COMMISSION STAFF WORKING DOCUMENT IMPACT ASSESSMENT REPORT Accompanying the documents Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of the Council amending Directive 2009/138/EC as regards proportionality, quality of supervision, reporting, long-term guarantee measures, macro-prudential tools, sustainability risks, group and cross-border supervision and Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of the Council establishing a framework for the recovery and resolution of insurance and reinsurance undertakings and amending Directives 2002/47/EC, 2004/25/EC, 2009/138/EC, (EU) 2017/1132 and Regulations (EU) No 1094/2010 and (EU) No 648/2012

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    1_EN_impact_assessment_part4_v3.pdf

    https://www.ft.dk/samling/20211/kommissionsforslag/kom(2021)0581/forslag/1810434/2449342.pdf

    EN EN
    EUROPEAN
    COMMISSION
    Brussels, 22.9.2021
    SWD(2021) 260 final
    PART 4/4
    COMMISSION STAFF WORKING DOCUMENT
    IMPACT ASSESSMENT REPORT
    Accompanying the documents
    Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of the Council amending
    Directive 2009/138/EC as regards proportionality, quality of supervision, reporting,
    long-term guarantee measures, macro-prudential tools, sustainability risks, group and
    cross-border supervision
    and Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of the Council establishing
    a framework for the recovery and resolution of insurance and reinsurance undertakings
    and amending Directives 2002/47/EC, 2004/25/EC, 2009/138/EC, (EU) 2017/1132 and
    Regulations (EU) No 1094/2010 and (EU) No 648/2012
    {COM(2021) 581 final} - {SEC(2021) 620 final} - {SWD(2021) 261 final}
    Europaudvalget 2021
    KOM (2021) 0581 - SWD-dokument
    Offentligt
    Page | 285
    7. CONCLUSIONS
    Based on the assessment presented in the previous sections, this section presents the
    conclusions of the targeted evaluation of the Solvency II framework. Although it is
    beyond the scope of the evaluation to provide any policy conclusions or follow-up action
    to take, the section also highlights the main areas with potential to improve the
    framework for the future, possibly in the process of the forthcoming review.
    7.1. Conclusions on the Solvency II framework
    Overall, the current Solvency II Directive and Delegated Regulation are broadly
    effective and coherent, still highly relevant, neutral with respect to many digital
    developments, and bring EU added value. Nonetheless, a number of issues in the
    implementation of their principles (risk-based and market-based, proportionality), in the
    supervisory convergence process, and the implementation of their requirements limit
    their efficiency, and to a lesser extent their effectiveness, while some additional
    dimensions are missing that could enhance their relevance in the current environment.
    Specifically:
    1. Effectiveness
    The current risk-based, three-pillar approach of the Solvency II framework overall
    achieved progress towards its general objectives: to increase the EU insurance market
    integration, to enhance the protection of policyholders and beneficiaries, to improve
    competitiveness of EU insurers as well as to foster growth and recovery. It has
    significantly improved insurers’ risk management and internal governance and thereby
    reduced the likelihood of an insurer to fail. However, some of the numerous measures
    aiming to facilitate an enhanced risk management (such as the volatility adjustment
    mechanism) could be refined, as they can give rise to insufficient or undesirable effects
    depending on the economic situation and/or on the specificities of the national markets.
    The framework has also fostered transparency and strengthened supervisory cooperation
    and convergence, which in turn deepened the integration of the EU market and ensured a
    better level-playing field for EU insurers. Although all these benefits are largely
    acknowledged, the role of the insurers as institutional long-term investors or as “green”
    investors is still seen as unsatisfyingly discreet. Reasons can be found in socio-economic
    (policy) developments that were not foreseen at the time of the legislative process (such
    as the persisting low-interest-rate environment that renders some provisions or
    parameters outdated, insufficiently effective or even counter-effective). But they can also
    be found to some extent in the design of the framework and in its “principle-based”
    characteristic, which demands a very high level of clarity and cooperation to avoid legal
    uncertainties and ensure sufficient supervisory convergence. The needs for
    clarification evolve in turn with the implementation process, changing market conditions
    and new/emerging issues.
    Page | 286
    2. Efficiency
    Due to the difficulties in obtaining reliable cost estimates and the lack of means to
    quantify the general benefits of the Solvency II framework, it has not been possible to
    carry out a quantitative assessment of its efficiency at EU level. The available evidence
    on compliance costs, however, suggests that the proportionality objectives have not been
    reached yet, and that insurers, the smaller ones in particular, spend significant financial
    resources to comply with the current regulatory requirements. The reporting requirements
    in particular seem to generate a cost that can appear disproportionate for smaller insurers,
    both in terms of reaching the specific audiences and in terms of frequency. The
    assessment identified a number of areas where the supervisory reporting
    requirements could be better adapted to the size, nature and complexity of the
    insurance companies. Therefore, the Solvency II framework is not as efficient as it
    could be. Both updating and clarifying the application of the proportionality
    principle could improve the general efficiency of the framework.
    3. Relevance
    The main objectives of the Solvency II framework – to deepen the integration of the EU
    insurance market while ensuring sufficient policyholder protection and financial stability,
    support the competitiveness of EU insurers and foster economic growth – remain highly
    relevant. However, the economic and financial conditions faced by insurers and
    reinsurers over the recent years and months (in particular in relation to interest rate risks
    and market volatility) significantly differ from those during which the Solvency II
    framework was designed. Therefore, some provisions and parameters now prove
    outdated and lead to insufficient or undesired outcomes. Likewise, it may also raise
    financial stability issues, and the existing macro-prudential tools already embedded in
    the framework may not be fit to sufficiently allow addressing potential systemic risks
    in the insurance sector. In particular, Solvency II does not provide a framework for the
    coordinated resolution of insurers when the disorderly failures of an insurer would lead
    to suboptimal outcomes for policyholders, the economy, financial stability and
    potentially taxpayers. Similarly, there is no harmonised and coordinated approach of
    safety nets in the form of insurance guarantee schemes that would protect
    policyholders and beneficiaries in case of failure. Another newly emerged objective is
    the role insurers are expected to play as institutional investors for a sustainable and green
    recovery, and into long-term sustainable investments in general. The current
    framework seems to lack the necessary prudential incentives for insurers to make
    long-term sustainable investments as well as to manage and reflect climate and
    environmental risks in their risk management. Reviewing the design of the capital
    requirements in order to better reflect the current (and foreseeable) (natural and financial)
    environment also highlights some additional objectives, or put even more emphasis on
    existing ones. As to the horizontal digital issues that can concern the insurance market,
    they are part of horizontal workstreams, and also subject to continued scrutiny and
    ongoing work, in collaboration with the ESAs.
    Page | 287
    4. Coherence
    The interaction of the Solvency II framework with other parts of legislation is limited as
    Solvency II is self-standing and by itself replacing a patchwork of 14 former Directives.
    Further, while it focuses on the prudential dimension and policyholder protection by
    ensuring that insurers have sufficient capital to meet their obligations, the Solvency II
    Directive is very broad, encompassing also requirements for insurance groups. However,
    the current provisions of the framework do not seem to be effective in a way that
    corresponds to the objectives of the renewed Action Plan on the Capital Markets Union:
    issues of insufficient volatility mitigation, impacting the insufficient effect of the
    framework on long-term investment by the insurers. The same holds for “green
    investment” and the European Green Deal.
    From an international point of view, Solvency II is one of the most advanced standards at
    international level, and several jurisdictions are in the process in incorporating (some of)
    the European rules in national legislations. On the other hand, the current lack of
    harmonised framework for coordination and management of crisis situations, including to
    address potential systemic risk, is not consistent with the objectives set at international
    level by the IAIS and the FSB.
    5. EU added value
    Overall, the Solvency II framework has clear added value by providing a harmonised and
    sound prudential framework for insurance and reinsurance companies in the EU, merging
    and harmonising the piece-wise regulation that existed before. Based on the risk profile
    of individual firms, it promotes comparability, transparency and competitiveness.
    Solvency II has significantly enhanced the protection of policyholders and beneficiaries,
    by limiting the likelihood that their insurer fails, as well as increasing transparency on the
    risks their insurer is facing. Under the coordination of EIOPA, Solvency II has also
    facilitated supervisory convergence within the Union and contributed to the integration of
    the Single Market for insurance services. However, the assessment suggests weaknesses
    in supervisory convergence and cooperation which clearly hinder the effectiveness of the
    framework in terms of competitiveness and integration of the EU market. It identified
    such issues related to insufficient supervisory convergence and cooperation in particular
    in the case of cross-border activities, and insufficient or unequal policyholder protection
    in case of failure. In particular, there is no harmonised and coordinated approach of
    safety nets in the form of insurance guarantee schemes that would protect
    policyholders and beneficiaries in case of failure.
    There is no question about the need for the EU-wide Solvency II framework.
    Nonetheless, the assessment suggests that there is scope for improvement in a number of
    areas, identified in the above-analysis and listed below. The feasibility of specific policy
    actions, and the costs of any required changes, would be the subject of the back-to-back
    impact assessment.
    Page | 288
    7.2. Lessons learned
    The following points summarise the lessons learned in this targeted evaluation in
    terms of the main areas for improvement in the Solvency II framework. These need to be
    understood within the above overall conclusion that the Solvency II framework is
    broadly fit for purpose, and generally acknowledged by all stakeholders as a well-
    functioning and robust regulatory framework. The risk-based framework has promoted
    comparability, transparency, enhancing risk management practices and competitiveness.
    It has therefore significantly enhanced the protection of policyholders and beneficiaries,
    also providing strong incentives for insurers to better measure and manage their risks,
    and to improve their internal governance. Under the coordination of EIOPA, Solvency II
    has also facilitated supervisory convergence within the Union and contributed to the
    integration of the Single Market for insurance services. The Framework has therefore
    achieved progress in the different specific (and operational) objectives, thereby
    contributing to the general objectives that had been set. The summary below focuses on
    the identified areas for improvement.
    Insufficient risk-sensitivity in the design of the capital requirements
     Solvency II is a “risk-based” framework. It defines capital requirements based on
    quantitative evidence, setting the amount of capital resources that insurers have to set
    aside in order for them to be able to cope with very extreme adverse events. Higher
    capital requirements on investments are therefore applied to assets that are more
    volatile and/or riskier. This risk-based principle has significantly improved insurers’
    risk management practices.
     However, the framework needs to be regularly updated, so that it appropriately
    captures all the risks that insurers are facing. It is a necessary condition to maintain
    the reliability of the risk management as well as of the supervision, and to protect
    policyholders effectively.
     Indeed, current Solvency II provisions and parameters may not reflect key recent
    economic and financial trends.
     In particular, in the new economic environment characterised by compressed spreads
    and low yields, the level of capital requirements using the standard formula may
    sometimes underestimate the risks insurers are actually facing, in particular in
    relation to interest rates; Underestimation of interest rate risk can also have negative
    effect on investment behaviours and risk-taking activities by insurers, with potential
    side effects on financial stability. The calibration of the interest rate risk sub-module
    and the extrapolation of the risk-free interest rates are therefore not optimal.
     In addition, the current risk approach does not capture the possible risk differential
    between “green” and “brown” assets.
    Limited ability of the framework to mitigate short-term volatility of insurers’ solvency
    position
     The Solvency II framework also relies on full market-based valuation of insurers’
    assets and liabilities, which allows monitoring the impact of economic and financial
    conditions on insurers’ solvency in real time and on an ongoing basis.
    Page | 289
     Solvency II comprises several regulatory tools aiming at mitigating the impact of
    short-term market volatility, relying on this “market-consistent” valuation. Such
    tools currently seem unable to avoid events of very volatile capital resources, in
    particular under stressed situations.
     This remaining excessive short-term volatility poses a risk to the international
    competitiveness of EU insurers, by generating more uncertainty. This uncertainty can
    disincentivise insurers from further expanding their business and activities
    internationally.
     It fosters short-termism in insurers’ underwriting and investment activities,
    divesting from real assets supporting the European economy, and thereby hinders the
    opportunities for the insurance market to fully play its role as institutional investor.
     It also makes it more costly for insurers to offer products with long-term guarantees,
    incentivising a shift towards unit- or index-linked products where a large part of the
    risk is transferred to policyholders.
     In addition, the current mechanism can also lead either to insufficient adjustment
    or to unexpected stability or even improvements (so-called “overshooting”) in the
    solvency position of insurers, as observed during the Covid-19 outbreak. Such
    unintended situations raise supervisory challenges, as appropriate risk measurement
    may be hindered under stressed situations.
    Limited incentives for insurers to contribute to the long-term financing
     Solvency II has enforced a “risk-based” principle which has significantly improved
    insurers’ risk management practices.
     With regard to market risks faced by insurers, the risk-based approach implies that
    the definition of capital requirements on investments only depends on the relative
    riskiness of each asset over a one-year time horizon, without taking into account
    other EU political objectives.
     Consequently, the quantitative rules on long-term investments in general are seen
    as very conservative by stakeholders and the framework has not sufficiently
    contributed to foster long-termism in insurers’ investment decisions, which could
    support the long-term funding of the real economy and the financing of the recovery
    from the economic impact of the Covid-19 outbreak.
     The Commission introduced changes in 2019 via the Solvency II Delegated
    Regulation, to ensure that investments in qualifying long-term equity are subject to a
    preferential prudential treatment. Feedback received after more than a year of
    implementation tend to establish that the conditions imposed for the application of
    that preferential treatment may be either too complex or difficult to meet.
     Improvements could further facilitate long-term investment and incentivise
    insurers to play their full part as institutional investor for the long-term financing of
    the EU economy.
    Insufficient contribution to the greening of the European economy
     The greening of the European economy concerns the insurers’ balance sheets on both
    sides: assets and liabilities.
    Page | 290
     On the one hand, the risk-based approach implies that the definition of capital
    requirements on investments only depends on the relative riskiness of each asset over
    a one-year time horizon, without taking into account other EU political objectives.
    Therefore, it also means that prudential rules do not take into account the
    brown/green nature of investments. This may (at least partially) explain why
    insurers’ investments in green assets remain a small share of their total investments,
    even though insurers are key institutional investors for the financing of the green
    transition, and despite the neutrality of the prudential framework with regard to
    investment in assets or activities that are either environmentally-sustainable or
    detrimental to the Commission’s objective of a climate-neutral continent.
     In addition, while Solvency II contains a general requirement on insurers to take
    into account all risks in their risk management, the Directive does not name
    explicitly climate and environmental risks (although other particular risk categories
    are mentioned). Still, those risks would often materialise through other risk
    categories, e.g. market or underwriting risk. This may result in a lack of clarity as
    regards whether and where insurers are expected to reflect climate and environmental
    risks and, as a consequence, in insufficient management of those risks by insurers.
     Improvements in this area could build on integrating sustainability considerations in
    one or all of the three Solvency II pillars.
    Insufficient proportionality of the current rules
     The assessment and feedback show that Solvency II is a sophisticated framework,
    which provides good incentives for robust risk management by insurers. However, it
    can also prove to be very complex, and its implementation generates significant
    compliance costs. In some cases, these high compliance costs may outweigh the
    benefits of the application of the framework for the smaller insurers, and there is a
    general sentiment that proportionality is insufficiently implemented in the
    supervisory process.
     The implementation of the framework also relies on a “proportionality principle”.
    First, as regards the scope of firms that are subject to the Solvency II requirements,
    current thresholds have not been updated yet, and may prove to be outdated.
     Second, the frameworks embeds an overarching principle of proportionality, which
    supposedly ensures that both the requirements imposed to companies and the
    intensity of supervisory activities by public authorities are commensurate to the
    “nature, scale and complexity” of the risks of each firm. However, in practice, the
    framework does not fully specify the nature of such “proportionate measures”.
    This overarching principle has proven to be too “abstract”, resulting in legal
    uncertainties and, at this stage, the implementation of proportionality has been
    insufficient to effectively reduce the regulatory burden for smaller insurers.
     The supervisory reporting and disclosure in particular, being a pivotal component of
    the Solvency II framework, has at the same time significantly enhanced transparency
    and disclosure to all types of external stakeholders, and developed as a core
    compliance cost, in particular for smaller insurers.
    Page | 291
     In addition, some characteristics of the reporting and disclosure provisions could
    be improved, as they are sometimes reported as inadequate to the targeted audience
    or seen as unnecessarily burdensome and frequent in regard to the expected use of the
    information.
    Regulatory and supervisory shortcomings in policyholder protection, including in the
    event of an insurer’s failure
     The assessment shows that Solvency II has facilitated the integration of the Single
    Market for insurance services by improving the level-playing field and supervisory
    convergence. However, feedback and EIOPA’s reports also point to issues of
    inconsistent application of some Solvency II provisions across the EU, and due to
    legal uncertainties, several areas of the framework may not ensure a harmonised
    implementation of the rules by insurers and supervisory authorities, in particular
    in relation to the supervision of internal models, and to the supervision of insurance
    groups.
     Indeed, EIOPA’s recently enhanced role may prove insufficient to ensure a high-
    quality convergent supervision across Member States, and closing gaps may not
    always be achieved solely through non-binding tools. In addition, the lack of
    data sharing between supervisory authorities may hinder the effective
    supervision of insurers operating on a cross-border basis. This can also affect
    citizens’ trust in the single market and is detrimental to the Single Market for
    insurance services.
     Recent failures of insurance companies, which operated mainly outside the country
    where they were initially authorised, have indicated that there may be a need to
    consider enhancements in quality, consistency and coordination of insurance
    supervision in the EU, including in relation to cross-border business and group
    supervision.
     The situation confirmed that policyholders are not consistently protected across
    the European Union in the event that their insurer fails, in particular in the cross-
    border context. National resolution regimes are mostly incomplete and
    uncoordinated. Further, although a majority of Member States have set up an
    insurance guarantee scheme for certain life or non-life policies, the approach they
    have followed for the design diverges quite substantially from each other. It results in
    a patchwork of the national insurance guarantee schemes, which are expected to
    act as a safety net to pay claims in the event of the insurer’s insolvency. This can
    leave some policyholders without any protection.
    Limited specific supervisory tools to address the potential build-up of systemic risk in the
    insurance sector
     Financial stability is a primary objective of the Solvency II framework.
     In line with most rules of the Solvency II Framework that are targeted to individual
    insurers (so-called “micro-prudential supervision”), some existing measures
    contribute to addressing potential systemic risk when it stems from large insurers.
    Other provisions of the framework also aim at addressing systemic risk stemming
    Page | 292
    from “pro-cyclical behaviours” by a large number of insurers, which may collectively
    act as an amplifier of market downturns or of an exogenous shock.
     However, these tools provided for in the Solvency II Directive have been thought
    through at a time where the insurance sector was still deemed protected from
    “domino effects” such as those that have been observed in the banking sector.
    Interconnectedness with other market participants, intersectoral impacts and
    common risky (herding) behaviours among insurers may have been overlooked.
     There may be a need to further assess additional “dedicated” macro-prudential tools
    that would be better fit for purpose and less narrow in terms of scope. They should
    vest supervisory authorities with sufficient powers to allow an appropriate macro-
    prudential supervision (i.e. a supervision of the whole insurance sector) and to
    effectively prevent a build-up of systemic risk in the insurance sector.
     In particular, there may be no sufficient toolkit for public authorities to monitor,
    avoid and handle failures of insurers, as regular insolvency procedure might be
    unable to manage a failure in the EU insurance sector in an orderly fashion. From a
    macro-prudential perspective, a patchwork of national recovery and resolution
    regimes and insurance guarantee schemes is not beneficial to the integration of the
    EU financial market.
    **********************
    Page | 293
    LIST OF REFERENCES
    - Solvency II Framework:
    o Directive: Directive 2009/138/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 25
    November 2009 on the taking-up and pursuit of the business of Insurance and
    Reinsurance (Solvency II), OJ L 335, 17.12.2009; consolidated version of 13 January
    2019 (EUR-Lex link);
    o Delegated Regulation: Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2015/35 of 10 October
    2014 supplementing Directive 2009/138/EC of the European Parliament and of the
    Council on the taking-up and pursuit of the business of Insurance and Reinsurance
    (Solvency II) – (EUR-Lex link).
    o Solvency II on the « Have your Say » page : https://ec.europa.eu/info/law/better-
    regulation/have-your-say/initiatives/12461-Review-of-measures-on-taking-up-and-
    pursuit-of-the-insurance-and-reinsurance-business-Solvency-II-
    - COM:
    o “Solvency II Impact Assessment Report”, 2007: Commission Staff Working Document -
    Accompanying document to the Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and
    of Council concerning life assurance on the taking-up and pursuit of the business of
    Insurance and Reinsurance –{COM(2007) 361 final}{SEC(2007) 870} (EUR-Lex link)
    o “Fitness Check of EU Supervisory Reporting Requirements [in Financial Services]”,
    2019: Commission Staff Working Document – {SWD(2019) 403 final} (available at this
    link)
    - EIOPA’s Opinion on the 2020 Review of Solvency II (website):
    o “EIOPA’s Advice”, 2020: Opinion on the 2020 Review of Solvency II (paper)
    o EIOPA’s Background analysis, 2020 (paper)
    - EIOPA’s supporting public consultations:
    o on reporting and public disclosure
    o on insurance guarantee schemes
    o EIOPA’s Consultation Paper on the Opinion on the 2020 review of Solvency II, 2019
    (webpage): a broader consultation on the other topics of the review (+ general feedback
    statement on the outcome of the consultation and detailed resolution of stakeholders’
    comments).
    - COM and EIOPA reports on group supervision (under the Art. 242 mandate):
    o “Report from the Commission to the European Parliament and the Council on the
    application of Directive 2009/138/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of
    25 November 2009 on the taking and pursuit of the business of Insurance and
    Reinsurance (Solvency II) with regard to group supervision and capital management
    within a group of insurance or reinsurance undertakings”, 2019 (available at this link)
    o EIOPA submitted two reports on the functioning of group supervision, supervisory
    cooperation and capital management within insurance groups, in December 2017 and
    December 2018: “Report to the European Commission on the Application of Group
    Supervision under the Solvency II Directive” (EIOPA, 2017); “Report to the European
    Commission on Group Supervision and Capital Management with a Group of Insurance
    or Reinsurance Undertakings, and FoS and FoE under Solvency II” (EIOPA, 2018).
    - EIOPA annual reports:
    o Long-term guarantee measures: “Report on long-term guarantees measures and measures
    on equity risk”; EIOPA published such reports at the end of 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019 and
    2020.
    o [consumer trends (if they have relevant context on products with long-term guarantees or
    their alternatives, e.g. unit-linked and/or hybrids)]
    o “Financial Stability Report” (latest – December 2020 – available at this link)
    o “Risk Dashboard” (latest available at this link)
    Page | 294
    - EIOPA, 2016: “Peer Review on freedom to provide services”, available at this link;
    - EIOPA, 2017a: “Decision on the collaboration of the insurance supervisory authorities”,
    available at this link;
    - EIOPA, 2017b: “Opinion on the harmonisation of recovery and resolution frameworks”, available
    at this link;
    - EIOPA, 2018a: “Failures and near-misses in insurance”, available at this link;
    - EIOPA, 2018b: “Peer Review of key functions”, available at this link;
    - EIOPA, 2018c: “Insurance Stress Test Report”, available at this link;
    - EIOPA, 2019: “Opinion on Sustainability within Solvency II”, available at this link;
    - EIOPA, 2020a: “Report on the use of limitations and exemptions from reporting 2018 and Q1
    2019”, available at this link;
    - EIOPA, 2020b: “Results of the Peer Review on the Regular Supervisory Report (RSR)”, available
    at this link;
    - EIOPA, 2020c: “Impact of ultra-low yields on the insurance sector, including first effects of the
    COVID-19 crisis”, available at this link;
    - EIOPA, 2020d: “Peer Review on EIOPA’s Decision on the collaboration of the insurance
    supervisory authorities”, available at this link;
    - EIOPA, 2020e: “Discussion Paper: Methodology on potential inclusion of climate change in the
    nat cat standard formula”, available at this link;
    - EIOPA, 2020f: “Sensitivity analysis of climate-change related transition risks”, available at this
    link;
    - European Court of Auditors (ECA) - Special Report 29: “EIOPA made an important contribution
    to supervision and stability in the insurance sector, but significant challenges remain”, 2018
    (link);
    - European Commission, DG FISMA, 2019: “Study on the drivers of investments in equity by
    insurers and pension funds”; prepared by Deloitte Belgium and CEPS, available at this link ;
    - European Commission, DG FISMA, 2020: “Study on the costs of compliance for the financial
    sector”; written by ICF and CEPS, available at this link ;
    - Fitness Check on the EU Framework for public reporting by Companies;
    - GDV (Gesamtverband der Deutschen Versicherungswirtschaft), Official statement/Survey, 2019:
    “25.02.2019 Regulierung und Aufsicht kompakt” , available at this link;
    - KPMG study – 25 February 2020 (see IGS Annex 5)
    - COM:
    o Commission Communication: Action Plan on Building a Capital Markets Union (EUR-
    Lex link)
    o Commission Communication: European Green Deal (EUR-Lex link)
    o Commission Communication: Stepping up Europe’s 2030 climate ambition (EUR-Lex
    link)
    o Commission Communication: A Capital Markets Union for people and businesses-new
    action plan (EUR-Lex link)
    o “Taxonomy”: technical screening criteria for the identification of sustainable economic
    activities as adopted under Regulation (EU) 2020/852 of the European Parliament and of
    the Council of 18 June 2020 on the establishment of a framework to facilitate sustainable
    investment, and amending Regulation (EU) 2019/2088, OJ L 198, 22.6.2020, p. 13 (EUR-
    Lex link)
    

    1_EN_impact_assessment_part3_v3.pdf

    https://www.ft.dk/samling/20211/kommissionsforslag/kom(2021)0581/forslag/1810434/2449341.pdf

    EN EN
    EUROPEAN
    COMMISSION
    Brussels, 22.9.2021
    SWD(2021) 260 final
    PART 3/4
    COMMISSION STAFF WORKING DOCUMENT
    IMPACT ASSESSMENT REPORT
    Accompanying the documents
    Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of the Council amending
    Directive 2009/138/EC as regards proportionality, quality of supervision, reporting,
    long-term guarantee measures, macro-prudential tools, sustainability risks, group and
    cross-border supervision
    and Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of the Council establishing
    a framework for the recovery and resolution of insurance and reinsurance undertakings
    and amending Directives 2002/47/EC, 2004/25/EC, 2009/138/EC, (EU) 2017/1132 and
    Regulations (EU) No 1094/2010 and (EU) No 648/2012
    {COM(2021) 581 final} - {SEC(2021) 620 final} - {SWD(2021) 261 final}
    Europaudvalget 2021
    KOM (2021) 0581 - SWD-dokument
    Offentligt
    Page | 227
    6. ANALYSIS AND ANSWERS TO THE EVALUATION QUESTIONS
    6.1. Effectiveness
    Summary assessment:
    Overall, the current Solvency II Directive and Delegated Regulation have been broadly
    effective and achieved progress towards their overarching founding objectives, which
    were to facilitate the development of the Single Market in insurance services whilst
    securing an adequate level of policyholder protection. Nonetheless, some provisions or
    parameters may be outdated, and a number of issues have been identified in the
    implementation of their principles, in the adaptation to changing market conditions and
    in the supervisory convergence process, which limit their effectiveness. In particular,
    the volatility adjustment mechanism and the incentives for insurers’ long-term
    investments have been identified as insufficient to achieve the objectives.
    Figure 6.1-1: Effectiveness - General and Specific objectives - Summary
     Has the Directive been overall effective in reaching its general objectives, i.e. to
    increase the EU insurance market integration, to enhance the protection of
    policyholders and beneficiaries and improve competitiveness of EU insurers?
    Three specific objectives had been set in order to facilitate these general ones: (i) to improve
    risk management, (ii) to increase transparency and (iii) to advance supervisory convergence
    and cooperation. When the framework is effective with regard to these objectives, it will
    logically also contribute to the general objectives. The degree of achievement of the general
    objectives is therefore assessed through the following:
    6.1.1. To what extent has the Framework improved the risk management of
    EU insurers?
    Solvency II incentives for better risk management – achievements in solvency position
    and reduced likelihood to fail
    Since 2016 when it entered into application, the Solvency II Directive has provided a
    harmonised prudential framework for insurance and reinsurance companies in the EEA,
    merging and harmonising the piece-wise regulation that existed before. Applying common
    Page | 228
    rules in a harmonised framework (e.g. for the valuation of technical liabilities or reporting
    purposes) facilitated a level-playing field for the insurers and provided a better comparability
    for both policyholders and investors. In turn, it increased transparency and improved
    supervisory convergence, which contributed to a deeper integration of the EU insurance
    market.
    To achieve progress in its primary objectives to enhance the protection of policyholders and
    beneficiaries and improve competitiveness of EU insurers required to reduce the likelihood of
    an insurer to fail (and to increase trust into the insurance companies).1
    And reducing the
    likelihood of an insurer to fail could not be achieved without sound risk management.
    Therefore, a key specific objective has been defined, i.e. to improve risk management
    practices among insurers.
    Solvency II has improved the risk management of insurance companies thanks to the design
    of the framework, which includes several elements which are contributing to their better risk
    management. First, it is built on an overall risk-based approach (see section 2 - Description).
    The newly “risk-based” Solvency II framework has aimed at insurance companies being
    subject to effective solvency requirements based on the actual risks they are facing.2,3
    In
    addition, quantitative requirements in the first pillar are further strengthened by the
    provisions in the other pillars, including measures resulting from supervisors’ risk assessment
    and insurers’ own risk assessment and stress testing (pillar 2). Transparency rules in pillar 3
    require further discipline to assess risks from insurers. Therefore insurers calculate their
    technical provisions based on the actual risks they face. As a result, the level of capital
    resources available to the insurer (own funds), measured as the “solvency ratio”, goes up
    reflecting this better risk management.
    With Solvency II, this “solvency ratio” has actually increased, which reflects the insurers’
    achieved success in improving risk management and related reliable financial health. This,
    even when taking account of the transitional measures meant to allow a smoother phasing out
    of earlier-written business. It is further detailed in the following paragraphs.
    The new risk-based approach was accompanied with transitional provisions (for a period of
    maximum 16 years, i.e. ending on 1 January 2032),4
    aiming to allow a smooth phasing out of
    the business written before the entry into application of Solvency II. The objective is to
    ensure a smooth transition to the risk-based Solvency II regime for contracts concluded under
    the previous solvency regime, which might otherwise risk disturbing the insurance market.
    For pillar 1 in particular, the reasoning is the following. The risk-based nature of Solvency II
    1
    As an illustration, a review published by KPMG in February 2020 on “insurance undertakings insolvencies and
    business transfers in Europe” concluded on the positive effects of prudential regulations introduced in
    Europe since 2001. In particular, the study noted that failures after 2001 have significantly reduced in
    numbers and concerned smaller companies, thereby creating less impact and affecting fewer creditors.
    2
    The Solvency II structure and core functioning are explained in section 2: Description of the intervention.
    3
    The approach under Solvency I was static. The solvency margin was calculated formalistically taking into
    account only the liabilities of the insurance company. Two insurers A and B with the same contracts and the
    same liability structure would have the same solvency margin. Insurer A could keep all his assets in cash,
    and insurer B could invest all his assets into risky assets. This would not have had any impact on the
    solvency margin, i.e. the solvency capital requirement under Solvency I.
    4
    These transitional provisions were introduced via Omnibus II Directive.
    Page | 229
    against the background of low interest rates has a particular5
    impact on liabilities with a long
    duration, i.e. typically the liabilities of products with long-term guarantees. As the transitional
    measures are limited in time6
    , linearly phasing out and applicable for insurance contracts
    concluded before the entry into application of Solvency II, insurance companies are not
    penalised for having offered products with long-term guarantees in the past.
    The most widely used transitional measures are those for the calculation of technical
    provisions (TTP)7
    . The application of these transitional measures lead to a lower valuation of
    liabilities, and therefore of technical provisions. Ceteris paribus, it leads to an increase in the
    SCR ratio. In total, in the EEA (without the UK) 136 insurance companies are using the
    TTP.8
    These companies have a market share in technical provisions of 19 %. Without taking
    into account the TTP measures, the SCR ratio in the EEA decreases from 259 % to 247 %.
    While at first glance a 19 % market share on EEA level could suggest a “big impact” on the
    market, the decrease to a 247% SCR ratio seems to be negligible. However, the figures must
    not be interpreted isolated. If one considers only the insurance companies using the TTP
    measure, by removing the TTP their financial position would decrease the SCR ratio from
    318% to 196%9
    at EEA level.
    Therefore, to have a holistic picture of the impact of the transitional measures, one needs to
    assess: i) the national market share of companies using the TTF measures; ii) the impact itself
    the measures have on the SCR ratio; and iii) the level of the SCR ratio without the TTF
    measures. In Norway for example, insurers using the TTF measures represent a market share
    of around 80 % of technical provisions. However, the impact of removing the TTF measures
    on these insurance companies is a decrease of the SCR ratio from 254 % to 231 %. Which
    also means that the level of the SCR ratio despite the removal of the TTF measure is still at
    231 %.
    The number of companies not complying with the SCR without the TTP measures declined
    from 35 (beginning 2016) to 16 (end 2019)10
    . In the same period, the missing amount of
    eligible own funds to comply with the SCR without the transitional measures declined from
    5.26 to 1.95 billion EUR. And the SCR ratio (without TTP measures) of the companies using
    the TTP measures rose from 124 % to 196 % in that period. These figures and statements
    from the supervisory authorities11
    suggest that the period during the application of the
    transitional measures was indeed used by the insurers concerned to facilitate the compliance
    5
    The low interest environment implies that discounting with market-based rates instead of a (higher) flat risk
    curve impacts liabilities of longer durations in particular, as the discounting is done for each year of the
    expected cash flow (see also section 2: Description of the intervention).
    6
    They are designed to phase out in a linear way over the transitional period of 16 years.
    7
    The transitional provisions consist of transitional measures for the calculation of the risk-free rate (TRFR) and
    of measures for the calculation of technical provisions (TTP). In brief, the TRFR allow to use the risk-free
    rate used under Solvency I while the TTP allow to calculate the technical provisions according to Solvency I.
    In 2019, only 5 companies, in 3 countries, are using the TRFR. Thus, we will assess the impact of the use of
    TTPs only, as the same logic applies for TRFR.
    8
    Data from EIOPA (2020), “LTG Report” (see list of ref.).
    9
    These figures are mainly driven by the German market, as 59 of the 136 insurance companies are from
    Germany. The share of the German companies using the TTP measures in the EEA is 8 %.
    10
    The overall number of companies using the transitional measures remained stable after 2016 and varied
    between 159 and 169 until the end of 2018.
    11
    See also the LTG Reports by EIOPA (2018, 2019 and 2020).
    Page | 230
    with new requirements during the first years of application. Thus, the phasing out is a
    success.
    Thus, with (and also mostly without) the transitional measures, the “solvency ratio”, is an
    indication of the insurers’ achieved success in improving risk management and related
    reliable financial health. Over the period 2016 to 2019, insurance companies’ average
    solvency ratio has steadily increased and was in all years of that period more than twice as
    high as the level required by the Directive. Further, as reported in EIOPA’s LTG Report
    2020, the total number of companies breaching the SCR had decreased from 25 on 31
    December 2017 to 17 on 31 December 2018. Without consideration of the UK, there were 12
    on 31 December 2019, representing a market share of 0.01% (both in terms of gross written
    premiums and in terms of technical provisions). 12
    Figure 6.1-2 Average solvency ratio for EEA insurers13
    Sources: EIOPA (2020) - Report on long-term guarantees measures and measures on equity risk (page 177) and Technical
    information relating to risk-free interest rate (RFR) term structures is used for the calculation of the technical provisions for
    (re)insurance obligations (link)
    The fact that solvency ratios are so often well-above the 100% “regulated target” reflects the
    fact that insurers have actually integrated the requirements of all three “pillars” in their own
    target. Indeed, as explained in section 2 - Description of the intervention - capital
    requirements are only one dimension, though probably the most visible. Pillar 2 requires an
    ORSA, where the insurer undertakes its own “stress testing”, integrating all foreseeable risks
    such as a volatile and uncertain economic outlook. The solvency ratios above 100% imply
    that insurers’ own risk appetite sets levels of available capital which are more than sufficient
    to meet the quantitative requirements at a given point in time, but also in a forward-looking
    manner. Further, the reporting and disclosure requirements in pillar 3 fostering transparency,
    insurers also have to integrate into their own risk appetite their stakeholders’ expectations
    12
    Split as follows according to their type: 5 non-life insurance undertakings, 1 life insurance undertakings, 2
    undertaking pursuing both life and non-life insurance activity and 4 reinsurance undertakings.
    13
    In addition to average solvency ratios, the chart also plots the level of the volatility adjustment (VA) for the
    Euro on the right axis. While other LTG measures have shown a more stable impact over time, the impact of
    the volatility adjustment has varied in accordance with moves in the level of the volatility adjustment. To
    this end, the differences from year to year in the height of the blue bars are to a large degree driven by the
    movements of the volatility adjustments. The volatility adjustment for the Euro has the largest impact,
    because most of EEA insurers’ liabilities are denominated in that currency.
    0
    5
    10
    15
    20
    25
    30
    0%
    50%
    100%
    150%
    200%
    250%
    300%
    2016 2017 2018 2019
    SCR ratio without LTG measures Impact of LTG measures Euro VA (bps, right axis)
    Page | 231
    (e.g. rating agencies), whose norm can increase with the actual ratios increasing. In brief, it
    shows how Solvency II strengthened not only insurers’ resilience to shocks but also the
    robustness of their risk management.
    Likewise, even with the losses stemming from the market turmoil triggered by the Covid-19
    outbreak, insurers’ capital resources remain on average more than twice as high as what
    corresponds to the capital requirements of the legislation. The graph below illustrates the
    decrease between the end of 2019 and the first quarter of 2020: the average ratio of insurers’
    capital resources over capital requirements decreased by 18 percentage points to 243%,
    representing a cumulative loss in excess capital of approximately EUR 131 billion. In the
    third quarter of 2020 the ratio had gone up to 246%.
    Figure 6.1-3: Average solvency ratio per country
    Source: EIOPA Statistics (own funds); the ratio is calculated by country as national aggregates of own funds to solvency
    capital requirements.
    Conclusion: Based on all the consultation activities, reports and regular exchanges
    between the Commission services and the stakeholders, the good solvency performance of
    the sector and the decreased likelihood to fail are acknowledged, reflecting improved risk
    management practices. There are indeed numerous measures provided by the Solvency II
    framework to facilitate an enhanced risk management through harmonised and more accurate
    measurement of technical provisions. However, some of them have been identified as
    ineffective, or can give rise to diverse (sometimes problematic) effects depending on the
    economic situation and/or on the specificities of the national markets. To illustrate this, the
    volatility adjustment and the regulatory curve are detailed in the next subsections.
    The volatility adjustment: insufficient mitigation, under- and overshooting
    The Solvency II framework aims at providing a comprehensive set of measures that
    should allow insurers to operate an optimal risk management. The possibility to limit the
    impact of excessive volatility is part of these measures. Solvency II therefore includes several
    Page | 232
    optional regulatory mechanisms (so-called “long-term guarantee measures and measures on
    equity risk”).14
    They are aimed at mitigating the impact of short-term market turmoil on
    insurers’ solvency position. The volatility adjustment might be subject to prior approval by
    the NSA. In addition, there is a legal mandate set out in the Directive to review those
    measures (long-term guarantee measures and measures on equity risk).Indeed, reliance on
    market values, given that there are occasional high market price fluctuations, may imply high
    short-term volatility in insurers’ assets – the value of which evolves with financial market
    movements – and liabilities (for instance, when asset values and asset returns decline, the cost
    for an insurer of providing a high guaranteed rate on a life insurance product increases
    significantly), hence in their solvency position. Limiting the impact of short-term volatility on
    insurers’ solvency positions is therefore essential, in particular for life insurers, in order to
    allow them to conduct their business with the appropriate long-term perspective. Otherwise,
    they might reduce the continued supply of long-term insurance products with guaranteed
    minimum returns, and the long-term financing of the real economy. Mitigating short-term
    volatility also reduces the incentives for procyclical behaviour and the risk of fire sales which
    raise financial instability risks.15
    Further, excessive volatility in solvency ratios can also
    affect insurers’ competitiveness, by generating more uncertainty. This uncertainty can
    restrain insurers from further expanding their business and activities internationally.
    By the end of 2019, 25 % of insurance companies in 22 countries were using at least one of
    the existing “long-term guarantee measures”, which represented 75% of the insurers’ total
    amount of liabilities towards policyholders in the European market. However, nine countries
    have no insurer using such measures16
    . The most widely used “long-term guarantee measure”
    is precisely the “volatility adjustment”17
    . In 2019, 631 companies in 21 Member States were
    using it, i.e. 26% of insurance companies, holding 79% of all technical provisions in the
    EEA, as detailed in
    14
    The LTG measures are: the extrapolation of risk-free interest rates, the matching adjustment, the volatility
    adjustment, the extension of the recovery period in case of non-compliance with the Solvency Capital
    Requirement, the transitional measure on the risk-free interest rates and the transitional measure on technical
    provisions. The equity risk measures are the application of a symmetric adjustment mechanism to the equity
    risk charge and the duration-based equity risk sub-module. See also EIOPA’s LTG Reports.
    15
    22% of respondents (36% if we exclude those who did not have an opinion) to the Commission’s public
    consultation consider that the current Solvency II framework does not promote procyclical behaviours.
    Similar percentages can be observed among both insurance stakeholders and consumers/citizens/NGOs.
    Regarding public authorities, views are more balanced as 50% of them believe that the framework
    appropriately mitigates volatility and prevents procyclical behaviour.
    16
    Estonia, Croatia, Island, Lithuania, Latvia, Malta, Poland, Romania and Slovenia. Source: Report on long-
    term guarantees measures and measures on equity risk (2019) – EIOPA.
    17
    It consists in an adjustment to the regulatory risk free interest rate curves used to value technical provisions,
    which aims at mitigating the impact of both short-term spread increases for a given currency (so-called
    “currency volatility adjustment”) and national-specific spread crises in a given country (so-called “country
    volatility adjustment”) on insurers’ capital resources. The volatility adjustment is therefore expected to avoid
    excessive volatility in insurers’ solvency positions in times of spread markets turbulence.
    Page | 233
    Figure 6.1-4 and Figure 6.1-5. This adjustment is mainly used for the valuation of life
    insurance obligations.
    Figure 6.1-4: Volatility adjustment: number of users per EEA country – 2019
    Source: LTG Report, EIOPA 2020.
    Figure 6.1-5: Use of volatility adjustment – National market shares – 2019
    Source: LTG Report, EIOPA 2020.
    Note: the national market share of the insurer is expressed in technical provisions amounts.
    Page | 234
    It seems however that the currently designed volatility adjustment may not be sufficient, as
    the Covid-19 outbreak recently illustrated. The crisis has generated heightened volatility in
    financial markets, drops in stock markets, and rises in spreads. Solvency positions proved
    then to be very volatile over very short periods, in particular during March 2020, thus
    illustrating shortcomings in the ability of the existing regulatory tools in limiting the impact
    of artificial market turmoil on insurers’ capital resources. As mentioned above, when the
    short-term volatility in insurers’ solvency becomes excessively high, it fosters short-termism
    in insurers’ underwriting and investment activities, and is claimed to drive insurers to shift a
    large part of the risk to policyholders (via the distribution of unit- or index-linked products),
    and to divest from real assets supporting the European economy. 38 of the 73 participants to
    the public consultation confirm this concern, while only 11 participants reply that Solvency II
    appropriately mitigates the impact of short-term market volatility.
    Illustrating this issue, a big national market has reported the volatility in the average solvency
    position of a representative sample of its life insurance market (including application of the
    VA). Starting from a ratio of eligible own funds to capital requirements of around 210% on
    31 December 2019, the ratio had decreased by 106 pp until 16 March 2020, then increasing
    again by 57 pp by the end of the same month, i.e. 31 March 2020. Which meant an overall
    decrease of only 49 pp.
    In addition, there is also a country-specific component of the volatility adjustment. It is
    introduced to take into account the possible “home bias” insurers’ bond portfolio is subject
    to. It means that insurers often invest a lot (or mainly) in bonds of their home Member State.
    As shown on Figure 6.1-6 below, for 12 Members States more than half the amounts invested
    in government and/or corporate bonds are “home investments”. For some of them, the
    proportion goes up over 80%.
    Figure 6.1-6: Home bias - Q2 2020
    Source: EIOPA Statistics (Asset exposures - Q2 2020), Commission Services.
    When such a Member State is subject to more volatile spread movements than the rest of the
    Euro Area, the sole “currency volatility adjustment” (i.e. the one applicable to all euro-
    0%
    20%
    40%
    60%
    80%
    100%
    EE
    IE
    LU
    CY
    MT
    FI
    LV
    NL
    SI
    AT
    PT
    BG
    LT
    BE
    DE
    EL
    SK
    FR
    IT
    DK
    ES
    CZ
    SE
    HR
    RO
    PL
    HU
    Share of government "home" bonds Share of both gvmt and corp. "home" bonds
    Page | 235
    denominated liabilities) is not sufficient in mitigating spread volatility. In other words, the
    current conditions for the activation of the country-specific component18
    of the volatility
    adjustment may create “cliff effects” in periods where the spreads of a single Member State
    fluctuate around the trigger point and alternate between situations of activation and non-
    activation of the component. It is especially true for insurers located in Southern countries
    with higher spreads. This cliff effect is illustrated in Figure 6.1-7 for the fluctuation of the
    volatility adjustment throughout the year 2018. Movements in the yields on Italian sovereign
    debt caused the country component to be activated in three out of 12 months during that year.
    There were significant jumps in the level of the VA when the country component was
    activated or deactivated. The non-activation of the country component can lead to
    undershooting effects in countries where the spreads on investments increase to a larger
    extent than the spreads on the currency reference portfolio19
    , which may also prevent the
    measure to achieve its intended objective of a countercyclical measure.
    Figure 6.1-7: Levels of the 10-year yield on Italian sovereign debt and fluctuation of the Italian VA in
    2018
    Sources: EIOPA (Technical information relating to risk-free interest rate (RFR) term structures is used for the calculation of
    the technical provisions for (re)insurance obligations and ECB (long-term interest rate for convergence purposes, Italy).
    On the other hand, under certain conditions, the current volatility adjustment mechanism can
    also lead to unexpected stability or even improvements in the solvency position of other
    insurers, during crises such as the Covid-19 outbreak. Indeed the effect of the volatility
    adjustment can be so strong that it overcompensates all other losses that insurers have
    18
    The country component is activated whenever the country risk-corrected spread (computed on the basis of a
    country reference portfolio) is higher than 85 bps and is at least twice the currency risk-corrected spread
    (computed on the basis of the currency reference portfolio). When those two conditions are met the size of
    the volatility adjustment is increased by the difference between the risk-corrected spread calculated at
    national level and twice the risk corrected spread calculated at currency level.
    19
    According to analysis performed by the Italian Association of Insurers, fluctuations around the trigger point
    of the country component have been observed in Italy in the period between May and June 2018.
    0
    50
    100
    150
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    250
    300
    350
    400
    0
    10
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    Country-increase for IT
    Euro volatility adjustment (bps, right axis)
    IT - 10 year yield on sovereign debt (bps, left axis)
    Page | 236
    incurred, leading to an actual improvement in the solvency position. Such effects raise
    supervisory challenges, as appropriate risk measurement may be hindered under stressed
    situations. In practice, some insurance groups in at least three different Member States (the
    Netherlands, Belgium and Finland) have reported that they experienced an increase in their
    solvency position (measured as the ratio of capital resources to capital requirements) of
    between 10 and 41 percentage points from 31 December 2019 to 31 March 2020 – a period
    over which the deteriorated market conditions was expected to lead to a deterioration in
    solvency positions. According to EIOPA, during the first quarter of 2020, 10% of insurers
    companies participating to the data collection exercise (the sample represented € 4.030 billion
    of liabilities towards policyholders) experienced such a situation.
    What is the mechanism leading to this “overshooting”? Many external and internal factors
    have an impact on the solvency position of insurance companies. However, regulatory risk-
    free interest rates and, where applied, the volatility adjustment (VA) are an important driver
    of the solvency positions. The VA reflects the movements of risk-adjusted credit spreads of
    the average investments of insurers with liabilities in the relevant currency. An individual
    insurer may have investments that are very different from the average for a given currency.
    An insurer’s liabilities may also react to changes in interest rates in a weaker or stronger way
    than the average investments to changes in credit spreads. Those aspects may lead to
    discrepancies between a particular insurer’s loss on the investment portfolio caused by the
    spread widening from December 2019 to March 2020 and the decrease of the technical
    provisions over the same period. In the examples referred to above, it is likely that the
    insurance groups apply the VA and were investing in assets less affected by spread widening
    than the average fixed income portfolio (the one determining the level of the VA for the Euro
    Area). The volatility adjustment might therefore have translated into a reduction of the
    technical provisions that was larger than the loss on the investments. The combination of both
    effects would be an increase in the regulatory own funds and, thus, the solvency position.
    Finally, over the recent years, insurers in some countries have favoured the supply of
    insurance products where the investment risk is shifted to policyholders instead of traditional
    life insurance products with guarantees. As shown on Figure 6.1-8, they do this via the
    distribution of unit-linked or index-linked products, with prospects of potential higher returns
    coupled with a higher risk for policyholders, who are often not fully aware of the risks
    entailed. Some stakeholders claim that the Solvency II framework, with an excessive
    volatility, has incentivized this risk shifting. Still, while excessive volatility is an observed
    weakness of the framework (as just detailed), it is difficult to show a direct causality to the
    product shifting. And even among insurers that responded to the Consultation, only about
    16% fully confirm this statement, while about 77% reply that the framework has incentivised
    the shift but is not the most important driver.
    Page | 237
    Figure 6.1-8: Trends of unit-linked investments across the EU for the period 2005-2020Q3
    Source: EIOPA Solvency I and Solvency II statistics, Deloitte-CEPS analysis, Commission analysis.
    Note: The ten most important EU Member States in terms of amounts are shown separately, covering 95.8% of
    the total over all EU Member States at 2018Q1. The remaining EU Member States are clustered. Note that in
    2015 there is a missing value for Luxembourg.
    In addition, when looking at the evolution of the share of unit-linked business in terms of
    gross written premiums (GWP), over the period of 2017 to 2019 it does not allow for any
    strong conclusion, as there is no sufficient evidence to identify a clear trend. The share of
    unit-linked investments remained rather stable over this recent period. The overview of
    Member States (see Figure 6.1-10) also shows that there are substantial national differences
    regarding the share of unit-linked business so that Solvency II does not appear as the main
    driver.
    Figure 6.1-9: GWP - Unit-linked share trend
    0,0%
    2,5%
    5,0%
    7,5%
    10,0%
    12,5%
    15,0%
    17,5%
    20,0%
    22,5%
    25,0%
    27,5%
    30,0%
    32,5%
    35,0%
    37,5%
    40,0%
    42,5%
    45,0%
    47,5%
    50,0%
    0
    150.000
    300.000
    450.000
    600.000
    750.000
    900.000
    1.050.000
    1.200.000
    1.350.000
    1.500.000
    1.650.000
    1.800.000
    1.950.000
    2.100.000
    2.250.000
    2.400.000
    2.550.000
    2.700.000
    2.850.000
    3.000.000
    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
    Unit-linked
    investments
    (in
    %
    of
    total
    investments)
    Unit-linked
    investments
    (in
    Mio
    EUR)
    Other
    FI
    SE
    LU
    IE
    DK
    NL
    IT
    DE
    FR
    GB
    % EU
    Page | 238
    Source: EIOPA (2020), LTG Report, p.25
    Figure 6.1-10: Unit-linked as share of GWP-Life business across countries
    Source: EIOPA Statistics (QRS). Data on Denmark is missing.
    Conclusion: The most widely used “long-term guarantee measure”, namely the
    volatility adjustment, does not sufficiently/appropriately mitigate short-term volatility, still
    leaving room for short-termism in insurers’ underwriting and investment activities or, when
    overshooting, for unexpected supervisory challenges.
    Regulatory curve: not adapted to the current low interest rate environment
    Insurers have to value their liabilities towards policyholders prudently. As described
    in Section 2 – Description of the intervention, to this end, Solvency II requires that they make
    projections of all future cash in- and out-flows that they will have to pay and receive, and to
    calculate the “present value” (i.e. to discount those cash-flows) using regulatory “risk-free
    Page | 239
    interest rate curves” (per currency) that are in general adopted by the Commission on a
    quarterly basis20
    .
    According to Solvency II, regulatory risk free interest rates should generally be based on
    market data. However, insurance contracts can cover obligations to pay benefits very far into
    the future, and in the case of life-long benefits they can imply cash-flows up to more than 100
    years into the future. But market data is not available for such long maturities. Proxies have
    to be used, hindering the adequacy of the liabilities valuation, and therefore leading to
    misestimating the insurers’ solvency position. For the case of the euro, the regulatory risk-
    free interest rates are based on euro-denominated interest rate swap rates up to a maturity of
    20 years (the so-called “last liquid point”). As indicated in Figure 6.1-11, beyond 20 years
    regulatory interest rates are “extrapolated” and have to converge towards a so-called
    “ultimate forward rate” (UFR) which was set at 3.75% during 2020 and is currently set at
    3.6% (since 1 January 2021). This means that market information beyond maturities of 20
    years merely influence the annual updates of the UFR and thus the UFR itself is almost
    completely ignored when defining the rates used to value long-term liabilities.
    Figure 6.1-11: Extrapolation of risk-free interest rates for the Euro (31/12/2020)
    Source: EIOPA (Technical information relating to RFR term structures is used for the calculation of the technical provisions
    for (re)insurance obligations (lien).
    In practice, and in particular in the current low-yield environment, there may be a certain
    inconsistency between the regulatory rates beyond a maturity of 20 years as calculated
    according to the current Solvency II rules and the actual market rates for equivalent
    maturities. For instance, for maturities above 33 years, the regulatory risk-free interest rates
    were exceeding the actual yield on 100-year maturity Austrian sovereign bonds issued in
    June (0.85%), with Austria being rated slightly below the highest sovereign rating categories.
    Furthermore, market interest rates can be observed via (fixed to float) interest rate swaps.
    Figure 6.1-12 compares such market rates with extrapolated rates for data pertaining to the
    year-end of 2018 and shows that market rates can be at levels significantly below the
    extrapolated rates.
    Figure 6.1-12: Comparison of extrapolated interest rates and market rates derived from interest rate swaps
    (Euro, 31/12/2018)
    20
    According to article 77e (2) of the Solvency II Directive the Commission may adopt implementing acts
    setting out these curves. Although this is not an obligation but only an option for the Commission, the
    Commission adopts these implementing acts regularly.
    -1,0%
    1,0%
    3,0%
    0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60
    risk-free rates (Euro - 31/12/2020)
    ultimate forward rate
    last liquid point
    Page | 240
    Source: EIOPA (Technical information relating to risk-free interest rate (RFR) term structures is used for the calculation of
    the technical provisions for (re)insurance obligations) and Information request to insurance undertakings from the EEA in
    the context of the Long-Term Guarantees Report 2019.
    In brief, in the current low interest rate environment, because market information for
    maturities above 20 years are currently not taken into account, the regulatory interest rate
    curve used to value insurance liabilities can lead to underestimating insurers’ liabilities and
    overestimation of their solvency position. If this is the case, it would limit prudential
    incentives and might even imply that insurers under-reserve for their future obligations,
    which would put at risk their ability to pay policyholders’ claims over the long term.
    Conclusion: The assessment shows how the framework works to enhance risk
    management practices of the insurers, and limit the likelihood that they fail. Indeed,
    achieving both the competition and policyholders’ protection objectives requires that
    insurance companies are subject to effective solvency requirements based on the actual risks
    they are facing. Beside the “risk-based” principle, the framework also relies on full market-
    based valuation of insurers’ assets and liabilities, which allows monitoring the impact of
    economic and financial conditions on insurers’ solvency in real time and on an ongoing basis.
    This double principle (risk-based/market-based) has fostered better risk management
    behaviours and outcomes, as reflected in the high level of solvency ratios of insurers.
    However, some of the numerous measures aiming to facilitate this enhanced risk
    management have been identified as ineffective, or give rise to diverse effects depending on
    the economic situation and/or on the specificities of the national markets.
    6.1.2. To what extent has the framework increased transparency?
    Transparency needs both the harmonisation of calculation methods, solvency
    standards and supervisory methods, and the access to harmonised data. The section above has
    shown that the Solvency II framework has fostered better risk management behaviours, in
    particular by harmonising the valuation methods and therefore the information reported to the
    supervisory authorities. The section 6.1.3 below assesses the development of supervisory
    convergence.
    As regards the information to the supervisors and in particular to the policyholders, the
    Solvency II framework, pillar 3, requires the yearly publication of a “solvency and financial
    conditions report” (SFCR), which did not exist before. The SFCR is “codified” to a certain
    extent with several elements which are fully standardized (in particular quantitative data)
    -0,5%
    0,5%
    1,5%
    2,5%
    3,5%
    4,5%
    0 10 20 30 40 50 60
    regulatory rates (Euro - 31/12/2018)
    regulatory rates (Euro - 31/12/2018)
    ultimate forward rate
    market (swap) rates, adjusted for credit risk
    Page | 241
    which also facilitates comparability. Comparability and consequent transparency have been
    made possible by the harmonization of the valuation methods for technical provisions, as well
    as the definition of risk-sensitive solvency standards. In addition, the disclosure to all types
    of external stakeholders ((prospective) policyholders, creditors, investors, rating agencies,
    etc.), further facilitates comparability between the different insurers. From the point of view
    of insurers, comparability and transparency improve the level-playing field, and promote a
    better integrated insurance market21
    . Further, enhanced transparency and consequent
    comparability is a key dimension of customers’ information and also trust in the insurance
    market, thereby also supporting the functioning of the internal market. Transparency (and, of
    course, information disclosure) partially palliates the asymmetry of information between
    stakeholders and the insurance company. It empowers policyholders to make more informed
    decisions, and it incentivises better risk management through the “pressure” implied by
    visibility. The outcome of the Commission’s public consultation22
    hints to the “trust”
    dimension as being even more important than the information one, and even though NGOs
    and consumers are not fully convinced that the reading is insightful for them, they are still
    60% stating that all insurers should publish a SFCR on a yearly basis. Still, there could be a
    question of the appropriateness of the current format, which the evaluation details in section
    6.2 on efficiency.
    Conclusion: In addition to the harmonisation of calculation methods, solvency
    standards and supervisory methods assessed in section 6.1.1 and 6.1.3, transparency requires
    sufficient access to such harmonised data. The yearly publication of a SFCR required by the
    Solvency II Directive provides such access and consequent better comparability, which
    incentivises better risk management, supports policyholders’ information and trust and is
    therefore beneficial to the functioning of the internal market. Yet, for smaller insurers in
    particular, the proportionality of such disclosure requirements can be questioned. This issue is
    also addressed in section 6.2 (efficiency).
    6.1.3. To what extent has Solvency II advanced supervisory convergence and
    cooperation?
    A principle-based framework
    Solvency II empowers the European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority
    (EIOPA) to have a key role in prudential supervisory convergence and cooperation. As a
    member by default of all colleges of supervisors – permanent cooperation structures between
    supervisory authorities of the different entities of a given insurance group and the group
    supervisor – EIOPA supports a common approach to risk-assessment and information
    sharing, complemented by relevant non-binding tools (notably, guidelines). EIOPA acts as a
    “binding mediator” on key decisions on group supervision, including on internal models,
    when disagreements arise between supervisory authorities. While there has not been any case
    of such binding mediation so far, the existence of this mechanism incentivises supervisory
    authorities to cooperate and converge in the way they exercise supervision.
    21
    While it is also key for supervisors to be provided with such comparable data, in order to improve supervisory
    convergence. This dimension is detailed in the next subsection (6.1.3).
    22
    See also the Consultation’s outcome on the “Have your Say” page related to Solvency II.
    Page | 242
    The Article 242 Report23
    by EIOPA concluded that there had been a substantial progress in
    the convergence of practices of NSAs in matters of group supervision and supervision of
    cross-border issues. Notwithstanding those improvements made in the supervisory
    convergence, the expected outcome is not reached yet, and challenges would remain, as also
    noted the Article 242 Report. One source of such challenges is that Solvency II is a
    “principle-based” framework, as opposed to a rule-based framework; it sets out general
    guiding principles without always specifying with a great level of details how to apply them
    in practice. The advantage of this approach is that it leaves some leeway in the
    implementation by firms and supervisors. Indeed, the flexibility can help to ensure a more
    tailor-made application of the rules that takes into account the specificities of each company,
    and the nature, scale and complexity of its risks.
    In some areas though, the lack of prescriptiveness, for instance in relation to the assumptions
    governing the calculation of insurers’ liabilities towards their clients, leads to material legal
    gaps or uncertainties, which can raise issues of inconsistent application of the rules and of
    level-playing field within the EU. In the case of internal models it can raise issues of
    comparability.24
    Indeed, while insurers that use an internal model must ensure that it captures
    all material risks to which the insurer is exposed, Solvency II also prohibits that Member
    States and supervisory authorities prescribe methods for the calibration of internal models.
    Hence, on the one hand the methodological freedom for internal model calibration allows to
    capture very specific risks and to reflect the particular situation of a company. On the other
    hand, it also implies that insurers can use very different methods and that their outcomes are
    difficult to compare. Due to this lack of comparability, the supervision of these insurance
    companies is more demanding than the supervision of insurers that calculate their SCR with
    the standard formula. Likewise, the comparison of prudential disclosures by insurers is more
    difficult where at least one insurer uses an internal model than between standard formula
    users only. This being said, contrary to what is discussed in the banking sector, in the course
    of the consultation process no stakeholder has reported a severe issue neither regarding the
    very nature of the internal models, nor regarding their level.
    The same uncertainties arise for the provisions regarding supervisory actions in case of a
    breach of SCR or of MCR25
    (supposed to trigger, under some conditions, either a recovery or
    a resolution process). It is illustrated in more detail by the series of issues identified in the
    context of cross-border activities and as regards group supervision26,27
    . These issues are
    reviewed in the next two subsections.
    23
    EIOPA (2017), Report to the European Commission on the Application of Group Supervision under the
    Solvency II Directive.
    24
    As mentioned above in the description of the Solvency II system, supervisors may approve the use of a partial
    or full internal model for the calculation of the solvency capital requirement. At the end of 2019, insurance
    companies using a partial or full internal model made up around 32% of the EEA insurance market in terms
    of insurers’ liabilities towards policyholders24
    .
    25
    In response to the Commission’s Call for Advice, EIOPA’s Opinion clearly identified the different issues
    raised by the supervisory divergences in assessing and monitoring the insurance companies’ obligations as to
    the (likely) breach of MCR (see EIOPA’s Background Analysis and Background Impact Assessment,
    Sections 6, EIOPA 2020).
    26
    It implies for instance that the current design of the framework does not allow addressing the national
    inefficiencies in cross-border supervision, as EIOPA’s powers remain limited in this aspect and the access to
    Page | 243
    These uncertainties may hinder the development of the internal market. And in case of
    failure, they may give rise to situations where the policyholders are unevenly protected
    depending on their country of residence or the country in which they have contracted the
    policy.28
    Indeed, national resolution regimes are mostly incomplete and uncoordinated.
    Further, the patchwork of national insurance guarantee schemes29
    , which are expected to act
    as a safety net to pay policyholders’ claims or continue their insurance cover in the event of
    their insurer’s insolvency30
    , can leave some policyholders without any protection, or in a
    legal uncertainty, as clear responsibilities cannot be ascertained in a reasonable period of
    time.
    Cross-border
    One particular topic of concern for a well-integrated insurance market is the
    supervision of cross-border activities by insurance and reinsurance companies. The
    harmonised requirements under Solvency II aim to ensure uniform levels of policyholder
    protection throughout the Union. Under this pre-requisite, insurers that have obtained a
    licence to operate in one EU Member State under Solvency II rules are allowed to operate in
    any other Member State (the so-called “EU passporting” system), which should facilitate
    cross-border activities.
    The current share of cross-border business in total business (direct and indirect) is indeed
    substantial in European Economic Area (EEA) countries: almost 11% in 2019 (amounting to
    EUR 173 billion) and slightly but consistently rising every year since 201631
    , which seems a
    positive signal of its development. For six EEA countries (Estonia, Ireland, Latvia,
    Liechtenstein, Luxembourg and Malta), over 50% of their business is carried out outside the
    home country. This increased cross-border activity in the EU internal market makes strong,
    close and timely collaboration between insurance supervisory authorities necessary for
    effective supervision.
    Figure 6.1-13: Development of written premiums in cross-border activities in Europe
    prudential information by the host supervisor proves to be difficult in the absence of clear-cut legal
    provisions.
    27
    See also EIOPA Reports on group supervision (2017, 2018).
    28
    As illustrated by some recent failures of insurance companies which operated mainly outside the country
    where they were initially granted authorisation (e.g. from Malta, Denmark, Liechtenstein, Cyprus).
    29
    See table in annex 13.1 of EIOPA’s background analysis (EIOPA, 2020), which provides an overview of the
    existing national schemes and other mechanisms across the Member States.
    30
    Generally speaking, disorderly failure of a life insurer may cause material financial loss for policyholders on
    their savings and pensions products. With regard to non-life insurance, losses to policyholders or
    beneficiaries mainly result from outstanding claims at the moment of failure, and can lead to significant
    social hardship. Given the typical structure of its liabilities, the failure of an insurance company can often
    result in policyholders having to bear losses either because the failed insurer is unable to meet its payment
    obligation in due time or by accepting a restructuring of their contracts, including possibly the haircut of
    their claims in resolution.
    31
    EIOPA (2020d), “Peer Review on EIOPA’s Decision on the collaboration of the insurance supervisory
    authorities”.
    Page | 244
    Source: EIOPA (2020d).
    In comparison, in terms of the gross written premiums (GWP), there is slightly more non-life
    than life business done on a cross-border basis and overall there is an equal split between FoS
    and FoE business32
    . However, in the countries with a majority of their business outside their
    jurisdiction, the activity is mainly done on FoS basis33
    .
    Figure 6.1-14: Importance of cross-border business - 2019
    Source: EIOPA (2020d).
    Note 1: in blue: FoE; in orange: FoS.
    Note 2: the vertical axis shows the percentage of direct insurance business outside the home country, as a
    percentage of the total GWP.
    Solvency II provides that the prudential supervision of those firms operating cross-border is
    the responsibility of the national supervisory authority where the insurer is headquartered and
    has therefore been granted a license (“home” supervisor). However, it requires strong
    cooperation with the supervisory authorities of the other countries where the insurer is
    operating (“host” supervisors) to avoid regulatory arbitrage and to ensure a consistent level of
    32
    The acronyms refer to activities undertaken under the Freedom of Services (FoS) principle, i.e. the right to
    pursue business directly in another Member State, or under the Freedom of Establishment (FoE) principle,
    i.e. the right to establish a branch in another Member State.
    33
    EIOPA (2020d).
    Page | 245
    protection for policyholders across the EEA, regardless of the company’s head office.
    However, as Solvency II promotes a “risk-based” supervision, there could be an incentive for
    a supervisory authority to give lower priority (and therefore lower resources) to the
    supervision of insurers whose main activity is outside the local market, as risk management
    drives the supervisory authority to put more emphasis on the market where more risk lies.
    A Special Report34
    of the European Court of Auditors (ECA) on EIOPA’s supervisory
    convergence activities between 2015 and 2017 – therefore encompassing a period during
    which Solvency II applied – also noted that “systemic weaknesses in the current supervisory
    system for cross-border business remain”. More recently, the International Monetary Fund, as
    part of one of its Financial Sector Assessment Programs, referred to “considerable
    shortcomings in the supervisory framework” of some Member States. This can affect
    citizens’ trust in the European insurance industry and is detrimental to the Single Market for
    insurance services. In cross-border supervision in particular, EIOPA has actually played a key
    role in promoting supervisory convergence. In addition, its powers were recently
    strengthened35
    , allowing the Authority to establish, on its own initiative, “cooperation
    platforms”36
    aiming to foster information exchange and coordination between the home and
    host supervisors. EIOPA also developed supervisory tools that contributed to substantial
    progress in convergence of supervisory practices. However, its enhanced role may prove
    insufficient to ensure a high-quality convergent supervision across Member States, and
    closing gaps may not always be achieved solely through non-binding tools. In addition, the
    lack of data sharing between supervisory authorities may hinder the effective supervision of
    insurers operating on a cross-border basis.
    In the current form of the Solvency II framework, there is no clear way to address
    deficiencies in national frameworks for cross-border supervision, as EIOPA’s powers remain
    limited and the access to prudential information by host supervisor proves to be difficult in
    the absence of clear legal provisions. This, notwithstanding the fact that EIOPA is in charge
    of ensuring supervisory convergence, and contributes to the coordination of the supervision
    of cross-border activities. When the lack of proper cooperation between Home and Host
    Member States leads to the inability to carry proper supervision, it entails risks for
    policyholders, as has been explained above.
    The following structural issues have been identified37
    in the cross-border area, some of which
    are related to prudential supervision:
    1. Access to information:
     Lack of timely information exchange: the lack of timely information exchange
    between the home and the host supervisors, in particular in case of
    deteriorated financial condition, generally prevents supervisory intervention at
    34
    ECA (2018), Special Report n.29.
    35
    On the 2019 review of the European System of Financial Supervision, see the European Commission’s Press
    Corner at this link.
    36
    “Collaboration platforms” are cooperation structures aiming to strengthen the exchange of information and to
    enhance collaboration between the relevant supervisory authorities where an insurance or reinsurance
    company carries out, or intends to carry out, cross-border activities. See “Decision on the collaboration of
    the insurance supervisory authorities”, EIOPA, 30 January 2017 (link).
    37
    See COM (2019) and EIOPA (2018) reports on group supervision.
    Page | 246
    an early stage, and is therefore detrimental to policyholder protection. In
    addition, host supervisors are sometimes facing difficulties in obtaining timely
    information regarding conduct of business or specific product information
    from foreign insurers, as under current rules they have to rely on the
    intermediation of the home supervisory authority. Another issue is related to
    cases where an insurer decides to significantly change its business model and
    to operate mainly on a cross-border basis. In such situations, no specific
    information exchange is required with the host supervisor of the country
    where the company decide to operate.
     Lack of knowledge inherent to the nature of the necessary information: Home
    supervisors generally have limited understanding of foreign national laws,
    regulations and insurance products. Such an understanding is however
    necessary to ensure that insurers prudently value their liabilities towards
    policyholders in foreign countries. On the other hand, host supervisors, who
    have a better understanding of their local market, receive no prudential
    information, and the review of the governance and risk management systems
    of a foreign insurer is not in their remit.
    2. Regulatory arbitrage opportunities:
     “Fit and proper” requirements: in accordance with the Solvency II
    requirements, supervisory authorities need to ensure that the Board Members
    of an insurance company are of good repute and integrity (i.e. that they are
    “proper”), and that they collectively have the professional qualifications,
    knowledge and experience to prudently manage an insurance company (i.e.
    that they are “fit”). In practice, due to the principle-based nature of the
    framework, some individuals who were not considered “proper” in one
    Member State (e.g. for being under investigation for fraud or other crimes) can
    manage to be approved as Board Members by the supervisory authority of
    another Member State, by relying on the lack of information exchange and
    communication gaps between authorities.
     Authorisation process: Other examples of regulatory arbitrage opportunity
    relate to the authorisation process. Some insurance firms, which were not
    granted authorisation to operate by the supervisory authority of one Member
    State manage to be authorised in another one, with the intention to operate
    exclusively or almost exclusively in the Member State that originally refused
    the authorisation. Regulatory arbitrage is also detrimental to the trust in the
    Single Market for insurance services.
    3. Limited reporting requirements on cross-border activities: the Solvency II Directive
    only refers to the reporting of “statistical information on cross-border activities”
    which have to be shared by the Home supervisor with the other supervisory
    authorities concerned. However, the Directive does not refer to reporting of
    “prudential data” which could meet the prudential needs of both the home and host
    supervisors.
    4. Not fully effective decision-making process within collaboration platforms: by the
    end of 2018, 9 collaboration (also called “cooperation”) platforms were operational
    with the involvement of 19 national supervisory authorities. However, due to the
    Page | 247
    complexity of certain supervisory issues, NSAs may fail to reach a common view on
    how to address them, with limited role for EIOPA in the legislation.38
    5. In case of insurer failure: Currently, the insurance sector is not covered by any
    European legislation on insurance guarantee schemes (IGS), unlike the banking39
    and
    securities40
    sectors. The resulting patchwork of national guarantee schemes (where
    they exist) does not adequately cover the losses for policyholders and beneficiaries if
    the risk materialises, or does not ensure a sufficient continuation of their coverage. In
    201941
    , 17 Member States operate one or more IGS(s). Of those, eight Member States
    (and Norway) cover both life and (selected) non-life policies insurance; five Member
    States cover (selected) non-life insurance only; and another four Member States cover
    life insurance policies only. This means that under the current conditions, not all
    policyholders in Europe benefit from the protection of an IGS and that, where they do,
    policyholders with similar policies would not necessarily enjoy the same degree of
    protection in the event of liquidation. This patchwork also lacks a clear attribution of
    duties and liabilities between the potentially responsible parties, sometimes even
    within a single member state. It is obviously detrimental to public trust in the single
    market for insurance services.
    Group supervision
    Compared to the previous regime, Solvency II introduced a more robust framework of
    group supervision, as it lays more emphasis on the supervision of insurance groups that are
    treated as single economic entities. The Directive assigns a key role to a “group supervisor”,
    while recognising and maintaining an important role for the supervisory authorities of the
    individual insurance entities.
    Supporting the legal mandate set in the Directive to review the group supervision dimension,
    a report by the European Commission to the European Parliament and the Council42
    concluded that the framework of group supervision is robust, laying emphasis on capital
    management and governance, and allowing for a better understanding and monitoring of risks
    at group level.
    In particular, Article 242(2)(b) of the Solvency II Directive required an assessment regarding
    the practices in centralised group risk management43
    . This assessment might also have
    38
    Within these collaboration platforms, the 2017 “Peer Review on EIOPA’s Decision on the collaboration of the
    insurance supervisory authorities” identified divergent practices among NSAs in a number of areas. See the
    Peer Review Report for more details.
    39
    Directive 2014/49/EU, ref.
    40
    Directive 97/9/EC, ref.
    41
    See background analysis supporting EIOPA’s Advice (EIOPA 2020), Annex 13.1:
    https://www.eiopa.europa.eu/sites/default/files/solvency_ii/eiopa-bos-20-750-background-analysis.pdf.
    42
    Report from the Commission to the European Parliament and the Council on the application of Directive
    2009/138/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 25 November 2009 on the taking and pursuit
    of the business of Insurance and Reinsurance (Solvency II) with regard to group supervision and capital
    management within a group of insurance or reinsurance undertakings (link).
    43
    A regime for supervising groups with centralised risk management where the risk management processes and
    internal control mechanism of the parent company cover the subsidiary. A centralised risk management is
    subject to supervisory approval (Article 237 of the Solvency II Directive).
    Page | 248
    included a discussion on a group support44
    regime as widely discussed in the development of
    the Solvency II regime45
    . However, both the Commission and EIOPA46
    came to the
    conclusion that there were no cases of centralised group risk management and no clear
    benefits for groups to apply such a regime. It was not supported either to have a discussion on
    a group support regime in the near future, taking into account that the responsibility remains
    with the solo supervisors.
    Against this background, the Commission’s public consultation47
    asked stakeholders to
    provide their views on specific aspects related to group supervision. First, the clear majority
    of stakeholders (42%48
    ) found it not acceptable to waive solo supervision for entities
    belonging to an insurance group, even under “strengthened” supervision of the group as a
    whole. All respondents from public authorities answered in this sense.49
    The question
    implicitly included the above mentioned concept of “group support”, which signals that
    stakeholders are clearly in favour of an appropriate capital allocation within the group and its
    entities. Second, industry stakeholders largely support alleviating regulatory requirements for
    intra-group outsourcing, conditioned to the existence of a centralized group risk management.
    On the contrary, a vast majority of public authorities oppose such a proposal.
    The reports around Article 242 mentioned above50
    further indicated that due to legal
    uncertainties, some areas of the framework may not ensure a harmonised implementation of
    the rules by groups and supervisory authorities, with potential detrimental impacts on level-
    playing field and policyholder protection. Areas where remaining issues have been identified
    include:
    1. Scope and mixed groups: Uncertainties in the determination of the scope of group
    supervision and the supervision of mixed groups combining banking and insurance
    companies (financial conglomerates);
    2. Limited powers in some Member States over unregulated parent holding companies;
    3. Third-country headquarters: Shortcomings and inconsistencies in the supervision of
    insurance groups whose parent company is headquartered in a third country, with the
    risk of uneven level-playing field in Europe between such international groups and
    EEA groups;
    4. Solvency position calculation: Lack of clarity and legal uncertainties regarding the
    approaches and rules governing the calculation of the solvency position of an
    insurance group, in particular when the group also has subsidiaries located outside the
    EEA which are not subject to Solvency II on an individual basis;
    44
    The group support concept seeks to facilitate capital management by groups, essentially by a) allowing under
    certain conditions a parent company to use declarations of group support to meet part of the Solvency
    Capital Requirement of its subsidiaries, and b) introducing derogations to some Articles on solo supervision,
    where appropriate.
    45
    See COM(2008)0119 (link) and Report of the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs of the European
    Parliament on this proposal of 16 October 2008 (A6-0413/2008) – see at this link.
    46
    See COM (2019), EIOPA (2018).
    47
    Commission’s public consultation available at this link.
    48
    Of those expressing an opinion, vs 11% who agree on it.
    49
    The few participants that supported the above statement were invited to provide additional details, but did not
    use this opportunity.
    50
    See COM (2008)0119, Report of the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs of the European
    Parliament on this proposal of 16 October 2008 (A6-0413/2008), COM (2019), EIOPA (2018).
    Page | 249
    5. System of governance: Wide margin of interpretations regarding requirements on the
    system of governance of insurance groups, which are not fully specified in the
    Solvency II Directive, but simply defined as a mutatis mutandis application of the
    provisions that apply to solo insurers.
    Conclusion: The Solvency II framework has enhanced supervisory convergence,
    relying on more standard requirements, more transparency and supervisory cooperation.
    However, some legal uncertainties still arise in matters where there is some methodological
    freedom, such as in the case of internal models. In addition, policyholder protection is still
    uneven. This makes it necessary to further improve cooperation, in particular including
    regular information exchange, to set clear and effective preventive measures, allow for early
    identification of potential issues and optimally address potential failures. Given the increased
    cross-border insurers activities, this also implies that the framework deserves effective last-
    resort safety nets. As for group supervision, the framework has been assessed as robust,
    laying emphasis on capital management and governance, and allowing for a better
    understanding and monitoring of risks at group level. However, legal uncertainties in some
    areas of the framework may not ensure a harmonised implementation of the rules by groups
    and supervisory authorities, with potential detrimental impacts on level-playing field and
    policyholder protection.
     Has the framework been effective in achieving its additional objective to foster
    growth and recovery? More specifically:
    6.1.4. To what extent has the Solvency II framework promoted better allocation
    of capital resources?
    Long-term investment is key to provide stable capital in order to finance tangible
    assets (for instance, energy, transport and communication infrastructures, industrial and
    service facilities, housing and climate change and eco-innovation technologies) as well as
    intangible ones (such as education, research and development) that boost growth, innovation
    and competitiveness. Many of these investments have wider public benefits, since they
    generate greater returns for society as a whole by supporting essential services and improving
    living standards. With assets under management worth more than 9 billion euros in
    investments, the insurance sector remains a mainstay of the European financial industry and
    among the largest institutional investors. They can contribute to the long-term investment
    objectives. However, they have been retrenching from long-term assets over the last twenty
    years, and the share of their investments in the real economy and infrastructure has remained
    limited51
    . The Figure 6.1-16 below illustrates this trend in equity investments.
    A main objective of the Solvency II Directive was therefore to facilitate a better allocation of
    capital resources at firm level, at industry level, and within the EU economy, through the
    alignment of regulatory requirements with economic reality. This was expected to “result in a
    decrease in the cost of raising capital for the insurance sector, and possibly also for the EU
    51
    From a prudential perspective, a long-term perspective encompasses the possibility for insurers to avoid
    forced selling under stressed market conditions.
    Page | 250
    economy as a whole, through the role of the insurance industry as an institutional investor”52
    .
    More efficient allocation of capital within the economy was also expected to promote
    financial stability.53
    The Figure 6.1-15 below shows that insurers’ total investments have
    indeed increased, and continued to increase after the entry of application of the Solvency II
    framework.
    Figure 6.1-15: Total investments of the EU insurance market (incl. unit-linked investments)
    Source: ECB QSA dataset and Deloitte-CEPS analysis
    Note: The ten most important EU Member States in terms of amounts are shown separately, covering 95,1% of the total at
    2018 Q1. The re ai i g EU Me er States are lustered Other . For De ark, the o servatio period o l starts at
    2005 Q1, for Ireland the observation period only starts at 2002 Q1 and for Luxembourg the observation period only starts at
    2001 Q1.
    Insurers do provide a lot of debt financing.54
    However, despite the observed increase in the
    amounts invested, it seems that not all types of investments have gained interest. Based on
    EIOPA’s statistics, insurers are already largely investing in long maturity debt, bonds and
    52
    SEC(2007) 870, section 4.2.
    53
    In the same vein, the 2020 Capital Markets Union Action Plan (“A Capital Markets Union for people and
    businesses-new action plan”, COM/2020/590 final) underlined again the instrumental role that insurers can
    play in the “re-equitisation” and long-term financing of the European economy.
    54
    However, in order for businesses (in particular small and medium-sized companies) to expand or grow, they
    also need to avoid being too much indebted and thus need capital financing. This is all the more the case in
    the context of the ongoing Covid-19 crisis where businesses in several countries had access to grants and
    loans, but are now facing high level of indebtedness while facing strong uncertainty in terms of economic
    outlook.
    Page | 251
    loans (more than two third of their investment portfolio), which is consistent with the long-
    term nature of insurers’ liabilities (notably life business) characterised by stable and regular
    cash outflows.
    But the proportions of investments in equities on the contrary are rather stagnating. As
    illustrated in the below figure (Figure 6.1-16), the entry into application of Solvency II in
    2016 has not led to a reversal of the long-lasting downward trend in equity investments by
    insurance companies, here illustrated by the time series of the percentage of insurers’
    investments allocated to listed equity.
    Figure 6.1-16: Listed equity investments of the EU insurance market
    Source: Deloitte-CEPS study.
    It also signals that equity is not gaining any comparative advantage in the eyes of the
    investing insurer. In the first quarter of 2020, investments in equity represented about 15% of
    insurers’ total investments, from 16% two years before55
    .
    Figure 6.1-17: Total portfolio composition of the EEA insurance sector – Q1 2020
    55
    Source: EIOPA’s Statisti s (S.06.02): total direct investment in equity and trough CIU, excluding investment
    relating to unit- or index-linked insurance products. There has been a long-term trend to reduced equity
    ownership by insurers. In particular, the share ownership of insurers and pension funds dropped from
    more than 25% of the EU stock market capitalisation in 1992 to 8% at the end of 2012.
    0%
    2%
    4%
    6%
    8%
    10%
    12%
    14%
    1999
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    Q1
    Listed
    equity
    (in
    %
    of
    total
    investments)
    Listed equity investments of the EU insurance market
    (incl. unit-linked investments)
    Other
    SE
    LU
    IE
    BE
    ES
    DK
    NL
    IT
    DE
    Page | 252
    Source: Commission services – EIOPA statistics (S.06.02).
    Figure 6.1-18: Investment split in the EEA insurance market - 2016-2019
    Source: EIOPA (2020c), p.15
    Note: Look-through approach applied. Assets held for unit-linked business are excluded. Equities include holdings in related
    undertakings.
    What can be the reasons for insurers’ investment in equities to remain limited? First, once
    again, Solvency II is a “risk-based” framework. Based on quantitative evidence (e.g.
    historical price and volatility behaviour of financial assets), it defines capital requirements
    Page | 253
    according to the risk over a one-year horizon.56
    Higher capital requirements on investments
    are therefore applied to assets which are deemed more volatile and/or riskier, for instance
    equity. Risk measures are currently not adjusted even where the intention is to hold bonds
    until maturity and stocks for any foreseeable future. It also means that even if the share of
    equity investments is limited to around 15%, equity risk represents more than 40% of capital
    charges for market risk under the standard formula (according to insurers’ reporting to
    supervisory authorities). As a result, the requirements provide lower incentives for insurers to
    invest in equity, although such investments can contribute to the sustainable economic
    recovery and long-term growth in the EU. Indeed, insurers have an important role as
    providers of capital financing to businesses, in particular SMEs, and even more in the context
    of the recovery to the Covid-19 Crisis. It also impacts insurers’ international competitiveness.
    In fact, by having to “set aside” a high amount of regulatory capital when investing in equity,
    insurers have less “available capital” to further expand internationally (e.g. invest in a foreign
    subsidiary) or to offer products with guarantees to consumers.
    Second, the downward trend in equity investments actually dates back to the beginning of the
    21st
    century. And the Study contracted by the European Commission on the drivers for
    investments in equity57
    also concludes that the Solvency II framework, which only entered
    into application in 2016, is not the main driver of insurers’ investments, even by anticipation.
    Likewise, EIOPA’s analysis suggests that the existing calibrations for equity are appropriate
    and that financial data do not support the preferential treatment on long-term equity
    investments which was introduced by the Commission in 2019.
    Still, the regulatory framework is often reported by the industry as an important driver
    hindering insurers’ ability to contribute to the long-term funding of the economy in the EU.
    Over the recent years, the Commission made several amendments to Solvency II to dampen
    this reported – unintended – disincentive for insurers to contribute to the long-term financing
    of the European economy. Preferential treatments have indeed been introduced in order to
    remove barriers to investments in long-term equities (as well as in infrastructure, in high-
    quality securitisation and in privately-placed debt).58
    However, overall, those new “asset
    classes” remain “niche investments”, and many stakeholders maintain their claim that
    prudential rules reduce insurers’ investment in such assets, as can be observed from the
    replies to the COM’s public consultation59
    . Indeed, only 7% of stakeholders belonging to the
    insurance industry and 12.5% of public authorities indicated that the current framework
    including its recent changes, appropriately addressed the potential obstacles to long-term
    equity investments.
    Figure 6.1-19: Public Consultation – treatment of equity investments
    56
    See also section 2 – Description of the intervention.
    57
    Europea Co issio , DG FISMA 9 : Study on the drivers of investments in equity by insurers and
    pension funds ; prepared by Deloitte Belgium and CEPS.
    58
    However, there is no sufficient data yet to draw valid conclusions at the time of this evaluation.
    59
    Co issio ’s pu li o sultatio available at this link.
    Page | 254
    Source: COM services; analysis of the Public Consultation.
    In particular, the recently introduced preferential treatment for long-term investment in
    equities is used by a very limited number of insurance companies, and the existing complex
    and conservative criteria may explain why less than 1% of European insurers’ equity
    portfolio benefit from this new provision.60
    Indeed, in EIOPA’s impact assessment, among
    those companies which provided information on equity investments, only 3.6% indicated
    using the “long-term equity” asset class from five Member States. For those firms, only
    2.62% of total equities were classified as long-term equities (i.e. around € 4 billion of all
    equities), representing for them a decrease in capital requirements on equity of about 1% only
    compared to standard capital charges on equity.
    Conclusion: An objective of the Solvency II Directive was to facilitate a better
    allocation of capital resources at firm level, at industry level, and within the EU economy,
    and it has been reinforced by the Delegated Regulation’s objective to foster growth through
    the promotion of long-term investment. However, the investments share of the insurance
    sector in the real economy and infrastructure has remained limited. Even the recent several
    amendments to Solvency II, through preferential treatments for certain classes of long-term
    assets, have not seem adequately designed to succeed in dampening this reported
    disincentive. The criteria to identify the long-term assets qualifying for preferential treatment
    are considered by the industry to be complex and not practical. A partial explanation for this
    disincentive is the risk-based principle of the framework. Without further changes - taking
    into account the necessity of adequately assessing the risk while ensuring enough investments
    in the EU economy - the level of equity investments by insurers would remain far below its
    level at the beginning of the 21st
    century (three times less).
    60
    This also relates to results of the COM’s o sultatio e tio ed a o e, to hi h o ly 7% of stakeholders
    belonging to the insurance industry indicated that the current framework (including its recent changes)
    appropriately addressed the potential obstacles to long-term equity investments.
    Page | 255
    6.2. Efficiency
    Summary assessment:
    The Solvency II provisions on supervisory reporting and disclosure have enhanced
    comparability, supervisory effectiveness and convergence, as well as transparency and
    indirectly risk management practices, thereby fostering policyholders’ protection,
    competitiveness and integration of the EU insurance market.
    Due to the difficulties in obtaining reliable cost estimates and the lack of means to
    quantify the general benefits of the Solvency II framework, it has not been possible to
    carry out a full quantitative assessment of its efficiency at EU level. The available
    evidence on compliance costs, however, suggests that the proportionality principle is
    not fully implemented and that smaller insurers in particular, spend significant financial
    resources to comply with the current regulatory requirements, in particular as regards
    the reporting and disclosure requirements. Updating and clarifying the application of
    the proportionality principle could improve the general efficiency of the framework.
    6.2.1. Has the Solvency II Framework proven to be cost-efficient in delivering
    on the objectives? To what extent are the associated costs justified by the
    benefits it has brought?
    General improvement vs cost of compliance
    The three specific objectives of the Directive meant to facilitate the general ones are: (i)
    to improve risk management, (ii) to increase transparency and (iii) to advance supervisory
    convergence and cooperation. Most of their benefits have been reviewed in the effectiveness
    section above (see section 6.1), they are numerous and often the combined effect of targeting
    two or three of those objectives. Yet, they are difficult to measure in monetary terms, as they
    are most often reinforcing the “normal” functioning of the insurance companies, clarifying
    and/or standardizing existing internal requirements for instance, rather than replacing them.
    The Framework established a new approach to risk management, which is now integrated in
    the strategic processes of the insurers; it imposed more transparency and standardisation,
    thereby allowing an easier access to information for the supervisors as well as for the
    consumers (policyholders); thanks to this it also produced a more robust governance system,
    reducing the probability of the insurer to fail, providing for more opportunities to prevent it or
    to smoothen the impact of it, should it nevertheless happen. In the process, the Framework
    benefits the society more widely. It increases the stability of the insurance sector, allows for
    greater availability of insurance and greater investment in growth-enhancing sectors,
    although not yet to its full capacity61
    .
    Being ambitious in its objectives, Solvency II is a very elaborated and complex framework.
    Likewise, it generates high compliance costs, which for the smaller insurers in particular may
    in some cases outweigh the benefits of the application of the framework. The “Study on the
    61
    Note that the stakeholders from the insurance industry often argue that there is a lack of supply of such
    products for them to invest in.
    Page | 256
    costs of compliance for the financial sector” (hereafter named “Study on Compliance
    Costs”)62
    calculated for the insurers and reinsurers an average impact of the ongoing
    “general” costs of compliance of more than 32 million EUR, which represents 2.18% of their
    total operating costs, out of which more than half (1.12%) attributed to the Solvency II
    Framework. For the one-off costs, it rises to 3.53% of the total operating costs attributed to
    Solvency II. The Solvency II framework also ranked among the three most costly factors of
    the study.
    The supervisory reporting and disclosure requirements: opportunities and costs
    A pivotal component of the Solvency II framework comprises the requirements for
    supervisory reporting and disclosure (“pillar 3”).63
    With regard to supervisory reporting, the
    benefits of the Solvency II Directive are numerous as well. It allowed moving from mainly
    national reporting to EU-level harmonised reporting. The new requirements have clear EU
    added value by providing data to supervisors and regulators that was not available before and
    enabling the EU-wide supervision of entire sectors. They also generate efficiencies in
    reporting and foster the convergence of supervisory practices through more harmonised
    requirements, which should enable supervisors to assess risks consistently across the EU,
    based on comparable data.
    In addition, by requiring the yearly publication of a “solvency and financial conditions
    report” (SFCR), the Solvency II Directive has significantly enhanced transparency and
    disclosure to all types of external stakeholders (prospective) policyholders, creditors,
    investors, rating agencies, etc.. It has thereby facilitated comparability between the different
    insurers, which allowed better EU market integration and reinforced policyholders’
    protection.
    These benefits may also explain why the stakeholders replying to the Public Consultation64
    do not oppose the annual SFCR requirement. Even the industry seems to support a yearly
    publication (51%), even though for 26.8% of them some insurers should only be required to
    publish a yearly summary. As for the public authorities, they also mostly support the yearly
    SFCR publication even though 25% of them would prefer more proportionality by exempting
    some insurers from a yearly publication. In addition, EIOPA confirms in the background
    analysis65
    to its Opinion that “SFCR is an important tool regarding market discipline and the
    reports are used by stakeholders”.
    Figure 6.2-1: Public consultation: SFCR
    62
    Study on the costs of compliance for the financial sector, February 2020.
    63
    See section 2 – Description of the intervention.
    64
    Commission’s public consultation available at this link.
    65
    EIOPA (2020), Background Analysis, p. 407.
    Page | 257
    Source: COM services; analysis of the Public Consultation.
    The specific objectives of EU supervisory reporting requirements are not spelled out in
    legislation. Nonetheless, the main goal of these requirements — to provide supervisors with
    the data they need to fulfil their functions that contribute to the wider objectives of financial
    stability, market integrity and policyholder protection — continues to be highly relevant, as
    well as the subsequent increased transparency and enhanced trust for policyholders.
    On the other hand, this essential component also represents a major cost for insurers. As an
    illustration, the German Insurance Federation (GDV) indicates that the preparation of the
    2017 SFCR by a small non-life insurer required a total of 160 working days (full-time
    equivalent). This cannot really be considered as on-going cost, as it was still the first years of
    application and one can expect certain efficiencies reducing costs going forward. Afterwards,
    the template SFCR can mostly be updated with relevant quantitative information, which
    simplifies the process. Nevertheless, the cost may be significant for smaller insurers. And it
    can be considered even more “unjustified” for small insurers where the granularity and
    complexity of the information provided in the SFCR may be seen as excessive for
    policyholders.66
    As an illustration, according to the GDV67, in 2018, the 2017 SFCR of
    German insurers were consulted on average 33 times per month, (46 times for life insurers,
    27 times for non-life insurers).68
    On the other hand, as mentioned above, EIOPA confirms in
    the background analysis69
    to its Opinion that reports are used by stakeholders. The outcome
    of the Commission’s public consultation also shows that the SFCR’s reading is considered
    insightful to a large majority by the insurance industry and public authorities, but only half
    consumer/citizen respondents were of the same opinion. Some stakeholders also claim that
    there is too much attention given to the SCR ratio, which can be very volatile (as explained in
    section 0). In this regard, besides transparency, it is important to keep (and possibly disclose)
    sufficient amount of information in the SFCR to avoid the focus on the unique “branding
    SCR ratio”.
    66
    This issue could (at least, partially) be addressed by new EU and OECD initiatives addressing financial
    literacy matters (see for instance the keynote speech of Commissioner McGuinness at the launch of the
    Commission/OECD project to develop a financial competence framework in the EU (link).
    67
    See GDV (Gesamtverband der Deutschen Versicherungswirtschaft) official statement/survey (link).
    68
    The mere number of consultations is only of limited informative value. While insurers assume that most
    readers are specialised market players, even if one assumed that only “simple” consumers had accessed an
    SFCR, this would still represent a mere 0.03% of households.
    69
    EIOPA (2020), Background analysis, p. 407.
    Page | 258
    As for the cost on insurers, the “Study on Compliance Costs” further reports that within the
    surveyed compliance costs for (re-)insurers, supervisory reporting costs represent about 36%
    of the on-going costs. They amount to about 1.6 million EUR, i.e. 0.89% of total operating
    costs on average. It is also noticeable that the median share of ongoing supervisory reporting
    costs among smaller firms is twice as much as those observed among larger ones (49% vs
    23%).70
    The most significant one-off cost item is reported to be “familiarisation with
    obligations”, while the most significant ongoing cost item is “training of personnel”. It also
    implies that the number and frequency of changes, worsened by short implementation
    deadlines, increase the costs incurred by reporting insurers (and supervisors).
    Conclusion: To name only some benefits, the Solvency II framework established a
    new approach to risk management and imposed more standardisation and transparency;
    thanks to this it also produced a more robust governance system, more consistently
    supervised, reducing the probability of the insurer to fail. In the process, the Framework
    benefits the society more widely. It increases the stability of the insurance sector, allows for
    greater availability of insurance and greater investment, although not yet to its full capacity.
    On the other hand, it generates significant compliance costs, in particular – relatively – for
    the smaller insurers.
    6.2.2. Is there scope for increasing efficiency and making the rules more
    proportionate?
    Proportionality assessment (1): exempted companies
    Principle
    While the Solvency II framework implies high compliance costs as detailed above, it
    already provides (Art.4) that very small insurers are excluded from the application of the
    Directive if they meet a series of cumulative (quantitative) criteria.71
    Outcome
    In practice, the outcome of the proportionality principle is not that straightforward.
    Indeed, for insurers which are not in the scope of the Solvency II framework, the national
    prudential rules apply, and it is expected that national rules are less stringent in terms of
    reporting rules. The national rules may in some cases extend the scope of application of
    Solvency II, either by setting lower thresholds of exclusion than the ones set out in the
    Directive, or by simply not introducing at all any threshold. In these cases, the requirement to
    comply with Solvency II is not imposed by the Directive itself, but by national legislation.72
    This is the reason why in 13 Member States, all insurance and reinsurance companies are
    subject to the Solvency II requirements. Hence, the share of insurers exempted from
    70
    “small” vs “larger”: check Report’s definition/threshold.
    71
    See also section Error! Reference source not found. – Error! Reference source not found.. Note that there
    is an additional nature-based exclusion criterion, as direct insurance companies considered complex are
    covered by Solvency II even if they comply with the relative thresholds (i.e. those which underwrite
    insurance or reinsurance activities covering liability, credit and suretyship insurance risks).
    72
    On the other hand, companies that wish to apply Solvency II framework have the right to do so (for example
    to benefit from the European passport).
    Page | 259
    Solvency II rules widely differs between Member States, from 0% (in Czechia, Croatia,
    Portugal etc.), to almost 60% (in Austria), for an average of 14%.73
    Figure 6.2-2: Scope - Percentage of companies within and outside the scope of Solvency II, by
    Member State, 2019
    Source: EIOPA (2020) Opinion - Background Analysis.
    As of today, the thresholds for exclusion have not been amended since the adoption of the
    Solvency II Directive in 2009, and the only revision provided for in the framework is an
    inflation-related one.74
    Therefore, those thresholds may be considered as outdated. The first
    update, if the 5%-threshold is reached, will take place in 2021. Still, the lack of reassessment
    of the appropriateness of thresholds may imply high compliance costs for small companies in
    the scope of Solvency II, which may not compensate the benefit of being subject to Solvency
    II. As reported in the Commission’s public consultation, 59% of (responding) stakeholders
    are satisfied with the current exclusion thresholds, while 41% are dissatisfied, which gives a
    somewhat mixed opinion on the existing thresholds. Some of them are more explicit, asking
    for increased thresholds with the reasoning that it allows NSAs to better adapt the
    requirements to their national smaller firms.
    Proportionality assessment (2) – conditional lighter requirements
    Principle
    Besides the proportionality principle provided for in the scope of the Directive, the
    second layer of proportionality embedded in Solvency II is the requirement that the intensity
    of the supervisory review process is commensurate to the “nature, scale and complexity” of
    each company which is subject to Solvency II. Therefore, the application of the
    proportionality principle does not depend on the size of the companies but on the risks that
    they are facing. The framework as a whole is formulated in a modular manner, such that
    73
    EIOPA (2020), excerpt of the Background Analysis, p.364: “From the 16 Member States that have insurance
    undertakings excluded from the scope of Solvency II, 5 apply a regime similar to Solvency II but with some
    exemptions, 6 apply Solvency I and 5 a regime different from Solvency I or Solvency II.”
    74
    The EUR-amount thresholds shall be revised every 5 years, starting 31 December 2015, when the percentage
    change since the previous revision is at least 5% (Art.300).
    Page | 260
    insurance and reinsurance companies must only apply those requirements, which are relevant
    to the risks they incur.
    For quantitative requirements (“pillar 1”), this “risk-proportionality principle” broadly takes
    the form of “simplified calculations”. In other words, for several balance sheet items (best
    estimate, risk margin) and risk (sub)-modules of the solvency capital requirements, the
    framework allows insurers to use an explicit set of simplifications when such a use: (i) is
    justified by the nature, scale and complexity of the risks underlying insurers’ obligations or
    exposures; and (ii) does not lead to an underestimation of the risks or a misstatement of
    insurers’ obligations.
    A good governance and a robust risk management framework are essential to ensure that
    insurance and reinsurance companies are able to properly identify, measure, monitor, manage
    and report the risks that they are or could be exposed to. They are the object of the Solvency
    II so-called “pillar 2” requirements. The extent and intensity of the different requirements
    should of course be commensurate to the nature, scale, and complexity of each firm.
    The Solvency II framework also builds on a third pillar, namely supervisory reporting and
    disclosure. In terms of reporting frequency, insurers must submit quantitative data at least
    annually, but some information are required to be reported by insurers on a quarterly basis.
    However, for proportionality reasons, where the reporting requirements would be overly
    burdensome in relation to the nature, scale, and complexity of the risks of each insurer (and
    under some prudential and financial stability conditions), the Directive (Articles 35(6) &
    35(7)) allows national supervisory authorities to: (i) waive or reduce the scope of quarterly
    supervisory reporting requirements; (ii) reduce the scope of annual supervisory reporting or
    exempt companies from reporting on an item-by-item basis. In each of those two cases, the
    decision must not concern a total of more than 20% of Member State's life and non-life
    insurance and reinsurance market respectively (where the non-life market share is based on
    gross written premiums and the life market share is based on gross technical provisions).
    Outcome
    Several Member States, Members of the European Parliament and insurance
    stakeholders have raised the concern that the current rules of the EU regulatory framework
    does not sufficiently differentiate between the very large insurance groups and the very small
    local companies. Moreover, a sizable number of respondents to the Solvency II consultation
    submitted that, in their view, some of the Solvency II requirements may impose a
    disproportionate burden on smaller and less complex insurers.
    There is no specific report on the effective application of proportionality under Solvency II’s
    three pillars.75
    However, based on EIOPA’s technical advice and specific outputs (such as the
    Peer Review on the Regular Supervisory Report), on exchanges at the Solvency II Review
    Conference76
    as well as the feedback to the Commission’s public consultation, the current
    framework results in a limited implementation in practice of the proportionality principle, as
    75
    But EIOPA reports on exemptions and limitations on reporting (i.e. pillar 3).
    76
    As an example, the report from the Conference states that: “There was a general agreement on the need to
    clarify the application of the proportionality principle in level 1 to ensure the legal certainty and
    predictability of the supervision…”.
    Page | 261
    further illustrated in the paragraphs below. However, in terms of process, the outcome of the
    Commission’s consultation reveals a mixed view, also reflecting the respondents’ role in the
    supervision process. Indeed, 63% of the respondents from a public authority would keep the
    large level of discretion they currently have, while in total only 15% of respondents express
    support for the current level of supervisory discretion, and 44% say it should be reduced.
    As regards the “pillar 1” (capital requirements), the framework for simplified calculations is
    considered appropriate overall by stakeholders. However, the framework does not allow for a
    reduced frequency of calculation for risk modules that are immaterial and complex to
    calculate. In “pillar 2”, the Solvency II framework neither specifies how proportionality can
    be effectively applied to existing provisions nor provides concrete criteria for their use. As a
    very practical illustration, the framework does not clearly define situations where it may be
    acceptable for a person carrying out a “key function” in a company to also carry out other key
    functions. This results in a lack of transparency for the insurance and reinsurance companies
    and a reluctance from supervisory authorities to apply some proportionality measures due to a
    lack of clear legal hook, with a weakened supervisory convergence. The same goes for pillar
    3, and the latest EIOPA’s Peer Review on the Regular Supervisory Report (“RSR 2020”)77
    confirmed that the majority of the National Competent Authorities (NCAs) do not grant this
    possibility for exemption and require an annual submission of the full RSR, while only one
    NCA (Liechtenstein) has such an exemption option (set out in the local legislation). All in all,
    around one-third of the NCAs (Belgium, Czechia, France, Germany, Ireland, Luxembourg,
    Malta, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, the UK) apply, to a certain extent, the principle of
    proportionality set out in the Solvency II Framework: these NCAs perform “risk-based
    supervision” and set a different frequency of submission of the full and summary RSRs than
    the EU-defined minimum.
    In more detail, still according to EIOPA78, only 12 EEA NSAs granted limitations in
    quarterly reporting to 683 companies (see below graph), representing approximately 27% of
    the total number of insurers and reinsurers. Depending on the country, this does not
    necessarily imply an exemption of quarterly reporting, but at least a reduced number of
    information to be submitted. In terms of market share, such limitations concerned only 6.5%
    of non-life insurers (in terms of gross written premiums)79, and 3.5% of life insurers (in terms
    of life insurance liabilities towards policyholders)80.
    Figure 6.2-3: Proportionality in Reporting - Exempted companies by EEA Member State
    77
    See EIOPA (2020b).
    78
    See EIOPA (2020a).
    79
    At national level, this percentage is above 17% in France, Luxembourg and Denmark, but below 6% in all
    other countries.
    80
    At national level, this percentage lies between 3% and 5% in France, Liechtenstein, and Germany, but is
    below 1% in all other countries.
    Page | 262
    Source: EIOPA (2020a), Commission services.
    The number of so-called “quantitative reporting templates” (i.e. tables with quantitative data)
    is not negligible, although proportionate to the size as shown in the below table. In total,
    every year, large insurers have to report information spread over around 70 quantitative
    templates. The 10% smallest insurers have to report every year quantitative information
    spread over a bit less than 50 templates, which represents a reduction of approximately 35%
    compared to the 10% largest insurers. Still, it also appears clearly from EIOPA’s background
    analysis (2020, p.406) that quarterly reporting, including of MCR, is crucial in the monitoring
    process.
    Figure 6.2-4: Number of templates to be reported - 2019
    Source: EIOPA (2020a), Table 1.4.
    Conclusion: Parts of the industry remain concerned about the proportionality of the
    EU-level requirements for smaller firms operating in local markets only. The thresholds for
    exemption, although revisable to take account of inflation, have not been reviewed yet. The
    number and frequency of changes, coupled with short implementation timelines, add to the
    costs incurred by both reporting entities and supervisors. In addition, there is no systematic
    and continuous assessment of whether each information to be submitted is (still) absolutely
    necessary and adequate for the purpose of insurance supervision. Further, some disclosed
    information seems too complex and/or overwhelming for the average policyholder, which
    could imply a reduction rather than an increase in trust. There is therefore some room for
    improvement as to the clarification of the proportionality possibilities allowed to the
    supervisors by the Framework, as well as the adequacy of the reporting and disclosure
    Page | 263
    requirements and the possibility to specify reporting output differentiated according to the
    needs of the target groups.
    6.3. Relevance:
    Summary assessment:
    The main objectives of the Solvency II Framework – to deepen the integration of the
    EU insurance market while ensuring sufficient policyholder protection and financial
    stability, support the competitiveness of EU insurers and foster economic growth –
    remain highly relevant.
    However, the economic and financial conditions faced by insurers and reinsurers over
    the recent years and months (in particular in relation to interest rate risks and market
    volatility) pose new challenges to the adequate functioning of the Framework. It may
    also raise financial stability issues, and the existing macro-prudential tools already
    embedded in the framework may not be fit to sufficiently allow addressing potential
    systemic risks in the insurance sector. In particular, Solvency II does not provide a
    framework for the coordinated resolution of insurers. Similarly, there is no coordinated
    approach of safety nets in the form of insurance guarantee schemes that would protect
    policyholders and beneficiaries in case of failure.
    Another newly emerged objective is the role insurers are expected to play as
    institutional investors for a sustainable and green recovery. The current framework does
    not manage nor reflect climate and environmental risks in insurers’ risk management.
    6.3.1. Have the objectives proven to be appropriate?
    As shown in section Error! Reference source not found., the implementation of the
    Solvency II framework has achieved progress in relation to the different specific objectives,
    thus being overall effective in reaching its general objectives, i.e. to increase the EU
    insurance market integration, to enhance the protection of policyholders and beneficiaries and
    improve competitiveness of EU insurers.
    However, while the introduction of Solvency II has been a significant step towards improved
    risk management and supervisory practices and has contributed to reduce the risk of failure
    and near-failure, it has not fully eliminated it. In this perspective, even though the Solvency II
    framework contains provisions on recognition of national reorganisation and winding-up
    proceedings, it was not intended to provide an alternative to insolvency regulation. This can
    impact both policyholders’ protection and financial stability.
    As explained in EIOPA’s Opinion81
    , a majority of Member States do not have an effective
    recovery and resolution framework in place82
    , and when they have, there are substantial
    differences between those national recovery and resolution frameworks. These differences
    81
    EIOPA’s Opinion (2017).
    82
    As defined by the FSB and the IAIS.
    Page | 264
    include the powers and tools available to authorities, the conditions under which these powers
    can be exercised and the objectives pursued when addressing the failure of insurers. Based on
    EIOPA’s 2017 survey, 43% of NSAs identified gaps and shortcomings in their existing
    frameworks to deal with failing undertakings. As a result, three Member States decided to
    develop their own legislative framework while supervisors in other Member States have
    started requiring preventive recovery plans from selected insurers. This situation however
    contributes to a fragmentation of the single market for insurance. For those Member States
    that did not follow this path, and as evidenced by the few failure and near-failure cases
    recorded by EIOPA, the lack of sufficient preparedness of both insurers and public
    authorities, the lack of adequate tools and powers or the lack of cross-border coordination
    may have impeded a prompt and successful recovery or resolution of failing insurers in the
    EU. Consequently, the level of protection for policyholders and beneficiaries may have been
    suboptimal.
    In addition, EIOPA illustrated in its advice that although a majority of Member States have
    set up an insurance guarantee scheme (IGS) for certain life or non-life policies, the approach
    they have followed for the design of the IGSs diverges quite substantially from each other.
    Differences can notably be observed in terms of the role and functions, geographical
    coverage, eligible policies, eligible claimants or funding. In contrast to the insurance sector,
    the guarantee schemes in other sectors of the financial system have already been harmonised
    at the EU level to address fragmentation. The current patchwork may have consequences for
    the protection of policyholders as well as the functioning of the internal market.
    Conclusion: The main objectives of the Solvency II framework – to deepen the
    integration of the EU insurance market while ensuring sufficient policyholder protection and
    financial stability, support the competitiveness of EU insurers and foster economic growth –
    remain highly relevant. However, the economic and financial conditions faced by insurers
    and reinsurers over the recent years and months (in particular in relation to interest rate risks
    and market volatility) significantly differ from those during which the Solvency II framework
    was designed. In addition, Solvency II does not provide a framework for the coordinated
    resolution of insurers. Similarly, there is no harmonised and coordinated approach of safety
    nets in the form of insurance guarantee schemes.
    6.3.2. To what extent is the framework still relevant/appropriate given changing
    market conditions?
    Under Solvency II, the European insurance industry has proven to be financially very
    robust. With levels of capital resources that remain more than twice as high as what is
    required by the legislation, insurers’ solvency position has so far been sufficiently solid to
    weather quite well the economic and financial consequences of the Covid-19 outbreak. Even
    more, the insurers seem to have integrated in their own risk management practices both the
    capital requirements set by the Framework as well as the risks posed by a volatile and
    uncertain economic outlook, beside other stakeholders’ expectations (e.g. rating agencies).
    However, the economic and financial conditions faced by insurers and reinsurers over the
    recent years and months (in particular in relation to interest rate risks and market volatility)
    significantly differ from those during which the Solvency II framework was designed.
    Page | 265
    Therefore, it may contain outdated parameters and provisions, possibly resulting in
    unforeseen weaknesses and gaps in some areas of the framework. In particular, the following
    shortcomings were identified.
    Low interest-rate environment
    Insurers are large investors of fixed-income securities (i.e. debt instruments that
    generally pay a regular fixed amount of coupon interest). Hence, it is commonly accepted that
    the current low interest rate environment is one of the main risks that EU insurance
    companies have been facing over the recent years. And the longer the balance sheet, the more
    vulnerable the insurer is to low-for-long.
    Figure 6.3-1: Low interest rate - Composition of portfolios - 2020
    Source: Commission services – EIOPA Statistics (asset exposures).
    This low yield environment affects both insurers’ profitability and their solvency. Concerning
    profitability, insurers are facing a downward trend in the return on their fixed-income
    investment portfolio. Indeed, bonds that are gradually reaching maturity have to be reinvested
    in new fixed-income securities offering lower yields. The exposure and related deterioration
    of profitability will depend on the business model of individual firms. The decrease in
    interest rates is particularly challenging where insurance products with relatively high
    guaranteed returns have been sold in the past, and companies still hold a large portfolio share
    in these products.
    As regards solvency, the low-yield environment also has a direct impact on insurers’ level of
    capital resources. Solvency II prescribes a market-consistent valuation of assets and
    liabilities. Therefore, as illustrated below (
    Figure 6.3-2), a decrease in interest rates results in an increase in the values of both assets and
    liabilities. However, as life pension insurers’ assets are less sensitive (to changes in interest
    Page | 266
    rates) than liabilities, they increase less and consequently insurers’ solvency deteriorates
    when interest rates fall. 83
    Figure 6.3-2: Life insurance balance sheet: Impact of a decrease in interest rates
    Source: Commission services.
    Between 2018 and 2020, the level of interest rates (for the euro) has significantly decreased.
    As shown in the below graph, while in 2018, interest rates used to value insurers’ liabilities
    were positive for maturities above 4 years, in June 2020 they were negative up to a maturity
    of 20 years.
    Figure 6.3-3: Risk-free rate curve
    Source: Commission services, EIOPA Statistics.
    Note: Euro risk-free i terest rate ur e used to alue i surers’ lia ilities
    In order to get an idea of the extent of the problem, one can refer to EIOPA’s advice on the
    review of the Solvency II Delegated Regulation 2018 where it had already included its
    83
    The sensitivity depends on the duration of both the asset and liability side. In general, the duration on the
    liability side is higher and therefore this side is more sensitive to interest risk change.
    Page | 267
    proposal to review changes to interest rate risk84
    . EIOPA’s 2018 impact assessment suggested
    that capturing negative interest rates in capital requirements would imply an average decrease
    of 14 percentage points in solvency ratios. The actual decrease in interest rates (for maturities
    up to 20 years) between June 2018 and June 2019 proved to be more significant than what
    EIOPA had proposed to integrate in capital requirements85
    . This means that between mid-
    2018 and mid-2019, insurers faced a deterioration in their solvency position which was more
    or less equal to the capital resources which they would have had to establish if negative
    interest rates were appropriately accounted for in standard formula capital requirements. This
    however did not generate wide-scale failures as insurers’ average solvency ratio remained
    above 200%, as already evoked above.
    The assumptions underlying the design of the capital requirements under the Solvency II
    standard formula are therefore no longer adequate, as they do not envisage the possibility for
    interest rates to even move in negative territory. Likewise, they do not envisage a further
    decrease when rates are already negative. Therefore, the prudential framework leads to an
    underestimation of the interest rate risk to which the insurers are exposed. In turn,
    underestimation of interest rate risk can have negative effect on investment behaviours and
    risk-taking activities by insurers. Indeed, it does not set explicit provisions to insurers to set
    aside capital for the risk of negative interest rates, which has now materialised, with potential
    side effects on financial stability. In this respect, only few stakeholders participating either to
    the Commission’s or EIOPA’s consultations expressed the view that the framework does not
    require any amendment as regards risk-sensitivity, in order to reflect the low interest rate
    environment.
    Conclusion: Insurers are large investors of fixed-income securities which implies that
    the current low interest rate environment is a high risk for EU insurance companies. It
    impacts their profitability (depending on their business model) and their solvency (the longer
    the balance sheet, the more vulnerable the insurer is to low-for-long). As the capital
    requirements under the Solvency II standard formula do not envisage the possibility for
    interest rates to even move in negative territory, the prudential framework leads to an
    underestimation of the interest rate risk to which the insurers are exposed. Which, in turn, can
    have negative effect on investment behaviours and risk-taking activities by insurers.
    Financial stability and macro-prudential risks
    The benefits of a sound risk management and enhanced supervisory convergence,
    both on policyholders’ protection and on financial stability are not to be questioned. As
    illustrated in section 0, the number of failures and near miss events has actually decreased,
    even though the likelihood to fail has not totally vanished. It is in line with a review
    published by KPMG in February 2020 on “insurance undertakings insolvencies and business
    84
    See EIOPA’s webpage. Note that the Commission at that time decided not to endorse EIOPA’s advice but to
    discuss it as part of the broader review of Solvency II Directive where all topics in relation to interest rates
    could be discussed at the same time.
    85
    Beyond 20-year maturities, changes in interest rates between June 2018 and June 2019 proved to be lower
    than what EIOPA had modeled.
    Page | 268
    transfers in Europe”86
    that concluded on the positive effects of prudential regulations
    introduced in Europe since 2001. In particular, the study noted that failures after 2001 have
    significantly reduced in numbers and concerned smaller companies, thereby creating less
    impact and affecting fewer creditors.
    Most rules of the Solvency II Framework are targeted to individual insurers (so-called
    “micro-prudential supervision”) and require holding sufficient capital to be able to weather
    extreme adverse shocks in relation to risks. The risk-based nature of the framework requires
    insurers to hold more capital for riskier behaviour. Those measures targeting risky behaviour
    also contribute to addressing potential systemic risk stemming from large insurers whose
    disorderly failure could cause disruption to the global financial system and economic activity,
    due to their size, the complexity of their investment and underwriting activities, and/ or their
    interconnectedness with financial markets and the wider economy. Some provisions of the
    framework (including those aiming to reduce short-term volatility impact) also aim at
    addressing systemic risk stemming from “pro-cyclical behaviours” by a large number of
    (possibly smaller) insurers, which may collectively act as an amplifier of market downturns
    or of an exogenous shock. For instance, in case of significant market turmoil, insurers that
    breach their capital requirements may be granted longer deadlines to restore compliance with
    quantitative requirements, with the aim to avoid forced-sales of assets which could amplify
    negative market movements.
    However, these tools provided for in the Solvency II Directive have been thought through at a
    time where the insurance sector was still deemed mostly protected from “domino effects”
    such as those that have been observed in the banking sector. As the market conditions were
    good for insurers, and the “low-for-long” not yet in sight, interconnectedness with other
    market participants, intersectoral impacts and common risky (herding) behaviours among
    insurers may have been partially overlooked, not sufficiently allowing addressing potential
    systemic risks in the insurance sector. As explained above, there are regulatory tools
    embedded in Solvency II, but they may be insufficiently fit for purpose and too narrow in
    terms of scope to effectively prevent a build-up of systemic risk in the insurance sector and to
    allow an appropriate macro-prudential supervision (i.e. a supervision of insurance sector as a
    whole). EIOPA and the ESRB also state that those provisions offer limited possibilities for
    public authorities to preserve financial stability, and to address risks generated by the
    insurance sector itself. In particular, they point to a lack of harmonised framework for
    coordination and management of crisis situations, including for the largest European insurers
    with international activities and potential systemic footprint, which would not be consistent
    with the objectives and standards developed at international level by the International
    Association of Insurance Supervisors (IAIS) and the Financial Stability Board (FSB). Indeed,
    the revised (November 2019) Insurance Core Principles and Common Framework for the
    Supervision of Internationally Active Insurance Groups (IAIGs) of the IAIS consider pre-
    emptive recovery planning as necessary at least for IAIGs, and the FSB requires resolution
    planning for insurers that could be systemically significant or critical if they fail. Both require
    a set of appropriate resolution powers.
    86
    This study – prepared for, an on behalf of, the following industry associations: ICISA, ITFA, IUA and
    Lloyd’s Market Association – reviewed the non-life insurance company failures over the last 30 years within
    UK, FR, IT, DE, NL, SE and Gibraltar. See KPMG 2020 (in Annex 5 on IGS).
    Page | 269
    The below examples illustrate potential sources of such systemic risk in the insurance sector
    that may still be insufficiently addressed by the tools embedded in the legislation.
    Search-for-yield behaviour:
    Due to the persistently low and declining yields on fixed-income securities, (life)
    insurers are facing growing pressure on investment returns, as the excess of insurers’
    investment income over the guaranteed returns on the insurance policies that they are offering
    is progressively decreasing.
    According to the European Central Bank (ECB), for the euro area insurance sector as a
    whole, the difference between coupon income from debt securities and average guaranteed
    rates was approximately 1% in 2019. Assuming that the current interest rate environment will
    persist until 2030, even if taking into account the reduced guaranteed returns on new
    contracts, the spread between average coupon rates and guaranteed returns would narrow
    further to 0.7%. Such a projection is an “average trend” which may hide more significant
    challenges in some countries.
    This can lead to increased risk-taking by insurers (in more risky or illiquid assets) in order to
    get higher yield, with demand sometimes exceeding supply in certain asset classes, which in
    turn may further boost asset prices and generate “bubbles” if not well-monitored. These
    “bubbles” can make the sector more exposed to the risks of rising spreads on fixed-income
    securities and plummeting equity prices. If those risks materialise, they may prompt insurers’
    fire-sale of risky assets to restore their solvency position (by “de-risking” their investment
    portfolio), which can amplify a market turmoil. This procyclical behaviour could cause a
    circle of fire-sales, deteriorating asset prices and even more fire-sales of assets. A prolonged
    period of low yields may therefore promote a further build-up of vulnerabilities for the
    financial sector. An attentive supervision, and further an effective supervisory collaboration,
    allowing a good overview of the market situation, would be even more crucial in that
    situation.
    Yet, during 2020, this risk has not really materialised, as European insurers largely managed
    to weather the negative impact of the Covid-19 crisis, with levels of capital resources that are
    still more than twice as high as what is required by Solvency II. Even taking into account the
    stabilising impact of the intervention by central banks, at this stage, the level of risk taken and
    managed by insurers seems to remain appropriate.
    Concentrated investment portfolio
    An increasingly high concentration of insurers’ investment portfolio in certain asset
    classes, counterparties or sectors can be an additional source of systemic risk. First, insurers
    (life insurers in particular) represent a significant source of funding and liquidity to other
    financial actors, banks in particular.87
    They are therefore interconnected with them. It implies
    that the shocks in one financial sector might spill-over to others.
    87
    As an illustration, insurers hold bonds issued by banks for an amount of EUR 976.5 billion (42% of all
    corporate bonds held are from banks), EIOPA (2020), Financial Stability Report.
    Page | 270
    In addition, as mentioned in sub-section 6.1.1 about volatility adjustment and shown on the
    graph below, insurers invest heavily in (domestic) government bonds, which exposes them to
    potential renewed stress in sovereign markets when spreads in government bonds of some
    Member States experience periods of high volatility. Indeed, the ECB also notes a high
    concentration of sovereign debt in insurers’ debt securities portfolios (up to 70% in the
    Eurozone). The high level of exposure to domestic sovereign debt (“home bias”) can also
    generate higher risks for the insurance sector, due to the potential of an asymmetric recovery
    from the Covid-19 crisis across Member States.
    Figure 6.3-4: Investment Portfolio - 2020
    Source: EIOPA Statistics (assets).
    Finally, in view of the recent deterioration of the economic outlook, insurers’ credit risk may
    increase, as their bond portfolio comprises a large share of lower-rated corporate bonds
    whose issuers may default or be subject of wide-scale rating downgrades by credit rating
    agencies. Credit risk exposure of insurers requires therefore close monitoring, as the risk of
    wide-scale rating downgrades could imply both large reductions in asset values and higher
    capital requirements for the insurance sector. In the worst-case scenario, insurance firms
    might de-risk and sell their portfolios, thus risking a spreading of risks throughout the
    financial system.
    Potential liquidity strains
    The insurance business model relies on the principle of “inverted production cycle”: the
    premiums are collected prior to the payment of eventual claims, which are usually spread
    over months or years. For this reason, insurance companies are probably less exposed to
    liquidity risk than banks, and EIOPA reports that the extent of this risk has decreased since
    the beginning of the year (classified as “medium”).88
    At the same time, EIOPA, the ECB and the ESRB suggest that this type of risk, which can
    arise on both the asset and liability sides of insurers’ balance sheets, may not be appropriately
    monitored and may differ depending on insurance policies clauses. On the asset size, insurers
    have slightly decreased their exposure to high-quality liquid assets in their portfolios, from
    88
    EIOPA Risk Dashboard – October 2020.
    Page | 271
    34% in 2013 to 32% in 2018. Due to the Covid-19 crisis, they may also face shortfalls on
    expected premia inflows (due to premium payment holidays), and decreases in investment
    income (for instance due to payment disruptions, e.g. in the form of moratoria on residential
    and commercial mortgages, which are held by insurers in some countries to a material extent,
    or decrease in dividend distributions by corporates). In addition, some insurers may use
    derivatives to hedge some of their risks, and if used to a large extent, they may be subject to
    significant margin calls in case of sharp decrease in the market prices of these derivatives so
    that additional collateral could be required.
    On the liabilities side, uncertainties regarding the coverage of business interruption by
    insurance companies, and the likely rising claims for event cancellation will generate higher
    pay-outs by insurers. In addition, some life insurance products allow investors to redeem their
    funds at short notice, while the underlying assets are structurally, or can suddenly become,
    relatively illiquid. This exposes insurers to potential liquidity risk in times of stress unless
    national laws already allow for temporary freeze in surrender rights in case of liquidity
    constraints. In addition to this risk affecting all forms of redeemable life policies, unit-linked
    insurance products may expose insurers to structural liquidity risks, similar to those inherent
    in investment funds.
    Insufficient coordination of macro-prudential measures
    Due to the nature of the principle-based framework and the related lack of certainty in
    some supervisory areas, there may still be a diversity of supervisory responses when there is a
    European-wide economic and financial shock. It has been illustrated with the Covid-19
    outbreak, where EIOPA publicly urged that insurance companies temporarily suspend all
    discretionary dividend distributions and share buy backs aimed at remunerating shareholders.
    As this statement was not binding, it resulted in different effective implementation according
    to NSA’s and in practice, supervisory approaches proved to be inconsistent across the EU.89
    This inconsistency may question the ability of public authorities to effectively preserve
    financial stability, and raises issues of supervisory coordination and level-playing field within
    the EEA. The issues related to supervisory convergence have been assessed above in section
    6.1.3.
    Insufficient supervisory toolkit to intervene when firms are in financial distress
    In the traditional business model of insurance, due to the characteristics of the
    insurance activities (i.e. premiums paid in advance and usually long term commitments), the
    deterioration of the financial position of insurers can be monitored over time. In addition,
    with the exception of some life products which features could be similar to savings products
    in banking, the insurance industry is usually mildly exposed to the risk of runs90
    . For these
    reasons, the “intervention ladder” of Solvency II enabling supervisory actions before the
    breach of the minimum capital requirements (MCR), combined with the preferred ranking of
    89
    Additional issues arose due to the inconsistent approaches followed by national supervisors regarding intra-
    group dividend distributions (i.e. dividend payments from one insurance subsidiary located in one country to
    the ultimate parent company headquartered in another one).
    90
    Even though digitalisation could accelerate the procedure to exercise surrender’s rights.
    Page | 272
    policyholders in the creditors’ hierarchy91
    , should ensure the sufficient availability of assets
    to cover the obligations of a failing insurer towards policyholders and beneficiaries.
    In practice, however, the situation differs. As illustrated by EIOPA’s analysis92
    , the most
    common causes underlying the failure or near-failure of an insurance company are
    investment, asset-liability management and underwriting/technical provisions evaluation
    risks. And experience has shown that, despite the existing Solvency II arrangements, in some
    circumstances, the efforts to recover an insurer in financial distress are inefficient or run into
    legal or operational difficulties, as the insurers have not prepared their recovery options in
    advance. Likewise, public authorities may fall short of options that could effectively avoid
    the winding-up of the insurer as they have not looked at failure scenarios and have not
    anticipated possible impediments to deploying alternative measures. Furthermore, public
    authorities do not always have sufficient tools to avert the failure of insurers. As reported by
    EIOPA93
    , one third of NSAs identified gaps and shortcomings in their existing preventive
    powers and in their range of resolution powers.
    Likewise, public authorities often lack alternatives to insolvency for failing insurers. Even
    traditional tools for an orderly wind-up such as run-off (i.e. a ban on writing new business
    while fulfilling existing obligations) and transfer of portfolios are either unavailable or
    subject to restrictions in some Member States. In addition, the situation of insolvency, the
    length of its process94
    and, possibly, the prevailing stressed market conditions, might make
    the valuation process more complex and create material differences with the Solvency II
    estimates in going concern. There could thus be an uncertainty on the amount of losses that
    would effectively need to be absorbed. Moreover, insolvency proceedings are rarely at the
    advantage of policyholders and beneficiaries. This contributes to ineffective value
    preservation and considerable social or financial hardship for policyholders and beneficiaries,
    in particular in cases where an equivalent protection could not be found at acceptable
    conditions, due to the age of the subscriber for instance. Similar situations would also be met
    in the case of specialised insurers for which substitutability would be an issue. More broadly,
    insurers provide important functions to society at large and to the economy. A sudden
    interruption of risk coverage can have a systemic impact in case it is not immediately
    substitutable. The failure of a large, interconnected insurer or of several smaller insurers can
    also have an impact on financial stability.
    Finally, despite general cross-border coordination mechanisms for supervision, there is no
    clear framework for coordination and cooperation between authorities to prepare and manage
    a (near) failure. This can result in conflicts of interest and a misalignment between the
    national accountability and mandate of supervisors (protecting the interest of policyholders at
    national level) and the cross-border nature of the insurance industry that is not coherent with
    the single market objectives of Solvency II. Cross-border cooperation and coordination is
    however essential to support recovery, eliminate impediments to an orderly resolution
    process and reduce suboptimal outcomes at the EU level. In addition, national initiatives
    91
    See legal provision under Solvency II.
    92
    See EIOPA (2018a), Report on failures and near-misses.
    93
    See EIOPA’s Opinion on the harmonisation of recovery and resolution frameworks (2017).
    94
    Most of them are court-based and could therefore take a long time before they are settled and result in a
    definitive pay-out.
    Page | 273
    creating a recovery and resolution regime locally to address that situation could further
    contribute to fragment the current landscape across the EU.
    Further, the likelihood of (near) failure has not disappeared.
    Figure 6.3-5Error! Reference source not found. shows that the overall trend has been
    decreasing, in particular since the entry into force of Solvency II (2016), yet not reaching
    zero.
    Figure 6.3-5: Evolution of failure and near miss events
    Source: see Annex 5 - IGS
    When failure occurs, the disorderly winding-up of a failing insurer may cause significant
    disruption to the financial system and economic activity, depending on its size, the
    complexity of its activities, the concentrated nature of its businesses (e.g. export insurance
    where demand for insurance is significant), and its interconnectedness with other financial
    market players and/or the wider economy (“domino effect”).
    Going a step further then, and noting that the balance sheet of an insurance company is
    essentially composed of liabilities towards policyholders (by opposition to equity or debt
    instruments), past insolvencies of insurers have shown that policyholders need to absorb
    losses, either directly or indirectly through the renegotiation of their policies. The existence
    of an Insurance Guarantee Scheme (IGS) could provide a last-resort protection to
    policyholders and beneficiaries in these cases. However, a considerable share of
    policyholders in the EU do not benefit from any IGS protection or, while holding the same
    type of insurance policy, policyholders may benefit from a different level of IGS protection
    depending on where they live and where they have contracted their policies.95
    Conclusion: The number of failures and near miss events has actually decreased, but
    the possibility of failure remains. Failures after 2001 have significantly reduced in numbers
    and concerned especially smaller companies, thereby creating less impact and affecting fewer
    creditors. However, despite the achievements in insurers’ solvency state and monitoring,
    some concerns remain as to the possible effects of increased search for yield, excessive
    investment concentration, inappropriate assessment of possible liquidity stress and
    95
    See Annex 5 for further analysis on the current situation as regards IGS protection in the EU.
    Page | 274
    insufficient EU-wide coordination. In particular, the toolkit for supervisors when insurers
    (risk to) fail seems to be unclear or insufficient to efficiently monitor, prevent and accompany
    possible financial distress of companies.
    6.3.3. To what extent is Solvency II suited to deal with new challenges?
    Long-term investment and sustainable dimension
    As already explained, Solvency II is a “risk-based” framework. Based on quantitative
    evidence (e.g. historical price and volatility behaviour of financial assets), it defines capital
    requirements, i.e. the amount of capital resources that insurers have to set aside in order for
    them to be able to cope with very extreme adverse events96
    . Higher capital requirements on
    investments are therefore applied to assets that are more volatile and/or more risky, for
    instance equity. This principle is applied without taking into account other EU political
    objectives, in particular the Capital Markets Union Action Plan and the European Green
    Deal. Actually, it may provide lower incentives for insurers to invest in those assets, although
    such investments can contribute to the sustainable economic recovery and long-term growth
    in the EU.
    First, the incentives towards long-term investments in general have proven insufficient, as
    discussed in Section 6.1.4 (effectiveness). Second, the financial risk for some categories of
    sustainable investments may already be lower or, notably with respect to transition risks,
    could be lower over the longer run. Current capital requirements would not capture such
    (lower) financial risk and the current framework may therefore not foster investments in
    environmentally sustainable (“green”) activities.
    The Communication on the European Green Deal97
    states that climate and environmental
    risks should be managed and integrated into the financial system. To this end, the
    Commission will adopt a renewed sustainable finance strategy in 2021. As regards insurers,
    the objective is twofold: it concerns both how insurers invest their money and how they take
    into account sustainability factors in their risk management. With respect to the former,
    insurers can play a role in reducing the investment gap for environmental-friendly assets and
    activities. The 2030 climate and energy targets agreed at the end of 2020 are estimated to
    require €350 billion of additional annual investment98
    – which represents around 34% of EU
    insurers’ gross written premiums in 2019.
    However, EIOPA estimates that only up to 5 % of the total asset value held by insurers may
    qualify as investments in sustainable activities (as identified by the “Taxonomy”99
    ), and
    therefore contribute to the climate objectives of the European Green Deal100
    . It has to be
    assumed that this stock of potentially sustainable investments has been built up over several
    years and that annual flows into sustainable investments by insurers are far lower than the
    estimated need of annual investments to achieve the Union’s objective of a climate-neutral
    96
    Defined as 1-year duration shocks whose probability of occurrence is 0.5%.
    97
    Commission Communication: European Green Deal (EUR-Lex link).
    98
    Commission Communication: Stepping up Europe’s 2030 climate ambition (EUR-Lex link), page 4
    99
    Throughout this document, “taxonomy” refers to the technical screening criteria for the identification of
    sustainable economic activities as adopted under Regulation (EU) 2020/852.
    100
    EIOPA (2020), Financial Stability Report (link), thematic report starting on page 88.
    Page | 275
    continent. For equities and corporate bonds, approximately up to 13% and 6% respectively of
    the asset value held by insurers for each type of securities might qualify as environmentally
    sustainable investment. The higher share for equity investments is mainly explained by
    insurers’ equity holdings in other (non-life) insurance companies (approximately 7%), which
    is an eligible sector under the “taxonomy”. More detailed statistics are provided in the below
    graph for corporate bonds and equities per type of insurance companies.
    Figure 6.3-6: Ta o o - Potentially eligible Investments - 2019
    Source: EIOPA, The EU Sustainable Finance Taxonomy from the Perspective of the Insurance and Reinsurance
    sector, published in the Financial Stability Report, 2020.
    Note: The figures represe t a upper li it for ta o o eligi ilit , as the represented sectors may qualify as
    environmentally-sustainable activities.
    While those data may be under- or overestimated due to the inability to have a
    comprehensive overview of insurers’ indirect investments through funds and insufficient
    information to assess “taxonomy” compliance conclusively, the share of green investments in
    insurers’ asset portfolio seems too low to achieve the Union’s objective of a climate-neutral
    continent. It has to be noted that the current rules on capital requirements do not capture the
    possibly lower (resp. higher) level of risks over the long term of some categories of “green”
    (resp. “brown”) assets for the investor.
    Furthermore, insurers are exposed to climate and environmental risks through their assets and
    liabilities towards policyholders.
    As regards insurers’ investments, EIOPA analysed a scenario of the materialisation of
    transition risk. EIOPA estimated its scenario to lead to a reduction of the excess of assets
    over liabilities101
    by up to 3.4% at country-level102
    . EIOPA intends to refine its methodology
    for further analyses over the next years.
    101
    The excess of assets over liabilities is the starting point of the determination of an insurer’s own funds.
    EIOPA has used the excess of assets over liabilities as proxy for own funds or “free assets” in several
    publications (notably the ‘Insurance Stress Test Report’ of 2018 and the ‘Sensitivity analysis of climate-
    change related transition risks’). At the end of 2019, EU insurers’ total own funds eligible to cover the
    solvency capital requirement exceeded their total excess over liabilities by around 5.7%.
    Page | 276
    Figure 6.3-7: EIOPA s severe s e ario
    Source: EIOPA (2020f): Sensitivity analysis of climate-change related transition risks.
    As regards insurers’ liabilities, EIOPA tested the impact of a scenario encompassing a series
    of four windstorms, two floods and two earthquakes distributed throughout Europe as part of
    its insurance stress conducted in 2018103
    . The sum, over participating insurance groups, of the
    excess of assets over liabilities (AoL) dropped by only 0.3 percentage points. That indicates
    that the insurance sector is currently not particularly vulnerable to climate events.104
    However, a more recent analysis by EIOPA of the available evidence concluded that climate
    change is already affecting flood risk as well as subsidence risk and impacts on hail risk at
    regional level105
    . The present Solvency standard formula parameters for those risks are
    calibrated to reflect the current risk and do not aim to capture future increases of the risk due
    to climate change. Furthermore, the standard formula sets out parameters for a closed list of
    natural catastrophe risks that are considered to be material and to which the European
    insurance sector has significant exposure106
    . Climate change may lead to additional risks
    becoming relevant for the European insurance sector.
    102
    EIOPA (2020f), Sensitivity analysis of climate-change related transition risks. EIOPA considered a scenario
    where delayed policy action is taken to abruptly move the economy to a path that is more likely to result in a
    2 degree outcome than the current (baseline) pathway, in line with the Paris agreement to limit global
    warming compared to pre-industrial levels (“late and sudden” policy scenario, see page 24 and following).
    More specifically, EIOPA assumed an increase in carbon price per ton by the end of this decade set in order
    to limit carbon concentration to around 450-500 ppm.
    103
    EIOPA (2018c), Insurance Stress Test Report.
    104
    In general, the more highly affected participants are reinsurers and those direct insurers largely involved also
    in reinsurance activities.
    105
    EIOPA (2020e), Discussion Paper: Methodology on potential inclusion of climate change in the nat cat
    standard formula.
    106
    The standard formula sets out parameters for following natural catastrophe risks: flood, windstorm, hail,
    earthquake, subsidence.
    -1,7%
    -3,4%
    -1,2%
    -1,0%
    -0,9%
    -1,8%
    -1,3%
    -1,0%
    -1,7%
    -3,3%
    -1,0%
    -1,9%
    -1,8%
    -1,2%
    -2,8%
    -1,3%
    -0,7%
    -1,7%
    -0,9%
    -2,7%
    -1,4%
    -3,4%
    -0,5%
    -1,9%
    -0,6%
    -2,3%
    -2,3%
    -4,5%
    -3,5%
    -2,5%
    -1,5%
    -0,5%
    0,5%
    AT BE BG HR CY CZ DK EE FI FR DE GR HU IE IT LV LT LU MT NL PL PT RO SK SI ES SE
    Change in value of re-priced equity, corporate bonds, fund and government bond investments
    excluding unit-linked (aggregated at country level). Values given as share of excess of assets
    over liabilities. Severe scenario and extrapolation method 2.
    gains losses Total
    Page | 277
    Figure 6.3-8: Assets over liabilities: stress test for natural catastrophes
    Source: EIOPA (2018c), Insurance Stress Test Report.
    EIOPA has also identified several actions that insurers could take to ensure that climate and
    environmental risks from assets and liabilities are duly taken into account107
    . The
    Commission ran an Open Consultation on a Renewed Sustainable Finance Strategy108
    , where
    most stakeholders agreed that “the EU should take further action to mobilise insurance
    companies […] manage climate and environmental risks, beyond prudential regulation”. The
    most frequent proposed options comprise enhanced disclosure requirements and guidance on
    impact investment, rules on risk management)”. ESG-related disclosure requirements are
    being looked at under the review of the non-financial reporting directive and the concept of
    stewardship in the context of investments has recently been introduced in Solvency II rules.
    Furthermore, several clarifications to Solvency II risk management and governance rules
    were already introduced making use of existing empowerments for delegated acts109,110
    .
    While Solvency II contains a general requirement on insurers to take into account all risks in
    their risk management, the Directive does also name particular risk categories explicitly.
    However, climate and environmental risk is not one of those risk categories and it would
    often materialise through other risk categories, e.g. market or underwriting risk. This may
    result in a lack of clarity as regards whether and where insurers are expected to reflect climate
    and environmental risks and, as a consequence, in insufficient management of those risks by
    insurers.
    107
    EIOPA (2019), Opinion on Sustainability within Solvency II (link).
    108
    The consultation and its feedback can be found at this link.
    109
    Delegated Regulation (EU) 2021/1256 amending Delegated Regulation (EU) 2015/35 as regards the
    integration of sustainability risks in the governance of insurance and reinsurance undertakings (OJ L 277,
    2.8.2021, p. 14)
    110
    In addition, in the Consultation on the Review of Solvency II stakeholders had the possibility to rank five
    possible overall objectives of EU legislation for the insurance sector. Among the five choices, fostering
    sustainable investments ranked the lowest while policyholder protection and financial stability ranked the
    highest.
    Page | 278
    Solvency II and the digital transformation
    The Solvency II framework is quite fit for future financial and technological developments,
    as it is already neutral with respect to many digital developments (see below). In addition,
    EIOPA has empowerments to make it even fitter, engaging in many data projects to also
    advance technological solutions (with reporting already being largely automated and
    digitalised). Furthermore, as detailed in section 6.4 on the coherence criterion, facilitating the
    digital transformation in the financial sector is a separate horizontal workstream.
    Since the Solvency II Framework is already digitally advanced, envisaged changes
    would be neutral
    Since the entry into force of the Solvency II Directive in 2016, all quarterly and annual
    reporting submissions and disclosure obligations are sent digitally. Therefore, the Solvency II
    Directive does not require any regular submission of information in paper. Further possible
    improvement of regular costs in that matter would probably be negligible in terms of cost-
    savings.
    Several initiatives have been undertaken to explore the possibilities that the new technologies
    offer, aiming to understand how the development of new technologies or advantages to the
    use of big data could interfere with the framework’s requirements. In line with the Digital
    Finance Strategy, the Commission services are working on a supervisory data strategy to
    further streamline supervisory reporting across the financial sector. As part of this, the
    Commission services envisage to give a mandate to EIOPA to analyse (together with the
    other ESAs and the ECB) the scope for further integrating supervisory data collection and
    facilitating the use of data already reported within other European reporting frameworks to
    competent authorities, both national and European ones in the Solvency II Directive. This
    would allow supervisors to “recycle” data that, for example, other market participants submit
    to their relevant authorities like ESMA or the national central banks.
    Insurers as targets of cyber-attacks and as providers of cyber risk protection
    Increased digitalisation and use of big data may indeed lead to more frequent and
    sophisticated cyber-attacks. In this respect, insurers could be both targets of cyber-attacks but
    also providers of protection.
    Cyber risk is however also relevant for other financial services providers. That is why the
    Commission proposed in 2020 a “Regulation on digital operational resilience for the
    financial sector”111
    that seek to foster digital operational resilience at EU level for all
    regulated financial institutions, including insurers and reinsurers. This proposal aims at
    reducing the cyber incidents and enhancing the capabilities of financial institutions to
    111
    The regulation on digital operational resilience in the financial sector will add additional safeguard to the
    existing rules in the Solvency II Directive regarding the mitigation of operational risk and in EIOPA Guidelines
    on information and Communication Technology Security and Governance, published in 2020, providing
    clarification on the minimum expected information and cyber security capabilities, to ICT security and
    governance.
    Page | 279
    withstand them. That important issue is therefore already dealt with but outside the scope of
    the Solvency II review.
    Insurers also offer protection against cyber events. In order to collect better data in this
    regard, EIOPA has the empowerments and has indeed proposed to introduce a new reporting
    template for cyber risk which will require insurance companies to report data on cyber risk
    underwriting. The introduction of new reporting templates (to be included in the general
    Reporting ITS prepared by EIOPA) should be adopted next year. No change to the Solvency
    II Directive or its Delegated Regulation are needed to introduce that new template.
    In addition, the Cyber underwriting strategy published by EIOPA112
    in 2020 sets out the
    conditions which are essential for a resilient cyber insurance market, including the need for
    an adequate level and quality of data on cyber incidents available at European level. The
    access to cyber incident database(s), potentially a European Database, could enhance the
    further development of the European cyber insurance industry, and would be the topic of
    future policy proposals.
    It should also be noted that insurers are already required to assess the above mentioned ICT
    risks, including cybersecurity, as part of their ORSA (own risk and solvency assessment)
    which identifies the overall solvency needs related to the specific risk profile of an
    undertaking. In the public consultation, civil society claimed that these risks needed to be
    reflected by introducing enhanced requirements for monitoring ICT risks. However, as
    mentioned above, this issue as well as other digital transformation challenges are already
    addressed by the regulation on digital operational resilience and covered in the Request to the
    ESAs for technical advice on digital finance and related issues (Call for Advice, 02/02/2021).
    Conclusion: Insurers’ investments in sustainable activities remain limited. If this
    problem is not addressed, the Commission will not be in a position to ensure a sustainable
    and green recovery from the ongoing Covid-19 crisis. The lack of prudential incentives for
    insurers to make long-term sustainable investments as well as a lack of clarity of obligations
    on the management and taking into account of climate and environmental risks may be
    reasons why insurers’ contribution to the objectives of the European Green Deal and the
    Capital Markets Union remains limited at this stage. Finally, while the Solvency II
    framework is already neutral with respect to many digital developments, several digital
    transformation challenges are tackled in parallel by horizontal workstreams, as well as
    through EIOPA’s engagement in several data projects and continuing work to deliver advice
    on digital finance, together with the other ESAs and the ECB.
    112
    Cyber underwriting strategy | Eiopa (europa.eu)
    Page | 280
    6.4. Coherence
    Summary assessment:
    The interaction of the Solvency II framework with other parts of legislation is limited as
    Solvency II is self-standing and by itself replacing a patchwork of 14 former Directives.
    Further, while it focuses on the prudential dimension and policyholder protection by
    ensuring that insurers have sufficient capital to meet their obligations, the Solvency II
    Directive is very broad, encompassing also requirements for insurance groups.
    However, the current provisions of the framework do not seem to be effective in a way
    that corresponds to the objectives of the renewed Action Plan on the Capital Markets
    Union: issues of insufficient volatility mitigation, impacting the insufficient effect of the
    framework on long-term investment by the insurers. The same holds for “green
    investment” and the European Green Deal.
    From an international point of view, Solvency II is one of the most advanced standards
    at international level. On the other hand, the current lack of harmonised framework for
    coordination and management of crisis situations, including to address potential
    systemic risk, is not consistent with the objectives set at international level by the IAIS
    and the FSB.
    6.4.1. How does the Directive interact with other (possibly new) EU
    instruments/ legal frameworks? Are there newly created overlaps, gaps or
    contradictions?
    The interaction of the Solvency II Framework with other parts of legislation is
    limited as the Solvency II Directive is self-standing and by itself replacing a patchwork of 14
    former Directives. It therefore brings coherence into this part. Further, while it focuses on the
    prudential dimension and policyholder protection by ensuring that insurers have sufficient
    capital to meet their obligations, the Solvency II Directive is very broad, encompassing also
    groups.
    Motor Insurance Directive and Insurance Distribution Directive
    The Motor Insurance Directive deals with a particular category of insurance and in particular
    its cross-border dimension from the point of view of a potential victim of an accident caused
    by a motor vehicle. The Motor Insurance Directive assures a minimum level of coverage of
    the insurance policies within Europe and deals with special provisions regarding accidents
    caused by uninsured vehicles as well as the cross-border dimension of accidents. As to the
    Insurance Distribution Directive, it deals with transparency and information, which needs to
    be disclosed to the potential policyholder during the distribution process. Those directives are
    posterior to the Solvency II Framework, and therefore have to ensure coherence with the
    latter.
    Page | 281
    Financial Conglomerates Directive
    When the “Financial Conglomerates Directive” (FICOD)113
    was adopted, it aimed to provide
    supplementary supervision for complex large groups. It supplemented the relevant sectorial
    frameworks then existing: the “Capital Requirements Directive” (CRDIII) and the various
    insurance directives. However, the sectorial legislation has been significantly overhauled in
    recent years with the adoption of CRR/CRD IV and the Solvency II Directive, as well as in
    the securities sector. The enhanced supervisory framework at sectorial level may have
    diminished the supervisory relevance of FICOD, and may have also created issues with the
    coherence of the supervisory frameworks across the sectors and FICOD. As FICOD builds on
    sectorial legislation, the question of coherence was already dealt with during the review of
    FICOD. In particular, it was noted that the effectiveness of FICOD to ensure the financial
    stability of financial conglomerates may be undermined by its silence in the area of
    resolution.114
    We refer to the according Staff Working Document.115
    Digital Finance Strategy
    Digital transformation is a horizontal issue. The recently adopted Digital Finance Strategy
    has identified the main priorities for the EU and these priorities are also relevant for the
    insurers and reinsurers. In that context, the Commission invited EIOPA (as well as the other
    European Supervisory Authorities) to provide technical advice on digital finance (with a final
    report due for 31 January 2022), notably on (i) the new material developments in the
    evolution and fragmentation of value chains of single financial services driven by
    technological innovation and the entry of new market participants, (ii) monitoring online
    services and (iii) risk related to mixed activity groups involving large technology companies.
    If necessary, Commission services will propose targeted amendments to the financial services
    acquis, including the Solvency II framework (possibly via a cross-sectoral proposal) but the
    need for a legislative change (as opposed to what can be done through EIOPA’s guidelines) is
    yet to be identified.
    Capital Markets Union
    However, the current provisions of the framework do not seem to be effective in a way that
    corresponds to the objectives of the renewed Action Plan on the Capital Markets Union. We
    have discussed in the effectiveness and relevance sections the issues of insufficient volatility
    mitigation, impacting the insufficient effect of the framework on long-term investment by the
    insurers. For this reason, the renewed Action Plan acknowledges that insurers’ investments
    are instrumental in supporting the long-term financing of the economy and that prudential
    rules are not yet fully adequate to remove unjustified barriers to equity investments.
    113
    Directive 2011/89/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 November 2011 amending
    Directives 98/78/EC, 2002/87/EC, 2006/48/EC and 2009/138/EC as regards the supplementary supervision
    of financial entities in a financial conglomerate (EUR-Lex link).
    114
    Respondents to the related public consultation (link to the consultation page) mainly argued that it would be
    premature to consider any resolution framework for financial conglomerates while there is a gap in this
    area on the insurance side. Additionally, many respondents highlighted that the development of
    robust sectorial regimes would be sufficient in ensuring a sound resolution framework for groups,
    including financial conglomerates.
    115
    https://ec.europa.eu/info/sites/info/files/ficod_swd_2017_272_en.pdf .
    Page | 282
    European Green Deal, Renewed Sustainable Finance Strategy and Non-Financial
    Reporting Directive
    The same holds for “green investment”. The Communication on the European Green Deal
    states that climate and environmental risks should be managed and integrated into the
    financial system. The renewed sustainable finance strategy (RSFS) that the Commission will
    adopt to this end in 2021 should be coherent with the Solvency II framework, including with
    the reviewed provisions. In addition, the same communication underlines that the
    Commission intends to review the “Non-Financial Reporting Directive” (NFRD)116
    the
    scope of which goes beyond the insurance sector, in order to extend “green” disclosure
    requirements to all types of financial market participants through one single piece of
    legislation. Therefore, a review of the Solvency II framework should avoid overlapping
    disclosure requirements for insurers in different Directives. Several current Commission
    initiatives, with a significant impact on the insurance sector, aim to increase private financing
    of the transition to a carbon-neutral economy and to ensure that climate and environmental
    risks are managed by the financial system. Besides the renewed sustainable finance strategy
    and the review of the NFRD, the “taxonomy regulation”117
    creates a common language for
    the identification of sustainable activities. An on-going initiative aims to develop technical
    screening criteria for the taxonomy in a delegated act. It is probable that the delegated act will
    contain sectoral criteria for underwriting by non-life insurance and reinsurance companies.
    6.4.2. Is it coherent with international developments/ international initiatives?
    Solvency II is one of the most advanced standards at international level, and several
    jurisdictions, in particular in Asia, are in the process of incorporating (some of) the European
    rules in national legislations. In addition, the draft “insurance capital standard” (ICS) -
    developed by the International Association of Insurance Supervisors - is very consistent with
    Solvency II, although the design of the international standard is overall less conservative. The
    ICS is not yet formally adopted and currently subject to a 5-year monitoring period (until
    2024), which means that the Solvency II review should be completed before the finalisation
    of the ICS in 2024. If eventually adopted by other jurisdictions, the ICS with its risk-based
    approach will improve the global level-playing field.
    However, as explained in section 6.3.2, the current lack of harmonised framework for
    coordination and management of crisis situations, including for the largest European insurers
    with international activities and potential systemic footprint (IAIGs), is not consistent with
    the objectives and standards developed at international level by the International Association
    of Insurance Supervisors (IAIS) and the Financial Stability Board (FSB). Indeed, the IAIS
    considers pre-emptive recovery planning as necessary and at least for IAIGs, and the FSB
    requires resolution planning for insurers that could be systemically significant or critical if
    they fail. Both imply a set of appropriate resolution powers.
    116
    Directive 2014/95/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 22 October 2014 amending
    Directive 2013/34/EU as regards disclosure of non-financial and diversity information by certain large
    undertakings and groups, OJ L 330, 15.11.2014, p. 1
    117
    Regulation (EU) 2020/852 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 18 June 2020 on the
    establishment of a framework to facilitate sustainable investment, and amending Regulation (EU)
    2019/2088, OJ L 198, 22.6.2020, p. 13.
    Page | 283
    6.5. EU added value
    Summary assessment:
    Overall, the Solvency II framework has clear added value by providing a harmonised
    and sound prudential framework. Because of their scale and generalised effects, the
    problems clearly requested further EU intervention, as an integrated EU insurance
    market and a level-playing field for EU insurers require harmonisation, both technical
    (e.g. calculation of technical provisions, risk-sensitive solvency standards) and
    operational (e.g. supervisory methods and tools). On this basis, the framework has
    promoted comparability, transparency and competitiveness. It has also significantly
    enhanced the protection of policyholders and beneficiaries, by limiting the likelihood
    that their insurer fails, as well as increasing transparency on the risks their insurer is
    facing. Solvency II has also facilitated supervisory convergence within the Union and
    contributed to the integration of the Single Market for insurance services.
    However, the assessment suggests weaknesses in supervisory convergence and
    cooperation which clearly hinder the effectiveness of the framework in terms of
    competitiveness and integration of the EU market and, in particular in the case of cross-
    border activities, lead to insufficient or unequal policyholder protection in case of
    failure. In addition, there is no harmonised and coordinated approach of safety nets in
    the form of insurance guarantee schemes that would protect policyholders and
    beneficiaries in case of failure.
    6.5.1. Compared to the previous national approaches, has Solvency II resulted
    in a more consistently applied regime across all Member States?
    • Has it facilitated the integration of the EU insurance market and supported the
    competitiveness of EU insurers compared to a scenario without the Solvency II
    framework?
    The obstacles to a fully-functioning integrated EU market for insurance clearly
    requested further EU intervention. Indeed, while preserving the “principle-based” nature of
    the framework, an integrated EU insurance market and a level-playing field for EU insurers
    require harmonisation, technical (e.g. calculation of technical provisions, risk-sensitive
    solvency standards) and operational (e.g. supervisory methods and tools). Only an EU action
    could ensure the uniform application of the regulatory provisions and guarantee the existence
    of the well-established regulatory framework regarding the taking up and the pursuit of
    (re)insurance and business. In addition, at the time Solvency II was prepared, the IAIS was
    also developing new solvency standards and valuation rules of technical provisions, therefore
    moving towards a risk-based and market-consistent approach. Likewise, Basel II had
    introduced a more risk sensitive capital regime in the banking sector. This lack of
    international and cross-sectoral convergence was a risk to the competitiveness of insurers,
    while also increasing the opportunities of regulatory arbitrage.
    The Solvency II framework therefore contributed to a more level-playing field within the
    European Union. Uniform conditions for the calculation of technical provisions ensure that
    Page | 284
    insurance liabilities are valued in a consistent way, of both a domestic insurer and an insurer
    offering the same insurance product cross-border via FoS/FoE. This is a precondition for the
    functioning of an integrated market, as price differences merely on valuation techniques
    should not be possible. It increased product comparability and transparency for policyholders.
    The result is an effective price competition leading finally to good consumer outcomes.
    However, despite the progress in the field of market integration regarding harmonised rules
    for the supervision of insurance undertakings and the valuation of technical liabilities, the
    market remains fragmented in other aspects.
    Regarding the competitiveness of EU insurers operating in third countries, the Solvency II
    framework offers the possibility according to article 227 of the Directive for equivalence
    decisions, i.e. in case of a positive equivalence decision an EU insurer operating in a third
    country could use the local rules relating to capital requirements, and would not have to
    calculate them according to the Solvency II rules.
    • Has it better enhanced policyholders’ protection?
    As assessed earlier and recalled in the above section, thanks to its EU-wide dimension,
    the Solvency II framework has enhanced policyholders’ protection through better
    information, transparency and comparability and by providing incentives for better risk-
    management which also resulted in lower probability to fail. It improved supervisory
    convergence and coordination, with a similar result of better risk management and less
    failures or near misses. However, the supervisory convergence process has not reached an
    optimal outcome, and some lack of clarity can entail divergent supervisory decisions. This
    leaves policyholders (and other stakeholders) with still too many uncertainties. In addition,
    there are no harmonised rules regarding the failure of an insurer so that it can happen that the
    Member State of residence of a policyholder is primarily relevant for the question regarding
    the responsibility of insurance guarantee schemes. Discrimination of policyholders based on
    their place of residence in the case of an insurance failure was and still is a problem.
    • Has it fostered growth and recovery better than a “no-Solvency II” scenario?
    The Solvency II regime eliminated previous restrictions imposed by Member States on
    the composition of insurers' investment portfolios. Instead, insurers must invest according to
    the “prudent person principle” and their capital requirements depend on the actual risk of
    investments. Besides the impact on risk management, an objective of the Solvency II
    Directive was to facilitate a better allocation of capital resources at firm level, at industry
    level, and within the EU economy, and it has been reinforced by the Delegated Regulation’s
    objective to foster growth through the promotion of long-term investment. From a prudential
    perspective, a long-term perspective encompasses the possibility for insurers to avoid forced
    selling under stressed market conditions. Based on EIOPA’s statistics, insurers are already
    largely investing in long maturity debt, bonds and loans. The trend has improved in the recent
    years since the entry of application of the Solvency II framework in 2016.
    However, insurers have been retrenching from equity investments over the past twenty years
    and this trend has not been reversed since 2016. And the investments share of the insurance
    sector in the real economy and infrastructure has remained limited. Even the recent several
    Page | 285
    amendments to Solvency II, through preferential treatments for certain classes of long-term
    assets, have not seem adequately designed to succeed in dampening this reported
    disincentive. Without further changes - taking into account the necessity of adequately
    assessing the risk while ensuring enough investments in the EU economy - the level of equity
    investments by insurers would remain far below its level at the beginning of the 21st
    century.
    

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    COMMISSION
    Brussels, 22.9.2021
    SWD(2021) 260 final
    PART 1/4
    COMMISSION STAFF WORKING DOCUMENT
    IMPACT ASSESSMENT REPORT
    Accompanying the documents
    Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of the Council
    amending Directive 2009/138/EC as regards proportionality, quality of supervision,
    reporting, long-term guarantee measures, macro-prudential tools, sustainability risks,
    group and cross-border supervision
    and
    Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of the Council establishing a
    framework for the recovery and resolution of insurance and reinsurance undertakings
    and amending Directives 2002/47/EC, 2004/25/EC, 2009/138/EC, (EU) 2017/1132 and
    Regulations (EU) No 1094/2010 and (EU) No 648/2012
    {COM(2021) 581 final} - {SEC(2021) 620 final} - {SWD(2021) 261 final}
    Europaudvalget 2021
    KOM (2021) 0581 - SWD-dokument
    Offentligt
    EN EN
    Table of contents
    1. INTRODUCTION...................................................................................................................2
    1.1. Political and legal context .................................................................................2
    1.2. High-level overview of the main issues that the Solvency II review will
    aim to address....................................................................................................3
    2. PROBLEM DEFINITION.......................................................................................................5
    2.1. Limited incentives for insurers to contribute to the long-term financing and
    the greening of the European economy.............................................................6
    2.2. Insufficient risk sensitivity and limited ability of the framework to mitigate
    volatility of the solvency position of insurance companies ..............................8
    2.3. Insufficient proportionality of the current prudential rules generating
    unnecessary and unjustified administrative compliance costs for small and
    less complex insurers.......................................................................................10
    2.4. Deficiencies in the supervision of (cross-border) insurance companies and
    groups, and inadequate protection of policyholders against insurers’
    failures.............................................................................................................11
    2.5. Limited specific supervisory tools to address the potential build-up of
    systemic risk in the insurance sector ............................................................... 13
    2.6. How will the problems evolve if not addressed? ............................................13
    3. WHY SHOULD THE EU ACT?...........................................................................................15
    3.1. Legal basis.......................................................................................................15
    3.2. Necessity and Added Value of EU action.......................................................16
    4. OBJECTIVES: WHAT IS TO BE ACHIEVED?..................................................................17
    4.1. General objectives ...........................................................................................17
    4.2. Specific objectives...........................................................................................18
    5. WHAT ARE THE AVAILABLE POLICY OPTIONS?.......................................................19
    5.1. Limited incentives for insurers to contribute to the long-term financing and
    the greening of the European economy...........................................................19
    5.2. Insufficient risk sensitivity and limited ability of the framework to mitigate
    volatility of the solvency position of insurance companies ............................20
    5.3. Insufficient proportionality of the current prudential rules generating
    unnecessary administrative and compliance costs for small and less
    complex insurers.............................................................................................. 20
    5.4. Deficiencies in the supervision of (cross-border) insurance companies and
    groups, and inadequate protection of policyholders against insurers’
    failures.............................................................................................................22
    5.5. Limited specific supervisory tools to address the potential build-up of
    systemic risk in the insurance sector ............................................................... 23
    6. WHAT ARE THE IMPACTS OF THE POLICY OPTIONS AND HOW DO THEY
    COMPARE?..........................................................................................................................23
    6.1. Limited incentives for insurers to contribute to the long-term financing and
    the greening of the European economy...........................................................24
    EN EN
    6.2. Insufficient risk sensitivity and limited ability of the framework to mitigate
    volatility of the solvency position of insurance companies ............................34
    6.3. Insufficient proportionality of the current prudential rules generating
    unnecessary administrative and compliance costs for small and less
    complex insurers.............................................................................................. 43
    6.4. Deficiencies in the supervision of (cross-border) insurance companies and
    groups, and inadequate protection of policyholders against insurers’
    failures.............................................................................................................52
    6.5. Limited specific supervisory tools to address the potential build-up of
    systemic risk in the insurance sector ............................................................... 65
    7. PREFERRED COMBINATION OF OPTIONS ...................................................................74
    7.1. General impacts............................................................................................... 77
    7.2. Impact on SMEs.............................................................................................. 80
    7.3. REFIT (simplification and improved efficiency)............................................80
    8. HOW WILL ACTUAL IMPACTS BE MONITORED AND EVALUATED?....................81
    ANNEX 1: PROCEDURAL INFORMATION .............................................................................83
    1. LEAD DG, DECIDE PLANNING/CWP REFERENCES....................................................83
    2. ORGANISATION AND TIMING........................................................................................83
    3. CONSULTATION OF THE RSB.........................................................................................83
    4. EVIDENCE, SOURCES AND QUALITY...........................................................................84
    ANNEX 2: STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATION........................................................................87
    1. INTRODUCTION.................................................................................................................87
    2. CONSULTATION STRATEGY...........................................................................................87
    3. CONFERENCE ON SOLVENCY II ....................................................................................87
    4. INCEPTION IMPACT ASSESSMENT................................................................................88
    Priorities of the Solvency II Review ............................................................... 88
    Long termism and sustainability .....................................................................88
    Volatility and proportionality..........................................................................88
    Recovery, resolution, IGS, group supervision and cross-border supervision .89
    5. PUBLIC CONSULTATION .................................................................................................89
    Long-termism and sustainability of insurers’ activities and priorities of the
    European framework .......................................................................................89
    Proportionality of the European framework and transparency towards the
    public...............................................................................................................90
    Improving trust and deepening the Single Market in insurance services........91
    New emerging risks and opportunities............................................................92
    Additional or late feedback to the consultation...............................................92
    6. TARGETED CONSULTATIONS OF MEMBER STATES................................................93
    ANNEX 3: WHO IS AFFECTED AND HOW?............................................................................95
    1. PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS OF THE INITIATIVE.......................................................95
    2. SUMMARY OF COSTS AND BENEFITS OF THE COMBINED SET OF OPTIONS...102
    EN EN
    3. SUMMARY OF COSTS AND BENEFITS PER PROBLEM............................................109
    Problem 1: Limited incentives for insurers to contribute to the long-term
    financing and the greening of the European economy..................................109
    Problem 2: Insufficient risk sensitivity and limited ability of the framework
    to mitigate volatility of insurers’ solvency position......................................111
    Problem 3: Insufficient proportionality of the current prudential rules
    generating unnecessary administrative and compliance costs ......................113
    Problem 4: Deficiencies in the supervision of (cross-border) insurance
    companies and groups, and inadequate protection of policyholders against
    insurers’ failures............................................................................................ 115
    Problem 5: Limited specific supervisory tools to address the potential
    build-up of systemic risk in the insurance sector ..........................................120
    ANNEX 4: PROPORTIONALITY AND SIMPLIFICATION MEASURES .............................123
    ANNEX 5: DISCUSSION ON THE TECHNICAL DESIGN OF THE MINIMUM
    HARMONISING RULES IN RELATION TO INSURANCE GUARANTEE
    SCHEMES (IGSS) ..............................................................................................................124
    1. BACKGROUND.................................................................................................................124
    2. INTRODUCTION...............................................................................................................125
    A fragmented landscape ................................................................................125
    The failure of insurance companies............................................................... 127
    The default likelihood of insurers .................................................................131
    Estimates of potential losses associated with the failures of insurance
    companies......................................................................................................133
    Objectives of an EU action............................................................................136
    3. ANALYSIS OF POLICY OPTIONS ..................................................................................137
    The need for harmonisation of national IGSs in the European Union ..........139
    The harmonisation of the design of national IGSs........................................141
    4. ARE THERE ALTERNATIVE TO SPECIFIC EU ACTION ON IGS?............................159
    5. CONCLUSIONS .................................................................................................................160
    ANNEX 6: ANALYTICAL METHODS.....................................................................................162
    ANNEX 7: IMPACT ASSESSMENT OF TECHNICAL TOPICS THAT WERE NOT
    EXPLICITLY COVERED BY THE MAIN BODY OF THE IMPACT ASSESSMENT..163
    1. SAFEGUARDS IN THE USE OF INTERNAL MODELS ................................................163
    Problem definition.........................................................................................163
    What are the available policy options?..........................................................164
    What are the impacts of the options and how do they compare?..................164
    2. REPORTING AND DISCLOSURE REQUIREMENTS....................................................167
    Background and problem definition.............................................................. 167
    What are the available policy options?..........................................................170
    What are the impacts of the options and how do they compare?..................171
    ANNEX 8: “ZOOMING” ON SOME ISSUES COVERED IN THE IMPACT ASSESSMENT176
    EN EN
    1. STRENGTHENING “PILLAR 2” REQUIREMENTS IN RELATION TO CLIMATE
    CHANGE AND SUSTAINABILITY RISKS.....................................................................176
    2. REDUCING UNDUE VOLATILITY IN SOLVENCY II..................................................178
    Revising the volatility adjustment................................................................. 178
    Revising the symmetric adjustment on equity risk .......................................179
    3. BALANCING THE CUMULATIVE IMPACT OF THE REVIEW ON CAPITAL
    REQUIREMENTS ..............................................................................................................181
    Achieving the balance partly through phasing-in periods............................. 181
    Achieving the balance partly through “compensating measures”.................182
    4. ENHANCING GROUP SUPERVISION............................................................................185
    Strengthening and harmonising supervisory powers towards groups...........185
    Clarifying prudential rules on capital requirements......................................190
    5. ENHANCING SUPERVISION OF CROSS-BORDER INSURANCE COMPANIES .....196
    Ensuring more efficient information gathering/exchange during the
    authorisation process and ongoing supervision.............................................197
    Improving cooperation between Home and Host supervisory authorities,
    under the coordination/mediation of EIOPA.................................................201
    6. INCORPORATING A MACRO-PRUDENTIAL DIMENSION IN SOLVENCY II ........204
    ANNEX 9: OTHER INITIATIVES THAT WILL HAVE A MATERIAL IMPACT ON THE
    INSURANCE SECTOR......................................................................................................210
    ANNEX 10: EVALUATION OF THE SOLVENCY II FRAMEWORK ...................................212
    EN EN
    Glossary
    Term or acronym Meaning or definition
    CMU Capital Markets Union
    EEA European Economic Area
    EIOPA European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority
    ESRB European Systemic Risk Board
    EU European Union
    FoE / FoS Freedom of establishment / Freedom of services
    DG FISMA
    Directorate General for Financial Stability, Financial Services and Capital
    Markets Union
    FSB Financial Stability Board
    GWP / GDWP Gross written premiums / ¨Gross direct written premiums
    Home authority National Supervisory authority which granted licensing to an insurer
    Home Member State Member State where an insurance or reinsurance company obtained its license
    Host authorities National supervisory authorities other than the Home authority of the Member
    States where an insurance or reinsurance company is operating
    Host Member State
    Member States other than the Home Member State where an insurance or
    reinsurance company is operating
    IAIG(s) Internationally Active Insurance Group(s)
    IAIS International Association of Insurance Supervisors
    IGS(s) Insurance Guarantee Scheme(s)
    Insurance / Insurer
    Unless otherwise specified, the use of the term insurance refers to both
    insurance and reinsurance activities
    MCR Minimum Capital Requirement
    NCA / NCAs National Competent Authority / National Competent Authorities
    NSA / NSAs National Supervisory Authority / National Supervisory Authorities
    ORSA Own risk and solvency assessment
    RSR(s) Regular supervisory report(s)
    SCR Solvency capital requirement
    SFCR(s) Solvency and financial condition report(s)
    Solvency ratio Ratio of capital resources to solvency capital requirement
    VA Volatility adjustment
    Page | 1
    The three “pillars” of Solvency II
    Solvency II constitutes a three-pillar framework (capital requirements, governance,
    transparency), which is risk-based and market-based.
    The “Pillar 1” sets out quantitative requirements, including the market-based rules to
    value assets and liabilities, the general design of capital requirements. The capital
    requirements are risk-based, forward-looking and economic, i.e. tailored to the specific
    risks borne by each insurer and taking into account risk diversification benefits, allowing
    an optimal allocation of capital across the EU.
    The framework is designed in such a way that an insurer complying with its requirements
    is supposed to be able to cope with an extreme adverse event, whose probability of
    occurrence is only 1 in every 200 years. In other words, the insurer is then supposed to be
    able to meet its obligations to policyholders and beneficiaries over the 12 following
    months, with a 99.5% probability. Hence, where the insurer complies with these risk
    management rules, the risk of an insurance failure over the following year should reach a
    very low probability (even though not null).
    The “Pillar 2” consists of requirements for the governance and risk management of
    insurers, as well as the details of the effective supervisory process with competent
    authorities. A key Pillar 2 requirement is the “own risk and solvency assessment”
    (ORSA). It aims at supporting insurers to get a holistic view of its risk profile and
    understand how risks affect the future solvency situation. It requires that the insurer
    undertakes its own “stress testing”, integrating all foreseeable risks such as a volatile and
    uncertain economic outlook. It also implies that insurers, when defining their own “risk
    appetite”, may (shall) look beyond the “purely quantitative” solvency requirements, and
    set level of “reserve”/available capital that are also forward-looking, as an additional
    cushion beyond the minimum regulatory quantitative requirements.
    Finally, the “Pillar 3” focuses on reporting to supervisory authorities and disclosure to
    the public, thereby enhancing market discipline and increasing comparability.
    Page | 2
    1. INTRODUCTION
    1.1. Political and legal context
    The economic and social importance of insurance is such that intervention by public
    authorities, in the form of prudential supervision, is generally accepted to be necessary.
    Not only do insurers provide protection against future events that may result in a loss,
    they also channel household savings into the financial markets and into the real economy.
    With trillions of assets under management, the insurance sector remains a mainstay of the
    European financial industry.
    The rationale for EU insurance legislation1
    is to facilitate the development of a Single
    Market in insurance services, whilst at the same time securing an adequate level of
    consumer protection.
    The Directive on the taking-up and pursuit of the business of insurance and reinsurance
    (Directive 2009/138/EC) is also known as the Solvency II Directive. The Solvency II
    Directive, as amended by the Omnibus II Directive (Directive 2014/51/EU), has entered
    into application in 2016. The supplementing Delegated Regulation (EU) 2015/35 was
    intended to further specify a range of aspects of the Solvency II Directive, with the aim to
    facilitate a consistent implementation throughout the European Union. Those two levels
    of legislation form the ‘Solvency II framework’, or regime. The Solvency II regime
    replaces fourteen existing directives commonly known as 'Solvency I'.
    The European Commission has a legal mandate to conduct a comprehensive review of
    the pivotal components of the Solvency II Directive by the end of 2020. This review is an
    opportunity to draw the lessons learned from five years of implementation of the
    Solvency II framework, including in crisis situations such as the one triggered by the
    Covid-19 outbreak, and to take into account the feedback received from insurers,
    consumers and public authorities. In order to appropriately take stock of the potential
    shortcomings in prudential rules, which have been highlighted by the pandemic crisis, the
    timeline of the review had to be extended by six months.
    Finally, the review of the framework needs to be coherent with the political priorities of
    the European Union. In particular, both the renewed Capital Markets Union (CMU)
    Action Plan and the communication on the European Green Deal explicitly refer to
    insurers as key institutional investors whose role will be instrumental to the so-called “re-
    equitisation” in the corporate sector and the greening of the European economy.
    The European Parliament and the European Council also identify the Solvency II Review
    as a pivotal initiative to support the objectives of the CMU. The European Parliament’s
    report on further development of the CMU of 16 September 2020 requests the
    Commission to assess, on the basis of an impact assessment, the potential benefits and
    prudential justification of adjusting capital requirements for investments in businesses,
    notably of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to ensure that capital
    requirements for insurers do not discourage long-term investments. The Council
    Conclusions of 2 December 2020 on the Commission’s CMU Action Plan urges the
    Commission, to prioritise and to accelerate its work in parallel on strengthening the role
    of insurers as long term investors and assessing ways to incentivise long-term
    investments in corporates and particularly SMEs without endangering financial stability
    or investor protection and ensuring risk adequate regulatory treatment of long term
    investments.
    1
    For the purpose of this impact assessment, and unless stated otherwise, the term “insurance” will refer to
    both “insurance” and reinsurance”.
    Page | 3
    At this stage, the Commission is pursuing several initiatives to increase private financing
    of the transition to a carbon-neutral economy and to ensure that climate and
    environmental risks are managed by the financial system. Those initiatives, which are
    listed in Annex 9, will have a significant impact on the insurance sector.
    Other horizontal EU political priorities are being tackled in parallel, without having yet
    identified the need for a legislative change. For instance, the recently adopted Digital
    Finance Strategy has defined the main priorities for the EU and these priorities are also
    relevant for insurers and reinsurers. In that context, the Commission invited the European
    Supervisory Authorities (ESas), including EIOPA, to provide technical advice on digital
    finance. If necessary, Commission services will propose targeted amendments to the
    financial services acquis, including the Solvency II framework (possibly via a cross-
    sectoral proposal).
    Following a formal request for advice that was sent by the European Commission to the
    European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA) in February 2019,
    EIOPA conducted three technical consultations covering the 19 topics of the Solvency II
    review that were identified by the European Commission. It also conducted two data
    collection exercises in order to quantify the cumulative impact of all policy proposals.
    EIOPA’s final Opinion on the Solvency II review, and the associated background
    analysis and holistic impact assessment, were published on 17 December 2020. The
    Commission services’ impact assessment largely leverage on the technical work and
    analysis conducted by EIOPA.
    1.2. High-level overview of the main issues that the Solvency II review will aim
    to address
    Since 2016 when it entered into application, the Solvency II Directive has provided a
    harmonised and sound prudential framework for insurance and reinsurance
    companies in the EU, as evidenced in the Evaluation Annex. Based on the risk profile
    of individual firms, it promotes comparability, transparency and competitiveness.
    Solvency II has significantly enhanced the protection of policyholders and beneficiaries,
    by limiting the likelihood that their insurer fails. It has also provided strong incentives for
    insurers to better measure and manage their risks, and to improve their internal
    governance. Under the coordination of the European Insurance and Occupational
    Pensions Authority (EIOPA), Solvency II has also facilitated supervisory convergence
    within the Union and contributed to the integration of the Single Market for insurance
    services.
    Also thanks to Solvency II, the European insurance industry remained robust overall.
    With average levels of capital resources that remain more than twice as high as what is
    required by the legislation, insurers’ solvency position has so far proved to be sufficiently
    solid to weather the economic and financial consequences of the Covid-19 outbreak2
    .
    However, due to the high level of uncertainty in the economic and financial outlook,
    regulators and supervisors still have to closely monitor future market developments.
    The primary objective of Solvency II is the protection of policyholders. Achieving this
    objective requires that insurance companies are subject to effective solvency
    requirements based on the actual risks they are facing (“risk-based” framework). The
    framework is defined in such a way that the risk of an insurance failure over the
    following year, even though not null, is of very low probability, as an insurer complying
    2
    The reasons why insurers’ solvency ratios are on average far above the 100% “regulatory target” are
    provided in Sub-section 6.1.1 of the Evaluation Annex.
    Page | 4
    with its requirements is supposed to be able to cope with an extreme adverse event whose
    probability of occurrence is only 1 in every 200 years. The framework also relies on full
    market-based valuation of insurers’ assets and liabilities, which allows monitoring the
    impact of economic and financial conditions on insurers’ solvency in real time and on an
    ongoing basis.
    However, the market value and risk-based principles also raise some challenges.
    First, with regard to market risks faced by insurers, the risk-based approach implies that
    the definition of capital requirements on investments only depends on the relative
    riskiness of each asset over a one-year time horizon. Therefore, prudential rules do not
    take into account the instrumental role of insurers in financing long-term sustainable
    growth in the Union and in the economic recovery in the aftermath of the Covid-19
    crisis. Both the European Green Deal and the Capital Markets Union Action Plan make
    this observation.
    While Solvency II is not the main driver of insurers’ investments, the framework may
    still provide disincentives to invest in assets such as equity, as insurance firms have to set
    aside more capital when holding such assets whose prices are generally more volatile
    than fixed-income securities. In addition, current rules do not capture the lower long-term
    risk of environmentally sustainable (“green”) activities/assets (all else equal). Hence, it
    should be explored whether barriers to long-term sustainable investments are unjustified
    and could be eliminated so as to facilitate insurers’ contribution to the financing of long-
    term sustainable growth, while preserving an appropriate level of policyholder
    protection.
    Second, in order to be effective in protecting policyholders, the framework needs to be
    regularly updated, so that it appropriately captures all risks that insurers are facing due to
    structural changes in financial markets. At this stage, Solvency II provisions and
    parameters may prove to be outdated, as they do not reflect key trends, such as the
    protracted low – and even negative – interest rates environment, and its consequences.
    Finally, reliance on market values can generate high volatility in the solvency position of
    insurers. Such volatility may unduly foster procyclical behaviours and short-termism in
    their underwriting and investment activities, although insurers are supposedly “long-term
    oriented” by nature. In particular, it can provide disincentives to the supply of (life)
    insurance products with guarantees, which are still highly sought by EU citizens, in
    particular for their pensions.
    In addition to the issues stemming from market valuation and risk-based rules, the
    review of Solvency II should aim to address other challenges.
    Solvency II is a highly sophisticated framework, which provides strong incentives for
    robust risk management by insurers. However, the framework can prove to be very
    complex, and its implementation generates significant compliance costs, in particular for
    smaller insurers. Solvency II embeds an overarching principle of proportionality, which
    supposedly ensures that both the requirements imposed to companies and the intensity of
    supervisory activities by public authorities are commensurate to the “nature, scale and
    complexity” of the risks of each firm. However, in practice, this overarching principle is
    abstract and results in legal uncertainties and insufficient visibility for both national
    supervisory authorities (NSAs) and companies, as the framework neither specifies what
    the proportionate measures are nor clarifies the scope of firms that are eligible for such
    proportionality. Hence, at this stage, the implementation of proportionality is insufficient
    to effectively reduce the regulatory burden for smaller insurers.
    Page | 5
    Solvency II has facilitated the integration of the Single Market for insurance services by
    improving the level-playing field and supervisory convergence. However, recent failures
    of insurance companies, which operated mainly outside the Member State where they
    were initially granted authorisation, highlighted shortcomings and deficiencies in the
    quality and coordination of insurance supervision, including of cross-border insurance
    groups. In addition, it also confirmed that policyholders are not consistently protected
    across the European Union in the event that their insurer fails, in particular in a cross-
    border context. Indeed, national resolution regimes are mostly incomplete and
    uncoordinated, and the patchwork of national insurance guarantee schemes (IGSs), which
    are expected to act as a safety net to pay policyholders’ claims in the event of their
    insurer’s insolvency, can leave some policyholders without any protection.
    Finally, while policyholder protection is the primary objective of Solvency II, regulators
    and supervisors also have to preserve financial stability according to the Directive. To
    this end, supervising insurers on an individual basis (“micro-prudential supervision”)
    may not allow addressing systemic risks in the insurance sector, since it does not really
    take into account their interconnections with other market participants and common risky
    (herding) behaviours among insurers. While some regulatory tools embedded in
    Solvency II already contribute to this objective, they may be insufficient and too narrow
    in terms of scope to effectively prevent the build-up of systemic risk in the insurance
    sector.
    2. PROBLEM DEFINITION
    The need for amending the Solvency II framework in order to either introduce new
    provisions or to review the existing ones has emerged as a result of both the conclusions
    of the evaluation of the Solvency II Directive (see Annex 10), and the outcome of the
    public consultation that was conducted between 1 July and 21 October 2020 (see Annex
    2).
    This section presents the most important problems addressed by this impact assessment.
    Those problems are further identified and assessed as part of the Evaluation Annex.
    Please also refer to Annex 7 for specific discussions on internal models and on reporting
    and public disclosure, which fall under the broader issue of quality of supervision (See
    2.4) but will not be assessed as such in the core part of the Impact assessment due to size
    limitations.
    Figure 1 summarizes the problems and problems drivers as well as their related
    consequences. Regarding the links between problems and consequences, the solid arrows
    correspond to the primary links whereas the dotted arrows correspond to the secondary
    links.
    Page | 6
    Figure 1: Problem tree
    2.1. Limited incentives for insurers to contribute to the long-term financing and
    the greening of the European economy
    The main focus of Solvency II is policyholder protection and financial stability. To that
    end, Based on quantitative data (e.g. historical price and volatility behaviour of financial
    assets), it defines capital requirements, i.e. the amount of capital resources that insurers
    have to set aside in order for them to be able to cope with very extreme adverse events
    (1-year duration shocks whose probability of occurrence is only once in 200 years).
    Higher capital requirements on investments are therefore applied to assets, which are
    more volatile and/or more risky, for instance equity. However, since Solvency II was
    adopted, the European Commission set additional political objectives, notably the need to
    build-up a Capital Markets Union which can channel more funding to businesses and the
    European Green Deal to achieve a transition to carbon-neutrality. The capital
    requirements of Solvency II do not take into account the positive externalities of some
    investments in strengthening long-term sustainable growth and the economic recovery in
    the aftermath of the Covid-19 crisis and the limitation of the negative impact of climate
    change.
    Limited incentives for insurers to contribute to the long-term financing of the economy
    For the purpose of this impact assessment, the objective of fostering long-term
    investments will be actually related to the equity asset class only, since insurers are
    already largely investing in long-maturity bonds, as discussed in Sub-section 6.1.4 of the
    Evaluation Annex.
    In addition, the concept of long-term investment has no commonly agreed definition. It
    cannot be restricted to “buy-and-hold” strategies. For the purpose of this impact
    Page | 7
    assessment, a long-term investment will be deemed an investment in an asset class (and
    not individual assets) with a long-term perspective (the Solvency II Delegated Regulation
    refers to a 5-year time horizon for long-term equity investments), including under
    stressed conditions. In other words, an insurer is deemed to make a long-term investment
    in equity if it can have a long-term perspective to hold a certain share of its investment
    portfolio in equities (listed, unlisted, private equity, etc.), even if it does some arbitrage
    operations from time to time (i.e. realising gains on certain equities and investing in other
    ones). From a prudential perspective, a long-term perspective encompasses the
    possibility for insurers to avoid forced selling under stressed market conditions.
    The Capital Markets Union Action Plan underlined the instrumental role that insurers can
    play in the “re-equitisation” and long-term financing of the European economy. Insurers
    can hence support the economic recovery in the aftermath of the Covid-19 crisis. As
    shown in the Evaluation Annex, Solvency II, which only entered into application in
    2016, is not the main driver of insurers’ investments, since the downward trend in equity
    investments dates back to the beginning of the 21st
    century. The Commission made
    several amendments to the Solvency II Delegated Regulation to help insurers contribute
    to the long-term financing of the European economy, in particular by introducing a
    preferential treatment for long-term investments in equity, subject to some criteria3
    .
    However, those amendments are not sufficiently effective and the framework still
    includes disincentives to investments in assets such as equity, as insurance firms have to
    set aside more capital when investing in more volatile assets. To achieve the political
    objective of facilitating insurers’ role in sustaining the economic recovery, prudential
    rules should be reviewed to facilitate long-term equity investments, while at the same
    time ensuring that such changes do not harm policyholder protection and financial
    stability. For further evidence, please refer to Sub-section 6.1.4 of the Evaluation Annex.
    Insurers could contribute more to the greening of the economy
    In relation to the European Green Deal, the Commission’s Communication states that
    climate and environmental risks should be managed and integrated into the financial
    system. As regards insurers, the objective concerns both how insurers invest their money
    and how they take into account sustainability risks in their risk management concerning
    investments and underwriting of insurance risks. With respect to the former, insurers can
    play a role in closing the investment gap for environmental-friendly assets and activities.
    However, EIOPA estimates that only up to 5 % of the total asset value held by insurers
    may be eligible investments in sustainable assets (as identified by the taxonomy4
    ), and
    therefore contribute to the climate objectives of the European Green Deal. This seems too
    low to achieve the Union’s objective of a climate-neutral continent.
    A first issue is probably the lack of available investable assets that are aligned with the
    taxonomy5
    . While the review of Solvency II will not address the need to foster the supply
    of sustainable assets, there is currently no explicit prudential incentive for insurers to
    invest in such assets. Indeed, the rules on capital requirements do not distinguish between
    3
    Long-term equities are a regulatory asset class introduced by the European Commission in 2019. Equity
    investments that meet certain strict criteria can be subject to capital requirements that are between 44% and
    56% lower than those applicable to “standard” equity investments.
    4
    Throughout this document, “taxonomy” refers to the technical screening criteria for the identification of
    sustainable economic activities as adopted under Regulation (EU) 2020/852.
    5
    As an illustration, the European Sustainable Finance Survey 2020 highlighted that only 2% of total
    revenue from CAC 40 and EURO STOXX 50 companies, and 1% from DAX 30 companies, are estimated
    to be fully taxonomy-aligned. This implies that the value of “green equities” stemming from the largest
    listed companies equals around € 40 billion in France and € 10 billion in Germany, to be compared with a
    total of insurers’ investments of respectively € 2,700 billion in France and € 2,100 billion in Germany.
    Page | 8
    sustainable and other investments, and do not capture the possibly lower (respectively
    higher) level of risks over the long term of some categories of “green” (respectively
    “brown”) assets, all else equal. Also, the positive (respectively negative) externalities of
    investing in such assets are not captured.
    Furthermore, insurers are exposed to climate and environmental risks through their assets
    and liabilities towards policyholders. While Solvency II contains a general requirement
    on insurers to take into account all risks in their risk management, the Directive does also
    name particular risk categories explicitly. However, climate and environmental risks are
    not part of those risk categories and it would often materialise through other risk
    categories, e.g. market or underwriting risk. This may result in a lack of clarity as regards
    whether and where insurers are expected to reflect climate and environmental risks and,
    as a consequence, in insufficient management of those risks by insurers. For instance,
    only a small proportion of all insurance companies reflects climate change risks in their
    own risk and solvency assessment (ORSA). In 2020, EIOPA analysed a sample of ORSA
    reports from 1682 companies representing more than 80% of the EU insurance market.
    Only 13% of the analysed ORSA reports made a reference to climate change risk
    scenarios6
    .
    In conclusion, the prudential framework requires the same capital to be held for
    sustainable investment as for investment that do not qualify as sustainable. However, the
    financial risks of some categories of sustainable investments may already be lower or,
    notably with respect to transition risks, could be lower over a longer term. To achieve the
    political objective of private investments in the green transition, prudential rules should
    be reviewed to ensure that capital requirements on green assets are not higher than
    necessary to avoid harm to policyholder protection and financial stability. Furthermore,
    there is no clear obligation to manage and reflect climate and environmental risks.
    However, given their clear importance going forward, from both an economic and risk
    perspective, there may be room for appropriate regulatory adjustments in this area.
    2.2. Insufficient risk sensitivity and limited ability of the framework to mitigate
    volatility of the solvency position of insurance companies
    The economic and financial conditions faced by insurers over the recent years and
    months (in particular in relation to interest rate risks and market volatility) significantly
    differ from those present when the Solvency II framework was adopted7
    . Therefore, the
    Directive may contain outdated parameters and provisions, possibly resulting in an
    insufficient risk sensitivity and excessive volatility in some areas of the framework. The
    below subsections provide a few examples of such shortcomings.
    Insufficient reflection of the low interest-rate environment in the Solvency II framework
    As insurers are large investors in fixed-income securities (i.e. debt instruments that pay a
    regular fixed amount of coupon interest), it is commonly accepted that the current low –
    and sometimes even negative – interest rate environment is one of the main risks that EU
    insurers have been facing over the recent years. This is because they earn only low
    returns (or even make losses) which impact their profitability and solvency. This limits
    them in their ability to provide adequate insurance products for their customers. As
    shown in Sub-section 6.3.2 of the Evaluation Annex, between 2018 and 2020, the level
    of interest rates (for the euro) has significantly decreased, with a material adverse impact
    of both insurers’ solvency position and profitability.
    6
    EIOPA: Consultation Paper on the draft Opinion on the use of climate change risk scenarios in ORSA
    (EIOPA-BoS-20/561), October 2020, see Annex 1.
    7
    The Solvency II Delegated Regulation was adopted on 10 October 2014.
    Page | 9
    In this regard, the underlying assumptions based on which the Solvency II capital
    requirements under the standard formula are designed are outdated, as they do not
    envisage the possibility for interest rates to move in negative territory, or when rates are
    already negative, to further decrease. Therefore, the prudential framework, which leads to
    an underestimation of the interest rate risk to which insurers are exposed, has not
    provided clear obligations to insurers for having capital to buffer for the risk of negative
    interest rates over a recent years, which has now materialised. If not addressed, this
    underestimation of the real risks to which insurers are exposed could become detrimental
    to policyholder protection, as insurers may not at some point have sufficient capital to
    absorb losses if the downward trend in interest rates continues in the future. Already in
    2018, EIOPA estimated that this underestimation of interest rate risk represented on
    average 14 percentage points of solvency ratios at European level8
    .
    Sub-section 6.1.1 of the Evaluation Annex also shows that the current low interest rate
    environment raises doubts about the appropriateness of the stipulated regulatory interest
    rate curves that have to be used by insurance companies when valuing their long-term
    liabilities towards policyholders. As an illustration, the yield at issuance on a 100-year
    Austrian government bond (AA-rated) was lower than the 33-year regulatory risk-free
    interest rate in June 2020. An underestimation of the value of insurers’ liabilities would
    lead to an overestimation of their solvency position, and may limit prudential incentives
    for insurers to establish robust asset-liability management strategies, with detrimental
    side effects on policyholder protection.
    Insufficient ability of the framework to mitigate the impact of financial market turmoil on
    the solvency position of insurers.
    In addition to being risk based, Solvency II relies on the pivotal principle of market-
    consistent valuation of assets and liabilities, which means that insurers have to rely as
    much as possible on market data when establishing their balance sheet. By nature, such
    characteristics imply high short-term volatility in insurers’ assets (the value of which
    evolves with financial market movements) and liabilities (for instance, when asset values
    and asset returns collapse, the cost for an insurer of providing a high guaranteed rate on a
    life insurance product increases significantly). Those fluctuations in asset and liability
    values lead to a high volatility in the level of insurers’ capital resources and more
    generally in their solvency position.
    Solvency II also includes several regulatory mechanisms (so-called "long-term guarantee
    measures and the measures on equity risk"9
    ) which are aimed at mitigating the impact of
    short-term market turmoil on insurers solvency position.
    However, as evidenced in Sub-section 6.1.1 of the Evaluation Annex, those measures
    have proved to be insufficiently effective at mitigating excessive short-term volatility in
    the solvency position of insurers, in particular during market turmoil such as during
    March 2020 in the context of the Covid-19 outbreak. When the short-term volatility in
    insurers’ solvency ratios becomes excessively high, it fosters short-termism in insurers’
    underwriting and investment activities. In particular, it may unduly incentivise life
    insurers to reduce their supply of long-term insurance products with guaranteed
    minimum returns, to shift a large part of the risk to policyholders (via the distribution of
    unit- or index-linked products), and to divest from real assets supporting the long-term
    8
    See EIOPA’s webpage. Note that the Commission at that time decided not to endorse EIOPA’s advice but
    to discuss it as part of the broader review of Solvency II Directive where all topics in relation to interest
    rates could be discussed at the same time.
    9
    For further explanations, see Section 2 and Sub-section 6.1.1 of the Evaluation Annex.
    Page | 10
    financing of the European economy. Also, if the treatment of long-term insurance
    products is unduly penalising for EU insurers, they may be put at a disadvantage
    compared to their non-EU competitors and will have less stable surplus capital (capital
    minus capital requirements) to expand internationally. Therefore, excessive volatility is
    also impeding international competitiveness of the European industry10
    .
    The Evaluation Annex also shows that the current parameters of the “long-term
    guarantee measures” sometimes give rise to unexpected improvements in the solvency
    position of some insurers, during crises such as the Covid-19 outbreak. Such unintended
    situations (called “over-shooting effect”) raise supervisory challenges, because the
    existing regulatory framework may not result in appropriate risk measurement under
    stressed situations.
    2.3. Insufficient proportionality of the current prudential rules generating
    unnecessary and unjustified administrative compliance costs for small and
    less complex insurers
    Outdated thresholds of exclusion from the Solvency II framework
    The Solvency II Directive already provides that very small insurers are excluded from the
    application of the Directive if they meet a series of cumulative criteria, including limited
    revenues (lower than EUR 5 million) and risk volume (insurers’ liabilities towards
    policyholders of less than EUR 25 million).
    As outlined in Sub-section 6.2.2 of the Evaluation Annex, the thresholds for exclusion
    have not been amended since the adoption of the Solvency II Directive in 2009.
    Therefore, those thresholds may be considered as outdated, although they will have to be
    updated to reflect inflation every five years, provided that the inflation since the last
    update is greater than 5%. The first update will therefore take place in 202111
    . Still, the
    lack of reassessment of the appropriateness of thresholds may imply high compliance
    costs for small companies in the scope of Solvency II, which may not compensate the
    benefit of being subject to Solvency II.
    Insufficient application of proportionate rules in Solvency II
    The Solvency II framework broadly embeds the principle of proportionality, insofar as it
    requires ensuring that not only the requirements imposed to insurance companies, but
    also the intensity of the supervisory review process, are commensurate to the “nature,
    scale and complexity” of each company which is subject to Solvency II. Therefore, the
    application of the proportionality principle does not depend on the size of the companies
    but on the risks that they are facing. The framework as a whole is formulated in a
    modular manner, such that insurance and reinsurance companies must only apply those
    requirements, which are relevant to the risks they incur.
    As Solvency II does not clearly define which firms can be subject to proportionality and
    which measures can be implemented in a proportionate way, the current framework
    results in legal uncertainty and lack of predictability for both insurers and NSAs. There is
    no report on the effective application of proportionality under Solvency II. However,
    Sub-section 6.2.2 of the Evaluation Annex concludes that the current framework results
    10
    At this stage, not all countries have a risk-based and market value based framework. Therefore, in those
    countries, insurers’ capital requirements may be less sensitive to market risks and the value of their
    liabilities may be less sensitive to changes in credit spreads. This lowers the volatility of those insurers’
    solvency ratio, although it makes them more exposed to the materialisation of market risks as the
    prudential framework would not appropriately reflect it.
    11
    Five years after the entry into application of Solvency II.
    Page | 11
    in a limited implementation in practice of the proportionality principle. If not
    implemented in a proportionate way, Solvency II requirements become very challenging
    to comply with for smaller and less complex insurers, as their limited riskiness is not
    appropriately accounted for in supervisory review processes. This implies that the
    intensity of regulatory requirements is not sufficiently modulated so that they do not
    generate a disproportionate burden for small and non-complex insurers.
    The issue of proportionality concerns all three pillars of Solvency II. However, the lack
    of proportionality in the implementation of prudential issues is particularly acute in
    relation to reporting and disclosure requirements by insurance companies (“pillar 3”). In
    this regard, Sub-section 6.2.1 of the Evaluation Annex shows that the information that
    must be publicly disclosed to policyholders proves to be too complex and too detailed,
    lacking a high-level simple overview. As regards data collection and reporting to NSAs,
    the Evaluation Annex underlines that the number and frequency of submission of the
    quantitative templates for regular reporting (often on quarterly basis) generates costs to
    both insurers and supervisors.
    2.4. Deficiencies in the supervision of (cross-border) insurance companies and
    groups, and inadequate protection of policyholders against insurers’ failures
    Inconsistent and insufficiently coordinated supervision of insurance companies and
    groups, including in relation to cross-border activities
    Solvency II has facilitated the integration of the Single Market for insurance services by
    improving the level-playing field and supervisory convergence.
    However, as shown in Sub-section 6.1.3 of the Evaluation Annex, recent failures of
    insurance companies, which operated mainly outside the country where they initially
    obtained their license, highlighted shortcomings and deficiencies in the quality and
    coordination of insurance supervision including in relation to cross-border activities. It
    also shows the insufficient prioritisation of some NSAs on the supervision of cross-
    border business12
    . EIOPA’s coordination role, although reinforced in the context of the
    review of the Regulation (EU) 2019/2175 establishing the European Supervisory
    Authorities, proves to be insufficient in ensuring a high-quality convergent supervision
    across Member States. In addition, the lack of data sharing between NSAs may hinder
    the effective supervision of insurers operating on a cross-border basis.
    Furthermore, the Evaluation Annex shows in the same Sub-section that due to legal
    uncertainties, several areas of the framework may not be sufficient for a harmonised
    implementation of the rules by insurers and NSAs, including in relation to the
    supervision of insurance groups. In particular, challenges arise from the supervision of
    groups that are headquartered or active in non-EEA countries, and of mixed financial
    groups combining banking and insurance activities (financial conglomerates).
    Insufficient supervisory toolkit to intervene when firms are in financial distress
    12
    This conclusion was also drawn by the European Court of Auditors (ECA) in its Special Report on
    EIOPA’s actions to ensure convergence between national insurance supervisory systems in the EU between
    2015 and 2017. The ECA identified “systemic weaknesses in the current supervisory system for cross-
    border business” that required legislative changes to ensure an equal level of supervision for companies
    running their business in another Member State, regardless of the chosen business model. Deficiencies in
    cross-border supervision were also identified by the International Monetary Funds, for instance in its
    Country Report No. 20/252 where one of the recommendations is to strengthen the national framework for
    the supervision of cross-border business and to allocate sufficient resources to it.
    Page | 12
    Although the Solvency II framework aims to minimise the likelihood of insurance
    failures, such likelihood is not brought to zero either. Recent failures, in particular of
    cross-border insurers, demonstrated that this risk remains not sufficiently addressed
    early, partly due to deficiencies in prudential supervision by some public authorities.
    However, experience has also shown that, despite the existing Solvency II arrangements,
    the efforts to recover an insurer in financial distress are sometimes inefficient or run into
    legal or operational difficulties for a lack of proper and timely preparation of recovery
    options. Likewise, public authorities may fall short of options that could effectively avoid
    the winding-up of the insurer as they have not looked at failure scenarios and have not
    anticipated possible impediments to deploying alternative measures.
    Furthermore, public authorities do not always have sufficient tools to avert the failure of
    insurers. As reported by EIOPA13
    , one third of NSAs identified gaps and shortcomings in
    their range of recovery and resolution powers. Likewise, public authorities often lack
    alternatives to insolvency for failing insurers. Even traditional tools for an orderly wind-
    up such as run-off (i.e. a ban on writing new business while fulfilling existing
    obligations) and transfer of portfolios are either unavailable or subject to restrictions in
    some Member States. Other important powers to stabilise a failing insurer, such as stays
    on early termination rights, are only available in a small minority of Member States.
    Even in the few Member States equipped with the necessary tools, resolution approaches
    remain tailored to national objectives and constraints and could therefore differ widely
    (i.e. legal frameworks, scope of powers and tools, conditions for exercising these
    powers).
    Finally, despite general cross-border coordination mechanisms for supervision, there is
    no clear framework for coordination and cooperation between authorities to prepare and
    manage a (near) failure of an insurance company operating across borders. As illustrated
    by EIOPA14
    , this can result in conflicts of interest and a misalignment between the
    national accountability and mandate of supervisors (protecting the interest of
    policyholders at national level) and the cross-border nature of the insurance industry that
    is not coherent with the objectives of the Single Market. Cross-border cooperation and
    coordination is however essential to support recovery, eliminate impediments to an
    orderly resolution process and reduce suboptimal outcomes at the EU level. For further
    details, see Sub-section 6.1.3 of the Evaluation Annex.
    Inadequate / insufficient protection of policyholders in case of failure
    Currently, 17 Member States (and Norway) operate one or more IGS(s). This means that
    a significant share of gross written premiums are not covered by any IGS and that losses
    stemming from the failure of insurance companies can still be passed onto EU
    policyholders or taxpayers.
    The current patchwork of national guarantee schemes means that policyholders across the
    EU are not equally protected. Gaps, but also overlaps15
    , in the protection of policyholders
    can stem from substantial differences in the design features of existing national IGSs,
    notably in terms of geographical coverage. Therefore, for the same type of insurance
    policy, policyholders might benefit from a different level of IGS protection or no
    13
    See EIOPA’s Opinion on the harmonisation of recovery and resolution frameworks (2017).
    14
    See for instance Boxes 13.2 and 13.4 of EIOPA’s background analysis
    15
    In some cases, insurers operating cross-border contribute to two national IGSs to cover the same policy.
    Page | 13
    protection at all, depending on where they live and on where they have contracted the
    policy.16
    For further details, see Annex 5 and Sub-section 6.1.3 of the Evaluation Annex.
    Insurers in the EU may therefore face different costs and incentive structures, which can
    lead to an uneven level-playing field and add to the regulatory arbitrage previously
    described.17
    2.5. Limited specific supervisory tools to address the potential build-up of
    systemic risk in the insurance sector
    While policyholder protection is the primary objective of Solvency II, regulators and
    supervisors also have to preserve financial stability. To this end, supervising insurers and
    reinsurers on an individual basis without taking into account their interconnections with
    other market participants and common risky (herding) behaviours may not be sufficient
    to preserve financial stability.
    Most rules of the Solvency II Directive are targeted to individual insurers (so-called
    “micro-prudential supervision”). Those provisions, for instance risk-based capital
    requirements, can help preventing systemic risk as they provide disincentives for
    excessive risk-taking. There are also several regulatory tools embedded in Solvency II
    that more directly contribute to preventing systemic risk, for instance by avoiding forced-
    sales of assets during market turmoil, which could amplify negative market movements.
    However, according to EIOPA and ESRB, there are several shortcomings in the existing
    framework, which may limit public authorities’ ability to preserve financial stability, and
    to address risks generated by the insurance sector itself. In particular, as further detailed
    in the Sub-section 6.3.2 of the Evaluation Annex, the current set of rules may not
    appropriately address issues of search-for-yield behaviours, high concentration of
    investment portfolios in certain assets and sectors, potential liquidity strains and
    insufficient coordination of macro-prudential measures, as illustrated during the Covid-
    19 crisis.
    2.6. How will the problems evolve if not addressed?
    For the purpose of this impact assessment, the baseline scenario will be to “do nothing”
    (this “baseline scenario” will be “Option 1” for each problem).
    2.6.1. Limited incentives for insurers to contribute to the long-term financing
    and the greening of the European economy
    Doing nothing would generate opportunity costs for the wider economy in the form of
    lost output and overall welfare, by possibly preventing insurers from providing capital
    injections to businesses, notably SMEs, and from financing the transition to a carbon-
    neutral economy. This would not be coherent with the objectives of the CMU and the
    European Green Deal. It could also affect international competitiveness. Still, it can be
    argued that the higher risk of investing in equity justifies higher capital requirements, and
    that such an approach actually makes insurers’ solvency more resilient to financial
    16
    In some Member States, the guarantee schemes may cover all EEA policies issued by a domestic insurer
    or by a foreign branch of a domestic insurer. In other Member States, the schemes may only cover
    domestic policies issued by a domestic insurer or a domestic branch of a foreign insurer. As a result,
    policyholders of insurance branches may end up being covered by no national scheme.
    17
    In particular, some Home supervisors may have less incentive to supervise insurers with business models
    concentrated on free provision of services in other Member States when these are not covered by national
    guarantee schemes that have to be financed by the domestic insurance industry. This situation can further
    undermine the integrity of the Single Market.
    Page | 14
    shocks in the long- run. Similarly, insurers that have already invested in sustainable
    assets may have less “free capital” which may affect competitiveness and the ability to
    offer products with guarantees to consumers. For further evidence on those different
    issues, please refer to Sub-sections 6.1.4 and 6.3.3 of the Evaluation Annex.
    2.6.2. Insufficient risk sensitivity and limited ability of the framework to mitigate
    volatility of the solvency position of insurance companies
    Not addressing the issue of insufficient risk sensitivity of the framework would have
    detrimental effect on the overall level of policyholder protection, and could foster risk-
    taking activities by insurers, with potential negative side effects on financial stability
    risks.
    While volatility had been very low in recent years, it has sharply moved upwards as the
    Covid-19 crisis became virulent, and higher volatility seems to remain entrenched in the
    financial system. In consequence, without policy action, insurers might tend to reduce
    their investment time horizon and aim to shift market risks to policyholders (via the
    supply of unit-linked products) in a higher volatility environment. Finally, excessive
    volatility can generate procyclical behaviours, and therefore raise financial stability risks.
    Doing nothing would not be coherent with the renewed Action Plan on the CMU where it
    is acknowledged that volatility mitigation is key to help insurers provide long-term
    (capital) financing to the EU economy.
    For further evidence on those different issues, please refer to Sub-sections 6.1.1 and 6.3.2
    of the Evaluation Annex.
    2.6.3. Insufficient proportionality of the current prudential rules generating
    unnecessary administrative and compliance costs for small and less complex
    insurers
    The high compliance cost of Solvency II18
    (3.18% of total operating costs, the highest
    one-off costs among the financial services frameworks19
    ), could be a barrier to the entry
    and growth of new competitors in the Single Market, with undesirable effects in the offer
    of insurance products and/or in their price for policyholders20
    (higher fees). Therefore,
    doing nothing on proportionality may progressively lead to a less diversified landscape of
    insurers in terms of size and more concentration. The reduced competition in the sector
    could be detrimental to consumers.
    In addition, as the conditions to apply the principle of proportionality are not clearly
    defined, insurers with a similar risk profile, could be subject to different rules depending
    on the Member State in which they are located, which is detrimental to the level-playing
    field in the EU.
    18
    Note that as national prudential frameworks largely differ between Member States, it is not possible to
    have an overview of the difference between the compliance costs of Solvency II and those of national
    frameworks. However, an insurer can always request licensing (and therefore applying) Solvency II, if it
    considers that the national framework is more burdensome or more costly that Solvency II.
    19
    See page 48 of the Study on the costs of compliance for the financial sector.
    20
    For further evidence, please refer to Section 6.2 of the Evaluation Annex.
    Page | 15
    2.6.4. Deficiencies in the supervision of (cross-border) insurance companies and
    groups, and inadequate protection of policyholders against insurers’
    failures
    Doing nothing would leave unaddressed the inconsistencies and gaps identified in the
    Solvency II framework on the quality of supervision. Only relying on EIOPA’s soft (non-
    binding) tools to ensure convergence in supervision is of limited effectiveness as
    supervisory authorities have no legal obligation to comply with those principles.
    Similarly, the problem drivers identified in Sub-section 6.1.3 of the Evaluation Annex
    and in the problem definition on policyholder protection in case of insurers’ (near-
    )failures would remain, with the risk of late and not sufficiently prepared measures by
    insurers and/or public authorities in case of an insurer’s distress. This could have a
    negative impact on policyholder protection and level-playing field as further Member
    States would probably establish national recovery and resolution frameworks to
    implement international guidance. Finally, doing nothing on IGSs would mean that
    Member States continue to take different approaches to IGS, including a total absence of
    IGS in some Member States. Uneven and insufficient levels of protection could
    undermine consumers’ trust in the Single Market for insurance services.
    For further details, see Annex 5 and Sub-section 6.1.3 of the Evaluation Annex.
    2.6.5. Limited specific supervisory tools to address the potential build-up of
    systemic risk in the insurance sector
    The baseline scenario would not impose new requirements on insurers and reinsurers,
    and therefore would allow avoiding additional compliance costs for them. In addition, the
    absence on new rules on investments or quantitative requirements (capital surcharge for
    systemic risk, concentration limits, etc.) would ensure that EU insurers’ short-term
    competitiveness21
    is not affected.
    However, doing nothing would not guarantee that supervisors have the powers to address
    systemic risk, which is not coherent with one of the main objectives of Solvency II
    (preserving financial stability). Furthermore, a lack of sufficient supervisory tools to
    prevent financial instability risks originating from the insurance sector would be negative
    for policyholders in the long term, since insurance failures may require public
    intervention and indirect costs for taxpayers. Furthermore, the economic and financial
    consequences of a crisis on social welfare go far beyond the sole insurance sector, and
    may concern the wider economy. It should be noted that the “holistic framework” for
    systemic risk, adopted by the Insurance Association of Insurance Supervisors and the
    Financial Stability board in November 2019, provides that supervisory authorities should
    have the power and mandate to identify, monitor and address, where necessary, the build-
    up and transmission of systemic risk in the insurance sector.22
    3. WHY SHOULD THE EU ACT?
    3.1. Legal basis
    The Solvency II Directive provides for a comprehensive regulatory framework regarding
    the taking up and the pursuit of insurance and reinsurance (hereafter “insurance”)
    business within the Union. The principle of regulating the taking-up and pursuit of the
    21
    In case of the existence of systemic risks, leaving them unaddressed could have a very negative impact
    on insurers if those risks materialise in the long run.
    22
    See the IAIS Insurance Core Principle 24.
    Page | 16
    business of insurance is long established at European level, and leaving this matter to the
    discretion of Member States would highly hinder the right of establishment and the
    freedom to provide services which European insurance companies benefit from to date.
    The legal bases of the current Directive are Articles 53(1) and 62 of the Treaty on the
    Functioning of the European Union. This would also be the legal basis for the envisaged
    introduction of a new minimum harmonised framework for insurance guarantee schemes.
    In order to continue to harmonise the rules at stake, or introduce these new harmonised
    rules, EU action in accordance with these Articles is needed.
    On the envisaged harmonised framework for recovery and resolution of (re)insurers,
    which aims at ensuring a minimum level of harmonisation across the EU, the legal basis
    is Article 114 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
    3.2. Necessity and Added Value of EU action
    The review aims to amend certain provisions of the Solvency II Directive, in particular
    those on capital requirements, on valuation of insurance liabilities towards policyholders,
    on cross-border supervision and on preventive recovery planning. It also aims at
    providing necessary clarifications and changes to the principle of proportionality. With
    regard to these particular issues, only EU action to clarify these provisions will ensure
    that going forward, these regulatory provisions are applied uniformly and guarantee the
    existence of the well-established regulatory framework regarding the taking up and the
    pursuit of insurance and business, which are essential for the Single Market.
    In addition to amendments of existing rules, the review will consider the introduction of
    new dimensions in Solvency II, notably in relation to climate change and environmental
    risks, to the harmonisation of national frameworks for resolution, and to macro-
    prudential tools. In addition, the impact assessment will contemplate putting forward a
    stand-alone proposal for a minimum harmonisation framework for insurance guarantee
    schemes. The necessity and added value of EU action on those areas is justified in the
    next paragraphs.
    Climate change and environmental risks: The limited incentives for insurers to contribute
    to the greening of the economy could possibly be addressed through individual actions
    by Member States. In fact, given the commitments to environmental and climate policy
    goals, both at international (e.g. Paris Agreement) and at Union level, it is very likely that
    more Member States and NSAs will explore options of ensuring a contribution by the
    insurance sector. The lack of clarity on the relevance of sustainability risks in current
    prudential rules could however be exacerbated by parallel and uncoordinated attempts by
    Member States in that field which would undermine the Single Market for insurance
    services. Thus, such clarification needs to be provided at Union level so that insurance
    companies operating in several Member States comply with rules within a single
    framework and for supervisory authorities to coordinate and align actions within that
    framework (instead of segmenting the market via different actions and rules).
    Resolution: A minimum harmonised resolution framework for insurers, aiming to
    address situations where an insurer is no longer viable or likely to be no longer viable23
    ,
    would ensure a common approach to address and mitigate the consequences of an
    insurer’s failure across the EU, thereby fostering cross-border cooperation and
    coordination. If applied in a proportionate manner, this could improve the functioning of
    the Single Market, ensure that the overall framework is suitable to maintain a high level
    23
    This would encompass the establishment of a national resolution authority, the introduction of a common
    set of resolution objectives, powers and tools.
    Page | 17
    of protection for policyholders and beneficiaries and contribute to preserving financial
    stability in the EU.
    Insurance guarantee schemes: Currently, in the event an insurer fails, a patchwork of
    national schemes is in place across the Member States, which can step in. These
    guarantee schemes offer different levels of protection, cover a different scope of
    insurance products and have different geographical scopes. Solvency II does not contain
    substantive provisions on IGS. It only contains a provision providing that host Member
    States may require non-life insurers from other Member States selling insurance products
    on their territories through branches or cross-border sales to join and participate in their
    IGS. Combined with the increasing share of cross-border activities within the EU Single
    Market and the absence of adequate cross-border mechanisms for compensation, the
    current situation results in an inefficient and incomplete protection for policyholders and
    other beneficiaries. Establishing mechanisms that would address these issues would not
    be possible without EU action. Only an EU action can ensure consistently that all
    policyholders and beneficiaries acquiring insurance policies in the EU benefit from a
    minimum level of protection in the event that their insurer fails, and in particular in
    cross-border situations. EU action would also be necessary to create an appropriate and
    consistent incentive structure across the EU that is conducive of market discipline by
    involving the insurance industry in the financial consequences of an insurance failure24
    .
    Macro-prudential supervision: Solvency II is at this stage mainly focused on micro-
    prudential supervision (i.e. the supervision of individual insurers) with the aim of
    protecting policyholders, but the Directive also mandates supervisors to preserve
    financial stability. Under certain (and so far limited) circumstances, insurance activities
    can indeed originate or amplify systemic risk. An action at EU level to integrate
    (targeted) macro-prudential elements within the Solvency II Directive would ensure
    uniform application of the new provisions. As financial stability does not have national
    borders (in particular since insurance companies and groups largely operate on a cross-
    border basis), an EU action (aiming to ensure that public authorities are granted sufficient
    powers allowing them to adopt appropriate and coordinated supervisory responses to
    systemic risks in all Member States) would contribute to the financial stability in the
    whole Union. This would also be consistent with the approach followed by banking
    regulation where macro-prudential supervision is framed at EU level. Finally, the scope
    of the amendments would have to be sufficiently targeted in order to ensure consistency
    with the existing instruments that have been designed as micro-prudential but may also
    have a macro-prudential relevance (e.g. the ORSA, which is the process by insurers to
    assess their exposures to all quantitative and qualitative risks, or the prudent person
    principle which requires insurers to monitor risks related to their investment activities,).
    4. OBJECTIVES: WHAT IS TO BE ACHIEVED?
    4.1. General objectives
    The review of Solvency II will aim to achieve the following general objectives:
     Increase insurers’ contribution to the long-term and sustainable financing of the
    economy;
     Enhance the protection of policyholders;
     Contribute to financial stability;
    24
    See notably measures to reduce moral hazard risk and align incentives in the Organisation of Economic
    Cooperation and Development’s paper: “Policyholder Protection Schemes: Selected Considerations”
    (2013)
    Page | 18
     Preserve the international competitiveness of the European insurance industry and
    improving the efficiency of the EU insurance industry.
    4.2. Specific objectives
    The impact assessment will consider the following five specific objectives:
     Provide incentives for insurers to long-term sustainable financing of the economy
    (hereafter “LT green financing”)
     Improve risk-sensitivity (hereafter “risk sensitivity”)
     Mitigate excessive short-term volatility in insurers’ solvency position (hereafter
    “volatility”);
     Increase proportionality of prudential rules aiming to remove unnecessary and
    unjustified administrative burden and compliance costs (hereafter
    “proportionality”)25 ;
     Enhance quality, consistency and coordination of insurance supervision across the
    EU, and improve the protection of policyholders and beneficiaries, including
    when their insurer fails (hereafter “supervision / protection against failure”);
     Better address the potential build-up of systemic risk in the insurance sector
    (hereafter “financial stability”).
    Figure 2: links between general and specific objectives
    25
    NB: we will also include the dimension of simplification as part of this specific objective as a simpler
    framework also contributes to reducing compliance costs and administrative burden.
    Page | 19
    5. WHAT ARE THE AVAILABLE POLICY OPTIONS?
    5.1. Limited incentives for insurers to contribute to the long-term financing and
    the greening of the European economy
    The “preferred policy option” may be a combination of one option in relation to the long-
    term financing of the European economy (among Options 2 or 3) and another one in
    relation to the greening of the European economy (among Options 4 and 5).
    Option label Option description
    Option 1: Do nothing This is the baseline scenario.
    Option 2: Facilitate
    long-term investments
    in equity
    Loosen eligibility criteria for the preferential treatment on
    long-term equity investments26
    , with the aim of extending the
    scope of equities that may be subject to that preferential
    treatment. This is in line with EIOPA’s general approach27
    .
    Option 3: Reduce
    capital requirements
    on all equity
    investments
    Proceed to a general decrease in capital requirements on all
    equity investments, without any restriction (no reference to
    any long-term perspective or long-term nature of the
    investment).
    Option 4: Strengthen
    “Pillar 2”
    requirements in
    relation to climate
    change and
    sustainability risks
    Strengthen the qualitative risk-management requirements to
    ensure that insurers appropriately monitor, manage and
    mitigate climate change and sustainability risks, as
    recommended by EIOPA
    Option 5: Strengthen
    “Pillar 2”
    requirements and
    incorporate climate
    change and
    sustainability risks in
    quantitative rules
    In addition to Option 4, quantitative rules would be amended
    so that they depend on the “green” nature of insurers’
    investments, i.e. all else equal, insurers investing more in
    “green” assets would have a better solvency position (i.e.
    higher capital resources over capital requirements) than
    others.
    Options discarded at an early stage
    A complement to Option 5 could have been an option where additional disclosure
    requirements in relation to climate change and environmental risks are introduced in
    Solvency II, so that external stakeholders are fully informed about the sustainability of
    insurers’ activities. However, the communication on the European Green Deal underlined
    that the Commission intends to review the Non-Financial Reporting Directive (NFRD)
    the scope of which goes beyond the insurance sector, in order to extend “green”
    disclosure requirements to all types of financial market participants through one single
    piece of legislation. Therefore, in order to avoid overlapping disclosure requirements for
    insurers in different Directives, the option of introducing specific green disclosure
    requirements for insurers is not assessed in the context of this initiative. However, should
    gaps in the disclosure requirement for the insurance sector remain after the review of
    NFRD, amendments to Solvency II rules on disclosures could be considered.
    26
    Long term equity investments are a regulatory asset class which were introduced in Solvency II in 2019.
    Investments in equity fall under this category if they meet certain criteria defined by the framework. The
    adjustments to the criteria include a simplification of the approach to demonstrate the ability of insurers to
    stick to their investments under stress, a simpler requirement in relation to how the assets and liabilities
    should be managed (removal of the so-called “ring-fencing requirement”).
    27
    Please refer to section 2.8 of EIOPA’s opinion.
    Page | 20
    In relation to amendments of quantitative requirements, an alternative or a complement to
    Option 5 could have been to amend quantitative rules so that all else equal, insurers
    investing in environmentally harmful (“brown”) assets would have a lower solvency
    position than other insurers (i.e. prudential rules would penalise “brown investments”).
    However, contrary to green assets, there is no commonly accepted European definition of
    “brown” investments. Without such a definition, it would be very challenging (if not
    impossible) to define penalising factors for brown investments and to assess the
    quantitative impact of such an option. Therefore, such an option has been discarded at
    this stage, but could be reconsidered if a taxonomy for “brown assets” were to be
    developed. In addition, a standalone approach for the insurance sector which would not
    be consistent with other financial market participants is not deemed appropriate.
    5.2. Insufficient risk sensitivity and limited ability of the framework to mitigate
    volatility of the solvency position of insurance companies
    Option label Option description
    Option 1: Do nothing. This is the baseline scenario.
    Option 2: Fix all
    technical flaws in
    relation to risk
    sensitivity and volatility
    Under this option, changes that are technically justified and
    aiming to address risk-sensitivity and/or volatility would be
    adopted, broadly in line with EIOPA’s advice:
    - To improve risk-sensitivity, incorporate negative interest
    rates in standard formula capital requirements and better
    take into account market rates used to value long-term
    insurance liabilities;
    - To reduce undue volatility, amend the long-term
    guarantee measures in order to improve the volatility-
    mitigating effect of the framework.
    Option 3: Address
    issues of risk sensitivity
    and volatility while
    balancing the
    cumulative effect of the
    changes
    Under this option, the changes presented in Option 2 would
    be implemented, subject to a phasing-in period aiming to
    smoothen the impact of the amendments over time. In
    addition, some additional measures would be taken in order
    to mitigate (part of) the long-term increase in capital
    requirements resulting from those changes28
    .
    No option was discarded at an early stage.
    5.3. Insufficient proportionality of the current prudential rules generating
    unnecessary administrative and compliance costs for small and less complex
    insurers
    In order to avoid excessive compliance costs, two elements can be combined: first, a
    further extension of the thresholds of the Directive (see Article 4) which would directly
    exclude from its mandatory scope a higher number of small insurers; second, new
    measures to reduce and simplify prudential rules for those insurers that would continue
    being in the scope of Solvency II. While the first element would address the problem of
    28
    In other words, while Option 2 is designed to maximise the objective of sound prudential framework (by
    making it more risk sensitive and improving its technical volatility-mitigating tools), Option 3 takes into
    account also the cumulative impact on capital requirements and tries to draw a trade-off between the
    objective of risk sensitivity and the one of not overburdening insurers so that they can continue to help the
    economy and the green transition and to remain competitive at international level
    Page | 21
    lack of proportionality for the smallest firms, only the second element would improve the
    application of the proportionality principle for the rest of firms, by not relying only on
    size. Therefore, only a combination of elements would allow an optimal solution.
    Option label Option description
    Option 1: Do
    nothing
    This is the baseline scenario.
    Option 2:
    Exclude a
    significant
    number of firms
    from Solvency
    II and enhance
    the
    proportionality
    principle within
    Solvency II
    Proportionality would be implemented as follows, in line with
    EIOPA’s general approach:
    - Increase significantly the thresholds of exclusion from Solvency
    II. The thresholds on risk volume would be doubled (from EUR
    25 million to EUR 50 million) in order to ensure that only the
    less risky insurers are left out of the scope of Solvency II, and the
    thresholds on revenues would be extended from EUR 5 million
    to EUR 25 million.
    - Consequently, a large number of firms would no longer have to
    apply Solvency II, but would be subject to national specific
    regimes.
    - A certain number of additional firms subject to Solvency II
    would be identified, based on criteria, as being of “low-risk
    profile” and would benefit from automatic application of all
    Solvency II proportionality measures which would be clearly
    specified in the legislation.
    Option 3: Give
    priority to
    enhancing the
    proportionality
    principle within
    Solvency II and
    make a smaller
    change to the
    exclusion
    thresholds.
    Proportionality would be implemented in the following way:
    - Less firms would be excluded from the application of Solvency
    II than under Option 2 (the thresholds on revenues would be
    multiplied by 3 instead by 5, as in Option 2)29
    . Solvency II would
    still apply to more firms than in Option 2, but a larger number of
    those firms would be classified as low-risk profile and would
    benefit from automatic application of Solvency II proportionality
    measures, which would be clearly specified in the legislation and
    extended compared to Option 2.
    - A larger number of insurers would remain in the scope of the
    European framework, but compliance costs would be
    significantly reduced for those that meet the conditions to benefit
    from proportionality measures.
    Options discarded at an early stage
    Alternative options could have been different exclusion thresholds that are lower than the
    changes proposed in Options 2 and 3. However, in view of the limited impact of such
    lower changes, those options, which were also tested by EIOPA, were discarded.
    Similarly, one could have envisaged a further increase in thresholds than the one
    proposed by EIOPA (as reflected in Option 2). However, in view of the downsides of
    Option 2 which are specified in the next section, this alternative option, which was also
    discarded by EIOPA, has not been considered in this impact assessment.
    29
    More precisely, the threshold on revenues would be multiplied by three instead of by five (i.e. from EUR
    5 million to EUR 15 million – instead of EUR 25 million like in Option 2).
    Page | 22
    5.4. Deficiencies in the supervision of (cross-border) insurance companies and
    groups, and inadequate protection of policyholders against insurers’ failures
    For the purpose of analysing this problem, different policy options will be considered in
    order to address the issues of:
    i. Inconsistent and insufficiently coordinated supervision of insurance companies
    and groups, including in relation to cross-border activities
    ii. Insufficient supervisory and resolution toolkit to address insurers’ distress
    iii. Inadequate protection of policyholders in case of failure.
    Option label Option description
    Option 1: Do nothing This is the baseline scenario.
    Option 2: Improve the
    quality of supervision by
    strengthening or clarifying
    rules on certain aspects, in
    particular in relation to
    cross-border supervision
    Under this option, the framework would be clarified and
    strengthened so as to ensure more quality and
    convergence of supervision of insurance firms and
    groups. More requirements for cooperation between
    Home and Host30
    supervisory authorities would be
    introduced, and EIOPA’s coordination role would be
    strengthened. This is in line with EIOPA’s general
    approach.
    Option 3: Introduce
    minimum harmonising
    rules to ensure that
    insurance failures can be
    better averted or managed
    in an orderly manner.
    Under this approach, minimum harmonising rules would
    be introduced, with the aim of providing public
    authorities with a toolkit to prevent and manage insurance
    failures, in particular by requiring ex ante31
    planning of
    remedial actions in case of insurers’ (near-)failures, and
    by strengthening cooperation rules between authorities.
    This is in line with EIOPA’s advice.
    Option 4: Introduce
    minimum harmonising
    rules to protect
    policyholders in the event
    of an insurer’s failure
    Under this approach, minimum harmonising rules would
    be introduced so that each Member State has to establish
    safety nets to protect policyholders when their insurer
    fails (“IGSs”). This is in line with EIOPA’s general
    approach.
    Note that due to size constraints, the policy options do not explicitly refer to topics of
    internal models, and reporting and disclosure, although those aspects fall under the issue
    of quality of supervision. The dedicated impact assessment of each of those topics is
    presented in Annex 7. In addition, Annex 5 provides a further technical analysis of the
    different features of the design of harmonised rules on insurance guarantee schemes.
    Options discarded at an early stage
    Further options which could have been considered include an EU-centralisation of
    supervision and resolution. However, in view of the outcome of the ESAs review, the
    integration of micro-prudential supervision and of resolution is not deemed politically
    mature at this stage. Similarly, a further option for policyholder protection in cases of
    failure would be the creation of a single IGS for the entire EU. This would increase the
    insurance effect of mutualisation and would thus require lower resources from the
    30
    For the purpose of this problem, the “Home” supervisory authority is the authority of the Member State
    where an insurer got its license. The “Host” supervisory authorities are the authorities of the Member
    States – other than the “Home” Member State – where an insurer is operating.
    31
    “Ex ante planning” means that the planning takes place before the adverse situations/conditions
    materialize.
    Page | 23
    insurance industry. However, a single EU-wide IGS would not be consistent with the
    existing national micro-prudential supervisory framework.
    5.5. Limited specific supervisory tools to address the potential build-up of
    systemic risk in the insurance sector
    Option label Option description
    Option 1: Do
    nothing
    This is the baseline scenario.
    Option 2: make
    targeted
    amendments to
    prevent financial
    stability
    Under this option, targeted changes would be made to the
    framework, in order to incorporate macroeconomic and macro-
    prudential considerations in requirements on insurers’ investment
    and underwriting activities, and to better monitor liquidity risk.
    Option 3:
    introduce an
    extensive
    macro-
    prudential
    framework
    An extensive macro-prudential framework would be introduced,
    which would include, in addition to the changes envisaged as part of
    Option 2, the power for supervisors to impose systemic or
    countercyclical capital buffers, or concentration limits on
    investments. This is the approach put forward by EIOPA and the
    ESRB.
    Options discarded at an early stage
    An additional consideration could have been to fully centralise macro-prudential
    supervision at European level (e.g. at the level of EIOPA or the ESRB). While such an
    approach could be effective in addressing European-wide systemic risks (as systemic
    risks do not have borders and coordination of national responses is probably needed to
    effectively preserve financial stability in the Union), this idea has been discarded as too
    far-reaching. Indeed, the macro-prudential dimension in Solvency II remains limited at
    this stage according to some stakeholders. It is therefore needed, as a first step, to
    contemplate enhancements of the current set of rules (where deemed justified) before
    considering significant changes to institutional/governance arrangements on the use and
    implementation of such new tools. In addition, in light of the limited success of the
    Commission’s attempt to strengthen the centralisation of micro-prudential supervision by
    EIOPA32
    , it would be unlikely that the centralisation of macro-prudential supervision
    would receive meaningful political support from Member States, before agreeing on the
    necessity to embed a macro-prudential dimension in Solvency II.
    6. WHAT ARE THE IMPACTS OF THE POLICY OPTIONS AND HOW DO THEY COMPARE?
    In this section, each policy option considered (other than Option 1 – “No change”) will
    be assessed against the specific objectives presented in Section 4. The baseline scenario
    (“Option 1 – no change” of each problem) will not be assessed in this section. The
    consequences of doing nothing are outlined in Section 2 of this impact assessment.
    32
    In the context of the review in 2019 of the Regulation establishing EIOPA.
    Page | 24
    6.1. Limited incentives for insurers to contribute to the long-term financing and
    the greening of the European economy
    6.1.1. Option 2: Facilitate long-term investments in equity
    Under this option, the eligibility criteria for benefiting from the preferential treatment
    applicable to “long-term equity” assets would be loosened, with the aim of expanding the
    share of equity investments that can fall under this regulatory asset class. This is the
    general approach recommended by EIOPA in its advice. The revised criteria would still
    rely on the principle that an insurer may only benefit from a preferential treatment if it is
    able to avoid forced selling under stressed conditions. Other criteria would ensure that
    insurers have a long-term perspective when making equity investments which they want
    to classify as long-term equities.
    Benefits
    Option 2 would positively contribute to remedying the lack of incentives for insurers to
    contribute to the long-term and sustainable financing of the European economy. As
    demonstrated in Sub-section 6.1.4 of the Evaluation Annex, although Solvency II is not
    the main driver of equity investments, the prudential framework can also bias insurers’
    investment behaviours. By relaxing some of the eligibility criteria for long-term
    investments in equity (while still ensuring that insurers’ policies incorporate the long-
    term perspective in their investment decisions), insurers would be able to apply the
    preferential treatment to a wider scope of equities and therefore to increase the amount of
    equity investments. In other words, facilitating long-term investments in equity would
    imply increasing insurers’ equity exposures. More capital could hence be injected in
    businesses, in particular SMEs. In addition, as the greening of the economy also requires
    stable financing, a facilitated preferential treatment for long-term investments in equity
    could also contribute to financing sustainable activities (indeed, criteria for long-term
    equities leverage on the objective of long-term investing time horizon). EIOPA has asked
    the industry to quantify the impact of one set of criteria, but its final advice goes further
    than what was tested, notably by allowing for more flexibility in the way life insurers
    may demonstrate their ability to stick to their investments. Therefore, EIOPA’s impact
    assessment (related to the initial set of criteria) provides a lower bound estimate of the
    impact of its final advice33
    . Therefore, based on those figures, Option 2 could thus result
    at least in a doubling of the number of insurance firms which are willing to use the long-
    term equity asset class, and a multiplication by almost six of the amount of equities
    eligible to a preferential treatment (from € 4.2 billion to € 26 billion). This implies that at
    least € 3 billion in capital would become available for covering capital requirements for
    further investments in equity (assuming insurers are willing to maintain their solvency
    ratio constant).
    Option 2 would also have a moderately positive impact on international
    competitiveness. Indeed, if insurers are required to establish lower buffers when
    investing in equity, they would have more free capital surplus (i.e. excess capital
    resources over capital requirements) to expand internationally. The likely beneficiaries
    would be the shareholders of insurance companies.
    Finally, Option 2 would also allow improving supervisory convergence and level-
    playing field by providing more clear-cut and unambiguous criteria to the eligibility of
    equities for the preferential treatment.
    33
    For further details on EIOPA’s impact assessment on the review of the prudential treatment of long-term
    equity investments, please refer to EIOPA’s impact assessments, from page 146 to page 160.
    Page | 25
    Costs
    EIOPA’s analysis suggests that the existing calibrations for equity are appropriate and
    that financial data do not support the preferential treatment on long-term equity
    investments which was introduced by the Commission in 2019. However, EIOPA did not
    recommend removing the long-term equity category, but concluded on the contrary that
    policyholder protection and risk sensitivity would remain at a very high level if the
    revised eligibility criteria remain sufficiently robust and clear. Therefore, Option 2 would
    have a moderate negative impact on the risk-sensitivity of the framework (i.e. only in
    relation to equity investments). While Option 2 is not aimed at addressing the issue of
    volatility, one may note that since equity can prove to be more volatile than other asset
    classes, more investments in equity (stemming from the further use of the long-term
    equity asset class) could lead to further volatility in insurers’ assets. On the other hand,
    those additional (long-term) equity investments would be possible to the extent that the
    insurer is able to stick to its investments, including under stressed conditions, and is
    therefore not exposed to short term volatility in stock markets. Option 2 could also have a
    limited but negative impact on financial stability. Indeed, insurers would have more
    incentives to invest in equity, and therefore to hold on average assets with higher risks of
    material loss in market value in a short period of time (i.e. more volatile assets). On the
    other hand, the prudential criteria would be defined in such way that supervisors have the
    assurance that insurers would not be subject to forced-selling of equities at deteriorated
    price under stressed conditions34
    . Therefore, the revised eligibility criteria would be such
    that insurers would not be likely to amplify the negative externalities of an exogenous
    shock on stock markets, as they could weather the drop in equity prices due to the long-
    term nature of their investments. On balance, it is thus expected that this option would
    not generate material systemic risk.
    In terms of implementation costs, based on a survey conducted by EIOPA, there would
    be significant one-off implementation cost of applying Option 2 in the view of about
    20% of participants to the holistic impact assessment. A similar share (24%) are of the
    view that there would be material increase in on-going compliance costs. Those costs are
    associated with updating IT systems to comply with updated requirements and trainings
    to ensure staff is aware of regulatory changes. However, as the criteria are assumed to be
    clearer than under current framework, those costs are expected to decrease relatively
    quickly over time.
    Overall assessment
    Effectiveness, efficiency and coherence: Option 2 would contribute to removing barriers
    to equity investments. Hence, it would enlarge the productive capacity of the economy35
    and thus generate welfare. It would also have a positive impact on international
    competitiveness as evoked above. Option 2 would generate limited implementation costs
    and have limited negative impact on policyholder protection and financial stability, since
    the preferential treatment would only be possible if insurers meet a set of robust
    eligibility criteria. It is also coherent with the CMU objectives which explicitly refer to
    the need to facilitate insurers’ contribution to the “re-equitisation” of the European
    34
    Insurers would have to demonstrate that they can stick to investments under stressed conditions (i.e. for
    instance that they are not exposed to forced selling under assumptions of massive surrenders, and/or that
    they could sell other liquid assets if they need to generate cash).
    35
    As explained in Sub-section 6.1.4 of the Evaluation Annex, insurers provide a lot of debt financing.
    However, in order for businesses (in particular SMEs) to expand or grow, they also need to avoid being too
    much indebted and thus need capital financing. This is all the more the case in the context of the ongoing
    Covid-19 crisis where businesses in several countries had access to grants and loans, but are now facing
    high level of indebtedness while facing strong uncertainty in terms of economic outlook.
    Page | 26
    economy, and overall does not materially affect the risk-based nature of Solvency II
    (limited negative effect). Finally, it generates a necessary condition for enabling the
    European Green Deal, as “green” assets and activities require long-term funding
    including in equity investments, although it must be understood that there is no guarantee
    that all insurers’ long term investments are “green”.
    Winners and losers: Policyholders would be “winners” to a certain extent. Indeed, despite
    limited negative impact on policyholder protection, they may benefit from the moderate
    increase in risk-taking by insurers by receiving higher returns on their life insurance
    policies as insurance companies would generate higher returns on their investments36
    . By
    being allowed to take additional risks, insurance companies can generate a higher return
    to their shareholders at limited additional costs. The impact of supervisors would also be
    positive, as the new criteria would be clearer than the existing ones, making it less
    complex to supervise insurers’ compliance with regulatory requirements. Finally,
    businesses, in particular SMEs and those conducting green activities, would benefit from
    easier access to equity funding by insurance companies.
    Stakeholder views: In the context of the Commission’s public consultation, among those
    stakeholders who expressed a view on equity financing, more than 50% of stakeholders
    consider that the current framework still includes obstacles to long-term investments.
    This is particularly the case for insurance companies (66%) and public authorities (75%).
    Only 30% of citizens/consumers/NGOs share this view, but the remaining 70%
    expressed no opinion on this question. In the context of EIOPA’s technical consultations
    on the review, the vast majority of insurance stakeholders support an alleviation of the
    criteria on long-term equity, although they may disagree on the very specific criteria that
    should be retained.
    6.1.2. Option 3: Reduce capital requirements on all equity investments
    Under this option, all capital charges on equity would be reduced37
    . Therefore, the
    average cost of investing in equity would be reduced for all insurers, without any criteria,
    and regardless of whether the investment is “long-term” or not. This option, which has
    been put forward by a few stakeholders, including public authorities in different Member
    States, would be justified by the choice of giving priority to the political objective of
    facilitating insurers’ capital financing of the economy, in accordance with the objectives
    of the Capital Markets Union Action Plan, even if the lack of evidence to justify such an
    approach would be in conflict with the primary objectives of Solvency II, namely
    policyholder protection and financial stability.
    Benefits
    Option 3 would be more effective than Options 1 and 2 in addressing the insufficient
    incentives for insurers to contribute to the long-term and sustainable financing of
    the European economy. By proceeding to a general decrease in capital requirements on
    equity regardless as to whether the investment is intended to be held for the long term or
    not, the prudential cost of investing in equity would be materially reduced, which implies
    36
    In life insurance, many insurance products are subject under national laws or contractual arrangements to
    minimum “profit sharing” mechanisms, according to which policyholders are entitled to benefit from some
    of the return on insurers’ investments. Therefore, those additional returns cannot in general be just
    distributed to shareholders through dividends.
    37
    A floor would however be set so that capital charges on equity can never go below the current most
    preferential treatment (i.e. 22% risk factor). The calculations are relying on information provided by
    EIOPA.
    Page | 27
    a larger amount of additional “free capital” which may be invested in equity38
    . EIOPA
    did not conduct any impact assessment of this option. However, on the basis of the
    quantitative data submitted by insurers to NSAs, and based on simplified assumptions,
    one can estimate that a 3 percentage point decrease in capital charges on equity frees
    about € 5 billion of capital (which could potentially be used to invest in equity)39
    . In
    principle, this additional capital could also be invested in “green” assets and therefore
    contribute to the objectives of the European Green Deal. However, as no conditionality
    would apply, there is no guarantee that capital be invested in climate-friendly activities,
    or even in equity more broadly. Option 3 would also be more effective than the previous
    options in improving EU insurers’ competitiveness at international level and thus
    benefitting insurers and their shareholders. Option 3 would free-up more capital than
    under Option 2, which could be used to expand internationally and thus generate
    additional profit for insurance companies.
    Finally, depending on the way this option is implemented, Option 3 could have a positive
    impact on the simplification of the framework. Indeed, if capital requirements on all
    equity investments were lowered to the same level regardless of their nature, this would
    materially simplify the framework by removing the existing patchwork of regulatory
    asset classes of equity investments (currently, they are at least eight different classes of
    equity investments in Solvency II).
    Costs
    Option 3 would materially reduce the risk-sensitivity of the framework. EIOPA notes
    that calibrations of capital charges on equity investments are already lower than what it
    advised when finalising the Solvency II framework before 2016. Therefore, a further
    general decrease in capital requirements on equity investments would not be justified
    based on available evidence. In addition, a general decrease of capital requirements in
    equity investments regardless of their nature (listed or unlisted equity, strategic or not
    strategic, etc.) would undermine the risk-based nature of the framework. This would also
    affect policyholder protection, by incentivising insurers to take much more risks, with a
    greater likelihood of insurance failure.
    While not aiming at affecting volatility, the expected effect of Option 3 is to dramatically
    increase insurers’ exposure to equity. As equity investments prove to be relatively more
    volatile than other asset classes, a significant increase in equity exposures would
    probably make insurers’ assets, and therefore solvency positions, materially more
    volatile.
    Option 3 would imply a deviation from the risk-based approach whereby capital
    requirements are calibrated using evidence on their riskiness. This may cause supervisory
    authorities to pursue other tools to address the potential underestimation of the risk in the
    calculation of capital requirements, such as intensified supervisory monitoring, or even a
    capital add-on or requests by the supervisory authority to calculate capital requirements
    with an internal model that models equity risk in a fully risk-based manner. In such a
    scenario, the tools chosen by supervisory authorities are likely to differ and the option
    would therefore be detrimental to the consistency and coordination of supervisory
    practices and thus undermine the Single Market for insurance services. On the other
    38
    The capital gains could also be used to invest further in any other asset class. However, it is expected the
    lower relative cost of investing in equity for a given amount of capital resources available would
    incentivise insurers to invest a larger share of their investment portfolio in equity, which are supposed to
    provide higher returns than some other asset classes (e.g. bonds).
    39
    The assumptions include the setting of a floor of 22% for capital charges on equity, and a level of
    diversification benefits in capital requirements of 45%.
    Page | 28
    hand, Option 3 would simplify the prudential framework for equity investments
    compared to the current situation where criteria for long-term equities are subject to
    interpretation40
    . Therefore, the Option 3 would allow simplifying the framework, but
    at the cost of materially increasing risk exposure by insurers.
    Option 3 would have a potential very negative impact on financial stability. By
    proceeding to a general decrease in capital requirements which would not be supported
    by quantitative evidence (but would be justified by the priority given to achieving the
    CMU objectives over the primary objectives of the Solvency II Directive), Option 3
    would provide wrong risk-management and investment incentives to insurance
    companies. The risk of excessive risk-taking (search for higher return) could generate
    bubbles and would expose insurers to sudden trend reversals in stock markets. In
    addition, Option 3 could imply windfall effects by generating an immediate broad
    increase in free capital, which could be simply used by insurers to make more dividend
    distributions to shareholders or share buy-backs instead of providing additional funding
    to the real economy. This risk is material. Option 3 would allow reducing capital
    requirements without any change in insurers’ behaviours. This would imply that without
    any change in the risk profile, the average solvency ratio could be maintained constant
    despite the level of capital resources would be reduced due to opportunistic higher
    dividend distributions. In comparison, this risk would be deemed minor in Option 2
    because in order to benefit from a capital relief, insurers would still have to revise their
    internal investment policies and change their approach to equity investments so as to
    embed long-termism in their investment decisions. They would also have to document
    their ability to stick to their investments under stressed situations (which implies that
    their solvency ratio would be sufficiently high to not be subject to forced selling of
    equities with the aim to de-risk their investment portfolio and reduce capital
    requirements). Therefore, opportunistic dividend distributions would be less likely or
    would make it more difficult for insurers to demonstrate their intention and ability to
    invest for the long term.
    As regards implementation costs, although there is no available data, as this option
    could simplify the framework, it is expected that the one-off implementation cost would
    be lower than in Option 2 (need to update IT systems) and the on-going implementation
    costs would be almost null (simplified approach compared to today).
    Overall assessment
    Effectiveness, efficiency and coherence: Option 3 would probably be the most effective
    in removing barriers to equity investments, and improving insurers’ international
    competitiveness, but at the cost of materially deteriorated policyholder protection and
    risk sensitivity and higher financial stability risks. There would also be a lack of
    coherence with the primary objective of Solvency II (policyholder protection). Also, the
    CMU Action Plan highlights that the facilitation of insurers’ long-term sustainable
    financing of the economy should not be to the detriment of financial stability.
    Winners and losers: In the short term, policyholders would probably benefit from the
    increased risk-taking by insurers by receiving higher returns on their life insurance
    policies as insurance companies would generate higher returns on their investments.
    However, in the long run, they would be the losers due to the higher risk of failure of
    their insurer. Insurers and their shareholders would be the winners as insurance
    40
    For instance, one of the criteria is that the insurer is able to avoid forced selling of equities in stressed
    situations. However, the current framework does not specify how to demonstrate that this criterion is
    fulfilled.
    Page | 29
    companies would have more free capital to invest (and therefore higher return to pay to
    shareholder) with no conditionality. On the other hand, it is clear that in the long run, if
    excessive risk taking in equity leads to an insurance failure, this would be detrimental to
    shareholders. For supervisory authorities, while this approach would probably simplify
    the supervision of compliance with regulatory requirements, this would also require more
    active supervisory dialogue with insurers in order to compensate the higher risk of failure
    stemming from potential excessive risk-taking. This would also entail the need for a
    more active macro-prudential supervision.
    Stakeholder views: The same remarks as in Option 2 apply as regards the need to bring
    changes to the prudential framework on equity. The principles embedded in Option 3
    have not been formally consulted by EIOPA. However, while it can be expected that a
    majority of insurance stakeholders would support Option 3, only a minority of
    supervisory authorities expressed interest in such an option. In addition, in the context of
    the Commission’s consultation, several stakeholders, including
    citizens/consumers/NGOs, highlighted the need to ensure that the changes brought to
    Solvency II do not generate financial stability risks (which may imply dismissing Option
    3).
    6.1.3. Option 4: Strengthen “Pillar 2” requirements in relation to climate
    change and sustainability risks
    Under this option, qualitative requirements on risk-management would be strengthened
    in order to ensure that insurers appropriately monitor, manage and mitigate climate
    change and sustainability risks as indicated by EIOPA in an opinion. While earlier
    initiatives already require insurers to take into account sustainability risk in their
    disclosures and risk management, those initiatives do not ensure that the sustainability
    risks are taken into account in insurers’ business strategy. Option 4 would imply
    integrating longer-term scenario analysis in relation to climate change in the own risk and
    solvency assessment. The own risk and solvency assessment aims, among others, to
    address risk that are not well reflected in the calculation of capital requirements and more
    generally risks that are hard to quantify, like risks related to climate change. By
    clarifying the relevance of climate change risks in the own risk and solvency assessment,
    Option 4 would ensure that those risks are taken into account in insurers’ business
    strategy. The option would also aim to ensure insurers put in place internal procedures to
    avoid overreliance on data from past events with respect to climate change-related risks.
    Further details are provided in Section 1 of Annex 8. However, no changes would be
    made to capital requirements for sustainable investments. Instead, EIOPA would for the
    first time receive a legal mandate similar to the European Banking Authority’s mandate
    in Regulation (EU) 575/2013, Article 501c, point (c). In particular, EIOPA would be
    asked to monitor the evidence on the riskiness of sustainable investments and, where
    justified, propose changes to Solvency II capital requirements.
    Benefits
    Option 4 would have a positive impact on policyholder protection and some positive
    impact on funding for the sustainable recovery of the EU. Stronger qualitative
    requirements on the management of climate and environmental risks would set incentives
    to reduce exposure to such risks on the asset and liability side of the balance sheet. As
    regards the asset side, a reduction to sustainable risks can be achieved by a shift to
    “green” investments. Furthermore, EIOPA’s work under a new mandate may provide
    evidence on lower riskiness of some or all sustainable investments. In that case, the
    Commission would be in a position to use existing empowerments for delegated acts to
    Page | 30
    amend Solvency II capital requirements accordingly. Option 4 would also have limited
    (but possibly positive) impact on the consistency and quality of supervision. The lack
    of references to sustainability risks in the Solvency II Directive may result in varying
    approaches by supervisors to sustainability risks in the own risk and solvency
    assessment, in particular since sustainability risks can materialise via more traditional
    financial risk. Further clarification of the qualitative rules could achieve better
    harmonisation.
    Finally, as indicated in Sub-Section 6.3.3 of the Evaluation Annex, EIOPA’s insurance
    stress test from 2018 suggested that there is currently only a small likelihood of systemic
    impact of natural catastrophes on the insurance sector. However, climate change may
    lead to such risk becoming systemic in the future. Likewise, the materialisation of
    transition risks and assets exposures to entire sectors of the economy possibly “stranded”
    assets may translate in systemic impacts on the insurance industry. The longer-term
    scenario analysis required under Option 4 would lead to an earlier identification of assets
    that could become stranded and a reduction of transition risks for the insurance sector.
    Option 4 would therefore have a positive impact on financial stability.
    Costs
    In terms of implementation costs, insurers would have to build up the capacity to
    comply with new qualitative requirements on sustainable risks without the ability to
    benefit from lower capital requirements. This might also result in higher costs of
    compliance with Solvency II rules, which could be passed on to consumers by increasing
    insurance premiums. In the context of previous initiatives, the costs of ESG integration
    for small entities was estimated to range from EUR 80 000 to EUR 200 000 per year (for
    buying external data, doing additional internal research, engagement with companies
    etc.)41
    . However, insurers already need to build up such or similar capacities to comply
    with other legal acts, notably the disclosure requirements under Regulation (EU)
    2019/2088 and amendments to the delegated acts under the Solvency II Directive42
    . The
    additional cost of Option 4 is therefore estimated to be significantly below that range and
    thus overall limited.
    Option 4 would have no or very limited impact on risk sensitivity, volatility and
    proportionality.
    Overall assessment
    Effectiveness, efficiency and coherence: Option 4 would improve the incentives for
    sustainable investment and the management of environmental and climate risks. Option 4
    is the most effective in the harmonisation of supervisory practices in the context of
    sustainability risks. It is of course coherent with the objectives of the European Green
    Deal.
    Winners and losers: Policyholders would benefit from a higher level of protection due to
    better management of environmental and climate risks under this option. Supervisors and
    insurance companies would be given a clearer set of rules to ensure the integration of
    environmental and climate risks.
    41
    See SWD(2018) 264, page 47 (link)
    42
    Delegated Regulation (EU) 2021/1256 amending Delegated Regulation (EU) 2015/35 as regards the
    integration of sustainability risks in the governance of insurance and reinsurance undertakings (OJ L 277,
    2.8.2021, p. 14)
    Page | 31
    Stakeholder views: During the Commission’s public consultation, respondents chose a
    contribution to the European Green Deal as the overall third most desirable objective for
    this initiative among a list of eight possible objectives. To that end, more than 70% of
    NGOs and public authorities supported strengthening “Pillar 2 requirements” in relation
    to sustainability risks.
    6.1.4. Option 5: Strengthen “Pillar 2”requirements and incorporate climate
    change and sustainability risks in quantitative rules
    Under this option, the changes to qualitative requirements as under Option 4 would be
    combined with lower capital requirement for green assets. In an analysis conducted in
    2019, EIOPA concluded that the available evidence is not sufficient to conclude that
    sustainable investments are less risky than other investments43
    . Under this option, capital
    requirements would therefore not be fully reflective of risk characteristics, but depend on
    the “green” nature of investments. With all else being equal, insurers investing more in
    “green” assets would have a better solvency position than those with a lower share of
    green assets.
    This option has been put forward by a few stakeholders and would be justified by the
    priority given to the political objective of the European Green Deal. More specifically,
    the option would aim to facilitate insurers’ financing of the transition to carbon-neutrality
    even though the lack of evidence to justify such an approach would be in conflict with
    the primary objectives of Solvency II, namely policyholder protection and financial
    stability.
    Benefits
    Option 5 would be more effective than Options 4 (as well as the baseline) in
    incentivising sustainable investments by insurers. By proceeding to a decrease in
    capital requirements, the prudential cost of sustainable investments would be materially
    reduced. As described under Option 3, insurers would be able to hold a larger volume of
    sustainable investments with the same amount of regulatory capital. But insurers could
    also maintain their asset allocation and use capital no longer tied up otherwise. Similarly
    to Option 3, Option 5 would also contribute to improving EU insurers’
    competitiveness at international level. Option 5 would free-up more capital than under
    Option 4, which could be used, among others, to expand internationally and benefit
    insurers and their shareholders.
    Costs
    As mentioned above, such changes to capital requirements might not reflect the risk
    characteristics of such investments and have a very negative impact on the risk-
    sensitivity of the framework. This would also affect policyholder protection, by
    incentivising insurers to take much more risk, with a greater likelihood of failures of
    those companies. In addition, Option 5 would imply a deviation from the risk based
    approach whereby capital requirements are calibrated using evidence on their riskiness.
    This may cause supervisory authorities to pursue other tools to address the potential
    underestimation of the risk in the calculation of capital requirements. In such a scenario,
    the tools chosen by supervisory authorities are likely to differ and the option would
    therefore be detrimental to the consistency and coordination of supervisory practices
    and thus undermine the Single Market for insurance services.
    43
    EIOPA: Opinion on Sustainability within Solvency II (EIOPA-BoS-19/241), September 2019, see in
    particular paragraphs 4.23 to 4.30.
    Page | 32
    Option 5 would also have a negative impact on financial stability. Changes to capital
    requirements which are neither evidence-based nor risk-based, provide wrong risk-
    management and investment incentives. Therefore, the option could result in too high
    overconfidence by investors and generate bubbles with respect to sustainable
    investments.
    Implementation costs are expected to be limited. Although there is no available data,
    Option 5 would require updating IT systems so that they reflect the new risk factors for
    green investments, which represents a limited one-off cost. The ongoing cost would be
    limited as the granularity of information required for computing capital requirements
    would be consistent with that required for green disclosures under other EU legislations.
    Finally, Option 5 would have a potential deadweight effect, as it would lead to a decrease
    in capital requirements with no conditionality. As such, there is no guarantee that the
    additional “free capital” would be used to provide further investments to the economy,
    and it may be an opportunity for insurers to make higher dividend distributions.
    Overall assessment
    Effectiveness, efficiency and coherence: Option 5 would be as effective as option 4 on
    the management of environmental and climate risks and it would be the most effective in
    incentivising sustainable investment. Moreover, changes in capital requirements could
    have a more immediate impact on incentivising sustainable investments than a sole
    reliance on the incentives stemming from rules on the own risk and solvency assessment
    under option 4. However, beyond investment incentives, Option 5 might result in
    negative impacts related to lower policyholder protection and increased financial stability
    risks. This option may therefore lead to economic welfare losses and contradict the two
    main objectives of Solvency II. Furthermore, it has to be noted that the European Green
    Deal states the objective of integrating climate and environmental risks into the EU
    prudential framework whereas it leaves open the outcome of the assessment of the
    suitability for green assets of capital requirements.
    Winners and losers: Under Option 5, policyholders and supervisors would be losers.
    Although in the short run policyholders may benefit from higher return on their policies
    if insures take more risks, they would suffer in the long run from a lower level of
    protection. Supervisors would be confronted with having to address a potential
    underestimation of actual risk in the calculation of capital requirements. Insurers would
    benefit from lower capital requirements for sustainable investments – and their
    shareholders may hence benefit from higher dividend distributions – but also need to
    integrate environmental and climate risks in their own risk and solvency assessment.
    Stakeholder views: In the Commission’s public consultation, many more respondents
    objected lower capital requirements for sustainable investments (around 44%) than those
    that expressed support (around 29%). The share of objecting responses is particularly
    high among the insurance industry (around 51% objecting vs. 29% supporting) and
    public authorities (75% objecting vs. 13% supporting).
    6.1.5. Choice of preferred options
    The below tables provide a high-level summary of how the previously described options
    compare (note that for the sake of readability of the tables, the labels of the options have
    been shortened).
    Page | 33
    Effectiveness
    Efficiency
    (Cost-
    effectiveness)
    Coherence
    LT green
    financing
    Risk
    sensitivity
    Volati-
    lity
    Propor-
    tionality
    Supervision -
    protection
    against
    failures
    Financial
    stability
    Option 1 – Do nothing 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
    Option 2 – Facilitate
    long-term investments in
    equity
    ++ - 0 0 + - ++ ++
    Option 3 – Reduce capital
    requirements on all
    equities
    +++ --- 0 + - --- -- --
    Option 4 – Strengthen
    “pillar 2 requirements”
    in relation to climate risks
    + 044
    - 0 + ++ + ++
    Option 5 – Integrate
    climate risks in both
    “pillar 2” and
    quantitative rules
    ++ -- -- 0 -- -- -- -
    Summary of winners and losers
    Insurers Policyholders Supervisory authorities
    Option 1 0 0 0
    Option 2 ++ +/- +
    Option 3 +++ -- +
    Option 4 - +++ +
    Option 5 +/- +/- +/-
    Legend: +++ = Very positive++ = Positive + = Slightly positive +/- = Mixed effect
    0 = no effect - = Slightly negative -- = Negative --- = very negative
    In relation to long-term equity financing, Option 2 appears to be the most suitable option.
    While Option 3 would be more effective in fostering long-term financing of the
    economy, it would be at the cost of material reductions in policyholder protection, risk
    sensitivity and of higher risks to financial stability. On the contrary, Option 2 would have
    a lower impact on investment behaviour but generate limited side effects on policyholder
    protection and financial stability, while having a meaningful impact45
    .
    In relation to the greening and the sustainable financing of the economy, while Option 5
    seems to be the most effective in achieving the objective, it would have similar negative
    side effects on policyholder protection, risk sensitivity and financial stability. On the
    contrary, Option 4, while providing less incentives, would improve the way insurers
    incorporate sustainability and climate change risks in their underwriting and investment
    activities. In addition, it would have either a positive or a neutral impact on all specific
    objectives of this review.
    The combination of Option 2 and Option 4 allows addressing the problems without
    generating undue costs or redundancies. Indeed, Option 2 would provide positive
    incentives for insurers to have a longer-term perspective when making equity
    investments, while Option 4 would ensure that climate change and sustainability
    considerations are fully incorporated in insurers’ processes. Therefore, the combination
    44
    While Option 4 has a positive impact on policyholder protection, it is not deemed to have a positive
    impact on the specific objective of risk-sensitivity as referred to in section 2.2.
    45
    As a reminder, as EIOPA’s set of criteria in its final Opinion differs from the ones tested as part of the
    data collection exercises, the estimate of the quantitative impact only provides a lower boundary of the real
    impact of EIOPA’s proposal (and therefore of Option 2).
    Page | 34
    of the two options would facilitate insurers’ contribution to the long-term and sustainable
    financing of the economy. Each option taken individually would however not be
    sufficient. Indeed, even if Option 2 can contribute to the greening of the economy, asset
    classes other than equity can be “green investments” but would not benefit from Option
    2. Reciprocally, incorporating climate change risks in investment decisions neither
    guarantees that insurers refrain from making shorter-term investments (and therefore
    from not providing sufficiently stable funding to the real economy), nor removes
    obstacles to equity investments generated by prudential rules. In particular, some studies
    suggest that capital financing is more effective than debt financing in achieving a
    reduction of greenhouse gas emissions46
    . The combination of Options 2 and 4 would
    ensure that insurers face no prudential obstacles to the provision of long-term funding to
    SMEs and that they appropriately value the long-term added value of investing in green
    assets.
    For all those reasons, the preferred options to address Problem 1 are Option 2
    (Facilitate long-term investments in equity) and Option 4 (Strengthen “Pillar 2”
    requirements in relation to climate change and sustainability risks).
    6.2. Insufficient risk sensitivity and limited ability of the framework to mitigate
    volatility of the solvency position of insurance companies
    6.2.1. Option 2: Fix all technical flaws in relation to risk sensitivity and
    volatility
    Under this option, all changes that are technically justified and aiming to address the lack
    of risk-sensitivity and the excessive volatility would be adopted:
     In relation to risk sensitivity, in line with EIOPA’s advice, Solvency II would be
    amended to ensure that the protracted low interest rate environment is
    appropriately reflected in capital requirements (allowance for interest rates to
    become negative in quantitative rules) and in the valuation of long-term insurance
    liabilities.
     In relation to volatility, the long-term guarantee measures (in particular, the
    volatility adjustment) would be amended so as to ensure that short-term volatility
    in credit spreads which does not reflect economic fundamentals (i.e. the part of
    volatility corresponding to “irrational” market movements)47
    does not result in
    excessive volatility in solvency ratios, but also that there is no “over-shooting
    effect” (i.e. that the adjustments do not result in the insurer being “better off”
    during crises than under normal conditions).
    Benefits
    Option 2 would by nature significantly improve risk-sensitivity of the framework and
    reduce its volatility. The integration of negative interest rates in standard formula capital
    requirements would imply that insurers have to address a risk, which amounts
    approximately € 20 billion48
    . This additional risk sensitivity would therefore improve
    policyholder protection. Option 2 could also be very efficient in enhancing the
    46
    See e.g. Ralph De Haas, Alexander Popov: Finance and carbon emissions, ECB Working Paper Series,
    No 2318 / September 2019 (link).
    47
    Solvency II distinguishes two components of credit spreads. The part corresponding economic
    fundamentals (risk of default and cost of downgrade) should not be compensated as this is a real risk for
    insurers. The rest, which corresponds to “short-term” or “irrational” market movements in spreads, could
    be subject to compensation in view of the long-term nature of insurance liabilities. The volatility
    adjustment aims to mitigate the effect of that second component of spreads on insurers’ solvency.
    48
    Source: Page 54 of EIOPA’s impact assessment.
    Page | 35
    volatility-mitigating effect of the long-term guarantee measures for insurers located in
    Southern countries with higher spreads. As explained in Sub-section 6.1.1 of the
    Evaluation Annex, insurers’ bond portfolio is subject to a Home Bias, i.e. they mainly
    invest in bonds of their Home Member State. When such a Member State is subject to
    more volatile spread movements that the rest of the Euro Areas, the sole “currency
    volatility adjustment” (i.e. the one applicable to all euro-denominated liabilities) is not be
    sufficient in mitigating spread volatility. Actually, EIOPA’s proposals would allow
    triggering more frequently a “country-specific” adjustment, which aims to capture spread
    crises arising in certain Member states and not in the whole Euro area. According to
    EIOPA’s assessment, applying retroactively the proposed amendments during the period
    from 2007 to 2019, insurers would have resulted in a more frequent and more significant
    adjustment than under current rules:
    Greece Italy Spain Portugal
    Number of quarters where the country adjustment is
    triggered under current rules
    26 3 6 12
    Number of quarters where the country adjustment is
    triggered under new rules
    29 15 19 14
    Average increase in the level of the adjustment between
    current rules and Option 2 (the higher the percentage, the
    higher the volatility mitigating effect)
    +40% +35% +59% +78%
    Option 2 would also achieve reducing “overshooting effects” described in the same Sub-
    section of the Evaluation Annex, i.e. the fact that in some cases, under crisis situations,
    the volatility adjustment “over-compensates” the negative effect of increases in credit
    spreads, leading to an undue improvement in insurers’ solvency position under stressed
    environments. Following EIOPA’s advice, Option 2 would reduce that risk, by
    decreasing the level of the volatility adjustment where such risks are most likely to
    occur49
    . For instance, a reduction factor of 56% would be applied on average to the
    volatility adjustment in Netherlands to prevent this risk.
    Option 2 would have a positive impact on financial stability for two reasons. First, by
    better reflecting the risk of low interest rates, it would reduce incentives for excessive
    search-for-yield behaviours and ensure that there is no widespread underestimation of
    insurers’ liabilities towards policyholders. Indeed, insurers would have to set aside more
    capital in case of risky asset-liability management (i.e. if there is a significant duration
    mismatch) and the level of their liabilities towards policyholders would better reflect the
    low-yield environment so that there is no overestimation of insurers’ own funds. In
    addition, by ensuring a lower volatility of the framework, Option 2 would reduce the risk
    of procyclical behaviours (e.g. the risk of wide-spread fire-sale of risky assets at
    depressed prices during down cycles).
    Costs
    Option 2 would overall have a negative effect on the ability of insurers to provide
    long-term and sustainable financing to the European economy. Although it would
    reduce volatility, Option 2 would also lead to an immediate material increase in capital
    requirements. According to Commission services’ calculations based on EIOPA’s impact
    assessment report:
    - If applied at the end of 2019, Option 2 would lead to a decrease in solvency ratios
    by 13 percentage points (from 247% to 234%). This still represents a decrease in
    49
    There are different sources of “overshooting”, but one of them occurs when insurers’ own are more
    sensitive to spread variations than insurers’ liabilities. Option 2 would be designed in such a way that it
    reduces the level of the volatility adjustment in such situations.
    Page | 36
    “free surplus capital” of €15 billion for the sample of insurers which participated
    to the data collection exercise (decrease of approximately 5% in the surplus). If
    scaled up to the whole market, EIOPA estimates that the impact would be a
    decrease in capital surplus of EUR 18 billion.
    - If applied at the end of the second quarter of 2020, when interest rates were even
    lower, the decrease in solvency ratio would be of 22 percentage points (from
    226% to 204%), but 35 percentage points for life insurers (from 223% to 188%).
    This represents a decrease in available surplus for insurers which participated to
    the data collection exercises by EIOPA of approximately EUR 40 billion
    (approximately -11%), largely concentrated on life insurers. If scaled up to the
    whole market, EIOPA estimates that the impact would be a decrease in capital
    surplus of EUR 55 billion. The situation widely varies between Member state:
    Some countries overall benefit from the technical changes (e.g. Cyprus, Spain,
    Malta and Latvia), but others are materially affected (with more than 25
    percentage points decrease in solvency ratios in Austria, Germany, Netherlands,
    and Norway).
    Indeed, despite the revision of the features of the volatility adjustment, which allows
    improving free capital in mid-2020 by € 13 billion, as well as other technical changes
    improving solvency ratios50
    , the reflection of negative interest rates in capital
    requirements and the valuation of insurance liabilities towards policyholders generates a
    € 81 billion decrease in available capital surplus at EEA level.
    One could argue that a more stable solvency ratio could still facilitate insurers’ long-term
    investments by allowing for more stability and foreseeability. However, the material
    reduction in free excess capital to make additional investments is such that it would
    overall be detrimental to achieving the objective of long-term sustainable financing of the
    European economy. This deterioration in solvency ratios would amplify the deterioration
    stemming from the ongoing Covid-19 crisis. Option 2 would also be detrimental to the
    international competitiveness of the European insurance industry as a lower amount of
    available capital offers less opportunities for insurers to expand their business
    internationally.
    Similarly, lower volatility would on its own have a positive impact on insurers’ ability to
    make long-term investments and to offer products with long-term guarantees. However,
    the material increase in capital requirements that would also stem from Option 2 would
    imply that insurers have a lower ability to offer life and pension insurance products with
    guarantees, which are still highly appreciated by insurers, as such products generate more
    capital requirements. Insurers would be incentivised to shift risks to policyholders (via
    unit-linked products) and as such would act more as asset managers rather than as “risk
    managers”.
    Overall, Option 2 would make the framework more complex for all insurers in the
    scope of Solvency II. For instance, the level of the volatility adjustment is currently
    determined centrally by the Commission, based on inputs provided by EIOPA. Under
    EIOPA’s revised approach, the level of the adjustment would depend on insurers’
    characteristics (for instance, insurers would have to quantify the sensitivity of their assets
    and liabilities to changes in spread levels). EIOPA’s proposals also imply that each
    insurer would have to establish a typology of insurance liabilities in order to determine
    the level of the volatility adjustment. This additional burden generates disincentives for
    insurers to apply this adjustment, which is easy to use under current rules, and this could
    50
    + EUR 23 billion due to revised approaches to calculate the risk margin, and revised assumptions on
    correlations between the different risks that insurers are facing.
    Page | 37
    have a negative effect on the volatility of their solvency ratios if they are deterred from
    applying the new volatility adjustment. The introduction of a new method for the
    valuation of insurers’ long-term liabilities could also increase complexity.
    However, based on EIOPA’s survey, depending on the specific change considered within
    Option 2, implementation costs seem to be moderate. Indeed, between 11% and 39% of
    respondents consider that there would be a significant one-off implementation cost, and
    between 7% and 33% think that there would be significant on-going costs. However, one
    has to note that this survey covered the largest insurers in each national market, possibly
    biasing the answers. Almost half of supervisory authorities estimate that they would also
    face significant one-off cost stemming from Option 2 (according to a survey included in
    EIOPA’s impact assessment), and 43% of them consider that the ongoing costs would
    remain significantly higher than under current rules.
    Option 2 would have limited (but possibly negative) impact in improving the
    consistency of supervision. The increased complexity of the framework may require
    more supervisory discretion and expert judgement, with possible divergences in the
    application of the rules. This would require EIOPA to use its “soft convergence tools” to
    ensure a harmonised implementation of the rules. Ability of supervisors to ensure
    compliance with new rules would require more on-site inspections, and the effectiveness
    of the supervision of new rules would therefore depend on public authorities’ resources
    to allocate to such on-site activities.
    Overall assessment
    Effectiveness, efficiency and coherence: Option 2 would be effective in improving the
    risk sensitivity and mitigating the volatility of the framework. It would also materially
    improve the level of policyholder protection and financial stability, by ensuring that the
    solvency position of insurers appropriately takes into account all risks that they are
    facing, and reflect the new low-yield environment. However, Option 2 would imply high
    capital cost as insurers would be subject to significantly higher capital requirements.
    Lower free capital available for insurers implies a lower ability to contribute to the long-
    term financing of the economy and makes it more challenging to offer insurance products
    that meet consumers’ demand (in particular, long-term life and pension insurance
    products with a certain level of guarantees). While insurers’ average solvency ratio
    would remain largely above what is required by quantitative rules (above 200% even if
    we apply Option 2)51
    , they may still be under pressure by financial markets participants
    to issue new capital and debt instruments (for instance in order to maintain their credit
    rating). At this stage, and due to the low-yield environment, access to capital markets can
    be done at low cost, but there is no guarantee that such favourable conditions would
    persist in the long run. Option 2 would also make the framework more complex. By
    deteriorating the international competitiveness of the EU insurance industry, this would
    also contradict the objectives set out in the CMU Action Plan of a balanced review.
    Therefore, while Option 2 is fully coherent with the primary objectives of Solvency II
    (policyholder protection and financial stability), it conflicts with other political objectives
    of the Union.
    51
    The actual impact on the changes on each individual changes may widely vary, also taking into account
    the current solvency ratios. By the end of 2019 and by mid-2020, only 10% of insurers that are reporting on
    a quarterly basis had a ratio, which is lower than 140%. If implemented at the end of 2019, Option 2 would
    not have led to any breach in solvency ratios according to EIOPA’s impact assessment (p.46). If
    implemented during the Covid-19 crisis in mid-2020, EIOPA indicates that five life companies would not
    comply with their solvency capital requirements. However, none of them would breach the “minimum
    capital requirement”, and there would therefore have no risk that they lose their license.
    Page | 38
    Winners and losers: The effect on policyholders is unclear: They would benefit from an
    improved level of policyholder protection, but, as explained above, would experience the
    negative impact of reduced access to insurance products that meet consumers’ demand.
    In particular, insurers would be incentivized to further shift risks to policyholders, which
    implies that they depart from their role of “risk managers” and behave more as asset
    managers. Insurers would be materially affected due to the material deterioration in their
    solvency ratios, despite the reduced volatility of the framework stemming from Option 2.
    Their ability to generate return to shareholders and to expand internationally would be
    reduced. Finally, the situation is mixed for supervisors, which would have more comfort
    in the ability of the framework to protect policyholders and prevent systemic risk, but at
    the cost of more complexity (therefore more difficulties in ensuring an appropriate and
    harmonized supervision of compliance with regulatory requirement).
    Stakeholder views: If we exclude those who did not express an opinion, 78% of
    participants to the Commission’s public consultation believe that the framework does not
    appropriately mitigate volatility and 64% that it generates procyclical behaviours. This is
    the majority view among insurance stakeholders and citizens/consumers/NGOs. Views
    are more split among supervisory authorities where only 50% of respondents indicate
    that the framework does not appropriately address volatility and 38% that it generates
    procyclical behaviours. As regards risk sensitivity, EIOPA’s technical consultations
    confirm that a vast majority of (insurance) stakeholders concur with the view that the
    current framework does not appropriately reflect the risk of negative interest rates in
    capital requirements, although views are more split regarding the technical approach to
    address this issue. Most stakeholders also believe that the review of Solvency II should
    lead to a balanced outcome in terms of quantitative requirements. Therefore, as Option 2
    addresses the identified issues, but at the cost of significantly higher capital requirements,
    such an option would receive very limited if not hardly any support from stakeholders.
    6.2.2. Option 3: Address issues of risk sensitivity and volatility while balancing
    the cumulative effect of the changes
    Under Option 3, the changes envisaged under Option 2 would be phased in over a certain
    period of time, to limit their immediate negative impact on quantitative requirements. In
    particular, changes on interest rates would be only progressively introduced over a period
    of at least 5 years. In addition, some additional measures (notably in relation to the so-
    called “risk margin”) and small modifications to the design of the volatility adjustment
    (in order to slightly increase its level and simplify its functioning52
    ) would be taken in
    order to mitigate (part of) the long-term increase in capital requirements resulting from
    those changes. While the final outcome depends on the effective calibration of the
    different parameters53
    , the working assumption under this approach is that the average
    level of quantitative requirements at EEA level would be materially reduced in the short
    term (as the changes with a positive impact would be implemented immediately whereas
    those with a negative impact would only gradually apply). In the longer run, the level of
    52
    In a nutshell, compared to EIOPA’s approach, the volatility adjustment would not include a “reduction
    factor” to account for the features of liabilities (whether they are predictable or not). A brief outline of the
    reasons for removing such a factor is provided in Section 2 of Annex 8. Removing this reduction factor
    would reduce insurers’ liabilities towards policyholders and therefore release between € 5-10 billion of
    additional “free capital”.
    53
    In particular, the Commission services are considering implementing the amendments on interest rate
    risk in a slightly different manner from what EIOPA proposed, so that the approach to stressing the risk
    free interest rate curve is more in line with the approach used to derive the regular risk free interest rate
    curve. For the purpose of quantifying the impact of Option 3, this revised approach will be taken into
    account.
    Page | 39
    quantitative requirements at EEA level would remain lower than under current rules,
    although the framework would allow for a better risk attribution. The extent of this
    decrease depends on market conditions.
    Benefits
    Option 3 would have a positive impact on the ability of insurers to provide long-term
    and sustainable financing to the European economy over time. The reduced volatility
    of the framework would incentivise long-termism in underwriting and investment
    decisions by insurers. In addition, as the overall impact of the review in terms of
    quantitative requirements would be more than balanced at EU level (insurers’ own funds
    in excess of capital requirements would increase54
    ), there would be limited impact on
    insurers’ ability invest in the real economy, and this limited impact would in any case not
    offset the positive effect of reduced volatility55
    . In addition, the progressive
    implementation of the changes with very negative impact would actually lead in the short
    term to a very significant improvement in the solvency position of insurers, which
    releases capital (up to € 90 billion of additional capital resources in excess of capital
    requirements) to provide financing to the economic recovery of the EU. However, there
    is no guarantee that such capital relief is not used by insurers to reduce their level of
    capital by making additional dividend distributions or proceeding to share buy-backs.
    Taking into account the incremental implementation on the changes on interest rates, the
    insurance sector would start with an increase in capital resources in excess of capital
    requirements of up to € 90 billion56
    immediately after the review compared to capital
    resources under current rules (assuming similar economic conditions as at the end of
    second quarter of 2020). While the sector’s capital resources would increase during the
    most important period for the post-Covid economic recovery, this increase in capital
    resources would reduce during every year of the phasing in period. At the end of the
    phasing in period, Option 3 would still maintain an estimated increase in capital
    resources by € 30 billion in an economic environment similar to that at end of 2019. If
    the economic environment is similar to that at the end of mid-2020, Options 3 would
    lead to a € 16 billion increase in capital resources in excess of capital requirements
    (whereas under EIOPA’s advice – as described in Option 2 – capital resources in excess
    of capital requirements would decrease by € 55 billion)57
    .
    Option 3 would by nature significantly mitigate undue volatility. It would also
    improve risk sensitivity, but only in the long term, in view of the phasing-in approach
    to the implementation of the changes. Therefore, in the short term, the improvement in
    risk-sensitivity would remain very limited. Moreover, the additional “counterbalancing”
    measures (e.g. revision of some parameters underlying the risk margin calculation) that
    54
    It is more difficult to assess the impact in terms of solvency ratios. However, the Commission services
    estimate that Option 3 would not change solvency ratios by more than a few percentage points on average
    at EEU level
    55
    This is different from Option 2 where the increase in capital requirements is significant, and this impact
    offsets the benefit of mitigated volatility.
    56
    See next table for further details. Under market conditions similar to those at the end of the second
    quarter of 2020, the overall impact of the proposed changes would be +8 billion for the sample. By phasing
    in the changes on interest rates which will eventually increase capital requirement by € 73 billion, Option 3
    would generate a short-term capital relief of +€ 81 billion for the sample. When extrapolating this figure to
    the whole EU market, we end up with a capital relief of more than € 90 billion. Source: Commission
    services’ calculations on the basis of data and analysis provided by EIOPA.
    57
    Actually, by the end of the phasing-in period, the capital relief is expected to be even higher, as the
    volume of generally older insurance policies with high guaranteed rates will eventually be replaced by
    newer business, which typically has less generous guarantees. This implies that when fully implemented,
    the amendments on interest rates will be less impactful than if they were fully applied immediately.
    Page | 40
    would be taken in order to mitigate the negative impact from the other changes aimed to
    improve risk sensitivity would lead to a slightly lower level of prudence compared to
    Option 2. In other words, Option 3 would be less conservative than Option 2 in very
    targeted areas. Those changes would be justified by the greater emphasis on the objective
    of preserving international competitiveness of the European insurance industry than in
    Option 258
    , even if that leads to a slightly lower level of policyholder protection in
    comparison with Option 2. Still, the revised calibrations would remain justified to a
    certain extent by quantitative evidence59
    , although the limited robustness of that evidence
    could also have justified not lowering some parameters. In addition, it should be
    underlined that Option 3 is a clear improvement in policyholder protection and risk
    sensitivity in comparison with the baseline scenario. While the overall level capital
    requirements would decrease compared to the baseline, Option 3 allows for a better risk
    attribution by acknowledging the materiality of risks in relation to interest rates, while
    adapting other components of the framework where it could be argued that the current set
    of rules is overly prudent.
    Finally, Option 3 would have a positive impact on financial stability, although less
    immediate and less material than in Option 2. Indeed, the choice of making
    “compensating changes” to counterbalance the negative impact of the amendments
    stemming from Option 2 would make the disincentives against excessive risk taking less
    effective than under the previous option, while still having a positive impact compared to
    the status quo (baseline – Option 1). In addition, the phasing-in of the changes on risk
    sensitivity implies that financial stability risks remain until the amendments are fully
    implemented (possibility to understate the impact of the low-yield environment in the
    short term). Still, in the long run, the preservation of financial stability would be
    improved, all the more that the reduction in the volatility of the framework would avoid
    procyclical behaviours.
    In summary, the below table provides the comparative impacts of Options 2 and 3, for
    the sample of insurers which participated to the data collection exercise by EIOPA. Note
    that the previous blue box provided the estimated cumulative impact of all changes for
    the whole market.
    58
    As a reminder, Option 2 would have a very negative effect on insurers’ international competitiveness.
    59
    In particular, the protracted low yield environment could justify a decrease in the assumption of “cost-of-
    capital rate” which is an input to the calculation of the risk margin, as also requested by the insurance
    industry. This parameter is currently set at 6% but has not been revised since 2014. The low-yield
    environment makes it reasonable to decrease this factor down to 5%. In view of the limited evidence, a
    further decrease would however not be justified, and has therefore been discarded. Similarly, EIOPA
    introduces a new “lambda factor” in the calculation of the risk margin which aims at reducing the size of
    this item for long-term business. However, EIOPA introduces a cap to the extent of the reduction (50%
    maximum). However, EIOPA does not provide concrete justification for this cap, which is penalizing long-
    term businesses. Therefore, the Commission services recommend not introducing such a cap..
    Page | 41
    Driver
    Impact assessment of Option 2 and Option 3 (in EUR billion)
    Negative figures mean that insurers’ capital resources deteriorate
    Fourth quarter of 2019 Second quarter of 2020
    Option 2 Option 3 Difference Option 2 Option 3 Difference
    Changes on
    interest rates
    -55 -48 7 -81 -73 8
    Volatility
    adjustment
    16 28 12 13 45 29
    Risk margin 16 28 12 18 30 12
    Other 8 8 -/- 10 10 -/-
    Total - 15 + 16 + 31 - 40 + 8 + 48
    Based on those figures, we can note that on average, there would be no immediate need
    for capital increases by insurers. While the quantitative impact would remain contained,
    Option 3 would lead to a material improvement compared to the baseline, by allowing for
    a better risk attribution (i.e. by laying more emphasis on interest rate risk, like in Option
    2). The “compensating measures”, which are further explained in Section 3 of Annex 8,
    are not materially affecting risk sensitivity or financial stability, as they can be
    technically justified to a certain extent and imply removing layers of prudence in other
    areas of the current framework, which may be deemed excessive. The Commission
    services have not considered changes, which would not be justified by any quantitative
    evidence, as this would go against the primary objective of improving risk sensitivity. In
    conclusion, the difference with Option 2 in terms of improved risk sensitivity and
    financial stability is deemed limited in the long run (once the full impact of the changes
    are implemented).
    Costs
    Like Option 2, Option 3 would make the framework more complex for all insurers.
    However, as the volatility adjustment would be simplified in comparison with Option 2,
    Option 3 would have a less negative impact than Option 2. The “compensating”
    measures introduced in Option 3 may also slightly increase implementation costs
    compared to Option 2, although the difference is expected to be minimal. Indeed, the
    approach during the transitional period would be similar to the one during the permanent
    regime (e.g. instead of taking the full impact of the negative interest rates in the first year,
    insurers would only take one fifth of that impact; the next year insurers would take two
    fifths, and so on). Finally, the phasing-in period implies updating information system
    every year until the fully-fledged changes are made. Therefore Option 3 would generate
    moderate implementation costs.
    Like Option 2, Option 3 would have limited (but possibly negative) impact in
    improving the consistency of supervision, due to the increased complexity of the
    changes introduced and the need to maintain consistency as regards the timing of the
    gradual adjustments. As Option 3 would also streamline some of the technical
    adjustments (which are deemed too burdensome while bringing limited added value from
    a technical standpoint60
    ), it would be slightly less complex than Option 2, and the risk of
    diverging supervisory practices would be slightly lower.
    Finally, as explained above, Option 3 postpones to the medium term the appropriate
    improvement on risk sensitivity and financial stability as the amendments with a negative
    60
    See Section 2 of Annex 8 to have further details on the streamlining of the volatility adjustment.
    Page | 42
    impact would only be gradually implemented. Therefore, in the short term, the ability of
    Option 3 to address the problem of insufficient risk sensitivity is limited. In addition, the
    moderate but negative effect of Option 3 on long-term solvency ratios is more than offset
    by the benefits in terms of reduced volatility. Therefore, overall, Option 3 does not have
    a negative effect on long-term financing and on international competitiveness.
    Overall assessment
    Effectiveness, efficiency and coherence: Option 3 would be effective in improving the
    risk sensitivity and in mitigating the volatility of the framework. It would be also more
    efficient than Option 2, by avoiding significantly negative impact on insurers’
    competitiveness and on financial stability, and by smoothing any remaining negative
    impact over time. While policyholder protection would be slightly lower than in Option
    2, it would be much improved compared to the baseline. In addition, the identified
    adaptations compared to Option 2 would still have a technical basis as modifications that
    could not be backed by any quantitative evidence have been discarded. As such, Option 3
    is broadly coherent with the primary objectives of Solvency II (policyholder protection
    and financial stability) and would not hinder – and actually would even contribute to –
    other policy objectives such as facilitating the long-term and sustainable financing of the
    European economy.
    Winners and losers: Policyholder protection would be improved. While the level of
    policyholder protection would be slightly lower than in Option 2, Option 3 would largely
    preserve insurers’ ability to supply insurance products with guarantees that meet
    consumer demands. Therefore, the benefits for consumers has to be weighed against the
    slight reduction in policyholder protection compared to Option 2. Insurers would benefit
    from with mitigated volatility and greater ability to make long-term decisions, despite the
    tighter rules on interest rates (which are however largely counterbalanced by other
    adaptations). Still, they would have to cope with a more complex framework. The
    potential moderate increase in overall requirements may also reduce insurers’ ability to
    make dividend distributions, although insurers’ solvency ratios would remain on average
    above 200% under Option 3. Finally, the supervision of compliance with regulatory
    requirements would be more complex than under current rules, also taking into account
    that during the “transitional phase” the actual risks may still not be fully measures in
    quantitative rules with limited ability to intervene in case of concern.
    Stakeholder views: As already explained when discussing Option 2, a majority of
    stakeholders would support an approach aiming to mitigate volatility and to improve risk
    sensitivity, while avoiding material increases in capital requirements. Therefore, among
    the three options, Option 3 would probably receive greatest support from stakeholders.
    Note that insurers would call for more radical changes to the framework to reduce the
    level of capital requirements and improve their competitiveness. However, this would go
    against the primary objective of policyholder protection, and such changes would not be
    justified. Supervisory authorities would have to cope with a more robust but more
    complex framework, and they would have less assurance than in Option 2 that the
    framework is achieving an appropriate level of policyholder protection. Still, most
    supervisors support the principle of a “phasing-in” although they would not support a too
    long transitional period. The “accommodating measures” (compared to Option 2) are
    consistent with various stakeholders’ requests (insurance industry, several public
    authorities, etc.), although they have not been put forward by EIOPA in its final opinion.
    Page | 43
    6.2.3. Choice of the preferred option
    The below tables provides a high-level summary of how the previously described options
    compare (note that for the sake of readability of the tables, the labels of the Options have
    been shortened).
    Effectiveness
    Efficiency
    (Cost-
    effectiveness)
    Coherence
    LT green
    financing
    Risk
    sensitivity
    Volati-
    lity
    Propor-
    tionality
    Supervision -
    protection
    against
    failures
    Financial
    stability
    Option 1 –Do nothing 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
    Option 2 – Fix all technical
    flaws
    -- +++ +++ - - +++ --- ---
    Option 3 – Address issues of
    risk sensitivity/volatility
    while balancing the
    cumulative effect
    +++ ++ +++ - - ++ ++ ++
    Summary of winners and losers
    Insurers Policyholders Supervisory authorities
    Option 1 0 0 0
    Option 2 -- +++ +/-
    Option 3 + ++ -
    Legend: +++ = Very positive++ = Positive + = Slightly positive +/- = Mixed effect
    0 = no effect - = Slightly negative -- = Negative --- = very negative
    Option 2 would be the most effective in addressing issues related to insufficient risk
    sensitivity and excessive volatility. The benefits in terms of policyholder protection and
    financial stability would however be compensated by the highly negative impact on
    insurers’ competitiveness and ability to provide long-term sustainable financing to the
    economy. Therefore, there is a trade-off to be made between Option 2 that achieves
    policyholder protection and Option 3, which, while being less effective in policyholder
    protection than Option 2, would not materially harm any other specific objective. In view
    of the high political priority of the review to facilitate insurers’ contributions to the
    completion of the CMU and the European Green Deal, Option 3 is deemed more
    appropriate in achieving the right balance between technical robustness, policyholder
    protection, and the preservation of insurers’ ability to finance the economic recovery.
    The preferred option to address Problem 2 is Option 3 (Address issues of risk
    sensitivity and volatility while balancing the cumulative effect of the changes)61.
    6.3. Insufficient proportionality of the current prudential rules generating
    unnecessary administrative and compliance costs for small and less complex
    insurers
    6.3.1. Option 2: Exclude a significant number of firms from Solvency II and
    enhance the proportionality principle within Solvency II
    This option follows EIOPA’s advice, which proposes a significant increase in the size
    thresholds below which insurers are excluded from the scope of mandatory application of
    61
    Please refer to Sections 2 and 3 of Annex 8 for further details on the approach to reducing volatility and
    to ensuring a “balanced” approach to the review in terms of capital requirements.
    Page | 44
    Solvency II. Therefore, a number of insurers currently in the scope of the European
    framework would no longer be subject to this regime, but instead to national-specific
    regimes. More precisely, Option 2 would imply:
     doubling the threshold on insurers’ liabilities towards policyholders: from € 25
    million to € 50 million;
     leaving the discretion for Member States to set the threshold on gross written
    premiums between € 5 million (current threshold) and € 25 million62.
    The rationale behind EIOPA’s approach is to consider that insurers’ liabilities towards
    policyholders are a first line of defense of policyholder protection. Therefore, a change in
    the threshold in this area needs to be carefully considered. On the contrary, EIOPA is of
    the view that there is less risk in granting more flexibility to Member States in relation to
    business revenues (gross-written premiums) which is not a measurement of risk
    exposure.
    Furthermore, EOPA advises to set up a preferential treatment, in terms of proportionality,
    for firms complying with a list of criteria defined in the framework. Based on seven
    criteria63
    (only one of them related to size), “low-risk profile” insurers would benefit
    from automatic application of several Solvency II proportionality measures, which would
    be clearly specified in the legislation. Additional simplifications would also apply to
    certain types of insurers, notably insurance captives (i.e. insurance companies established
    by an industrial or commercial group to provide coverage for itself).
    Finally, Option 2 would mandate EIOPA to publish an annual report on the application
    of the proportionality principle across the EU.
    Benefits
    By reducing the mandatory scope of application of Solvency II, Option 2 would result in
    a material reduction in compliance and capital costs for insurers that are newly excluded,
    as it is expected that national rules are less stringent in terms of reporting rules64
    . Based
    on EIOPA’s impact assessment, 228 out of 2525 EEA insurance companies (i.e. 9% of
    all insurers that are currently in the scope of Solvency II) would be excluded from the
    scope of the European framework under Option 2. It should be noted that as the threshold
    related to revenues is subject to national discretion up to € 25 million, Member States,
    would be able to retain a lower limit (or even apply Solvency II to all insurers, as it is
    currently the case in thirteen Member States). Assuming that Member States that
    currently apply Solvency II to all insurers do not change their approach, only up to 180
    companies (i.e. 7% of all EEA insurers that are currently subject to Solvency II) would
    actually be excluded in accordance with Option 2. The wider discretion given to Member
    States in relation to the scope of Solvency II allows taking into account national
    specificities, notably the relative size of each national market.
    EIOPA’s impact assessment also suggests that the criteria to define “low-risk profile”
    insurers would allow capturing 407 companies, which represent 16% of EEA insurers
    (0.5% of the life market share in terms of insurers’ liabilities and 1.8% of the non-life
    62
    Member States have full flexibility regarding the supervisory regime applicable to insurers below the
    thresholds set out in the Solvency II Directive. Therefore, they can apply Solvency II at national level
    beyond the minimum scope defined by the Directive. As a result, the discretion proposed by EIOPA in
    relation to the gross-written premium threshold would also concern insurers with gross written premiums
    of less than € 5 million. In practice, EIOPA’s recommendation is equivalent to simply setting the gross
    written premium threshold to the highest boundary of € 25 million (multiplication by 5 of this threshold).
    63
    See page 48 and 49 of EIOPA’s Opinion on the 2020 Review of Solvency II.
    64
    For instance, seven Member States apply Solvency II principles but with some exemptions, another six
    Member States apply Solvency I, and five a regime, which is different from Solvency II and Solvency I.
    Page | 45
    market share in terms of gross written premiums). However, those estimates do not take
    into account the reduction in the number of firms subject to Solvency II due to the
    increase in the thresholds of exclusions from the scope of mandatory application of the
    Directive. Assuming that the 228 firms that would be excluded from Solvency II would
    also be low-risk profile, the minimum number of insurers, which would meet the criteria
    to be considered as “low-risk profile” would be 179 (instead of 407), representing 7% of
    current total Solvency II insurers.
    For those insurers that are deemed “low-risk profile”, the regulatory burden would be
    lower, notably, in terms of governance and reporting requirements (lower frequency of
    submission of the ORSA report – two years instead of one –, frequency of submission of
    regular supervisory report by default set at three years). In addition, given the difficulties
    to capture all features of “low-risk profile” insurers through seven criteria only, EIOPA
    proposes that other insurers, not compliant with those criteria, could still be granted
    identical benefits in terms of proportionality when they get an ad-hoc authorisation from
    their NSAs. Finally, EIOPA proposes to introduce some further simplifications in
    relation to quantitative requirements, notably the possibility to reduce the frequency of
    calculation of capital requirements in relation to risks that are deemed immaterial.
    Therefore the implementation of Option 2 would certainly increase the proportionality
    of prudential rules in order to remove unnecessary and unjustified administrative
    burden and compliance costs, notably for low-risk profile insurers and those other
    companies whose nature, scale and complexity of the undertaken risks are deemed
    limited.
    The enhancement of the proportionality principle and the associated reduction of undue
    administrative and compliance costs would improve EU insurers’ competitiveness.
    Indeed, proportionality would not only depend on size but on the nature, scale and
    complexity of the risks of each insurer. Therefore, even larger insurers, which conduct
    international business may benefit from some proportionality measures and from the
    associated reduction in compliance costs.
    Specific proportionality measures in relation to captive insurers would also be
    introduced. Captive insurance is an alternative to self-insurance in which a corporate
    group establishes an insurance company to provide coverage for itself. The main purpose
    of establishing a captive insurer is to avoid relying on traditional commercial insurance
    companies, which may have volatile pricing and may not meet the specific needs of the
    corporate group. By creating its own insurance company, the corporate group can reduce
    its risk management costs, insure difficult risks, have direct access
    to reinsurance markets, and increase cash flows. Implementing more proportionate rules
    in relation to captive insurance would facilitate – and therefore incentivise – businesses
    to establish such firms. This might allow a more efficient risk management by industrial
    and commercial groups, and improve the resilience of economic activities against
    systemic events, which may not always be appropriately covered by private insurers'
    product offering (for instance, captives may be used as a risk management tool against
    pandemic events if private insurers’ supply against such events proves to be insufficient).
    It is not possible to have a clear assessment as to whether Option 2 would have a positive
    impact on the long-term financing and the greening of the European economy. The
    conclusion actually depends on the national framework to which insurers excluded from
    Solvency II would be subject. If the national framework is close to the former Solvency I
    regime, then it is expected that insurers are not subject to capital requirements on their
    investments, and would therefore have less constraints when taking investment risks.
    However, national frameworks may also include limits on investments in certain asset
    Page | 46
    classes, which could then have a negative effect on insurers’ ability to invest in the real
    economy. As for those insurers, which would remain in the scope of Solvency II, the
    reduced compliance costs would improve the long-term profitability and capital
    resources. Higher levels of own funds may facilitate more risk taking (and therefore more
    ability to invest in riskier asset classes, such as equities).
    Costs
    Insurers that would be newly excluded from Solvency II would possibly face material
    one-off costs due to the need to change all reporting and IT systems. In any case, insurers
    may always choose to continue being subject to Solvency II, so switching costs could
    always be avoided. This may also imply sunk costs as those small companies, which
    would be newly excluded from the framework have probably incurred significant costs to
    comply with Solvency II requirements. However, as explained above, in the longer run,
    they would probably face lower ongoing compliance costs. Insurers that are not in the
    scope of mandatory application of Solvency II (i.e. those below the exclusion thresholds)
    may still request licensing under Solvency II, which is needed in order to operate cross-
    border. For those insurers, the extension of thresholds would have no direct financial or
    economic impact.
    Nevertheless, a negative indirect impact on the competitiveness of the small and medium
    sized insurers that continue under the Solvency II scope cannot be ruled out. The
    considerable extension in revenues thresholds would make it more likely that insurers
    may have to compete in another Member State with other European companies of larger
    size but which are excluded from the application of Solvency II. For example, let us
    assume that a country A sets the exclusion threshold at € 25 million whereas country B
    keeps it at the current € 5 million. An insurer of country B with € 6 million gross written
    premiums would be subject to Solvency II, and if it is operating in country A, would
    have to compete with local insurers that may be up to four times as big as itself but which
    would still not face the compliance costs of Solvency II. This disadvantage, in terms of
    competitiveness, for the cross border insurers in country A may became a barrier to the
    entrance of other European providers to the Member State with higher thresholds in
    revenues, leading to unintended effects in the global competitiveness of the insurance
    sector.
    For those insurers, which remain in the scope of Solvency II but are eligible to be
    recognized as low-risk profile, there would be some one-off implementation costs
    related to the submission of the application to benefit from the automatic proportionality
    measures65
    . The likely high number of applications would generate significant
    implementation costs for public authorities in the short term, as they would have to
    assess the validity of all applications.
    However, the numerous companies that would be excluded from Solvency II (up to 9%
    of all insurers currently in the scope of Solvency II) would no longer submit data to
    EIOPA. Therefore, the latter would have less possibilities to monitor on a sector-wide
    basis the trends and potential build-up of systemic risk in the insurance sector. Hence,
    Option 2 may slightly deteriorate the ability of the framework to prevent systemic risk,
    which would more heavily depend on the quality of national supervision and the
    robustness of the national prudential regimes.
    65
    The cost of the application would however be probably significantly lower than the long-term gain in
    terms of reduced regulatory burden. However, should such costs prove to outweigh the benefits, an insurer
    has no obligation to submit an application (in which case it would still fully apply Solvency II.
    Page | 47
    Finally, Option 2 would have a negative impact on the level of policyholder
    protection, in terms of both quantitative requirements and transparency. National
    quantitative rules are expected to be less stringent than EU ones, and this implies a higher
    risk of insurance failures. Similarly, public disclosure under national rules may be less
    strict than under Solvency II, and policyholders of insurers which would be newly
    excluded from Solvency II would no longer benefit from the high quality and granularity
    of information contained in the annual reports by insurers on their solvency and financial
    condition (SFCR). The extension of the scope of insurers, which would be subject to the
    patchwork of national regimes would result in an overall decrease in risk sensitivity
    (for instance, Solvency I which is applied in six Member States to insurers excluded from
    Solvency II is not a risk-based framework). It would also automatically have a negative
    effect on the consistency and coordination of insurance supervision across the EU.
    Overall assessment
    Effectiveness, efficiency and coherence: Option 2 would result in a clear reduction of
    compliance costs for insurers and would achieve a significant simplification of the
    framework. The Commission services have requested some industry stakeholders to
    assess the extent of the reduction of compliance costs stemming from EIOPA’s advice.
    Due to the time constraints, stakeholders could only provide partial information. Thus,
    some of the proportionality measures envisaged in Option 2 (namely the reduced
    frequency of the ORSA report, the reduced frequency of mandatory review of internal
    written policies and the possibility for the same person to cumulate several “key
    functions” in a firm) could allow saving up to one FTE66
    .
    The annual report to be published by EIOPA on proportionality would foster
    transparency on the state of play and would enhance peer pressure so that all public
    authorities would have to effectively implement the proportionality principle. Therefore,
    Option 2, would materially reduce the administrative burden and the cost of compliance
    for the vast majority of small and medium companies in scope of the European
    framework, improving the efficiency of many insurers and therefore, contributing to
    preserving the competitiveness of the European insurance industry. However, due to a
    very significant increase in exclusion thresholds, Option 2 would largely achieve
    proportionality by reducing the scope of the European framework, with potential
    negative impact on the level-playing field in the European market. Option 2 would also
    be coherent with the Better Regulation agenda to reduce undue administrative costs.
    Winners and losers: The insurance sector would take advantage from clearer rules on the
    application of the principle of proportionality, as it would not only apply to the smallest
    insurers, but also to those that are larger but have a low-risk profile (because they either
    meet the criteria or are granted ad hoc approval by their supervisory authority). Notably,
    small and less risky companies would face lower administrative burden either because
    they are excluded from the scope of the Directive or because they are deemed “low-risk
    profile” insurers. Losers would be the policyholders of those insurers that are no longer
    subject to Solvency II, as the level of protection could be lower and consumers would
    probably benefit from less transparency. Supervisory authorities would also be losers to a
    certain extent, as they would no longer have the wide margin of discretion that they
    currently have in applying the rules. The new proportionality measures would also imply
    for them less information submitted through narrative reporting. In addition, the wider
    scope of insurers subject to national regimes would imply that supervisors would face
    more difficulties in comparing financial data based on two different sets of risk metrics
    66
    Source: AMICE. Of course, the actual figure depends on the size of the company and the proportionality
    measures it is applying currently.
    Page | 48
    (due to the coexistence of a European and a national regime). At European level, EIOPA
    would also see a reduction of the data collected and in the numbers of firms under its
    remit. Also, there would be a certain fragmentation of the Single Market for insurance
    firms.
    Stakeholder views: As part of EIOPA’s consultation activities, insurance stakeholders
    largely welcomed the proposed extension of the exclusion thresholds as envisaged in
    Option 2, although some national insurance associations expressed concerns for the
    level-playing field. In relation to proportionality within Solvency II, stakeholders were of
    the view that EIOPA’s proposal fell short of expectation, notably in relation to reporting
    and disclosure.
    6.3.2. Option 3: Give priority to enhancing the proportionality principle within
    to Solvency II and make a smaller change to the exclusion thresholds
    Option 3 would follow a similar approach as Option 2, but with the following differences
    (deviations from EIOPA’s advice):
    - In relation to the scope of Solvency II, the increase in exclusion thresholds related
    to gross written premiums would be lower (multiplication by three instead of
    five)
    - In relation to proportionality within Solvency II, the eligibility criteria to be
    classified as low-risk profile insurer would be slightly streamlined compared to
    Option 267
    , and those insurers would benefit from additional proportionality
    measures in relation to public disclosure. Notably, a full SFCR would only be
    required every other three years, whereas only a simplified report with limited
    “narrative” parts would have to be published on a yearly basis. The
    proportionality measures of Option 2, including in relation to supervisory
    reporting, would also be granted to low-risk profile insurers.
    Therefore, under Option 3, Solvency II would remain applicable to more firms than in
    Option 2, and a larger number of Solvency II firms would also be presumably classified
    as low-risk profile insurers. Those low-risk insurers would benefit from the automatic
    application of all Solvency II proportionality measures, which would be further expanded
    compared to Option 2.
    Benefits
    According to EIOPA’s impact assessment, Option 3 would result in the exclusion from
    scope of Solvency II of up to 186 companies out of 2525 entities (7 % of insurers that
    are currently applying Solvency II). Assuming that Member States, which currently apply
    Solvency II to all insurers do not change their approach, only up to 142 companies (i.e.
    6% of all EEA insurers that are currently subject to Solvency II) would actually be
    excluded in accordance with Option 3.
    Consequently, a larger number of firms than in Option 2 would remain in the scope of
    Solvency II. This also implies that more insurers than in Option 2 could take advantage
    of the proportionality measures identified by EIOPA, provided that they comply with the
    criteria to be classified as low-risk profile. Based on EIOPA’s impact assessment, the
    reduced list of criteria compared to Option 2 would imply that approximately 435
    insurers (i.e. 17% of the European market) would be eligible to automatic proportionality
    67
    For the purpose of this impact assessment, one criterion would be dropped, in relation to the comparison
    of investment returns with average guaranteed rates for life business. The reason for dropping this
    threshold is the difficulty to actually have a meaningful and comparable approach to measure such rates.
    Page | 49
    under Option 368
    . However, EIOPA’s figures do not take into account a potential change
    in the exclusion thresholds. Assuming that the 186 firms that would be excluded from
    Solvency II would also be low-risk profile, the minimum number of insurers, which
    would meet the criteria to be considered as “low-risk profile” would be 249 (instead of
    435), representing 10% of current total Solvency II insurers.
    Therefore, Option 3 would increase proportionality and remove unnecessary and
    unjustified administrative burden and compliance costs, in a different manner than in
    Option 2. Indeed, the number of firms that are excluded from the scope of Solvency II
    under Option 3 is slightly lower than under Option 2. Nevertheless, the scope of insurers
    that would be eligible to automatic proportionality would be larger, as well as the number
    of proportionality measures (indeed, additional proportionality measures in relation to
    supervisory disclosure would be granted under Option 3). Option 3 would therefore
    further reduce compliance costs of those insurers, which remain in the scope of Solvency
    II than Option 2. Note also that insurers can always decide remaining in the scope of
    Solvency II even if they are not in the scope of mandatory application of the Directive.
    For this reason, if a national framework proves to be more burdensome than Solvency II,
    insurers would still have the possibility to continue applying Solvency II.
    By further enhancing the proportionality principle and the associated reduction of undue
    administrative and compliance costs for insurers in the scope of Solvency II, Option 3
    would be more effective in improving EU insurers’ competitiveness than Option 2.
    Finally, like under Option 2, proportionality measures in relation to captive insurers
    could incentivise businesses to establish such firms. This may allow a more efficient risk
    management by industrial and commercial groups, and improve the resilience of
    economic activities against systemic events which may not always be appropriately
    covered by private insurers' product offering (for instance, captives may be used as a risk
    management tool against pandemic events if private insurers’ supply against such events
    proves to be insufficient).
    For the same reasons as in Option 2, it is not possible to assess the impact of this Option
    on insurers’ ability to provide long-term and green financing of the economy.
    Costs
    By slightly reducing the number of insurers that would be newly excluded from Solvency
    II (compared to Option 2), Option 3 would have a less negative effect on the
    consistency of insurance supervision and level-playing field than Option 2. Option 3
    would indeed ensure that only policyholders of smallest and less risky insurers would be
    left without the minimum layers of protection of the European framework. Since the size
    thresholds would be subject to a lower increase than under Option 2, situations where an
    insurer operating cross-border (and therefore subject to Solvency II) would have to
    compete on a national market with a larger insurer that is not in the scope of Solvency II
    would concern less firms. Therefore fair competition within the EU would be better
    preserved than under Option 2.
    Likewise, as more insurers would continue applying Solvency II, Option 3 would be
    more prudent than Option 2. Therefore, it would raise less financial stability risks, as the
    share of insurers that would no longer be in the scope of the European monitoring by
    EIOPA would only represent up to 7.5% only of the European market (i.e. 0.07% of
    gross written premiums and 0.06% of insurers’ liabilities towards policyholders),
    according to EIOPA’s impact assessment.
    68
    Calculations derived from EIOPA’s background document on the Impact Assessment.
    Page | 50
    Finally, implementation costs would be similar to Option 2, although sunk costs and
    one-off costs of transitioning from Solvency II to national regimes would be lower under
    Option 3 (as less firms would be excluded from the mandatory scope of Solvency II). For
    those insurers which would have been excluded from Solvency II under Option 2 but
    remain in its scope under Option 3, compliance costs would be higher. Finally, insurers
    benefiting from automatic proportionality would be higher than in Option 2 and the
    additional proportionality measure of lower frequency of publication of “full” SFCR
    would make compliance costs lower than in Option 2.
    Overall assessment
    Effectiveness, efficiency and coherence: Option 3 would be more effective in enhancing
    proportionality and improving EU insurers’ competitiveness, while the impact of
    excluding some firms from Solvency II on policyholder protection and on financial
    stability would be lower than under Option 2. Option 3 would also reduce the risk of
    uneven level-playing field (as the extent of Member States’ discretion to apply or not
    apply Solvency II at national level to insurers that are below the exclusion thresholds
    would be lower in Option 3 than under Option 269
    ). For those reasons, Option 3 is a more
    efficient approach than Option 2 to enhance proportionality with limited side effects on
    other objectives. Option 3 would be more coherent with the Better Regulation agenda
    than Option 2, as it would further expand proportionality measures and eligible entities
    than what EIOPA proposed, notably in relation to disclosure, which is an area where
    insurers expect alleviations of regulatory burden.
    Winners and losers: Policyholders would be less losers than in Option 2, as a larger
    number of them would still benefit from the high level of protection provided by
    Solvency II. Lower compliance costs for insurers in the scope of Solvency II would also
    imply higher ability for insurers to innovate and supply policyholders with a well-
    diversified range of insurance products. The reduced disclosure would not necessarily
    affect policyholders, as the “light” version of the SFCR, which would be published when
    the full report is not required would still include targeted information towards consumers.
    However, other specialised stakeholders (financial markets participants, analysts, etc.)
    would not have the same level of information as in Option 2 for low-risk insurers that are
    in the scope of solvency II. The impact of insurers is more mixed. For those insurers that
    would be excluded from Solvency II under Option 2 but would remain in the scope under
    Option 3, the regulatory burden would be higher and those insurers could be seen as
    losers. However, under Option 3, more insurers in the scope of Solvency II would be
    classified as low-risk profile and all low-risk profile insurers would benefit from more
    proportionality measures, and as such, they gain. Supervisors would also be slightly more
    losers than in Option 2 as the information disclosed on a yearly basis would be reduced
    when the “full” SFCR is not required.
    Stakeholder views: As part of the qualitative comments received during the
    Commission’s public consultation, many stakeholders highlighted the need to adopt
    proportionality measures in relation to reporting and disclosure. The lower frequency of
    the SFCR was mentioned by several insurance associations. Similarly, many respondents
    also called for a less strict list of criteria70
    to be classified as low-risk profile. Option 3,
    which fine-tunes EIOPA’s criteria, would therefore partly address their requests. As
    69
    Exclusion threshold on gross written premiums would indeed be set at EUR 15 million under Option 3,
    but at EUR 25 million under Option 2.
    70
    Some criteria were deemed too restrictive (size, non-traditional investments) or unjustified (cross border
    business) by stakeholders. Any relaxation of these criteria would naturally lead to that more insurers could
    comply with the conditions to be considered as low-risk profile insurers.
    Page | 51
    regards the scope of application of Solvency II, mutual insurers and mutual insurance
    associations called for an increase in thresholds that goes beyond what EIOPA envisaged
    (i.e. raising the threshold of gross written premiums to € 50 billion). For those insurers,
    Option 3 would therefore not meet their expectations, although most mutual insurers
    would probably meet the shorter list of classification criteria for low-risk profile insurers
    included in this option and would therefore benefit from automatic proportionality.
    6.3.3. Choice of the preferred option
    The below tables provides a high-level summary of how the previously described options
    compare (note that for the sake of readability of the tables, the labels of the Options have
    been shortened).
    Effectiveness
    Efficiency
    (Cost-
    effectiveness)
    Coherence
    LT green
    financing
    Risk
    sensitivity
    Volati-
    lity
    Propor-
    tionality
    Supervision -
    protection
    against
    failures
    Financial
    stability
    Option 1 – Do nothing 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
    Option 2 – Exclude a
    significant number of firms
    & enhance proportionality
    0 - 0 ++ -- -- + +
    Option 3 – Give priority to
    enhancing proportionality
    within Solvency II
    0 - 0 +++ - - ++ +
    Summary of winners and losers
    Insurers Policyholders Supervisory authorities
    Option 1 0 0 0
    Option 2 +++ -- --
    Option 3 ++ - -
    Legend: +++ = Very positive++ = Positive + = Slightly positive +/- = Mixed effect
    0 = no effect - = Slightly negative -- = Negative --- = very negative
    Firms that would be newly
    excluded from Solvency II
    Firms that would remain in Solvency
    II but would be classified as low-risk
    profile
    Total number of firms
    benefiting from a change to
    the framework
    Maximum
    number
    Share of current
    total Solvency II
    insurers
    Minimum
    Number
    Share of current total
    Solvency II insurers
    Expected
    Number
    Share of current
    total Solvency
    II insurers
    Option 1 / / / / / /
    Option 2 228 9% 179 7% 407 16%
    Option 3 186 7% 249 10% 435 17%
    Option 2 would be the most effective in achieving proportionality by simply waiving the
    mandatory application of Solvency II to the largest number of firms from the European
    framework. However, this would be to the detriment of policyholders (whose level of
    protection could be lower if national frameworks are not risk based or rely on a lower
    level of prudence than Solvency II). It would also affect supervisors (which would lose
    supervisory discretion compared to current rules, and would face a reduction in the
    number of data received from insurers due to the lower frequencies of reporting for low-
    risk profile insurers). Option 2 would also have a negative impact on other specific
    objectives. Option 3, while being less effective than option 2 (although it enhances
    proportionality within Solvency II), would be more cost efficient as the negative side
    Page | 52
    effects on other stakeholders or other specific objectives (consistency of supervision,
    level-playing field and financial stability) would be lower than under Option 2. In
    addition, one can note that in total, Option 3 would allow covering a larger number of
    firms in the scope of proportionality (either via an exclusion from the mandatory scope of
    application of Solvency II or the application of automatic proportionality within
    Solvency II).
    Option 3 would therefore be the most efficient Option, considering the large
    acknowledgement among all types of stakeholders that there is a need to simplify
    Solvency II for smaller and less complex insurers. In other words, Option 3 would ensure
    that most policyholders remain protected by the Solvency II framework while creating a
    regime for low-risk profile insurers that is more fit in terms of compliance and regulatory
    costs. Based on EIOPA’s inputs and the feedback from the industry, the Commission
    identified a series of proportionality and simplification measures which would be part of
    the implementation of Option 3. The main measures are described in Annex 4.
    The preferred option to address Problem 3 is Option 3 (Give priority to enhancing
    the proportionality principle within Solvency II and make a smaller change to the
    exclusion thresholds.).
    6.4. Deficiencies in the supervision of (cross-border) insurance companies and
    groups, and inadequate protection of policyholders against insurers’ failures
    The options presented in this section address problem drivers underlying the core
    problem of insufficient policyholder protection, including in the case of an insurer’s
    failure. They encompass different sets of measures along a continuum of supervision,
    recovery, resolution and insolvency. Therefore, although they are complementary in
    achieving the objective of enhanced policyholder protection, they remain different
    dimensions for which each set of measures should be discussed and assessed on its own
    merits. Section 6.4.4 assesses how the respective related costs and benefits interact.
    6.4.1. Option 2: Improve the quality of supervision by strengthening or
    clarifying rules on certain aspects, in particular in relation to cross-border
    supervision
    Under Option 2, the legal framework would be clarified and strengthened so as to ensure
    more quality and convergence of supervision, in particular in relation to cross-border and
    group supervision, in line with EIOPA’s general approach. In relation to group
    supervision, Option 2 would imply: (i) strengthening and harmonising supervisory
    powers including when their headquarter is in a third country or when the parent
    company is a non-regulated entity71
    , and (ii) clarifying prudential rules on capital
    requirements and risk management which are subject to diverging interpretations by
    Member States72
    . In relation to cross-border supervision, more requirements concerning
    71
    Proposal includes better framing of cases where a national authority may completely waive group
    supervision (under the control of EIOPA), clarifying powers over unregulated parent companies of a group,
    power to restructure the group where the corporate structure is such that it prevents effective supervision,
    strengthened supervision of groups whose parent company is outside Europe to avoid incentivising groups
    to circumvent Solvency II requirements by establishing their head office outside Europe.
    72
    This includes clarifications on the way to account for equivalent third-country insurers in the group
    solvency calculation (currently, a legal gap allows to not take account of currency risk), to account for
    small subsidiaries (proportionality), to integrate non-insurance financial institutions and on rules governing
    capital transferability within a group.
    Page | 53
    cooperation between the Home and Host supervisory authorities would be introduced,
    and EIOPA’s coordination role would be strengthened.
    Benefits
    Option 2 would have a positive effect on the quality of cross-border supervision and
    the convergence of supervisory practices of insurance groups as it would remove
    existing gaps and uncertainties. Therefore, it would improve the level-playing field
    within the Union and increase legal certainty for insurance businesses. By ensuring a
    stronger focus on cross-border supervision and cooperation between national authorities,
    Option 2 would also improve the ability of supervisors to protect policyholders and
    beneficiaries. Option 2 also ensures stronger coordination by EIOPA which would be
    empowered to settle a disagreement between authorities on complex cross-border cases.
    This would ensure higher consistency of supervision and contribute to a more
    harmonised level of policyholder protection. For those reasons, Option 2 is expected to
    improve the functioning, and therefore the trust in the internal market.
    In addition, Option 2 would reduce the risk of regulatory arbitrage, in particular the
    opportunities to circumvent European prudential rules. Indeed, group supervision would
    apply in a consistent manner regardless of the group structure, the type of parent
    company or the location of the head office. In particular, Option 2 would imply stricter
    rules governing the supervision of groups headquartered outside Europe, including better
    monitoring of third-country risk exposures for European entities, and more focus on
    capital and financial outflows from the European companies to the wider international
    part of the group. Such an approach would ensure that the European subgroup remains
    sufficiently capitalised and that policyholders are better protected. Therefore, Option 2
    would reduce incentives for a European group to move its head office outside Europe,
    and would strengthen the level-playing field between EU and non-EU insurance
    groups. As regards cross-border supervision, enhanced information exchange would help
    national authorities protect policyholders against forum shopping73
    by those applicants
    who have been rejected elsewhere.
    Option 2 would contribute to improving risk sensitivity and policyholder protection,
    as it would lead to a clearer and more robust regulatory framework in terms of how to
    assess the transferability of capital within an insurance group, including for entities from
    different financial sectors (e.g. banks) or countries (e.g. subsidiaries from third countries)
    should contribute to group risks.
    Option 2 also includes elements of proportionality: for instance, insurance groups for
    which the consolidation of small and less complex insurance entities would generate
    undue compliance costs would be allowed to use simplified rules. Similarly, the
    strengthened information exchange requirements between supervisory authorities would
    be subject to proportionality considerations, with the aim to limit unnecessary
    administrative burdens and compliance costs. Therefore, Option 2 would contribute to
    proportionality, although some of the new rules may make the framework more complex
    (although clearer) than under current rules.
    Option 2 would contribute to preventing systemic risks by ensuring that insurance
    groups take into account both financial and non-financial exposures to all types of
    companies within the group, including those belonging to other financial sectors and
    non-regulated companies. Therefore, any spillover effect stemming from the interaction
    73
    Forum shopping makes reference to the practice of choosing for licensing authority which is likely to
    provide the most favourable outcome.
    Page | 54
    between insurance and non-insurance entities would be closely monitored. In addition,
    the enhanced risk sensitivity and the more efficient capital allocation within insurance
    groups would reduce the likelihood that insurers take excessive risk, and would therefore
    decrease the risk of build-up of systemic risk.
    Finally, the further integration of the Single Market for insurance services stemming
    from this option can indirectly stimulate the cross-border supply of innovative insurance
    solutions, including those covering risks related to natural catastrophe, climate change.
    Therefore, Option 2 can have an indirect positive effect on insurers’ contribution to a
    more sustainable and resilient European economy. By improving rules on group
    supervision Option 2 would also indirectly incentivise insurance groups to optimise their
    capital allocation and diversify their risks across the different entities of the group, which
    can also have positive impacts on the ability to provide funding in long term and
    sustainable assets across Europe.
    Costs
    Option 2 would have a slightly negative effect on insurance groups’ competitiveness
    at international level, as it would generate overall a limited increase in quantitative
    requirements, as explained in EIOPA’s impact assessment. In addition, although it is
    expected that this impact may be concentrated on a few active international groups with
    complex structures, material activities outside Europe, and possibly other financial
    activities (e.g. banking). For those groups, Option 2 would lead to a slight deterioration
    in their international competitiveness as the lower level of “free excess capital” or the
    higher capital requirements stemming from third-country subsidiaries could be seen as
    reducing their ability to expand internationally. On the other hand, as explained above,
    the strengthening of the supervision of third-country groups stemming from Option 3
    would imply that non-EU groups do not have a competitive advantage over EU ones
    when establishing a European subsidiary.
    In order to assess the significance of implementation costs, EIOPA invited 83 insurance
    groups from 20 EEA Member States to participate to a survey. 41% of respondents
    indicated that EIOPA’s draft proposals would have significant one-off cost, and 36% that
    on-going costs would remain significant. Similarly, a survey submitted to NSAs suggests
    that implementation costs for supervisory authorities is expected to remain limited, as
    only 7% and 21% of respondents indicated expecting significant increase in one-off or
    ongoing costs depending on the amendment considered. As EIOPA amended its
    proposals and simplified technical changes, which were assessed as generating the most
    significant implementation costs, the actual implementation costs stemming from Option
    2 is expected to be lower. As regards cross-border supervision, implementation costs are
    expected to be limited for the insurance industry. Option 2 would require more
    information exchange between NSAs, which may generate additional work in Member
    States where insurers have significant cross-border activities. The stronger focus on
    cross-border activities implies dedicating sufficient resources to it. However, in practice
    this cost is expected to be limited as Option 2 would imply upgrading into European law
    principles that are already part of the Decision on the collaboration between supervisory
    authorities, and are therefore expected to be already agreed and applied by supervisory
    authorities.
    Overall assessment
    Effectiveness, efficiency and coherence: Option 2 would be more effective than the
    baseline on improving the quality of supervision. On cross-border supervision, Option 2
    would be effective in removing any gap to cooperation and information exchange
    Page | 55
    between supervisory authorities, and ensure a level-playing field with the Union by
    ensuring that the principles set out in EIOPA’s non-binding tools become EU law.
    Option 2 increases legal certainty for supervisors, insurance companies and groups, and
    is cost-effective by simply formalising into EU legislation what is supposed to be
    existing best practices. European coordination by EIOPA also ensures an efficient and
    consistent implementation of the rules across the Union. On group supervision, Option 2
    would in contrast to the baseline be effective as the proposed changes would clarify and
    strengthen the legal framework and increase the quality and convergence of supervision.
    The measures taken by choosing Option 2 come with a cost, in particular to insurance
    groups but also to public authorities. In general a cost benefit analysis as such is not
    possible in the regulatory context as the expected benefits are not quantifiable. However,
    it is important that the desired outcome cannot be achieved in a less cost intensive way,
    as ultimately policyholders have to bear any increase in cost. Also any unjustified cost
    would harm the international competiveness of the Union’s insurance sector. The
    measures under Option 2 consider the above elements and there is no more efficient way
    in achieving the desired outcome. Option 2 is also coherent with specific objectives of
    this review as well as with the primary objectives of Solvency II (policyholder protection
    and financial stability).
    Winners and losers: The clarification of the framework and increased cooperation of
    public authorities would lead to a better and more consistent level of consumer protection
    across Europe. Insurance groups would face in general slightly stricter rules by clarifying
    the framework and applying it equally across the Union. In particular, those groups,
    which have interpreted deficiencies in the current framework in their favour, would face
    a considerable increase in the level of regulation. On the contrary, insurance groups are
    also winners as there are also elements in Option 2 they would be benefitting from. It is
    also the general interest to have a level-playing field for insurance groups, irrespective of
    whether the groups are headquartered inside or outside the EU. Similarly, more
    consistent and efficient supervision of cross-border business would improve supervisory
    convergence and level-playing field and would therefore deepen the integration of the
    Single Market for insurance services, with positive impact on insurance business. Finally,
    impact on supervisors is somehow mixed, as they would benefit from enhanced
    cooperation and coordination between them, and more legal certainty in the interpretation
    of prudential rules. On the other hand, their responsibilities and the resources needed for
    the supervision of cross-border business would have a cost, as well as the stricter
    requirements for information exchange and cooperation, under EIOPA’s coordination.
    Stakeholder views: In the context of EIOPA’s consultation activities, insurance groups,
    notably internationally active ones, expressed strong concerns about EIOPA’s proposals,
    in particular those which would result in an increase in capital requirements. This partly
    results from the possibility that due to the lack of clarity of the current framework
    insurance groups and NSAs have interpreted the framework in their own way74
    , and any
    clarification of the rules may lead to an increase in capital requirements for some
    groups75
    . However, single voices acknowledge the need for harmonization and clearer
    rules, in particular regarding capital requirement calculations. Furthermore,
    internationally active groups, which are the most affected by the implementation of
    Option 2, perceived a risk of deterioration in their international competitiveness. This
    74
    For instance, some NSAs may fully waive group supervision, whereas other authorities would not do so.
    75
    For instance, insurance groups have different approaches when quantifying risks at group level stemming
    from non-regulated holding companies or from subsidiaries headquartered in so-called “equivalent third
    countries”. For further explanations of the concrete technical issues, please refer to Section 4 of Annex 8.
    Page | 56
    concern has also been raised by a few public authorities as part of the Commission’s
    public consultation.
    As regards cross-border activities, as part of the Commission’s public consultation, the
    majority of stakeholders (81%) who expressed a view on this topic are satisfied with the
    current approach according to which cross-border activities are supervised by national
    authorities under the coordination of EIOPA where appropriate. The insurance industry
    generally supports enhanced information exchange between authorities and a stronger
    mediation role by EIOPA. In addition, the majority of stakeholders who had a view on
    cross-border supervision (58%) supported reinforcing the role of the Host supervisor
    when the Home authority does not take appropriate measures to address identified
    deficiencies. This concerns in particular consumers/citizens/NGOs and insurers having a
    view on this issue (respectively 83% and 55% of support), as feedback were more split
    among public authorities, illustrating the complex debates around the most effective
    balance of powers and responsibilities between the different supervisory authorities.
    Finally, some of EIOPA’s proposals are criticized by insurance stakeholders, notably the
    empowerment granted to Host supervisors to directly request information from insurers
    rather than asking access to them via the Home authority, which is not assessed as an
    improvement of the functioning of the Single Market.
    6.4.2. Option 3: Introduce minimum harmonising rules to ensure that insurance
    failures can be better averted or managed in an orderly manner
    Under Option 3, and in line with EIOPA’s advice, rules aiming at the prevention of
    failures would be strengthened, and, a framework for the orderly resolution of insurers
    would be introduced with the objective to protect policyholders, beneficiaries and
    claimants, as well as to ensure the continuity of insurance functions whose disruption
    could harm financial stability and/or the real economy, and to protect public funds. This
    would notably encompass:
    - the requirement for insurers to draft pre-emptive recovery plans describing the
    possible actions that would be taken in order to remedy a potential non-
    compliance with capital requirements;
    - the establishment of national resolution authorities that would draft resolution
    plans and would assess and, where necessary, improve the resolvability of
    insurers. Resolution would be triggered when the insurer is no longer viable or
    likely to be no longer viable and when a resolution is necessary in the public
    interest, i.e. to achieve the resolution objectives above.
    The resolution authority would be equipped with a range of resolution tools and powers
    that provide an administrative alternative to insolvency. For cross-border groups, the
    effective planning and coordination between national resolution authorities in case of an
    insurer’s distress would be organised in resolution colleges of all relevant authorities
    involved in supervision and resolution under the control of the lead resolution authority.
    The costs and benefits of those elements were thoroughly assessed and consulted upon at
    two occasions by EIOPA,76
    . The main insights are reflected in the following analysis.
    76
    See sections 11.6 and 12 in EIOPA’s Impact Assessment and section 12 in the Background Document.
    EIOPA’s Opinion on the review of Solvency II was preceded by an Opinion on the harmonisation of
    recovery and resolution frameworks for (re)insurers across the Member States (5 July 2017) and a
    Discussion Paper on Resolution Funding and National Insurance Guarantee Schemes (EIOPA, July 2018).
    Page | 57
    Benefits
    Option 3 would further decrease the likelihood of insurance failures and, in particular,
    provide a credible framework to address the distress of insurers whose failure could
    negatively affect policyholders. As such, it improves the level of policyholder
    protection.
    A harmonised set of powers to prevent and address failures with consistent design,
    implementation and enforcement features would foster cross-border cooperation and
    coordination during crises and help to avoid any unnecessary economic costs stemming
    from uncoordinated decision-making processes between different public authorities and
    courts. Effective cross-border arrangements would also help ensure that the interests of
    all affected Member States, including those where the parent company is located as well
    as those where the subsidiaries and branches of a failing group are operating, are given
    due consideration and are balanced appropriately during the planning phase, and when
    recovery and resolution measures are taken. Hence, it would address potential risks of
    conflicts of interest for local supervisory and resolution authorities to give priority to the
    protection of “local” policyholders over other stakeholders. A harmonised approach
    would also foster the level-playing field and avoid regulatory arbitrage. Option 3 is
    largely in line with international standards for systemic risk in the insurance sector. As
    such, it would not affect EU insurers’ competitiveness.
    Option 3 would be applied in a proportionate way. Planning requirements would
    depend on a set of criteria, i.e. the size, cross-border activity, business model, risk profile,
    interconnectedness and substitutability of services of insurers. In addition, simplified
    obligations would be applied where the supervisory or resolution authority deems it
    possible. The existence of critical functions and other functions that are material for the
    financial system or the real economy should additionally be taken into account for the
    decision on the need for proportionate resolution planning. Therefore, the scope of
    resolution planning would be smaller than that of pre-emptive recovery planning.
    Finally, Option 3 would also have a positive impact on preventing systemic risks.
    Indeed, the resolution framework would allow maintaining financial stability, and
    ensuring the continuity of functions by insurers whose disruption could harm financial
    stability and/or the real economy and to protect public funds (by limiting the risk of
    needing to “bail-out” failing insurers).77
    Costs
    The implementation costs related to Option 3 stem mostly from the planning and
    resolvability assessment requirements. Public authorities would have to bear the costs of
    establishing a resolution authority, supervising pre-emptive recovery plans, resolution
    planning and cross-border coordination work. EIOPA’s impact assessment provides an
    overview of the range of costs estimated by the NSAs for drafting and maintaining
    resolution plans and resolvability assessments as well as for the supervision of pre-
    emptive recovery plans.78
    77
    See ESRB, Recovery and resolution for the EU insurance sector: a macroprudential perspective, 2017.
    78
    It should be stressed that the aim was gathering an initial and high-level overview of where the cost
    range could be. There was no detailed description of which items should be included per category in order
    to allow for the application of proportionality, which explains the amplitude of the range. Furthermore, in
    most cases such plans are not in place yet. When this was the case, NSAs were asked to provide an
    estimation based on their experience with other plans/reports.
    Page | 58
    Drafting and maintaining of resolution
    plans
    Drafting and maintaining of
    resolvability assessments
    One-off costs On-going costs One-off costs On-going costs
    Staff (per year) 0.2 – 5 FTE 0.08 – 4 FTE 0.08 – 3 FTE 0.03 – 2 FTE
    IT costs (internal) € 2,500 – 100,000 € 250 – 29,000 € 2,500 – 100,000 € 250 – 29,000
    IT costs (external) € 2,500 – 100,000 € 3000 – 20,000
    € 10,000 –
    100,000
    € 3,000 – 20,000
    Fees to externals (e.g.
    consultants)
    € 6,000 – 100,000 € 4,000 – 100,000 € 2,000 – 100,000 € 4,000 – 100,000
    Other costs79
    € 2,400
    Similarly, the one-off costs estimated by NSAs for the supervision of pre-emptive
    recovery plans would lie between 0.04 and 5 FTE, and the on-going costs between 0.06
    and 3 FTE.
    Insurers would face costs from drafting pre-emptive recovery plans but also from
    resolution planning where they have to provide information to the resolution authority or
    make changes to address impediments to resolvability. No assessment of additional costs
    is available, but recovery plans would be integrated in the ongoing risk management of
    insurers and the cost of drafting ORSA reports and contingency planning could serve as a
    source of input for the drafting of the pre-emptive recovery plan. In view of the different
    approaches to the financing of resolution80
    , it would not be appropriate to require in the
    EU framework – as is the case in banking – the financing of a resolution fund or the
    building-up of liabilities that could be bailed-in for the purpose of loss absorption and
    recapitalisation of failing insurers. These measures would result in inflating the balance
    sheet of insurers to create a loss absorbing capacity in proportion of their technical
    provisions that would entail higher costs for the industry and impose additional servicing
    risks on the companies that would not be justified by materially increased benefits81
    .
    Overall assessment
    Effectiveness, efficiency and coherence: Option 3 would effectively address the
    identified problem drivers of lack of preparedness, delayed intervention, inappropriate
    toolbox and uncoordinated management of cross-border (near-) failures combined with a
    home bias to address such issues. It would also provide an alternative to insolvency.
    While it is important to establish clear rules on powers to foster the recovery and enable
    the resolution of failing of insurers where this becomes necessary, in particular in cross-
    border situations, Option 3 would remain a minimum harmonisation approach, which
    takes into account proportionality elements. In particular, national insolvency procedures
    would remain a possible exit from the market for a failed insurer. Option 3 would also
    ensure that supervisory intervention remains judgement based and that the trigger of
    recovery measures remains the breach of capital requirements. Therefore, there would be
    no new additional intervention levels in Solvency II. However, it is necessary to
    introduce specific conditions for entry into resolution in order to address situations where
    an insurer would be systemic if it fails. This is in line with international guidance and
    standards. The policyholder protection and financial stability objectives would be
    coherent with the objectives of Solvency II and Option 3 would extend these objectives
    to the management of failures.
    79
    They include cost of materials and catering/meeting costs for all recovery and resolution activities.
    80
    See FSB, Developing Effective Resolution Strategies and Plans for Systemically Important Insurers,
    2016.
    81
    EIOPA considered and consulted upon these options in the Discussion Paper on Resolution Funding and
    National Insurance Guarantee Schemes (EIOPA 30July 2018).
    Page | 59
    The establishment of a recovery and resolution framework for insurers is also a necessary
    step to improve the options for recovery and resolution of financial conglomerates. So
    far, only the banking part of a conglomerate is subject to the Banking Recovery and
    Resolution Directive. An EU framework is also necessary to address any legal
    uncertainties about the interaction with other parts of EU legislation82
    that national
    solutions could face.
    Winners and losers: Policyholders, the society at large and public authorities would
    benefit from a decreased likelihood of failure, better resolutions of crises and from
    financial stability. Member State authorities would have to bear the costs of establishing
    a resolution authority, resolution planning and cross-border coordination work. Insurers
    would face higher costs from recovery planning but also from resolution planning where
    they have to provide information to the resolution authority. On the other hand, pre-
    emptive planning enhances the awareness of and preparedness for adverse situations.
    This allows companies to take informed and timely remedial actions when needed. Many
    insurers would also benefit from a more level-playing field in the measures taken by
    authorities to restore their financial conditions or resolve them.
    Stakeholder views: Feedback to the Commission’s public consultation confirmed the
    results of EIOPA’s consultation that there are generally divided views on this topic. On
    the one hand, the insurance industry consider that insurers and authorities are sufficiently
    prepared to deal with distressed insurers (51% yes, 19% no, 30 % no answer). On the
    other hand, public authorities, NGOs, consumer associations and citizens consider them
    insufficiently prepared (10% yes, 60% no, 30% no answer) and welcome further
    initiatives in this field. In particular, according to the insurance industry, there should be
    no intervention points for NSAs as long as capital requirements have not been breached,
    and run-offs and portfolio transfers are sufficient to deal with the large majority of
    failures. In their view, more intrusive tools should therefore be very cautiously
    considered. While the toolkit of resolution powers needs to be complete to address the
    failure of large and complex insurers, it is expected that traditional tools would be indeed
    the first choice of resolution authorities. Feedback to EIOPA’s consultation further
    highlighted that while most stakeholders agreed that the application of the proportionality
    principle is essential, some oppose the proposal that the requirement to have pre-emptive
    recovery and resolution plans should capture a specific share of each national market.
    Finally, some respondents to EIOPA’s consultation also expressed concerns on the
    applicability of the intended framework to reinsurers for two main arguments: (a) the fact
    that reinsurance is a business-to-business activity with limited policyholders’ protection
    implications and (b) the nature and type of risks as well as its limited contribution to
    systemic risk.
    6.4.3. Option 4: Introduce minimum harmonising rules to protect policyholders
    in the event of an insurer’s failure
    Under Option 4, which would be in line with EIOPA’s general approach, a coherent EU
    framework for IGS would be implemented in all Member States by way of a dedicated
    EU Directive. It would ensure that all policyholders83
    acquiring insurance policies in the
    EU would benefit from a harmonised minimum level of protection in the event that an
    insurance company defaults. Based on minimum harmonisation, the EU framework
    would introduce an obligation to establish IGS and determine a coherent set of minimum
    82
    For example, company law, financial collateral and settlement finality directives.
    83
    In this section, the term “policyholders” refers to policyholders, beneficiaries and injured third parties
    which should all be eligible claimants.
    Page | 60
    requirements, but would provide flexibility to Member States to adapt IGS protection to
    the varying characteristics of local insurance markets.
    Annex 5 examines in detail the different options for technical features of the design of a
    minimum harmonised EU framework for IGS, as well as the related costs and benefits.
    On this basis, assuming EU action, the preferred features would be the harmonisation of
    the geographic scope according to the home-country principle84
    , as well as the coverage
    of a minimum scope of eligible policies, encompassing life and selected non-life
    insurance policies, to a harmonised minimum level by either paying compensation or
    ensuring continuity of insurance policies. Mechanisms for cross-border cooperation and
    coordination would also be established. In order to ensure an adequate protection of
    policyholders, an IGS would need to be adequately funded (see sub-section on costs
    below), taking into consideration the specificities of insurance activities and of local
    markets.
    Benefits
    Action taken at EU level would benefit primarily policyholders by increasing their
    protection in the event that insurers are unable to fulfil their commitments. This would
    also foster the trust in a properly functioning Single Market for insurance and
    increase consumer choice by ensuring that consumers feel comfortable in purchasing
    insurance provided by insurers from other Member States, including innovative solutions
    aimed at improving the resilience of our economies against systemic risks (natural
    catastrophes, cyber-risks, etc.). The introduction of IGSs in all Member States would
    additionally reduce the risk of recourse to public funds to protect policyholders from
    losses, and could shield public funds from a potential liability of around EUR 21 billion85
    on an aggregated based, based on estimations provided in Annex 5. The proposed policy
    options are expected to generate two main advantages for the economy. First, they would
    ensure a level-playing field that would address the existing competitive distortions
    between domestic and non-domestic insurers. By contributing to the safety and well-
    functioning of the internal market for insurance services, the envisaged EU action would
    facilitate the provision of cross-border activities for individual insurers and groups.
    Second, EU action would reduce the risk of allocating losses to policyholders and
    taxpayers in a sub-optimal fashion, thereby also contributing to improved overall social
    welfare. In addition, EU action based on the home-country principle would align and
    enhance supervisory incentives, including in the context of cross-border activities, as the
    financial consequences of a failure would have to be borne consistently by the insurers of
    the Home Member State.
    Costs
    Introducing IGSs throughout the EU would also have a direct cost for insurers and an
    indirect cost for policyholders, as insurers would pass on part of their contributions to
    consumers through increased premiums. IGS can be financed either ex-ante, or ex-post
    84
    Where an IGS follows home-country principle, domestic policyholders would be protected by the
    national IGS only if the insurer from which they bought a policy is headquartered in the same Member
    State. In addition, policyholders buying a policy from a foreign insurer that operates on a cross-border
    basis, would be protected by the IGS of the Member State of the foreign insurer if this IGS also follows the
    home-country principle.
    85
    This amount corresponds to the losses estimated at EU-level that an insurance failure could generate and
    that an EU framework of IGS should be able to cover based on a confidence interval of 99%, meaning that
    in one loss event out of 100, the resources provisioned by the Fund will not be sufficient to cover the
    incurred loss. This estimation varies according to the underlying parameters, such as the confidence
    interval and the assumed probability of default of insurers, and the IGS design features.
    Page | 61
    (following a failure case), or through a combination of both approaches. EIOPA
    suggested a combination of ex ante and ex post funding.86
    In an ex-post funded scheme,
    resources would remain with the contributing institutions until a failure occurs, and levies
    would be paid only once losses arise and are known. However, ex-post funding may
    entail payout delays and would be more exposed to moral hazard, as failed insurers
    would have never contributed to the IGS. Furthermore, depending on the market
    circumstances and the degree of market concentration, raising contributions following the
    failure of an insurer could have a pro-cyclical effect. In a pre-funded scheme, funding is
    readily available, pro-cyclicality is avoided, and the incentive structure is preserved,
    contributing to market discipline. Annex 5 discusses the pros and cons of the financing
    models in more details.
    IGS funds can be considered as the additional premiums that policyholders pay to insure
    themselves against the insolvency of their insurer. The payments made by each
    policyholder can be considered roughly equivalent to the expected value of the losses
    they would avoid incurring, in the event that their insurers defaulted. Depending on the
    specificities of national insolvency frameworks, the possibility to use alternative funding
    mechanisms and the use of certain resolution tools, actual funding needs in Member
    States may be lower than those estimated by the model in Annex 5. In addition, the
    financial burden could be smoothened over a sufficiently long transition period in order
    to maintain the yearly impact at an acceptable level. While risk-based ex-ante
    contributions create the preferred incentive structure for all types of insurance
    commitments, the choice of a funding structure may also need to reflect that some
    insurance products have more limited payout and maturity profiles. These considerations
    may be suitable to balance adequately the interests of all stakeholders and should be
    assessed globally with other elements of the Solvency II review.
    As shown in Annex 5, the building up of a protection scheme in all Member States could
    require around EUR 21 billion. This currently corresponds to 2.33% of annual gross
    written premiums. Applying this target level over, for instance, a 10-year horizon would
    translate into an annual contribution of 0.233% of gross written premiums or EUR 2.33
    per yearly policy of EUR 1,000. However, this estimate does not take account of the
    funds that are already available in the current national IGS that are pre-funded.87
    EU action on IGSs would also affect insurers in different ways, depending on whether
    they operate in Member States that already have an IGS or not and depending on the
    specific market structures in place. For insurers, unlike policyholders, these contributions
    – or at least the portion that would not be passed on to policyholders – constitute a
    financial cost in themselves (and not an early payment), as losses hitting insurers in the
    event of default only depend on capital, not on premiums paid. The financial costs for the
    industry can be computed by using the Solvency II cost of capital rate of 5%88
    . For an
    IGS with a level of funding of 2.33% of annual premiums, this would translate into
    financial (capital) costs of about 0.12% of annual premiums.
    86
    EIOPA suggested that IGSs should be funded on the basis of ex-ante contributions by insurers, possibly
    complemented by ex-post funding arrangements in case of capital shortfalls and that further work is needed
    in relation to specific situations where a pure ex-post funding model could potentially work, subject to
    adequate safeguards.
    87
    Not all necessary information could be collected to determine the full level of current pre-funding in the
    Member States.
    88
    See Sub-section 6.2.2 of the impact assessment and Sub-section 3.2.2 of Annex 8.
    Page | 62
    Overall assessment
    Effectiveness, efficiency and coherence: The minimum harmonisation of a network of
    IGS would address the problem drivers that lead to insufficient policyholder protection in
    case of failure by closing the identified gaps and by removing potential overlaps. In the
    event that insurers fail, IGSs would absorb insurers’ losses up to at least the EU
    minimum coverage level. This mutualised “tail-risk” protection would achieve a high
    level of security for policyholders and beneficiaries in a cost-effective manner (i.e.
    considering the smoothing and mutualisation effect) by covering the potential excess
    losses that would not be accounted for by existing capital requirements (or any available
    excess capital). The pre-funded nature of the funding and its spreading among a larger
    base (of insurers and of end-consumers) would provide the desired level of protection at
    a lower cost and in a counter-cyclical manner. However, insurance failures remain rare
    events. Therefore, the potential costs and challenges (see the sub-section on “winners and
    losers” below) of EU minimum harmonisation have to be assessed bearing in mind the
    level of protection that is sought throughout the Single Market and the level of risk
    tolerance that policyholders and/or taxpayers may accept (as they have to ultimately bear
    the losses of insurance failures). In contrast to normal court-based insolvency
    proceedings, IGSs would help ensure a swift pay-out to policyholders, minimise potential
    social hardship and possibly bring to zero the loss incurred by policyholders at the time
    of failure, and, introduce an element of predictability and certainty on the effects of the
    failure of an insurance company for its policyholders. By optimising these elements
    together with a better allocation of insurance failure losses, an EU minimum
    harmonisation framework for IGS would contribute to maximising EU social welfare,
    developing a more competitive EU market and achieving consumers’ trust in the internal
    market for insurance. The design of IGS features, in particular an ex-ante risk-based
    contribution mechanism, could address and manage potential moral hazard effects that
    could be linked to the introduction of a framework of protection schemes. On the
    supervisory side, minimum harmonisation in accordance with the home country principle
    would be coherent with the supervisory architecture of Solvency II as it would reinforce
    incentives for the adequate supervision of cross-border branches and direct sales of
    national insurers. It would also complement and follow the same approach as the
    proposed revision of the Motor Insurance Directive that ensures third party protection in
    the case of insurance failure for the specific product of motor third party liability.
    Winners and losers: Overall, policyholders would benefit from EU action that would
    offer them an increased protection in the event that insurers fail irrespective of their place
    of residence and of where they bought their insurance cover. The associated costs could
    be seen as a premium for being insured against such failure. In exchange, policyholders
    and beneficiaries would have the certainty that their eligible claims would be covered,
    even in adverse circumstances. Similarly, the EU action on IGS would benefit taxpayers,
    as the likelihood that public resources would need to be used in the future in case of
    default of an insurance undertaking would be reduced. On the one hand, as explained
    above, where no pre-funded IGS has been established so far, or in the cases where the
    scope would need to be extended, insurance companies and policyholders would face
    additional financial costs. On the other hand, EU action would eliminate the existing
    duplication of levies that might currently be imposed on firms that perform cross-border
    activities. In addition, an IGS framework would contribute to reinforcing market
    discipline, level-playing field and competitiveness and ensure a better functioning of the
    internal market for insurance that would be beneficial for insurance companies as a
    whole. Finally, existing IGS schemes would be affected to the extent that the framework
    established at EU level deviates from the national IGS framework in place, in particular
    Page | 63
    where the minimum level of protection established at EU level would exceed their
    coverage.
    Stakeholder views: During the Commission’s public consultation, participants were
    asked whether IGSs should become mandatory across the EU. Overall, views were split
    among respondents. NGOs/consumers/citizens who expressed a view were largely in
    favour. The main rationale behind supporting the requirement to set up IGS was the
    enhancement of policyholders’ protection and the strengthening of the Single Market. By
    contrast, public authorities and insurance industry representatives that responded to the
    consultation were mainly opposed. A strong focus on proportionate minimum
    harmonisation takes these concerns into account. However, a quarter of the industry
    respondents, notably five national insurance associations, supported IGS minimum
    harmonisation. In the Commission expert group, a majority of Member States was of the
    opinion that minimum harmonisation would be beneficial (see Annex 2). During
    EIOPA’s consultation activities, several stakeholders agreed that there should be a
    minimum degree of harmonisation but that its legal structure should be left to national
    discretion. Other stakeholders, mostly from the industry, were against a harmonisation in
    the field of IGSs. Some respondents also pointed at a lack of harmonization of the
    supervisory practices (see Sub-section 6.1.3 of the Evaluation Annex) and of recovery
    and resolution frameworks.
    6.4.4. Choice of preferred options
    The below tables provides a high-level summary of how the previously described options
    compare and interact (note that for the sake of readability of the tables, the labels of the
    Options have been shortened). The incremental impacts of each of these options remain
    broadly similar whether they are compared to the baseline option or between them, as
    alternatives to foster policyholder protection.
    In relation to Option 2, the assessment has to reflect possibly contradictory effects of
    changes on group supervision and cross-border supervision. For instance, regarding
    effectiveness on quality of supervision, there is a strong added value of changes in
    relation to group supervision due to the removal of legal gaps and uncertainties. In
    relation to cross-border supervision, while the effect of Option 2 is overall positive, the
    added value depends on the extent to which the principles embedded in existing soft
    convergence tools (notably the Decision on Collaboration) are already applied by
    national authorities (for those countries which already full apply those principles, the
    improved effectiveness would be limited).
    Effectiveness
    Efficiency
    (Cost-
    effectiveness)
    Coherence
    LT green
    financing
    Risk
    sensitivity
    Volati-
    lity
    Propor-
    tionality
    Supervision -
    protection
    against
    failures
    Financial
    stability
    Option 1 – Do nothing 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
    Option 2 – Improve quality
    of supervision
    + + 0 0 ++ + ++ ++
    Option 3 – Introduce rules
    to avert / manage failing
    insurers
    0 0 0 + ++ ++ ++ ++
    Option 4 – Introduce rules
    to protect policyholders
    when insurers fail
    + 0 0 0 +++ + ++ ++
    Page | 64
    Summary of winners and losers
    Insurers Policyholders Supervisory authorities
    Option 1 0 0 0
    Option 2 +/- ++ +/-
    Option 3 +/- ++ +
    Option 4 - +++ 0
    Legend: +++ = Very positive++ = Positive + = Slightly positive +/- = Mixed effect
    0 = no effect - = Slightly negative -- = Negative --- = very negative
    Remedying legal uncertainties and strengthening the way supervisors apply Solvency II
    and cooperate, in particular in a cross-border context is a prerequisite to improving
    quality of supervision and policyholder protection. Similarly, reinforcing the
    coordination and mediation role of EIOPA would be coherent with the maximum
    harmonisation approach of Solvency II in relation to supervision. Therefore, Option 2
    would be effective in improving the quality of ongoing supervision of insurance
    companies and groups and improve the level-playing field and the integration of the
    Single Market for insurance services. However, considered alone, it would not contribute
    fully to the objectives of an EU action in terms of addressing adequately the management
    of an insurer’s failure and ensuring policyholders’ protection in such a case.
    In order to foster further supervisory convergence and support policyholder protection,
    Option 3 would further clarify and strengthen the Solvency II provisions that aim at
    addressing the deterioration of the financial situation of insurers. However, as the
    possibility of an insurance failure can never be entirely excluded, Option 3 would also
    implement a resolution framework that would ensure the continuity of an insurer’s
    important functions for the economy, minimise reliance on public financial support and
    mitigate the adverse effects on financial stability in comparison to normal insolvency
    proceedings. Therefore, these additional benefits of Option 3 in terms of reducing
    negative social and welfare effects of an insurer’s failure would justify the additional
    costs of recovery and resolution planning as long as they are applied in a proportionate
    manner.
    At the same time, normal insolvency proceedings would remain a possibility under
    Option 3. In this case, as illustrated by recent insurance failures, it cannot be excluded
    that losses have to be borne by policyholders. In addition, even in the context of a
    resolution framework, the successful implementation of some tools, such as a transfer of
    portfolio, may require to haircut the value of some policies. Options 2 and 3 alone would
    thus not ensure that policyholders are shielded completely from social or financial
    hardship resulting from their insurer’s failure. Depending on the judgement on the need
    to mitigate these risks for individual policyholders in all Member States, Option 4 could
    implement an effective IGS protection that would safeguard the confidence of consumers
    in the Single Market for insurance and ensure a level-playing field across the EU. By its
    design, Option 4 would contribute to fostering market discipline and to incentivise
    insurers to adequately monitor and manage their risks. It would also contribute to the
    effectiveness of Option 2 by reinforcing the incentives for supervisors to exert
    appropriate oversight on cross-border business. However, Option 4 would entail
    additional implementation costs the amount of which would depend on the design and on
    the starting point of the different Member States, as explained in above and in Annex 5.
    In conclusion, all three options are complementary and contribute together to the
    achievement of the objectives set for EU action.
    Page | 65
    The preferred options to address Problem 4 are Option 2 (Improve the quality of
    supervision by strengthening or clarifying rules on certain aspects, in particular in
    relation to cross-border supervision)89 and Option 3 (Introduce minimum
    harmonising rules to ensure that insurance failures can be better averted or
    managed in an orderly manner). Option 4 (Introduce minimum harmonising rules
    to protect policyholders in the event of an insurer’s failure) presents costs and
    benefits according to the desired level of protection for policyholders across the EU
    in case of failures of insurers that need to be considered in the broader context of
    the current focus on economic recovery.
    6.5. Limited specific supervisory tools to address the potential build-up of
    systemic risk in the insurance sector
    6.5.1. Option 2: Make targeted amendments to prevent financial stability risks
    Under Option 2, targeted amendments to the framework would be introduced to prevent
    the building-up of systemic risks stemming from or amplified by the insurance and
    reinsurance sector, which could be detrimental to financial stability. Those tools would in
    particular aim at:
    - Better incorporating macro-prudential considerations in insurers’ investment and
    risk management activities: insurance companies would be required to take into
    account how the macroeconomic developments can affect their underwriting and
    investment activities, and reciprocally how their activities may affect market
    drivers;
    - Preventing liquidity risks: insurance companies would be required to strengthen
    liquidity management planning and reporting, while supervisors would be able to
    intervene whenever any resulting liquidity vulnerabilities are not appropriately
    addressed by insurers. In addition, as a last resort measure, supervisory authorities
    would have the power to temporarily freeze redemption options on life insurance
    policies to avoid “insurance run”;
    - Avoiding excessive risk-taking: prudential rules would be amended so that
    banking-type loan origination activities by insurers are not subject to a more
    preferential treatment than in the banking sector thus preventing regulatory
    arbitrage and curtailing “shadow-banking”;
    - Preserving capital position of vulnerable insurers during exceptional situations: in
    crisis situations, supervisory authorities would be granted the power to restrict or
    suspend dividend distributions and variable remunerations on a case-by-case
    basis, in order to preserve an appropriate capital position for the insurance sector.
    Where necessary, EIOPA would be mandated to develop technical standards or guidance
    regarding operational details of these tools.
    Benefits
    Option 2 would determine a very tangible improvement of the ability of supervisors
    to monitor and prevent systemic risks stemming from or affecting the insurance
    sector. In addition, this option would further reduce pro-cyclical behaviours by insurers90
    and would ultimately produce positive effects for the stability of financial markets in the
    longer term. Insurers would be required to incorporate macro-prudential considerations in
    their underwriting and investment activities, which would limit excessive risk-taking
    89
    Please refer to Sections 4 and 5 of Annex 8 for further details on amendments to the rules governing
    group supervision and cross-border supervision.
    90
    Those pro-cyclical behaviours may destabilise market pricing.
    Page | 66
    behaviours. Supervisors would be entitled to intervene in case of liquidity vulnerabilities
    that are not addressed or to ensure prudent capital management during crisis situations, in
    the interest of policyholders and to preserve financial stability. Option 2 would also be in
    line with a risk-based framework, because supervisory intervention on dividends
    policies would be entitled only when justified by the application of risk-based
    considerations and criteria. As there is no quantitative requirement for liquidity risk as in
    the banking sector, those additional tools would ensure that liquidity risk is appropriately
    monitored and controlled without imposing standardised liquidity metric which would
    not be fit for the specificities of different insurers’ business models.
    In addition, while not affecting volatility and not directly improving risk sensitivity,
    Option 2 would still require that insurers better take into account sector-wide
    developments and liquidity risks in a prospective manner, and therefore would provide
    good incentives for improved risk management beyond capital requirements.
    Costs
    Option 2 could possibly depress, to a certain extent, insurers’ ability to invest in
    activities which may provide long-term and sustainable financing to the economy.
    However, this would only occur when prudentially justified (for instance the inclusion of
    a macro-prudential dimension in investment activities could discard some specific
    investments which may generate financial stability risks although they could still allow
    for better expected returns for policyholders), and with the aim of ensuring the long-term
    stability of financial markets and the broader economy. In addition, additional focus on
    liquidity risks may prompt insurers to divest from certain “illiquid” assets if these
    contribute to systemic risks, although such investments could be considered beneficial
    for the purpose of achieving the CMU objectives (e.g. investments in unlisted equity of
    SMEs).
    Option 2 would increase the complexity of the framework because it would introduce
    new risk management requirements for insurers. Still, Option 2 would also aim at
    ensuring that the new requirements are implemented in a proportionate manner. For
    instance, EIOPA proposes that supervisory authorities should have the power to waive
    requirements in relation to liquidity risk management planning depending on the nature,
    scale, and complexity of the insurer’s activities.
    Although Option 2 would grant supervisors with a common set of macro-prudential tools
    to prevent systemic risks, it cannot be excluded that supervisors facing similar systemic
    risks emerging at national level would not act in the same way. Even with guidance and
    coordination at EU level, supervisors would still be in a position to deviate from
    supervisory recommendations put forward by EIOPA or the European Systemic Risk
    Board (ESRB). Such an issue already materialised in the context of the statements by
    EIOPA and the ESRB in 2020 to prohibit dividend distributions by European insurers,
    where some NSAs decided to deviate from EIOPA’s approach (i.e. insurers in some
    countries could distribute dividends whereas their direct competitors in others could not).
    A lack of harmonisation in supervisory responses to financial stability concerns may
    hinder public authorities’ ability to address sector-wide systemic risks at European level,
    considering that macro-prudential policy would largely remain a national competence.
    However, Option 2 would still be an improvement compared to the baseline as public
    authorities would still be granted new powers to prevent financial stability risks at least at
    national level. Option 2 would also negatively affect the level-playing field if some
    insurers were imposed additional requirements (e.g. dividend restrictions) whereas their
    competitors were not while facing similar risks. Similarly, in relation to waivers of some
    Page | 67
    requirements (e.g. liquidity requirements), EIOPA proposes to issue guidelines, but those
    non-binding tools would not necessarily ensure consistency across Member States.
    The new tools would be in line with the international framework for systemic risk91
    , and
    would not result in an increase in capital requirements. However, the power for
    supervisors to restrict or suspend dividend distributions could increase financing costs for
    European insurers compared to non-European ones. Therefore, Option 2 would have a
    slightly potential negative impact on insurers’ international competitiveness. On the
    other hand, such restrictions could improve or preserve the solvency ratio of insurers
    during exceptional situations (such as adverse economic or market events), and thus
    contribute to policyholder protection and the preservation of financial stability.
    Finally, Option 2 would imply moderate implementation costs for the insurance
    industry. Indeed, based on a survey included in EIOPA’s impact assessment, 61% of
    insurers do not currently include a macro-prudential perspective in their investment and
    risk management activities, and among them, 59% (i.e. 36% of all insurers surveyed)
    identify that such a requirement would generate significant additional costs (although
    such costs are not quantified). Similarly, almost half of insurers (48%) do not yet produce
    a liquidity risk management plan. However, EIOPA estimates that drafting and
    maintaining such a plan involves very limited additional human and financial resources
    as shown in the below table:
    Staff costs
    Other costs (including IT and fees to
    externals)
    Average one-off
    costs
    0.46 full-time equivalent
    (FTE)
    = 0.06% of total employees
    € 30,546
    = 0.0008% of liabilities towards
    policyholders
    Average
    ongoing annual
    costs
    0.41 full-time equivalent
    (FTE)
    = 0.05% of total employees
    € 14,233
    = 0.0004% of liabilities towards
    policyholders.
    The additional cost of reviewing such plans would also be limited for supervisory
    authorities. EIOPA considers that the average one-off cost for public authorities would
    lie between 0.05 and 3 FTE, and the average ongoing cost between 0.03 and 2 FTE.
    Overall assessment
    Effectiveness, efficiency and coherence: Option 2 would be effective in preventing
    systemic risks without overburdening the current system. It would therefore be coherent
    with one of the main objectives of Solvency II, namely financial stability. In addition,
    Option 2 would be consistent with the international standards; regulatory capital
    requirements would remain based on the risks faced by individual insurers and excessive
    risk-taking would be prevented without introducing limitations to insurers’ ability to
    invest for the long-term, nor through additional “cost of capital”. Still, supervisors would
    have new tools to address excessive risk taking and liquidity risks, and to ensure that
    macro-prudential concerns are appropriately embedded in insurers’ activities.
    Implementation costs for such new tools would be moderate. Efficiency would be
    achieved as more “far-reaching and stronger” tools (liquidity and capital buffers,
    concentration limits), while contributing to financial stability, may generate additional
    costs (including opportunity costs in terms of contribution to the long-term and
    91
    The possibilities to impose capital surcharges for systemic risk and/or to set soft concentration thresholds
    on investments are only mentioned in the “Guidance” part of the IAIS Insurance Core Principles (see ICP
    10.2.6). According to the IAIS, “Guidance facilitates the understanding and application of the Principle
    Statement and/or standards; it does not represent any requirements”.
    Page | 68
    sustainable financing of the economy and international competitiveness) and uncertain
    benefits. In fact, the added value and the appropriateness of those “far-reaching” tools
    have not been demonstrated and remain at this stage hypothetical. Finally, regulatory
    arbitrage between banks and insurers regarding banking-type activities would be
    prevented and the role of supervisors would be enhanced in the context of liquidity risks,
    although no discretionary powers to impose “liquidity buffers” would be introduced.
    EIOPA and ESRB would continue to be central in exercising systemic risks’ oversight
    and facilitating dialogue and coordination among NSAs, although national authorities
    would still have the final word.
    Winners and losers: Improved financial stability would have no direct effect on
    policyholder protection. However, financial instability risks and possible spill-over
    effects on the real economy could affect policyholders both as taxpayers (since business
    failures and economic recession may require public intervention) and as workers (since
    EIOPA demonstrates that there is a correlation between financial instability and
    unemployment). On the contrary, some of the tools embedded in Option 2 (in particular,
    the power to freeze the exercise of surrender options on life insurance contracts) may be
    considered detrimental to policyholders in the short term. However, this would only be a
    last resort measure to avoid the failure of an insurer, which may result in financial losses
    for all remaining policyholders in the longer run.
    The impact of Option 2 is mixed. Shareholders of insurers might be considered losers in
    the short term because of the possibility of dividend restrictions, however as such
    restrictions would strengthen the solvency position of insurers and thus their probability
    of survival, shareholders might win in the long run. Similarly, insurers conducting
    banking-type loan origination activities may face a slight increase in capital requirements
    due to more convergence with banking rules but this might benefit the economy in the
    long term as the risk of regulatory arbitrage is reduced. Insurers might also be considered
    winners as the possibility to freeze redemption rights would make them less exposed to
    liquidity risk under stressed circumstances. Other changes embedded in Option 2 would
    not make it more costly for them to conduct their underwriting and insurance activities.
    There would still be some implementations costs in relation to the development of
    enhanced risk management and reporting systems, which would include the macro-
    prudential dimension. However, as explained above, a number of insurers already embed
    such requirements in their processes (and thus those would face no implementation
    costs), and the implementation costs for those which do not apply them yet would remain
    moderate. Option 2 would also have a limited negative impact on insurers’ capacity to
    compete at international level with non-European insurers. Supervisors would be winners
    compared to the status quo, although they may not be largely satisfied by Option 2
    because they would not get a fully-fledged set of new powers as proposed by EIOPA and
    the ESRB and may consider they lack certain tools to address potential systemic risks. At
    the same time, Option 2 would not limit the wide margin of discretion that they have in
    the exercise of macro-prudential supervision.
    Stakeholder views: The feedback to EIOPA’s and the Commission’s consultations are
    not fully consistent. In the context of EIOPA’s consultations, the vast majority of
    stakeholders expressed the view that should amendments be brought to Solvency II in
    order to incorporate a macro-prudential dimension, such changes should remain limited,
    broadly in line with Option 2. The situation is however more nuanced for respondents to
    the Commission’s public consultation, where only 27% of respondents (42% if we
    exclude those who did not provide an answer to the question) expressed support for
    targeted amendments only (the alternatives being either no change or a broad range of
    new powers). However, among public authorities, 63% (71% if we exclude those with no
    Page | 69
    answer) express support for targeted amendments. A specific question of the
    Commission’s consultation was about circumstances in which public authorities should
    have the power to freeze surrender rights. The majority of respondents expressed support
    for such a power, either at the level of individual insurers when they are in weak financial
    position or in financial distress (41%) or at sectoral level (24%). This applies to all
    stakeholder categories.
    6.5.2. Option 3: Introduce an extensive macro-prudential framework
    Under Option 3, a broad range of macro-prudential tools would be included in Solvency
    II, which are partly inspired from the banking sector although adapted to the insurance
    context. In addition to those tools already mentioned in Option 2, Option 3 would grant
    additional powers to supervisors with the aim of further avoiding excessive risk-taking
    activities and liquidity risk.
    In relation to risk-taking, Option 3 would encompass, in addition to the tools already
    covered by Option 2, the following discretionary powers for NSAs, subject to possible
    EIOPA’s technical standards and guidance where deemed appropriate:
    - imposing capital surcharges for systemic risk to single insurers that are deemed
    “too big to fail” or to insurers whose common (herding) risky behaviour may
    pose issues to financial stability, and/or countercyclical buffers in order to
    increase own fund requirements when market credit spread levels are lower than
    their historical average and may indicate the presence of a system-wide
    underestimation of risks (i.e. to ensure that insurers establish a buffer against
    future increases in spreads);
    - imposing (soft) concentration limits on investments so that supervisors can decide
    to intervene when insurers’ investments are deemed excessively concentrated in
    certain asset classes or sectors and public authorities consider that systemic risks
    may be generated or amplified by these asset classes or sectors;
    - requiring the establishment and maintenance of a systemic risk management plan
    (SRMP) so that insurers that are deemed to be systemic or to undertake
    systematically risky activities have to plan and report to supervisors all applicable
    measures that they intend to undertake in order to address their systematically
    risky activities;
    - prohibiting at sector-wide level dividend distributions and variable remuneration
    under crisis situations, regardless of the individual solvency position of insurers.
    In relation to liquidity, under Option 3, supervisors would impose, in addition to the tools
    of Option 2, discretionary liquidity buffers to insurers that they deem to have a
    “vulnerable” liquidity profile (for instance, high exposure to derivatives, which may
    generate risks of massive margin calls if financial markets deteriorate). Those buffers
    would be calculated based on standardized liquidity metrics inspired from the banking
    sector, but adapted to the insurance context.
    Benefits
    Option 3 would have a very positive effect on the ability of supervisors to preserve
    financial stability and address systemic risks stemming from or affecting the insurance
    sector. This option would also contribute to stabilise financial markets in the long term
    by avoiding excessive concentrations or excessively risky behaviours of insurers.
    Supervisors would indeed be granted with a large set of tools aiming at (i) limiting
    insurers’ risk taking activities which may generate “price bubbles”, (ii) ensuring that
    insurers are not exposed to material liquidity risks, including in relation to margin calls
    on derivative transactions and possible massive exercise of surrender options by
    Page | 70
    policyholders and (iii) preserving the financial solvency of the sector by limiting
    insurers’ ability to make payments to shareholders under crisis situations. Capital
    surcharges may mitigate both entity based92
    , activity-based93
    and behaviour-based
    sources of systemic risk. Concentration thresholds would be “soft” thresholds, in the
    meaning that the intensity of the supervisory response to a breach of threshold would be
    fully discretionary (and may consist in simply engaging dialogue between the supervisor
    and the firm). Liquidity buffers would be based on standardized liquidity metrics and
    would ensure that liquidity risk is assessed in a consistent way across Europe, although
    the decision to impose such buffers would remain discretionary.
    In addition, Option 3 would, to a certain extent, improve risk sensitivity by taking into
    account the state of financial markets (in particular credit spreads) in capital
    requirements. In addition, it would ensure that the risk related to loan origination
    activities is not underestimated compared to the banking sector (by making risk factors of
    the Solvency II counterparty default risk more consistent with those of the banking credit
    risk framework). This would be an improvement to policyholder protection.
    Finally, Option 3 would be in line with international agreed standards, which require
    supervisors to act appropriately to reduce systemic risk when identified, assess the
    potential systemic importance of insurers and target supervisory requirements to those
    insurers.
    Costs
    Option 3 would affect insurers’ ability to contribute to the long-term sustainable
    financing of the economy. Option 3 would indeed imply that certain insurers, if
    systemic risks are identified, may be incentivised or required to hold more liquid (due to
    the liquidity buffers) and less risky assets (i.e. cash and money-market funds, due to
    capital surcharges or concentration limits) to the detriment of asset classes such as equity,
    bonds and securitisations. While macro-prudential tools would be subject to supervisory
    discretion, the uncertainty surrounding their use by public authorities may indeed
    incentivise insurers to anticipate such restrictions and implicitly embed them in their
    investment behaviour and capital management, in particular if public authorities indicate
    that they identify systemic risks in these asset classes. Option 3 would also reduce
    insurers’ profitability, as the capital surcharges and concentration limits, where applied,
    may increase capital costs or reduce investment opportunities. In turn, their activation
    would have a negative impact on EU insurers’ international competitiveness, as these
    specific tools are not part of the macro-prudential framework in other jurisdictions. The
    risk of being restricted in investment decisions or in dividend distributions would put
    European insurers at a disadvantage vis-a-vis their international competitors, albeit at the
    benefit of being better prepared to cope with systemic risks. The uncertainty for investors
    regarding the actual level of capital requirements (including buffers) on insurers and
    decisions on dividend restrictions may increase the relative financing cost for EU
    insurers compared to third-country companies. In addition, lower risk taking would also
    limit insurers’ ability to supply (life) insurance policies that meet consumers’ demand.
    92
    i.e. preventing the failure of an insurer that is “too-big-to-fail” at national level. Note that in the context
    of the “holistic framework for systemic risks” developed at international level, no insurer has been
    identified as globally systematically important at this stage. However, the IAIS Holistic framework
    requires supervisors to have ‘an established process to assess the potential systemic importance of
    individual insurers and the insurance sector.’
    93
    i.e. reducing contagion risks stemming from non-insurance activities conducted by insurers (e.g.
    banking-type activities which may be systemic).
    Page | 71
    Although EIOPA’s Opinion highlights that macro-prudential tools should be
    implemented in a proportionate manner, no concrete safeguard is proposed to ensure that
    this principle is satisfied. As shown in Section 6.2 of the Evaluation Annex, a general and
    abstract principle of proportionality does not result in an effective implementation within
    Solvency II. Therefore, Option 3 would not guarantee that its effective implementation
    would ensure coherence with the overarching principle of proportionality embedded in
    Solvency II. Ensuring proportionality would require further conditions or technical
    standards that have not been developed by EIOPA as part of its Opinion on the Solvency
    II review. In any case, Option 3 would imply that the framework would become more
    complex and less predictable for firms, notably in terms of capital management
    policies.
    In addition, most of the tools that would be introduced as part of this option would be
    largely discretionary in nature (e.g. capital surcharges would be defined subject to
    supervisory judgement, the level of concentration thresholds and supervisory response to
    a breach of thresholds would be discretionary, as well as the definition of liquidity
    buffers or restrictions on dividend payments). Although EIOPA’s Opinion acknowledges
    that further guidance or technical standards would be needed at a later stage (through
    non-binding guideline by EIOPA for instance), Option 3 could lead to further
    inconsistencies between national supervisory processes, as also explained in Option 2.
    If the very same situation does not trigger a similar supervisory response (e.g. no
    application of capital surcharge for systemic risk in one jurisdiction but imposition of
    such buffers in others), there would be a risk of unequal level-playing field within the
    European Union, as some jurisdictions may be less willing to address systemic risks than
    others.
    Finally, Option 3 would imply moderate implementation costs for the insurance
    industry. In addition to those identified in Option 2, the main additional implementation
    cost would be in relation to systemic risk management plans. EIOPA estimates that the
    drafting and maintenance of both liquidity management and systemic risk management
    plans involves limited additional human and financial resources as shown in the below
    table.
    Staff costs
    Other costs (including IT and fees to
    externals)
    Average one-off
    costs
    0.96 full-time equivalent (FTE)
    = 0.13% of total employees
    € 70,879
    = 0.0022% of liabilities towards
    policyholders
    Average ongoing
    annual costs
    0.81 full-time equivalent (FTE)
    = 0.11% of total employees
    € 49,923
    = 0.0014% of liabilities towards
    policyholders.
    The additional cost of reviewing such plans would also be limited for supervisory
    authorities. EIOPA considers that the average one-off cost for public authorities would
    lie between 0.1 and 6 FTE, and the average ongoing cost between 0.08 and 4 FTE.
    Overall assessment
    Effectiveness, efficiency and coherence: By granting all the necessary tools that may be
    needed to address macro-prudential concerns, Option 3 would be the most effective
    option to preserve financial stability. However, if Option 3 was chosen, the EU would go
    further than other jurisdictions in addressing potential sources of systemic risks (for
    instance widespread collective reactions of firms to exogenous market shocks). Some of
    the sources of systemic risks in the insurance sector remain quite theoretical until now as
    Page | 72
    they have not materialised yet. Furthermore, the articulation between risk-based capital
    requirements and capital surcharges defined at individual level to prevent excessive risk
    taking is not straightforward. In particular, as discussed as part of the first problem on
    long-term and sustainable financing of the economy, it is acknowledged that capital
    requirements – although not being the main driver of investment decisions – may
    generate undue disincentives to invest in certain asset classes, in particular equity.
    Introducing the power for supervisors to impose systemic capital surcharge or
    concentration thresholds on equity investments would contradict such diagnosis. It could
    also undermine any solution aiming to address the insufficient incentives for long-term
    equity financing in situations where further investments in equity would not affect
    policyholder protection94
    . Furthermore, the risk-based nature of capital requirements
    makes it less justified to add capital buffers or to impose ex-ante concentration thresholds
    at individual level. Capital requirements in Solvency II are conceived in a way that
    insurers are actually discouraged to take excessive risk on assets which generate high
    capital charges (or otherwise they would have to be so highly capitalised to be in a
    position to weather market downturns and stick to their investments when the economic
    cycle is at a low level).
    The main exception would be government bonds because they are not subject to any
    capital charge under standard formula rules (therefore, quantitative rules do not deter
    concentration in such investments). However, the “prudent person principle” embedded
    in Solvency II ensures that the risk of concentration in any asset class or in certain
    counterparties is duly monitored and mitigated by insurers. An expansion of such
    principle to integrate “macro-prudential” considerations (as envisaged in both Option 2
    and Option 3) would similarly enhance supervisors’ possibility to discourage excessive
    concentrations or excessive expositions to temporary “price bubbles”. Similarly,
    countercyclical buffers, which could be imposed when spreads are low (as proposed by
    the ESRB), would be to a certain extent redundant because the risk of rising spreads is
    already captured in existing capital charges for spread risks. This was the reason why this
    tool was not retained in EIOPA’s final Opinion.
    In addition, as described above, the additional tools which are conceived as part of
    Option 3 would make it more difficult for insurers to compete at international level and
    more costly for them to invest in “real” assets (which may be more risky and less liquid).
    Option 3 would be coherent with the objectives of Solvency II (financial stability)
    although it may enter in conflict with other political objectives (e.g. facilitating insurers’
    contribution to the Capital Markets Union). In addition, the power for supervisors to
    impose a sector-wide blanket ban on dividend distributions without the application of
    risk-based criteria related to the risk appetite limits/tolerance, which are firm-specific,
    would undermine the credibility of capital requirements. In fact, under this approach,
    even an insurer which is very well capitalised (e.g. with a solvency ratio above 300%)
    could be subject to such restrictions if a sector-wide blanket ban was imposed.
    Winners and losers: Like in Option 2, policyholders would be in a relatively neutral
    position, as improved financial stability would have no short-term direct effect on
    policyholder protection (while only indirect effect on taxpayers and workers in the longer
    term). However, if financial stability was threatened, insurance firms, as well as
    policyholders, would be affected. On the contrary, some of the tools embedded in Option
    3 (e.g. power for NSAs to freeze the exercise of redemption options on life insurance
    94
    Note that the Solvency II asset class for long-term investment in equities relies on criteria some of which
    aim at ensuring that insurers can stick to their investments and are not exposed to forced selling at
    deteriorated market prices under stressed situations.
    Page | 73
    contracts) may, like in Option 2, be harmful to some policyholders in the short term.
    Insurers would be losers under Option 3 as it would be more costly for them to conduct
    their activities, and to generate return on investments, in particular because potential
    capital surcharges for systemic risks and concentration limits on investments may
    constrain their ability to “search for yield” and their capital management. On the other
    hand, Option 3 might be beneficial for their longer-term survival, as well as for
    preventing such kinds of behaviour for financial stability purposes. Option 3 would also
    make it more difficult to compete at international level with non-European insurers that
    are not subject to similar rules. Shareholders would thus lose as they could receive less
    dividends. On the other hand, shareholders would lose if insurance companies were to
    fail more easily during exceptional situations (e.g. during a financial crisis). Finally,
    supervisors would be largely winners of this option, due to the enhanced and fully-
    fledged set of new powers at their disposal and the wide margin of discretion that they
    would have when using them in practice.
    Stakeholder views: The vast majority of respondents to EIOPA’s consultations opposed
    the introduction a fully-fledged macro-prudential framework in Solvency II. This is more
    or less in line with the Commission’s public consultation where only 22% of respondents
    who expressed a view supported a broad set of new tools in Solvency II. Support ranges
    from 13% (public authorities) to 30% (NGOs/consumers/citizens) depending on the
    stakeholder category. Therefore, Option 3 would receive limited support by stakeholders.
    As regards the power to freeze surrender rights, please refer to the summary provided as
    part of the analysis of Option 2.
    6.5.3. Choice of the preferred option
    The below tables provides a high-level summary of how the previously described options
    compare (note that for the sake of readability of the tables, the labels of the Options have
    been shortened).
    Effectiveness
    Efficiency
    (Cost-
    effectiveness)
    Coherence
    LT green
    financing
    Risk
    sensitivity
    Volati-
    lity
    Propor-
    tionality
    Supervision -
    protection
    against
    failures
    Financial
    stability
    Option 1 – Do nothing 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 --
    Option 2 – Make targeted
    amendments to prevent
    financial stability risks
    - + 0 +/- -- ++ + ++
    Option 3 – Introduce an
    extensive macro-prudential
    framework
    --- + + - --- +++ --- --
    Summary of winners and losers
    Insurers Policyholders Supervisory authorities
    Option 1 0 0 0
    Option 2 +/- + +/-
    Option 3 --- ++ +++
    Legend: +++ = Very positive++ = Positive + = Slightly positive +/- = Mixed effect
    0 = no effect - = Slightly negative -- = Negative --- = very negative
    Option 3 would be the most effective in preserving financial stability. However, it could
    generate significant additional costs for capital management for the insurance industry.
    Page | 74
    There is no evidence that those costs outweigh the added value of the new powers that
    would be granted to supervisors. In addition, the material risk of inconsistent approach in
    their application may also be detrimental to the level-playing field. In comparison,
    Option 2 seems to find the right balance between the need to enrich the supervisory
    toolkit to address systemic risks, in line with international standards, while ensuring a
    proportionate increase in complexity and limited additional costs for the capital
    management of the insurance industry.
    The preferred option to address Problem 5 is Option 2 (Make targeted amendments
    to prevent financial stability risks)95.
    7. PREFERRED COMBINATION OF OPTIONS
    As discussed in Section 6, the selection of certain options to achieve an objective has
    been done with the aim of maximizing the effectiveness in addressing the specific
    objective related to a problem while limiting the costs and potential negative side effects
    on other specific objectives.
    The following tables summarize the impact of the different preferred options.
    95
    Please refer to Section 6 of Annex 8 for further details on the macro-prudential framework stemming
    from the preferred option.
    Page | 75
    Summary of winners and losers
    Insurers Policyholders
    Supervisory
    authorities
    Baseline: Do nothing (in all areas) 0 0 0
    Limited incentives for insurers to contribute to the long-term financing and the greening of the
    European economy
    Option 2: Facilitate long-term investments in
    equity
    ++ +/- +
    Option 4: Strengthen “Pillar 2” requirements in
    relation to climate change and sustainability risks
    - +++ +
    Insufficient risk sensitivity and limited ability of the framework to mitigate volatility of the
    solvency position of insurance companies
    Option 3: Address issues of risk sensitivity and
    volatility while balancing the cumulative effect of
    the changes
    + ++ -
    Insufficient proportionality of the current prudential rules generating unnecessary
    administrative and compliance costs for small and less complex insurers
    Option 3: Give priority to enhancing the
    proportionality principle within Solvency II and
    make a smaller change to the exclusion
    thresholds.
    ++ - -
    Deficiencies in the supervision of (cross-border) insurance companies and groups, and
    inadequate protection of policyholders against insurers’ failures
    Option 2: Improve the quality of supervision by
    strengthening or clarifying rules on certain
    aspects, in particular in relation to cross-border
    supervision
    +/- ++ +/-
    Option 3: Introduce minimum harmonising rules
    to ensure that insurance failures can be better
    averted or managed in an orderly manner.
    +/- ++ +
    Option 4: Introduce minimum harmonising rules
    to protect policyholder in the event of an insurer’s
    failure
    - +++ 0
    Limited specific supervisory tools to address the potential build-up of systemic risk in the
    insurance sector
    Option 2: make targeted amendments to prevent
    financial stability risks in the insurance sector
    +/- + +/-
    Page | 76
    Effectiveness Efficiency
    (Cost-
    effectiveness)
    Coherence
    LT green
    financing
    Risk
    sensitivity
    Volatility Proportionality
    Supervision - protection
    against failures
    Financial
    stability
    Baseline: Do nothing (in all areas) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 --
    Limited incentives for insurers to contribute to the long-term financing and the greening of the European economy
    Option 2: Facilitate long-term investments in equity ++ - - 0 + - ++ ++
    Option 4: Strengthen “Pillar 2” requirements in relation to
    climate change and sustainability risks
    + 0 0 0 + ++ + ++
    Insufficient risk sensitivity and limited ability of the framework to mitigate volatility of the solvency position of insurance companies
    Option 3: Address issues of risk sensitivity and volatility while
    balancing the cumulative effect of the changes
    +++ ++ +++ - - ++ ++ ++
    Insufficient proportionality of the current prudential rules generating unnecessary administrative and compliance costs for small and less complex insurers
    Option 3: Give priority to enhancing the proportionality
    principle within Solvency II and make a smaller change to the
    exclusion thresholds.
    0 0 0 +++ - - ++ +
    Deficiencies in the supervision of (cross-border) insurance companies and groups, and inadequate protection of policyholders against insurers’ failures
    Option 2: Improve the quality of supervision by strengthening
    or clarifying rules on certain aspects, in particular in relation to
    cross-border supervision
    + + 0 0 ++ + ++ ++
    Option 3: Introduce minimum harmonising rules to ensure that
    insurance failures can be better averted or managed in an
    orderly manner.
    0 0 0 + ++ ++ ++ ++
    Option 4: Introduce minimum harmonising rules to protect
    policyholder in the event of an insurer’s failure
    + 0 0 0 +++ + ++ ++
    Limited specific supervisory tools to address the potential build-up of systemic risk in the insurance sector
    Option 2: make targeted amendments to prevent financial
    stability risks in the insurance sector
    - + 0 +/- -- ++ ++ ++
    Page | 77
    7.1. General impacts96
    Most options retained have a positive effect in supporting insurers’ long term and
    sustainable financing of the European economy. By facilitating the use of the long-
    term equity asset class which benefits from a preferential treatment, by requiring that
    insurers incorporate climate and sustainability considerations in their investment and
    underwriting activities, and by reducing the volatility of the framework, insurers benefit
    from a conducive prudential environment, which fosters long-termism and sustainability
    in investment decisions. Other options retained, which reduce regulatory compliance
    costs and facilitate the dissemination of insurance supply that can improve resilience
    against climate change and/or natural catastrophes, also have a positive impact. The
    proposal to make targeted changes to Solvency II in relation to financial stability may
    hinder the objective of long-term financing and greening of the economy. It achieves
    however the appropriate trade-off between what is needed in order to ensure that public
    authorities have the appropriate toolkit to address systemic risks, and the limitation of
    side effects on the political objectives of the Capital Markets Union and the European
    Green Deal. In addition, the framing of the revised criteria for long-term investments in
    equity would aim at rewards where insurers are able to avoid forced selling under
    stressed situations, which limits the risk that the insurance sector could amplify systemic
    financial market turmoil.
    Furthermore, the combination of preferred options reduces volatility, but also improves
    risk sensitivity by appropriately reflecting the risk of negative interest rates in capital
    requirements and in the valuation of insurers’ liabilities towards policyholders. The
    clarification of prudential rules in relation to group supervision, and the targeted
    amendment on macro-prudential supervision in relation to banking-type activities by
    insurers (to remove risks of regulatory arbitrage) also contribute to improving risk
    sensitivity. However, the revision of the eligibility criteria for long-term equity
    investments, which aims at facilitating its use by insurers, would reduce the risk-
    sensitivity of the framework as EIOPA’s analysis concludes that the preferential
    treatment on such investments is not justified by evidence. Still, EIOPA did not
    recommend removing this asset class, and on the contrary supported the objective of
    clarifying supervisory criteria for its use. There is a clear trade-off between risk
    sensitivity and facilitation of long-term equity, but the deterioration of risk sensitivity
    generated by the facilitation of the use of the long-term equity asset class seem limited
    (as the classification criteria remain robust) and are justified by the political priority
    given to the completion of the Capital Markets Union. Still, overall, the level of prudence
    of the framework is slightly increased compared to current rules.
    One key consideration is the overall balance of the review in terms of capital
    requirements. Based on EIOPA’s impact assessment, the Commission services tried to
    quantify the impact of all changes brought on the average solvency position of insurers at
    two different reference dates. The below table provides a summary of those calculations
    – assuming that no transitional period would be introduced. It shows that the impact of
    the review depends on how low interest rates are. The review would in all cases improve
    the capital surplus at EEA level, although there would be a slight decrease in solvency
    ratios. The impact would in any case be spread over several years and would result in the
    short term in an increase in capital resources in excess of capital requirements of up to €
    96
    Please also refer to Annex 3 for further details.
    Page | 78
    90 billion euros which would facilitate insurers’ contribution to the post-Covid recovery.
    At the end of this phasing-in period, the overall impact would depend on market
    conditions, but would in any case imply an increase in insurers’ capital resources in
    excess of capital requirements as shown in the below table. The below figures which
    show the long-term impact of the review are provided for the sample of insurers which
    participated to EIOPA’s data collection exercises, as well as for the whole EU market. As
    the figures for the whole market are “extrapolated” from the sample, they may be less
    reliable. Note that those figures provide a floor to the impact of the review, as they do not
    take into account the extinction of older contracts with high guaranteed rates which
    generate more capital requirements97
    .
    Reference date end of 2019 Reference date mid-2020
    Change in
    solvency ratio
    compared to under
    current rules
    Change in excess own
    funds compared to
    current rules
    Change in solvency
    ratio compared to
    under current rules
    Change in excess own
    funds over compared to
    current rules
    Combined effect
    on quantitative
    rules of all
    recommendations
    by EIOPA
    -13 percentage
    points
    (from 247% to
    233%)
    - EUR 15 billion
    (sample)
    - EUR 18 billion
    (whole market)
    -22 percentage
    points
    (from 226% to
    204%)
    - EUR 40 billion (sample)
    - EUR 55 billion (whole
    market)
    Combined effect
    on quantitative
    rules of all
    preferred options
    -2 percentage
    points
    (from 247% to
    245%)
    + EUR 16 billion
    (sample)
    +EUR 30 billion
    (whole market)
    -3 percentage points
    (from 226% to
    223%)
    + EUR 8 billion
    (sample)
    +16 EUR billion (whole
    market)
    In addition, as the negative changes would be gradually implemented over at least five
    years, any cost of the review would be smoothened, and insurers would be given
    sufficient time to issue new capital or debt instruments if needed. Finally, as the average
    solvency ratio by mid-2020 remained above 220%, the few percentage points change in
    solvency ratios, spread over five years, would not have had a disruptive effect on the
    market. Therefore, the options chosen achieve a balanced – and even positive – outcome
    in terms of capital requirements. This also confirms the choice of not introducing those
    new macro-prudential tools, which would have an effect on capital requirements, as it
    would undermine the objective of “balance” while not being necessarily technically
    justified. The technical changes retained in order to address volatility have a slightly
    negative impact on the simplicity of the framework, but those changes remain moderate.
    The combination of options is improving proportionality by excluding more insurers
    from Solvency II and by applying automatic proportionality to a number of insurers,
    which have a low-risk profile. As the outcome of the review, up to 20% of insurers
    would be excluded from Solvency II, to be compared with 14% under current rules. This
    represents a significant increase while ensuring that the vast majority of insurers remain
    subject to Solvency II. The technical changes retained in order to address volatility have
    a negative but limited impact on the simplicity of the framework. Therefore, overall, the
    review would achieve its objective of making the framework simpler for less complex
    insurers.
    97
    More precisely, the negative impact of changes on interest rates is more significant for contracts with
    higher interest rates. As such contracts with higher interest rates are usually older, their extinction over
    time is expected to result in a lower long-term impact of changes on interest rates. Therefore, at the end of
    the phasing-in period, the overall impact of the review is expected to be even more positive than what the
    table suggests, as this table does not reflect the extinction of the older contracts.
    Page | 79
    The quality and consistency of supervision and policyholder protection would be
    improved by clarifying rules on group supervision, by remedying gaps in and insufficient
    coordination on cross-border supervision, and by considering the introduction of
    minimum harmonising rules on recovery, resolution and IGSs. Based on Commission
    services’ calculations (see Annex 5), the financial (capital) costs of introducing IGSs for
    the industry is estimated to be about 0.12% of annual premiums. In absolute terms, these
    estimated costs98
    are justified by the benefits of introducing IGSs for policyholders,
    taxpayers and the economy more broadly. Clearer rules in those fields also contribute to
    improving the level-playing field within the EU, by ensuring that rules are applied
    consistently across the EU. The clarification of criteria for long-term equity investments
    would also contribute to this objective. However, the enhancement of proportionality, by
    excluding more firms from Solvency II, does not support “consistent supervision”, as it
    reinforces the co-existence of a European regime with national frameworks. This is also
    the reason why it was preferred to prioritise proportionality for firms within Solvency II
    rather than to exclude a larger number of companies from the framework. In addition, the
    reduction of compliance costs for those firms outweighs the side effects on consistency
    of supervision. Should a small insurer want to operate cross-border, it would have to
    apply Solvency II. Therefore, the level-playing field within the Single Market would be
    preserved and even improved.
    Finally, the combination of preferred options contribute to preserving financial
    stability, by granting supervisors targeted additional powers to address macro-prudential
    risks, including liquidity risk, but also by harmonising recovery and resolution
    frameworks that ensures the orderly management of insurers’ failures, which could be
    facilitated by IGS funding. As explained above there are trade-offs to be found between
    achieving this objective and supporting insurers’ long-term investments in equity (which
    implies facilitating risk taking). However, robust criteria for long-term equities (notably
    the clarification of expectations on how insurers can demonstrate their ability to hold on
    to their investments under stressed conditions) would avoid excessive risk taking.
    Similarly, there may also be trade-offs between proportionality and financial stability.
    Indeed, by excluding more firms from the mandatory scope of Solvency II, the
    combination of options reduces EIOPA’s ability to have a European-wide consolidated
    view of macro-trends and the build-up of systemic risks. However, the firms concerned
    by exclusions represent less than a few percentage points in terms of both, gross written
    premiums and liabilities towards policyholders. Therefore, again, the benefit of
    enhancing proportionality outweighs the (limited) side effect on financial stability.
    Finally, the cumulative impact of the options achieves a satisfactory balance for all types
    of stakeholders. Insurers benefit from better recognition of their long-term business
    model, by facilitating long-term investments and reducing the impact of short-term
    volatility, and by enhancing proportionality (hence reducing compliance costs).
    Policyholders are overall better off by the improved risk sensitivity, and the better
    integration of climate risks by insurers, but also by a higher quality of supervision and
    new layers of protection provided by the frameworks on recovery, resolution and on
    insurance guarantee schemes. Supervisors are relatively neutral with the review. In some
    areas, they benefit from clearer rules (e.g. on equity), on others, the framework becomes
    more complex to supervise (e.g. on volatility). Supervisors also lose some discretion in
    relation to proportionality, but gain new powers to preserve financial stability.
    In conclusion, insurers would be subject to a prudential framework that is more
    conducive to long-term equity investments and better incorporates the long-term climate
    98
    As explained in section 6.4.3, these estimated funding costs could actually be lower in the practice.
    Page | 80
    and sustainability risks. As such, insurers would have stronger incentives to play their
    pivotal role in the long-term capital funding and the greening of the European economy,
    and to support the economic recovery in the aftermath of the Covid-19 crisis, in line with
    the political objectives of the CMU and the European Green Deal. While making the
    framework more sensitive and contributing to the main objective of Solvency II
    (policyholder protection), the review would not have a market-disruptive impact on
    insurers’ solvency ratios and would therefore not materially affect insurers’ international
    competitiveness. While remaining very sophisticated, the framework would be designed
    in such a way that undue complexity is avoided for low-risk insurers, which would
    benefit from more proportionate and simpler rules. The initiative would also strengthen
    the trust in the Single Market for insurance services, by ensuring that Solvency II is
    applied in a more harmonised and more coordinated manner, in particular in relation to
    cross-border business. In addition, a more integrated Single Market would also be
    fostered by introducing new layers of policyholder protection against the consequences
    of insurers’ (near-)failures through minimum harmonisation on resolution and IGSs.
    Finally, existing gaps in the toolbox for macro-prudential supervision would be
    addressed in a proportionate manner, by introducing new provisions, which would have a
    clear added value to prevent financial instability in line with international standards on
    systemic risks. While those tools could have a short-term implementation cost for
    insurers, they would benefit in the longer term from more robust risk management and a
    lower likelihood of financial instability.
    7.2. Impact on SMEs
    The review would have a positive impact on SMEs. First, the preferred options on
    proportionality would reduce compliance and regulatory costs by both excluding a larger
    number of small insurers from the scope of mandatory application of Solvency II, and
    enhancing the application of proportionate rules for other smaller and less complex
    insurers in the scope of Solvency II (see subsection 7.3 below). Second, all SMEs
    (beyond the insurance sector) would benefit from easier access to long term capital
    funding. Indeed, one of the preferred options implies simplifying the eligibility criteria
    for long-term equity investments, which is expected to facilitate the use of this asset class
    by insurers. Eligible equities would benefit from a risk factor of 22% instead of an
    average risk factor of 39% for listed equity and 49% for unlisted equity. Long-term
    investments in SMEs, which are largely unlisted, would therefore benefit from a higher
    capital relief than long-term investments in listed equities. Therefore, insurers would
    have an incentive to further provide long-term capital funding to SMEs99
    .
    7.3. REFIT (simplification and improved efficiency)
    The review would only contribute to REFIT cost savings by addressing the problem
    insufficient proportionality of the current prudential rules.
    99
    Note that according to current rules, eligibility criteria are already more flexible for investments in funds,
    such as European long-term investment funds pursuant to Regulation (EU) 2015/760, qualifying venture
    capital funds and qualifying social entrepreneurship funds as referred to in Article 3(b) of Regulations (EU)
    No 345/2013 and 346/2013 respectively. Indeed, for such funds, the satisfaction of the eligibility criteria is
    assessed at the level of the fund instead of the underlying assets. The relaxation of the eligibility criteria for
    long-term equities would also benefit such funds.
    Page | 81
    REFIT Cost Savings – Preferred Option(s)
    Description Amount (in €) Comments
    Extension of
    the exclusion
    thresholds
    from the
    mandatory
    scope of
    Solvency II
    Saving of up to
    EUR 500 million
    in ongoing
    compliance costs
    for insurers,
    which could be
    excluded if the
    policy option is
    implemented.
    According to the “Study on the costs of compliance for the financial sector” the
    average “general” cost of compliance with Solvency II is € 12 million for one-
    off costs, and € 2.7 million for ongoing costs, which represent 3.18% and 0.96%
    respectively of total operating costs. Up to 186 firms would be excluded from
    the mandatory application of Solvency II due to the increased thresholds. This
    benefit would be partly offset by the implementation costs of applying national
    prudential frameworks, but those costs cannot be quantified. Additionally, some
    firms that are close to the thresholds may reach them in the coming years
    (however, we do not have the corresponding figure).
    Identification
    of low-risk
    insurers,
    which would
    benefit from
    automatic
    application
    of
    proportionate
    rules
    Saving of at least
    EUR 50 million
    in ongoing
    compliance costs
    for insurers
    We make the conservative assumption that the requirements that can be subject
    to proportionality represent between 5% and 10% of total ongoing compliance
    costs. At least 249 firms would be identified as of low-risk profile. EIOPA’s
    impact assessment does not contain quantitative data. Based on partial data from
    the industry, we could estimate that some elements of this policy option
    (reduced frequency of the reporting of the ORSA and of the mandatory review
    of internal written policies, possibility for the same person to cumulate “key
    functions” within a firm) could allow saving approximately up to 1 FTE100
    . The
    actual figure depends on the size of the company and the proportionality
    measures it is applying currently.
    8. HOW WILL ACTUAL IMPACTS BE MONITORED AND EVALUATED?
    An evaluation of this initiative will be carried out five years after its entry into
    application.
    Objectives Indicator
    Source of
    information
    Data
    already
    collected?
    Actor(s)
    responsible for
    data collection
    Provide
    incentives for
    insurers’ long-
    term sustainable
    financing of the
    economy.
    % of equity in investment portfolios
    Public EIOPA
    statistics
    Yes EIOPA
    Share of insurers’ investments in SMEs
    Quantitative
    reporting templates
    (QRTs)
    No EIOPA
    % of sustainable assets in investment
    portfolios
    NFRD disclosures
    or QRTs
    No
    Commission
    EIOPA
    Improve risk-
    sensitivity and
    mitigate short-
    term volatility in
    insurers’
    solvency
    position
    Degree of asset-liability mismatch (duration
    gap)
    QRTs No EIOPA
    Average level of guaranteed interest rate;
    difference between that average and long-
    term market interest rates
    QRTs and EIOPA’s
    risk-free curves
    Partly EIOPA
    Increase
    proportionality
    of Solvency II to
    remove
    unnecessary
    administrative
    Number and share of companies that are
    excluded from Solvency II
    EIOPA register Yes EIOPA
    Number (and percentage) of companies that
    are classified as low-risk profile, as well as
    their market share;
    Number of proportionality measures applied
    EIOPA’s report on
    proportionality
    No EIOPA
    100
    Source: AMICE.
    Page | 82
    burden and
    compliance
    costs
    by them.
    Number and market share of firms, which
    are granted proportionality measures
    although they do not meet all the criteria for
    low-risk profile
    EIOPA’s report on
    proportionality
    No EIOPA
    Enhance quality,
    consistency and
    coordination of
    insurance
    supervision
    across the EU,
    and improve the
    protection of
    policyholders
    and
    beneficiaries,
    including when
    their insurer
    fails
    Number of deficiencies in quality of
    supervision identified by EIOPA
    EIOPA’s peer
    review reports
    Yes EIOPA
    Number of questions received by EIOPA
    which require a legal interpretation and of
    those relating to the practical application or
    implementation of Solvency II provisions on
    group supervision101
    EIOPA website Yes EIOPA
    Number of international insurance groups
    whose parent company is located in the EU
    EIOPA register,
    QRTs, market data
    Partly EIOPA/NSAs
    Share of European insurance groups’
    premiums which are written outside the
    home jurisdiction, and outside the EEA
    EIOPA register,
    QRTs, market data
    Partly EIOPA/NSAs
    Share of insurers’ premiums that are written
    outside the home jurisdiction, per line of
    business
    QRTs, and other
    national sources
    Yes EIOPA/NSAs
    Number of cross-border cases solved
    following EIOPA’s recommendations
    EIOPA report No EIOPA
    Number of recovery plans drafted;
    number of resolution plans drafted
    Information from
    NSAs
    No EIOPA/NSAs
    Number of winding up procedures Official Journal Yes Commission
    Better address
    the potential
    build-up of
    systemic risk in
    the insurance
    sector
    Number of liquidity risk management plans
    drafted
    Information from
    NSAs
    No EIOPA/NSAs
    Number of freezes of redemption options
    approved by NSAs
    Information from
    NSAs
    No EIOPA/NSAs
    Number of firms subject to restrictions on
    dividend distributions for financial stability
    reasons
    Information from
    NSAs
    No EIOPA/NSAs
    101
    In the meaning of Article 16b(5) and 16b(1) respectively of Regulation (EU) 1094/2010.
    Page | 83
    ANNEX 1: PROCEDURAL INFORMATION
    1. LEAD DG, DECIDE PLANNING/CWP REFERENCES
    This Impact Assessment Report was prepared by Directorate D "Bank, Insurance and
    Financial Crime" of the Directorate General "Directorate-General for Financial Stability,
    Financial Services and Capital Markets Union" (DG FISMA).
    The Decide Planning reference of the “Review of measures on taking up and pursuit of
    the insurance and reinsurance business (Solvency II)" is PLAN/2019/5384.
    This initiative is part of the Commission’s 2021 Work Programme102
    . Furthermore, parts
    of the initiative represent actions proposed by the European Commission to implement
    the European Green Deal103
    and the new Capital Markets Union action plan104
    .
    2. ORGANISATION AND TIMING
    Several services of the Commission with an interest in the initiative have been involved
    in the development of this analysis.
    Three Inter-Service Steering Group (ISSG) meetings, consisting of representatives from
    various Directorates-General of the Commission, were held in 2020 and 2021.
    The first meeting took place on 6 March 2020, attended by DG CLIMA, COMP, LS and
    the Secretariat General (SG).
    The second meeting was held on 21 January 2021. Representatives from DG CLIMA,
    COMP, ECFIN, GROW, LS and SG were present.
    The third meeting was held on 1 March 2021 and was attended by DG CLIMA, COMP,
    ECFIN, ENER, GROW, MOVE and SG. This was the last meeting of the ISSG before
    the submission to the Regulatory Scrutiny Board on 19 March 2021. The meetings were
    chaired by SG.
    DG FISMA has considered the comments made by DGs in the final version of the impact
    assessment. In particular, it has clarified the links of this initiative with other initiatives
    of the Commission as well as improved the coherence of this impact assessment with the
    impact assessments for those other initiatives. FISMA also added information as regards
    the specific impact on SMEs. The analysis of impacts and the preferred option takes
    account of the views and input of different DGs.
    3. CONSULTATION OF THE RSB
    The Impact Assessment report was examined by the Regulatory Scrutiny Board on 21
    April 2021. The Board gave a positive opinion on 23 April 2021 following which the
    Commission made a few changes in order to address the Board’s request to further
    develop the problem analysis and narrative in a consistent way. in the final version of the
    Impact Assessment.
    102
    Commission Work Programme 2021: A Union of vitality in a world of fragility, COM(2020)690 final,
    19 October 2020
    103
    Communication from the Commission on the European Green Deal, COM(2019)640 final, 11
    December 2019
    104
    Communication from the Commission on a Capital Markets Union for people and businesses-new
    action plan, COM(2020)590 final, 24 September 2020
    Page | 84
    4. EVIDENCE, SOURCES AND QUALITY
    The impact assessment draws on an extensive amount of desk research, meetings with
    stakeholders, a public conference, an open public consultations, an external study and
    opinions by EIOPA. The material used has been gathered since the Commission Services
    started monitoring the implementation of the Solvency II in 2016. This material includes
    but is not limited to the following:
     A public conference: “2020 Solvency II review: Challenges and opportunities”,
    29 January 2020, Brussels;
     Technical reports from EIOPA (see box below);
     Seven (29/03/19, 30/09/19, 19/02/20, 26/05/20, 10/11/20, 16/12/20, 01/02/21)
    (physical and virtual) meetings with Member State representatives in the Expert
    Group on Banking, Payments, Insurance and Resolution to gather the views on
    the revision of the Solvency II Directive;
     An Open online public consultation described in Annex 2, section 7;
     External study by Deloitte Belgium and CEPS for the Commission: Study on the
    drivers of investments in equity by insurers and pension funds, December 2019;
     The JRC Technical Report on Insurance Guarantee Schemes.
    Overview of EIOPA’s reports used for the purpose of this impact assessment.
    Reports from EIOPA on certain aspects of the framework
    Article 77f of the Solvency II Directive mandates EIOPA to report on an annual basis
    (from 2016 to 1 January 2021) to the European Parliament, the Council and the
    Commission about the impact of the applications of the so-called “long-term guarantee
    measures”105
    and the measures on equity risk106
    .
    EIOPA published such reports at the end of 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020. They
    provide statistical data per national market on the availability of long-term guarantees in
    insurance products in each national market and the behaviour of insurers as long-term
    investors, on the use of the “long-term guarantee measures” and of measures on equity
    risk (number of firms applying each measure, the impact of each measure on the
    solvency position of insurers). They also provide information on the effect of the use of
    those measures on investment behaviours (including whether those measures provide
    undue capital relief), on competition, on product offering, and on “phasing-in plans”
    which should be adopted when an insurer does not comply with its capital requirements
    without transitional measures.
    Similarly, in order to feed into the Commission’s report on group supervision that were
    to be submitted to the European Parliament and the European Council in accordance
    with Article 242 of the Solvency II Directive, EIOPA submitted two reports on the
    functioning of group supervision, supervisory cooperation and capital management
    within insurance groups, in December 2017 and December 2018. Those reports listed a
    number of issues (legal gaps and inconsistencies in supervisory practices) which could
    hinder the effectiveness of group supervision. The 2018 report also identified several
    105
    Long-term guarantee measures are the measures that aim at mitigating volatility of the framework. They
    include the volatility adjustment and the transitional measures applicable to the valuation of technical
    provisions.
    106
    In particular, the symmetric adjustment on equity risk aiming to modulate the capital charge on equity
    investments depending on the state of the financial markets, so that capital requirements increase when
    stock markets are overheating and decrease when markets are plummeting
    Page | 85
    challenges in relation to cross-border supervision.
    In addition, at the request of the Commission, EIOPA published in December 2019 a
    report on insurers’ asset and liability management in relation to the illiquidity of their
    liabilities. This report provides information on insurance liabilities features (duration,
    redemption options, etc.), asset management of insurers (and its interaction with
    liabilities), the use of long-term guarantee measures and the market valuation of
    insurance liabilities.
    Finally, EIOPA published an Opinion on the harmonisation of recovery and resolution
    frameworks for (re)insurers across the Member States in July 2017 and a discussion
    paper on resolution funding and national insurance guarantee schemes, developing
    potential principles for harmonisation, in July 2018. In this context, EIOPA also
    conducted a survey on the existing regimes in the Member States.
    Those information were used as input to the evaluation and the impact assessment.
    EIOPA’s technical opinion on the review of the Solvency II Directive
    On February 2019, the European Commission sent a request for technical advice to
    EIOPA covering eighteen areas of the framework. The advice was requested for June
    2020. However, in view of the Covid-19 crisis, the deadline for this advice was extended
    to December 2020.
    To support its work, EIOPA conducted two public consultations from mid-July to mid-
    October 2019 on reporting and public disclosure and on insurance guarantee schemes
    and a broader consultation on the other topics of the review from mid-October 2019 to
    January 2020. EIOPA also published a general feedback statement on the outcome of
    the consultation, as well as detailed resolution of stakeholders’ comments (including on
    insurance guarantee schemes).
    In addition, in order to quantify the impact of its proposals, EIOPA launched to requests
    for data collection to insurance companies from March to June 2020 and from July to
    September 2020.
    EIOPA’s advice on the 2020 review of Solvency II was eventually submitted on 17
    December 2020, comprising a main document, as well as annexes of more detailed
    background analysis and comprehensive impact assessment at two different reference
    dates aiming to capture the impact of the proposed changes under normal times (end of
    2019) and under crisis situations (mid-2020).
    EIOPA’s assessment is that the Solvency II framework is working well but that it needs
    to remain fit for purpose. In EIOPA’s view, Solvency II needs to better reflect the low
    interest rate environment and to recognise that insurers with long-term and illiquid
    liabilities are particularly able to hold investments long-term. EIOPA’s overall approach
    to the review has been therefore one of evolution not revolution aiming to address three
    areas where improvements are deemed needed:
    - Balanced update of the regulatory framework: EIOPA proposes changes in
    several areas but which it considers balanced in terms of overall impact on
    insurers;
    - Recognition of the economic situation, in particular, the persistence of low
    interest rates. EIOPA recommends revising the risk of interest rate changes;
    - Regulatory toolbox completion, including better protection of policyholders via
    macro-prudential tools, recovery and resolution measures and insurance
    Page | 86
    guarantee schemes.
    The material used to inform this impact assessment comes from reputable and well-
    recognised sources that act as benchmarks and reference points for the topic. Findings
    were cross-checked with results in different publications in order to avoid biases caused
    by outliers in the data or vested interests by authors.
    Page | 87
    ANNEX 2: STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATION
    1. INTRODUCTION
    As part of the Solvency II review, the European Commission will make legislative
    proposals expected in the third quarter of 2021. The review is an opportunity to reflect
    the current economic outlook, incorporate the political priorities of the European Union
    (the European Green Deal and the Capital Markets Union) and finally to build on the
    lessons learnt from the Covid-19 outbreak. Annex 2 aims to provide a summary of the
    ongoing consultation activities that will be considered when the Commission will be
    making its legislative proposal.
    2. CONSULTATION STRATEGY
    The consultation activities has fed into the European Commission’s review process of the
    Solvency II framework. In order to collect the views of all stakeholders, the European
    Commission has built its consultation strategy on the following components:
     A conference on the 2020 Solvency II Review: challenges and opportunities
    bringing together the insurance industry, insurance associations, public
    authorities, civil society;
     An Inception Impact Assessment for the review;
     A public consultation open to all stakeholder groups;
     Targeted consultations of Member States.
    3. CONFERENCE ON SOLVENCY II
    The European Commission organized a conference, which took place on 29 January
    2020, with three keynote speeches and four panel debates focusing on the key challenges
    for the insurance sector and the opportunities arising from the Solvency II review.
    Amongst keynote speakers and panellists: representatives from the insurance industry,
    insurance associations, national and EU authorities, civil society, and Members of the
    European Parliament.
    The panels concluded that:
     The current economic and financial conditions are not adequately reflected in the
    prudential rules. There is a need to maintain a robust framework, while duly
    considering the CMU priorities. There are different views on which areas to
    review, but it is important to safeguard policyholder protection and to ensure that
    the prudential framework does not influence insurance product design.
     There is a need to clarify the scope and the rules for the application of the
    proportionality principle, improve legal certainty as well as achieve supervisory
    convergence.
     It is essential to ensure supervisory convergence and coordination, proved by
    several insurer failures operating cross-border. Panellists made several
    recommendations aiming to achieve proper functioning of the internal market and
    policyholder protection, while avoiding unnecessary costs for EU insurers.
     The insurance sector is exposed to emerging risks associated with climate change
    and new technologies. The new Climate Adaptation strategy aims to increase
    insurance penetration for climate risks. In addition, new technological innovation
    Page | 88
    creates challenges as well as opportunities for growth and enhanced
    competitiveness in the global market.
    In the concluding remarks, the Commission services invited stakeholders to provide their
    views through the Public Consultation, which would complement EIOPA’s technical
    advice and would be duly considered in the Commission’s legislative proposal.
    4. INCEPTION IMPACT ASSESSMENT
    The Inception Impact Assessment aims to provide a detailed analysis on the actions to be
    taken at the EU level and the potential impact of different policy options on the economy,
    the society and the environment. In this context, the Commission ran an extended
    feedback period from 1 July to 26 August 2020, which was initially planned for four
    weeks. The Commission received twelve feedback responses across different stakeholder
    groups: insurance industry (six), public authorities (three), civil society (two), and
    academia (1).
    Priorities of the Solvency II Review
    Respondents acknowledged the need for a review but agreed on the fact that Solvency II
    has worked well to date, especially in the light of Brexit and the Covid-19 crisis.
    However, a few respondents focused on the need to find the balance between (i) financial
    stability and prudence and (ii) efficiency and growth. All respondents supported the
    objectives of the Solvency II review: ensuring policyholder protection, preserving
    financial stability and promoting fair and stable markets. A respondent highlighted the
    need to keep policyholder and beneficiaries protection as a top priority. In addition, some
    respondents also pointed out the consideration of international competitiveness in the
    Solvency II review and the need to keep a “risk-based” framework. Finally, the
    respondent from the academia underlined the necessity to reflect international financial
    accounting and IAIS developments in the review, as well as considering technology-
    related and ethical risks.
    Long termism and sustainability
    All respondents underlined the need to preserve the insurance industry’s ability to
    contribute to the long-term financing and investment and the continuation of long-term
    product offering. Some respondents from the public authorities, insurance industry and
    academia supported that the ability to provide long-term guarantees should be a priority
    in order to serve consumers and set for the growth of the internal market. Moreover, the
    insurance industry called for a reduction to overall capital requirements to facilitate the
    insurance industry’s contribution to the political objectives of the EU. In contrast, a
    public authority suggested that it is controversial to introduce political objectives in a
    prudential framework. All respondents agreed that the prudential framework should
    incentivize sustainable investment, while the insurance industry clarified that the
    incentives should be limited to the extent that Economic, Social and Governance (ESG)
    factors affect the insurer’s risk profile.
    Volatility and proportionality
    The insurance industry underlined the necessity to better mitigate undue volatility to
    provide the right incentives (for long-term guarantee products and financing) and limit
    fire sales of assets, especially in the context of the low interest rate environment.
    Respondents called for a better application of the proportionality principle. The insurance
    industry supported the extension of the proportionality principle thresholds to avoid
    Page | 89
    unnecessary cost and barriers. Mainly public authorities and the civil society, as well as
    some representatives from the insurance industry called for a consistent application of the
    proportionality principle to ensure the level-playing field. A respondent from the
    academia was against extending thresholds, since it is contradicting the harmonization
    objective at EU level.
    Recovery, resolution, IGS, group supervision and cross-border supervision
    Some respondents (mainly public authorities, civil society and academia) highlighted the
    need for improving harmonization of IGS to contribute to financial stability and ensure
    level-playing field. The insurance industry mainly supported that IGS and recovery and
    resolution should remain unchanged. A public authority pointed out that insurance
    recovery, resolution and IGS potentially lead to unnecessary high compliance costs.
    In regards to cross-border supervision, all stakeholder categories pointed out towards a
    better coordination and information exchange between Home and Host supervisors.
    Some representatives from the insurance industry called for amendments to prudential
    rules in order to prevent regulatory and supervisory arbitrage.
    Finally, one stakeholder recommended that the Solvency II Review should put more
    emphasize on group supervisions issues, and to reflect international developments in
    relation to systemic risks in the insurance sector (“Holistic framework” by the
    International Association of Insurance Supervisors).
    5. PUBLIC CONSULTATION
    The Commission launched a public consultation to obtain stakeholder views on the
    review of the Solvency II Directive. The feedback period ran from 1 July 2020 to 21
    October 2020. The consultation received 73 responses from a variety of stakeholders
    representing the insurance industry (56%), civil society (14%) and public authorities
    (11%). Most respondents were stakeholders from the European Economic Area. The
    Commission services published a “summary report” on the feedback to this consultation
    on 1 February 2021107
    . A summary for the four topics of the public consultation results
    on the Solvency II Review is provided below. Please note that those who did not provide
    a view were not considered in the analysis of answers.
    Long-termism and sustainability of insurers’ activities and priorities of the
    European framework
    5.1.1. Priorities of Solvency II and of the review
    Respondents overall supported the three main objectives of the Solvency II: policyholder
    protection (top priority), financial stability, and fair and stable markets. Regarding the
    priorities of the Solvency II review, stakeholders were split. The most important
    priorities for the civil society and the public authorities were solvency, policyholder
    protection, and prevention of systemic risk. The insurance industry considered as very
    important the facilitation of long-term guarantee products and long-term and sustainable
    investments.
    107
    Available at the following link: https://ec.europa.eu/info/law/better-regulation/have-your-
    say/initiatives/12461-Review-of-measures-on-taking-up-and-pursuit-of-the-insurance-and-reinsurance-
    business-Solvency-II-/public-consultation
    Page | 90
    5.1.2. Long termism and sustainability
    The majority of respondents who provided a view (87%) supported that the current
    treatment for equity and debt investments is not appropriate and stressed the necessity for
    re-assessing the risk margin, the criteria for long term equity and calibration of equity.
    Furthermore, most public authorities supported that framework gives the right incentives
    to provide long-term debt financing, while the insurance industry largely disagreed.
    Regarding the incentives for increasing sustainable investment and financing of SMEs
    under current rules, the insurance industry (78%) called for a better treatment, while the
    public authorities opposed it. In terms of preferential treatment for “green” investments,
    all stakeholder groups were mainly against it (60%). Finally, both public authorities and
    the insurance industry (78%) largely opposed the introduction of a brown-penalizing
    factor, while the civil society mainly supported it (80%).
    5.1.3. Volatility, procyclicality and lessons learnt from the Covid-19 crisis
    The insurance industry called for a review of the volatility adjustment and risk margin,
    and largely considered that the framework does not appropriately mitigate volatility
    (88%) and generates procyclical behaviours (65%). Public authorities were divided on
    the matter, while 70% of the civil society did not have a view.
    In the context of the Covid-19 crisis, only a few participants identified new issues in
    relation to prudential rules, mainly public authorities. The answers received underlined
    the need to address short-term excessive volatility and also expressed that Solvency II
    does not provide enough possibilities for creating short-term crisis operational reliefs.
    Finally, some respondents suggested that the crisis revealed underestimation of interest
    rate risk and of correlation between underwriting and market risks.
    5.1.4. Risk shifting to policyholders and impact of Solvency II
    All stakeholder groups that expressed a view mentioned that Solvency II provides
    incentives for risk shifting to policyholders. In fact, stakeholders representing the civil
    society that had a view (75%) supported disincentivising life insurance guaranteed
    products in order to preserve financial stability. In contrast, the insurance industry and
    the public authorities opposed it and stressed the importance for product design freedom
    and sound risk management.
    Proportionality of the European framework and transparency towards the
    public
    5.2.1. Proportionality
    Participants indicated that Solvency II imposes operational burden, complexity and cost
    to small insurers, with the majority of insurers who provided a view (70%) supporting
    the extension of the thresholds of exclusion from Solvency II. Public authorities and the
    civil society had mixed views on the matter, claiming that extending the scope of
    proportionality could potentially undermine policyholder protection and would
    negatively affect the level-playing field. Public authorities (67%) and the civil society
    (80%) mainly supported a potential preferential treatment of mutual insurers, while the
    insurance industry had mixed views. Finally, public authorities (71%) were the only
    stakeholder group opposing less discretion in applying proportionality by supervisory
    authorities.
    Page | 91
    The insurance industry (77%) was against imposing requirements for internal models
    users to calculate their solvency capital requirements under the standard formula,
    explaining that such a requirement would be burdensome and could create doubts on the
    credibility of internal models. The civil society was in favour claiming that it would
    enhance comparability and the level-playing field. Public authorities were either
    supporting the requirement but only for supervisory reporting or not supporting it at all.
    5.2.2. Supervisory reporting and public disclosure
    The insurance industry supported the inclusion of more automatic criteria for granting
    exemptions and limitations in supervisory reporting. In fact, some suggested to follow a
    risk-based approach with some supervisory discretion, rather than a size-based approach.
    The civil society was split of the matter, with the majority supporting automatic criteria
    with no discretion. The public authorities were split as to whether or not the status quo
    should be preserved. Some stakeholders pointed out the need to achieve consistent
    policyholder protection across EU, by introducing clear-cut criteria. Regarding the
    solvency and financial condition report (SFCR), participants pointed out the need to
    consider the audience, since it can be very complex, detailed and technical, especially for
    policyholders. Some respondents also suggested to reduce the length of the report as well
    as increase visibility of SFCR in insurers’ website.
    Improving trust and deepening the Single Market in insurance services
    5.3.1. Cross-border supervision
    The civil society (83%) supported enhanced safeguard powers of intervention by host
    authorities when needed, while the insurance industry and public authorities were divided
    on the matter. Some suggestions for additional powers include restrictive measures on
    product offering subject to some conditions, enhanced coordination between Host
    authorities, Home authorities and EIOPA and establishment of a specific “early warning
    alert system” for entities established in one member state but mainly operating in others.
    Finally, most participants (81%) supported cross-border supervision by national
    authorities with EU coordination where appropriate.
    5.3.2. Recovery, resolution, and Insurance Guarantee Schemes
    The insurance industry had confidence in insurers’ and public authorities’ preparedness
    in case of an adverse event (72%), while public authorities and the civil society (73%)
    had doubts on the matter. Some participants pointed out the need to have a harmonised
    recovery and resolution framework and proportionate application of the rules. In total,
    views on the need for EU action on IGS were rather split among respondents with 39%
    supporting it and 43% seeing no reason for it. Public authorities and the insurance
    industry were mainly against (62%) a mandatory setup of IGS, having concerns for the
    differences across countries that would affect the design and funding of IGS. However, a
    quarter of the industry respondents, notably several national insurance associations,
    supported action on IGSs. The civil society was largely in favour (75%), supporting that
    IGS would enhance policyholder protection and would strengthen the Single Market.
    Respondents agreed that the main role of IGS should be consistent policyholder
    protection across the EU and considered that compensation and continuation depends on
    the type of claim and policy. Finally, civil society was mainly supportive of a
    harmonized minimum level of protection by IGS (87.5%), while the two other
    stakeholder groups mainly opposed it (69%).
    Page | 92
    5.3.3. Macro-prudential tools in Solvency II
    Public authorities and the civil society were mainly in favour for providing authorities
    with the power to temporarily prohibit redemptions, but only when an insurer is in
    financial distress. The insurance industry was also supportive but there were mixed views
    as to under which situations the powers should be exercised. The majority of respondents
    supported providing public authorities with power to reduce entitlements of insurer’s
    clients, but only as a last resort measure. Participants also acknowledged the necessity to
    strengthen macro-prudential supervision in Solvency II but only in certain areas, while
    the insurance industry supported to limit the measures only to the areas covered by the
    Commission’s call for advice, as going further that those areas would jeopardize the
    international competitiveness of the European insurance industry in their view.
    Moreover, the civil society was the only stakeholder group supporting regulatory
    flexibility in adverse events. Some recommendations included removing eligibility limits
    on lower-quality capital, providing reporting flexibility and recalibrating requirements
    during crises.
    New emerging risks and opportunities
    5.4.1. European Green Deal and sustainability risk
    The civil society deemed as very important the requirement for climate scenario analyses
    as part of the risk management and governance requirements (“Pillar 2”) rules. Public
    authorities were also supportive but gave various levels of importance, while only a few
    insurance stakeholders supported that climate scenario analyses are of high or medium
    importance. Some recommendations included lowering the risk margin and capital
    requirements for long term investments and strengthening insurers’ advisory role towards
    clients in regards to climate resilience and adaptation.
    5.4.2. Digitalisation and other issues
    The insurance industry was mainly against having additional requirements for monitoring
    ICT risks (80%), as part of the prudential framework. The civil society was mainly in
    favour (86%), by pointing out the need to reflect those risks given the current outlook of
    digitization and the increasing threat of cyber-attacks. Furthermore, the insurance
    industry was against having cyber insurance as a distinct class, while the public
    authorities were in favour (75%).
    5.4.3. Group-related issues
    The insurance industry mainly supported (86%) providing lighter requirements for intra-
    groups and distinguishing between intra-group and extra-group outsourcing, but subject
    to additional criteria. Some recommendations on the additional criteria include taking
    into account proportionality, risk exposure and the need for clear harmonized criteria.
    Public authorities largely opposed this proposal (86%), while the civil society had mixed
    views, with the majority opposing the proposal. The majority of participants (80%)
    thought it is unacceptable that group supervision waives solo supervision in certain
    circumstances.
    Additional or late feedback to the consultation
    Stakeholders were offered the opportunity to make an attachment to their contribution, in
    order to cover any topic or provide any complementary information that they would
    deem useful. 31 stakeholders provided such inputs. Most of them aimed at expanding or
    Page | 93
    clarifying the stakeholder’s point of view on certain areas of the consultation. Some
    contributions, mainly from stakeholders classified as “other businesses” (non-insurance
    related), also touched upon additional topics not covered by the consultation document.
    However, each of those specific issues was only raised by a couple of participants to the
    public consultation. Those topics include, although not limited to, the following:
     group supervision issues, including the prudential treatment of insurance
    subsidiaries headquartered in third countries, and the generalization of the use and
    disclosure of Legal Identity Identifiers;
     market access of third country companies which exclusively conduct reinsurance
    activities;
     the prudential treatment of derivatives, securitisation, exposures to central
    counterparties, and credit and suretyship insurance business;
     the definition of the insurance business in view of financial innovations.
    Two additional feedbacks, from a non-governmental organisation (NGO) and the
    European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB) were received in the context of the public
    consultation. An analysis for the two individual responses is presented below, while it is
    important to highlight that the answers were not included in the statistics of the Public
    Consultation.
    The feedback received from the ESRB focused on macro prudential considerations,
    recovery and resolution, as well as appropriate reflection of risk in the prudential
    framework. For better reflecting macro prudential considerations, the ESRB provided
    recommendations for introducing three types of tools to the framework: solvency tools,
    liquidity tools and tools for addressing risks from financing the economy. In addition, the
    ESRB called for a harmonized recovery and resolution framework across the EU and
    improved harmonization of the IGS. In order to ensure that risks are reflected properly in
    the Solvency II, the ESRB recommended to adjust the risk-free rate term structure to
    better reflect the current low interest rate environment. In the context of the Covid-19
    crisis, ESRB called for coordinated responses during crises, highlighted the need for a
    capital buffer, called for a reflection of volatility in insurers’ solvency ratios and finally
    stressed the need for a better monitoring of liquidity and supervisory intervention.
    The feedback received from the NGO is mainly in line with the views provided to the
    public consultation by the civil society. The respondent opposed preferential treatment
    for “green investments” and highlighted the need to reflect the current low interest rate
    environment, while opposing the offering of guaranteed products. In addition, the
    participant supported considering the audience when preparing the SFCR and providing a
    shorter and simpler version for policyholders. Regarding the IGS, the respondent was in
    favour of minimum harmonization and at the same time considering the national
    differences between member states and also pointed out the need for better recovery and
    resolution. Finally, the respondent acknowledged the need to reflect IT risks in insurers’
    management practices.
    6. TARGETED CONSULTATIONS OF MEMBER STATES
    The Commission services discussed the different aspects of the review of Solvency II
    during several Expert group meetings with Member States on Insurance matters:
     On 29 March 2019, Member States were consulted on the overall scope and
    process of the review
     On 30 September 2019, there was an exchange of views between EIOPA and
    Member States about EIOPA’s draft consultation document. Member States were
    Page | 94
    also asked to provide feedback on the Commission’s finding in its report on
    group supervision which was published in June 2019
     On 19 February 2020, Member States were invited to comment on the European
    Commission’s consultation strategy, but also EIOPA’s approach to the impact
    assessment of its proposals. A specific debate took place on the Commission’s
    approach in relation to recovery and resolution and to insurance guarantee
    schemes.
     On 26 May 2020, Member States were asked whether the Covid-19 outbreak
    required urgent changes to the framework, ahead of the Solvency II review. The
    majority view was that the situation of the insurance sector appeared so far stable
    and under control and that quick fixes were not needed. However, it was agreed
    that a careful monitoring of market developments would be needed in close
    cooperation with EIOPA.
     On 10 November 2020, the Commission services asked feedback to Member
    States about the priorities of the review, including the main problem that the
    initiative should aim to tackle and the objectives of the review of Solvency II. In
    addition, the European Commission shared the preliminary results of the feedback
    to its public consultation, which was followed by a debate. The European
    Commission also consulted the Member States on specific elements related to
    recovery and resolution.
     On 16 December 2020, the Commission services invited Member States to
    provide their views on the possible technical features for insurance guarantee
    schemes
     Finally, on 1 February 2021, the Commission services invited Member States to
    provide their views on the main components of EIOPA’s advice: The Capital
    Markets Union and the Sustainable Finance Strategy, risk sensitivity and
    volatility, proportionality, quality of supervision and finally systemic risks.
    In addition, Member States were consulted specifically on recovery and resolution and on
    IGS items through a targeted survey that was circulated following the 19 February 2020
    meeting. Member States were also asked to complete a template on the design and
    funding of existing IGS schemes following the 16 December 2020 meeting.
    The input provided by Member States has been integrated throughout the impact
    assessment.
    Page | 95
    ANNEX 3: WHO IS AFFECTED AND HOW?
    1. PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS OF THE INITIATIVE
    The objective of this Annex is to set out the practical implications for the main
    stakeholders affected by this initiative, mainly the insurance sector and their
    shareholders, supervisory authorities and consumers. The initiative aims to
    simultaneously address the following problems:
     Problem 1: Limited incentives for insurers to contribute to the long-term
    financing and the greening of the European economy
     Problem 2: Insufficient risk sensitivity and limited ability of the framework to
    mitigate volatility of insurers’ solvency position
     Problem 3: Insufficient proportionality of the current prudential rules generating
    unnecessary administrative and compliance costs
     Problem 4: Deficiencies in the supervision of (cross-border) insurance companies
    and groups, and inadequate protection of policyholders against insurers’ failures
     Problem 5: Limited specific supervisory tools to address the potential build-up of
    systemic risk in the insurance sector
    In order to address the issue of limited incentives for insurers to contribute to the
    long-term financing and the greening of the European economy (Problem 1), the
    preferred options are to facilitate long-term investments in equity by revising the
    eligibility criteria of the existing regulatory asset class for long-term equity investments
    (Option 2) and to strengthen “Pillar 2” requirements in relation to climate change and
    sustainability risks (Option 4) without changing capital requirements depending on the
    green/brown nature of investments.
    Insurers and their shareholders would benefit from those options, as insurance companies
    by being allowed to take additional risks (i.e. investing more in equity) with limited
    impact on capital requirements, would be in a position to generate a higher return on
    investments to their shareholders at limited additional costs. They would be also
    incentivised to better integrate climate change and sustainability risks in their investment
    and underwriting practices, which increases compliance costs but strengthens the risk
    management system of insurance companies. Also, in the long run, insurance companies
    and their shareholders would benefit from this enhanced monitoring and management of
    sustainability risks. Even in the short run, the implementation costs of those options (both
    one-off and ongoing) would be moderate.
    Policyholders would also benefit from a higher level of protection due to better
    management of environmental and climate risks in insurers’ investment and underwriting
    activities. This means that the risk of insurance failure due to those risks would be
    reduced. They may be more exposed to the likely increase risk-taking by insurance
    companies as a result of the changes on the treatment of equities108
    , but they would also
    benefit from such a change in investment strategy through the possibility for insurance
    companies to provide higher returns through profit-sharing mechanisms with
    policyholders.
    Supervisors would also benefit from clearer and less complex rules in relation to both
    equity and climate change risks.
    108
    This risk is however limited as the criteria would be framed broadly in line with EIOPA’s advice, which
    guarantees a prudent approach.
    Page | 96
    Finally, businesses, in particular SMEs and those conducting green activities, would
    benefit from easier access to funding by insurance companies thanks to those options, as
    the prudential framework would be more conducive of long term investments, while at
    the same time ensuring that insurers appropriately capture the longer-term risks of
    climate change.
    Next to this, the overall society welfare could increase in case the proposed options
    would result in a significant change in insurers investment activities in the directions
    envisaged. In this case, both the economy would grow stronger and negative effects on
    the environment by investments by insurers would be mitigated. Clearly, in case
    insurance companies would make too risky equity investments this could undermine
    policyholder protection and also possibly financial stability.
    In order to address the issue of insufficient risk sensitivity and limited ability of the
    framework to mitigate volatility of insurers’ solvency position (Problem 2), the
    preferred option is to address issues of risk sensitivity and volatility while balancing the
    cumulative effect (on capital requirements) of the changes (Option 3). This implies in
    particular better reflecting the low-interest rates environment in capital requirements and
    in the valuation of insurers’ long-term liabilities towards policyholders, but also ensuring
    that the mechanisms aiming to mitigate volatility (notably the volatility adjustment) are
    fit for purpose. However, in order to ensure that the overall impact of those changes
    remains balanced (and does not become market disruptive), the changes would be only
    progressively implemented over time (phasing-in periods) and the changes affecting
    insurer’s capital ratio negatively would be compensated by additional changes which
    would have a positive effect on insurers’ solvency ratio, notably the reduction of the cost-
    of-capital rate underlying the risk margin calculation from 6% to 5%. Overall, the
    implementation of Option 3 would lead to an increase in capital surplus.
    The implementation of Option 3 would largely benefit policyholders, as insurers would
    more appropriately capture in capital requirements a material risk to which they are
    exposed and which is currently underestimated under standard formula capital
    requirements. They would also benefit from the reduced volatility of the framework, as
    insurers would be in a better position to offer products with guarantees and less
    incentives to simply shift market risks to policyholders. The improved mitigation of
    volatility is also contributing to insurers’ international competitiveness which can follow
    a longer-term approach when making decisions of international expansion.
    Option 3 would also benefit insurers, thanks to the mitigated volatility and the greater
    ability to make long-term decisions. Obviously, the tightening of rules in relation to
    interest rates (although partly compensated) would be a cost for insurers’ shareholders.
    However, this cost remains moderate and justified by the need to better capture a material
    macroeconomic risk to which insurers are exposed. In addition, they would be given time
    to implement those changes due to the introduction of a phasing-in. Finally, there would
    be implementation costs as the new framework would be more complex than under
    current rules. However, the additional level of complexity stemming from Option 3 is
    such that it tries to strike a balance between the need to improve the technical robustness
    of the framework and the objective of avoiding excessive complexity of prudential rules.
    Finally, Option 3 would affect supervisors as they would have to ensure that insurers
    comply with a more complex framework. In addition, during the phasing-in period, they
    would have to carry out additional monitoring activities in order to ensure that insurers
    are managing the risks stemming from the low-yield environment even if not fully
    integrated in capital requirements in the short run.
    Page | 97
    In order to address the issue of insufficient proportionality of the current prudential
    rules generating unnecessary administrative and compliance costs (Problem 3), the
    preferred option is to give priority to enhancing the proportionality principle within to
    Solvency II and make a lower change to the exclusion thresholds than what is proposed
    by EIOPA (Option 3). Concretely speaking, the threshold of exclusion from Solvency II
    in relation to volume of business activities would be multiplied by two as proposed by
    EIOPA (from € 25 million to € 50 million), but the threshold in relation to revenues
    would be multiplied by three and not by five as proposed by EIOPA (from € 5 million to
    € 15 million). In addition, the eligibility criteria for classification as “low-risk profile
    insurer” would be slightly less strict than under EIOPA’s proposals with the aim of
    allowing more firms to automatically benefit from a list of proportionality measures,
    which would also be slightly extended compared to what EIOPA proposed (notably in
    relation to public disclosure requirements).
    Option 3 would generate material reduction in compliance costs for the estimated 186
    insurance companies which would no longer be subject to Solvency II. Unless they want
    to benefit from the “passporting” or they are required to comply with Solvency II under
    national law, they would not be required to comply with any Solvency II requirement
    which would generate a reduction of 2.2% of operating costs. Obviously, this benefit
    would be partly compensated by the cost of implementing national prudential rules
    (including the one-off cost of changing IT systems and the sunk costs of developing
    systems to comply with Solvency II), which cannot be quantified. In addition, at least
    249 insurers would be classified as low-risk profile and as such would benefit from
    automatic proportionate rules. For those firms, this would result in an immediate benefit
    and reduction of compliance costs, which cannot be clearly quantified although it can be
    estimated to be above 0.2% of total operating expenses, taking into account the reduced
    frequency of submission of narrative reporting to supervisors.
    Policyholders could benefit from the reduced compliance costs as it would imply higher
    ability for insurers to innovate and supply policyholders with a well-diversified range of
    insurance products. Shareholders might benefit from higher profits. The reduced level of
    public disclosure for insurers that are low-risk profile would imply lower transparency
    towards specialised stakeholders (financial market participants, analysts). However, the
    insurers concerned would still represent a minor share of total insurers’ liabilities towards
    policyholders (0.06%) or insurers’ revenues (0.07%). Therefore, the loss of information
    is expected to have a limited impact.
    For supervisors, Option 3 would imply that additional insurers would be subject to
    national prudential rules, which means that supervisory authorities would have to
    maintain competencies so that supervisors have knowledge on both Solvency II rules and
    national prudential rules. Solvency II supervisors would also have to adapt from less
    frequent of regular supervisory reports and own risk and solvency assessment reports by
    low-risk profile insurers which would reduce the information received to exercise
    ongoing supervision. In addition, in the short run, supervisors would receive and have to
    process a high number of notifications from insurers that want to be classified as low-risk
    profile and indicate which proportionality measures they intend to use, which represents
    a material one-off cost. Finally, EIOPA would also receive less information (as insurers
    excluded from Solvency II would no longer report in accordance with the Solvency II
    quantitative reporting templates). However, this should have limited impact on EIOPA’s
    ability to monitor market trends and the arising of systemic risk in the insurance sector
    due to the very limited market shared that the excluded insurers would represent.
    Page | 98
    In order to address the issue of deficiencies in the supervision of (cross-border)
    insurance companies and groups, and inadequate protection of policyholders
    against insurers’ failures (Problem 4), the preferred options are to improve the quality
    of supervision by strengthening or clarifying rules on certain aspects, in particular in
    relation to cross-border and to group supervision (Option 2), to introduce minimum
    harmonising rules to ensure that insurance failures can be better averted or managed in an
    orderly manner (Option 3) and to introduce minimum harmonising rules to protect
    policyholders in the event of an insurer’s failure (Option 4).
    The main beneficiaries would be policyholders. Option 2 would ensure that the quality
    and consistency of supervision, including for cross-border insurers, is improved, while
    Options 3 and 4 would ensure that the (near-)failure of an insurer is appropriately
    managed and that policyholders are protected in case an insurer fails. More precisely, the
    (further) harmonised recovery and resolution framework would contribute to reducing
    the negative social and welfare impact of an insurer’s failure. The minimum
    harmonisation of IGSs would not only safeguard the confidence of consumers in the
    Single Market but would also contribute to market discipline, as the insurance guarantee
    scheme of the Home Member State of the failing insurer would be used to compensate
    policyholders of that insurer. Progressive ex-ante funding of IGSs (over a 10-year period)
    would imply a maximum annual contribution of around 0.233% of gross written
    premiums by each contributing policyholder (i.e. about EUR 2.33 per yearly policy of
    EUR 1000) which appears to be, in absolute terms, a moderate cost to ensure an adequate
    level of protection in case of insurance failure109
    .
    Insurers would also benefit from clearer rules and improved level-playing field stemming
    from those options. They would also be better prepared to react to a deterioration in their
    solvency position. The ex-ante funding of IGS would have a capital cost, which, in
    absolute terms, appears to be moderate – the Commission services estimate it to be
    0.12% of annual premiums110
    .
    Finally, supervisors would benefit from those changes, with more legal clarity and a
    better preparedness for insurers’ financial distress. On the other hand, the enhanced
    quality of cross-border supervision and the new planning requirements imply that
    supervisory authorities allocate sufficient resources to such new activities, although those
    additional costs remain contained.
    Finally, in order to address the issue of limited specific supervisory tools to address
    the potential build-up of systemic risk in the insurance sector (Problem 5), the
    preferred option is to make targeted amendments to prevent financial stability risks in the
    insurance sector (Option 2). More concretely, supervisors would be granted new
    supervisory powers and insurers would have to comply with some new requirements
    aiming to prevent the build-up of systemic risks stemming from or amplified by the
    insurance sector, which could be detrimental to financial stability. This would include in
    particular ensuring that insurers better incorporate macro-prudential considerations in
    their investment and risk management activities, enhancing liquidity requirements on
    insurers and introducing the power for supervisors to temporarily freeze redemption
    rights on life policies, aligning prudential rules on loan origination with the banking
    sector, and granting supervisors the possibility to suspend or restrict dividend
    distributions of specific firms in exceptional situations for financial stability reasons.
    109
    See Annex 5 for the assumptions underlying the estimation of costs.
    110
    Assuming a cost-of-capital rate of 5% as suggested in Section 6.2 of the impact assessment.
    Page | 99
    Policyholders would benefit as improved financial stability would have no direct effect
    on policyholder protection in the short run but could benefit them in the long run as the
    risk of insurance failures would decline. In addition, financial instability risks and
    possible spill-over effects on the real economy could affect policyholders both as
    taxpayers (since business failures and economic recession may require public
    intervention) and as workers (since EIOPA demonstrates that there is a correlation
    between financial instability and unemployment). In addition, while some of the tools
    embedded in Option 2 may seem harmful to policyholders in the short term if used (e.g.
    the power for NSAs to freeze the exercise of surrender options on life insurance contracts
    ), they would be a last resort measure to avoid the failure of an insurer, which may result
    in financial losses for policyholders in the longer run.
    Option 2 would have a cost for insurers’ shareholders because of the possibility of
    dividend restrictions in exceptional situations. However as such restrictions may
    strengthen the solvency position of insurers and thus their probability of survival,
    shareholders would benefit from those measures in the medium term. Similarly, insurers
    conducting banking-type loan origination activities may face a slight increase in capital
    requirements due to a convergence with banking rules but this might benefit the economy
    as the risk of not adequately regulated shadow banking is reduced. Also, insurers would
    be less prone to liquidity risks, both because they would be required to better plan for
    liquidity risk and due to the last-resort possibility to freeze redemption rights. Of course,
    liquidity planning is an additional compliance cost, but this cost is supposed to be limited
    as insurers are already expected to monitor and manage liquidity risk as part of the own
    risk and solvency assessment (ORSA). The other implementation costs in relation to the
    enhanced risk management and reporting system are also expected to be moderate as a
    number of insurers already embed such requirements in their processes, and the costs for
    those which do not apply it yet would remain limited.
    Finally, Option 2 would also strengthen the power and duties of supervisory authorities
    in relation to financial stability. This slight increase in supervisory costs is fully justified
    by the fact that preserving financial stability is an explicit objective of the Solvency II
    framework, and generates overall welfare gain (when compared with a counterfactual
    financial stability crisis).
    The following tables summarize the impact of the different preferred options.
    Page | 100
    Summary of winners and losers
    Insurers Policyholders
    Supervisory
    authorities
    Baseline: Do nothing 0 0 0
    Limited incentives for insurers to contribute to the long-term financing and the greening
    of the European economy
    Option 2: Facilitate long-term investments in
    equity
    ++ +/- +
    Option 4: Strengthen “Pillar 2” requirements
    in relation to climate change and
    sustainability risks
    - +++ +
    Insufficient risk sensitivity and limited ability of the framework to mitigate volatility of
    the solvency position of insurance companies
    Option 3: Address issues of risk sensitivity
    and volatility while balancing the cumulative
    effect of the changes
    + ++ -
    Insufficient proportionality of the current prudential rules generating unnecessary
    administrative and compliance costs for small and less complex insurers
    Option 3: Give priority to enhancing the
    proportionality principle within Solvency II
    and make a smaller change to the exclusion
    thresholds.
    ++ - -
    Deficiencies in the supervision of (cross-border) insurance companies and groups, and
    inadequate protection of policyholders against insurers’ failures
    Option 2: Improve the quality of supervision
    by strengthening or clarifying rules on certain
    aspects, in particular in relation to cross-
    border supervision
    +/- ++ +/-
    Option 3: Introduce minimum harmonising
    rules to ensure that insurance failures can be
    better averted or managed in an orderly
    manner.
    +/- ++ +
    Option 4: Introduce minimum harmonising
    rules to protect policyholder in the event of an
    insurer’s failure
    - +++ 0
    Limited specific supervisory tools to address the potential build-up of systemic risk in
    the insurance sector
    Option 2: make targeted amendments to
    prevent financial stability risks in the
    insurance sector
    +/- + +/-
    Page | 101
    Effectiveness
    Efficiency
    (Cost-
    effectiveness)
    Coherence
    LT
    green
    financin
    g
    Risk
    sensitivity
    Volati-
    lity
    Propor-
    tionality
    Supervision -
    protection
    against
    failures
    Finan-
    cial
    stability
    Baseline: Do nothing 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 --
    Limited incentives for insurers to contribute to the long-term financing and the greening of the European economy
    Option 2: Facilitate long-term investments in equity ++ - - 0 + - ++ ++
    Option 4: Strengthen “Pillar 2” requirements in relation to
    climate change and sustainability risks
    + 0 0 0 + ++ + ++
    Insufficient risk sensitivity and limited ability of the framework to mitigate volatility of the solvency position of insurance companies
    Option 3: Address issues of risk sensitivity and volatility while
    balancing the cumulative effect of the changes
    +++ ++ +++ - - ++ ++ ++
    Insufficient proportionality of the current prudential rules generating unnecessary administrative and compliance costs for small and less complex insurers
    Option 3: Give priority to enhancing the proportionality principle
    within Solvency II and make a smaller change to the exclusion
    thresholds.
    0 0 0 +++ - - ++ +
    Deficiencies in the supervision of (cross-border) insurance companies and groups, and inadequate protection of policyholders against insurers’ failures
    Option 2: Improve the quality of supervision by strengthening or
    clarifying rules on certain aspects, in particular in relation to
    cross-border supervision
    + + 0 0 ++ + ++ ++
    Option 3: Introduce minimum harmonising rules to ensure that
    insurance failures can be better averted or managed in an orderly
    manner.
    0 0 0 + ++ ++ ++ ++
    Option 4: Introduce minimum harmonising rules to protect
    policyholder in the event of an insurer’s failure
    + 0 0 0 +++ + ++ ++
    Limited specific supervisory tools to address the potential build-up of systemic risk in the insurance sector
    Option 2: make targeted amendments to prevent financial
    stability risks in the insurance sector
    - + 0 +/- -- ++ + ++
    Page | 102
    2. SUMMARY OF COSTS AND BENEFITS OF THE COMBINED SET OF OPTIONS
    I. Overview of Benefits (total for all provisions) – Preferred Combination of Options
    Description Amount Comments
    Direct benefits
    Improved ability to
    contribute to the
    long-term financing
    of the economy
    By facilitating the use of the long-term equity asset class that is subject to a preferential capital
    treatment, and by mitigating insurers’ volatility in solvency ratio, the review would incentivise
    long-termism in underwriting and investment decisions. Insurers would find it less costly to
    make long-term investments in equity. As a minimum EUR 22 billion of additional equities
    would be eligible to the preferential treatment according to EIOPA’s Impact Assessment.
    In addition, as the changes which would result in stricter capital requirements (changes on
    interest rates) would only be progressively implemented (phasing in), in the first years of
    implementation of the review, up to EUR 90 billion of capital resources in excess of capital
    requirements would be released in the short-term compared to current rules. This could help
    insurers’ contribute to the economic recovery.
    Insurers are the main recipients of this benefit. The
    quantification of the impact by EIOPA was
    complex due to limited feedback from
    stakeholders. As there are still conditions attached
    to the benefit of using the long-term equity asset
    class, the extent of its use depends on the
    willingness of insurers to comply with the criteria
    (notably the willingness to invest for the long-
    term). The additional equities that are eligible
    would imply a lower total capital charge for equity
    investments (see next row) which may be further
    invested in equity).
    More robust risk
    management
    requirements
    concerning climate
    and sustainability
    risks
    Increased understanding of climate and environmental risks by insurance companies and
    decisions by insurers will have to reflect those risks.
    Stakeholders who benefit:
     Policyholders;
     Beneficiaries;
     Investors in insurance companies.
    Harmonised
    approach to
    management and
    supervision of
    climate and
    environmental risks
    Clarified “Pillar 2” rules would provide a harmonised set of rules for the integration of climate
    and environmental risk across the EU and avoid diverging practices in implementation and
    supervision.
    Stakeholders who benefit:
     insurance companies, in particular those
    that are part of an insurance group with
    insurers in several Member States;
     supervisory authorities.
    Page | 103
    International
    competitiveness is
    preserved or even
    improved
    This benefit is driven by several factors:
    - Better reflection of insurers’ long term business model which facilitates long-termism in
    investment decisions (reduced capital charges on long-term equity investments) and
    underwriting activities (better mitigation of the impact of short-term volatility.
    - Taking into account the temporary impact of the phasing of changes on interest rates, the
    insurance sector would start with an increase in capital resources in excess of capital
    requirements of up to EUR 90 billion compared to capital resources under current rules
    right after the review (assuming similar economic conditions as at the end of Q2/2020).
    While the sector’s capital resources would increase during the most important period for
    the post-Covid economic recovery, this increase in capital resources would reduce during
    every year of the phasing in period. At the end of the phasing in period, the preferred
    recommendations would still maintain an estimated increase in capital resources by EUR
    30 billion at EU level in an economic environment similar to that at end of Q4/2019. If
    the economic environment is similar to that at the end of Q2/2020, FISMA’s proposal
    would lead to an increase in capital resources of EUR 16 billion at the end of the phasing
    in period (to be compared with a decrease by EUR 55 billion under EIOPA’s advice).
    - By strengthening more macro-prudential requirements without imposing undue capital
    burden (e.g. no supervisory power to impose capital surcharge for systemic risk) insurers
    would be better prepared to cope with the next financial crises.
    Insurers would be the main recipients of this
    benefit. This also contributes to
    Enhanced
    policyholder
    protection
    This is achieved through the following:
    - Enhanced risk sensitivity: The framework would better capture the protracted low and
    even negative interest rates environment in standard formula capital requirements and in
    the valuation of insurers’ liabilities towards policyholders
    - Clearer and more effective rules on group supervision
    - Higher quality of supervision, and better coordination by EIOPA
    - Reduced likelihood of insurers’ failures: By clarifying the preventive powers and ensuring
    an adequate degree of preparedness, on both the industry and the supervisory sides, EU
    action would contribute to increasing the likelihood that an insurer in distress would
    effectively restore its financial position and continue to perform its functions for society.
    - Reduced losses in social welfare stemming from the failure of an insurer: the default of
    insurance companies can expose policyholders to substantial social and financial
    hardship due to the discontinuation of their policies and the resulting absence of
    protection. These effects would be mitigated through a minimum harmonised recovery
    and resolution framework. Complemented by the implementation of a minimum
    The main recipients are policyholders who would
    benefit from enhanced policyholder protection.
    This would also benefit insurers, which would have
    stronger incentives for robust risk management in
    relation to interest rate risk.
    Page | 104
    harmonisation of IGS across the EU, the framework would ensure a minimum level of
    protection throughout the Single Market, thereby ensuring a fair and equal treatment of
    all policyholders, whatever their place of residence.
    - In relation to macro-prudential tools, the greater focus on macroprudential concerns in
    underwriting and risk management activities, and on liquidity risks, would reduce
    incentives for excessive risk taking by insurers and therefore contribute to policyholder
    protection.
    Enhanced level-
    playing field and
    improved
    competition within
    the Single Market
    for insurance
    services
    This is achieved through the following:
    - More consistency in supervision through clearer rules which are applied more
    consistently in the different Member States.
    - Reduction in undue regulatory burden: The high cost of compliance of Solvency II is a
    barrier for new entries in the sector. By reducing the cost of compliance of the small
    and less risky insurers, it will be a reduction of the operating costs that will contribute
    to enhancing the profitability of the SME in the EU.
    - Rules on group supervision would also ensure that non-EEA groups operating in
    Europe are not put at a competitive advantage by circumventing Solvency II rules on
    group supervision.
    - In relation to recovery and resolution, the EU action would foster the level-playing
    field and competitiveness in the insurance industry across the EU. Competitive
    distortions between domestic and non-domestic insurers will be reduced, thereby
    contributing to a more efficient Single Market for insurance. In addition, the
    harmonisation of the geographical scope of IGSs would also eliminate overlaps of
    existing IGSs as well as the associated costs.
    Policyholders will benefit from a well-diversified
    offer of products coming from traditional firms and
    from new players.
    Compliance cost
    reductions by way
    of exclusion from
    Solvency II and by
    way of
    enhancement of
    proportionality
    measures for
    insurers in the
    According to EIOPA’s Impact Assessment, by extending the threshold of exclusion from
    Solvency II, a maximum of 186 insurers would be excluded from Solvency II. This could
    represent a reduction in ongoing compliance cost of up to EUR 500 million.
    The expected number of insurers concerned would be in the range between 249 and 435, the
    latter in case the existing exclusion thresholds from Solvency II were not updated by Member
    States. For those insurers, automatic proportionate rules would apply, which could reduce
    ongoing compliance costs, up to EUR 50 million, according with the estimations of the
    Commission Services.
    The recipients of this benefit are insurers.
    Considering that some Member States may decide
    to keep the current exclusion thresholds, the
    number of insurers which may be actually excluded
    could be lower than 186. Besides, some insurers
    may prefer to continue under Solvency II, notably
    in order to benefit from the passporting regime.
    NB: more firms than the estimates provided could
    benefit from proportionality measures within
    Page | 105
    scope of solvency
    II
    Solvency II, but conditioned to approval by the
    supervisor (case by case analysis).
    Enhanced
    policyholder
    protection
    Clearer and simpler criteria to be met to use the long-term equity asset class More legal certainty for supervisors in supervising
    the use of the long-term equity asset class.
    Prevention of risks
    for the financial
    stability
    This is achieved through the following:
    - More powers for supervisors in relation to macro-prudential supervision
    - Harmonising rules in relation to resolution: EU action would ensure the continuity of
    functions by insurers whose disruption could harm financial stability and/or the real
    economy and to protect public funds (by limiting the risk of needing to “bail-out”
    failing insurers).
    Recipients of this benefit are citizens and
    businesses at large as well as national governments
    (less likelihood to involve taxpayer’s money to
    address the consequences of a financial crisis).
    Indirect benefits
    Indirect incentives
    for an increase in
    sustainable
    investments
    More robust risk management requirements concerning climate and sustainability risks provide
    indirect incentives for sustainable investments and for divestments from environmentally
    harmful assets. This may result in a reduction of greenhouse gas emissions.
    In addition, certain studies show that equity investments are more conducive to the greening of
    the economy. Therefore, fostering equity investments could positively affect insurers’
    financing of the green transition.
    Stakeholders who benefit:
     investees with sustainable activities;
     policyholders with sustainable activities;
     any parts of society that might be affected
    by the negative impacts of climate change.
    More access to
    capital financing by
    SMEs
    As capital charges on unlisted equity (i.e. including those from SMEs) are higher than those on
    listed equities (few SMEs are actually listed), the benefit of being classified as long-term
    equities is even bigger for unlisted equities. Therefore, this will provide additional incentives
    for insurers to invest in unlisted equity.
    SMEs will be indirect beneficiaries of the revised
    criteria for long-term investments.
    Page | 106
    II. Overview of costs – Preferred Option
    Citizens/Consumers Businesses Administrations
    One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent
    Costs
    Direct
    During the
    “phasing in”
    of changes
    on interest
    rates,
    policyholder
    protection in
    relation to
    interest rate
    risk would
    not be fully
    guaranteed.
    In relation to IGSs,
    assuming pre-
    funding, while the
    costs are primarily
    borne by insurance
    companies, a
    proportion of them
    will likely be
    passed on to
    policyholders.
    Therefore, a
    maximum estimate
    is that, during the
    build-up phase
    (assumed to be 10
    years), the costs
    could be around
    EUR 2.33 for a
    yearly premium of
    EUR 1,000.
    **Implementatio
    n of new
    requirements
    including on
    planning – those
    costs are
    expected to be
    low (e.g. only
    0.46 FTE for
    liquidity
    planning, 0.06%
    of all employees).
    ** For insurers
    excluded from
    Solvency II,
    switching costs
    and compliance
    costs of the
    national regime.
    As an insurer can
    ** Changes on interest rates may increase
    capital costs for life insurers by more than
    EUR 48 bn (but compensating measures
    on volatility adjustment and risk margin
    would be introduced to reduce the impact)
    ** While the review is balanced in terms
    of capital surplus, it would result in a
    slight decrease (though very moderate
    considering the currently very high level
    of SCR ratios) in the solvency ratio of
    insurers : less than 3 percentage points at
    EU level.
    ** In relation to IGSs, if the costs are not
    passed on to policyholders, the maximum
    cost estimate for the insurance industry
    could be around EUR 21 billion over a
    transition period of 10 years. This would
    represent a yearly capital cost of 0.12% of
    gross written premiums.
    ** In relation to group supervision, certain
    **During the phasing-in period
    where capital requirement do not
    fully reflect the actual risks from
    the protracted low-yield
    environment, need to monitor
    insurers’ behaviour to ensure that
    there is no excessive risk-taking.
    **One-off cost of adapting
    supervision to the new rules –
    those costs are expected to remain
    low.
    ** increased budget dedicated to
    hiring and training supervisors in
    charge of insurers subject to
    national rules.
    ** A wave of submission of
    application for proportionality
    measures would have to be
    processed by supervisors in a
    short timeframe.
    **The supervision of
    new rules (e.g. the
    volatility adjustment)
    would become slightly
    more complex. Those
    costs are expected to be
    low.
    ** Regular training so
    that supervisors remain
    knowledgeable of two
    sets of rules (Solvency
    II and national ones) –
    those costs are
    expected to remain
    low.
    **Ongoing monitoring
    of the proportionality
    measures applied by
    insurers (this cost is
    expected to remain
    Page | 107
    always decide to
    remain under
    Solvency II, the
    switching costs
    would be
    implemented
    only if national
    rules are less
    burdensome.
    **Need to submit
    notification/appli
    cation in order to
    benefit from
    proportionality
    measure – this
    cost is low
    compared to the
    benefit of
    applying
    proportionate
    measures for the
    firms concerned.
    measures taken in isolation may result in
    higher capital costs for certain groups.
    However, overall, the review is balanced.
    ** Some rules , notable on volatility
    adjustment, would be slightly more
    complex to implement. Those
    implementation costs are expected to
    remain low.
    ** Insurers would be required to maintain
    the new plans (on recovery and on
    liquidity) – those costs are expected to
    remain moderate – e.g. 0.41 FTE for
    liquidity planning = 0.05% of total
    employees.
    ** For insurers excluded from Solvency
    II, ongoing compliance costs with national
    rules. Note that it is expected that an
    insurer would be under national rules if
    those rules prove to be less burdensome
    than Solvency II.
    **Need to regularly report on the
    proportionality measures used – This cost
    is low compared to the benefit of applying
    more proportionate measures.
    ** New framework on recovery
    and resolution would require
    additional human resources (up to
    9 FTE and EUR 450,000) –
    Those costs remain moderate.
    ** In relation to IGSs Member
    States where no IGS is in place
    would face set-up costs. For
    Member States where an IGS is
    already in place, the costs would
    depend on the elements of design
    and scope that would need to be
    adapted.
    low.
    ** Intensified cross-
    border supervision and
    more requirements on
    cooperation would
    increase costs for
    supervisory authorities
    which are currently not
    dedicated enough
    resources to cross-
    border activities.
    ** New framework on
    recovery and resolution
    would require
    additional human
    resources (up to 9 FTE
    and EUR 450,000) –
    Those costs remain
    moderate.
    Page | 108
    Indirect
    Part of the increase
    capital or
    compliance costs
    may be partly
    shifted to
    customers through
    higher premiums.
    ** The “phasing in” of some
    measures would generate
    monitoring (but low) costs.
    ** In rare cases, insurers may be
    required to implement measures
    to address any identified
    impediments to resolution.
    Page | 109
    3. SUMMARY OF COSTS AND BENEFITS PER PROBLEM
    Problem 1: Limited incentives for insurers to contribute to the long-term
    financing and the greening of the European economy
    PREFERRED OPTION: FACILITATE LONG-TERM INVESTMENTS IN EQUITY
    I. Overview of Benefits (total for all provisions) – Preferred Option
    Description Amount Comments
    Direct benefits
    Improved ability to
    contribute to the
    long-term financing
    of the economy
    By facilitating the use of the long-term equity
    asset class that is subject to a preferential
    capital treatment, insurers will find it less costly
    to make long-term investments in equity. As a
    minimum EUR 22 billion of additional equities
    would be eligible to the preferential treatment
    according to EIOPA’s impact assessment.
    Insurers are the main recipients of this
    benefit. The quantification of the impact by
    EIOPA was complex due to limited
    feedback from stakeholders. As there are
    still conditions attached to the benefit of
    using the long-term equity asset class, the
    extent of its use depends on the willingness
    of insurers to comply with the criteria
    (notably the willingness to invest for the
    long-term). The additional equities that are
    eligible would imply a lower total capital
    charge for equity investments (see next row)
    which may be further invested in equity).
    Reduction in overall
    capital requirements
    By facilitating the use of the long-term equity
    asset class, all else equal, the measure would
    reduce capital requirements by at least €
    3 billion (all else equal).
    Insurers would be the main recipients of this
    benefit. Even if insurers do not invest more
    in equity, they would benefit from a
    decrease in capital requirements by
    extending their use of the long-term equity
    asset class.
    More effective
    supervision
    Clearer and simpler criteria to be met to use the
    long-term equity asset class.
    More legal certainty for supervisors in
    supervising the use of the long-term equity
    asset class.
    International
    competitiveness
    Reduced capital charges on long-term
    investments in equity improves the excess
    capital over capital requirements of EU
    insurers, which facilitates international
    expansion (either by selling new products with
    guarantees in foreign markets or by acquiring
    new foreign subsidiaries).
    The main recipients of this benefit are
    insurance companies.
    Indirect benefits
    More incentives to
    contribute to the
    greening of the
    economy
    As green investments require more long-term
    financing, and capital financing is more
    effective than debt financing in achieving a
    reduction of greenhouse gas emissions111
    , the
    Insurers are the main recipients of this
    benefit.
    111
    See e.g. European Central Bank, Research Bulletin No. 64, “Finance and decarbonisation: why equity
    markets do it better”, 27 November 2019 (link).
    Page | 110
    incentives for insurers to make more long-term
    investments in equity also provides indirect
    incentives in long-term and green investments
    in the form of equity.
    More access to
    capital financing by
    SMEs
    As capital charges on unlisted equity (i.e.
    including those from SMEs) are higher than
    those on listed equities (few SMEs are actually
    listed), the benefit of being classified as long-
    term equities is even bigger for unlisted
    equities. Therefore, this will provide additional
    incentives for insurers to invest in unlisted
    equity.
    SMEs will be indirect beneficiaries of the
    revised criteria for long-term investments.
    II. Overview of costs – Preferred option
    Citizens/Consumers Businesses Administrations
    One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent
    Review the
    eligibility
    criteria for
    long-term
    investment
    s in equity
    Direct
    costs
    Slight
    reduction in
    the level of
    policyholder
    protection
    compared to
    current
    rules112
    Compliance
    costs to ensure
    eligibility
    criteria for
    long-term
    equity
    investments are
    met
    Supervision of
    insurers’
    compliance with
    new criteria for
    long-term equity
    investments
    Indirect
    costs
    Monitoring of the
    impact of the new
    rules on insurers’ risk
    taking activities and
    on financial stability
    risks by supervisors
    PREFERRED OPTION: STRENGTHEN “PILLAR 2” REQUIREMENTS IN RELATION TO CLIMATE
    CHANGE AND SUSTAINABILITY RISKS
    I. Overview of Benefits (total for all provisions) – Preferred Option
    Description Amount Comments
    Direct benefits
    More robust risk
    management
    requirements
    concerning climate and
    Increased understanding of climate and
    environmental risks by insurance companies
    and decisions by insurers will have to reflect
    those risks.
    Stakeholders who benefit:
     Policyholders;
     Beneficiaries;
     Investors in insurance companies
    112
    This is due to the fact that according to EIOPA, the 22% capital charge is not supported by evidence.
    However, the reduction in policyholder protection is deemed limited as the revised eligibility criteria for long
    term investments in equity would be broadly in line with EIOPA’s general approach on this issue.
    Page | 111
    sustainability risks
    Harmonised approach
    to management and
    supervision of climate
    and environmental
    risks
    Clarified “Pillar 2” rules would provide a
    harmonised set of rules for the integration of
    climate and environmental risk across the EU
    and avoid diverging practices in implementation
    and supervision.
    Stakeholders who benefit:
     insurance companies, in
    particular those that are part of an
    insurance group with insurers in
    several Member States;
     supervisory authorities.
    Indirect benefits
    Indirect incentives for
    an increase in
    sustainable
    investments
    More robust risk management requirements
    concerning climate and sustainability risks
    provide indirect incentives for sustainable
    investments and for divestments from
    environmentally harmful assets. This may result
    in a reduction of greenhouse gas emissions;
    Stakeholders who benefit:
     investees with sustainable
    activities;
     policyholders with sustainable
    activities;
     any parts of society that might be
    affected by the negative impacts
    of climate change.
    Positive contribution to
    financial stability
    By strengthening “Pillar 2” requirements in
    relation to sustainability risks, insurers would
    be more resilient to climate and sustainability
    risks, which may materialise over the long run
    and impact significant parts of the sector at the
    same time.
    A better prevention and management of
    the systemic nature of climate change
    would benefit the society and the
    economy at large and thereby also
    insurers.
    II. Overview of costs – Preferred option
    Citizens/Consumers Businesses Administrations
    One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent
    Strengthen
    “Pillar 2”
    requirements
    in relation to
    climate
    change and
    sustainabilit
    y risks
    Direct
    costs
    None Increase in
    insurance
    premiums due to
    implementation
    cost that insurers
    eventually pass on
    to consumers
    Need to build
    up capacity on
    climate and
    environmental
    risk
    management
    Less than
    EUR 200
    000 per
    annum and
    entity for
    compliance
    113
    Need to build up
    capacity on
    supervision of
    climate and
    environmental
    risk management
    Need to
    maintain
    capacity on
    supervision
    of climate
    and
    environment
    al risk
    management
    Indirect
    costs
    None None None None None None
    Problem 2: Insufficient risk sensitivity and limited ability of the framework to
    mitigate volatility of insurers’ solvency position
    PREFERRED OPTION: ADDRESS ISSUES OF RISK SENSITIVITY AND VOLATILITY WHILE BALANCING
    THE CUMULATIVE EFFECT OF THE CHANGES
    I. Overview of Benefits (total for all provisions) – Preferred Option
    113
    See SWD(2018) 264, page 47 (link) and explanations provided in section 6.1.3.
    Page | 112
    Description Amount Comments
    Direct benefits
    Improved ability
    to contribute to
    the long-term
    financing of the
    economy
    The reduced volatility of the framework would
    incentivise long-termism in underwriting and
    investment decisions by insurers. In addition, as the
    overall impact of the review in terms of quantitative
    requirements would be balanced (limited decrease in
    capital surplus), there would no longer be any hindrance
    to further investments by insurance companies.
    Insurers would be the main recipients of
    this benefit.
    Reduced
    volatility in
    solvency
    position of
    insurance
    companies
    Short-term volatility would be significantly mitigated,
    and the framework would address the issues of
    overshooting and undershooting as described in the
    evaluation annex. Solvency ratios would become more
    stable
    Insurers would be the main recipients of
    this benefit.
    Enhanced risk
    sensitivity
    The framework would better capture the protracted low
    and even negative interest rates environment in standard
    formula capital requirements and in the valuation of
    insurers’ liabilities towards policyholders
    The main recipients are policyholders
    who would benefit from enhanced
    policyholder protection. This would
    also benefit insurers, which would have
    stronger incentives for robust risk
    management in relation to interest rate
    risk.
    Improved
    international
    competitiveness
    The reduced volatility of the framework would foster
    long-termism in investment and underwriting activities.
    More stable solvency ratios also facilitate business
    planning and strategic planning (notably for
    international expansion).
    In addition, the review is more than balanced in terms of
    capital requirements and would release between
    EUR 16 billion and EUR 30 billion of capital depending
    on the market conditions.
    Insurers would be the main recipients of
    this benefit
    Lower capital
    requirements in
    the short term
    Due to the phasing-in of the changes on interest rates
    which have a negative impact over at least 5 years, as
    changes with a positive impact would apply from day 1,
    this would lead to a short term significant improvement
    in insurers’ solvency position ( up EUR 90 bn in capital
    resources in excess of capital requirements).
    Insurers would be the main recipients of
    this benefit
    Indirect benefits
    Positive
    contribution to
    financial
    stability
    The reduced volatility of the framework would avoid
    procyclical behaviour by insurance companies in
    stressed situations. Similarly, by better capturing the
    low interest rate environment, the framework would
    reduce the risk of excessive risk taking by insurers
    which would be incentivised to have robust risk
    management and asset-liability management strategies.
    Recipients of this benefit are citizens
    and businesses at large as well as
    national governments (less likelihood to
    involve taxpayer’s money to address the
    consequences of a financial crisis).
    Page | 113
    II. Overview of costs – Preferred option
    Citizens/Consumer
    s
    Businesses Administrations
    One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent
    Adapting
    the
    framework
    to address
    volatility
    Direct
    costs
    More complexity to
    comply with new
    calculation approach
    of the volatility
    adjustment. Still,
    limited
    implementation cost
    Increased complexity
    will require resources to
    supervise the
    appropriate application
    of new rules
    Indirect
    costs
    Adapting
    the
    framework
    to improve
    risk
    sensitivity
    Direct
    costs
    Need to adapt IT
    systems every year
    in the short term in
    view of the
    progressive
    implementation of
    new rules during the
    phasing-in period.
    Slight
    decrease in
    solvency
    ratios (around
    2 percentage
    points) due to
    a better
    reflection of
    the low-yield
    environment
    During the phasing-in
    period where capital
    requirement do not fully
    reflect the actual risks
    from the protracted
    low-yield environment,
    need to monitor
    insurers’ behaviour to
    ensure that there is no
    excessive risk-taking
    Indirect
    costs
    Problem 3: Insufficient proportionality of the current prudential rules
    generating unnecessary administrative and compliance costs
    PREFERRED OPTION: GIVE PRIORITY TO ENHANCING THE PROPORTIONALITY PRINCIPLE WITHIN
    TO SOLVENCY II AND MAKE A LOWER CHANGE TO THE EXCLUSION THRESHOLDS THAN WHAT IS
    PROPOSED BY EIOPA
    I. Overview of Benefits (total for all provisions) – Preferred Option
    Description Amount Comments
    Direct benefits
    Compliance cost
    reductions by way of
    exclusion from
    Solvency II
    According to EIOPA’s impact assessment,
    by extending the threshold of exclusion from
    Solvency II, a maximum of 186 insurers
    would be excluded from Solvency II. This
    could represent a reduction in ongoing
    compliance cost of up to € 500 million
    The recipients of this benefit are insurers.
    Considering that some Member States may
    decide to keep the current exclusion
    thresholds, the number of insurers which
    may be actually excluded could be lower
    than 186. Besides, some insurers may prefer
    to continue under Solvency II, notably in
    order to benefit from the passporting regime.
    Compliance cost
    reductions by way of
    The expected number of insurers concerned
    would be in the range between 249 and 435,
    The recipients of this benefit are insurers.
    Additional firms could benefit from
    Page | 114
    enhancing
    proportionality for
    those insurers subject
    to Solvency II.
    the latter in case the existing exclusion
    thresholds from Solvency II were not
    updated by Member States. For those
    insurers, automatic proportionate rules
    would apply, which could reduce ongoing
    compliance costs, up to EUR 50 million,
    according with the estimations of the
    Commission Services.
    proportionality, but conditioned to approval
    by the supervisor (case by case analysis).
    Indirect benefits
    Improved competition
    within the Single
    Market for insurance
    services.
    The high cost of compliance is a barrier for
    new entries in the sector. By reducing the
    cost of compliance of the small and less
    risky insurers, it will be a reduction of the
    operating costs that will contribute to
    enhancing the profitability of the SME in the
    EU
    Policyholders will benefit from a well-
    diversified offer of products coming from
    traditional firms and from new players.
    II. Overview of costs – Preferred option
    Citizens/Consumer
    s
    Businesses Administrations
    One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent
    Increase
    the
    thresholds
    of
    mandatory
    application
    of
    Solvency II
    Direct costs
    Compliance cost
    with national
    prudential rules,
    which in principle,
    should be lower
    than Solvency II,
    otherwise, the
    insurer can
    continue applying
    Solvency II
    Ongoing
    compliance
    cost with
    national
    prudential
    rules.
    Preparation of
    two supervisory
    teams in case a
    national regime
    was not
    implemented so
    far, and no
    insurer was under
    national regimes.
    Ongoing
    training for
    supervisors
    to be
    knowledgea
    ble about
    two different
    regimes.
    Indirect
    costs
    Enhance
    the
    proportion
    ality within
    the
    framework
    Direct costs
    Submission by
    insurance
    companies of
    notification/
    applications in
    order to benefit
    from
    proportionality
    measures.
    Submission of
    regular
    reporting
    template to
    supervisors on
    the
    proportionalit
    y measures
    used.
    Additional cost
    for supervisors
    when assessing
    the notifications
    of the low-risk
    profile insurers
    and approval
    process.
    Ongoing
    monitoring
    of the
    proportionali
    ty measures
    applied by
    insurers.
    Indirect
    costs
    Page | 115
    Problem 4: Deficiencies in the supervision of (cross-border) insurance
    companies and groups, and inadequate protection of policyholders against
    insurers’ failures
    PREFERRED OPTION: IMPROVE THE QUALITY OF SUPERVISION BY STRENGTHENING OR
    CLARIFYING RULES ON CERTAIN ASPECTS, IN PARTICULAR IN RELATION TO CROSS-BORDER AND
    TO GROUP SUPERVISION
    I. Overview of Benefits (total for all provisions) – Preferred Option
    Description Amount Comments
    Direct benefits
    Enhance the
    protection of
    policyholders
    The improvement of the clarity and robustness of the Solvency II framework
    based on the preferred option would improve the governance and financial
    robustness of insurance groups. Through the increase in quality in
    supervision it would also improve the ability of the supervisors to protect
    policyholders and beneficiaries both, in group and in cross border
    supervision. On the latter stronger coordination by EIOPA would ensure
    solutions in case of disagreement between authorities on complex cross-
    border cases and prevent possible insurer failures with negative effect on the
    policyholders and beneficiaries. Higher consistency of supervision would
    also contribute to a more harmonised level of policyholder protection.
    Policyholders would
    be the main recipients
    of this benefit.
    Enhanced
    risk
    sensitivity
    The framework would better reflect all risks as it would lead to a clearer and
    more robust regulatory framework in terms of how to assess capital
    transferability or how entities from different financial sectors (e.g. banks) or
    countries (e.g. subsidiaries from third countries) should contribute to group
    risks.
    Insurers and indirectly
    the policyholders
    would be the main
    recipients of this
    benefit.
    More
    effective
    supervision
    The framework will become clearer and more robust, existing gaps and
    uncertainties would be removed. Due to the stronger focus on cross-border
    supervision and cooperation between national authorities, the quality of the
    cross border supervision and the convergence of the supervision of insurance
    groups would be improved.
    Insurers and indirectly
    the policyholders
    would be the
    recipients of this
    benefit.
    International
    competitiven
    ess
    The preferred option (implying stricter rules governing the supervision of
    groups headquartered outside Europe) will improve the monitoring of third-
    country risk exposures for European entities, and more have more focus on
    capital and financial outflows from the European companies to the wider
    international part of the group. Reducing the risk of regulatory arbitrage
    could also have a positive impact on international competitiveness.
    Insurers would be the
    main recipients of this
    benefit.
    Improved
    ability to
    contribute to
    the long-term
    financing of
    the economy
    Improved rules on group supervision would incentivise insurance groups to
    optimise their capital allocation and diversify their risks across the different
    entities of the group, with potentially positive impacts on the ability to
    provide funding in long term and sustainable assets across Europe.
    Insurers would be the
    main recipients of this
    benefit.
    Indirect benefits
    Positive
    contribution
    to financial
    The increased risk sensitivity and of governance aspects through clarifying
    and strengthening the framework in group supervision would increase the
    resilience of insurance groups and thus the sector, which might lead to a
    Recipients of this
    benefit are citizens
    and businesses at large
    Page | 116
    stability greater resilience in stressed situations. as well as national
    governments (less
    likelihood to involve
    taxpayer’s money to
    address the
    consequences of a
    financial crisis).
    Contribution
    to a more
    sustainable
    and resilient
    European
    economy
    The preferred option will contribute to the functioning, and therefore the trust
    in the internal market and optimise the capital allocation of insurance groups.
    Further integration of the Single Market for insurance services stemming
    from this option can stimulate the cross-border supply of innovative
    insurance solutions, including those covering risks related to natural
    catastrophe, climate change. The improved rules on the group supervision
    would incentivise insurance groups to diversify their risks across the
    different entities of the group, with potential positive impact on the ability to
    provide funding in long term and sustainable assets across Europe.
    Citizens and
    businesses would be
    the main recipients of
    this benefit.
    II. Overview of costs – Preferred option
    Citizens/Consumers Businesses Administrations
    One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent
    Review of
    deficiencies
    in the
    supervision
    of (cross-
    border)
    insurance
    companies
    and groups
    Direct
    costs
    Higher
    compliance
    costs and
    increased
    capital
    requirements
    for some
    groups.
    Higher
    compliance
    costs and
    increased
    capital
    requirements
    for some
    groups.
    Possible
    extra costs
    for insurance
    companies
    conducting
    cross border
    business.
    Implementatio
    n costs for
    supervisors of
    strengthened
    and more
    intensive
    supervision of
    cross-border
    activities as
    well as for
    some groups.
    Extra cost for
    the supervisory
    authorities in
    the Member
    states where
    insurers have
    significant
    cross-border
    activities.
    Intensified
    supervision of
    insurers’
    compliance
    with the
    strengthened
    and harmonised
    framework.
    Indirect
    costs
    There is a risk
    that increased
    costs to business
    and
    administrations
    will be (partly)
    shifted to
    customers
    through increase
    Page | 117
    of insurance
    premium.
    PREFERRED OPTION: INTRODUCE MINIMUM HARMONISING RULES TO ENSURE THAT INSURANCE
    FAILURES CAN BE BETTER AVERTED OR MANAGED IN AN ORDERLY MANNER
    I. Overview of Benefits (total for all provisions) – Preferred Option
    Description Amount Comments
    Direct benefits
    Reducing the
    likelihood of
    insurance failures
    By clarifying the preventive powers and ensuring an adequate
    degree of preparedness, on both the industry and the supervisory
    sides, EU action would contribute to increasing the likelihood that
    an insurer in distress would effectively restore its financial
    position and continue to perform its functions for society.
    Policyholders and
    beneficiaries, which includes
    the business sector in
    general, would be the main
    recipients of this benefit.
    Improving
    policyholder
    protection
    By reducing the likelihood of insurance failures and
    implementing a framework that would ensure that important
    insurance functions of a failing insurer continue to be performed,
    EU action would contribute to a better protection of
    policyholders.
    Policyholders and
    beneficiaries would be the
    main recipients of this
    benefit.
    Foster cross-
    border
    cooperation and
    coordination
    during crisis
    A more coordinated decision-making between different public
    authorities and courts will contribute to reduce inefficiency costs
    and preserve the value of the failing entity.
    Policyholders and
    beneficiaries would be the
    main recipients of this
    benefit. However, many
    insurers would also benefit
    from a more level-playing
    field in the measures taken
    by authorities to restore their
    financial conditions or
    resolve them.
    Indirect benefits
    Preservation of
    financial stability,
    prevention of
    systemic risks,
    protection of the
    real economy and
    of public funds
    EU action would ensure the continuity of functions by insurers
    whose disruption could harm financial stability and/or the real
    economy and to protect public funds (by limiting the risk of
    needing to “bail-out” failing insurers)
    Society at large would be the
    recipient of this benefit,
    including taxpayers.
    Better
    consideration of
    the interests of all
    affected parties
    EU action would ensure that the interests of all affected Member
    States, including those where the parent company is located as
    well as those where the subsidiaries and branches of a failing
    group are located, are given due consideration and are balanced
    appropriately during the planning phase and when recovery and
    resolution measures are taken. It would therefore address
    potential risks of conflicts of interest for local supervisory and
    resolution authorities to give priority to the protection of “local”
    Policyholders and
    beneficiaries would be the
    main recipients of this
    benefit.
    Page | 118
    policyholders over other stakeholders
    II. Overview of costs – Preferred option
    Citizens/Consumer
    s
    Businesses Administrations
    One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent
    Implementing
    pre-emptive
    recovery
    planning
    Direct
    costs
    Insurance
    companies
    would have to
    develop pre-
    emptive
    recovery plans
    which might
    entail some
    staff, IT and
    consultant
    costs, unless
    they already are
    subject to such
    requirements on
    a local basis.
    An increased
    synergy with
    existing
    processes such
    as the ORSA
    could contribute
    to contain costs.
    Insurance
    companies
    would have to
    periodically
    review, adapt
    and monitor
    their pre-
    emptive
    recovery plan
    as a part of
    their
    governance
    framework.
    NSAs would have
    to set-up a
    framework for
    reviewing recovery
    plans. EIOPA
    estimated the costs
    to lie between 0.04
    and 5 FTE
    depending on the
    situation of the
    concerned NSA.
    NSAs would
    have to review
    and monitor
    recovery
    plans. EIOPA
    estimated the
    on-going costs
    related to
    these activities
    to range
    between 0.06
    and 3 FTE.
    Indirect
    costs
    Implementing
    resolution
    planning,
    including
    resolvability
    assessments
    Direct
    costs
    Insurers
    would have to
    provide
    information
    that resolution
    authorities
    would require
    for the
    purpose of
    resolution
    planning.
    Resolution
    authorities would
    have to set-up a
    dedicated
    insurance division
    that would draft
    resolution plans,
    including
    resolvability
    assessments.
    EIOPA estimated
    that the overall
    costs could range
    between 0.3 and 9
    FTE and between
    EUR 21.000 and
    Resolution
    authorities
    would have to
    maintain
    resolution
    plans and
    perform
    resolvability
    assessments.
    EIOPA
    estimated that
    the associated
    costs could
    range between
    0.1 and 6 FTE
    and between
    Page | 119
    EUR 450.000 EUR 21.000
    and EUR
    450.000.
    Indirect
    costs
    In rare cases,
    insurers may
    be required to
    implement
    measures to
    address any
    identified
    impediments
    to resolution.
    PREFERRED OPTION: INTRODUCE MINIMUM HARMONISING RULES TO PROTECT POLICYHOLDERS
    IN THE EVENT OF AN INSURER’S FAILURE
    I. Overview of Benefits (total for all provisions) – Preferred Option
    Description Amount Comments
    Direct benefits
    Improved
    policyholder
    protection
    As presented in Annex 5, the default of insurance
    companies can expose policyholders to substantial
    social and financial hardship due to the discontinuation
    of their policies and the resulting absence of
    protection. These effects would be avoided by the
    implementation of an IGS. In addition, a minimum
    harmonisation of IGS design features across the EU
    would ensure a minimum level of protection
    throughout the Single Market, thereby ensuring a fair
    and equal treatment of all policyholders, whatever
    their place of residence.
    Eligible claimants, i.e. policyholders and
    beneficiaries, which would be natural
    persons and micro enterprises, would be the
    major recipients of such direct benefits.
    Protection of
    taxpayers’
    money
    By transferring the burden of a failure back to the
    private sector, the need to use taxpayers’ resources in
    the future in case of default of an insurance
    undertaking is reduced. Estimations of the benefits
    correspond to the degree of protection offered to
    policyholders under various assumptions. For further
    detail, please refer to Annex 5. A rough estimate
    would be that the introduction of an IGS would save
    around EUR 21 billion over 10 years of taxpayers’
    money.
    Taxpayers would be the main recipients of
    such direct benefits. It should be noted
    however that EU action on IGS will affect
    taxpayers in Member States in different
    ways, depending on whether they are
    resident in a Member State already having
    an IGS or not.
    Indirect benefits
    Improved
    supervision,
    in particular
    for cross-
    border
    activities
    Following EIOPA’s opinion, the implementation of a
    home country system for insurance guarantee schemes
    would incentivise supervisory authorities to ensure a
    better oversight of authorised entities, in particular
    when making use of their EU passport and performing
    cross-border activities.
    Policyholders and beneficiaries would be the
    major recipients of such indirect benefits as
    EU insurance companies would be better
    supervised overall.
    Page | 120
    Improved
    competition
    in the
    insurance
    sector across
    the EU
    The EU action would foster the level-playing field and
    competitiveness in the insurance industry across the
    EU. Competitive distortions between domestic and
    non-domestic insurers will be reduced, thereby
    contributing to a more efficient Single Market for
    insurance. The harmonisation of the geographical
    scope would also eliminate overlaps of existing IGSs
    as well as the associated costs.
    The insurance industry would be the main
    recipient of these indirect benefits as they
    would be facing a more open and fair
    competitive environment. As a consequence,
    policyholders could also enjoy the effects of
    increased competition on their premiums and
    benefit from increased choice from the
    cross-border provision of services.
    Better risk
    management
    practices and
    market
    discipline
    Through an appropriate design (see Annex 5), EU
    action would create incentives for better risk
    management practices and would foster market
    discipline.
    Policyholders and beneficiaries would be the
    main recipients of such benefits as insurance
    companies would have a reduced risk profile
    overall and consequently see a reduction in
    their probabilities of default. This element
    would also benefit insurance companies as
    this would foster competitiveness on sound
    grounds.
    II. Overview of costs – Preferred option
    Citizens/Consumers Businesses Administrations
    One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent
    Introduce a
    minimum
    harmonise
    d
    framework
    for IGS in
    all Member
    States
    Direct
    costs
    Assuming pre-
    funding, while the
    costs are primarily
    borne by insurance
    companies, a
    proportion of them
    will likely be passed
    on to policyholders.
    Therefore, a
    maximum estimate
    is that, during the
    build-up phase
    (assumed to be 10
    years), the costs
    could be around
    EUR 2.33 for a
    yearly premium of
    EUR 1,000.
    If we consider that
    the costs are not
    passed on to
    policyholders, the
    maximum cost
    estimate for the
    insurance industry
    could be around
    EUR 21 billion over
    a transition period of
    10 years for
    example. This would
    represent a yearly
    capital cost of 0.12%
    of gross written
    premiums.
    Member States
    where no IGS is
    in place would
    face set-up costs.
    For Member
    States where an
    IGS is already in
    place, the costs
    would depend on
    the elements of
    design and scope
    that would need
    to be adapted.
    Indirect
    costs
    Problem 5: Limited specific supervisory tools to address the potential build-up
    of systemic risk in the insurance sector
    PREFERRED OPTION: MAKE TARGETED AMENDMENTS TO PREVENT FINANCIAL STABILITY RISKS
    IN THE INSURANCE SECTOR
    Page | 121
    I. Overview of Benefits (total for all provisions) – Preferred Option
    Description Amount Comments
    Direct benefits
    Prevention of risks
    for the financial
    stability
    Improvement of the ability of supervisors
    to prevent systemic risks stemming from
    or affecting the insurance sector
    Recipients of this benefit are citizens and
    businesses at large as well as national governments
    (less likelihood to involve taxpayer’s money to
    address the consequences of a financial crisis).
    Better policyholder
    protection
    The requirement for insurers to integrate
    macro-prudential considerations in their
    underwriting and investment activities
    would reduce incentives for excessive
    risk-taking behaviours.
    Policyholders would be the main beneficiaries
    Consistency with
    the risk-based
    nature of the
    framework
    Supervisory intervention on dividends
    policies would be possible only when
    justified by the application of risk-based
    criteria.
    Supervisors would continue to operate according to
    their legal mandates
    Reduced liquidity
    risk which may not
    be appropriately
    captured under
    current rules
    Improvement of the ability of supervisors
    to intervene in case of liquidity
    vulnerabilities not addressed by insurers
    In Solvency II there is no quantitative requirement
    for liquidity risk as in the banking sector. Those
    additional tools would ensure that no standardised
    liquidity metric is specified in light of the variety of
    insurers’ business models.
    Indirect benefits
    Incentives for
    improved risk
    management by
    insurers, beyond
    capital
    requirements
    Enhanced tools for insurers to assess own
    risks and their capacity to determine
    market-wide risks
    Policyholders would be among the beneficiaries,
    but also insurers in the long run which would
    implement strengthened risk management system.
    Minor impact on
    insurers’
    international
    competitiveness.
    New requirements are in line with the
    international framework for systemic risk
    (e.g. no capital buffers to prevent the
    building up of possible future risks).
    Measures would be applied to improve insurers’
    risk management systems while not implying
    tighter rules than their international competitors.
    Therefore, insurers would be the main recipients.
    II. Overview of costs – Preferred option
    Citizens/Consumer
    s
    Businesses Administrations
    One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent
    Integration
    of macro-
    prudential
    consideratio
    ns in
    insurers’
    Direct
    costs
    Costs for developing
    (or reinforcing) new
    underwriting or risk
    management
    systems
    Costs for
    maintaining such
    new systems
    Costs
    developing (or
    reinforcing)
    macro-
    prudential
    competences
    Costs for
    maintaining
    such new
    competences
    and services
    Page | 122
    underwriting
    and
    investment
    activities
    and services to
    assess macro-
    prudential risks
    in insurance
    Indirect
    costs
    Increased
    complexity in the
    risk management
    requirements for
    insurers
    Enhanced
    liquidity risk
    management
    by insurers
    Direct
    costs
    Costs for developing
    (or reinforcing) new
    liquidity risk
    management
    systems for insurers
    According to
    EIOPA, average
    one-off cost would
    be:
    0.46 full-time
    equivalent (FTE)
    = 0.06% of total
    employees
    Costs for
    maintaining such
    new systems
    According to
    EIOPA, average
    annual costs
    would be:
    0.41 full-time
    equivalent (FTE)
    = 0.05% of total
    employees
    Costs for
    developing (or
    reinforcing)
    supervision of
    liquidity
    management of
    insurers
    Costs for
    maintaining
    such new
    competence
    Indirect
    costs
    Page | 123
    ANNEX 4: PROPORTIONALITY AND SIMPLIFICATION MEASURES
    Full requirement Simplified/proportionate
    requirement
    Beneficiaries
    Pillar
    1
    Valuation of life insurance
    obligations that include
    options and guarantees should
    by default use stochastic
    modelling
    Valuation of life insurance
    obligations that include
    options and guarantees
    could use simpler
    deterministic approaches
    Low risk profile
    undertakings meeting
    certain criteria
    All risks of the solvency
    capital requirements must be
    calculated at least annually
    Immaterial risks may not
    be calculated annually
    All undertakings which
    have immaterial risks
    Pillar
    2
    There should be distinct
    persons in charge of key
    functions
    The same person may
    cumulate several key
    functions in a firm
    Low risk profile
    undertakings and, subject
    to approval, other insurers
    The own risk and solvency
    assessment (ORSA) should
    be conducted every year
    The own risk and solvency
    assessment should be
    conducted every two years
    Low risk profile
    undertakings and, subject
    to approval, other insurers
    A set of complex scenario
    testing should be used for the
    purpose of the ORSA
    Simplified methods may
    be used in the own risk
    and solvency assessment
    Low risk profile
    undertakings, and, subject
    to approval, other insurers
    Rules on deferrals of variable
    remuneration
    No rules on deferrals of
    variable remuneration
    Low risk profile
    undertakings subject to
    some criteria, and, subject
    to approval, other insurers
    Annual frequency of review
    of internal written policies
    Triennial frequency of
    review of internal written
    policies
    Low risk profile
    undertakings and, subject
    to approval, other insurers
    Pillar
    3
    Frequency of regular
    supervisory report: at least,
    every three years
    Triennial frequency of
    regular supervisory report
    Low risk profile
    undertakings and, subject
    to approval, other insurers
    Annual frequency of
    publication of solvency and
    financial condition report
    Triennial frequency of
    publication of “fully”
    solvency and financial
    condition report
    Low risk profile
    undertakings and, subject
    to approval, other insurers
    Deadline for annual
    reporting: 14 weeks
    Deadline for annual
    reporting: 16 weeks
    All undertakings.
    Deadline for annual
    disclosure: 14 weeks
    Deadline for annual
    reporting: 18 weeks
    All undertakings.
    Regular supervisory report
    has to be drafted and
    submitted by each individual
    insurer
    Single regular supervisory
    report for groups which
    could cover also the
    situation of the individual
    insurers in the scope of the
    group, and benefiting from
    less stringent deadlines.
    Groups that meet some
    requirements
    Quarterly reporting of
    prudential information
    Annual frequency of
    reporting of prudential
    information
    Low risk profile
    undertakings and, subject
    to approval, other insurers
    Page | 124
    ANNEX 5: DISCUSSION ON THE TECHNICAL DESIGN OF THE
    MINIMUM HARMONISING RULES IN RELATION TO INSURANCE
    GUARANTEE SCHEMES (IGSS)
    1. BACKGROUND
    The present Annex complements the overall impact assessment on the Solvency II review by
    providing further insights on the options for introducing a harmonised minimum regime for
    Insurance Guarantee Schemes and their impacts. The analysis performed in this Annex does
    not address the issue of consumer guarantees related to the activity of occupational pension
    funds that are subject to a specific regulatory framework nor extend to reinsurance
    undertakings whose activities are more business-to-business and usually involve no retail
    consumers.
    The methodology used to estimate the potential costs of establishing an IGS has been
    developed by the Commission’s Joint Research Centre (JRC). This methodology as well as
    the detailed results of these estimations can be found in the technical report in Annex 6114
    .
    In the aftermath of the 2008 subprime crisis and the subsequent financial turmoil, the de
    Larosière Group recommended the setting-up of harmonised Insurance Guarantee Schemes
    (IGS) throughout the EU115
    . In response, the Commission announced in its Communication
    of 4 March 2009 “Driving European recovery” that it would review the adequacy of existing
    guarantee schemes in the insurance sector and make appropriate legislative proposals. In this
    context, the Commission published in 2010 a White Paper setting out a European approach to
    IGS including indications on appropriate follow-up measures (hereafter, the “2010 White
    Paper”).
    The European Parliament, in its resolution 2013/2658(RSP) adopted on 13 June 2013, called
    for further progress and concrete proposals for a coherent and consistent cross-border
    framework for IGS across Member States. The European Parliament based its request on the
    observation that some of these Member States experienced extreme difficulties when facing
    serious stress and on the need to complement the existing framework composed out of the
    Deposit Guarantee Schemes, the Investor Compensation Schemes and the Solvency II
    Directives. The European Parliament reiterated its call in the report on the Green Paper on
    Retail Financial Services in October 2016.
    In 2018, the European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA) published a
    discussion paper on resolution funding and national insurance guarantee schemes, developing
    potential principles for harmonisation. In this context, EIOPA also conducted a survey about
    the existing regimes. On 11 February 2019, the Commission addressed a call for Advice to
    EIOPA on the review of Directive 2009/138/EC (Solvency II), including on IGSs. In July
    2019, EIOPA issued a consultation paper on its Advice on the harmonisation of national
    insurance guarantee schemes across the Member States of the European Union, seeking
    feedback from stakeholders about this topic. The consultation closed in October 2019. The
    114
    The lines of business considered in the context of these estimations, which are labelled as “life” and “non-
    life” insurance when presenting aggregated results in the context of this Annex on IGS, are disclosed in the
    technical report, section 2.2, table 1.
    115
    “Recommendation 5: The Group considers that the Solvency 2 Directive must be adopted and include a
    balanced group support regime, coupled with sufficient safeguards for host Member States, a binding mediation
    process between supervisors and the setting-up of harmonised insurance guarantee schemes”.
    The full document is available by clicking here.
    Page | 125
    advice on IGSs116
    was included in the Solvency II Opinion that was published and submitted
    to the Commission on 17 December 2020.
    2. INTRODUCTION
    Based on the 2010 White Paper and EIOPA’s Advice, an IGS is set to provide last-resort
    protection to policyholders when insurers are unable to fulfil their contractual commitments
    in case of failure. The aim is thus to protect natural or legal persons (i.e. policyholders and,
    where applicable, beneficiaries) from the risk that their claims will not be met if their
    insurance undertaking becomes insolvent. IGSs provide protection either by paying
    compensation to policyholders (or beneficiaries) for their claims, or by securing the
    continuation of their insurance contract. This can be done either by facilitating the transfer of
    the policies to a solvent insurer or by directly administrating the policies as a bridge
    institution.
    A fragmented landscape
    Unlike the banking and securities sectors, there are no harmonised EU rules for IGSs for the
    time being. When they have an IGS, Member States have each chosen their own approach in
    terms of IGS design: geographical coverage (where does the IGS protection extend?),
    purpose (does the IGS act as a “pay box” or can it take other actions?), scope of eligible
    policies (what is subject to IGS protection?), coverage level (what amount are policyholders
    actually protected for?), eligible claimants (are all policyholders protected or only natural
    persons?) and funding (does the IGS have sufficient financial resources to act?). These
    approaches can diverge quite substantially from each other, thereby affecting the treatment of
    policyholders in the event of failure, in particular in a cross-border case.
    As shown by EIOPA117
    and summarised in table 1, 17 Member States (and Norway) operate
    one or more IGS(s). Of those, eight118
    Member States (and Norway) cover both life and
    (selected) non-life policies insurance; five119
    Member States cover (selected) non-life
    insurance only; and another four120
    Member States cover life insurance policies only.
    Table 1 – Existing policyholders’ protection schemes in the EU 27
    Source: EIOPA
    Excluding Motor Liability Insurance policies, 17 Member States (AT, BE, BG, DK, EE, FI, FR, DE,
    EL, IE, IT, LV, MT, PL, PT, RO, ES) have already implemented one or more IGS, covering some life
    and/or non-life policies. 10 Member States (HR, CY, CZ, HU, LT, LU, NL, SK, SE, SI) have not
    implemented any IGS.
    116
    Together with an advice on a minimum harmonisation of the recovery and resolution framework.
    117
    See Annex 13.1 of the background analysis supporting EIOPA’s Advice.
    118
    Austria, Belgium, France, Latvia, Malta, Poland, Romania, and Spain.
    119
    Denmark, Finland, Ireland, Italy and Portugal.
    120
    Bulgaria, Estonia, Germany and Greece.
    Page | 126
    This situation means that, under the current conditions, not all policyholders in Europe
    benefit from the protection of an IGS and that, where they do, policyholders with similar
    policies would not necessarily enjoy the same degree of protection in the event of liquidation.
    In addition, the continued increase of cross-border activity in insurance – providing insurance
    services in other countries either directly (free provision of services or FoS) or by setting up
    branches (freedom of establishment or FoE) – emphasises the importance of a harmonised
    approach to consumer protection. At year-end 2018, in the EEA, EUR 82.5 billion gross
    written premiums (GWP) are reported via free provision of services (FoS) and EUR 71.7
    billion via freedom of establishment (FoE)121
    . The previous period, EUR 66.5 billion GWP
    were reported via FoS and EUR 75.5 billion via FoE. This accounted for approximately 10%
    of all gross written premiums in the EEA at the end of 2017, which is an increase of 25%
    compared to 2016 when the cross-border business accounted for 8% of GWP in the EEA. Out
    of 2686 (re)insurers under Solvency II, 847 reported cross-border business within the EEA in
    2017 compared to 750 in 2016122
    . Even in Member States that have IGSs, these schemes do
    not necessarily always cover cross-border activities.
    History shows that the decision to establish an IGS in the Member States, and most probably
    its structure, have been prompted by a concrete (risk of) insurance failure. Where no major
    defaults took place to date there was not much incentive to set up an IGS. EIOPA provides in
    its background analysis the following list of examples.
     In the early 1920s, the Austrian system was introduced and significantly improved
    after the failure of an insurance company;
     The Spanish system founded in 1984 answered the need for protection of
    policyholders as a consequence of the market reorganisation linked to Spain’s
    accession to the EU;
     The French life and health fund was created in 1999 following a near failure
    experience of a life insurer;
     In Germany, the creation of the health scheme was an initiative of the health insurance
    sector that aimed at strengthening the trust in the sector following financial stress in
    2002. While no failure were observed so far (neither in the health sector nor in the life
    insurance market) an IGS for life insurance was also introduced;
     In Greece, the scheme was established shortly after the failure of two large life
    insurers in 2009.
    121
    See p 633 of the background analysis supporting EIOPA’s Advice.
    122
    See pp 684-685 of the background analysis supporting EIOPA’s Advice.
    37%
    63%
    No IGS IGS
    24%
    29%
    47%
    Breakdown per policies
    Life
    Non-life
    Both
    Page | 127
    The failure of insurance companies
    In 2014, EIOPA started to gather information from NSAs on a voluntary basis about relevant
    cases of insurance failures and near misses that occurred in the European Economic Area. It
    comprises now a sample of 195 affected insurance undertakings from 1999 to 2018. As
    illustrated in table 2 below, failure and near-miss incidents have been decreasing since the
    subprime crisis (2008) and the entry into force of Solvency II (2016) further contributed to
    that trend.
    Table 2 - Cases of failure and near-miss reported to EIOPA
    Source: EIOPA own database of failure and near-misses events, European Commission
    The evolution of reported failure and near-miss events spiked during the subprime crisis and the
    following sovereign crisis. The overall trend is however decreasing, in particular since the entry into
    force of Solvency II. With the material exception of the subprime crises, most failure events
    concerned non-life insurers. From 2016 onwards, non-life insurers represented 55.6% of the cases
    while life insurers and composite insurers represented 30.6% and 13.8% of the cases respectively.
    The analysis of the causes of failure (see below) confirms that life insurers are particularly affected
    by adverse market developments. This is reflected in the graphs.
    0
    5
    10
    15
    20
    25
    30
    35
    40
    Evolution of failure and near-miss events
    Number of events Failure Near-miss Ongoing
    Page | 128
    On 25 February 2020, KPMG published a review of insurance companies’ insolvencies and
    business transfers in Europe123
    that concluded on the positive effects of prudential regulations
    introduced in Europe since 2001. In particular, the study noted that failures after 2001 have
    significantly reduced in numbers and concerned smaller companies, thereby creating less
    impact and affecting fewer creditors.
    However, the past financial crisis (2008) required governments to intervene in the financial
    sector, including in the insurance business, in order to minimise losses to consumers and/or
    maintain financial stability124
    . EIOPA considers in its background analysis (see § 13.60) that
    the Solvency II framework has significantly improved the supervision of insurers and,
    therefore, contributed to the reduction of the likelihood of insurance failures but has not fully
    eliminated this risk. It should indeed be acknowledged that capital requirements are not
    designed to cover all unexpected losses.
    Such situation has been illustrated by recent cross-border failures that left unsuspecting
    policyholders without coverage and exposed the absence of cross-border coordination
    mechanisms, with sometimes disagreements and media coverage as to which Member State is
    responsible for compensation of policyholders or beneficiaries (See box below for some
    examples).
    Examples of cross-border failures
    Company A
    Company A was incorporated in an EEA country without IGS protection. It wrote various types of
    insurance across the EU market using its EU passport, but not in its country of incorporation. In 2016,
    its failure left 120,000 policyholder in eight Member States, including Denmark, uncovered. Among
    others, the Danish Parliament decided to extend the coverage of the Danish IGS to Danish
    policyholders that had an outstanding insurance claim against the company. Subsequently, Denmark
    decided that its IGS should permanently switch from the home country principle to the host country
    principle, as of 2019.
    123
    This study – prepared for, an on behalf of, the following industry associations: ICISA, ITFA, IUA and
    Lloyd’s Market Association – reviewed the non-life insurance company failures over the last 30 years within
    UK, FR, IT, DE, NL, SE and Gibraltar.
    124
    See European Commission, State Aid Scoreboards and European Commission, “Note for discussion by
    Expert Group on Banking, Payments and Insurance (EGBPI) meeting on 5 March 2015”.
    0
    5
    10
    15
    20
    1999
    2000
    2001
    2002
    2003
    2004
    2005
    2006
    2007
    2008
    2009
    2010
    2011
    2012
    2013
    2014
    2015
    2016
    2017
    2018
    Decomposition of the failure events per type of
    insurer
    Failure Life Non Life Composite Reinsurer Composite
    Page | 129
    Company B
    Company B was an EU-based insurance group that had approximately 400,000 policyholders in ten
    Member States. It mainly provided insurance policies on motor, property, general liability and income
    protection insurance. It was declared bankrupt in 2018, just before its home country changed the
    coverage of its IGS from the Home country principle to the Host country principle. A later declaration
    would have meant that the policyholders residing outside of its home country would have no longer
    been protected by the local Guarantee Fund. For example, it had 51,000 policyholders in another
    Member State, with around 1,500 outstanding claims at the date of failure.
    ‘Dommage ouvrage’ insurance in France
    Several EU-based companies offering, among others, builders warranty insurance in France through
    their EU-passport went into bankruptcy in the last five years. This specific product was either not
    covered or not eligible for protection from the local IGS. Given that the French IGS applied a home-
    country principle at that time, the French policyholders of these failed companies suffered substantial
    losses and/or long delays until they were compensated from the insolvency estates.
    Insurance companies, like any other commercial companies, can still fail and produce
    substantial losses; and, when it occurs, not all claims can necessarily be covered from the
    insolvency estate of the failed undertaking. EIOPA stresses that these recent failures of cross-
    border insurers have proven that even in a Solvency II environment, failures of insurers
    cannot be avoided. EIOPA further concludes that the risk of policyholders being exposed to
    potential financial loss and/or social hardship remains real. Another example is the case of a
    Dutch life insurance company that was declared bankrupt at the end of 2020. Based on a
    preliminary valuation performed by the curator, the entitlement of policyholders could have
    to be restricted to 70% of their claims.
    Beyond the non-zero likelihood of failures (see also next section), an analysis of their main
    causes provide further insights, especially in the current economic context. Such an analysis
    was already provided in the 2010 White Paper, in reference to the 2007 Oxera report125
    .
    These causes appeared to be sometimes linked, sometimes not linked, to financial markets
    and depended on the nature of the insurance activities.
    Non-life insurance undertakings, for instance, are usually less affected by financial market
    developments due to the short duration of their policies and of the corresponding investment
    portfolio. Their losses tend to arise mainly from non-financial liabilities and the realisation of
    related underwriting risks. In fact, losses by non-life insurers are typically caused by higher
    than expected claims (due, for example, to natural catastrophes, etc.) or mispricing (i.e.
    premiums do not adequately reflect the insured risks) rather than by investment losses.
    By contrast, considering the long duration of their asset-liability structure, life insurers are
    much more exposed to financial market developments and their losses are usually mainly
    generated by financial liabilities. This does not mean however that life insurers could not be
    exposed to insurance losses from non-financial events, such as unexpected rates of mortality
    due, for example to pandemics or increased longevity. However, market and investment risks
    appear to be the main sources of risks for them. This is particularly the case for ancillary
    insurance portfolios for which life insurers offered a guaranteed investment performance to
    policyholders. In terms of mechanics, when financial markets fall or in period of high market
    volatilities, returns on assets could be significantly reduced while simultaneously the
    125
    For an in-depth complementary analysis of the risks faced by insurance undertakings, please see subsection
    4.1 of the 2007 Oxera report.
    Page | 130
    actualised value of liabilities could be increased (as notably the discount rate decreases),
    making life insurers particularly sensitive to losses arising from their financial positions.126
    These observations have been confirmed by the empirical evidences provided by EIOPA in
    its 2018 report on (near-)failure cases, based on data spanning from 1999 to 2016. In
    addition, in the four latest publications of its Financial Stability Reports, EIOPA stressed the
    sensitivity of insurance undertakings to market developments and, in particular, the effects of
    protracted low interest rates. This situation, confirmed by the International Monetary Fund
    (IMF) in its April 2020 Global Financial Stability Report, has been identified as a key risk for
    both insurers and pension funds, putting pressure on both their capital positions and their
    long-term profitability. In its 2021 outlook for the European Insurance Sector, published on
    10 December 2020, Moody’s Investors Service warned about the negative impacts of low
    interest rates and of the prostrated prospects for the overall economy, affecting both life and
    non-life insurers’ revenues and profit margins.
    EIOPA noted the following other vulnerabilities stemming from the current economic
    environment:
     Large declines in interest rates could create further incentives for insurers and pension
    funds to search for yield and undergo riskier investments.
     Maturing fixed-income securities could only be replaced by lower yielding securities
    (i.e. so-called reinvestment risk), gradually affecting profitability, in particular for
    insurers and pension funds with relatively high nominally guaranteed liabilities and
    large exposures to fixed-income securities.
     In case of sudden increase of interest rates, life insurers could also suffer a sudden
    increase in lapses and surrenders, as other financial investments may become more
    attractive for instance. Life insurers could then face an increase in both lapses and
    surrenders in a short period127
    , leading to possible liquidity constraints.
    Apart from operational causes, the 2010 White Paper also considered that losses for insurance
    undertakings might be generated by fraud and, more generally, by the severe agency
    problems that insurance undertakings are potentially subject to. These agency problems,
    mainly caused by the length and the "inversion" feature of the insurance cycle, i.e. the fact
    that premiums are cashed in at an early stage and that claims are paid off only at a much later
    stage, could induce risk-taking behaviours and wealth-shifting from policyholders to
    shareholders for instance.
    Furthermore, in its December 2019 Financial Stability Report, EIOPA considered that the
    level of interconnectedness with banks and a high degree of home bias in investments could
    lead to potential spillovers of risks from other sectors and increase the sovereign-insurance
    loop. This situation was also highlighted by the IMF in its April 2019 Global Financial
    126
    As noted in the 2010 White Paper, when life insurance contracts are non-unit linked, investment/market risk
    is normally borne by the insurance undertaking. On the contrary, when life insurance contracts are unit-linked,
    investment/market risk is normally borne by policyholders. On the basis of EIOPA’s Financial Stability Report
    of July 2020, it appears that the share of unit-linked business, while having slightly increased in the first quarters
    of 2019, remains lower that the levels in 2017 and 2018 with an average share at the end of 2019 of 36,5%. In
    reality, however, distinctions are difficult as in both unit-linked and non-unit linked products investment risk is
    shared de facto between insurers and policyholders. In the unit-linked sector, in fact, there are many insurance
    undertakings that offer guarantees to policyholders. They take a wide variety of forms including minimum
    returns, fixed annuity rates as well as contractual terms such as early or regular withdrawal of funds on terms
    that give policyholders valuable options. Thus, in these cases, the insurance undertaking bears some of the
    market/investment risk and clear-cut distinctions are difficult to draw.
    127
    Although several legal implications, such as penalties or fiscal benefits, could limit the impact of lapses and
    surrenders in some countries, EIOPA notes that this situation could add additional strains on insurers’ financial
    position once yields will start increasing.
    Page | 131
    Stability Report where it stressed that insurance companies could also become entangled in
    the sovereign-financial sector nexus given their significant holdings of sovereign, bank and
    corporate bonds. In particular, the IMF stressed that insurance companies in some countries
    have a high share of riskier securities (subordinated and hybrid debt) in their bank bond
    holding, thereby being more exposed to shocks and possible write-down of debt instruments
    in the banking sector.
    The default likelihood of insurers
    An empirical analysis of failures and near-misses reported voluntarily by NSAs in EIOPA’s
    internal database since the entry into force of Solvency II (2016) shows that there has been a
    small but non-negligible number of failures or near-failures that involved mainly small non-
    life insurers, some of which with a cross-border dimension.
    Out of the 36 cases that composed the sample, six cases concerned companies with total
    assets above EUR 1,000 Million. Most of them represented a small share of the market (all
    reported cases, except two, had a market share of below 10% for their non-life or life
    business). 27.8% involved a cross-border dimension as the failing insurers were active abroad
    through of one or more branches (cases of direct cross-border selling may be under-reported).
    The (near-)failing insurer was part of a group in one third of the cases (33.3%). 25% of the
    cases in the sample were on-going in 2020.
    By contrast, the market perception seems to focus on the economic environment and
    prevailing market conditions, considering that life insurers are generally more risky than non-
    life insurers. Please refer to table 3 below showing the evolution of the insurance credit
    default swap (CDS) spreads from March 2010 to November 2019 (from EIOPA June 2019
    Financial Stability Report, left panel) and from January 2008 to March 2021 (right panel).
    Table 3 – Default risk perception of the insurance sector based on CDS spreads
    Sources: Bloomberg, EIOPA June 2019 Financial stability report (left panel), EIOPA (right panel)
    The price of a CDS (i.e. its spread) reflects the perceived credit quality of the referenced underlying
    asset. It therefore echoes the default risk perception of the market. The evolution and level of CDS
    spreads show a higher default perception for life insurers, and a greater sensitivity to market
    conditions. That observation might reflect the current challenges faced by life insurers in an
    environment of prolonged low interest rates and economic slowdown. The perception of default is
    however generally lower nowadays than during the subprime and sovereign crises. The default
    perception for non-life insurers moves around the one of composite insurers or reinsurers. It appears
    to be regularly above these ones since the end of 2013, and in particular at the end of 2019 and at the
    beginning of 2021.
    Page | 132
    Other indicators of the likelihood of failures are available. Table 4 below presents the
    evolution of the one-year default rate forecast developed by Moody’s Investors Service from
    December 2019 to March 2021.
    Table 4 – One-year default rate forecasts for EU insurers
    Sources: Moody’s Investor Service, European Commission
    The forecasts developed by Moody’s are issuer-weighted and include both investment-
    grade and speculative-grade companies. After a peak in March 2020, we observe a
    decreasing trend towards a default rate of 0.20%.
    Moody’s sets the default rate (over a one-year horizon) as per March 2021 to 0.28% for EU
    insurers. Caporale et al. estimate the probability of default of all firms in the last ten years
    0,00%
    0,10%
    0,20%
    0,30%
    0,40%
    0,50%
    0,60%
    0,70%
    December 2019 March 2020 December 2020 March 2021
    Europe
    Page | 133
    lays between 0.2% and 0.4%.128
    A more recent publication from A.M. Best Company
    publishes estimate for the liquidation rates in the US insurance sector to be around 0.36%.129
    Therefore, on the basis of both historical data and model estimations, and for the purposes of
    this impact assessment, it has been decided to test three possible values for the “average over
    the cycle” probability of default (PD) of insurance undertakings: 0.05%, 0.1% and 0.5%. The
    higher rate of 0.5% corresponds to the Solvency II “target”. The lower rate of 0.05% is
    considered to envisage the possibility that estimates based on the conventional insolvency
    definition might be an over-estimation of the occurrence of failures in practice.
    Estimates of potential losses associated with the failures of insurance
    companies
    Failures of insurers can lead to substantial losses. However, considering probabilities of
    default of 0.05%, 0.1% and 0.5%, not all insurers are expected to default and not all at the
    same time. Historical cases mentioned above provide only a very general and rough
    indication of losses that might affect policyholders in the future. It can however be
    reasonably expected from these past examples that estimated potential losses would, in
    general, be lower than those potentially triggered by the failure of the largest insurer in each
    domestic market.
    For the purpose of the impact assessment, the Commission services estimate the losses
    affecting policyholders using a theoretical model that is consistent with the one used for the
    2010 White Paper. As explained in the 2010 White Paper, the order of magnitude of the
    estimated loss distributions are tested based on selected past failures in the EU that fall in a
    range between the 75% and the 99% percentile of the estimated loss distributions.
    The technical report (see Annex 6) explains in detail the Credit Value-at-Risk (Vasicek-
    model130
    ) methodology and the estimated losses potentially affecting policyholders in each
    Member State in a one-year time horizon.
    The model in question allows to estimate policyholders' losses combining the effect of
    various elements, such as:
     the exposure at default (EAD);
     the probability of default (PD);
     the correlation of defaults between insurers (how probable is it that defaults happen at
    the same time);
     the concentration of the insurance market (how many insurers dominate the market);
    and,
     the severity (Loss Given Default) of the losses in case of default.
    Table 5 presents the EAD of the whole insurance sector in each Member States and in the EU
    at the end of 2018. The EAD is an estimation, based on technical provisions and solvency
    capital requirements, of the maximum losses for the society that would occur in each Member
    State and in the EU in the case of failure of the entire insurance sector131
    . These hypothetical
    128
    G. M. Caporale, M. Cerrato, X. Zhang, Analysing the determinants of insolvency risk for general insurance
    firms in the UK, Journal of Banking and Finance 84, 2017.
    129
    Best’s Impairment Rate and Rating Transition Study – 1977 to 2018 - Impairment Review, June 12, 2019,
    The Best Company.
    130
    The main reason supporting the choice of a Vasicek model has been the limited amount of information
    available to feed in the model. A Vasicek model is also used, for example, in the derivation of FIRB capital
    requirements under Basel II. For more details on the Vasicek model, see Section 2.1 of the technical report.
    131
    On the methodology used to estimate the EAD, see in the technical report, Section 3.5.
    Page | 134
    maximum losses illustrate the systemic relevance of the entire sector for the economy and
    potential exposure for policyholders or taxpayers, in the absence of IGS.
    Table 5 – Exposure at default (EAD) in EEA and EU countries, 2018132
    Source: Joint Research Centre, European Commission
    The figures presented below illustrate the maximum possible loss estimated on the basis of the
    continuation principle that delivers a slightly higher amount than under the assumption of a
    compensation principle. Reported figures are in million EUR.
    Total Life Non-life Total Life Non-Life
    AT 95.050 82,655 13,538 IT 783,723 716,209 65,906
    BE 264,963 248,278 22,617 LI 23,720 20,563 3,576
    BG 1,811 627 1,181 LT 1,043 813 282
    CY 2,572 1,940 668 LU 191,086 175,111 20,536
    CZ 11,083 7,381 3,915 LV 590 257 334
    DE 1,551,858 1,358,998 221,471 MT 4,896 4,548 1,025
    DK 326,265 312,802 13,587 NL 422,767 376,222 50,673
    EE 1,506 1,091 464 NO 159,726 147,318 14,159
    EL 13,104 10,743 2,306 PL 27,623 19,360 8,325
    ES 231,999 201,108 34,296 PT 47,537 44,422 3,246
    FI 63,728 58,518 5,781 RO 2,463 1,394 1,063
    FR 2,226,836 2,025,166 215,131 SE 240,010 210,829 31,106
    HR 3,792 2,811 1,003 SI 5,935 4,032 2,220
    HU 6,894 5,721 1,231 SK 4,882 4,048 894
    IE 250,803 223,342 31,966 EU 27 6,784,822 6,098,429 754,766
    IS 675 111 562
    EU-
    EEA
    6,968,944 6,266,422 773,062
    Table 6 presents the EAD/GDP ratios at the end of 2018. For the entire EU 27, the EAD of
    the insurance sector at the end of 2018 would amount to about 50% of the GDP.
    Table 6 – Exposure at default (EAD) over GDP in EEA and EU countries, 2018
    Source: Technical report, Eurostat
    The figures presented below are ratios of EAD over GDP on the basis estimated maximum losses
    132
    As stated in the technical report, due to the difference in Gross Direct Written Premium (GDWP)/Technical
    Provision (TP) ratio, and possibly in similar TP/Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR) and GDWP/SCR ratios,
    approximations to obtain estimates of EAD without motor and import of services from outside the EU introduce
    uncertainty in the calculations. This could result in some counter-intuitive results, such as seeing Total insurance
    not corresponding to the actual total of “total life” and “total non-life”. A statistical procedure to force
    reconciliation could have been used to minimize these discrepancies. This would however have required the
    introduction of further assumptions and could increase the possible error in the final estimates. It was therefore
    chosen not to force reconciliation.
    Page | 135
    presented in table 6 of the technical report.
    Total Life Non-life Total Life Non-Life
    AT 25% 21% 4% IT 44% 40% 4%
    BE 58% 54% 5% LI 407% 353% 61%
    BG 3% 1% 2% LT 2% 2% 1%
    CY 12% 9% 3% LU 318% 292% 34%
    CZ 5% 3% 2% LV 2% 1% 1%
    DE 46% 40% 7% MT 39% 36% 8%
    DK 108% 103% 4% NL 55% 49% 7%
    EE 6% 4% 2% NO 43% 40% 4%
    EL 7% 6% 1% PL 6% 4% 2%
    ES 19% 17% 3% PT 23% 22% 2%
    FI 27% 25% 2% RO 1% 1% 1%
    FR 94% 86% 9% SE 51% 45% 7%
    HR 7% 5% 2% SI 13% 9% 5%
    HU 5% 4% 1% SK 5% 5% 1%
    IE 77% 68% 10% EU 27 50% 45% 6%
    IS 3% 1% 3% EU-EEA 50% 45% 6%
    As stressed by EIOPA through the notion of “financial and social hardship” developed in its
    Advice, losses incurred by policyholders might be different in nature depending on the
    insurance contract and on how the failure is resolved. Failure of a life insurer may cause the
    loss of expected policy benefits, which can be significant particularly if the policy was
    purchased to provide for retirement income. Losses on savings and investment products may
    equally result in important wealth losses, when guarantees given cannot be honoured. With
    regard to non-life insurance failures, losses to policyholders may result from the loss of the
    policy benefit (e.g. protection), in particular regarding the open claims, as well as from the
    loss of premiums already paid in advance.
    Assuming a probability of default of 0.1%, and in total absence of IGS in Member States,
    losses resulting from failures of insurance undertakings happening in a one-year time
    horizon, that could (with a 99th confidence level) be passed on to policyholders or taxpayers,
    could amount to133
    :
     13.6 billion EUR for total (life and non-life) insurance in the whole EU, which is
    some 1.50% of the total EU annual gross written premiums;
     12.3 billion EUR for life insurance only, which is some 2.12% of the EU annual gross
    written life premiums;
     1.5 billion EUR for non-life insurance only, which is some 0.46% of the EU annual
    gross written non-life premiums.
    These estimations show that, when EU insurance undertakings fail, EU policyholders or
    taxpayers could incur very significant losses. The current fragmented landscape of national
    133
    Results displayed may be slightly overstated, as the single factor model that is used assumes the same
    correlation factor between insurance undertakings across all Member States. Results are provided for the year
    2018 under the home and continuation principles, a probability of default of 0.1% and a confidence level of
    99%. Similar results are observable for 2016 and 2017.
    Page | 136
    IGSs raises significant questions as to their ability to mitigate adequately the potential losses
    for policyholders and beneficiaries.
    Based on the information provided in table 1, around 37% of the losses resulting from
    failures of insurance undertakings would not be covered by any IGS, which would amount
    approximately to 5 billion EUR for total (life and non-life) insurance in the whole EU. The
    remaining 63% would only be partially covered, as not all existing IGS ensure full coverage
    of all life and non-life policies. On the basis of a rough estimates of the coverage level,
    approximately 53% of these policies would appear not be covered, leading to an additional
    uncovered loss of 4.5 billion EUR.
    At this juncture and despite funds available in existing IGS, significant losses stemming from
    the failure of insurance undertakings could reach about 9.5 billion EUR and affect EU
    policyholders or taxpayers.
    In view of the increasing importance of cross-border activities, the divergent geographical
    approaches across the EU could be a concern for the appropriate coverage of those activities
    by existing IGSs.
    Based on the model estimations, assuming a probability of default of 0.1%, losses that could
    (with a 99th
    confidence level) result from exported/imported cross-border business and hit
    non-domestic/domestic policyholders or non-domestic/domestic taxpayers in a one-year time
    horizon, could amount to134
    :
     EUR 0.99 billion for total insurance, which is around 1.50% of total (life and non-life)
    annual gross written premiums paid in the EU for cross-border insurance;
     EUR 0.90 billion for life insurance, which is around 2.12% of life annual gross
    written premiums paid in the EU for cross-border insurance;
     EUR 0.11 billion for non-life insurance, which is around 0.46% of non-life annual
    gross written premiums paid in the EU for cross-border insurance.
    It follows from this empirical analysis that significant losses stemming from defaults of
    insurance undertakings operating in a cross-border setting could be exported to non-domestic
    policyholders. Similarly, domestic policyholders could suffer important losses if they have
    purchased policies from a defaulting insurance undertaking in another Member State, when
    these losses are not covered by an IGS in the Home and/or the Host Member State.
    Losses could (partially) be recovered from the estate of the liquidated insurer. However, this
    process takes time and is cumbersome. An IGS could subrogate into the policyholders’
    claims and recover more efficiently from the estate than natural persons and small companies
    could do. Therefore, IGS have the potential to cover the gap in terms of timing and in terms
    of remaining losses. The recoupment from the insolvency estate could contribute to the
    replenishment of any pre-funded IGS.
    Objectives of an EU action
    Taking into account the domestic and cross-border context, potential future EU action on IGS
    protection should pursue the main objective of ensuring an even and comprehensive
    protection of policyholders. Achieving this objective would contribute to maintaining
    consumers’ confidence in the insurance sector and the Single Market for insurance. By
    protecting policyholders’ wealth and avoiding suboptimal allocation of insurance failure
    losses to taxpayers, the framework would prevent or mitigate possible consequential
    134
    Figures are based on a probability of default of 0.1% and calculated at year-end 2018.
    Page | 137
    slowdowns of the real economy and preserve more generally the system-wide stability of
    financial markets.
    In this perspective, the design of the IGS framework and the analysis of policy options will
    consider the following elements as additional objectives.
    1. Avoid competition distortion: the design of the IGS framework should contribute to a
    level-playing field between insurance companies and ensure competitive neutrality for
    business conducted by domestic insurers and incoming EU insurers that operates
    through FoS or FoE.
    2. Reduce moral hazard: the design of the protection mechanisms should take account of
    the risk of moral hazard for policyholders, insurers and supervisors/public authorities.
    As pointed out by EIOPA135
    , the existence of a safety net in the form of an IGS could
    lead consumers to be less inclined to do a proper due diligence. However, this
    assumes that consumers are generally well informed. Given the difficulty for
    consumers to assess risk-related information, it can be argued that the introduction of
    a protection mechanism would not induce wrong incentives. Similarly, a harmonised
    framework on IGS should prevent taxpayers from ultimately bearing the costs of an
    undertaking's mismanagement by introducing a legal framework which is financed by
    the undertakings themselves and that does not incentivise excessive risk-taking136
    .
    Finally, the design of an IGS should ensure that supervisors are encouraged to carry
    out their supervision properly, including in the context of cross-border activities137
    ,
    facing the financial consequences of resorting to the last resort safety net.
    3. Ensure cost efficiency: As explained in the 2010 White Paper, EU action on IGS
    should strike the right balance between the benefits to policyholders and the costs
    linked to the protection offered. This means that both welfare costs of protection as
    setup costs would need to be minimised taking into account existing national
    structures. In the end, an IGS that is not cost efficient would lead to higher costs for
    policyholders. This approach takes account of the costs redistribution effect provided
    through the implementation of the IGS, noting that it would absorb an amount of
    losses that is equal to the losses that would hit consumers (or taxpayers) in the
    absence of such a protection mechanism.
    4. Ensure market confidence and stability: EU action on IGS should finally aim at
    enhancing market confidence and furthering the stability of the EU internal market in
    insurance services.
    3. ANALYSIS OF POLICY OPTIONS
    This section builds extensively on EIOPA’s Advice that duly analysed the costs and benefits
    of the main options considered from a qualitative point of view. Where relevant (and feasible
    considering the data limitations), EIOPA’s analysis and conclusions are completed by
    quantitative estimations provided by the model developed by the Commission services.
    135
    See § 13.37 of EIOPA’s background analysis.
    136
    See § 13.38 (and footnote 342) of EIOPA’s background analysis.
    137
    A resolution authority or an administrator may focus on the interests of creditors and policyholders in their
    own jurisdiction, e.g. by ring-fencing the capital instead of using it to cover capital shortages in other Member
    States. Supervisors have reduced incentives to supervise insurers that concentrate on FoE and FoS.
    Page | 138
    The following table adapts table 13.1 of EIOPA’s background analysis and provides an
    overview of the main options that have been considered. Options indicated in bold are those
    advised or preferred by EIOPA.
    Policy Issues Options
    1. Need for harmonisation of
    national IGSs in the EU
    1.1 No change (maintain status quo)
    1.2 European network of national IGSs (minimum
    harmonisation)
    1.3 Single EU-wide IGS (maximum harmonisation)
    2. Need for harmonisation of
    roles and functions of national
    IGSs
    2.1 Full discretion to Member States
    2.2 Compensation of claims
    2.3 Continuation of policies
    2.4 Continuation of policies and/or compensation of claims
    3. Need for harmonisation of
    geographical scope of national
    IGSs
    3.1 Full discretion to Member States
    3.2 Home-country principle
    3.3 Host-country principle
    3.4 Host-country principle plus recourse arrangements
    4. Need for harmonisation of
    eligible policies
    4.1 Full discretion to Member States
    4.2 Life policies only
    4.3 Non-life policies only
    4.4 Both life and non-life policies
    4.5 Selected life and non-life policies
    5. Need for harmonisation of
    the coverage level
    5.1 Full discretion to Member States
    5.2 Determine a single minimum ceiling (e.g. EUR 100,000)
    across Member States
    5.3 Determine a minimum ceiling and a percentage share
    for life, and only a percentage share for non-life insurance.
    6. Need for harmonisation of
    the timing of funding
    6.1 Full discretion to Member States
    6.2 Ex-ante funding
    6.3 Ex-post funding
    6.4 Ex-ante funding complemented with ex-post funding
    7. Need for harmonisation of
    the nature of contributions
    7.1 Full discretion to Member States
    7.2 Flat-rate contributions
    7.3 Risk-based contributions
    8. Need for harmonisation of
    the target level
    8.1 Full discretion to Member States
    8.2 Harmonization at EU level
    8.2.1 Low risk, low security (PD=0.05%, percentile=75%)
    8.2.2 Low risk, medium security (PD=0.05%,
    percentile=90%)
    8.2.3 Low risk, high security (PD=0.05%, percentile=99%)
    8.2.4 Medium risk, low security (PD=0.1%,
    percentile=75%)
    8.2.5 Medium risk, medium security (PD=0.1%,
    percentile=90%)
    8.2.6 Medium risk, high security (PD=0.1%,
    percentile=99%)
    Page | 139
    8.2.7 High risk, low security (PD=0.5%, percentile=75%)
    8.2.8 High risk, medium security (PD=0.5%,
    percentile=90%)
    8.2.9 High risk, high security (PD=0.5%, percentile=99%)
    9. Need for harmonisation of
    eligible claimants
    9.1 Full discretion to Member States
    9.2 Natural persons only
    9.3 Natural persons and selected legal persons
    9.4 Natural persons and legal persons
    The need for harmonisation of national IGSs in the European Union
    The differences in national approaches towards IGS have resulted in a situation where
    policyholders across the EU could have different level of protection when their insurer fails.
    This fragmentation could also have implications for the level-playing field in insurance and
    the proper functioning of the internal market. Some insurers could benefit from a possible
    competitive advantage resulting from the existence of an IGS coverage while, at the same
    time, other insurers could have to contribute to more than one IGS because of the overlaps
    between schemes. Additionally, consumers could be treated differently across the financial
    sectors for comparable financial products, such as life insurance products versus saving
    products offered by banks.
    EIOPA assessed three options in its Advice and concluded that the most favourable option
    was to establish a European network of national IGSs that are sufficiently harmonised across
    the Member States. This approach would mean that every Member State would have in place
    a national IGS that meets the minimum harmonised features agreed at EU level.
    Table 7 reproduces the evaluation of policy options that EIOPA performed and that supports
    its conclusion.
    Table 7 – Summary of policy options’ evaluations – Minimum harmonisation of IGSs
    With regard to the objectives, such an approach would reduce risks to policyholders. Indeed,
    although Solvency II significantly improved the supervision of insurers and, hence, reduced
    the likelihood of insurance failures in the future, it has not fully eliminated this risk. The
    recent failures of cross-border insurers demonstrated that even in a Solvency II environment,
    failures of insurers are not completely avoided. EIOPA concludes in that regard that the risk
    Page | 140
    of policyholders being exposed to potential financial loss and/or social hardship remains real.
    In addition, normal insolvency procedures are often lengthy138
    , expensive and often failed to
    deliver the Solvency II objective of policyholder protection. Lastly, in the absence of IGS
    protection losses simply fall either on policyholders or on taxpayers, unless they are dealt
    with through ad-hoc solutions involving the surviving insurers. An example of such private
    initiative could be found in the creation of Protektor AG in Germany that took over the
    insurance portfolio of the failing company, Mannheimer Lebensversicherung AG, in 2002 as
    a bridge insurer to ensure the continuation of the policies.
    The harmonisation of national IGSs would also result in a more even level of protection to
    policyholders in the event of failures across the Member States. Additionally, it would
    facilitate cross-border cooperation and coordination between national IGSs, which is essential
    for the effective and prompt functioning of IGSs in cross-border failures. This is particularly
    relevant when considering that the cross-border activities in insurance have been increasing
    over the years and are relatively high. Furthermore, the existence of an effective protection
    mechanism is likely to enhance the confidence in the industry and, hence, contribute to
    enhancing the overall financial stability in the EU. Finally, the reliance on public funding and
    taxpayers’ money would be further minimised, which can also contribute to reducing the
    existing home bias in insurance139
    and the associated sovereign-insurance loop.
    The arguments against the set-up of an IGS are the following. Failure incidents have been
    decreasing for 20 years and Solvency II has further decreased the probability of default.
    Unlike with deposit protection, there has been, so far, no need to prevent an “insurance run”
    to safeguard financial stability. The fact that policyholders’ claims enjoy a relatively high
    ranking in the creditor hierarchy should make it possible to pay most insurance claims from
    the insolvency estate. Therefore, the cost of IGS would be disproportionate. In addition,
    EIOPA analysis considers that the costs associated with the creation and the management of
    an IGS feature among the drawbacks of IGSs but that the benefits of minimum
    harmonisation, such as greater confidence of policyholders in the insurance market, would
    outweigh these costs. Pointing to the risk of moral hazard created by the existence of a
    network of IGSs, EIOPA suggests that they can be addressed through their technical features;
    in particular, the method of calculating insurers’ contributions could reflect the risk profile of
    each contributing insurer.
    Some political considerations could also be relevant in the assessment of various options and
    determine the eventual outcome for the preferred option. A first consideration relates to the
    positions of Member States. In that perspective, the interactions with Member States in the
    Commission’s expert group showed that 18 Member States broadly supported EIOPA’s
    advice to set up IGSs with different nuances and depending on the desired design, Four
    Member States were still analysing the possibility of an IGS harmonisation at EU-level in
    relation to their national systems. Three Member States expressed a negative opinion. A
    second consideration relates to the need for an adequate balance in the overall package for the
    Solvency II review in terms of cost for the industry. The design options developed thereafter
    and the preference expressed assume the choice to pursue with a minimum harmonisation of
    IGSs in the EU.
    138
    Only one quarter of insolvencies are completed within a year, while 38% last longer than two years (EIOPA
    database of failures and near misses (figures from 2018))
    139
    See EIOPA Financial Stability Report – June 2019 and December 2019.
    Page | 141
    The harmonisation of the design of national IGSs
    3.2.1. Role and functions of IGSs
    The majority of the existing schemes in Europe compensate policyholders for their losses in
    the event of liquidation. Only three IGSs have other roles than compensating policyholders,
    ensuring the continuation of insurance policies. In addition, EIOPA’s survey reveals that
    eight IGSs have complementary roles, including acting as a temporary or resolution
    administrator. Despite the fact that most of the existing schemes have a similar role EIOPA
    stressed that the lack of any harmonised features governing the role and functioning could
    still result in a situation of uneven levels of policyholder protection, in particular in cross-
    border cases.
    In terms of funding costs, as shown in table 8, the estimations provided by the model
    developed by the Commission services tend to be slightly lower for IGSs that offer
    compensation compared to IGSs that ensure the continuation of policies, in particular for the
    non-life segment.
    Table 8 – Funding needs for the EU 27 as per year-end 2018 under the home principle
    Source: Joint Research Centre, European Commission
    Million EUR
    Continuation Principle Compensation Principle
    Life Non-life Total Life Non-life Total
    PD = 0.05%
    Alpha 1% 6,585 802 7,285 6,338 456 6,732
    Alpha 10% 996 125 1,112 958 71 1,028
    Alpha 25% 282 36 318 272 20 294
    PD = 0.1%
    Alpha 1% 12,255 1,491 13,552 11,795 848 12,523
    Alpha 10% 2,114 264 2,359 2,035 150 2,180
    Alpha 25% 648 82 728 624 47 673
    PD = 0.5%
    Alpha 1% 48,435 5,888 53,539 46,615 3,346 49,474
    Alpha 10% 11,636 1,441 12,948 11,199 819 11,965
    Alpha 25% 4,344 546 4,861 4,181 310 4,492
    This can be explained by the fact that, in the case of continuation, the model developed by the
    Commission services assumes the need to provide an amount of capital requirements for the
    policies that are continued (i.e. to recapitalise up to the level needed to ensure the
    continuation of the policies) in addition to the situation of compensation140
    . In addition, as
    explained by EIOPA, in most of the cases, the compensation principle will only cover
    outstanding policyholders’ claims at the time of default.
    However, from the perspective of policyholder protection and taking into account the social
    hardship that could be associated with the interruption of insurance coverage, the
    continuation of policies might be more beneficial, especially for life or health policies and
    annuities. In this perspective, EIOPA’s preferred option is that the role and functioning of
    IGSs should be the continuation of insurance policies and/or compensation of policyholder
    claims. EIOPA considers that the objective to protect policyholders in the event of insurance
    140
    See the technical report for further details about the calculation of the EAD used to determine the loss
    amount to be covered
    Page | 142
    failures can be achieved in several ways. The optimal IGS intervention could depend on the
    circumstances. For instance, the continuation of policies might be in the best interest of
    policyholders for life or long-term non-life insurance policies, whereas the swift payment of
    claims might be the better option in other cases.
    Table 9 reproduces the evaluation of policy options that EIOPA performed and that supports
    this conclusion.
    Table 9 – Summary of policy options’ evaluations – Roles and functions of IGSs
    The Commission services would support EIOPA’s Advice that both functions should co-
    exist. On the one hand, the continuation of policies may be more relevant and appropriate in
    the context of long-term contracts and considering the likely (increasing with time)
    difficulties for policyholders to replace their policies (against similar conditions) with another
    insurer. On the other hand, compensation tends to be more appropriate for short-term
    contracts that would be substituted easily. However, as policyholders could suffer significant
    losses if they have an outstanding claim at the time of failure, all non-life policies where
    financial and social hardship cannot be expected to be manageable should also be covered.
    3.2.2. Geographical scope
    The geographical scope determines whether policies sold on a cross-border basis are covered
    by the domestic IGS in a particular Member State. National IGSs could be operated based in
    the home- or the host-country principle. The home country principle means that the IGS
    covers only policies written by insurers established in the Member State of the IGS, including
    those sold to policyholders in other Member States (outward). The host country principle
    means that the IGS covers only policies of residents of the Member State of the IGS,
    including those purchased from insurers in other Member States (inward).
    Based on the information collected by EIOPA, nine IGSs are operated based on the host-
    country principle, seven on the home-country principle and eight IGSs on a combined
    approach. For the latter, it appears that one of the principles is usually dominant. In the
    context of passporting, the absence of and the substantial differences in the design features of
    existing IGSs, notably in terms of geographical coverage, results in gaps and overlaps that
    have shown to undermine the credibility and integrity of the Single Market, including for
    insurers. While holding the same type of insurance policy, policyholders might benefit from a
    Page | 143
    different level of IGS protection depending on where they live and where they have
    contracted the policy.
    EIOPA analysed the following options:
     Option 1 – Full discretion to Member States
     Option 2 – Home-country principle
     Option 3 – Host-country principle
     Option 4 – Host-country principle plus cooperation (incl. recourse) arrangements
     Option 5 – Home- plus host-country principle (combined approach)
    The first option has been disregarded because it would not meet the main objective of
    ensuring an even and comprehensive protection of policyholders across the EU. Setting
    harmonised features for the geographical coverage of IGSs is essential to ensure that
    policyholders in the EU are adequately protected and that the identified problems drivers are
    addressed.
    The main advantage of the home-country principle is that it aligns with – and reinforces – the
    responsibility of the Home supervisor for the prudential regulation, supervision, resolution
    and winding-up process of insurers. Under this option, the costs of a cross-border failure
    would be borne by the industry of the Member State that was responsible for the supervision
    of insurers that exported their policies and benefitted from EU-wide passporting. This
    approach would enhance market discipline and incentives to monitor adequately exporting
    insurers and thereby contribute to a greater confidence in the cross-border provision of
    insurance services. It would also allow for a non-discriminatory system in which
    policyholders of the same insurers, wherever their place of residence, are equally protected.
    Finally, an important consideration supporting the home country principle highlighted in the
    2010 White Paper is that the administration of an IGS is closely linked with rules regarding
    insolvency and liquidation, which are under the responsibility of the Home Member State. In
    the public consultation organised by EIOPA141
    , most respondents supported the home
    approach.
    While a host-country principle would ensure that all policyholders in a given Member States
    are evenly protected, regardless of the location of their insurer, it would require, in principle,
    incoming insurers to participate in all domestic IGSs where they have operations. This could
    duplicate administrative costs, as it would require insurers with cross-border business to take
    part in two or more IGS. In addition, this option would not contribute to the alignment and
    reinforcement of supervisory responsibilities and market discipline that would be achieved
    under the home-country principle142
    . This could further hinder the IGS intervention by
    creating additional frictions. EIOPA notes that when the choice is made not to require inward
    insurers to contribute, on the same terms than insurers in the host Member State, to the host
    IGS, recourse against the IGS of the Home Member State of the failed insurance group where
    it exists would be needed. The example of France that is provided by EIOPA in box 13.5 of
    its background analysis shows the absence of recourse mechanism could result in a reduction
    of coverage and a decrease in the overall protection provided to policyholders.
    In terms of funding, the difference between the two approaches is shown in the following
    tables. At EU level, the two approaches deliver broadly similar results. The difference is
    141
    https://www.eiopa.europa.eu/sites/default/files/solvency_ii/eiopa-bos-20-752-feedback-statement.pdf
    142
    A resolution authority or an administrator may focus on the interests of creditors and policyholders in their
    own jurisdiction, e.g. by ring-fencing the capital instead of using it to cover capital shortages in other Member
    States. Supervisors may have reduced incentives to supervise insurers that concentrate on freedom of
    establishment and freedom of services if their jurisdiction does not bear financial responsibility in case of failure
    of the insurer.
    Page | 144
    explained by the slightly different level of funding needs estimated by the model between the
    cross-border activities that are imported (covered by the host-country based system) and
    those that are exported (covered by the home-country based system).
    The funding needs of a host-country based system for both life and non-life would be slightly
    increased by some 0-1% compared with a home-country based system. However, the funding
    needs of a host-country based system would be slightly reduced by some 0-1% compared
    with a home-country based system if we consider non-life activities only.
    Table 10 – Funding needs for the EU 27, Home IGS vs. Host IGS, compensation principle, 2018
    Source: Joint Research Centre, European Commission
    Million EUR
    PD = 0.05% PD = 0.1% PD = 0.5%
    75% 90% 99% 75% 90% 99% 75% 90% 99%
    TOTAL HOME 294 1,028 6,732 673 2,180 12,523 4,492 11,965 49,474
    HOST 294 1,028 6,735 673 2,181 12,529 4,494 11,971 49,497
    Var.   -0.04%  -0.05% -0.05% -0.04% -0.05% -0.05%
    LIFE HOME 272 958 6,338 624 2,035 11,795 4,181 11,199 46,615
    HOST 272 961 6,352 625 2,039 11,821 4,190 11,224 46,720
    Var.  -0.31% -0.22% -0.16% -0.20% -0.22% -0.21% -0.22% -2.22%
    NON-LIFE HOME 20 71 456 47 150 848 310 819 3,346
    HOST 20 71 455 47 149 845 310 817 3,337
    Var.   -0.22%  +0.67% +0.36%  +0.24% +0.27%
    Table 11 – Funding needs for the EU 27, Home IGS vs. Host IGS, continuation principle, 2018
    Source: Joint Research Centre, European Commission
    Million EUR
    PD = 0.05% PD = 0.1% PD = 0.5%
    75% 90% 99% 75% 90% 99% 75% 90% 99%
    TOTAL HOME 318 1,112 7,285 728 2,359 13,552 4,861 12,948 53,539
    HOST 318 1,113 7,288 728 2,360 13,558 4,863 12,954 53,564
    Var.  -0.09% -0.04%  -0.04% -0.04% -0.04% -0.05% -0.05%
    LIFE HOME 282 996 6,585 648 2,114 12,255 4,344 11,636 48,435
    HOST 283 998 6,600 649 2,119 12,282 4,354 11,662 48,543
    Var. -0.35% -0.20% -0.23% -0.15% -0.24% -0.22% -0.23% -0.22% -0.22%
    NON-LIFE HOME 36 125 802 82 264 1,491 546 1,441 5,888
    HOST 36 124 800 82 263 1,487 545 1,437 5,872
    Var.  +0.81% +0.25%  +0.38% +0.27% +0.18% +0.28% +0.27%
    The fourth option considered by EIOPA introduces the possibility to have a recourse to the
    IGS of the home Member State of the failed cross-border insurer. However, this option
    assumes that (a) there would be a Home IGS to which a recourse could be introduced and (b)
    that the scope of coverage would be identical between the home and the host IGSs. The last
    option considered by EIOPA is a combined approach. As for the preceding one, EIOPA
    stresses the significant complexity added by this option. There seems to be no clear benefits
    of these options in comparison to the home approach with a minimum harmonisation of the
    IGS design.
    An additional option, that was considered in the 2010 White Paper (see option 5.4), would be
    to implement a harmonised IGS system that would only cover cross-border activities, i.e.
    Page | 145
    policies written and sold cross-border via branches and/or free provision of services. This
    would address the specific problems that arise in the cross-border context and that were
    illustrated by some of the recent cases of failure. National flexibility would be maintained for
    the purely domestic business. In practice, however, such a solution is likely to create a
    number of complications. First of all, an EU-wide IGS for cross-border business would not be
    consistent with the existing national micro-prudential supervisory framework. Furthermore,
    insurers with cross-border business would need to take part in both the cross-border scheme
    and their national scheme. Uneven protection levels between and within Member States
    would also continue, especially if domestic and cross-border business protection were
    different. Overall, the funding needs for the EU under this option, considering the need for
    adequate IGS protection at domestic level (i.e. mandating an IGS in all EU Member States),
    are broadly the same. The funding needs for an EU-wide IGS covering cross-border
    insurance activities being relatively limited as can be seen in the table 12.
    Table 12 – Funding needs for the EU 27, cross-border IGS – exported business, compensation,
    2018
    Source: Joint Research Centre, European Commission
    Million EUR
    PD = 0.05% PD = 0.1% PD = 0.5%
    75% 90% 99% 75% 90% 99% 75% 90% 99%
    TOTAL 21 75 491 49 159 913 327 872 3,607
    LIFE 19 69 455 45 146 846 300 804 3,345
    NON-LIFE 2 5 34 3 11 64 23 61 251
    Absent the domestic element, i.e. an IGS applicable only to insurers that sell insurance
    services cross-border, the costs for the industry overall could be reduced. However,
    policyholders living in a Member State without an IGS for its residents would only be
    protected if their insurance policies are covered by an insurer from abroad, which contradicts
    the objective of a minimum level of protection for all policyholders. In addition,
    contributions to such a protection scheme could present a disincentive for conducting cross-
    border business.
    Table 13 reproduces the evaluation of policy options that EIOPA performed and that supports
    this conclusion.
    Table 13 – Summary of policy options’ evaluations – Geographical scope
    Page | 146
    Based on its analysis, Commission services would support EIOPA’s preference for the
    home-country principle. In addition to the elements described above and the consistency
    with the approach followed for DGS and ICS, this option would ensure that all policyholders
    of a failing insurer would be enjoy the same scope and level of IGS protection irrespective of
    their place of residence. However, this solution requires the minimum harmonisation of the
    main IGS features for two reasons. If the level of protection through the IGS would be left
    entirely to the respective Home Member State, the home country approach would be difficult
    to accept for Member States that have currently chosen to establish an IGS based on the host
    principle. This choice underlies the willingness to protect all their residents to the same scope
    and level irrespective of where their insurer is established. Only option 2 with minimum
    harmonised features would establish such a minimum floor of policyholder protection in case
    of an insurer’s failure throughout the Single Market.
    In terms of costs, the implementation of option 2 would represent a maximum of 13.6 billion
    EUR for the entire EU143
    , assuming an extensive scope covering all life and non-life policies.
    Assuming a 10-year transition period to accumulate the financial resources of the IGS, this
    estimated amount would correspond to an overall cost increase at EU-level for the industry
    and policyholders of about 1.50 EUR per year on a yearly premium of 1,000 EUR.
    3.2.3. Eligible policies
    EIOPA analysed the following options as regards eligible policies.
     Option 1 – full discretion to Member States
     Option 2 – Life policies only
     Option 3 – Non-life policies only
     Option 4 – Both life and non-life policies
     Option 5 – Specific life and specific non-life policies
    143
    The sum of the individual funding needs per Member State could be slightly higher as they would not reflect
    diversification effects that are inherent to the model. This result reflects a probability of default of 0.1% and a
    confidence interval of 99%, meaning that in one loss event out of 100, the resources provisioned by the Fund
    will not be sufficient to cover the incurred loss. This estimation depends on selected elements such as the
    confidence interval, the assumed probability of default of insurers and the IGS design.
    Page | 147
    According to EIOPA, most of the existing IGSs are special schemes covering typically one or
    two types of policies. Seven national IGSs cover a broad range of both life and non-life
    insurance policies, whereas the other seven schemes cover only life or non-life policies. In
    order to ensure a minimum level of equal protection of policyholders, EIOPA considers it is
    essential to establish harmonised features for insurance policies eligible for IGS protection.
    Option 1 would thus be disregarded, as it would not meet the main objective of an EU action.
    Life insurance is characterised by long-term duration contracts with usually a savings or
    retirement objective. The financial consequences for policyholders could be significant if
    insurers cannot meet their contractual commitments on life policies, especially when they
    rely on the pay-outs of their policies, for instance, for their retirement in the form of savings
    or annuities. In addition, the typical long-term nature of life products in combination with the
    likely difficulties for policyholders to find replacement (against similar conditions) makes
    IGS protection essential.
    As regards non-life insurance, most non-life insurance is characterised by short duration
    contracts, which could easily be substituted. However, even if the average loss to
    policyholders is generally smaller in the case of a non-life insurer going into default, there are
    instances where losses to individual policyholders and third party claimants may well exceed
    that of a typical life insurance product. Policyholders could also suffer significant losses if
    they have an outstanding claim at the moment of failure.
    Therefore, since substantial losses can be passed on to the holders of both life and non-life
    policies, policyholders will receive a more complete and appropriate protection if the EU acts
    to protect both types of policy – albeit in different ways and under different rules. However,
    doubts exist, also in view of the comments of some stakeholders, on whether this full
    coverage is entirely justified.
    Table 14 reproduces the evaluation of policy options that EIOPA performed and that supports
    this conclusion.
    Table 14 – Summary of policy options’ evaluations – Eligible policies
    The Commission services would support EIOPA’s advice that recommends IGS to cover
    specific life and specific non-life policies. As EIOPA mentions that the protection for life
    policies is essential to alleviate the potential severe financial and social hardship for
    Page | 148
    policyholders and beneficiaries all life policies should be covered. In the consultation that
    EIOPA organised, the difficulty to appreciate fully the criteria of financial and social
    hardship was stressed several times by stakeholders. In this perspective, leaving the discretion
    of the definition of the scope of eligible policies to Member States based on these criteria
    risks missing the main objective of EU action. Therefore, it might be preferable to establish a
    minimum list of eligible non-life policies at EU level based on the list that EIOPA presents.
    Member States would nevertheless maintain the flexibility to go beyond the specific range of
    policies set at the EU level and extend the coverage to a broader range of policies.
    In terms of funding, the definition of eligible policies would have a significant impact on the
    costs for IGSs. Certain lines of business present higher costs than others and the possibility to
    cover multiple lines of business could also create some pooling or diversification effects that
    could be beneficial overall.
    The following table presents the costs of funding per lines of business and on an aggregated
    level for the entire EU for both the compensation and the continuation principles144
    .
    Table 15 – Funding needs per lines of business, Home-country principle, 2018
    Source: Joint Research Centre, European Commission
    This table provides an overview of the funding needs for an IGS at different level of granularity in terms of
    eligible policies under the home-country principle and considering the two principles for IGS intervention, i.e.
    compensation or continuation. The information is provided under the assumption of a probability of default of
    0.1% and for different levels of security to be achieved by the IGS protection: 75% (alpha=25%) of failure
    cases, 90% (alpha=10%) of failure cases and 99% (alpha=1%) of failure cases.
    EU 27
    (Million EUR)
    Continuation Principle Compensation Principle
    Alpha 1%
    Alpha
    10%
    Alpha
    25%
    Alpha 1%
    Alpha
    10%
    Alpha
    25%
    Total 13,552 2,359 728 12,523 2,180 673
    Life 12,255 2,114 648 11,795 2,035 624
    Annuities Health 60 10 3 59 10 3
    Annuities Non-
    health
    20 3 1 20 3 1
    Health Ins. 768 132 41 721 124 38
    Index- and Unit-
    linked
    2,986 515 158 2,836 489 150
    Profit Part. 7,627 1,316 403 7,417 1,279 392
    Other Life 755 130 40 702 121 37
    Non-Life 1,491 264 82 848 150 47
    Credit/Surety 37 7 2 21 4 1
    Fire/Property 382 67 21 199 35 11
    General Liability 304 54 17 231 41 13
    Income Protection 167 30 9 104 18 6
    MAT 39 7 2 23 4 1
    Medical Exp. 249 44 14 120 21 7
    Workers Comp. 19 3 1 14 3 1
    144
    The figures presented in table 15 are in relation to a probability of default of 0.1%.
    Page | 149
    3.2.4. Coverage level
    The coverage level determines the design and extend of protection provided to policyholders
    and beneficiaries. Currently, national IGSs have varying coverage levels. Table 16 provides
    some examples of the (maximum) coverage levels in place for some of the existing IGSs.
    Table 16 – Coverage levels of existing national IGSs (excluding MTPL)
    Source: EIOPA background analysis, European Commission
    Country Coverage level Policies covered
    BE EUR 100,000 per claimant Insurance with profit participation
    BG
    Approx. EUR 25,000 per injured person
    Compulsory accident insurance of
    passengers in the means of public
    transport vehicles
    Approx. EUR 100,000
    Insurance with profit participation,
    index-linked and unit-linked insurance
    and other life insurance
    DE Continuation principle with no specific limit Life and health policies
    EL
     100% or maximum of EUR 30,000 per
    claimant for life
     100% or maximum of EUR 60,000 for
    death and permanent total disability
    Broad range of life policies (survival,
    death insurance, annuities, accident or
    sickness, marriage and birth,
    investment, health, etc.)
    FI 100% of claims
    Workers’ compensation insurance and
    patient injuries insurance
    FR
    EUR 90,000 per claimant (health) Health insurance policies
    EUR 70,000 per claimant (life) Life insurance policies
    90% of the compensation to policyholders
    Third party medical malpractice
    liability
    90% of the compensation to policyholders
    Assurance “dommages-ouvrage”
    (covers the construction of a new
    building)
    IT
     Approximately EUR 500,000 for each
    accident
     Approximately EUR 400,000 for each
    injured person
     Approximately EUR 100,000 for damage
    to animals and property
    Civil liability towards third parties
    deriving from the use of weapons or
    tools for hunting.
    IE 65% or a maximum of 825,000 per claimant Broad range of non-life policies
    LV
    100% or maximum of EUR 15,000 per
    claimant for life, 50% or maximum of
    EUR 3,000 for non-life
    Broad range of life and non-life
    policies
    MT
    75% or maximum of approx. EUR 24,000 per
    claimant
    Broad range of life and non-life
    policies
    NO
    90% or maximum EUR 2.1 million per
    claimant
    Broad range of life and non-life
    policies
    PL
    EUR 30,000 but not more than 50% of the
    claims
    Broad range of life policies (life,
    marriage and birth, unit linked,
    Page | 150
    annuity, accident and sickness)
    100% of the claims up to the sum insured
    Compulsory insurance for farm
    buildings
    100% of the claims up to a minimum amount
    (EUR 5,210,000 for personal injuries per event
    and EUR 1,050,000 for damages to property
    per event)
    Compulsory farmers third party
    liability insurance
    EUR 30,000 but not more than 50% of the
    claims
    Compulsory professional third party
    liability insurances
    RO
    Approximately EUR 92,000 maximum per
    claimant
    All life and non-life policies
    In determining the coverage level, an appropriate balance has to be found between, on the
    one hand, the protection offered to policyholders and beneficiaries against an undesirable
    level of financial or social hardship and, on the other hand, the overall costs of funding the
    protection scheme.
    In order to reach this balance, EIOPA recommends the following main elements to design the
    minimum harmonised coverage system:
     100% of a certain amount (e.g. EUR 100,000) should be guaranteed for selected
    eligible policies associated to social hardship (e.g. health, savings). Beyond this EUR
    amount, a percentage cap of coverage level should be considered. EIOPA’s advice
    and background analysis imply that this design would preferably apply to all life
    policies.
     For other policies, the maximum coverage in terms of a percentage cap could apply145
    .
    EIOPA’s advice and the related background analysis imply that this design would
    apply mainly to selected non-life policies.
     EIOPA also recommends a deductible amount should also be defined for the eligible
    policies (e.g. EUR 100), which should act as a minimum threshold, below which no
    eligible policy would be covered by the IGS. However, considering that most
    insurance contracts already include a deductible amount, the definition of a
    harmonised deductible amount would be an unnecessary complication in the design of
    the coverage level. As the IGS intervention would reflect the terms of the contract
    between the failing insurer and its policyholders, thereby defining the eligible claim,
    the deductible amount of the contract will be reflected and should be sufficient to
    prevent moral hazard behaviour on the side of policyholders or unjustified
    administrative costs in comparison to the amount claimed.
    EIOPA did not provide any quantitative analysis to help defining these different elements.
    Absent available information on the distribution of claims in the Member States, it has not
    been possible for the Commission services to provide estimations based on its model.
    However, the Commission services ran a survey on the main features of current IGSs in the
    context of its Expert Group on Banking, Payment and Insurance (EGBPI) meetings. As a
    principle, IGSs would not cover more than the contractual obligations of insurers towards
    their policyholders but they could cover less. The different thresholds could be set at a level
    that could be regarded as a reasonable compromise between the currently applicable levels
    across Member States that have one or more IGS(s) in place.
    145
    EIOPA notes that, in case of a continuation model, it may be that absolute caps are not needed. We
    understand that it will depend on the sustainability of the costs associated with the implementation of the
    continuation model (e.g. the importance of the haircut applied to policyholders’ claims, to be covered by the
    IGS acting as a facilitator, in the case of a transfer).
    Page | 151
    Based on EIOPA’s recommendation and the results of its survey, the Commission services
    considered the following options:
     Option 1 – determine a single minimum ceiling (e.g. EUR 100,000) across Member
    States.
     Option 2 – determine a minimum ceiling and a percentage share for life, and only a
    percentage share for non-life insurance.
    Option 1 would be a simpler starting point for minimum harmonisation and would
    correspond to the approach in several Member States as shown by the survey’s results and
    EIOPA’s examples. However, a single minimum ceiling of EUR 100,000, for instance, could
    still lead to significant social hardship in case significant damage remained uncovered, e.g.
    for fire or civil liability insurance, in particular concerning uncovered claims of injured third
    parties.
    Option 2 reflects further EIOPA’s recommendation. In comparison to Option 1, this approach
    remains simple and its additional coverage of a share of higher claims would make the
    minimum harmonisation approach credible. Using the current maximum levels of coverage
    achieved in Member States that already have an IGS in place and having in mind the need to
    take account of the varying living standards, a harmonised share of 85% would seem
    appropriate.
    In conclusion, the Commission services would follow the structure recommended by
    EIOPA and believe that Option 2 would be preferable.
    3.2.5. Funding
    3.2.5.1. Timing of funding
    Based on EIOPA’s survey, a bit more than a third of existing IGSs are funded ex-ante while
    slightly less than a third are funded ex-post and one third of existing IGSs are funded by a
    combination of both approaches. The OECD made a similar observation in 2013146
    .
    Table 17 below summarizes the pros and cons of each approach as provided in EIOPA’s
    background analysis. This overview confirms analyses made by both the OECD147
    and the
    IAIS148
    in 2013.
    Table 17 – Overview of the pros and cons between ex-ante and ex-post funding
    Source: EIOPA’s background analysis
    Advantages Disadvantages
    Ex-ante funding
     Swift intervention
     Lower moral hazard
     Lower procyclicality
     Higher industry costs (addressed
    with a transitional period)
     Higher management/operational
    costs
     Investment risk
    Ex-post funding
     Lower management/operational
    costs
     No investment risk
     Reflects actual needs
     Higher moral hazard
     Higher execution risk
     Higher procyclicality
    146
    https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/policyholder-protection-
    schemes_5k46l8sz94g0.pdf?itemId=%2Fcontent%2Fpaper%2F5k46l8sz94g0-en&mimeType=pdf
    147
    See previous footnote.
    148
    https://www.iaisweb.org/page/supervisory-material/issues-papers/file/34547/issues-paper-on-policyholder-
    protection-schemes
    Page | 152
    Ex-post
    In an ex-post funded scheme, resources remain with the contributing institutions until a
    failure occurs, and levies are paid to the scheme only once losses arise. It follows that set-up
    and operational costs are limited and that the funds are collected based on actual needs (i.e.
    outstanding claims). However, ex-post funding is more subject to moral hazard as failed
    institutions never contributed to the IGS. This could incentivise insurance companies to adopt
    less conservative and riskier practices in order to maximise their profits and extract values
    from policyholders as they would not have to face the consequences of these inappropriate
    behaviours. Furthermore, depending on the market circumstances and the degree of market
    concentration, raising contributions following the failure of an insurer could potentially have
    a pro-cyclical effect on the surviving share of the industry.
    As summarised in table 17, the main advantages of ex-post funding are:
     A very low set-up and administrative costs;
     A lower cost for insurance undertakings as long as no failure occurs;
     Collected funds are tailored on actual default losses.
    The main disadvantages are:
     A difficulty to ensure a prompt pay-out to policyholders without recourse to lending
    by the IGS, which may not be feasible during a financial crisis, or to public funds;
     Failed insurance undertakings do not contribute to the loss caused by their failure;
     Funds are collected in a possibly more pro-cyclical way and the reliance on public
    funds, could – in extreme cases – reinforce the sovereign-insurer loop149
    ;
     An uncertainty on the possibility to collect funds from the insurance industry
    depending on the circumstances at the moment of the failure.
    Ex-ante
    In a pre-funded scheme, funds are raised in anticipation of possible future failures, with
    resources transferred to, and managed by, the IGS via a system of levies on industry.
    The first advantage therefore is the fact that money is readily available to protect
    policyholders and beneficiaries should a failure occur. Moreover, ex-ante funding is less
    subject to moral hazard problems because insurers that become insolvent will have already
    contributed to the IGS150
    . Finally, ex-ante funding is more likely to avoid the pro-cyclicality
    associated with ex-post funded schemes. However, the set-up and operational costs tend to be
    higher in a pre-funded scheme than in the case of ex-post funding. In addition, the investment
    policy of the scheme should be adequately framed to ensure that the financial resources
    remain available when needed.
    As shown in table 17, the main advantages of ex-ante funding are:
     Funds are more quickly available to the IGS;
     Failed insurers contribute to the loss caused by their failure;
     Funds are collected in a possibly less pro-cyclical way.
    The main disadvantages are:
     Higher set-up, administrative and operational costs.
    149
    See EIOPA Financial Stability Report of December 2019 for an analysis of the existing home-bias in
    insurance.
    150
    This positive feature of ex-ante funded IGS can be reinforced by introducing ex-ante levies that are risk-
    weighted.
    Page | 153
    Combination of ex-post and ex-ante funding
    When part of the IGS funding is ex-ante and part is ex-post, some of the funds would be
    immediately available to the IGS without imposing too high ex-ante costs / mobilization of
    funds on industry and policyholders.
    Table 18 reproduces the evaluation of policy options that EIOPA performed and that supports
    this conclusion.
    Table 18 – Summary of policy options’ evaluations – Timing of funding
    The above analysis would support EIOPA’s advice that states that IGSs should be funded
    on the basis of ex-ante contributions by insurers, possibly complemented by ex-post
    funding arrangements in case of capital shortfalls and that further work is needed in
    relation to specific situations where a pure ex-post funding model could potentially
    work, subject to adequate safeguards. It would underpin the necessary trust that the home-
    country approach will actually deliver the agreed protection and the complementary ex-post
    funding arrangements, combined with an appropriate transition period to reach the target
    level, could alleviate some of the concerns of those stakeholders opposed to a pure ex-ante
    funding. However, the overall balance of the Solvency II review needs to be considered in
    view of the additional costs for the industry. In this perspective, the choice of the timing of
    funding may also need to reflect that some insurance products have more limited payout and
    maturity profiles. This consideration may be suitable to balance adequately the interest of all
    stakeholders involved and combine, as suggested by EIOPA, ex ante and ex post funding in
    an appropriate manner.
    3.2.5.2. Nature of contributions to IGSs
    According to EIOPA, more than half of the existing IGSs collect flat-rate (fixed)
    contributions while less than a third operate on the basis of variable-rate contributions. Only
    one IGS currently uses risk-based contributions.
    The main advantages of contributions based on a flat-rate in proportion to the size of
    insurers’ business are the simplicity of the approach and the consistency with current
    schemes.
    Page | 154
    However, while a flat-rate system distinguishes between insurers based on their volume of
    activities, it does not account for different levels of conservatism in their investment policy or
    underwriting risk-pricing approach. This could be conducive to moral hazard as the risks of
    certain companies would ultimately be borne by others151
    . This has been confirmed by the
    2013 OECD analysis that considered that since non-risk-based premiums do not reflect the
    riskiness of the insurer (i.e. riskier activities are not “penalised” by higher levies), they can
    lead to a cross-subsidisation of funding among insurers participating in the scheme.
    EIOPA is also of the view that a risk-based system would lead to a fairer allocation of costs.
    In addition, a risk-based system would better incentivise insurers to manage their risks
    adequately, including when insurance services are offered abroad, thereby contributing to a
    system-wide strengthening of the insurance market and thus contributing to the overall
    objectives of Solvency II.
    The Commission services therefore would consider that a risk-based system of
    contributions would be preferable.
    As to the level of IGS contributions, EIOPA reports that half of the existing IGSs have some
    type of upper limit on the annual level of contributions that can be raised from an individual
    insurer or from the industry as a whole.
    Considering minimum harmonisation, Member States could determine the level at which
    insurance undertakings should contribute annually to the IGS funds, as long as the target
    level is reached after a harmonised transition period.
    3.2.5.3. Target level
    IGS are designed to cover the most extreme losses that occur with a very low probability.
    Assuming that IGS would be ex-ante funded, EIOPA is of the opinion that an appropriate
    target level for the funding of IGSs should be defined across Member States (minimum level
    of capital to be maintained in the scheme), taking into account the national market
    specificities. This would ensure that IGSs have sufficient capacity to absorb losses. The table
    19 below illustrates the choice in terms of target level.
    Table 19 – IGS size/funding in terms of coverage of a risk of failure
    Source: European Commission, White Paper, 2010
    The vertical red line shows the cut-off point up to which a chosen level of IGS funding will be able to protect
    policyholders from losses. The level of security (or confidence level) provided to policyholders, or the risk
    appetite of the regulation, is determined in relation to the part (or, statistically, the percentile or “1-alpha” in
    the model) of the IGS loss distribution that the IGS financial resources can cover. When the financial resources
    are, for example, sufficient to cover the IGS loss distribution up to the, for example, 90th percentile, this
    means that the level of security chosen avoids that losses are passed on to policyholders in 90% of the cases
    possible. In other terms, it can also be said that if the financial resources cover the IGS loss distribution up to
    the 75th ,90th, 99th percentile, the IGS is expected to have not enough resources and therefore pass losses onto
    151
    In addition, the academic literature provides ample evidence-based demonstration of the risk-shifting
    behaviour of insurers in presence of a flat-rate IGS. Lee et al. (1997) for instance provide evidence that the risk
    of stock insurers’ asset portfolios increases following enactments of a flat-rate ex-post IGS. Downs and Sommer
    (1999) find that a flat-rate ex-post IGS induces stock insurers to take more risk, and furthermore that less
    capitalized insurers are more likely to conduct risk-shifting. Lee and Smith (1999) find that the flat-rate IGS
    induces insurers to lower their reserves and substitute IGS coverage for capital. In a theoretical study, Schmeiser
    and Wagner (2010) find that in a competitive market setting, introducing a flat-rate ex-ante IGS entails a shift of
    the insurer’s equity capital towards minimized solvency requirements, leading to higher insolvency
    probabilities.
    Page | 155
    policyholders only every 4, 10, 100 years.
    The target fund of an IGS would be influenced by many parameters, among which two
    appear to be the most important: the probability of default (PD) of insurers and the level of
    targeted security for policyholders. As has been set out above, the “average over-the-cycle”
    PD for insurers used in the model were set at different levels ranging between 0.05% and
    0.5%. Besides the probability of default of insurance undertakings, IGS funding needs are
    mostly influenced by the level of security provided to policyholders and beneficiaries: the
    higher the security provided by an IGS, the higher the required IGS funding needs. A key
    decision would therefore be the level of security that an IGS is expected to provide to
    policyholders.
    The confidence level chosen should not only provide a high level of security for
    policyholders and beneficiaries but also be financially realistic, i.e. it should have the
    potential to achieve the objective of a sufficiently high protection of policyholders, without
    requiring excessive resources. As in the 2010 White Paper, three funding levels are
    considered: 75%, 90%, and 99%.
    The following list of policy options (see technical report, tables 7 to 14 for an estimation of
    the level of funding under various assumptions) can be drawn up with regard to the level of
    IGS financial resources, taking into consideration both the probability of default of insurers
    and the level of security for consumers:
     Option 2.1: No action (harmonization) at EU level
     Option 2.2: Harmonization at EU level
     Sub-option 2.2.1: Low risk, low security (PD=0.05%, percentile=75%)
     Sub-option 2.2.2: Low risk, medium security (PD=0.05%, percentile=90%)
     Sub-option 2.2.3: Low risk, high security (PD=0.05%, percentile=99%)
     Sub-option 2.2.4: Medium risk, low security (PD=0.1%, percentile=75%)
     Sub-option 2.2.5: Medium risk, medium security (PD=0.1%, percentile=90%)
     Sub-option 2.2.6: Medium risk, high security (PD=0.1%, percentile=99%)
     Sub-option 2.2.7: High risk, low security (PD=0.5%, percentile=75%)
     Sub-option 2.2.8: High risk, medium security (PD=0.5%, percentile=90%)
    Page | 156
     Sub-option 2.2.9: High risk, high security (PD=0.5%, percentile=99%)
    While option 2.1 is inconsistent with the objective of providing a high and even level of
    protection to policyholders in all Member States, the choice between the various sub-options
    in option 2.2 clearly depends on a cost-benefit analysis.
    IGS cannot be pre-funded to a level necessary (nor should be constructed in the perspective)
    to deal alone with the biggest failures, but their capacity to do so obviously increases when
    financial resources are higher. An analysis of the funding needs of an IGS should also take
    into account the annual costs that a certain funding may impose on the industry and on the
    society, in case resources are anticipated but losses do not eventually materialise.
    The estimated funding needs and costs (assuming a 10-year transition period) associated with
    these options are summarized in table 20 below under various security and probability of
    default assumptions for a home-country based system and a continuation principle. Results
    remain broadly in line with those estimated in the 2010 White Paper.
    Table 20 – Funding needs and costs under various security assumptions, Home Principle, 2018
    Source: Joint Research Centre, European Commission
    The yearly cost increase (in EUR), assuming a 10-year transition period, associated with each
    assumption in terms of level of security are represented in parenthesis for a yearly premium of EUR
    1,000. The percentile represents a desired level of security; it corresponds to 1-Alpha.
    EU 27
    (Million
    EUR)
    PD = 0.05% PD = 0.1% PD = 0.5%
    Percentile 99% 90% 75% 99% 90% 75% 99% 90% 75%
    Total
    7,285
    (0.81)
    1,112
    (0.12)
    318
    (0.04)
    13,552
    (1.50)
    2,359
    (0.26)
    728
    (0.08)
    53,539
    (5.93)
    12,948
    (1.44)
    4,861
    (0.54)
    Life
    6,585
    (1.14)
    996
    (0.17)
    282
    (0.05)
    12,255
    (2.12)
    2,114
    (0.37)
    648
    (0.11)
    48,435
    (8.37)
    11,636
    (2.01)
    4,344
    (0.75)
    Non-life
    802
    (0.25)
    125
    (0.04)
    36
    (0.01)
    1,491
    (0.46)
    264
    (0.08)
    82
    (0.03)
    5,888
    (1.82)
    1,441
    (0.45)
    546
    (0.17)
    However, given the variability between individual markets, showing results based on EU 27
    aggregates could not be sufficiently representative of the cost necessary to achieve a desired
    level of comfort at Member States level. Table 21 below therefore presents the funding costs,
    assuming a yearly premium of 1,000 EUR and a 10-year transition period, with reference to
    the proportion of Member States that would reach the desired level of protection, assuming a
    certain probability of default and a certain percentile. For the purpose of the presentation,
    only the two higher percentiles (i.e. 99% and 90%) have been considered.
    Table 21 – Share of Member States covered at a given cost of funding, Home Principle, 2018
    Source: Technical report, table 7 –, European Commission
    Each cell of the table represents the funding costs, under the continuation principle, for a yearly premium
    of EUR 1,000, assuming a 10-year transition period, that is associated to (a) a certain probability of
    default within the industry, (b) a level of security and (c) a proportion of Member States covered at the
    desired security level. The corresponding estimates for the total funding needs in million EUR are
    Page | 157
    provided in parenthesis (see technical report, table 8).
    EU 27 (EUR) PD = 0.05% PD = 0.1% PD = 0.5%
    Percentile 99% 90% 99% 90% 99% 90%
    Lines of
    Business
    Member
    States
    Total 75%
    0.80
    (7.2)
    0.11
    (1.0)
    1.49
    (13.4)
    0.24
    (2.2)
    5.89
    (53.1)
    1.36
    (12.3)
    90%
    1.08
    (9.8)
    0.15
    (1.3)
    2.02
    (18.2)
    0.32
    (2.9)
    8.02
    (72.4)
    1.70
    (15.4)
    MAX
    1.24
    (11.2)
    0.16
    (1.4)
    2.33
    (21.0)
    0.35
    (3.1)
    9.28
    (83.8)
    2.00
    (18.0)
    Life 75%
    1.21
    (7.0)
    0.16
    (0.9)
    2.26
    (13.1)
    0.37
    (2.1)
    9.95
    (57.5)
    2.03
    (11.7)
    90%
    1.77
    (10.2)
    0.21
    (1.2)
    3.31
    (19.1)
    0.45
    (2.6)
    13.19
    (76.3)
    2.57
    (14.9)
    MAX
    2.99
    (17.3)
    0.42
    (2.4)
    5.57
    (32.2)
    0.90
    (5.2)
    22.10
    (127.8)
    5.06
    (29.3)
    Non-life 75%
    0.26
    (0.8)
    0.03
    (0.1)
    0.49
    (1.6)
    0.08
    (0.3)
    2.00
    (6.5)
    0.44
    (1.4)
    90%
    0.47
    (1.5)
    0.05
    (0.2)
    0.89
    (2.9)
    0.11
    (0.4)
    3.65
    (11.8)
    0.64
    (2.1)
    MAX
    0.61
    (2.0)
    0.08
    (0.3)
    1.14
    (3.7)
    0.17
    (0.6)
    4.54
    (14.7)
    0.98
    (3.2)
    Based on the estimations provided by its model, and the main objective of an EU action,
    option 2.2.6 could be considered as an appropriate choice, which would ensure a high level
    of protection under normal market conditions while equally ensuring a sufficiently high level
    of protection in times of stress.
    As shown in the table 21, the cost of funding implied by the choice of this option varies
    according to the lines of business covered and the desired proportion of Member States that
    would achieve the selected level of protection. In particular, selecting Option 2.2.6 would
    mean that, at EU level, a minimum harmonised target level of around 2.33% of the Gross
    Direct Written Premiums would ensure that all Member States (i.e. MAX) could protect
    policyholders and beneficiaries for all business lines in 99% of the (yearly) default events if
    the probability of default is 0.1%.
    These funds could be seen as additional premiums that policyholders are paying to insure
    themselves against the possibility that their insurance undertaking defaults. The payments
    provided by policyholders can be considered to be roughly equivalent to the expected value
    of the losses they would avoid in case their insurance undertaking defaults. This would
    represent a yearly cost increase for policyholders of about EUR 2.49 for a yearly premium of
    EUR 1,000.
    The financial costs for the industry can be computed considering the Solvency II cost of
    capital of 5% (in accordance with the proposed revision of the cost-of-capital rate for the risk
    margin as part of this impact assessment). For an IGS with a level of funding of about 2.33%
    of annual premiums, this would translate into financial (capital) costs of about 0.12% of
    annual premiums.
    Page | 158
    However, the actual funding needs of Member States may vary and be lower than those
    estimates, depending on the specificities of national insolvency frameworks, the possibility to
    use alternative funding mechanisms and the use of certain resolution tools. These needs will
    also depend on the final funding design, i.e. ex ante funding, ex post funding or a
    combination of both. In particular, the choice of the funding structure may need to reflect that
    some insurance products have more limited payout and maturity profiles. In addition, the
    financial burden could be smoothened over a sufficiently long transition period in order to
    maintain an acceptable yearly impact. Therefore, while prefunding with a minimum
    harmonised target level may increase the trust of all stakeholders in the credibility of a
    framework based on the home country principle, the design of the funding model could
    ultimately contribute to ensure the overall balance of the proposal.
    3.2.6. Eligible claimants
    According to EIOPA, 13 of the existing national IGSs provide protection to natural persons
    solely, 11 schemes extend coverage to natural and micro- and small-sized entities and two
    IGSs cover all natural and legal persons.
    Covering all natural and legal persons might be excessively expensive. It may also not be
    fully justified because of the main objective of IGS, i.e. the protection of retail customers. In
    order to reduce funding needs, eligibility could be restricted to those claimants who meet
    certain criteria.
    One possibility is to restrict IGS protection to natural persons only (i.e. policyholders,
    beneficiaries and third parties). However, this might raise concerns about inadequate
    protection for legal persons that resemble retail customers.
    Another possibility might be to extend IGS protection to include also selected legal persons
    that resemble retail consumers, such as micro-sized entities. The meaning of micro-sized
    entities would be the one defined by the European Commission152
    .
    This option would exclude SMEs and large corporate policyholders from IGS protection.
    SMEs and large corporates are better equipped to make an informed judgement on the
    financial soundness of insurers and have a greater capacity to manage their risks, for example
    by diversifying their risks by purchasing policies with various insurance companies or seek
    other forms of protection. EIOPA specifies however that, in order to avoid social hardship,
    the related beneficiaries or third parties – understood to be natural persons or micro-sized
    entities – of a company that is not protected by an IGS should still have the right to claim for
    compensation to the IGS, for example in case of a work accident, professional liability
    insurance or an airplane crash.
    The Commission services believe that based on EIOPA’s analysis and advice the main
    objective of an EU action would adequately be met by covering natural persons and micro-
    sized entities. As the above estimations of funding needs are considering all types of
    policyholders153
    , the preferred scope will also contribute to constrain the possible costs of an
    EU action and would possibly reduce the final funding needs of Member States.
    152
    See Commission Recommendation of 6 May 2003 concerning the definition of micro, small and medium-
    sized enterprises.
    153
    For reasons of data availability, it is not possible to consider the different types of policyholders in the model
    developed to estimate the funding needs of an IGS.
    Page | 159
    4. ARE THERE ALTERNATIVE TO SPECIFIC EU ACTION ON IGS?
    The importance of introducing an IGS depends on the risk of failure of insurance companies
    and the potential impact that such failures could have on policyholders. This raises the
    question as to what alternative protection mechanisms are available at national or at European
    level to mitigate the risk of insurance failure or to reduce the losses for policyholders if the
    risk materialises.
     Prudential regulation and risk management: Solvency II provides for a risk-based,
    economic approach to solvency. It requires insurance and reinsurance undertakings to
    hold sufficient capital to cover their obligations over a 1-year time horizon subject to
    a 99.5% VaR confidence level. This should ensure that, during any given year, the
    failure of an insurer occurs no more often than once in every 200 cases. Effective risk
    management and comprehensive governance structures are cornerstones of the
    solvency system, in addition to capital requirements and appropriate supervisory
    powers of varying degrees of intensity. In spite of the many safeguards contained in
    Solvency II, it cannot ensure a zero-failure regime. It is widely acknowledged that it
    would be too costly to set solvency requirements at a level that would be sufficient to
    absorb all unexpected losses.
     Preferential treatment of policyholders in winding-up proceedings: in the event of the
    winding up of an insurance undertaking, the current EU winding-up legislation offers
    Member States a choice between two alternatives in national law for giving priority
    treatment to insurance claims over other creditors of the insurer in liquidation154
    .
    However, reliance on winding-up proceedings may not be workable in practice, and
    experience has demonstrated this. Firstly, there may not be a sufficient amount of
    assets for the protection of policyholders, in particular when the insolvency would
    occur during a financial crisis. In the absence of loss mutualisation, this gives rise to
    uncertainty over whether policyholders can in all cases be compensated. Secondly,
    winding-up proceedings of insurance undertakings are not only complex but also
    expensive and time-consuming. This may create serious social hardship linked to
    liquidity shortages for policyholders with outstanding claims at the time of
    insolvency, if their claims cannot be satisfied within a reasonable period of time.
    Furthermore, in order to facilitate claim handling for policyholders, beneficiaries and
    third parties that reside in other Member States than that of the insurer that can no
    longer cover claims, a cross-border mechanism between IGS is needed. Dealing with
    insolvency procedures and insolvency administrators in other Member States has
    proven to be a challenging task for the envisaged eligible claimants.
    However, the choice made by certain national systems to give priority treatment to
    insurance claims over other creditors of an insurer in liquidation as well as the
    possibility for the IGS to benefit from a priority on the insolvency estate could
    influence the design of the national IGS in particular its funding structure, insofar they
    are considered as complementing the IGS framework in terms of policyholder
    protection.
     Case-by-case government intervention: case-by-case solutions such as ex-post
    government interventions, while by their nature flexible, also have serious drawbacks.
    Unequal interventions may raise concerns regarding fairness and transparency, as
    relevant decisions are made on an ad-hoc basis rather than according to a set of pre-
    designed rules. In addition, case-by-case intervention may be perceived as privileging
    larger undertakings thereby incentivising risk and creating moral hazard through the
    154
    Article 275 of Solvency II.
    Page | 160
    assurance of safety nets for which others have to pay. Ad-hoc interventions may
    create uncertainty both for policyholders and, depending on their financing, for
    taxpayers and the industry.
     Additional information and enhanced transparency: Approaches which enhance
    transparency and information requirements seek to strengthen policyholders' capacity
    to choose the most appropriate insurance product for themselves. These approaches
    rely on the assumption that relevant information is properly understood and
    incorporated in the decision-making process of policyholders. Particularly in Member
    States where the policies of domestic and incoming insurers are subject to different
    levels of IGS protection, enhanced information may in principle alleviate concerns
    about consumer protection within Member States. However, it is highly unlikely that
    policyholders are capable of understanding and processing all relevant information,
    particularly with regard to cross-border insurance business. Moreover, additional
    information does not alone address the issue of the differential consumer protection
    between different Member States and the fragmented IGS landscape within the EU as
    such, i.e. the lack of IGS in many Member States.
    5. CONCLUSIONS
    The present annex provides evidence supporting the need for a legally binding EU solution
    on IGS protection based on minimum harmonization in order to ensure that IGS exist in all
    Member States and that they comply with a minimum set of design features. Based on the
    analysis contained in this Annex, the Commission services’ preliminary preferences with
    regard to the IGS design features would be the following:
     Level of harmonisation: the Commission services would recommend introducing an
    IGS in all Member States, subject to minimum design features, because this is
    consistent with the existing national micro-prudential supervisory framework;
     Role and function: the Commission services believe that the role of an IGS should be
    that of solely acting as a last resort protection mechanism in order to avoid as much as
    possible moral hazard problems in the behaviour of insurance undertakings and
    possible state aid issues. Portfolio transfers where they are reasonably practicable and
    justified in terms of costs and benefits would be the preferable solution. However,
    when all other means are exhausted, IGS should compensate losses of policyholders
    and beneficiaries;
     Geographical scope: in the Commission services' view, the home state principle
    would be the preferable policy option, especially because of its consistency with the
    existing supervisory framework;
     Eligible policies: the Commission services would recommend to cover all life policies
    and selected non-life policies as this strikes the right balance between ensuring a
    sufficiently large and solid protection of consumers on the one hand, and limiting
    costs on the other hand;
     Eligible claimants: the Commission services believe that covering natural persons
    and selected legal persons (i.e. micro-sized entities) would be the best way to strike
    the right balance between ensuring a sufficiently large and solid protection for
    consumers on the one hand, and cost efficiency on the other hand;
     Coverage level: the Commission services would prefer to cover all life policies at a
    minimum absolute level of 100,000 EUR combined with a harmonised coverage share
    of 85% of claims resulting from eligible life and non-life policies.
     Timing of funding: the Commission services would prefer ex-ante funding which
    could be complemented by ex-post funding where necessary. This would ensure the
    Page | 161
    immediate availability of funds while limiting costs to industry and consumers and
    foster the level-playing-field;
     Nature of contributions: the Commission services believe that, for the ex ante part of
    the funding design, risk-based contributions would ensure an adequate structure of
    incentives, address potential moral hazard and ensure the fairness of levies on the
    industry. The level of the contributions would be left to the discretion of the Member
    States, considering a harmonised target level and an adequate transition period.
     Target level: Conscious of the balance between a high degree of policyholders’
    protection and the need to maintain costs for the industry and the society at an
    acceptable level, the Commission services would suggest setting a harmonised target
    level for both life and non-life businesses between 2.30% and 2.50% of the GDWP,
    depending on the scope of eligible policies, to be reached over a transition period of
    10 years.
    Page | 162
    ANNEX 6: ANALYTICAL METHODS
    We refer to the Joint Research Centre (JRC)’s technical report entitled “Insurance Guarantee
    Schemes: quantitative impact of different policy options”155
    . In this report, and at the request
    of DG FISMA, the JRC assesses the size of losses due to defaults in the EU insurance sector
    and estimates the amount of funding needs for each IGS.
    155
    https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC124577
    Page | 163
    ANNEX 7: IMPACT ASSESSMENT OF TECHNICAL TOPICS THAT WERE
    NOT EXPLICITLY COVERED BY THE MAIN BODY OF THE IMPACT
    ASSESSMENT
    Some technical topics have not been explicitly covered by the main body of the impact
    assessment. For this reason, those topics are subject to a dedicated impact assessment in this
    annex, leveraging on EIOPA’s own impact assessment.
    1. SAFEGUARDS IN THE USE OF INTERNAL MODELS
    The supervision of internal models has not been explicitly covered as part of the problem on
    the deficiencies in the supervision of insurance companies and groups (fourth problem of the
    main body of the impact assessment).
    Solvency II allows that supervisors approve the use of a partial or full internal model for the
    calculation of the solvency capital requirement. At the end of 2019, insurance companies
    using a partial or full internal model made up around 32% of the EEA insurance market in
    terms of insurers’ liabilities towards policyholders156
    . Insurers that use an internal model
    must ensure that it captures all of the material risks to which the insurer is exposed. In that
    context, Solvency II prohibits that Member States and supervisory authorities prescribe
    methods for the calibration of internal models.
    Problem definition
    While the methodological freedom for internal model calibration allows to capture very
    specific risks and to reflect the particular situation of a company, it also implies that insurers
    can use very different methods the outcomes of which are difficult to compare. Due to this
    lack of comparability, the supervision of insurance companies that use an internal model is
    more demanding as the “[interpretation] of [internal model] figures depends heavily on
    [supervisory authorities’] knowledge of the internal models they supervise as well as the risk
    profile of the supervised undertakings or groups”157
    . Likewise, the comparison of prudential
    disclosures by insurers is more difficult where at least one insurer uses an internal model than
    if this was not the case. Against this background, EIOPA conducts regular comparative
    studies, because it is of the view “ that national supervisors […] need tools, such as European
    comparative studies, to be provided with a necessary overview of model calibrations“158
    .
    Furthermore, there are 63 insurers and nine insurance groups that used internal models at the
    end of 2019 and also modelled the impact of spread scenarios on the volatility adjustment
    (“dynamic volatility adjustment”)159
    . In such cases, the volatility adjustment will increase in
    scenarios of spread increase and thereby compensate for some or all of the solvency capital
    requirement that can be attributed to spread risk. Section 2.2 describes that the current
    volatility adjustment can lead to “overshooting” of spread widening in the determination of
    prudential capital resources. In fact, three insurers using an internal model reported
    observations of overshooting of the volatility adjustment to EIOPA160
    . Internal models that
    integrate a dynamic volatility adjustment could lead to an extension of the overshooting
    effects from the prudential capital resources to the capital requirements calculation.
    156
    EIOPA: Report on long-term guarantees measures and measures on equity risk 2020 (link), page 18
    157
    See EIOPA, Opinion on the 2020 review of Solvency II – Analysis, December 2020 (link), paragraph 7.66
    158
    See EIOPA: Market and Credit Risk Comparative Study YE2019 (link), page 4
    159
    See EIOPA, Opinion on the 2020 review of Solvency II – Analysis, December 2020 (link), paragraphs 2.347
    and 2.348
    160
    See EIOPA, Opinion on the 2020 review of Solvency II – Analysis, December 2020 (link), paragraph 2.363
    Page | 164
    What are the available policy options?
    Option label Option description
    Option 1: Do nothing
    on internal model
    safeguards
    This is the baseline. Do not require the calculation of standard
    formula results and keep case-by-case approach as regards the
    integration of the dynamic volatility adjustment in internal
    models
    Option 2: Improve
    supervisors’ access to
    standardised
    information and impose
    safeguards in the
    modelling of the
    volatility adjustment
    Under this option, users of internal models would be required to
    also report their capital requirements calculated with the standard
    formula to supervisors. In addition, Option 2 would impose
    safeguards where an internal model integrated the dynamic
    volatility adjustment. This is in line with EIOPA’s advice.
    Option 3: Limit the
    overall impact of
    internal models
    Require a disclosure of the SCR calculated with the standard
    formula and prohibit the use of the dynamic volatility adjustment
    What are the impacts of the options and how do they compare?
    Only a high-level impact assessment of the options is provided, as EIOPA assessed the
    options in detail161
    .
    1.3.1. Option 1: Do nothing on internal model safeguards
    This is the baseline scenario in relation to internal models. Under Option 1, no change would
    be made to the prudential rules as regards internal models. Therefore, Option 1 would not
    address the issue of a lack of comparability of SCR figures and a potential overshooting from
    the volatility adjustment in the SCR calculation. On the one hand, users of internal models
    have argued for maintaining the current framework in order to allow insurers to align internal
    models as closely as possibly with their idiosyncratic risks. On the other hand, several
    supervisory authorities, EIOPA and the ESRB have lamented the lack of comparability of
    results from internal models.
    1.3.2. Option 2: Improve supervisors’ access to standardised information and
    impose safeguards in the modelling of the volatility adjustment
    Under option 2, insurance companies that use an internal model for the calculation of capital
    requirements would be required to calculate, in addition, the capital requirements with the
    standard formula and report the outcome to supervisors. Furthermore, safeguards would be
    put in place where an internal model integrated the dynamic volatility adjustment. The
    safeguards would aim to avoid amplification of overshooting from the volatility adjustment in
    capital requirement calculations.
    Benefits
    Option 2 would provide supervisors with more comparable data thanks to the standard
    formula calculation, which provides a uniform reference. Supervisors could check the
    plausibility of the internal model against the standard formula calculation and they could
    compare companies better against their peers. Furthermore, the option would also establish a
    common safeguard against amplification of a possible overshooting of the volatility
    adjustment and thereby avoid a reduction of capital requirements that is not commensurate
    161
    See EIOPA, Opinion on the 2020 review of Solvency II – Background impact assessment, December 2020
    (link), sections 2.4 and 8
    Page | 165
    with the risks. Option 2 would therefore enhance the quality and the consistency of
    insurance supervision.
    Option 2 would also better address the potential build-up of systemic risk in the insurance
    sector. Thanks to the uniform reference provided by the standard formula calculation,
    supervisors would also be able to form a better view the sector as a whole and detect more
    effectively the potential build-up of systemic risks.
    Costs
    Option 2 would result in hard to estimate one-off and on-going implementation cost.
    Insurers using an internal model would have to put in place the processes for the calculation
    of the standard formula and, additionally for insurers using the dynamic volatility adjustment,
    the additional calculations required under the new safeguard. Given the large degree of
    flexibility for internal models and their potentially large impact on insurers’ financial
    position, the implementation cost seems acceptable.
    Option 2 would lead to a limited increase in capital requirements. While the additional
    calculation of the standard formula would not affect the level of capital requirements, EIOPA
    estimates that the safeguard would increase capital requirements of companies using the
    dynamic volatility adjustment by around € 5 billion162
    .
    Overall assessment
    Effectiveness, efficiency and coherence: Option 2 would achieve improved safeguards in the
    use of internal models while causing reasonable costs. In particular, the option would not
    imply any material cost with respect to the strategic objectives for this review.
    Winners and losers: Supervisors and policyholders are winners under option 2. Supervisors
    would have access to more comparable information and be better able to detect company-
    specific and systemic risks. This would also benefit the protection of policyholders. Both
    would benefit from safeguards that avoid an amplification of the overshooting of the
    volatility adjustment. To the contrary, insurers would be losers under option 2. The
    safeguards on the dynamic volatility adjustment would result in limited increases of capital
    requirements. Additionally, those safeguards and the standard formula calculation for
    reporting to supervisors would result in implementation cost.
    Stakeholder views: During the public consultation, half of the respondents from the category
    of public authorities expressed support for a requirement on internal model insurers to report
    to supervisors standard formula calculations. Only around 10% of the respondents from the
    insurance industry supported such a requirement.
    1.3.3. Option 3
    Under Option 3, insurers which use an internal model would not only be required to report
    standard formula results to the supervisors, but also to disclose such information to the
    general public. This would be in line with the ESRB’s recommendation. In addition, in view
    of the technical deficiencies of applying the dynamic volatility adjustment in capital
    requirements, Option 3 would imply prohibiting such use.
    Benefits
    Similar as Option 2, Option 3 benefits the quality, consistency and coordination of
    insurance supervision by a requiring a disclosure of standard formula calculation.
    Furthermore, the uniform prohibition of the dynamic volatility adjustment would remove any
    162
    See EIOPA, Opinion on the 2020 review of Solvency II – Background impact assessment, December 2020
    (link), page 53
    Page | 166
    possibility of an amplification of overcompensation from the volatility adjustment in the SCR
    and not allow for diverging supervisory practices.
    Similar as Option 2, Option 3 would address the potential build-up of systemic risk by a
    requiring a disclosure of standard formula calculation. Furthermore, the uniform prohibition
    of the dynamic volatility adjustment would remove any possibility for the build-up of
    systemic risk through an amplification of overcompensation from the volatility adjustment in
    the SCR.
    Costs
    By imposing the disclosure of standard formula calculations, Option 3 might result in
    pressure on insurance companies to base their decisions to a lesser degree on the outcome of
    the internal model and more on the standard formula calculation163
    . That pressure may lead to
    a cost on risk-sensitivity as internal models are intended to capture better than the standard
    formula the particular risks that an insurer is exposed to.
    While the impact on capital requirements of the dynamic volatility adjustment itself is not
    disclosed, insurance company’s disclosures on the impact of the volatility adjustment can be
    compared. The removal of the volatility adjustment would, at the end of 2019, have
    decreased solvency ratios by 25% on average over all EEA companies applying the volatility
    adjustment164
    . The average decrease in solvency ratios for the sub-sample of companies
    applying the dynamic volatility adjustment would have been 47%165
    . The much higher impact
    in that sub-sample can be assumed to be largely driven by the reduction of the solvency
    capital requirements caused by the dynamic volatility adjustment. Option 3 can therefore be
    assumed to increase significantly the capital requirements for companies currently applying
    the volatility adjustment.
    Overall assessment
    Effectiveness, efficiency and coherence: Option 3 would achieve the most effective
    safeguards in the use of internal models. However, the option would result in large costs with
    respect to both capital requirements and strategic objectives. In particular, the option might
    be harmful for risk-sensitivity which was one of the main objectives of the introduction of
    internal models.
    Winners and losers: Neither supervisors nor policyholders are clear winners or losers under
    option 3. While both would have access to comparable standard formula calculations, the
    option may also incentivise decision-making on the side of the insurer that is not fully
    reflective of the company’s risks. Insurers would be losers in two ways under Option 3. First,
    the removal of the dynamic volatility adjustment would result in significantly higher
    increases of capital requirements than Option 2. Second, the disclosure of standard formula
    calculations would result in pressure to manage the company with respect to those results.
    That would undermine the benefits of having developed costly internal models.
    Stakeholder views: During the Commission’s public consultation, around 59% of the
    respondents from the insurance industry and half of the respondents from the category of
    public authorities opposed a requirement on internal model insurers to calculate the standard
    formula. None of the respondents from that category supported a requirement to publicly
    disclose such calculations. However, supervisory authorities approved EIOPA’s proposal to
    require such disclosure. This proposal is also supported by the ESRB. Consultation responses
    from the category NGOs, consumers and citizen expressed either supported a requirement for
    163
    This might undermine the so called “use test” required under Article 120 of the Solvency II Directive.
    164
    EIOPA, “Report on long-term guarantees measures and measures on equity risk 2020”, December 2020
    (link), p. 79
    165
    Ibid., p. 88
    Page | 167
    public disclosure (60%) or indicated no opinion (40%). Safeguards as regards the dynamic
    volatility adjustment were supported by supervisory authorities via EIOPA’s Board of
    Supervisors. Insurance companies that are using the dynamic volatility adjustment have
    expressed concerns on the complexity and the limitations on the alignment of the internal
    model with a company’s specific circumstances.
    1.3.4. Summary
    Effectiveness
    Efficiency
    (Cost-
    effectiveness
    )
    Coherence
    LT
    green
    financin
    g
    Risk
    sensitivity
    Volati-
    lity
    Propor-
    tionality
    Supervision -
    protection
    against
    failures
    Financi
    al
    stability
    Option 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
    Option 2 0 0 0 0 ++ ++ +++ ++
    Option 3 0 -- - 0 + ++ -- --
    Summary of winners and losers
    Insurers Policyholders
    Supervisory
    authorities
    Option 1 0 0 0
    Option 2 - ++ ++
    Option 3 --- +/- +/-
    Legend: +++ = Very positive++ = Positive + = Slightly positive +/- = Mixed effect
    0 = no effect - = Slightly negative -- = Negative --- = very negative
    Option 2 appears to be the most suitable option. While Option 3 would be the most effective
    in establishing safeguards in the use of internal models, the cost of those safeguards seems
    unreasonably high. Moreover, Option 2 would not result in any costs with respect to the
    specific objectives whereas Option 3 might undermine risk-sensitivity and therefore be
    incoherent with the principal objectives of internal models. Option 2 is therefore considered
    much more effective and coherent than Option 3. Finally, Option 2 is also preferred over the
    baseline Option 1 as it is effective without implying unreasonable cost.
    2. REPORTING AND DISCLOSURE REQUIREMENTS
    Background and problem definition
    Rules governing improved reporting (to public authorities) and disclosure (to the public) of
    prudential information could be implicitly considered covered as part of the problem on the
    deficiencies in the supervision of insurance companies and groups (fourth problem of the
    main body of the impact assessment).
    The reporting burden has been identified as an important issue for the insurance industry,
    which calls for an ambitious streamlining of the requirements and a significant relief in terms
    of data quantity and deadlines of submissions. Those concerns have been corroborated by the
    Page | 168
    conclusions of the Fitness check on supervisory reporting166
    . However, the supervision of a
    very sophisticated risk-based system of capital requirements as Solvency II requires frequent
    and extensive regular reports. Therefore, a material reduction in reporting requirements could
    jeopardize the quality of supervision, and supervisors may try to circumvent this limitation by
    imposing at national level more frequent ad-hoc reporting. Still, the reporting framework
    could better take into account the new category of “low-risk profile insurers” that would be
    introduced in order to address the problem of insufficient proportionality of the current
    prudential rules generating unnecessary administrative and compliance costs.
    In addition, the information disclosed to the public is very detailed and granular, but may not
    be fit for purpose. For financial experts (analysts, etc.) detailed and high-quality information
    is deemed crucial, but the current set of information is not necessarily always comparable
    between the largest insurers and insurance groups, notably because insurers do not
    necessarily disclose in the same manner their exposure to different risk drivers (lack of
    harmonisation of sensitivities of solvency ratios to different market drivers). For
    policyholders, information in SFCRs may not be easily understandable. According to the
    German insurance Association (GDV), in 2018, German SFCRs were downloaded on
    average 33 times per month during the first months following their publication167
    .
    Finally, while reporting and disclosure is an important source of information for stakeholders,
    there is no requirement at EU level ensuring the accuracy of the information provided,
    although 17 Member States impose at national level some audit requirements with different
    scopes (balance sheet only, balance sheet and capital requirements, etc.).
    The review of the rules that govern the data collection to supervisory authorities is a key part
    of EIOPA’s advice. However, EIOPA’s work in this area goes beyond the sole review of the
    Solvency II Directive and the Delegated Regulation and encompasses:
    1. Proposals to amend rules of the Solvency II Directive and Delegated Regulation
    governing the frequency and quality of reporting and the general structure and content
    of narrative reports (regular supervisory report to the NSA and SFCR that is publicly
    disclosed);
    2. Review of Quantitative Reporting Templates (i.e. the templates of granular
    quantitative information that insurers should submit to public authorities). Those rules
    are laid down in implementing technical standards on reporting and disclosure and in
    parallel to the Solvency II Review. EIOPA intends to make proposals of amendments
    to those with the aims of i/ ensuring that the information requested is necessary, fit-
    for-purpose and up-to-date to support efficient supervision by public authorities, ii/
    checking whether information that may be important for the supervisory review
    process is not missing and iii/ reviewing the scope of insurers that need to report
    certain data taking into account the extent of their exposures to certain risks (e.g. only
    insurers with exposures to derivatives above a certain threshold – to be defined by
    EIOPA – would be required to fill in the relevant reporting template on derivatives)
    3. More forward-looking activities that go beyond Solvency II and aims at developing a
    reporting system that is more efficient by reducing the number of data requests and
    avoiding overlaps between reporting obligations of different existing frameworks.
    This annex will discuss Point 1 only. Point 2 is a prerogative of EIOPA and will follow a
    parallel process to the review of the Solvency II Directive and Delegated Regulation. Finally,
    in relation to Point 3, and in line with the Digital Finance Strategy, the Commission services
    166
    Of all the sectors, insurers/re-insurers spent the greatest share of their one-off and ongoing-costs on
    supervisory reporting costs (respectively 38% and 36% on average), closely followed by financial markets (37%
    and 28%), page 205 of the Fitness Check of EU Supervisory Reporting Requirements, November 2019
    167
    See https://www.gdv.de/resource/blob/51928/c30fa2bb32711d7edb699e5b163ebafb/reporting-2-0---eiopa-
    vorschlaege-mit-korrekturbedarf---download--en--data.pdf
    Page | 169
    intend to mandate EIOPA to further analyse the necessary legislative and regulatory
    amendments in order to clarify and facilitate the use of data already reported within other
    European reporting frameworks to competent authorities, both national and European ones.
    This would help avoid redundant reporting requirements for insurers. EIOPA identified two
    areas where the sharing of information between competent authorities should be prioritised:
    derivatives and collective investment undertakings168
    . In any case, further work is needed to
    eliminate duplications, inconsistencies, and to enhance the “re-use” of data requested in
    accordance with other frameworks, and/or collected by other authorities.
    EIOPA’s proposals in relation to Solvency II can be summarised as follows:
    - Improve the quality of the information disclosed to the public: EIOPA puts forward a
    new structure for the SFCR, with a part addressed to policyholders (including simple,
    clear and meaningful information to non-expert readers), and another one, more
    detailed, addressed to financial market participants and other financial experts. The
    latter part includes the publication of some fundamental reporting templates, among
    which is the Solvency II balance sheet.
    - Improve the reliability of the information submitted to supervisory authorities and
    disclosed to the public: EIOPA recommends introducing a new requirement to audit
    the Solvency II balance sheet in all Member States, for both individual insurers and
    insurance groups. However, in order to counterbalance the additional regulatory and
    compliance costs generated by this requirement, EIOPA also proposed an extension of
    two weeks of the deadline for the submission of the annual reporting package and an
    extension of four weeks for the publication of the SFCR.
    168
    Collective investment undertakings means a UCITS as defined in Article 1(2) of Directive 2009/65/EC of the
    European Parliament and of the Council or an AIF as defined in point (a) of Article 4(1) of Directive
    2011/61/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council.
    Page | 170
    What are the available policy options?
    Option label Option description
    Option 1: Do
    nothing on
    reporting and
    disclosure
    This is the baseline scenario in relation to reporting and disclosure
    Option 2:
    Improve quality
    of reporting and
    disclosure but
    extend reporting
    deadlines
    In line with EIOPA’s advice, Option 2 would imply
    - improving accuracy of information provided by introducing an
    audit requirement of the Solvency II balance sheet;
    - alleviating some regulatory burden, by extending the deadline for
    annual reporting by two weeks and the deadline for disclosure by
    four weeks
    - improving the readability of the SFCR: split the report with one
    section targeting policyholders and another one for financial
    experts which should include, in addition to current requirements,
    sensitivity analyses for the largest insurers.
    Option 3: Go
    further than
    EIOPA in order to
    reduce regulatory
    burden for low-
    risk profile
    insurers169
    Same as in Option 2, but with the following proportionality measures:
    - the audit requirement would not apply for low-risk profile
    insurers;
    - the publication of a full SFCR by low-risk profile insurers would
    only be required every other three years (a simplified SFCR would
    only be required when the full report is not published)
    Options discarded at an early stage
    Similarly to the extension of annual reporting deadlines, the Commission services have
    considered extending reporting deadlines for quarterly reporting (currently set at five weeks
    following the end of the quarter). While this could in theory represent a material alleviation
    of regulatory burden to insurers, such an approach would however be in conflict with the
    reporting deadlines for statistical reporting to the European Central Bank (currently, five
    weeks as well), as laid down in its Regulation (EU) No 1374/2014. Recital 10 of this
    Regulation even indicates that the European Central Bank will consider reducing further
    quarterly reporting deadlines down to four weeks. Therefore, any extension of reporting
    deadlines in Solvency II would prove to be ineffective if the same information is subject to
    shorter deadlines in accordance with the ECB Regulation and has to be submitted to public
    authorities.
    In addition, Solvency II provides that public authorities may waive or reduce the scope of
    quarterly reporting for up to 20% of each national market. However, there is no obligation to
    implement such waivers or limitations of quarterly reporting requirements. EIOPA has
    assessed whether there is a need to impose for each authority to waive or limit reporting
    requirements for at least 5% of each national market. However, EIOPA’s impact assessment
    concludes that the costs and risks associated with such waivers off-set the potential benefits
    in terms of reduction of reporting requirements. The Commission services agree with
    EIOPA’s assessment, and therefore have not re-assessed this possibility. In addition to the
    arguments put forward by EIOPA in its impact assessment, such an approach could once
    more be in conflict with reporting requirements imposed by the ECB Regulation (EU) No
    169
    This concept is further explained in Sub-sections 6.3.1 and 6.3.2 of the Impact Assessment
    Page | 171
    1374/2014. Indeed, according to Recital 10, the ECB will assess the merits of increasing the
    coverage of quarterly reporting from 80% to 95%. If such a change were to be implemented,
    the maximum scope of exemptions and limitations would be 5% of each national market,
    which would contradict any attempt in the context of Solvency II to introduce mandatory
    waivers / limitations for at least 5% of national markets170
    .
    Note however that in the context of the problem of insufficient proportionality of the current
    prudential rules generating unnecessary administrative and compliance costs, the preferred
    option is Option 3 (“Give priority to enhancing the proportionality principle within Solvency
    II and make a lower change to the exclusion thresholds”). This Option introduces a concept
    of low-risk profile insurers which would benefit from the automatic application of
    proportionate Solvency II rules. In practice, in relation to the existing possibility to waive or
    limit quarterly reporting requirements, priority would have to be given to “low-risk profile
    insurers” when public authorities decide to grant exemptions or limitations of quarterly
    reporting.
    What are the impacts of the options and how do they compare?
    As the impact assessment of Option 2 largely relies on EIOPA’s detailed impact assessment,
    for further details, we refer to EIOPA’s Background Document – Analysis (Section 7) and
    Background Document - Impact Assessment (Section 7). Only a summary of EIOPA’s impact
    assessment (notably Option 2) is provided below.
    2.3.1. Option 1 – Do nothing on reporting and disclosure
    Under the baseline scenario, no change would be made to the prudential rules as regards
    reporting and disclosure. This implies that no alleviation of reporting requirement would be
    introduced, to the detriment of insurers. Similarly, the SFCR would remain too technical for
    policyholders, and there would be no obligation to ensure that the information provided is
    reliable.
    2.3.2. Option 2 - Improve quality of reporting and disclosure but extend reporting
    deadlines
    Under this option, and in line with EIOPA’s proposals, the following actions would be
    implemented:
    - Extension of the deadline for annual reporting by two weeks and for disclosure by
    four weeks;
    - New structure of the SFCR, with two separated parts: A high-level brief section for
    policyholders, and a more detailed and granular section for other (technical)
    stakeholders; this technical part would standardized sensitivity analyses for the largest
    insurers;
    - New auditing requirement of the balance sheet for all insurance companies and
    groups.
    Benefits
    Under Option 2, the changes proposed by EIOPA would ensure that the “reporting package”
    remains fit for purpose and the proportionality principle is better implemented in the
    170
    There would be no conflict if it were possible in each Member State to exempt exactly 5% of a national
    market (not more, not less), but it is quite unlikely that the market shares are such that an exact figure of 5% can
    be achieved.
    Page | 172
    reporting framework. Therefore, supervisors would collect the necessary data and insurers
    would benefit from the extension of the annual reporting deadlines. The readability of
    prudential information that is publicly disclosed would be materially improved, as
    policyholders would benefit from the simpler structure of the SFCR. For other stakeholders,
    the introduction of standardised sensitivity analyses for the largest insurers that are relevant
    for financial stability purposes would improve the comparability of insurers’ risk exposures
    to other market participants (i.e. insurers would have to disclose how their solvency position
    is affected by changes in certain market variables, e.g. equity markets, interest rates, etc.).
    The accuracy and reliability of prudential information would be improved thanks to the
    auditing requirement of the Solvency II balance sheet. Therefore, the overall quality of the
    information provided to the public would be improved.
    In summary, reporting and disclosure requirements would be amended so that they reduce
    undue regulatory burden (extension of reporting deadlines), they are proportionate to the risk
    of insurers (additional information is only required for the insurers that are relevant for
    financial stability purposes) and they are more transparent towards the public.
    The enhanced reliability of prudential information implies that Option 2 would also enhance
    the quality of insurance supervision, and would improve the policyholder protection. It
    would also enhance the level-playing field by ensuring that audit requirements apply to all
    insurers wherever they are located. The general improvement of the reporting data, of the
    transparency to the public (which can improve market discipline) and of the insurance
    supervision more broadly, could reduce the potential build-up of systemic risks in the
    insurance sector, with positive effects on financial stability.
    Costs
    Option 2 would generate additional implementation/compliance costs due to the new
    requirement on auditing of the balance sheet. According to EIOPA’s advice, the expected
    cost would be in a range between EUR 5,000 and 600,000, with a median value of EUR
    50,500. However, it should be noted that such requirements are already implemented in
    several EU Member States, following an EIOPA’s statement171
    issued in 2015, because
    national legislations established an auditing requirement for the balance sheet or an even
    broader scope (key elements like balance sheet, capital requirements, eligible own funds, or
    even the whole SFCR). Currently, 13 Member States impose audit requirements that go
    broader than the Solvency II balance sheet, while 3 EEA Member States (Germany, Denmark
    and Liechtenstein) only require the auditing of the balance sheet. Therefore, implementation
    costs would only apply to insurers based in the nine Member States, which currently do not
    impose any audit requirement172
    . Indeed, according a recent survey from EIOPA173
    , 73% of
    companies indicated that they were already auditing the balance sheet, and 84% of them, that
    the audit requirements were broader than the Solvency II balance sheet.
    Option 2 would also generate some minimal implementation costs in relation to the
    disclosure of information on sensitivities, following a standardised approach. However, this
    requirement would apply only to insurers that are relevant from a financial stability
    perspective. EIOPA’s proposed approach follows the best practices observed in the market
    and in fact reflects what the largest companies were already disclosing, although with some
    differences between them, which was preventing comparison. As such, EIOPA concludes that
    this would not generate material compliance costs, while it would contribute to improving
    transparency and comparability between the largest insurers.
    171
    Need for high quality public disclosure: Solvency II's report on solvency and financial condition and the
    potential role of external audit, EIOPA BoS 29 June 2015
    172
    Slovakia, France, Hungary, Latvia, Finland, Czech Republic, Estonia, Lithuania, and Luxembourg.
    173
    See page 30 of EIOPA's Background Impact Assessment
    Page | 173
    Overall assessment
    Effectiveness, efficiency and coherence: Option 2 would be effective, because it would
    address the weaknesses identified on reporting and disclosure by EIOPA, with positive
    impact on quality of supervision and – to a lesser extent – financial stability. However, the
    very significant impact of the auditing requirement in those Member States which impose no
    requirement could outweigh any reduction in the reporting burden for the smaller and less
    risky insurers. It would also be coherent with the Solvency II objectives of policyholder
    protection and financial stability.
    Winners and losers: As data quality would be improved, supervisors and policyholders are
    winners under this option. Main losers would be the insurers based in Member States, where
    no auditing requirement is implemented. On the contrary, since in many Member States such
    a requirement is already in place, Option 2 would address level-playing field issues, setting
    harmonized rules in Europe.
    Stakeholder views: During EIOPA’s public consultations, insurance stakeholders expressed
    reluctance to any new auditing requirement due to high compliance cost and the limited
    benefit that it could bring in their view. Additionally, some stakeholders claim that this is
    redundant with the general mandate of supervisory authorities to ensure compliance with
    prudential rules, including in relation to reporting and disclosure.
    2.3.3. Option 3 – Go further than EIOPA in order to reduce regulatory burden for
    low-risk profile insurers
    Under Option 3, the same changes would be implemented as in Option 2, with the two
    following adaptations in order to enhance proportionality of the framework:
    - Reduction of the frequency of publication of the full SFCR for low-risk profile
    insurers: instead of annual publication, the publication would be triennial, provided
    that low-risk profile insurers disclose a simplified SFCR during the years when the
    full report is not published. This simplified report would contain the section addressed
    to policyholders and a simplified part addressed to the rest of stakeholders, consisting
    of the quantitative reporting templates, without additional narrative explanations;
    - Exemption from the auditing requirement for low-risk profile insurers, as the
    additional compliance costs could outweigh the added value provided by such
    requirement.
    Benefits
    Like in Option 2, the auditing requirement would improve the accuracy and reliability of the
    Solvency II balance sheet for the insurers concerned, with improved quality of information
    submitted to supervisory authorities and the public. The exemption of the auditing
    requirement for low-risk profile insurers would avoid generating additional compliance costs
    for the insurers concerned.
    Like in Option 2, the dual structure of the SFCR and the inclusion of sensitivity analyses for
    the largest insurers would improve the quality of information provided to stakeholders and
    foster comparability between insurers, with potential positive effects on market discipline and
    financial stability.
    Additionally, the reduction of the frequency of the full SFCR would decrease compliance
    costs related to disclosure requirements for low-risk profile insurers. Transparency towards
    policyholders would still be ensured as the part dedicated to them would be published on a
    yearly basis. Similarly, the quantitative reporting templates (which are also submitted to
    supervisors) would still be disclosed, which ensures that stakeholders receive a minimum set
    Page | 174
    of quantitative information from all insurers. Still, the reduced frequency of the publication of
    the narrative part targeted to specialised stakeholders would materially reduce the size of the
    SFCR and therefore reduce compliance costs for the companies concerned.
    Therefore, Option 3 would warrant high quality of supervisory data (like in Option 2) while
    making more reporting and disclosure requirements more proportionate. It would avoid that
    low-risk profile insurers be required to comply with disproportionate disclosure and auditing
    requirements.
    Option 3, although having a positive impact on financial stability as Option 2, would not be
    as effective as Option 2 in preventing the potential build-up of systemic risks stemming from
    low-risk profile insurers. However, this risk does not seem to be material when considering
    small sized insures with very limited cross border business.
    Cost
    The compliance and implementation costs would be similar as in Option 2, but they would
    still be lower under Option 3, in view of the waiver of audit requirement for low-risk profile
    insurers and the more proportionate disclosure requirements.
    One could consider that the waiver of audit requirement be detrimental to the policyholders
    concerned, as they would benefit from a lower level of protection than other policyholders
    (information may be less reliable). On the other hand, the exemption of audit requirement
    would apply to “low-risk profile insurers”, characterised by more simple products and
    business activities. Therefore, the risk of inappropriate and unreliable balance sheet is
    expected to be low.
    Overall assessment
    Effectiveness, efficiency and coherence: Option 3 would be the effective in addressing the
    weaknesses of the reporting and disclosure framework identified by EIOPA, while avoiding
    disproportionate costs for the smallest and least complex insurers. Furthermore, it would
    allow reducing compliance costs of supervisory reporting for smaller insurers. However, it
    would be less effective than in Option 2 in ensuring the reliability of the prudential data
    submitted by insurers (due to the reduced scope of audit requirement). Option 3 would be the
    most consistent with the Better Regulation agenda of reducing undue compliance costs for
    SMEs.
    Winners and losers: In general, like in Option 2, policyholders and supervisors would be
    winners. In addition, small and less complex insurers would also benefit from Option 3, due
    to the lower frequency of publication of full SFCR and the absence of audit requirement. On
    the contrary, the benefit of Option 3 for policyholders of those insurers would be lower than
    in Option 2 as they would not benefit from the same level of reliability of information
    disclosed as other insurers. Similarly, supervisors of those insurers would not have the
    assurance of a reliable Solvency II balance sheet. The “streamlined SFCR” (when the full
    SFCR is not published) would provide less information than the full SFCR and as such would
    have a negative impact on the granularity of information provided to specialised stakeholders.
    Stakeholder views: Option 3 would address some of the concerns from industry on the
    disproportionate costs of disclosure requirements and the auditing requirement recommended
    by EIOPA. In particular, in the context of the Commission’s public consultation, the reduced
    frequency of the SFCR for low-risk insurers was explicitly mentioned by some insurance
    associations.
    Page | 175
    2.3.4. Summary
    Option 2 is probably the most effective in improving the quality and reliability of prudential
    information reported and disclosed with positive effects on the level-playing field and
    financial stability. However, Option 3 appears to be more cost effective by ensuring that the
    above mentioned benefits are commensurate to the additional costs that they generate (in
    particular for low-risk profile insurers). Therefore, Option 3 is more cost-effective. Taking
    into account the impact on insurers and policyholders, Option 3 appears to be overall the
    most suitable option, as it would permit to ensure that the reporting and disclosure framework
    remains fit for purpose, of high quality and provides accurate information. Therefore, it
    ensures a high level of policyholder protection and transparency in Europe while avoiding
    disproportionate costs for low-risk profile insurers.
    Therefore, the preferred Option is Option 3 (“Go further than EIOPA in order to
    reduce regulatory burden for low-risk profile insurers”).
    Effectiveness
    Efficiency
    (Cost-
    effectiveness
    )
    Coherence
    LT
    green
    financin
    g
    Risk
    sensitivity
    Volati-
    lity
    Propor-
    tionality
    Supervision -
    protection
    against
    failures
    Financi
    al
    stability
    Option 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
    Option 2 0 0 0 ++ +++ ++ ++ +
    Option 3 0 0 0 +++ ++ + +++ ++
    Summary of winners and losers
    Insurers Policyholders Supervisory authorities
    Option 1 0 0 0
    Option 2 -- +++ ++
    Option 3 - ++ +
    Legend: +++ = Very positive++ = Positive + = Slightly positive +/- = Mixed effect
    0 = no effect - = Slightly negative -- = Negative --- = very negative
    Page | 176
    ANNEX 8: “ZOOMING” ON SOME ISSUES COVERED IN THE IMPACT
    ASSESSMENT
    The aim of this annex is to provide further technical details on some elements discussed in
    the impact assessment. It allows “zooming” on some technical issues discussed in the impact
    assessment.
    1. STRENGTHENING “PILLAR 2” REQUIREMENTS IN RELATION TO CLIMATE
    CHANGE AND SUSTAINABILITY RISKS
    In order to address the problem of limited incentives for insurers to contribute to the long-
    term financing and the greening of the European economy, Option 4 – “Strengthen “Pillar 2”
    requirements in relation to climate change and sustainability risks” has been retained as part
    of the overall package of “preferred options” for the impact assessment. The aim of this
    section is to further clarify what is embedded within this option.
    It has to be noted that several changes to Solvency II rules concerning sustainability risks
    have already been made using existing empowerments for delegated acts prior to this
    initiative. Following advice from EIOPA, Delegated Regulation (EU) 2021/1256174
    clarifies
    the obligations of insurance undertakings under Solvency II with respect to sustainability
    risks. For that purpose, following provisions were introduced:
     A definition of sustainability risks in the context of prudential rules for insurance
    companies;
     A requirement to take into account sustainability risks in risk management;
     An assignment of responsibilities related to sustainability risks to relevant key
    functions of insurance companies;
     A requirement for a stewardship approach as part of the rules on investments;
     A clarification of the relevance of sustainability risks in the remuneration policies of
    insurers.
    However, this initiative was restricted by the scope of the current empowerments for
    delegated acts. Notably, there are no empowerments that would allow supplementing the
    rules on insurers’ own risk and solvency assessments (ORSAs). Solvency II requires such
    regular assessments by insurers in order to (i) quantify their overall solvency needs with a
    view to their specific risk profile, (ii) verify continuous compliance with quantitative
    requirements and (iii) identify deviations of the company’s risk profile from assumptions
    underlying the calculation of capital requirements. The ORSA therefore serves as important
    complement to the quantitative rules of “pillar 1”. Outcomes of the assessment must be
    provided to supervisory authorities. Following its advice in advance of the adoption of
    Delegated Regulation (EU) 2021/1256, EIOPA also issued an opinion on sustainability in
    Solvency II in September 2019175
    . EIOPA identified the ORSA as a suitable instrument for
    insurers to manage environmental and climate risks and for supervisors to monitor those
    risks.
    While capital requirements are usually quantified by determining the value-at-risk over a one
    year time horizon and with a confidence level of 99.5%, environmental and climate risks will
    typically materialise over a longer time horizon. Time horizons of significantly more than one
    year are common practice for the own risk and solvency assessments by insurers.
    174
    Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2021/1256 of 21 April 2021 amending Delegated Regulation (EU)
    2015/35 as regards the integration of sustainability risks in the governance of insurance and reinsurance
    undertakings (OJ L 277, 2.8.2021, p. 14)
    175
    EIOPA, “Opinion on Sustainability within Solvency II”, December 2020 (link)
    Page | 177
    Furthermore, the probability distributions of climate change-related risks are difficult to
    forecast. Scenario analysis is a widely-used tool to assess the vulnerability to risks that are
    difficult or not (yet) quantifiable by risk measures that rely on forecasted probability
    distributions. To strengthen insurers’ management of environmental and climate risks and to
    address potential shortcomings with respect to such risks in quantitative prudential rules, this
    initiative will amend the rules on own risk and solvency assessments by a requirement on
    insurers to regularly assess the impact of longer-term horizon scenarios of climate change.
    Current rules on the ORSA underline that the assessment should be proportionate to the
    nature scale and complexity of the risks inherent in the business model of the company. This
    principle should also apply to the new element of climate change scenario analysis and in
    relation to the company’s exposure to climate change-related risks.
    In addition to strengthening the ORSA, the above mentioned opinion by EIOPA identifies
    insurers’ use of data as an important area in the management of sustainability risks. Insurers
    often use data from past events to inform predictions on risks materialising in the future. Data
    from past events may in particular not sufficiently capture the trends caused by climate
    change. Where an insurer relies too heavily on such data, the company’s best estimates for
    obligations to policyholders or its internal model, where applied, may underestimate
    obligations or relevant risks. This initiative will therefore introduce obligations on insurers to
    put in place internal procedures to avoid overreliance on data from past events with respect to
    climate change-related risks.
    In addition to the points described above, further work on capital requirements can be
    envisaged. Option 5 – “Strengthen “Pillar 2” requirements and incorporate climate change
    and sustainability risks in quantitative rules” has been discarded because of the absence of its
    deviation from a risk-based approach and the resulting potentially detrimental impact on
    policyholder protection. However, evidence on the riskiness of sustainable investments can
    be expected to become available as EU actions on sustainable finance and the European
    Green Deal will be implemented. New evidence may allow the calibration of risk-based
    changes to capital requirements either for sustainable (“green”) or environmentally harmful
    (“brown”) investments.
    Climate change is also widely assumed to have an impact on the frequency and severity of
    natural catastrophes. Insurers are exposed to natural catastrophes notably through their
    obligations to policyholders and beneficiaries, which usually stem from annual contracts.
    Insurers are in most cases able to react to changes in their vulnerability to natural catastrophe
    risks and adjust contractual conditions or premium levels regularly. However, climate
    change-induced trends in the frequency and/or severity of natural catastrophes may warrant
    changes to capital requirements for the natural catastrophe risk in the medium or long-term
    and possibly regularly thereafter. In addition to affecting the types of natural catastrophes
    more common in a given region, climate change may also expose geographical regions to
    entirely new types of climate disasters. For instance, global warming may cause droughts and
    wildfires to become common phenomena in regions that did not experience such events in the
    past. These two types of risks are currently not explicitly covered as catastrophe risks in the
    Solvency II standard formula because of their limited relevance for EU insurers at this stage.
    However, EU insurers may become more exposed to such or other types of natural disasters
    in the future and that may warrant amending the standard formula accordingly.
    Against this background, this initiative will set out following mandates to EIOPA:
    (i) Review, on an on-going basis, new evidence on sustainable investments and
    environmentally harmful investments with a view to potential changes in the
    Solvency II standard formula and draw up a report at the latest by 2023;
    Page | 178
    (ii) Regularly review the evidence on trends in the frequency and severity of natural
    disasters and EU insurers’ exposure to such disasters with a view to potential
    changes in the Solvency II standard formula catastrophe risk modules;
    2. REDUCING UNDUE VOLATILITY IN SOLVENCY II
    In order to address the problem of insufficient risk sensitivity and limited ability of the
    framework to mitigate volatility of the solvency position of insurance companies, Option 3 –
    “Address issues of risk sensitivity and volatility while balancing the cumulative effect of the
    changes, has been retained as part of the overall package of “preferred options” for the impact
    assessment. The aim of this section is to give a high-level overview of the envisaged changes
    to Solvency II to reduce undue volatility which are included in Option 3.
    Revising the volatility adjustment.
    The volatility adjustment is an adjustment to the regulatory (risk free) interest rates that are
    used to value insurers’ liabilities towards policyholders. This adjustment aims at mitigating
    the impact on insurers’ capital resources from short-term irrational movements in bond
    spreads. It encompasses a general adjustment per currency and a country-specific adjustment
    aiming at mitigating the impact of asymmetric short term spread crises in specific Member
    States.
    As explained in the Evaluation Annex, the review should aim at addressing the deficiencies
    of the volatility adjustment, notably:
    - The fact that depending on the nature of assets and liabilities, the level of the
    volatility adjustment may “over-react” during crisis situations – i.e. insurers in some
    countries may have a higher solvency position under crisis situations (e.g. the Covid-
    19 crisis during March 2020) than under normal conditions. This “overshooting”
    effect has been noted in Belgium and Netherlands for instance;
    - The fact that in some countries, the country-specific component may not be
    sufficiently responsive to country-specific spread crises due to the existence of cliff-
    edge effects in the calculation formula. This “undershooting” effect has been noted
    in countries such as Italy, Spain, Portugal and Greece.
    EIOPA’s proposals would aim at addressing those two issues by:
    - introducing an adjustment factor in the formula which would address the
    overshooting issue (the level of the volatility adjustment would be reduced when the
    duration of assets is lower than the duration of liabilities); and
    - revising the formula of the country-specific component so that it is triggered in a
    more smoothly manner and removes cliff-edged effects.
    Costs (compared to “no change”) Benefits (compared to “no change”)
    Policyholders No material cost
    Improves policyholder protection by better
    mitigating volatility in a technically sound manner.
    Insurers
    Additional compliance costs as a
    new factor for overshooting would
    have to be calculated. No impact of
    the revised country-component.
    Over-shooting and undershooting effect generate
    undue volatility in insurers’ solvency, which
    provides wrong risk management incentives and
    fosters short-termism. Therefore, insurers would
    benefit removal of such effects.
    Supervisors
    Higher complexity in calculation
    and more scrutiny needed to
    supervise the use of the volatility
    adjustment.
    The variation of the solvency position of insurers is
    more aligned with their risk profile, which facilitates
    the supervision by NSAs. Therefore, more efficient
    supervision.
    Page | 179
    Impact of EIOPA’s proposals (compared to “no change”)
    Effectiveness
    Long-term and green
    financing
    A less volatile solvency ratio facilitates long-termism in
    investment and underwriting decisions.
    ++
    Risk sensitivity and volatility Significant improvement to volatility mitigation. +++
    Proportionality Increased complexity in the calculation. -
    Quality of supervision -
    protection against failures
    A more efficient volatility adjustment would ensure that
    solvency ratios are not subject to undue volatility which
    could result in wrong supervisory actions by NSAs.
    However, the calculation formula is more complex.
    +/-
    Financial stability
    By reducing volatility, the revised volatility adjustment
    would reduce the risk of procyclical behaviours by insurers.
    ++
    Efficiency (cost-effectiveness)
    The negative side effects in terms of additional complexity
    are outweighed by the benefits stemming from a more
    efficient volatility-mitigation effect, both at micro-level
    (more competitive insurance sector, greater ability to make
    long-term investments) and macro-level (lower risk of
    procyclical behaviour and therefore improved financial
    stability).
    ++
    Revising the symmetric adjustment on equity risk
    The symmetric adjustment on equity risk is an adjustment, which modulates equity capital
    charges depending on the state of stock markets (higher capital charges apply when markets
    are overheating, lower requirements when markets are plummeting). Currently, this
    adjustment is calculated according to a prescribed formula, but is capped/floored to +/- 10
    percentage points (so-called “corridor”). This corridor proved to limit the countercyclical
    effect of the symmetric adjustment during the Covid-19 crisis, and in particular, during the
    month of March. Indeed, when markets fell, the corridor constrained the decrease in capital
    charges on equity to 10 percentage points only. For this reason, EIOPA and the ESRB
    propose to extend the corridor to +/- 17 percentage points [the value of 17 percentage points
    has been chosen so that no capital charge can go below 22%, which is the lowest value for
    standard formula equity capital charges under Solvency II].
    The following diagram provided by EIOPA shows the development of the symmetric
    adjustment since 1991. The green lines represent the proposed alternative corridor (+/-17%).
    The corridor would have resulted in a higher adjustment during the period of increasing
    equity prices from 1997 to 2000: The symmetric adjustment would have been equal to its
    maximum almost without interruption from May 1997 to August 1988 and from February
    2000 to March 2000. It would have resulted in lower symmetric adjustment during the equity
    downturns 2001 to 2003 and 2009 to 2010: The symmetric adjustment would have been equal
    almost continuously to - 17% from June 2002 to June 2003 and from October 2008 to July
    2009. In those situations, the corridor would have limited the symmetric adjustment, while
    still improving the countercyclical effect of this tool than under current rules.
    Page | 180
    At the end of March and April 2020 the symmetric adjustment was at -10% under current
    rules, but with the proposed wider corridor, it would have been at -13,07% and - 10,26%
    respectively. Compared to a zero adjustment, capital requirements would have decreased on
    average by 3.9% if the symmetric adjustment had been -17% and increased by 4.2% if the
    symmetric adjustment had been +17% at the end of 2019. The impact is approximately
    symmetric.
    Costs (compared to “no change”) Benefits (compared to “no change”)
    Policyholders No material impact
    A wider corridor would enhance the impact of the
    symmetric adjustment, hence increasing the
    resilience of insurers during times of high equity
    prices, and improving policyholder protection.
    Insurers
    No material impact. The cost of
    equity investments would be higher
    than under current rules when markets
    are overheating.
    A wider corridor would enhance the impact of the
    symmetric adjustment, hence stabilizing the
    solvency position of insurers in times of equity
    market turbulences.
    Supervisors No material impact No material impact
    Impact of EIOPA’s proposals (compared to “no change”)
    Effectiveness
    Long-term and green
    financing
    The widened corridor would make the solvency ratio less
    volatile depending on stock market fluctuations. Therefore, it
    would facilitate long-termism in investment decisions.
    However, when equity prices are overheating, the cost of
    holding equity would be increased compared to normal times,
    fostering countercyclical behaviours.
    +/-
    Risk sensitivity and volatility
    The widening of the corridor would make the solvency ratio
    less volatile depending on the evolution of stock markets.
    However, it would somehow reduce the risk-sensitivity of
    capital requirements on equity investments.
    +
    Proportionality No impact 0
    Quality of supervision -
    protection against failures
    No impact 0
    Financial stability
    By enhancing the countercyclical nature of the adjustment, the
    widening of the corridor would contribute to financial stability.
    ++
    Efficiency (cost-effectiveness)
    The increased corridor of the symmetric adjustment would
    improve the countercyclical nature of the framework, with
    +
    Page | 181
    strong positive impact on financial stability. While it would
    further reduce capital requirements under crisis situations, it
    would also increase requirements when markets are
    overheating. Some stakeholders consider that such an effect
    would not be consistent with the objectives of the Capital
    Markets Union. In practice though, the widened corridor would
    ensure that insurers follow a longer term approach when
    investing in equity by ensuring that they are able to stick to
    their investments and meet the associated capital requirements
    regardless of the state of stock markets.
    3. BALANCING THE CUMULATIVE IMPACT OF THE REVIEW ON CAPITAL
    REQUIREMENTS
    In order to address the problem of insufficient risk sensitivity and limited ability of the
    framework to mitigate volatility of the solvency position of insurance companies, Option 3 –
    “Address issues of risk sensitivity and volatility while balancing the cumulative effect of the
    changes, has been retained as part of the overall package of “preferred options” for the impact
    assessment. The aim of this section is to clarify more concretely how the balance is achieved.
    Achieving the balance partly through phasing-in periods
    A first approach to achieve the balance is to rely on the smoothening over time of the changes
    on interest rates, which have the most significant negative effect on insurers’ capital
    requirements. Based on EIOPA’s impact assessment, and depending on the level of interest
    rates:
    - Amending capital requirements leads to additional requirements of between EUR 20
    billion and EUR 25 billion;
    - Amending rules governing the valuation of insurers’ long term liabilities to
    policyholders reduces capital resources of between € 34 billion and € 70 billion.
    For this reasons, and in line with EIOPA’s advice, changes in relation to interest rates would
    be phased in so that their negative impact is progressively implemented over time. More
    precisely, EIOPA proposes to spread the impact on capital requirements over five years, so
    that the yearly impact of insurers would be between € 4 billion and € 5 billion.
    As regards changes to the valuation rules which has a more significant impact, it has to be
    noted that Solvency II, when it adopted, included a long transitional period until 2032 so that
    insurers are given sufficient time to make their underwriting policies evolve (and notably to
    avoid excessive guarantees on life policies). EIOPA proposes to align all transitional periods
    on valuation so that the change related to the low interest rates environment would only be
    fully implemented in 2032.
    Arguments in favour of those
    transitional periods
    Arguments against those
    transitional periods
    Conclusion
    - Avoids a market-disruptive
    impact of changed on
    interest rates;
    - Acknowledges that the risk
    of insurance run (i.e.
    consumers rushing to
    withdraw their savings from
    life policies) is significantly
    lower than that of “bank run”
    and that the low-yield risk
    will only materialise (and
    - Reduces the short-term
    effectiveness of changes
    aiming to improve risk
    sensitivity
    - Means that in the short
    term, the risk is not
    appropriately captured
    and this can affect
    policyholder protection
    - There may be side effects
    on financial stability risks
    The cumulative impact of
    changes on interest is
    significant. The transitional
    period is acceptable as it is quite
    short (if the new Directive enters
    into application in 2026, this
    means only six years of
    “transition). In addition, as
    average insurers’ capital
    resources currently remain
    largely above the regulatory
    Page | 182
    therefore has to be
    addressed) over the long-
    term
    - The limited short-term
    impact will avoid any
    impediment to EU insurers’
    competitiveness
    as during the transitional
    period, the framework
    does not provide all
    necessary disincentives to
    excessive risk taking
    requirements, they still have
    sufficient buffers to weather
    interest rate risks at this stage.
    Therefore, transitional
    measures are included in the
    preferred Option
    Achieving the balance partly through “compensating measures”
    A second approach to achieve the balance is to introduce “compensating measures” which
    would reduce capital requirements where justified. Below are outlined the technical changes
    in addition to EIOPA’s approach to achieve a more balanced outcome of the review.
    3.2.1. Reviewing the volatility adjustment
    The volatility adjustment is an adjustment to the regulatory (risk-free) interest rates that are
    used to value insurers’ liabilities towards policyholders. This adjustment aims at mitigating
    the impact of short-term irrational movements in credit spreads on insurers’ capital resources.
    It encompasses a general adjustment per currency and, in the case of Euro Area countries, a
    country-specific adjustment aiming at mitigating the impact of spread crises that occur in
    certain Member States only (and not in the whole Euro Area)176
    . However, the effectiveness
    of this adjustment in mitigating volatility depends on the very characteristics on each national
    market:
    - In some Member States (e.g. the Netherlands, Belgium), the adjustment is considered
    “too high” (i.e. in crises situations, the volatility adjustment makes a company better
    off than under normal conditions) – so called “overshooting” of the volatility
    adjustment;
    - In other Member States (e.g. Italy, Spain, Portugal, Greece), the volatility adjustment
    is deemed “too low” (i.e. despite the existence of a country-specific component, the
    volatility adjustment is unable to appropriately mitigate the higher volatility in spread
    levels of southern countries) – so-called “undershooting” of the volatility adjustment;
    - Finally, in a few countries (in particular, in France), the adjustment is deemed
    working well.
    EIOPA put forward proposals aiming at increasing the default level of the volatility
    adjustment, at improving the functioning of the country-specific component and at addressing
    both the “over- and undershooting” issues. Those proposals are largely supported by all types
    of stakeholders as improving the functioning of the volatility adjustment.
    However, EIOPA also proposes to adjust downward the volatility adjustment to reflect the
    so-called “illiquidity” of liabilities (insurers’ liabilities are deemed illiquid if net cash-
    outflows are predictable and stable). Insurers with fully illiquid liabilities would not be
    imposed a downward adjustment, whereas other insurers would be “penalised” via a less
    powerful adjustment.
    However, in addition to reducing the ability of the adjustment to address volatility, such an
    “illiquidity” adjustment would raise several concerns and has side effects:
    - In light of EIOPA’s technical specifications, the new illiquidity component of the
    volatility adjustment would reward in the current low-yield environment insurers
    176
    The volatility adjustment per currency is calibrated on a “representative portfolio” of assets, which would
    cover the portfolio of insurance liabilities denominated in that currency. The volatility adjustment per country is
    calibrated on the basis of a “representative portfolio” of assets, which would cover insurance liabilities sold in
    the insurance market of that country and denominated in the currency of that country.
    Page | 183
    which offer unsustainably high guaranteed rates on life policies, possibly raising
    financial stability risks ; therefore, this adjustment is not efficient
    - The recently adopted Regulation (EU) 2019/1238 on a pan-European Personal
    Pension Product (PEPP) is aimed at fostering the supply of private pensions in Europe
    across border. However, one of the characteristics of the PEPP is its portability (i.e.
    the ability to change provider). This portability feature would imply that insurers
    providing PEPP products would be classified as having “liquid” liabilities. Therefore,
    insurers would be at a disadvantage vis-a-vis insurers selling national products with
    no portability. This would not be coherent with the objective of developing the PEPP
    (also reiterated in the Capital Markets Union Action Plan)
    - Currently, the volatility adjustment is a simple tool the value of which is centrally
    derived by EIOPA. Under the new approach, each insurer would have to calculate its
    own volatility adjustment. This creates undue burden for smaller and less complex
    insurers, which may decide to rely on the volatility adjustment anymore, even if it is
    at the cost of higher volatility of the solvency ratio. Therefore, the illiquidity
    adjustment would not be coherent with the Better Regulation agenda.
    - EIOPA proposes that insurers’ liquidity risk is measured by calculating the standard
    formula level of capital requirements for increased mortality or exercise of
    redemption rights. Therefore, EIOPA is double counting the same risk in the capital
    requirement and through the level of the volatility adjustment when valuing its
    liabilities.
    For those reasons, Option 3 removed the illiquidity adjustment. Based on EIOPA’s impact
    assessment and Commission services’ proxy calculations (with very simplifying assumption,
    notably that insurance liabilities behave linearly with interest rates), it is estimated that the
    impact of this adaptation would lie between € 5 billion and € 11 billion in terms of additional
    capital resources.
    3.2.2. Reviewing the risk margin
    The risk margin is one of the components of insurers’ liabilities towards policyholders
    representing the potential costs of transferring insurance obligations to a third party should an
    insurer fail. It is calculated as the product of a cost-of capital rate (currently set at 6%) and
    the present value of expected future capital requirements stemming from holding insurance
    contracts. The risk margin has been subject to heavy criticisms over the recent years by both
    insurance stakeholders and the European Parliament. Indeed, its level and volatility are
    deemed too high, especially for insurance products covering longevity risks e.g. annuities.
    According to those stakeholders, this fact is allegedly restricting insurers’ ability to continue
    offering long-term products with guarantees and to make long-term investments. EIOPA
    proposes an adaptation to the formula, which would reduce both the level (by around 15%)
    and the volatility of the risk-margin177
    . However, EIOPA did not reassess the appropriateness
    of the cost-of-capital rate despite the request from the Commission services to analyse the
    arguments put forward by the industry on this topic178
    .
    Several stakeholders are claiming that the 6% cost-of-capital rate should also be reviewed.
    This value was set before the Directive entered into application in 2016, and has never been
    177
    Broadly speaking, EIOPA’s proposal consists in introducing a new parameter (“lambda factor”) which
    reduces the contribution of projected capital requirements that would stem from holding insurance contracts in
    the long run (i.e. long-term projected SCRs would have a lower weight than under current rules). However,
    according to EIOPA’s proposal, the mitigating effect of this factor would be capped, so that future SCRs cannot
    be reduced by more than 50% in comparison with the current formula. As EIOPA does not provide concrete
    justifications of this cap, the Commission services do not intend to include this floor. The impact is moderate –
    between EUR 600 million and EUR 900 million depending on market conditions.
    178
    See section 3.4 of the Commission’s Call for Advice to EIOPA on the review of Solvency II.
    Page | 184
    revised. However, in order to be consistent, it should be acknowledged that the cost-of-capital
    rate also needs to reflect the low-yield environment. For this reason, it seems acceptable to
    proceed to a 1 percentage point decrease in the cost of capital rate (down to 5%). This
    decrease would also be consistent with the downward trend of lower guaranteed rate on
    insurance policies, which make up the major share of an insurer’s balance sheet. The
    insurance industry is requesting a 3 percentage points decrease in the cost of capital but this
    would not be substantiated by evidence and would lead to an excessive cut in the risk margin.
    On the contrary, a 1 percentage point decrease in the cost of capital rate would allow cutting
    the risk margin by only 17% (€26 billion of additional capital resources). For this reason,
    Option 3 includes a 1 percentage point decrease in the cost of capital rate in addition to
    EIOPA’s proposals.
    3.2.3. Assessment of the balance of the “package”
    Based on EIOPA’s impact assessment, the Commission services have assessed the average
    impact of Option 3 of the core part of the impact assessment on the excess capital of
    insurance companies and on solvency ratios, at two different reference dates (end of 2019 –
    before the Covid-19 crisis – and mid-2020 – during the Covid-19 crisis)179
    .
    Reference date end of 2019 Reference date mid-2020
    Change in
    solvency ratio
    compared to
    under current
    rules
    Change in excess
    own funds
    compared to current
    rules
    Change in
    solvency ratio
    compared to
    under current
    rules
    Change in excess
    own funds over
    compared to current
    rules
    Option 2
    (EIOPA)
    -13 percentage
    points
    (from 247% to
    233%)
    - EUR 15 billion
    (sample)
    - EUR 18 billion
    (whole market)
    -22 percentage
    points
    (from 226% to
    204%)
    - EUR 40 billion
    (sample)
    - EUR 55 billion
    (whole market)
    Option 3
    (preferred)
    -2 percentage
    points
    (from 247% to
    245%)
    + EUR 16 billion
    (sample)
    +30 billion (whole
    market)
    -3 percentage
    points
    (from 226% to
    223%)
    + EUR 8 billion
    (sample)
    +16 billion (whole
    market)
    Reference date end of 2019 Reference date mid-2020
    Change in
    solvency ratio
    compared to
    under current
    rules
    Change in excess
    own funds
    compared to current
    rules
    Change in
    solvency ratio
    compared to
    under current
    rules
    Change in excess
    own funds over
    compared to current
    rules
    Option 2
    (EIOPA)
    -13 percentage
    points
    (from 247% to
    233%)
    - EUR 15 billion
    (sample)
    - EUR 18 billion
    (whole market)
    -22 percentage
    points
    (from 226% to
    204%)
    - EUR 40 billion
    (sample)
    - EUR 55 billion
    (whole market)
    Option 3
    (preferred)
    -2 percentage
    points
    + EUR 16 billion
    (sample)
    -3 percentage
    points
    + EUR 8 billion
    (sample)
    179
    Note that the Commission services are considering an additional change compared to EIOPA’s advice,
    regarding the way of implementing the incorporation of negative interest rates in the calculation of capital
    requirements for interest rate risk. In particular, the Commission services note that there is a discrepancy
    between the approach used to derive the regular risk-free rate curve and the method used to derive the “stressed”
    risk-free rate curve. More precisely, for the purpose of interest rate risk, there is no acknowledgement that long-
    maturity rates do not stem from market data but are derived by using some mathematical extrapolation
    approach. An alignment between the two approaches could be envisaged (i.e. ensuring that “stressed” rates are
    derived in a similar manner as regular rates). At the time of submission of this impact assessment, the final
    decision has not been made yet. However, for the purpose of allowing stakeholders to know the potential
    maximum impact of the review, this change is supposed to be implemented in the table of quantitative impact.
    Page | 185
    (from 247% to
    245%)
    +EUR 30 billion
    (whole market)
    (from 226% to
    223%)
    +EUR 16 billion
    (whole market)
    Therefore, Option 3 is the only option which achieves the objective of balanced outcome
    (neutrality in surplus, slight decrease in solvency ratios) while improving the risk sensitivity
    of the framework.
    4. ENHANCING GROUP SUPERVISION
    As part of the problem of deficiencies in the supervision of insurance companies and groups,
    Option 2 – “Improve the quality of supervision by strengthening or clarifying rules on certain
    aspects, in particular in relation to cross-border supervision” has been retained as part of the
    overall package of “preferred options” for the impact assessment. This option encompasses
    clearer rules on group supervision. The objective of this section is to clarify in broad terms
    what is potentially envisaged as part of the enhanced group supervision.
    Option 2 embeds improvements on group supervision with the aims of (i) strengthening and
    harmonising supervisory powers towards groups including when their headquarter is in a
    third country or when the parent company is a non-regulated entity180
    , and (ii) clarifying
    prudential rules on capital requirements and risk management which are subject to diverging
    interpretations by Member States181
    .
    This section will discuss the merits of the main proposals on group supervision. It leverages
    on the very granular impact assessment by EIOPA and does not aim to conduct another
    impact assessment (but to simply justify the technical choices made). When discussing
    effectiveness, we will assess the merits of each option against the different specific objectives
    of the core part of the impact assessment. In addition, as insurance groups can have an
    international footprint that goes beyond European borders, we assess the different options
    against the general objective of international competitiveness.
    Strengthening and harmonising supervisory powers towards groups
    4.1.1. Exercising group supervision in case of complex or unclear corporate
    structure
    Issue: In most cases, groups are characterised by a transparent structure with a clearly defined
    parent company. However, in other cases, group structures or corporate organisations may
    hinder the exercise of group supervision. For instance, several companies which do not have
    capital ties between one another and therefore do not form a group per se may still act in full
    coordination (as if they were a group) – e.g. because the persons running the companies have
    close ties. In such cases of “horizontal groups” (i.e. groups with no clearly defined parent
    company), the supervisor has no possibility to impose group supervision. In other cases, there
    may be difficulties in imposing group supervision, e.g. when a non-insurance group, possibly
    headquartered outside Europe, has subsidiaries in Europe. This can concern cases of
    leveraged buy-out where an unregulated entity acquires insurance companies through debt
    financing while circumventing group supervision.
    180
    Proposal includes better framing of cases where an authority may completely waive group supervision (under the control
    of EIOPA), clarifying powers over unregulated parent companies of a group, power to restructure the group where the
    corporate structure is such that it prevents effective supervision, strengthened supervision of groups whose parent company
    is outside Europe to avoid incentivising groups to circumvent Solvency II requirements by establishing their head office
    outside Europe.
    181 This includes clarifications on how to account for equivalent third-country insurers in the group solvency calculation
    (currently, a legal gap allows to not take account of currency risk), to account for small subsidiaries (proportionality), to
    integrate non-insurance financial institutions and on rules governing capital transferability within a group.
    Page | 186
    Recommendation by EIOPA: Supervisors should have the power to:
    - exercise group supervision even if there is no corporate group, where it is clear that
    decisions and strategies of different companies are coordinated with one another;
    - require the restructuring of a group where group supervision cannot be otherwise
    exercised.
    Analysis of the recommendation:
    Costs (compared to “no change”) Benefits (compared to “no change”)
    Policyholders No material cost
    Improved policyholder protection through enhanced
    group supervision.
    Insurers
    Regulatory burden for
    entities/groups for which group
    supervision is extended or
    restructuring is required.
    Improved level-playing field and legal certainty.
    Impact is expected to be null on existing groups, but
    will affect those insurers trying to circumvent
    regulatory requirements.
    Supervisors
    Higher supervisory costs in case of
    extension of group supervision.
    More legal certainty in supervisory activities, and
    more effective and efficient group supervision.
    Impact of EIOPA’s proposals (compared to “no change”)
    Effectiveness
    Long-term and green
    financing
    No impact identified. 0
    Risk sensitivity and volatility No impact identified. 0
    Proportionality No impact identified. 0
    Quality of supervision -
    protection against failures
    EIOPA’s proposals would improve quality of supervision and
    reduce the risk of regulatory arbitrage; all this contributes to
    enhancing policyholder protection.
    ++
    Financial stability No impact identified. 0
    International competitiveness No impact identified. 0
    Efficiency (cost-effectiveness)
    Very limited side effects (costs for the groups concerned)
    which are outweighed by the improved level-playing field
    and quality of group supervision.
    ++
    Conclusion: This policy recommendation is cost effective, by granting powers to supervisors
    while clarifying that this is a last resort measure aiming to avoid regulatory arbitrage.
    Therefore, Option 2 of the impact assessment endorses EIOPA’s advice on this topic.
    4.1.2. Exercising group supervision over unregulated parent holding companies
    Issue: In some cases, insurance groups are headed by a non-regulated holding company.
    Depending on national implementation of Solvency II, those groups may or may not be
    subject to group supervision: Supervisors have discretion in assessing whether the main
    activity of the holding company is to hold and manage insurance subsidiaries (in which case
    group supervision applies) or not (in which case public authorities only supervise intragroup
    transactions). In addition, even if group supervision should apply, several supervisory
    authorities reported that they have no or insufficient supervisory powers towards top
    unregulated entities of insurance groups. This leads to an inconsistent application of group
    supervision within the Union, which is not justified – in particular when taking into account
    the particular responsibilities the concept of group supervision places on the parent company
    and its governance framework.
    Page | 187
    Recommendation by EIOPA:
    - Clarify, in line with banking rules182
    which parent holding companies trigger full
    group supervision at their level;
    - Ensure that supervisors have the necessary enforcement powers over parent holding
    companies or to require the parent company to ensure a corporate structure that
    enables group supervision.
    Analysis of the recommendation:
    Costs (compared to “no change”) Benefits (compared to “no change”)
    Policyholders No material impact.
    Enhanced policyholder protection
    through more effective group
    supervision.
    Insurers
    Additional capital requirements and
    compliance costs for those groups which
    according to national implementation are
    subject to full group supervision or to which
    group supervisors apply their new enforcement
    powers.
    More clarity and legal certainty, and
    greater level-playing field.
    Supervisors
    Potential increase in supervisory tasks
    depending on whether new groups are subject
    to group supervision.
    More clarity and legal certainty, and
    more effective supervision through more
    powers over parent companies.
    Impact of EIOPA’s proposals (compared to “no change”)
    Effectiveness
    Long-term and green
    financing
    No impact identified. 0
    Risk sensitivity and volatility
    By ensuring that unregulated holding companies are captured
    in group supervision, the risk sensitivity of capital
    requirements (i.e. the ability of the group SCR to capture all
    risks) is improved.
    +
    Proportionality No impact identified. 0
    Quality of supervision –
    protection against failures
    EIOPA’s proposals would improve consistency and
    effectiveness of supervision and ensure and improved level-
    playing field; all this contributes to enhancing policyholder
    protection.
    ++
    Financial stability No impact identified. 0
    International competitiveness No impact identified. 0
    Efficiency (cost-effectiveness)
    Very limited side effects (costs for the groups concerned)
    which are outweighed by the improved level-playing field
    and quality of group supervision.
    ++
    Conclusion: This policy recommendation is cost effective, by granting powers to supervisors
    aiming to ensure that group supervision can be exercised over parent holding companies. The
    definition of holding companies itself converges with the approach followed in the banking
    sector.
    4.1.3. Exclusion from group supervision
    Issue: The Solvency II directive provides the option to NSAs to exclude a company from the
    scope of group supervision. However, Member States shall also provide for supervision of
    insurance groups. The exclusion of a company from the scope of the group supervision
    182
    See Regulation (EU) 2019/876.
    Page | 188
    leading to a waiver of the group supervision is not in the spirit of the Solvency II directive,
    especially on the basis of justification that this company is of negligible interest with respect
    to the objectives of group supervision.
    In practice, different supervisory approaches regarding the exclusion of a company from the
    scope of the group supervision are observed (some NSAs do waive group supervision
    whereas others would never follow such an approach) which leads to inconsistencies between
    Member States and an uneven level-playing field.
    Recommendation by EIOPA:
    - Introduce an overall principle on the exclusion of companies from group supervision
    to ensure exceptional cases are adequately justified, documented and monitored. A
    waiver of group supervision should only be possible in exceptional circumstances
    after consultation of the group supervisor with all relevant supervisors as well as
    EIOPA;
    - Introduce several criteria to be taken into account when evaluating if the exclusion of
    a company might be acceptable, as it is of “negligible interest” with respect to the
    objective of group supervision.
    Analysis of the recommendation:
    Costs (compared to “no change”) Benefits (compared to “no change”)
    Policyholders No material impact.
    Enhanced policyholder protection through
    more effective group supervision.
    Insurers
    Additional compliance costs for those groups
    excluding companies which are not deemed
    of negligible interest or which had group
    supervision waived, will face compliance
    costs fulfilling requirements under group
    supervision.
    More clarity and legal certainty, and
    greater level-playing field.
    Supervisors
    Increase in supervisory tasks for those groups
    whose scope of supervision is widened.
    More clarity and legal certainty; more
    effective and consistent supervision across
    the Union.
    Impact of EIOPA’s proposals (compared to “no change”)
    Effectiveness
    Long-term and green
    financing
    No impact identified. 0
    Risk sensitivity and
    volatility
    No impact identified. 0
    Proportionality No impact identified. 0
    Quality of supervision -
    protection against failures
    EIOPA’s proposals would improve consistency and
    effectiveness of supervision and ensure and improved
    level-playing field; all this contributes to enhancing
    policyholder protection.
    ++
    Financial stability No impact identified. 0
    International
    competitiveness
    No impact identified. 0
    Efficiency (cost-effectiveness)
    Very limited side effects (costs for the groups
    concerned) which are outweighed by the improved level-
    playing field and quality of group supervision.
    ++
    Conclusion: This policy recommendation is cost effective, by applying the Solvency II
    framework in a more consistent manner by a coherent inclusion of companies belonging to a
    group as well as closing gaps to circumvent group supervision.
    Page | 189
    4.1.4. Supervision of third country insurance groups
    Issue: A large number of insurance groups is active in the EEA although their ultimate parent
    company is located in a third country (i.e. outside the EEA). EEA supervisors do rely under
    certain conditions on the group supervision exercised by a third country, if the local rules are
    deemed equivalent in this area. For all other groups the competent EEA group supervisor
    may apply relevant Solvency II requirements via an EEA company to the worldwide group as
    if it was based in the EEA. Such an approach if for obvious reasons not practicable in most
    cases. Alternatively, Solvency II offers the possibility to apply “other methods” to ensure
    appropriate group supervision. As the concept of “other methods” is not further specified and
    leaves much room for interpretation, in practice the intensity of supervision of such groups
    varies widely. This faces potentially significant harm to European policyholders if there are
    significant risks, which are not appropriately identified or mitigated, e.g. risks stemming from
    intra group financing. It can also incentivise EU-based groups to move their parent company
    outside the EEA if they can hope to circumvent Solvency II group requirements.
    Recommendation by EIOPA:
    - The concept of “other methods” should be kept whilst clarifying its objectives and
    meaning with the view of giving a clearer mandate to NSAs on what they should do
    when supervising Third-Country groups;
    - EIOPA should be also be consulted in the consultation process on “other methods”.
    Analysis of the recommendation:
    Costs (compared to “no change”) Benefits (compared to “no change”)
    Policyholders No material impact.
    Enhanced policyholder protection through
    more effective group supervision.
    Insurers
    Additional compliance costs for those
    groups on which currently a light concept
    of other methods is imposed.
    More clarity and legal certainty, and greater
    level-playing field.
    Supervisors
    Potential increase in supervisory tasks for
    those groups on which the concept of other
    methods will be strengthened.
    More clarity and legal certainty; more
    effective and consistent supervision across the
    Union.
    Impact of EIOPA’s proposals (compared to “no change”)
    Effectiveness
    Long-term and green financing No impact identified. 0
    Risk sensitivity and volatility No impact identified. 0
    Proportionality No impact identified. 0
    Quality of supervision -
    protection against failures
    EIOPA’s proposals would improve consistency and
    effectiveness of supervision and ensure and improved
    level-playing field; all this contributes to enhancing
    policyholder protection.
    ++
    Financial stability No impact identified. 0
    International competitiveness
    Significant improvement of EU insurers’
    competitiveness as supervisors would be required to
    exercise stronger scrutiny over Third-Country groups
    with the aim of ensuring that there is no circumvention
    of Solvency II group rules by establishing a parent
    company outside the EEA.
    +++
    Efficiency (cost-effectiveness)
    Very limited side effects (costs for the groups
    concerned) which are outweighed by the improved
    level-playing field and quality of group supervision, as
    well as the material improvement of the competitiveness
    of EU groups.
    ++
    Page | 190
    Conclusion: This policy recommendation is cost effective, by applying the Solvency II
    framework in a more consistent manner in the supervision of non-EEA insurance groups.
    Clarifying prudential rules on capital requirements
    4.2.1. Simplified calculations for small insurers
    Issue: As a basic principle, all insurance companies belonging to an insurance group have to
    be included in the group Solvency Capital Requirement calculation based on Solvency II
    calculations. This can sometimes prove to be very complex, for instance for small
    subsidiaries in developing markets, and the framework currently offers limited simplified
    approach when this general approach is operationally burdensome (the Directive allows
    removing the book value of that entity from the group’s capital resources, which can be very
    penalising for the groups). In practice though, some insurance groups have developed other
    simplified approaches, which vary greatly within the Union leading to unequal conditions for
    insurance groups among the Union.
    Recommendation by EIOPA:
    - Introduce a new simplified approach which is sufficiently conservative to
    appropriately capture relevant risks, but which is less penalising than the full
    deduction of the book value of the entity;
    - This simplified approach should only be applied to the extent that the entities
    concerned are small in relation to the group balance sheet (introduction of maximum
    materiality thresholds);
    - Prior approval by the group supervisor is required.
    Analysis of the recommendation:
    Costs (compared to “no change”) Benefits (compared to “no change”)
    Policyholders No material impact. No material impact.
    Insurers
    Additional compliance costs for those
    groups, which currently exclude entities
    in a more liberal way than under the new
    concept; vice versa reduced compliance
    costs for those groups not using the
    concept currently.
    More clarity and legal certainty, and greater
    level-playing field; calculation is less
    burdensome for small companies.
    Supervisors
    Potential increase in supervisory tasks by
    the approval of the simplified approach.
    More clarity and legal certainty; more effective
    and consistent supervision across the Union in
    particular as maximum thresholds for simplified
    calculations.
    Impact of EIOPA’s proposals (compared to “no change”)
    Effectiveness
    Long-term and green
    financing
    No impact identified. 0
    Risk sensitivity and
    volatility
    No impact identified. 0
    Proportionality
    EIOPA’s proposal would allow groups in a consistent and
    effective way to include small immaterial companies from
    third countries into the calculation of capital requirements.
    ++
    Quality of supervision -
    protection against failures
    EIOPA’s proposals would improve consistency and
    effectiveness of supervision and ensure and improved
    level-playing field; all this contributes to enhancing
    policyholder protection.
    ++
    Financial stability No impact identified. 0
    Page | 191
    International
    competitiveness
    Slightly positive impact by limiting the regulatory
    compliance cost of expansion at international level.
    +
    Efficiency (cost-effectiveness)
    Very limited side effects (costs for the groups concerned)
    which are outweighed by the improved level-playing field
    and effectiveness of group supervision.
    ++
    Conclusion: This policy recommendation is cost effective, by applying the Solvency II
    framework in a more consistent manner in the supervision of non-EEA insurance groups. It
    acknowledges that European groups are investing and expanding outside the EEA, and that
    groups need rules that also facilitate an international level-playing field by not putting
    policyholder protection at risk.
    4.2.2. “Combination of methods”
    Issue: The group Solvency Capital Requirement under the Solvency II framework can be
    calculated through two different methods. It offers also the possibility to combine the two
    methods, which is attractive for EEA-groups with insurance companies located in equivalent
    third country jurisdictions (because in that case, local prudential rules can be used to
    aggregate risks to the insurance groups instead of Solvency II rules). The interpretation of
    current rules implies that some risks are possibly overlooked183
    .
    Recommendation by EIOPA: Groups using the above-mentioned approach should also take
    into account those risks (notably currency risk) which are currently not considered in the
    calculations.
    Analysis of the recommendation:
    Costs (compared to “no change”) Benefits (compared to “no change”)
    Policyholders No material impact.
    Enhanced policyholder protection through
    increased risk sensitivity of the framework.
    Insurers
    Significant additional cost of capital
    for groups, which are very active in
    equivalent jurisdictions using the
    combination of methods.
    More clarity and legal certainty, and greater level-
    playing field by increasing risk sensitivity of the
    framework.
    Supervisors
    Potential slight increase in
    supervisory tasks through supervision
    of changed methodology.
    Increase in the efficiency and effectiveness of
    supervision through increased risk sensitivity of
    the framework.
    Impact of EIOPA’s proposals (compared to “no change”)
    Effectiveness
    Long-term and green
    financing
    No impact identified. 0
    Risk sensitivity and volatility
    The inclusion of risks which are currently potentially
    overlooked will increase the risk sensitivity of the framework.
    ++
    Proportionality No impact identified. 0
    Quality of supervision -
    protection against failures
    EIOPA’s proposals would improve consistency and
    effectiveness of supervision and ensure and improved level-
    playing field; all this contributes to enhancing policyholder
    protection.
    ++
    Financial stability No impact identified. 0
    183
    This is in particular the case for currency risk. For example, if an EEA-group with Euro-denominated assets
    and liabilities includes its US based subsidiary by taking into account the local US capital requirements, which
    are based on US Dollars and are converted into EUR. The currency risk stemming from the potential mismatch
    between this US subsidiary’s currency and the group’s currency due to volatility in exchange rates is not taken
    into account. Another risk is market concentration risk.
    Page | 192
    International competitiveness
    Additional cost of capital potentially leading to a deterioration
    of the international competitiveness of such groups. At the
    same time, the increased risk sensitivity will increase the
    resilience of insurance groups potentially leading to a stronger
    position in the markets.
    --
    Efficiency (cost-effectiveness)
    The increased costs for the groups concerned are outweighed
    by the increased risk sensitivity of the framework, the
    improved level-playing field and the effectiveness of group
    supervision.
    +
    Conclusion: The increase in costs for affected international active insurance groups might
    have a negative impact on their international competiveness. These costs will be outweighed
    by the increase in the risk sensitivity of the Solvency II framework and subsequently in
    policyholder protection. There are different ways of taking into account currency and
    concentration risks stemming from third-country insurers in capital requirements. The
    Commission services will chose the technical approach which makes economic sense while
    note having undue disruptive effect on any group. According to EIOPA’s impact assessment,
    the decrease in solvency ratios stemming from this option is on average below 1%.
    4.2.3. Own funds supervision
    Issue: Insurance companies must hold assets to cover their liabilities. In addition, the
    Solvency II framework requires to hold own funds (capital resources) to weather adverse
    situations or developments which is reflected in the specific capital requirements. The same
    concept applies for insurance groups. With regards to own funds there are unclear rules
    governing how to ensure that specific capital items recognised within individual insurance
    companies are indeed available and transferable within the group to potentially absorb losses
    of other insurance companies for the sake of policyholder protection184
    .
    Recommendation by EIOPA: Clarify the rules governing the eligibility and availability of
    own funds within an insurance group.
    Analysis of the recommendation:
    Costs (compared to “no change”) Benefits (compared to “no change”)
    Policyholders No material impact. Enhanced policyholder protection.
    Insurers
    Potential increase in financing cost for some
    groups; increased costs in demonstrations that
    specific capital items are available and
    transferable within the group; potentially
    increased costs if capital position is rejected by
    the supervisory authority.
    More clarity and legal certainty, and
    greater level-playing field following a
    harmonisation of the regulatory
    framework.
    Supervisors
    Potential increase in costs resulting from
    additional supervisory reviews on specific own
    fund items.
    Increase in the efficiency and
    effectiveness of supervision through
    increased risk sensitivity of the
    framework.
    Impact of EIOPA’s proposals (compared to “no change”)
    Effect
    ivene
    ss
    Long-term and green
    financing
    No impact identified. 0
    Risk sensitivity and volatility No impact identified. 0
    184
    For example, the framework needs to be clear on the conditions under which subordinated debt issued by a
    non-regulated firm within an insurance group can be accounted for to cover potential capital needs resulting
    from a winding up of insurance companies within the group.
    Page | 193
    Proportionality No impact identified. 0
    Quality of supervision -
    protection against failures
    EIOPA’s proposals would improve consistency and
    effectiveness of supervision and ensure and improved level-
    playing field; all this contributes to enhancing policyholder
    protection.
    ++
    Financial stability No impact identified. 0
    International competitiveness No impact identified. 0
    Efficiency (cost-effectiveness)
    The limited side effects (costs for the groups and
    supervisory authorities) are outweighed by the improved
    level-playing field and effectiveness of group supervision.
    ++
    Conclusion: This policy recommendation is cost effective, by applying the Solvency II
    framework in a more consistent manner by a coherent consideration of available own funds
    within an insurance group leading to a greater level-playing field and an increase in
    policyholder protection.
    4.2.4. Minimum consolidated group Solvency Capital Requirement
    Issue: Individual insurance companies have to be hold adequate levels of capital to be able to
    fulfil their obligations under the insurance policies. In addition the Solvency II framework
    requires to hold additional capital to weather adverse events or developments185
    , the Solvency
    Capital Requirement (SCR). A breach of the SCR results in supervisory measures imposed on
    the insurance company. If another threshold, the Minimum Capital Requirement (MCR),
    which is between 25% and 45% of the SCR, is breached, supervisors will take ultimate
    supervisory action, e.g. stop the company to do new business.
    There is also a group SCR for insurance groups. The framework does not foresee the concept
    of a group MCR but of another “minimum threshold”. When this other threshold is breached,
    insurers are required to default on some of their debt instruments. Due to a different scope of
    companies being considered in the calculation, under particular circumstances this “minimum
    threshold” could be breached and lead to unintended consequences (of being required to
    default) although the group SCR as the basic target capital requirement is not breached.
    Recommendation by EIOPA:
    - The calculation of the group SCR and the other threshold should be aligned with
    respect to the companies taken into account in the calculation;
    - The existing “minimum threshold” will only be used as a floor to calculate the group
    SCR; i.e. regardless of the way capital requirements and diversification benefits are
    calculated, the group SCR can never fall below that floor;
    - Introduction of a new metric similar to a group MCR as a percentage of the minimum
    target capital requirement, which would be used to determine whether an insurance
    group should default on its debt instruments. This new metric would be set in such a
    way that the default cannot occur before the group SCR is breached.
    Analysis of the recommendation:
    Costs (compared to “no change”) Benefits (compared to “no change”)
    Policyholders No cost.
    Enhanced policyholder protection through
    consistent application of the framework preventing
    unjustified supervisory action on sound insurance
    groups.
    Insurers Increase in costs as more entities Avoidance of insurance groups breaching
    185
    For example caused by increased claims costs or adverse development in capital markets reducing the value
    of the insurance company’s assets.
    Page | 194
    would be included in the calculations
    with a potential impact on marginal
    costs to calculate, report and comply
    with the new metrics.
    regulatory requirements, which are technically not
    justified and unintended by the framework.
    Supervisors
    Costs derived from the application of
    the new metrics in supervision.
    Increase in the efficiency and effectiveness of
    supervision through avoidance of insurance groups
    breaching regulatory requirements, which are
    technically not justified and unintended by the
    framework.
    Impact of EIOPA’s proposals (compared to “no change”)
    Effectiveness
    Long-term and green
    financing
    No impact identified. 0
    Risk sensitivity and volatility No impact identified. 0
    Proportionality No impact identified. 0
    Quality of supervision -
    protection against failures
    EIOPA’s proposals would improve consistency and
    effectiveness of supervision and ensure and improved level-
    playing field; all this contributes to enhancing policyholder
    protection.
    ++
    Financial stability
    An insurance group breaching its capital requirements and
    supervisors being forced to take supervisory action might
    cause distress in financial markets and build up systemic
    risk.
    +
    International competitiveness
    Easier access to capital financing as market participants
    would no longer fear the possible breach of regulatory
    requirement, which would trigger default by the insurer
    despite not based on a technically sound approach.
    +
    Efficiency (cost-effectiveness)
    Very limited side effects (costs) which are outweighed by
    the improved consistency and effectiveness of group
    supervision.
    ++
    Conclusion: This policy recommendation is cost effective, while increasing the consistent and
    coherent application of capital requirements also for insurance group. This leads also to an
    increase in policyholder protection and increased financial stability.
    4.2.5. Treatment of companies from other financial sectors (banks, pension funds,
    etc.)
    Issue: In some Member States in particular large insurance groups are often connected to
    banks. These structures raise issues as the application of banking rules within the Solvency II
    framework is not always clear. Regarding capital requirements, banking rules have different
    metrics (Common equity tier 1 ratio, tier 1 ratio, etc.) and buffers (for instance, systemic
    buffers), and the Solvency II framework does not specify which capital requirements should
    be taken into account when assessing the solvency position of a group. Similarly, regarding
    own funds, in view of the lack of legal clarity, it is possible for an insurance group to disclose
    a high solvency position even if the insurance part has limited capital resources, because the
    group is holding a well-capitalised bank/pension fund with sectoral-specific own funds which
    cannot be transferred to absorb insurance losses when needed. In such a case, the “rich”
    entity from another financial sector is leading to an overstatement of the insurance group’s
    solvency, if the bank’s wealth is not available to absorb losses in the insurance part.
    Recommendation by EIOPA:
    - Clarify the appropriate banking capital requirements which should be considered
    when calculating an insurance group’s solvency position
    Page | 195
    - Clarify how to treat a bank’s excess capital (i.e. capital resources above capital
    requirements)
    Analysis of the recommendation:
    Costs (compared to “no change”) Benefits (compared to “no change”)
    Policyholders No material impact.
    Enhanced policyholder protection through
    increased risk sensitivity of the framework.
    Insurers
    Potentially increased costs resulting in less
    flexible approaches under the proposed
    option.
    More clarity and legal certainty as well as
    convergence of practice leading to a greater
    level-playing field.
    Supervisors
    Potential slight increase in supervisory tasks
    through supervision of changed
    methodology which allows less flexibility
    and requires individual assessments.
    Increase in the efficiency and effectiveness
    of supervision through increased consistency
    and convergence in supervisory practice.
    Impact of EIOPA’s proposals (compared to “no change”)
    Effectiveness
    Long-term and green financing No impact identified. 0
    Risk sensitivity and volatility No impact identified. 0
    Proportionality No impact identified. 0
    Quality of supervision -
    protection against failures
    EIOPA’s proposals would improve consistency and
    effectiveness of supervision and ensure and improved level-
    playing field; all this contributes to enhancing policyholder
    protection.
    ++
    Financial stability No impact identified. 0
    International competitiveness No impact identified. 0
    Efficiency (cost-effectiveness)
    Very limited side effects (costs) which are outweighed by the
    improved consistency and effectiveness of group supervision.
    ++
    Conclusion: The option is cost effective, while clarifying the application of the requirements
    in particular from the banking regulation in the Solvency II framework leading to a
    harmonised and consistent application across the Union and to increased policyholder
    protection.
    4.2.6. System of governance of insurance groups
    Issue: One key component of the Solvency II framework is the requirement for insurance
    companies to have in place an effective “system of governance” which provides for sound
    and prudent management of the business. In this respect, the executive and supervisory board
    of the insurance company has a prominent role as it holds ultimate responsibility for the
    company’s compliance with the Solvency II framework. Insurance groups are also required to
    have in place an effective system of governance. However, due to regulatory gaps, the
    framework offers great flexibility to industry leading to an uneven level-playing field. Due to
    a gap in the legislation, the role of the executive and supervisory board of the insurance
    group’s parent company is unclear.
    Recommendation by EIOPA:
    - Clarify the requirements on the system of governance for insurance groups;
    - Clarify the role of the executive and supervisory board of the insurance group’s parent
    company with regard to the group’s system of governance.
    Analysis of the recommendation:
    Costs (compared to “no change”) Benefits (compared to “no change”)
    Policyholders No material impact. Enhanced policyholder protection
    Page | 196
    through clarified governance
    requirements for insurance groups.
    Insurers
    Potential costs resulting from changes on the
    group’s system of governance depending on the
    current transposition of the Solvency II framework
    in individual Member States.
    Harmonisation of the framework
    would increase the level-playing field.
    Supervisors
    Potentials costs resulting amended supervisory
    practice depending on the current national
    transposition of the Solvency II framework in
    individual Member States.
    Increase in the efficiency and
    effectiveness of supervision through
    increased risk sensitivity of the
    framework.
    Impact of EIOPA’s proposals (compared to “no change”)
    Effectiveness
    Long-term and green financing No impact identified. 0
    Risk sensitivity and volatility
    The strengthening of the groups’ system of
    governance will increase their risk sensitivity.
    +
    Proportionality
    The proposal includes a proportionate approach to
    complexity and risks.
    +
    Quality of supervision -
    protection against failures
    EIOPA’s proposals would improve consistency and
    effectiveness of supervision and ensure and improved
    level-playing field; all this contributes to enhancing
    policyholder protection.
    ++
    Financial stability
    The increase in insurance groups’ resilience should
    reinforce slightly financial stability.
    +
    International competitiveness No impact identified. 0
    Efficiency (cost-effectiveness)
    Very limited side effects (costs) which are outweighed by
    the improved consistency and effectiveness of group
    supervision.
    ++
    Conclusion: This policy recommendation is cost effective, by clarifying the framework to
    enhance insurance groups’ resilience and enhancing effective group supervision leading to a
    greater level-playing field and increased policyholder protection.
    5. ENHANCING SUPERVISION OF CROSS-BORDER INSURANCE COMPANIES
    In order to address the problem of deficiencies in the supervision of (cross-border) insurance
    companies, Option 2 – “Improve the quality of supervision by strengthening or clarifying
    rules on certain aspects, in particular in relation to cross-border supervision” has been
    retained as part of the overall package of “preferred options” for the impact assessment.
    Under this Option, the legal framework would be clarified and strengthened to ensure more
    quality and convergence of supervision, in particular in relation to cross-border and group
    supervision. The aim of this section is to clarify in broad terms what is embedded as part of
    the enhanced supervision on cross border insurance activities.
    Option 2 contains improvements on supervision of cross border insurance activities with the
    aims of (i) ensuring more efficient information gathering/exchange during the authorisation
    process and ongoing supervision, (ii) improving cooperation between Home and Host
    supervisory authorities, under the coordination/mediation of EIOPA.
    This section will discuss the merits of the main proposals on cross border supervision. It
    leverages on the granular impact assessment by EIOPA and does not aim to conduct another
    impact assessment (but to simply justify the choices made). It also contains some
    complementary proposals aiming to “upgrade” in the legal framework provisions which are
    Page | 197
    included in the Decision on Collaboration of the insurance supervisory authorities (non-
    binding agreement between supervisors within EIOPA).
    Ensuring more efficient information gathering/exchange during the
    authorisation process and ongoing supervision
    5.1.1. Efficient information gathering during the authorisation process
    Issue: During the authorisation (licensing) process, the supervisory authority which receives
    the application does not necessarily know whether an application has already been submitted
    in other Member States, and if so, what the outcomes of such applications have been. Under
    the EIOPA Decision on Collaboration, it is expected that NSAs require that applicants
    indicate whether they have already applied in other Member States. However, the Decision
    on Collaboration is not binding for insurers and EIOPA refers to cases where such
    information was not submitted. Therefore, NSAs lack the necessary legal obligation for the
    industry across the EEA to submit information on previous applications.
    Recommendation by EIOPA: Include in the Solvency II Directive the requirement, currently
    foreseen by the Decision on Collaboration, on the applicant to inform the NSA on
    rejections/withdrawals of former requests for licensing. By introducing this requirement, the
    NSA that receives the application would be in a better position to assess the condition for
    authorisation and collaborate with the NSA that rejected the authorisation in the past. Having
    the requirement in Level 1 opens the possibility for sanctions in cases where the insurer
    provides no or insufficient information.
    Analysis of the recommendation:
    Costs (compared to “no change”) Benefits (compared to “no change”)
    Policyholders No cost.
    Improved policyholder protection through a
    formal obligation. Addresses the risk of forum
    shopping by those applicants, which have been
    rejected elsewhere.
    Insurers
    The decision on former rejection(s)
    is already in the applicants’
    possession. Therefore, costs of
    providing this information would be
    limited.
    Improved level-playing field and clear legal
    obligations.
    Supervisors
    This would be an “upgrade” of the
    text of the Decision on cooperation,
    no extra costs would be involved.
    NSAs have a clear legal power to ask for the
    relevant information on earlier rejections of
    authorisations.
    Impact of EIOPA’s proposals (compared to “no change”)
    Effectiveness
    Long-term and green
    financing
    No impact identified. 0
    Risk sensitivity and volatility No impact identified. 0
    Proportionality No impact identified. 0
    Quality of supervision -
    protection against failures
    EIOPA’s proposals would improve consistency and
    effectiveness of supervision and ensure and improved level-
    playing field; all this contributes to enhancing policyholder
    protection.
    ++
    Financial stability No impact identified. 0
    International competitiveness No impact identified. 0
    Page | 198
    Efficiency (cost-effectiveness)
    Very limited side effects (costs) which are outweighed by
    the improved (consistency and effectiveness) information
    gathering on earlier rejection of authorisations.
    ++
    Conclusion: This policy recommendation is cost effective, by granting powers to supervisors
    while ensuring an effective way of gathering information on earlier rejections, aiming to
    avoid forum shopping. Therefore, Option 2 of the impact assessment endorses EIOPA’s
    advice on this topic.
    5.1.2. Information exchange between Home and Host supervisors in case of material
    changes in cross-border activities
    Issue: It is a common practice for insurers to communicate their intention to pursue cross-
    border activities, but often after that, they do not immediately start cross-border activities. On
    the contrary, they may start operating in other Member States only several years after the
    initial notification to the Host supervisor. The Host supervisor becomes aware of activity
    pursued in its territory with some delay, for instance at the moment of the distribution of
    some information regarding cross-border business by EIOPA. In addition, there may be cases
    where insurers change their initial business plan and to start operating exclusively, or almost
    exclusively, outside the Home Member State. In such case, no specific exchange on
    information between Home and Host supervisor is explicitly required by Solvency II. This
    lack of information makes it more difficult for NSAs to appropriately intervene when issues
    effectively arise, and the cost of late intervention is generally higher than that of more timely
    intervention. This can have a negative effect on policyholder protection.
    Recommendation by EIOPA: Legal requirement for Home NSA to inform the Host NSA of
    material changes in the plan of operations where relevant for the Host NSA.
    Analysis of the recommendation:
    Costs (compared to “no change”) Benefits (compared to “no change”)
    Policyholders No cost.
    Improved policyholder protection as Host
    NSAs are better informed about the changes in
    the plan of operations through which
    policyholders could be affected.
    Insurers
    No material impact as the
    information exchange is amongst the
    NSAs.
    NSAs will be better informed about the
    insurers’ operations on the local market and this
    will lead to more efficient communication with
    the NSA.
    Supervisors
    More obligations for information
    exchange and costs for the Home
    NSA. The aim is to prevent taking
    later supervisory actions which
    would probably be more costly.
    The Host NSA will be updated on substantial
    changes in the insurers’ plan of operations and
    its activities on the local market – as such it
    will be better prepared to address issues if they
    arise.
    Impact of EIOPA’s proposals (compared to “no change”)
    Effectiveness
    Long-term and green
    financing
    No impact identified. 0
    Risk sensitivity and volatility No impact identified. 0
    Proportionality No impact identified. 0
    Quality of supervision -
    protection against failures
    EIOPA’s proposals would improve consistency and
    effectiveness of supervision and ensure an improved level-
    playing field. Supervisors would be in a better position to
    prevent issues. All this contributes to enhancing
    ++
    Page | 199
    policyholder protection.
    Financial stability No impact identified. 0
    International competitiveness No impact identified. 0
    Efficiency (cost-effectiveness)
    The increase in cost for the Home NSA would be
    outweighed by the ability for supervisors to intervene more
    timely when problems arise.
    ++
    Conclusion: This policy recommendation is cost effective, by formalising information
    exchange from Home to Host NSA in case of material changes in cross-border activities.
    Early information exchange facilitates more timely intervention when problems arise (and as
    such reduce the cost of supervisory intervention). Therefore, Option 2 of the impact
    assessment endorses EIOPA’s advice on this topic.
    5.1.3. Explicit power of the Host NSA to request information in a timely manner
    Issue: Based on the current legal framework Host NSAs lack the power to request timely
    answers to information requests to foreign insurers operating in their territory (e.g. questions
    on conduct of business or specific product information). The Host NSA has to rely on the
    Home NSA to get this information, but the current framework does not foresee deadlines or
    enforcement measures regarding the lack of cooperation. If the requested information is not
    provided in a timely manner supervisory issues remain unsolved and can have negative
    impact on the policyholder protection.
    Recommendation by EIOPA: Introduce an explicit power for the Host NSA to request
    information to an insurer within a reasonable timeframe to perform its supervisory activities
    more effectively.
    Analysis of the recommendation:
    Costs (compared to “no change”)
    Benefits (compared to “no
    change”)
    Policyholders No cost.
    Improved policyholder protection
    when Host NSAs are informed in a
    timely manner, which facilitates
    supervisory intervention when
    needed.
    Insurers
    Higher costs for insurers, which would have to
    respond to requests from both Home and Host
    NSAs.
    Clear requirements for the
    provision of information.
    Supervisors
    Less costs for supervisors as information needs
    to be provided in a timely manner and repeated
    requests for information will be less frequent.
    More timely access to information.
    Impact of EIOPA’s proposals (compared to “no change”)
    Effectiveness
    Long-term and green
    financing
    No impact identified. 0
    Risk sensitivity and volatility No impact identified. 0
    Proportionality
    Information requests directed to insurers would only occur
    in specific circumstances when timely information is
    needed.
    +
    Quality of supervision -
    protection against failures
    EIOPA’s proposals would ensure more timely (and
    therefore more effective) access to information (and
    therefore, possibly more timely supervisory intervention) by
    Host Member States.
    ++
    Page | 200
    Financial stability No impact identified. 0
    International
    competitiveness
    No impact identified. 0
    Efficiency (cost-effectiveness)
    By facilitating timely access to information when justified,
    this recommendation would improve quality of supervision.
    In addition, costs would be reduced by avoiding repeated
    requests.
    ++
    Conclusion: This policy recommendation is cost effective, by providing explicit legal power
    for Host NSA to request information to foreign insurers in a timely manner. This can help
    prevent supervisory issues and reduce the risk of insurance failures. Therefore, Option 2 of
    the impact assessment endorses EIOPA’s advice on this topic.
    5.1.4. Access to minimum prudential data by Host supervisors
    Issue: Host supervisors only have access to some statistical data and not prudential data.
    However, in order to ensure a closer cooperation when prudential concerns may arise, it
    would be needed for the Host supervisor to receive minimum timely information on the
    solvency position of the insurer (solvency ratio notably), which is currently only accessible
    on a yearly basis, once the public solvency and financial condition report is published.
    Recommendation by the French and Italian Supervisory Authorities: Introduce a requirement
    for the Home NSA to share some (limited) information on the prudential situation of the
    insurer which is operating on a cross-border basis (own funds and solvency capital
    requirement).
    Analysis of the recommendation:
    Costs (compared to “no change”) Benefits (compared to “no change”)
    Policyholders No cost.
    Improved policyholder protection as
    cooperation between Home and Host
    supervisors would be fostered by sharing
    some prudential information.
    Insurers
    No costs. The information would continue
    being provided to the Home NSA, which
    would have to share it with Host NSAs.
    Clear awareness that both Home and Host
    supervisors know the solvency position of
    the insurer.
    Supervisors
    Some costs for the supervisor to share the
    information with the Host supervisor.
    However, the information is directly
    submitted by the insurer and the cost of
    sharing the information to other
    supervisory authorities remains limited.
    More timely access to information for Host
    supervisors who can have the information
    earlier than under current rules (where they
    have to wait for the publication of the
    solvency and financial condition report by
    the insurer).
    Impact of EIOPA’s proposals (compared to “no change”)
    Effectiveness
    Long-term and green
    financing
    No impact identified. 0
    Risk sensitivity and volatility No impact identified. 0
    Proportionality
    The prudential information shared with Host supervisors is
    limited to basic solvency information.
    +
    Quality of supervision -
    protection against failures
    EIOPA’s proposals would ensure more timely (and therefore
    more effective) access to information by Host supervisors,
    which can facilitate future cooperation in case of financial
    difficulties by the insurer.
    ++
    Financial stability No impact identified. 0
    Page | 201
    International
    competitiveness
    No impact identified. 0
    Efficiency (cost-effectiveness)
    The cost of sharing this information is limited, but it can
    facilitate timely cooperation when problems arise. This
    proposal should be read in conjunction with the one joint on-
    site inspections (see subsection 4.2.2 below).
    +
    Conclusion: This policy recommendation is cost effective, by fostering information sharing
    on basic prudential data. The Home supervisor remains responsible for compliance with
    capital requirements, but the Host supervisor would be in a position to know in a timelier
    manner whether cooperation with the Home supervisor is needed. This recommendation has
    to be read in conjunction with the one on joint inspections (possibility for the Host supervisor
    to request a joint on-site inspection in case of significant concerns on the solvency position of
    an insurer operating cross-border – see subsection 4.2.2. below). This can help prevent
    supervisory issues and reduce the risk of insurance failures. Therefore, Option 2 of the impact
    assessment endorses this recommendation of basic prudential information sharing between
    Home and Host supervisors.
    Improving cooperation between Home and Host supervisory authorities,
    under the coordination/mediation of EIOPA
    5.2.1. Cooperation between Home and Host NSAs during ongoing supervision
    Issue: Cross border activities are sometimes inappropriately supervised due to a lack of
    cooperation between relevant supervisory authorities. The current obligations for NSAs to
    cooperate is already foreseen in the EIOPA Decision on Collaboration. However, there is no
    legal obligation for intensive cooperation between supervisory authorities during the ongoing
    supervision of insurers, which operate on a cross-border basis.
    Recommendation by EIOPA: Introduce a legal requirement for the Home NSA to actively
    cooperate with Host NSA to assess whether insurers have a clear understanding of the risks
    they cover outside the Home Member State. Efficient cooperation and timely information
    exchange would improve policyholder protection by allowing more timely intervention when
    deemed necessary.
    Analysis of the recommendation:
    Costs (compared to “no change”) Benefits (compared to “no change”)
    Policyholders No cost.
    More cooperation and information sharing
    allows for a more efficient supervision.
    Insurers
    No material impact as the information
    exchange is amongst the NSAs.
    No material impact.
    Supervisors
    Extra effort and costs for the NSAs to be
    better informed on cross-border business
    as part of the outcome of the supervisory
    review process of the Home NSA.
    NSAs would be better informed and able to
    act before serious issues occur.
    Impact of EIOPA’s proposals (compared to “no change”)
    Effectiveness
    Long-term and green
    financing
    No impact identified. 0
    Risk sensitivity and
    volatility
    No impact identified. 0
    Proportionality No impact identified. 0
    Quality of supervision -
    protection against failures
    EIOPA’s proposals would improve cooperation, consistency
    and effectiveness of supervision and ensure an improved level-
    ++
    Page | 202
    playing field and prevent later failures. All this contributes to
    enhancing policyholder protection.
    Financial stability No impact identified. 0
    International
    competitiveness
    No impact identified. 0
    Efficiency (cost-effectiveness)
    The increase cost for the NSAs could be seen as a prevention
    for later actions. However, this not means that the extra cost
    every time will be effective and will prevent insurance failures.
    +
    Conclusion: This policy recommendation is cost effective, by adding legal requirement for
    the Home NSA to actively cooperate with the Host NSAs and to be better informed about
    cross-border activities. This would ensure that sufficient resources are dedicated by Home
    NSAs to the supervision of such cross-border activities. Effective collaboration information
    exchange can prevent later supervisory issues. Therefore, Option 2 of the impact assessment
    endorses EIOPA’s advice on this topic.
    5.2.2. Strengthening the framework for joint on-site inspection for cross-border
    supervision, under the binding mediation by EIOPA.
    Issue: Currently, the possibility to conduct joint on-site inspections between Home and Host
    NSAs is mentioned in paragraphs 4.1.1.9 and 4.1.2.6 of the Decision on Collaboration.
    Therefore, such possibilities are only envisaged in non-binding tools, and are not much used,
    despite some attempts by Host NSAs186
    . Joint on-site inspections offer the possibility of
    stronger cooperation, possibly with the involvement of EIOPA in cases where there are
    strong concerns on the solvency position of insurers operating on a cross-border basis.
    Recommendation by the French and Italian supervisory authorities: In cases of material non-
    compliance with capital requirements (including a likely breach of minimum capital
    requirements), the Host NSA should have the possibility to request to the Home NSA a joint
    on-site inspection where the conclusions are co-signed (i.e. they reflect a shared view of the
    Home and Host supervisors), with the possible participation of EIOPA. Where the Home
    supervisor disagrees with this request, or where disagreements occur on the conclusions to
    draw on the joint on-site inspection, supervisory authorities should have the possibility to
    refer the case to EIOPA, which would have a role of binding mediation.
    Analysis of the recommendation:
    Costs (compared to “no change”) Benefits (compared to “no change”)
    Policyholders No cost.
    Strengthened cooperation between
    Home and Host supervisors would
    improve policyholder protection.
    Insurers
    No material impact. Insurers can already be
    subject to joint on-site inspection according to
    the Decision on Collaboration.
    The joint assessment by Home and
    Host supervisory authorities provides
    more visibility for insurers on the
    remedial actions to be taken (if any) as
    a follow-up of the joint on-site
    inspection.
    Supervisors
    Extra effort and cost for the Home supervisor
    to cooperate with the Host supervisor.
    Stronger coordination role to EIOPA.
    A joint on-site inspection would allow
    186
    For instance, five of the six cross-border failures which occurred in France concerned the specific business of
    assurance dommages-ouvrage, where the bulk of the claims occurs, at the earliest, 10 years after the premium
    was paid. Based on this experience, the French and Italian supervisory authorities are of the view that joint on-
    site inspections could have facilitated the identification of issues and a common view of the situation of the
    insurers concerned.
    Page | 203
    However, joint on-site inspection would could
    only be envisaged in case of material non-
    compliance with capital requirements.
    a better understanding of the sources
    of weaknesses of the insurer
    concerned.
    Impact of EIOPA’s proposals (compared to “no change”)
    Effectiveness
    Long-term and green
    financing
    No impact identified. 0
    Risk sensitivity and
    volatility
    No impact identified. 0
    Proportionality
    Requests for joint on-site inspections would only be possible
    when there is a material concern on the solvency position of an
    insurer.
    +
    Quality of supervision -
    protection against failures
    This recommendation would enhance cooperation between
    Home and Host supervisors and would ensure a shared view on
    the situation of an insurer, which is already in material breach
    of its capital requirements. EIOPA’s binding mediation role
    would ensure that (i) disagreements are settled in a consistent
    manner and (ii) there is no risk of abuse of request for joint on-
    site inspection by Host supervisors or of refusals by Home
    supervisors.
    ++
    Financial stability No impact identified. 0
    International
    competitiveness
    No impact identified. 0
    Efficiency (cost-effectiveness)
    Cooperation through joint on-site inspection has a cost for the
    supervisory authorities, but this is an effective manner to
    ensure that supervisory authorities, under the coordination by
    EIOPA, intensively cooperate in case of strong concerns on the
    solvency of an insurer.
    +
    Conclusion: This policy recommendation is cost effective, by introducing the possibility for
    the Host supervisor to request a joint on-site inspection only in cases of concerns of material
    non-compliance with capital requirements by an insurer. This recommendation has to be read
    in conjunction with Sub-section 4.1.4 (it would be possible to make such requests if the Host
    supervisor has access to minimum prudential information on a timely basis). EIOPA’s
    binding mediation role would ensure that there is no abuse of requests for joint on-site
    inspections which would not be justified or on the contrary that the Home supervisor does not
    systematically rejects such requests even when they can be justified. Similarly, the possibility
    for EIOPA to settle disagreements on the conclusions to draw from an on-site inspection
    would ensure more consistency in cross-border supervision. All this contributes to
    policyholder protection. Therefore, Option 2 of the impact assessment endorses EIOPA’s
    advice on this topic.
    5.2.3. Enhanced mediation role for EIOPA in complex cross-border cases
    Issue: Currently policyholders run higher risks when Home and Host NSAs disagree on how
    to address a cross-border issue. This is also the case when the NSAs concerned fail to reach a
    common view in the context of cooperation platforms187
    . Furthermore, there are no legal
    obligations to notify to EIOPA situations of deteriorating financial conditions or other
    emerging risks, including consumer protection risks, posed by an insurer carrying out cross-
    border activities
    187
    A cooperation platform is established when relevant NSAs see the merit in strengthening cooperation in case
    of material cross-border business in order to enable a sound internal market in the EU. The platforms allow
    Home supervisors to make use of expertise and knowledge about local market specificities from Host
    supervisors.
    Page | 204
    Recommendation by EIOPA: The proper functioning of the cooperation platform could be
    further optimised by adding an explicit reference in the Solvency II Directive to EIOPA’s
    power to issue a recommendation (in accordance with Art. 16 of EIOPA Regulation) in order
    to address disagreements in complex cross-border cases. Supervisory authorities concerned
    would be given two months to either comply with the recommendation or justify why they
    deviate from it. If EIOPA does not deem the justification appropriate, it shall make its
    recommendation public together with the proposed next steps.
    Analysis of the recommendation:
    Costs (compared to “no change”) Benefits (compared to “no change”)
    Policyholders No cost.
    A supervisory recommendation from EIOPA is
    to the benefit of policyholders when adequately
    followed up by NSAs.
    Insurers
    No material impact, possible decrease
    of costs (more clarity due to the
    timely solution).
    Clear supervisory recommendations and
    timeframes give guidance to NSAs and
    therefore for industry on supervisory
    expectations.
    Supervisors
    Less costs due to shorter timeline to
    find a solution for supervisory issues.
    Clear supervisory recommendation give
    guidance to NSAs on supervisory actions to be
    taken.
    Impact of EIOPA’s proposals (compared to “no change”)
    Effectiveness
    Long-term and green
    financing
    No impact identified. 0
    Risk sensitivity and volatility No impact identified. 0
    Proportionality No impact identified. 0
    Quality of supervision -
    protection against failures
    EIOPA’s proposals would improve consistency and
    effectiveness of supervision and ensure end of the risks of non-
    action and consequently possible failures. All this contributes
    to enhancing policyholder protection.
    ++
    Financial stability No impact identified. 0
    International
    competitiveness
    No impact identified. 0
    Efficiency (cost-effectiveness)
    The solution proposed has limited cost for stakeholders but can
    improve quality of supervision of complex cross-border cases.
    However, there is no guarantee that EIOPA’s recommendation
    is followed.
    +
    Conclusion: Timely and efficient solutions on the follow up on supervisory issues can
    prevent further escalation and higher risks for policyholders in case of non-action. The
    approach remains quite modest in terms of ambition, as EIOPA’s recommendation may not
    be followed. On the other hand, going further in the balance of powers between NSAs and
    EIOPA would probably not get political support. Therefore, Option 2 of the impact
    assessment endorses EIOPA’s advice on this topic which is a step in the direction towards
    more consistent supervision under the mediation role of EIOPA.
    6. INCORPORATING A MACRO-PRUDENTIAL DIMENSION IN SOLVENCY II
    As part of the problem of limited specific supervisory tools to address the potential build-up
    of systemic risk in the insurance sector, Option 2 – “make targeted amendments to prevent
    financial stability risks in the insurance sector” is part of the overall package of “preferred
    options” for the impact assessment. This option would ensure that new requirements to
    Page | 205
    prevent the potential build-up of systemic risks in the insurance sector are implemented in a
    proportionate manner. The aim of this section is to provide some background on the sources
    of systemic risk in insurance and further clarify what is embedded within the recommended
    option.
    In EIOPA’s view, systemic events in insurance could be generated in two ways:
    - “direct” effect, originated by the failure of a systemically relevant insurer or the
    collective failure of several firms generating a cascade effect188
    . This systemic source
    is defined as “entity-based”;
    - “indirect” effect, in which possible externalities are enhanced by engagement in
    potentially systemic activities (activity-based sources), like involvement in certain
    products with greater potential to pose systemic risk or the existence of potentially
    dangerous interconnections, or by widespread common reactions of firms to
    exogenous shocks (behaviour-based source), like excessive risk-taking by insurers
    (e.g. “search for yield”) or “excessive concentrations”.
    It is also widely acknowledged that the insurance sector can contribute to systemic risks, but
    that the traditional insurance activities are generally less systemically important than banking.
    A macro-prudential approach would be justified provided that it is tailored to insurance and
    implemented in a “proportionate” manner (so that it permits to tackle the sources of systemic
    risks which have been previously identified, without creating unnecessary costs for the
    insurance industry’s capacity to invest long-term and provide long-term services to
    policyholders).
    EIOPA has identified the following “operational” objectives that public authorities should
    pursue to ensure the ultimate objective, i.e. financial stability:
    - Ensure sufficient loss absorbency capacity and reserving;
    - Discourage excessive involvement in certain products and activities;
    - Discourage excessive levels of direct and indirect exposure concentrations;
    - Limit pro-cyclicality;
    - Discourage risky behaviour.
    Solvency II already incorporates several tools with indirect macro-prudential impact, which
    seek to address the risk of collective behaviour by insurers that may exacerbate market price
    movements. In particular, the symmetric adjustment in the equity risk module, the volatility
    adjustment (VA), the matching adjustment (MA) contribute to limit pro-cyclical behaviours
    which may arise from the pure application of the market consistent valuation during periods
    of short term volatility of financial markets. In addition, the extension of the recovery period
    in case of non-compliance with the SCR already permits — under exceptional circumstances
    — to extend (from 6 months to up to 7 years) the regulatory period that allows insurers in
    breach of their SCR to take the necessary measures to restore their financial soundness
    (recovery). Finally, Solvency II allows public authorities to prohibit or restrict certain types
    of financial activities, although this is possible when insurers are in breach of the quantitative
    solvency requirements.
    Existing Solvency tools or
    powers with direct macro-
    prudential impact
    Sources of systemic risk
    addressed
    Objectives
     Symmetric adjustment
    for equity risk
     Collective behaviour
    by undertakings that
     Limit pro-cyclicality
    188
    The disorderly failure of large insurers could cause disruption to the global financial system, due to their size,
    the complexity of their investment and underwriting activities, and/ or their interconnectedness with financial
    markets.
    Page | 206
     Volatility adjustment
     Matching
    adjustment189
     Extension of the
    recovery period190
    may exacerbate market
    price movements
     Supervisory power to
    prohibit or restrict
    certain types of
    financial activities
    when there is breach of
    regulatory capital
    requirements
     Involvement in certain
    activities or products
    with greater potential
    to pose systemic risk
     Excessive risk-taking
    by insurance
    undertakings
     Discouraging
    excessive involvement
    in certain products and
    activities
     Discourage risky
    behaviours
    As some of the sources of systemic risk in insurance cannot be sufficiently prevented with the
    existing tools, the recommended Option 2 would include specific tools to further limit the
    build-up of risks for the financial stability and provide supervisors with additional
    information to act before such risks materialise.
    As part of the recommended policy Option 2, insurance companies would be required to
    integrate macro-prudential consideration in their investment and risk-management activities.
    In particular, insurance companies would be required to assess the macro-economic risks
    (such as credit cycle downturns or reduced market liquidity) which may affect their
    investment decisions and operations (i.e. the application of the “prudent person principle”)
    and subsequently reflect those risks into the forward-looking evaluation of their solvency
    situation (i.e. ORSA).
    By expanding the “prudent person principle” 191
    to account for macro-prudential
    considerations, insurance companies would be incentivised to take account of the potential
    behaviour of other market participants or excessive concentrations at sector level when they
    analyse the diversification and liquidity of their investment portfolios. Supervisors would
    thus gain additional information and insights to discourage potential excessive levels of
    exposure concentration or involvement in certain activities.
    When it comes to the own risk and solvency assessment (ORSA)192
    , supervisors would be
    able to aggregate the (expanded) information received from single insurers and detect: i)
    similar/different approaches in managing specific risks by insurers; ii) common elements that
    189
    Under Solvency II, insurers are required to calculate the value of their liabilities using a benchmark risk-free
    interest rate curve derived by EIOPA. The matching adjustment is an upward adjustment to the risk-free rate
    where insurers hold certain long-term assets with cash-flows that match the cash-flows of liabilities. It reflects
    the fact that long-term “buy-and-hold” investors are not exposed to spread movements in the same way that
    short-term traders of such assets are. Therefore, like the volatility adjustment, the matching adjustment mitigates
    the impact on insurers’ solvency position of short-term volatility in bond spreads.
    190
    When an insurer does not comply with its capital requirements, it is given between six and nine months to
    recover. The extension of the recovery period is a provision allowing supervisory authorities to extend that
    timeframe up to seven years when EIOPA declares an exception adverse situation (conditions are further
    specified in the legislation). The underlying rationale is to ensure that insurers do not behave procyclically (e.g.
    by selling the same “risky” assets at the same time) when a financial crisis leads to a material deterioration of
    several insurance companies in a given national market. Therefore, this provision aims at ensuring that insurers
    do not amplify the impact of an exogenous macroeconomic shock.
    191
    The “prudent person principle” as set out in the Solvency II Directive provides that insurers shall only invest
    in assets and instruments whose risks the company concerned can properly identify, measure, monitor, manage,
    control and report, and appropriately take into account in the assessment of its overall solvency needs.
    192
    The “own risk and solvency assessment” (ORSA) is an important part of insurers’ risk management process.
    It aims at supporting insurers to get a holistic view of their risk profile and to understand how all risks affect the
    future solvency situation.
    Page | 207
    may result in common behaviours across the insurance market. Insurance companies, in turn,
    would benefit from the input received from supervisors and be able to further develop the
    macro-prudential perspective into subsequent ORSA exercises.
    In addition, insurance companies would be required to strengthen liquidity risk management
    planning and reporting processes, while supervisors would be able to intervene whenever any
    resulting vulnerability – for instance liquidity shortages for some maturities that may affect
    the capacity to pay-out claims or benefits to policyholders in a timely manner – are not
    appropriately addressed by insurers. This liquidity framework would be designed in such a
    way that it ensures that supervisory intervention is a last-resort measure and that its terms
    would be kept flexible and adaptable to specific situations.
    Moreover, supervisors would be equipped with the power to temporarily freeze redemption
    rights in exceptional circumstances, notably to restore liquidity or avoid mass surrender
    behaviours, provided that those freezes are linked to (or preceded by) prohibitions of variable
    remunerations, bonuses and dividend distributions for shareholders.
    In fact, more generally, supervisors would be granted the power to restrict or suspend
    dividend distributions and variable remunerations at individual level in exceptional situations
    (e.g. during a crisis). This provision would be accompanied by adequate safeguards to ensure
    that the measure is only applied when the solvency position is substantially deteriorated (or
    has a prospect of being substantially deteriorated) and may result in a likely non-compliance
    with the (stated) risk-tolerance limits. Such an approach would give more legal certainty to
    dividend distribution policies during crisis situations affecting the totality or large part of the
    insurance market (e.g. the COVID-19 crisis). Supervisors would not be entitled to impose
    “blanket bans” on dividends in absence of risk-based criteria. They would remain in any case
    free to recommend prudent capital management approaches at market-level and continue to
    operate within the ranges of powers given by their legal mandate.
    Finally, the prudential rules of Solvency II on the calculation of the counterparty default risk
    under the standard formula would be amended so that banking-type loan origination activities
    by insurers would not be subject to more preferential treatment than in the banking sector.
    This amendment would avoid possible risks of regulatory arbitrage when it comes to
    banking-like activities performed by insurers.
    New macro-prudential tools
    (Option 2)
    Sources of systemic risk
    prevented
    Objectives
     Requirement for
    (re)insurers to take into
    account how the
    macroeconomic
    developments interact
    with their Own risk and
    solvency assessment
    (ORSA)
     Excessive concentrations
     Deterioration of the
    solvency position leading
    to failure of a
    systemically important
    insurer or collective
    failures of non-
    systemically important
    institutions as a result of
    exposures to common
    shocks
     Discourage
    excessive levels of
    direct and indirect
    exposure
    concentrations
     Ensure sufficient
    loss absorbency
    capacity and
    reserving
     Requirement for
    (re)insurers to take into
    account how the
    macroeconomic
    developments can affect
    their investment
    activities (i.e. the
     Excessive concentrations
     Involvement in certain
    activities or products with
    greater potential to pose
     Discourage
    excessive levels of
    direct and indirect
    exposure
    concentrations
    Page | 208
    application of the
    “prudent person
    principle”), allowing
    supervisors to assess
    how (re)insurers’
    activities may affect
    market drivers;
    systemic risk  Discourage
    excessive
    involvement in
    certain products and
    activities
     Requirement for (re)
    insurers to strengthen
    liquidity risk
    management planning
    and reporting
     Possibility for
    supervisors to intervene
    whenever any resulting
    liquidity vulnerabilities
    are not appropriately
    addressed by (re)
    insurers
     As a last resort measure,
    possibility for
    supervisors to
    temporarily freeze
    redemption options on
    life insurance policies to
    avoid “insurance run”
     Involvement in certain
    activities or products with
    greater potential to pose
    systemic risk
     Excessive concentrations
     Potentially dangerous
    interconnection
     Collective behaviour by
    undertakings that may
    exacerbate market price
    movements (e.g. fire-sale
    or herding behaviour)
     Discourage
    excessive levels of
    direct and indirect
    exposure
    concentrations
     Discourage
    excessive
    involvement in
    certain products and
    activities
     Limit pro-cyclicality
     Prudential rules are
    amended so that
    banking-type loan
    origination activities by
    insurers are not subject
    to more preferential
    treatment than in the
    banking sector
     Involvement in certain
    activities or products with
    greater potential to pose
    systemic risk
     Discourage risky
    behaviour
     Ensuring sufficient
    loss absorbency
    capacity and reserving
     Discourage excessive
    involvement in certain
    products and activities
     In exceptional
    situations, possibility
    for supervisors to
    restrict or suspend
    dividend distributions
    and variable
    remunerations on a
    case-by-case basis
     Deterioration of the
    solvency position leading
    to failure of a
    systemically important
    insurer or collective
    failures of non-
    systemically important
    institutions as a result of
    exposures to common
    shocks
     Ensuring sufficient
    loss absorbency
    capacity and reserving
    Analysis of the recommendation:
    Costs (compared to “no
    change”)
    Benefits (compared to “no change”)
    Policyholders Supervisory powers to limit Supervisory powers to limit surrender
    Page | 209
    surrender options on life
    insurance contracts may be
    harmful to policyholders in the
    short term, but also prevent
    losses in the longer term.
    options would reduce financial instability
    risks and possible spill-over effects on the
    real economy (which could affect
    policyholders as taxpayers).
    Insurers
    Additional regulatory costs in
    terms of risk management and
    reporting systems; possible costs
    during exceptional crisis
    situations because of dividend
    restrictions.
    Limited impact on their capacity to
    compete at international level.
    Supervisors No material cost.
    Enhanced powers in crisis situations (i.e.
    dividends restrictions); sufficient margin of
    discretion in exercising macro-prudential
    supervision.
    Impact of the recommended policy option (compared to “no change”)
    Effectiveness
    Long-term and green
    financing
    The integration of macro-prudential considerations within
    investment policies of insurers may refrain some types of
    long-term financing (e.g. equity) when supervisors detect
    possible sources of systemic risks.
    -
    Risk sensitivity
    Option 2 would preserve the risk-based nature of the
    framework, including on dividend distribution policies during
    crisis situations.
    +
    Volatility No impact identified. 0
    Proportionality
    Option 2 would not generate particular costs for insurers in
    terms of capitalisation, while it would require targeted
    adaptations to risk management and investment policies.
    +/-
    Quality of supervision -
    protection against failures
    Option 2 would grant supervisors with a common set of
    macro-prudential tools to prevent the failure of large insurers,
    but it would keep the risk of supervisors acting independently
    or taking uncoordinated decisions.
    --
    Financial stability
    Option 2 would determine a tangible improvement of the
    ability of supervisors to address collective
    behaviours\activities that may have indirect effects on the
    stability of the insurance sector.
    ++
    International competitiveness
    Although Option 2 would be largely in line with the
    international framework for systemic risk, the power for
    supervisors to restrict dividend distributions could increase
    financing costs for European insurers compared to non-EU
    ones, but the use of this power would be subject to criteria,
    contributing to legal certainty.
    -
    Efficiency (cost-effectiveness)
    Overall limited costs for the insurance industry, while
    effective for supervisors to meet the macro-prudential
    objectives set by EIOPA.
    ++
    Conclusion: This policy recommendation is cost effective. It allows reinforcing the capacity
    of the insurance sector to prevent the origination or amplification of risks for the financial
    stability, in line with the macro-prudential objectives set by EIOPA, without creating
    substantial costs for the insurance sector.
    Page | 210
    ANNEX 9: OTHER INITIATIVES THAT WILL HAVE A MATERIAL
    IMPACT ON THE INSURANCE SECTOR
    At this stage, the Commission is pursuing several initiatives to increase private financing of
    the transition to a carbon-neutral economy and to ensure that climate and environmental risks
    are managed by the financial system. The following initiatives will have a significant impact
    on the insurance sector.
     Directive 2014/95/EU (“non-financial reporting directive” or “NFRD”) requires
    sustainability-related non-financial reporting by companies, including insurers, with
    more than 500 employees. That Directive and in particular the scope of the
    requirement on and the modalities for non-financial disclosures are being reviewed.
     Regulation (EU) 2020/852 (“taxonomy regulation”) creates a common language for
    the identification of sustainable activities. An on-going initiative aims to develop
    technical screening criteria for the taxonomy in a delegated act. It is probable that the
    delegated act will contain sectoral criteria for underwriting by non-life insurance and
    reinsurance companies.
     Furthermore, the taxonomy regulation also requires the disclosure of key performance
    indicators on taxonomy-alignment by any company in the NFRD scope. The specific
    key performance indicators will be set out in a delegated act that is being prepared as
    a separate initiative.
     The Commission is preparing a renewed sustainable finance strategy with a broad
    scope and possible actions concerning all financial services sectors. Among others,
    the strategy will aim to strengthen the foundations for sustainable investments and to
    fully integrate and manage sustainability considerations into the financial system. The
    review of Solvency II will be one of the elements to achieve the objectives of the
    renewed sustainable finance strategy.
     As announced in the European Green Deal communication, the Commission is
    pursuing an initiative to embed sustainability into the corporate governance
    framework, as many companies still focus too much on short-term financial
    performance compared to their long-term development and sustainability aspects.
     The Commission is also working on an initiative to align EU law with international
    standards for prudential rules of the banking sector. That initiative is also looking at
    the integration of sustainability risks into banking prudential rules.
    Page | 211
    

    1_EN_impact_assessment_part2_v3.pdf

    https://www.ft.dk/samling/20211/kommissionsforslag/kom(2021)0581/forslag/1810434/2449340.pdf

    EN EN
    EUROPEAN
    COMMISSION
    Brussels, 22.9.2021
    SWD(2021) 260 final
    PART 2/4
    COMMISSION STAFF WORKING DOCUMENT
    IMPACT ASSESSMENT REPORT
    Accompanying the documents
    Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of the Council amending
    Directive 2009/138/EC as regards proportionality, quality of supervision, reporting,
    long-term guarantee measures, macro-prudential tools, sustainability risks, group and
    cross-border supervision
    and Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of the Council establishing
    a framework for the recovery and resolution of insurance and reinsurance undertakings
    and amending Directives 2002/47/EC, 2004/25/EC, 2009/138/EC, (EU) 2017/1132 and
    Regulations (EU) No 1094/2010 and (EU) No 648/2012
    {COM(2021) 581 final} - {SEC(2021) 620 final} - {SWD(2021) 261 final}
    Europaudvalget 2021
    KOM (2021) 0581 - SWD-dokument
    Offentligt
    Page | 212
    ANNEX 10: EVALUATION OF THE SOLVENCY II FRAMEWORK
    Page | 213
    Table of contents
    1. INTRODUCTION...............................................................................................................215
    Purpose and scope ...............................................................................................................215
    2. BACKGROUND TO THE INTERVENTION ...................................................................216
    Description of the intervention and its objectives ...............................................................216
    Baseline and points of comparison......................................................................................220
    3. IMPLEMENTATION / STATE OF PLAY ........................................................................221
    Description of the current situation .....................................................................................221
    4. METHOD............................................................................................................................223
    Short description of methodology .......................................................................................223
    Limitations and robustness of findings................................................................................225
    5. EVALUATION QUESTIONS............................................................................................226
    6. ANALYSIS AND ANSWERS TO THE EVALUATION QUESTIONSERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFIN
    6.1. EFFECTIVENESS .............................................ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED.
    6.1.1. To what extent has the Framework improved the risk management of EU
    insurers?...................................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined.
    6.1.2. To what extent has the framework increased transparency?Error! Bookmark not defined.
    6.1.3. To what extent has Solvency II advanced supervisory convergence and
    cooperation?................................................................ Error! Bookmark not defined.
    6.1.4. To what extent has the Solvency II framework promoted better allocation of
    capital resources?........................................................ Error! Bookmark not defined.
    6.2. EFFICIENCY.....................................................ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED.
    6.2.1. Has the Solvency II Framework proven to be cost-efficient in delivering on
    the objectives? To what extent are the associated costs justified by the
    benefits it has brought?............................................... Error! Bookmark not defined.
    6.2.2. Is there scope for increasing efficiency and making the rules more
    proportionate?............................................................. Error! Bookmark not defined.
    6.3. RELEVANCE: ...................................................ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED.
    6.3.1. Have the objectives proven to be appropriate?........... Error! Bookmark not defined.
    6.3.2. To what extent is the framework still relevant/appropriate given changing
    market conditions?.................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined.3
    6.3.3. To what extent is Solvency II suited to deal with new challenges?Error! Bookmark not defined.
    6.4. COHERENCE ....................................................ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED.
    6.4.1. How does the Directive interact with other (possibly new) EU instruments/
    legal frameworks? Are there newly created overlaps, gaps or contradictions?Error! Bookmark not defin
    6.4.2. Is it coherent with international developments/ international initiatives?Error! Bookmark not defined.
    6.5. EU ADDED VALUE .........................................ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED.
    7. CONCLUSIONS ..............................................ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED.5
    7.1. CONCLUSIONS ON THE SOLVENCY II FRAMEWORKERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED.5
    7.2. LESSONS LEARNED .....................................ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED.8
    LIST OF REFERENCES ..........................................ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED.3
    Page | 214
    Table of figures
    Figure 2-1: 2007 – The objectives of the Directive................................................................... 2178
    Figure 4-1: Scheme of the assessed dimensions........................................................................ 2244
    Figure 6.1-1: Effectiveness - General and Specific objectives - Summary.. Error! Bookmark not
    defined.7
    Figure 6.1-2 Average solvency ratio for EEA insurers ................Error! Bookmark not defined.0
    Figure 6.1-3: Average solvency ratio per country........................Error! Bookmark not defined.1
    Figure 6.1-4: Volatility adjustment: number of users per EEA country – 2019 .Error! Bookmark
    not defined.3
    Figure 6.1-5: Use of volatility adjustment – National market shares – 2019Error! Bookmark not
    defined.3
    Figure 6.1-6: Home bias - Q2 2020..............................................Error! Bookmark not defined.4
    Figure 6.1-7: Levels of the 10-year yield on Italian sovereign debt and fluctuation of the Italian
    VA in 2018...................................................................................Error! Bookmark not defined.5
    Figure 6.1-8: Trends of unit-linked investments across the EU for the period 2005-2020Q3Error!
    Bookmark not defined.7
    Figure 6.1-9: GWP - Unit-linked share trend...............................Error! Bookmark not defined.7
    Figure 6.1-10: Unit-linked as share of GWP-Life business across countriesError! Bookmark not
    defined.38
    Figure 6.1-11: Extrapolation of risk-free interest rates for the Euro (31/12/2020) ................Error!
    Bookmark not defined.39
    Figure 6.1-12: Comparison of extrapolated interest rates and market rates derived from interest
    rate swaps (Euro, 31/12/2018)....................................................Error! Bookmark not defined.39
    Figure 6.1-13: Development of written premiums in cross-border activities in Europe........Error!
    Bookmark not defined.3
    Figure 6.1-14: Importance of cross-border business - 2019.........Error! Bookmark not defined.4
    Figure 6.1-15: Total investments of the EU insurance market (incl. unit-linked investments)
    ......................................................................................................Error! Bookmark not defined.0
    Figure 6.1-16: Listed equity investments of the EU insurance market ........ Error! Bookmark not
    defined.1
    Figure 6.1-17: Total portfolio composition of the EEA insurance sector – Q1 2020 ............Error!
    Bookmark not defined.1
    Figure 6.1-18: Investment split in the EEA insurance market - 2016-2019. Error! Bookmark not
    defined.2
    Figure 6.1-19: Public Consultation – treatment of equity investments ........ Error! Bookmark not
    defined.3
    Figure 6.2-1: Public consultation: SFCR .....................................Error! Bookmark not defined.6
    Figure 6.2-2: Scope - Percentage of companies within and outside the scope of Solvency II, by
    Member State, 2019 ...................................................................Error! Bookmark not defined.58
    Figure 6.2-3: Proportionality in Reporting - Exempted companies by EEA Member State..Error!
    Bookmark not defined.1
    Figure 6.2-4: Number of templates to be reported - 2019............Error! Bookmark not defined.1
    Figure 6.3-1: Low interest rate - Composition of portfolios - 2020............. Error! Bookmark not
    defined.4
    Figure 6.3-2: Life insurance balance sheet: Impact of a decrease in interest rates ................Error!
    Bookmark not defined.5
    Figure 6.3-3: Risk-free rate curve ................................................Error! Bookmark not defined.5
    Figure 6.3-4: Investment Portfolio - 2020..................................Error! Bookmark not defined.69
    Page | 215
    Figure 6.3-5: Evolution of failure and near miss events ..............Error! Bookmark not defined.2
    Figure 6.3-6: “Taxonomy” - Potentially eligible Investments - 2019 .......... Error! Bookmark not
    defined.4
    Figure 6.3-7: EIOPA’s severe scenario........................................Error! Bookmark not defined.5
    Figure 6.3-8: Assets over liabilities: stress test for natural catastrophes...... Error! Bookmark not
    defined.6
    Page | 216
    1. INTRODUCTION
    Purpose and scope
    The Directive on the taking-up and pursuit of the business of Insurance and
    Reinsurance1
    is also known as the Solvency II Directive. The Solvency II Directive, as
    amended by the Omnibus II Directive2
    , has entered into application in 2016. The
    supplementing Delegated Regulation3
    was then intended to further specify a range of aspects
    of the Solvency II Directive, with the aim to facilitate a consistent implementation throughout
    the European Union. Those two levels of legislation form the “Solvency II Framework”, or
    “regime”.
    Two major grounds led to a necessary review of the framework:
    First, there is a legal mandate set out in the Directive to review certain areas of the
    framework, namely:
    i. Long term guarantee measures and measures on equity risk (Art.77f(3));
    ii. Standard formula for solvency capital requirements (Art.111; in particular for market
    risks);
    iii. Minimum capital requirements (Art.129);4
    iv. Group supervision (Art.242), including crisis management and adequacy of the
    existing insurance guarantee schemes.
    Second, there is a need to assess whether the implementation and/or harmonisation have been
    sufficient5
    , whether the original objectives have been sufficiently addressed, as well as
    whether newly emerged objectives are sufficiently reflected. The evaluation is therefore
    targeted at the identified weaknesses, in order to prepare for a focused review of the Directive
    and of the accompanying Delegated Regulation.
    1
    Directive 2009/138/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 25 November 2009 on the taking-up
    and pursuit of the business of Insurance and Reinsurance (Solvency II), OJ L 335, 17.12.2009, p. 1.;
    consolidated version of 13 January 2019.
    2
    Directive 2014/51/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 amending Directives
    2003/71/EC and 2009/138/EC and Regulations (EC) No 1060/2009, (EU) No 1094/2010 and (EU) No
    1095/2010 in respect of the powers of the European Supervisory Authority (European Insurance and
    Occupational Pensions Authority) and the European Supervisory Authority (European Securities and
    Markets Authority), OJ L 153, 22.5.2014, p. 1.
    3
    Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2015/35 of 10 October 2014 supplementing Directive 2009/138/EC
    of the European Parliament and of the Council on the taking-up and pursuit of the business of Insurance and
    Reinsurance (Solvency II).
    4
    A dedicated EIOPA survey launched to NSA’s showed that the vast majority of them do not face any issue
    with regard to the calculation of the MCR (see Section 6.4 of the general Consultation paper).
    5
    Throughout this evaluation annex any reference to harmonisation of rules is meant as harmonisation of
    prudential rules for insurers. Other sets of rules, e.g. insurance contract law, are not within the scope of this
    note.
    Page | 217
    2. BACKGROUND TO THE INTERVENTION
    Description of the intervention and its objectives
    The third generation Insurance Directives6
    adopted in the 1990's established an “EU
    passport” (single licence) for insurers7
    , based on the concept of minimum harmonisation and
    mutual recognition. These Directives acknowledged the need to review EU insurance
    solvency rules and Solvency I was agreed by the European Parliament and the Council in
    2002.8
    Although already providing increased powers to supervisors and setting out rules for
    establishing prudent technical provisions and a required solvency margin, the Solvency I
    regime still proved too simplistic. It was static and not risk sensitive9
    , with consequences on
    the assessment of each insurer's risks, on the supervisory process and on the allocation of
    capital, not reaching an allocation which is efficient in terms of risk and return for
    shareholders.
    That initiated the process towards Solvency II. The Solvency II Directive sets out the key
    principles underpinning a new solvency system, supplemented by the Delegated Regulation10
    as mentioned above. The
    6
    Directives 92/49/EEC and 92/96/EEC.
    7
    Please note that in the rest of the document, the terms “insurance” (resp. “insurers”) has to be understood as
    covering both “insurance and reinsurance” (resp. “insurers and reinsurers”).
    8
    Directives 2002/12/EC and 2002/13/EC.
    9
    Static refers to the fact that in brief, the solvency margin was calculated formalistically taking into account
    only the liabilities for a life insurance company, only the annual amount of premiums or the average burden
    of claims for a non-life insurance company. Two insurers A and B with the same contracts and the same
    liability or premium structure would have the same solvency margin. Insurer A could keep all his assets in
    cash, and insurer B could invest all his assets into equity. This would not have had any impact on the
    solvency margin, i.e. the solvency capital requirement under Solvency I.
    10
    The Delegated Regulation covers numerous and very technical aspects of the operationalisation of the
    Solvency II Directive. They concern in particular capital requirements and other measures relating to long
    term investments, the requirements on the composition of insurers' own funds, remuneration issues,
    requirements for valuation of assets and liabilities, and reporting and disclosure.
    Page | 218
    Figure 2-1 below shows the whole set of objectives set for the Directives, with the expected
    impact of each operational objective on the specific ones. In turn, these are designed to reach
    the general objectives set which, for the Directive, were the following11:
    1) Deepen the integration of the EU insurance market;
    2) Enhance the protection of the policyholders;
    3) Improve the international competitiveness of EU insurers and reinsurers.
    11
    It has to be noted that the impact assessment supporting the legislative proposal for the Directive also had as a
    general objective to “promote better regulation”. While this is of course an implicit objective of all
    legislative proposals, it has been considered specifically relevant to mention for the Solvency II Directive
    because the setting up the Solvency II framework meant to codify and recast the existing (14) Insurance
    Directives. It has not been identified as raising any specific issue and will therefore not be subject to specific
    evaluation.
    Page | 219
    Figure 2-1: 2007 - The objectives of the Directive
    Source: Commission (2007) Staff Working Document – Impact Assessment Report.
    The Delegated Regulation set an additional objective, namely:
    4) Foster growth and recovery in Europe. The specific objective defined in order to
    reach this general objective was to promote long-term investment.
    The Solvency II framework – structure
    Aiming at these general objectives, the Solvency II Directive sets out the key
    principles underpinning the new solvency system, including the overall architecture which
    aims to translate the operational objectives. Solvency II constitutes a three-pillar
    framework (capital requirements, governance, transparency), which is risk-based and
    market-based. Further, the new regime allows insurers to invest according to the “prudent
    person principle”12
    and capital requirements will also depend on the actual risk of
    investments. How does it work in brief?
    The “Pillar 1” sets out quantitative requirements, including the market-based rules to value
    assets and liabilities13
    (in particular, provisions for the future payments to policyholders in
    relation to their insurance obligations, so-called “technical provisions”), the general design of
    12
    Article 132 of the Solvency II Directive: “[…] insurance and reinsurance undertakings shall only invest in
    assets and instruments whose risks the undertaking concerned can properly identify, measure, monitor,
    manage, control and report, and appropriately take into account in the assessment of its overall solvency
    needs […]”.
    13
    Assets and liabilities are valued at the amount for which they could be exchanged between knowledgeable
    willing parties in an arm’s length transaction. The insurance company’s assets consist mainly of the
    investments made with the insurance premiums insurers receive. They generally comprise bonds, equities
    and real estate (held directly or through investment funds). The liabilities consist mainly of technical
    provisions set up for the obligations of the insurer.
    Page | 220
    the standard formula for solvency capital requirements. The capital requirements are risk-
    based, forward-looking and economic, i.e. tailored to the specific risks borne by each insurer
    and taking into account risk diversification benefits, allowing an optimal allocation of capital
    across the EU. They are defined along a two-step ladder, including the solvency capital
    requirements and the minimum capital requirements, in order to trigger proportionate and
    timely supervisory intervention.
    To start with, insurers have to set up the above-mentioned technical provisions. Solvency II
    requires those technical provisions to be a “best estimate”14
    of the current liabilities relating
    to insurance contracts (i.e. claims provision plus premium provision), plus a risk margin15
    .
    Technical provisions are then discounted to take into account the time value of money.
    Discounting has a significant impact on the size of technical provisions, the higher the
    discount rate the lower the technical provisions. Under Solvency II technical provisions are
    discounted with risk-free interest rates.16
    As Solvency II prescribes a market-consistent valuation of assets and liabilities, a decrease in
    interest rates results in an increase in the values of both assets and liabilities. Whether the
    global impact is positive or negative will then depend on the relative sensitivity of assets and
    liabilities to changes in interest rates. The sensitivity depends on the duration of both the asset
    and liability side. In general, the duration on the liability side is higher and therefore this side
    is more sensitive to interest risk change.
    The framework is designed in such a way that an insurer complying with its requirements is
    supposed to be able to cope with an extreme adverse event, whose probability of occurrence
    is only 1 in every 200 years. In other words, the insurer is then supposed to be able to meet its
    obligations to policyholders and beneficiaries over the 12 following months, with a 99.5%
    probability. Hence where the insurer complies with these risk management rules, the risk of
    an insurance failure over the following year should reach a very low probability (even though
    not null).
    The level of capital resources available to an insurer to do so is measured by the ratio of own
    funds – difference between assets and liabilities – over the solvency capital requirements
    (SCR): it is the so-called “solvency ratio”. In turn, the Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR)
    is the total amount of own funds that insurance companies are required to preserve. The
    standard SCR is a formula-based figure calibrated to ensure that all quantifiable risks are
    considered (including non-life underwriting, life and health underwriting, market, credit,
    operational, and counterparty risks).17
    It represents the level of financial resources (excess of
    14
    The “best estimate” is the expected present value of future cash flows, using the relevant risk free yield curve,
    based upon current information and realistic assumptions.
    15
    The risk margin represents the potential costs of transferring insurance obligations to a third party should an
    insurer fail. It is calculated as the product of a cost-of-capital rate (currently set at 6%) and of the present
    value of expected future capital requirements stemming from holding insurance contracts.
    16
    The technical provisions reflect the future cash-flows taking account of the time value of money (expected
    present value of future cash-flows), i.e. the opportunity cost. In other words, an insurer could invest the
    current present value risk-free with the risk-free interest rates. Article 77 (2) imposes the use of the relevant
    risk-free interest rate term structure.
    17
    If the supervisory authorities determine that the requirement does not adequately reflect the risk associated
    with a particular type of insurance, it can adjust the capital requirement. Beside the standard formula,
    Solvency II also introduced the possibility to use (full or partial) internal models to estimate solvency capital
    Page | 221
    assets over liabilities and the subordinated liabilities) that enables insurers to absorb
    significant losses and that gives reasonable assurance to policy holders and beneficiaries that
    payments will be made as they become due. The Minimum Capital Requirement (MCR) is a
    lower, minimum level of security below which the amount of insurers' own funds should not
    fall, otherwise supervisory authorities may withdraw authorisation (automatic supervisory
    intervention).
    The rules embedded in this pillar address the operational objectives (see
    requirements, subject to approval by the NSA on the basis of several requirements also laid down in the
    Directive (Articles 112 to 127).
    Page | 222
    Figure 2-1 above) to: i) harmonise the calculation of technical provisions; ii) introduce risk-
    sensitive harmonised solvency standards. They aim to facilitate different specific objectives,
    in particular to improve risk management of the EU insurers, and provide for a better
    allocation of capital resources.
    “Pillar 2” consists of requirements for the governance and risk management of insurers, as
    well as the details of the effective supervisory process with competent authorities; it ensures
    that the regulatory framework is combined with each company’s own risk-management
    system and informs business decisions. The provisions embedded in this pillar mainly
    translate the operational objectives of harmonised supervisory methods, tools and powers and
    of efficient supervision of insurance groups and conglomerates, which should support
    advancing the supervisory convergence and cooperation as well as increasing transparency
    and encouraging cross-sectoral consistency (see
    Page | 223
    Figure 2-1 above). It also fosters the enhancement of the risk management practices.
    A key Pillar 2 requirement is the “own risk and solvency assessment” (ORSA), which also
    forms an important part of the supervisory review process. It aims at supporting insurers to
    get a holistic view of its risk profile and understand how risks affect the future solvency
    situation (through identification, assessment, measurement, management and reporting). It
    requires that the insurer undertakes its own “stress testing”, integrating all foreseeable risks
    such as a volatile and uncertain economic outlook. It also implies that insurers, when defining
    their own “risk appetite”, may (shall) look beyond the “purely quantitative” solvency
    requirements, and set level of “reserve”/available capital that are also forward-looking, as an
    additional cushion beyond the minimum regulatory quantitative requirements.
    Finally, “Pillar 3” focuses on reporting to supervisory authorities (another harmonisation
    objective) and disclosure to the public, thereby enhancing market discipline and increasing
    comparability. Solvency II introduced quarterly reporting and increased qualitative
    disclosure. Pillar 3 requirements directly address the specific objectives of increased
    transparency and improved risk management, as well as supervisory convergence and
    cooperation (see
    Page | 224
    Figure 2-1 above).
    In addition, in order to avoid that small insurance companies are subject to excessive
    regulation costs, the principle of proportionality is an integral part of the Solvency II regime.
    It takes two forms/layers. First, as regards the scope, Solvency II provides (Art.4) that very
    small insurers are excluded from the application of the Directive if they meet a series of
    cumulative criteria, including limited revenues (lower than EUR 5 million) and business
    volume (insurers’ liabilities towards policyholders of less than EUR 25 million). The second
    layer of proportionality embedded in Solvency II aims at a proportionate application of the
    regime to small and less complex companies, where the intensity of the supervisory review
    process is commensurate to the “nature, scale and complexity” of each company which is
    subject to Solvency II. The framework as a whole is formulated in a modular manner, such
    that insurance and reinsurance companies must only apply those requirements, which are
    relevant to the risks they incur.
    On the other hand, only insurers that have obtained a licence/authorisation to operate in one
    EU Member State under Solvency II rules are allowed to operate in another Member State,
    based on the freedom of establishment (FoE) or the freedom to provide services (FoS). This
    is the so-called “EU passporting” system. It implies that insurance companies which are
    excluded from the scope of Solvency II have no permission to do so. The passporting system
    for cross-border insurance business further highlights the key importance of good supervision
    convergence and coordination, in order to enable a consistent EU supervision that protects the
    interests of policyholders and beneficiaries.
    Baseline and points of comparison
    Acknowledging the economic and social importance of the insurance sector,
    intervention by public authorities in the form of prudential supervision is necessary. Insurers
    are expected to provide to the customers an adequate protection against potential future losses
    and, as “institutional investors”, they are also an essential participant in the financing of the
    “real economy” as they channel households’ savings into the financial markets and the real
    economy.
    Intervention by national public authorities has typically targeted the insolvency risk of
    insurers, or aimed to minimise the disruption and loss caused by insolvency. This is due to
    the characteristics of the insurance sector, where: i) premiums are collected upfront; ii)
    obvious information asymmetries exist between the insurer and the policyholder. The latter
    understands much less what are the risks faced by the insurance company as well as the near
    future of the former’s solvency position; as to the insurer, he can only assess the risk profile
    of the policyholder if the latter discloses all relevant information honestly18
    ; and iii) the
    interests of the two contracting parties are also different (the insurer wants to maximise
    profit, while the policyholder cares for an affordable premium and wants to get a quick, full
    and fair settlement of their claim).
    18
    In addition, once insured, policyholders may also change their behaviour (moral hazard).
    Page | 225
    Although Solvency I updated the EU regime in 200219
    , before Solvency II the lack of risk
    sensitivity of the existing EU regime did not provide regulatory incentives for insurers to
    manage their risks properly, or improve and invest further in risk management, and did not
    facilitate accurate and timely intervention by supervisors, nor optimal allocation of capital.
    The Impact Assessment20
    accompanying the Solvency II Directive reported that “given the
    importance of insurers as institutional investors in European capital markets, the lack of risk
    sensitivity of the required solvency margin [under the Solvency I regime] not only results
    [resulted] in a sub-optimal allocation of capital between lines of business and across the
    industry, but also throughout the economy as a whole”.
    In an attempt to address the weaknesses, Member States had introduced national rules in
    addition to Union-level solvency requirements (usually strongly linked to the country-specific
    insurance culture and practice), resulting in widely diverging regulatory requirements and
    supervisory practices throughout the EU. The key underlying difference between the national
    approaches was the importance attached to technical provisions and capital requirements.
    Other differences were related to the eligibility and valuation of assets as well as the
    quantitative limits applied to investments. The persistent lack of harmonisation increased
    costs for EU insurers, undermined the proper functioning of the Single Market as well as their
    international competitiveness. Likewise, weaknesses in risk management combined with lack
    of harmonisation also resulted in uncertainty and higher or uneven risk for the policyholders.
    The supervision of groups was also a growing issue. The lack of real supervisory
    convergence and coordination, as well as the differing national rules imposed significant
    administrative burden and costs on insurance groups operating in more than one Member
    State. The gap was widening between the way groups are managed and supervised in
    different Member States, which increased costs for insurance groups but also increased the
    danger that some key group-wide risks might be overlooked.
    Finally, the International Association of Insurance Supervisors (IAIS), developing new
    solvency standards and valuation rules of technical provisions, was moving towards a risk-
    based and market-consistent approach. Likewise, Basel II had introduced a more risk
    sensitive capital regime in the banking sector. This lack of international and cross-sectoral
    convergence was a risk to the competitiveness of insurers, while also increasing the
    opportunities of regulatory arbitrage. The problems clearly requested further EU intervention.
    Indeed, while preserving the “principle-based” nature of the framework, an integrated EU
    insurance market and a level-playing field for EU insurers require harmonisation, technical
    (e.g. calculation of technical provisions, risk-sensitive solvency standards) and operational
    (e.g. supervisory methods and tools).
    Consequently, the present evaluation assesses the framework against the baseline of the 2002
    framework, the last update of Solvency I before Solvency II. Its major weakness was a lack
    of risk sensitivity (see footnote 9 about the static approach to capital requirements) and the
    national attempts to address this weakness resulted in diverging regulatory requirements and
    supervisory practices.
    19
    See section 0.
    20
    COM (2007), Staff Working Document - Solvency II Impact Assessment Report.
    Page | 226
    3. IMPLEMENTATION / STATE OF PLAY
    Description of the current situation
    As mentioned above, the Solvency II Directive supplemented by the Delegated
    Regulation form the “Solvency II Framework”.
    As to the transposition of the Directive, the Commission services started the completeness
    check and conformity check of the transposition in 2015 and in October 2017 respectively.
    The conformity check lasted until June 2018. Its focus was to analyse and verify the
    conformity of the 27 (then 28) Member States national transposing measures for the most
    essential provisions of Solvency II. These are in particular provisions referring to general
    supervisory powers, information to be provided for supervisory purposes, cooperation and
    exchange of information between supervisory authorities, provisions regarding the
    transitional period, non-compliance with the solvency capital requirement, non-compliance
    with the minimum capital requirement, equivalence with third countries and the relevant risk-
    free interest rate term structure which is used to value the technical provisions21
    .
    From July 2018 until July 2019, an informal dialogue with the national authorities was
    initiated by the Commission services, trying to clarify and/or rectify those national provisions
    which seemed, prima facie, not to be conform to certain provisions of Solvency II. However,
    in July 2019, 5 infringement cases were opened against and 8 political letters were sent to
    these Member States which still did not conform their transposition of the assessed provisions
    of Solvency II. To date (March 2021), the largest majority of the issues have been solved at
    national level and only two infringement cases are still pending22
    .
    In the context of implementation, the European Insurance and Occupational Pensions
    Authority (EIOPA) promotes a common supervision culture and consistent supervisory
    practices across the EU member states. It has therefore a key role in bringing a more
    harmonised and consistent application of the rules across the EU insurance market. In
    particular, the Questions and Answers (Q&As) process, allowing insurers, national
    supervisory authorities (NSAs) and other stakeholders to clarify the implementation of the
    framework with EIOPA, shows some issues or questions regarding the interpretation (e.g.
    application of technical rules in specific situations). However, due to their non-binding
    nature, there is no assurance that the answers to the Q&As are actually followed by all
    Member States. There may also remain tensions with other existing national legislation. The
    peer reviews conducted in recent years by EIOPA and the NSAs also show some differences
    in implementation, confirming that rules can be interpreted differently. The peer review on
    EIOPA’s Decision on the collaboration of the insurance supervisory authorities actually
    identified divergent practices among NSAs in a number of areas.23
    These are in particular: the
    authorisation of a new insurance company - in case of previous authorisations sought in other
    Member States or where the applicant intends to operate exclusively in another Member State
    21
    Technical provisions (insurance liabilities towards policyholders) represent the biggest part of the liabilities of
    an insurance company.
    22
    Both cases relate to Article 260 (parent undertakings outside the union).
    23
    See EIOPA (2020d).
    Page | 227
    - or the notification process for freedom of establishment (FoE)/ freedom to provide services
    (FoS) activities.
    Hence, since 2016 when it entered into application, the Solvency II prudential framework has
    been implemented with some variability by the NSAs. Where part of this flexibility can be
    attributed to the principle of “supervisory discretionary judgement”, there continues to be
    some ambiguities or discrepancies that lead to inconsistencies and legal uncertainties, and
    prevent a full clarity in the implementation of the framework. It is the case, for instance, for
    aspects in the calculation of the best estimate of technical provisions, the definition of
    expected profit in future premiums, decisions related to internal models, the interpretation of
    recital 127 of the Delegated Regulation at group level24
    , the so-called “intervention ladder”25
    in case of financial deterioration or measures related to recovery and resolution26
    .
    4. METHOD
    Short description of methodology
    In order to gain a broad view on the functioning of the Solvency II framework, various
    perspectives and angles are considered. In addition to EIOPA’s reports and data, other
    stakeholders were consulted via a public hearing and an open consultation. In addition,
    Member States could contribute in “expert group” meetings. All findings and views were
    analysed together in order to extract a coherent analysis and better identify the common
    trends ad well as meaningful discrepancies.
     Involvement of EIOPA
    To support its work on the review, DG FISMA sent a comprehensive “Call for
    Advice” to the European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA)27
    . The
    final report from EIOPA has been published on 17 December 2020. In the meantime, EIOPA
    has continued a number of Solvency II working groups, consisting of experts from the
    national supervisory authorities to prepare its technical advice. It has published a consultation
    paper28
    in October 2019, and undertaken several data collections since autumn 2019.
     Other public consultation
    In parallel, DG FISMA has also engaged in a dialogue with stakeholders. It organised
    a public hearing29
    on the review on 29 January 2020 which drew around 350 participants. It
    published its inception impact assessment, and launched an open public consultation on
    “Have your Say”, which ran from 1 July to 21 October 2020 and received 73 contributions.30
    DG FISMA also organised several debates with Member States in the context of dedicated
    “expert group” meetings on insurance issues. The Commission Services have maintained
    close contact with key stakeholders and have also followed international developments,
    24
    See EIOPA’s Advice (2020), paragraph 1.34 and 9.58.
    25
    See Solvency II Directive (EUR-Lex link), chapter VII.
    26
    See EIOPA (2017): “Opinion on the harmonisation of recovery and resolution framework”.
    27
    Formal request, 11 February 2019 (available at this link).
    28
    EIOPA's Consultation Paper.
    29
    Conference - website.
    30
    Solvency II on the « Have your Say » page.
    Page | 228
    including the work of the International Association of Insurance Supervisors (IAIS) and the
    International Accounting Standards Board (IASB).31
     Back-to-back evaluation – main dimensions
    The Solvency II framework is comprehensive and there are lots of interactions
    between the different dimensions/provisions. Further, each specific objective (as defined in
    the 2007 impact assessment32
    ) normally serves more than one general objective, and
    inversely, each general objective is expected to be achieved through different specific
    objectives. The evaluation therefore needed to be drafted around a meaningful structure. In
    other words, while including all dimensions of the framework, the present “targeted”
    evaluation works as follows: it builds upon the findings of the consultation activities listed
    above, as well as on other specific reports and studies.33
    Those sources and consultation
    activities allowed to identify weaknesses and/or opportunities for improvement. The present
    evaluation can therefore be built around the main (cross-cutting) dimensions where such
    weaknesses and/or opportunities have been identified. To do so, it assesses the degree of
    achievement of the specific objectives related to those dimensions. These assessed objectives
    are presented in Figure 4-1 below. The figure is based on the objectives as identified in the
    impact assessment for the Directive (see Fig. 2.1 above), but also includes the additional
    objectives introduced with the Delegated Regulation (boxes filled in blue).
    Figure 4-1: Scheme of the assessed dimensions: Directive + Delegated Act
    Source: Commission services.
    Note 1: The blue stars mark all the general and specific objectives of the Delegated Regulation. Filled in blue are the
    additional o je ti es, i.e. those that ere ne l identified for the Delegated Regulation.
    Note 2: Two additional operational objectives identified in the 2007 impact assessment - compatibility of prudential
    supervision with the banking sector, as well as promote compatibility of the Framework with the work on the international
    scene – ha e een addressed the setting of the Dire ti e’s risk-based and market-consistent rules, in line with the cross-
    31
    http://www.iaisweb.org, http://www.iasb.co.uk,
    32
    See COM (2007), Staff Working Document – Solvency II Impact Assessment Report.
    33
    See list of references in the end of the annex.
    Page | 229
    se toral and international rules/ orks. The third additional one, Codif and re ast the e isting 14 Insuran e Dire ti es
    consists in setting up the Solvency II framework and directly concerns a general objective of better regulation. They have
    not been identified as raising any specific issue and will therefore not be subject to specific evaluation.
    Note 3: Although not identified as such in the 2007 SWD – impact assessment, financial stability can be seen as a general
    additional dimension; it has been added at last in the Directive. Therefore, in parallel with the work building up the Solvency
    II framework, the present evaluation also considers (and mentions) the financial stability dimension while assessing the
    different specific objectives.
    Limitations and robustness of findings
    The present evaluation builds upon the findings of consultation activities, as well as on
    other specific reports and studies. The caveats to apply for the surveys are mainly the self-
    selection bias and a limited number of respondents.
    The analysis targets the main dimensions where weaknesses and/or opportunities have been
    identified. It assesses the degree of achievement of the specific objectives related to those
    dimensions. In particular, due to the difficulties in obtaining reliable cost estimates and the
    lack of means to quantify the general benefits of the Solvency II framework, it has not been
    possible to carry out a full quantitative assessment of its efficiency at EU level.
    In particular, when analysing cost estimates reports, it has not been possible to identify the
    impact of measures that were formally imposed by the Solvency II framework but had
    already been applied before as industry’s good practice. In such cases, certain costs could be
    attributed to the application of Solvency II while they had already occurred before.
    Furthermore, Solvency II allows to apply for the use of an internal model. This is a voluntary
    decision of the insurance undertaking. It does imply costs for the development of such an
    internal model, although these costs are “voluntary”. In addition, the application of the
    internal model provides the undertaking and the supervisory authorities with a more accurate
    picture of the insurance undertaking and a potential relief in capital requirements.
    In general, as the objectives of the framework are closely linked, and often correlated, it has
    been difficult, sometimes impossible to quantify the specific impact of each measure on the
    different objectives. It is thus necessary to rely on more qualitative findings, stakeholders’
    reports and supervisory assessment.
    Page | 230
    5. EVALUATION QUESTIONS
    5.1. Effectiveness
    Has the Directive been overall effective in reaching its general objectives, i.e. to
    increase the EU insurance market integration, to enhance the protection of
    policyholders and beneficiaries and improve competitiveness of EU insurers?
    Specific objectives assessed34
    :
     To what extent has it improved the risk management of EU insurers?
     To what extent has it increased transparency?
     To what extent has it advanced supervisory convergence and cooperation?
    Has the framework been effective in achieving its additional objective to foster
    growth and recovery? More specifically:
     To what extent has the framework promoted better allocation of capital
    resources?
    5.2. Efficiency
     Has the Solvency II Directive proven to be cost-efficient in delivering on the
    objectives? To what extent are the associated costs justified by the benefits it
    has brought?
     Is there scope for increasing efficiency and making the rules more
    proportionate?
    5.3. Relevance
     Have the objectives proven to be appropriate?
     To what extent is the framework still relevant/appropriate given changing
    market conditions?
     To what extent is Solvency II suited to deal with new challenges?
    5.4. Coherence
     How does the Directive interact with other EU instruments/ legal frameworks?
    Are there newly created overlaps, gaps or contradictions?
     Is it coherent with international developments/ international initiatives?
    5.5. EU added value
     Compared to the previous national approaches, has Solvency II resulted in a
    more consistently applied regime across all Member States?
    1. Has it facilitated the integration of the EU insurance market and
    supported the competitiveness of EU insurers compared to a scenario
    without the Solvency II framework?
    2. Has it better enhanced policyholders’ protection?
    3. Has it fostered growth and recovery better than a “no-Solvency II”
    scenario?
    34
    Three specific objectives had been set in order to facilitate these general ones: (i) to improve risk
    management, (ii) to increase transparency and (iii) to advance supervisory convergence and cooperation. When
    the framework is effective with regard to these objectives, it will logically also contribute to the general
    objectives. The degree of achievement of the general objectives is therefore assessed through the following
    specific objectives.