors that fuelled the global
    financial crisis.252
    This was also due to the limited capacity of some supervisors to constrain
    modelling, so as to ensure that models accurately reflect the riskiness of individual bank’s
    activities.
    The variability also highlighted the ineffectiveness of the so-called Basel I floor, a measure
    that was introduced as part of the Basel II framework and has been implemented very
    heterogeneously across different regions and MS. The Basel I floor was aimed at ensuring
    that the capital requirements produced by internal models would not fall below 80% of the
    minimum capital requirements calculated under the Basel I standardised approaches. The
    Basel I floor was implemented in Union law, but expired253
    by the end of 2017. However,,
    the Basel I floor did not achieve to reduce the variability in RWAs, mainly because of the
    way it was applied in practice.
    251
    See https://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs256.htm and https://www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d363.htm for benchmarking
    studies, as well as https://eba.europa.eu/regulation-and-policy/supervisory-benchmarking-exercises for EBA
    benchmarking exercises.
    252
    Danielsson, J., Hyun S.-S., and J.-P. Zigrand, “Endogenous and systemic risk”, Quantifying systemic risk,
    University of Chicago Press, Chiacgo, 2012, pp. 73-94; Eichengreen, B., “Origins and responses to the current
    crisis”, CESifo Forum, Vol. 9, No 4, ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung an der Universität München, Munich,
    2008, pp. 6-11.
    253
    Article 500(1) of the CRR contained a provisional measure for a floor that prevented the capital requirements
    calculated by using internally modelled approaches from falling below 80% of the minimum capital
    requirements as calculated under the Consolidated Banking Directive (which transposed the capital
    requirements under Basel I). The so-called “Basel I floor” which has been implemented very heterogeneously
    across different regions and MS, often in ways considered ineffective, expired at the end of 2017.
    152
    Under the current rules, supervisors have to approve the use of internal models and assess
    whether they comply with the applicable requirements. Supervisors have to assess whether
    banks measure risks correctly and consistently. Where deficiencies of a model are identified,
    they may require additional capital or apply other measures to address the situation case-by-
    case. Significant efforts are being undertaken by the EBA254
    and competent authorities
    including the ECB255
    to ensure a harmonised application of the rules on internal models and
    to mitigate the concerns about variability in RWAs. While those efforts are improving the
    situation, variability among internal model outputs (across asset classes and risk-categories)
    remains thereby undermining confidence in internal models used by banks in the EU.
    Policy options
    Baseline option: No risk-based backstop to internal models
    The baseline is the current prudential framework, which – since the expiry of the transitional
    provision on the Basel I floor – does not entail a risk-based backstop that would limit the
    capital benefit an institution may obtain by using internal models, compared to using the
    standardised approaches.
    Option 1 - Implement the OF over the 5-years phase-in at the highest level of consolidation
    taking into account all the risk-based capital requirements contained in EU law
    Under this option, the OF would apply to total RWAs, limiting the variations – be they
    justified or not – between banks for the same underlying risks. This would produce floored
    RWAs to be used for the calculation of the stack of all the risk-based capital requirements
    contained in the EU prudential framework, including those that are not or not explicitly set
    out in the Basel framework: the minimum capital requirement (the so-called ‘Pillar 1
    requirement’), the capital conservation buffer (CCB) requirement, the countercyclical capital
    buffer (CCyB) requirement, the buffer requirements for global systemically-important and
    other systemically-important institutions (G-/O-SIIs), as well as bank-specific capital
    requirements imposed by supervisors (‘Pillar 2 requirement’ or P2R) and the systemic risk
    buffer (SyRB) requirement256
    .
    As the P2R and they SyRB requirement can be used to address risks that are similar in nature
    to those addressed by the OF, there is a possibility that certain risks (e.g. model risk) could be
    254
    EBA, Progress report on IRB roadmap – Monitoring Implementation, Reporting, and Transparency, July
    2019, https://eba.europa.eu/eba-publishes-report-on-progress-made-on-its-roadmap-to-repair-irb-models.
    255
    The ECB’s targeted review of internal models (TRIM) is a multi-year project to ensure that capital
    requirements for banks using internal models are calculated correctly, consistently and in a comparable manner,
    for more details see e.g.
    https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/press/publications/newsletter/2019/html/ssm.nl190515_6.en.html.
    256
    Separately, the same RWAs would also be used for the calculation of the risk-based total loss-absorbing
    capacity (TLAC) requirement. In the EU, the TLAC standard adopted by the FSB has been implemented
    through a minimum requirement for own funds and eligible liabilities (MREL). The MREL consists of own
    funds and part of a bank's liabilities. If a bank fails and goes into resolution, the MREL acts as a buffer to absorb
    losses and to provide new capital to the bank. This ensures that the costs of failure of a bank will as much as
    possible be borne by the bank's investors, i.e. its shareholders and creditors. While a harmonised minimum level
    of MREL for G-SIIs is introduced into CRR, the MREL for other institutions is regulated in BRRD and SRMR.
    153
    double-counted once the OF starts to apply. The CRR/D would therefore prescribe that any
    double counting of the risks captured by the OF and the risks captured by any of the other
    requirements – notably those imposed by supervisors under Pillar 2 and the macro-prudential
    framework257
    – must be avoided (see example in Error! Not a valid bookmark self-
    reference., P2R currently addressing model risk would be consumed by the OF). In case
    double-counting would be present, supervisors would need to reduce the requirements that
    double-count the risks that would be already captured by the OF. The EBA's advice258
    includes a specific recommendation to supervisors to this effect and calls on them, more
    generally, to reconsider the appropriate level of P2R and the SyRB requirement in light of the
    OF, once it would apply.259
    Furthermore, any increase of the P2R and/or SyRB requirement
    that do not stem from the increase in risks but from the increase in RWAs following the
    introduction of the OF would need to be neutralised.
    In concrete terms, the following actions would take place once an institution would become
    bound by the OF:
     the P2R and the SyRB requirement would be “frozen” to avoid automatic (also referred to
    as “arithmetic”) increases in the nominal amount of regulatory capital required under
    those two requirements. Without this freezing, the increase in RWAs due to the OF would
    also push up the EUR amount required under the SyRB and the P2R (in the latter case
    only if the requirement is calculated as a percentage of RWAs; see “Basel III without
    adjustments” in Error! Not a valid bookmark self-reference.).This safeguard is
    justified by the fact that the increase in RWAs due to the institution becoming bound by
    the OF is, all else being equal, purely arithmetic and is not reflective of an actual increase
    in risks that would justify requiring additional capital from the institution260
    ;
     the institution’s competent authority would be required to review the calibration of the
    P2R and the competent or designated authority, as applicable, will be required to review
    the calibration of the SyRB requirement, respectively, to establish whether double-
    counting of risk is present, and if so, to re-calibrate those requirements to avoid such
    double-counting (see option 1 in Error! Not a valid bookmark self-reference.);
    257
    Besides the SyRB, authorities can revert to so-called “national flexibility measures” to address systemic risks
    stemming from the use of internal models. Specifically, a number authorities have introduced “floors” requiring
    banks that use internal models to apply minimum risk-weights to certain exposures (e.g. mortgages and/or
    corporates). Those measures increase the Pillar 1 capital requirements.
    258
    EBA, Policy Advice on the Basel III reforms: Output Floor, August 2019.
    259
    In cases where the OF will increase total RWAs supervisors would need to consider the effect on the absolute
    level of capital requirements.
    260
    Assume that today a bank needs to hold 2% of RWAs as additional capital, which amounts to EUR 1 billion
    of actual capital. Now, if RWAs for that bank increase by 20% due to the new OF, the 2% might suddenly go
    from EUR 1 billion to EUR 1.2 billion of actual capital. This increase would not reflect additional but represent
    a purely arithmetic effect that should be neutralised in the P2R calculations, cf. "Basel III – journey or
    destination?", Keynote speech by Andrea Enria, Chair of the Supervisory Board of the ECB, at the European
    Commission's DG Financial Stability, Financial Services and Capital Markets Union conference on the
    implementation of Basel III, November 2019,
    https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/press/speeches/date/2019/html/ssm.sp191112_1~01be3b89b0.en.ht
    ml.
    154
     the two requirements would remain frozen until the respective reviews would be
    concluded and the relevant decisions on the appropriate calibration of the requirements
    are announced.
    Figure 16: Stylised example – functioning of the OF (option 1)
    Notes: Dotted areas of the stack indicate the increase in capital demand driven by the increase in RWA due to the OF. This
    increase is expected to be neutralised for P2R/SyRB requirements. “P2R – Model risk” refers to the part of current P2R that
    would be removed due to an overlap with the OF.
    Option 1 would also make use of the transitional arrangements for the OF provided by the
    Basel III standards on an optional basis, i.e. a 5-year transitional path until 2030 (see Table
    20) for institutions to grow into and adjust to the OF requirement as well as a “transitory
    cap”261
    that temporarily prevents RWAs from increasing by more than 25% because of the
    OF.
    Table 20: Phased-in implementation of the OF
    1st
    Jan 2025 1st
    Jan 2026 1st
    Jan 2027 1st
    Jan 2028 1st
    Jan 2029 1st
    Jan 2030
    calibration 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 72.5%
    261
    During the phase-in period the incremental increase in a bank’s total RWAs that results from the application
    of the OF would be capped. This transitional cap would be set at 25% of a bank’s RWAs before the application
    of the floor.
    Aritmethical increase
    Double counting
    155
    As regards the level at which the OF would apply, option 1 would entail its application only
    at the highest level of consolidation in the EU, recognising the benefits of risk diversification
    across different entities and business models of entities within the same banking group. While
    the potential increase in capital, required due to the application of the OF at consolidated
    level, would have to be distributed fairly across the entities of the banking group taking into
    account their risk profile, capital requirements at sub-consolidated and individual levels
    would continue to be calculated based on RWAs that are not subject to the OF.
    Option 2 - Implement the OF over the 5-years phase-in at all levels of application taking
    into account all risk-based capital requirements contained in EU law
    Under this option, the OF would apply to all the risk-based capital requirements contained in
    EU law, including those that are not or not explicitly set out in the Basel framework.
    However, it would apply at all levels of application, i.e. at the consolidated, sub-consolidated
    and individual level, as it is the case for many other prudential requirements such as the
    leverage ratio.
    Option 3 - Implement the OF as a parallel requirement applicable at the highest level of
    consolidation that takes into account only the risk-based capital requirements
    provided by the Basel framework (“parallel stack approach”)
    Under this option, two different overall capital requirements based on different stacks of
    capital requirements would be calculated, compared, and the higher of these two amounts
    would be the binding capital requirement.
    - The first stack would reflect the sum of the risk-based capital requirements listed in
    the Basel standards as well as some elements of the P2R (e.g. risks which are
    exclusively covered under the risk-based Pillar 2 and excluded from Pillar 1 such as
    interest risk in the banking book, etc., or excessive model risk that are not fully
    addressed by the OF) calculated on the basis of floored RWAs;
    - The second stack would represent the sum of all risk-based capital requirements
    applicable in the EU calculated in accordance with internally modelled approaches on
    the basis of non-floored RWAs.
    The floor applies if the first stack results in a higher overall requirement (see Figure 17).
    Precondition for implementing this approach would be a clear decomposition of risks to be
    captured under the floored stack vs. the risks to be captured under the non-floored stack.
    Figure 17: Stylised example – comparison of option 1 vs option 2
    156
    Notes: Dotted areas of the stack indicate the increase in capital demand driven by the increase in RWA due to
    the OF. This increase is expected to be neutralised for P2R/SyRB requirements. “P2R – Model risk” refers to
    the part of current P2R that would be removed due to an overlap with the OF.
    Under option 3 the OF applied to the floored stack would be subject to the transitional
    arrangements for the OF provided by the Basel III standards.
    Option 4 - Implement the OF as a parallel requirement that takes into account only the risk-
    based capital requirements provided by the Basel framework (“parallel stack
    approach”) and apply at all levels
    Under this option, the OF would be a parallel requirement applied only to the risk-based
    capital requirements that are explicitly listed in the Basel framework, like under option 3.
    However, it would apply at all levels of application, i.e. at the consolidated, sub-consolidated
    and individual level, as it is the case for many other prudential requirements such as the
    leverage ratio.
    Impacts and comparison across options
    The impact of either option ultimately depends on the extent to which supervisors actually
    adjust the requirements in their remit, in particular P2R, in view of the OF, which in itself
    depends on the specific risk-profile of each individual bank: Under Option 1, supervisors
    would adjust P2R and SyRB / other related macro-prudential capital requirements to avoid
    157
    double counting of risks. Under Option 2 supervisors would address some institutions-
    specific risks by imposing P2R also for the calculation of the floored stack.
    If the OF were implemented without any adjustments to the current percentage levels of P2R
    and/or SyRB and other related macro-prudential capital requirements, where applicable, EBA
    estimates marginal increase in capital requirements in the short term (i.e. at the beginning of
    the phase-in period in 2025 when the OF would be 50%) and of +6.7% in the long term at its
    steady-state implementation (see Error! Reference source not found. in section 6.1.).
    However, with the two-step approach (1. no-double, 2. no-arithmetical increase) proposed
    under Option 1, the estimated increase would be lower, provided that supervisors make the
    adjustments described above. Option 1 would have a relatively low impact in the short-term,
    as the OF will be phased-in over a 5-year period. Option 1 would also limit the impact of the
    OF in the long-term: less than +5.7% average increase in capital requirements (as compared
    to +6.7% without the adjustments to P2R and buffer requirements). As Option 1 would
    implement the OF in the existing stack of capital requirements in the EU, the framework
    would be simple, transparent, and consistent with the Basel standards. The application of the
    floor at the highest level of consolidation in the EU would help limiting its impact and ensure
    coherence with the logic of the Banking Union where the redistribution mechanism would
    provide for a fair distribution of the additional capital across the various subsidiaries of the
    group according to their risk profile as if the floor would be applied at individual level262
    .
    Option 3 would give relatively more weight to modelling outcomes. This option would hence
    be less effective in addressing the identified problems with certain internal models. It would
    not fully capture banks that use more aggressive internal models, unless a specific Pillar 2
    requirements would be added in the floored stack to this end, or banks with high P2R and
    SyRB requirements addressing other risks (than those associated with internal models):
     if the first (floored) stack based on floored RWAs leads to higher overall requirements,
    the risks supervisors have addressed through P2R or the SyRB could be effectively
    ignored in the binding capital requirement, depending on the requirements of the floored
    stack;
     if the second (non-floored) stack calculated on the basis of non-floored RWAs leads to
    higher overall requirements, it could be argued that the OF would be ignored (even
    though the OF would still be applied to the requirements set out in the Basel standards),
    even where the institution’s internal model is particularly aggressive.
    Furthermore, as the EBA highlighted Option 3 would increase the level of complexity as the
    bank would have to calculate and disclose two risk -based capital ratios, one for each stack.
    This could create confusion, in particular among investors and clients, in terms of trigger
    levels, such as for the conversion/write-down of Additional Tier 1 instruments or for
    calculating the minimum distributable amount (MDA). While Option 3 would allow investors
    262
    This means that the distribution key for any additional capital required by the OF would depend on the
    contribution of each entity to the consolidated floor requirement.
    158
    to compare the RWAs of banks using internal models (as it is already the case for the
    baseline), the comparability of their risk-based capital ratios would actually be reduced as the
    binding requirement would be calculated for different capital stacks across institutions.
    Options 1 and 3 would have both have a negligible impact in the short-term. Over the long-
    term, the impact of option 2 is likely to be lower than option 1, leading to an average increase
    in capital requirements of more than +1.5% but no more than +5.4%. Option 1 may therefore
    reduce banks’ capital ratio in the steady state to a greater extent than Option 3, which might
    in turn lead to more scrutiny by markets when analysing the risk profile of the bank.
    In its analysis in response to the Call for Advice, the EBA has only quantified
    comprehensively the impact of the implementing the OF at the highest level of consolidation
    due to difficulties to perform the quantitative analysis at all levels of application.
    For banking groups with several levels of application (e.g. at EU-consolidated, MS-sub-
    consolidated, and individual level) the total capital impact of applying the OF at all levels as
    implied by Options 2 and 4 will be higher than applying the respective approach only at the
    highest level of consolidation263
    . Applying the OF at all levels would likely lead to a higher
    increase in capital requirements compared to its application only at consolidated level, as it
    would also act on intra-group exposures and limit the possibility to consolidate risks across
    different parts of the banking group. This could have a disproportionate impact on certain
    group structures (e.g. regional banks in cooperative groups which use internal approaches)
    and subsidiaries with specific business models (e.g. real estate lending or leasing) and cause
    additional compliance burden (due to multiple calculations at parent and subsidiary level), as
    highlighted by the EBA in its advice. Applying the OF at all levels could furthermore distort
    the internal risk allocation of cross-border banking groups, in particular in case of large
    intragroup exposures, and contribute to a fragmentation of the single market.
    Overall, the EBA’s QIS results indicate that the OF complements other requirements,
    resulting in a broadly comparable impact of the revised Basel III framework for most
    business models. In terms of the objectives of reducing excessive RWA variability and
    promoting comparability of risk-weighted capital ratios, the QIS demonstrates that the OF
    under options 1 and 2 would raise the average RWs of institutions that are constrained by the
    floor. As a result, the RWs become more comparable across institutions using internal
    models. The QIS also show that the OF mitigates variability in internal modelling output for
    various portfolio types. The floor particularly constrains those institutions that tend to have
    lower RW densities264
    than most of the other institutions using internal models.265
    263
    A simple explanation comes from a mathematical property of the maximum operator (used under the under
    which the maximum of two sums of values is lower than the sum of the maximum of the values composing
    264
    The RWA density is computed as the ratio of the total RWA over the current total asset of each bank. As the
    RWA changes under the different frameworks, the denominator is kept constant.
    265
    In particular, institutions that are constrained by the OF have, on average, a larger divergence between
    internally modelled RWs and standardised RWs on various portfolios (e.g. residential counterparties and
    specialised lending) than institutions that are not constrained by the OF.
    159
    Table 21: Comparison of policy options against effectiveness, efficiency and coherence
    criteria
    EFFECTIVENESS
    EFFICIENCY
    (cost-effectiveness)
    COHERENCE OVERALL SCORE
    Baseline option 0 0 0 0
    Option 1 ++ - ++ +
    Option 2 ++ -- + ≈
    Option 3 + ≈ - ≈
    Option 4 + ≈ - ≈
    Magnitude of impact as compared with the Baseline option (the baseline is indicated as 0): ++ strongly
    positive; + positive; – – strongly negative; – negative; ≈ marginal/neutral; ? uncertain; n.a. not applicable
    Preferred option
    In light of the above analysis, which led to the overall score of each policy option in Table
    21, option 1 is deemed the preferred policy option.
    

    1_EN_impact_assessment_part4_v3.pdf

    https://www.ft.dk/samling/20211/kommissionsforslag/kom(2021)0663/forslag/1821928/2468424.pdf

    EN EN
    EUROPEAN
    COMMISSION
    Brussels, 27.10.2021
    SWD(2021) 320 final
    PART 4/4
    COMMISSION STAFF WORKING DOCUMENT
    IMPACT ASSESSMENT REPORT
    Accompanying the documents
    Proposal for a REGULATION OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE
    COUNCIL amending Regulation (EU) No 575/2013 on prudential requirements for
    credit institutions as regards requirements for credit risk, credit valuation adjustment
    risk, operational risk, market risk and the output floor
    Proposal for a DIRECTIVE OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE
    COUNCIL amending Directive 2013/36/EU as regards supervisory powers, sanctions,
    third-country branches, and environmental, social and governance risks, and amending
    Directive 2014/59/EU
    {COM(2021) 663 final} - {SEC(2021) 380 final} - {SWD(2021) 321 final}
    Offentligt
    KOM (2021) 0663 - SWD-dokument
    Europaudvalget 2021
    153
    ANNEX 6: SPECIFIC IMPACTS OF PREFERRED POLICY OPTIONS
    1. Impact on administrative and operational costs
    The different policy proposals included in this legislative initiative would impact
    administrative and operational costs in different ways.
    Improving the current framework for calculating risk-based capital requirements would
    mainly lead to one-off operational cost to develop the new systems required to calculate
    the revised capital requirements introduced by the final elements of the Basel III reform.
    Furthermore, it would lead to moderate variations in running operational and
    administrative costs related to the prudential framework, as explained in this section.
    Quantitative estimates to appropriately assess operational and administrative costs of
    those processes is not available266
    .The qualitative survey conducted by the EBA as part
    of their first response to the Commission Call for Advice267
    (CfA) highlights that the EU
    banks’ estimates of their operational costs of implementing the Basel III reforms are
    rather heterogeneous across the different elements of these reforms.
    As shown in Figure 1 below, banks participating in the survey consider that the
    implementation of reforms related to the credit risk framework (both the standardised and
    the internal model approaches) and the introduction of the output floor would lead to
    higher one-off operational cost than the implementation of reforms related to CVA risk,
    operational risk and the minimum haircut floor framework for SFTs. According to the
    survey, the estimated one-off operational costs would mainly be caused by adaptations to
    IT systems and by staff costs.
    Figure 1 shows that the impact of the implementation of the final elements of the Basel
    III reform on recurring operational and administrative costs is considered to be low,
    negligible or even negative (i.e. a decrease in costs) for the vast majority of EU banks
    participating in the survey. In fact, the recurring operational and administrative costs of
    those reforms should even be lower than indicated in the survey since the survey did not
    take into account the EU specific adjustments268
    proposed under the preferred option.
    266
    No comprehensive estimates of those costs have been provided by EU banks via the public
    consultations launched by the Commission on the final elements of the Basel III reform.
    267
    Basel III reforms: impact study and key recommendations, EBA, August 2019.
    268
    Some of those adjustments would further reduce the recurring operational and administrative costs by
    reducing the operational burden to calculate capital requirements, for instance in the area of operational
    risk with the historical loss component set to 1 or in the area of the CVA risk by maintaining the
    exemptions introduced in CRR.
    154
    Figure 1: One-off and recurring operational costs of the implementation of the final
    Basel III framework (% of total responses), by risk category
    Source: Basel III reforms: impact study and key recommendations, EBA, August 2019
    The actual impact on recurring operational and administrative costs would largely depend
    on whether EU banks would (be able to) continue to use the internal models to calculate
    their capital requirements under the revised prudential framework (those will be mainly
    the largest EU banks that already use internal models under the current prudential
    framework). Internal models are usually more costly to maintain than standardised
    approaches since they require more complex IT systems, more data processing from both
    internal sources and third-party service providers and more qualified staff to analyse the
    results of the models. Banks using internal models would likely see an increase in their
    recurring operational and administrative costs due to the introduction of the OF because
    the reform would require them to carry out additional calculations, namely of the risk-
    based capital requirements using the standardised approaches.
    Banks that are currently using the internal models that would no longer be available
    under the new framework269
    would see a reduction of their recurring costs. There would
    also be a corresponding reduction in costs of supervisors for approving and controlling
    those models. To the extent that banks would choose to abandon some of the models that
    would still be allowed under the new framework, those costs would be reduced even
    further. By contrast, banks that currently do not use internal models (the vast majority of
    small and medium-sized EU banks) would likely see no material change in recurring
    operational costs.270
    269
    The reform would limit the use of internal models for credit risk, and would no longer allow the use of
    internal models for operational risk and CVA risk.
    270
    To the extent that a bank that currently does not use internal models would choose to do so under the
    new framework (this may happen because the new rules would make it possible to introduce credit risk
    internal models for just certain types of asset classes), this would of course create one off and recurring
    costs for the bank. However, that would be the result of a conscious decision of the bank.
    155
    Incorporating ESG risks in the prudential framework would result in one-off
    administrative and operational costs for EU banks in order to set up the new processes
    associated with the monitoring and management of those risks. The increase in recurring
    costs, by contrast, would largely depend on the availability and format of the necessary
    information that banks would need to collect: the more easily available the information
    would be and the more friendly its format from a point of view of allowing automated
    collection and processing of that information, the lower the recurring costs for banks
    would be (and vice versa). By the time the revised framework would be in place and
    applicable, it is likely that the effects of some of the ongoing reforms in the ESG area
    (e.g. the revision of the Non-Financial Reporting Directive, the Taxonomy Regulation)
    would have put in place the necessary conditions to keep the costs of information
    collection contained.
    Improving the consistency in the application of supervisory and sanctioning powers
    would increase to some extent the administrative and operational costs of EU banks since
    they would need to develop new procedures to comply with the requests of their
    supervisors that would be granted with new powers. However, a number of EU banks
    would already have developed such procedures since they operate in Member States that
    have already introduced similar powers in their national laws. The costs of cross-border
    banking groups would likely decrease as a result of the initiative as they would be subject
    to the same rules and procedures across Member States. Similarly, the initiative would
    also decrease the administrative and operational costs of supervisors in the SSM, since
    they would no longer have to apply 19 different national laws when exercising those
    powers. On sanctioning powers, no material new costs would be involved.
    Centralising banks’ disclosures at the level of the EBA based on the supervisory data
    collected in the context of the EUCLID would relieve small and non-complex banks from
    the administrative burden associated with mandatory disclosures, while having no cost
    impact for other banks. At the same time, it would reduce search costs for market
    participants.
    In light of the above considerations, this legislative initiative would mainly entail one-off
    operational costs, due to the implementation of the new requirements, but would overall
    reduce the recurring administrative costs.
    2. Impact on competitiveness
    This section presents the impacts of the implementation of the final elements of the Basel
    III reform in Union law on the competitiveness of EU banks within the EU banking
    sector as well as between EU banks and their international peers. The other measures
    proposed in this legislative initiative have a smaller impact271
    on competitiveness of EU
    banks since they mainly affect certain banks’ compliance costs, which remain overall
    271
    The measures related to supervisory and sanctioning powers would level the playing field for banks
    located in Member States that have given their competent authorities powers beyond those in the list
    contained in the CRD and banks in those Member States that have not done it.
    156
    contained, and they do not directly affect their ability to provide financial services to the
    real economy.
    Impacts of the final Basel III reforms on competitiveness across EU banks
    To understand better the profile of EU banks that would be impacted by the final
    elements of the Basel III reform, the updated EBA analysis provided a number of more
    granular impacts of the reform in addition to the overall impacts shown in Section 6.1.
    Three criteria272
    have been used by the EBA to differentiate the impacts across EU
    banks: size, business model and geographical location (i.e. the Member States in which
    the bank is established). In order to identify the drivers of the impacts across the different
    criteria, a breakdown of the impacts of the reforms per risk category273
    is also included
    (the impact of each risk category is expressed as the percentage change in the total capital
    requirement (MRC) resulting from the implementation of the final elements of the Basel
    III reform related to this risk category).
    This section compares the impacts of two implementation options across the above three
    criteria: the full alignment with the final Basel III reform option (option 1 in Section
    5.2.1) and the preferred policy option (option 3274
    in Section 5.2.1). The results of this
    analysis need to be interpreted taking into account a number of caveats:
     limited sample of EU banks in the updated impact analysis: the sample of banks
    included in the updated EBA impact analysis based on Q4 2019 data has been
    significantly reduced as compared to the original EBA impact analysis based on
    Q2 2018 data. As shown in Annex 7, certain categories across the three criteria
    did not include a sufficient number of EU banks to lead to representative results
    for these categories and are therefore not presented in the analysis of this section.
    The corresponding banks are nevertheless included in the overall impacts
    presented in Section 6.1. In addition, the impacts based on geographical location
    should be interpreted in light of the representativeness of the EU banks included
    in the EBA sample in terms of the total banking assets of its Member States,
    provided in Annex 7;
     limited recognition of the EU specific adjustments: while the Commission has
    broadly estimated the overall impact of the EU specific adjustments proposed
    under the preferred policy options on all EU banks that have not been quantified
    by the EBA (see Error! Reference source not found. in section 6.1), it was not
    272
    More details about the definition of those criteria, and the breakdown of banks for each related category,
    are provided in Annex 7.
    273
    This breakdown include the following risk categories: credit risk under the standardised approach (SA),
    credit risk under the internal model approach (IRB), market risk (MKT), operational risk (OP), CVA risk
    (CVA), other risks including banks’ exposure to central counterparties, securitisation risk and the effect on
    the leverage ratio (Other), and the introduction of the output floor (OF)
    274
    As explained in Section 6.1, the impact of option 3 is the same as option 2 also presented in Section
    5.2.1, the only difference being the implementation period, which is 2 years longer for option 3 as
    compared to option 2.
    157
    possible to reflect those impacts at more granular level due to the lack of the
    necessary information. The more granular impacts contained in this section under
    the preferred policy option therefore only include those EU specific adjustments
    that have been quantified by the EBA. As a consequence, the mitigating effects of
    the preferred policy option on the increase in capital requirements are
    underestimated;
     limited analysis provided by the EBA in its report: the EBA provided limited
    qualitative analysis on the drivers of the impacts depending on the different
    characteristics of EU banks. Therefore, the EBA qualitative analysis was
    complemented with the Commission service’s own qualitative analysis, which
    could not benefit from access to individual banks’ data.
    As illustrated in Figure 2 and Figure 3 below, the main observations of the estimated
    impacts of the final Basel III reform across EU banks’ size include:
     the impact of the reform would be materially higher for large banks, with the
    highest overall impact on G-SIIs, than for medium-sized and small banks under
    the full alignment option. This is mainly explained by a higher reliance of large
    banks on internal models to calculate capital requirements. The higher impact
    would be due to changes to internal models (e.g. the introduction of input floors
    or more conservative calibrations of those floors), the removal of the possibility
    to use internal models for certain types of risk (e.g. operational risk) or for certain
    types of exposures under the credit risk framework (e.g. equity), and the
    introduction of the OF;
     Medium-sized banks would, on average, incur a small increase in capital
    requirements, mostly due to the revised standardised approach for credit risk
    under the full alignment option, while small banks would, on average, an overall
    decrease of capital requirements, mostly due to the changes to the operational risk
    rules. These findings corroborate the low impact of the final Basel III reforms
    observed in the previous EBA impact analysis, based on a wider sample of small
    and medium-sized banks;
     the introduction of EU specific adjustments under the preferred policy option
    would mitigate the overall impact of the reform on capital requirements to a
    greater extent for large banks than for small and medium-sized banks275
    , which
    are less impacted by the reform to begin with.
    275
    This observation should also be true for all the EU specific adjustments under the preferred policy
    option for which impacts have not been quantified by the EBA (see the list in Error! Reference source not
    found.) and hence not reflected in Figure 3 (since large banks, especially G-SIIs, tend to be more active in
    specialised lending, CIU, derivative and SFT markets which are all targeted by those adjustments). The
    preferred policy option would therefore have lower impacts for large banks, especially G-SIIs, than shown
    in Figure 3.
    158
    The advantage in terms of capital requirements that banks using internal models currently
    enjoy (because the use of internal models results, on average, in lower capital
    requirements than the use of standardised approaches), would be partly eroded under the
    preferred option. This would increase the relative competitiveness of banks not using
    internal models (mostly small and medium-sized banks) when compared to banks using
    those models (mostly large banks).
    Figure 2: Breakdown of the impacts under the full alignment option in 2028 per risk
    category and per bank size.
    Sources: Basel III reforms impact study, EBA, December 2020; Commission, DG FISMA.
    Figure 3: Breakdown of the impacts under the preferred policy option in 2030 per risk
    category and per bank size.
    Sources: Basel III reforms impact study, EBA, December 2020; Commission, DG FISMA.
    As illustrated in Figure 4 and
    159
    Figure 5, the impact of the reforms would affect various EU banks’ business models,
    with some noticeable differences:
     for mortgage banks, cross-border universal banks and local universal banks the
    full alignment option would result in high increases in overall capital
    requirements, mostly driven by the output floor, the modifications to the rules on
    the internal model approaches for credit risk and for operational risk. It is likely
    that most of the large banks have this business model, so the above explanations
    of the reasons behind the impact would also apply here;
     public development banks would also incur a high impact from the full alignment
    option, mostly due to the changes related to the internal model approach for credit
    risk. As the result, those banks would be less bound by the leverage ratio than
    currently, as demonstrated by the large decrease in the risk category “other”;
     the other business models considered would incur a lower impact under the full
    alignment option (e.g. custodian banks would see a decrease in capital
    requirements);
     the preferred policy option would mitigate the impact across all business models,
    with the exception of public development banks, where the impact would remain
    unchanged. Importantly, under this option the impact would be better aligned
    across those business models which provide similar financial services (for
    instance on cross border universal banks, local universal banks and mortgage
    banks which all provide mortgages to their clients), maintaining a level playing
    field across those business models.
    Figure 4: Breakdown of the impacts under the full alignment option in 2028 per risk
    category and per business model.
    Sources: Basel III reforms impact study, EBA, December 2020; Commission, DG FISMA.
    160
    161
    Figure 5: Breakdown of the impacts under the preferred policy option in 2030 per risk
    category and per business model.
    Sources: Basel III reforms impact study, EBA, December 2020; Commission, DG FISMA.
    Finally, as illustrated in
    162
    Figure 6 and Figure 7, the full alignment option would have a high impact on banks in a
    number of Member States (BE, DE, DK276
    , ES, FR, IT, NL, SE) and relatively low
    impact in others (IE, PL, PT). The preferred policy option would mitigate the impact of
    the reforms across all Member States, particularly those most affected under the full
    alignment option.
    276
    On 19 February, the Danish FSA published a press release indicating that one of the DK banks that are
    included in the EBA updated impact study published in December 2020 realised that a significant error has
    been included in its data submission to the EBA (see https://www.dfsa.dk/News/Press-
    releases/2021/Revised_Basel_standards). Based on corrected data, the impact for DK banks would increase
    from 19.7% to 36.4% under the full alignment scenario, shown in
    Figure 6 and from 13.9% to 29.3% in the EU-specific scenario shown in the EBA impact study. However,
    the corrected data would only slightly increase the overall impacts presented in Section 6.1 which would
    not change the magnitude of those impacts nor the overall conclusions that can be drawn from their
    observations.
    163
    Figure 6: Breakdown of the impacts under the full alignment option in 2028 per risk
    category and per Member State.
    Sources: Basel III reforms impact study, EBA, December 2020; Commission, DG FISMA.
    Figure 7: Breakdown of the impacts under the preferred policy option in 2030 per risk
    category and per Member State.
    Sources: Basel III reforms impact study, EBA, December 2020; Commission, DG FISMA.
    164
    Impacts of the final elements of the Basel III reform on competitiveness between EU
    banks and their international peers
    According to the ECB Financial Stability Review277
    published in November 2020,
    despite the increased resilience of EU-area banks since the GFC (as shown in Section 1),
    weak profitability prospects continue to weigh on bank valuations. The first half of 2020
    saw a marked decline in euro area banks’ return on equity (ROE), from over 5% in the
    Q4 2019 to just above 2% in the Q2 2020 (see Figure 8 belowError! Reference source not
    found.) mainly because of the low interest rate environment and the relatively high costs.
    Looking ahead, the ECB expects that EU banks’ profitability to remain weak and to
    recover only very gradually to levels seen before the outbreak of the COVID-19
    pandemic.
    Figure 8: Evolution of the distribution of EU-area significant institutions’ (SI) ROE and
    comparison with ROEs of listed banks in other regions of the world (left-hand side) and
    drivers of change in EU-area SI ROE between Q4 2019 and Q2 2020 (right-hand side).
    Source: European Central Bank (ECB) Financial stability review, November 2020.
    The EU-area banks’ profitability now ranks below that of most of their international
    peers (see Figure 8). However, while this decrease in EU-area banks’ profitability as
    compared to international peers accelerated over the last two years, EU banks’ remained
    relatively attractive to investors maintained higher dividend pay-out ratios across most of
    the last decade compared to international peers, as shown in
    277
    See https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/financial-stability/fsr/html/index.en.html.
    165
    Figure 9.
    166
    Figure 9 : Evolution between 2011 and 2019 of the profits of the largest banks, and their
    distributions, by region
    Source: Basel III Monitoring Report as of Q4 2019, December 2020, BCBS. Note: For each region, the profit and
    profit’s distribution indicators gather data from the Group 1 banks of the region participating to the regular Basel III
    monitoring exercise performed by the BCBS. The dividend payout ratio is calculated as common share dividends
    divided by profits after tax by using a rolling 12 months window.
    In light of this context, Figure 10 shows that EU banks have built up their capital ratios
    faster than their international peers over the decade following the GFC and have “closed”
    the decade with, on average, higher capital ratios than their international peers.
    Furthermore, Figure 10 shows that EU banks achieved this by both reducing their risk
    weighted assets and by increasing their capital stock through retained earnings and new
    capital issuance.
    Figure 10 : Evolution between 2011 and 2019 of the Tier 1 capital ratios of the largest
    banks, and drivers of that evolution, by region
    Source: Basel III Monitoring Report as of Q4 2019, December 2020, BCBS. Note: For each region, the Tier 1 capital
    ratios gather data from the Group 1 banks of the region participating to the regular Basel III monitoring exercise
    performed by the BCBS. The figure shows the fully phased-in initial Basel III reforms for the data points up to and
    including the end of 2018 and the actual prudential framework (i.e. initial Basel III reforms with regional adjustments,
    if any) applicable for all the data points afterwards.
    167
    Despite their improved capital position, EU banks would still see a much higher average
    increase in capital requirements compared to their international peers when implementing
    the final Basel III reforms assuming full alignment (the average increase for US banks
    would be below 2%, whereas for bank from other regions of the world there would
    actually be a decrease in capital requirements, by more than 5% on average). This is
    clearly shown in the latest Basel III monitoring report278
    also based on Q4 2019 data (see
    278
    See https://www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d512.htm.
    168
    Figure 11). These differences in the impacts across regions could be explained by the
    following reasons:
     compared to US banks, the difference likely arise due to a combination of a different
    financing model for US banks and the application, at least at this point in time, of
    stricter prudential requirements in the US compared to those contained in the final
    Basel III reform (and compared to those currently applied by EU banks). As shown in
    169
     Figure 11, US banks would be much less impacted by the introduction of the output
    floor since US rules already contain a similar mechanism, introduced by US
    authorities after the GFC. In addition, US banks would be less impacted by the
    changes related to credit risk due to the wider recourse to securitisation, which allows
    them to remove a high portion of loans from their balance sheets. However, US banks
    would be more impacted by the revised market rules on trading activities than EU
    banks reflecting the high market share of those types of activities for US banks;
     compared to banks in other regions of the world279
    , the differences likely arise due to
    a combination of simpler business models, dominated by credit risk exposures, an
    overall lower reliance on internal models to calculate capital requirements and stricter
    prudential requirements compared to those contained in the final Basel III reform. As
    shown in
    279
    This conclusion is based on the overall impacts observed in
    Figure 11 for the banks in other regions of the world and does necessary apply to all the jurisdictions
    included in this category, for which no conclusion could be drawn in the absence of more granular data.
    170
     Figure 11, those banks would see an overall decrease of capital requirements when
    implementing the final elements of the Basel III reform, mainly driven by the
    changes to the credit risk capital requirements. This observation, combined with the
    fact the output floor would have almost no impact on those banks, leads us to believe
    that those banks use the standardised approach for credit risk for the vast majority of
    their exposures. The impact of the reforms affecting the capital requirements for
    trading activities (i.e. market and CVA risks) would also be very limited, which
    would indicate that those types of activities account for a small portion of the overall
    activities of those banks.
    171
    Figure 11: Breakdown of impacts of implementing the final elements of the Basel III
    reform on banks’ Tier 1 MRC by region.
    Source: Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, Basel III monitoring exercise, October 2019. Note:
    These impacts show, for each region, the changes in the overall Tier 1 MRC of all Group 1 banks of the
    region participating to the regular Basel III monitoring exercise performed by the BCBS.
    The significantly higher increase in capital requirements that would be incurred by EU
    banks when implementing the final elements of the Basel III reforms (under the full
    alignment option) would likely lead to a further increase in their cost of capital280
    and
    hence to a decrease in their relative281
    price competitiveness (the magnitude of the
    decrease would also depend on how much of the increase in the cost of capital could be
    absorbed by the banks, and not passed on to their clients). It may also lead to a temporary
    decrease in the attractiveness of EU banks to investors in case banks decided to retain a
    high portion of their profits to build up the necessary capital to meet the increased
    requirements (although it is also possible that banks would actually keep dividend
    payments high in order to attract investors to buy new capital the banks would issue to
    meet those requirements).
    Note that the change in the relative price competitiveness of EU bank will also depend on
    the exact way in which the other jurisdictions will implement the final elements of the
    Basel III reform. For example, it is not necessarily the case that those jurisdictions that
    currently apply to their banks stricter requirements than those included in the final Basel
    III standards would decide to lower the level of their existing requirements to the level
    foreseen in those standards.
    280
    According to the Modigliani-Miller theorem, under certain conditions, an increase in the cost of equity
    would be offset by a corresponding decrease in the cost of debt, resulting in an unchanged cost of capital.
    However, since those conditions are usually not met in the real world (e.g. because of the preferential tax
    treatment of debt), this offset would not be perfect, and the increased cost of equity for EU banks would
    result in an increase in their overall cost of capital.
    281
    The competitiveness of EU banks would deteriorate in relative term, but not necessarily in absolute
    terms (e.g. to the extent that EU banks currently have a more competitive price for a certain service, the
    gap with the prices offered by non-EU banks may close, but not necessarily reverse).
    172
    To ensure that there would not be a significant deterioration in the competitive position
    of EU banks as compared to their international peers the preferred policy option would
    introduce a number of EU specific adjustments that would reduce the increase in capital
    requirements due to the implementation of the final elements of the Basel III reform (as
    shown in Section 6.1). For example, the preferred policy option would allow adjusting
    capital requirements for trading activities, for which EU banks directly compete with
    their international peers on the global financial markets, in case other jurisdictions would
    significantly lower the capital requirements for those activities in their local
    implementation of the Basel III reform. Although the adoption of the preferred policy
    option would significantly reduce the impact of the reform on EU banks, the impact in
    terms of capital requirements may still remain higher than in other member jurisdictions
    implementing the Basel III reform. Also for this reason the preferred policy option would
    give EU banks 2 additional years to comply with the revised capital requirements than
    recommended by the BCBS.
    The strengthened capital position of EU banks resulting from the reforms, as
    implemented under the preferred policy option, would restore the market confidence in
    the EU banking sector and thus increase its attractiveness for investors.
    3. Impact on SMEs
    As shown in Figure 12, SMEs rely heavily on banks to finance their business. It is
    therefore important to ensure that the implementation of the final elements of the Basel
    III reform does not result in a material deterioration in the banks’ ability to finance
    SMEs.
    As illustrated by Figure 13 in EU banks’ loans and advances to SMEs occurred between
    June 2019 and June 2020.
    Figure 12: Relevance of various financing sources of euro area SMEs.
    Source: Survey on the Access to Finance of Enterprises in the euro area (SAFE survey), ECB, November 2020. The
    sources of SMEs financing are gauged by the number of responses from participating SMEs to the SAFE survey
    conducted by the ECB between April and September 2020.
    173
    Figure 13: Evolution of EU banks loans and advances (in EUR trillions), by segment,
    between June 2019 and June 2020
    Source: Risk Assessment of the European banking system, EBA, December 2020
    As observed in
    174
    Figure 14, the obstacles to EU banks’ financing of SMEs have been progressively
    reduced during the second half of the previous decade. It is likely that this was mainly
    due to the easing of the financing conditions spurred by the economic recovery during
    that period (after the severe recession during the previous years). However, it is possible
    that this trend may also have been influenced282
    by the introduction of policy measures in
    the CRR seeking to reduce the overall banks’ capital requirements for SMEs’ exposures
    (e.g. the introduction of the SME supporting factor and the exemption of derivatives
    transactions with non-financial companies from the capital requirement for CVA risk).
    282
    While there isn’t sufficient empirical evidence to claim that those measures have actively facilitated the
    easing of financing conditions for SMEs, it may be said that they likely contributed to preventing a
    deterioration in those conditions (by limiting increases in banks’ capital cost associated with SME finance
    following the implementation of the initial Basel III reform in the EU).
    175
    Figure 14: Obstacles to receiving a bank loan by euro-area SMEs (by % of SME
    responses)
    Source: Survey on the Access to Finance of Enterprises in the euro area (SAFE survey), ECB, November 2020.
    The potentiation deterioration of EU SMEs’ financial situation as a consequence of the
    COVID-19 crisis 283
    may lead to an increase in SME defaults and consequently in higher
    capital requirements for EU banks (non-performing exposures are subject to higher
    capital requirements compared to performing ones). This effect would, in turn, tighten
    the future financing conditions for the remaining SMEs (decrease the availability of
    credit or increase the cost of credit).
    In this context, the implementation of the final Basel III standards has been carefully
    assessed in order to ensure it would not disrupt banks’ financing to SMEs. To that end,
    the preferred option contains proposes a number of adjustments to the Basel standards:
     the existing SME supporting factor as well as the existing exemption of derivative
    transactions with non-financial companies (including SMEs) from the capital
    requirement for CVA risk would be maintained. ;
     for banks using internal models for credit risk, a transitional treatment for unrated
    companies under the output floor would be introduced. This would reduce the capital
    requirement for credit risk related to SMEs exposures under the output floor (the vast
    majority of EU corporates, including SMEs, are unrated);
     long-term equity holdings in unlisted SMEs would not be considered as speculative
    holdings. Hence, these equity holdings would benefit from the ordinary treatment of
    equities, which entails lower capital requirements than speculative equity holdings.
    The individual impacts of the above measures, as estimated by the EBA, are provided in
    Section 6.1.
    283
    In its latest SAFE survey, the ECB has already observed this trend (see
    https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/ecb_surveys/safe/html/ecb.safe202011~e3858add29.en.html)
    176
    The other policy measures that would be included in the legislative proposal would affect
    banks’ overall day-to-day risk management and supervision, and would therefore not
    have a direct impact on banks’ financing to SMEs.
    4. Macro-economic costs and benefits analysis
    This section presents the macroeconomic costs and benefits analysis of the
    implementation of the final elements of the Basel III reform in Union law. Other
    measures included in this legislative initiative were not included in the analysis because
    of lack of quantitative data. Nevertheless, those measures are expected to have a positive
    macroeconomic impact since they are aimed at improving banks’ risk management,
    supervision and market discipline.
    The analysis of the macroeconomic impacts of the implementation of the Basel III reform
    has been conducted by the ECB, in collaboration with the EBA, at the request of the
    Commission. The study updated284
    the ECB macroeconomic costs and benefits analysis
    included in the EBA’s second impact study on the final Basel III reforms published in
    December 2019285
    .
    The ECB analysis relies on a semi-structural macroeconomic model that links the
    individual balance sheets of around 100 of the largest EU banks, their capital
    requirements based on a given prudential framework (either the current prudential
    framework applicable under the CRR or the final Basel III framework using certain
    implementation options) and a given set of forecasted macroeconomic indicators
    (including the annual EU Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth) using a set of dynamic
    assumptions. The full description of the model and its specifications is included in
    Section 2 of Annex 7.
    The ECB has enhanced its previous analysis presented in the EBA’s second impact study
    with two major improvements. First, the updated ECB analysis presented results under
    two different implementation options for the final elements of the Basel III reforms
    considered in Section 5.2.1, specifically the full alignment option (option 1) and the
    preferred policy option (option 3). Second, in order to respond to the Commission’s
    request to reflect the potential consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic on the impact of
    implementing the final elements of the Basel III reform, the ECB analysis has been
    performed under two different sets of forecasted macroeconomic indicators286
    . The first
    set has been estimated based on Q4 2019 data, i.e. before the outbreak of the pandemic287
    284
    In this updated analysis, the ECB was able to reflect the latest available estimates of banks’ individual
    impacts of the Basel III reforms, consistent with the overall EBA impacts shown in Section 6.1, as well as
    the recent ECB macroeconomic projections for the EU economy, including amid COVID-19 pandemic.
    285
    See EBA second impact study on the final Basel III reforms, December 2019
    286
    The forecasted macroeconomic indicators are consistent with the economic forecasts published by the
    Commission (see https://ec.europa.eu/info/business-economy-euro/economic-performance-and-
    forecasts/economic-forecasts_en).
    287
    For the complete set of ECB macroeconomic projections, see
    https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/projections/html/ecb.projections201912_eurosystemstaff~c7a91336cb.en.h
    tml
    177
    (pre-COVID scenario). The second set has been estimated based on Q2 2020 data, i.e.
    after the first wave of the pandemic288
    (COVID scenario).
    Every year starting from one year after the envisaged date of application of the final
    elements of the Basel III reform, the ECB analysis has produced two main
    macroeconomic metrics to assess the macroeconomic costs and benefits of implementing
    the final Basel III reforms:
     the expected impact of the reform on EU GDP growth as defined by the difference
    between the expected future annual EU GDP289
    growth as simulated under two
    prudential frameworks (i.e. the final Basel III standards under a given implementation
    option and the current prudential framework). A negative difference between two
    expected future annual EU GDPs growths would imply an expected macroeconomic
    cost resulting from the introduction of reforms, while a positive difference would
    imply a macroeconomic benefit;
     the impact of the reform on banks’ to support EU GDP growth in case of an
    economic downturn as defined by the difference between a low percentile290
    of the
    future annual EU GDP distribution as simulated under two different prudential
    frameworks (see previous point). A positive difference between the same percentiles
    of the two future annual EU GDP growth distributions would imply a
    macroeconomic benefit from the introduction of the reform under an economic
    downturn, whereas a negative difference would imply a macroeconomic cost under
    an economic downturn. This approach is based on the so-called Growth-at-Risk
    (GaR) macroeconomic concept291
    which focuses on the lower tail of the simulated
    annual EU GDP growth distribution in order to assess the ability of the banking
    sector to uphold lending to the real economy, thereby supporting growth, during an
    economic downturn.
    As highlighted in the objectives, the implementation of the final elements of the Basel III
    reform in the EU would increase the resilience of the EU banking system in the long
    term, while giving rise to limited transitional costs in the short term. The results of the
    288
    For the complete set of ECB macroeconomic projections, see
    https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/projections/html/ecb.projections202006_eurosystemstaff~7628a8cf43.en.ht
    ml
    289
    In this context, the expected future EU GDP growth for a given year is the mathematical mean of the
    distribution of the EU GDPs growth generated by the model, for a given set of model specifications (ie
    given prudential framework and given set of ECB macroeconomic projections for the first three years).
    290
    The ECB chose the 10th percentile of this distribution in their analysis.
    291
    In its previous analysis presented in the EBA’s second impact study, the ECB also used another,
    alternative methodology to assess the long-term benefits of the implementation of the Basel III reforms,
    based on the Long-term Economic Impact (LEI) framework developed by the BCBS. The results of this
    alternative methodology showed that the implementation of the Basel III reforms would lead to a 1.2%
    reduction in the probability of a banking crisis within the EU financial system once the reforms are fully
    applied and would translate into a long-term net benefit of around 0.6% permanent increase in the EU
    annual GDP. Due to time and resource constraints, the present analysis focuses on the GaR approach to
    assess the long-term benefits which has the advantage to be more intuitive than the LEI framework.
    178
    ECB analysis support this conclusion. Importantly, they also support the preferred policy
    option.
    In fact, the preferred policy option appears to strike the best trade-off in terms of limiting
    the transitional costs in the short term while producing a reasonable permanent benefit
    over the long term. More specifically:
     as illustrated by Figure 15 below, the expected impact of the reform on EU GDP
    growth, under the pre-COVID scenario and the full alignment implementation
    option, would amount to a moderate macroeconomic net cost in terms of the annual
    EU GDP growth, increasing in the first three years of application (i.e. during the
    transitional arrangement), with a peak size of 0.13 p.p. of annual EU GDP growth,
    then decreasing to less 0.025p.p of annual GDP growth at the end of the transitional
    arrangement when the reform would be fully applicable, and finally turning into a
    small benefit of 0.01 p.p. afterwards. This outcome could be explained by a limited
    contraction of banks’ lending during the transitional arrangement while banks adjust
    their balance sheets. Under the more severe COVID-19 scenario, macroeconomic net
    costs on the annual EU GDP growth would be more pronounced for a longer period
    but would nevertheless remain contained, reaching a peak of 0.13 p.p. one year later
    than under the pre-COVID scenario, and start to slowly decrease afterwards;
     the preferred policy option would mitigate the short term macroeconomic net costs
    resulting from the full alignment option, first in terms of magnitude, and second,
    because those costs would start to affect the annual EU GDP growth later as the
    result of the postponement of the start of the application of the reforms to 1 January
    2025. In particular, this mitigating effect reducing the cost of the reforms on the EU
    GDP growth as compared to the full alignment option would last longer, at least until
    the end of the transitional arrangement when the reforms are fully applicable. This is
    particularly important for the recovery of the EU economy post COVID-19 in which
    banks will need to play a key role.
     as illustrated by Figure 16, the impact of the reform on banks’ ability to support
    EU GDP growth during economic downturns would be positive, with a
    macroeconomic benefit starting 3 years after the full application of the reform, under
    all the different implementation options considered. Under the pre-COVID
    scenario292
    , the net benefit would converge in the long term to above 0.1p.p of
    annual EU GDP growth under the full alignment option against above 0.04% under
    the preferred option. These results are mainly explained by the fact that better
    capitalised banks (and the reform would increase capital requirements) are better
    equipped to keep lending in case of an economic downturn thus avoiding (or at least
    292
    The ECB only provided to the Commission the impacts of the reform on banks’ ability to support EU
    GDP growth under economic downturns using the pre-COVID scenario, the difference of impacts using the
    COVID scenario being negligible.
    179
    significantly limiting) the probability of a credit crunch and the negative
    consequences it has on economic activity.
    Figure 15: Comparison between the expected impacts on the EU GDP growth over time
    resulting from the implementation of the final elements of the Basel III reform under the
    different implementation options and under the pre-COVID scenario (left-hand-side) and
    COVID-scenario (right-hand side).
    Source: ECB analysis of the macroeconomic costs/benefits of implementing the final Basel III reforms, 2021. Note: the
    green and blue (resp. dotted) lines represent the date of full (resp. partial) application of the final Basel III reforms at
    the end (resp. start) of the transitional arrangement under, respectively, the BCBS timelines, ie 1 January 2028 (resp. 1
    January 2023), and under our preferred policy option, i.e. 1 January 2030, (resp. 1 January 2025).
    Figure 16: Comparison between the impact of the reforms to support EU GDP growth
    under an economic downturn over time resulting from the implementation of the final
    elements of the Basel III reform under the different implementation options and under the
    pre-COVID scenario
    Source: ECB analysis of the macroeconomic costs/benefits of implementing the final Basel III reforms, 2021. Note: the
    green and blue lines represent the date of full application of the final Basel III reforms at the end of the transitional
    arrangement under the BCBS timelines, ie 1 January 2028, and under our preferred policy option, ie 1 January 2030,
    respectively.
    180
    These results corroborate the conclusions of the previous ECB analysis on the
    macroeconomic costs and benefits of implementing the final elements of the Basel III
    reform. Despite more severe economic shocks reflected in the projected macroeconomic
    indicators under the updated ECB analysis, banks’ improved capital ratios and the
    reduced impact of the final Basel III reform on individual banks as compared to the
    previous ECB analysis293
    .
    The findings presented in the updated ECB analysis are also consistent with the
    conclusions of previous macroeconomic studies294,295,296
    assessing the interaction
    between the appropriate level of banks’ capital requirements and their capacity to
    continue financing the real economy amid economic downturns.
    For the sake of completeness, it is worth mentioning another study dedicated to the
    macroeconomic impact of the Basel III reform on the EU economy, showing different
    findings than the ECB analysis. The study297
    commissioned by the European Banking
    Federation and conducted by the Copenhagen Economics consultancy in 2021 concluded
    that EU GDP would decrease by 0.4% points on a permanent basis due to the full
    implementation of the final elements of the Basel III reform (the study also showed that
    the Basel III reforms should provide societal benefits of some 0.1% of EU GDP, bringing
    the total net societal costs of the package to a decrease of 0.3% of EU GDP). However,
    the modelling assumptions taken in this analysis appear more conservative than in the
    ECB analysis and do not take into account the specific measures adopted in the preferred
    policy options to mitigate the impacts of the Basel III reforms.
    293
    Section 1 and Section 6.1 provide supporting evidence for these observations.
    294
    Impact of the Capital Requirements Regulation (CRR) on the access to finance for business and long-
    term investment, London Economics Europe, 2016 (see https://londoneconomics.co.uk/wp-
    content/uploads/2016/11/Assessing-the-impact-of-the-Capital-Requirements-Regulation-CRR-on-the-
    access-to-finance-for-business-and-long-term-investments.pdf)
    295
    Optimal Bank capital, Bank of England, 2011 (see https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/external-mpc-
    discussion-paper/2011/optimal-bank-capital)
    296
    Do Better Capitalized Banks Lend Less?, International Finance, 2014 (see
    https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/infi.12041)
    297
    See copenhagen-economics_eu-implementation-of-the-final-basel-iii.pdf (copenhageneconomics.com)
    181
    ANNEX 7: ANALYTICAL METHODS
    1. EBA impact analysis
    In May 2018, the Commission requested technical advice from the EBA on the
    implementation of the final elements of the Basel III reform in the EU. The EBA
    submitted its advice in two parts, on 5 August 2019 and on 4 December 2019. The first
    part (‘August 2019 CfA response’) covered the areas of credit risk, operational risk,
    securities financing transactions and output floor. The second part (‘December 2019 CfA
    response’) covered the areas of market risk and credit valuation adjustment risk
    standards, as well as a macroeconomic impact assessment carried out by the ECB. The
    advice included a detailed quantitative impact analysis on the implementation of the final
    elements of the Basel III reform in the EU, based on data as of end-June 2028.
    This sample has been reduced from the 189 banks from 18 Member States and Norway
    included in the previous EBA analysis published in the August 2019 and December 2019
    CfA responses, which covered 86% the total banking assets of those countries. As the
    consequence, some Member States (see
    182
    Table 1) and business models (see Table 3) were not represented in the sample used for
    the December 2020 CfA response, while others had a much more limited representation.
    In addition, the coverage in terms of small and medium-sized banks was considerably
    reduced (4 small banks and 22 medium-sized banks; see Table 2).
    The level of coverage varies across jurisdictions (see Error! Reference source not
    found. below). It is lowest for Austria (13%) and varies from 42% to 143% of the
    remaining jurisdictions. The coverage reaches above 100% in those jurisdictions where
    some QIS participants are EU-located subsidiaries of non-EU controlled (e.g. US) groups
    and are therefore not included in the denominator of the coverage ratio. It should be
    noted that while at the EU level the reduction in coverage relative to the August 2019 and
    December 2019 CfA responses is not considered material, this is not the case for some
    countries. In particular, the coverage in Austria (from 74% to 13%), Luxembourg (from
    103% to 65%) and Poland (from 88% to 42%) has dropped significantly. Therefore, for
    those Member States the results in the December 2020 CfA response are much less
    representative and are either not displayed in the country breakdowns or, if displayed,
    should be interpreted with caution.
    In order to avoid double-counting the impacts, banks participating in the QIS data
    collection exercise were asked to report data at the highest level of EU consolidation.
    Unless stated otherwise, subsidiaries of EU parents are included in the average
    calculations only when impact results are presented by business model or by country,
    provided that they do not belong to the same business model or country as their parent
    entity.
    183
    Table 1: Breakdown of banks included in Q2 2018 and Q4 2019 samples of EBA
    quantitative impact analysis, per Member States
    Member States Number of banks Q4 2019 sample
    coverage in terms of
    banking assets in
    Member States
    Q2 2018
    sample
    Q4 2019 QIS
    sample
    AT 15 5 13%
    BE 7 4 93%
    DE 40 24 56%
    DK 8 4 89%
    EE 2 0 -
    ES 10 6 79%
    FI 5 1 71%
    FR 14 7 87%
    GR 2 3 73%
    HU 1 1 75%
    IE 8 8 143%
    IT 24 11 89%
    LU 6 2 65%
    MT 1 0 -
    NL 12 7 89%
    NO 6 2 67%
    PL 9 4 42%
    PT 6 4 72%
    SE 11 6 84%
    Total 189 99 76%
    Source: Basel III reforms impact study, EBA, December 2020
    Notes: Percentages higher than 100% are due to the presence of foreign-controlled (non-EU) subsidiaries in the QIS
    sample of certain EU Member States (e.g. subsidiaries of US institutions located in the EU
    The EBA quantitative impact analysis used two other criteria to differentiate the impacts
    of the final elements of the Basel III reform on EU banks:
     bank size - the EBA defined three size categories: large, medium and small. The
    definitions of ‘large’ and ‘small’ banks were based on the respective CRR
    definitions298
    (‘medium’ banks, which are not defined in the CRR, are banks that
    meet neither of the CRR definitions);
     bank business model - the EBA defined thirteen business model categories: cross-
    border universal banks (Cross-Border U), local universal banks (Local U),
    automotive and consumer credit banks (Autos & Cons), building societies
    (Building Soc), locally active saving and loan associations/cooperative banks
    (S&L/Coop), private banks (Private), custody banks (Custody), central
    counterparties (CCP), merchant banks (Merchant), leasing and factoring banks
    298
    See point 146 of Article4 of the CRR for the definition of large banks and point 145 Article 4 of the
    CRR for the definition of small (and non-complex) banks.
    184
    (Leasing), public development banks (Public Dev), mortgage banks299
    (Mortgage), and other specialised banks (Other special). These categories are
    further described in the August 2019 CfA response.
    Table 2: Breakdown of banks included in Q2 2018 and Q4 2019 samples of EBA
    quantitative impact analysis, per size
    Size Number of banks
    Q2 2018 sample Q4 2019 QIS
    sample
    Large 104 73
    of which: G-SIIs 8 8
    of which: O-SIIs 67 46
    Medium 61 22
    Small 24 4
    Total 189 99
    Source: Basel III reforms impact study, EBA, December 2020; European Commission estimates.
    Table 3: Breakdown of banks included in Q2 2018 and Q4 2019 samples of EBA
    quantitative impact analysis, per size
    Business Model Number of banks
    Q2 2018 sample Q4 2019 QIS
    sample
    Cross-border U 40 34
    Local U 52 31
    Auto & Cons 7 2
    Building Soc 6 2
    S&L / Coop 34 11
    Private 8 2
    Custody 7 3
    CCP 1 1
    Merchant 5 2
    Leasing 1 0
    Public Dev 10 4
    Mortgage 8 5
    Other special 10 2
    Total 189 99
    Source: Basel III reforms impact study, EBA, December 2020; European Commission estimates.
    Methodology
    The methodology used to calculate the impact estimates in terms of change in minimum
    capital requirements, regulatory capital ratios and shortfalls remained unchanged in
    relation to the estimates published in the August and December 2019 CfA responses (the
    full details of the methodology used is described in the respective responses).
    299
    Including pass-through financing models.
    185
    The impact estimates are not directly comparable to those of the Basel III monitoring
    report as of the same date (i.e. based on Q4 2019) which have been published by the
    EBA in December 2020300
    . This is due to the fact that they are based on different samples
    of EU banks but also to some methodological differences, as described in the December
    2020 CfA response.
    In accordance with the requests of the Commission in its CfA, the impact analysis
    presented in this December 2020 CfA response is based on two different implementation
    options for the final elements of the Basel III reform in the EU.
    The first implementation option (labelled ‘Basel III’) corresponds to the Basel III central
    scenario in the August 2019 and December 2019 CfA responses. It represents the
    situation as it would have been in Q4 2019 if the Basel III framework had already been
    fully implemented and the transitional period had passed. The impact estimates under this
    option are used to quantify the policy option 1 in Section 5.2.1.
    The second implementation option (labelled ’EU-specific’) considers additional EU
    specific adjustments requested by the Commission in its CfA, specifically:
     maintaining the supporting factor for exposures to SMEs as amended by the CRR
    II under both the SA-CR and the IRBA301
    (including for the purpose of the output
    floor calculation);
     maintaining the current CVA exemptions301
    ;
     reusing the eligibility criteria of the original exposure method (OEM) (see Article
    273a(2) of the CRR) for the eligibility criteria of the simplified method for
    calculating the capital requirements for CVA risk;
     assuming that the discretion included in the final Basel III framework to set ILM
    equal to 1 in the SMA for operational risk would be exercised permanently for all
    ‘bucket 2’ and ‘bucket 3’ banks.
    The impact estimates of the EU-specific scenario included in the December 2020 CfA
    response serve as a starting point to quantify the impact of policy options 2 and 3 in
    Section 5.2.1. In fact, those policy options propose a number of additional EU specific
    adjustments that the EBA was unable to quantify due to data constrains. Since the EU-
    specific scenario does not include the additional EU specific adjustments, the impacts of
    those policy options are overestimated. Therefore, in order to produce more realistic
    estimates of the actual impacts of those two policy options, the Commission services
    used expert judgement and additional data sources to estimate the impact of the
    additional EU specific adjustments. These estimates do not have the same degree of
    300
    See
    https://www.eba.europa.eu/sites/default/documents/files/document_library/Publications/Reports/2020/9607
    97/Basel%20III%20monitoring%20report%20-%20Dec%202020.pdf.
    301
    In the absence of available impact estimates for this EU specific adjustment in the end-December 2019
    QIS templates, the EBA use for this EU specific adjustments a proxy impact estimates based on the Q2
    2018 data
    186
    accuracy than the quantitative estimates carried by the EBA and must be interpreted with
    caution.
    Furthermore, the analysis for the proposed approach to implement the output floor under
    policy options 2 and 3 in Section 5.2.1 is based on the estimates of the ‘alternative
    approach’ included in the December 2020 CfA response. This alternative approach
    provides a good proxy for the proposed approach to implement the output floor but it
    may overestimate its actual impact since the potential reduction of the P2R and the SyRB
    requirement as the result of supervisory action is not quantified. As explained in Section
    5.2.1, such supervisory action would be proposed in order to avoid double counting
    aggressive modelling risk under the proposed approach.
    It is also important to note that under both the Basel III and EU-specific scenarios used in
    the December 2020 CfA response, the impact of the final CVA framework published in
    July 2020 is reflected via a robust proxy (see the description of proxy in the response).
    Finally, as requested by the Commission in its CfA, the EU-specific scenario also
    includes the effects of some support measures that have been adopted in 2020 to mitigate
    the effect of COVID-19 crisis on EU banks, specifically the frontloading of the
    prudential treatment of software assets adopted as part of the CRR quick fix package and
    the frontloading of the change in the P2R composition adopted by the ECB302
    . In order to
    assess the pure impact of the final elements of the Basel III reform under this scenario,
    the EBA assumed that these policy measures were already in place in Q4 2019.
    Therefore, the effect of these measures are not reflected under the impact estimates of the
    EU-specific scenario published in the December 2020 CfA response303
    .
    With regard to the specific analysis on the combined effect of the final elements of the
    Basel III reform and the potential effects of the COVID-19 crisis, the EBA had to
    develop several hypothetical scenarios on the potential deterioration of the financial
    situation of EU banks’ borrowers and the effects of maintaining some support measures
    put in place by Member States and competent authorities should the crisis last, as
    requested in the Commission August 2020 CfA. All these assumptions are extensively
    described in the December 2020 CfA response. This combined effect has only been
    assessed by the EBA under the EU-specific scenario.
    Limitations/Caveats
    The updated impact analysis contained in the December 2020 CfA response is subject to
    the following limitations/caveats, which have to be taken into account when interpreting
    the results of the analysis:
    302
    See https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2020/html/ecb.pr200312~45417d8643.en.html.
    303
    For the sake of completeness, the EBA also provided in an annex to the December 2020 CfA response a
    partial set of impact estimates under the EU-specific scenario in which the effects of these support
    measures are visible. However, for the sake of comparison with the Basel III scenario, in which these
    support measures are not reflected, this impact assessment uses the impact estimates of the EU-specific
    scenario in which the support measures are not reflected.
    187
     limited sample: the sample of banks included in the December 2020 CfA
    response is significantly smaller than the sample used for the August and
    December 2019 CfA responses. As observed in the above description of the
    sample used, EU banks in some Member States are absent from the sample and
    the number of EU banks in certain categories is too limited to be representative;
     conservative assumptions for the impact estimates: as for the August 2019 and
    December 2019 CfA responses, a number of simplifying and conservative
    assumptions have been applied for the impact estimates in the December 2020
    CfA response. These assumptions are likely to result in an overestimation of the
    impacts. For instance, the EBA used the assumption of a static balance sheet
    under which banks do not react to the revised requirements by adjusting their
    businesses and/or managing their regulatory capital costs. Also, the EBA used
    conservative proxies to estimate some impacts in the situation that the actual
    impacts in the Q4 2019 data were not available (e.g. for the EU specific
    adjustment on the SME supporting factor and for the impact of the final CVA
    framework);
     conservative assumptions under the COVID-19 scenarios: as explained in Section
    6.1, the EBA used very conservative assumptions in its specific quantitative
    analysis of the combined effect on EU banks of the final elements of the Basel III
    reform and the potential consequences of the COVID-19 crisis. In particular, the
    EBA methodology uses a stress-testing approach which assumes a simultaneous
    deterioration in the financial situation of all borrowers of EU banks, i.e. even for
    borrowers that do not currently experience difficulties. Also, the most severe
    COVID-19 scenario assumes two cumulative shocks, one global and one
    sectorial, to infer the deterioration of the financial situation of EU banks’
    borrowers. This scenario considers that the application of a sectorial shock only
    would not be sufficient to assess the impacts on the sectors of the real economy
    that are the most affected by the COVID-19 crisis.
    2. ECB macroeconomic costs and benefits analysis
    The ECB macroeconomic analysis presented in this impact assessment is an update of the
    previous macroeconomic analysis published in the December 2019 CfA response.
    Following the one-year delay for the implementation of the final elements of the Basel III
    reform agreed by the BCBS in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Commission
    asked the ECB in August 2020 to update its quantitative impact analysis with the most
    recent available data, considering the potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the
    EU banking sector and the wider economy.
    188
    Data sources
    The structure of banks’ balance sheets is sourced from the stress test templates of the
    2018 EU-wide exercise and updated with the information from FINREP / COREP based
    on Q4 2019 data. Estimated impacts of the final elements of the Basel III reform are
    based on the templates used for the regular Basel III monitoring exercise based on Q4
    2019 data. The data sources are therefore consistent with the EBA impact analysis
    presented in the December 2020 CfA response.
    The bank-level behavioural dynamics and their sensitivity to external factors (e.g. IRFS 9
    parameters) are estimated with the use of FINREP / COREP data, balance sheet items
    (BSI) and MFI interest rate (MIR) statistics collected by euro-area central banks for
    monetary policy purposes, public bank-level information, and external market data. The
    macroeconomic dataset consists of the aggregate information from Eurostat on national
    accounts, price indices, interest rates and central bank assets approximating the intensity
    of unconventional monetary policy.
    Sample of the analysis
    The ECB macroeconomic impact analysis includes 100 EU banks from 19 euro-area
    Member States and one Norwegian bank, reporting data of sufficient quality at the
    highest level of consolidation. This sample covers over 70% of total euro-area banking
    sector assets. The country breakdown of banks included in the sample is provided in
    Table 4 below. No additional information about the profiles of the banks included in the
    sample has been provided by the ECB. The findings of the ECB analysis included in this
    impact assessment relate to both the EU and Norwegian economies but only references to
    the EU economy have been included for the sake of simplicity.
    Table 4 : Breakdown of banks included the Q4 2019 sample of ECB macroeconomic
    analysis, per Member States and Norway
    Member States
    Number of banks in the
    sample
    AT 6
    BE 6
    CY 2
    DE 20
    DK 3
    EL 4
    ES 11
    FI 2
    FR 10
    HU 1
    IE 4
    IT 9
    189
    LU 5
    MT 2
    NL 6
    NO 1
    PL 2
    PT 2
    SE 3
    SI 2
    Total 101
    Source: ECB
    Methodology
    The ECB macroeconomic impact analysis relies on the Banking Euro Area Stress Test
    (BEAST) model which is a semi-structural macroeconomic model that links the dynamics
    of individual banks’ balance sheets with macroeconomic indicators304
    .
    Using a set of dynamical assumptions, the model links the individual banks’ balance
    sheets to their capital requirements based on a given specification for the applicable
    prudential framework (either the current prudential framework under the CRR or an
    implementation option for the final Basel III framework) and a given set of
    macroeconomic indicators (including the EU Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth).
    For a given specification, the model generates multiple times the potential evolution of
    the macro-economic indicators for every year over a long time horizon, leading to a
    probabilistic distribution of these indicators each year. To be consistent with the official
    ECB forecasted macroeconomic indicators305
    , the model is calibrated to match those
    forecasts over the first three years of the time horizon, and thereafter these indicators are
    generated according to the model dynamics.
    On the asset side of banks’ balance sheets, the model distinguishes various classes of
    banks’ exposures and applies dynamical assumptions for the evolution of the IFRS 9
    credit stages to those exposure classes (stage 1 to3) using endogenous transition rates that
    depend on the macroeconomic indicators. The dynamics assumptions also adjust, for
    each exposure class, banks’ loan volumes and the interest rates charged on those loans in
    response to loan demand conditions, monetary policy rates and depending on their own
    capital position, profitability or the quality of assets.
    On the liability side of banks’ balance sheets, the model distinguishes various forms of
    deposits and their level depending on the types of banks’ depositors. The dynamical
    304
    For more details in about this model, see ECB Working papers series, December 2020
    (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecb.wp2469~a139d2f5cd.en.pdf?a8fe33c3c9c7d0c629daa9d9
    c9b1e6b3).
    305
    See https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/projections/html/index.en.html; these projections are consistent with
    the Commission’s economic forecast.
    190
    assumptions changes banks’ costs of funding depending on the macroeconomic
    conditions and, as regards wholesale funding, on banks’ capitalisation and asset quality.
    Regarding banks’ profits and losses, the model recalculates banks’ net interest income,
    loan loss provisions and net fee and commission income in details over the simulation.
    Certain components of P&L, such as dividend income or changes to the trading book
    assets, follow a simpler evolution generated by dynamic assumptions.
    The model also incorporates a number of support measures adopted in light of the
    COVID-19 crisis, including country-specific public moratoria and guarantee schemes
    adopted by Member States as well as capital release measures adopted by the ECB and
    supervisory authorities306
    .
    The effects of the final elements of the Basel III reform are assessed using the same data
    impacts and broad methodology than the EBA analysis, although the sample of banks
    included in the ECB analysis is slightly different. The ECB analysis includes two
    implementation options for the implementation of the reform. The first implementation
    option is based on the full alignment with the final Basel III standards and BCBS
    timelines, similar to option 1 in Section 5.2.1. The second implementation option is
    based on the implementation of the final Basel III standards with the introduction of EU
    specific adjustments (these adjustments are limited to those that EBA was able to
    quantify; see Section 1 of this Annex). The second implementation option is also based
    on the same ‘alternative approach’ for the implementation of the output floor as in the
    EBA updated impact analysis. Therefore, the second implementation option could be
    considered as a good proxy for the impact of the preferred option in Section 5.2.1
    Every year starting from one year after the envisaged date of application of the final
    elements of the Basel III reform, the ECB analysis produces two main macroeconomic
    metrics to assess the macroeconomic costs and benefits of implementing the reform:
     the expected impact of the reform on EU GDP growth as defined by the difference
    between the expected future EU GDP307
    growth as simulated under two different set
    of rules for the capital requirements calculations, the first one based on one of the
    options considered for implementing the final elements of the Basel III reform and
    the second one based on the current prudential framework. A negative difference
    between two expected future EU GDPs growths would imply an expected
    macroeconomic cost resulting from the introduction of the reform, and vice versa. It
    is important to note that in the ECB model an increase in banks’ capital requirements
    can lead to a reduction in bank lending, and occasionally a reduction in GDP growth;
    306
    For more detailed description see Budnik et al. (2021), Policies in support of lending following the
    coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, ECB Occasional Paper, mimeo
    307
    In this context, the expected future EU GDP growth for a given year is the mathematical mean of the
    distribution of the EU GDPs growth generated by the model, for a given set of model specifications (ie
    given prudential framework and given set of ECB projected macroeconomic indicators for the first three
    years).
    191
     the impact of the reform to support EU GDP growth under economic downturns as
    defined by the difference between a low percentile308
    of the future EU GDP
    distribution as simulated under two different sets of rules for the capital requirements
    calculations, the first one based on one of the options considered for implementing
    the final elements of the Basel III reform and the second one based on the current
    prudential framework. A positive difference between the same percentiles of the two
    future EU GDP growth distributions would imply a macroeconomic benefit from the
    introduction of reforms under an economic downturn, and vice versa. This approach
    is based on the so-called Growth-at-Risk (GaR) macroeconomic concept which
    focuses on the lower tail of the simulated EU GDP growth distribution in order to
    assess the ability of the banking sector to keep lending to the real economy during an
    economic downturn, thereby supporting growth.
    Figure 17: Illustration of the macroeconomic metrics produced by the ECB model.
    Source: ECB
    Limitations/Caveats
    The ECB macroeconomic impact analysis is subject to the following limitations/caveats,
    which have to be carefully taken into account when interpreting the results:
     limited sample: as for the EBA updated impact analysis, the sample size used in
    the ECB analysis is limited to the largest banks of EU Member States and
    Norway. However, these banks hold the majority of banking assets in those
    countries;
     assumptions of the macroeconomic model: the assumptions of the ECB model
    tend to translate an increase in banks’ capital requirements into a reduction in
    banks’ lending and a reduction in EU GDP growth. This assumption is rather
    conservative and, may not be met in reality (for instance, the large increase in EU
    banks’ capital requirements resulting from the reforms adopted post-GFC did not
    lead to a large reduction in bank lending);
    308
    The ECB chose the 10th percentile of this distribution in their analysis.
    192
     overestimation of the impact of the EU specific implementation option: similarly
    to the EBA updated impact analysis, the ECB analysis only reflected a limited
    number of EU specific adjustments that are proposed under options 2 and 3 of
    Section 5.2.1. This may lead to an overestimation (underestimation) of the
    macroeconomic costs (benefits) of the reform, although likely not to a significant
    degree.