Henvendelse fra Greenpeace Norden m.fl. vedr. Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership”, investor-stat tvistbilæggelse (ISDS)

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    Henvendelse fra Greenpeace Norden.doc

    https://www.ft.dk/samling/20131/kommissionsforslag/KOM(2013)0136/bilag/6/1364070.pdf

    Ang. ”Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership”, investor-stat tvistbilæggelse
    (ISDS)
    Til Folketingets Europaudvalg fra Greenpeace Norden, Det Økologiske Råd, ATTAC-Danmark, NOAH, Afrika Kontakt og Corporate
    Europe Observatory
    Vi har bemærket, at udvalget på sit møde den 2. maj skal behandle de igangværende forhandlinger med
    USA om en handels- og investeringsaftale, og vil i den forbindelse henlede opmærksomheden på den nu og
    da stormfulde debat om investeringsbestemmelserne, særligt hvad angår det såkaldte investor-stat
    tvistbilæggelsessystem (ISDS), der giver private virksomheder ret til at føre klagesager ved internationale
    voldgiftspaneler, såfremt de mener, at afkastet fra deres investeringer formindskes af ny national
    lovgivning eller regulering.
    I den kommende tid må det forventes at være et af de afgørende emner i debatten om hele aftalen.
    Kritikken er tiltagende fra mange sider, og Kommissionen besluttede i januar at indstille forhandlingerne på
    dette punkt, og i stedet iværksætte en offentlig høring om et konkret forslag til udformning af et sådant
    tvistbilæggelsessystem. Høringen er nu sat i værk og vil fortsætte indtil juni, hvorefter diskussionen må
    forventes at blive taget op i Rådets arbejdsgruppe for handelspolitik. I den forbindelse vil også Danmark få
    mulighed for at give sin holdning til kende.
    Derfor vil vi benytte anledningen til at understrege vigtigheden af en kritisk dansk holdning, og til at knytte
    et par bemærkninger til den igangværende høring og det forslag, Kommissionen har fremlagt i den
    anledning.
    1. Vigtigheden af en kritisk dansk holdning
    I de forgangne år har sager ført gennem ISDS-ordninger under andre investeringsaftaler vis,t at de kan
    underminere demokratiske beslutninger på centrale områder. Det gælder f.eks. miljøregulering (Ethyl
    Corporation mod Canada, Vattenfall mod Tyskland), løn- og arbejdsforhold (Veolia mod Egypten),
    sundhedspolitik (Philip Morris mod Australien), naturressourceforvaltning og miljø (Lone Pine mod Canada
    samt Chevron mod Ecuador).
    Listen over voldgiftssager af denne type, som træder ind og reelt eller potentielt tilsidesætter politiske
    beslutninger, er jævnt stigende, ligesom også det samlede antal ISDS-sager på globalt plan. Der er altså tale
    om et fænomen af stigende betydning, så politisk opmærksomhed omkring denne sag er afgørende, særligt
    i den kommende tid.
    Efter vores opfattelse er der slet og ret ikke behov for et ISDS mellem EU og USA. Retssystemerne på begge
    sider er troværdige og gennemskuelige, og der er ikke noget belæg for at hævde, at f.eks. investorer fra
    USA har behov for særrettigheder i f.t. dansk lovgivning og danske domstole. Derimod kan prisen for at
    indføre en ISDS-ordning blive betragtelig.
    I den senere tid har flere EU-medlemslande meldt meget kritiske holdninger ud, herunder Tyskland,
    Frankrig og Holland. Derimod har den danske regering hidtil ikke haft nævneværdige forbehold, bortset fra,
    at det tages for givet, at sager som ovenstående netop ikke kan gentages i sager mod Danmark, d.v.s. sager
    som f.eks. underminerer regler indført for at sikre folkesundhed, miljø, forbrugerrettigheder eller lignende.
    Europaudvalget 2013
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    Men det kan netop ikke tages for givet. Grundlæggende findes der kun én garanti mod ubehagelige
    overraskelser, og det er slet ikke at indføre en ISDS-ordning i relationerne til USA.
    2. Kommissionens forslag
    Dette bekræftes vi i, når vi læser det nye forslag, som Kommissionens har fremsat i forbindelse med
    høringsprocessen. Se i den forbindelse vedhæftede analyser.
    Fra Kommissionens side hævdes det, at forslaget er formuleret på en måde så sager af samme karakter –
    sager som er af særlig offentlig interesse som skitseret ovenfor – helt vil blive undgået. Men en nøje
    læsning af teksten bekræfter ikke denne udlægning. F.eks. er der indsat en såkaldt ”forpligtende
    fortolkning” som anneks til bestemmelsen om ”indirekte ekspropriation”, der er en bestemmelse, som gør
    det muligt at anlægge sag, hvis en ny regel eller lov må føre til nedjustering af en virksomheds forventede
    fremtidig indtjening. Men dels kan et panel vælge stort set at se bort fra en forpligtende fortolkning (ifølge
    erfaringer fra NAFTA-aftalen), dels dækker fortolkningen kun en del af de sager om indirekte
    ekspropriation, som vedrører sager af særligt offentlig interesse.
    Derudover er bestemmelsen om ”rimelig og ligeværdig behandling” stadig formuleret på en måde, så der
    vil være plads til de fleste af de kontroversielle sager, der verden over har skabt røre omkring ISDS, og som i
    øvrigt har ført til, at mange lande er i færd med at afvikle investeringsaftaler med ISDS (f.eks. Sydafrika,
    Indonesien, Ecuador).
    Se i øvrigt vedhæftede analyser for en nøjere vurdering.
    EU og Danmark vil løbe en betragtelig risiko ved at støtte et ISDS-system. Et almindeligt argument i
    Udenrigsministeriet er, at man ikke hér forventer, at Danmark vil blive mål for sagsanlæg ved internationale
    voldgiftspaneler. Men det er set ved en række tidligere lejligheder, at den slags forudsigelser er blevet gjort
    til skamme. Som da Canada i 1994 tiltrådte NAFTA-aftalen med USA. Forudsigelsen var, at klagesager
    overvejende ville ramme Mexico. Sådan er det ikke gået. De fleste sager foregår mellem Canada og USA, og
    føres typisk af store, ressourcestærke virksomheder.
    Vi vil derfor appellere til Europaudvalget om at kigge nøje på denne sag, og i sidste ende bidrage til, at en
    fremtidig aftale med USA ikke indeholder ISDS.
    Med venlig hilsen
    Kenneth Haar, Corporate Europe Observatory
    Jan Søndergaard, Greenpeace Norden
    Mads Kjærgaard Lange, NOAH
    Christian Ege Jørgensen, Det Økologiske Råd
    Ida Grubb, ATTAC-Danmark
    Mads Barbesgaard, Afrika Kontakt
    

    Bilag 2.pdf

    https://www.ft.dk/samling/20131/kommissionsforslag/KOM(2013)0136/bilag/6/1364072.pdf

    Corporate Europe Observatory, Still not loving ISDS: 10 reasons to oppose investors’super-
    rights in EU trade deals, 16 April 2014
    http://corporateeurope.org/international-trade/2014/04/still-not-loving-isds-10-reasons-
    oppose-investors-super-rights-eu-trade
    Annex 2: Reality check of the Commission’s plans for ‘reform’ of “investor-state
    dispute settlement”
    When European Trade Commissioner Karel de Gucht launched the public consultation on the
    investor rights in the proposed EU-US trade deal (TTIP), he said: “I fully agree with the many
    critics who claim that investor-to-state-dispute settlement (ISDS) up until now has resulted in some
    very worrying examples of litigation against the state.” The problem, according to de Gucht, lies in
    some problematic features of existing investment agreements – which the Commission claims to
    “re-do” to build a “legally water-tight system”.
    This Annex looks into the Commission plans to “re-do” the investor-state dispute settlement process
    (ISDS) through which EU and US companies could directly sue governments for alleged violations
    of TTIP’s “substantive” investor rights (analysed in Annex 1). The Commission promises to
    “improve” the mechanism “to ensure a transparent, accountable and well-functioning ISDS system
    that reflects the public interest and policy objectives,” (section B in the Commission's consultation
    document).
    PR-speak:
    what the Commission claims in its
    consultation document
    Reality check:
    what the Commission really does
    – and what it means in practice
    The EU will introduce a “binding code
    of conduct” for arbitrators in investor-
    state dispute tribunals to ensure that
    they are independent and act ethically.
    If an arbitrator violates this code
    “he/she will be removed from the
    tribunal,” (from question 8 in the
    consultation document).
    This responds to concerns about conflicts of interest among the 3-
    lawyer panels which decide investor-state claims. Unlike judges,
    they have no flat salary but earn more the more claims they rule on
    – a strong incentive to side with the only one side which can bring
    claims (the investors). Existing rules and codes have sometimes led
    to the disqualification of arbitrators (see here for a recent case & an
    overview of existing rules). But they have not prevented a small
    club of arbitrators from ruling on the majority of disputes, allowing
    for more business in the future with investor-friendly
    interpretations of the law. It is unlikely that the EU’s code of
    conduct will ban this global elite club of ‘entrepreneurial
    arbitrators’ (as Singapore’s attorney general called them). A 20
    February leaked version of the Commission’s proposal from the
    EU-Singapore talks does not even define what a “conflict of
    interest” is.
    The EU wants to set up a list (roster)
    of qualified arbitrators, from which the
    chairperson of an ISDS tribunal will be
    picked if the parties cannot otherwise
    agree on one. This would “ensure” the
    “abilities and independence” of these
    arbitrators whom the EU and the US
    vetted and agreed to, (from question
    8).
    A similar roster already exists at the tribunal most often used for
    investor-state claims, the International Centre for Settlement of
    Investment Disputes (ICSID). According to this analysis by the
    International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD, p.22), it
    “has not helped mitigate concerns of impartiality and independence
    of arbitrators”. Like the ICSID roster, the one proposed by the EU
    will only be a “backup” for the third arbitrator – not an “exclusive
    roster for all the arbitrators fulfilling strict conditions of
    experience, independence and impartiality”. So, concerns about
    arbitrator bias will not really be addressed by the roster.
    The EU’s aim is “to ensure
    transparency and openness” in
    In most investor-state disputes, little or no information is released
    to the public. But opacity has become the achilles heel of the
    Europaudvalget 2013
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    PR-speak:
    what the Commission claims in its
    consultation document
    Reality check:
    what the Commission really does
    – and what it means in practice
    investor-state disputes. It will
    guarantee that hearings are open and
    that “all documents” are available to
    the public – “subject only to the
    protection of confidential information
    and business secrets,” (from question
    6).
    system’s legitimacy, which is why the veil of secrecy in ISDS
    proceedings is gradually being lifted around the world. The US and
    Canada in fact started this process over a decade ago. So, the EU is
    swimming with the tide. Still, exceptions for the “protection of
    confidential information and business secrets” could severely
    hamper access to information. Under the UNCITRAL transparency
    rules referred to by the EU, tribunals can also limit public access to
    hearings for “logistical reasons” and withhold information that
    “would jeopardize the integrity of the arbitral process”, giving
    them wide discretion for non-transparency.
    The EU will introduce “an early and
    effective filtering mechanism” to
    “quickly dismiss frivolous claims” as
    well as unfounded ones. This avoids
    lengthy and costly legal proceedings
    and reduces the risk of abuse of the
    system, (from questions 5 & 9).
    The egregious investor challenges of sound policies by
    corporations such as Philip Morris, Lone Pine, and Vattenfall, for
    example, would not be dismissed under such a mechanism. They
    are alleged real violations of the sweeping investor rights granted
    in investment treaties (see annex 1). Claims are only considered
    frivolous when there is a complete lack of legal merit. Under
    existing rules, states can already ask tribunals to swiftly dismiss
    frivolous claims, but not a single such case is known.
    A tribunal deciding an investor-state
    dispute “will not be able to order the
    repeal of a measure”, but only
    compensation for the investor, (from
    question 5).
    This can result in a serious raid on public budgets. The highest
    known compensation to date, US$2.3 billion, was awarded against
    Ecuador. In 2003, the Czech Republic had to compensate a media
    corporation with US$ 354 million – the equivalent of the country’s
    entire health budget. The mere threat of a multi-million-dollar
    lawsuit may also be enough for governments to repeal the disputed
    measure ‘voluntarily’ (see reason 2).
    The EU “aims to establish an
    appellate mechanism in TTIP so as to
    allow for review of ISDS rulings”.
    This would help ensure consistency of
    interpretation and serve as a “check”
    on the work of arbitrators, (from
    question 12).
    Unlike in proper court systems, decisions by investor-state
    arbitration panels are non-reviewable (except for annulment
    proceedings which address a narrow range of procedural errors and
    are heard by another arbitration tribunal). An appeal mechanism
    could contribute to more coherent decisions and rein in arbitrator
    adventurism, but as things currently stand, this is a long way from
    becoming reality: in the draft EU-Canada deal, for example, there
    are only vague suggestions that a future joint committee may
    consult on “whether, and if so, under what conditions, an appellate
    mechanism could be created”. In TTIP, the EU states it wants to
    directly create such a mechanism, but according to reports from
    EU-US negotiation rounds on file with CEO, the US is “reluctant”.
    The US has referred to the possibility of an appeal mechanism in
    its treaties for many years – but this has led to nothing.
    The EU’s approach “favours domestic
    courts”. The Commission aims to
    “provide incentives for investors to
    pursue claims in domestic courts or to
    seek amicable solutions – such as
    mediation”. “Different instruments”
    will be suggested “so as to not
    discourage an investor from pursing
    these avenues,” (from question 7).
    The Commission does not discourage investors from mediation and
    claims in local courts. But it does not give an incentive either. The
    recourse to mediation is entirely voluntary (“the disputing parties
    may at any time agree to have recourse to arbitration”). There is
    neither a requirement for mediation nor a duty of foreign investors
    to exhaust local remedies before bringing an ISDS claim. This is
    what one would expect if the EU really “favoured” domestic courts
    and amicable solutions. By not demanding the exhaustion of local
    remedies, the EU grants foreign investors greater rights than
    anyone else – and risks undermining the validity of its own legal
    system.
    All in all, the Commission does little to “re-do” the investor-state dispute settlement process.
    Contrary to what it claims in its consultation notice, its approach is not “very different” from the
    process foreseen in existing investment agreements. Nearly all of its proposals are already out there
    in the world of international investment law and have not made any real difference (the trend
    towards transparency, codes of conduct for arbitrators, the ICSID roster of arbitrators, protection
    from frivolous claims, mediation...). Others might never materialise (as with the appellate
    mechanism).
    As was pointed out by a previous analysis of the Seattle to Brussels Network, the investor-state
    arbitration system that the Commission wants to establish “is far inferior to the domestic legal
    system of the EU and North America” from a public interest and a rule of law viewpoint. It will
    “forever surrender […] the judgement over what policies are right or wrong” to a small club of for-
    profit lawyers, who are unconstrained by fear of appeal and have a strong incentive to rule in favour
    of the one side which can bring claims: the investors.
    This bias is a systemic flaw that the Commission does not deal with – and that arguably cannot be
    tackled without abandoning the privatised system of investor-state arbitration.
    

    Bilag 1.pdf

    https://www.ft.dk/samling/20131/kommissionsforslag/KOM(2013)0136/bilag/6/1364071.pdf

    Corporate Europe Observatory, Still not loving ISDS: 10 reasons to oppose investors’
    super-rights in EU trade deals, 16 April 2014
    http://corporateeurope.org/international-trade/2014/04/still-not-loving-isds-10-reasons-
    oppose-investors-super-rights-eu-trade
    Annex 1: Reality check of the Commission’s plans for ‘reform’ of “substantive”
    investor rights
    When European Trade Commissioner Karel de Gucht launched the public consultation on the investor
    rights in the proposed EU-US trade deal (TTIP), he said: “I fully agree with the many critics who
    claim that investor-to-state-dispute settlement (ISDS) up until now has resulted in some very worrying
    examples of litigation against the state.” The problem, according to de Gucht, lies in some problematic
    features of existing investment agreements – which the Commission claims to “re-do” to build a
    “legally water-tight system”.
    This Annex looks into the Commission plans to re-do the so called “substantive” investor rights
    (Annex 2 is on their proposals to reform the dispute settlement system). The Commission claims that
    it will introduce “clear and innovative provisions” with regards to some of the traditionally vaguely
    formulated investor rights so that they “cannot be interpreted by arbitral tribunals in a way that is
    detrimental to the right to regulate”. Because, it argues, “in the end, the decisions of arbitral tribunals
    are only as good as the provisions that they have to interpret and apply,” (question 5 in the
    Commission's consultation document).
    PR-speak:
    what the Commission claims in its consultation
    document
    Reality check:
    what the Commission really does
    – and what it means in practice
    The EU wants to make sure that states’right to
    regulate is “confirmed as the basic underlying
    principle” of the EU-US agreement so that
    arbitrators “have to take this principle into
    account” when assessing an investor-state dispute.
    The Commission quotes a section of the preamble
    of the EU-Canada agreement (seen as a template
    for TTIP) that indeed recognises the parties’ right
    “to take measures to achieve legitimate public
    policy objectives”, (from question 5 in the
    consultation document).
    It is impossible to check the claim with just an excerpt of
    the preamble. According to a Canadian summary of it, the
    ‘right to regulate’ is specified (“in a manner consistent
    with the Agreement”). According to this analysis from the
    International Institute for Sustainable Development
    (IISD, p.2), this detail puts the investor rights above the
    right to regulate – the exact opposite of what the
    Commission claims. During a public debate in March, a
    high-ranking Commission official admitted that the
    formulation on the right to regulate will “not make any
    difference” in investor-state disputes.
    The EU sees no problem with the “intentionally
    broad” definition of “investment” in investment
    treaties covering “a wide range of assets, such as
    land, buildings, machinery, equipment, intellectual
    property rights, contracts, licenses, shares, bonds,
    and various financial instruments,” (from question
    1).
    The definition of “investment” is key because it
    determines what is covered by the chapter. A broad – and
    open-ended – definition such as the Commission’s not
    only covers actual enterprises in the host state, but a vast
    universe ranging from holiday homes to sovereign debt,
    exposing states to unpredictable legal risks.
    The EU wants to avoid abuse by improving the
    definition of “investor” to eliminate so called
    “shell” or “mailbox” companies from the scope of
    the agreement: “to qualify as a legitimate investor
    of a Party, a juridical person must have substantial
    business activities in the territory of that Party,”
    (from question 1).
    The definition of “investor” is key because it determines
    who is covered by the agreement. The EU seems to have
    understood that a broad definition can lead to abuse of the
    treaty via “treaty shopping”, allowing, for example, a US
    firm to sue the US via a Dutch mailbox company. But
    unfortunately, it fails to define the term “substantial
    business activity”. Thousands of investors will be
    covered by the chapter.
    Europaudvalget 2013
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    PR-speak:
    what the Commission claims in its consultation
    document
    Reality check:
    what the Commission really does
    – and what it means in practice
    National treatment: Investors “should not be
    discriminated against” except in “rare cases” and
    “specific sectors” where discrimination “may need
    to be envisaged”. The aim is to ensure “a level
    playing field between foreign investors and local
    investors,” (from question 2).
    The EU’s investor rights do not create a “level playing
    field”, but VIP treatment for foreign investors: they get
    greater private property rights than everyone else and
    access to a parallel legal system that is exclusively
    available to them – not local businesses or ordinary
    people.
    Most-favoured nation treatment (MFN): A
    provision to ensure “a level playing field” between
    different foreign investors. EU member states and
    the US would have to treat investors from the other
    party “no less favourably” than investors from any
    other state. But the Commission “seeks to clarify”
    that investors will not be able to “import” more
    favourable rights from other agreements signed by
    the US or EU member states, (from question 2).
    In reality the provision has indeed been interpreted like a
    “magic wand” that allows investors to ‘import’ rights
    from other treaties signed by the host state (as a lawyer
    defending states against investors has recenty put it).
    Under the EU’s current MFN wording, this cherry-
    picking would be possible, self-cancelling all of the
    supposed ‘clarifications’ of investor rights and
    multiplying the risks of successful investor-state attacks
    against public policy. In meetings with NGOs, the
    Commission admitted that it only recently became aware
    of the problem.
    Fair and equitable treatment (FET): Investors
    shall be treated in a “fair and equitable” manner.
    The EU wants to clarify the standard so that it only
    covers “breaches of a limited set of basic rights”
    (denial of justice; disregard of fundamental
    principles of due process; manifest arbitrariness;
    targeted discrimination; abusive treatment), (from
    question 3).
    The standard has become the catch-all guarantee most
    relied on by investors when suing states. In 74% of the
    cases won by US investors, tribunals found an FET
    violation. And investors frame their claims precisely
    around the same “basic rights” listed by the Commission.
    Philip Morris, for example, argues that Australia’s anti-
    tobacco law was arbitrary because the claimed health
    benefits are “contradicted by facts” and other policies to
    reduce smoking without a negative effect on Philip
    Morris were available. Canadian mining firm Lone Pine
    also argues that the revocation of its “right to mine for oil
    and gas” in Quebec was “arbitrary” and without “due
    process”. It seems the EU's ‘clarifications’ do not offer
    much protection.
    Protecting investors’ legitimate expectations:
    The Commission explicitly states that tribunals
    which apply the fair and equitable treatment
    standard may take into account whether a state
    made a “specific representation” to an investor that
    “created a legitimate expectation” upon which the
    investor relied when making or maintaining an
    investment, (from question 3).
    The protection of an investor’s “legitimate expectation”
    has been interpreted by tribunals as a right to a stable
    regulatory environment – binding governments to not
    change regulation. In the Quebec case where strong
    community resistance halted a fracking project, Lone
    Pine, for example, argues that the “revocation” of its gas
    exploration permits violated its “legitimate expectation of
    a stable business and legal environment”. The EU does
    not define the type of “specific representation” by a state
    which could create such legitimate expectations. Would a
    prime minister’s twinkling of an eye be enough?
    Expropriations (direct and indirect ones) of
    investors are permitted only if they are for a public
    purpose, non-discriminatory, follow due process
    and are compensated. The EU wants to clarify the
    provision to “avoid claims against legitimate
    public policy measures”. It wants to make clear
    that “non-discriminatory measures taken for
    legitimate public purposes, such as to protect
    health or the environment, cannot be considered
    equivalent to an expropriation, unless they are
    From a certain, investor-friendly view, almost any law or
    regulatory measure can be considered an ‘indirect
    expropriation’ when it has the effect of lowering profits.
    Several tribunals have interpreted legitimate public
    policies that way and have ordered states to pay
    compensation. Would the EU’s ‘carve-out’ for public
    welfare measures prevent this? Not necessarily. The state
    would have to prove that a measure “was designed and
    applied to protect public welfare objectives” (and as in
    the Philip Morris case, investors would challenge this). In
    PR-speak:
    what the Commission claims in its consultation
    document
    Reality check:
    what the Commission really does
    – and what it means in practice
    manifestly excessive,” (from question 4). “rare circumstances” it could then still be considered an
    expropriation. Academics (p. 28) have argued that amidst
    “significant debate and uncertainty” about the meaning of
    such clauses, there is “the possibility that an arbitral
    tribunal might interpret [...] an EU-US investment chapter
    expansively [i.e. in a pro-investor way] despite the
    addition [...] of cautionary footnotes and annexed
    clarifications”. Also, the current text on MFN (see above)
    would allow investors to refer to expropriation clauses in
    other treaties without public policy exceptions, rendering
    the EU’s carve-out pretty meaningless.
    When greater clarity is needed to protect the right
    to regulate, the EU and the US will be able to
    “adopt interpretations of the investment
    protection provisions which will be binding on
    arbitral tribunals.” This will allow them to monitor
    how the law that they created is interpreted and
    influence the interpretation, (from questions 5 &
    11).
    Following a wave of investor claims under the North
    American Free Trade Agreement NAFTA, the US,
    Canada and Mexico have already issued such joint
    clarifications of vaguely formulated investor rights. In
    practice, however, arbitrators have proven that they are
    willing to ignore these ‘binding’ interpretations (see here
    for examples relating to fair and equitable treatment).
    The EU will ensure that “all the necessary
    safeguards and exceptions are in place” to protect
    the right to regulate – for example, with regards to
    environmental and consumer protection, health and
    the stabilisation of financial markets. EU
    agreements also contain “general exceptions
    applying in situations of crisis”. This suggests that
    certain types of regulatory measures might be
    exempt from the obligations in the treaty, (from
    question 5).
    A closer look at the relevant provisions shows that this
    provides false comfort. Measures to ensure financial
    stability, for example, “shall not be more burdensome
    than necessary to achieve their aim”. “Safeguard
    measures that are strictly necessary” may be taken “in
    exceptional circumstances of serious difficulties for the
    operation of monetary and exchange rate policy”. For
    policies to tackle “serious balance-of-payments or
    external financial difficulties”, the EU even states that
    they should “avoid unnecessary damage to the
    commercial, economic and financial interests of the other
    Party”. It will be up to a tribunal of unaccountable for-
    profit lawyers to determine which policy was “strictly
    necessary” and which caused “unnecessary” costs for the
    other party. An easy hurdle to pass for investors.
    Umbrella clause: The EU also wants to protect
    investors when the host country avoids
    “contractual obligations” towards them, (from
    question 3). While there is no exemplary treaty text
    in the consultation on this issue, there is a similar
    clause in the leaked EU-Canada investment chapter
    from November 2013 (Article X on page 14).
    This would bring all obligations a state assumed with
    regards to an investment under the TTIP ‘umbrella’ (like
    a contract with one investor), multiplying the risk of
    costly lawsuits. In a 2011 resolution, the European
    Parliament had asked the Commission for a study on the
    impacts of the inclusion of an umbrella-clause in future
    European investment agreements. There is no such study
    yet.
    ‘Survival’ (or better: ‘zombie’) clause: An issue
    that is not mentioned in the Commission’s
    document, but that deserves some attention.
    The EU discretely forgot to mention that the EU-US trade
    deal would allow investors to sue states for decades –
    even if they cancelled the treaty in the future. The leaked
    EU-Canada agreement (article X.18) says that, for
    investments already made, the treaty “shall continue to be
    effective for a further period of 20 years” from the
    moment it is terminated. The corporate super rights
    would live on like a zombie – even if the agreement was
    dead.
    All in all, the Commission’s plans to “re-do” the “substantive” investor rights do not do the job of
    building a “legally water-tight system” that “cannot be interpreted by arbitral tribunals in a way that is
    detrimental to the right to regulate”. On the contrary, many of the proposed provisions seem to have
    the exact opposite effect (which was also the conclusion of analyses of previously leaked negotiation
    texts from the Commission by the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) and the
    Seattle to Brussels Network).
    Under the EU’s reforms, the investor rights will remain what a lawyer defending states in investor-
    state lawsuits recently called: “weapons of legal destruction”.