REGULATORY SCRUTINY BOARD OPINION Enhancing the convergence of Insolvency laws

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    https://www.ft.dk/samling/20221/kommissionsforslag/kom(2022)0702/forslag/1917102/2639739.pdf

    EUROPEAN COMMISSION
    10.10.2022
    SEC(2022) 434
    REGULATORY SCRUTINY BOARD OPINION
    {COM(2022) 702}
    {SWD(2022) 395,396}
    Enhancing the convergence of Insolvency laws
    Offentligt
    KOM (2022) 0702 - SEK-dokument
    Europaudvalget 2022
    1
    EUROPEAN COMMISSION
    Regulatory Scrutiny Board
    Brussels,
    RSB
    Opinion
    Title: Impact assessment / Enhancing the convergence of Insolvency laws
    Overall 2nd
    opinion: POSITIVE
    (A) Policy context
    Clear and effective insolvency laws are important criteria for investors when deciding
    whether and where to invest. Discrepancies between the applicable rules in different
    Member States create potential barriers to the free movement of capital in the internal
    market and this uncertainty risks discouraging cross border investments and negatively
    affecting competition and competitiveness.
    This initiative aims to create more predictable conditions for cross-border investment in the
    EU by harmonising targeted aspects of substantive insolvency law.
    (B) Summary of findings
    The Board notes that the report has been substantially redrafted.
    The Board gives a positive opinion. The Board also considers that the report could
    further improve with respect to the following aspect:
    (1) The analysis of the Member States’ judicial systems does not fully take into
    account all factors likely to affect court capacity.
    (C) What to improve
    (1) The report assesses for which Member States judicial bottlenecks are more likely to be
    an issue as a result of the expected increase of Micro and Small Enterprise (MSE) cases
    due to the introduction of the MSE regime. It could also assess the impact of the expected
    increased number of Small and Medium Enterprises with cross-border investors as a result
    of other EU legislation such as the creation of the European Single Access Point for
    company data. The report could also explain how Member States could improve court
    capacity to absorb the potential increased number of insolvency cases.
    (2) The report should further elaborate on Commission’s plans to collect monitoring data
    for future evaluation. It should better explain the sources of data and the arrangements
    needed for the data collection.
    The Board notes the estimated costs and benefits of the preferred options in this initiative,
    as summarised in the attached quantification tables.
    2
    (D) Conclusion
    The DG should take these recommendations into account before launching the
    interservice consultation.
    If there are any changes in the choice or design of the preferred option in the final
    version of the report, the DG may need to further adjust the attached quantification
    tables to reflect this.
    Full title Impact Assessment on an initiative to increase the convergence
    of substantive corporate (non-bank) insolvency laws
    Reference number PLAN/2020/8631
    Submitted to RSB on 14 September 2022
    Date of RSB meeting Written procedure
    3
    ANNEX: Quantification tables extracted from the draft impact assessment report
    The following tables contain information on the costs and benefits of the initiative on which
    the Board has given its opinion, as presented above.
    If the draft report has been revised in line with the Board’s recommendations, the content of
    these tables may be different from those in the final version of the impact assessment report,
    as published by the Commission.
    I. Overview of Benefits (total for all provisions) – Preferred Option
    Description Amount Comments
    Direct benefits
    Reduction of costs to
    the judicial system at
    Member State level
    Who benefits: public
    sector (courts,
    insolvency
    practitioners)
    Approximately EUR 1.9
    billion of cost savings
    from simplification of
    insolvency proceedings.
    The amount is obtained as 40% lower judicial costs times
    1.4% judicial costs times 130 000 insolvency cases times
    average claim of insolvency case (see further detail below
    the table). This is a point estimate that is determined by
    these assumptions. The use of alternative assumptions
    leads to a higher or lower values (see text below), but it is
    not possible to attach probabilities to alternative
    scenarios.These cost savings would accrue for the judicial
    system (insolvency practitioners, courts) and stem from
    simplification of procedures at Member States level,
    hence they , do not count under the one in, one out
    commitment.
    Higher recovery
    value
    Who benefits:
    creditors, i.e. the
    financial sector, the
    public sector, other
    non-financial
    corporations and
    households
    proportional to their
    claims to the debtor
    Approximately EUR 4.9
    billion out of which
    approximately EUR 1.9
    billion are due to legal
    cost savings from
    simplification of
    insolvency proceedings.
    A 1.42 percentage point increase (Error! Reference
    source not found.) times notional amount times 130,000
    insolvency cases per annum, table in annex 4.1. The
    notional amount is the average claim of 2.6 million EUR
    derived as 3.5 million EUR average for Germany
    corrected for the lower GDP per capital in the EU-27
    compared to Germany (75%). Part of this are legal cost
    savings described above that are expected to be passed on
    to the creditors.
    Simplified insolvency
    procedures for micro
    and small
    enterprises
    Who benefits: owners
    / entrepreneurs behind
    micro and small
    enterprises
    Potentially sizeable, but
    cannot be reliably
    estimated.
    Owners of MSEs would benefit from a dedicated
    simplified insolvency procedure. In most cases, this
    would enable an orderly winding down of distressed
    micro- and small businesses as costs of normal insolvency
    procedures were not proportionate for them. This would
    also accelerate debt discharge and help create a second
    chance for these entrepreneurs. Insolvency experts
    surveyed in Deloitte/Grimaldi (2022) suggest average cost
    savings of about 12%. EBA (2020) shows judicial costs of
    3.5% for SME loans, compared to 1.4% for corporate
    loans.
    4
    Better coordination
    among creditors
    Who benefits:
    creditors, in particular
    cross-border creditors
    Cannot be estimated Creditor committees would allow creditors to cooperate
    and more effectively coordinate their decisions and would
    help cross-border investors to be better represented. This
    on one hand contributes to higher recovery value
    (quantified above) but also presents a benefit of its own.
    Indirect benefits
    Lower debt funding
    costs
    Who benefits:
    companies, including
    SMEs
    Approximately EUR 1.6
    billion
    Under the assumption that a 1.4% increase in the recovery
    rate (table 7 in section 7.2) triggers 1.4 basis points lower
    funding costs on 1855 billion EUR NFC liabilities in form
    of debt securities and EUR 9592 billion in loans 2020
    (Eurostat)
    Higher productivity
    growth
    Who benefits: broader
    society including both
    private and public
    sector
    Approximately EUR 7.2
    billion
    0.5% higher productivity growth from fewer zombie firms
    (as suggested in OECD 2017), assuming insolvency rules
    reduce the share of zombie firms by 10%. A higher or
    lower share would increase respectively reduce the
    productivity gains proportionately, but there is no
    possibility to attach probabilities to different assumptions
    Lower information
    and learning costs
    for cross-border
    investment
    Who benefits: cross-
    border creditors
    Potentially sizeable, but
    cannot be estimated
    There is neither statistical data nor a suitable
    methodological approach to quantify these benefits.
    However, based on the findings of the HLEG on CMU
    and stakeholder views, benefits in this area are potentially
    sizeable.
    Higher chances of
    timely selling going
    concern parts of a
    distressed business
    Who benefits:
    companies, including
    SMEs, their investors
    and employees
    Cannot be estimated The harmonised pre-pack procedure would increase the
    chances of timely selling of going concern parts of the
    distressed company’s business, enabling to preserve value
    for its shareholders and employees.
    Administrative cost savings related to the ‘one in, one out’ approach*
    N/A1
    N/A N/A
    1
    As explained in section 8, none of the cost savings indeitified in this table are applicable for the “one in, one
    out” committment.
    _________________________________
    This opinion concerns a draft impact assessment which may differ from the final version.
    Commission européenne, B-1049 Bruxelles - Belgium. Office: BERL 08/010. E-mail: regulatory-scrutiny-board@ec.europa.eu
    II. Overview of costs – Preferred option
    Citizens/Consumers Businesses (notably
    insolvent businesses and
    creditors)
    Administrations
    One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent One-off Recurrent
    Preferred
    option (as
    an
    aggregate)
    Direct
    adjustment
    costs
    none none
    Familiarisati
    on with new
    rules
    (creditors,
    businesses at
    risk of
    insolvency,
    lawyers and
    consultants;
    no estimate
    available)
    none none none
    Direct
    administrative
    costs
    none none none none
    Creation
    of
    factsheets
    on key
    characteri
    stics of
    insolvenc
    y
    framewor
    ks: EUR
    67,000-
    90,0002
    Updating the
    factsheets -
    negligible
    costs
    Direct
    regulatory fees
    and charges
    none none none none none none
    Direct
    enforcement
    costs
    none none none none none none
    Indirect costs none none Further
    internal
    procedures
    and an
    information
    flows for
    Higher
    liability of
    directors of
    companies
    may be
    reflected in
    none Potentially
    more
    insolvency
    cases,
    estimated at
    approximately
    2
    See below under “expected costs” for an explanation.
    6
    distressed
    companies to
    enable due
    diligence in
    case of pre-
    pack sale
    (conditional
    on company
    opting in for
    a pre-pack
    sale, no
    estimate
    available)
    higher wage
    demands,
    more
    difficult
    recruitment
    of directors,
    company
    procedures/i
    nformation
    flows or
    higher
    liability
    insurance
    costs (no
    estimate
    available).
    EUR 0.9-2.0
    billion3
    and
    more disputes
    on asset
    seizures (no
    estimate
    possible).
    Costs related to the ‘one in, one out’ approach
    Total
    Direct
    adjustment
    costs
    none none Familiarisati
    on with new
    rules
    none
    Indirect
    adjustment
    costs
    none none none none
    Administrative
    costs (for
    offsetting)
    none none none none
    3
    See below under “expected costs” and Annex 4, Section 3.2.
    7
    EUROPEAN COMMISSION
    Regulatory Scrutiny Board
    Brussels,
    RSB
    Opinion
    Title: Impact assessment / Enhancing the convergence of Insolvency laws
    Overall opinion: NEGATIVE
    (A) Policy context
    Clear and effective insolvency laws are important criteria for investors when deciding
    whether and where to invest. Discrepancies between the applicable rules in different
    Member States create potential barriers to the free movement of capital in the internal
    market and this uncertainty risks discouraging cross border investments and negatively
    affecting competition and competitiveness.
    This initiative aims to create more predictable conditions for cross-border investment in the
    EU by harmonising targeted aspects of substantive insolvency law.
    (B) Summary of findings
    The Board notes the additional information provided in advance of the meeting.
    However, the Board gives a negative opinion, because the report contains the
    following significant shortcomings:
    (1) The report does not provide sufficient evidence of how current insolvency
    proceedings negatively affect cross-border investment in the single market. It
    does not convincingly demonstrate why the EU should intervene now. The
    analysis of how divergent the situation is in Member States is insufficient.
    (2) The report does not clearly set out the articulation between the initiative and the
    2019 Restructuring and Insolvency Directive. It does not clearly identify the
    remaining gap after the latter is transposed in July 2022.
    (3) The report does not sufficiently assess the impacts on the capacity of Member
    State’s judicial systems, resulting from the expected increased number of cases
    involving SMEs and how this may affect the expected benefits.
    (4) The report does not provide a balanced assessment of options and is geared
    towards the preferred option. It does not present clearly the trade-offs that policy
    makers face.
    (5) The report does not present a robust assessment methodology nor sets out clearly
    the underlying assumptions. The SME test is missing.
    8
    (C) What to improve
    (1) The report should set out the policy context more clearly, in particular by identifying
    those factors that have changed since the 2019 Restructuring and Insolvency Directive was
    agreed. It should explain how a gap has emerged [since then,] what that gap is, its
    magnitude and set out a clear and unambiguous rationale for action at this juncture. It
    should identify with evidence those specific aspects of national insolvency laws that
    present major hurdles to cross-border investment, for which harmonisation would have a
    clear EU added-value and hence could significantly contribute to the creation of a Capital
    Markets Union.
    (2) The evidence is weak in the problem analysis. The report should better demonstrate
    how important insolvency procedures are in terms of influencing cross-border investment
    decisions as opposed to other factors. It should be more transparent and indicate how robust
    the available evidence is on how insolvency regimes affect cross-border investment
    decisions. It should seek to significantly strengthen and supplement the limited evidence
    presented. At the same time, it should avoid over-reliance on a few available evidence
    sources (e.g. the insolvency practitioner survey given potential conflict of interest).
    (3) The report should further elaborate both the institutional differences between
    jurisdictions (e.g. the applicable rules, quality of the judiciary in dealing with insolvency
    cases and insolvency practitioners) and the differing levels of judicial capacity. It should
    examine how these impact insolvency outcomes and affect cross-border investment. The
    report should better explore what the implications of these divergences across Members
    States would have as potential constraints in terms of any proposed harmonisation given
    that the presence of such potential bottlenecks in the judiciary might hide a procedural
    delay thereby undermining the legal security that the initiative seeks to provide. This
    impact needs to be considered in the report and quantified as much as possible.
    (4) The presentation of options pre-empts the preferred one. The report should therefore
    provide a more balanced and evidence-based assessment of options and bring out more
    clearly the trade-offs that policy makers face. Later when comparing the options the
    relative scoring of the preferred ‘targeted’ and the alternative ‘fully harmonised’ options
    should be better grounded in the available evidence and adjusted accordingly as well as
    better explained.
    (5) The report should critically review the cost and benefit estimates and better account for
    uncertainties. Before applying scoring schemes and weighting of aggregate costs and
    benefits, the impact analysis should check the plausibility of what the different measures
    contribute and be comprehensive. The report should analyse in a more nuanced way to
    what extent simplified insolvency procedures for Micro and Small Enterprises may
    contribute to bottlenecks in the judicial system of Member States and thus risk the
    realisation of envisaged benefits. This uncertainty should be reflected in the analysis as the
    current modelling assumes no effect on capacity of courts.
    (6) When it comes to administrative costs and savings, the report should clearly indicate
    which of those costs and savings are to be considered in the scope of the One In, One Out
    approach. The report should include a proportionate SME test to indicate impacts and
    assess the proportionality of measures for SMEs.
    (7) The report should explain how the data collection for effective progress monitoring
    will be ensured.
    (8) Views from stakeholders, also dissenting ones, should be included throughout the
    report, especially in the problem definition, impacts and preferred option.
    9
    Some more technical comments have been sent directly to the author DG.
    (D) Conclusion
    The DG JUST must revise the report in accordance with the Board’s findings and
    resubmit it for a final RSB opinion.
    Full title Impact Assessment on an initiative to increase the convergence
    of substantive corporate (non-bank) insolvency laws
    Reference number PLAN/2020/8631
    Submitted to RSB on 25 May 2022
    Date of RSB meeting 22 June 2022
    Electronically signed on 10/10/2022 20:10 (UTC+02) in accordance with Article 11 of Commission Decision (EU) 2021/2121